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Tech Pulse The Tech Pulse Index is an index of coincident indicators of activity in the U.S. information technology sector. It can be interpreted as a summary statistic that tracks the health of the tech sector in a timely manner. The indicators used to compute the index are investment in IT goods, consumption of personal computers and software, employment in the IT sector, as well as industrial production of and shipments by the technology sector. The index extracts the common trend that drives these series. Current Release Deviation of growth rate from historical average 75 50 Percent 25 0 -25 -50 -75 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 1-month growth rate (annualized) 2000 2005 2010 2015 12-month growth rate Summary In December 2015 the Tech Pulse Index grew at an annualized rate of 12.1%, compared to its 12.6% historical average. The Tech Pulse Index grew 10.9% over the past 12 months. Tech Pulse Index and Underlying Indicators 12 month Monthly growth rates, growth rate annualized Indicator latest Oct-15 Nov-15 Dec-15 Tech Pulse 10.9% 16.0% 13.3% 12.1% Industrial Production 0.7% 20.1% 2.3% Shipments 7.7% 0.8% 10.9% Employment 2.7% 3.3% 1.6% 0.9% PCE 10.9% 17.3% 30.6% -2.7% -10.5% PCE deflator -4.5% 4 quarter Quarterly growth rates, growth rate annualized latest 2015Q2 2015Q3 2015Q4 Private fixed investment (PFI) 11.8% -6.1% 38.3% PFI deflator -0.9% -2.1% -2.2% Announcements • The econometric model used to construct the Tech Pulse index is re-estimated every month. Consequently, every month the whole historical time-series of the index is revised. • The econometric specification of the model underlying the index as well as the source data have changed substantially compared to the versions of the index released before August 2008. Therefore, the current version of the Tech Pulse index is not directly comparable to previous versions of the index published before December 2008.
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