Full text of U.S. Financial Data : May 14, 1998
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May 1^1998 FEDERAL A RESERVE JA RANK of ST. LOUIS MKUI THE WEEK'S HIGHLIGHTS: ■ The consumer price index for all urban consumers (CPI-U) advanced at a 3 percent annual rate in April, its biggest increase in seven months. Thus far in 1998, the CPI has risen at a 0.9 percent rate, appreciably slower than the 1.5 percent gain seen over the same period in 1997. ■ The producer price index for finished goods (PPI) increased at a 2.8 percent annual rate in April, the first increase since September 1997. Year-to-date, however, the PPI has fallen at a 2.5 percent rate, which matched its rate of decline over the first four months of 1997. m Business inventories (manufacturing and trade) rose 0.5 percent in March after rising 0.7 percent in February. For the first quarter, inventories increased 1.3 percent, or $55.5 billion at an annual rate—significantly more than the $41.9 billion rise seen in the fourth quarter of 1997. The business inventory-to-sales ratio stood at 1.38 in the first quarter, unchanged from the previous quarter. ■ Following virtually no change in March, retail sales rose 0.5 percent in April. Revisions indicate that retail sales actually grew at an 8.1 percent annual rate in the first quarter, 0.5 percentage points faster than the 7.6 percent growth originally estimated. ■ The index of U.S. import prices fell 0.1 percent in April, the sixth straight decline and the fourteenth drop in the past 16 months. Import prices have fallen 4.9 percent over the past 12 months. All data are seasonally adjusted unless otherwise indicated. U.S. Financial Data is published weekly by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. For more information on data, please call (314) 444-8590. To be added to the mailing list, please call (314) 444-8808 or (314) 444-8809. Information in this publication is also included in the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) electronic bulletin board at (314) 621-1824 or internet World Wide Web server at www.stls.frb.org/fred. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 Adjusted Monetary Base Averages of Daily Figures Seosonolly Adjusted Billions of Dollars Feb 25 Mar 11 Apr 8 May 6 Billions of Dollars Billions 500.049 500.094 499.696 498.765 497.992 501.565 485- n-'T 5 19 2 16 30 14 28 11 25 9 23 May Jun Aug 3 17 Sep ' i i i i15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 Oct 4 18 4 18 Feb Mar 15 29 13 27 Apr May The adjusted monetary base is the sum of Federol Reserve deposits ond voult cosh held by domestic depository institutions, currency held by the public, ond on adjustment for the effect of changes in reserve requirement ratios. The monetary base series was recently revised to include Federol Reserve deposits used to satisfy cleoring balance contracts. Data ore computed by this bonk. A detailed description of the adjusted monetary base is ovoiloble from this bonk. Recent doto ore preliminary. Adjusted Monetary Base Compounded annual rotes of change, overage of two maintenance periods ending: To the overoge of two maintenance periods ending: 5/7/97 7/30/! 10/8/97 11/5/97 12/3/97 12/31/97 2/11/98 10/8/97 6.6 11/5/97 7.2 7.2 12/3/97 7.8 8.3 11.4 12/31/97 7.8 8.2 10.2 10.0 2/11/98 7.7 8.0 9.2 8.8 7.4 3/11/98 7.3 7.4 8.1 7.6 6.2 5.7 4/8/98 6.5 6.3 6.4 5.7 4.3 3.4 0.5 5/6/98 6.1 5.8 5.8 5.1 3.8 2.9 0.8 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 3/11/98 -0.4 Prepared by Federol Reserve Bonk of St. Louis Money Stock(M1) and Total Checkable Deposits Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollors Mor 30 Apr 6 1150Moy 4 Billions of Dollors Billions 1074.8 1083.5 1075.0 1084.8 1076.9 1081.7 Billions 634.4 642.4 633.3 643.1 634.9 638.9 Mor 30 Apr 6 Moy 1090- 4 (left scale) TCD (right scale) 3 17 31 1* 28 12 26 9 23 7 21 4 Mor Apr Moy Jun 18 Aug 13 27 11 25 Sep Oct Nov Dec Feb Mor Apr Moy Ml is the sum of currency held by the nonbonk public, demond deposits, other checkable deposits ond travelers checks. Totol checkable deposits is the sum of demond deposits ond other checkoble deposits ot depository institutions. Current dota appear in the Federal Reserve Boord's H.6 releose. Money Stock (M1) Compounded annual rotes of change, averoge of four weeks ending: of four weeks ending: 5/5/97 8/4/97 10/6/97 11/3/97 12/1/97 1/5/98 2/2/98 10/6/97 -0.9 11/3/97 -0.7 -1.2 12/1/97 0.4 0.9 4.2 1/5/98 1.7 2.8 6.2 8.9 2/2/98 0.9 1.5 3.4 4.3 2.6 3/2/98 1.2 1.8 3.4 4.1 2.9 -1.0 4/6/98 1.4 2.0 3.4 4.0 3.1 0.7 3.5 5/4/98 1.2 1.7 2.9 3.2 2.4 0.3 2.2 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 3/2/98 1.6 Prepored by Federol Reserve Bonk of St. Louis 3 4 Adjusted Reserves Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollors Feb 25 Mor 11 Apr 8 Moy 6 Billions 67.289 67.184 66.681 66.133 65.552 5 19 2 16 30 14 28 11 25 9 23 6 20 3 17 Aug Sep Apr May Jun 1 1 l 1 I T 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 Oct 4 18 4 18 Feb Mar 15 29 13 27 Apr May Adjusted reserves is the difference between the adjusted monetary bose and the currency component of Ml. The odjusted monetory bose series was recently revised: See the footnote to the monetory bose chart for a description of the change. Adjusted Reserves Compounded onnuol rates of change, averoge of two maintenance periods ending: To the average of two maintenance periods ending: 5/7/97 7/30/97 10/8/97 11/5/97 12/3/97 12/31/97 2/11/98 10/8/97 0.0 11/5/97 2.3 0.6 12/3/97 4.0 3.8 15.8 12/31/97 4.5 4.5 13.1 2/11/98 2.1 1.2 4.8 1.8 3/11/98 -0.5 -2.2 -1.0 -4.4 -9.4 -15.5 4/8/98 -1.8 -3.7 -3.3 -6.4 -10.7 -15.4 -19.1 5/6/98 -2.4 -4.3 -4.1 -6.9 -10.5 -14.1 -16.0 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 3/11/98 11.6 -3.3 -12.2 Prepared by Federol Reserve Bank of St. Louis Money Multiplier Averages of Doily Figures JO 2.8 2.6' Seasonally Adjusted Rotio Compounded onnual rotes of change, overage of the four weeks ending May 4. 1998, from the four weeks ending: Moy Jut Nov Dec Dec Feb Mo r 5, 2B. 3. 1 . 29. 9. 9 . 1997 1997 1997 1997 1997 1998 1998 Ratio ' ■ 1998 Feb 23 Mar 9 23 Apr 6 20 Moy 4 -4 . 5 -3 . 7 -1.7 -1.3 -1.2 1 . 0 0.9 Ratio 2.150 2.165 2.164 2.164 2.169 2.152 3.0 2.8 2.6 f _______ ______ 2.4 — 2.2- ' " 2.0 1*7 3 Mar 14 28 12 26 Apr Moy 9 23 Jun 7 21 Jul 4 18 Aug '15'29’13'27' 10'24 Sep Oct Nov 8 22 Oec 5 19 Jon 16 Feb * 16 30 13 27 11 2 Mor Apr May 1997 Ratio of M1 to the adjusted monetary bose. Currency Component of M1 Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars 440- seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Compounded onnual rotes of change, overage of the four weeks ending May 4, 1998, from the four weeks ending: 5. 4. 3. 1 , 5. 2. 2. 1997 1997 1997 1997 1998 1998 1998 420Billioos Apr 6 Moy 4 433.7 5 Aug Sep Oct 1997 Current data appeor in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 19 2 16 2 16 30 13 27 II 23 Apr Moy 1998 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bonk of St. Louis 5 2.2 2.0 6 Yields on Selected Securities Averages of Daily Figures .u- Pe■rcent -9.0 ! I | Prim e 1 Rote -8.0 .0' "S C<jrpora e __ Aa a Bone s ■ 7.0 .0- • ■6.0 .0-J .......... ♦............ *•. Conimerc . J 1.021 Mar V 4 'is' 2 Apr ' 16 i ***i 3<D 13 27 Moy Jun ' **■ Munic:ipal B Dnds l'l 25 8 22 5 Jul al Pop er Aug 19 3 Sep ***•%„. ...........•• -4.0 17 3 t'lVtt 12 26 9 23 6 20 6 20 3 17 1 15 29 Apr May Nov Oec Jan Feb Mor Oct ___ 1997 1998 30-Doy Commercial Poper 90-Day CDs -5.0 '998 90-0oy Bankers' Acceptances Corporate Aoo Bonds Corporate Boo Bonds Municipal Bonds •• 5.07 5.45 5.53 5.46 Feb 20 5.14 5.48 5.56 5.49 27 5.25 5.51 5.59 5.50 6 Mor 5.20 5.51 5.58 5.51 13 5.19 5.50 5.58 5.50 20 5.20 5.50 5.59 5.52 27 5.19 5.49 5.58 5.52 3 Apr 5.18 5.48 5.56 5.49 10 5.21 5.48 5.57 5.49 17 5.25 5.48 5.58 5.48 24 5.32 5.47 5.60 5.49 1 Moy 5.26 5.49 5.58 5.48 8 NA 5.48 5.59 5.48 15 Current data ore from the Federal Reserve Board's H. 15 release, ond ore averages of rotes ovoiloble for the week ending on May 15. 1998 . Beginning September 2. 1997, the commerciol poper rote reflects new source data, which is currently available only bock to the first of the yeor. •• Bond Buyer's Average Index of 20 municipal bonds. Thursday doto http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 6.62 6.71 6.81 6.70 6.66 6.69 6.67 6.64 6.67 6.73 6.78 6.72 6.77 7.20 7.28 7.40 7.30 7.27 7.30 7.30 7.28 7.31 7.35 7.40 7.34 7.38 Prepored by Federal Reserve Bonk of St. Louis Selected Interest Rates Averages of Daily Figures Percent 30-Year Treasury Securities Federol Funds Rate Discount Rote 3-Month Treasury Bill 7 21 4 18 2 16 30 1J 27 11 25 8 22 3 19 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 9 23 6 20 6 20 3 17 Apr 1997 1998 Feb 20 27 Mor 6 13 20 27 Apr 3 10 17 24 Moy 1 8 15 • Federol Funds •• 5.54 5.51 5.60 5.45 5.47 5.43 5.60 5.48 5.47 5.37 5.40 5.35 5.48 13 29 Moy 1998 3-Month Treasury 1 -Year 5-Year Treasury Securities 10-Year Treasury Securities 30-Year Treasury Securities 5.06 5.16 5.08 4.97 5.02 5.05 5.00 4.95 4.97 4.94 4.91 4.97 4.99 5.02 5.14 5.15 5.09 5.08 5.12 5.09 5.03 5.11 5.12 5.17 5.15 5.17 5.45 5.60 5.69 5.57 5.54 5.62 5.58 5.52 5.59 5.65 5.72 5.63 5.67 5.50 5.63 5.75 5.62 5.57 5.63 5.61 5.55 5.61 5.67 5.75 5.68 5.71 5.84 5.94 6.05 5.93 5.89 5.92 5.89 5.86 5.90 5.95 6.02 5.96 5.98 Current doto oppeor in the Federol Reserve Board's H.15 release. • Averoges of rotes ovoilobie •• Seven-doy overoges for week ending two doys eorlier thon dote shown http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepored by Federol Reserve Bonk of St. Louis 7 8 Money Stock(M2) and Non-M1 Components of M2 Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollors Mor 30 Apr 6 Billions 4127.3 4150.2 May 4164.! 4161.6 41254 Billions of Dollars M2 (left scole) -JOOO -----L Non-Mi M2 (right scale) Non-M1 M2 Billions 3052.5 Mor 30 Apr 6 3066.7 3076.0 3088.3 3088.0 3079.9 Moy 4 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 Mor Apr Moy 9 23 Jun 7 21 4 18 Aug 15 29 13 27 10 24 Sep Oct Nov 8 22 Oec 5 19 2 16 2 16 30 13 27 II 25 Feb Mor Apr Moy M2 is the sum of Ml, sovings (including money market deposit accounts), smoll time deposits and retoil money funds. Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board’s H.6 release. Money Stock (M2) Compounded annual rotes of change, average of four weeks ending: To the overage of four weeks ending: 5/5/97 8/4/97 10/6/97 11/3/97 12/1/97 1/5/98 2/2/98 10/6/97 5.4 11/3/97 5.6 7.8 12/1/97 5.8 7.6 1/5/98 6.1 7.7 7.3 7.5 2/2/98 6.2 7.6 7.2 7.3 7.4 3/2/98 6.6 8.0 7.9 8.1 8.4 8.8 4/6/98 6.8 8.0 7.9 8.1 8.3 8.6 9.3 5/4/98 7.0 8.2 8.2 8.4 8.6 8.9 9.5 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 3/2/98 7.0 8.9 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Savings and Small Time Deposits Averages of Doily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollors 1075 Billions of Dollors Small Time 1998 Mor 30 Apr 6 13 1035 20 27 May 4 Billions 962.3 962.1 961.8 960.2 958.7 957.5 Sovings Deposits (riiight scale) 995 H Small Time (left scole) 1370 Sovings 1998 Mar 30 Apr 6 13 14 28 12 26 9 23 7 21 Mar Apr May Jun Jul 15 29 13 27 10 24 8 22 5 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Billions 1446.5 1460.5 1463.5 1479.0 1476.0 1469.2 1330 16 30 13 27 II 25 Jan Feb 1997 Sovings deposits and small time deposits ore at oil depository institutions. Mor Apr I290 May 1998 Large Time Deposits and Retail Money Funds Billions of Dollors Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Lorge Time 1998 Billions Mar 30 619.9 Apr 6 624.3 13 614.8 20 608.9 27 599.8 May 4 605.5 Billions of Dollors Retoil Money 1998 Billions Mor 30 643.7 Apr 6 644.0 13 650.6 20 649.1 27 653.4 653.3 700 650 Retoil Money 600 600 Lorge Time 550 17 31 14 28 12 26 9 23 7 21 Mar Apr May Jun Jul 15 29 13 27 10 24 8 22 3 19 2 16 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mor May 1997 1998 Large time deposits and retail money funds ore ot oil despository institutions. Large time deposits ore those issued m denominations of $100,000 or more. Retail money funds were originolly colled general purpose and broker/dealer money market funds. Prepored by Federal Reserve Bonk of St Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Aug 9 10 Total Borrowings From Federal Reserve Bonks Averages of Doily Figures Billions of Dollors Apr 8 May 6 Billions of Dollors Billions 0.169 0.045 0.057 0.068 0.093 0.226 5 19 2 16 30 14 28 11 25 9 23 6 20 3 17 1 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 Sep Oct May Jun 1997 Borrowings include seosonol. adjustment and extended credit. 4 18 4 18 1 15 29 13 27 Apr Moy 1998 Bank Loans and Credit All Commerciol Bonks in the United States'^ 3375 ----------1----------- 4325 Sank Credit Billions 1998 4211.8 Mor 25 1 4243.3 Apr 4212.9 8 15 4199.7 22 4187.0 29 4206.2 1 4225- 4125- 3275 Bonk Credit (left scale)2/ 3175 1 3075 4025 3925- 3825- Loans & Leases 1998 Billions Mor 25 3090.5 Apr 1 3103.2 Loons ond Leoses (ri ght scale) 1 3725 5 i ' i'"*~ 16 30 14 28 11 25 9 23 6 20 3 17 19 Jul Aug Sep Apr Moy Jun Mor I 15 22 29 2875 3099.0 3096.0 3096.5 2775 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 Oct Nov Dec Jon 1997 Current doto appear in the Federal Reserve Boord's H.8 release. 1/ Includes foreign-reloted institutions 2/ Includes loons ond leases ond securities http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis { 2975 4 18 4 18 1 15 29 13 2? Feb Mor Apr Moy 1998 Prepored by Federal Reserve Bonk of St. Louis * Commercial Paper of Nonfinancial Companies Not Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars 220- 230 220 Moy 6 210 200 190 180 S 19 2 16 30 14 28 11 25 9 23 6 20 3 17 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 4 18 4 18 1 15 29 13 27 Apr Moy Note: Beginning September 2. 1997, the volue of commercial paper outstanding uses new source data. See the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release for more information. Commercial and Industrial Loans Seasonally Adjusted 3illions of Dollors Billions of Dollors 5Q0 ~i-------r All Bonks 1998 Mar 25 Apr 1 8 15 22 29 Billions 867.4 864.8 865.7 870.5 871.3 871.6 480 All Bonks (left scoie)1/ 460 Lorge Bonks (right scale)^/ Lorge Bonks 1998 Billions Mor 25 460.9 462.1 Apr 1 8 462.1 15 465.1 22 465.2 29 464.0 ,1, II 800- 780 "|—r—',——T'. , 5 19 2 16 30 14 28 11 25 Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep IS 29 12 26 10 24 Oct Nov Dec Jon 18 4 18 1 15 29 1 Feb Mor Apr Moy 1997 Current data appear in the Federol Reserve Board's H.8 release. 1/ Includes foreign-related institutions 2/ Weekly reporting, domestically chartered banks http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11 Prepored by Federal Reserve Bonk of St. Louis Dollar's Trade - Weighted Exchange Index 1973=100 Averoges of Doily Figures 1973=100 110 105 100 95 5 19 2 16 30 14 28 11 25 9 23 6 20 3 17 Apr May Jun Aug Sep 90 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 4 Oct 18 4 18 1 15 29 13 27 Apr Moy Current dato appear in the Federol Reserve Board's H.10 releose. Doto ore weighted overages of the foreign-currency price of the U.S. dollor, computed using 10 industrial country currencies. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepored by Federol Reserve Bonk of St. Louis