Full text of U.S. Financial Data : January 22, 1993
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Of 6t Lorn U.S. Financial Data 11 IK UDIKM J KI SI KM ^gltWkot y SI KH IS THE WEEK’S HIGHLIGHTS: \/ The consumer price index (CPI) for all urban consumers and the CPI less food and energy both increased at a 0.8 percent annual rate during December. During 1992, the CPI for all urban con sumers rose 3 percent (the smallest increase in six years) and the CPI less food and energy rose 3.7 percent (the smallest increase in 20 years). s/ Industrial production increased at a 4.4 percent annual rate during December, the third consecutive monthly increase. Compared with a year ago, production has risen 2.9 percent. %/ Business inventories increased at a 2 percent annual rate from October to November and were up 1.7 percent from a year earlier. The inventory-to-sales ratio for November was 1.49, unchanged from October but down sharply from the 1.53 ratio in November 1991. \/ The merchandise trade deficit for November was $7.6 billion as imports fell 1.6 percent to $45.6 billion and exports fell 2.8 percent to $38 billion. During the first 11 months of 1992, the trade deficit was $75.5 billion, compared with a deficit of $59.2 billion for the same period in 1991. Views expressed do not necessarily reflect official positions of the Federal Reserve System. U.S. Financial Data is published weekly by the Research and Public Information Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. The cost for a subscription is as follows: One year (50 issues) $21 Two years (100 issues) $36 To subscribe, please send your check or money order made payable to the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis to: Research and Public Information, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Post Office Box 66953, St. Louis, MO 63166-6953. DO NOT SEND CASH. Checks from foreign subscribers must be payable in U.S. dollars and, except for those from Canada, must be drawn on a U.S. bank. Information in this publication is also included in the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) elec tronic bulletin board. You can access FRED with a personal computer and a modem at 314-621-1824. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 Adjusted Monetary Base Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars Nov 11 383.2 Dec 9 23 Billions of Dollars 382.4 382.2 6 20 4 11 1 15 2) 12 21 11 25 0 22 6 20 3 17 1 15 29 12 21 9 23 7 21 4 18 2 1$ 30 13 27 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan 1991 1992 1993 Latest data plotted reserve maintenance period ending: January 20, 1993 The adjusted monetary base is the sum of reserve accounts of financial institutions at Federal Reserve banks, currency in circulation (currency held by the public and in the vaults of all depository'institutions) and an adjustment for reserve requirement ratio changes. The major source of the adjusted monetary base is Federal Reserve credit. Data are computed by this bank. A detailed description of ths adjusted monetary base is available from this bank. Recent data are preliminary. Ad|uitad Monetary Base _ . Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: TO the average Of }/22/i2 4/15/92 6/24/92 7/22/92 8/19/92 9/16/92 10/14/92 11/25/92 two maintenance periods ending: B/24/92 7/22/92 8/19/92 9/16/92 10/14/92 11/25/92 12/23/92 1/20/93 9.5 B.6 10.3 10.7 11.4 11.6 10.0 11.2 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 5.7 9.1 10.0 11.1 11.5 9.4 11.0 12.4 13.0 14.1 13.8 10.5 12.5 18.0 17.9 16.2 11.8 13.9 15.9 14.6 9.7 12.5 14.7 8.4 12.1 4.9 10.6 9.0 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louie Money Stock (Ml) and Total Checkable Deposits Averages ot Dally figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars M1 1993 Billions “Dec 7 1022.7' 14 1021.5 21 1019.7 28 1029.5 _ Jan 4 1028.8. 11 1033.8 TCD (right scale) 1993 TCD _ Billions Dec 7 14 21 28 Jan 4 11 4 18 2 U 30 13 27 10 24 Nov Dec Feb 9 23 Mar 6 20 4 18 1 15 2§ 13 27 10 24 Apr May Jun Jul Aug 723.0 721.3 718.9 __ 726.9 725.6 730.7 7 21 5 1! 2 16 30 14 28 Nov Dec Sep Oct Latest data plotted week ending: January 11,1993 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. M1 is the sum of currency held by the nonbank public, demand deposits, other checkable deposits and travelers checks. Total checkable deposits is the sum of demand deposits and other checkable deposits at depository institutions. Money Stock (Ml) Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: ! o the average 1/13/92 4/13/92 6/8/92 7/13/92 8/10/92 9/14/92 10/12/92 11/9/92 of four weeks ending: 6/8/92 7/13/92 8/10/92 9/14/92 10/12/92 11/9/92 12/14/92 1/11/93 15.1 11.7 12.4 13.0 14.3 15.0 14.2 14.0 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 6.3 8.8 10.6 12.8 14.0 13.0 12.8 6.5 10.1 13.4 15.0 13.5 13.2 17.0 19.7 20.3 17.3 16.3 20.8 21.2 17.2 16.1 24.0 17.4 15.9 13.8 12.9 9.1 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 3 4 Adjusted Reserves Billions of Dollars Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars _ 1222 BiUtoni. Nov 11 Dec 9 I 21 4 II 1 15 2J 12 21 11 25 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar 1991 8 22 Apr 6 20 3 17 1 15 29 12 28 May Jun Jul Aug 1992 9 23 7 21 Sep Oct 1 18 2 16 30 13 27 Nov Dec Jan 1993 Latest data plotted two weeks ending: January 6, 1993 Adjusted reserves is the difference between adjusted monetary base and currency component of M1. Adjusted Reserves To the average of two maintenance periods ending: 6/10/92 7/8/92 8/5/92 9/2/92 9/30/92 11/11/92 12/9/92 1/6/93 Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: 1/8/92 4/1/92 6/10/92 7/8/92 8/5/92 9/2/92 9/30/92 11/11/92 20.5 13.7 14.0 14.0 15.7 17.1 15.5 13.7 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2.6 5.4 7.0 10.4 13.3 11.6 9.7 -2.2 3.0 9.5 13.9 11.4 9.0 15.1 20.3 22.4 17.6 13.8 22.6 24.2 18.0 13.4 28.5 19.2 13.2 14.5 8.4 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis Money Multiplier1/ Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Ratio 3.2 Ratio -\ Compounded annual rates of change, average of the four weeks ending January 4, 1993 from the four weeks ending: Jan 6, 1992 3.4 Apr 13, 1992 2.4 Jul 6, 1992 3.2 Aug 17, 1992 4.5 Sep 14, 1992 5.2 Oct 12, 1992 5.6 Nov 9. 1992 3.7 1993 Ratio Oct 26 Nov 9 23 Dec 7 21 Jan 4 18 2 16 30 13 27 10 24 ! 23 t 20 1 1! 1 15 29 13 11 10 24 Nov Deo Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug 1991 1992 Latest data plotted two weeks ending: January 4. 1993 4 7 21 Sep 3.2 2.642 2.657 2.647 2.671 2.670 2.643 5 19 2 16 30 14 29 Oat Nov Dec II 23 Jan 1993 Currency Component of M12/ Billions of Dollars 290 Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 300 -------- 1---------- 1---------Compounded annu □I rates of change, average of the fou weeks ending January 11,1993 ■ rom the four weeks enc nq: Jan 13, 1992 .6 Apr 13, 1992 1C .6 Jul 13, 1992 12 .7 Aug 10, 1992 11 .6 Sep 14. 1992 1C .3 Oct 12. 1992 .4 290 280 1 992 260 Billio ns 14 21 28 Jan 4 11 270 291.5 292.2 294.0 294.5 294.5 - . I . .1 4 IS 2 16 30 13 27 10 24 9 23 6 20 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr 1991 4 IS May I 13 29 13 27 10 24 Jun Jul Aug 1992 7 21 3 19 2 IS 30 14 26 11 !5 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan 1993 270 260 Latest data plotted week ending: January 11,1993 1/ Ratio of M1 to adjusted monetary base 2/ Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 5 6 Yields on Selected Securities Percent Averages of Doily Figures Aaa Bonds Municipal Bonds Loan Rate- Commercial 1 15 29 13 27 Nov Dec 1991 Jan Feb Mar 17 1 15 29 12 26 10 24 Apr May Jun Jul 1992 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan 1993 Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: January 22, 1993 1993 90-Day CDs 30—Day Commercial Paper 90-Day Bankers' Acceptances Corporate Aaa Bonds Corporate Baa Bonds Municipal Bonds ** Oct 30 Nov 6 13 20 27 Dec 4 11 18 25 Jan 1 8 15 22 * 3.39 3.42 3.52 3.68 3.67 3.73 3.54 3.44 3.35 3.34 3.27 3.20 3.18 3.26 3.25 3.28 3.25 3.22 3.70 3.80 3.75 3.62 3.56 3.34 3.20 3.17 3.32 3.35 3.47 3.60 3.60 3.65 3.48 3.42 3.34 3.31 3.21 3.14 3.12 8.07 8.11 8.14 8.07 8.06 8.06 8.00 7.99 7.93 7.90 7.92 7.96 7.90 8.96 9.02 9.00 8.91 8.91 8.92 8.82 8.82 8.75 8.75 8.74 8.73 8.65 6.62 6.51 6.38 6.28 6.26 6.28 6.22 6.25 6.19 6.17 6.17 6.16 NA Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release. * Averages of rates available *• Bond Buyer’s Average Index of 20 municipal bonds, Thursday data N A - Not Available Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Selected Interest Rates Percent Percent Averages of Daily Figures 5—Year Treasury 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 7 21 6 20 3 17 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr 1991 1 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 4 18 2 16 30 13 27 11 25 May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 1992 8 22 Jan 1993 Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: January 22, 1993 1993 Oct 30 Nov 6 13 20 27 Dec 4 11 18 25 Jan 1 8 15 22 * Federal Funds ♦* 2.96 3.07 2.91 2.97 3.10 3.37 2.94 2.93 2.94 2.86 3.03 2.98 3.10 3—Month Treasury Bill 6-Month Treasury Bill *** 1 —Year Treasury Bill 5—Year Treasury Securities Long-Term Treasury Securities 2.94 3.03 3.08 3.16 3.24 3.30 3.24 3.21 3.18 3.15 3.09 3.00 3.00 3.22 3.27 3.31 3.37 3.45 3.46 3.37 3.43 3.32 3.38 3.28 3.19 3.13 3.36 3.42 3.47 3.56 3.60 3.64 3.55 3.60 3.49 3.46 3.44 3.36 3.34 5.85 5.96 6.00 6.05 6.12 6.20 6.04 6.10 6.03 6.03 5.95 5.90 5.83 7.37 7.44 7.41 7.36 7.38 7.41 7.27 7.28 7.19 7.22 7.21 7.24 7.13 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release excluding long-term Treasury securities which are computed by this bank. Treasury bill yields are on a discount basis. * Averages of rates available ** Seven—day averages for week ending two days earlier than date shown Auction average (discount) Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 8 Money Stock (M2) and Non-Mi Components of M2 Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 1993 Billions of Dollars M2 Billions Dec 7 14 21 28 Jan 4 11 3510.1 3506.3 3499.1. 3502.8 3493.8 3500.5 (left scale) v 'x Non-M1 M2 (right scale) Non-M1 M2 1993 Billions Dec 7 14 21 28 Jan 4 11 4 II 2 It 30 13 27 10 24 Nov Dec Jan Feb 1991 9 23 Mar 6 20 4 II 1 15 23 13 27 10 24 Apr May Jun Jul Aug 1992 7 21 Sep 5 2487.4 2484.8 2479.4 2473.3 2465.0 2466.7 II 2 16 30 14 21 11 25 Oct Nov Dec Jan 1993 Latest data plotted week ending: January 11, 1993 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. M2 is the sum of M1, overnight RPs issued by all commercial banks, overnight Eurodollars issued to U.S. residents by foreign branches of U.S. banks, savings (including money market deposit accounts), small time deposits and general purpose and broker/dealer money market mutual funds. For more detail, see the H.6 release. Money Stock (M2) Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: To the average 1/13/92 4/13/92 6/8/92 7/13/92 8/10/92 9/14/92 10/12/92 11/9/92 ending: 6/8/92 7/13/92 8/10/92 9/14/92 10/12/92 11/9/92 12/14/92 1/11/93 2.1 1.1 1.2 1.5 1.8 2.2 2.0 1.7 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -1.3 -0.6 0.4 0.9 1.6 1.4 1.1 -0.9 0.7 1.4 2.3 1.9 1.4 2.8 3.2 3.9 3.1 2.3 3.8 4.6 3.3 2.4 5.2 3.2 2.0 2.8 1.4 -0.7 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Savings and Money Market Funds Averages or Daily Figures Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Seasonally Adjusted Savings 1993 Billions Dec 7 14 21 28 Jan 4 11 1185.9 1189.6. 1188.8 1186.2 1183.4 1187.2 Money Market (right Savings Deposits (left scale) Money Market 1993 Billions Dec 7 I4 21 28 Jan 4 II 348.7 347.5 “ 347.1 346.0 345.9 348.0 4 11 2 16 30 13 27 10 24 9 23 6 20 4 IS 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 14 21 11 25 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan 1991 . 1992 1993 Note: Savings deposits are at all depository institutions. Money market funds are general purpose and broker/dealer. . Large and Small Time Deposits1 f nil UO^USIlUfJI IM3UIUUUII9 Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Averages of Daily Figures, Seasonally Adjusted Small Time 1993 Billions Dec 7 877.3 14 874.8 21 872.7 28 870.6 Jan 4 868.3 11 865.7 La roe Time (left scale) Large Time 1993 Billions -Dec 7 368.2 14 366.9 21 364.7 28 364.7 Jan 4 357.7 11 360.0 4 Small Time (right scale) 11 2 16 30 13 27 10 24 Nov Dec Jan Feb 1991 9 23 Mar 6 20 4 11 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 14 21 II 25 Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan 1992 1993 Latest data plotted week ending: January 11, 1993 1/ Large time deposits are those issued in denominations of $100,000 or more. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9 Total Borrowings From Federal Reserve Banks Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars 1993 Billions _ Dec 16 Jan Billions of Dollars 0.040 0.080 0.096 0.441 6 0.357 8 20 4 18 1 15 2) 12 28 11 25 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar 1991 8 22 8 20 3 17 Apr May Jun 1 15 2! 12 28 8 23 Jul Aug Sep 1992 7 21 4 18 Oct Nov 2 18 30 13 27 Dec Jan 1993 Adjustment + Seasonal Borrowings l-rom federal Reserve Banks Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars 1993 Billions Dec 16 0.038 0.079 0.096 0.441 0.046 0.356 Jan 8 Billions of Dollars 6 20 4 18 I 15 2) 12 28 11 25 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar 1991 8 22 8 20 3 17 Apr May Jun 1 15 2) 12 28 Jul Aug 1992 0 23 7 21 Sep Oct 4 18 2 18 30 13 27 Nov Dec Jan 1993 Latest data plotted week ending: January 20. 1993 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Commercial Paper of Nonfinancial Companies Billions of Dollars IN I Nov _____ ______ Not Seosonaliy Adjusted H 1 15 » H N II IS I 21 t II 3 Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Billions of Dollars _____________ I? I 13 » II II I 2) I II ( II I 11 31 13 I) Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Latest data plotted week ending: January 13, 1993 Commercial and Industrial Loans17 „ „ Weekly Reporting Lorge Commercial Banks V Billion* of Dollar*___________________________ Seasonally Adjusted —1-------- ]---------- H Compounded anm. ol rotas of change, average of the fou r weeks ending 350 January 6, 1993 f um the four weeks enc ling: Jan 8, 1992 - 5.1 Apr 8, 1992 -♦ .6 . 330 Jul 8, 1992 - 2.2 Aug 5, 1992 - 1.5 Sep 9, 1092 - 1.5 Oct 7. 1992 - 3.2 Billions of Dollars | j?o 199: Billions 2 9 16 23 30 Jan 6 2B2.388_ 350 280.084 280.691 278.983 277.906 276.962 330 310 310 190 290 290 270 Thi 250 I II data reflect the cumulative eff acts of mergei*s and Dther structui*e chanj ;es. U, L-r—r. U. UJUiUJ II II « II I 15 II 12 Nov Dec Jan Feb 1991 11 IS Mar I Apr T-r-'-T ( H 3 17 1 IS II 12 2i I 23 7 II I II 2 II 30 13 27 May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan 1992 1993 Latest data plotted week ending: January 6, 1993 1 / Commercial and industrial loans include banker's acceptances and commercial paper. 2/ Banks with domestic assets greater than $1.4 billion _ Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11 250 Dollar's Trade-Weighted Exchange Index 1973=100 Averages of Daily Figures 1973=100 1993 1973=100 6 20 4 18 1 15 29 12 26 11 25 I 22 6 20 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May 1991 3 17 1 15 29 12 26 Jun Jul Aug 1992 9 23 7 21 4 18 2 16 30 13 27 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan 1993 Latest data plotted week ending: January 20, 1993 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.10 release. Data are weighted averages of the foreign—currency price of the U.S. dollar, computed using 10 industrial country currencies. Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis w w & s> ca LO i >