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Monetary Policy Challenges in the Pandemic Recovery Seminar with Economics Faculty and Students, Harvard University Susan M. Collins President & CEO Federal Reserve Bank of Boston October 17, 2023 Federal Reserve Bank of Boston | bostonfed.org Susan M. Collins | Seminar at Harvard University | October 17, 2023 2 Figure 2 | September 2023 FOMC Summary of Economic Projections Median Projection, September 2023 Variable 2023 2024 2025 2026 Longer Run Change in Real GDP 2.1 1.5 1.8 1.8 1.8 Unemployment Rate 3.8 4.1 4.1 4 4 PCE Inflation 3.3 2.5 2.2 2 2 Core PCE Inflation 3.7 2.6 2.3 2 Federal Funds Rate 5.6 5.1 3.9 2.9 Federal Reserve Bank of Boston | bostonfed.org 2.5 Susan M. Collins | Seminar at Harvard University | October 17, 2023 3 Federal Reserve Bank of Boston | bostonfed.org Susan M. Collins | Seminar at Harvard University | October 17, 2023 4 Federal Reserve Bank of Boston | bostonfed.org Susan M. Collins | Seminar at Harvard University | October 17, 2023 5 Federal Reserve Bank of Boston | bostonfed.org Susan M. Collins | Seminar at Harvard University | October 17, 2023 6 Federal Reserve Bank of Boston | bostonfed.org Susan M. Collins | Seminar at Harvard University | October 17, 2023 7 Federal Reserve Bank of Boston | bostonfed.org Susan M. Collins | Seminar at Harvard University | October 17, 2023 8 Federal Reserve Bank of Boston | bostonfed.org Susan M. Collins | Seminar at Harvard University | October 17, 2023 9 Federal Reserve Bank of Boston | bostonfed.org Susan M. Collins | Seminar at Harvard University | October 17, 2023 10 Federal Reserve Bank of Boston | bostonfed.org Susan M. Collins | Seminar at Harvard University | October 17, 2023 11 Federal Reserve Bank of Boston | bostonfed.org Susan M. Collins | Seminar at Harvard University | October 17, 2023 12 Federal Reserve Bank of Boston | bostonfed.org Susan M. Collins | Seminar at Harvard University | October 17, 2023 13 Federal Reserve Bank of Boston | bostonfed.org Susan M. Collins | Seminar at Harvard University | October 17, 2023 14 Federal Reserve Bank of Boston | bostonfed.org Susan M. Collins | Seminar at Harvard University | October 17, 2023 15 Federal Reserve Bank of Boston | bostonfed.org Susan M. Collins | Seminar at Harvard University | October 17, 2023 16 Federal Reserve Bank of Boston | bostonfed.org Susan M. Collins | Seminar at Harvard University | October 17, 2023 17 Federal Reserve Bank of Boston | bostonfed.org Susan M. Collins | Seminar at Harvard University | October 17, 2023 18 Federal Reserve Bank of Boston | bostonfed.org Susan M. Collins | Seminar at Harvard University | October 17, 2023 19 Federal Reserve Bank of Boston | bostonfed.org Copyright 2023 Federal Reserve Bank of Boston 20