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USFinancialData January 29, 2004 Advance Edition Calendar of Releases Titles for the current week are links to their respective releases. MONDAY* TUESDAY WEDNESDAY THURSDAY* FRIDAY January 26 January 27 January 28 January 29 January 30 Existing Home Sales (Dec) A: 6.47M P: 6.10M Consumer Conf (Jan) A: 96.8 P: 97.8 Latest issue Internat’l Economic Trends New Home Sales (Dec) A: 1060K P: 1088K Initial Claims A: 342K P: 342K Durable Goods (Dec) A: 0.0% P: 2.0% A: 0.7% FOMC Meeting Statement A: N/A GDP (Q4) P: 4.8% ECI (Q4) P: 0.9% Help Wanted Index (Dec) FOMC Minutes (previous meeting) February 2 February 3 February 4 February 5 February 6 Personal Income (Dec) F: N/A P: 0.2% Factory Orders (Dec) F: N/A P: 1.4% Initial Claims F: N/A P: 343K Nonfarm Payrolls (Jan) F: N/A P: 125K Consumption (Dec) F: N/A P: 0.4% ISM Non Mfg Index (Jan) F: N/A P: 60.0 Productivity (Q4) F: N/A P: 3.0% Unemployment Rate (Jan) F: N/A P: 5.7% Unit Labor Costs (Q4) F: N/A P: –1.0% Consumer Credit (Dec) F: N/A P: N/A Construc Spending (Dec) F: N/A P: 0.7% ISM Index (Jan) F: N/A P: 64.0 Latest issue National Economic Trends February 9 February 10 February 11 February 12 February 13 Initial Claims F: N/A International Trade (Dec) F: N/A Retail Sales (Jan) F: N/A Import Prices (Jan) F: N/A Business Inventories (Dec) F: N/A DEFINITIONS: A, actual value; P, previous week’s forecast; F, current week’s forecast; K, thousand; M, million; B, billion. *The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System provides H.3, H.4.1, and H.6 releases each Thursday and H.10 and H.15 releases each Monday. Forecast data are from Thomson Financial. ©Thomson Financial, 2003. All Rights Reserved. Use, duplication, or sale of this service or the data contained herein, except as described in the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Subscription Agreement, is strictly prohibited. research.stlouisfed.org Contents Page 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 Adjusted Monetary Base Adjusted Reserves MZM M2 Yields on Selected Securities Yields on Nominal and Inflation-Indexed Treasury Securities Federal Funds Futures Market Equity Price Indices Crude Oil Prices Natural Gas Prices Exchange Rates Currency, Savings, and Small Time Deposits Large Time Deposits, Retail Money Funds, and Borrowings from Federal Reserve Banks Bank Loans Commercial Paper Reference Tables Notes Conventions used in this publication: 1. Unless otherwise indicated, figure and table data are weekly and seasonally adjusted. 2. For pages 7, 10, 12 (top chart), 13, and 18 (top and bottom right tables), the last observation is a daily average that incorporates all available data at the time of publication, which usually includes observations for the first three trading days of the week (Monday through Wednesday). The previous observations signify that week’s average. We welcome your comments addressed to: Editor, U.S. Financial Data Research Division Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis P.O. Box 442 St. Louis, MO 63166-0442 Measures of the money stock and components in this publication have been revised to incorporate the results of the annual seasonal factor review. For more information, see www.federalreserve.gov/release/h6/. or to: stlsFRED@stls.frb.org U.S. Financial Data is published weekly by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. For more information on data in this publication, please visit research.stlouisfed.org/fred2 or call (314) 444-8590. To be added to our free email notification list, please visit our web site at research.stlouisfed.org/publications/usfd. updated through 01/29/04 U.S. Financial Data Adjusted Monetary Base Averages of Daily Figures, Seasonally Adjusted Billions of dollars 770 760 750 740 730 720 710 700 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun 2002 Jul Aug Sep Nov Oct Dec 2003 Jan 2004 Adjusted Monetary Base To the average of two maintenance periods ending: Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: 01/22/03 04/16/03 06/25/03 7.2 07/23/03 7.0 3.9 08/20/03 7.2 4.8 06/25/03 07/23/03 08/20/03 09/17/03 10/29/03 11/26/03 6.9 09/17/03 6.6 4.4 5.5 5.3 10/29/03 6.4 4.6 5.3 5.2 4.1 11/26/03 5.9 4.2 4.7 4.4 3.4 3.7 12/24/03 5.7 4.1 4.4 4.2 3.3 3.5 2.4 01/21/04 5.2 3.6 3.8 3.5 2.7 2.7 1.5 1.4 Research Division Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 3 updated through 01/29/04 U.S. Financial Data Adjusted Reserves Seasonally Adjusted Billions of dollars 101 98 95 92 89 86 83 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun 2002 Jul Aug Sep Nov Oct Dec 2003 Jan 2004 Adjusted Reserves To the average of two maintenance periods ending: Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: 01/22/03 04/16/03 06/25/03 06/25/03 -5.1 07/23/03 -0.9 11.3 08/20/03 1.3 12.4 21.2 07/23/03 08/20/03 09/17/03 10/29/03 09/17/03 3.6 14.2 21.7 19.5 10/29/03 0.3 6.8 7.3 2.4 -2.7 11/26/03 2.4 9.0 10.4 7.2 4.7 12/24/03 4.5 11.2 13.3 11.1 9.9 6.6 28.1 01/21/04 2.7 8.0 8.8 6.3 4.6 0.9 11.1 11/26/03 -1.7 4.3 Research Division 4 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis updated through 01/29/04 U.S. Financial Data MZM Averages of Daily Figures, Seasonally Adjusted Billions of dollars 6600 6500 6400 6300 6200 6100 6000 5900 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun 2002 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2003 Jan 2004 MZM To the average of four weeks ending: Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: 01/20/03 06/23/03 6.5 07/21/03 8.8 11.6 08/18/03 8.5 10.5 04/14/03 06/23/03 07/21/03 08/18/03 09/15/03 10/27/03 11/24/03 14.4 09/15/03 7.4 8.4 9.2 3.1 10/27/03 5.5 5.4 4.3 -0.4 -3.1 11/24/03 4.7 4.4 3.0 -0.9 -3.0 -4.0 12/22/03 3.8 3.2 1.6 -1.8 -3.7 -4.6 -4.4 01/19/04 3.6 3.0 1.5 -1.4 -2.8 -3.3 -2.5 -2.4 Research Division Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 5 updated through 01/29/04 U.S. Financial Data M2 Averages of Daily Figures, Seasonally Adjusted Billions of dollars 6300 6200 6100 6000 5900 5800 5700 5600 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun 2002 Jul Aug Sep Nov Oct Dec 2003 Jan 2004 M2 To the average of four weeks ending: Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: 01/20/03 06/23/03 8.3 07/21/03 8.7 9.6 08/18/03 8.7 9.5 04/14/03 06/23/03 07/21/03 08/18/03 09/15/03 10/27/03 11/24/03 9.9 09/15/03 7.6 7.5 6.1 4.0 10/27/03 5.8 5.0 2.8 0.6 -2.6 11/24/03 5.1 4.2 2.0 0.2 -2.2 -2.7 12/22/03 4.5 3.5 1.4 -0.2 -2.2 -2.6 -1.7 01/19/04 4.1 3.0 1.0 -0.3 -2.0 -2.2 -1.5 -1.7 Research Division 6 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis updated through 01/29/04 U.S. Financial Data Yields on Selected Securities Averages of Daily Figures Percent 7 Corporate Aaa 6 5 Prime Rate 4 3 2-Year Swap 2 1 Commercial Paper 0 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun 2002 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2003 Jan 2004 Percent 6 5 10-Year Treasury 4 3 2 Intended Federal Funds Rate || 1 Federal Funds Rate 3-Month Treasury 0 Nov Dec Jan 2002 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 2003 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan 2004 Research Division Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 7 updated through 01/29/04 U.S. Financial Data 10-Year Treasury Note Yield Averages of Daily Figures Percent 6 5 4 3 2 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun 2002 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan 2004 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan 2004 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan 2004 2003 10-Year Inflation-Indexed Treasury Yield Averages of Daily Figures Percent 4 3 2 1 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun 2002 2003 10-Year Inflation-Indexed Treasury Yield Spread Averages of Daily Figures Percent 3 2 1 0 Nov Dec 2002 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun 2003 Research Division 8 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis updated through 01/29/04 U.S. Financial Data Rates on Federal Funds Futures Contracts Daily Data Percent 1.3 1.2 Feb 2004 | | | | 1.1 Mar 2004 1.0 Intended Target Rate Jan 2004 0.9 0.8 Aug Sep Nov Oct Dec Jan 2003 2004 Rates on Federal Funds Futures on Selected Dates Percent 1.35 1.30 12/01/03 1.25 1.20 1.15 12/30/03 1.10 1.05 01/28/04 1.00 0.95 Jan 2004 Feb 2004 Mar 2004 Apr 2004 May 2004 Jun 2004 Contract Month Research Division Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9 updated through 01/29/04 U.S. Financial Data Dow Jones Industrial Average and NASDAQ Composite Averages of Daily Figures Closing Price February 5, 1971 = 100 11000 2200 10250 2050 Dow Jones (left scale) 9500 1900 8750 1750 NASDAQ (right scale) 8000 1600 7250 1450 6500 1300 5750 1150 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun 2002 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2003 Jan 2004 Wilshire 5000 and Standard & Poor's 500 Averages of Daily Figures January 2, 1980 = 1078.29 1941-43 = 10 11500 1150 11000 1100 10500 1050 S&P* (right scale) 10000 1000 9500 950 9000 900 8500 850 Wilshire** (left scale) 8000 800 7500 750 Nov Dec 2002 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep 2003 Oct Nov Dec Jan 2004 *Copyright 2003 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Standard & Poor's including its subsidiary corporations ("S&P") is a division of The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Reproduction of this data in any form is prohibited without S&P's prior written permission. **Source: Wilshire Associates Incorporated, www.wilshire.com Research Division 10 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis updated through 01/29/04 U.S. Financial Data Crude Oil Spot Prices West Texas Intermediate, Averages of Daily Figures Dollars per barrel 40 36 32 28 24 20 Nov Dec Feb Jan Mar Apr Jun May 2002 Jul Aug Sep Nov Oct Dec 2003 Jan 2004 Crude Oil Futures Prices West Texas Intermediate Dollars per barrel 35 34 33 32 01/21/2004 31 30 01/28/2004 29 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 2004 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan 2005 Research Division Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11 updated through 01/29/04 U.S. Financial Data Natural Gas Spot Prices Henry Hub, Averages of Daily Figures Dollars per million btu 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 Nov Dec Feb Jan Mar Apr Jun May 2002 Jul Aug Sep Nov Oct Dec 2003 Jan 2004 Natural Gas Futures Prices Henry Hub Dollars per million btu 6.25 6.00 5.75 01/21/2004 5.50 01/28/2004 5.25 5.00 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 2004 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan 2005 Research Division 12 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis updated through 01/29/04 U.S. Financial Data Trade-Weighted Exchange Rate Indexes Averages of Daily Figures March 1973=100 January 1987=100 110 130 Broad Index (right scale) 105 125 100 120 95 115 Major Index (left scale) 90 110 85 105 80 100 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun 2002 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2003 Jan 2004 Exchange Rates Averages of Daily Figures Euro/US$ Yen/US$ 1.05 128 1.00 124 Japan (right scale) 0.95 120 0.90 116 0.85 112 Euro (left scale) 0.80 108 0.75 104 Nov Dec Jan 2002 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 2003 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan 2004 Research Division Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 13 updated through 01/29/04 U.S. Financial Data Currency Component of M1 Averages of Daily Figures, Seasonally Adjusted Billions of dollars 670 660 650 640 630 620 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun 2002 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2003 Jan 2004 Savings and Small Time Deposits Averages of Daily Figures, Seasonally Adjusted Billions of dollars Billions of dollars 930 3300 910 3200 Small Time (left scale) 890 3100 870 3000 850 2900 830 2800 Savings (right scale) 810 2700 790 2600 Nov Dec 2002 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 2003 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan 2004 Research Division 14 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis updated through 01/29/04 U.S. Financial Data Large Time Deposits and Retail Money Funds Averages of Daily Figures, Seasonally Adjusted Billions of dollars 1000 950 Retail Money 900 850 800 Large Time 750 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun 2002 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2003 Jan 2004 Note: The surge in large time deposits for the week ending July 7, 2003, was due to accounting changes for commercial banks. For further information, please refer to www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h8/. Total Borrowings from Federal Reserve Banks Averages of Daily Figures Billions of dollars 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 Nov Dec Jan 2002 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 2003 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan 2004 Research Division Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 15 updated through 01/29/04 U.S. Financial Data Bank Loans and Credit All Commercial Banks in the United States, Seasonally Adjusted Billions of dollars Billions of dollars 6300 4900 Bank Credit (left scale) 6100 4700 5900 4500 5700 4300 Loans and Leases (right scale) 5500 4100 5300 3900 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun 2002 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2003 Jan 2004 Commercial and Industrial Loans Seasonally Adjusted Billions of dollars Billions of dollars 1000 525 975 500 Large Banks (right scale) 950 475 925 450 All Banks (left scale) 900 425 875 400 Nov Dec 2002 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 2003 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan 2004 Research Division 16 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis updated through 01/29/04 U.S. Financial Data Commercial Paper of Nonfinancial Companies Not Seasonally Adjusted Billions of dollars 170 150 130 110 90 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun 2002 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2003 Jan 2004 Commercial Paper of Financial Companies Not Seasonally Adjusted Billions of dollars 1240 1220 1200 1180 1160 1140 1120 Nov Dec Jan 2002 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 2003 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan 2004 Research Division Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 17 updated through 01/29/04 U.S. Financial Data Interest Rates Percent Nov Dec Jan 30-Day Comm. Paper 90-Day CDs 2-Year Interest Corporate Corporate Municipal Rate Swap Aaa Bonds Baa Bonds Bonds Federal Funds 3-Month Treasury Bill 2-Year Treasury Securities 5-Year Treasury Securities 10-Year Treasury Treasury Long-Term Securities Average 7 1.02 1.11 2.28 5.74 6.75 4.83 1.01 0.94 1.95 3.37 4.41 5.29 14 1.03 1.12 2.28 5.70 6.71 4.77 0.99 0.93 1.97 3.36 4.36 5.25 21 1.02 1.11 2.13 5.56 6.57 4.66 0.99 0.93 1.84 3.16 4.18 5.11 28 1.02 1.11 2.25 5.60 6.61 4.66 0.99 0.93 1.97 3.27 4.25 5.15 5 1.02 1.11 2.38 5.67 6.66 4.73 1.00 0.92 2.04 3.40 4.36 5.22 12 1.02 1.10 2.22 5.67 6.63 4.70 0.98 0.90 1.90 3.27 4.29 5.19 19 1.03 1.10 2.16 5.57 6.54 4.57 1.00 0.88 1.84 3.20 4.20 5.10 26 1.06 1.10 2.17 5.55 6.54 4.58 0.99 0.88 1.86 3.22 4.21 5.08 2 1.03 1.09 2.19 5.65 6.63 4.60 0.96 0.91 1.88 3.28 4.30 5.17 9 1.00 1.07 2.16 5.62 6.56 4.64 0.97 0.88 1.83 3.24 4.27 5.15 16 0.98 1.05 1.97 5.46 6.37 4.52 0.99 0.87 1.67 3.00 4.04 4.98 23 0.98 1.05 1.99 5.46 6.37 4.57 1.00 0.87 1.69 3.02 4.05 4.97 30 * 1.01 1.05 2.01 5.55 6.42 . 1.02 0.90 1.77 3.14 4.16 5.05 *Averages of rates available Money Stock and Components Reserves and Base Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted Dec Jan Savings Large Time Retail Money Adjusted Monetary Base Adjusted Reserves M2 MZM Currency Small Time 8 6066.3 6360.4 663.6 808.3 3158.5 878.7 814.1 Oct 29 756.568 95.513 15 6059.3 6347.8 663.8 807.0 3153.7 881.5 807.6 Nov 12 751.453 93.383 22 6065.6 6357.4 664.0 805.9 3159.9 882.9 805.2 26 755.443 96.499 29 6060.3 6355.7 664.6 804.5 3156.6 885.0 800.2 Dec 10 755.648 97.269 5 6051.4 6367.6 664.1 802.7 3156.8 923.1 799.5 12 6055.1 6359.8 666.2 802.0 3188.1 946.1 794.2 19 6066.7 6364.5 664.6 802.2 3192.4 955.1 784.0 Bank Loans and Credit Jan 24 754.736 96.518 7 752.431 95.326 21 757.737 95.799 Exchange Rates Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted Broad Major Exchange Rate: Exchange Exchange Rate Index Rate Index Euro/$ Bank Credit Loans and Leases C&I Loans (All) C&I Loans (Large) Comm. Paper (nsa) Total Borrowings Dec 17 6287.5 4428.4 909.4 450.5 119.0 0.037 Dec 19 86.3 114.5 0.810 107.7 24 6268.3 4419.6 897.6 438.5 112.0 0.070 26 85.9 114.2 0.804 107.3 31 6245.3 4396.8 892.4 434.7 101.4 0.065 2 85.1 113.5 0.797 107.0 7 6268.6 4432.5 895.0 433.3 107.9 0.024 9 83.8 112.1 0.784 106.2 14 6288.7 4435.3 895.1 433.0 108.5 0.045 16 84.2 112.2 0.791 106.4 Jan 21 28 . . . . . . Jan Exchange Rate: Yen/$ . 112.8 0.223 23 84.5 112.7 0.792 106.6 . 113.9 0.197 30 * 84.7 112.7 0.793 105.7 *Averages of rates available Research Division 18 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis U.S. Financial Data Definitions M1: The sum of currency held outside the vaults of depository institutions, Federal Reserve Banks, and the U.S. Treasury; travelers checks; and demand and other checkable deposits issued by financial institutions (except demand deposits due to the Treasury and depository institutions), minus cash items in process of collection and Federal Reserve float. M2: M1 plus savings deposits (including money market deposit accounts) and small-denomination (less than $100,000) time deposits issued by financial institutions; and shares in retail money market mutual funds (funds with initial investments of less than $50,000), net of retirement accounts. M3: M2 plus large-denomination ($100,000 or more) time deposits; repurchase agreements issued by depository institutions; Eurodollar deposits, specifically, dollar-denominated deposits due to nonbank U.S. addresses held at foreign offices of U.S. banks worldwide and all banking offices in Canada and the United Kingdom; and institutional money market mutual funds (funds with initial investments of $50,000 or more). Notes Cover Page: Economic forecasts are median responses from the Thomson Financial Weekly Economic Survey, which is sent out to 20 to 25 Wall Street economists each week (usually on Tuesday). These forecasts are released on Friday—at which time, Thursday’s USFD cover page will be updated. Page 3: Adjusted Monetary Base equals the sum of currency in circulation outside Federal Reserve Banks and the U.S. Treasury, deposits of depository financial institutions at Federal Reserve Banks, and an adjustment for the effects of changes in statutory reserve requirements on the quantity of base money held by depositories. This series is a spliced chain index; see Anderson and Rasche (1996a, 1996b, 2001, 2003). Page 4: Adjusted Reserves is defined as the sum of vault cash and Federal Reserve Bank deposits held by depository institutions and an adjustment for the effects of changes in statutory reserve requirements on the quantity of base money held by depositories. This series, a spliced chain index, is numerically larger than the Board of Governors’ measure, which excludes vault cash not used to satisfy statutory reserve requirements and Federal Reserve Bank deposits used to satisfy required clearing balance contracts; see Anderson and Rasche (1996a, 2001, 2003). Page 5: MZM includes the zero maturity, or immediately available, components of M3. MZM equals M2 minus small-denomination time deposits, plus institutional money market mutual funds (that is, the money market mutual funds included in M3 but excluded from M2). The label MZM, or “Money, Zero Maturity,” was coined by William Poole (1991) for this aggregate, proposed earlier by Motley (1988). Readers are cautioned that since early 1994 the level and growth of M1 have been depressed by retail sweep programs that reclassify transactions deposits (demand deposits and other checkable deposits) as savings deposits overnight, thereby reducing banks’ required reserves; see Anderson and Rasche (2001) and research.stlouisfed.org/aggreg/swdata.html. Page 7: Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board’s H.15 release, except for the Intended Federal Funds Rate. Federal Funds Rate represents seven-day averages for the week ending two days earlier than the date shown in the release. Page 8: 10-Year Inflation-Indexed Treasury Yield is the most Research Division Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis recently issued inflation-indexed bond of 10-year original maturity. 10-Year Inflation-Indexed Treasury Yield Spread equals the difference between the yield on the most recently issued 10-year inflationindexed bond and the unadjusted 10-Year Treasury Note Yield of similar maturity. Page 9: Rates on Federal Funds Futures Contracts trace through time the yield on three specific contracts. Rates on Federal Funds Futures on Selected Dates displays a single day’s snapshot of yields for contracts expiring in the months shown on the horizontal axis. Page 11: Crude Oil (West Texas intermediate) spot and futures prices are listed in the Wall Street Journal. Spot Prices are weekly averages of daily prices; Futures Prices are usually taken on Wednesday. Page 12: Natural Gas (Henry Hub) spot and futures prices are listed in the Wall Street Journal. Spot Prices are weekly averages of daily prices; Futures Prices are usually taken on Wednesday. Page 13: Data appear in the Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 release. The Major Index comprises 7 currencies. The Broad Index comprises the Major Index plus 19 additional currencies. Further details may be found at www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/summary/. Page 14: Data appear in the Federal Reserve Board’s H.6 release. Savings Deposits is the sum of money market deposit accounts and passbook and statement savings. Small Time Deposits have a minimum initial maturity of 7 days. Savings deposits and small time deposits are at all depository institutions. Page 15: Data appear in the Federal Reserve Board’s H.6 release. Large Time Deposits are deposits of $100,000 or more. Retail Money Funds are included in M2. Retail money funds were originally called general purpose and broker/ dealer money market funds. Large time deposits and retail money funds are at all depository institutions. As of January 9, 2003, Total Borrowings includes primary, secondary, and seasonal credit. Prior to that, borrowings include seasonal, adjustment, and extended credit. Page 16: Data appear in the Federal Reserve Board’s H.8 release. Bank Loans and Credit include foreign-related institutions. Bank Credit includes loans and leases and securities. All Banks includes foreign-related institutions. Large Banks are domestically chartered banks (adjusted for mergers) and report on a weekly basis. Page 17: Current data appear at www.federalreserve.gov/releases/cp/table1.htm. Page 18: Treasury Security yields are Treasury constant maturities as reported in the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System’s H.15 release. The 3-Month Treasury Bill yield is the secondary market yield from the H.15 release. Federal Funds represents seven-day averages for the week ending two days earlier than the date shown in the table. Municipal Bonds represents Bond Buyer’s Average Index of 20 municipal bonds, Thursday data. Sources Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Monetary aggregates and components: H.6 release. Bank credit: H.8 release. Total Borrowings: H.4.1 release. Interest rates: H.15 release. Exchange rates: H.10 release. Commercial paper: Board of Governors web site. Chicago Board of Trade Federal funds futures contract. Dow Jones Indexes Dow Jones Industrial Average. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Adjusted monetary base, adjusted reserves, and MZM. 19 U.S. Financial Data NASDAQ Stock Market, Incorporated NASDAQ Composite®. Standard & Poor’s Standard & Poor’s 500 composite index. U.S. Department of the Treasury U.S. inflation-indexed security yields. ____ and ____(2001). “Retail Sweep Programs and Bank Reserves, 1994-1999,” Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, January/February, pp. 51-72. ____ and ____ , with Jeffrey Loesel (2003). “A Reconstruction of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Adjusted Monetary Base and Reserves,” Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, September/October, 85(5), pp. 39-70. Wall Street Journal Oil (West Texas intermediate) and natural gas (Henry Hub) spot and futures prices. Motley, Brian (1988). “Should M2 Be Redefined?” Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Economic Review, Winter, pp. 33-51. Wilshire Associates Incorporated (www.wilshire.com) Wilshire 5000 ®. Poole, William (1991). Statement before the Subcommittee on Domestic Monetary Policy of the Committee on Banking, Finance and Urban Affairs, U.S. House of Representatives, November 6, 1991. Government Printing Office, Serial No. 102-82. References Anderson, Richard G. and Robert H. Rasche (1996a). “A Revised Measure of the St. Louis Adjusted Monetary Base,” Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, March/April, 78(2), pp. 3-13. Note: Articles from this Bank’s Review are available on the Internet at research.stlouisfed.org/publications/review/. ____ and ____(1996b). “Measuring the Adjusted Monetary Base in an Era of Financial Change,” Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, November/ December, 78(6), pp. 3-37. 20 Research Division Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis