View original document

The full text on this page is automatically extracted from the file linked above and may contain errors and inconsistencies.

Home > Former President Jim Bullard > Speeches, Presentations and Commentary

From the President

More on Modern Monetary Policy Rules
December 7, 2018
Presentation (pdf) | Press Release
Speaking to the Indiana Bankers Association, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard further
elaborated on some key directions the Fed could take to update a popular monetary policy
rule, a version of the Taylor rule, whose construction was based on U.S. data from the 1980s
and 1990s. Since then, he noted, three important macroeconomic developments have
altered key elements of policy rule construction. These developments are lower short-term
real interest rates in the U.S. and around the world, the disappearing Phillips curve and
better measures of in�ation expectations. “Incorporating these developments yields a
modernized policy rule that suggests the current level of the policy rate is about right over
the forecast horizon,” Bullard said.
Bullard expanded on remarks that were delivered to the Economic Club of Memphis on Oct.
18, 2018.