Full text of U.S. Financial Data : September 24, 1998
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ber 24,1998 FEDERAL j reserve X HANK of : Xr ST. IIH IIS o-f £>t. Louis THE WEEK'S HIGHLIGHTS: ™ o stags ■ According to the final estimate, growth of real GDP measured 1.8 percent in the second quarter, two-tenths of a percentage point higher than the preliminary estimate and four-tenths of a point higher than the advance estimate. After increasing 3.8 percent over the four quarters of 1997, real GDP grew at a 3.7 percent rate over the first half of 1998. ■ Following a 1.9 percent rise in July, new orders for manufactured durable goods rose 1.6 percent in August. New orders for nondefense capital goods rose even more in August—7.7 percent—paced by a 15.1 percent rise in orders for transportation goods. Measured from August 1997, new orders for durable goods are up 2 percent with nondefense capital goods orders up 13.9 percent. ■ The Conference Board’s index of help-wanted advertising measured 92 percent (1987-100) in August, up 6 percentage points from a year earlier. ■ Housing starts for privately owned residences were at an annual rate of 1.61 million units in August, a drop of 5.5 percent from July’s 1.71 million rate. The average over this two-month period is 5.7 percent more than the 1.57 million second-quarter rate. Measured from August 1997, starts have risen 16.6 percent. ■ The federal budget deficit totaled $11.2 billion in August. Through the first 11 months offiscal year 1998, the federal government posted a $31.8 billion surplus. In FY1997, by contrast, the government ran a $22 billion deficit. All data are seasonally adjusted unless otherwise indicated. U.S. Financial Data is published weekly by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. For more information on data, please call (314) 444-8590. To be added to the mailing list, please call (314) 444-8808 or (314) 444-8809. Information in this publication is also included in the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) electronic bulletin board at (314) 621-1824 or internet World Wide Web server at www.stls.frb.org/fred. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 Adjusted Monetary Base Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars ■525 Billions Jul 15 Aug 12 ... Sep 9 505.933 508.680 511.388 512.040 513.298 516.632 ■515 505 495 485 475 15 29 1 2 26 10 24 7 21 4 18 4 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 1997 8 22 5 1 6 30 14 28 1998 The adjusted monetary base is the sum of Federal Reserve deposits and vault cash held by domestic depository institutions, currency held by the public, and an adjustment for the effect of changes in reserve requirement ratios. The monetary base series was recently revised to include Federal Reserve deposits used to satisfy clearing balance contracts. Data are computed by this bank. A detailed description of the adjusted monetary base is available from this bank. Recent data are preliminary. Adjusted Monetary Base To the average of two maintenance periods ending: Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: 9/24/97 12/17/97 2/25/98 3/25/98 4/22/98 5/20/98 6/17/98 2/25/98 8.4 3/25/98 7.1 5.2 4/22/98 5.6 3.1 -1.7 5/20/98 6.3 4.7 2.7 3.7 6/17/98 6.1 4.6 3.0 3.9 7/29/98 6.0 4.7 3.7 4.4 6.9 4.9 8/26/98 6.5 5.5 4.9 5.7 8.0 6.8 7.9 9/23/98 6.6 5.8 5.4 6.1 8.1 7.2 8.1 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 7/29/98 8.0 10.2 Prepored by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Money Zero Maturity (MZM) Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Billions Aug 10 Sep 7 3716.9 3718.9 3721.2 3740.3 3774.2 3780.2 -3800 15 29 13 27 10 24 22 5 19 2 16 2 16 30 1 3 27 1 1 25 22 6 20 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 MZM is M2 (seasonally adjusted) minus total small denomination time deposits (seasonally adjusted), plus institutional money funds (seasonally adjusted), which are included in the non-M2 component of M3. Money Zero Maturity (MZM) Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: To the average of four weeks ending: 9/15/97 12/15/97 2/16/98 3/16/98 4/13/98 5/11/98 6/15/98 2/16/98 9.9 3/16/98 11.1 13.0 4/13/98 11.5 13.3 15.8 5/11/98 12.2 14.1 16.4 6/15/98 11.7 13.0 14.1 13.0 7/13/98 11.3 12.3 12.8 11.8 11.0 8/17/98 11.2 12.0 12.3 11.3 10.7 8.8 8.9 9/14/98 11.7 12.5 12.9 12.3 11.9 10.7 11.5 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 7/13/98 16.0 12.5 8.2 13.2 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 3 4 Adjusted Reserves Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Aug 12 Sep 9 Billions 66.665 66.121 65.625 67.734 66.607 67.697 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 4 1 22 15 29 13 27 10 24 5 I 2 16 30 14 28 1998 Adjusted reserves is the difference between the adjusted monetary base and the currency component of M1. The adjusted monetary base series was recently revised: See the footnote to the monetary base chart for a description of the change. Adjusted Reserves Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: To the average of two maintenance periods ending: 9/10/97 12/3/97 2/11/98 3/11/98 4/8/98 5/6/98 6/3/98 2/11/98 -1.3 3/11/98 -5.1 -9.5 4/8/98 -6.5 -10.8 -19.2 5/6/98 -6.8 -10.5 -16.0 6/3/98 -2.1 -3.3 -3.2 4.6 16.1 7/15/98 -4.4 -6.2 -7.4 -3.5 0.1 4.1 8/12/98 -3.6 -4.9 -5.5 -1.9 1.3 4.5 -9.2 9/9/98 -2.7 -3.6 -3.6 -0.2 2.8 5.7 -4.1 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 7/15/98 -12.2 7.7 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Money Stock(M1) and Total Checkable Deposits Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollors 1165 Billions of Dollars M1 TCD 1998 Aug 10 Sep Billions 1063.3 24 31 7 14 1998 Aug 1065.4 1075.4 1064.7 1065.3 1105 M1 \/W v/ ...J L______ V/ IB 15 2 ’ 13'27' 10'24' 8 ' 22' 5 ' 19' ’left s :ale) aA\J\ V ■v^ T CD 4 Billions 612.5 610.2613.3 623.7 609.5 609.4 10 17 24 31 Sep 7 14 A J 675 VV (ri ght sc Die) ' 16 30' 13'27' l'l ’ 25 16 1997 | I | 1 | 1 | < | 1 | 1 | 1 | T | 1 | 1 8 22 6 20 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 1998 M1 is the sum of currency held by the nonbank public, total checkable deposits and travelers checks. Total checkable deposits is the sum of demand deposits and other checkable deposits at depository institutions. Currency Component of M1 Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars 460-i---------- ------------ t----------- t----------- i Compounded annual rates of change, average of the four weeks ending September 14, 1998, fro 4«j0_ . the four weeks ending: 440- Sep Dec Mar Apr 15, 15, 16, 13, May * ' 1997 1997 1998 1998 7 7 6 7 " , 15 1998 1998 Billions 15 29 13 27 10 24 5 19 2 1 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 1997 8 22 6 20 Aug 10 Sep 7 3 17 31 443.0 443.5 444.5 444.1 447.6 448.3 14 28 12 26 1998 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 5 6 Yields on Selected Securities Averages of Daily Figures Percent Percent Prime Rate Corporate Aaa Bonds Commercial Paper Municipal Bonds 15 29 Aug 12 26 3 10 17 24 31 7 14 21 Sep 28 4 11 18 25 10 24 16 30 13 27 13 27 90-Day Bankers' 10 24 22 5 19 30-Day Commercial Paper 90-Day CDs Acceptances Corporate Aaa Bonds Corporate Baa Bonds 5.53 5.50 5.50 5.51 5.52 5.51 5.50 5.50 5.50 5.50 5.49 5.49 5.50 5.60 5.59 5.59 5.59 5.60 5.59 5.58 5.58 5.57 5.52 5.46 5.42 5.42 5.53 5.50 5.50 5.49 5.49 5.50 5.49 5.49 5.49 5.47 5.47 5.38 5.38 6.51 6.48 6.58 6.56 6.60 6.54 6.52 6.52 6.52 6.47 6.43 6.42 6.38 7.11 7.09 7.17 7.15 7.20 7.15 7.14 7.14 7.15 7.12 7.08 7.10 7.08 Municipal Bonds ** 5.09 5.12 5.17 5.16 5.16 5.16 5.11 5.09 5.03 5.03 5.00 4.97 N.A. Current data are from the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release, and are averages of rates available for the week ending on September 25, 1998 . Beginning September 2, 1997, the commercial paper rate reflects new source data, which is currently available only back to the first of the year. ** Bond Buyer's Average Index of 20 municipal bonds, Thursday data http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Selected Interest Rates Averages of Daily Figures Percent Percent 30-Year Treasury Securities Federal Funds Rate 3—Month Treasury Bill Discount Rate 13 27 13 27 10 24 14 28 11 25 1997 1998 Jul 3 10 17 24 31 Aug 7 14 21 28 Sep 4 11 18 25 * Federal Funds ** 5.88 5.47 5.49 5.50 5.54 5.61 5.50 5.59 5.48 5.61 5.47 5.54 5.42 1998 3-Month Treasury Bill 1 —Year Treasury Bill 5—Year Treasury Securities 10-Year Treasury Securities 30—Year Treasury Securities 4.94 4.94 5.01 4.96 4.95 4.93 4.89 4.92 4.89 4.76 4.73 4.62 4.60 5.10 5.07 5.08 5.08 5.09 5.04 4.97 4.97 4.85 4.68 4.55 4.54 4.46 5.46 5.41 5.47 5.47 5.51 5.43 5.36 5.32 5.07 4.92 4.72 4.62 4.52 5.44 5.41 5.49 5.46 5.50 5.43 5.40 5.39 5.20 5.05 4.90 4.83 4.70 5.63 5.61 5.71 5.68 5.73 5.66 5.60 5.53 5.42 5.32 5.26 5.21 5.15 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board’s H.15 release. * Averages of rates available ** Seven-day averages for week ending two days earlier than date shown http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 8 Money Stock(M2) and Non-M1 Components of M2 Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars 3275 Billions 4234.1 4236.1 4240.5 4253.5 4277.6 4288.4 Aug 10 Sep 7 3200 M2 (left scale) 3125 3050 Non-M1 M2 (right scale) 2975 Non-M1 M2 [8 Aug Sep 5 29 13 27 10 24 5 19 2 16 2 20 16 30 13 27 1 1 25 3 Billions 10 7 3170.8 3174.7 2900 3178.1 3212.9 3223.1 17 31 14 28 12 26 2825 1998 M2 is the sum of M1, savings (including money market deposit accounts), small time deposits and retail money funds. Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. Money Stock (M2) Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: To the average of four weeks ending: 9/15/97 12/15/97 2/16/98 3/16/98 4/13/98 5/11/98 2/16/98 7.0 3/16/98 7.8 9.4 4/13/98 7.7 8.8 9.5 S/11/96 7.9 8.9 9.5 8.1 6/15/98 7.2 7.7 7.4 6.0 5.6 7/13/98 7.1 7.5 7.2 6.0 5.8 4.2 8/17/98 7.0 7.2 6.9 6.0 5.8 4.8 9/14/98 7.3 7.7 7.6 6.9 6.9 6.3 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 6/15/98 7/13/98 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Savings and Small Time Deposits Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars 1575 Small Time 1998 Aug 10 Billions 959.8 959.9 Savings Deposits (right scale) 1050- 1525 Sep 7 960.8 960.8 962.1 1475 Small Time (left scale) 1425 Savings Billions 15 29 13 27 10 24 22 5 19 2 1 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 1997 8 Aug 10 Sep 7 1520.2 1521.0 1375 1512.2 1536.4 1537.7 1325 22 20 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 1998 Savings deposits and small time deposits are at all depository institutions. Large Time Deposits and Retail Money Funds Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Large Time Retail Money Billions Aug 10 Sep 7 Aug 613.0 616.4 Sep 775- 10 7 693> '825 705.1 715.6 723.3 775 Retail Money Large Time 15 29 13 27 10 24 22 5 1 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 1998 Large time deposits and retail money funds are at all despository institutions. Large time deposits are those issued in denominations of $100,000 or more. Retail money funds were originally called general purpose and broker/dealer money market funds. Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9 10 Total Borrowings From Federal Reserve Banks Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Aug 19 Sep 2 Billions 0.301 0.258 0.246 0.247 0.194 0.185 -0.8 6 20 3 17 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 4 18 4 18 9 13 27 10 24 1997 Borrowings include seasonal, adjustment and extended credit. 22 5 1 2 16 30 14 28 1998 Bank Loans and Credit All Commercial Banks in the United States Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollors 3500 Bank Credit 3 Billions Aug 5 Sep 2 4375- 3400 Bank Credit (left scale)2/ 4275- 3300 3200 Loans <5c Leases Aug 5 Sep 2 3975- Loans and Leases (right scale) 6 20 3 17 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 4 1 1997 15 29 13 27 10 24 22 5 19 2 3160.3 3174.8 3178.4 16 30 14 28 1998 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.8 release. 1/ Includes foreign —related institutions 2/ Includes loons ond leases and securities http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 3100 3000 2900 Commercial Paper of Nonfinancial Companies Not Seasonally Adjusted Billions or uonors Billions ot Dollars Billions Aug 12 Sep 2 235- 224.7 226.6 227.6 230.7 232.4 247.1 - 245 - 195 20 15 29 1997 13 27 10 24 8 ' 22 5 ' 19 1998 Note: Beginning September 2, 1997, the value of commercial paper outstanding uses new source data. See the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release for more information. Commercial and industrial Loans Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars All Banks Billions Aug 5 900.2 Sep Large Banks (right scale) 2/ 2 All Banks (left scale] Banks 15 2912 26 5 Billions 486.4 Sep 2 490.7 10 24" Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.8 release. 1/ Includes foreign-reloted institutions 2/ Weekly reporting, domestically chartered banks 3 ’ http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Aug 11 _ . . . , n • Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Dollar's Trade - Weighted Exchange Index Averages of Daily Figures 1973=100 110 1973=100 Aug 19 Sep 2 105 100 95 TTTT 1997 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.10 release. Data are weighted averages of the foreign-currency price of the U.S. dollar, computed using 10 industrial country currencies. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 90