Full text of U.S. Financial Data : July 28, 1994
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5 ft 1 ^r$ulyJ8, 1994 ’aim Louis Fin ncial Data THE WEEK'S HIGHLIGHTS: \/ New orders for durable goods increased 1.3 percent in June following a revised 1.2 percent increase in May. Excluding defense, new orders rose 1.5 percent, after rising only 0.6 percent in May. Year-to-date new orders for durable goods are up 13.3 percent over the same period last year. The U.S. goods and services trade deficit measured $9.2 billion in May, up from April’s $8.5 billion deficit. The trade deficit measured $42.0 billion for the first five months of 1994, up sharply from $25.8 billion during the same period last year. t/ Privately owned housing starts were 1.351 million at an annual rate in June, 9.8 percent below the revised May rate of1.497 million. Building permits declinedfor the second consecutive month in June, falling 3 percent. ✓ The employment cost indexfor total compensation ofprivate industry workers increased at a 3.7 percent annual rate from March to June 1994, up from a 2.7 percent rate of increase during the previous three-month period. Since June 1993, the employment cost index has risen 3.3 percent. All data are seasonally adjusted unless otherwise indicated. U.S. Financial Data is published weekly by the Research and Public Information Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. The cost for a subscription is $21 for one year (50 issues) or $36 for two years (100 issues). For more information or to request an order form, please call (314) 444-8808 or (314) 444-8809. Information in this publication is also included in the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) elec tronic bulletin board. You can access FRED with a personal computer and a modem at (314) 621-1824. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 Adjusted Monetary Base Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 1994- Billions May 11 Jun B 438.3 441.9 441.8 Jul 6 444.2 2 If 31 14 21 11 25 • 22 8 20 3 17 1 15 2) 12 2f ! 23 Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Billions of Dollars 5 23 f 21 4 II 1 15 2S 13 27 II 24 Mar 1993 Apr May Jun Jul Aug 1994 Latest data plotted reserve maintenance period ending: July 20, 1994 The adjusted monetary base is the sum of reserve accounts of financial institutions at Federal Reserve banks, cumency in circulation (currency held by the public and in the vaults of all depository institutions} and an adjustment for reserve requirement ratio changes. The major source of the adjusted monetary base is Federa Reserve credit. Data are computed by this bonk. A detailed description of the adjusted monetary base is available from this bank. Recent data are preliminary. Adjusted Monetary Base To the average of two maintenance periods ending: 12/22/93 1/19/94 2/16/94 3/16/94 4/13/94 5/25/94 6/22/94 7/20/94 Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: 7/21/93 10/13/93 12/22/93 1/19/94 2/16/94 3/16/94 4/13/94 5/25/94 B.1 9.1 10.7 10.4 9.8 9.3 9.3 9.3 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 7.2 10.3 9.9 9.2 8.6 8.6 8.7 18.2 14.9 12.4 10.6 10.4 10.2 14.9 11.6 9.7 9.6 9.5 6.8 6.5 7.0 7.4 5.7 6.6 7.1 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis Money Stock (Ml) and Total Checkable Deposits Billions of Dollars 1170 1994 1145 n«m u^ds vi wuiljr riyuico Billions of Dollars Seasonally Adjusted 1 ------------ ----------- - M1 Billions Jun 13 20 27 Jul 4 11 18 1146.3 1150.2 1149.3 1146.0 1150.4 1153.2 M1 (left (right scale)' TCD 1994 Jun 13 20 27 Jul 4 11 18 Billions 798.6 801.7 — 799.2 795.5 800.3 802.5 7 21 5 19 2 It 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 31 M 20 U 20 11 25 9 23 6 20 4 II 1 15 29 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May 1994 Jun Jul Aug Latest data plotted week ending: July 18, 1994 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. M1 is the sum of currency held by the nonbgnk public, demand deposits, other checkable deposits and travelers checks. Total checkable deposits is the sum of demand deposits and other checkable deposits at depository institutions. Money Stock (Ml) Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: To the average 7/19/93 10/18/93 12/20/93 1/17/94 2/21/94 3/21/94 4/18/94 5/16/94 of four weeks ending: 12/20/93 1/17/94 2/21/94 3/21/94 4/18/94 5/16/94 6/20/94 7/18/94 9.8 9.1 8.6 8.1 7.6 6.4 6.3 6.2 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 8.0 7.4 6.9 6.3 4.8 5.0 4.8 5.7 5.4 4.8 3.0 3.5 3.6 5.4 4.6 2.5 3.2 3.3 3.8 1.0 2.4 2.7 -0.8 1.7 2.2 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Loub 3 4 Adjusted Reserves Billions of Dollars Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 114 1994 Billions May 11 25 Jun 8 22 Jul 6 20 101.8 104.3 102.8 104.2 102.1 105.4 110 106 102 96 94 2 II 30 H 21 It 25 Jun Jul Aug I 22 Sep 1993 I 20 3 17 1 15 21 12 21 9 23 9 23 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar 6 20 4 18 Apr May 1994 1 15 29 13 27 II 24 Jun Jul Aug Latest data plotted two weeks ending: July 20, 1994 Adjusted reserves is the difference between adjusted monetary base and currency component of Ml. Adjusted Reserves , Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: To the average of 7/21/g3 10/13/93 12/22/93 1/19/94 2/16/94 3/16/94 4/13/94 5/25/94 two maintenance periods ending: 12/22/93 1/19/94 2/16/94 3/16/94 4/13/94 5/25/94 6/22/94 7/20/94 3.9 8.0 10.5 8.6 6.1 4.7 4.7 4.6 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 4.8 9.7 6.9 3.6 2.1 2.4 2.6 31.2 17.9 9.3 5.5 5.4 5.2 10.5 2.1 0.0 0.9 1.4 -8.9 -6.9 -4.3 -2.9 -7.7 -4.2 -2.5 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Lours 90 Money Multiplier V Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Ratio 3.0 Ratio 3.0 Compounded annual rates of change, average of the four weeks ending July 18, 1994 from the four weeks ending Jul 19, 1993 -2.7 Oct 11 1993 -3.3 Jan 17. 1994 -5.8 Feb 14. 1994 -4.1 Mar 14, 1994 -4.3 Apr 11, 1994 -5.6 May 23, 1994 -3.2 i 1 7 21 Jun I' i 1 1 i 1 1 i 1 i 1 i 1 i 5 19 2 II 30 13 27 Jul Aug 1994 Sep Ratio May 9 23 Jun 6 20 Jul 4 18 \ 1 i i ■ i ' '1 i « 1 i 1 i ■ i ■ i 1 i ■ i 1 i 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 31 14 28 14 21 11 25 9 23 Oct Nov Dec May Jan Feb Mar Apr 1993 2.602 2.589 2.591 2.585 2.584 2.575 i ■ i 8 20 4 18 1 Jun 15 29 _ Jul Aug 1994 Latest data plotted two weeks ending: July 18, 1994 Currency Component of M12/ Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars 350 350 ------- 1----------1----------1--------Compounded annual rates of change, average of the four weeks ending M0 ■ July 18, 1994 from the four weeks ending: Jul 19. 1993 10.7 Oct 18. 1993 10.7 Jan 17, 1994 12.0 Feb 21. 1994 10.6 330 Ma r 21. 1994 1 0. 1 Ap r 18, 1994 1 0. 1 Ma y 16. 1994 1 0.0 340 330 320 320 310 300 7 21 5 II 2 li JO IJ 27 II 25 I 22 ( 20 3 17 II H 21 M 21 II 25 ) 23 Jun Jul Aug Sep 1993 Oct Nov Dec Jan Fab Mar Apr May 1994 1224 Billions Jun 13 20 27 Jul 4 11 18 33 9.6 344 3.4 34 1.9 34 2.3 34 1.8 34 2.4 ( 20 ____ 4 II 1 15 20 Jun Jul Aug Latest data plotted week ending: July 18, 1994 1/ Ratio of M1 to adjusted monetary base 2/ Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 5 310 300 6 Yields on Selected Securities Percent Percent Averages of Doily Figures Corporate Loan Rais ! "Municipal Bonds 4 II 2 IS 31 13 27 10 24 Jun Jul Aug Sep 1993 22 5 1) 3 17 31 14 21 11 25 11 25 I 22 I 20 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May 1994 Jun Jul Aug Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: July 29, 1994 1994 May 6 13 20 27 Jun 3 10 17 24 Jul 1 8 15 22 29 * 30—Day Commercial Paper 90-Day CDs 90-Day Bankers' Acceptances Corporate Aaa Bonds Corporate Baa Bonds Municipal Bonds ** 4.05 4.37 4.35 4.33 4.37 4.32 4.34 4.36 4.47 4.53 4.55 4.44 4.46 4.35 4.68 4.53 4.49 4.52 4.43 4.46 4.52 4.71 4.78 4.78 4.65 4.70 4.31 4.63 4.46 4.41 4.44 4.38 4.39 4.46 4.64 4.72 4.69 4.59 4.61 7.97 8.12 7.89 7.98 7.96 7.85 7.94 8.02 8.11 8.18 8.17 8.06 8.08 8.59 8.74 8.53 8.62 8.61 8.51 8.63 8.73 8.80 8.87 8.86 8.75 8.77 6.18 6.32 6.14 6.13 6.09 5.96 6.04 6.16 6.28 6.27 6.22 6.22 NA Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release. • Averages of rates available ** Bond Buyer's Average Index of 20 municipal bonds, Thursday data N A - Not Available Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Selected Interest Rates Percent 8.0 Averages of Daily Figures _ _ _ _ _ _ /_ _ _ _ V 4 1 •—Year Treasu y Sscu ttiss 8.0 ✓ / /V ___ v \ 4.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - »- - - - \ __ Z 5.0 «•* v7 _ / 'V _ _ V\ ✓ A_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 1 (.0 /V 7.0 i 7.0 3—1 onth sdsrai Fu ids Rat • ✓ / / Aa- V--. v 3.0 Di ►count tats 4 10 2 it 30 13 27 10 24 0 22 5 IS 3 17 31 14 20 11 25 11 25 0 22 I 20 3 17 I 15 2) 12 20 Jun Jul Aug Sep 1993 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May 1994 Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: July 29. 1994 1994 May 6 13 20 27 Jun 3 10 17 24 Jul 1 8 15 22 29 * Federal Funds *♦ 3-Month Treasury Sill 1 -Year Treasury Bill 5-Year Treasury Securities Jun 10—Year Treasury Securities Jui Aug Long-Term Treasury Securities 3.76 3.70 4.02 4.22 4.27 4.13 4.21 4.19 4.19 4.38 4.30 4.30 4.28 4.04 4.96 8.76 7.16 7.42 4.19 5.19 6.98 7.37 7.80 4.16 4.95 6.65 7.06 7.34 4.18 5.00 6.73 7.14 7.44 4,15 5.04 6.70 7.09 7.39 4.11 4.89 6.54 6.97 7.28 4.12 4.90 6.65 7.08 7.39 4.16 5.00 6.76 7.17 7.47 4.16 5.18 6.89 7.27 7.57 4.28 5.19 6.95 7.34 7.64 4.37 5.18 6.97 7.36 7.85 4.30 5.10 6.83 7.23 7.52 4.42 5.25 6.93 7.30 7.57 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release excluding long-term Treasury securities which are computed by this bank. Treasury bill yields are On a discount basis. * Averages of rates available *• Seven—day averages for week ending two days earlier than date shown http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 7 2.0 8 Money Stock (M2) and Non-Mi Components of M2 Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 1994 M2 Billions Jun 13 20 27 Jul 4 11 18 Billions of Dollars M2 (left 3582.4 3580.6 3581.8. 3590.5 3591.4 3596.3 Non-M1 M2 (right scale) Non-M1 M2 1994 Billions Jun 13 20 27 Jul 4 11 18 21 3 17 31 14 28 14 28 7 21 5 19 2 1S 30 13 27 11 25 0 22 Jun Jul Aug Sep 1993 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar 2436.1 2430.4 2432.5 2444.5 2441.0 2443.1 25 9 23 8 21 4 18 1 IS 29 Apr May 1994 Jun Jul Aug Latest data plotted week ending: July 18, 1994 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. M2 js the sum of M1, overnight RPs issued by all commercial banks, overnight Eurodollars issued to U.S. residents by foreign branches of U.S. banks, savings (including money market deposit accounts), small time deposits and general purpose and broker/dealer money market mutual funds. For more detail, see the H.6 release. Money Stock (M2) Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: To the average 7/19/93 10/18/93 12/20/93 1/17/94 2/21/94 3/21/94 4/18/94 5/16/94 of four weeks ending: 12/20/93 1/17/94 2/21/94 3/21/94 4/18/94 5/16/94 6/20/94 7/18/94 2.3 2.1 1.7 2.0 2.3 2.0 1.7 1.7 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2.3 1.4 2.0 2.4 1.9 1.6 1.6 0.2 1.5 2.3 1.6 1.2 1.3 1.6 2.6 1.7 1.1 1.3 4.7 2.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 0.8 1.1 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Savings and Small Time Deposits Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Savings Small Time 1994 Billions 1994 Jun 13 20 27 Jul 4 11 18 1207.3 1208.2 1206.4 1204.3 1202.5 1203.0 Jun 13 20 27 Jul 4 11 18 Savings Deposits (left scale) Billions 770.4 771.0 771.0 770.4 — 771.3 772.8 Small Time (right scale) 7 21 5 II 2 H 30 13 27 II 25 8 22 Jun Jul 6 20 3 17 31 14 21 14 21 II 25 8 23 I 20 4 II 1 15 2! Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan . 1993 Note: Savings deposits are at all depository institutions. Feb Mar Apr May 1994 Jun Jul Aug Large Time Deposits and Money Market Funds1/ All Depository Institutions Averages of Daily Figures, Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 400 380 —I--------- 1---------Large Time 1994 Billions Jun 13 334.4 20 334.5 27 334.0 11 18 / 4oney tarket ✓ \. \ __ > s -* - 340 360.2 357.1 358.5 1 8 36 3.6 36 4.7 if io I3 27 t'l 25 Aug Sep 1993 Oct 1 1 400 3(0 ^—* V f * 340 J 1 22 8 20 3 17 31 14 2 114 21' 11' 25 8 23 1 21 4 11 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 19 94 15 2 Aug Latest data plotted week ending: July 18, 1994 1/ Large time deposits are those issued in denominations of $100,000 or more. Money morket funds are general purpose and broker/dealer. Fn?are<l by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 300 * * Lai ■go Tim. » 21 5 11 Jun Jul Jun 13 20 27 3 33.0 3 38.9 3(0 320 Billions of Dollars 1 1 Money Market 1994 Billions 9 320 10 Total Borrowings From Federal Reserve Banks Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars 1.4 ---------1--------1994 1.2 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 4 §ii ions “ Jun 22 29 Jul 6 13 0. 326 0. 385 0. 750 0. 360 27 0. 443 1.2 1.0 i 0.8 0.8 Billions of Dollars 0.8 il r L L J LJw J 2 If 10 14 2t tl 25 22 6 20 A < v'v VA 3 17 1 15 2) 12 20 J\ S 23 9 23 t 20 4 10 1 15 29 13 27 II 24 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug 1993 „ .... -----. 1994 Borrowings include seasonal, adjustment and extended credit; extended credit was $1 million in the week ending July 20. 1994. Bank Loans and Credit 3275 3225 3175 . All Commercial Banks in the United States Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars 2400 ---------1--------Bank Cr<sdit 1994 Eii ions Jun 8 31 95.5 15 32 09.7 22 32 00.5 29 32 15.2 13 32 42’4 2350 B ink Cr««Jit (left scale 2300 )2/ ✓ 3125 f-------- 3075 3025 Av‘ Loc ns anc Lease (righl scale i 2075 2925 2200 _J ■sf* LoarlSiScLet3ses 199 4 Bill Jun 8 2234.7 15 2241.4 22 2234.5 Jul 6 2253.9 13 2263.7 — l .. ! If 11 14 il 11 25 I !! f ?D 1 17 I 15 2) 12 2f ! 23 I 23 f it 4 II I IS 21 12 27 II 24 Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aua 1993 1994 Latest Wednesday data plotted : July 13, 1994 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.8 release. 1/ Includes foreign—related institutions 2/ Includes loans and leases and securities _ .. _ „ Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2250 2150 2100 Commercial Paper of Nonfinancial Companies Billions of Dollars 1994 Billions of Dollars Not Seasonally Adjusted Billions Jun 15 157.506 154.534 152.451 Jul 6 152.694 151.801 153.615 2 It 30 14 28 Jul 25 8 22 t 20 3 17 1 15 28 12 2$ ! 23 8 23 I 20 4 11 1 15 2) 13 27 10 24 Se; Aug Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May 1994 Jun Jul Aug Latest data plotted week ending: July 20, 1994 Commercial and Industrial Loans Billions of Dollars eon 320 / ** Ail Bank* ( eft see le)1/ y s' y ' '-N. r— 580 ✓ y- * — N- X 1 510 1994 Billions Jun 8 292.0 15 294.4 22 296.0 29 295.4 — Jul 6 297.7 13 298.4 -J...........I,., 570 rT'i ' Jun ^T”' I1 1,1 1 1 M Jul Ml1 TH t T'l'lr~' i i > 1 i • i Aug r-fr i i ■ i ■ r» t ■ Sep Oet Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aua 1993 1994 Latest Wednesday data plotted : July 13, 1994 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.8 release. 1/ Includes foreign—related institutions 2/ Weekly reporting, domestically chartered banks „ Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11 300 290 Lar( • Banl«(righ scale 5(0 310 y- V (ID Billions of Dollars ---------1--------- 1---------All Banks 1994 Billions - Jun 8 605.3 15 609.7 22 609.5 29 609.7 Jul 6 611.9 13 616.9 _____ (20 280 270 2(0 Doner’s Trade-Weighted Exchange Index 1973-100 1973-100 Averages of Daily Figures 1994 1973-100 2 II 31 14 21 11 2S I 22 Aug Sep 21 3 17 1 IS 21 12 21 i 23 * 23 I 21 4 II 1 IS 2) 13 27 II 24 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Latest data plotted week ending: July 27, 1994 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H. 10 release. Data are weighted averages of the foreign-currency price of the U.S. dollar, computed using 10 industrial country currencies. Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 O H k c J o 0s < D «