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FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS MONTHLY REV!EW OF BUS!NESS CONDmONS )N FEDERAL RESERVE D!STRtCT No. & Released for Publication On and After the Morning of December 31, 1923 WILLIAM McC. MARTIN CHAIRMAN OF THE BOARD AND FEDERAL RESERVE AGENT T R R E G U LA R ITIE S which featured business during the preceding three months continued in evidence during the period under review. In some lines results were satisfactory, while in others a decided slowing down was indicated in reports of leading interests. Unevenness extended as well to localities, there being sections in which trade was all that could be desired, while elsewhere local influences made for a curtailment of activity. Poor crops in some areas have resulted in reduced pur chasing power of agriculturists, and the persistent dullness in fuel situation is rejected in a contrac tion of business in the coal Helds. Depression in the petroleum industry is another factor adversely affecting trade in specific areas, and unseasonably warm weather, excessive rains and heavy roads have interfered with routine distribution of mer chandise to ultimate consumers, particularly in the country. On the other hand in the larger centers of population and in sections where crops were ample or prices for farm products high enough to offset reduced yields, business has been satisfactory. Sales of department stores, which for November were 2,6 per cent in excess of the same month a year a?o, are la d in g somewhat behind the cumulative figure of 8.0 per cent for the period July 1 to date. Reports from retailers in rural communities and small towns indicate that the holiday shopping in the country is relatively less active than in the cities, which fact is ascribed in part to absence of the stim ulus of seasonable weather and the poor condition of roads. As contrasted with the preceding thirtv days, changes in wholesale &nd jobbing were largely seasonal in character, but in some lines the ten dency is to slow down, especially on future busi ness. Keen competition is reported, and the policy of retail merchants to purchase only for well de fined needs remains unchanged. The number of small orders is exceptionally heavy and stocks and assortments on retail shelves are being well kept up. In a number of important manufacturing lines further curtailment of output was reported, which was reflected in a retarded movement of raw ma terials, especially notable in textiles, chemicals, hides and some of the metals. Building activities are well sustained throughout the district, Novem ber permits issued in the five largest cities show ing good gains both over the preceding month and the corresponding period a year ago. The demand for building materials was active, with further progress in price stabilization reported. Employment conditions underwent but little change during the period under review, and are in the main satisfactory. Some reduction of forces in industrial plants was reported, notably in iron and steel works and shoe factories, and the arrival of winter weather has curtailed operations on road and river work. Mechanics in the building trades are well employed, especially in St. Louis, where there are no indications of slackening. Common labor is plentiful, with a small surplus in some lo calities. Seasonal factors are partly responsible for increased unemployment in automobile and related industries, while taking of inventories has resulted in lessened activities in shoe manufacturing plants. Employment in the candy and confectionery in dustry and in retail establishments showed gains. The demand for domestics continues in excess of the supply, but there is a surplus of clerical workers in certain centers. Some slowing down in the marketing of farm products, as compared with the preceding thirty days, was noted during the period under review. This was partly attributable to seasonal consider ations, but low prices and unsatisfactory market ing conditions are causing farmers to hold stocks to some extent. The movement of wheat and oats to market during November was in considerably smaller volume than a year ago, but corn showed a slight gain. Price fluctuations of leading agricultural prod ucts of the district were rather broad. Wheat, which declined during mid-November, reacted up ward later in the period, the options closing l% c to 2c higher on December 15 than on November 15, and cash wheat from l ^ c to 3c higher. Be tween November 15 and December 15 middling cotton at St. Louis ranged from 34c to 36 {%c per pound, the latter price which was attained on November 30, being a new high on the crop. Live stock prices declined, hogs in the St. Louis market selling at the lowest level since March 1912. Open ing of the tobacco markets developed considerable diversity of results, but with initial price averages indicating slight declines as compared with last year. While railroads operating in this district con tinued to exceed all previous records in the mat ter of seasonal freight loadings, the trend for the country as a whole during recent weeks has been in the direction of a decline in traffic movement. For the week ending December 1, according to the American Railway Association, loading of reve nue freight by roads in the United States totaled 835,296 cars, a decrease of 154^391 cars un der the preceding week and a loss of 5,116 cars as compared with the corresponding period in 1922. This was the first time since early in the year that a decrease under the corresponding week in 1922 was recorded. The downward trend in freight movement is due in large part to seasonal factors, but the fact that such a large volume of freight was forwarded early in the year is given as the principal reason for the recession at this time. The St. Louis Terminal Railway Associa tion, which includes in its membership 26 roads operating through this gateway, interchanged 207,973 loads in November, against 226,242 loads in October, 220,169 loads in September and 205,056 loads in November, 1922. During the first nine days of December 58,585 loads were interchanged, against 66,020 loads during the first nine days of October and 59,336 loads during the correspond ing period of November, 1922. Passenger traffic of roads reporting to this bank increased 4.5 per cent during November over the same month last year. Extremely dull conditions, accompanied by lower prices, continue to feature the fuel situation in this district. Domestic demand is unusually backward for this time of year, and yards are well stocked. Additional mines have been closed in all coal fields, and operations have been further cur tailed at active pits. Despite this reduced pace of production, considerable difficulty is experienced in disposing of outputs. Uncertainty relative to prices is causing steam users to postpone con tracting for 1924 requirements, and liberal accumu lations at mines and on tracks have banished all apprehension on the part of consumers relative to ability to secure coal when they need it. There has been some contracting on the part of users of metallurgical coke in the immediate past, but the volume of such orders is under normal for this season. By-product coke manufacturers re port apathy in the demand from householders, and surplus stocks on their yards are augmenting in size. Production of bituminous coal for the coun try as a whole for the first 289 working days of this year, or to December 8, was 516,660,000 net tons, against 376,932,000 for the corresponding period in 1922, 393,165,000 in 1921 and 551,039,000 net tons in 1918. Taken as a whole, collections through the dis trict are barely normal for this period of the year. Some slowing down in efficiency as contrasted with the two months immediately preceding was re ported, and in certain sections results are consid erably more satisfactory than elsewhere. Current bills of wholesalers in the large cities are being paid fairh promptly, though several lines report that their settlements in November were not as large as for the same month in 1922. In the to bacco districts, where marketing of the crop is in progress, merchants report satisfactory pay ments, and the same is true in the areas where rice is the principal crop. Considerable diversity is noted in reports of retailers, with those in the cities making a relatively better showing than in the rural communities. Answers to 354 question naires addressed to representative interests in va rious lines throughout the district show the fol lowing results: Excellent Good Fa.tr Poor 0.9% &L9% 8?5% Oct. 1923_____ 0.9 35.3 57.1 6.7 Nov. 1922____ 6.4 50.0 40.6 3.0 Commercial failures in Eighth Federal Reserve District during November, according to Dun's, numbered 109, involving liabilities of $2,233,369, against 84 defaults with liabilities of $1,308,833 in October, and 120 failures for $2,060,085 in Novem ber, 1922. Per capita circulation of the United States on December 1 was $44.01, which compares with $43.27 on November 1, and $41.80 on December 1, 1922. MANUFACTURING AND WHOLESALE Automobiles For the country as a whole, production of automobiles and trucks during November showed a decrease as contrasted with October, but com pared with November, 1922, a gain of 32.1 per cent was r e c o r d e d . The output of passenger c a r s by companies reporting direct or through the National Automobile Chamber of Commerce during Novem ber was 284,758 against 334,244 in October. Pro duction of trucks in November totaled 27,374 against 29,638 in October. Sales of passenger cars have been stimulated to some extent by the holi day season, and the movement of accessories is re flecting an intensive selling campaign. A c c o r d i n g to reports of 230 dealers scattered through the dis trict, November sales were approximately 12 per cent larger than for the same month in 1922. The used car situation is reported in better condition than for more than eight months, the number in dealers' hands having decreased materially during November and December. No change for the better has taken place in the tire industry. Buying by jobbers is on a hand to mouth basis, and the move ment to ultimate consumers is slow. Uncertainty relative to prices is holding down contracting for 1924 needs to a minimum. Boots and Shoes Sales of the 11 reporting interests during N o vember were 3.4 per cent under those of the same month in 1922, and 21.3 per cent below the Oc tober total this year. Since December 1 there has has been considerable improvement in orders for spring wear, several of the larger interests report ing sales in excess of the corresponding period last year. The Comment is made that the keenest sort of competition exists, and retailers are pur chasing with more than ordinary caution. Prices for finished goods underwent no change, ,but fur ther weakness developed in raw materials. Fac tory operation decreased slightly during the period under review, being at from 80 to 90 per cent of capacity. A number of factories will be closed from one to two weeks during inventory time. Clothing W ith retail movement of winter apparel re tarded by mild weather, All-in business during De cember has been negligible and disappointing. There has been only fair demand for overcoats, and heavy woolen goods have moved slowly. As retailers are occupied with holiday trade, jobbers are not doing much spot business, except on goods for January sales. Advance orders for spring are about 10 per cent below those of a year ago. N o vember sales of 11 representative interests were 0.3 per cent under those of the same month a year ago and 37.9 per cent under the October, 1923, total, the latter partially seasonal. November sales of reporting hatters were 4.1 per cent under those of a year ago, with open weather bringing only light demand for velours and other winter styles. Orders booked for spring continue well in excess of those of a year ago. Drugs and Chemicals Reports from leading interests in this classi fication indicate extremely spotted conditions. Some concerns report good gains, while others show rather sharp declines as compared with a year ago. The heaviest losses reported are in sales of heavy chemicals to manufacturers, but in the aggregate these losses are offset partially by gains in sales of seasonal drugs and holiday sundries. During the period under review the trend was toward more stable prices on numerous important items. Actual price changes were on a smaller scale, but advances continue to outnumber declines, particularly on crude drugs, spot supplies of which are light. Sales of the 11 reporting interests in November were 2.1 per cent in excess of the same month in 1922, and 6.3 per cent under the preceding month this year. Dry Goods Further upward revisions throughout the list of cotton goods during November brought the aver age of that line about one cent per yard higher and caused some curtailment of buying, both by whole salers and retail trade. In spite of this advance, cot ton goods manufacturers are in many instances sell ing below replacement cost. Orders for holiday lines have been numerous and often, but decidedly small, and buying of mid-winter goods has been re tarded by unusually mild weather. Women's readyto-wear has been taken in fair volume, but silks are quiet with prices lower. Overproduction continues in hosiery and there is keen competition among manufacturers for business in this line. November sales of 11 representative interests were 11.1 per cent under those of the same month a year ago and 13.6 per cent under the October, 1923, total. Orders for future delivery on books of reporting firms are barely two-thirds of the volume of future commitments placed at this time last year. The decrease is attributed largely to unsettled con ditions in cotton goods lines. Electrical Supplies Continued activity in new construction and a brisk demand for holiday goods, particularly radio apparatus, were the principal factors causing an increase of 8.5 per cent in November sales of the 12 reporting interests over those of the correspond ing month in 1922, and a gain of 1.0 per cent over the preceding month this year. The movement of lighting fixtures, shades and general household ap pliances is reported excellent. Some recession in the demand for pole and line hardware is noted, but sales of automobile equipment are holding up well. The high cost of cotton yarns has advanced the price of nonmetallic flexible conduit and all insu lated wires and cables. Fire-Clay Products Although some seasonal slowing down has been experienced during the past thirty days, bus iness continues ion a healthy basis, with small orders predominating. Nine-inch straights have moved in good volume, and record cement produc tion has been reflected in a brisk demand for kiln liners. Adverse conditions in the oil industry have resulted in smaller tonnages being taken there. Stocks among consumers are universally low. N o vember sales of 5 representative interests were 6.7 per cent in excess of the same month a year ago, but 19.2 per cent under the October, 1923 total. Many orders for first quarter requirements were placed during December, sales for the first three weeks of the month running ahead of the November rate. Inquiries continue numerous. Flour Production of the 11 leading mills of the dis trict during November was 404,824 barrels, which compares with 446,009 barrels in October, 411,018 barrels in September, and 385,578 barrels in N o vember, 1922. Quietness featured business through out the period under review, especially in the case of new orders, which were confined largely to reg ular customers of the mills. Buying in the South was relatively better than in other sections,, with the call chie&y for soft flours. Some current bus iness was done with the W est Indies in clears and straights, but bids from Europe were scarce and for the most part too low to result in business. Mill operation was at from 60 to 85 per cent of capacity. Furniture Anticipation of lower prices on the part of dealers is making for a hesitating market in this classification. Another retarding factor is the desire of retailers and jobbers to bring stocks to as low a point as possible against taking of in ventory. Manufacturers declare that concessions under present price levels are improbable in view of raw materials and labor costs. Glass, hardware and paints and varnishes are firm, while advances have taken place in some grades of lumber. The general feeling is optimistic for trade during next year, and extensive preparations are being made by manufacturers for the January market. Sales of the 24 reporting interests during November were 18.2 per cent under those of the corresponding period last year, and 16.0 per cent under the Octo ber, 1923, total. Groceries Comments of reporting firms continue to ex hibit considerable irregularity. In sections where the cotton crop has been particularly short, in the coal mining regions and in sections where tobacco is being held there is adverse comment, while in most of the larger centers buying is holding up well. Sugar stocks in jobbers' hands are low, de spite shading of price. Good coHees continue firm. Canned goods are in normal demand. Retailers' total stocks are normal or below. November sales of 20 representative interests were 3.4 per cent in excess of the same month a year ago, but 7.0 per cent under the October, 1923, total, the latter par tially seasonal. Candy manufacturers report a good demand, sales of holiday goods being 9.6 per cent in excess of last year. Interest centers largely in medium priced varieties. W ith Christmas trade disposed of, manufacturers' and jobbers' stocks had, by late December, dwindled to a very low point. Retail candy stocks are only normal. Hardware November sales of the 12 reporting interests were 9.5 per cent larger than for the same month in 1922, but showed a seasonal decrease of 3.8 per cent under October this year. Uncertainty relative to future prices is having a tendency to hold down commitments to well defined requirements. The movement of goods during early December was in satisfactory volume, with indications pointing to heavier total sales than a year ago. The demand for building hardware continues active, and winter goods are being well taken. Iron and Steel Products Activities at leading mills, foundries and ma chine shops receded slightly during the period un der review. Placing of orders by consumers is under some restraint due to uncertainty relative to prices and a general disposition to hold down stocks to as low a point as possible against, taking of inventory. Additional open hearth furnaces have been extinguished, and several of the larger com panies are planning to close down their works temporarily for repairs and inventory. In finished and semi-Rnished materials only minor price changes were recorded, but users of steel have been requesting concessions, which on some classes of products have been granted. While new business has been slow in arriving, old bookings are enab ling mills and foundries to run at from 65 to 80 per cent of capacity, and some specialty manufac turers, notably castings for railroad cars and heat ing apparatus, are working on full schedule. The heavy buying movement of pig iron, which con tinued through November, has been succeeded by a period of quietness, but the advance in prices incident to the heavy purchasing has held Rrm. No. 2 Southern iron, 1.75 to 2.25 per cent silicon, is quoted at $21, furnace, while Northern iron of the same grade is held at $23. A sharp upturn in scrap iron and steel prices has taken place, ad vances of from $1 to $3 being noted on virtually all items in quoted lists. Buying by the railroads continues in good volume, and the automotive in dustry is accounting for large tonnages. Struc tural steel fabricators report steady demand, with the number of speciRcations for smaller jobs being more numerous than usual at this season. W are house interests report quietness in the demand for their goods, and stocks larger than in a number of months. Plants specializing in gray castings report no change in the status of their business as compared with the preceding thirty days. N o vember sales of stove manufacturers, 7 interests reporting, were 10.8 per cent under the same month in 1922, and 26.0 per cent under the preceding month this year; wire products manufacturers, 5 reporting, showed a decrease of 10.2 per cent under November, 1922, and a loss of 16.0 per cent as com pared with October this year; railway supplies, 5 reporting, gained 10.3 per cent over November, 1922, but decreased 37.7 per cent under October this year; farm implement makers, 6 reporting, de creased 8.0 per cent under November, 1922, and 4.2 per cent under October this year; manufac turers of boilers, stacks, elevators and other mis cellaneous products, 8 interests reporting, gained 19.3 per cent over November, 1922, but decreased 1.8 per cent under October this year. Lumber An early recession in the fall buying movement of soft woods has been followed by an unusually early opening of winter buying of this description of lumber. Consequent on sustained large retail distribution and improved prospects for building and railroad consumption next year, stock inquiries from line yards and other sources began to appear in volume at the outset of December. Carload buying started to increase at the same time, not withstanding the nearness of the holidays. The mills are now asking varying advances, ranging from $1 per thousand feet up for Southern pine and Western fir yard stock, with special reference to lower grades. Shed stock has been only senti mentally affected, no actual advances having been established, though the feeling is Rrm. The hard wood situation continues hopeful, though the holi day season and heavy production through the fall weigh upon the demand. Sap gum has somewhat receded in price. Red cypress has been selling fairly well to the yard trade, but the yellow variety is quiet and much depressed in all thicknesses in the shop grade. Receipts of lumber in St. Louis for the first eleven months of 1923 were 218,463 cars, an increase of 57,807 cars over the corres ponding period in 1922. Industrial Power Consumption While November brought some decline, partly seasonal, in the consumption of electricity for in dustrial purposes, it is significant that not one of the reporting cities registers a decrease over the same month a year ago. Curtailment of refrigera tion operations is largely responsible for the de creases shown, although the automotive industry and shoe manufacturers took smaller loads than during October, 1923. Detailed figures follow : Nov. Nov.1923 Nov.1923 Nov. Oct. No. of 1922 comp, to 1923 1923 Custom *K .W .H . *K .W .H . Oct. 1923 *K.W .H . Nov.1922 ers 909 1,054 — 6.3% + 8.7% 988 Evansville........ 40 726 + 7.2 853 — 8.8 778 11 Little Rock.. 3,665 + 7.4 4,283 — 8.1 3,936 ..... 67 1,221 +21.0 1,146 +28.9 1,477 . 31 +22.1 12,280 — 2.3 15,348 15,000 70 + 18.0 — 2.2 18,801 22,684 Totals .... 219 22,179 *In thousands (000 omitted) The following figures, compiled by U. S. Depart ment of the Interior, give kilowatt production for both lighting and industrial purposes for the entire country. Totals By Fuels By Water Power 1923 August...................... 1,570,160,000............ 3,099,870,000.......... 4,670,0: 0,000 September................ 1,464,462,000............ 3,073,339,000.......... 4,537,801,000 0(Xober.................... 1,491,344,000............. 3,479,719,000........ *4,971,063,000 *Largest on record. R E T A IL . Although holiday shoppers have apparently been more numerous this year than ever before, the public is buying in moderation. Mild weather throughout December contributed toward a slacking of trade in staple goods. Demand for overcoats and gloves has been slow and sales of furs lagging, al though a brisk demand is noticeable for women's short fur coats. Thirty-eight and one-tenth per cent of reporting retail stores show losses for November as compared with the same month a year ago against 4.5 per cent in October and 13.4 per cent in Sep tember. On the other hand, business of 5 and 10 cent stores and of chain grocery stores is surpass ing all previous records. Last minute shopping has been in good volume and most reporting stores expect December sales to show small increases over those of a year ago. November reports of 21 department stores, shown in the table following, indicate some slackening in the demand noted in immediately preceding months. The fact that stocks on hand have increased 10.7 per cent while sales show only 2.6 per cent increase over the same period a year ago is taken to indicate a decline from expected levels of buying rather than speculation in merchandise. Detailed department store Rgures follow : Evansville, Ind........ Little Rock, Ark... Louisville, K y....... Memphis, Tenn.... Quincy, 111.............. Net Sales Nov. 1923 comp, to Nov. 1922 + 8.5% + 7.7 +12.2 — 3.6 — 1.0 Springfield, M o..... Eighth District....... — 3.5 + 2.6 St. Louis* M o...... + 0.7 Stocks on hand End Nov. 1923, comp, to end Nov. 1922 + 8 .1 % +23.6 — 1.6 +19.5 +12.4 + 8.7 +18.0 +10.7 Outstanding Orders End Nov. 1923, chases f or ^922 L8% 2.7 3.6 8.2 6.0 5.6 A G R IC U LTU R E The chief agricultural development during the period under review was the inauguration of sales of the 1923 tobacco crop. Virtually all the loose leaf markets in the burley, aircured, Green river, stemming and dark Ared districts were opened, and initial receipts were heavy. Quality of the crop, as indicated by leaf so far delivered, is ordi nary, of red to dingy color, and bearing consider able trace of houseburn. Prices for good to medium tobacco are not as high as in 1922, whereas the common grades selling under $20 per 100 pounds are about as high as last year. Daily average prices in some markets are below a year ago, but the decline is due to poorer quality of o3erings this season. In the stemming district several sales were made as high as $43 per 100 pounds, with the aver age around $15.50, as compared with $17.50 a year ago. In certain portions of the dark tobacco dis trict offerings consist of common, light-bodied, light-colored, lightly 6red leaf, in doubtful condi tion. It is believed that with larger receipts and offerings quality generally will show improve ment. However, there is doubtless a considerable quantity of common tobacco in the current crop. Cooperative marketing associations are conducting sales, and are making advances to their members. Husking and housing of corn has made good progress, and some quickening in the movement to market is noted. Returns from a number of sections indicate that yields are below expecta tions. Excessive precipitation during the fall re sulted in some moulding in the shock, and an un usually large amount of soft and chaffy corn, and grain of high moisture content is reported. In Illinois, Indiana and Missouri a large amount of corn is being cribbed for feeding on farms. Weather and soil conditions have been gen erally auspicious for germination, and fall-planted crops are entering the cold weather in excellent condition. Winter wheat has a good stand and color and but few complaints of fall dryness or Hessian Ay have been heard. Prospects are for a smaller acreage of winter wheat, due to the decision of farmers to plant less this year than last, and to unfavorable weather which prevented producers from getting in all the area intended. Pastures are in better shape than usual at this time of year, due to abundant rains and relatively high temperatures. Aside from more than ordinary prevalence of hog cholera in scattered sections, the condition of all classes of live stock is reported good. Late farm work has made favorable prog ress generally, but fall plowing was seriously ham pered in some areas by too much rain. The supply of farm labor continues adequate. Rice in Arkansas is approximately 85 per cent threshed, with conditions extremely unfavorable for this operation during the period under review. Yields of late-maturing varieties were considerably lessened by frost in late October. Heavy deliveries of rough rice to mills have resulted in decline in prices, though the cleaned rice market continues strong under a broad and active demand. Commodity Prices Range of prices on typical products in the St. Louis market between November 15 and December 15, 1923, with closing quotations on the latter date, and on December 15, 1922: High Wheat December.......... May................... July..... .............. No. 2 red w inter... No. 2 hard.......... Com D ecem ber........... No. 2 white......... Oats December........... No. 2 w hite......... Flour Soft patent.......... Spring patent...... M iddling cotton...... Hogs on hoof......... Low $1.08% 1.13% 1.08 1.18 1.10 $1.03% 1.08% 1.03% 1.10 1.04 $1.06 1.10% 1.05% $1.13 @ 114% 1.07 $1.22 1.21% 1.11% 1.40 1.24 .76% .76% .77% .91 .88 .72% .72% .73 .72 .75 73% .73% .74% .74 .76 .75 .73% .73% .76 .77 .44% .48% .47% .43 .46 .44% .43% .47 .45 .46% .48 .47% bbl 6.25 6.10 lb. .36% cwt. 8.40 5 25 5.60 .34 5.00 Close Dec. 15, 5.25 @ 5.75 @ 5.75 @ 6.25 6.00 .34% 8 40 Close Dec. 15,1922 $6.00 @ 7.10 @ 7.00 6.75 .25% 8.35 Commodity Movement Receipts and shipments of important commodities at St. Louis during November, 1923, and 1922, and October, 1923, as re ported by the Merchants' Exchange, were as follows: Beef, lbs........... Corn, bu.......... Flour, bbls. Hides, lbs........ Lard, lbs.......... Lead, pigs........ Lumber, cars... Oats, bu........... Pork, lbs.......... Wheat, bu....... Zinc, slabs....... * In thousands ^Receipts N o v .'23 O ct.'23 589 3,763 2,134 1,998 476 524 8,221 9,967 6,795 7,291 155 119 19 22 2,646 3,580 22,907 25,692 2,259 3,141 171 196 (000 omitted). *Shipments Nov. *22 Nov. '23 Oct. '23 Nov. '22 199 25,324 32,523 21,367 2,189 842 1,110 1,520 393 558 630 638 6,250 10,304 12,167 9,129 4,674 11,564 9,735 8,805 265 215 176 192 13 14 15 10 2,988 1,908 2,746 2,408 17,779 31,342 35,140 28,207 4,278 1,819 2,455 3,675 226 154 184 217 Live Stock Movement Receipts and shipments of live stock at St. Louis during November, 1923 and 1922, and October, 1923, as reported by the National Stock Yards, were as follows: Nov. 1923 Cattle and Calves 125 w ** ^ i 43* Horses and Mules 8 Sheep 34 *In thousands (000 omitted) *Receipts_______ Oct. Nov. 1923 MM 197 Is ? * 480 362 13 13 53 39 Nov. 1923 79 281 11 16 ^Shipments_____ Oct. Nov. 1923 MM 110 315 234 12 12 25 14 B U IL D IN G In building permits issued in the five leading cities of the district during November, residential construction again predominated. In St. Louis, for example, $2,938,600 of the total valuation—$4,199,000— for permitted construction represented dwellings, bungalows, cottages and apartments. Weather has been generally favorable for outside work, and excellent progress was made on build ings in course of construction. A gain of 74.6 per cent was made in November permits over those of October and a gain of 29.5 per cent over Novem ber, 1922. A considerable part of the increase, however, is accounted for by the influx of appli cations to build occasioned by abrogation of the St. Louis zoning law. Building labor is reported generally adequate, the only shortage being in cer tain skilled crafts in {St. Louip. Production of P o r t la n d cement f o r the country as a whole dur ing November decreased slightly, the total output being 12,603,000 barrels against 13,350,000 barrels in October, and 11,349,000 barrels during Novem ber, 1922. eral large apartment buildings in heretofore re stricted districts have caused some revision of opin ion and a belief that a slight shortage in that category still exists. Present estimates also indi cate a shortage of 15 per cent of the present num ber of single family dwellings. Fig. 2 give a comparison, for the entire United States, of the cost of all commodities with rents and factors contributing to the cost of rent. Figure 1 Movement of Resi dential R ents in St. Louis. Figure 2 Comparative Increase in Cost of All Commodities, Rents, Building Ma terials, and Wages in Building Trades. * 200 Building figures for November follow: Cost 1922 1923 Evansville 106 56 Little Rock 74 89 Louisville...... . 268 198 Memphis....... 295 288 . 849 635 N o v .to ta ls...1,592 Oct. totals ....1,906 Sept. totals .. .1,739 *In thousands of dollars (000 1922 1923 $197 $108 196 255 582 1,256 1,791 1,159 _____ 2,602 4,199 6^65^ $5,380 5,893 3,988 8,012 4,919 omitted) ______ Repairs, etc._____ Permits *Cost 1923 74 88 40 547 834 1,133 1,029 1922 1923 1922 45 $29 $15 145 27 90 85 102 48 56 17 31 451 _____ 372 249 782 $547 §433 979 601 461 912 534 465 Rents in St. Louis Figures compiled by this bank indicate that rents in St. Louis, which have undergone an al most uninterrupted rise since 1914, are approach ing stabilization and that this tendency is more pronounced in residential than in business prop erty. Reports from local real estate and rental agencies, depicted in Fig. 1, indicate that a smaller percentage of those reporting show increases in residential rents during November, 1923, than for the same month a year ago. There were, however, during November, 1923, fewer decreases than for November, 1922, the predominate tendency in resi dential rents being toward a fixation of price at present levels. Rent movement in local business property continues slightly upward, and it is esti mated that a shortage of 11 per cent of present floor space exists in business buildings. Just prior to November 20, when the Supreme Court of Mis souri declared the St. Louis zoning ordinance in valid, real estate men had expressed the opinion that local apartment supply was adequate. Since then, however, applications for the erection of sev NV N O . OV. JUNE !923 !922 !923 ALt-6> C M O IT S O M D IE W AGES M T R L B !L !N T A E A E IA S U D 6 R D S (1) From Bureau of Labor Statistics (1913-100) (2) From National Industrial Conference Board (1914-100) (3) From F. R. Bank of New York (1914-100) FJN AN CIAL Aside from a slight quickening in the demand for credits, more pronounced during the second week of December, banking and financial condi tions underwent no marked change during the period under review. Liquidation of bank loans has been on a large scale and quite general, though some backward spots are noted, chiefly in sections of the South where the cotton crop was a failure. Opening of the tobacco markets has resulted in the payment of some loans based on that com modity, and in the rice areas loans are being taken up. The increased movement of corn has aug mented the demand for credits from that source, and in some sections borrowing for financing live stock, particularly cattle, is more active. The de mand from wheat and milling interests, however, is quieter than thirty days ago. Banks, particularly in the large cities, report increased commitments by mercantile customers. Deposits are tending up ward, the total on December 12 for reporting mem ber banks of this institution being at the highest point since June 13 last. Loans of reporting mem ber banks increased rather sharply, but their dis- counts with the Federal reserve bank showed a heavy decline. Total stocks, bonds and other se curities held by reporting member banks decreased to a new low for the year during the week ending November 21. A moderate upturn occurred between that date and December 19. Between November 15 and December 15 there was a decrease of $17,573,338 in the amount of paper discounted by this bank for its members and an increase of $1,142,015 in Federal reserve notes in circulation, the latter change being due largely to the demand for cur rency for the holiday season. Commercial Paper W ith an active demand and fairly liberal sup plies of commercial paper, business of reporting firms was active during the period under review. Some slowing down in purchasing developed about December 12, which was attributed to withdrawal of the large city banks from the market because of increasing demands from regular borrowing customers. Rates were a shade easier, ranging from 4% to 5% per cent. Sales to country banks in the South continue heavy, though the lower rate is serving to contract the movement through that outlet. Business of reporting Rrms during N o vember was 27.5 per cent larger than for the same month in 1922, and 25.0 per cent under October this year, the latter change being seasonal. Debits to Individual Accounts *For Four Weeks Ending Dec. 1923 Nov. 14, Dec. 13, com to p, Dec. 12, 1922 Nov. 1923 1923 1923 E. St. Louis and Natl. Stock Yards, 1 !!..... 1 E! Dorado, Ark............ Evansville, Ind............ Fort Sm ith, Ark........... Greenville, Miss........... Helena, Ark................. Little Rock, Ark.......... Louisville, Ky.............. ... Memphis, Tenn............ ...... Owensboro, By............ Quincy, H I................... St. Louis Mo................ ...... $44,174 6,229 14,527 4,628 73,659 142,719 180,408 9,725 621,824 3.837 13,560 Springfield, Mo............. Totals...... ......155.545 *In thousands (000 omitted) tN ot including Sedalia $44,755 6,884 28,558 14,489 3,915 6,363 65,567 140,914 154,880 5,022 9,734 642,794 14,203 $1,138078 $41,974 Dec.1923 com to p, Dec.1922 + 5.2% *28 943 12,846 4,745 6,197 58,552 135,886 162,919 6,275 10,009 549,165 - 13% — 9.5 + 5.1 + 0.3 +18.2 +30.0 +12.3 + 1.3 +16.5 +15.7 — 0.1 — 3.3 * + '3:7 +13.1 — 2.5 +33.5 +25.8 + 5.0 +10.7 — 8.0 — 2.8 +13.2 13,187 $1,030,698 — 4.5 + 1-5* + 2!8 +11.5 Condition of Banks Changes in th? condition of banks in this district are re flected in the following statement showing the principal re sources and liabilities of reporting member banks in Evansville, Little Rock, Louisville, Memphis and St. Louis (in thousands of dollars): Dec. 12, 1923 *35 Nov. 7, 1923 *35 ' Dec. 13, 1922 37 . $11,853 146,338 . 312,138 $470,329 $12,756 142,925 316,367 $472,048 $18,760 138,931 295,848 $453,539 15,193 21,861 6,956 17,103 5,591 86,000 $152,704 . 41,377 8,980 350,185 189,760 1,444 15,1921 23,433 ^ 52,937 6,808) 17,862 15,431 3,635 5,325 85,212 87,922 $153,832 $159,925 37,054 42,267 8,304 9,008 356,617 330,855 176,419 192,297 11,541 4,220 Loans and discounts (inc!. rediscounts).. Investments Certificates of Indebtedness.. Bills payable and rediscounts with Federal reserve bank . *Decreaae due to consolidation 7,536 28,295 14,134 35,648 7,618 8,940 Savings Deposits No. Dec. 5,1923 Nov. 7,1923 No. of No. of B^ks Accts. IT 24,371 $ 8,974 ' 24,465 $ 8,962 Evansville 27,819 5 27,940 7,146 Little Rock 7,102 tl36,830 t24,434 148,573 Louisville 7 24,725 66,916 66,169 Mem phis 5 17,882 17,736 257,073 73,426 St. Louis 12 256,817 73,216 Totals 513,130 $131,862 523,843 $131,741 *In thousands of dollars (000 omitted) 116,000 Xmas Savings Accounts m atured Dec. 1,1923. Dec. 6,1922 No. of *Amount Accts. Deposits 22,340 $ 8,590 26,093 6,528 141,871 21,496 15,314 58,539 68,661 244,042 492,885 (120,589 Federal Reserve Operations During November the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis discounted for 284 of its 627 member banks, which compares with 287 member banks accommodated in October. The discount rate of this bank remains unchanged at 4% per cent. Changes in the assets and liabilities of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis since a month ago and last year are shown in the following com parative statement (in thousands of dollars) : RESOURCES Dec. 13, 1922 $104,893 Dec. 12, 1923 Gold reserves....................... $ 93,649 Legal tender notes, silver, etc.......................... 8,357 Nov. 14, 1923 $ 74,995 9,775 11,048 Total cash reserves............$102,006 Discounts secured by Gov't. obligations........................ 16,928 Discounts otherwise se cured and unsecured..... 37,676 Bills bought in open market............................... 72 U. S. Gov't, securities......................... $ 84,770 $115,941 20,934 13,451 52,810 14,258 29 12,660 21,116 Total earning assets $ 54,676 Uncollected items................ 38,370 Other resources.................... 9,405 $ 73,773 44,358 8,741 $ 61,485 39,447 6,094 Total resources................ $204,457 $211,642 $222,967 LIABILITIES Dec. 12, 1923 Capital paid in.....................$ 5,012 Surplus.................................. 9,665 Deposits................................ 72,981 F.R. notes in circulation.... 77,676 F.R. bank notes in circulation.......................................... Deferred availability items 37,632 Other liabilities.................... 1,491 Total liabilities.....................$204,457 Combined reserve r atio 67.7% Nov. 14, 1923 5,003 9,665 70,655 76,843 Dec 13, 1922 $ 4,813 9,388 70,725 94,501 47,992 1,484 1,457 40,922 1,161 $211,642 57.5% $222,967 70.2% ANNOUNCEMENT The Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis has just issued a booklet entitled "Advantages of Membership in the Federal Reserve System." The booklet explains in a concise and compre hensive way the purposes of the Federal Reserve Act, as well as the privileges and advantages that banks enjoy as members of the System. It also gives the requirements of membership. Copies of the booklet may be obtained on request. BUSINESS CONDITIONS IN THE UNITED STATES (Compiled by Federa! Reserve Board, December 26, 1923) 1919 !920 192! 1922 1923 Production— In basic industries production decreased about 2 per cent in November. The decline was due chiefly to reduced output of iron and steel and smaller sugar meltings. The Federal Reserve Board's new index of factory employment, which is shown by the accompanying chart, also declined, due to less activity at iron and steel plants and large seasonal reductions at clothinjg establishments. The volume of employment is now 2 per cent smaller than in the spring but 3 per cent larger than a year ago. Contract awards for new buildings were smaller in November than in October in all reporting districts except New York, but were 20 per cent larger than a year ago. Final estimates by the Department of Agriculture show larger yields of corn, oats, tobacco, and cotton than in 1922 and smaller yields of wheat, hay, and potatoes. The total value of agricultural production at December 1 prices was 12 per cent larger than in 1922. Each of the ten principal crops except wheat showed an increase in value. Trade— Railroad freight shipments in November showed about the usual seasonal decline from October, but were in heavier volume as compared with previous years. Wholesale trade was 13 per cent less in November than in October, which is more than the usual decrease at this season, but sales continued to be slightly larger than a year ago. Sales of hardware, drugs, and meat were larger than in November, 1922, while sales of shoes were smaller. Retail business was smaller than in October in most lines. Sales of mail order houses declined more than sales of department stores, but were 11 per cent larger than a year ago. Prices— The Bureau of Labor Statistics index of wholesale prices declined in November to a point 4 per cent lower than last spring and about 3 per cent lower than a year ago. The chief reductions occurred in prices of animal products, fuel and house furnishings. Prices of clothing and crops, on the other hand, increased and the latter group averaged higher than in any month since 1920. During the first half of December prices of sheep, beef, sugar, cotton, silk and rubber declined while quotations on crude oil, wheat and wool were slightly higher. Bank Credit— The total volume of credit extended by member banks in leading cities showed but little change between the middle of November and the middle of December. A seasonal reduction in commercial and agricultural loans in most districts was accompanied by increased loans on securities with the result that total loans remained practically constant. During the same period borrowings at the Federal reserve banks were also practically unchanged. Holdings of acceptances increased somewhat partly in connection with the financing of cotton exports. The increased demand for currency for holiday trade was reflected in both a moderate expansion in Federal reserve note circulation and a reduction in gold certificates held by the reserve banks. Rates on com mercial paper sold in the open market continued to show an easier tendency as indicated by increased sales at 4^ per cent particularly in interior districts The December issues of one year 4 } per cent and six months 4 per cent treasury certificates, compared with 4 i per cent on a six months issue solo in September were largely oversubscribed. The New Index of Employment This month we present for the first time a chart showing the index of employment in manufacturing industries, compiled by the Federal Reserve Board's Division of Research and Statistics. Wide industrial and geographical representation in the composition of the index is obtained by using data collected by a number of Federal and State agencies covering 33 separate industries, which are grouped into 10 general classes, as follows: Metals; textiles; lumber; vehicles; paper and printing; food; leather; stone; clay and glass; to bacco; and chemicals. The final index and each of the 10 group indexes were obtained by combining the 33 individual industry series, weighing them in accordance with their relative importance as determined by the number employed according to the census of manufactures of 1919 and 1921. The index is expressed in terms of percentages with the monthly average for 1919 as the base, i. e., 100 per cent. It is so constructed that its movements, although they do not measure the total volume of employment, reflect increases or decreases in this volume. No correction was made for normal seasonal variations, because although these fluctuations are noticeable in individual industries, they vary as to time and degree and in the final index largely offset each other. A full description of the data and methods used in com piling this index and of the results obtained is published in the December issue of the Federal Reserve Bulletin. Cost of Living Cost of living in the United States on November 15 had increased seven-tenths of one per cent over the October 15 level, ac cording to the National Industrial Conference Board. The increase since July was 2.1 per cent. In the month ending November 15 there were increases in the cost of food and sundries. Rents advanced, but the cost of clothing, coal, gas and electricity were lower. Between July, 1920, when the peak of the rise in the cost of living since 1914 was reached, and November, 1923, the cost of living de creased 19.2 per cent. The increase since July, 1914, was 65.3 per cent. The purchasing value of the dollar based on cost of living in November, 1923 was 60.5 cents as contrasted with one dollar in July, 1914.