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USFinancialData
August 24, 2006
Advance Edition
Calendar of Releases
Titles for the current week are links to their respective releases.
MONDAY*
TUESDAY
WEDNESDAY
THURSDAY*
FRIDAY
August 21
August 22
August 23
August 24
August 25
Existing Home Sales (Jul)
A: 6.33M
P: 6.58M
Initial Claims (8/19)
A: 313K
P: 315K
New Home Sales (Jul)
A: 1072K
P: 1100K
Durable Goods (Jul)
A: –2.4%
P: –0.4%
August 28
August 29
Consumer Conf (Aug)
F: N/A
P: 105.0
FOMC Minutes
(previous meeting)
August 30
F: N/A
GDP (Q2)
P: 3.0%
Corporate Profits (Q2)
August 31
September 1
Initial Claims (8/26)
F: N/A
P: 318K
Nonfarm Payrolls (Aug)
F: N/A
P: 125K
Personal Income (Jul)
F: N/A
P: 0.5%
Unemployment Rate (Aug)
F: N/A
P: 4.7%
Consumption (Jul)
F: N/A
P: 0.7%
Construct Spending (Jul)
F: N/A
P: –0.1%
Core PCE (Jul)
F: N/A
P: 2.4%
ISM Index (Aug)
F: N/A
P: 54.8
Factory Orders (Jul)
F: N/A
P: 0.2%
September 4
September 5
September 6
Productivity (Q2)
F: N/A
Latest Issue
Review
September 7
Initial Claims (9/2)
F: N/A
September 8
Consumer Credit (Jul)
F: N/A
Unit Labor Costs (Q2)
F: N/A
ISM Non Mfg Index (Aug)
F: N/A
Current Economic
Conditions (Beige Book)
DEFINITIONS: A, actual value; P, previous week’s forecast; F, current week’s forecast; K, thousand; M, million; B, billion.
*The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System provides H.3, H.4.1, and H.6 releases each Thursday and H.10 and H.15 releases
each Monday.
Forecast data are from Thomson Financial. ©Thomson Financial, 2006. All Rights Reserved. Use, duplication, or sale of this service or the
data contained herein, except as described in the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Subscription Agreement, is strictly prohibited.
research.stlouisfed.org
Contents
Page
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
Adjusted Monetary Base
Adjusted Reserves
MZM
M2
Yields on Selected Securities
Yields on Nominal and Inflation-Indexed Treasury Securities
Federal Funds Futures Market
Equity Price Indices
Crude Oil Prices
Natural Gas Prices
Exchange Rates
Currency, Savings, and Small Time Deposits
Institutional and Retail Money Funds, and Borrowings from Federal Reserve Banks
Bank Loans
Commercial Paper
Reference Tables
Notes
Conventions used in this publication:
1. Unless otherwise indicated, figure and table data are weekly and seasonally adjusted.
2. For pages 7, 10, 12 (top chart), 13, and 18 (top and bottom right tables), the last observation is a daily average that
incorporates all available data at the time of publication, which usually includes observations for the first three trading
days of the week (Monday through Wednesday). The previous observations signify that week’s average.
We welcome your comments addressed to:
Editor, U.S. Financial Data
Research Division
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
P.O. Box 442
St. Louis, MO 63166-0442
or to:
stlsFRED@stls.frb.org
U.S. Financial Data is published weekly by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. For more information on data in this publication, please visit research.stlouisfed.org/fred2
or call (314) 444-8590. To be added to our free email notification list, please visit our web site at research.stlouisfed.org/publications/usfd.
updated through
08/24/06
U.S. Financial Data
Adjusted Monetary Base
Averages of Daily Figures, Seasonally Adjusted
Billions of dollars
850
840
830
820
810
800
790
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
2005
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
2006
Adjusted Monetary Base
To the average of
two maintenance
periods ending:
Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending:
08/17/05
11/09/05
01/18/06
3.6
02/15/06
5.6
8.6
03/15/06
5.3
7.4
01/18/06
02/15/06
03/15/06
04/12/06
05/24/06
06/21/06
10.1
04/12/06
4.5
5.8
6.2
1.1
05/24/06
4.6
5.6
5.7
2.7
2.4
06/21/06
4.0
4.7
4.4
1.8
1.3
2.3
07/19/06
3.5
4.0
3.4
1.1
0.6
1.1
-1.6
08/16/06
3.4
3.8
3.2
1.3
0.8
1.3
-0.4
0.1
Research Division
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
3
updated through
08/24/06
U.S. Financial Data
Adjusted Reserves
Seasonally Adjusted
Billions of dollars
102
100
98
96
94
92
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
2005
Jun
May
Jul
Aug
2006
Adjusted Reserves
To the average of
two maintenance
periods ending:
01/18/06
Compounded annual rates of change, average of two maintenance periods ending:
08/17/05
11/09/05
01/18/06
02/15/06
03/15/06
04/12/06
05/24/06
06/21/06
10.6
02/15/06
4.0
2.7
03/15/06
0.1
-3.3
-23.9
04/12/06
-2.0
-5.8
-21.4
-19.0
05/24/06
0.6
-1.4
-10.4
-5.4
2.2
06/21/06
0.3
-1.6
-9.0
-4.8
0.8
07/19/06
-1.1
-3.1
-9.9
-6.7
-2.9
1.2
-8.9
08/16/06
-1.2
-3.2
-9.1
-6.2
-3.0
0.1
-7.1
8.4
-9.3
Research Division
4
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
updated through
08/24/06
U.S. Financial Data
MZM
Averages of Daily Figures, Seasonally Adjusted
Billions of dollars
7100
7000
6900
6800
6700
6600
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
2005
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
2006
MZM
To the average
of four weeks
ending:
Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending:
08/15/05
01/16/06
6.1
02/13/06
5.0
4.9
03/13/06
5.1
5.0
04/10/06
4.5
4.0
1.6
2.6
05/22/06
4.1
3.7
1.8
2.5
1.3
06/19/06
4.2
3.9
2.4
3.1
2.5
11/07/05
01/16/06
02/13/06
03/13/06
04/10/06
05/22/06
06/19/06
2.4
3.5
07/17/06
4.5
4.3
3.2
3.9
3.6
4.7
6.6
08/14/06
3.8
3.3
2.1
2.5
2.0
2.5
2.6
1.3
Research Division
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
5
updated through
08/24/06
U.S. Financial Data
M2
Averages of Daily Figures, Seasonally Adjusted
Billions of dollars
6900
6800
6700
6600
6500
6400
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
2005
Jun
May
Jul
Aug
2006
M2
To the average
of four weeks
ending:
Compounded annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending:
08/15/05
01/16/06
5.9
02/13/06
5.6
5.8
03/13/06
5.7
6.0
04/10/06
5.2
5.1
4.0
3.9
05/22/06
4.7
4.4
3.3
3.1
1.7
06/19/06
4.8
4.6
3.7
3.6
2.8
11/07/05
01/16/06
02/13/06
03/13/06
04/10/06
05/22/06
06/19/06
5.3
3.4
07/17/06
5.1
5.0
4.5
4.5
4.1
4.9
7.2
08/14/06
4.5
4.2
3.4
3.3
2.8
3.1
3.7
2.7
Research Division
6
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
updated through
08/24/06
U.S. Financial Data
Yields on Selected Securities
Averages of Daily Figures
Percent
9
8
Prime Rate
7
Corporate Aaa
2-Year Swap
6
|
|
|
|
5
4
Commercial Paper
3
2
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
2005
Oct
Nov
Dec
Feb
Jan
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
2006
Percent
6
5
10-Year Treasury
|
|
|
4
Federal Funds Rate
Intended Federal Funds Rate
|
3-Month Treasury
3
2
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
2005
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
2006
Research Division
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
7
updated through
08/24/06
U.S. Financial Data
10-Year Treasury Note Yield
Averages of Daily Figures
Percent
6
5
4
3
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
2005
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
2006
10-Year Inflation-Indexed Treasury Yield
Averages of Daily Figures
Percent
4
3
2
1
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
2005
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
2006
10-Year Inflation-Indexed Treasury Yield Spread
Averages of Daily Figures
Percent
4
3
2
1
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
2005
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
2006
Research Division
8
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
updated through
08/24/06
U.S. Financial Data
Rates on Federal Funds Futures Contracts
Daily Data
Percent
5.6
Sep 2006
||
|
Oct 2006
5.4
Aug 2006
5.2
5.0
Intended Target Rate
4.8
4.6
4.4
Mar
Apr
Jun
May
Jul
Aug
2006
Rates on Federal Funds Futures on Selected Dates
Percent
5.6
Week Ending:
06/28/06
07/27/06
08/23/06
5.5
5.4
5.3
5.2
Aug 2006
Sep 2006
Oct 2006
Nov 2006
Dec 2006
Jan 2007
Contract Month
Research Division
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
9
updated through
08/24/06
U.S. Financial Data
Dow Jones Industrial Average and NASDAQ Composite
Averages of Daily Figures
Closing Price
February 5, 1971 = 100
12250
2450
NASDAQ (right scale)
11500
2300
10750
2150
Dow Jones (left scale)
10000
2000
9250
1850
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
2005
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
2006
Wilshire 5000 and Standard & Poor's 500
Averages of Daily Figures
January 2, 1980 = 1078.29
1941-43 = 10
13500
1350
Wilshire** (left scale)
13000
1300
S&P* (right scale)
12500
1250
12000
1200
11500
1150
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
2005
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
2006
*Copyright 2003 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Standard & Poor's including its subsidiary corporations ("S&P") is a division of
The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Reproduction of this data in any form is prohibited without S&P's prior written permission.
**Source: Wilshire Associates Incorporated, www.wilshire.com
Research Division
10
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
updated through
08/24/06
U.S. Financial Data
Crude Oil Spot Prices
West Texas Intermediate, Averages of Daily Figures
Dollars per barrel
82
78
74
70
66
62
58
54
50
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
2005
Oct
Nov
Dec
Feb
Jan
Mar
Apr
Jun
May
Jul
Aug
2006
Crude Oil Futures Prices
West Texas Intermediate
Dollars per barrel
77
76
75
08/16/2006
74
73
08/23/2006
72
71
Oct
Nov
2006
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
2007
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Research Division
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
11
updated through
08/24/06
U.S. Financial Data
Natural Gas Spot Prices
Henry Hub, Averages of Daily Figures
Dollars per million btu
15
14
13
12
11
10
9
8
7
6
5
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
2005
Oct
Nov
Dec
Feb
Jan
Mar
Apr
Jun
May
Jul
Aug
2006
Note: Spot prices for Henry Hub were temporarily suspended from Friday, September 23, 2005, through Thursday, October 6, 2005, due to Hurricane Rita.
Natural Gas Futures Prices
Henry Hub
Dollars per million btu
12
11
10
08/23/2006
9
08/16/2006
8
7
6
Sep
Nov
Oct
2006
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
2007
Research Division
12
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
updated through
08/24/06
U.S. Financial Data
Trade-Weighted Exchange Rate Indexes
Averages of Daily Figures
March 1973=100
January 1987=100
95
115
Broad Index (right scale)
90
110
85
105
Major Index (left scale)
80
100
75
95
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
2005
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
2006
Exchange Rates
Averages of Daily Figures
Euro/US$
Yen/US$
1.00
124
0.95
120
Japan (right scale)
0.90
116
0.85
112
0.80
108
Euro (left scale)
0.75
104
0.70
100
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
2005
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
2006
Research Division
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
13
updated through
08/24/06
U.S. Financial Data
Currency Component of M1
Averages of Daily Figures, Seasonally Adjusted
Billions of dollars
750
740
730
720
710
700
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
2005
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
2006
Savings and Small Time Deposits
Averages of Daily Figures, Seasonally Adjusted
Billions of dollars
Billions of dollars
1140
4700
1100
4500
1060
4300
1020
4100
980
3900
Small Time (left scale)
940
3700
Savings (right scale)
900
3500
860
3300
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
2005
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
2006
Research Division
14
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
updated through
08/24/06
U.S. Financial Data
Institutional and Retail Money Funds
Averages of Daily Figures, Seasonally Adjusted
Billions of dollars
Billions of dollars
1250
950
1200
900
1150
850
Institutional Money (left scale)
1100
800
1050
750
Retail Money (right scale)
1000
700
950
650
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
2005
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
Jun
May
Jul
Aug
2006
Total Borrowings from Federal Reserve Banks
Averages of Daily Figures
Billions of dollars
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
2005
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
2006
Research Division
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
15
updated through
08/24/06
U.S. Financial Data
Bank Loans and Credit
All Commercial Banks in the United States, Seasonally Adjusted
Billions of dollars
Billions of dollars
8200
6500
8000
6300
7800
6100
Bank Credit (left scale)
7600
5900
7400
5700
7200
5500
Loans and Leases (right scale)
7000
5300
6800
5100
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
2005
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
2006
Commercial and Industrial Loans
Seasonally Adjusted
Billions of dollars
Billions of dollars
1175
675
1150
650
1125
625
1100
600
1075
575
All Banks (left scale)
1050
550
1025
525
Large Banks (right scale)
1000
500
975
475
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
2005
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
2006
Research Division
16
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
updated through
08/24/06
U.S. Financial Data
Commercial Paper of Nonfinancial Companies
Not Seasonally Adjusted
Billions of dollars
170
160
150
140
130
120
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
2005
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
2006
Commercial Paper: Financial and Asset-Backed
Not Seasonally Adjusted
Billions of dollars
1000
950
900
Asset-Backed
850
800
750
Financial
700
650
600
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
2005
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
2006
Research Division
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
17
updated through
08/24/06
U.S. Financial Data
Interest Rates
Percent
Jun
Jul
Aug
2-Year
Interest
Corporate Corporate Municipal
Rate Swap Aaa Bonds Baa Bonds
Bonds
Federal
Funds
3-Month
Treasury
Bill
2-Year
Treasury
Securities
5-Year
Treasury
Securities
10-Year
Treasury
Securities
30-Year
Treasury
Securities
4.57
5.01
4.72
5.00
4.99
5.08
5.18
4.48
4.99
4.74
5.00
4.95
5.01
5.07
4.58
5.00
4.76
5.09
5.02
5.05
5.09
30-Day
Comm.
Paper
90-Day
CDs
2
4.99
5.22
5.42
5.91
6.75
9
5.02
5.24
5.43
5.81
6.67
16
5.10
5.33
5.52
5.83
6.71
23
5.19
5.41
5.67
5.94
6.86
4.68
4.95
4.81
5.22
5.16
5.18
5.21
30
5.24
5.46
5.70
5.98
6.90
4.71
5.00
4.89
5.23
5.18
5.22
5.25
7
5.25
5.46
5.69
5.94
6.85
4.69
5.14
4.90
5.20
5.14
5.18
5.22
14
5.22
5.48
5.63
5.85
6.76
4.62
5.24
4.93
5.14
5.06
5.10
5.14
21
5.23
5.48
5.58
5.82
6.75
4.59
5.25
4.97
5.11
5.03
5.07
5.11
28
5.25
5.45
5.51
5.82
6.72
4.55
5.24
4.97
5.06
4.98
5.05
5.10
4
5.26
5.43
5.41
5.76
6.65
4.49
5.27
4.97
4.96
4.89
4.96
5.05
11
5.21
5.38
5.39
5.76
6.65
4.45
5.25
4.95
4.93
4.87
4.94
5.04
18
5.22
5.37
5.36
5.70
6.61
4.39
5.23
4.97
4.92
4.85
4.90
5.03
25 *
5.20
5.37
5.30
5.62
6.54
.
5.23
4.97
4.86
4.77
4.82
4.95
*Averages of rates available
Money Stock and Components
Reserves and Base
Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted
Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted
Jul
Aug
Savings
Retail
Money
Institutional
Money
Adjusted
Monetary
Base
Adjusted
Reserves
M2
MZM
Currency
Small
Time
3
6870.1
7008.5
739.4
1072.0
3625.6
770.0
1210.4
May 24
840.075
95.651
10
6860.4
7000.7
739.9
1076.6
3639.4
771.2
1216.9
Jun
837.835
95.994
17
6860.7
6989.6
740.0
1082.2
3655.1
770.7
1211.1
24
6855.3
6976.0
740.5
1088.0
3620.8
774.6
1208.7
31
6825.2
6946.7
740.2
1093.5
3570.7
779.0
1215.0
7
6849.0
6984.2
739.6
1099.5
3608.6
782.6
1234.7
14
6847.9
6973.5
740.6
1102.9
3614.2
783.7
1228.5
Bank Loans and Credit
Jul
Aug
7
21
837.207
94.008
5
834.970
94.693
19
837.789
92.984
2
838.759
94.747
16
836.579
92.422
Exchange Rates
Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted
Jul
Aug
C&I
Loans
(All)
C&I
Loans
(Large)
Comm.
Paper
(nsa)
Bank
Credit
Loans and
Leases
12
7943.9
5750.5
1127.2
547.7
149.5
0.299
19
7980.6
5774.2
1134.6
551.1
150.0
0.328
26
7992.6
5792.4
1134.2
547.7
149.5
0.350
Broad
Major
Exchange
Rate:
Exchange Exchange
Rate Index Rate Index
Euro/$
Total
Borrowings
Jul
Aug
Exchange
Rate:
Yen/$
14
82.0
108.4
0.787
115.1
21
82.7
109.0
0.795
117.0
28
82.3
108.6
0.790
116.2
2
8009.5
5811.4
1155.0
555.8
153.0
0.486
4
81.4
108.0
0.781
114.7
9
7996.9
5796.2
1156.6
556.5
147.2
0.341
11
81.2
107.7
0.780
115.4
.
150.5
0.347
18
81.4
107.7
0.780
115.9
.
145.3
0.348
25 *
81.2
107.6
0.779
116.3
16
23
.
.
.
.
.
.
*Averages of rates available
Research Division
18
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
U.S. Financial Data
Definitions
M1: The sum of currency held outside the vaults of depository
institutions, Federal Reserve Banks, and the U.S. Treasury; travelers
checks; and demand and other checkable deposits issued by financial
institutions (except demand deposits due to the Treasury and depository
institutions), minus cash items in process of collection and Federal
Reserve float.
M2: M1 plus savings deposits (including money market deposit
accounts) and small-denomination (less than $100,000) time deposits
issued by financial institutions; and shares in retail money market mutual
funds (funds with initial investments of less than $50,000), net of
retirement accounts.
M3: M2 plus large-denomination ($100,000 or more) time deposits;
repurchase agreements issued by depository institutions; Eurodollar
deposits, specifically, dollar-denominated deposits due to nonbank
U.S. addresses held at foreign offices of U.S. banks worldwide and all
banking offices in Canada and the United Kingdom; and institutional
money market mutual funds (funds with initial investments of $50,000
or more).
Notes
Cover Page: Economic forecasts are median responses from the
Thomson Financial Weekly Economic Survey, which is sent out to 20
to 25 Wall Street economists each week (usually on Tuesday). These
forecasts are released on Friday—at which time, Thursday’s USFD
cover page will be updated.
Page 3: Adjusted Monetary Base equals the sum of currency in
circulation outside Federal Reserve Banks and the U.S. Treasury,
deposits of depository financial institutions at Federal Reserve Banks,
and an adjustment for the effects of changes in statutory reserve
requirements on the quantity of base money held by depositories.
This series is a spliced chain index; see Anderson and Rasche (1996a,
1996b, 2001, 2003).
Page 4: Adjusted Reserves is defined as the sum of vault cash and
Federal Reserve Bank deposits held by depository institutions and an
adjustment for the effects of changes in statutory reserve requirements
on the quantity of base money held by depositories. This series, a
spliced chain index, is numerically larger than the Board of Governors’
measure, which excludes vault cash not used to satisfy statutory reserve
requirements and Federal Reserve Bank deposits used to satisfy required
clearing balance contracts; see Anderson and Rasche (1996a, 2001,
2003).
Page 5: MZM includes the zero maturity, or immediately available,
components of M3. MZM equals M2 minus small-denomination time
deposits, plus institutional money market mutual funds (that is, the
money market mutual funds included in M3 but excluded from M2).
The label MZM, or “Money, Zero Maturity,” was coined by William
Poole (1991) for this aggregate, proposed earlier by Motley (1988).
Readers are cautioned that since early 1994 the level and growth of
M1 have been depressed by retail sweep programs that reclassify
transactions deposits (demand deposits and other checkable deposits)
as savings deposits overnight, thereby reducing banks’ required
reserves; see Anderson and Rasche (2001) and
research.stlouisfed.org/aggreg/swdata.html.
Page 7: Current data appear in the Federal Reserve Board’s H.15
release, except for the Intended Federal Funds Rate. Federal Funds
Rate represents seven-day averages for the week ending two days
earlier than the date shown in the release.
Page 8: 10-Year Inflation-Indexed Treasury Yield is the most
Research Division
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
recently issued inflation-indexed bond of 10-year original maturity.
10-Year Inflation-Indexed Treasury Yield Spread equals the difference between the yield on the most recently issued 10-year inflationindexed bond and the unadjusted 10-Year Treasury Note Yield of
similar maturity.
Page 9: Rates on Federal Funds Futures Contracts trace through
time the yield on three specific contracts. Rates on Federal Funds
Futures on Selected Dates displays a single day’s snapshot of yields
for contracts expiring in the months shown on the horizontal axis.
Page 11: Crude Oil (West Texas intermediate) spot and futures prices
are listed in the Wall Street Journal. Spot Prices are weekly averages
of daily prices; Futures Prices are usually taken on Wednesday.
Page 12: Natural Gas (Henry Hub) spot and futures prices are listed
in the Wall Street Journal. Spot Prices are weekly averages of daily
prices; Futures Prices are usually taken on Wednesday.
Page 13: Data appear in the Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 release.
The Major Index comprises 7 currencies. The Broad Index comprises
the Major Index plus 19 additional currencies. Further details may
be found at www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/summary/.
Page 14: Data appear in the Federal Reserve Board’s H.6 release.
Savings Deposits is the sum of money market deposit accounts and
passbook and statement savings. Small Time Deposits have a minimum
initial maturity of 7 days. Savings deposits and small time deposits
are at all depository institutions.
Page 15: Data appear in the Federal Reserve Board’s H.6 release.
Retail Money Funds are included in M2. Institutional Money Funds
are not part of M2; they used to be included in M3, which was discontinued as of March 23, 2006.
See www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h6/discm3.htm.
As of January 9, 2003, Total Borrowings includes primary, secondary,
and seasonal credit. Prior to that, borrowings include seasonal,
adjustment, and extended credit.
Page 16: Data appear in the Federal Reserve Board’s H.8 release.
Bank Loans and Credit include foreign-related institutions. Bank
Credit includes loans and leases and securities. All Banks includes
foreign-related institutions. Large Banks are domestically chartered
banks (adjusted for mergers) and report on a weekly basis.
Page 17: Current data appear at
www.federalreserve.gov/releases/cp/outstandings.htm.
Page 18: Treasury Security yields are Treasury constant maturities
as reported in the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve
System’s H.15 release.
The 3-Month Treasury Bill yield is the secondary market yield from
the H.15 release. Federal Funds represents seven-day averages for
the week ending two days earlier than the date shown in the table.
Municipal Bonds represents Bond Buyer’s Average Index of 20
municipal bonds, Thursday data.
Sources
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Monetary aggregates and components: H.6 release. Bank credit: H.8
release. Total Borrowings: H.4.1 release. Interest rates: H.15
release. Exchange rates: H.10 release. Commercial paper: Board
of Governors web site.
Chicago Board of Trade
Federal funds futures contract.
Dow Jones Indexes
Dow Jones Industrial Average.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Adjusted monetary base, adjusted reserves, and MZM.
19
U.S. Financial Data
NASDAQ Stock Market, Incorporated
NASDAQ Composite®.
Standard & Poor’s
Standard & Poor’s 500 composite index.
U.S. Department of the Treasury
U.S. inflation-indexed security yields.
____ and ____(2001). “Retail Sweep Programs and Bank Reserves,
1994-1999,” Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review,
January/February, pp. 51-72.
____ and ____ , with Jeffrey Loesel (2003). “A Reconstruction of the
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Adjusted Monetary Base and
Reserves,” Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review,
September/October, 85(5), pp. 39-70.
Wall Street Journal
Oil (West Texas intermediate) and natural gas (Henry Hub) spot
and futures prices.
Motley, Brian (1988). “Should M2 Be Redefined?” Federal Reserve
Bank of San Francisco Economic Review, Winter, pp. 33-51.
Wilshire Associates Incorporated (www.wilshire.com)
Wilshire 5000 ®.
Poole, William (1991). Statement before the Subcommittee on
Domestic Monetary Policy of the Committee on Banking, Finance
and Urban Affairs, U.S. House of Representatives, November 6,
1991. Government Printing Office, Serial No. 102-82.
References
Anderson, Richard G. and Robert H. Rasche (1996a). “A Revised
Measure of the St. Louis Adjusted Monetary Base,” Federal
Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, March/April, 78(2), pp. 3-13.
Note: Articles from this Bank’s Review are available on the Internet
at research.stlouisfed.org/publications/review/.
____ and ____(1996b). “Measuring the Adjusted Monetary Base in
an Era of Financial Change,” Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Review, November/ December, 78(6), pp. 3-37.
20
Research Division
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
@FedFRASER