Full text of U.S. Financial Data : July 25, 1996
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fa! Res-evv?. * Louis of St. Lou!® UXFinancial Data THE WEEK'S HIGHLIGHTS: ✓ Advance new orders for manufactured durable goods fell 0.8 percent in June to $169.1 billion. Durable goods orders rose 1.4 percent in the second quarter after rising 0.7 percent in the first quarter. New orders for nondefense capital goods, by contrast, fell 6.8 percent in the second quarter, the first decline in two years. ✓ After rising 1.9 percent in May, existing home sales fell 2.3 percent in June. This was the first drop in five months. ✓ Paced by a 7.4 percent drop in petroleum prices, the index of U.S. import pricesfell 1.2 percent in June. Import pricesfell 1 percent in the second quarter—the largest drop in three and a halfyears. ✓ The U.S. dollar’s trade-weighted exchange rate index (TWEX) measured 86.6percent (1973=100) for the week ending July 24. The TWEX has fallen 2.3 percent since the week ending May 29, when it posted its highest level since the week ending Jan. 11, 1995 (see back page). The U.S. Treasury Department reported a $34.1 billion surplus in June. Thus far in fiscal year 1996, the federal budget deficit totals $75 billion, down $48.7 billion from the same period in fiscal year 1995. All data are seasonally adjusted unless otherwise indicated. U.S. Financial Data is published weekly by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. The cost for a subscription is $21 for one year (50 issues) or $36 for two years (100 issues). For more information on data, please call (314) 444-8590. To request an order form, please call (314) 444-8808 or (314) 444-8809. Sorry, no refunds. Information in this publication is also included in the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) electronic bulletin board at (314) 621-1824 or internet World Wide Web server at http://www.stls.frb.org/fred. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 Adjusted Monetary Base Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars May 8 Jun 5 Jul 3 7 2! 5 Billions of Dollars Billions 470.5 474.3 474.7 474.7 477.2 477.6 19 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 Aug Sep 17 31 14 28 13 27 10 24 8 22 5 Oct Apr 1995 May 19 3 17 31 14 28 Jun 1996 The adjusted monetary base is the sum of reserve accounts of financial institutions ot Federal Reserve bonks, currency in circulation (currency held by the public ond in the vaults of all depository institutions) and an adjustment for reserve requirement ratio chonges. The major source of the adjusted monetary base is Federal Reserve credit. Oata are computed by this bank. A detailed description of the odjusted monetary base is available from this bonk. Recent doto are preliminary. Adjusted Monetary Base To the average of two maintenance periods ending: Compounded onnuol rotes of chonge, overoge of two mointenonce periods ending: 7/19/95 10/11/95 12/20/95 1/17/96 2/14/96 5.2 3/13/96 12/20/95 1.7 1/17/96 1.8 1.6 2/14/96 1.2 0.6 -0.3 3/13/96 1.5 2.0 1.1 2.0 1.0 2.4 0.3 2.4 1.3 1.7 2.2 1.0 0.9 0.6 1.6 0.8 1.6 1.8 1.6 2.5 2.7 3.6 2.4 3.5 4/10/96 5/22/96 6/19/96 7/17/96 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2.2 2.5 4/10/96 5/22/96 0.7 2.6 7.1 Prepored by Federol Reserve Bonk of St. Louis Money Stock(M1) and Total Checkable Deposits Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Jun 10 1160- Billions of Dollars Billions 1114.0 Billions 726.9 1120.2 732.5 1115.1 1118.5 1106.0 729.5 715.2 1102.6 712.5 (left scale) 1120- TCD (right scale) 1080- 15 29 12 26 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Feb Mar Apr May Ml is the sum of currency held by the nonbonk public, demand deposits, other checkable deposits and travelers checks. Total checkable deposits is the sum of demand deposits and other checkable deposits ot depository institutions. Current doto appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. Money Stock (M1) To the average of four weeks ending: 12/18/95 Compounded annual rotes of change, overage of four weeks ending: 7/17/95 10/16/95 12/18/95 1/15/96 2/12/96 3/18/96 4/15/96 -3.9 1/15/96 -3.8 -3.9 2/12/96 -4.3 -4.7 -5.4 3/18/96 -2.5 -1.8 -0.1 1.3 4/15/96 -2.2 -1.4 0.1 1.1 5/13/96 -2.7 -2.3 -1.5 -1.1 1.0 6/17/96 -2.6 -3.0 -2.2 -1.5 0.3 -2.8 -4.3 -2.8 -2.4 -1.1 -2.2 -1.2 -4.0 -5.5 7/15/96 5/13/96 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 5.2 -3.5 -4.4 Prepored by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 3 4 Adjusted Reserves Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Billions Moy 8 Jun 5 Jul 3 7 21 5 94.1 97.4 96.8 95.9 96.8 95.8 19 2 - 110 16 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 Sep 17 31 14 28 13 27 10 24 Oct Apr 22 5 May 19 3 17 31 14 28 Jun Adjusted reserves is the difference between the adjusted monetary base and the currency component of M1. Adjusted Reserves To the overage of two maintenance periods ending: 12/20/95 1/17/96 Compounded onnuol rotes of change, overage of two maintenance periods ending: , , , , , 7/19/95 10/11/95 12/20/95 1/17/96 2/14/96 3/13/96 4/10/96 5/22/96 -5.8 -5.1 -5.3 -6.6 -6.5 -3.9 -4.5 -0.9 4/10/96 -4.1 -2.9 -2.6 1.3 -0.7 2.2 5/22/96 6/19/96 -5.3 -4.2 -6.0 -4.5 -4.8 -2.8 -5.5 -3.1 -5.2 -2.4 -9.2 -4.5 -9.2 7/17/96 -4.0 -4.2 -2.6 -2.8 -2.2 -3.8 -7.0 2/14/96 3/13/96 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 6.9 3.4 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Money Multiplier Averages of Daily Figures 3.0- Compounded annu al rote of change, averog of the four weeks enc ing July 15, 1996, frorn the four weeks enc ing: -4 Oct 9. 1995 -5 -4 Jon 15. 1996 Fe 12. 1996 -4 -5 Mor 11. 1996 8. 1996 -7 Apr 20. 1996 -10 Mo 2.8- 3.0 1996 Moy 2C Jun 17 Jul 15 . 0 . 2 . i .5 . i . 0 Rotio 2.377 2.356 2.356 2.354 2 342 2 312 2.8 2.6 2.6 2.4 2.4 2.2 5 19 Jun 3 17 31 14 28 II 25 9 23 6 20 4 18 1 15 29 12 26 II 25 8 22 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jon Feb Mor Apr 1995 Ratio of M1 to adjusted monetary base. 6 20 May 3 17 1 15 29 12 26 Jun Jul Aug 1996 Currency Component of M1 Billions of Dollars Averages of Daily Figures seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Compounded onnuol rotes of change, overoge of the four weeks ending July 15. 1996. from the four weeks ending: Jul 17. 1995 3. Oct 16, 1 995 3 . Jon 1 5, 1 996 3 . Feb 12, 1996 5. Mor 18 . 1 996 5 . Apr 15. 1996 5. Jun 10 Billions 378.5 380.4 5 19 3 15 29 12 26 1995 Current doto oppeor in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 releose. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1996 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 5 2.2 6 Yields on Selected Securities Averages of Daily Figures Percent ircent 10.0 9.0 Prime Rate 8.0 Corporate Aaa Bonds 7.0 Commercial Paper Municipal Bonds 2 16 JO 14 28 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 1996 May 3 10 17 24 31 Jun 7 14 21 28 Jul 5 12 19 26 5.0 15 29 12 26 9 23 8 22 5 19 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 9 23 Apr May 30-Doy Commercial Paper 90-Doy COs 90-Day Bankers’ Acceptances Corporate Aaa Bonds Corporate Baa Bonds 5.40 5.40 5.38 5.36 5.38 5.42 5.43 5.46 5.50 5.49 5.45 5.44 5.40 5.36 5.37 5.36 5.35 5.36 5.42 5.48 5.47 5.49 5.49 5.57 5.54 5.51 5.29 5.30 5.28 5.27 5.30 5.34 5.40 5.39 5.40 5.43 5.47 5.45 5.44 7.65 7.72 7.57 7.53 7.61 7.67 7.78 7.74 7.66 7.62 7.73 7.61 7.60 8.33 8.40 8.25 8.20 8.27 8.34 8.47 8.44 8.36 8.32 8.42 8.32 8.32 MunicipOl Bonds ** Current dato are from the Federal Reserve Boord's H.15 release, ond ore overages of rates available for the week ending on July 26, 1996 . •• Bond Buyer's Average Index of 20 municipal bonds, Thursdoy dato N.A. - Not Available http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 6.06 6.08 5.96 5.87 5.94 5.94 6.12 6.06 5.97 5.94 6.00 5.88 NA Prepared by Federol Reserve Bank of St. Louis 4.0 Selected Interest Rates Averages of Daily Figures Percent Percent - 7.0 10-Year Treasury Securities Federal Funds Rate Discount Rate .......... 5.0 3-Month Treasury Bill 2 16 30 14 28 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 15 29 12 26 9 23 5 19 Apr 1996 Moy 3 10 17 24 31 Jun 7 14 21 28 Jul 5 12 19 26 • Federal Funds •• 5.30 5.22 5.26 5.22 5.19 5.33 5.24 5.45 5.21 5.53 5.26 5.23 5.25 3-Month Treasury Bill 1 -Year Treasury Bill 5-Year Treasury Securities 5.00 5.00 5.01 5.04 5.04 5.09 5.11 5.09 5.09 5.13 5.15 5.13 5.16 5.33 5.35 5.28 5.27 5.39 5.46 5.52 5.48 5.47 5.49 5.57 5.47 5.54 6.46 6.55 6.42 6.41 6.55 6.63 6.77 6.73 6.63 6.60 6.72 6.59 6.62 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 9 23 May 10-Yeor Treasury Securities Long-Term Treasury Securities 6.74 7.04 6.82 7.11 6.68 6.96 6.65 6.93 6.77 7.02 6.85 7.08 6.99 7.23 6.95 7.18 6.86 7.08 6.85 7.04 6.95 7.16 6.81 7.04 6.84 7.05 Except for long-term Treosury securities, which ore computed by this Bank, current dato oppeor in the Federal Reserve Boord's H. 15 releose. • Averages of rotes available •• Seven-doy overages for week ending two doys earlier than dote shown Prepored by Federal Reserve Bonk of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 7 8 Money Stock(M2) and Non-M1 Components of M2 Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Jun 10 Billions of Dollars Billions 3747.2 3755.2 3744.5 3750.3 3754.5 3747.6 M2 (left scale) Non-Mi M2 (right scole) Non-M1 M2 Billions 2633.2 2635.0 2628.9 2631.8 2648.5 2645.0 Jun 10 5 19 3 17 31 H 28 11 25 9 23 6 20 4 18 I Nov Dec Aug Sep Oct 15 29 12 26 II 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 Feb Mor Apr May I 15 29 17 26 Jul Aug M2 is the sum of Ml, sovings (including money market deposit occounts), small time deposits and retoil money funds. Current doto appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. Money Stock (M2) o? four'weeks* Compounded annual rotes of chonge, overage of four weeks ending: 7/17/95 10/16/95 12/18/95 1/15/96 2/12/96 3/18/96 4/15/96 5/13/96 ending: 12/18/95 4.7 1/15/96 5.1 5.0 2/12/96 4.2 3/18/96 4.6 5.7 6.1 4.4 7.5 7.6 4/15/96 5.7 5.9 7.0 6.9 5/13/96 6/17/96 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.7 5.1 4.9 4.6 9.3 5.5 4.4 5.1 1.3 2.3 7/15/96 4.6 4.4 4.5 4.1 4.5 2.3 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Savings and Small Time Deposits Averages of Daily Figures seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 1996 Billions of Dollars Savings Small Time Billions 1210.3 1208.8 928.0 Jul 928.2 928.2 929.0 929.5 928.1 24 1207.4 1218.6 1280- 1996 Jun 10 17 1 1215.7 Small Time (right scale) Savings Deposits (left scale) Oct 8 22 6 20 Apr May 1995 Savings deposits and small time deposits ore at all depository institutions. 1996 Aug Sep 15 29 12 26 Jun Large Time Deposits and Retail Money Funds Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Large Time 1996 Jun 570Jul ' 10 17 24 1 Retail Money Billions 441.1 1996 Jun 10 Billions 494.9 498.2 443.6 445.7 447.7 497.3 496.1 450.9 499.8 Retail Money Large Time Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 1995 1996 toi* money funds ore at oil despository institutions. Large time deposits are those issued ii denominations of $100,000 or more. Retail money funds were originally colled general purpose ■r/Hanlar Large time deposits _ http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federol Reserve Bonk of St. Louis 9 10 Total Borrowings From Federal Reserve Bonks Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Billions Jun 19 Jul 7 21 3 3 0.523 0.293 0.288 0.315 19 2 16 30 13 27 Aug Sep 25 8 22 6 20 3 Oct Nov 17 51 14 28 13 27 10 24 8 22 3 0«C Apr 1995 Borrowings include seosonol, adjustment and extended credit. May 19 3 17 31 14 28 Jun 1996 Bank Loans and Credit All Commercial Banks in the United States1^ Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Bonk Credit Billions 5 3666.1 3651.2 3660.9 3658.1 Jul 3 3659.9 Jun Bonk Credit (left scale)2/ Loans&Leases 1996 2665.4 Jun 5 2683.2 2679.7 2684.7 Jul 3 2685.7 2684.1 Loans and Leases (right scale) 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 7 31 14 28 13 27 10 24 8 22 5 1995 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.8 release. 1/ Includes foreign-related institutions 2/ Includes loons ond looses and securities http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 19 3 7 31 14 28 1996 Prepared by Federol Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2560 Commercial Paper of Nonfinancial Companies Not Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollors Jun 12 Jul 3 Billions of Dollars Billions 198.220 205.672 198.505 199.629 196.964 199.933 1995 1996 Commercial and Industrial Loans Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollors Billions of Dollors All Banks 740- 1996 Jun 5 733.9 733.7 736.9 734.4 732.6 All Bonks (left scale) */ Large Bonks (right scale)^/ Large Banks Billions Jun 5 Jul 3 660- 1995 360^2 360.4 358.5 - 320 1996 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.8 release. 1/ Includes foreign-related institutions 2/ Weekly reporting, domestically chartered bonks http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 357.5 357.2 11 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Dollar's Trade-Weighted Exchange Index Averages of Daily Figures 1973=100 1973=100 873 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 22 6 20 3 17 31 14 28 13 27 10 24 8 22 5 19 3 ■ ioo 17 31 14 28 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.10 releose. Doto ore weighted overages ol the foreign-currency price of the U.S. dollar, computed using 10 industrial country currencies. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis