Full text of U.S. Financial Data : January 14, 1993
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■JAN 1 9 1993 mi: KM)KK\I J Kl HI KMIt.VNknt €r stum is THE WEEK'S HIGHLIGHTS: >/ The yield on three-month Treasury bills averaged 3.02 percent during the week ending January 15, marking the sixtlt consecutive weekly decline. Although the yield is 33 basis points higher than the recent 30-year low reached the week of October 2, 1992, it is still below the 3.81 percent average of a year earlier. / %/ Retail sales rose at a 15 percent annual rate during December and were up 8 percent from a year earlier. Retail sales data are not adjusted for inflation. */ The producer price index (PPI) for finished goods increased at a 2 percent annual rate during December and was up 1.5 percent from a year ago. After declining for three consecutive months, the unemployment rate for December was unchanged from the revised November fig ure of 7.3 percent. The rate was down from 7.7 percent in June and up slightly from 7.1 percent in December 1991. Because of the late release of data, next week’s U.S. Financial Data will be published on Friday, January 22. Views expressed do not necessarily reflect official positions of the Federal Reserve System. U.S. Financial Data is published weekly by the Research and Public Information Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. The cost for a subscription is as follows: One year (50 issues) $21 Two years (100 issues) $36 To subscribe, please send your check or money order made payable to the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis to: Research and Public Information, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Post Office Box 66953, St. Louis, MO 63166-6953. DO NOT SEND CASH. Checks from foreign subscribers must be payable in U.S. dollars and, except for those from Canada, must be drawn on a U.S. bank. Information in this publication is also included in the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) elec tronic bulletin board. You can access FRED with a personal computer and a modem at 314-621-1824. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 Adjusted Monetary Base Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 385 1993 Billions Oct 28 381.3 - NOV OR 11 383.2 lOR 1-1 23 382.2 25 Dec 9 Jan 6 Billions of Dollars 385.0 382.4 389.5 I 20 4 18 1 15 29 12 26 It 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 1 15 29 12 26 9 23 7 21 4 18 2 16 30 13 27 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan 1991 1992 1993 Latest data plotted reserve maintenance period ending: January 6, 1993 The adjusted monetary base is the sum of reserve accounts of financial institutigns at Federal Reserve banks, currency in circulation (currency held by the public and in the vaults of all depository institutions) and an adjustment for reserve requirement ratio changes. The major source of the adjusted monetary base is Federal Reserve credit. Data are computed by this bank. A detailed description of the adjusted monetary base is available from this bank. Recent data are preliminary. Adjusted Monetary Base T .. average of, Compounded annual rates of change, periods ending: To the ,/BK/92 4/1/92 6/10/92 * average * of two maintenance 7/8/92 8/5/92 9/2/92 9/30/92 11/11/92 two maintenance periods ending: 6/10/92 7/8/92 8/5/92 9/2/92 9/30/92 11/11/92 12/9/92 1/6/93 9.9 8.2 9.2 9.9 11.0 11.2 10.7 10.4 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 5.4 7.6 9.0 10.7 11.1 10.4 10.1 7.4 10.0 12.6 12.6 11.4 10.9 15.6 17.3 15.7 13.6 12.7 18.0 15.7 13.2 12.2 15.7 12.5 11.4 9.4 8.9 6.3 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis Money Stock (Ml) and Toted Checkable Deposits Averages ot uany Ngures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 1993 Billions of Dollars Billions Nov 30 1020.0 Dec 7 1022.7 14 1021.5 21 1019.7 28 1029.5 Jan 4 1029.1 TCD (right scale) TCD _ 1993 Billions (left scale) 4 II Nov Nov 30 Dec 7 14 21 28 Jan 4 2 IS 30 13 27 10 24 9 23 5 20 4 18 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 7 21 5 19 Dec Apr Jan Feb Mar May 1991 Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct 720.9 723.0 721.3 __ 718.9 726.9 725.9 2 16 30 14 28 11 25 Nov 1992 Dec Jan 1993 Latest data plotted week ending: January 4, 1993 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. M1 is the sum of currency held by the nonbank public, demand deposits, other checkable deposits and travelers checks. Total checkable deposits is the sum of demand deposits and other checkable deposits at depository institutions. Money Stock (Ml) To the average Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: 1/6/92 4/6/92 6/1/92 7/6/92 8/3/92 9/7/92 10/5/92 11/2/92 ending: 8/1/92 7/6/92 8/3/92 9/7/92 10/5/92 11/2/92 12/7/92 1/4/93 15.7 12.0 12.1 13.0 13.9 14.9 14.6 13.9 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 5.5 7.2 9.6 11.4 13.2 13.0 12.3 4.1 9.0 11.7 14.2 13.7 12.7 15.8 17.7 19.5 17.6 15.8 19.9 21.7 18.7 16.4 23.8 18.9 15.8 17.6 14.0 9.2 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis 3 4 Adjusted Reserves Billions of Dollars Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars _ 1993 Oct 28 Nov 11 Dec 9 Jan 6 6 20 4 18 1 15 29 12 26 Nov Dec Feb 16 30 13 27 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 1 15 29 12 26 Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Latest data plotted two weeks ending: January 6. 1993 Adjusted reserves is the difference between adjusted monetary base and currency component of M1. Adjusted Reserves To the average of two maintenance periods ending: 6/10/92 7/B/92 8/5/92 9/2/92 9/30/92 11/11/92 12/9/92 1/6/93 Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: 8/5/92 9/2/92 9/30/92 11/11/92 6/10/92 7/8/92 1/8/92 4/1/92 20.5 13.7 14.0 14.0 15.7 17.1 15.5 13.6 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2.6 5.4 7.0 10.4 13.3 11.6 9.6 -2.2 3.0 9.5 13.9 11.4 8.8 15.1 20.3 22.4 17.6 13.5 22.6 24.2 18.0 13.1 28.5 19.2 12.8 14.5 8.0 -4.1 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Money Multiplier1/ Ratio seasonally Adjusted Compounded annual rates of change, average of the four weeks ending January 4, 1993 from the four weeks ending: Jan 6, 1992 3.4 Mar 30, 1992 1.9 Jul 6. 1992 3.2 Aug 3, 1992 3.8 Aug 31, 1992 4.7 Sep 28, 1992 5.6 Nov 9, 1992 3.7 4 IB 2 16 30 13 27 10 24 9 23 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Ratio Oct 26 Nov 9 Dec 7 Jan 20 ♦ II 1 IS !) IS s; 10 Apr May Jun Jul Aug 1991 Latest data plotted two weeks ending: January 4-, 1993 1992 7 21 Sep Oct Nov 4 2.642 2.657 2.647 2.671 2.670 2.643 30 H 28 It 25 Dec Jan 1993 Currency Component of M12/ Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Seasonally Adjusted Compounded annual rates of change, average of the four weeks ending January 4, 1993 from the four weeks ending: Jan 6. 1992 9.5 Apr 6. 1992 10.5 Jul 6, 1992 12.4 Aug 3, 1992 12.0 Sep 7. 1992 10.5 Oct 5, 1992 9.4 Nov 2, 1992 9.1 1993 Billions Dec 7 290.6 291.0 291.5 292.2 Jan 4 It 2 30 13 27 10 24 S 23 6 20 4 18 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May 4 294.0 294.6 IS 29 13 27 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 14 28 11 25 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Latest data plotted week ending: January 4. 1993 1/ Ratio of M1 to adjusted monetary base 2/ Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 5 6 Yields on Selected Securities Percent Percent Averages of Daily Figures Bonds - Loan Rats- 5.0 1 15 2! 13 2/ 10 24 7 21 0 20 3 17 I Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr II 2 12 21 10 24 Sep li 20 Oct Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: January 15, 1993 1993 90-Day CDs 30-Day Commercial Paper 90-Day Bankers' Acceptances Oct 23 30 Nov 6 13 20 27 Dec 4 11 18 25 Jan 1 8 15 * 3.38 3.39 3.42 3.52 3.68 3.67 3.73 3.54 3.44 3.35 3.34 3.27 3.22 3.27 3.26 3.25 3.28 3.25 3.22 3.70 3.80 3.75 3.62 3.56 3.34 3.23 3.31 3.32 3.35 3.47 3.60 3.60 3.65 3.48 3.42 3.34 3.31 3.21 3.17 Corporate Aaa Bonds 8.04 8.07 8.11 8.14 8.07 8.06 8.06 8.00 7.99 7.93 7.90 7.92 7.99 Corporate Baa Bonds Municipal Bonds ** 8.93 8.96 9.02 9.00 8.91 8.91 8.92 8.82 8.82 8.75 8.75 8.74 8.77 6.53 6.62 6.51 6.38 6.28 6.26 6.28 6.22 6.25 6.19 6.17 6.17 HA. Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release. * Averages of rates available •• Bond Buyer's Average Index of 20 municipal bonds, Thursday data N.A. - Not Available Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Selected Interest Rates Percent Percent Averages of Daily Figures 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 7 21 6 20 3 17 1 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 4 II 2 16 30 13 27 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov 25 8 22 Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: January 15, 1993 1993 Oct 23 30 6 13 20 27 Dec 4 11 18 25 Jan 1 8 15 ♦ Federal Funds ** 3—Month Treasury Bill 6-Month Treasury Bill *** 3.05 2.96 3.07 2.91 2.97 3.10 3.37 2.94 2.93 2.94 2.86 3.03 2.98 1 —Year Treasury Bill 5-Year Treasury Securities Long-Term Treasury Securities 2.95 3.10 3.35 5.83 7.35 2.94 3.22 3.36 5.85 7.37 3.03 3.27 3.42 5.96 7.44 3.08 3.31 3.47 6.00 7.41 3.16 3.37 3.56 6.05 7.36 3.24 3.45 3.60 6.12 7.38 3.30 3.46 3.64 6.20 7.41 3.24 3.37 3.55 6.04 7.27 3.21 3.43 3.60 6.10 7.28 3.18 3.32 3.49 6.03 7.19 3.15 3.38 3.46 6.03 7.22 3.09 3.28 3.44 5.95 7.21 3.02 3.19 3.39 5.94 7.28 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release excluding long-term Treasury securities which are computed by this bank. Treasury bill yields are on a discount basis. * Averages of rates available ** Seven—day averages for week ending two days earlier than date shown *** Auction average (discount) Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Nov http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 7 1 8 Money Stock (M2) and Non-M1 Components of M2 Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars 2630 M2 1993 3500 Billions Nov 30 3503.2 Dec 7 3510.2 14 3506.4. 21 3499.1 28 3502.9 Jan 4 3495.7 2580 (left scale) 2530 2480 Non-M1 M2 (right scale) Non-M1 M2 1993 Billions Nov 30 2483.2 Dec 7 2487.5 14 2484.9 21 2479.4 Jan 2430 4 2466.6 4 18 2 16 30 13 27 10 24 9 23 6 20 4 18 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 14 28 11 25 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun 1992 1993 1991 Latest data plotted week ending: January 4. 1993 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. M2 is the sum of M1, overnight RPs issued by all commercial banks, overnight Eurodollars issued to U.S. residents by foreign branches of U.S. banks, savings (including money market deposit accounts), small time deposits and general purpose and broker/dealer money market mutual funds. For more detail, see the H.6 release. Money Stock (M2) To the average Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: 10/5/92 11/2/92 1/6/92 4/6/92 6/1/92 7/6/92 8/3/92 9/7/92 ending: 6/1/92 7/8/92 8/3/92 9/7/92 10/5/92 11/2/92 12/7/92 1/4/93 2.3 1.2 1.1 1.4 1.7 2.1 2.1 1.7 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis —1.2 -1.0 0.0 0.6 1.3 1.4 1.1 -1.7 0.1 1.0 1.9 1.9 1.4 1.9 2.5 3.4 3.0 2.3 3.7 4.4 3.8 2.7 5.0 3.8 2.5 3.8 2.0 0.2 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis Savings and Money Market Funds Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Savings 1993 Billions Nov 30 1181.5 — Dec 7 1185.9 . 14 1189.6 21 1188.7 28 1186.2 Jan 4 1183.6 Money Market (right Savings Deposits (left scale) Money Market 1993 Billions Nov 30 Dec 7 14 21 28 Jan 4 348.9 348.7 — 347.5 347.1 346.0 345.9 4 18 2 16 30 13 27 10 2* 9 23 6 20 4 18 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 18 30 14 28 11 25 Nov Dec Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Note: Savings deposits are at all depository institutions. Money market funds are general purpose and broker/dealer. . Large and Small Time Deposits1' Billions of Dollars nil ucpuanuiy inBUiUUUiis Billions of Dollars Averages of Daily Figures, Seasonally Adjusted Small Time 1993 Billions Nov 30 Dec 7 14 21 28 Jan 4 879.7 877.4 874.9 872.8 870.8 868.6 Larae Time (left scale) Large 1993 -Nov 30 Dec 7 14 21 28 Jan 4 Time Billions 369.3 368.2 366.9 364.7 364.7 357.6 Small Time (right scale) 4 IB 2 16 30 13 27 10 24 9 23 6 20 4 18 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May 15 29 13 27 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 14 28 11 25 Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Latest data plotted week ending: January 4, 1993 1/ Large time deposits are those issued in denominations of $100,000 or more. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9 10 Total Borrowings From Federal Reserve Banks Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars 1993 Billions of Dollars Billions -Dec 9 16 23 30 Jan 6 _ 13 0.028 0.040 0.080 0.096 0.441 0.046 t 20 4 11 1 IS !) 12 21 11 25 I 22 f 20 J 17 1 15 21 12 21 1 23 2 21 I U Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jui Aug Sep Oct Nov 1991 1992 2 II 31 13 22 Dec Jan 1993 Adjustment + Seasonal Borrowings From Federal Reserve Banks Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars 2.5 2.0 Billions of Dollars 2.5 —I---------I----------1993 Billions Dec 9 0.028 23 30 Jan 6 13 0 0 0 0 2.0 079 096 441 048 1.5 1.5 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 1 20 4 11 1 15 21 12 21 11 25 8 2! 6 21 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May 1991 3 17 1 IS 2) 12 21 ! 23 7 21 Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct 1992 I II 2 11 38 1 3 27 Nov Dec Jan 1993 Latest data plotted week ending: January 13, 1993 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Billions of Dollars 1993 Commercial Paper of Norrfinancial Companies Billions of Dollars Not Seosonolly Adjusted Billions Dec 2 150.878 148.877 152.145 145.018 139.728 Jan 6 143.268 6 10 t 1S 1 15 IS 12 IS 11 15 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar I! S ID Apr May 1991 o 17 I 15 IS 12 IS S I] 7 11 Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct IS I IS }« 15 27 Nov Dec Jan 1992 1993 Latest data plotted week ending: January 6, 1993 Commercial and Industrial Loans17 Billions of Dollars Weekly Reporting Large Commercial Banks2/ Seasonally Adjusted Compounded annual rates of change, average of the four weeks ending December 30, 1992 from the four weeks ending: Jan 1. 1992 -4.7 Apr 1. 1992 -5.7 Jul 1, 1992 -2.7 Jul 29, 1992 -0.8 Sep 2. 1992 0.9 Sep 30, 1992 1.0 Oct 28, 1992 -0.1 1992 Nov 25 2 9 6 23 30 6 20 * 18 1 15 29 12 28 II 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 1 15 29 12 26 9 23 7 21 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct 1991 Billions of Dollars 1992 Nov Billions 281.089__ 279.992 277.983 278.588 276.184 275.512. 16 30 13 27 Dec Jan 1993 Latest data plotted week ending: December 30, 1992 1/ Commercial and industrial loans include banker's acceptances and commercial paper. 2/Banks with domestic assets greater than $1.4 billion „ .. _ . , _ . * Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11 Dollar's Trade-Weighted Exchange Index 1973=100 Averages of Daily Figures 1993 1973=100 Jan 6 S 20 4 II 1 15 M 12 21 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 1 15 2! 12 28 J 23 7 21 4 18 2 II 30 13 27 Nov Dec Jan Feb 1991 Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct 1992 Nov Dec Jan 1993 Latest data plotted week ending: January 13, 1993 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.10 release. Data are weighted averages of the foreign-currency price of the U.S. dollar, computed using 10 industrial country currencies. Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 6