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Federal Reserve Banl~ of Dallas Thi s summary ot agricultural and commercial conditions In th e E le v enth F ederal Reserve District Is Iss u ed In the b ell e t that a concis e revi ew ot tra d e will be of Int er est to our m ember banks. bu s in ess m en ot th e district a nd fri e nds of the F ed eral Rese rv e Syst em . The Information g ive n Is obtain ed by th e Federal R es erve Ag e n t fr om va rious sources throughout th e district, and in our op inion t h e sa me is r e liable. T hose d es iring the lette r furni s hed th em r egularly wlU r ec eive It without charge upon application. DALLAS, OCTOBER, 1919. 'l'he rece nt g ulf sto rm w hich wro ugh t deat h and destru cti on to th e Co rpu s Christi sectio n has ba dl y d:el11 oraliz ed b usin ess th ere. It is im pos~ i b le to estl~1a t e t he property dam age, b ut it 'w ill run in to mtlli o ns of doll ars. Crops have bee n destroyed and th e si t uat ion ge nerally is extremely bad . R eavy ra ins have falkn oyer a g reat er pa rt of th e di strict w it hin th e pas t week and w hil e of mu ch benefit to t he ra nge, have bad ly damagcd g ro win gcrops . R enewed act iviti es a re not ed in m any lin es as th e SUmmer pa ses and the fa ll sea on opens. As ide: fr om thi s increase in bu sin ess in cid ent to th e season al tra ns it ion th ere h ave bee n no out standin g f~atures in th e comm ercial situ ati on in ce o ur preVIOUS let te r. 'l'h e liqui dat io n fr om th e move m ent o f cotton ha s co ntributed t o easier finan cial co nd it io ns and w e may ·expect eve n more s ub stantial improvem ent as th e fall mont hs adv a nce. \~~il c a n at mosph ere o f co nservat is m is rath er n.ottceablc in bu sin ess, on acco un t of th e un ce rtaintl e~ o f th e fut ure ca used by th e labor sit uation, agit~ tton over t he " hi g h cos t of li vin g" a nd o th er dI sturbin g in flu ences, bas ic co nditi ons are so und , and at prese nt th ere is noth ing t o warrant any alar m over th e future. It is imp oss ibl e at thi s tim e to g ive a ny definit e or re liabl e statem ent w it h AGRICULTURE referenc e to the prese nt cot to n crop . II~ general, it is not likely t hat the crop in T exa s WhJ!1 ~u ch ex ceed that o f last yea r, and it poss ible t at It may fall- sli ghtl y below las t yea r's crop. ~owever, with idea l conditi ons, fair w ea th er and a ,pe frost , it is possible, thou g h not likely, that exas might make 3,000,000 to 3,250,000 bales o f Cotton. A report issued under Government autho rity esti mated t he Texas cotton crop at a conditio n of 61% of norm al on August 25th. Undoubted ly, in m any sec ti ons t here has been a heavy Joss and det eri orat ion s in ce that time, though in the \ Ves tern and No rt hwestern parts of th e state there has no t bee n any co nside rable deterioration, whi le over g rea t a reas of the state, the crop has done very w ell. Th e damage by insects has been very heavy, especiall y in co unties of Central, outh and So utheast T exas. U nd oubtedly, the crop all over South T exas is goin g to be vcry short. There has, t oo, in r ece nt weeks been great loss in the b lack waxy belt of No rt h 'rexa ', due to the boll-weevil an d a rm y wo rm. 'l'he crop is everywhere late, and th ere is co nside rab le shortage of labor , and w here obtaina bl e, p ri ces be ing pa id are abno r mall y hi g h. 'fh e crop is ve ry spotted, and the ulti mate res ul t will depend very m uch u pon seasonal conditions from this t im e on. 'liVe ha ye made the heaviest a nd best co rn crop e\fcr ra ised in t he state, and for the firs t ti me w it hin reco llectio n the price of corn on the exchange il1 Chi cago has been seriously affected by the heavy rece ip ts of co rn from Texas. The g rai n crop was also large beyond p receden t, tho ug h, d ue to heavy rains and the sho rtage orlabor, a considerab le port ion of th e wheat w as damaged , a sma ll portion of it being entirely dest royed. The crop of other grains was good, whi le t he hay a nd forage crop pretty well over t he state is th, best in rece nt years. 'rhe r ice crop is late and has suffered fru m untavora bl e weat her co nditions. T he acreage in Texas and Loui sia na is heav ier than it was last seaso n a nd the present co ndition of the cro p, accorrtin g t o government es timat es, is a bove norm a l. Last y'ear wh en prices were controlled by th e gove rnm ent th e This publication was digitized and made available by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas' Historical Library (FedHistory@dal.frb.org) average paid for rough rice was $7.25 per barrel, whereas, the same prQduction is selling for $10.50 per barrel. These high prices were brought about by th·e heavy inquiry for export during the latter part of last season. It is predicted that prices will continue higher than those paid last year for both rough and clean rice, due to the high price of the foreign product. The demand for funds continues very heavy. Deposits are also gradually increasing, as BANKING shown by the reports of condition rendered on the call of September 12th. This is attributable to the marketing of the season's crops and the distribution of funds from the oil industry. With the continued advance in prices and the necessity for more capital for operating, member banks necessarily are forced to increase their regular lines to customers, and are at the same tim'e enjoying increased deposits. The heavy deposits indicated by the reports of September 12th, reflect the general prosperous conditions obtaining in this district. The eff'e ct of the drought, however, and the slow liquidation of cattle paper, are still reflected by the condition of banks in the West and Southwest sections, and many of them are in rather a badly ext~nded condition. ~urther liquidation of war obligatIOns seems essential before the financial situation in t.hi s district can return to anything like a normal baSIS. The various offerings of Treasury certificates have been largely over-subscribed in this district, and the member banks continue to respond liberally to the government's requirements. ~karing at the principal cities in August show all I\1crease of 31.1 % over the same month of 19] 8. Detailed figures were: ]9]8 12,972,847 5,434.897 79.728.613 20.894.249 49.701.921 21.644.708 79.257.595 8.992.641 12.985.002 ]919 $ 5.903.971 5.500.000 117.523.111 2.3.843.875 75.982,596 42.54.3.100 88,560,701 12.775.278 9.810,000 TotaL ............. $291.612.473 . $382.442.632 Austin ..........................$ Beaumont Dallas ........ :::::::::::::::::: EI Paso ........................ Fort Worth ........ .. ...... Galveston .................. H ollston .................... Sh reveport ................ Waco .......................... Inc. or Dec. -54.5 1.1 47.4 14.1 52.9 96.5 11.7 42.0 -24.4 31.1 -Decrease .~ C?~11.panson of the principal items of ass'e ts an,d itabllities on the books of member banks in the reserve cities, and Shre\-eport, on the dates shown below, proy'e s interesting: Number of member banks .................... 43 41 43 (000 omitted) . . July II Aug', 8 Sept. 12 U. S. Bonds to secure clrculatlOn .... $18.723 $18727 $18923 Other U. S, Bonds. including ,. U Lib~rty Bonds .............................. 17.513 18.418 20320 . S. V Ict?ry Notes............ .................. 4.231 4.289 5:203 U. S, CertIficates of Indebtedness .... 23.600 31.8.35 36.146 Total U. S. Securities ........................ $64.067 $73.269 $80.592 Loans secured by U. S. Bond s. etc..... 6.901 All other loans and investm en ts ...... 179.339 Reserve balances with F. R. Bank .... 21.395 Cash in vault... ......................................... 10.582 Net demand deposits .......................... 179.818 Time deposits ........................................ 30.772 Government deposits .......................... 6.015 6.984 188.041 21.630 10.299 191,134 30.431 14.554 7.779 163.636 21.396 10.506 192,565 30.660 24.766 Building permits, issued at the principal cities in August, as shown by the table below, BUILDING continue td reflect an improvement in construction activities; on every hand, but more especially in the larger cities of the dist~ict, much building is'. under way and yet, at the fisk of repetition, the situation is far from normal. The situaton is unfavorably affected by transportation, and inability of dealers to secure sllfficien~ material to take care of the demand; for thi:.; reason the outlook is uncertain and yet the consensus of opinion is that the industry is due for a general revival and present activity is only a forerunner of what the future holds: 1918 No. Valuation. Austin ........................ 5 $ 4.645 BeaulTIon t ................ 75 99,836 Dallas ............ ...... :..... 49 248730 EI Paso .................... 67 39: 135 Fort W orth ............ 83 206.480 Galveston ............ 376 16.036 Houston .... ............. .221 278.496 Shreveport .......... .... 63 34.450 TotaL ................. 939 $927.808 No, 19 88 174 73 211 485 405 137 1919 Inc. or Valuation. Dec. 251.2 $ 16.317 -22,9 76.913 876,1 2.427.865 86,1 72.866 3.414.190 1.553.5 263.9 58.370 744.689 167.3 825.9 318.980 1.592 $7.130.190 668.4 -D ecrease The volume of exports through the Galveston clistrict is steadily increasing. Present EXPORTS space is adequate and, in fact on account of the late cotton movement facilities exce-ed the demand. As the result. stea111~ ers are in port ~dle waiting for cotton previously booked, to be deilvered, and it is estimated that this condition will prevail for the next two ·weeks. ~fter that time, as the crop matures throughout 1 exas and Oklahoma, by October] st it will be handIed in large volume. ' The supply o~ wheat for export, to British and ~rench por~s ;s larger than the tonnage so far prov~ded,. but It IS 'expecte~ ample space will be provld~d In .the n'e ar future, and, as the embargo against gral.n ~hlpment~ ~o Galveston has recently been lifted, It IS not antiCIpated that the export grain movement will be further interrupted. Exports in~o Mexico are heavy, and were it 110t for transportatIOn problems, would be at record volume . Reports from Laredo are that the Mexican GovernIll:nt is unable ~o furnish necessary facilities, and shipments a l\~ bell1g made by privately owned roads. 'fhe peco rd of busin ess susp(,l1sion s in the district for August continues to make a FAILURES very favorable showing, as compared with the same month to f 1918. The number of failure s, and liabiliti es, as report-cd to Dun's Revi ew were: No. 46 19 18 1919 Liabilities N o. Liahi ~ ities $298,340 30 $249,603 Decrea se in numb er- 16 Decrease in liabiliti es-$48,737 Range co nditi ons have been greatly im proved by the heavy and general rains of the LIVESTOCK past ten days. Up to that time practically all of the range country was need ing moi sture, but more especially the Pecos Valley. The recent rain s insure a good supply of water and pasturage for the ea rly winter months. SI~ip111ents during the past month have been only faIrly heavy and prices for several classes have shown a decline. The prices of feed are also lower , and on the whole the outlook for the fall and winter in th e li vestock industry is favorable. Comparative receipts at Fort \ North from September 1st to 18th and for the period January 1, to <:' 0ep temb er 18, 1919, were as }ollows : Receipts from January 1st: C . 1919 C~~~lccs ...................................... $7 12,15 1 Ho .................................... 158,162 She~s) ................................ ........ 4~9 , 720 11 I ......... ............................ .L1,007 orscs and mul es ................ 32,184 1918 $967,902 182.842 533,267 265.690 45,507 "'Ga in Receipts for Sep tcmb er (1st to 18th) : 1919 1918 g~~~~es ............ .......................... $ 44,559 $ 96,0 II Ho ................ .................... 25,959 30,719 She~s ........................................ 13,175 26,P.96 H p ...................................... 15,016 15,471 orses and mul es................ 3,859 7,895 Loss $255,751 26,680 43,547 *55,317 13,323 Loss $ 51,542 4,756 13,72 1 455 4,036 1' here ha s been but sli g ht change in th e lumber situation in th e past thirty days; prices LUMBER continue to advance, with heavy demand and so mew hat improved labor co.nditions. Some mill s advise that they look for P:lces to be stabilized at present levels; others ad~r ISC that the situation, as to labor and transportation IS s~ lIncertain that the pri ces will hardly decline anytlmc soon. rn. manufacturin g lines the. Volul~l e of orders is al.ger than a year ago, WIth eV Id ence of lower Prt ces for raw material and inadequate labor supply. ~\h e demand for hi g her priced products continues f eavy and the labor situati on is still very unsatis- actory. Manufacturers are confronted with a labor ~calc twice as high as a year ago, which they report ~~ really creat,ing ~ore .di ssat.isfacti01? and idleness lan any prevIOus tIme In their expenence. The development in the oil fields of Burkburnett and Ranger continues to increase and new OIL wells are being brought in from time to time. As t he result the production is in excess of th~ pipe line capacity and this has caused a decline in pri ces. Prices offered by t he smaller companies have ranged from $1.25 to $1.75 per barrel and those offered by the larger companies, around $2.25 pe r barrel. Production in the Burkburnett field is conservatively estimated at 150,000 barrels per day, of which it is estimated about 95,000 barrels per day is being marketed. The scarcity of material, such as pipe casing and ot her machinery necessary in the production has a tendency to slow up the development. The labor situation is ampl·e, to a g reat extent at· tributab le to the fact that drilling operations have fallen off in the last thirty days. ]{ etail trade, g ive n an impet us by cooler weather a nd the opening of schools, RETAIL TRADE continues to be very satisfactory and the outlook for fall and winter is quite encouraging. The volume of cash sales shows an increase and there is a heavy demand for hi gh priced m-crchandise. Dealers report that never in their experience have th ey seen the public mo r'e anxious to obtain the bett~r grade of merchandi se. The question of price is secondary. Among t he principal lin es th e summary of report s is as follows: Drugs: Volume very heavy ; cash sales increasing; hi g her priced articles in increasing demand; collecti ons good. Dry Goods: Measured in dollars the volume is ahead of last year, cash sales heavy and an increasing demand for hi g her priced goods; coll ections goo d. Furniture: Volume of business satisfactory, good dcmand for hi g her priced articles; outlook for fall very good. Dealers handi cap ped on account of inab ility to sec ure satisfactory stocks. G~oceries: Volume heavy, an increase expected WIth ea rly fall months. Some dealers report business affected .by agitation ov~r "high cost of living" and expectatIOn of lower pnces; colJ.ections g00d. Hardware: The volume heavy, cash sales fairly heH"y, demand for better g rade of material increasing; outlook for fall very sati sfactory. Men's Clothing: Volume heavy' cash sales heavy' quality is first consideration. ' , ~omen's Clothing: Volum e very heavy; increase cash sales and an increasing demand for higher priced merchandi se. 111 Th e volume of wholesale trade being transacted is very heavy, with an increase in WHOLESALE cash sales, good collections and, TRADE for the most part, an increasing demand for higher priced goods. Among the more important lines, replies from correspo nd ents indicate the following: Automobile Supplies: Heavy volume, prices receding som ew hat ; with collections normal. Drugs: . Heavy volume, increasing cash sales and an increasing demand for high priced g oods. Dry Goods: Heavy volume, advancing prices, good colle-ctions and increasing demand for hi g h priced merchandise. Furniture: Heavy demand, trend of prices upward, good collections and increasing call for high priced goods. Inability to secure ship ments from factories is a ffectin g trade. Groceries: Heavy volume, trend of prices slightly downward, collections g'ood and an increasing dema nd for high er priced goods. Outlook for fall very favorabl e. Hardware: Volume fair to heavy, slight tendency toward increasi ng prices, collections fair to good a nd a growing d emand for higher priced merchan di se. Outlook for fall favorabl·e. STATEMENT OF CONDITION OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF DALLAS A.t the close of Business SEPTEMBER 26, 1919 RESOURCES Gold Gold Gold Gold Gold coin and certificates in vault ..................................................................................................................................... . $ 6,878,885.00 5,210,253.77 settlemen t fund ............................................................................................................................................................. . 4,114,950.00 redemption fund .. :............................................................. ........................................................................................... . 2,063,667.98 held with for eign agencies .................................................. .................................................................................... .. with Agent for retirement of F. R. Notes ........................................................................................................ .. 16,831,245.00 Total ................................................................................................................................................ _................................... $35,099,001.75 Legal tender notes, silver, etc............................................................................................................................................. 1,826,600.30 Other cash and cash items........ ........................................................................................................................................... 3,115,774.64 Total ._.................................................................................................................................................................................. $40,041,376.69 5% redemption fund-F. R. Bank N otes.......................................................................................................................... 253,200.00 Bills discounted-members .................................................................................................................................................. 55,701,719.99 Bills bought in open market....... ......................................................................................................................................... 507,160.00 Total Bills on Hand ........................................................................................................................................,............... $56,208,879.99 Investments- U. S. Bonds.................................................................................................................................................. 3,966,000.00 U. S. Certificates of inclebtedness...................................................................................................................................... 7,200,000.00 Total earning assets ..................................................................................................................................................... . $67,374,879.99 5,805,238.61 Federal Reserve Banks-Transfers Bought -(n et) ................................................................................................ .. Checks and drafts in process of collection .................................................................................................................... .. 16,601,792.74 2,503,276.1 6 Due from other F. R. Banks ............................................................................................................................................ .. All other resources ................................................................................................................................................................. . 921,926.90 Total Resources ............................................................................................................................................................ $133,501,691.09 LIABILITIES Capital paid in ................................ ........................................................................................................................................ . $ 3,320,900.00 2,028,868.33 Surplus _................................................................................................................................................................................... .. 2,532,688.74 Government deposits ........................................................................................................................................................... . Due to member banks' reserve account.. .......................................................................................................................... .. 44,160,287.73 Deferred credits, account checks and drafts in process of collection .......................................................... _...... .. 17,262,365.87 9,097,500.00 .. 51,992,260.00 Foreign Government credi ts ............................................................................................................................................ .. 1,958,945.46 All otller liabilities ................ ................................................................................................................................................ .. 1,147,874.96 f.~d~~a?R~~e~v~tNo~~~i~e~i~7ul~·i;~ ~~.I.~~~::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::.::::::::::::::::::::::: Total Liabilities ............................................................................................................................................................ $133,501,691 .09 Redi scounts with other Federal Reserve Banks.......................................................................................................... 18,000,000.00 OFFICERS W. F . RAMSEY, R. L. VAN ZANDT, Federal Reserve Agent. Governor. LYNN P. TALLEY, Deputy Governor-Cashier. r.:: HARLES C. HALL, PAUL G. TAYLOR, R. BUCKNER COLEMAN . .~sst. Federal Reserve Agent. Assistant Cashier. Assistant Cashier. FRED HARRIS, DWIGHT P. REO ROAN, Assistant Cashier. Assistant Cashier.