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EMBARGOED UNTIL 8:30 A.M U.S. Eastern Time, Wednesday, September 6, 2023 – OR UPON DELIVERY

Perspectives on the Economy
and Policymaking
Susan M. Collins
President & CEO
September 6, 2023
Remarks to the New England Council

Figure 1 | Real GDP and Real Personal Consumption Expenditures

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis/Haver Analytics, and author’s calculations.
Note: Trend growth is assumed to be 1.8 percent at an annual rate per quarter for GDP and for consumption. Actuals are assumed at trend in 2017:Q3.

Federal Reserve Bank of Boston | bostonfed.org

Susan M. Collins | Remarks to the New England Council | September 6, 2023

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Figure 2 | Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Inflation
A: PCE Price Indexes

B: Monthly Core PCE Price Index

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis/Haver Analytics

Federal Reserve Bank of Boston | bostonfed.org

Susan M. Collins | Remarks to the New England Council | September 6, 2023

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Figure 3 | Components of PCE Inflation
A: PCE Core Goods

B: PCE Housing Services

C: PCE Core Services ex
Housing

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis/Haver Analytics

Federal Reserve Bank of Boston | bostonfed.org

Susan M. Collins | Remarks to the New England Council | September 6, 2023

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Figure 4 | Payroll Employment and Labor Force Participation
A: Payroll Employment

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics and author’s calculations
Note: Trend payroll employment is assumed to grow by 90,000 per month.
Actual is assumed at trend in the third quarter of 2017.

Federal Reserve Bank of Boston | bostonfed.org

B: Prime-Age Labor Force Participation

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics

Susan M. Collins | Remarks to the New England Council | September 6, 2023

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Figure 5 | Unemployment Rates by Race and Education
A: By Race – 16 Years and Over

B: By Educational Attainment – 25 Years and Over

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics

Federal Reserve Bank of Boston | bostonfed.org

Susan M. Collins | Remarks to the New England Council | September 6, 2023

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Figure 6 | Employment Cost Index
Compensation of Private Industry Workers

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics

Federal Reserve Bank of Boston | bostonfed.org

Susan M. Collins | Remarks to the New England Council | September 6, 2023

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Figure 7 | Federal Funds Target Rate

Source: Federal Reserve Board/Haver Analytics

Federal Reserve Bank of Boston | bostonfed.org

Susan M. Collins | Remarks to the New England Council | September 6, 2023

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Figure 8 | New England State Visits

Federal Reserve Bank of Boston | bostonfed.org

Susan M. Collins | Remarks to the New England Council | September 6, 2023

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