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Opening Remarks: St. Louis Fed's Fall Conference
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October 15, 2015
President James Bullard delivered opening remarks at the
40th Annual Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Fall
Conference, sponsored by the Research Division. He said
that advanced economic theory has to be made more
relevant for actual policy and that actual policy has to
understand and embrace the sometimes di cult ideas
advanced in the theoretical literature. He noted that the St.
Louis Fed has long been a leader in supporting research at
the intersection of economic theory and economic policy.
Remarks (pdf)
Full text of remarks:
Opening remarks by James Bullard, President and CEO
40th Annual Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Fall
Conference
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
St. Louis, Mo.
Oct. 15-16, 2015

James Bullard
President and Chief
Executive O cer
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It is my pleasure to welcome you to the St. Louis Fed's
2015 Fall Conference. This is the 40th year for this
conference. I want to thank Paulina Restrepo-Echavarria
and Guillaume Vandenbroucke for putting this program
together. I am looking forward to the stimulating
discussion these papers are sure to inspire over the next
day and a half.
At the St. Louis Fed, we have long tried to provide
perspectives on whether the economic policies adopted in
the past still serve us well today and whether recent
developments at the frontier of research can be fruitfully
applied to improve policy. This agenda has become
especially important in the past few years, as the Fed and
other central banks around the world have struggled to
devise appropriate policy responses to the current
macroeconomic situation.

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"Rationally, let it be said in a
whisper, experience is certainly
worth more than theory."
Amerigo Vespucci

In polite economist society, there has long been a
distinction between what is known as "frontier" research
and what is sometimes called "policy" research. In my view,
this has been and continues to be a false dichotomy. There
is no such distinction: "Policy" and "frontier" research are
two sides of the same coin. We need to understand both
how fundamental mechanisms in the economy operate as
well as how current data and policy measures can be
interpreted in terms of fundamental theory.
In short, advanced economic theory has to be made more
relevant for actual policy, and actual policy has to
understand and embrace the sometimes di cult ideas
advanced in the theoretical literature. The Federal Reserve
Bank of St. Louis has long been a leader in supporting
research at the intersection of economic theory and
economic policy.
We are fortunate this year to have an outstanding group of
speakers, whose research is sure to expand our
understanding of key contemporary issues in
macroeconomics.
This year's agenda includes papers on a host of
macroeconomic topics, including:
a paper on the extent to which recent developments
in neoclassical models can improve our
understanding of aggregate economies;
a paper that incorporates intangible investments into
a multi-sector general equilibrium model to estimate
processes for latent sectorial total factor productivity;
a paper on the role of wholesale banking and bank
runs in modeling nancial crises;
a paper seeking to understand the behavior of the
Chinese savings rate, which has more than doubled
since 1980; and
a paper using regional business cycle data to study
the determinants of prices, wages and employment
during the Great Recession.
We will hear about monetary policy, including:
a paper studying the macroeconomic effects of a
shortage of safe assets and the emergence of a
de ationary equilibrium; and
a paper exploring monetary policy when fractional
reserves are set at 100 percent.
We will also learn about the quantitative implications of
wealth taxation through a paper that studies an incomplete
markets model where individual rates of return are
heterogeneous.
And, nally, we will see a dynamic model of health
insurance used to evaluate both the short- and long-run
effects of policies that prevent rms from conditioning
wages on the health conditions of their workers.

I know that these papers and the ideas they contain will
contribute importantly to the macroeconomic discussion in
the coming years as the papers are eventually published
and the results become more widely known in the
profession. The St. Louis Fed is proud to provide this forum
for discussion and analysis of the leading issues of the
day.
Let me again welcome all of you to the St. Louis Fed's 2015
Fall Conference. Thanks very much for coming.

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