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When Will U.S. In ation Return to Target?
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Nov. 13-15, 2017
Presentation (pdf) | Press Release | Photos of Visit to
Louisville (below)
On a two-day tour of Louisville, Ky., where the St. Louis Fed
has a Branch, President James Bullard spoke at the
Economic Update Breakfast, toured the Ford assembly
plant and the operations of one of its suppliers, and
participated in a celebration marking the upcoming 100th
anniversary of the opening of the Fed’s Branch there. He
also met with the Branch’s board of directors.
Bullard’s talk at the breakfast Nov. 14 was titled “When Will
U.S. In ation Return to Target?” He said in ation has been
mostly below the Fed’s 2 percent target since 2012 and is
unlikely to return to target anytime soon. He noted that
in ation expectations, which have an important in uence
on actual in ation, remain below the level that would be
historically consistent with the in ation target. Bullard also
said that U.S. nancial conditions are considered easy, or
“low stress,” but he added that current low readings
probably do not contain any important signal about future
economic outcomes at this point. He also spoke about
GDP growth, labor markets and the current level of the
federal funds rate target, which he said was appropriate
given current macroeconomic data.

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"Rationally, let it be said in a
whisper, experience is certainly
worth more than theory."
Amerigo Vespucci

More than 170 people attended the Economic Update Breakfast,
held at the Speed Art Museum in Louisville. After delivering his
“When Will U.S. In ation Return to Target?” presentation, Bullard
took questions from the audience. The breakfast was cosponsored by the Association for Corporate Growth Kentucky and

the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
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At the breakfast, the head of the St. Louis Fed’s Louisville Branch,
Senior Vice President Nikki Jackson, engaged with attendees.
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Bullard and other Fed representatives toured the Ford assembly
plant. With 5,000 employees, the plant is one of the major
employers in Louisville. With him are Sadiqa Reynolds, a member
of the board of the Louisville Branch of the St. Louis Fed, and John
Bell, an employee at the plant. Reynolds is president and CEO of
the Louisville Urban League.
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Bullard tours the Ford Plant on Tuesday with the general manager,
Fred Thome.
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Bullard and others from the Fed toured HJI Supply Chain
Solutions, a supplier to the automotive and other industries. The
head of the St. Louis Fed’s Louisville branch, Senior Vice President
Nikki Jackson (center, in orange jacket), listened as the plant’s
general manager, Mike Rogerson (in vest and tie), explained the
logistics business with Shane Allgeier, vice president of operations
(far right).
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