Full text of U.S. Financial Data : Week Ending May 15, 1968
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* * research library^ I fed-—j of Bant St. Louis S. finRnCIRL DATA Week ending May 15,1968 MS 7 m VELOCITY OF MONEY (Page 4) MEMBER BANK RESERVES (Continued) The income velocity of money (gross national product at current prices divided by the money stock) was 4.53 in the first quarter of 1968, up from 4.46 in the fourth quarter of 1967 and 4.43 in the third quarter. Earlier last year veloci ty drifted lower from the 4.48 peak at the end of 1966. This pattern is typical of periods of rapid monetary expansion. When there is a rapid rise in money, the rate of spending initially changes little and velocity declines. However, if rapid rise in money continues for a prolonged period, the last four weeks, up at an annual rate of 2.6 per cent since early November, after adjustments for reserve req uirement changes. In the first eleven months of last year reserves rose at an 11 per cent rate. The current 2.6 per cent rate compares with a 3.3 per cent trend rate during the 1957-1967 period. * aal cash balances tend to rise faster than desired balances and velocity accelerates. With money continuing the increase at an advanced pace and with velocity accelerating, total spending went up at a 10.3 per cent annual rate from the fourth quarter last year to the first quarter of this year, compared with an 8.4 per cent rate in the previous quarter, and a 5.1 per cent rate earlier last year. MONEY STOCK (Page 5) The nation's money stock, demand deposits and cur rency, averaged $184.9 billion in the four weeks ending May 8, up at an annual rate of 5 per cent since late October. During the first ten months of 1967 money went up at a 7 per cent rate. By comparison, the trend growth of money ^pm 1957 to 1967 was 2.6 per cent per year. MEMBER BANK RESERVES (Page 3) The growth in member bank reserves has slowed much more than the growth in money during the last six months. Total reserves of member banks averaged $25.6 billion in http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The more pronounced slowing in the rate of increase in bank reserves than in the money stock is explained in large part by a marked slowing in the growth of time deposits. Time deposits at all commercial banks have gone up at a 6 per cent rate since late October after rising at a 17 per cent rate earlier last year and at a 12 per cent trend rate in the 1957-1967 period. The recent slowing in time deposits probably reflects the general rise in market interest rates, making the yield on time deposits, which is restricted by Regulation Q, less competitive. BUSINESS LOANS (Page 9) Since late last year there has been a pronounced increase in the demand for loans at commercial banks by business firms. Outstanding loans to business firms at large commercial banks have risen at a 12 per cent annual rate since late October. By comparison these advances went up at a 4.5 per cent rate in the previous six months. Rates of change reported in this release are intended to serve as summaries which may be useful in analyzing recent developments. Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Released: May 17, 1968 FEDERAL RESERVE CREDIT U_ Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars r i "i r 54 2 Seasonally ad justed by this bank. |_2 Billions of Dollars II!!! ~ Annual rates of change Federal Reserve Credit __ adjusted for reserve requirement changes averages of four weeks ending May 15, 1968 - . from four weeks ending: —nFeb. 14, 1968 —|-Nov. 15, 1967 —t Aug. 16, 1967 54 53 5o 52 52 Federal Reserve --- 1968 Holdings HIM Credit so. sy So.oS 51 51 SC. 3k. 50.14 SI 00 SC. 37 50.07 fi 50 Federal Reserve Credit 50 49 49 48 48 Federal Reserve Holdings of U.S. Government and Federal Agency Securities 47 47 48 46 45 45 1/ Federal Reserve Credit excludes float and a few minor items. Data prior to Jan. 18, 1968 adjusted for the estimated effect of reserve requirement changes. 2/ Seasonal adjustment for Federal Reserve Holdings computed by this bank using data ending December 1967. Borrowings from Federal Reserve not seasonally adjusted. Current unadjusted data appear in the 44 Latest data preliminary 43 44 43 ' 0 20 Mar. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis June Sept. Oct. Mar. 3 17 1 15 :o June 10 24 7 21 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 4 Sept. 0 RES^VES All Member Bcj^ks in the Nation Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars imra TOTAL RESERVES —Annual rates of change, average of — four weeks ending May 15, 1968 from four weeks ending: Feb. lit, 1968 — «?. «X — - TOTAL EFFECTIVE RESERVES — ~/9ig I /kti+b 0i(t ■ I b a? —------ n 1957-1967 --------- i—11»111 111111111 Seasonal adjustment 'iconfuted by this bank using data ending December 1967. Unadjusted data appear In the Board's H.U.l. release. ‘ 1/ Data prior to Jan. 18, 1968 adjusted for_ ]estimated effect of reserve requirement _ — changes. U It: cl. _ *f.sk __ (W ___rie iSfg (e. -- 3 Billions of Dollars cjy _ M.sj asms ■4—y^iAsni. -- A-- 4 ^JS.S3 f- H-f .Total — - RESERVES AVAILABLE FOR PRIVATE DEMAND DEPOSIT^ i9te - r .vt /Z13 ~ - /J /wc _ _ MO I7./0 _ A7 ncjL u^3 l?.Mf - / /4.?# -17.2 Seasonal adjustment factors — were computed using data — through early 1967. RESERVES AVAILABLE FOR PRIVATE DEMAND DEPOSITS Annual rates of change, average of” four weeks ending May 15, 1968 ~ - from four weeks ending: Feb. lU, 1968 / /■■ 7 - Reserves Available for —' Private Demand Deposits Latest data preliminary Latest data plotted week ending: 8 22 5 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis May 15, 1968 —'Data prior to Jan. IS, 1968 adjusted for . estimated effect of reserve requirement 1957-1967 changes. J_I_1—L I9 June Sep . Nov. Dec. Jan. Mar. June Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis i_l_1 Sept. Annual Rates of Turnover — Latest data plotted; http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis INCOME VELOCITY OF MONEY GNP/Money Stock first quarter 1968 Prepared b. Annual Rates of Turnover tiie Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis MONy^TOCK* Averages o^Paily Figures Elllions of Dollars Seasonally Ad justed --- Annual rates of change, average of --- four weeks ending May 8, 1968 ~ from four weeks ending: Feb. T, 1968 ^THov. 8, 1967 Ix o ___Aug. 9, May 10, 1967 1967 WEEKLY DATA 1968 ftV.1 lfi.7 it /<?/? - n igii ' m 1 ] . c /S3. u y-jr.c V- 7. / U <83.H jo /fat =)7 Ifj.g fl.r. 3 /St. t ,0 IP4J n /870 2A I ft I I if 3rS " . . . - v S IfS-OP. 13-week centered, moving average . Current data appear in the Board's H.6 release. Back data appear in the August I967 Federal Reserve Bulletin. For trend of money stock by months see this bank's monthly release entitled "Monetary Trends". Latest data preliminary 8 22 Mar. 19 3 5 Apr. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 17 31 May 14 28 12 June 26 9 July 23 Aug. 1967 6 20 Sept. it 18 Oct. 1 15 Nov. 29 13 27 Dec. 10 24 Jan. 7 21 6 Feb. 20 Mar. 3 17 Apr. 1 15 29 12 May June 26 10 24 July 7 21 Aug. 1968 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 4 18 Sept. CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT [1_ Large Commercial Banks Billions of Dollars 25.0 7T4 1 Billions of Dollars 25.0 1 —— ... Annual rates of change seasonally unadjusted data, average of four weeks ending May 8, 1968 from four weeks ending: — Feb. 7 1968 __ > 1 u 8 1967 A 0 — Aug. 9 1967 24.0 23.0 1 t 1964 - 1967 24.0 s' 23.0 2. 6 H. 1 22.0 22.0 — —\— -- 21.0 21.0 1 ~r — t ~T~ T" 20.0 20.0 9.74 19.0 — jt f JS 4 — \ r —I- 19.0 —— kJ 18.0 18.0 Millions of Ft a 17.0 1968 7 IH Zl IS rOdi?. 16.0 13 Z0 11 9 20,10 5 2o, 7ft 20, ?lf 21, OH 20 Hi 21 03S 20 5+3 20, 20,201 17.0 16.0 » 15.0 // , l \ f - 4_L 15.0 1*1, T 7 1 n 7 Si n.noi r - 14.0 14.0 ___ Latest 1 8 * 13.0 0 ~ 1 ___ __ 8 22 Mar. 5 19 Apr. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 12 May June 26 July 9 23 Aug. 1967 6 20 Sept. 21 Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. 6 Current and year ago data appear in the Board's H.4.E?. release. 1/ Negotiable time certificates in denominations of iino nnn "Mill 1 1 IMILL_L_ L_L_ u ___ | — 20 Mar. 7 Apr. May June July | 21 Aug, 1968 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 4 18 Sept. TIME D0DSITS* 7 1 Commercial Banks Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Ad us Billions of Dollars —.Annual rates of change, average of -four weeks ending May 8, 1968 —from four weeks ending: -Feb. 7, 1968 + i>.7 —Nov. 8, 1967 f- <£,/ 'Aug. 9, 1967 y- g 7 __May 10, 1967 y_ /s?\g Billions of Dollars I- 18u> 5 /7 !?7.0 8 M Latest data preliminary Latest data plotted week ending: http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -J—I—l-L 1 I 11 II May 8, 1968 -t ' I I 18 1 June July Aug. - -4 V M-4-, I I I I Current data appear in the Board's H.6 release. Back data appear in the August 1967 Federal Reserve Bulletin. For trend of time deposits by months see this bank's monthly release entitled "Monetary Trends". Oct. 15 Nov. 29 13 27 10 2U 7 21 6 20 3 17 1 I II 1 4 June Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 18 BORROWINGS AND EXCESS RESERVES All Member Banks in the Nation Ave ra es of Daily Fig ures Millions of Dollars excess RESERVES 8 Millions of Dollars free BORROWINGS RESERVES BIWEEKLY DATA — ML# -37 0 io 1.600 1,400 _BIWEEKLY SETTLEMENT PERIODS - Yi/ 1,200 1,200 1,100 1,000 1,000 Excess Reserves Net Free Reserves Borrowings One Week Only- 1,000 - 1,100 - Latest data preliminary Latest data plotted J____ I. I I. I I I I 1 I 1 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 1,000 - 1,100 week ending May 15. 1968 I 21 5 June 15 16 30 13 27 ll Sept. 25 0 22 6 20 3 17 31 Jan. l4 20 Feb. 13 27 10 24 8 22 5 19 June 3 17 31 14 28 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ll 25 BU S IN LOANS Large ComMrrcial Banks Billions of Dollars Wednesday Figures Billions of Dollars I I I I I I I Seasonally adjusted by this bank. Annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending May 8, 1968 from four weeks ending: Feb. 7, 1968 f/l.g Nov. 8, 1967 +//.f Aug. 9, 1967 f g, V May 10, 1967 -f g.J Millions of Dollars SEASONALLY ADJUSTED UNADJUSTED t,S37! 1960-1967 t.s, iss' k 7, o/j (■C i/3 64. n$ 47.6 i 1 47. 3o¥ LI.^87 Liy+e> 8 5 19 3 Apr. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 17 31 May n/ Current and year ago unadjusted data appear in the Board's H.k.2 release. Seasonal adjustment computed by this bank using 1962 through 1967 data _Latest data preliminary —Latest data plotted: 8 22 Mar. 4 7. 1^ 2. June rrm ttnti June July Aug Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 10 YIELDS ON SELECTED SECURITIES Averages of Daily Rates Ended Friday per cent Corporate Bonds J Long-Term "Government Bonds Three-Month •easury Bill Market Yield Discount Rate Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: May 17, 1968 -rnittt m r 1 mm 10 24 Mar. 7 21 Apr. 5 19 May 2 16 30 June http://fraser.stlouisfed.org *AVERAGES OF RATES AVAILABLE Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Ik 28 11 25 8 22 Sept. 6 20 3 17 1 15 29 i<= im±i 9 23 8 ^ Feb. 22 Mar. 5 19 3 17 31 14 12 26 9 June Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St 23 Sept. SELECTED SHORT-T®A INTEREST RATES Per Cent Per Cent Averages of Daily Rates Ended Friday TTT PRIME COMMERCIAL PAPER 4-6-MONTH tfloS Alt- a. 7 s./s S. so n'f X: S.SO s.Si S.So / S SO PRIME LARGE BANKERS' 90 DAY FEDERAL ACCEPTANCES CD'S** FUNDS S A3 s. ,_r S3S S.3S S.3S S.JS s.ss sh 0 6.iV 3.70 S70 3. 70 3 70 3- 7* 5 IP s.ss S.93 te.OS i.fiO Prime Commercial Paper 4-to-6 Month Prime Bankers Acceptances Federal Funds Rate. Discount Rate Latest data plotted Eire averages of rates available for the week ending: May 17, 1968 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 June l4 28 11 25 1967 * AVERAGES OF RATES AVAILABLE **S0URCE: SALOMON BROTHERS AND HUTZLER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org SECONDARY MARKET RATE ON 90-DAY PRIME CD'S. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 22 6 20 Oct. 3 17 1 15 29 1. Dec. 26 9 23 Feb. 8 22 Mar. 5 17 31 14 28 June 12 26 1968 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sept.