Full text of U.S. Financial Data : January 28, 1993
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Jami^>8, 1^93 TEB Fe *>f Et. Lou (s ttSrFinancial Data THE WEEK'S HIGHLIGHTS: ✓ Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at a 3.8 percent annual rate in fourth quarter 1992, after a 3.4 percent increase in the third quarter. For 1992, real GDP rose 2.9 percent, compared with a 0.1 percent increase in 1991. >/ The GDP deflator rose at a 1.7 percent annual rate during the fourth quarter. For 1992, the deflator rose 2.4 percent, compared with a 3.4 percent increase and a 4.5percent increase during 1991 and 1990, respectively. ✓ Housing starts during December 1992 were at a seasonally adjust ed annual rate of1,302,000 units, up 5.5 percent from November. Except for a spike in March 1992, this is the highest level since March 1990. For all of1992, housing starts totaled 1,201,500 units, up 19 percent from 1,013,900 units in 1991. ✓ The federal budget deficit in December was $38.9 billion, making the deficit $120.5 billion for the first three months offiscal year 1993. During the same period in fiscal year 1992, the deficit was $83.8 billion. Views expressed do not necessarily reflect official positions of the Federal Reserve System. U.S. Financial Data is published weekly by the Research and Public Information Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. The cost for a subscription is as follows: One year (50 issues) $21 Two years (100 issues) $36 To subscribe, please send your check or money order made payable to the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis to: Research and Public Information, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Post Office Box 66953, St. Louis, MO 63166-6953. DO NOT SEND CASH. Checks from foreign subscribers must be payable in U.S. dollars and, except for those from Canada, must be drawn on a U.S. bank. Information in this publication is also included in the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) elec tronic bulletin board. You can access FRED with a personal computer and a modem at 314-621-1824. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 Adjusted Monetary Base Averages or Dally figures Billions of Dollars Nov 11 25 Dec 9 23 Jan 6 20 4 18 Dec Billions of Dollars Seasonally Adjusted 383.2 384.9 382.4 382.2 389.5 388.7 1 15 2) 12 21 11 25 8 22 8 20 3 17 1 15 29 12 28 ) 23 7 21 4 18 2 II 30 13 27 10 24 Jan Nov Feb Feb Mar Apr May Jun 1991 Jul Aug Sep Oct Dec 1992 Jan 1993 Latest data plotted reserve maintenance period ending: January 20, 1993 °vaults o?* l?de^U^' The adjusted monetary base is the sum of reserve accounts of financial institutions at Federal Reserve banks. -----ency in for reserve 'requirement ralfo chJnges. Thi major'sourc^omisjtiTd — ’ monefa"iy”6ase~it’Fsderal — — gdjustrfteht circulation (currency held by the public andi in the vaults of oil der istment for reserve requirement ratio chdnges. The major source of thi Reserve credit. Data are computed by this bank. A detailed description of the adjusted monetary base is available from this bank. Recent data are preliminary. Adjusted Monetary Baae Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: To the average of 1/22/92 4/15/92 6/24/92 7/22/92 8/19/92 9/16/92 10/14/92 11/25/92 periods ending: 6/24/92 7/22/92 8/19/92 9/16/92 10/14/92 11/25/92 12/25/92 1/20/93 9.5 8.6 10.3 10.7 11.4 11.6 10.0 11.2 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 5.7 9.1 10.0 11.1 11.5 9.4 10.9 12.4 13.0 14.1 13.8 10.5 12.4 18.0 17.9 16.2 11.8 13.8 15.9 14.6 9.7 12.4 14.7 8.4 12.0 4.9 10.5 8.8 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Money Stock (Ml) and Total Checkable Deposits Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 1993 Dec 14 21 28 Jan 4 11 18 Billions of Dollars Billions 1021.5 1019.7 1029.2 1028.9 1034.4 1031.6 TCD (right scale) M1 (left scale)' 2 16 30 13 27 10 24 9 23 6 20 4 18 Dec 1991 Jan Feb Mar Apr May 1993 Billions Dec 14 21 28 Jan 4 11 18 721.4 718.8 726.9 725.7 731.4 727.6 1 15 2) 13 27 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 14 28 Jun Jul 1992 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 11 25 0 22 Jan Feb 1993 Latest data plotted week ending: January 18, 1993 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. M1 is the sum of currency held by the nonbank public, demand deposits, other checkable deposits and travelers checks. Total checkable deposits is the sum of demand deposits and other checkable deposits at depository institutions. Money Stock (Ml) Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: To the average 1/20/92 4/20/92 6/15/92 7/20/92 8/17/92 9/21/92 10/19/92 11/16/92 ending: 6/15/92 7/20/92 8/17/92 9/21/92 10/19/92 11/16/92 12/21/92 1/18/93 14.1 11.7 12.5 13.3 14.4 15.2 14.0 13.9 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 6.8 9.4 11.3 13.2 14.5 12.9 13.0 8.9 12.1 14.7 16.2 13.9 13.8 18.1 19.9 20.7 16.7 16.2 20.7 21.6 16.4 15.9 23.7 15.8 15.2 12.3 12.7 8.2 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis 3 4 Adjusted Reserves Billions of Dollars Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 18 98 Nov 11 25 Dec 9 23 Jan 6 20 94.8 98 90.4 95.3 93.8 92 90 88 88 84 82 80 4 IS Dec I 15 » 1! » 11 25 I 23 t 20 3 IT 1 15 !! 1! 26 S 23 7 21 4 II 2 15 10 13 27 10 24 Jan Nov Feb Mar Apr May Jun 1991 Jul Aug Sep Oct Dec Jan 1992 Feb 1993 Latest data plotted two weeks ending: January 20, 1993 Adjusted reserves is the difference between adjusted monetary base and currency component of tol. Adjusted Reeetves _ . Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: lo tbs average Of ^22/92 4/15/92 8/24/92 7/22/92 8/19/92 9/18/92 10/14/92 11/25/92 two maintenance periods ending: 8/24/92 7/22/92 8/19/92 9/16/92 10/14/92 11/25/92 12/23/92 1/20/93 19.3 14.5 16.5 15.8 17.4 19.3 12.8 16.2 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 0.4 6.4 7.2 10.6 14.4 6.7 11.5 9.2 9.7 14.8 19.3 7.7 14.0 20.2 23.8 26.6 10.9 18.0 20.6 25.5 7.0 15.8 31.9 5.9 17.0 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis 78 Money Multiplier1/ Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Ratio Compounded annual rates of change, average of the four weeks ending January 18, 1993 from the four weeks ending: Jan 20, 1992 2.7 Apr 13, 1992 2.0 Jul 20, 1992 2.6 Aug 17. 1992 3.6 Sep 14, 1992 3.9 Oct 12, 1992 3.9 Nov 23, 1992 0.5 Nov 9 Dec 7 Jan 4 2.657 2.647 2.671 2.670 2.642 2.658 2 16 30 13 27 10 24 9 23 6 20 4 10 I 15 2! 13 27 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 14 28 11 25 8 22 Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 1991 1992 Latest data plotted two weeks ending: January 18, 1993 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb 1993 Currency Component of Ml2/ Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Compounded annual rates of change, average of the four weeks ending January 18, 1993 from the four weeks ending: Jon 20, 1992 9.7 Apr 20, 1992 10.8 Jul 20, 1992 12.7 Aug 17, 1992 11.4 Sep 21, 1992 10.2 Oct 19, 1992 9.6 Nov 16, 1992 11.1 1993 Billions 292.2 294.0 294.5 2 16 30 13 27 10 24 9 23 6 20 4 18 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 14 28 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 25 8 22 Jan Latest data plotted week ending: January 18, 1993 1/ Ratio of M1 to adjusted monetary base , 2/ Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 5 6 Yields on Selected Securities Percent Averages of Daily Figures Corporate in dpal Bond#. -Commercial - 20 4 18 1 If 3 17 31 14 28 Dec 1991 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 1992 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 15 2) 12 28 Jan Feb 1993 Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: January 29. 1993 1993 Nov 6 13 20 27 Dec 4 11 18 25 Jan 1 8 15 22 29 * 90-Day CDs 30—Day Commercial Paper 90-Day Bankers1 Acceptances Corporate Aaa Bonds Corporate Baa Bonds Municipal Bonds ** 3.42 3.52 3.68 3.67 3.73 3.54 3.44 3.35 3.34 3.27 3.20 3.17 3.14 3.25 3.28 3.25 3.22 3.70 3.80 3.75 3.62 3.56 3.34 3.20 3.16 3.14 3.35 3.47 3.60 3.60 3.65 3.48 3.42 3.34 3.31 3.21 3.14 3.12 3.09 8.11 8.14 8.07 8.06 8.06 8.00 7.99 7.93 7.90 7.92 7.96 7.90 7.85 9.02 9.00 8.91 8.91 8.92 8.82 8.82 8.75 8.75 8.74 8.73 8.65 8.57 6.51 6.38 6.28 6.26 6.28 6.22 6.25 6.19 6.17 6.17 6.19 6.16 NA Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release. • Averages of rates available ** Bond Buyer's Average Index of 20 municipal bonds, Thursday data N A - Not Available Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1 Selected Interest Rates Percent Averages of Doily Figures 6 2# 3 17 31 14 24 13 27 10 24 8 22 5 14 3 17 31 14 24 11 25 9 23 6 20 Feb Mar Apr May 1991 Jun Jul 1992 Aug Sep Oct Nov 15 29 12 24 1993 Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: January 29, 1993 1993 Nov 6 13 20 27 Dec 4 11 18 25 Jan 1 8 15 22 29 * Federal Funds *+ 3.07 2.91 2.97 3.10 3.37 2.94 2.93 2.94 2.86 3.03 2.98 3.10 2.94 3-Month Treasury Bill 6-Month Treasury Bill *♦* 3.03 3.08 3.16 3.24 3.30 3.24 3.21 3.18 3.15 3.09 3.00 2.99 2.94 1 —Year Treasury Bill 5-Year Treasury Securities Long-Term Treasury Securities 3.27 3.42 5.96 7.44 3.31 3.47 6.00 7.41 3.37 3.56 6.05 7.36 3.45 3.60 6.12 7.38 3.46 3.64 6.20 7.41 3.37 3.55 6.04 7.27 3.43 3.60 6.10 7.28 3.32 3.49 6.03 7.19 3.38 3.46 6.03 7.22 3.28 3.44 5.95 7.21 3.19 3.36 5.90 7.24 3.13 3.33 5.82 7.12 3.09 3.27 5.71 7.02 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release excluding long-term Treasury securities which are computed by this bank. Treasury bill yields are on a discount basis. * Averages of rates available *• Seven—day averages for week ending two days earlier than date shown **♦ Auction average (discount) Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 7 8 Money Stock (M2) and Non-M1 Components of M2 Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars 2630 Billions 3500 Dec 14 3506.2 3498.9 - Jan 4 3502.3. 3493.9 3500.8 3493.8 2580 (left scale) 2530 2480 Non-M1 M2 (right scale) Non-M1 M2 Dec 14 2484.7 2479.2 2473.1 Jan 4 2465.0 2466.4 2462.2 2 If 10 If 21 II 25 « 2! 2 If 30 13 27 10 24 0 23 6 20 f I! I IS 2) 13 27 Feb Mar Apr May Nov Jun 2430 2380 Dec Latest data plotted week ending: January 18, 1993 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. M2 is the sum of M1, overnight RPs issued by all commercial banks, overnight Eurodollars issued to U.S. residents by foreign branches of U.S. tanks, savings (including money market deposit accounts), small time deposits and general purpose and broker/dealer money market mutual funds. For more detail, see the H.6 release. Money Stock (M2) Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: To the average 1/20/92 4/20/92 6/15/92 7/20/92 8/17/92 9/21/92 10/19/92 11/16/92 ending: 6/15/92 7/20/92 8/17/92 9/21/92 10/19/92 11/16/92 12/21/92 1/18/93 2.0 1.0 1.3 1.6 1.9 2.3 2.0 1.6 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -1.4 -0.4 0.6 1.1 1.8 1.4 1.0 -0.3 1.2 1.8 2.7 2.0 1.4 3.5 3.6 4.3 3.1 2.2 3.9 4.7 3.1 2.1 5.3 2.8 1.6 2.3 0.8 -1.7 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Savings and Money Market Funds Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Savings 1215 Billions Dec 14 21 28 Jan 4 11 18 11 89.4 1188.6. 1186.1 1183.4 1187.0 1187.8 Money Market (right scale) Savings Deposits (left scale) Money Market 1993 Billions Dec 14 21 28 Jan 4 11 18 347.5 347.1 — 346.0 345.9 348.0 345.3 2 IS JO 13 27 10 24 9 23 S 20 4 II 1 15 2! 13 27 10 24 7 21 5 10 2 IS 30 14 28 11 25 I 22 Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May 1991 Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan 1992 Feb 1993 Note: Savings deposits are at all depository institutions. Money market funds are general purpose and broker/dealer. Large and Small Time Deposits1' All Depository Institutions Averages of Daily Figures. Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Small 1993 Dec 14 21 28 Jan 4 11 18 Time Billions 874.8 872.7 870.5 868.3 ■ 865.6 863.4 Lara* Time (left scale) Large Time 1993 Billions 365 “Dec 14 387.0 Jan 4 Smdl Time (right scale) 357.8 2 II 30 13 27 10 24 9 23 6 20 4 18 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 IS 30 14 28 11 25 8 22 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb 1993 Latest data plotted week ending: January 18, 1993 1/ Large time deposits are those issued in denominations of $100,000 or more. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bonk of St. Louis 9 10 Total Borrowings From Federal Reserve banks Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars 1993 Billions 1 S — Dec 23 in _ 13 20 27 0.080 0.096 0.441 0.046 0.357 0.084 4 11 I IS 21 12 21 11 !S Dec Billions of Dollars Jan Feb Mar !! f !l J 17 I IS !) I! J6 9 2J 7 II 4 18 2 16 30 13 27 11 21 Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Adjustment + Seasonal Borrowings From Federal Reserve Banks Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars 1993 Billions of Dollars Billions Dec 23 0.079 30 0.096 Jan 6 0.441 13 0.046 20 0.356 27 0.081 4 16 1 15 21 12 26 11 25 Feb Mar 22 6 20 3 1) 1 15 21 12 21 1 23 7 21 4 II 2 16 31 13 27 10 24 Apr May Jun Aug Sep Oct 1993 Latest data plotted week ending: January 27, 1993 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Billions of Dollars 1993 Commercial Paper of Nonfinancial Companies Billions of Dollars Not Seoaonolly Adjusted Billions Dec 1 6 152.145 145.018 139.728 Jan 6 144.871 145.109 148.009 4 IB 1 15 2) 12 26 11 25 Deo Jan Feb Mar !! i H I 17 1 IS 2) 12 2S ) 21 7 21 ( It 2 It 39 13 27 II 2< Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Latest data plotted week ending: January 20, 1993 Commercial and Industrial Loans'7 01111 .„ „ Billion, of Dollar. 350 330 3I0 Weekly Reporting Large Commercial Bonks2/ ' Seasonal!? Adjusted -------- 1----------,--------Compounded annu ai rates of change, average of the fou weeks ending January 13, 1993 rom the four weeks enc ing: Jan 15, 1992 - 5.3 Apr 15. 1992 -<t.9 Jul 15. 1992 - 2.9 Aug 12. 1992 - 2.1 Sep 16. 1992 2.9 Oct 14, 1992 t.9 Billions of Dollars ----------!------- 370 1.222 11 Jan 2. 3( 1. Billions 280.084__ 280.691 278.963 277.906 276.527 276.462 330 330 310 290 2SS 270 270 250 it Dec 1991 15 29 12 21 U 25 1 22 ( 20 3 17 15 2) 12 21 i 23 7 21 4 11 Ml 3« 13 27 11 2 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Sep Oct Jul Aug Nov Dec Jan Feb 19 92 1993 Latest data plotted week ending: January 13, 1993 1/ Commercial and industrial loans include banker's acceptances and commercial paper. 2/ Banks with domestic assets greater than $1 .A billion a , , , . _ . , Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11 250 Dollar’s Trade-Weighted Exchange Index Averages of Daily Figures 1993 1973=100 4 18 I 15 29 12 28 II 25 i 22 8 20 3 17 1 15 29 12 26 9 23 7 21 4 18 2 16 JO 13 27 10 24 Doc 1991 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 1992 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb 1993 Latest data plotted week ending: January 27, 1993 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.10 release. Data are weighted averages of the foreign—currency price of the U.S. dollar, computed using 10 industrial country currencies. Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis