The full text on this page is automatically extracted from the file linked above and may contain errors and inconsistencies.
Z 'W Volume X X X V I I I ___ m ___ ___ ' tf*,. N um ber 12 _____ Postwar Devempments in BANK CREDI7 FOR AGRICULTURE i l ^ W T W A R ' FA RM A D JU STM EN TS in the Eighth Federal Reserve District , td exert pressure for hank credit. Eighth District commercial hanks play a le in supg|lyi»g the district’s farm production credit needs. mm- #• ... A recent survey of bank credit for agriculture provided data on purposes of loans outstanding, security, maturity terms, length of continuous indebtedness of farm borrowers to banks, and renewal status of loans outstanding. Interest rates on loans outstanding were found to be related to size and purpose of loan. The size of loan is related to loan purpose, type of farm, net worth, the age of fartlftter borrowers, and tenure of borrow ers. A,.idgpj®.ca^i||Qrtion of farm machinery and equipment loans were purchased from retailers andotfaBRs. Most of the district fai:n debt is held by smaller banks, but loan participations en able banks to serve tlv- credit needs of large-scale farms. The survey deriionst rated that banks have adjusted lending practices to meet farm ers’ changing cred it needs v — edera sejrc; B an k St. Louis Survey o f C u rren t C o n d itio n s—p . 116 Postwar farm adjustments in the Eighth Federal Reserve District continue to exert pressure for bank credit. E i g h t h D ISTRICT FARMERS are making progress toward more efficient farming operations. They are increasing aggregate farm output and output per worker employed, as well as releasing large num bers of workers from agriculture to other industries, Increased efficiency has resulted from major farm re source adjustments. These adjustments range in com plexity from the simple quantitative type such as the application of increased quantities of fertilizer per unit of land, to major shifts from crop to livestock farming, animal to tractor power, or changes in the ratios of land and machinery to labor. Such changes are essen tial to progress. Both the adoption of major resource changes and improvements in production practices usually involve increased capital investment per worker and addition al managerial and technical skills. Greater use of cap ital and higher costs of equipment and supplies are reflected in increased credit needs on district farms. Thus, a dynamic agriculture is exerting increased pressure on credit institutions for larger amounts of credit and more flexible types of credit to meet ex panded capital requirements resulting from postwar farm resource adjustments and generally rising prices. Eighth District commercial banks play a major role in supplying the district’s farm production credit needs. Historically, co m m ercia l banks have su p p lied Eighth District farmers with most of their production credit requirements. In the seven district states, banks held over three-fourths of all such credit outstanding by institutional lenders on January 1, 1956. The per centage is somewhat above that for the nation as a whole, and the relative gain in amount held by banks in the district states since 1945 has been greater than for banks in the rest of the nation. Other principal institutional suppliers of non-real estate credit to dis trict farmers are the Production Credit Associations and the Farmers Home Administration, holding ap proximately one-sixth and one-twelfth, respectively, of the total outstanding. On June 30, 1956, Eighth District banks had out standing $496 million in loans to over 300,000 farmer borrowers. This represented an increase in amount outstanding of 5 per cent over that held in mid-1955, and was more than double that held in mid-1947. Al though these loans constituted only a small portion of all loans outstanding at insured commercial banks in the district, the aggregate figures obscure the import Page 138 ance of farm credit to many banks. Loans to farmers are the largest single category of loans in most Eighth District banks. A recent survey o f bank credit for agriculture . . . To gain insight into the ability and willingness of banks to provide funds for agricultural purposes, more than routine information is needed. Data are required on specific characteristics of bank loans: ma turity, interest rate, purpose, security, and borrower characteristics. In 1947 a survey designed to supply such data was undertaken and the results were report ed in this Review. During 1947 farm income was near a record high following the large war and immediate postwar demands for American farm produce. At the same time bank loans to farmers were near the post war lows, reflecting the limited amount of machinery available to farmers and the highly liquid position of farmers. Since that time a number of major developments have influenced the volume and characteristics of farm loans in the district. Although gross farm in come has declined substantially, income per farm fam ily has remained fairly steady. The number of work ers in agriculture has declined, and the investment per worker has increased, reflecting technological im provements. Capital needs of farmers have been ex panded by increased use of irrigation facilities, fer tilizer, machinery, and by adjustments in the size and type of farms. Another farm loan survey was made as of June 30, 1956. The survey was conducted by the Federal Re serve System in cooperation with the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation and the American Bankers As sociation.1 Analysis of the survey results throws light on the field of bank credit to agriculture. . . . provided data on purposes of loans outstanding, . . . Information obtained on the purpose of each loan in the mid: 1956 survey showed, once again, that loans for “current operating and family living expenses” constituted the largest group. Yet over half the total credit outstanding was for other purposes. Significant ly, intermediate-term credit accounted for more than one-quarter of the total amount. These intermediateterm loans often extended to facilitate changes in farming systems were used, for example, to purchase non-feeder types of livestock, machinery, trucks, irri gation and other equipment and to improve land and buildings (see Table I). i The survey was on a stratified sampling basis. In the Eighth District 143 banks cooperated by reporting details on all or segments of their loans to farmers. These sample results were then expanded to previously reported totals for all commercial banks in the district. The accuracy of the estimates diminishes, of course, as smaller and smaller parts of the aggregate loan totals are considered. TABLE I FARM CREDIT OUTSTANDING, MID-1956 , AT INSURED COMMERCIAL BANKS IN THE EIGHTH DISTRICT BY PURPOSE AND SECURITY OF LOAN (Dollar amounts in thousands) Unsecured Endorsed or Co-maker Purchase feeder livestock. ....................... ............... Purchase other livestock. ......................................... Buy machinery, trucks, irrigation equipment, etc.. Current operating and family living expenses . . . Purchase auto or other consumer durables........... Consolidate or pay other debts................................ Buy farm real estate. . . . . .................. .................... Improve land and buildings.................................... $14,084 9,705 5,650 50,859 908 3,926 5,088 3,810 3,361 $ 1,477 2,618 6,442 10,317 1,621 1,847 2,018 1,227 2,432 $ 14,054 18,142 50,995 89,603 8,077 7,699 1,444 2,453 2,677 $ Total outstanding. ............................................ $97,391 $29,999 $195,144 $153,676 Major Purpose Chattel Mortgage Farm Real Estate Mortgage 3,004 2,099 3,992 10,489 1,105 20,742 85,934 20,566 5,745 Government Guaranteed or Insured $ 18 Other Total — 264 2,707 1,514 3,833 33 1,119 161 585 1,445 $ 32,901 35,271 70,103 165,169 11,744 35,333 101,186 28,833 15,660 $8,329 $11,661 $496,200 — 1,510 68 — 6,541 192 $ Percentage distribution Purchase feeder livestock.................................... Purchase other livestock. ......................................... Buy machinery, trucks, irrigation equipment, etc*. Current operating and family living expenses. . . . Purchase auto or other consumer durables............ Consolidate or pay other debts............................. .. Buy farm real estate.................................................. Improve land and buildings.......... ........................ Total outstanding. . . . . . . . . . . . .............. 42.8 % 27.5 8.1 30.8 7.7 11.1 5.0 13.2 21.5 19.6 4.5% 7.4 9.2 6.3 13.8 5.2 2.0 4.3 ' 155 6.0 42.7% 51.4 72.7 54.2 68.8 21.8 1.4 8.5 17.1 9.1% 6.0 5.7 6.4 9.4 58.7 84.9 71.3 36.7 39.3 31.0 0.1% — 2.2 * — — 6.5 0.7 . , 1.7 0.8% 7.7 2.1 2.3 0.3 3.2 0.2 2.0 9.2 100.0% 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 2.4 100.0 *Less than 0.05 of 1 per cent. ... security, ... In conventional credit practice, collateral pledged has been closely related to loan purpose. Machinery has been the primary security used for machinerypurchase loans, farm mortgages for farm-purchase loans, and so on, and substantial cash down payments have usually been required. But there is evidence that the practice of relating collateral to purpose of loan is changing. Collateral not directly related to purpose may often secure loans. Moreover, the pledge of addi tional diverse forms of collateral may be in lieu of large down payments. The survey developed no data on the diversity of collateral supporting the loans. It required that only one major type of security be designated for each note; other security sources of lesser importance were un listed. Among those listed as major collateral, chattel mortgages were the most significant, such mortgages being used to secure almost two-fifths of all farm loans outstanding. They were the principal source of secu rity for loans to purchase non-feeder livestock, machinery, autos, and other consumer durables. Next in importance as security for farm credit were farm real estate mortgages. Mortgages were the major security for over half of all loans made to consolidate or pay debts, for almost three-fourths of the credit advanced to improve land and buildings, and for over four-fifths of the real estate purchase loans. The use of farm mortgages as security for other than real estate purchase loans has increased in the district both in absolute number and relative to the total number since the mid-1947 survey. About onethird of the number of such loans held by district banks on the above date were made for purposes other than to finance the purchase of farm land, whereas in mid-1956, 54 per cent of farm mortgage loans held were made for other purposes. Unsecured loans continue to make up a large share of the farm loan portfolio at district banks, despite the recent decline in farm income. Such loans are espe cially important in connection with livestock pur chases and current operating and family living ex penses. The endorser or co-maker type of note, although declining in importance, still accounted for 6 per cent of the loans. Many of the endorsers were fathers helping their sons obtain credit in order to get established. Government guarantees and stocks, bonds and other types of security were relatively unimportant. Page 139 TABLE II Term of Loan1 FARM CREDIT OUTSTANDING, MID-1956, AT INSURED COMMERCIAL BANKS IN THE EIGHTH DISTRICT BY MATURITY AND PURPOSE OF LOAN (Dollar amounts in thousands) Buy Non-feeder Purchase Feeder Livestock, Livestock, Machinery, Current Operating Consolidate Consumer Durables, and Family or Pay Buy Farm Improve Land Living Other Real Other and Buildings Expenses Debts Estate Purposes All Purposes loans Not Secured by Real Estate Demand......................... 1 month-6 months. . . 9 months-1 year. . . . 15 months-3 years___ 4 years and over. .. Tot al. . . . . . . . . . $ 9,253 39,061 32,790 34,221 1,160 $ 19,988 106,245 54,712 3,366 180 $ 2,566 7,507 4,101 418 -— $ 1,207 3,708 3,473 321 $2,092 4,249 2,528 874 173 :.^.^tllfc $116,485 $184,491 $14,592 $ 8,709 $9,916 "I $ 35,106 160,770 97,604 mm Percentage Distribution D e m a n d . . . ................ 1 month-6 months. . 9 months-1 year. . . . 15 months-3 years. . . . 4 years and over. . . Total.................... Demand....................... 1 month-6 months. . 9 months-1 year. . . . 15 months-3 years. . . 4 years-5 years......... Over 5 years.............. Total......................... $ 7.9% 33.5 28.2 29.4 1.0 10.8% 57.6 29.7 1.8 0.1 17.6% 51.4 28.1 2.9 — 13.8% 42.6 39.9 3.7 —- 21.1% 42.8 25.5 8.8 1.8 10.5% 48.1 29.2 11.7 0.5 100.0% 100.0% 100,0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0 % $ 3,522 8.444 24,794 11,294 18,296 26,126 $92,476 $ 653 525 1,624 257 1,104 1,582 $5,745 3,8% 9.1 26.8 12.2 19.8 28.3 100.0% 11.4% 9.1 28.3 4.5 19.2 27.5 100.0% 1,968 3,047 10,140 3,359 6,003 4.947 $ 29,464 $ 1,215 2,128 6,603 2,268 950 415 $ 13,579 Loons Secured by Real Estate $ 2,295 3,312 6,098 2,057 4,384 2,597 $20,743 $ 9,653 17,456 49,259 19,235 30,737 35,667 $162,007 Percentage Distribution Demand....................... 6.7% 8.9% 11.1% 1 month-6 months. . 10.3 15.7 16.0 9 months-1 year. . . 34.4 48.6 29.4 15 months-3 years. . . 11.4 16,7 9.9 4 years-5 years......... 20.4 7.0 21,1 Over 5 years.............. 16.8 3.1 12.5 T o ta l.................. 100.0% 100.0% 100,0% i Loans with maturities not listed are classed under the nearest figure shown — e.g., 5-month and 7-month loans are included in “6 months/ . . . maturity terms, . . . The survey indicated that approximately 5 per cent of the non-real estate loans outstanding in mid-1947 had a final maturity beyond twelve months from the date made, whereas in mid-1956 12 per cent of all such loans matured in excess of a year from the date made. At the earlier survey date 21 per cent of all non-real estate loans matured within three months, but in mid1956 only 18 per cent matured within 4*2 months.2 The trend toward longer terms was not as pronounced for farm mortgage loans as for production loans held by district banks. Maturities on both real estate and production loans to farmers in the Eighth District were related to loan purpose. For example, of the loans for short-term purposes (current farm operations, family living, and purchase of feeder livestock), 65 per cent matured within six months and only 4 per cent had maturity - Because of differences in processing the responses of the two surveys, the data do not permit exact comparison of loan maturities. Page 140 5.9% 10.8 30.4 11.9 19.0 22.0 100.0 % terms exceeding a year. For intermediate-term pur poses (land and building improvements, machinery, consumer durables, or non-feeder livestock pur chases), 37 per cent of the loans were made to mature within six months and 34 per cent were for over a year (see Table II). Maturity terms on bank loans to district farmers were also related to the type of security. Of the loans secured by real estate to buy other livestock, machin ery, consumer durables and to improve land and buildings, approximately 37 per cent matured four years or over from the date made. Only one per cent of loans made for the same purposes without real estate mortgage security had maturities as long as four years. In both cases most of the longer-term loans were probably made to finance land and build ing improvements. All other purpose groupings secured by real estate mortgages had a higher portion maturing after one year than the same groupings secured by other means or unsecured. ... length of continuous indebtedness of farm borrowers to banks, ... Interest rates on loans outstanding were found to be related to size and purpose of loan. Although a large percentage of district bank loans to farmers are still written to mature within twelve months or less, many farmers' obligations are in prac tice carried by banks for relatively long periods. In mid-1956 approximately one-fifth of the farmer bor rowers using non-real estate credit at Eighth District banks had been in debt to the banks over a period of at least three and a half years. More than one-half of the number of borrowers using real estate mort gages in mid-1956 had been in debt continuously dur- In analyzing the patterns of interest rates paid by farmers, it must be remembered that the effective rate is higher on a discount basis than on a straight interest basis. Moreover, an instalment repayment method may sharply affect the actual rate paid. To avoid confusion and to make more meaningful com parisons, interest rates used in the survey were uni formly computed as the effective annual rate rather than the stated rate of interest or discount. TABLE III TERM OF INDEBTEDNESS TO BANKS BY FARM BORROWERS AS OF JUNE 30, 1956 Indebtedness began 1956 1955 1954 Before 1954 Unknown Total Borrowers with Borrowers with No Real Estate Real Estate _____ Loans_____ Loans Percentage Percentage Distribution Distribution of of of Borof BorLoans rowers Loans rowers 37.0% 45.2% 13.3% 13.1% 25.0 25*8 23.4 21.1 7.0 11.4 13.7 6.6 19.9 29.1 51.9 52.1 1.5 2.9 A11 Borrowers Percentage Distribution of of BorLoans rowers 31.5% 41.7% 24.6 25.2 7.8 7.7 23.3 34.4 1.2 2.6 100.0 % 100,0 % 100.0% 100.0 % 100.0 % 100.0% ing the same period. A number of renewal notes resulted from unanticipated carryover of production loans beyond original maturity dates, but the most frequent cause of continuous indebtedness was ap parently the use of renewable short-term notes to finance intermediate or long-term credit needs. Some district banks appear to have a preference for notes made to mature within a year, regardless of the time required by the borrower to liquidate the debt from earnings. ... and renewal status of loans outstanding. Further evidence of the use of short-term notes to finance intermediate and long-term investment is found in the large percentage of planned note renew als. The largest percentage of renewals occurred in the case of single-payment loans. Approximately twofifths of such loans made to purchase real estate were renewed, and almost all the renewals were planned at the time the loan was made. A high percentage of renewals occurred in the case of intermediate-type in vestments involving the purchase of non-feeder live stock, machinery, consumer durables, or the improve ment of farm land and buildings. Almost one-fourth of the credit was renewed where it was originally ex tended for short-term purposes such as the purchase of feeder livestock, current operating expenses, and family living. The practice of renewing notes was much less frequent, regardless of the loan purpose, when repayments were set up on an instalment basis. The average interest rate paid by Eighth District farmers to finance their operations was 6.4 per cent, and the most prevalent rate was 6 per cent. Rates on loans secured by farm real estate averaged 5.9 per cent, compared with 6.6 per cent for other loans to farmers. The effect of size of loan on interest rate was evident throughout the loan portfolios regardless of collateral or purpose. With one exception, each con secutive grouping of larger sized loans carried an average interest rate somewhat lower than that of the preceding size. Interest rates also were apparently related to net worth. In addition, interest rates were probably relat ed to loan purpose, although not as closely as they TABLE IV PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION OF OUTSTANDING FARM LOANS AT DISTRICT BANKS IN MID-1956 BY PURPOSE AND RENEWAL STATUS All Loans Boy other livestock, machin ery, consumer durables, improve land and build* ings............................ Buy Feeder livestock, current operating and family liv ing expenses......................... Consolidate or pay other debts. . . . . . . ....................... Buy farm real estate................ O ther........................................ Total. . . .............. Single Payment Loans Buy other livestock, machin ery, consumer durables, improve land and build ings........... ......................... Buy feeder livestock, current operating and family liv ing expenses......................... Consolidate or pay other debts......... ........................ Total........... .................... Instalment Loans Buy other livestock, machin ery, consumer durables, improve land and build ings ....................................... Buy feeder livestock, current operating and family liv ing expenses......................... Consolidate or pay other debts.................................... Buy farm real estate................ Other......................................... Total................................ Other Net Planned Renewed Renewals Renewals 65.7% 22.3% 12.0% Total 100.0% 73.5 15.8 10.7 100.0 52.4 61.4 60.3 66.8 21.7 33.3 27.3 22.1 25.9 5.3 12.4 11.1 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 54.7 30.0 15.3 100.0 73.4 15.9 10.7 100.0 53.3 44.4 57.8 63.1 22.2 49.0 29.0 24.6 24.5 6.6 13.2 12.3 100.0 ioo.o 100.0 100.0 83.5 9.9 6.6 100.0 75.2 14.2 10.6 100.0 50.2 76.6 73.0 77.4 20.3 19.2 18.5 14.9 29.5 4.2 8.5 7.7 100.0 100.0 100.0 100,0 Page 141 TABLE V AVERAGE INTEREST RATE CHARGED ON BANK LOANS TO FARMERS BY PURPOSE AND ORIGINAL SIZE OF NOTE Loans Secured by Farm Heal Estate Purpose All Loans Buy other livestock, machinery, consumer durables, improve land and buildings..............................5.98% Buy feeder livestock, current opera ting and family living expenses. . . . 6.37 Consolidate or pay other debts........... 5.78 Buy {arm real estate............................... 5.78 Other. . ......... .................................5.95 Total................ ...........................5.87 Under $250 *250-499 7.34% 7.80% 7.06% 8.47 8.39 8.27 6.83 7.61 6.33 7.77 7.08 6.72 6.31 6.98 8.80 6.00 6.26 7.93 $2,0004,999 $5,0009,999 $10,00024,999 $25,000 and over 6.63% 5.90% 5.69% 4.65% 5.00% 6.37 6.22 6.34 6.00 6.41 6.24 5.87 6,08 6.50 6.04 6.00 5.44 5,43 5.33 5.50 6.00 5.58 5.28 6.00 5.37 $500-999 $1,000-1,999 10.001 7.97 Loans Not Secured by Farm Real Estate Buy other livestock, machinery, consumer durables, improve . 6.98% land and buildings.................. Buy feeder livestock, current opera ting and family living expenses.. . . 6.42 6.72 Consolidate or pay other debts......... Buy farm real estate............................. 5.53 Other....................................................... . 6.01 Total......................................... 6.60 Average rate all loans by size grouping........................................... 6.36% 7.84% 7.66% 7.43% 7.10% 6.87% 6.68% 5.69% 3.93% 7.25 7.54 8.00 7.40 7.41 7.12 6.72 6.46 6.82 7.27 6.99 6.93 6.14 6.49 7.14 6.69 6.60 6.18 5.89 6.86 6.28 7.09 5.82 5.97 6.54 6.15 6.16 5.22 5.61 6.22 5.79 6.00 4.92 5.49 5.70 5.65 7.43% 7.30% 7.11% 6.77% 6.35% 5.84% 5.53% 5.71% $10,000$24,999 $25,000 and over Total 2.6% 100.0% 8.6 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0% — —. 5.40 i Represents one unusual loan multiplied by district blow-up factor. TABLE VI PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION OF OUTSTANDING FARM LOANS IN MID-1956 BY SIZE OF ORIGINAL NOTE AND PURPOSE Under $250 Buy other livestock, machinery, consumer durables, improve land and buildings.................. Buy feeder livestock, current operating and family living expenses......... ......................... Consolidate or pay other debts. . Other. Total. $250-499 $500-999 $5,000$9,999 5.4% 14.2% 26.2% 33.3% 11.9% 4.0% 4.9 0.8 0.1 2.9 2.8% 7.9 2.3 0.3 4.5 5.1% 13.1 7.5 1.8 8.2 10.5% 15.8 13.1 7.9 11.8 17.0% 23.0 40.0 34.2 33.1 29.9% 14.3 24.1 30.8 24.1 18.0% 12.4 12.2 23.3 15.4 12.2% The size o f loan is related to loan purpose, . . . As of mid-1956 farm loan holdings by Eighth Dis trict insured banks averaged $1,608 per borrower and $1,135 per note. These relatively low averages re flected the large number of borrowers having small $2,000$4,999 2.4% were to loan size or credit worthiness of borrower. However, loans granted farmers to purchase farm real estate, whether secured by real estate mortgages or not, were generally written at a lower interest rate than loans for other purposes within each size group ing. Intermediate-term loans for the purchase of 'other” livestock, machinery, consumer durables, and to improve land and buildings were written at about the same effective interest rate as other loans, except those to purchase farm land. This is true despite the fact that many farm machinery loans are drawn on an instalment-repayment basis as in the case of auto mobiles and other consumer durables. Page 142 $1,000$1,999 — 1.6 __ 4.5% debts; for instance, two-fifths of the borrowers owed less than $500. However, when the original notes are analyzed by volume about 35 per cent were to bor rowers owing $5,000 and over, 30 per cent to bor rowers owing $2,000-$5,000, and 35 per cent to bor rowers owing less than $2,000. A larger volume of intermediate and current-oper ating loans fell in the smaller size of note groupings, whereas loans for such purposes as the purchase of real estate, consolidation of debts and other non-classified purposes, were predominantly in the larger size groupings. More than four-fifths of bank credit out standing for purchase of non-feeder livestock, machin ery, and consumer durables and to improve land and buildings consisted of notes of less than $5,000 in size. In contrast, only about 45 per cent of the out standing credit for the purchase of farm real estate was in this same note size grouping. . . . type o f farm, . . . Although nearly half of the bank credit outstanding to district farmers was extended to operators of gen eral farms (farms having less than half of total in come from any one source), the average size of debt per borrower was smaller for this group than for any other type of farming group. Meat animal farms had the largest average bank indebtedness per farmer. Next in order were poultry farms and cash grain farms. District dairy farms had a relatively small debt per farm, possibly because of a smaller need for seasonal production credit than is required by other types of farming operations. TABLE VII OUTSTANDING FARM LOANS OF DISTRICT' BANKS IN MID* 1956 BY TYPE OF FARM Amount Percentage Out Dis standing tribution (Thousands) Meat animal............. . $ 56,500 11.4% 29,571 6.0 Poultry. ....................... 8,300 1.7 61,222 12.3 Cotton.................... 99,384 20.0 Other major product. 10,093 2.0 224,001 45.2 Unknown.................... 7,129 1.4 $496,200 100.0 Type of Farm Number of Borrowers Average Size of Debt 22,539 20,854 3,638 27,576 57,132 5,349 162,351 9,226 308,663 $2,507 1,418 2,283 2,220 1,740 1,887 1,380 773 $1,608 TABLE VIII . . . net worth, . . . The average size of farm debt held by Eighth Dis trict banks is probably more closely related to net worth than to any other factor. From an over-all average debt to district banks of $1,608 per farmer borrower, the average size varied from $410 per bor rower having net worth of less than $3,000, to $12,849 per borrower with net worth of $100,000 and over. More than one-sixth of all farmer borrowers at dis trict banks had a net worth of less than $3,000, and well over one-half had a net worth of less than $10,000 (see Table V III). . . . the age o f farmer borrowers, . . . One criticism often leveled at farm credit institu tions is that it has been difficult for a young farm op erator to borrow sufficient capital to purchase a farm. It has, nevertheless, been profitable for many young operators to whom credit was available to make such investments. However, the recent drop in farm in come, coupled with higher land values, has increased the risk of such credit. Moreover, experience has shown that farmers with a limited amount of capital make higher net returns if their total credit capacity is used to obtain operating capital. Leases made for a few years with assurance of adequate amounts of intermediate credit, may prove to be the most feas ible route to farm ownership. District banks are making loans to a large number of young farm operators. Nearly 47,000 farm opera tors under 34 years of age were extended credit by district bankers in the amount of $61 million. The average size of debt increased from $647 for farm operators under 25 to- $1,788 for the 35-to-44-year age group. It declined for those 45 years of age and OUTSTANDING FARM LOANS OF DISTRICT BANKS IN MID-1956 BY NET WORTH OF BORROWER Amount Percentage OutDistriNet Worth of Borrower standing bution (Thousands) Under $ 3 ,0 0 0 .----$ 25,761 5.2% $3,000-$9,999......... 119,678 24.1 $10,000-$24,999. . . 166,926 33.7 $25,000-$99,999. . . 133,950 27.0 $100,000 and over. . 41,812 8.4 Unknown.................. 8,073 1.6 T o tal.............. $496,200 100.0% Number of Borrowers 62,852 118,882 83,643 30,832 3,254 9,200 308,663 Average Size of Debt $ 410 1,007 1,996 4,345 12,849 878 $ 1,608 TABLE IX OUTSTANDING FARM LOANS OF DISTRICT BANKS IN MID-1956 BY AGE OF BORROWER Per centage Amount DistriAge of Borrower Outstanding bution (Thousands) Under 25 years.................. $ 3,680 0.7 % 25-34 years. .................... 57,340 11.6 35-44 years......................... 168,726 34.0 45 and over......................... 252,823 51.0 Unknown.................." . . . . 13,631 2.7 Total......................... . . $496,200 100.0% Number Average of Size Borrowers of Debt 5,684 41,366 94,364 152,826 14,423 308,663 $ 647 1,386 1,788 1,654 945 $1,608 over. The number of borrowers was largest in the latter group, which contains a larger number of farm operators than any of the other age groupings.3 . . . and tenure o f borrowers. The average size of debt of tenants and sharecrop pers was about one-third of that for landlords and less than one-half that for owner-operators. Tenants generally need less credit than owner-operators or landlords, who often require credit for farm purchases or for farm improvements not usually made by ten ants. Approximately 23 per cent of the total of far mer borrowers from district banks were tenants or The 1950 Census of Agriculture shows over two-thirds of the nation’s farm operators in the age group of 45 years and ove-\ Page 143 TABLE X OUTSTANDING FARM LOANS OF DISTRICT BANKS IN MID-1956 BY TYPE OF FARM AND TENURE OF BORROWER* Type of Farm Owner-Operator Meat animals......................... Dairy................................ .. Poultry............. ............. Cash grain............................. Cotton. . — , ....................... Other major product . ......... General................................ .. . . . . Total. . . . . . .............. Amount Outstanding______________ Tenant or Cropper Landlord (Thousands) $ 49,928 24,275 8,226 41,080 71,502 9,005 179,452 $383,418 $ 3,553 2,374 74 15,538 14,496 757 23,783 $60,575 $ 3,019 2,923 — 4,654 13,386 331 20,758 $45,071 18,824 15,031 3,230 16,950 34,697 2,932 119,302 210,966 Average Size of Defat Owner-Operator Tenant or Cropper Type of Farm Meat animals....................... . . . . $ Poultry. .................. .. Cash grain......... ................ Other major product......... General. . . :; . . ................ .. Total. . . . . . ............ ______ Number of Borrowers Owner-Operator Tenant or Cropper .... $ 2,652 1,615 2,547 2,421 2,061 3,071 1,504 1,817 $ 1,270 591 182 1,760 814 414 703 $ 872 Landlord 917 1,807 — 1,800 4,634 590 9,184 18,932 2,798 4,016 407 3,826 17,800 1,828 33,817 69,492 Landlord $ 3,292 1,618 — 2,586 2,889 561 2,260 $ 2,381 * Unclassified types of farms and borrowers omitted. sharecroppers. Eighth District sharecroppers, who are included in the totals with tenants, usually look to their landlords for credit needs. Thus, most borrow ers in the tenant-sharecropper classification were ten ants. The ratio of tenant borrowers to owner-operators was nearly the same as the proportion of ten ants to owner-operators in the Eighth District states. Tenants accounted for 25 per cent of the borrowers for the two groups and constituted 29 per cent of the total operators in these tenure classes. A significant portion o f farm machinery and equipment loans were purchased from retailers and others. Larger commercial banks have for many years fi nanced farm equipment sales indirectly through loans to the manufacturers who, in turn, have financed the sales to farmers. The manufacturers customarily bor rowed on an unsecured basis and carried a large volume of farmers' obligations. During the past two decades, however, local banks have moved from mak ing only farm production loans into a broader farm credit program involving direct financing of farm equipment purchases. The recent trend has been toward direct dealer-lending agency agreements, giv ing more banks an opportunity to participate in this type of credit. Page 144 In mid-1956 district banks held approximately $70 million in loans for financing farm equipment pur chases, over 50 per cent of which were notes pur chased from dealers and others. More than one-third of district bank credit to farmers for financing the purchase of automobiles and other consumer durables was accounted for by notes purchased from dealers or other banks. Purchases of loans representing farm credit used for other purposes were relatively insig nificant. TABLE XI OUTSTANDING FARM LOANS OF DISTRICT BANKS IN MID-1956 BY PURPOSE AND METHOD ACQUIRED Loans Made Direct to Borrower Loans Purchased Amount Per cent . Major Purpose standing of Total i n (Thousands) (Thousands) Purchase feeder livestock. . . $ 206 0.5% Purchase other livestock. . . , . 35,104 7.8 0.4 167 Buy machinery, trucks, irrigation equipment, etc.. .. 33,704 LT W C 36,399 80.3 Current operating and family living expenses. , 163,338 36.2 1,831 4.0 Purchase auto or other consumer durables........... 7,179 1.6 10.1 4,565 Consolidate or pay other debts 35,194 7.8 139 0.3 Buy farm real estate . . . . . . . 100,535 22.3 651 1.4 Improve land and buildings. . 28,461 6.3 372 0.8 Other. ............................ 3.3 . . 14,681 979 2.2 Total............................... . $450,891 100.0% $45,309 100.0 % Most o f the district farm debt is held by smaller banks, . .. The survey showed that small banks supplied the bulk of all bank credit to farmers. Banks with less than $3 million of deposits held the obligations of over 50 per cent of the farmer-borrowers and almost one-half the volume of farm debt to banks outstand ing. Ninety per cent of the debt, owed by about ninetenths of the borrowers, was held by banks with less than $10 million deposits. Approximately 53 per cent of the loan volume of borrowers having net worths of less than $25,000 was held by banks with less than $3 million deposits. . .. but loan participations enable banks to serve the credit needs o f large-scale farms. Although participation loans as a group represent ed only about 2 per cent of the total volume of farm debt held by district banks, participation arrange ments have been an important development in sup plying credit to farmers with large seasonal needs. Approximately 90 per cent of such loans were made to cotton farmers. An average of 40 per cent of the vol ume of participation loans was retained by the banks originating them. There are two principal reasons for the development of participation arrangements in the district, particularly in the Cotton Belt. First, statu tory limitations based on the size of a bank's capital and surplus accounts put a ceiling on the amount that that may be loaned to one individual or business and prevent many banks from handling some large loans generated locally. Second, seasonal fluctuations in deposits, and thus availability of funds to lend, are pronounced for many banks in the cotton-producing areas. Local banks have met this problem by offering to city correspondents large loans on a participation basis. The survey demonstrated that banks have adjusted lending practices to meet farmers’ changing credit needs. A comparison of the data reported in the two sur veys suggests that during recent years district banks have changed the policies governing their lending to farmers. The volume of agricultural loans has rapid ly expanded. The wide variety of collateral pledged for loans of each purpose has departed from conven tional credit practice. The terms of loans have be come more flexible and appear to be more nearly designed for each specific borrower need. Further more, through planned note renewals many loans to farmers written with short-term maturities are in prac tice carried by banks for relatively long periods. Students of agricultural credit have often pointed to a gap between the amount of intermediate-term credit TABLE XI! OUTSTANDING FARM LOANS OF DISTRICT BANKS IN MID-1956 BY TYPE OF CREDIT AND SIZE OF BANK (Dollar amounts of loans in thousands) Type of Loan ______ Deposit Size of Bank Under $3 to 10 $10 Million $3 Million JVIillion and Over All Banks Intermediate-term loans........................ Loans for current expenses................. Loans to purchase farm real estate. . Loans to consolidate debts and other purposes................. $ 69,131 Total.................. $ 62,697 $14,122 $145,950 94,433 80,547 23,089 198,069 4 8 ,675 43,042 9,469 101,186 24,166 $236,405 2 1 ,5 0 7 $207,793 5,322 $52,002 50,995 $496,200 TABLE XIII OUTSTANDING FARM LOANS OF DISTRICT BANKS IN MID-1956 BY NET WORTH OF BORROWER AND SIZE OF BANK Deposit Size of Bank Net Worth of Borrower Under $ 3 ,0 0 0 ___ 3 ,0 0 0 -9 ,9 9 9 ......... 10,000-24,999 . . 25,000-99,999. . . 100*000 and over. Unknown................. T otal................... Under $3 Million $3 to $10 Million $ 13,364 66,699 85,158 58,370 12,689 125 $236,405 $ 8,971 4 2 ,619 71,263 62,138 18.486 4 ,316 $207,793 $10 Million and Over All Banks $ 3,427 10,359 10,505 13,443 10,636 3,632 $52,002 $ 25,762 119,677 166,926 133,951 41,811 8,073 $496,200 supplied and the amount required to finance resource combinations essential to efficient farming units. The success of credit for such purposes hinges primarily on increased productivity rather than on the present value of security. For this reason banks and other agricultural lending agencies were once slow to adopt lending programs to meet intermediate-credit needs. More recently, however, it has become clear that able borrowers almost unfailingly do increase the produc tivity of themselves and their land through judicious use of credit, and greater emphasis has thus been placed on “ability to pay debts” as a criterion of farm credit extension. Banks are apparently bridging the once serious gap in the agricultural credit market, A large percentage of farm loans outstanding are being made for adjustments in resource use. Loans of this type have encouraged desirable changes in farming systems, and it seems certain that a more efficient agriculture is the result. Nor will technically more efficient farm units be the only outcome of re source transfers. Farmers will produce more and more of the kinds of food and fiber for which demand is strengthening relative to supply and less and less of the old staples for which demand is decreasing rela tive to supply. In this way a step toward solution of the American farm problem will be taken. C l if t o n B. M a h l ig a r ie W L uttrell Page 145 QF C(JRRENT CONDITIONS B u s i n e s s ACTIVITY in the Eighth Federal Reserve District in November held close to the Octo ber rate. Industrial activity showed largely sea sonal changes. But construction contracts awarded continued to decline, and bank loans rose less than usual. Department store sales, on the other hand, improved somewhat more than seasonally from the reduced October level. Comparison of several indicators with their yearearlier levels also suggests that the district economy has recently shown little increase in activity. Em ployment during October in three of the five largest metropolitan areas of the district was less than a year earlier. Construction contracts awarded and power consumed by industries were also below last year's level. Notwithstanding the more than sea sonal increase in department stores sales in the first four weeks of November, they were only about on a par with a year earlier. Industry Industrial activity in the Eighth District showed largely seasonal changes from October to Novem ber. St. Louis area steel mills, which have lagged behind the strong national steel production rates in the poststrike period, made up the difference in early November, operating at weekly levels up to 105 per cent of rated capacity. District coal pro duction continued its winter pickup; operations in October were at the highest rate for that month since 1951. Crude oil output was close to 390,000 barrels per day in November, 4 per cent over a year ago and not far from the postwar record rate of 392,900 barrels per day set in September this year. Sharp seasonal gains occurred in automobile as sembly plants during November in both district and nation. Despite extra hours on Saturdays, how ever, national automobile output in November was scaled down to an estimated 570,000 cars from an earlier schedule of 650,000. This volume represents considerable gain from October's 389,000 but falls far short of the 748,500 cars assembled in November a year ago. Farm implement makers in the district began limited rehiring in November after inventory reducing shutdowns since late September. Page 146 Operating rates at reporting southern pine lum ber mills continued to exceed year-ago levels in No vember, though the usual winter slackening oc curred. Hardwood mills in the south showed greater seasonal drops; after operating at 98 per cent of capac ity in September their rates dropped to 96 per cent in October and to about 90 per cent in November. Livestock slaughter at district meat packing plants continued strong. Slaughter at eight district meat packing centers in October totaled 885,000 head this year compared to 765,000 a year ago, largely reflect ing an increase in hogs processed. Shoe production at district plants in October was at about year ago levels on a daily average basis; November production, estimated for the nation at 46 million pairs, maintained the October rate but was ahead of the strike-reduced rate of November 1955. Construction The gradual tapering in construction activity con tinued in October. Construction contracts awarded in the nation during the month declined more than usual, and on a seasonally adjusted basis were substan tially lower than at the beginning of the year. Reflect ing the decline in awards in recent months, new con struction outlays rose less than seasonally from June through October. Most of the decline has been in private construction, as outlays by Federal, state and local governments continued close to peak levels. Private housing starts have continued their general downward trend during recent months, and on a sea sonally adjusted basis in October were at an annual rate of close to 1 million units. In the first 10 months of this year the seasonally adjusted annual rate of private nonfarm housing starts averaged approxi mately 1.1 million units, about one-sixth less than the actual number started in 1955. In the district, the value of contracts awarded for new construction in October was somewhat less than a year earlier, and on a seasonally adjusted basis substantially less than at this year s peak reached in February. This trend evidently continued in the first half of November when the value of awards in the St. Louis territory of F. W. Dodge Corpora tion, which contains most but not all of the Eighth District, declined from the October rate and was substantially less than a year earlier. Residential building awards in the district dropped about onehalf from the first quarter to the three months end ing in October. Contracts awarded for other than residential construction fell 23 per cent in the same period. Trade District department store sales in the first two weeks of November lagged somewhat, but in the following two weeks jumped ahead of the year earlier level. Retailers were hopeful that the im provement at mid-month signalled the end of the October lull in consumer buying at department stores. In that month sales failed to rise the usual amount and, on a daily average basis, were 3 per cent less than in October 1955. Furniture store sales were equal to sales in October 1955 on a daily average basis. Inventories at reporting furniture and department stores in the district were 4 per cent larger than a year earlier at the start of November. Employment Employment trends in the nation during October were generally favorable. Nonagricultural employ ment rose more than seasonally from September to October and reached an all time record of 52.4 mil lion, 1.2 million above a year earlier. Employment in manufacturing rose more than usual as automo bile plants and their suppliers stepped up hiring, radio and television plants increased activity and employment in nondurable goods industries dropped less than usual. Rising manufacturing activity in recent months has been accompanied by some in crease in the average work week. In October the average work week of manufacturing production workers was 40.6 hours compared with a low of 40.1 reached in May and July. Wages continued to rise. In October average hourly earnings of factory work ers reached $2.02, an increase of 11 cents in the past year. Insured unemployment in the week ended November 3, although higher than a year earlier, was about the same as four weeks earlier. In contrast to the strong demands for labor in the nation, employment in some of the district’s lar ger metropolitan areas was not as high as a year ago. In St. Louis, Louisville and Evansville the number of wage and salaried workers in nonagricultural es tablishments was less than a year earlier. Employ ment in St. Louis was steady from September to October as gains in manufacturing employment were about offset by declines in nonmanufacturing activ ities, but remained about 1 per cent less than a year earlier. Employment in Evansville rose in October about the usual amount following seasonal cutbacks in manufacturing operations in September, but re mained 8 per cent less than a year earlier. In Louis ville employment declined slightly from September to October reflecting net cutbacks in both manufac turing and nonmanufacturing activities, and was a little less than a year earlier. In Memphis and Little Rock, however, nonfarm employment was greater than a year earlier. Banking Total loans at weekly reporting banks in the dis trict rose $16 million or 1 per cent during the five weeks ended November 21, reflecting an increase in business loans, offset in part by net reductions in the other loan categories. The business loan expansion was somewhat less than seasonal. Some firms ap parently did not experience a normal contraction in activities and indebtedness in the summer, and, with large amounts of funds on hand, were able to main tain a high level of activity during the fall with some what smaller bank borrowing. Certain other bor rowers reportedly were not able to obtain all the funds requested since the demand for bank loans exceeded the supply of funds flowing into the banks. At banks reporting information by industry, food processors made heavier than normal net borrow ings for this time and sales finance companies and public utilities increased their indebtedness. On the other hand, the expansion of borrowings by com modity dealers was less than average for this period and contractors made net repayments, Loans to brokers and dealers for purchasing or carrying securities were reduced $4 million and real estate loans fell $3 million. “Other,” largely con sumer, loans were down moderately in the period. Agriculture Moisture conditions on most district farms im proved during November. Late October and No vember rainfall combined with relatively mild tem peratures contributed to better grazing prospects. Small grains also showed general improvement, al though some stands were hindered by lack of rain at planting time. District farm income continued to improve. The 1956 January through September total was thirteen per cent above that for the same period of last year and 1 per cent above that for 1954. Income from both crops and livestock was running ahead of last years levels. However, only income from crops ex ceeded that of 1954. Most district farm commodity prices increased for the four-week period ending November 23. Hogs, eggs, and all major crop prices were above those of October 26. A decline in the prices of cattle, milk, and broilers partially offset this increase. Page 147 Monthly Review I n d e x — 1956 FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS PAGE NUMBER GUIDE Month of Issue Pages Month of Issue January............................................ .. .............. 1-16 July....................... ....................................................... February.......................................... .................................17-28 August........................................ ....................................... March.................................................. .............................29-44 September.......................................................................... April..................................................................................45-56 October.......................................................................... May.......................................................................... 57-68 November. . .................................................................... December......................... .................. ............................. June................................................................................... 69-80 Agriculture51 Pages 81-88 89-100 101-112 113-124 125-136 137-148 Pages Agriculture in 1 9 5 5 ..................................................... 5 Agriculture's position in time of industrial ex pansion ............................................................... 4, 5 District Farmers Prospects and Purchases in 1956 ........................................................................... 17-21 Farm employment and population changes......... 69-73 Farm income in 1955 ................................... 52 Farm Loan Survey, 1 9 5 6 ............................................ 137-145 Farmer's expenditures, 1947-1953......................... 20, 21 Ground-water resources for agriculture................ 32. 33 Banking and Finance* Bank Debits and Economic Activity....................... 125-133 Branches of Federal Reserve Banks....................... 89-97 Business Loans: A Summary of the Eighth Dis trict Member Bank Business Loan Survey. . . . 57-65 Consumer credit growth at commercial banks .117, 118 District Member Bank Earnings in 1 9 5 5 .............. 40-41 Directors and officers of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis..................................................... 25 Eighth District cities for which debit data are available monthly—m ap.......................................... 133 Eighth District cities with three or more banks —m a p ........................................................................... 115 Pages Monetary policy in 1955 ..................................... 5, 14, 15 Postwar Developments in Bank Credit For Agri culture .........................................................................137-145 The Structure of Banking in the Eighth District: Branches and Mergers .......................................... 45-51 The Structure of Banking in the Eighth District: Chains, Groups and Interindustry Competition 113-121 Time deposit growth at commercial banks 119-120 Business Conditions, Income, Population" Consumer spending in 1 9 5 5 .............. ....................... 4 The Delta Area of Southeast Missouri: A Case Study in Economic C hange................................... 81-86 District Income in 1 9 5 5 ............................................ 52-53 Delta per capita income............................................. 84, 85 The Economic Meaning of 1 9 5 5 .............................. Eighth District Business Conditions in 1955 1-15 . 7-15 Proprietor’s income in district, 1 9 5 5 ....................... 52 Recent Population Trends in the Eighth District 69-77 District Business Statistics Federal Reserve Policy in 1 9 5 5 ......................... 5, 6, 14, 15 Federal Reserve System m ap................................... 92 Gross national product and bank debits................ 127 1955 Operations of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis .................................................................... The District Record (monthly tables on district agriculture, banking, construction, industry and trade) 22-25 . . . . 16, 28, 44, 56, 68, 80, 88, 100, 112, 124, 136, 148 *See, also, District Business Statistics and Survey of C urrent Business Conditions MONTHLY REVIEW INDEX Industry* Page« Survey of Current Business Conditions Pages Survey of Current Business Conditions as of: Employment in five major district areas m 1955. . 11 Gross national product in 1 9 5 5 ................................. 2, 3, 4 Ground-water Resources of the Eighth District. . 29-39 Index of Industrial Production in 1 9 5 5 ................ 3 Industrial development in the D elta..................... 86 Industrial development and out-migration............ 77 Water supply and demand, industrial......... .. February 1 ........ ......26-27 March 1 ...................42-43 April 1 ..................... 54-55 May 1 ......................66-67 June 1 ......................78-79 July 1 .......................86-87 August 1 ............. 98-99 September 1 . . . . 110-111 October 1 ............122-123 November 1 .. .. 134-135 December 1 ----- 146-147 Trade* 32-39 Retail trade and out-migration................................. 76 Retail Trade Trends in the Eighth District 101-109 ARTICLES Title Author The Economic Meaning of 1 9 5 5 ............................................... (Staff) ............Lawrence E. Kreider District Farmers’ Prospects and Purchases in 1 9 5 6 ....................................... 1955 Operations of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis....................................... Ground-water Resources of the Eighth District................................ ............Harry B. Kircher District Member Bank Earnings in 1 9 5 5 ........................................................................ ......... Norman N. Bowsher The Structure of Banking in the Eighth District: Branches and Mergers...................................................................................................... ......... Ross M. Robertson District Income in 1 9 5 5 ......................................................................................................... ............Werner Hochwald Business Loans: A Summary of the Eighth District Member Bank Business Loan Survey............................................................................................. ......... Norman N. Bowsher Marie C. Wahlig ............William H. Kester Recent Population Trends in the Eighth District.......................................................... The Delta Area of Southeast Missouri: A Case Study in Economic Change......... ......... A. James Meigs Pages 1-15 17-21 22-25 29-39 40-41 45-51 52-53 57-65 69-77 81-86 89-97 101-109 Branches of Federal Reserve Banks.................................................................................... ........... Ross M. Robertson Retail Trade Trends in the Eighth District...................................................................... ............William H. Kester The Structure of Banking in the Eighth District: 113-121 Chains, Groups and Interindustry Competition.......................................................... ......... Ross M. Robertson Bank Debits and Economic Activity................................................................................. ............Norman N. Bowsher 125-133 137-145 Postwar Developments in Bank Credit For Agriculture.............................................. ........... Clifton B. Luttrell Marie C. Wahlig "See, also, District Business Statistics and Survey o f Current Business Conditions V A R IO U S IN D IC A T O R S O F IN D U STRIA L A C T IV IT Y Oct. 1956* compared with Sept. 1956 Oct. 1953 Industrial Use of Electric Power (Thousands of KWH per working day, selected industrial firms in 6 district cities)......................................................................................... Steel Ingot Kate, St. Louis area (Operating rate, per cent of capacity)........................... Coal Production Index— 8th Dist. (Seasonally adjusted, 1 9 4 7 - 4 9 = 1 0 0 )...................... Crude Oil Production— 8th Dist. (Daily average in thousands of bbls.) Freight Interchanges at St. Louis. (Thousands of cars— 25 railroads— Terminal R. R. A ssn .)........................................................................................................................................ Livestock Slaughter— St, Louis area. (Thousands of head— weekly average).......... Lumber Production— S. Pine (Average weekly production— thousands of bd. ft.) Lumber Production— S. Hardwoods. (Operating rate, per cent of capacity)............ n.a. + 9 -0 -0 - n.a. — 1 + 1 + 4 + 13 + 12 + 5 _ o -0 + 4 + 6 — 7 * Percentage change is shown in each case. Figures for the steel ingot rate, Sc ___ the coal rate, and production index, show the relative percentage change in production, not the drop in index points or in percents of capacity. p Preliminary, n.a. Not available. B A N K D EB ITS1 CASH FARM INCOME October October, 1956 1956 compared with (In September October millions) 1956 1955 Six Largest Centers: East St. Louis— National Stock Yards, 111................................... : 5 168.7 179.3 Evansville, Ind. 206.0 Little Rock, Ark. . . Louisville, Ky. . . . 958.5 1,049.4 Memphis, Tenn. 2,491.8 St. Louis, Mo. Total— Six Largest $ 5,053.7 Centers ................. < Other Reporting Centers $ AltonTlll. Cape Girardeau, Mo. El Dorado, Ark. . Fort Smith, Ark............ Greenville, Miss. Hannibal, Mo................ Helena, Ark. ............ Jackson, Tenn, ............ Jefferson City, Mo. Owensboro, Ky. .......... Paducah, Ky. ............ Pine Bluff, Ark.............. Quincy, 111. ................. Sedalia, Mo.................... Springfield, Mo. Texarkana, Ark. + + + + + + 21% 17 11 20 34 14 + + + + + + 26% 11 8 13 14 9 + 19% + 11% 40.0 18.8 30.7 58.3 40.3 11.1 18.0 35.0 85.5 49.1 27.9 72 2 43.7 16.1 100.9 ■22.5 + 11% + 8 4- 5 + 8 + 28 + 9 + 46 + 20 — 10 + 9 + B + 52 + 17 + 8 + 13 + 6 + 7% + 22 + 3 + 7 + 5 + 8 + 17 + 12 + 17 — 1 + 8 + 49 + 4 + 10 + 17 + 6 Total— Other Centers . . . . . . . $ 670.1 + 13% + 13% Total— 22 Centers $5,723.8 + 18% + 11% INDEX OF BANK DEBITS— 22 Centers Seasonally Adjusted (1 9 4 7 -1 9 4 9 = 1 0 0 ) 1956 1955 Oct. Sept. Oct. 170.3 155.5 152.8 1 Debits to demand deposit accounts of individuals, partnerships and corporations and states and political subdivisions. Percentage Change Jan, thru Sept. Sept.’56 1S56 from (In thousands Sept. compared with 1955 of dollars) 1956 Sept/55 1954 Arkansas. $i 92,686 + 38 % + 37% + 16% Illinois . . 191,311 + 15 + 10 1 _ 2 Indiana . . . 7 99,971 + 5 — 9 Kentucky 29,140 15 + 7 Mississippi 80,054 + 17 + 26 4 13 6 Missouri . . . 122,173 + 24 + 6 + 16 Tennessee 56,066 . ± 1 1 -0 7 States . . 671,401 + 19 1 + 9 + 13 8th District 349,930 + 24 + 1 Source: State data from USDA preliminary estimates unless otherwise indicated. 174.3 186.3 168.7 204.9 223.3 196.4 * Based on three-month moving average (centered on mid-month) of value of awards, as reported by F. W. Dodge Corporation. ASSETS AND LIABILITIES OF EIGHTH DISTRICT MEMBER BANKS (In Millions of Dollars) Weekly Reporting Banks Assets All Member Banks Change from Sept. 26, 1956 Oct. 31, 1956 Nov. 21,1956 Loans1 .......................................... $1,652 $2,648 $ + 53 Business and Agricultural 879 Security ................. ............ 57 Real Estate ........................... 272 Other (largely consumer) . 467 1,902 U. S. Government Securities 897 + 67 219 Other Securities ...................... 485 — 6 Loans to Banks ........................ 51 1,514 Cash Assets ................................ 933 48 Other Assets ............................. 71 + i 90 $3,800 $— 56 Total Assets ........................ $6,620 $ + 133 Liabilities and Capital Demand Deposits of Banks 82 $ 742 $ 840 $+ 62 Other Demand Deposits ............ 2,111 27 3,934 65 Time Deposits ...................... 4 575 1,266 10 2 91 Borrowings and Other Liabilities 90 7 1 Total Capital A cco u n ts............... 281 490 + 3 $3,800 Total Liabilities and Capital $6,620 $— 56 $ +133 i For weekly reporting banks, loans are adjusted to exclude loans to banks; the total is reported net; breakdowns are reported gross. For all member banks, loans are reported net and include loans to banks; breakdown of these loans is not available. Stocks on Hand Percentage of Accounts Stocks- and Notes Receivable Sales Outstanding Oct. 1, ’56, Ratio collected during Oct. Excl. Instal. Instalment Accounts Accounts 49 16 8th F.R. District Total . . + 12^ — 1% + 5% 43 Fort Smith Area, Ark.l + 2 — 3 + 2 45 Monthly stocks and 13 + 8 +7 Little Rock Area, Ark.. . , + 1 6 stocks-sales ratio data 5 Quincy, 111............................ + 1 6 + 1 —2 not available in time — 5 + Evansville Area, Ind......... ..+ 6 46 19 ' " for publication in the - 0+ 5 Louisville Area, Ky., Ind. + 1 5 Monthly Review. Data 9 + 8 Paducah, K y....................... — 3 60 will be supplied upon 17 5 3 + St. Louis Area, Mo., 111. + 1 1 10 ", request. + 6 + 7 Springfield Area, Mo. . . . + 9 33 5 — 1 + Memphis Area, Tenn. . . + 1 4 10 + 6 All Other Cities?................+ 1 2 1 In order to permit publication of figures for this city (or area), a special sample has been con structed which is not confined exclusively to department stores. Figures for any such nondepartment stores, however, are not used in computing the district percentage changes or in computing depart ment store indexes. 2 Fayetteville Pine Bluff, Arkansas; Harrisburg, Mt. Vernon, Illinois; Vincennes, Indiana; Dan ville, Hopkinsville, Mayfield, Owensboro, Kentucky; Chillicothe, Missouri; Greenville, Mississippi; and Jackson, Tennessee. OUTSTANDING ORDERS of reporting stores at the end of October, 1956, were 3 per cent lower than on the corresponding date a year ago. + INDEXES OF SALES AND STOCKS— 8TH DISTRICT Oct. 1956 131 119 n.a. Sept. 1956 130 127 145 134 Aug. 1956 118 129 136 136 Oct. 1955 135 122 145 130 Sales (daily average), unadjusted3 ............................................ Sales (daily average), seasonally adjusted3 ................................ Stocks, unadjusted4 .......................................................................... Stocks, seasonally adjusted4 ........................................................... 3 Daily average 1 9 4 7 -4 9 = 100 4 End of Month average 1 9 4 7 -4 9 = 1 0 0 n.a. Not available. Trading days: October, 1956— 27 ; September, 1956— 24; October, 1955— 26, for FRASER Digitized Seasonally adjusted T otal............ 177.2 p Residential 167.2 p AllOther . . 181.8 p p Prelim inary DEPARTMENT STORES _________ Net Sales_________ Oct., 1956 10 mos. ’56 compared with to same Sept.,’56 Oct.,55 period *55 IN D EX O F C O N S T R U C T IO N C O N T R A C T S A W A R D ED EIG H TH FED ERAL RESERVE D ISTRICT* (1 9 4 7 -1 9 4 9 = 1 0 0 ) Sept. 1956 Aug. 1956 Sept. 1955 Unadjusted Total 198.9 p 212.6 230.3 Residential 188.9 p 223.6 252.3 All Other 2 03.6 p 207.5 220.0 RETAIL FURNITURE STORES Net Sales Inventories October, 1956 October, 1956 compared with compared with Sept. ’56 Oct. *55 Sept. ’56 Oct. ’55 8th Dist. Total* . + 12 % + 3% + 1% + 4% _ 2 + 6 St. Louis Area . . + 12 4- 2 — 9 4-4 Louisville Area . + « + 8* 'k — 28 Memphis Area . . — 4 + 14 + 17 Little Rock Area + 16 4-7 Springfield Area. ■+ 8 + 9 + 4 4- 5 * Not shown separately due to insufficient coverage, but included in Eighth District totals. 1 In addition to the following cities, shown separately in the table, the tot;T includes stores in Blytheville, Fort Smith, Pine Bluff, Arkansas; Owensboro, Kentucky; Greenwood, Mississippi; Evansville, Indiana; and Cape Girardeau, Missouri. Note: Figures shown are preliminary and subject to revision. PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION OF FURNITURE SALES Cash Sales Credit Sales . Total Sales October '56 15% 85 100 Sept. ’56 14% 86 100'; Oct. ’55 14% 86 100 %