Full text of U.S. Financial Data : September 30, 1993
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r 30, 1993 U.S. financial Data 0 4 1993 THE WEEK'S HIGHLIGHTS: >/ Real disposable income increased at a 15.4 percent annual rate in August, after a 5.6 percent rate of decline in July, due mainly to the Midwest floods and the Southeast drought. Compared with a year earlier, real disposable income in August was up 2.5 percent. ✓ Real personal consumption expenditures (PCE) rose at a 1.9 per cent annual rate in August, compared with a 4.2 percent rate of increase in July. Real PCE was up 3.6 percent from August 1992. ✓ Sales of new one-family houses decreased in August to an annual rate of616,000 units, down from 636,000 units in July. Sales of new homes totaled 447,000 units during the first eight months of this year, up 5.2 percent from the same period a year earlier. %/ Advance new orders for manufactured durable goods in August increased to $131.2 billion from $128.6 billion in July. Orders during the first eight months of the year were up 8.2 percentfrom the same period in 1992. Views expressed do not necessarily reflect official positions of the Federal Reserve System. U.S. Financial Data is published weekly by the Research and Public Information Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. The cost for a subscription is as follows: One year (50 issues) $21 Two years (100 issues) $36 To subscribe, please send your check or money order made payable to the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis to: Research and Public Information, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Post Office Box 66953, St. Louis, MO 63166-6953. DO NOT SEND CASH. Checks from foreign subscribers must be payable in U.S. dollars and, except for those from Canada, must be drawn on a U.S. bank. Information in this publication is also included in the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) elec tronic bulletin board. You can access FRED with a personal computer and a modem at 314-621-1824. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 Adjusted Monetary Base Averages ot Daily Hgures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 1993 Billions of Dollars Billions 1992 1993 Latest data plotted reserve maintenance period ending: September 29, 1993 The adjusted monetary base is the sum of reserve accounts of financial institutions at Federal Reserve banks, currency in circulation (currency held by the public and in the vaults of all depository institutions} and an adjustment for reserve requirement ratio changes. The major source of the adjusted monetary Base is Federal Reserve credit. Data are computed by this bank. A detailed description of the adjusted monetary base is available from this bank. Recent data are preliminary. Adjusted Monetary Base T , Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: I o trie average or g/30/g2 ,2/23/g2 3/3/93 3/31/93 4/28/93 5/26/93 6/23/93 8/4/93 two maintenance periods ending: 3/3/93 3/31/93 4/28/93 5/26/93 6/23/93 8/4/93 9/1/93 9/29/93 12.7 8.2 9.5 10.1 10.1 10.5 10.6 10.6 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 7.0 9.4 10.4 10.4 10.8 10.9 11.0 1.2 5.6 6.7 8.3 8.8 9.2 16.7 14.4 13.8 13.5 13.2 12.6 12.6 12.4 12.3 11.7 11.7 11.6 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Money Stock (M1) and Total Checkable Deposits Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars M1 1993 Aug 16 23 30 Sep 6 13 20 Billions 1095.2 ' 1096.1 1097.5 1102.9 1103.9 . 1113.6 M1 (left TCD TCD (right scale) 1993 Aug 16 23 30 Sep 6 13 20 Aug Sep Oct 1992 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug _ Billions 775.5 775.3 774.9 __ 780.7 780.2 789.0 Sep Oct Latest data plotted week ending: September 20, 1993 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board’s H.6 release. M1 is the sum of currency held by the nonbank public, demand deposits, other checkable deposits and travelers Total checkable deposits is the sum of demand deposits and other checkable deposits at depository institutions. Money Stock (Ml) Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: To the average 9/21/92 12/21/92 2/22/93 3/22/93 4/19/93 5/17/93 6/21/93 7/19/93 of four weeks ending: 2/22/93 3/22/93 4/19/93 5/17/93 6/21/93 7/19/93 8/23/93 9/20/93 11.7 10.2 9.9 11.3 12.0 11.8 11.9 12.1 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 4.0 4.8 8.0 9.6 9.7 10.2 10.5 4.9 10.6 12.3 11.9 12.1 12.3 14.9 15.5 14.2 13.9 13.9 19.3 16.4 15.4 15.2 13.6 13.4 13.5 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 4 Adjusted Reserves Billions of Dollars 1993 Jul Aug Sep 7 21 4 18 Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions 102.1 98.5 102.0 1 5 19 2 16 30 14 28 11 25 0 23 6 20 3 17 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 9 23 7 21 4 18 1 15 29 13 27 Aug Sep Oct 1992 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun 1993 Jul Aug Sep Oct Latest data plotted two weeks ending: September 15, 1993 Adjusted reserves is the difference between adjusted monetary base and currency component of Ml. Adjusted Reserves , Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: To the average of 9/16/92 12/9/92 2/17/93 3/17/93 4/14/93 5/12/93 6/9/93 7/21/93 two maintenance periods ending: 2/17/93 3/17/93 4/14/93 5/12/93 6/9/93 7/21/93 8/18/93 9/15/93 25.0 11.9 8.4 11.6 15.1 13.4 12.7 10.9 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 4.0 0.3 6.4 12.0 10.4 9.8 7.8 -26.7 -9.3 2.7 2.9 3.3 1.6 10.7 22.2 15.6 13.7 9.9 43.7 24.9 20.2 14.4 19.7 15.4 9.6 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Money Multiplier1/ Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Ratio 3.0 Ratio 3.0 Compounded annual rates of change, average of the four weeks ending September 13, 1993 from the four weeks ending: Sep 14, 1992 1.2 Dec 21, 1992 -0.2 Mar 15, 1993 2.2 Apr 26, 1993 2.8 May 24. 1993 1.2 Jun 21, 1993 1.0 Jul 19, 1993 1.5 1 11 1 I 1 I*1 I1 I * 3 17 31 14 28 12 2$ 9 23 Aug Sep Oct Nov 1992 1993 Ratio Jul 5 19 Aug 2 16 30 Sep 13 \ 1 I ''I rTTti "f—r—1 r ■ "T-*'' T T T 7 21 4 18 1 15 1 Dec Jan Feb I ' I I ■ I I I 1 I 2.651 2.640 2.662 2.645 2.653 2.660 I | > |‘-1 | ■ | ■ II 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 Mar Apr May Jun Jul Auq Sep Oct 1993 Latest data plotted two weeks ending: September 1 3, 1993 Currency Component of M12/ Billions of Dollars 325 315 305 Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 325 ---------1--------- 1----------1--------Compounded annual rates of change, average of the four weeks ending . September 20, 1993 from _ the four weeks ending: Sep 21, 1992 10.6 Dec 21, 1992 11.1 Mar 22, 1993 11.7 ■ Adt 19. 1993 17.0 May 17, 1993 12 .7 Jun 21, 1993 13 .0 Jul 19, 1 993 13 .6 315 305 295 295 285 275 17 31 14 28 12 26 9 23 7 21 4 18 Nov Aug Sep Oct Dec Jan 1992 15 Feb 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 5 19 Mar Apr May Jun Jul 1993 1993 Billio ns 23 30 Sep 6 13 20 313.0 314.9 314.5 316.0 316.9 1 1 ' - 285 ■ i ■ i 16 30 13 27 11 2 Aug Sep Oct Latest data plotted week ending: September 20, 1993 1/ Ratio of M1 to adjusted monetary base 2/ Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 5 275 6 Percent Percent Averages of Daily Figures Municipal Bond* 7 21 4 18 IS 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 5 1! 5 1! 2 It 30 H 21 11 25 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Nov Dec 1992 Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: October 1, 1993 Aug Sep 1993 Jul 9 16 23 30 Aug 6 13 20 27 Sep 3 10 17 24 Oct 1 * 90-Day CDs 30-Day Commercial Paper 90-Day Bankers' Acceptances 3.16 3.14 3.16 3.17 3.17 3.15 3.13 3.14 3.13 3.11 3.12 3.11 3.09 3.16 3.13 3.14 3.15 3.16 3.15 3.15 3.11 3.14 3.12 3.14 3.15 3.17 3.12 3.10 3.14 3.13 3.12 3.10 3.09 3.08 3.08 3.06 3.08 3.08 3.07 Corporate Aaa Bonds 7.22 7.16 7.17 7.14 7.04 6.92 6.79 6.71 6.61 6.51 6.66 6.79 6.68 Corporate Baa Bonds Municipal Bonds ** 7.96 7.90 7.93 7.95 7.82 7.69 7.53 7.43 7.34 7.26 7.33 7.43 7.33 5.55 5.50 5.61 5.65 5.61 5.45 5.40 5.35 5.35 5.24 5.27 5.30 NA Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release. * Averages of rates available *• Bond Buyer's Average Index of 20 munioipal bonds, Thursday data N A. — Not Available Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Selected Interest Rates Percent Percent 7.0 7.0 5—Year Tmii ry Sect rftle* r✓ k / V/ / / \ .» \' / e.o \ f \ \ / 5.0 ✓ \ ✓ '\ i f 5.0 V F*4«ra 1 unds R rte yj 3.0 \ IS.cY \aj v.. 2k: > 2.0 b V 4onth ury Bill iscount Rote 4 18 2 16 JO 13 27 11 25 8 22 5 1! 5 1! 2 IS 30 14 28 II 25 Aug Sep Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May ! 23 6 20 3 17 1 15 21 Ju! Aug Sep Oct Jun 1993 Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: October 1, 1993 Jul 9 16 23 30 Aug 6 13 20 27 Sep 3 10 17 24 Oct 1 * Federal Funds ** 3.10 3.01 3.09 3.03 3.10 2.98 3.06 2.98 3.08 2.99 3.03 3.12 3.05 3—Month Treasury Bill 6-Month Treasury Bill *** 1 —Year Treasury Bill 5—Year Treasury Securities Long-Term Treasury Securities 3.02 3.02 3.07 3.06 3.06 3.02 3.00 3.00 2.99 2.96 2.96 2.93 2.91 3.10 3.14 3.15 3.24 3.25 3.18 3.12 3.12 3.11 3.03 3.06 3.06 3.02 3.28 3.27 3.37 3.43 3.40 3.33 3.26 3.24 3.21 3.18 3.24 3.26 3.20 5.03 5.00 5.15 5.21 5.19 5.12 5.02 4.87 4.76 4.66 4.73 4.80 4.70 6.34 6.25 6.30 6.34 6.27 6.20 6.15 6.03 5.92 5.80 5.89 5.99 5.87 r- r are --------.. . ------- - Treasury bill yields are on a discount CAUIUUIMU lUIIU-lCMM HCUSU1V sccuMiies which computed by this■ bank. basis. * Averages of rates available »* Seven-day averages for week ending two days earlier than date shown **• Auction average (discount) Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 7 3.0 c 7 21 Oct 1992 v ys >- \*-(3 2.0 8 Money Stock (M2) and Non-M1 Components of M2 Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 3550 3525 n Billions of Dollars 2225 r M2 1993 Billions Aug 16 3530.9 23 3529.7 30 3522.9 Sep 6 35 35.3 13 35 42.0 20 35 43.1 f 2(25 42 (let : scale' 3500 2525 "* s , “ \\ "N Non-U 1 M2 ( right sc ale) 3475 /“ * 2*25 3425 Aug 16 23 30 Sep 6 13 20 I 3 17 31 14 28 1! 21 ! 23 7 21 4 18 1 IS 1 15 29 12 25 10 24 7 21 5 19 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 1993 1992 ifl I Non 1993 3450 12 ns 2435.7 2433.6 2425.4 2432.4 2438.1 2429.5 I 2325 2225 2 IS 30 13 27 II 25 Aug Sep Oct Latest data plotted week ending: September 20, 1993 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. M2 is the sum of M1, overnight RPs issued by all commercial banks, overnight Eurodollars issued to U.S. residents by foreign branches of U.S. banks, savings (including money market deposit accounts), small time deposits and general purpose and broker/dealer money market mutual funds. For more detail, see the H.6 release. Money Stock (M2) Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: To the average 9/21/92 12/21/92 2/22/93 3/22/93 4/19/93 5/17/93 6/21/93 7/19/93 ending: 2/22/93 3/22/93 4/19/93 5/17/93 6/21/93 7/19/93 8/23/93 9/20/93 -0.2 -0.3 -0.2 0.6 1.5 1.3 1.5 1.7 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -2.9 -2.2 -0.4 1.0 0.8 1.2 1.4 -0.4 2.1 3.6 2.8 3.0 3.0 3.6 5.1 3.7 3.7 3.6 7.3 4.8 4.6 4.3 3.7 3.8 3.6 1.9 2.2 3.5 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Savings and Money Market Funds Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Savings 1993 Billions Aug 16 23 30 Sep 6 13 20 1205.7 1205.3. 1206.7 1209.1 1210.8 1208.2 Money Market (right scale) Money Market 1993 Savings Deposits (left scale) Billions Aug 16 23 30 Sep 6 13 20 334.9 336.0 — 332.6 330.4 333.8 332.8 3 17 31 H 21 12 21 9 23 7 21 4 II 1 IS 1 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct 1992 1993 Note: Savings deposits are at all depository institutions. Money market funds are general purpose and broker/dealer. Large and Small Time Deposits1' All Depository Institutions Averages of Daily Figures, Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Small Time 1993 Large Time (left scale) Aug 16 23 30 Sep 6 13 20 Billions 814.8 813.7 812.2 811.0 — 809.5 807.4 Large Time 1993 Billions — Aug 16 23 30 Sep 6 13 20 338.2 339.4 339.4 336.6 337.6 336.7 Small Time (right scale) 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 9 23 7 21 4 18 1 15 1 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 5 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Latest data plotted week ending: September 20, 1993 1/ Large time deposits are those issued in denominations of $100,000 or more. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9 10 Total Borrowings From Federal Reserve Banks Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars 1993 Billions Aug 25 0.254 Sep 1 0.356 8 0.856 15 0.231 ■ 22 0.360 ----- 1.0 29 0.281 2 18 31 H 2! 11 28 9 23 8 20 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan 3 17 3 17 31 H 2! 1! 28 9 23 7 21 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 1992 4 18 I IS 29 13 27 Aug Sep Oct 1993 Adjustment + Seasonal Borrowings From Federal Reserve Banks Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars 1993 Aug 25 Sep 1 8 15 • 22 29 Billions 0.254 0.356 0.856 0.231 0.360 — 0.281 8 I9 2 If 30 14 20 11 28 9 23 8 20 3 17 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 9 23 7 21 4 18 1 15 29 13 27 ' Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct 1992 Latest data plotted week ending: September 29, 1993 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Commercial Paper of Nonfinancial Companies Billions of Dollars 1993 Sep Billions of Dollars Not Seasonally Adjusted Billions 1 5 U 2 1* Jfl H 21 11 25 S 23 § 20 3 17 3 17 31 H 28 12 28 9 23 7 21 4 18 1 15 2J 13 27 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Aug Sep Oct Latest data plotted week ending: September 22. 1993 Commercial and Industrial Loans1 x Bullion* of Dollars R*P“arg;c«ia, ^ Billions of Dollars 315 305 295 -------- 1--------- 1---------Compounded onnu al rates of change, average of the fou r weeks ending September 15, 1993 from the four weeks enc ing: Sep 16. 1992 - 2.7 Dec 16, 1992 t.3 Ma 17, 993 - 2.4 Ap 14, 993 -<3.1 Ma 12, 993 3.6 Jur 16, 993 - 3.1 Ju 14, 993 - t. 3 }2S I 199: 1 8 25 Sep 1 8 15 Billions 272.651__ 272.764 271.588 273.043 271.187 274.209 315 — 305 295 215 295 275 275 265 5 1! 2 IS 10 H 28 II 25 9 23 f 20 3 17 3 17 31 H 28 1! 2S 9 23 7 21 t 18 1 15 29 13 27 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Auq Sep Oct 1992 1993 Latest data plotted week ending: September 15, 1993 1/ Commercial and industrial loans include banker's acceptances and commercial paper. 2/ Banks with domestic assets greater than $1.4 billion _ . . _ . ,„ „ , ,„ Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11 265 Dollar's Trade-Weighted Exchange Index 1973=100 1973=100 Averages of Daily Figures 1993 1973=100 Aug 25 Sep 1 5 19 2 IS 30 14 28 11 25 9 23 6 20 3 17 3 17 31 14 20 12 26 9 23 7 21 4 18 1 15 29 13 27 Aug Sep Oct 1992 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun 1993 Jul Aug Sep Oct Latest data plotted week ending: September 29, 1993 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.10 release. Data are weighted averages of the foreign-currency price of the U.S. dollar, computed using 10 industrial country currencies. Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis z o H X sC E H >4 O PS < 35 O < http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis