Full text of U.S. Financial Data : Week Ending December 11, 1968
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RESEARCH LIBRAR tf Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis s. FinnnciRL data Week ending: December 11, 1968 03 2 *2 ^98 Short-term interest rates (pages 8 and 9) have been rising since September and went up sharply in the last three days. On December 11, yields on three-month Treasury bills reached 5.88 per cent compared with a peak of 5.82 per cent last May and a low of about 5 per cent in late summer. Interest rates on long-term issues followed a similar pattern. Expectations of continued rapid increases in spending and inflation have increased since early fall. With expected price rises, interest rates typically go up, since lenders seek to protect the purchasing power of funds and borrowers expect to repay in cheaper dollars. Monetary expansion, as measured by the money stock (page 3), has apparently resumed a rapid pace. Although money rose at a 2 per cent annual rate from July to October, the increase in money over the entire last six months has been at a 6 per cent rate, about the same as in the previous six months. The trend growth of the monetary base (total credit provided by the Treasury and the Federal Reserve) largely determines the trend growth of money. The growth of the base (page 2) has been rapid throughout the year, advancing at a nearly steady 6 per cent rate, significantly faster than the average 3.3 per cent trend rate from 1957 to 1967. follow a similar pattern over time. Recently, however, growth of Federal Reserve credit (page 2) decelerated from a 12 per cent annual rate during the first eight months of the year to a 0.5 per cent rate in the last three months. The growth of the base continued to be rapid in the face of slower growth of Federal Reserve credit largely as a result of a substantial increase in Federal Reserve holdings of foreign denominated currencies, which increased a source of the base not included in Federal Reserve credit. (See table of sources of the base on page 12.) From the week ending November 20 to that of the 27th, Federal Reserve holdings of foreign denominated currencies rose by a large amount due to an increase in international "swaps" relating to the French financial difficulties. Federal Reserve credit declined about $1.2 billion from the week ending November 20 to that of the 27th, but other sources of the base increased more than $.5 billion during the same period. Consequently, the base declined only about $.5 billion in that week. The rise in Federal Reserve holdings of foreign denomi nated currencies has usually been a temporary phenomenon, corresponding to periods of turmoil in international money markets. Federal Reserve credit is the largest source component of the monetary base, and the two series usually http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Rates of change reported in this release are intended to serve as summaries which may be useful in analyzing recent developments. Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Released: December 13,1968 2 MONETARY BASE [1_ FEDERAL RESERVE CREDIT |2 Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Seasonally adjusted by this bank. _ Annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: Monetary Base June 12, F.R. Credit y- i o' 1968 1957-1967 Monetary Base F.R. Credit Federal Reserve Credit 1/ Uses of the monetary base are member bank reserves and currency held by the public and nonmember banks, adjusted for reserve requirement changes and shifts in deposits. For a description of the base see the August Review of this bank. 2/ Latest data preliminary Latest data plotted week ending: 6 20 Sept. 4 18 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1 1967 15 29 13 27 10 24 Jan. 7 Dec. 21 As defined in the statistical tables of the Federal Reserve Bulletin, adjusted for reserve requirement changes and shifts in deposits. 11, 1968 6 20 Mar. 3 17 1 15 29 12 26 June 10 24 July 7 21 Aug. 4 18 Sept. 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 Dec. 8 22 5 19 5 19 2 STOCK* Averages oTDaily Figures Seasonally Ad us ted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars WEEKLY DATA 1968 OcJ-Sl /le.o '? /*?■? Annual rates of change, average of from four weeks ending: /<* June 5, 1968 19,3 jo iV-o mi //9/-9 tj.y j3 no. to <io /iZ.L 1957-1967 &t. i /f3,0 13-week centered moving average ~ Weekly Current data appear in the Board's H.6 release. Back data appear in the June 1968 Federal Reserve Bulletin. For trend of money stock by months see this bank's monthly release entitled "Monetary Trends". --- Latest data preliminary Latest data plotted week ending: Dec. 4, 1968 cTtT 1 I 1 I I I I 6 20 4 18 1 Sept. Nov. Oct. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis I I 15 1967 29 13 27 Dec. 10 24 Jan. 7 21 Feb. I I 6 1 I 20 3 Mar. 17 Apr. 1 15 May 29 12 26 10 24 June 1968 July 7 21 Aug. 4 18 Sept. 2 16 30 Oct. 13 27 11 25 Nov. Dec. 8 22 Jan. 5 19 Feb. 5 19 Mar. 1969 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 Apr. MONEY STOCK PLUS TIME DEPOSITS* Averages of Daily Figures SeasonallyAdjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending Dec. 4, 196 from four weeks ending: —~ Sept. 4, 1968 ~ June 5, 1968 ___ Mar. 6, 1968 y- ? S' ____ Dec. 6, 1967 f 8^ --- 791* -GcJi- 388.1 --- /4 390.1 ----- 33 3o 3894-390.3-- l 1957-1967 ~~~* ______ ______ ------ - Latest data preliminary -Latest data plotted week ending: 6 20 4 18 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 7 21 6 20 3 17 1 15 29 12 26 June „ JfA.7 -- /3 39A<0-<30 393$-<37 39C.X V 394.7 P-- - Current data appear in the Board's H.6 release. Back data appear in the June 1968 Federal Reserve Bulletin. For trend of money stock plus time deposits by months see this bank's monthly release entitled "Monetary Trends". 10 24 July 7 21 Aug. 4 18 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 0 8 22 5 19 Sept. 1968 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St 5 19 2 LOANS rcial Banks Wednesday Figures BUSIN Large Co nr? Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Seasona lly adjusted by this bank. Annual rates of change, average of from four weeks ending: June Mar. 5, 1968 6, 1968 -h / 0-0 t*-//.* 1960-1967 MILLIONS OF DOLLARS UNADJUSTED if, ceo Sept. 4 18 Oct. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1 15 29 13 27 Dec. 10 24 Jan *9, Ctf tl.lOL 69.33Sif,9s-0 Current and year ago unadjusted data appear in the Board's H.4.2 release. Seasonal adjustment computed by this bank using 1962 through 1967 data. Latest data preliminary Latest data plotted: Dec. 4, 1968 20 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED 7 21 6 20 3 17 1 15 29 12 26 June 10 24 f 21 4li Sept. rmt Dec. 5 19 Mar. Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT Li Large Commercial Banks Wednesday Figures Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Annual rates of change, seasonally unadjusted dat average of four weeks ending Dec. 4, 1968 from four weeks ending: Sept. 4, 1968 f-JO.V June Mar. Dec. 5, 1968 6, 1968 6, 1967 y yy- /y l t n-i 1964-1967 Millions of Dollars lU? /?7 23, 3o$ Current and year ago data appear in the Board's H.4.2. release. Latest data preliminary Latest data plotted: Dec. 4, 1968 1/ Negotiable time certificates of deposit in denominations of $100,000 or more. f 20 Sept. 4 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 18 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 Jan. 7 21 6 20 3 17 T 15 29 12 2610 June 24 7 21 4 18 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 Sept. 1967 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Lod TIM WPEPOS ITS* All Commercial Banks Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Ad u sted Bill Ions of Dollars _ ■ Annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending Dec. 4, 1968 from four weeks ending: Sept. 4, 1968 /-/£ 7 June 5, 1968 - Mar. “ Billions of Dollars 6, 6, Dec. 1968 1967 - 1968 7 /9i y “" ' // /f/ j 2/ /9f 0 y.*j / 9/0,? 13 ' m e- _ .dft. i /9S- 0- _ ' // /9S. S' __ 1957-1967 _ _ . n nut If IV-2 ^ /?// 20 4 18 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1 15 29 13 27 30 23 loo t soo■+ Jht ( 2eo.g __ __ — . 1320/.if — - =?7 •*^.<? — Zoaa,7 7 21 6 20 — <io3.7 P~- * Current data appear in the Board's H.6 release. Back data appear in the June 1968 Federal Reserve Bulletin. For trend of time deposits by months see this bank's monthly release entitled "Monetary Trends". Dec. 4, 1968 10 24 - - -Ac'/ 6 __ ?/?/7 Mint - . Latest data preliminary Latest data plotted week ending: __ 3 17 1 15 29 12 26 June 10 24 July 7 21 4 18 2 16 30 13 27 11 rnttt 8 22 5 25 19 5 19 Aug Prepared hy Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 T s YIELDS ON SELECTED SECURITIES Avera ies of Daily Rates Ended Friday Per Cent Per Cent Corporate Aaa Bonds" Three-Month Treasury Bill Market Yield Discount Rate Long-Term ■Government Bonds' 8 22 6 *avh!ages of http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis J__1—4... J_1 1 I .1 1 20 3 17 15 ,i I .1, J ..-1 I I l—-J—L...1 J Dec. 29 12 26 Jan. 9 23 Feb. 8 i I .1. JL 22 Mar. 5 19 Apr. 3 17 31 May 14 28 12 26 June July 9 23 Aug. 6 20 ; 4 18 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 7 21 7 21 Dec. 1966 rates available Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of Louis f Per SELECTED SHOI ERM INTEREST RATES Averages of Daily Rates Ended Friday Cent PRIME COMMERCIAL PAPER 4-6-MONTH PRIME BANKERS' ACCEPTANCES Per Cent LARGE 90 DAT FEDERAL CD'S ** FUNDS &>.oo Commercial Paper 4-to-6 Month Bankers' . Acceptances Discount Rate Federal Funds Rate Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: 8 22 6 20 3 17 l 15 29 12 26 9 *AVERAGES OF RATES AVAILABLE **S0URCE: SALOMON BROTHERS AND HUTZLER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org SECONDARY MARKET RATE ON 90-DAY PRIME CD'S. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 23 8 22 5 19 3 17 31 Dec. 14 28 June 13, 1968 12 26 9 July 23 6 20 4 18 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 7 21 7 21 Aug Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis BORROWINGS AND EXCESS RESERVES All Member Banks in the Nation Averages of Daily Figures MILLions of Dollars 2,000 Millions of Dollars " T-y-T-. EXCESS RESERVES | '1 2,000 BORROWINGS WEEKLY DATA 3fjT 22 S Sf/ ie>3 373 SU> - 33? I 327 27 Ii3 3J2 HS3 <*7S ns - 1*73 -338 1,500 sn ha //9 SfA. iS? S3 A. - 2 - - 7S P 1,200 BIWEEKLY SETTLEMENT PERIODS WEEKLY RESERVE PERIODS — Borrowings Excess Reserves — Net Free Reserves W Because of the change in Regulation D placing all member banks on a one-week____ reserve adjustment period, beginning with---the week ending September 18, 1968 the ---- above reserve data are reported on a Latest data preliminary Latest data plotted week ending: Dec. - one-week period. ____ 11, 1968 - 1,100 13 27 11 25 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 8 22 6 20 3 17 31 lit 28 13 27 10 24 8 22 5 19 June 3 17 31 14 28 11 25 9 23 6 20 1 15 29 12 2( July ■ Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St 12 26 9 1,000 NT OF U.S. MONEY STOCK* DEMAND DEPOSIT COMP Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Ad usted .ions of Dollars 163 1 Billions 163 WEEKLY DATA 1968 162 Ch-a 7 I (In a 161 /♦?/ /y7.r 160 «y t + 7-r 162 Annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending Dec. 4, 1968 from four weeks ending: Sept. 4, 1968 ti-l June 5, 1968 f ji l6l 160 159 Mar. Dec. 158 - i L£ +3-1 6, 1968 6, 1967 1957-1967 157 156 i 7-■f' 159 ,'*06 ws* ' 3 158 <7 /V7 0 156 ---- rt /i - 155 1 - • 1/ /! iS CJ- * <73 - /y/i 157 /iSt / ^ jy?0 155 154 154 153 73 m .3 2.0 /y<?,0 _ 153 152 152 151 151 150 150 149 149 146 148 147 147 146 146 145 145 13-week centered moving average 144 144 14J- 143 142 142 Weekly 141 l4i 140 140 139 139 138 138 137 137 136 136 135 135 * Current data appear in the Board's H.6 release. Back data appear in the June 1968 Federal Reserve Bulletin. For trend of demand deposits by months see this bank's monthly release entitled ."Monetary Trends". 134 Latest data preliminary Latest data plotted week ending: Dec. 4, 133 1968 _l)lllllllllllIIII__________________________________________________________________________________________________I__IIIl_l__I 6 20 Sept. 4 18 Oct. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1 15 29 13 Noy. 27 10 24 Dec. Jem. 7 21 Feb. 6 20 Mar. 3 17 Apr. 1 15 May 29 12 26 10 24 June July 7 21 Aug. 4 18 Sept. 2 16 Oct. 30 13 27 11 25 Nov. Dec. 8 22 5 134 133 ' ' 19 5 19 Jan. Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 )r. 0 SOURCES OF THE BASE Averages of Daily Figures 12 (Millions of Dollars) Federal Reserve Credit Holdings of Securities Discounts & Advances Float Total Nov. 20, 1968 Nov. 27, 1968 $ $ 53,564 511 2,637 56,711* Seasonally Adjusted Reserve Adjustment Other Sources of Base Gold Stock Treasury Currency Outstanding (-) Treasury Deposits at Federal Reserve (-) Treasury Cash Holdings (-) Foreign Deposits with Federal Reserve (-) Other Federal Reserve Accounts (Net) (-) Other Federal Reserve Deposits + - 53,006 582 2,227 55,814* Change from Nov to Nov. 27 $ 558 71 + 410 897 - 56,637 4,422 61,059 55,465 4,396 59,861 - 1,172 26 1,198 10,367 6,792 615 765 155 189 443 10,367 6,801 645 776 219 839 420 + + + 0 9 30 11 64 650 23 + - Total 15,370 15,947 + 577 Source Base (Not seasonally adjusted) 72,080* 71,760* - 320 Source Base Seasonally Adjusted Reserve Adjustment 71,729 4,422 71,275 4,396 - 454 26 76,151 75,671 - 480 * Totals do not add due to rounding. NOTE. - "Other Federal Reserve Accounts (Net)" is treated as a net liability of the Federal Reserve in the table, "Member Bank Reserves, Federal Reserve Bank Credit, and Related Items," in the Federal Reserve Bulletin. This entry consists of other liabilities minus other assets. Foreign denominated currencies related to international "swaps" are included in "other assets." The large increase in foreign currency holdingings caused "other (net) liability accounts" to become a larger negative amount, but since this enters negatively in the sources of the base, the rise in "swaps" increased sources of the base. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis