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Time Consistency and Fed Policy
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March 24, 2016
St. Louis Fed President James Bullard discussed whether
the FOMC's decision earlier this month to leave the policy
rate unchanged was an example of time-inconsistent
policymaking, given that the state of the U.S. economy then
was arguably consistent with the FOMC's Summary of
Economic Projections (SEP) from December, which could
have led some to believe an increase was warranted.
During a presentation to the New York Association for
Business Economics, he said that some key changes to the
SEP in March were enough to justify a somewhat different
policy stance than would otherwise have been warranted.
He concluded that it is reasonable to interpret the FOMC as
remaining time-consistent at the March meeting.
Presentation (pdf) | Press Release

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