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Volume X X X I X September 1957 Number 9 , ^ g p e d iv e Pulpwood Production m^mRth District States of uses and its markets are expanding. Eighth P jaid ct States are sharing in this expansion. re^odrce*; man support a still greater pulpwood output. Imst wyl be required, however, especially on the '1 j[n w e^w ith other forest enterprises. Bankers developing forest resources. S u r r e y o/ CM rreytt Coytdtttoyts— p . Current and Prospective Pulpwood Production in Eighth District States consumed, has more than doubled in use during the past quarter-century. -A - VISITOR from abroad is quickly impressed with the "paper-mindedness" of Americans when he Rrst buys a Sunday paper or sees the racks of artfully packaged wares in a supermarket. The casual way in which an American family uses hundreds of pounds of paper products each year is in striking contrast to practices in some countries where customers are ex pected to bring their own wrapping paper to the store. "Paper-mindedness" has stimulated a phe nomenal increase in the consumption of pulpwood in this country since the turn of the century. From less than 2 million cords in 1899, the nation's use of pulp wood grew to 7 million cords in 1930, and to nearly 36 million cords in 1956. Paper, which requires over half of all wood pulp PRODUCTION OF PAPER AND PAPERBOARD AND WOOD PULP !N THE UN!TED STATES M iHions of Tons Source: United States Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, /or Series M 14A. More versatile and better quality paper and multi color printing have contributed to this expansion. The most rapid increase in paper use has occurred in the shipping and packaging industries. Waxcoated paper containers for milk and frozen foods are examples of recent trends in the use of pulp products for merchandising. Bulk materials, such as sugar, Hour, cement and chemical fertilizer, are now being shipped and stored in paper bags, where as formerly burlap or cotton bags were used. The introduction of waterproof paper, practical conveni ence and better advertising possibilities are given as some of the reasons for the shift to paper bags. There has been a large increase in the use of tar impregnated paper for wrapping pipe and other items to retard corrosion. The use of sanitary and tissue paper has also increased rapidly during the past quarter-century. The consumption of paperboard has been increas ing even more rapidly than that of paper, trebling during the past twenty-Rve years. Wooden boxes have been replaced by shipping cartons made of paperboard. Such cartons are lighter than wooden boxes and can be folded for shipment and storage. Moreover, they are suitable for automatic packaging machines which are in general use at most manufac turing plants. Wood pulp products are of increasing importance in the construction of perforated pulpboard, which is used as accoustical tile, and the use of pulpboard for insulating purposes has been growing very rapid ly. Saturated felt, another pulp product used in Boors and roofs, also has an expanding market. Page 111 Estimated United States demand for paper and board will total 43.8 million tons by 1965, according to a comprehensive report, Pape? and Board recently published by the Com mittee on Interstate and Foreign Commerce of the 85th Congress.* By these estimates, paper grade wood pulp consumption for 1965 is expected to total 32.3 million tons, and dissolving pulp, used in rayon and plastics, an additional 1.7 million tons. Total wood pulp consumption would thus be 34 million tons, 42 per cent greater than actual consumption in 1956. Nearly 53 million cords of pulpwood would be required, 47 per cent more than in 1956. Although the consumption of waste paper and other Bbrous materials is expected to increase, their rate of in crease will probably be somewhat less than that of pulpwood. While the consumption of wood pulp for purposes other than paper, paperboard and building materials is small relative to total consumption, that going into rayon and acetate has been growing rapidly. Much of the expansion in markets for pulpwood has been made possible by technological advances in processing. A few years ago spruce and Sr were the only trees that could be economically used. The development of new processes has made it feasible to use southern pines, western hemlock, Sr, jackpine and many hardwoods. These new processes opened up large new producing areas, including the Eighth i Report of the Committee on Interstate and Foreign Commerce, 85th Congress, 1st Session, June 17, 1937. The estimates are based upon stated assumptions regarding growth of popula tion, gross national product and other relevant economic measures. CONSUMPTION OF PULPWOOD !N THE UNtTED STATES M iHions of cords District states. Growth of pulpwood production in district states and the southeastern United States began in the 1920 decade and has continued with increasing tempo in the 1950's. The spectacular increase in pulpwood production during recent years in Eighth Federal Reserve Dis trict States tends to belie the old adage, "Money doesn't grow on trees." Located astride the divid ing line between the Central Hardwood Forest region and the Southern Forest, district states contain about one-ninth of the nation s land area and one-sixth of TABLE 1 TOTAL LAND AREA AND FOREST LAND IN EIGHTH D!5TR!CT STATES, 1953 (iN THOUSANDS OF ACRES) Fighth District States Iota! Tota! Forest Land Area ^ Land Area" Commercia! Forest Land Area" NonC o m m erc ia l Forest Land Arka ns as.................. 52,673 19 ,3 46 19 ,29 2 34 iNinois....................... 55,935 3 ,9 9 3 3 ,9 3 8 55 !n d i a n a .......... .. 36,205 4 ,1 0 3 4,045 58 Kentucky.................. 39,864 1 1, 4 9 7 11,446 51 Mississippi............. 4 7 ,2 4 8 1 6 ,4 7 3 16,440 33 Missouri.................. 69,226 15,177 1 5 ,0 6 4 113 T en n ess ee ............... 41,797 12,55 8 J^301 25J7 Tota)..................... 3 42,950 8 3 ,1 4 7 8 2 ,5 2 6 621 United S t a t e s . . 2,974,726 647,686 484,340 163,346 its commercial forest land. When use of southern pine for pulp began in the 1920's decade the pine belt portion of the area was opened for production. By 1940, total production of pulpwood in these states exceeded a million cords per year (see Table 2). Output doubled from 1940 to 1952 and continued to grow through 1956 at the rate of about 250,000 cords per year. The rate of increase during the sixteenyear period, 1940-1956, was slightly greater than that of the nation. More than half of the pulpwood produced in the district states comes from Mississippi, about 30 per cent from Arkansas and 10 per cent from Tennessee. These states contain nearly 60 per cent of the dis trict states' commercial forest land and a consider ably greater share of the pine forest. The recent in crease in use of hardwoods for pulp has made the forests of the entire district states area potentially valuable as a pulpwood source. Production of pulp from hardwoods is increasing rapidly in Illinois, Page 112 TABLE 2 PULPWOOD PRODUCTION, EIGHTH D!STR!CT STATES (THOUSAND CORDS OF ALL PULPWOOD, !NCLUD!NG RESIDUES) 1956* Tota! Hardwoods Arkansas............................................ ...................... 1,075.2 1952 3 Softwoods 139.7 1940 Tota! Softwoods Tota! Hardwoods 935.5 620.2 86.2 533.9 ...................... 80.1 80.0 0.1 45.0 45.0 .... !ndiana.............................................. ...................... 22.0 22.0 0.0 12.0 12.0 .... Kentucky............................................ ...................... 53.3 28.3 25.0 30.0 27.9 2.1 Mississippi....................................... ...................... 2,135.7 938.0 1,197.8 1,867.3 482.3 1,385.0 2.4 1.4 1.0 12.0 8.5 486 3.5 Missouri............................................ ........................ 630 ...................... 398.8 153.9 244.8 268.4 153.9 114.5 131 Io ta !.............................................. ...................... 3,767.5 1,363.3 2,404.1 2,854.9 815.8 2,039.0 1,247 United States............................. ...................... 35,1962 6,104 29,092 25,065 3,657 12,307' 21,408 N o /? D e ta il will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. 1 Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky M issouri— Arkansas, Mississippi and Tennessee— 7936 2 No. j?04, Central States Forest Experiment Station, Columbus, Ohio, July, 1957. So#//?, Southern Forest Experiment Station, New Orleans, La., August, 1957. Report of the Committee on Interstate and Foreign Commerce, 85th Congress, 1957. 3 Rfv/fip, U. S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, 1955. ^ No records available. Estimated to be an insignificant amount. 3 Rf^or; < ?/ F e w / Rfj<7#rff The American Forestry Association, 1947. Indiana and Kentucky. Output almost doubled in these states during the four years 1952 to 1956. Hard woods are used almost exclusively in Indiana and Illinois, whereas Kentucky produces pulpwood from both pine and hardwood. Although not as large an income producer as cot ton, hogs or soybeans in the district, pulpwood has become an important source of income especially in the southern district states. The value of pulpwood delivered to concentration points in Mississippi and Arkansas in 1955 was estimated at approximately $50 million. This was approximately 5 per cent as much as the combined sales of all crops and live stock products in these two largely agricultural states. In particular counties pulpwood is of much greater relative importance than in the district as a whole. In Union County, Arkansas, for example, the value of pulpwood produced in 1954 was about equal to the value of all crops and livestock products sold. are favorable for pulpwood production. Rainfall is generally adequate the year-around for rapid tree growth and long warm summers provide an ample growing season. New seedlings often spring up on abandoned crop land and in openings where mature trees have been harvested. Although the average volume of standing timber per acre is relatively low in this area, net annual growth is above the national average (see Table 3). TABLE 3 GROWTH, CUT AND VOLUME OF GROW!NG STOCK PER ACRE OF COMMERGAL FOREST LAND, 1952. Net Volume Growing Stock Jan. 1, 1953 (Cubic Feet Per Acre) (Cubic Feet Per Acre) 29.7 19.7 609.7 34.3 9.6 774.5 34.4 12.9 751.8 31.9 14.2 684.4 43.6 Of further importance to the district states' econ omy is A e inHuence of pulpwood production upon the location of pulp and paper plants. There were 13 mills operating in district states in 1956; two more are scheduled for completion in 1957; and at least three more are planned. Net Annua! Cut (Cubic Feet Per Acre) Eighth District States Net Annua! Growth 34.7 585.6 17.9 5.6 365.3 19.8 20.5 469.1 District State Average. The soils, climate and topography of district states 29.6 18.6 564.5 United States Average. 29.3 22.2 1,029.1 Source: Basic data from RfjoKff? Rff/ftp, September, 1955. Page 113 Principal Types of Timber in Eighth District States HE MAP OPPOSITE shows areas characterized by major forest types in the seven states which include the Eighth Federal Reserve District. Pine areas, which supply most of the district states pulpwood, are concentrated in southern district states. Loblolly-shortleaf pine forest predominates in Mississippi, excepting the Delta and river-bottom areas and the low coastal lands; in Arkansas, particularly south of the Arkansas River; and in the eastern, Appalachian, sections of Kentucky and Tennessee. An area of longleaf-slash pine characterizes the coastal region of Mississippi. White-red-jack pine forest occurs only in a very small area in eastern Tennessee. Hardwood forests, which are becoming more important as a source of pulpwood, are more extensive in these states than softwood types. The oak-hickory forest is typi cal of most of Missouri, southern Illinois, considerable parts of Indiana both north and south, the greater portion of Kentucky and the western two-thirds of Tennessee and most of Northwestern Arkansas. The second most extensive area of hardwoods is the swamp and bottom-land forest. This type is found along the principal water courses with its greatest extent in the Mississippi River Basin, which includes the Bootheel of Missouri and the Ar kansas and Mississippi Deltas. A maple-birch-beech forest type covers a consider able portion of southern Indiana. This map is derived from one entitled Areas Characterized Mo/or Forest Types in the United States prepared by the United States Department of Agricul ture, Forest Service, in 1949 and based on a national survey of forest resources. The Forest Service deRnes the six types of timber areas shown on the map as follows: LONGLEAF-SLASH PINE: Forests in which 25 per cent or more of the stand is longleaf or slash pine, singly or in combination. LOBLOLLY-SHORTLEAF PINE: Forests in which 25 percent or more of the stand is loblolly pine, short leaf pine, or other yellow pines, excepting longleaf or slash, singly or in combination. WHITE-RED-JACK PINE: Forests in which 50 per cent or more of the stand is eastern white pine, red pine or Jack pine, singly or in combination. MAPLE-BIRCH-BEECH: (northern h ard w o o d s): Forests in which 50 percent or more of the stand is sugar maple, yellow birch, beech or basswood, singly or in combination. OAK-HICKORY: Forests in which 50 percent or more of the stand is upland oaks, hickories, yellow poplar, or gums, singly or in combination, except where long leaf and/or slash pine comprises 25 percent, or where loblolly, shortleaf, Virginia and/or pitch pine com prises 25 percent, singly or in combination, in which cases the stands would be classified respectively as longleaf-slash pine or loblolly-shortleaf pine. SWAMP AND BOTTOM-LAND FORESTS: Forests on characteristically moist to wet sites primarily identi fied by water tupelo, black gum, sweet gum, southern cypress, ash, oak, pine, elm, cottonwood, and red maple, making up 50 percent or more of the stand, singly or in combination, except where longleaf and/or slash pine comprises 25 percent, or where loblolly and/or shortleaf pine comprises 25 percent, in which cases the stands would be classified respectively as longleaf-slash pine or loblolly-shortleaf pine. The area not typed may have some timber, usually covering less than 10 per cent of the land. Page 114 M ap of Principal Types of Timber in Eighth District States ) ] OAK-HtCKORY t ! SWAMPS and BOTTOM-LAND M APLE-BtRCH -BEECH ] ! 1 LOBLOLLY-SHORTLEAF PtNE ! LONGLEAF - SLASH P) NE WHtTE-RED-JACK PtNE ] ] L ess Than )0 % Timber Page us Very favorable growing conditions here have ap parently offset the effects of understocking. Further more, growth rates in the district states exceed the rate of cutting by a considerable margin. The annual net cut was less than two-thirds of net growth in 1953, while for the same year the nation as a whole cut approximately three-fourths of the growth. The favorable ratio of growth rates to cutting in the seven states should permit improvement in the tim ber stands and provide the base for expanding output in the future. Unfortunately, the old growth of sawtimber is about gone in the area. In 1953 the district states had only about one-fourteenth of the nation s stand ing sawtimber and the greater part of that was in second growth stands. The current era of improve ment in forests follows a long period in which timber resources were drawn down. Lumber production in the area was at its zenith during the first two decades of this century, when "Cut and get out" was the policy of most operators. A large per cent of the timber that remained after the sawtimber harvests was un marketable or of low value. Furthermore, inferior trees were occupying space where high quality trees could be growing and forest Sres often curtailed natural restocking processes. Another factor in the drain on timber resources in the past was the lack of knowledge in erosion control methods which led to abandonment of eroded farmland and the clearing of new lands that, in many cases, were not topograph ically suited to crop production. ... One of the first major attempts to assure a perma nent timber supply in the area was establishment of the Ouachita National Forest in Arkansas in 1907. Soon thereafter, a number of lumber companies began to acquire second growth pine lands in the southern district states after the old growth had been ex hausted. Owners of the larger holdings were show ing interest in scientific forest management by the early thirties. More recently, substantial advances have been made in the management of timber on many smaller holdings. In 1953, according to the ResoMfce RetMeti), pulp manufacturers were apparently doing the best job of forest management of all the private ownership groups in the nation.^ Almost two-fifths of the total land area held by pulp manufacturers was in owner ships on which some timber stand improvement work 2 Rfv/ftp, United States Department of Agriculture, Forest Set vice, 1953, Chapter IX. Page 116 was being done. By contrast, only about 3 per cent of the land in farms was in units undergoing im provement. The level of timber management prac ticed by pulp manufacturers is especially high in the South. Holdings of lumber manufacturers, other wood manufacturers and other private investors fall between these two extremes. When land holdings were classified in the Tim&er Resource RetMett; according to size, the quality of timber management increased with each larger sizeclassiBcation. For the nation, only 2 per cent of the area in holdings of less than 100 acres reported any improvement work, as compared to 45 per cent of the area in units of 50,000 acres or more. ... 0% ^ Small farm forest properties have long been recog nized as the crux of the forest management problem in the district states and in the nation. Low income and inability to save or wait for capital to be replenished have made it difficult for small farmers to develop their woodlands. Tenants, who frequent ly moved from place to place, were generally given wide latitude in their use of timber resources with unhappy results so far as good forestry practices are concerned. Fortunately, the problem of small farms is being alleviated both in the district and in the nation. Total number of farms has declined consistently since World War II. With this decline has gone a persistent growth in size of farms. The greatest increase in average size of farms in the district states occurred in Arkansas and Mississippi where farms were small and a great concentration of sawtimber exists. These re source changes in agriculture have resulted in more efficient performance on farms. In turn higher in comes have relieved some of the pressure to clear land for crops which is better suited for timber. Similarly, as farm incomes improve, pressure to cut timber on farm land without leaving a good stock of growing trees is reduced. Good forest management pays. According to the Missouri Conservation Commission, timberlands in that state could produce five times as much timber if they were properly managed.^ Furthermore, in the case of the small landholders, most of the manage ment work could be done by the owners without the necessity for cash outlays. The United States Forest Service has estimated that a moderate level of management in Mississippi would eventually raise 3 Forfj/ F/rfj Missouri Conservation Commission, 1951. current annual growth in board feet by two-thirds.^ Such a level of management entails state-wide fire protection, cutting practices which would maintain full production capacity on land held by forest-product firms and public agencies, and cutting practices on the rest of the forest land designed to improve productivity. The future prospects of the pulpwood industry are of special concern to bankers located near forested lands. Whether pulpwood production in the district states gains 47 per cent with the estimated national increase by 1965, or shows no gain, wiH make a sub stantia! difference in the level of operations of many banks in the forested areas. A case study in 1954 points up the increase in re turns from an individual farm woodlot that can be attained by improving forest management practices.^ Using constant prices for calculating returns, net gains from the ninety-two-acre woodlot on a farm in Tippah County, Mississippi, over three decades could be increased from $3,639 to $15,322 with the installa tion of a planned forestry program. Fortunately, the banker is not completely passive in determining which of these alternatives is to be experienced. Many forest owners need to be con vinced of the importance of good woodland manage ment. Small owners have been especially slow to adopt practices designed to keep woodlands produc tive. If bankers can encourage such owners to do a better job substantial benefits may result. Commercial bank lending for planting trees on unstocked lands is probably out of the question. It usually takes twelve to twenty years for newly plant ed trees to reach the thinning stage for pulpwood in the district states. This is obviously too long to be an attractive credit business for banks. However, k credit has many other uses in forest products inesses. For example, loans to finance the pur se of marketable timber or to manufacture forest ducts are quite common. Despite its excellent prospects in the district states pulpwood is not likely to become the only product marketed from most district forest lands. Good quality saw logs still sell at a substantial premium for lumber or veneer compared to the price paid for^ pulpwood. Pulpwood provides a market primarily ^ for smaller trees which must be thinned out in good; forestry practice. The pulp market also provides an outlet for slow-growing and cull trees that should be eliminated from timber stands. Portions of trees? ^ that cannot be used for lumber or higher-priced products may also be used for pulp. 1953 the Federal Reserve Act was amended to mit national banks to make real estate loans ired by first liens upon properly managed forest :^s. J^efore the amendment timberland was not n^{de^3 to be improved real property which could tie d ^ ^ e c u rity . The change may facilitate forest ly^ ^ n eh t in several ways and reduce the premattife A tf^ excessiv e cutting of timber which has in . ^ r n i l^ee^ $ucR a problem with farm woodlands. In recent years, wastes from wood-working plants, such as slabs and edgings from sawmills, have be< used for making pulp. Sawmills equipped wj de-barkers and chippers can sell as a valuable ^ product waste material that they used to burn. W^od residues chipped for pulp in 12 southern statesjin-^ creased from 126,000 cords in 1954 to 659,000 in lj&56, ^ j , or more than 3 per cent of total southern p u lp ^ d ^ ^ ^ ^ production. The use of wood residues fo^* [p%as^ been developed further in Arkansas than ^ southern state, supplying 13 per cent of th ^ ^ a te ^ ^ ' pulpwood production in 1956. 4 of Agriculture, Forest Service, 1951. 5 "The Covington Farm, A Case December 1954. ' ^ United ^ F, ^^ Study in Planning and Financing Farm ^ ' ** r ^ are just one of many groups helping to Hrogfo^e the capacity of district forests to supply Rational markets for wood products. A greater outpu^ ohpulpwood as a result of development efforts noYh§jtng made will mean not only increased income rs of timber tracts but will enhance the for establishing additional pulp and paper in^the district. Careful management of forest #es<Airdes( should thus yield widespread beneSts in emplbym^nt and income. CLIFTON B . LUTTRELL A. J. MEICS Page 117 OF CURRENT CONDtHONS /or PM&Hc#fion S^pf^m&ar J W H IL E THE AMERICAN ECONOMY continued to give strong evidence of over all prosperity during the past few months, a disquiet persists which has not been dispelled by the most recently available statistics. After allowing for the significant upward drift in prices these figures indicate that the economy is continuing its sidewise movement with most activi ties changed but slightly when compared with the recent past. To a public which has been conditioned by the substantial rate of growth during 1955 and 1956, this loss of forward momentum has been the subject of some greater impatience and concern than the current high level of business vitality would seem to warrant. No doubt some of the anxiety regarding the nation's economic future involves the existence of perceptible soft spots. However, a conjuncture of offsetting developments has served to maintain prosperity. These include the rise in consumer outlays for nondurables and services, the increased levels of government ex penditures, and inventory accumulation. During July the Federal Reserve Board index of industrial production held steady at the June rate of 144 per cent. Total employment in nonagricultural establishments was 52.8 million (seasonally adjusted) in July, virtually unchanged from the revised June figure. However, increased wage and salary disburse ments in the trade and service industries, as well as in government, were the basis for a slight 0.2 per cent rise in personal income in July. The level of unemployment, approximating 4 per cent of the labor force, was little changed from a year ago. Continued high levels of employment and income also seemed to maintain consumers' spending as reHected in a 1 per cent rise in retail sales. While it is clear that the growth of general business activity has slowed to a considerable extent, the continued increases in con sumer prices and interest rates indicate that inflation ary pressures have not entirely abated. The index of consumer prices moved up % of 1 per cent during July and the entire pattern of interest rates advanced during August. However, even in this area the gen Page 118 eral picture was alloyed by sporadic price declines in individual commodities and some bearishness in common stock prices. This general picture of over all stability is also evi dent in the Eighth District. Business at large changed little during August as compared with July. Indivi dual activities are manifesting some differences in behavior and, although the order of magnitude of month-to-month changes is modest in most cases, com parisons with last year are sometimes quite revealing. Steel production in the St. Louis area continued the decline which began in April of this year. This con traction in output has been interrupted only by the brief upturn in July which was associated with a re turn to normal operations after the Hood conditions in June. Currently, steel plants in the St. Louis area are operating at about 77 per cent of capacity and production is down a substantial 18 per cent below last year. Livestock slaughtering in the St. Louis area was also lower in August than in July with the bulk of the decrease coming in hog and sheep processing. Cross currents were apparent in the business pic ture, however. Southern pine output was almost 12 per cent higher during August than it was in July, and was up about 6 per cent when compared with last year's Sgures. Freight car interchanges in the St. Louis area in early August were 18 per cent above July. Commercial failures in July were down somewhat from June and considerably below the level of a year ago. In general, business failures have been at a somewhat lower rate in 1957 than in 1956. The major district labor markets, like their national counterparts, reflected both the overall stability of business in the aggregate and minor shifts in indivi dual activities. Total nonagricultural employment evidenced a small seasonal drop, while manufactur ing employment was off slightly more than usual in July. Typically there were some differences among reporting centers in the district. Unemployment de clined from June to July throughout the district, but was over year ago levels in Louisville, Little Rock and Memphis. Loans at Eighth District weekly reporting banks expanded $50 million (about 3 per cent) during the four we^ks ending August 21, somewhat more than is usual fo^ the period. The strength was largely in business borrowing. Perhaps a third of the increase, however, was unrelated to the business situation, arising from the reclassification of certain security holdings into the category of loans to brokers and dealers. Loans to commodity dealers rose sharply in conjunction with the August 16th deadline for Commodity Credit Corporation cotton payments, which created large Rows of money through district banks, especially at Memphis. Food and textile man ufacturers added to loans, as did public utilities and to a lesser extent construction contractors. Partially offsetting these gains were net repayments of loans by metal manufacturers, trade concerns and sales Rnance companies. "Other" (largely consumer) loans rose moderately in the four-week period. Some of the changes in security holdings of report ing member banks in the period were associated with Treasury Bnancing. While certificate holdings in creased following the pattern of the Treasury's August 1st refunding, the volume of Treasury notes declined. Later in the month the Treasury's seasonally depleted demand deposit balances were replenished by sales of special 237-day bills, some of which were added to bill holdings of the banks. Developments in agriculture were seasonal in na ture, with crops continuing to grow well, except for some areas which received too much rainfall. Cotton picking began in the southern part of the district in the latter part of the month. Because of delayed spring planting, com and soybeans are expected to mature somewhat later than normal. United States Department of Agriculture production estimates re veal that output of cotton, com, and soybeans will be substantially below 1956 volumes both for the nation and for the Eighth District farms. The regional drop is considerably more severe. The table below con tains the estimates for the major district crops. PRODUCTION OF SELECTED E!GHTH D!STR!CT CROPS 1956 AND AUGUST 1, 1957 ESTIMATES Cotton__________ 1956 Aug. 1, 1957 Per cent Estimate Change (Thousands 50-lb. Bales) Arkansas..................................... Illinois........................................ Indiana....................................... Kentucky................................... Mississippi................................ Missouri..................................... Tennessee.................................. 1,426 1,120 — 21% — 1,609 448 552 —. 1,340 245 480 Total Eighth Dist. States Total United States............ 4 ,0 3 5 1 3,310 3 ,185 11,897 — — — — ____________ Com______________ 1956 Aug. 1, 1957 Estimate (Thousand Bushels) — — — 17 — 45 — 13 18,090 5 9 8 ,672 2 9 6 ,546 8 4 ,456 3 9,150 189,408 55,770 12,788 430,352 2 26,356 59,318 3 9,432 127,021 41,804 — 21 — 11 1,282,092 3,4 5 1 ,292 937,071 3,065,771 — Change _________ Soybeans__________ 1956 Aug. 1, 1957 Estimate Per cent Change (Thousand Bushels) _________ All Hay 1956 Aug. 1, 1957 Per cent Estimate Change (Thousand Tons) — 29% — 28 — 24 — 30 + 1 — 33 — 25 27,162 134,948 52,128 2,992 11,712 39,120 3,960 22,402 107,436 49,245 2,466 10,215 31,680 3,400 — 18% — 20 — 6 — 18 — 13 — 19 — 14 — 27 — 11 272,022 455,869 226,844 428 ,3 5 6 — 17 — 6 949 4,998 2,723 2,431 908 3,523 1,754 1,017 4 ,717 2,662 2,320 95 2 3,990 1,767 + — — — + + + 7% 6 2 5 5 13 1 17,286 108,708 17,425 118,897 + + 1 9 Page 119 VARtOUS tNDtCATORS OF )NDUSTR!AL ACTIVITY % Steel Ingot Rate, St. Louis area (Operating rate, per cent of capacity) Coal Production Index— 8thD ist. (Seasonally adjusted, 1 9 4 7 -4 9 = 1 0 0 ) Crude Oil Production— 8th Dist. (Daily average in thousands of bbls.) Freight Interchanges at RRs— St. Louis (Thousands of cars— 25 railroads— Termi nal R .R .A ssn .) Livestock Slaughter— St. Louis area (Thousands of head— weekly average) Lumber Production— S. Pine (Average weekly production— thousands of bd. ft.) Lumber Production— S. Hardwoods (Operating rate, per cent of capacity) ^ ^ July 1957*^ J^ 7 81 76.7 p 309.5 J ^ J* 1 9 5 7 July 1956 +14% — 11% — 21 — 11 — 13 — 19 99.7 99.3 201.7 74 + 3 — 3 — 3 -} y 3 + 3 + 1 + 2 — 20 capacity. pPreliminary. CASH FARM INCOME July, 195? .^ 1957 (In Six Largest Centers: millions) East St. Louis— National Stock Yards, 111................................... $ 155.2 Evansville, Ind.............. 198.1 Little Rock, Ark. 212.9 Louisville, Ky................ 936.5 Memphis, Tenn. 767.2 St. Louis, Mo. 2,559.1 Total— Six Largest Centers......................$4,829.0 Other Reporting Centers: Alton, 111. $ 40.8 ElDorado,Ark.' . Fort Smith, Ark. Greenville, Miss........... Hannibal, Mo................. Helena, Ark. Jackson, Tenn................ Jefferson City, Mo......... Owensboro,Ky.............. Paducah,Ky. Pine Bluff, Ark................ Quincy, 111. Sedalia, Mo. Springfield,Mo. Texarkana, Ark............. 32.8 59.9 27.4 12.2 9.2 25.2 112.7 46.9 30.2 43.0 44.9 16.6 102.0 22.6 Total— Other Centers July 1956 1957 + 12% + 10 + 5 + 11 + 3 + 10 +12% + 2 + I + 7 + 7 + 10% + 9% 2% + : ^of donaM)^ 1957 Arkansas . $ 29,774 Illinois___ 118,739 Indiana 64,039 Kentucky 26,209 Mississippi 27,100 Missouri 81,315 Tennessee 25.968 7 States . 373,144 8th District t 169,538 STRUCT!ON CONTRACTS AWARDED Percentage Change Jan. thru June June *57 1957 from 1956 1955 + 15% — 18% + 15% + 10 + 23 + 1 + 6 + 4 + 7 — 8 + 3 + 7 + 28 — 19 + 11 + 15 + 5 + 4 — 4 + 13 + 5 + 6 + 3 + 13 — 2 + 12 + 8 !N EiGHTH FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT* June 1957 May 1957 June 1956 Total Residential and Utilities $111,818 45,295 $156,559 64,841 49,984 $165,310 53,052 50,826 22,321 41,734 61,432 9% + + 10 +12 + 4 + 5 + 7 + 5 + 3 + 2 + ^ + 4 EIGHTH D!STR!CT WEEKLY REPORTING MEMBER BANKS + 13 ±*9 + 26 + 2 + 10 — 3 + 4 + 6 7 +i2 + 7 + 5 + E 4<................. r//7 6 U.S. Gov't. Securities.......... $ 644.8 + 13% +10% Total— 22 Centers. . . $5,473.8 +10% + INDEX OF BANK D EBIT S— 22 Centers Seasonally Adjusted (1 9 4 7 -1 9 4 9 = 1 0 0 ) 1957 9% Total Assets................. 1956 I8&6 162L6 1 7 lll I Debits to demand deposit accounts of individuals, partnerships and corporations and states and political Aug. 21, 1957 $1,672 881 65 279 473 841 223 28 841 42 $3,647 July 2:4, 1957 $ + 50 + 34 + 13 . $ 662 2,002 602 89 292 $3,647 + 16 + 27 — 13 5 $+ 6 — 3 + + - 03 2 — 1 + 11 — 26 + 4 Weeks Ended Other ....... —2 —2 1 $ + 37 + 2 R etail............... 2 + + 1 + 30 $ + 37 Another"" +2 T otal.................................................$ + 36 gross. 2 Changes in business loans by industry classification from a sample of banks holding roughly 90% of the total commercial and industrial loans outstanding at Eighth District weekly reporting member DEPARTMENT STORES RETA!L FURNtTURE STORES and Notes Receivable Outstanding July 1, *57, Net Sales collected during June. July, 1957 7 mos. '57 Excluding compared with to same Instal. Instalment 50% - 0- % 16% — 8% + 5% S th F .R .D is tr ic tT o ta l.................................... —2 —2 39 + 2 Fort Smith Area, A rk .i................. — 2 13 43 + 3 Little Rock Area, Ark...................................... + 3 —5 + 2 — 10 Quincy, 111............................................................ - 0— 1 — 16 EvansvilleA rea,Ind........................................ 42 — 1 — 6 + 3 15 — 6 — 2 — 4 + 6 — 6 + 10 Paducah, Ky.i .............................................. 16 59 — 13 + 7 + 1 — 3 — 11 + 2 ^ St.L ou is^ (C ity)^ ......................................... + 4 + 9 + 3 — 1 15 35 -0 + 4 — 1 — 3 + 4 All Other Cities1 In order to permit publication of figures for this city (or area), a special sample has been con structed which is not confined exclusively to department stores. Figures for any such nondepartment stores, however, are not used in computing the district percentage changes or in computing depart ment store indexes. 2 Fayetteville, Pine Bluff, Arkansas; Harrisburg, Mt. Vemon, Illinois; Vincennes, Indiana; Dan ville, Hopkinsville, Mayfield, Owensboro, Kentucky; Chillicothe, Missouri; Greenville, Mississippi; and Jackson, Tennessee. Outstanding orders of reporting stores at the end of July 1957, were 5 per cent higher than on the corresponding date a year ago. INDEXES OF SALES AND STOCKS- -8T H DISTRICT July 1957 104 135 June 1957 116 119 128 139 n.a. 3 Daily average 1 9 4 7 -4 9 = 1 0 0 4 End of Month average 1 9 4 7 -4 9 = 1 0 0 n.a. Not available. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Trading days: July, 1957- -26; June, 1957— 25; July, 1956— 25. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis May 1957 127 127 138 138 July 1956 104 135 128 139 Net Sales July, 1957 8th ^Dist. T o ta H ........................ Little Rock A rea........................ June, '57 + 7% + 18 — 9 + 3 + 4 + 5 July, '56 + 10% + 18 — 8 — 15 + 6 + 10 I In addition to the following cities shown separately in the table, the total includes stores in Blytheville, Fort Smith, Pine Bluff, Arkansas; Owensboro, Kentucky; Greenwood, Mississippi; Evansville, Indiana, and Cape