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MONG£HLG)( RBVIBW FEDERAL Vol. 41, No.3 RES E R V E BANK o F DALLAS, TEXAS DALLAS March 1, 1956 SOUTHWESTERN BANKING IN 1955 Banking developments in 1955 reflected, in a large measure, the rapidly shifting economic situation and the application of monetary and credit policy which seemed appropriate to the changing economic conditions and prospects. To afford a better understanding of the atmosphere in which banks oper· ated and to indicate the reason for the major changes in banking activity and in monetary and credit policy, there is presented a brief review of economic developments during the year. At the beginning of 1955, the economy had already made a substantial recovery from the recession low reached about mid·1954, and the general pattern of economic recovery was becoming more clearly defined. The gross national product, whkh declined to a low of $357,600,000,000 in the second quarter of 1954, had recovered to $367,100,000,000 in the fourth quarter. This increase had been sparked by the con· tinued sharp gains in personal consumption expenditures and the high and rising level of construction activity, especially residential. Another important expansive development was the virtual cessation of inventory liquidation by the end of 1954. Federal defense outlays declined further, but at a much lesser rate than earlier. Reflecting strength in the demand for and output of automobiles, other consumer durable goods, and building and other industrial materials, the adjusted index of industrial production had advanced from 123 at midyear to 130 in December 1954, with the index of durable goods production up 11 points compared with 4 points in nondurable goods. However, early in 1955, there was still some apprehension concerning the soundness of the recovery movement, since manufacturing employment had shown only a very modest improvement and unemployment continued in relatively large volume. These doubts disappeared in subsequent months, as the several measures of economic activity reached and passed the previous peaks. The gross national product, which sur· passed the previous record early in 1955, continued to rise during the first and second quarters at about the same rate as in the final quarter of 1954. Early in the year, the economic picture was still dominated by rapid gains in consumer durables - notably automobiles - and steel and building materials production; subsequently, the marked improve. ment spread to most other industries. The March index of nondurable goods production broke into new high ground and continued upward until midyear, with some industries nearing capacity operation. While the index of durable goods production pushed up steadily in the first half of the year, with such segments as automobiles and steel bumping the capacity ceiling, the 1953 peak was not duplicated, largely because the expansion in the output of producers' equipment was slow in getting under way and in part because of the sharp reduction in defense production. Nevertheless, total industrial production, which had passed the previous peak in May, surged upward to a record level. At the beginning of the second half of 1955, it was realized that the economy was operating in a difficult area. By this time, industry in general, with its accelerating activity, was increasing its manpower requirements, and many industries which were operating close to capacity found that additional production could be obtained only by extending the work· week or by putting on additional shifts. Moreover, it had become more difficult to expand employment because the labor force was being utilized rather fully, necessitating drawing upon less experienced or less efficient workers. Around midyear, the major automobile and steel companies made substantial upward adjustments in wages, which soon spread to a wide range of other industries. The pressure upon productive facilities was becoming more intense because of strong consumer demand, supported by rapidly expanding personal incomes and the increasing use of consumer credit, combined with rising expenditures for plant and equipment. Business inventories were also expanding, but the strong pressure upon supplies had held the rate of growth below that of sales so that the ratio of inventories to sales was still declining. Moreover, the shortage of materials, especially metals and certain building items, was becoming more acute. In the atmosphere of a very favorable economic situation and a strong tone of confidence on the part of businessmen and consumers, economic activity continued the upward push into new high ground. Hence, by the end of the third quar· ter of 1955, nearly all segments had risen to record levels, and the economy as a whole was operating at virtual capacity. This publication was digitized and made available by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas' Historical Library (FedHistory@dal.frb.org) MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 34 These third-quarter economic developments - combined with rising costs of material, manpower shortages, and intensified demands - had placed a strain upon the price structure, and industrial prices were showing sizable increases_ In the fourth quarter, the rate of gain in economic activity began to taper off, reflecting capacity operations in many segments combined with some slowing down in others_ By the end of the quarter, it was apparent that some contraction, particularly in residential construction and in automobiles and related industries, was under way_ Business and consumer confidence, while still strong, had sobered considerably from that prevailing during the third quarter_ Consumer spending had leveled out, but the gap had been filled by the continued upwa~d trend in plant and equipment expenditures, higher government expenditures, and the accelerated rate of inventory accumulati on_ Hence, the year ended with the economy operating at near-capacity levels, with a strong demand for goods, and with an atmosphere of confidence tinged with a note of soberness. The level of economic activity in the fourth quarter and the growth during the year may be observed from the data on the major indicators presented in the accompanying table. MAJOR ECONOMIC INDICATORS Uniled States (Dollar omounll In billions) on loans for purchasing and carrying listed securities were raised 10 perccntage points in each instance, bringing the total to 70 percent of the market value of securities_ This action was taken in view of the increasing amount of credit being used in the securities market, which was tending to support speculative activity_ During the first 2 months of the year, approximately $1,300,000,000 of Government securities was sold in the open market or redeemed at maturity as a means of absorbing the reserves made available by the seasonal return flow of currency from circulation and the reduction in required reserves associated with the seasonal decline in deposits. In April, when the economy was shifting from the recovery stage to that of expansion, discount rates at Federal Reserve banks were raised from 1:1;2 percent to 13,4 percent to bring them in closer alignment with open market money rates and to make borrowing by individual banks more expensive. After midyear, when the economy was nudging capacity limits and inflationary pressures were mounting in an atmosphere of strong and expanding confidence, policy actions were directed toward placing greater restraint on bank credit expansion. During the last half of the year, net purchases of Government securities - including both open market operations and repurchase agreements - exceeded $1,000,000,000 but were sufficient to meet only a part of the reserve needs associated with seasonal factors. This action, which was taken with a view to providing for seasonal needs but limiting undue expansion of bank credit, made it necessary for the banking system to meet its needs in part by increasing indebtedness. IndIcator Gross national product • •.......•.•.....•.••••. Personal income •• ••••••.••••••••••••••••••••• Penonal consumption expenditures •••.... • . ••••.• Construction ••••••• •••• ••••••• ••• ••••••••• •• • Plant and equipment expenditures ••••••••••••••• Industrial production ••..............•.•••..... ISeQsonally adjusted, 1947-49 _ 100) $397_3 $312_1 $257_2 $ 42.1 $ 30.86. 143 $367.1 $290.8 $241.0 $ 39.2 $ 26.18 128 a-E5Umot. based on anticipated capital expenditures as reported by business in late October and November 1955. SOURCES; United Stotes Depar,menl of Commerce. Board of Governon of the Federal Reserv" System. The agricultural segment of the economy did not share i n the rising tide of prosperity in the economy as a whole. Although production was close to a peak level, farm income declined further, reflecting the continued downward trend of prices and the higher costs of operation. Monetary and credit policy during 1955 was formulated in the light of evolving economic developments_ For the year as a whole, the policy was shifted from the maintenance of ease in the money market to the restraint of inflationary developments. The shifts during the course of the year were gradual, and, in general, actions sought to keep the growth of bank credit consistent with the sustainable growth requirements of the economy. In effectuating monetary and credit policy, the Federal Reserve System utilized open market operations, changes in discount rates, and changes in margin requirements on loans for purchasing and carrying listed securities. On the whole, policy actions during the first half of the year were moderate and were designed to exercise mild restraint. In January and again in April, margin requirements In August and September, and again in November, discount rates of Federal Reserve banks were raised from 13,4 percent to 2Y2 percent in three stages (two stages at the Cleveland bank) of % percent each. Reflecting the effects of a rapidly expanding economy, the strong demand for bank credit, and the monetary and credit policies, short-term interest rates advanced substantially in 1955. During the first half of the year, when monetary and credit policy exerted only mild restraint and when the banking system, on balance, usually had some free reserves (excess reserves less borrowings from the Federal Reserve banks) , short-term money rates were pushing upward, though at a moderate rate. The Treasury bill rate had shown a net rise of less than one-half of 1 percent. The 4- to 6-month commercial paper rate was up about three-fourths of 1 percent, and the prime lending rate of commercial banks remained unchanged. Late in July, however, the over-all reserve positions of member banks sWfted from a moderate volume of free reserves to a substantial volume of net borrowed reserves (borrowings from Federal Reserve banks less excess reserves). This shift, which reflected primarily a substantial increase in member bank borrowings from the Federal Reserve banks, occurred despite the deterrent effect of the higher discount rates on borrowing by individual banks. As the money markets tightened and as banks borrowed increasing amounts of reserves to meet that portion of the strong demand for credit which seemed most appropriate, the rise in short-term rates was accelerated. Commercial banks raised their prime lending rate, in two steps, MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW from 3 percent to 31f2 percent; the Treasury bill rate advanced substantially and remained in close proximity to the discount rate; and the 4- to 6-monlh commercial paper rale rose 1 percent to the 3-percent rate prevailing at the end of the year. At the close of 1955, most short-term rates were at the highest level in about 20 years. 35 DEPOSITS OF MEMBER BANKS Eleventh Federal Reserve District (In thousands of dollorsT CHANGE Oec. 31, 1955 over Economic developments in the Eleventh District in 1955 were essentially comparable with those in the United States, as discussed in the preceding paragraphs. The differences were largely a matter of degree, rather than direction. Hence, the commercial banks in this District operated in about the same economic climate as those in other sections of the country, experiencing the same stimulants and pressures. The total resources of the District member banks, which had expanded sharply in 1954, increased at a more moderate rate in 1955. At the end of the year, the total amounted to 510,252,000,000, representing a gain of $418,000,000 compared with an increase of $649,000,000 in 1954. In the latter year, the enlarged supply of reserves resulting from the easy moncy policy in effect enabled member banks to expand total loans and investments - which, in turn, largely accounted for the growth in total resonrces. In 1955 the expansion was more moderate because, in view of the policy of credit restraint, member banks had to supply their funds for lending partly through adjustments in their investment portfolios and partly through in creasing their indebtedness to the Federal Reserve bank. Member bank deposits also increased at a slower rate in 1955 than in 1954. The year-end deposit total of $9,489,000,000 reflected an expansion of 4 percent during the year, compared with 7 percent in 1954. The $348,000,000 gain in total deposits occurred almost wholly in demand deposits of individuals, partnerships, and corporations and in total time deposits. Each of these groups showed about the same dollar increase during the year, whereas in 1954, all classes of deposits except those of states and political subdivisions shared in the much larger dollar gain. Normally, the major DEPOSITS AND LOANS AND INVESTMENTS MEMBER BANI(S - ElEVENTH FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT 8 1LLiONS OF DOL LAR ILL IONS OF OOLL.lR S 0 10 1 9 rl9 / f ..... •'-.... TOTAL DEPOSITS 7 • •• 1953 I .. ,- - I V __ ('" I ,<' ... ' .. ,•. 1955 7 • TOTAL LiANS jNO INVESIME"IS 195 4 • '" Item D.c:, 31, 1955 Dec:. 31, 195-4- D.c . 31, 1954 DEMAND DEPOSITS ••...•... • •• ••• • $9,195,796 $9,001,767 $194,019 5,934.599 145,510 555.619 1,449,840 21,734 5,671.531 160.390 559,035 1,442.366 16.579 163.068 -14,890 -3,416 7,474 5,155 178,484 $1,303,042 $9,488,828 151.866 $1.138.926 $9,140,693 26,618 $164.116 $348,135 Indi'4'iduals, partnerships, and corporations •••••• •••• • ••••• • •• United Stotes Government . • . . ... .. States and political subdivisions ... .• Banks in the United States • ••• •• •• •• Banks in foreign counlries . . .. . . . .. . Certified and ofAcers' checks, cash leHers of credit and travelers' check~1 etc ••• •••• • ••••••••••• •• TIME DEPOSiTS ....... .. ..... .. .. .. TOTAL DEPOSITS ••••••...•.. classes of demand deposits show a substantial contraction during the first three quarters of the year - reflecting loan liquidation, tax payments, and the adverse balance of trade with other sections of the country - but increase rapidly during the final quarter in response to expanding loans to finance seasonal growth in trade and industry and the inflow of funds derived from the sale of farm commodities and other products moving into foreign and domestic trade. In 1955 the three-quarter contraction amounted to about 9 percent, but in the fourth quarter, there was a gain of 12 percent. On the other hand, time deposits evidenced a steady growth throughout the year at about the same rate as in the preceding year. In 1955, more than two-thirds of the gain in lime deposits was at reserve city banks, whereas in 1954 the gain was shared about equally by reserve city and country banks. The smaller relative gain at country banks in the more recent year may be associated in part with the decline in farm income, while the larger increase at reserve city banks partly reflected the rising personal incomes of the nonagricultural labor force. Coincident with the national trend, Eleventh District member banks experienced a significant growth in their loan portfolios, reflecling primarily the heavy demands for credit growing out of the rapidly expanding economy. In 1955 the net expansion of $486,000,000 brought gross loans to S3,999,000,000 at the year end. This total represents a gain of 14 percent during the year and is only moderately larger than the 12-percent gain registered in 1954. However, there were marked difierences between the 2 years in the composition of loan portfolios, as well as sizable variations in the gains between reserve city banks and country banks. The principal exception to the general expansion was loans to farmers, including paper guaranteed by the Commodity Credit Corporation. The volume of CCC paper was affected by Treasury policy in providing the CCC's need for funds to finance the growing volume of commodities under Government loan; the rise in market rates of interest which made the rate on certificates of interest less altractive; and the strong competition among borrowers for bank loans. As in 1954, holdings of CCC paper fluctuated widely during the year; however, at the year end, total holdings of $209,000,000 were MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 36 LOANS AND DISCOUNTS OF MEMBER BANKS Elevenlh Federal Reserve District (In thousands of dollorsJ CHANGE Item Dec. 31, 1955 Dec. 31, 1954 Dec. 31, 1955 over Dec. 31, 1954 Real~e5tate loons •••. .•.••.•••••••.. $ 394,470 1,123 $ 322,284 1,682 $ 72,186 _559 Commercial and induitriolloons. • ••••• loons to individuals •.. . . •• • . • ..••••. All other loans .•....•.• .•.......... 165,356 434,360 2,051,440 798,821 153,453 161,017 509,0.46 1,676,269 759,636 82,720 4,339 -74,686 375,171 39,185 70,733 LOANS AND DISCOUNTS (GROSS),. $3,999,023 $3,512,654 $486,369 Loans to bonks .• ..•.... •..• . .•••.•• loans for purchasing Dr carrying securities ..•. ...•... ... •....•. .. . loons to farmers ............. . . .•. • down nearly one·third from those a year earlier. At the end of 1954., the District member banks held a sizable volume of l o/s·percent certificates of interest issued in November of that year, in addition to the large volume of certificates of interest acquired in connection with the farmers' action in placing commodities (principally cotton) under the Government loan. During the early part of 1955, when the demand for reserves coincided with an upward trend in interest rates, the banks liquidated a large share of their CCC paper; and on August 1 the Treasury redeemed the outstanding 15jg·percent certificates of interest. By the end of the third quarter, the total volume of CCC paper held by member banks had declined to about $75,000,000. In the fourth quarter, the banks' hold· ings of CCC certificates of interest rose 8134,000,000, or only about 58 percent of the gain in the corresponding quarter of 1954. The country banks acquired a smaller volume of such paper, and the increase at reserve city banks was nominal. The smaller acquisition at a period when the supply of such paper was very large was due to the unattractive rate of interest relative to the rates available on other loans or invest· ments, the slow liquidation of other loans to farmers, and the strong demand for loans from other sources at the higher rates. Other loans to farmers, principally at country banks, rose steadily through the first three quarters of the year. The peak of loans was reached later in the year than usual because of the slow maturing and harvesting of crops in many sections of the District and the delays experienced in obtaining funds from commodities placed under the Government loan. Exper. ience in collecting farm loans varied considerably over the District, reflecting largely the effect of agricultural develop. ments. In some areas where better than average crops were harvested, collections were exceptionally good, and much paper charged off during preceding years of poor crops was liquidated. In other areas where crop production was ad· versely affected by weather conditions, the volume of carryover loans was larger than usual. While liquidations in the fourth quarter were larger than in the corresponding period of 1954, the year·end total of outstanding loans was nearly $20,000,000 larger than a year earlier. However, total loans to farmers, including CCC paper, were down ahout $75,000,000. Real·estate loans showed a steady upward trend throughout the year at both reserve city banks and country banks, and the rate of increase was higher than in 1954. While all categories of real-estate loans increased, the largest percentage gains were in loans on residential properties, reflecting the exceptionally large volume of residential building during the year. The substantial increases in loans insured or guaranteed by the Federal Housing Administration and Veterans' Admin· istration compare with the relatively small gains in such loans during 1954. Other loans to individuals (largely consumer) increased at an accelerated rate during 1955, but apparently the credit extensions were on a selective basis. The increases in con· sumer loans occurred chiefly in holdings of retail antomobile instalment loans and in cash instalment loans. These increases reflected the heavy demand for and sales of automobiles and other consumer durable goods, combined with the easing of terms on automobile paper. During the course of the year, as the pressure to sell automobiles was intensified, down payments were rednced largely through the overvaluation of trade-in allowances on used cars; moreover, the pay-out period was lengthened considerably. Hence, the reduction in monthly repayments on individual notes caused total repay. ments to fall further behind new extensions of credit. Other retail instalment paper and repair and modernization loans remained at fairly stable levels throughout 1954 and 1955, as extensions of new loans were in about the same volume as the monthly repayments. Single.payment loans to individuals, which increased substantially and consistently during the first three quarters of 1955, decreased about $94,000,000, or 27 percent, in the fourth quarter; and the year·end total of $257,000,000 was $34,000,000 lower than a year earlier. Available information indicates that much of tMs decrease was occasioned by a reclassification of loans in this category at tbe end of Lhe year, resulting in the transfer of a sizable volume of loans to the "a1l other" category. This factor also accounted for most of the reduction in the total of other loans to individuals (largely consnmer) that occurred in the final quarter of the year. In response to the credit requirements growing out of the business needs generated by a rapidly expanding economy, commercial and industrial loans showed a steady and sub· stantial growth during the year, greatly exceeding the rate of growth that occurred in the preceding year. The increase was general among all types of businesses and occurred at both reserve city banks and country banks. Moreover, the seasonal red uction which ordinarily occurs in the first half of the year failed to materialize in 1955, as new loans were made in sufficient volume to more Ihan offset the seasonal iiquidation. For the year as a whole, the gain in dollar volume was larger than in any other category of loans and constituted nearly four·fifths of the increase in total loans. While a detailed classification of commercial and industrial loans at all District banks is not compiled, the data obtained from the weekly reporting member banks - the loans of which constitute more than 60 percent of the District total - reveal some of the more important trends in loans to the various types of businesses. As firms expanded their activities in response to the stimulus afforded by a rising demand for MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 37 SELECTED COMMERCIAL AND INDUSTRIAL LOANS OF WEEKLY REPORTING MEMBER BANKS, 1955 AND 1954 Eleventh Federal Reserve District (last Wednesday of each month. In thousands of dollars) Manufacturers of petroleum and related products Month 1955 January .... ... .. . .. . $261,942 February .•••••.••••• 266,291 March •••••••••••••• 270,452 April ••• o 268,866 May .. . ............ 266,905 June ••••••••••••••• 263,829 July ................ 263,770 271,218 August • ••••••••••••• September •••••••••• 276,229 October . • •••••••••• 275,096 November ••• • ••••••• 274,193 December .•.•••••••. 273,802 .0 •• 0 • • 0 • • • 1954 $253,488 256,4 12 256,128 246,827 244,865 250,438 243,696 248,083 250,047 249,844 254,241 261,130 Other Trade manufacturers establishments 1955 $113,930 1 12,304 120,381 119,787 123,168 123,790 126,154 125,373 122,396 135,649 131,864 125,525 1954 $120,451 117,053 119,628 110,756 106,412 107,655 109,434 110,578 115,934 119,283 118,932 115,734 goods, they came to rely more heavily upon bank credit to assist in financing their operations. Within the partial list of commercial and industrial classifications in the accompanying table, trade establishments, construction firms, and sales finance companies increased their use of bank credit most rapidly. The expanded loans to sales finance companies resulted largely from developments in the automobile industry and trends in automobile financing, as already indicated. Currently, automobile paper held by finance companies in the United States, as estimated by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, is nearly 90 percent of their outstanding credits and constitutes about 56 percent of all automobile instalment credit outstanding. As automobile financing needs grew and the cost of borrowing in the open market increased, sales finance companies turned to banks for additional funds. The year's increase in borrowings of sales finance companies from the District's weekly reporting member banks amounted to about 38 percent, bringing the total outstanding to $154,155,000 on December 28, 1955. This increase contrasts with a decline in the first half of 1954, when sales finance companies turned to borrowing in the open market and paid off a portion of their bank loans. 1955 1954 $161,804 164,611 174,525 180,550 181,553 184,506 191,789 195,457 199,720 209,327 210,796 201,652 Sales finance Construction firms 1955 1954 1955 $150,906 151,880 158,437 160,922 163,390 164,151 158,399 160,519 165,748 170,092 169,855 164,531 companies $215,378 224,304 215,200 222,694 223,488 242,492 251,310 240,815 249,499 253,429 255,107 257,91 I 1954 $ 99,684 $113,873 114,902 119,576 121,717 127,244 131,757 137,366 138,048 140,547 137,296 138,008 154,155 $150,753 150,436 155,225 161,622 168,769 172,730 175,323 183,197 181,758 183,213 188,270 208,775 90,489 97,624 101,945 99,669 107,336 106,999 107,928 108,257 104,341 106,158 117,322 Trade establishments (wholesale and retail) also shared in the rising tide of consumer expenditures, which served as the largest single activating agent in creating last year's record volume of economic activity. Inventories and receivables of trade establishments rose substantially during the year; since they are the principal assets requiring bank financing, these firms also increased their borrowings. Total loans to trade establishments at the end of 1955 amounted to $202,000,000, reflecting a 22'percent gain for the year. The District member banks made extensive adjustments in their holdings of Government securities to release reserves for meeting the heavy loan demand. For that reason, the pattern of changes in their investment portfolios during 1955 differed markedly from that in 1954, when reserves were plentiful enough to permit the banks to meet the loan demand and to make substantial additions to holdings of United States Government securities. Hence, the increase of $216,000,000 in Government security holdings during 1954 contrasts rather sharply with the decline of $274,000,000 in 1955, of which LOANS AND INVESTMENTS MEMBER BANI<S-El.EVENTH FEOERAL. RESERVE DISTRICT , ILl." 0 NS 0 DO L LARS Loans to construction firms, largely for interim financing while buildings were being erected, also moved up sharply, coincident with the substantial rise in all types of construction work. The year-end total of loans to construction firms, which amounted to $258,000,000, was up about 23 percent from that at the end of 1954. Construction activity was a prominent feature of the expanding economic landscape during 1955, and construction firms generally resorted to bank funds to finance construction projects until a contract could be completed and accepted or the ultimate purchaser paid for the property. In this way, as well as through the financing of the ultimate purchasing, bank finance played an integral part in the larger volume of housing and other construction credit; in particular, the allocation of funds to builders played a significant role in the building industry. • 4 IL J_ J. "","" I I ---~IN VESTMENTS 4 V LOANS ~ 3__ , • ILLI ON S OF DOL L"!! I ---_ .- - 2 Ilc. 1953 '~. J~". 1954 '" Otc. '~. " .~ 1955 " ,:!. MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 38 81 percent was at reserve city banks. Even more significant was the marked shift in the composition of the investment portfolios during the 2 years. One of the chief characteristics was the large changes in holdings of Government securities from quarter to quarter, which indicated frequent and sub· stantial shifts in holdings among the various classes of securities. In 1954, when member banks added $408,000,000 to holdings of Treasury bonds, the major net changes included a decline of $257,000,000 in bonds maturing in less than 5 years and increases of $602,000,000 in bonds maturing in 5 to 10 years and $67,000,000 in bonds maturing in 10 to 20 years. On the other hand, the decline of $60,000,000 in holdings of Treasury bonds in 1955 reflected an increase of $127,000,000 in bonds maturing in less than 5 years, which was more than offset by a reduction in bonds maturing in 5 to 10 years. Holdings of Treasury bills also declined sharply in 1955, the net reduction for the year being $127,000,000. The de· crease would have been somewhat larger except for moderate additions to holdings of Tax Anticipation bills toward the end of the year. Nearly two-thirds of the decline occurred at reserve city banks; the year-end holdings of bills by such banks constituted only 26 percent of the total. Holdings of certificates of indebtedness showed a further sharp decline in 1955, with the year-end total of $87,000,000 reflecting a decrease of about 60 percent at both reserve city banks and country banks. This decline was occasioned, in part, by the Treasury refunding of maturing obligations into Treasury notes and other securities, but reserve city banks also made a moderate reduction in their holdings of Treasury notes. However, the net increase in holdings of Treasury notes by country banks raised the total at all banks by $48,000,000 during the year. Other investment holdings increased about $60,000,000, or 12 percent, during 1955, after increasing $54,157,000 in the preceding year. Despite the sizable liquidation in investments, member banks, particularly the reserve city banks, were pressed for EXCESS RESERVES MEMBER BANKS · ELEVENTH FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT MILLIONS Of' DaLLA"' 120 WILL IONS OF DOLLARS 120 40~------~ 1 9~04~------L-------~19~OO~----~40 reserves to meet the heavy loan demand. In the early part of the year, when the drain on deposits coincided with the continued expansion in loans, the banks utilized some of their excess reserves, and an increased number of banks resorted to borrowing from the Federal Reserve bank. The size of such borrowings was somewhat larger than in the preceding year. Borrowings after July were especially heavy, as the banks were trying to meet the greater than seasonal demand for loans in the face of the tight reserve situation. In fact, reserve city banks had sizable amounts of average net borrowed reserves during each of the remaining months of the year. While only a small number of banks borrowed from the Federal Reserve bank at anyone time, the number of borrowing banks and the average amount of borrowings increased as the year advanced and were much higher than in 1954. It should be noted that country banks as a group maintained a relatively large volume of excess reserves throughout the year, the monthly average ranging from a high of $63,000,000 in April to a low of $47,000,000 in October_ In fact, average excess reserves of country banks in this District were relatively high as compared with those in most other districts_ Nevertheless, there were a few country banks which turned to the Federal Reserve bank for loans to meet reserve deficiencies. The net increase in earning assets, which was weighted with high-yielding loans, and a rise in interest rates on principal classes of loans and investments combined to produce an increase of $31,880,000 in earnings from current operations compared with those in 1954. The principal gain of $24,053,000 was brought about by the rising volume of loans extended at higher interest rates. At the same time, the increase in current operating expenses absorbed about onehalf of the net gain in earnings from current operations. Despite the large gain of more than $16,000,000 in net earnings from current operations, net profits for the year showed a decline of $3,000,000. In this connection, it should be pointed out that in 1954, when security prices were at a high level, member banks realized profits from the sale or redemption of securities in the amount of Sl6,587,000, and other recoveries brought total recoveries and profits to $26,432,000. This amount was nearly sufficient to offset total losses and charge-offs during the year, permitting the banks to carryover to net profits before taxes all of their net earnings from current operations_ In 1955, a different situation developed_ Most issues of Treasury bouds were selling below par, and the downward trend in prices which began in the fall of 1954 was not reversed until August. Since most of the bonds which had been acquired in 1954 could be sold only at a loss, member banks generally retained most of their bonds and sought to obtain needed reserves, insofar as was possible, by disposing of short-term paper and securities _ Moreover, miscellaneous recoveries were down substantially from those in 1954, so that total recoveries an d profits of $8,990,000 in 1955 were only slightly more than one-third of those in the preceding yea r_ At the same tim e, total losses an d charge-offs of 529,136,000 were up 2,557,000 from the year before_ Conse- MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW EARNINGS AND EXPENSES OF MEMBER BANKS Eleventh Federal Reserve District (In thou$ands of dollars) NET CHANGE Item 19S5p Int erest and dividends on securities .. .. .. ..... . $ 65,625 Interest and discount on loons........... . . . ... 179,581 Service charges on deposit accounts............ 12,875 1954 $ 3,483 30,537 OPERATIONS.................. . ....... 288,61 a 256,738 31,880 Salaries and wages ........................ . 82,529 5,454 1,145 8,929 TOTAL EARNINGS FROM CURRENT Taxes other than net income •... . ..•... .. ..... 15,242 All other expenses ......................... . 76,046 77,075 14,097 67,117 24,053 914 3,430 TOTAL CURRENT OPERATING EXPENSES..... 173,817 158,289 15,528 NET EARNINGS FROM CURRENT OPERATIONS. 114,801 98,449 16,352 Totol recoveries, transfers from valuation reserves, and profits . ................. .. . . Totollo$ses and charge·ofh and tronsfen to valuation reserves ....................... . ProAts before income taxes ..... . .. . ......... . Taxes on net income .............. . . ... .... . 8,990 26,432 -1 7,442 29,136 94,655 39,390 26,579 98,302 40,038 2,557 -3,647 -648 55,265 58,264 -2,999 26,707 22,973 3,734 NET PROFITS ••. ... .............•... . .• Cash dividends declared l ... . .... . ......... . than that at reserve city banks, while the increase in losses and charge.offs was somewhat larger. After adjusting for income taxes, net profits in 1955 as compared with 1954 showed a decline of $1,675,000 at reserve city banks and of $1,324,000 at country banks. 1955 over 1954 $ 62,14' 155,528 11,961 27,107 All other earnings. ... . .......... ... ........ 39 rJ;;"~~~~~i~~7r~SI on capitol notes and debentures. quently, net deductions of $20,146,000 from net earnings from current operations reduced profits before income taxes to $94,655,000, or $3,647,000 below those in 1954. Experiences of reserve city and country banks showed some significant dilIerences in operating results in 1955 compared with 1954. At reserve city banks, where the reduc· tion in security holdings was more pronounced and occurred in those categories in which the rise in yields was larger, the increase in intcrest and dividends received from securities was relatively small, being only one· third of that registered at country banks. On the other hand, about 57 percent of the increase in earnings derived from interest and discounts on loans occurred at reserve city banks. This gain reflected the greater percentage increase in loans at reserve city banks, where the increase occurred chiefly in those categories where the higher rates were most quickly applied to customer paper. The increase in expenses at country banks in 1955 was larger than that at reserve city banks, primarily because of the much larger increase in salaries and wages. The decline in recoveries and profits at country banks was much smaller Dividends declared by member banks in 1955 amounted to $26,707,000, which exceeded the total for the preceding year by $3,734,,000. The higher dividends coincident with the lower net profits reduced the amount of net profits carried over to capital accounts to $28,558,000, representing a decline of $6,733,000 from the 1954 record total of $35,291,000. Nevertheless, total capital accounts rose $75,000,000 to a new peak of $681,000,000. The sale of new stock, which also was in record· breaking volume in 1955, was a widespread development among member banks in the District. This de· velopment was a reflection of the desire on the part of many banks to maintain the growth in capital accounts in line with the growth in deposits and to be in a better position to serve the needs of customers. With the rapid growth of the south· western economy and the increasing size of the bushless unit, the size of the line of credit needed by business concerns has tcnded to expand. In summary, it may be stated that banking developments in 1955 were characterized by a slower rate of growth in principal asset and liability items than in 1954; a substantial expansion in loans, both actually and in relation to deposits; a sharp decline in investments; a substantial increase in earnings from current operations but a moderate decline in net profits; and a record increase in capital accounts. As monetary and credit policy shifted from the maintenance of ease ill the money market to the restraint of inflationary developments, increasing pressure was placed upon the reserve positions of member banks. As a means of obtaining reserves to expand their loans, member banks liquidated a portion of their holdings of securities, particularly the shortterm issues, and resorted to heavier and more sustained borrowing from the Federal Reserve bank. In the process, there was a declinc in the liquidity of the banking system, as indicated by a rise in the ratio of loans to deposits and a decline in holdings of short· term investments. With these features highlighting the year, Eleventh District member banks, along with those in other sections of the country, experienced the gains - as well as the pressures - of bank· ing in prosperity. MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW REVIEW OF BUSINESS, AGRICULTURAL, AND FINANCIAL CONDITIONS Retail sal.e s at department stores in the Eleventh District in January continued above those of a year earlier, although unfavorable weather curtailed buying during the month. Consumer durable goods generally showed a better sales record than soft goods. End-of-month department store inventories in January were 77 percent above those on the same date last year; merchandise on order was up 3 percent. Sales at District furniture stores were 4 percent higher than a year ago. Moisture conditions in the eastern third of the District, except in parts of south Texas, are ample for planting and sprouting of spring crops. Agricultural prospects are improved as a result of precipitation during the past month, but more rain is needed. The number of all cattIe and calves on farms and ranches in the District states as of January 7, J 956, was larger than a year earlier. Declining stocks, except for gasoline, and the high level of demand continued to stimulate oil activity throughout the Nation . District crude oil production increased slightly, and refining activity made a substantial gain in early February. Moreover, the March oil allowables for Texas show only a negligible decline from the February level. Consequently, with an allowance for new wells, production in March is likely to advance further. Total nonagricultural employment in the District states during January, at 3,970,100, reRected only a normal seasonal decline and was at a record level for the month. Manufacturing employment decreased to 746,600, mainly as a result of the continued seasonal decline in food-processing activity. The value of construction contracts awarded in the District during January was up 23 percent from the p~evious month. Residential construction accounted for most of the increase, with a gain of nearly 34 percent, while ·'all other" awards were up 16 percent. Total loans of the District's weekly reporting member banks declined seasonally in the 4 weeks ended February 15, led by a 2.2-percent reduction in commercial, industrial, and agricultural loans. Total investments decreased $16,275,000, with the principal decrease in holdings of Treasury bills. Consnmer buying in the Eleventh Federal Reserve District during Jan. uary and the first half of February continued slightly above a year earlier, although sleet and snow over many parts of the area sharply curtailed buying for several days. The dollar volume of sales at department stores in Janu· ary was down seasonally from the heavy sales of December but was 2 percent larger than in the corresponding month last year. The adjusted index of department store sales during Janu· ary amounted to 144 percent of the 1947·49 average, or slightly below the level in December, and compares with 141 in January 1955. Sales of homefurnishings during January continued to make a better showing than the sales of soft goods items. The major household appliance department made the most out· standing showing, with sales 24 percent above those of a year earlier, while sales of domestic floor coverings and furniture and bedding were up 9 percent and 1 percent, respectively. However, sales of television sets continued to decline for the fourth consecutive month and in January were down 31 percent from a year ago. In the soft goods departments, sales of small wares led in percentage gains, with an increase of 5 percent from January 1955. Sales of women's and misses' ready.to.wear accessories were up 3 percent. On the other hand, sales of men's and boys' wear continued to show weakness and were down 5 percent from a year ago. RETAIL TRADE STATISTICS (Percentage change) Line of trade by area NET SALES STOCKSl Jan. 1956 from Jon. 1956 from Jan. Dec. 1955 1955 2 9 3 -56 n.o. -56 -57 -61 -54 -49 -55 -59 -59 4 19 -6 -18 4 -12 0 22 -1 2 16 -39 -3 -42 -40 -52 18 -43 -32 -6 -35 22 32 -29 -29 Jan. 1955 Dec. 1955 DEPARTMENT STORES Total Eleventh District............... Corpus Christi............... .. ..... Dallas... .. . • • .. . . . . . . . • . . .. . . ... • EI Paso. . . . • • . . . . • • . • • • • • . •• . . .• . • Fort Worth... • .. . . • • .• . . • . • . • . • . . • Houston. • . . • • • . . . . . . . • • •. . •• •. . • . San Antonio. . . • • • . . • . . . • . . . • • . . . • . Shreveport, la. . • • • • • . . • . .• . • • • . . • • Waco............ ••••• ••.• •. . •. .• Other cities . • . • . . . • . . • • • . • . • • . . . . • 0.0. -2 1 0 6 -2 6 17 n.o. 21 10 17 17 6 15 23 18 0 n.o, -3 -3 5 0 -5 I -2 9 FURNITURE STORES Tolal Sevenlh District............... Amarillo.. ... . ... . ••.•• ••.•. . •••• • Austin. • • • • •• • ••• • • •• •• • .•• • • ••. • • Dallas... • • • • • •• • • • . . • • . • . • . • • . • • • Houston. • • • . • .• . • • • . . . • . . . . . • . • . • lubbock.. ... . .............. .. .... San Antonio .. . ..• • ••••• •••• • . , . ... Shreveport. la.... .... ••••.• •••.... Wichita Fall!. • . . . . • • . • . . . . . . . . . . . . Other cities. • . . . . . • . . • . • . . . . . . . . . • HOUSEHOLD APPLIANCE STORES Tota l Eleventh District.... • •. . ....... Dallas....................... . . .. . I Stocks at end of month. n.c.-Not available. 8 18 17 -3 0 0 2 -I 6 5 7 10 -5 6 3 I MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW INDEXES OF DEPARTMENT STORE SALES AND STOCKS (1947-49 = Area SALES-Dail y averag_ Ele't'enth District • •.. . •. . .•. . Dallas ..........•........ . Houston ••••••••••••••••• • moisture for planting and sprouting of spring crops. Most counties in south Texas and in the southern Edwards Plateau area received little moisture, and rains are urgently needed_ 1001 UNADJUSTED ADJUSTED' Jan. Dec:. NaY, Jan. Jan. Dec. Nov. Jan. 1956 1955 195$ 1955 1956 1955 1955 1955 114 109 129 246r 236 268 155 152 175 l11r 1I1r 144 136 163 139 158 136 132 154 Ulr 122 165 122r 160p 158 149 137r 146r 138 154 STOCKS-End of month Eleventh District •. •....•..•• I 142p 142 41 Adjusted for seosonol voriation. r-Revised. p-Pr.liminary. InsLalment accounts outstanding at District department stores decreased 1 percent during January, which is somewhat less than other January decreases of recent years_ Compared with a year ago, month-end balances outstanding were up 15 percent. Instalment account collections in January amounted to 13 percent of first-of-month balances, the same as in both December and January 1955_ Charge accounts outstanding at the end of January were 20 percent lower than in the preceding month but were 4 percent above a year ago_ Collections during the month amounted to 45 percent of first-of-month balances, or 2 percentage points below December collections_ During January, department store inventories in the District remained virtually unchanged from the record year-end high of 1955 but at the end of the month were 17 percent higher than a year earlier. On January 31, orders outstanding were at a level 3 percent above the corresponding date in 1955 and were up 15 percent from the end of December. Sales at District furniture stores in January, although down seaso nally from December, were 4 percent over the yearearlier level. After a moderate increase in December, accounts receivable showed a small decline during January and at the end of the month were 13 percent higher than on the comparable date last year_ Collections during January were 4 percent larger than during December and were approximately 11 percent above those in January 1955. For the eleventh consecutive month, furniture stores reported that end-ofmonth inventories were higher than a year earlier; stocks in January were 8 percent more than in the same month a year ago. New car regi strations in the Dallas, Fort Worth, Houston, and San Antonio metropolitan areas in January, although slightly above those of a year earlier, were lower than in any other month since Fehruary 1955. Compared with December, new car registrations in thcse four areas during January were down 20 percent. Following the moisture received in late January, additional snow and rain during February substantially improved agricultural prospects in a major portion of the District. Precipitation falling east of a line between Fort Worth and Austin, Texas, and southeastward to the Gulf Coast provided ample Crop prospects in the High Plains areas of Texas and New Mexico - particularly south of the Canadian River - are improved as a result of light to heavy snows. However, moisture is needed north of the Canadian River, where the snowfall tapered off and drifted badly. Heavy snows were received in the Low Rolling Plains, but more precipitation is needed to replenish subsurface moisture supplies. As a result of the cold, damp weather, farm work in the District during the major part of February was limited primarily to caring for livestock and to activities in winter commercial vegetable areas, where soils were dry enough to cultivate. A substantial acreage of watermelons and cantaloupes has been planted in south Texas, and the onion crop is making satisfactory development. Prospects for late-winter and early spring grazing brightened as a result of the moisture. Pastures and small grains are providing feed in the eastern portion of the District, and wheat fields may provide late grazing in areas south of the Canadian River. Drought-stricken ranges in Arizona, New Mexico, and western Texas benefited from the precipitation, but forage remains poor in south Texas and the Edwards Plateau. Despite an increase in supplemental feeding during the first part of February, some shrinkage of livestock occurred. In the northwestern parts of the District, death losses as a result of the blizzard were light and were confined mostly to newborn calves. The United States Department of Agriculture indicates, as of February 1, that the 1956 Texas production of cauliflower, lettuce, and cabbage will be 25 percent, 32 percent, and 16 percent, respectively, above the 1955 output. The carrot crop is forecast at 3 percent below that in 1955, and estimated broccoli production is 8 percent smaller. LIVESTOCK ON FARMS AND RANCHES, JANUARY 1 Texa s, Five Southwestern States, and United Slates (In thousands} Five southwestern stoles l Texas Co ttl •• •.• •••••• Milk cottle ••.• B••f coul •. ..• Sheep ••••..••• • , ,Stock sheep • .• F•• ders •••••• Hogs •••.......• Goats •• •..••.• . Horses and mules. Total above species •..•• .. Chickens' .... ••• Turkeys •••••••• • Unlt.d States 1955 1956. 1955 1956p 1955 8,586 1,248 7,338 5,208 4,979 229 1,100 2;775 298 8,501 1,292 7,209 5.659 5,354 305 982 2,546 314 15,987 2,575 13,412 7,287 6,873 414 2,107 15,829 2,687 13,142 7;758 7,265 493 1,809 96,592 35,361 61,231 n.o. n.a, 657 707 97,465 34,877 62,588 31,109 27,009 4,100 55,088 n.o. 3,962 17,967 15,335 375 18,002 16,288 375 26,038 25,843 510 26,103 27,134 499 187,624 382,218 4,892 182,957 390;708 4,917 1956p I Arizona, Louisiano, New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Te xas. 2 DOllS not include commerc;ial braiters. p_Preliminary. n.a.-Not available. SOURCE: United States De partment of Agriculture. 31,582 27,137 -',445 50,474 n.a. 4,309 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 42 LIVESTOCK RECEIPTS FARM COMMODITY PRICES (Number) Top Prices Paid in local Southwest Markets FORT WORTH MARKET Janoory January December SAN ANTONIO MARKET January January Week ended Feb.2l, Decemb er Class 1956 1955 1955 1956 1955 1955 Commodily Clnd ma rket Unit Cattle .... •... . • 53,096 58,899 18,235 67,952 68,203 -'7.150 27,677 14,553 3,335 29,682 20,636 2,595 120,730 17, 135 13,409 2,953 18,401 conON, Middling 15 / 16· lnch, Dallas .•.. WHEAT, No.1 ha rd, Fort Worth • ........ OATS, No.2 white. Fori Worth . ........ . CORN , No.2 yellow, Fort Warth ........ . SORGHUMS, No.2 yellow, Fort Worth ... . HOGS, Choice, Fort Worth . ............ . SLAUGHTER STEERS, Choice, Fort Worth .. . SLAUGHTER CALVES, Choice, Fort Worth •. STOCKER STEERS, Choice, Fort Worth .... . BROILERS, south Texas ... ........... ... . lb. b" b,. b" cwf. (wi. (wi. cwt. (wt. Ib, Calves ........ . 15,290 Hogs ••••••• ••• • 87,551 74,243 Sheep ....... • . • 1 13,251 83,466 36,725 112,067 Include) goats. The number of all cattle and calves on farms and ranches in the United States increased 873,000 during 1955 to a total of 97,465,000 on January 1, 1956, according to the Depart. ment of Agriculture. The number of milk cows declined 1 percent and was the second lowest January 1 inventory since 1930; however, beef cow numbers increased to a new high of 25,758,000. The numbers of sheep, horses and mules, chick· ens, and turkeys were below those a year earlier, but hog numbers were 9 percent larger. The inventory of all cattle and calves in the District states on January 1, 1956, totaled 15,987,000, or 1 percent more than a year earlier. The number of milk cattle declined 4 percent during 1955 but was more than offset by an increase in beef cattle. During 1955, numbers of cattle and calves increased in all states of the District except Oklahoma. Stock sheep on January 1, continuing the downward trend of the past few years, were placed at 6,873,000, or 5 percent fewer than a year earlier. Hog numbers were 16 percent larger, and turkeys increased 2 percent. Declines were noted in the num· bers of horses and mules and farm chickens (excluding broilers) . In the referendum held January 27, growers in the District states approved marketing quotas for the 1956 rice crop. According to preliminary reports, 85 percent of the 5,975 rice farmers voting approved the quotas. The index of prices received by Texas farmers on January 15 was 246 percent of the 1910-14 average, or 1 point below that at mid·December. The all·crops index was 6 points below a month earlier; however, most of this decline was offset by higher prices for livestock products. In the Nation the index of prices received by farmers at mid·January was 3 points higher than a month earlier as a result of higher prices for meat animals and vegetables. CASH RECEIPTS FROM FARM MARKETINGS 1956 $ .3550 2.51 V1 .86JA 1.64'/1 2,25 12,50 19,00 19.50 1 9.00 ." Comparable Comparable week, week, previous previous month ye ar $ .3395 2.47 .87 1.60'/2 2.21 12.5 0 20.50 19.50 19.00 ,21 $ ,3370 2.74 1.00 1.80'/2 2.71 17.75 26.00 22 .00 23,00 .26 Cash receipts from farm marketings in the District states totaled $2,845,495,000 during the January·November period in 1955, or 5 percent below those during the same period in 1954, Receipts from livestock were 3 percent below those in the first 11 months of 1954, while those from crops were 7 percent smaller. Eleventh District weekly reporting member banks reduced their gross loans $30,431,000, or 1.2 percent, in the 4 weeks ended February 15; duro ing the comparable period in 1955, loans showed a contraseasonal rise of $19,736,000. The $35,· 154,000 decline in commercial, industrial, and agricultural loans was larger than the total reduction in loan accounts, as the remainder of the classifications, on balance, showed an increase. Interbank loans, consumer credits, and securities loans (other than to brokers) showed a net gain of $13,677, 000, which was partly offset by the nct repayments of real· estate and brokers' loans, As all of the Treasury securities accounts decreased in the 4 weeks, total investments declined $16,275,000. The principal change was recorded in Treasury bill holdings, which de· creased $12,444,000 to a level of 858,018,000 on February 15. In the corresponding weeks of 1955, holdings of Treasury bills diminished $63,098,000 to $60,400,000, or about the same level as on February 15, 1956. Holdings of certificates of indebtedness declined $6,093,000 in the 4 weeks and totaled 40,004,000 on February 15, compared with $31,615,000 on the corresponding date in 1955. The weekly reporting member banks reduced their portfolios of Treasury notes and bonds fractionally during the month but substantially more from the same time last year. Other securities advanced moderately during the 4 weeks but showed a modest $5,284,000 decrease from a year earlier. Five Southwestern Stales (In thousands of dollars) November January-November Area 1955 1954 1955 1954 Arizona ••• ••.....••... . Louisiana • ••..•......... New Mexico .• • •....•.... Oklahoma .••....•.•.••• Texas .••••............• $ 49,693 53.667 30,631 70,028 349,322 $ 64,656 37.651 56,235 297,111 $ 262,427 301,656 148,610 445,042 1,687,760 $ 313,259 321,692 165,826 514,150 1.677,334 TOlal ..•.•••.•••••..• . $553,331 $504,986 $2.845,495 $2,992,261 49,333 SOURCE: United Stales Deportment of Agriculture. Tbe 846,706,000 decline in earning assets in the 4 weeks represented a seasonal change. In 1955, notwithstanding an unseasonal increase in loans induced by the upward·moving economy, total loans and investments declined $35,111,000, as the banks reduced their investments more heavily. The weekly reporting banks drew down their cash accounts, principally correspondent balances and balances at the Federal Reserve. Total assets of the banks declined 897,267,000 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW CONDITION STATISTICS OF ALL MEMBER BANKS 43 CONDITION STATISTICS OF WEEKLY REPORTING MEMBER BANKS IN LEADING CITIES Eleventh Federal Reserve District Eleventh Federal Reserve District (In million. of dollars) (In thousands of dollar.) Item ASSETS loans ond discounts • •.• • •• • •••••••••• • ••.••••• United Slates Government obligation••••••••••••• Other securities .•.•... • • •••. • • ••••••••••••••• Jon. 25, 1956 Jan. 26, 1955 Dec. 28, 1955 Cosh in Youl,e .•.•••• • ••••••••• •• ••••••••• ••• Balances with bonks in the United Stale•••• •. ••• • • Balances with banks in foreign countri•••••••••••• Cosh ite ms In procen of colledion ••• •• ••• ••••••• Other assets" ••••••••••••••• • • ••••••••••••••• $3,930 2,357 567 963 141 1,003 3 446 198 $3,494 2,553 539 1,019 135 1,077 3 348 187 $3,929 2,400 568 945 164 1,107 2 420 196 Reseryes with Federal Reserve Sank •••••••••••••• Feb. 15, 1956 Item Feb. 16, 1955 Jan. 18, 1956 ASSETS Commercial, industrial, and agricultural loans ••• $1,533,499 $1,442,766 $1,568,653 1,486,171 Commercial and Industrialloons l •••••••• ••• 1,510,661 Agricultural loansl ••• . •••• • ••••.•• ••••••• 47,328 57,992 loons to brokers and dealers In securities • • • ••• 20,379 16,300 21,922 12s.o25 Other loons for purchasing or carrying securities. 104,880 127,3"0 207,546 Real-estate loans • •• • ••. • ••• • •• • ••••••• • ••• 173,229 214,957 21,075 loans to banks •••••••••••• • ••••• •• •••••••• 23,205 13,"65 554,050 All other loans •••••••••••••••••••••• • •••• • 441,715 548,668 --2,495,005 TOT At ASSETS" • ••• ••••••••••••••••••••••• 9,608 9,355 9,731 LIABILITIES AND CAPITAL Demand deposits of banks ••••••••• ••. ••••• .• •• Other demand deposits •••• . •• ••••••••••••••••• Time deposits ••. •••••• • •••• • •• •• • •••••••••••• Gran loans ••• ••• ••••• •••• ••••••••••••• less reserves and unallocat.d charge·oft. •• 2,464,574 30,896 2,202,095 22,490 1,052 6,424 1,317 1,093 6,369 1,161 1,123 6,485 1,324 Net loans ••••••••••••• •••• ••••••••••••• 2,433,678 2,179,605 Total deposits • ••••• •• •• ••••••• •• .••••••••• Borrowlngs e •• •.••• ••••••••• •• ••••••••••••••• Other lIabllltlese ••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• Total capital accounts e •• • ••• •• •••••••••••••••• 8,793 48 80 687 8,623 26 89 617 8,932 12 81 706 U. S. Treasury bill, .... ... .. ..... .. .. . ...... U. S. Treasury certificates of lndebtedneu ••• ••• u. S. Treasury notel • • •••• •••••••••••••••••• U. S. Go .... ernment bonds (Inc. gtd . obligations) ... Other securities ••• ••• • •••• • • • ••••••••••••• 58,018 40,004 238,119 814,84 2 242,773 60,400 71 ,619 283,434 874,393 248,057 TOTAL LIABILITIES AND CAPITAl- ••• ••••••• •• 9.608 9,355 9.731 Total Investments •••••• ••••• ••••••••••••• Cash Items In proceu of collection •••••••••••• Balances with banks In the United States ••••• • • Balances with bonks In foreign countries • •••• •• Currency and coin •••••••••••• • •••• •• •••••• Reserves with Federal Reserve Bank ••••••••• •• Olher (Isseis ••••••••• • •••••••••••••••••••• 1,393,756 426,819 425,161 1,444 45,164 537,245 141,624 1,537,90 3 362,970 446,251 1,576 43,196 574,427 135,775 1,410,031 403,227 483,535 1,527 45,901 554,444 139,013 e-Estimated. in the 4 weeks but showed at $123,188,000 gain from midFebruary 1955_ The $98,372,000 decline in total deposits was about the same as the decrease in all asset accounts in the 4 weeks ended February 15. In the same weeks last year, deposits declined $96,681,000. Demand deposit accounts were down SI09,041,000, and time accounts rose $10,669,000. In the demand deposit accounts, the principal decreases were recorded in the balances of individuals and businesses (down $56,431,000) and the accounts of other banks (down $85,647,000). The United States Government built up its demand balances by $29,054,000 and local governments added $5,753,000, while minor changes were indicated in the other classifications. Daily average gross demand deposits of member banks totaled $7,592,370,000 in January, representing a monthly gain of about $50,000,000 but a nominal year· to-year decline, Country banks, whose average gross demand deposits were $3,923,584,000, had a larger increase over December than reserve city banks; on a J anuary.to.J anuary basis, country banks showed a slight deposit increase, whereas reserve city banks showed a modest $11,022,000 decline. Debits to demand deposits in January at reporting banks in various District centers were less than in December but were larger than those in January 1955. The largest monthly percentage declines were recorded at Abilene and Wichita Falls. Banks in Monroe, Louisiana, where debits advanced 10 percent from December, reported both the largest monthly gain and the greatest increase from a year earlier. The annual rate of deposit turnover at the reporting banks was 20,6, I comparcd with 20.9 in December and 19.1 in January 1955. Reserve balances of District banks declined $41,646.000 i" Ihe 4 weeks ended February 15. Local Federal Re~rve credit - member bank discounts and Aoat - was down 30,525 2,464,480 - 70,462 -46,097 238,837 815,176 239,459 TOTAL ASSETS ..... ....... .. . . ....... 5,404,891 5,281,703 5,502,158 LIABILITIES AND CAPITAL Demand deposits Individuals. partnerships, and corporations •••• United Stoles Govemment •••• • •• •• •• •••••• States and political subdl.... lslon ••••••••••••• Banks in the United State••••••• •• ••• •••••• Bonks in foreign countries ••••••••• • ••••••• Certified and ofAeer.· checks, etc••••••••••• 2,856,919 57,219 186,898 854,299 16,932 59,220 2,818,139 93,490 176,220 903,384 15,666 77,190 2,913,350 28,165 181,145 939,946 15,974 61,948 Tofal demand deposits ••• ••• •••• ••••••• 4,031,487 4,084,089 ',140,528 Time deposits Individuals, partnerships, and corporations • •• • United State. Government •••••• •••• •••••• Postal savings •••••••••••••••••••••••••• States and political .ubdivisiolU ••••••••• ••• Banks in the U. S. and foreign countries ••• ••• 714,377 12,079 452 138,801 1,955 635,229 13,362 452 94,934 1,113 711,837 12,079 452 130,662 1,965 Total time deposits •••••••••••••••••••• 867,664 745,090 Total deposits •••••••• •• •• •• •••••••• Bills payable, rediscounts, etc•• •••••••••••••• All other liabilities ...................... . .. Total capital accounts ............. . ........ 4,899,151 31,500 64,333 409,907 4,829,179 12,700 77,304 362,520 TOTAL llA8111T1ES AND CAPiTAL ... ,., •• 5,404,891 5,281,703 856,995 -4,997,523 42,500 58,738 403,397 5,502,158 I Prior to January", 1956, agriculturallaans were not reported separately. Comparable year-earlier figures will b. shown aSlhey become ayoilable. $17,693,000. Interdistrict money transfers, the largest single item affecting reserve balances, resulted in a net outflow of $81,450,000, The effect of the return Aow of currency was to increase balances $13,466,000, while other deposits and accounts changed slightly. Aggregate reserve balances a year ago equaled $979,914,000 - or about $42,000,000 more than on February 15 - an indication of the heightened pressures GROSS DEMAND AND TIME DEPOSITS OF MEMBER BANKS Eleventh federal Reserve District IAyeroge. of daily figures. In thousands of dollars) COMBINED TOTAL Date Jan. 1954 •••• Jan. 1955 .... Sept. '955 ... . Oct. 1955 .... Nov. 1955 .... Dec. 1955 .... Jan. 1956 .... Grall demand TIm. RESERVE CITY 8ANKS Gron demand Time COUNTRY BANKS Gross demand $7,232,657 $ 993,495 $3,517,349 $561,053 $3,715,308 7,594,952 1,155,178 3,679,808 644,814 3,915,144 7,195,579 1,271,089 3,517.182 7"8,666 3,678,397 7,30",808 1,260,7"9 3,589,745 736,233 3,715,063 7."09,551 1,275,205 3,586,763 747,023 3,822,788 . 7,541,113 1,309,060 3,656,903 764,200 3,884,210 7,592,370 1,320,779 3,668,786 763,407 3.923,584 Time $432,442 510,364 522,423 524,516 528,182 544,860 557,372 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW CONDITION OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK Of DALLAS BANK DEBITS. END-Of-MONTH DEPOSITS AND ANNUAL RATE Of TURNOVER OF DEPOSITS (1 n thousand s of dollars) (Amounrs in thousands of dollarsJ OE8ITS L Percentage Annual rat. of turnover change from January Area 1956 Item Feb. 15, 1956 Feb. 16. 1955 Jan. 18. 1956 Total gold certificate reserves •.•• .•....... . . Discounts for member banks . . .... ... ...... . Other discounts and advances . ••........... U. S. Government securities ................ . Totol earning assets ........ ......• . ... . .. . Member bank reserve deposits .... ......... . Federal Reserve notes In actual circulation .... . $710.678 22.750 510 936.110 959.370 938.121 687.535 $ 793.591 7.900 5,640 932,525 946,065 1,043,044 721,224 $705.612 37,750 51 949.904 987.705 979.767 703.405 DEPOSITS' Jan. 31, Jan. Dec. 1955 1955 1956 Jan. Jan. Oec:. 1956 1955 1955 AR1Z0HA Tucson ..•..•.... •••. $ 166.908 26 3 102.322 19.1 17.3 18.8 71.709 274.044 29 16 10 0 50.227 195.091 16.3 16.9 14.6 15.2 15.1 17.3 30.818 9 -1 28.391 13.1 10.9 13.3 76.102 19 -17 161 .416 8 -6 150,155 7 2 142.463 20 7 _2 2 176,825 16.693 4 -5 2,336,600 7 2 5 245.337 -8 709.169 17 -1 83.156 2 -2 2.208.793 21 -1 21.877 5 -2 160.141 -10 -6 56.939 12 -2 45.111 7 -6 10 -1 496.837 19,492 8 -5 79.538 17 -9 2 -2 90.927 98.976 2 -14 59.343 109.556 114.547 112.086 108.037 22,020 985.839 132.278 366.283 67.673 1.218.274 19.505 102.062 45.737 46,710 346.154 17,925 58.894 69.345 107.840 15.2 17.5 15.4 15.1 19.8 9.1 27.0 22.0 23.3 14.3 21.1 13.6 18.7 15.5 11.6 17.2 12.7 16.0 14.4 13.8 19.0 8.5 26.0 20.8 20.6 14.3 18.4 13.0 19.1 15.0 10.8 16.1 12.8 12.1 16.0 15 .6 10.8 13.8 15.1 10.8 16.9 18.8 1 5.0 14.5 19.2 9.6 26.4 24.0 23.3 1.4.2 21.6 13.9 20.8 15.6 12.5 17.3 13.6 17.8 16.1 12.7 $4.486.139 20.6 19.1 20.9 LOUISIANA Monroe .••••••••••• • Shreveport •.•••••••• HEW MEXICO Roswell •••••••••••.• TEXAS Abilen ••••••••.••••. Amarillo ..•••• .••••• Avltin • . •. .•• • .••... Beaumont •••••••••• • Corpus Christi •••••••• Conlcana ••.. .•••• • • Dal las • • •• ..• •• • • , •• EI Paso . • .• •.• ..... • fort Worth ••••••••.• Galveston ••••.•.••.. Houston••••••••• • • • laredo ............ . lubbock ....••..... • Port Arthur •••••••••• Son Angelo ••••••••• San Antonio ••••••••• Texarkana' .•....... Tyl.r .•.......•.... . Waco .•... .......•• Wichita Fall, •......• 10tal-24 cities •.....•• $7.920.026 12 -1 Debits to demand depasit accounts of individlKJls, partnerships, and corporations and of states and political subdivisions. I Demand deposit accounts of indi'liduals, partnerships, and corporations and of ,tates Qnd political subdivisions. , These flgu res Include only one bank In Texarkana, Texas. Total debi" for all banks in Texarkana, Texas· Arkansas, including two banks located in the Eig hth Distrid, a mounted to $40,369,000 for the month of January 1956. 1 on reserve balances which have developed during the past year. The Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas owned total earning assets of $959,370,000 on February 15, reflecting a $28,335,· 000 decline in the 4-week period. Member bank borrowings were reduced $15,000,000, while holdings of United States Government securities declined $13,974,000. Currency in circulation declined to $687,535,000 and on February 15 was about $34,000,000 below last year's totaL Total gold certificates, this bank's legal reserve, rose about $5,000,000 in the 4 weeks but declined $82,913,000 from the corresponding date in 1955. CHANGES IN FACTORS AfFECTING MEMBER BANK RESERVE BALANCES Eleventh Federal Reserve Dislrict (In thousands of doll an) CHANGEl 4 weeks ended Dec. 28, 1955- Feb. 15, 1956 Feb. 15, 1956 -$17.693 - 81,450 + 44.195 + 13.466 343 + 179 +$ 16,717 - 228,283 + 146.283 + 53.984 142 + 2.502 -$41.646 -$ FACTORS Federal Reserve credit-local •.•• . •....• . ... . ..• Interdlstrict comme rclal and flnancial transadioru . .. Tre asury operations •.• . ... .............•.•.•.. Curre ncy transactions .•.•.... ... • .•. . ... . •....• Other deposits at Federal Reserve Sank ... .. ... . . Other Federal Reserve accounts •.. •......• . . ..• . RESERVE BALANCES Janua ry 18, 1956.... .......... February 15, 1956 .... . ..... ... 1 $979,767 $938,121 Sign of change Indicates effect on reserve balances. 8.939 NEW MEMBER BANK The First National Bank 0/ Dumas, Dumas, Texas, a newly organized institution located in the territory served by the Head Office 0/ the Federal Reserve Bank 0/ Dallas, opened lor business January 30, 1956, as a member 0/ the Federal Reserve System. The new bank has capital 0/ $150,000, surplus 0/ $100,000, and undivided profits of $50,000. The officers are: James M. Crabb, Chairman 0/ the Board; P. F. Younger, Vice Chairman of the Board; Jacle C. Elliott, President; F. C. Harlow, Vice President; James W. Witherspoon, Vice President; and James D. Matthews, Cashier. NEW PAR BANKS The First State Bank, Groves, Texas, an insured, nonmember bank located in the territory served by the Houston Branch 0/ the Federal Reserve Bank 0/ Dallas, was added to the Par List on its opening date, February 3,1956. The officers are: J. T. Hitt, President; Jimmie Lee, Executive Vice President; and Joe C. Terry, Cashier. The Parleer Square State Banle, Wichita Falls, Texas, an insured, nonmember banle located in the territory served by the Head 0 IJice a/the Federal Reserve Banle 0/ Dallas, was added to the Par List on its opening date, February 4, 1956. The olJicers are: C. B. Johnson, President, and Charles B. Jo"nson, Cashier. Activity in the Nation's oil industry continued at record levels in January and early February. Stimulated by vcry strong demand for distillate fuel oils, production and refining activity remained close to the December and early January highs. In the District, crude oil production in early February averaged 3,376,000 barrels per day, or slighlly above both January this year and February 1955. It is likely that District crude oil production will increase further. March oil allow abIes for Texas were reduced only 16,838 barrels per day to a total of 3,366,238 barrels, with the allowable I for new wells expected to increase the total above the February figure. Crude oil production in the ation in early February averaged 7,081,000 barrels per day, or slightly above January and 4 percent above February 1955. MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 45 CRUDE OIL, DAILY AVERAGE PRODUCTION NONAGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT (In thousand, of barrels) Five Southwestern Stolesl Percent change Jan. 1956 from Change from Number of persons January Area elEVENTH DiSTRiCT .•...... TeJlos. .. •• •.•..• . . . ... . Gulf Coost •..•....... . West Texas . .. ..... ... Ead Texas (proper) .. . .. Panhandle .•......... . Rest of State . •........ Southeastern New Mexico . . Northern louisIana •••... •. OUTSIDE ElEVENTH DISTRICT. UNITED STATES • •••••• ••• • • January 1956 1 December 1955' 3,289.8 2,9-13.8 616.3 1,188.0 223.5 92.2 823.8 228.3 117.7 3,727.8 7,027.6 3,331.8 2,998.5 635,9 ',179.4 237.2 87.1 858.9 216.3 117.0 3,429.5 6,761.3 January 1955 1 December 1955 1955 3,280.3 2,936.7 601.9 1,172.0 223.3 90.3 8-19.2 227.0 116.6 3,675.4 6,9557 -42.0 Type of employment -54.7 -19.6 8.6 -13.7 5.1 -35.1 12.0 .7 298.3 266.3 9.5 7.1 14.4 16.0 .2 1.9 -25,4 1.3 1.1 52 .4 71.9 SOURCES, I Estimated from American Petroleum Institute weekly reporh. ! United Star., Bureau of Mines. Refining activity in the District showed a substantial increase during early February, with crude runs averaging 2,394,000 barrels per day - or 5 percent above the January level and 6 percent above the level in February 1955. In the Nation, crude runs to refinery stills averaged 8,014,000 barrels per day in early February, almost unchanged from J anuary but 6 percent above the year-earlier total. This rising level of refinery activity has caused a steady increase in gasoline stocks, which on February 17 were 7 percent above the high level of a year ago. Distillate fuel oil slocks were also moderately above the year-earlier total but have been declining in recent months. On the other hand, kerosene stocks were down moderately from a year ago, while residual fuel oil stocks were substantially below the comparable date of 1955. Moreover, stocks of these two products ha ve been declining in recent weeks, Stocks of the four major refined products on February 17 totaled 325,022,000 barrels, or 3 percent above the comparable year-earlier total. Crude oil stocks on February 11, at 253,484,000 barrels, were 3 percent below those on February 12, 1955, and have been declining recently. In fact, some industry sources consider crude stocks to be below the desirable working level. For the 5 weeks ended February 17, the demand for the four refined products reached 7,696,000 barrels per day, or 1 percent above the year-earlier total but 7 percent below the level in the preceding 5 weeks. A month-to-month decline occurred in the demand for each of the products. The yearto·year increase was largely a result of the gain in gasoline demand. Imports in the 5 weeks ended February 17 averaged 1,378,000 barrels per day, up 5 percent from both the comparable year-earlier period and the previous 5 weeks. A decrease in refined products imports accounted for the month-to-month decline, while the year-to-year increase stemmed primarily from larger imports of crude oil. Total nonagricultural employment in the five states lying wholly or partly within the District declined seasonally to 3,970,100 in January - 113,800 below December but January 1955r December 1955 Jan. 1955 Dec. 1955 3,816,100 703,100 3,113,000 235,000 246,800 4,083,900 4.0 6.2 3.5 -1.6 6.2 -2.8 -.8 -3.2 -.5 -1.6 387,200 986,600 160,300 447,600 649,500 402,200 1,087.800 1.9 3.5 4.4 2.9 3.4 -1.9 -6.1 -.4 -.9 -3.4 January 1956e Total nonagricultural wage and Jalary workers • . 3,970,100 Monufoduring ..•.....••• 746,600 Non manufacturing ••••••• • 3,223,500 Mining . .............. 245,800 ConJtruction ..... . ..... 262,100 Transportation and public utilities ............. 394,600 Trade ............. . .. 1,021,400 finance . .... .......... 167,400 Service ............... 460,400 Government ........... 671,800 752,800 3,331,100 246,900 266,200 168,100 464,700 695,200 1 Arizona, louisiana, New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Te.as. a-Estimated. r-Revised. SOURCES: State employment agencies. Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. 154,000 more than in January 1955 and a record high for the month. Most of the month-to-month decline was a result of seasonal employment decreases in trade and government. Construction employment also declined but remained well above the level of a year ago_ A recent gain in construction contract awards for residential building and the potential growth of commercial and industrial construction indicate new strength in this employment sector. Manufacturing employment also declined seasonally but, at 746,600 in Jal'lUary, was down 6,200 workers from December. Seasonal reductions in food-processing employment accounted for most of the manufacturing employment decrease. Employment in other manufacturing industries held near their December levels. Unemployment increased seasonally in January, as workers hired for the Christmas shopping season were released and the winter slowdown of outside work continued. Available data show that unemployment in Texas increased from 96,200 in December to 118,700 in January. Construction contracts awarded in the District during January increased 23 percent above those of December to a value of $154,979,000, or 22 percent above the level of a year earlier. Residential construction accounted for most of the month-to·month increase, with a gain of nearly 34 percent_ "All other" construction awards increased 16 percent from December, as the nonresidential building component of this group showed a contraseasonal upturn, Compared with the same month a year earlier, residential construction awards VALUE OF CONSTRUCTION CONTRACTS AWARDED (In thousands of dollars) January January Area and type 1956 1955 ElEVENTH DiSTRiCT .. .•...... Residential ..... . . • . •• .• • . . All other .• .........•.. •.. . UNITED STATESI ............ . R e~id ential .•• •••.••••••••• All ofher ••• ••••••••••••••• $ 15-1,979 $ 126.872 67,762 51 ,096 87,217 75.776 1,485,450 1,858,228 694,392 1,163,836 1 37 states east of the Rocky Mountains. SOURCE: F. W. Dodge Corporation 671,355 814,095 December 1955 $ 125,739 50,596 75,143 1,920,754711 ,206 1,209,548 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 46 BUILDING PERMITS Percentage change In valuation from January 1956 Area Number Valuation January December 1955 1955 ARIZONA Tucson •••••••••••••• • ••••••• LOUISIANA 346 885,242 84 -40 Shreveport •.... . •• ••.•••• .. • 457 2,642,485 53 55 1,811,509 1,791,175 3,592,200 3,208, 114 1,851,857 24,321,168 2,797,336 2,346,175 382,141 Port Arthur . •• ..•....... •.••• San Antonio ......••.......•• Waco •............•.......• Wichita Foils ••......•....•.• 187 178 307 282 417 1,454 419 411 76 877 226 160 1,687 230 113 1,603,958 351,519 6,162,832 1,055,205 633,614 79 -2 21 411 -41 86 9 -25 152 -2 -36 1 8 -35 -24 1 47 59 264 22 164 - 56 7 172 79 -5 64 52 -5 -55 Totol-17 titles •.. ••• .•.•....•. 7,827 $65,582,195 26 53 TEXAS Abilene ••• •. .• • .••••••.••.•• Amarillo •••. • •...•••.•.•..• • Austin •••..•. ......•••..... • Beaumont •••••••••••••••••• • Corpus Christi ...•......• • ..•• Dallas •••••• • ••.• ••• •. ••. _•• EI Poso •.. ••• .• ••••••••• • ••• Fort Worth •••••••••••••••••• Golverlon ..•• ........•••... . Houston •••••••• • ••••••••• • • Lvbbock •......•......•.••• • $ 10,145,665 during January were up 32 percent, and the total value of "all other" awards was up 15 percent, In the Nation the value of construction contract a wards during January was down 3 percent from December but was 25 percent greater than a year ago, Residential awards declined 2 percent from December and were up only 3 percent from a year earlier_ On the other hand, "all other" awards, although down 4 percent from the previous month, were 43 percent above the level of January 1955, Compared with a year ago, "all other" awards as a group displayed much greater strength in the Nation than in the District, whereas residential awards showed a relatively larger gain in the District. A recent survey by the Manufacturing Chemists' Association reveals that, of a nationwide total of $772,000,000 for privately financed chemical plant expansion and new con, struction completed in 1955, projects valued at $240,600,000 were completed in the District states of Louisiana, New Mexico, and Texas. In addition, the survey shows that projects cos ting an estimated $252,100,000 are now under construction in these three states, and there are firm plans for projects costing $85,900,000 to be started before 1957, Not included in these estimates are government-financed chemical projects now under way or completed during 1955, which are estimated at $3,300,000,000 for the Nation, Texas, with 38 of the 269 projects completed in the Nation in 1955, accounted for $199,000,000 of the privately financed chemical construction completed last year, The cost of 24 projects under construction in Texas, plus four others planned, brings the total chemical plant cons truction completed in 1955, now under way, or planned for the State to a total of $414,800,000, This is the largest chemical investment during this period for any state and is more than 17 percent of the national total. Organic chemical production receives the greatest share of the Texas investment. Next, in order of investment, are plastics and resins, inorganic chemicals, and synthetic rubber, DOMESTIC CONSUMPTION AND STOCKS OF COTTON (Beles) August-December Area Dec. Dec:. Nov. 1955' 1954 1955 1 This uOlon LeISt season CONSUMPTION Total Texas mills .......... 13,340 11,490 11,443 60,462 57,364 U. S. mills .. ....•... . 855,447 801,596 741,447 3,926,014 3,697,120 Daily average 460 357 521 Texas mills .......... 534 572 37,168 35,691 33,610 U.S. mills •••••••.••• 34,218 32,064 STOCKS. U.S.-End of period Consuming establishments. 1,699,257 1,682,232 1,553,485 Public: stofage end (ompreSSes ....... .. . 17,592 ,790 14,026,082 16,607,483 Five weeki ended December 31 . , Four weeks ended Novemb er 26. SOURCE: United States Bureau of the Census. 1