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USFinancialData

July 5, 2013
Final Edition

Calendar of Releases
Titles for the current week are links to their respective releases.

MONDAY*
July 1
Construct Spending (May)
A: 0.5%
PF: 0.6%

TUESDAY

WEDNESDAY

THURSDAY*

FRIDAY

July 2

July 3

July 4

July 5

Factory Orders (May)
A: 2.1%
PF: 2.0%

ISM Index (Jun)
A: 50.9
PF: 50.5

Initial Claims (6/29)
A: 343K
PF: 345K

Nonfarm Payrolls (Jun)
A: 195K
PF: 166K

International Trade (May)
A: -$45.0B
PF: -$40.1B

Private Payrolls (Jun)
A: 202K
PF: 175K

ISM Non Mfg Index (Jun)
A: 52.2
PF: 54.0

Unemployment Rate (Jun)
A: 7.6%
PF: 7.5%

July 8

July 9

July 10

Consumer Credit (May)
CF: $12.5B PF: $12.3B

Latest Issue
Monetary Trends

FOMC Minutes
(previous meeting)

Latest Issue
National Economic Trends

July 11

July 12

Initial Claims (7/6)
CF: 340K
PF: N/A

PPI (Jun)
CF: 0.5%
PF: 0.4%

Import Prices (Jun)
CF: 0.1%
PF: 0.0%

Core PPI (Jun)
CF: 0.1%
PF: 0.2%

Treasury Budget (Jun)
CF: $40.0B PF: N/A

July 15
Retail Sales (Jun)
CF: 0.8%

July 16
CPI (Jun)
CF: 0.3%

Business Inventories (May)
CPI Core (Jun)
CF: 0.4%
CF: 0.2%

July 17
Housing Starts (Jun)
CF: 958K

July 18

July 19

Initial Claims (7/13)
CF: N/A

Building Permits (Jun)
CF: 990K

Industrial Production (Jun)
CF: 0.3%
Capacity Utilization (Jun)
CF: 77.7%

DEFINITIONS: A, actual value; PF, previous week’s forecast; CF, current week’s forecast; K, thousand; M, million; B, billion.
*The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System provides H.3, H.4.1, and H.6 releases each Thursday and H.10 and H.15 releases
each Monday.
Forecast data are from Thomson Reuters. Thomson Reuters, 20. All Rights Reserved. Use, duplication, or sale of this service or the
data contained herein, except as described in the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Subscription Agreement, is strictly prohibited.

research.stlouisfed.org

Contents
Page
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23

Adjusted Monetary Base
Adjusted Reserves
MZM
M2
Composition of Federal Reserve Assets and Liabilities
Reserve Bank Credit and Selected Categories
Other Federal Reserve Balance Sheet Items
Yields on Selected Securities
Corporate Bond Spreads and Mortgage Interest Rates
Yields on Nominal and Inflation-Indexed Treasury Securities
Federal Funds Futures Market
Equity Price Indices
Crude Oil Prices
Natural Gas Prices
Exchange Rates
Currency, Savings, and Small Time Deposits
Institutional and Retail Money Funds, and Borrowings from Federal Reserve Banks
Bank Loans
Commercial Paper Outstanding
Reference Tables
Notes

Conventions used in this publication:
1. Unless otherwise indicated, figure and table data are weekly and seasonally adjusted.
2. For pages 10, 14, 15 (top chart), 16 (top chart), and 22 (top table), the last observation is a daily average that incorporates all available data at the time of publication, which usually includes observations for the first three trading days of
the week (Monday through Wednesday). The previous observations signify that week’s average.

We welcome your comments addressed to:
Editor, U.S. Financial Data
Research Division
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
P.O. Box 442
St. Louis, MO 63166-0442
or to:
stlsFRED@stls.frb.org
U.S. Financial Data is published weekly by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. For more information on data in this publication, please visit research.stlouisfed.org/fred2
or call (314) 444-8590. To be added to our free email notification list, please visit our web site at research.stlouisfed.org/publications/usfd.

updated through
07/05/13

U.S. Financial Data

Adjusted Monetary Base
Averages of Daily Figures, Seasonally Adjusted
Billions of dollars
3400

3300

3200

3100

3000

2900

2800

2700

2600

2500

May

Jun

Jul

Sep

Aug

Oct

Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

2012

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

2013

Adjusted Monetary Base
To the average of
two maintenance
periods ending:

Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending:
06/27/12

11/28/12

1.3

12/26/12

0.7

09/19/12

11/28/12

12/26/12

01/23/13

02/20/13

04/03/13

05/01/13

-0.5

01/23/13

7.3

10.9

25.6

02/20/13

12.5

18.8

36.5

61.7

04/03/13

17.0

24.1

39.6

54.8

51.9

05/01/13

18.4

25.2

38.4

49.7

46.4

40.8

05/29/13

20.6

27.5

39.7

49.2

46.5

42.5

39.9

06/26/13

21.8

28.5

39.5

47.5

45.0

41.5

39.4

42.5

Research Division
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

3

updated through
07/05/13

U.S. Financial Data

Adjusted Reserves
Seasonally Adjusted
Billions of dollars
2100

2050

2000

1950

1900

1850

1800

1750

1700

1650

1600

1550

1500

1450

May

Jun

Jul

Sep

Aug

Oct

Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

2012

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

2013

Adjusted Reserves
To the average of
two maintenance
periods ending:

Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending:
06/27/12

09/19/12

11/28/12

12/26/12

01/23/13

02/20/13

04/03/13

11/28/12

-0.2

12/26/12

-1.4

-1.8

01/23/13

6.2

11.3

26.2

02/20/13

12.8

21.2

41.3

75.2

04/03/13

23.6

35.9

60.5

88.1

94.5

05/01/13

25.0

36.3

56.5

76.1

76.9

76.8

05/29/13

29.6

41.7

61.6

79.0

80.4

81.3

64.2

06/26/13

31.4

43.0

60.7

75.2

75.5

75.2

61.2

05/01/13

73.2

Research Division

4

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

updated through
07/05/13

U.S. Financial Data

MZM
Averages of Daily Figures, Seasonally Adjusted
Billions of dollars
11900

11800

11700

11600

11500

11400

11300

11200

11100

11000

10900

10800

10700

May

Jun

Jul

Sep

Aug

Oct

Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

2012

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

2013

MZM
To the average
of four weeks
ending:

Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending:
06/25/12

09/17/12

11/26/12

12/24/12

11/26/12

10.0

12/24/12

10.3

9.9

01/21/13

10.9

10.9

13.3

02/18/13

9.3

8.5

8.2

6.1

04/01/13

8.2

7.1

6.1

4.3

01/21/13

02/18/13

04/01/13

04/29/13

0.6

04/29/13

8.2

7.2

6.4

5.2

2.7

4.4

05/27/13

7.7

6.7

5.8

4.6

2.6

3.8

5.2

06/24/13

7.6

6.7

5.9

4.9

3.3

4.4

5.7

4.5

Research Division
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

5

updated through
07/05/13

U.S. Financial Data

M2
Averages of Daily Figures, Seasonally Adjusted
Billions of dollars
10700

10600

10500

10400

10300

10200

10100

10000

9900

9800

9700

May

Jun

Jul

Sep

Aug

Oct

Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

2012

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

2013

M2
To the average
of four weeks
ending:

Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending:
06/25/12

09/17/12

11/26/12

12/24/12

01/21/13

02/18/13

04/01/13

11/26/12

9.5

12/24/12

9.7

9.5

01/21/13

9.9

9.9

11.2

02/18/13

8.2

7.2

5.9

3.3

04/01/13

7.4

6.3

4.9

3.1

04/29/13

7.4

6.4

5.3

4.1

2.1

4.6

05/27/13

7.0

6.0

5.0

3.9

2.3

4.2

5.3

06/24/13

6.8

5.9

4.9

4.0

2.7

4.3

5.0

04/29/13

0.1

3.8

Research Division

6

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

updated through
07/05/13

U.S. Financial Data

Composition of Federal Reserve Assets
End of Period Wednesday Figures
Billions of Dollars
4000

Market Adjustment to Treasury and MBS Portfolio
Short-Term Lending to Financial Firms and Markets

3500

Rescue Operations
Operations Focused on Longer-Term Credit Conditions
Traditional Portfolio

3000

Traditional Portfolio and Long-Term Assets

2500

2000

1500

1000

500

0

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013

Composition of Federal Reserve Liabilities
End of Period Wednesday Figures
Billions of Dollars
3500
Source Base (not adjusted for reserve requirement changes)
Treasury Financing Account

3000

Traditional Liabilities and Capital Account

2500

2000

1500

1000

500

0

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013

Research Division
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

7

updated through
07/05/13

U.S. Financial Data

Reserve Bank Credit and Federal Reserve Holdings of U.S. Treasury Securities
Averages of Daily Figures
Billions of dollars
3600

3300

Reserve Bank Credit
3000

2700

2400

2100

U.S. Treasury Securities
1800

1500

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr
2013

May

Jun

Jul

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr
2013

May

Jun

Jul

2012

Term Deposits Held by Depository Institutions
End of Period Wednesday Figures
Billions of dollars
11
10
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep
2012

Oct

Nov

Dec

Research Division

8

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

updated through
07/05/13

U.S. Financial Data

Federal Reserve Holdings of Agency Debt and Mortgage-Backed Securities
Averages of Daily Figures
Millions of Dollars
1400

1200

Mortgage-Backed Securities
1000

800

600

400

200

Purchases of Agency Debt

0

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

2012

Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr
2013

May

Jun

Jul

Maturity Distribution of U.S. Treasury Securities Held by the Federal Reserve
Billions of Dollars
900

800

700

600

500

1 Year or Less

5 to 10 Years

400

1 to 5 Years

300

Over 10 Years
200

100

0

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013

Research Division
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

9

updated through
07/05/13

U.S. Financial Data

Yields on Selected Securities
Averages of Daily Figures
Percent
5

4

Corporate Aaa

Prime Rate

3

2

1

2-Year Swap
30-Day Nonfinancial Commercial Paper

0

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Feb

Jan

Mar

2012

Apr
2013

May

Jun

Jul

Apr
2013

May

Jun

Jul

Percent
4

3

10-Year Treasury
2

1

Federal Funds Rate

FFR Target Range

|
|

3-Month Treasury

|

|
||

0

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep
2012

Oct

Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

Research Division

10

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

updated through
07/05/13

U.S. Financial Data

Corporate Bond Yields Relative to Yields on 10 - Year Treasury Securities
Averages of Daily Figures
Percent
3.5

Baa - 10Y

3.0

2.5

Aaa - 10Y
2.0

1.5

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr
2013

May

Jun

Jul

Mar

Apr
2013

May

Jun

Jul

2012

Interest Rates on 30 - Year Conforming and Jumbo Mortgages
Averages of Daily Figures
Percent
5.3

4.8

Jumbo
4.3

3.8

Conforming

3.3

2.8

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep
2012

Oct

Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

Research Division
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

11

updated through
07/05/13

U.S. Financial Data
Treasury Note Yields
Averages of Daily Figures
Percent
4

30-Year
3

10-Year

2

5-Year
1

0

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr
2013

May

Jun

Jul

Oct

Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr
2013

May

Jun

Jul

May

Jun

Jul

2012

Inflation-Indexed Treasury Yields
Averages of Daily Figures
Percent
2

1

30-Year

0

10-Year

-1

5-Year
-2

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep
2012

Inflation-Indexed Treasury Yield Spreads
Averages of Daily Figures
Percent
3.0

30-Year
2.5

10-Year
2.0

5-Year

1.5

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep
2012

Oct

Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr
2013

Research Division

12

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

updated through
07/05/13

U.S. Financial Data

Rates on Federal Funds Futures Contracts
Daily Data
Percent
0.30

0.25

0.20

Sep 2013

0.15

Jul 2013

|
|
|

0.10

Aug 2013
0.05

FFR Target Rate Range
0.00

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

2013

Rates on Federal Funds Futures on Selected Dates
Percent
0.15

0.14

Week Ending:
05/08/13
06/06/13
07/03/13

0.13

0.12

0.11

0.10

0.09

Jul 2013

Aug 2013

Sep 2013

Oct 2013

Nov 2013

Dec 2013

Contract Month

Research Division
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

13

updated through
07/05/13

U.S. Financial Data

Dow Jones Industrial Average and NASDAQ Composite
Averages of Daily Figures
Closing Price

February 5, 1971 = 100

16000

3600

15000

3400

Dow Jones (left scale)
14000

3200

13000

3000

NASDAQ (right scale)
12000

2800

11000

2600

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

2012

Apr
2013

May

Jun

Jul

Wilshire 5000 and Standard & Poor's 500
Averages of Daily Figures
January 2, 1980 = 1078.29

1941-43 = 10

18000

1800

17000

1700

16000

1600

Wilshire** (left scale)

15000

1500

14000

1400

S&P* (right scale)

13000

1300

12000

1200

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep
2012

Oct

Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr
2013

May

Jun

Jul

*Copyright 2011 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Standard & Poor's including its subsidiary corporations ("S&P") is a division of
The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Reproduction of this data in any form is prohibited without S&P's prior written permission.
**Source: Wilshire Associates Incorporated, www.wilshire.com

Research Division

14

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

updated through
07/05/13

U.S. Financial Data

Crude Oil Spot Prices
West Texas Intermediate, Averages of Daily Figures
Dollars per barrel
110

105

100

95

90

85

80

75

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

2012

Apr
2013

May

Jun

Jul

Crude Oil Futures Prices
West Texas Intermediate
Dollars per barrel
102

07/03/2013

100

98

96

06/26/2013
94

92

90

88

Aug

Sep

Oct
2013

Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr
2014

May

Jun

Jul

Research Division
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

15

updated through
07/05/13

U.S. Financial Data

Natural Gas Spot Prices
Henry Hub, Averages of Daily Figures
Dollars per million btu
4.8

4.3

3.8

3.3

2.8

2.3

1.8

1.3

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

2012

Apr
2013

May

Jun

Jul

Natural Gas Futures Prices
Henry Hub
Dollars per million btu
4.1

4.0

06/26/2013

3.9

3.8

07/03/2013
3.7

3.6

Aug

Sep

Oct
2013

Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr
2014

May

Jun

Jul

Research Division

16

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

updated through
07/05/13

U.S. Financial Data

Trade-Weighted Exchange Rate Indexes
Averages of Daily Figures
March 1973=100

January 1987=100

85

105

Broad Index (right scale)
81

101

77

97

73

93

Major Index (left scale)

69

89

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

2012

Apr
2013

May

Jun

Jul

Exchange Rates
Averages of Daily Figures
Euro/US$

Yen/US$

0.90

105

0.85

99

Euro (left scale)

0.80

93

0.75

87

0.70

81

Japan (right scale)
0.65

75

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep
2012

Oct

Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr
2013

May

Jun

Jul

Research Division
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

17

updated through
07/05/13

U.S. Financial Data

Currency Component of M1
Averages of Daily Figures, Seasonally Adjusted
Billions of dollars
1150

1125

1100

1075

1050

1025

1000

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

2012

Apr
2013

May

Jun

Jul

Savings and Small Time Deposits
Averages of Daily Figures, Seasonally Adjusted
Billions of dollars

Billions of dollars

1100

7500

1000

7000

900

6500

Savings (right scale)

800

6000

700

5500

Small Time (left scale)
600

5000

500

4500

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep
2012

Oct

Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr
2013

May

Jun

Jul

Research Division

18

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

updated through
07/05/13

U.S. Financial Data

Institutional and Retail Money Funds
Averages of Daily Figures, Seasonally Adjusted
Billions of dollars
1900

1700

Institutional Money
1500

1300

1100

900

Retail Money
700

500

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr
2013

May

Jun

Jul

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr
2013

May

Jun

Jul

2012

Total Borrowings from Federal Reserve Banks
Averages of Daily Figures
Billions of dollars
8

7

6

5

4

3

2

1

0

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep
2012

Oct

Nov

Dec

Note: Total borrowings include loans to depository institutions for primary, secondary, and seasonal credit, primary dealer and other broker-dealer credit.
This category also contains asset-backed commercial paper money market mutual fund liquidity facility, credit extended to American International
Group, Inc.,net, term asset-backed securities loan facility, and other credit extensions. Term auction credit is excluded.

Research Division
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

19

updated through
07/05/13

U.S. Financial Data

Bank Loans and Credit
All Commercial Banks in the United States, Seasonally Adjusted
Billions of dollars

Billions of dollars

10200

7700

10100

7600

Bank Credit (left scale)
10000

7500

9900

7400

9800

7300

Loans and Leases (right scale)

9700

7200

9600

7100

9500

7000

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

2012

Apr
2013

May

Jun

Jul

Commercial and Industrial Loans
Seasonally Adjusted
Billions of dollars

Billions of dollars

1630

900

1590

875

Large Banks (right scale)

1550

850

All Banks (left scale)
1510

825

1470

800

1430

775

1390

750

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep
2012

Oct

Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr
2013

May

Jun

Jul

Research Division

20

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

updated through
07/05/13

U.S. Financial Data

Commercial Paper Outstanding of Nonfinancial Companies
Seasonally Adjusted
Billions of dollars
240

230

220

210

200

190

180

170

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr
2013

May

Jun

Jul

Mar

Apr
2013

May

Jun

Jul

2012

Commercial Paper Outstanding: Financial and Asset-Backed
Seasonally Adjusted
Billions of dollars
600

550

500

Financial

450

400

350

300

Asset-Backed
250

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep
2012

Oct

Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

Research Division
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

21

updated through
07/05/13

U.S. Financial Data
Interest Rates
Percent

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

30-Day
Comm.
Paper

90-Day
CDs

12

0.08

0.21

0.37

3.75

4.62

19

0.07

0.20

0.37

3.68

26

0.07

0.20

0.36

3

0.07

0.20

0.35

10

0.07

0.21

17

0.07

0.20

24

0.06

0.20

Federal
Funds

3-Month
Treasury
Bill

2-Year
Treasury
Securities

5-Year
Treasury
Securities

10-Year
Treasury
Securities

30-Year
Treasury
Securities

3.93

0.15

0.07

0.24

0.72

1.79

2.96

4.54

3.89

0.15

0.06

0.24

0.71

1.73

2.89

3.70

4.53

3.90

0.15

0.05

0.23

0.70

1.73

2.89

3.69

4.52

3.77

0.13

0.05

0.21

0.68

1.70

2.87

0.36

3.81

4.65

3.67

0.14

0.04

0.23

0.76

1.83

3.02

0.38

3.91

4.74

3.61

0.12

0.04

0.25

0.83

1.93

3.14

0.39

3.95

4.78

3.70

0.10

0.04

0.26

0.88

1.99

3.18

2-Year
Corporate Corporate Municipal
Interest
Rate Swap Aaa Bonds Baa Bonds
Bonds

31

0.06

0.20

0.46

4.06

4.90

3.84

0.09

0.05

0.30

1.03

2.14

3.29

7

0.06

0.19

0.46

4.10

4.99

3.93

0.09

0.05

0.31

1.04

2.12

3.28

14

0.06

0.18

0.48

4.24

5.11

4.16

0.09

0.05

0.32

1.11

2.20

3.33

21

0.06

0.19

0.46

4.33

5.23

4.37

0.10

0.05

0.31

1.22

2.33

3.43

28

0.08

0.20

0.55

4.41

5.42

4.63

0.10

0.06

0.39

1.44

2.55

3.56

0.07

.

0.51

4.29

5.31

.

0.09

0.04

0.35

1.40

2.50

3.48

5*

*Averages of rates available

Money Stock and Components

Reserves and Base

Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted

Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted

M2

MZM

May 13

10553

11712

Jun

Currency

1115

Small
Time

582.1

Savings

Retail
Money

6815.3

635.8

Adjusted
Monetary
Base

Adjusted
Reserves

3

2985.690

1874.92

17

3061.523

1904.73

1

3034.019

1933.22

Institutional
Money

1740.8

20

10541

11700

1117

580.7

6803.0

633.0

1739.4

27

10558

11730

1118

578.5

6814.1

632.3

1750.6

Apr

May

3

10579

11776

1119

575.4

6750.7

635.2

1772.3

15

3105.517

1995.73

10

10590

11769

1120

571.7

6868.5

641.5

1750.7

29

3172.750

2041.32

17

10594

11779

1122

568.0

6880.2

652.0

1752.5

12

3245.247

2123.03

24

10572

11747

1126

564.9

6842.2

655.9

1739.4

26

3191.767

2053.17

Jun

Exchange Rates

Bank Loans and Credit
Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted

Major
Exchange Exchange
Broad
Exchange Exchange
Rate:
Rate:
Euro/$
Yen/$
Rate Index Rate Index

Bank
Credit

Loans and
Leases

C&I
Loans
(All)

C&I
Loans
(Large)

Comm.
Paper
(sa)

Total
Borrowings

May 22

10048.3

7298.8

1541.8

845.9

209.2

0.438

May 17

77.3

100.9

0.775

102.3

29

10026.4

7285.1

1541.9

845.9

214.5

0.382

24

77.6

101.4

0.775

102.2

Jun

Jul

5

10041.4

7298.1

1549.9

853.8

217.3

0.325

12

10044.1

7312.2

1554.8

857.8

220.1

0.336

19

10033.6

7297.8

1552.7

854.4

222.4

0.358

26

10036.9

7312.1

1561.4

858.1

231.4

0.367

229.9

0.385

3

.

.

.

.

Jun

31

77.5

101.8

0.772

101.2

7

76.4

101.3

0.760

98.7

14

75.4

100.9

0.752

95.9

21

75.7

101.5

0.752

96.2

28

77.2

102.7

0.767

98.1

Research Division

22

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

U.S. Financial Data

Definitions
M1: The sum of currency held outside the vaults of depository
institutions, Federal Reserve Banks, and the U.S. Treasury; travelers
checks; and demand and other checkable deposits issued by financial
institutions (except demand deposits due to the Treasury and depository
institutions), minus cash items in process of collection and Federal
Reserve float.
M2: M1 plus savings deposits (including money market deposit
accounts) and small-denomination (less than $100,000) time deposits
issued by financial institutions; and shares in retail money market
mutual funds (funds with initial investments of less than $50,000), net
of retirement accounts.
M3: M2 plus large-denomination ($100,000 or more) time deposits;
repurchase agreements issued by depository institutions; Eurodollar
deposits, specifically, dollar-denominated deposits due to nonbank U.S.
addresses held at foreign offices of U.S. banks worldwide and all
banking offices in Canada and the United Kingdom; and institutional
money market mutual funds (funds with initial investments of $50,000
or more).

Notes
Cover Page: Economic forecasts are median responses from the
Thomson Reuters Weekly Economic Survey, which is sent out to 20
to 25 Wall Street economists each week (usually on Tuesday). These
forecasts are released on Friday—at which time, Thursday’s USFD
cover page will be updated.
Page 3: Adjusted Monetary Base equals the sum of currency in
circulation outside Federal Reserve Banks and the U.S. Treasury,
deposits of depository financial institutions at Federal Reserve Banks,
and an adjustment for the effects of changes in statutory reserve requirements on the quantity of base money held by depositories. This series
is a spliced chain index; see Anderson and Rasche (1996a, 1996b,
2001, 2003).
Page 4: Adjusted Reserves is defined as the sum of vault cash and
Federal Reserve Bank deposits held by depository institutions and an
adjustment for the effects of changes in statutory reserve requirements
on the quantity of base money held by depositories. This series, a
spliced chain index, is numerically larger than the Board of Governors’
measure, which excludes vault cash not used to satisfy statutory reserve
requirements and Federal Reserve Bank deposits used to satisfy required
clearing balance contracts; see Anderson and Rasche (1996a, 2001,
2003).
Page 5: MZM includes the zero maturity, or immediately available,
components of M3. MZM equals M2 minus small-denomination time
deposits, plus institutional money market mutual funds (that is, the
money market mutual funds included in M3 but excluded from M2).
The label MZM, or “Money, Zero Maturity,” was coined by William
Poole (1991) for this aggregate, proposed earlier by Motley (1988).
Readers are cautioned that since early 1994 the level and growth of
M1 have been depressed by retail sweep programs that reclassify
transactions deposits (demand deposits and other checkable deposits)
as savings deposits overnight, thereby reducing banks’ required
reserves; see Anderson and Rasche (2001) and
research.stlouisfed.org/aggreg/swdata.html.
Page 7: The asset groups are aggregates of the following categories
on the H.4.1: Short-term lending to financial firms and markets is
the sum of repurchase agreements, term auction credit, commercial
paper funding facility, central bank liquidity swaps, money market
investor funding facility, other loans (less AIG loan), and other assets.
Rescue operations is the sum of credit extended to AIG, and net

Research Division
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

portfolio holdings of Maiden Lanes I, II, III, and preferred interests in
AIA Aurora and ALICO Holdings. Operations focused on long term
credit conditions is the sum of Federal Reserve agency obligations held
outright, mortgage backed securities, the term asset-backed securities
loan facility (TALF), and the TALF LLC. Traditional portfolio is the
sum of treasury securities, gold certificate account, special drawing
rights, coin, items in process of collection, and bank premises. On the
liability side, Source base is the sum of deposits of depository institutions and Federal Reserve notes. Treasury financing account appears
on the H.4.1. Traditional liabilities and capital account is the sum
of deferred availability cash items, foreign official account deposits,
U.S. Treasury general account, accrued dividends, reverse repurchase
agreements, other deposits, and capital accounts. H.4.1 data are not
seasonally adjusted.
Page 8: Federal Reserve Holdings of U.S. Treasury Securities
include nominal securities, inflation-indexed securities, and the compensation that adjusts for the effect of inflation on the original face
value of inflation-indexed securities (inflation compensation). Term
Deposits Held by Depository Institutions are interest-bearing deposits
with a specific maturity date offered by the Federal Reserve Banks.
For more information on the Term Deposit Facility, see
http://www.frbservices.org/centralbank/term_deposit_facility.html.
Page 9: Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board’s H.4.1
release. For more information, see
http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/recentactions.htm.
Page 10: Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board’s H.15
release, except for the Intended Federal Funds Rate. Federal Funds
Rate represents seven-day averages for the week ending two days
earlier than the date shown in the release.
Page 11: Yields on the 10-year U.S. Treasury security, Aaa- and Baarated corporate bonds, and the interest rate on 3-year conforming
mortgages appear in the Federal Reserve Board’s H.15 release. The
interest rates on jumbo mortgages (typically, mortgages in excess of
$417,000) are listed in the Wall Street Journal.
Page 12: Inflation-Indexed Treasury Yields are the most recently
issued inflation-indexed bonds of 5- ,10- , and 30-year original maturities. Inflation-Indexed Treasury Yield Spreads equal the difference
between yields on the most recently issued inflation-indexed bonds
and the unadjusted Treasury Note Yields of similar maturities.
Page 13: Rates on Federal Funds Futures Contracts trace through
time the yield on three specific contracts. Rates on Federal Funds
Futures on Selected Dates displays a single day’s snapshot of yields
for contracts expiring in the months shown on the horizontal axis.
Page 15: Crude Oil (West Texas intermediate) spot and futures prices
are listed in the Wall Street Journal. Spot Prices are weekly averages
of daily prices; Futures Prices are usually taken on Wednesday.
Page 16: Natural Gas (Henry Hub) spot and futures prices are listed
in the Wall Street Journal. Spot Prices are weekly averages of daily
prices; Futures Prices are usually taken on Wednesday.
Page 17: Data appear in the Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 release.
The Major Index comprises 7 currencies. The Broad Index comprises
the Major Index plus 19 additional currencies. Further details may
be found at www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/summary/.
Page 18: Data appear in the Federal Reserve Board’s H.6 release.
Savings Deposits is the sum of money market deposit accounts and
passbook and statement savings. Small Time Deposits have a minimum
initial maturity of 7 days. Savings deposits and small time deposits
are at all depository institutions.

23

U.S. Financial Data
Page 19: Data appear in the Federal Reserve Board’s H.6 and H.4.1
releases. Retail Money Funds are included in M2. Institutional
Money Funds are not part of M2; they used to be included in M3,
which was discontinued as of March 23, 2006.
See www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h6/discm3.htm.

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Adjusted monetary base, adjusted reserves, and MZM.

Total Borrowings include loans to depository institutions for (i)
primary, secondary, and seasonal credit and (ii) primary dealer and
other broker-dealer credit. This category also includes the assetbacked commercial paper money market mutual fund liquidity facility,
credit extended to American International Group, Inc., term assetbacked securities loan facility, and other credit extensions. Term auction credit is excluded. Data and recent information regarding Federal
Reserve lending programs appear in the Federal Reserve Board's
H.4.1 release at http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h41/Current/.

Standard & Poor’s
Standard & Poor’s 500 composite index.

Page 20: Data appear in the Federal Reserve Board’s H.8 release.
Bank Loans and Credit include foreign-related institutions. Bank
Credit includes loans and leases and securities. All Banks includes
foreign-related institutions. Large Banks are domestically chartered
banks (adjusted for mergers) and report on a weekly basis.
Page 21: Current data appear at
www.federalreserve.gov/releases/cp/outstandings.htm.
Page 22: Treasury Security yields are Treasury constant maturities
as reported in the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve
System’s H.15 release.
The 3-Month Treasury Bill yield is the secondary market yield from
the H.15 release. Federal Funds represents seven-day averages for
the week ending two days earlier than the date shown in the table.
Municipal Bonds represents Bond Buyer’s Average Index of 20
municipal bonds, Thursday data.

Sources
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Monetary aggregates and components: H.6 release. Bank credit: H.8
release. Total Borrowings and Federal Reserve Balance Sheet
Items: H.4.1 release. Interest rates: H.15 release. Exchange rates:
H.10 release. Commercial paper: Board of Governors web site.
Chicago Board of Trade
Federal funds futures contract.
Dow Jones Indexes
Dow Jones Industrial Average.

24

NASDAQ Stock Market, Incorporated
NASDAQ Composite.

U.S. Department of the Treasury
U.S. inflation-indexed security yields.
Wall Street Journal
Jumbo mortgage interest rates, oil (West Texas intermediate) and
natural gas (Henry Hub) spot and futures prices.
Wilshire Associates Incorporated (www.wilshire.com)
Wilshire 5000 .

References
Anderson, Richard G. and Robert H. Rasche (1996a). “A Revised
Measure of the St. Louis Adjusted Monetary Base,” Federal
Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, March/April, 78(2), pp. 3-13.
____ and ____(1996b). “Measuring the Adjusted Monetary Base in
an Era of Financial Change,” Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Review, November/ December, 78(6), pp. 3-37.
____ and ____(2001). “Retail Sweep Programs and Bank Reserves,
1994-1999,” Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review,
January/February, pp. 51-72.
____ and ____ , with Jeffrey Loesel (2003). “A Reconstruction of the
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Adjusted Monetary Base and
Reserves,” Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review,
September/October, 85(5), pp. 39-70.
Motley, Brian (1988). “Should M2 Be Redefined?” Federal Reserve
Bank of San Francisco Economic Review, Winter, pp. 33-51.
Poole, William (1991). Statement before the Subcommittee on
Domestic Monetary Policy of the Committee on Banking, Finance
and Urban Affairs, U.S. House of Representatives, November 6,
1991. Government Printing Office, Serial No. 102-82.
Note: Articles from this Bank’s Review are available on the Internet
at research.stlouisfed.org/publications/review/.

Research Division
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis