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RE9E*R
of St. Louis

MAR 2 8 1988

March 24, 1988

THE WEEK'S HIGHLIGHTS:
s

New factory orders for durable goods (seasonally adjusted) fell 1.8
percent in February, following a similar decline in January. This
is the first consecutive two-month decline in durable goods orders
since the spring of 1986.

is

Consumer prices rose at a 2.1 percent annual rate (seasonally
adjusted) in February, compared with a 4.2 percent rate of increase
in January. February prices were up 3.8 percent from a year earlier.

s

The U.S. merchandise trade deficit was $12.44 billion (not seasonally
adjusted) in January, up slightly from $12.2 billion last December.
U.S. imports declined 6 percent in January, reaching their lowest
levels in nine months, while U.S. exports fell 10 percent.

ts

Real GNP growth for the fourth quarter of 1987 was revised upward
to an annual rate of 4.8 percent. Real GNP growth for the year
ending in the fourth quarter of 1987 was 4 percent, the highest
annual growth since 1984.

II IK

FEDERAL
A RESERVE
ItAXKof
nr ST. LOUIS

views
expressed do not necessarily reflect official positions of the Federal Reserve System.

http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

2

ADJUSTED MONETARY BASE
AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED BY THIS BANK

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

1.98&

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
276

BILLIONS.

JAN,
273.0
272.4
272. I
274.2

264

II

25 11

FEB

25

8 22

MAR

6 20

3 17

MAY

JUN

I

15 28 12 28

0 23

7 21

4

OCT

NOV

18

2 16 30 13 27

JAN

10 24

0 23

6 20

FEB

1987

1988

LATEST PLOTTED RESERVE MAINTENANCE PERIOD ENDINGt MARCH 23, 1988
THE ADJUSTED MONETARY BASE IS THE SUM OF RESERVE ACCOUNTS OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS AT FEDERAL
RESERVE BAM<S.CURRENCY INCIPECULATION 1CURRENCY_HELP_BY_THE_PUBUC_AND _IN THE_VAULTS_OF.ALL
DEPOSITORY INSTITUTIONS) AM) ....___________
THE MAJOR
AN ADJUSTMENT_FOR ________
RESERVE_REC UIREMENT RATIO CHANGES.
.. THE
..._________________
iRY BASE
DATA ARE COMPUTED BY THIS
SOURCE OF
ADJUSTEDMONETARY
BASE IS
|S FEDERAL
FEDERAL RESERVE
RESERVE CF EDIT.
A DETAILED DESCRIPTION OF THE ADJUSTED MONETARY BAJ E IS AVAILABLE FROM THIS BANK.
RECENT DATA ARE PRELIMINARY.
ADJUSTED MONETARY BASE
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE,
AVERAGE OF TWO MAINTENANCE PERIODS ENDING:
3/25/87

6/17/87

8/26/87

5. 1
4.6
7. 1
6.4
7.7
7.0
6.8

4.8
9.2
7.6
9.2
8.0
7.5

9/23/87 10/21/87 11/18/87 12/16/87

1/27/88

TO THE AVERAGE OF
TWO MAINTENANCE
PERIODS ENDING:
8/26/87
9/23/87
10/21/87
11/18/87
12/16/87
1/27/88
2/24/88
3/23/88

6. 1
6.2
5.8
7.2
6.8
7.6
7. 1
6.9


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

10.6
8.0
9.7
8.3
7.7

10.5
11.7
9.5
8.5

9. 1
7.0
6.4

8.6
7.4

3. 1

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

MONEY STOCK (Ml )

AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

1558.

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
780

BILLIONS
761.1
759.9
762. 1
754.9
755.8
760.5

2

10

2

10 90

10 27

APR

II

25

8 22

0 20

3 17 91

MAY

M 28

SEP

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING*. MARCH 14,

12 20

9 23

OCT

7 21

DEC

JAN

MAR

APR

1988

CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS* H.6 RELEASE.
Ml IS THE SUM OF CURRENCY HELD BY THE NONBANK PUBLIC, DEMAND DEPOSITS, OTHER CHECKABLE
DEPOSITS AND TRAVELERS ChECKS.

MONEY STOCK (Ml )
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE,
3/16/87

6/15/87

8/17/87

4.2
3.9
4.2
5.0
3.4
3.3
4.4
3.5

1 . 1
2.3
4.0
1 .8
1 .8
3.6
2.5

4.3
6.4
2.4
2.3
4.6
3.1

AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING:

9/14/87 10/12/87 11/16/87 12/14/87

1/11/88

TO THE AVERAGE
OF FOUR WEEKS
ENDING:
8/17/87
9/14/87
10/12/87
11/16/87
12/14/87
1/11/88
2/15/88
3/14/88


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

8.3
2.4
2.4
5.0
3.2

0.7
1 .2
4.7
2.6

-4.0
2.8
0.6

8.9
4.0

4.8

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

3

4

MONEY MULTIPLIERi/
CURRENCY COMPONENT OF MONEY STOCK 2/
AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

RATIO

RATIO

RATIO
2.809
2.783
2.794

Ml MULTIPLIER

9 23

FEB

9 23

MAR

0 20

4

APR

MAY

18

1

15 29 IS 27

JUN

JUL
1987

10 2A

7 21

5 19

AUG

SEP

OCT

LATEST DATA PLOTTED TWO WEEKS ENDING: MARCH 7,

2

10 30 14 28 11

NOV

DEC

23

JAN

0 22

7 21

FEB
MAR
1988

APR

1988

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

ILL IONS OF DOLLARS
206

- COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES
-__OF CHANGE. AVERAGE OF
___THE FOUR WEEKS END ING
MARCH 14, 1988 FROM
THE FOUR WEEKS ENDING:

_

OCT
CURRENCY
16,

— MAR

1987

19SS
FEB.

BILLIONS
8
199.4

200.2
I I I 1 1.1 II 1,1 1 1 1 111
2 16

2

16 30 13 27 II

25

8 22

6 20

3 17 31

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING: MARCH 14,

14 28 12 26

9 23

7 21

4 18

DEC

JAN

1

15 29 14 28 II

25

1988

1/ RATIO OF MONEY STOCK (Ml ) TO ADJUSTED MONETARY BASE
2/ CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS' H.6 RELEASE.


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

TOTAL CHECKABLE DEPOSITS
AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
580 ---------- .------------- ,-----

19M
FEB.

2

16

FEB

2

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
-------- ---------------------- 580

BILLIONS
554.5
553. 1
555.3
548.5
549.2
552.9

16 30

MAR

13 27

APR

II

25

MAY

8 22

JUN

6 20

JUL

3

17 31

AUG

IA 28

SEP

12 26

9 23

OCT

DEC

JAN

MAR

APR

1987
LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDINGt MARCH 14, 1988
DEPOS1 TORY^NSTJTUT?ONS? 'S T* SUM V DEMW® DEPOSITS AND OTHER CHECKABLE DEPOSITS AT ALL

TOTAL CHECKABLE DEPOSITS
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE,
3/16/87

6/15/87

8/17/87

AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING-.

9/U/B7 10/12/87 11/16/87 12/M/87

I/I 1/88

TO THE AVERAGE
OF FOUR WEEKS
ENDING:
8/17/87
9/14/87
10/12/87
11/16/87
12/14/87
1/11/88
2/15/88
3/14/88

3.2
2.7
3. 1
3.9
1.7
1.4
2.8
1.8


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

-1.0
0.4
2.3
-0.7
-0.7
1.4
0.3

2.8
5. 1
-0.2
-0.4
2.5
0.9

7.3
-0.3
-0.5
2.9
1 .0

-2.7
-2.2
2.3
0.2

-8.6

-0. 1

-2.2

7.6
2.3

3.9

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANC OF ST. LOUIS

5

6

YIELDS ON SELECTED SECURITIES
AVERAGES OF DAILY RATES

percent

CORPORATE
AAA BONDS

.PAN RATE

6 20

8 20

3 17

FEB

MAR

APR

I

15 20

12 20 10 24

7 21

4

AUG

SEP

18

2

10 50

15 27 11

NOV

DEC

25

8 22

5 10

4

FEB

MAR

LATEST DATA PLOTTED ARE AVERAGES OF RATES AVAILABLE FOR THE WEEK ENDING. MARCH 25,

1988
FEB.

MAR.

APR.

5
12
19
26
4
1 1
18
25 *
1
8
15
22
29

18

1

15 20

1988.

90 DAY
CD'S

30-DAY
COMMERC1AL
PAPER

90-DAY
BANKERS'
ACCEPTANCES

CORPORATE
Aaa BONDS

CORPORATE
Baa BONDS

MUNICIPAL
BOWS ft*

6.63
6.54
6.64
6.61
6.58
6.62
6.61
6.63

6.59
6.47
6.61
6.53
6.54
6.55
6.56
6.57

6.50
6.43
6.55
6.48
6.45
6.50
6.51
6.52

9.46
9.42
9.41
9.33
9.27
9.34
9.36
9.42

10.71
10.62
10.60
10.56
10.48
10.50
10.55
10.63

7.49
7.40
7.55
7.52
7.47
7.67
7.75
N. A.

NOTE.
CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS' H.15 RELEASE.
* AVERAGES OF RATES AVAILABLE
** BOND BUYER'S AVERAGE IWJEX OF 20 MUNICIPAL BOMJS, THURSDAY DATA
N.A. - NOT AVAILABLE


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

SELECTED

INTEREST RATES

AVERAGES OF DAILY RATES

PERCENT

PERCENT

—I 11.0

11.0 i—

10.0---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5-YEAR----------------------------------------------------------------------- 10.0
TREASURY SECURITIES

FEDERAL,
FUNDS RATE
Kr-

DISCOUNT RATE

3-MONTH
TREASURY BILL

I 1 I 1 I I .1 I I 1 I 1 1 1 11 1 1 I I I 1 1 I I 1 III 1 1 ,1 I I I 1 I I 1 J 1 1 1 I I 1 1.1 1 1 I 1 I 1 1 J 1 I 1 1 I I I L.
6 20

6 20

5 17

FEB

MAR

APR

1

15 20 12 26 10 24

MAY

JUN

JUL
1987

7 21

4

AUG

SEP

18

2

16 50 13 27

OCT

NOV

11

DEC

25

22

JAN

5

18

4

LATEST DATA PLOTTED ARE AVERAGES OF RATES AVAILABLE FOR THE WEEK ENDING* MARCH 25,

1988
FEB.

MAR.

APR.

5
12
19
26
4
1 1
18
25 X
1
8
15
22
29

18

1

FEB
MAR
I 988

15 20

APR

1988.

FEDERAL
FUNDS XX

3-MONTH
TREASURY
BILL

6-MONTH
TREASURY
BILL X*QK

1-YEAR
TREASURY
BILL

5-YEAR
TREASURY
SECURITIES

LONG-TERM
TREASURY
SECURITIES

6.77
6.38
6.65
6.64
6.60
6.51
6.61
6.51

5.67
5.65
5.72
5.63
5.63
5.73
5.64
5.78

6. 1 1
5.85
6.03
5.83
5.86
5.93
5.78
5.96

6.22
6.16
6.27
6.20
6.20
6.28
6.23
6.33

7.73
7.67
7.79
7.70
7.63
7.78
7.78
7.91

8.43
8.42
8.55
8.46
8.44
8.60
8.63
8.77

NOTE: CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS’ H.15 RELEASE EXCLUDING LONG-TERM TREASURY
SECURITIES WHICH ARE COMPUTED BY THIS BANK.
TREASURY BILL YIELDS ARE ON A DISCOUNT BASIS.
X AVERAGES OF RATES AVAILABLE
XX SEVEN-DAY AVERAGES FOR WEEK ENDING TWO DAYS EARLIER THAN DATE SHOWN
XXX AUCTION AVERAGE (DISCOUNT)


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

7

8
COMMERCIAL BANK
SMALL TIME DEPOSITS 1/
LARGE TIME DEPOS I TS 2/
AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

iSfifl

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS
393.6
394.1
395.3
395.6
396.1

SMALL TIME DEPOSITS

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDINGt MARCH 14,

1988

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
330 r-------- ,------------- 1------

ISM

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
---------------------------- =] 330

BILLIONS
324.4
323.6
325.2
324.9
325.1

2

18

FEB

2

LARGE TIME DEPOSITS

16 30 13 27 11

MAR

APR

MAY

25

8 22

JUN

6 20

JUL
1987

3 17 31

AUG

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING: MARCH 14,

14 28 12 26

SEP

OCT

0 23

NOV

I

DEC

JAN

15 28

14 28

11

25

FEB
MAR
1988

1988

1/ TIME DEPOSITS ISSUED IN DENOMINATIONS OF LESS THAN 8100,000
2/ TIME DEPOSITS ISSUED IN DENOMINATIONS OF 8100,000 OR MORE


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

COMMERCIAL BANK
TOTAL TIME DEPOSITS
AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
920

910

894.3
898.6
899.0
902.5
903.2

900

890

880

870

060

850

840

830

820
II I I
2

16

2

10 30 13 27

APR

11

25

8 22

6 20

3 17 31

MAY

14 28

SEP

12 28

0 23

T 21

DEC

OCT

JAN

MAR

APR

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK EM)INO« MARCH 14, 1988
TOTAL TIME IS THE SUM OF SAVINGS DEPOSITS, SMALL TIME DEPOSITS AND LARGE TIME DEPOSITS.

TOTAL TIME DEPOSITS
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE, AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING:
3/16/87

6/15/87

8/17/87

9.3
8.5
8.2
9.9
9.6
9.2
8.8
9.4

6.7
6.6
9.7
9.3
8.7
8,3
9.1

5.3
11.1
10.2
9. 1
8.4
9.5

9/14/87 10/12/87 11/16/87 12/14/87

1/11/88

TO THE AVERAGE
OF FOUR WEEKS
ENDING:
8/17/87
9/14/87
10/12/87
11/16/87
12/14/87
1/11/88
2/15/88
3/14/88


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

14.3
12.1
10.2
9.2
10.3

14.7
11.4
9.9
11.0

5.8
5.9
8.3

5.3
8.6

10.5

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

9

10

BORROWINGS FROM FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
3.0 ---------- «---------- i--------

JM

AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
------------------- ----------- 3-°

MILLIONS.

0
16
23

690
1311
2537

TOTAL BORROWINGS

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDINGt MARCH 23.

1988
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
1988
FEB.
MAR.

4 18
FEB

MILLIONS
17
24
2
9
16
23

4 18
MAR

254
132
187
378
153
325

I

15 20 13 27 10 24

ADJUSTMENT + SEASONAL
BORROWINGS

8 22

5 10

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING* MARCH 23,


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

2 10 30 14 28 11 23
OCT
NOV

0 23

6 20
JAN

3 17
FEB

2 16 30 13 27

1988

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

COMMERCIAL PAPER OF NONFINANCIAL COMPANIES
NOT SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

I ILL IONS OF DOLLARS
95 ---------- 1---------- .--------

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
------------------- ----------- 95

FEB. 10
87,541
88,550
01,822

4 18
FEB

4 18
MAR

I

15 20 15 27 10 24 8 22
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
1987

5 10
AUG

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING* MARCH 18,

I I I I
2 16 30 14 28 11 25 0 23
SEP
OCT
NOV
DEC

8 20
JAN

3 17 2 16 30 13 27
FEB
MAR
APR
1988

1988

* >ASHED LINE REPRESENTS DATA USING A NEW REPORTING PANEL AND IS NOT COMPARABLE TO PREVIOUS DATA.

BUSINESS LOANS u
( COMMERCIAL AND INDUSTRIAL )

WEEKLY REPORTING LARGE COMMERCIAL BANKS 2/
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES
OF CHANGE. AVERAGE OF
THE FOUR *EEKS ENDING
DECEMBER 30. 1987 FROM
THE FOUR WE£KS ENDING*
OCT.
SEP.
SEP.
JUL.
JUL.
APR.
DEC.

28,
30,
2,
29,
1,
1,
31,

1987
1987
1987
1987
1987
1987
1986

NOV. 25
DEC. 2

5 10

3 17 31

14 28 II 25 II

JAN

FEB

MAR

25

8 22

8 20

3 17

MAY

JUN

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING* DECEMBER 30,

I I I I
1 15 20 12

0 23

3.8
6.2
7.6
4.9
1.2
-0.7
0.2

276,566
277,744
278,725
276,381

1 I 1 I 1 1 1 1 I 1 1 1 111 I
7 21 4 18 2 16 30 13 27
OCT
NOV

1987

1/ BUSINESS LOANS INCLUDE BAhKERS' ACCEPTANCES AND COMMERCIAL PAPER.
2/ BANKS WITH DOMESTIC ASSETS GREATER THAN 81.4 BILLION


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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

11