Full text of U.S. Financial Data : August 5, 1993
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RESEARCH LIBRARY UltVedlnl? Reserve Binkl TN . .LFinaneial Data mi KKIHKM J KI SI KM ll.VNkol' fir ST. IIN IS m THE WEEK'S HIGHLIGHTS: y/ The composite index of leading indicators increased 0.1 percent in June, after decreasing 0.4 percent in May. Since March, this index has shown little change on balance. s/ New construction spending in 1987 dollars increased at a 1.2 per cent annual rate in June, following a 1.1 percent rate of increase in May. Compared with December 1992, real construction spending was up 1.1 percent. \/ Sales of new one-family homes rose 11 percent in June, after declining 12.4 percent in May. One-family home sales for the first six months of 1993 were up 6.9 percentfrom the same period in 1992. y/ Real disposable personal income fell at a 1 percent annual rate in June. Since December 1992, real income has increased at a 1 per cent rate. y/ Real personal consumption expenditures (PCE) grew at an annual rate of 7.4 percent in June, the third consecutive monthly increase. During the past six months, real PCE has risen at a 2.1 percent rate. Views expressed do not necessarily reflect official positions of the Federal Reserve System. U.S. Financial Data is published weekly by the Research and Public Information Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. The cost for a subscription is as follows: One year (50 issues) $21 Two years (100 issues) $36 To subscribe, please send your check or money order made payable to the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis to: Research and Public Information, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Post Office Box 66953, St. Louis, MO 63166-6953. DO NOT SEND CASH. Checks from foreign subscribers must be payable in U.S. dollars and, except for those from Canada, must be drawn on a U.S. bank. Information in this publication is also included in the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) elec tronic bulletin board. You can access FRED with a personal computer and a modem at 314-621-1824. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 Adjusted Monetary Base Averages of Daily Hgures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 1993 Billions May 26 — Jun 9 Jul 3 7 Aug Billions of Dollars 4 403.7 404.4 404.3 406.2 411.0 409.7 17 1 15 29 12 26 Jun Jul Aug 9 23 Sep 7 21 Oct 4 18 Nov 2 16 30 13 27 10 24 10 24 7 21 Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr 1992 5 19 2 16 30 14 28 11 25 May Jun Jul Aug 1993 Latest data plotted reserve maintenance period ending: August 4, 1993 The adjusted monetary base is the sum of reserve accounts of financial institutes at Federal Reserve banks, currency in circulation (currency held by the public and in the vaults of all depository institutions) and an adjustment for reserve requirement ratio changes. The major source of the adjusted monetary base is Federal Reserve credit. Data are computed by this bank. A detailed description of the adjusted monetary base is available from this bank. Recent data are preliminary. Adjusted Monetary Base To the average of Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: 8/5/92 10/28/92 1/6/93 2/3/93 3/31/93 4/28/93 3/3/93 6/9/93 periods ending: 1/6/93 2/3/93 3/3/93 3/31/93 4/28/93 6/9/93 7/7/93 8/4/93 11.9 11.6 13.4 9.8 10.7 11.4 10.8 11.3 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 8.8 12.3 7.1 8.7 10.1 9.4 10.2 17.7 6.2 9.1 11.0 9.9 10.9 4.2 8.7 11.2 9.9 11.0 1.2 7.4 6.6 8.5 17.1 13.2 14.2 11.2 13.0 10.6 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis Money Stock (M1) and Total Checkable Deposits Averages Billions of Dollars 1993 ot Daily Mgures Billions of Dollars Seasonally Adjusted M1 Billions — Jun 21 28 Jul 5 12 19 26 1074.8 ■ 1076.0 1077.8 1085.2 1084.6 1086.7 (right scale) TCD 1993 'M1 (left scale) 1 Billions Jun 21 28 Jul 5 12 19 26 15 29 13 27 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 14 28 11 2 Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan 1992 Feb Mar Apr May Jun 759.0 759.5 761.7 — 768.8 767.6 768.5 Jul Aug Latest data plotted week ending: July 26, 1993 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. M1 is the sum of currency held by the nonbank public, demand deposits, other checkable deposits and travelers checks. Total checkable deposits is the sum of demand deposits and other checkable deposits at depository institutions. Money Stock (Ml) Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: To the average 7/27/92 10/26/92 12/28/92 1/25/93 of four weeks ending: 12/28/92 1/25/93 3/1/93 3/29/93 4/26/93 5/24/93 6/28/93 7/26/93 16.4 15.0 12.7 11.4 11.1 12.8 12.5 12.6 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11.8 8.7 7.5 7.7 10.5 10.5 10.7 3.9 3.4 4.6 9.1 9.3 9.9 1.6 3.7 9.5 9.7 10.2 3/1/93 3/29/93 4/26/93 5/24/93 5.3 13.1 12.3 12.5 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 4 Adjusted Reserves Billions of Dollars Seasonally Adjusted 1993 3 Billions May 12 26 Jun 9 23 Jul 7 21 Billions of Dollars 96.4 99.6 17 I 97.3 102.2 15 29 12 26 Aug 9 23 7 21 Sep 4 Oct 18 2 Nov 16 30 13 27 10 24 10 24 7 Dec Jan Feb Mar 21 Apr 5 19 May 2 16 30 14 28 11 25 Jun Jul Aug Latest data plotted two weeks ending: July 21. 1993 Adjusted reserves is the difference between adjusted monetary base and currency component of M1. Adjusted Reserves To the average of two maintenance periods ending: 12/23/92 1/20/93 2/17/93 3/17/93 4/14/93 5/26/93 6/23/93 7/21/93 Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending: 7/22/92 10/14/92 12/23/92 1/20/93 2/17/93 3/17/93 4/14/93 5/26/93 16.1 14.7 23.0 13.2 10.3 14.2 13.3 14.2 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9.7 24.5 9.3 5.8 11.8 10.9 12.2 44.2 8.1 2.8 12.3 11.0 12.8 8.6 1.4 13.5 11.7 13.7 -26.7 -2.6 -1.2 3.1 17.5 13.5 16.0 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Money Multiplier1/ Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Ratio Ratio 3.0 Compounded annual rates of change, average of the four weeks ending July 19, 1993 from the four weeks ending: JuI 20, 1992 1.1 Oct 26, 1992 0.8 Feb 1,1993 -0.5 Mar 1, 1993 4.2 Mar 29, 1993 1.0 Apr 26, 1993 3.7 May 24. 1993 1.0 Ratio May 10 Jun 7 Jul 5 2.656 2.642 2.654 2.653 2.651 2.640 2.8 2.S I IS M Jun I3 27 11 21 7 2! S 1! 2 11 31 U 21 11 25 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan 1992 I 2! Feb 8 22 Mar i IS 3 17 31 H 28 12 21 Apr May Jun Jul 1993 S 23 Aug Latest data plotted two weeks ending: July 19, 1993 Currency Component of M12/ Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars 320 I I----------Compounded annu i\ rates of change, average of the four weeks ending July 26, 1993 from the four weeks end ng: Jul 27, 1992 10 .6 Oct 26, 1992 9 .9 Jan 25, 1993 10 .2 .3 Mar 29, 1 993 10 .4 Apr 26, 1 993 10 .8 May 24, 1 993 11 . 1 310 Billions of Dollars 320 310 - 300 290 290 199 3 fiiliions Jun 21 28 Jul 5 12 19 26 30 7.7 30 3.9 308.2 308.6 309.0 310.3 - I___ I 270 1 15 2! 13 27 10 24 7 21 5 19 Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct 1992 2 16 31 14 28 11 25 Nov Dec Jan 8 22 8 22 5 19 3 17 31 14 21 Feb Mar Apr May Jun 1993 12 26 1 23 Jul Aua Latest data plotted week ending: July 26. 1993 1/ Ratio of M1 to adjusted monetary base 2/ Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 5 200 270 6 Yields on Selected Securities Percent Percent Averages of Daily Figures Corporate -Aoa Bonds- 5 II Jun 3 17 31 H 21 11 25 Jul Aug Sep 1992 9 23 Oct 6 20 4 18 Nov Dec 1 15 29 12 26 12 26 Jan Feb Mar 9 23 7 21 4 18 Apr May Jun 1993 2 16 30 13 27 Jul Aug Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: August 6, 1993 1993 90-Day CDs 30—Day Commercial Paper 90—Day Bankers' Acceptances Corporate Aaa Bonds Corporate Baa Bonds Municipal Bonds ** 3.07 3.12 3.16 3.21 3.25 3.17 3.21 3.18 3.16 3.14 3.16 3.17 3.16 3.09 3.11 3.15 3.18 3.20 3.18 3.20 3.20 3.16 3.13 3.14 3.15 3.16 3.04 3.07 3.12 3.16 3.21 3.13 3.16 3.13 3.12 3.10 3.14 3.13 3.13 7.41 7.48 7.46 7.39 7.38 7.32 7.29 7.24 7.22 7.16 7.17 7.14 7.06 8.18 8.28 8.27 8.16 8.13 8.06 8.01 7.96 7.96 7.90 7.93 7.95 7.87 5.69 5.77 5.73 5.67 5.68 5.61 5.57 5.55 5.55 5.50 5.61 5.65 NA May 14 21 28 Jun 4 11 18 25 Jul 2 9 16 23 30 Aug 6 * Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release. * Averages of rates available ** Bond Buyer's Average Index of 20 municipal bonds, Thursday data N A - Not Available http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Selected Interest Rates Percent 5 Percent Averages of Daily Figures 19 Jun 3 17 31 14 28 11 25 Jul Aug Sep 1992 9 23 6 20 Oct Nov 4 18 Dec 1 15 29 12 26 12 26 Jan Feb Mar 9 23 7 21 Apr May 1993 4 18 2 16 30 13 27 Jun Jul Aug Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: August 6, 1993 1993 May 14 21 28 Jun 4 11 18 25 Jul 2 9 16 23 30 Aug 6 * Federal Funds ** 2.90 3.01 3.07 3.09 2.96 3.01 3.00 3.13 3.10 3.01 3.09 3.03 3.10 3—Month Treasury Bill 6—Month Treasury Bill *** 1 —Year Treasury Bill 5-Year Treasury Securities Long-Term Treasury Securities 2.91 2.99 3.06 3.06 3.10 3.05 3.09 3.01 3.02 3.02 3.07 3.06 3.08 2.99 3.10 3.19 3.22 3.30 3.19 3.19 3.14 3.10 3.14 3.15 3.24 3.25 3.14 3.26 3.39 3.44 3.46 3.33 3.37 3.29 3.28 3.27 3.37 3.43 3.42 5.10 5.28 5.36 5.29 5.32 5.19 5.18 5.04 5.03 5.00 5.15 5.21 5.20 6.58 6.72 6.71 6.62 6.60 6.51 6.44 6.34 6.34 6.25 6.30 6.34 6.27 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.15 release excluding long-term Treasury securities which are computed by this bank. Treasury bill yields are on a discount basis. * Averages of rates available ** Seven-day averages for week ending two days earlier than date shown *** Auction average (discount) Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 7 8 Money Stock (M2) and Non-M1 Components of M2 Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars 2725 M2 1993 Billions Jun 21 28 5 12 19 26 _ Jul 3513.6 3502.9 3502.2. 3516.1 3516.5 3517.2 2625 2525 (left scale) 2425 Non-M1 M2 (right scale) Non-M1 M2 1993 Billions Jun 21 28 Jul 5 12 19 26 2438.8 2426.9 2424.4 2430.9 2431.9 2430.5 2325 2225 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 7 21 Aug Sep 5 19 2 16 30 14 28 Oct Nov Dec Jan 22 8 22 5 I9 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 9 23 Aug 1993 1992 Latest data plotted week ending: July 26. 1993 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.6 release. M2 is the sum of M1, overnight RPs issued by all commercial banks, overnight Eurodollars issued to U.S. residents by foreign branches of U.S. banks, savings (including money market deposit accounts), small time deposits and general purpose and broker/dealer money market mutual funds. For more detail, see the H.6 release. Money Stock (M2) Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: To the average 7/27/g2 10/26/92 12/28/92 1/25/93 3/1/93 3/29/93 4/26/93 5/24/93 of four weeks ending: 12/28/92 1/25/93 3/1/93 3/29/93 4/26/93 5/24/93 6/28/93 7/26/93 2.4 1.5 0.6 0.4 0.4 1.3 1.5 1.4 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -0.2 -1.2 -1.2 -1.0 0.6 1.0 0.9 -3.8 -2.9 -2.2 0.2 0.8 0.7 -2.6 -1.8 1.1 1.6 1.4 -0.5 3.3 3.3 2.7 5.4 4.7 3.6 6.8 4.7 2.0 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Savings and Money Market Funds Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Savings 1993 Billions Jun 21 1197.6 28 1198.2 . 12 1201.1 19 1200.1 26 1198.3 Money Market 1993 Billions Jun 21 28 'Savings Deposits (left scale) . 1992 336.1 333.6 — 1993 Note: Savings deposits are at all depository institutions. Money market funds are general purpose and broker/dealer. Large and Small Time Deposits1 ' Billion Billions of Dollars Averages of Daily Figures, Seasonally Adjusted Small Time 1122 Billions Jun 21 Jul 5 829.2 826.4 823.9 822.0 — 820.4 818.8 Large Time (left Large Time 1993 Billions — Jun 21 28 Jul 5 12 19 26 I 342.2 340.6 340.2 338.7 335.6 334.2 Small Time (right scale) 15 28 13 27 10 24 7 21 5 IS 2 16 30 14 28 11 25 8 22 8 22 5 18 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 1992 1993 9 23 Aug Latest data plotted week ending: July 26, 1993 1/ Large time deposits are those issued in denominations of $100,000 or more. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9 10 Total Borrowings From Federal Keserve banks Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars 1993 Billions Jun 30 Jul 7 14 21 ■ 28 Aug 4 3 17 I 15 21 12 26 I 23 Jun Jul Aug Sep 1992 7 21 4 18 2 16 30 13 27 Oct Nov Dec Jan 10 20 10 20 7 21 Feb Mar Apr 5 II May 1993 2 0.387 0.234 0.208 0.232 0.235 ----0.229 16 30 10 20 11 25 Jun Jul Aug Adjustment + Seasonal Borrowings From Federal Reserve Banks Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars 0.7 ------------1--------1993 Jun 3 0 Jul 1 4 2 0.5 0.387 0.234 0.208 0.232 Aug 0.6 0.22 9 0.7 Billions 4 0.6 0.5 t 0.4 0.4 l l 0.3 V 0.2 J ii 0.1 0.0 3 17 1 IS 24 12 26 Jun Jul Aug I 1 1 \J hi 1/ K J V V 1' n/V 4 23 Sep 7 21 Oct 4 It 2 16 30 13 27 10 24 10 24 7 21 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr 1992 Latest data plotted week ending: August 4, 1993 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 5 0.3 , » IS 2 16 30 14 20 May Jun Jul Aug 1993 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 0.2 O.l < ■ / Commercial Paper of Nonfinancial Companies Billions of Dollars 1993 Billions of Dollars Not Seasonally Adjusted Billions Jun 23 158.893 153.056 Jul 7 159.680 1 58.040 159.261 159.919 3 17 1 IS 21 12 26 9 23 Jun Jul Aug Sep 1992 7 21 4 18 2 16 30 13 27 Oct Nov Dec Jan 10 24 10 24 Feb Mar 7 21 S 19 Apr May 1993 2 16 30 14 21 11 25 Jun Jul Aug Latest data plotted week ending: July 28, 1993 Commercial and Industrial Loans'7 Billions of Dollars Weekly Reporting Large Commercial Banks2/ Seasonally Adjusted Compounded annual rates of change, average of the four weeks ending July 21, 1993 from the four weeks ending: Jul 22. 1992 -2.5 Oct 21, 1992 -3.2 Jan 20. 1993 -2.2 Feb 24, 1993 -2.4 Mar 24. 1993 -1.3 Apr 21. 1993 3.4 May 19. 1993 4.6 3 17 Jun 1 15 29 12 26 9 23 Jul Aug Sep 1992 Billions of Dollars 1993 7 21 4 II 2 16 30 13 27 10 24 10 24 7 21 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr Billions .Jun 16 23 30 Jul 7 14 21 275.565. 274.678 275.802 275.007 272.906 273.371 5 19 2 16 30 14 28 11 25 May Jun Jul Aug 1993 Latest data plotted week ending: July 21, 1993 1/ Commercial and industrial loans include banker's acceptances and commercial paper. 2/ Banks with domestic assets greater than $1.4 billion „ .. _ . , r, „ , , • Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11 Dollar's Trade-Weighted Exchange Index 1973=100 Averages of Daily Figures 1973=100 11?3=100 Jun 30 Jul Aug 3 17 Jun 1 15 29 12 21 9 23 7 21 Jul Aug Sep 1992 Oct 4 18 2 Nov 11 30 13 27 10 24 10 24 7 21 Dec Jan Feb Mar 5 7 4 19 2 Apr May 1993 18 30 14 28 11 25 Jun Jul Aug Latest data plotted week ending: August 4, 1993 Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board's H.10 release. Data are weighted averages of the foreign—currency price of the U.S. dollar, computed using 10 industrial country currencies. Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 05 D «