Full text of Review (Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas) : June 1964
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business • review june 1964 fEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF DALLAS This publication was digitized and made available by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas' Historical Library (FedHistory@dal.frb.org) contents remarks by the honorable douglas dillon, secretary of the treasury of the united states, vienna, austria, may 21, 1964. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. 3 district highlights. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. 8 Remarks by The Honorable Douglas Dillon Secretary of the Treasury of the United States Before the 11th Annual International Monetary Conference of the American Bankers Association at the Palais Schwartzenberg, Vienna, Austria Thursday, May 21, 1964, 12:30 P.M. I am very pleased to be with you at another of your Annual International Monetary Conferences, which offer such a unique and valuable opportunity to confer with one another and with our European friends. All of us recognize the need to improve the process of balance of payments adjustment among the free industrial nations. We have fOund that the old "rules of the game" - whateYer their values in the past - are no longer adequate. For instance, the classical presumption that balance of payments deficits call for the restriction of domestic economic activity has had little relevance to the situation facing the United States in recent years. Nor has the other side of the classical coin - easy monetary policies designed to stimulate demandbeen any more appropriate as an antidote for recent European payments surpluses. The selection of suitable international payIllents policies has also become more difficult because domestic economic policies now encompass so many more objectives than they once did. For example, the promotion of full employment has come to be accepted as a high priority responsibility of governments throughOut the free world. Price stability, the promotion of international trade, and the stimulation of OYerall economic growth, all now occupy prominent places in national policy objectives. All of this means that we have had to seek new techniques - and new combinations of old techniques - to deal with payments deficits and surpluses. We have also learned that our search for effective policies cannot proceed in isolation. In moving to solve their own balance of payments problems, major countries must find ways to achieve their objectives without creating serious difficulties for others. The success of balance of payments adjustments increasingly depends upon the coordination of national efforts. We have learned the lessonparticularly in the short-term capital areathat close international cooperation can contribute in very specific ways to the improvement of the adjustment mechanism. Although we have made substantial progress, many unresolved questions remain. Nowhere is this more evident than in the area of longterm portfolio capital flows. The importance of some of these unresolved questions was becoming apparent at the time of your Conference in Rome two years ago. I spoke then of the dangers inherent in the growing pressure of foreign borrowers upon the United States capital market. Within six months, those pressures began to mount rapidly and, by mid-1963, the volume of new issues in the New York market was running at more than three times its previous level. That, unfortunately, left us no recourse but direct governmental action. Accordingly, last July, we launched an intensified program to improve our balance of payments, in which the proposed interest equalization tax is a key element. business review/june 1964 3 l We look upon that proposed tax solely as a transitional measure. It must not be allowed to obscure the desirability of working out measures that can permanently strengthen the international adjustment mechanism, nor our own need vigorously to pursue other elements of our balance of payments program, such as the reduction of government expenditures overseas and the pursuit of appropriate fiscal and monetary policies. But the necessity for the interest equalization tax highlights the serious problems that have arisen in attempting to reconcile freedom of capital movements with the harsh necessities of balance of payments adjustment. balances in payments, rather than to assist in their adjustment. The greatest difficulties on this score have arisen for countries which do not have controls on their capital marketsGermany and the United States. If long-term portfolio capital flows are to make their maximum contribution to our mutual growth and welfare, they should be permitted to respond freely to shifting patterns of trade, to differentials in profit opportunities, and to the basic capacity of various nations to save. But if they are not to undermine the adjustment mechanism, long-term portfolio capita] movements must also be responsive to the balance of payments position of borrowers and lenders alike. In our case, it was necessary to reduce an excessive net outflow of portfolio capital, while the German problem has been the reverse one of discouraging an excessive net inflow. Our approach was the proposed interest equalization tax to increase the effective cost of foreign borrowing in our markets. The German approach - in some ways complementary - was to propose a withholding tax on non-resident purchasers of German interest bearing securities, thereby lowering the after-tax yield to some foreign investors and thus tending to discourage capital inflows. Perhaps even more significant in terms of progress toward more efficient capital markets, the German authorities coupled this with an important structural reform, in the proposal to remove the 21;2 percent tax on the purchase of newly issued securities - a step designed to offer encouragement to new capital issues, both foreign and domestic. The difficulties inherent in accomplishing both of these goals simultaneously become clear when we consider the kinds of problems that have recently plagued us in the area of international flows of portfolio capital. Countless borrowers and lenders are constantly making decisions to buy or sen foreign securities on the basis of price and yield differentials and availabilities of funds, as these factors are reflected in the market place. But we have no assurance that these decisions will, at any given time, reflect basic differences in the underlying capacity of various countries to provide capita] for domestic uses - much less their capacities to transfer that capital abroad. Instead - in the case of more than one country - flows of portfolio capital have recently shown a disturbing tendency to seriously aggravate im- The fact that a country as basically committed to the free flow of funds as is the United States found it necessary to propose the interest equalization tax underscores the importance of achieving a better balance in the structure and efficiency of world capital markets. Until that better balance is achieved, it will be difficult, or even impossible, to influence the direction and amount of long-term portfolio capital flows through the normal action of monetary policy, without the help of special measures aimed at encouraging or discouraging sucb movements. Consequently, progress in improving the free world's capital markets has become essential if the uninhibited flow of long-term international portfolio capital is not to be a disturbing element in the quest for payments equilibrium. 4 I I In seeking the reasons why portfolio capital flows have become disturbing to payments equilibrium, one is immediately struck by the current wide disparity between European longterm interest rates and our own. Long-term interest rates in Europe have been very high throughout the postwar period. Although conditions vary from country to country, Europe can generally be characterized as having been on something close to a "6 percent basis" since World War II. Certainly, in the light of past experience, 6 percent is an unusually high level of long-term interest rates for Europe. ThroughOut the 19th century, the annual average of prime long-term bond yields in continental EUrope was only slightly above 414 percent. In England, it was just under 31 percent. 12 And, during the early decades of this century, the overall averages, with the sole exception of Germany, were little, if any, higher. Because of the vast needs of postwar reconstruction and, more recently, of rapid economic growth, reasons can be found to justify the current high level of European long-term interest rates. In addition, relatively recent experience with inflation has discouraged postwar European investors from the purchase of bonds. But these transitory conditions do not suggest that 6 percent is desirable as a permanent level, Or that it is likely to be maintained over any very long period of time. History would seem clearly to indicate otherwise. While the prevention of inflation remains Vitally necessary, in Europe as well as elseWhere, current inflationary threats appear to be different from those of the immediate postwar period. There now seems to be much greater ground for the use of income policies to restrain upward pushes on the cost-price structure, and much less reason to place primary reliance on high and inflexible levels of longterm interest rates. I do not suggest that the necessity for interest rate variation is at all diminished. I only question whether it is desirable, as a long run proposition, that European interest rates should continue to fluctuate around levels so much higher than their historic averages. While the immediate and visible threat of such high rates is to international payments balance, one can reasonably expect that the maintenance of sustained growth in Europe itself will, in time, require appreciably lower long-term rates of interest. Even with due allowance for the special factors that I have mentioned, the question arises as to the extent to which institutional frictions and government restrictions are to be held accountable both for the current high level of long-term interest rates in Europe and for other impediments to the availability of funds. Throughout history, efficient capital markets have tended to produce lower rate structures and, conversely, inadequate capital markets have generally bred high interest rates. European capital markets once led the world, but in the postwar period they have fallen far behind the needs of the times, particularly in the access they offer to foreign borrowers. This is partly because government intervention and controls have impeded the development of broad and integrated capital markets in Europe, and partly because private financial institutions have sometimes been slow to adapt imaginatively to changing situations. A broad and responsive capital market helps to insure that temporary influences can be readily and rapidly absorbed within an acceptably narrow range of changes in security prices and yields. However, where governments follow the practice of pre-empting and channelling large proportions of the funds potentially available, it becomes difficult to provide sufficient breadth in the private sector of the market. Unless security prices and yields are free to react to changing patterns of supply and demand, and to respond to broad and vigorous competition among private financial institutions, the prospects for the development of business review/ june 1964 5 truly efficient capital markets cannot be bright. The failure of European capital markets to keep pace with the expanding capital requirements of the industrialized world has been a major factor in stimulating pressures upon the New York capital market. The imbalance has been so large that the greater availability of funds to potential borrowers in New York has often seemed more important than interest rate considerations. With such wide disparities in market capacity and accessibility, there is no use looking to relatively minor international variations in long-term interest rates to guide the flow of capital and to encourage balance of payments adj~stment. And the major variations in interest rates that would be required to bring long-term portfolio capital flows into better balance do not seem possible for either Europe or the United States. The heavy accumulations of savings in the United States make it doubtful that even an extremely restrictive monetary policy could cause our long-term interest rates to approach the European level- and any such extreme monetary policy would clearly run counter to our current domestic need for fuller employment and higher utilization of our industrial capacity. In Europe, on the other hand, efforts to reduce long-term interest rates cannot hope to achieve really significant success until broader and more active capital market facilities come into being. It is encouraging that this need is now recognized on all sides. During recent years, Europe has taken significant steps toward improving her capital markets. The increasing economic integration of Europe offers an opportunity for much greater progress in the future, and it is imperative that the opportunity be seized. Recent experimentation in achieving a broad European market for security flotations deserves to be carried further despite the 6 difficulties that have been encountered. The increase in dollar-denominated loans under the stimulus of the proposal for the interest equalization tax, the use of unit of account loans, and the proposal by Dr. Hermann Abs for separate national shares in large European security flotations, are all developments of considerable significance. I recognize that institutional changes of the required scope cannot be achieved easily or quickly. However, there are promising signs of progress. The task now is to push ahead vigorously in a concerted effort to enlarge and improve European capital m~rkets as a necessary prerequisite to our common effort, within a framework of free markets, to harness longterm portfolio capital flows to the stark realities of balance of payments imperatives. Until this has been successfully accomplished, it must be recognized that portfolio capital calls on the New York market from abroad will, in some fashion or another, have to be contained within the limits set by our own overall balance of payments situation. This is, for us, a new and unpleasant fact of life, but it is one with which our European friends have long learned to live. And it is only one of many ways in which we must accommodate our policies to the exigencies of our international payments situation. We must continue to reduce our military expenditures overseas, as well as the dollar cost of our foreign aid programs. We must continue vigorously to press the sale of advanced military equipment to help offset the cost of maintaining our forces abroad. We must continue to increase the attractiveness of direct investment in the United States. And, above all, we must continue to seek out ways of enlarging our exports while maintaining price stability at home. Until our payments deficit is entirely removed, and our gold losses halted, our work will be unfinished. The past ten months have seen a dramatic improvement in our payments situation, stemming in good part from the intensified action program introduced last July, but also from a noticeable longer term improvement in our underlying competitive position. The seasonally adjusted annual rate of deficit on regular transactions during the second quarter of 1963 was swollen by massive foreign borrowing in our markets and exceeded $5 billion. This rate of deficit was cut sharply to a little under $2 billion in the third quarter of 1963, and to a little over $2 billion in the fourth qUarter. Preliminary data for the first quarter of this year indicate that after seasonal adjustment our deficit · on regular transactions has declined even further to an annual rate of about $550 million. But it must be recognized that these first quarter results overstate the actual improvement. There is evidence of a substantial temporary inflow of short-term funds from Canada during March - an inflow that was completely reversed early in April. Even so, after taking this into account, the first quarter still weighed in as our best quarter since 1957. On an overall basis and without allowance for favorable seasonal influences, our international payments so far this year have been in approximate balance. This cannot be expected to continue as seasonal effects will soon shift against us. But although 1964, as a whole, is expected to record another sizeable deficit on regular transactions, there are excellent reasons to hope that it will be sharply reduced from the levels of the past six years. We have, therefore, every right to be encouraged. But we must remember that a good part of OUr recent progress is due to the proposal for the interest equalization tax. By the end of 1965, when this tax is scheduled to expire, a secure payments equilibrium will require a much better balanced international flow of longterm portfolio capital than characterized late 1962 and the early months of 1963. Specifically, this means that United States portfolio capital in large amounts should not be asked to support the expansion of developed areas with strong balance of payments positions. Increasingly flexible and efficient capital markets in Europe - capable of supplying funds at reasonable rates of interest - will remove one major source of difficulty. It is then that opportunities should emerge for long-term capital movements to contribute more actively to the process of balance of payments adjustment among nations. We do not by any means have all the answers in the long-term capital area. But as international capital markets achieve a better balance, both in terms of interest rates and of lending capacity, it should prove possible to apply in the long-term capital area some of the lessons we have learned in the short-term area. A narrowing of existing differences in longterm interest rates among industrialized countries, together with wider access of borrowers and lenders to a variety of national markets, implies a growing sensitivity of long-term portfolio capital flows to relatively minor interest rate variations. This sensitivity can be turned to our mutual advantage, for it will provide opportunities for governments to make greater use of acceptable variations in monetary policy to influence these flows in the interest of balance of payments adjustment, without violating their own domestic needs. It suggests another way in which we can all work together to strengthen the adjustment process, while continuing our progress toward a world of free capital movements and ever freer trade and payments. business review /j une 1964 7 district highlights The development of the negotiable time certificate of deposit as a widely accepted financial instrument has significantly altered the nature of commercial bank time and savings deposits. To an increasing extent, these deposits are being represented by negotiable certificates sold to business firms, individuals, and others having sizable amounts of funds to invest for relatively short periods of time. Member banks in the Eleventh Federal Reserve District are quite active in the certificate of deposit market. At the year-end call date, "other time deposits of individuals, partnerships, and corporations" - consisting primarily of certificates of deposit - accounted for almost 30 percent of total time and savings deposits in the District. In order to determine the maturity of these financial instruments, the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System has instituted a quarterly survey of outstanding negotiable certificates of deposit in denominations of $100,000 or more at the weekly reporting member banks. The first survey of weekly reporting member banks in the Eleventh District indicates that, on May 20, 1964, these banks had negotiable certificates of deposit outstanding of $917.2 million, which is $121.5 million, or 15 percent, greater than the amount outstanding on January 1. The amount of certificates outstanding is subject to sharp month-to-month fluctuations, partially reflecting the use of these instruments as temporary investments by corporations in anticipation of quarterly tax payments. In the first 2 months of this year, the amount of certificates outstanding expanded $144.2 million to $939 .9 million. A decline was recorded in March, but there were modest advances in April and May. 8 The maturity of certificates of deposit issued by the reporting District banks is highly concentrated in the short-term area. Slightly over one-half of the amount outstanding matures within 4 months, and 85 percent falls due within 8 months. Approximately 6 percent of the outstanding certificates mature on the June 15 tax date. Partly reflecting heavy pre-Mother's Day buying, April sales at Eleventh District department stores were at a new high for the month. The seasonally adjusted index of sales for April, at 120 percent of the 1957-59 base, was 2 percent below March but 10 percent higher than in April 1963. Although the shifting dates of Easter affect the comparison of March and April department store sales this year with those in 1963, seasonally adjusted sales during January-April 1964 were 11 percent above the same 4-month period last year. A new high for April also was established by registrations of new passenger automobiles in four major market areas in Texas. Registrations were 4 percent above March and 16 percent higher than in April 1963. During the January-April period of 1964, registrations in Houston and Dallas each were 15 percent above a year ago, while those in Fort Worth and San Antonio were up 10 percent and 2 percent, respectively. The four markets combined showed a 13-percent increase over the first 4 months of 1963. Nonagricultural wage and salary employment in the five southwestern states advanced almost 1 percent during April to a level that was slightly more than 2 percent above a year earlier. All five states participated in both the monthly and yearly increases. The gain over March in the number of wage and salary workers was paced by nonmanufacturing employment, wmch rose 0.8 percent; manufacturing employment expanded 0.5 percent, largely because of hiring in the durable goods industries. Among the nonmanufacturing categories, construction and services posted the largest relative increases in employment during April. However, all of the major groups of nonmanufacturing industries experienced some improvement except transportation and public utilities, which showed a fractional employment decline. Prospective winter wheat production in the District states declined 11 percent during the month ended May 1 to a total of 141.4 million bushels; however, the 1964 output is indicated to be 15 percent above last year. Except for Louisiana, decreases during the month were reported in all of the District states, ranging from a 3-percent decline in Arizona to a 28percent reduction in New Mexico. Continued dry weather conditions accounted for the decrease from the preceding month's forecast. The 1964 Texas wheat crop is estimated at 50.5 million bushels, which is 17 percent less than the April 1 indication but is almost onefourth larger than the 1963 figure. According to a recent U. S. Department of Agriculture release, cotton production in the District states in 1963 is now placed at 6.5 million bales (500 pounds gross weight). Thus, output last year was 4 percent below 1962. The combined value of cotton lint and seed in the Southwest in 1963 amounted to $1,149 million, reflecting a 3-percent reduction from the previous year. Cash receipts from farm marketings in the District states during January-March 1964 amounted to $892.7 million, or 13 percent less than in the first quarter of 1963. Receipts from crops were down sharply, and those from livestock and livestock products declined slightly. Total cash receipts from farm marketings were below a year earlier in all of the District states except Louisiana. new par bank - The Howe State Bank, Howe, Texas, an insured nonmember bank located in the territory served by the Head Office of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, was added to the Par List on its opening date, May 23 , 1964. The officers are: A. L. Geer, Chairman of the Board; Cleon L. Hamilton, President; O. w. Lamb, Vice President; N. R. Langford, Vice President (Inactive); and Edwin E. Hayes, Cashier. business review/june 1964 :9 The Lackland National Bank of San Antonio, San Antonio, Texas, a newly organized institution located in the territory served by the San Antonio Branch of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, opened for business May 11, 1964, as a member of the Federal Reserve System. The new member bank has capital of $250,000, surplus of $250,000, and undivided profits of $100,000. The officers are : W. F. Castella, Chairman of the Board; G . B. Lacy, Vice Chairman of the Board; Jud Watson, President; James G. Law, Jr., Vice President; and Allen R. Byrn, Cashier. new metnbet· b"nl~s The Corpus Christi Bank and Trust Company, Corpus Christi, Texas, located in the territory served by the San Antonio Branch of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, became a member of the Federal Reserve System on May 18, 1964. The new member bank, which was organized in 1928, has capital of $2,000,000, surplus of $2,000,000, undivided profits of $667,000, and total resources of $45,201,000. The officers are: W. P. Pittman, Chairman of the Board; James T. Denton, Jr., President; T. S. Scibienski, Chairman of the Executive Committee; Leroy Beavers, Vice President and Cashier; Jerry D. Minton, Vice President and Trust Officer; James E. Powell, Vice President; William E. O'Kelly, Vice President; Roger T. Powell, Assistant Trust Officer; Ethel Goebel, Assistant Cashier and Assistant Trust Officer; W. J. Bower, Assistant Cashier; H. A. Dickerson, Assistant Cashier; Loyd G. Lipsey, Assistant Cashier; Russell M. Thomas, Assistant Cashier; and I. V. Trevino, Assistant Cashier. The National Bank of Oak Cliff in Dallas, DaII as, Texas, a newly organized institution located in the territory served by the Head Office of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, opened for business May 27, 1964, as a member of the Federal Reserve System. The new member bank has capital of $200,000, surplus of $200,000, and undivided profits of $120,000. The officers are : Frederick Harman, Chairman of the Board; Dan G. Bennett, President; James E. Anderson, Vice President; and R. B. Gunnels, Vice President and Cashier. 10 --" STATISTICAl! SUPPLEMENT to the BUSINESS REVIEW June 1964 FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF DALLAS CONDITION STATISTICS OF WEEKLY REPORTING MEMBER BANKS IN LEADING CITIES RESERVE POSITIONS OF MEMBER BANKS Eleventh Federal Reserve District Eleventh Federal Reserve District (Ave rages of dally figures. In thousands of dollars) (In thousands of dollars) --- 5 weeks end ed May 20, 1964 Apr. 22, 1964 May 22, 1963 1,975,432 54,633 2,037,311 44,445 1,796,077 46,960 274 53,161 1,774 57,959 289 59,348 2,486 268,486 104,688 2,332 3,455 248,628 31,881 2,780 2,108 236,170 92,665 2,548 All other laans •• ... •••.•••.. •••.•.• .•••. •• 116,232 259,239 355,748 1,078,772 97,684 261,916 350,351 1,071,833 89,937 225,716 311,515 885,134 G ross loans ••.. ... .. .. .... ... . .. ...... . Less reserves and unallocated charge-offs •• 4,271,483 75,410 4,210,017 75,370 3,748,467 68,909 Net loans.. ...... ... ... .. . .. ......... •. 4,196,073 4,134,647 3,679,558 Treasury bills ...........•................. Trea sury certiflcates of indebtedness ... .... .. . Tr ea sury notes and U. S. Governm ent bond s, including guaranteed obligations, maturing: Within 1 ye ar ... •.•.•..•.•... . ....... .. 107,200 52 )02;174 6,642 133,024 128,091 After 5 years • . . ... .............•...... . Oth er securities ..•... ... ..........•. • .•••. 117,805 750,547 364,328 703,190 107,510 768,972 363,850 747,913 128,835 708,279 488,968 538,963 Total investments . •.•.. . . ..... ... .. ...... 2,043,122 2,097,061 2,126,160 Ca sh items in proc ess of collection •• .......•.. Balances with banks in th e Unite d States ...... . Balances with banks in foreig n countries ..• •.. . Currency and co in ........................ . Reserves with Federal Reserve Bonk •••... ... .. Oth er a sse ts • .•..........•............• ... 653,950 453,082 3,554 62,450 488,809 252,659 848,279 511,710 3,278 66,290 477,374 239,878 632,706 467,603 4,803 60,961 574,986 224,710 TOTAL ASSETS ••••.••..••.••••••••••• 8,153,699 8,378,517 7,771 ,487 3,041,481 3,301,556 3,059,267 3,759 204,016 261,118 3,876 79,201 253,023 2,869 165,853 309,435 957,635 15,257 52,582 1,026,070 17,2 19 67,714 984,057 15,021 52,211 4,535,848 4,748,659 1,130,755 1,099,922 1,050,766 902,984 500 5,480 365,686 500 3,917 341,994 511 6,152 304,056 6,856 1,900 5,629 2,400 8,333 2,3 50 4 weeks ended April I, 1964 Ma y I, 1963 583,776 543,209 40,567 579,896 3,880 21,383 -17,503 585,321 545,496 39,825 580,686 4,635 22,715 - 18,080 587,050 545,663 41,387 582,504 4,546 2,804 1,742 561,765 437,139 12 4,626 525,436 36,329 2,809 33,520 560,243 436,874 123,369 524,209 36,034 1,201 34,833 539, 101 424,354 114,747 493,425 45,676 1,614 44,062 1,145,541 980,348 165,193 1,105,332 40,209 24,192 16,017 1,145,564 982,370 163,194 1,104,895 40,669 23,916 16,753 1,126,151 970,017 156,134 1,075,929 50,222 4,418 45,804 4,588,713 1,139,245 1,114,067 4 weeks en ded May 6, 1964 It em Item ASSETS Commercial and industrial loans ... ....... .. . . Agricultural loans...... ... . ... •... .. .• .• ... Loons to brokers and dealers for purchasing or carrying: U. S. Governm ent securities • ••..•. . ... • .... Other sec urities ........................ . Other loons for purcha sing or carrying: U. S. Government securities .. ....... . ..... . Other securities .. ...... .. ........ ... ..•. Loan s to domestic comm erci al banks . • . •.. .... . loon s to foreign banks .................... . loans to other flnoncial institutions: Sales Anance, personal flnance, etc .•........ Savings banks, mlge. cos., ins. cos., etc . . •.. .. Real estate loans . .. .•.•.... . ......... . ..•. After 1 but within 5 years • • • • ••• •.• • •••••• LIABILITIES AND CAPITAL ACCOUNTS Deman d d eposits Individuals, pa rtnership s, and corporations• . •• Foreign governments and ofAcial Institutions, centra l banks, and international institutions •• U. S. Governmen t . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . States and political sub divisions .....•..•.•• Banks in the Unite d States, including mutual savings banks.•• ••.• .. .•........ Bonks in foreign countri es ................ . CertiAed and ofAcers' ch ecks, etc . .•••... . .. Total d ema nd de posits •••.. •••• . ••..• • • Tim e and saving s d eposits Individual s, pa rtnershi ps, and corporations Savings d eposits .•.................... Other tim e dep osits . .. •.. .. .. . .. . . ..... Foreign governments and ofAcial institutions, central banks, and international institutions .• U . S. Gove rnm ent, including postal saving s . .• States and political sub divisions ........... . Banks in the Unite d States, including mutual savings banks•.•...... ... .. .. . . . Bonks in foreign countries •..... .. ......... Total time and saving s d eposits . . . •... ... 2,633,734 2,585,117 2,275,152 Total deposits •••••...••••••..•.. ..• Capital accounts • . . •••..•.. ... . ..... •...•. 7,169,582 119,668 161 ,919 702,530 7,333,776 185,193 161,167 698,381 6,863,865 131,525 107,695 668,402 TOTAL LIABILITI ES AND CAPITAL ACCOUNTS 8,153,699 8,378,517 7,771,487 Bills payabl e, rediscounts, etc ............. . . . All ather liabilities ..• • .••••• • ..•••. • •..• ••. RESERVE CITY BANKS Total reserves held •.•. . ....... With Federal Reserve Bank .. .. Curr ency and coin .. . .. . . . .•. Required reserves . •• . . .• .. ...• Excess reserves •... . ..... .. . •. Borrowing s. .......• .. . . ..•... Free reserves .........••...... COUNTRY BANKS Total reserves held ............ With Federal Reserve Bank .... Currency and coin ........ . . . Require d reserves . . .. . ....• ... Excess reserves . ..•. ...• . . . ... Borrowing s... ....... ... . . . . .. Free reserves .. ........• ...... ALL MEMBER BANKS Total rese rves held .••..••..... With Federal Reserve Bank .. .. Currency and coin .. ......•.• Re quired reserves ••... . .. ..... Excess reserves •.•..•.••...... Borrowings .... ..... ......... . Free rese rves ••. .. .... . . .....• GROSS DEMAND AND TIME DEPOSITS OF MEMBER BANKS Eleventh Federal Reserve District (Av erag es of dally figures. In millions of dollars) GROSS DEMAND DEPOSITS Date Reserve city banks Country Total banks Total Reserve city bonks Country banks 1962, Ap ril •••••• 1963, April ••. ... 8,148 8,2 84 8,508 8,682 8,744 8,359 8,359 8,422 3,963 4,016 4,100 4,192 4,120 3,887 3,944 3,975 4,185 4,268 4,408 4,490 4,624 4,472 4,415 4,447 3,2 34 3,836 4, 106 4,167 4,321 4,440 4,470 4,483 1,625 1,886 2,018 2,047 2, 141 2,217 2,220 2,214 1,609 1,950 2,088 2,120 2,180 2,223 2,250 2,269 Nove mber .• Decem ber .• 1964, January • .• February .. . March • • • .. Ap ril •• • ••. CONDITION STATISTICS OF ALL MEMBER BANKS Eleventh Federal Reserve District (In millions of dolla rs) =========================~ Apr. 29, Mar. 25, Apr. 24, 7,067 2,617 1,509 847 191 974 4 708 395 7,017 2,678 1,477 906 181 1,087 4 674 414 6,195 2,894 1,223 920 177 1,067 6 686 355 14,438 13,52 ;!. 1,150 7,018 4,508 1,243 7,180 4,472 1,22 2 7,041 3,844 12,107 125 149 1,142 Ite m ~~~__________________________~~ ______1 9~:4______1~9~6:-3 19 6~4 ~ 6 ___ ASSETS Loans and discounts. . .. . . ....... •.. .... • U. S. Governm ent obligations. '" ......•.. Oth er securities .. .. .... . . ..... ....... .• Rese rv es with Federal Reserve Bank . •.•.... Ca sh in vault e ..... .. ..... •... . • . .•• .. • Balances with banks in th e United Sta tes ••.. Balances with banks in foreig n counlriesO ... . Ca sh items in proc ess of coll ection ........ . Oth er asse ts e . ••.. •.•. ...••• . ...•.•...• TOTAL ASSETse •••..••... .• •••.•..•• CONDITION OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF DALLAS -= TIME DEPOSITS LIABILITIES AND CAPITAL ACCOUNTS (In thousand s of dollars) De mand d eposits of banks ...•. . •... •• . . . Othe r d e mand deposits •••••••• • •.••• ••. • Tim e d eposits . . ...........••......•.... Item Total gold certiAcate reserves . •.. .. .... . .. .. Discounts for memb er banks • .. ............. Oth er d iscounts and advances • ... .•....•. . . U . S. Gov ernment sec urities ..•..... ........• Total ea rning a ssets ..• ..... . . .. . .. .•.••••. Member bank reserve d eposits .•.. •. . • . .. . •. Federal Reserve notes in actual circulation • •••• 2 May 20, 1964 528,037 12,708 o 1,314,090 1,326,798 854,904 968,854 Apr. 22, 1964 551,762 23,677 285 1,300,248 1,324,210 841,975 965,589 May 22, 1963 Total de posits ••••.••• •• ..• • •••.•••.• 667,661 17,098 Borrowings e . .....• ......... '" .. .. . . " Oth er liabiliti es e .. . . . .. ... •. .. • . ... .... Total capital accountse • . .•. . •. .•. •. . . . .• 12,676 176 231 1,229 12,895 122 20 1 1,220 TOTAL LIABILITIES AND CAPITAL ACCOUNTS e ••• ..• •• • • ••.•••.•. •• • 14,3 12 14,43B o 1,179,867 1,196,965 9 29,498 892,672 INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION BANK DEB ITS, END-OF-MONTH DEPOSITS AND ANNUAL RATE OF TURNOVER OF DEPOSITS (Seasonally adjuste d indexes, 1957·59 = 100) (Do ll ar amounts in thousands) Demand depositsl April 1964 ARIZONA Tucson .... . . . ..... . $ LOUISIANA ~onro e • ••••• •• •••• rovepart ..•.... . . NEW MEXICO Rosw ell ... ....... . . TEXAS ~bil ene............ Amarilla. . . . • • • . . . • 8 ustin.. . . . . . . . .. . . Ceoumont......... . Corpus Christi... . • • • oorsicona .. . . . . . . . . Mar . 1963 102,798 340,530 Te ~crkcnc 2 . .. .. ... W~cro"" """ '''' .• Wichilo F~il; : :::::: 10 5 12 4 9 24.4r 23.5 24.2 56,642 174,949 20.9 22.6 20.6 20.5 34,739 18.2 17.8 19.4 62,558 128,004 186,401 107,876 116,837 20,879 1,337,154 239,0 15 412,074 61 ,075 1,500,2 10 26,35 1 134,048 43,413 48,324 428,920 19,894 69,925 79,563 97,015 21.0 28.7 20.6 25.3 23.5 10.6 33.2 20.0 25.3 19.7 29.5 18.4 21.8 17.8 15.6 22.0 18.6 18.8 20.6 16.9 20 .0 25.9 20.4 22.8 22.7 9.7 33.1 23 .9 25.0 19.3 30.6 16.1 21.8 17.5 14.8 21.5 18 .5 19.0 19.2 16.8 18 .1 25.3 19.6 21.4 21.4 10.4 33 .6 22.8 24.5 19.0 26.2 17.4 20.3 17.0 13 .9 22.3 19.3 18 .4 20.8 15.1 $5,554,750 26.9 26.9 25.7r 3 -2 5 1 -4 13 9 12 o 124 142 136 146 10 1 15 4 15 123 142 136 147 98 125 142 134 147 103 117 132 124 139 98 129 130 131 130 109 145 128 129 129 129 107 144 128 129 129r 129 108 144r 123 123 123 123 107 136 Mining, .•... . .•...• •.. .... . Total indu strial production .. . .. . .. Manufacturing • . •.•••.... • • .. 20.8 23.2 1 -6 1 2 April 1963 UN ITED STATES 7 o °b Apr. 1 7 4 12 12 1 1964 Durcble . .. ............... Nondurable .. .... .. .. . . ... 1963 3 21 14 20 11 5 52,408 TOlo l_ 24 cities ••. . • • • $ 12,442,953 0.. .. ........ Mar . 1964 - 10 o 4 4 3 2 1 7 - 1 Elc~I~:........ .. ... Apr. 1964 5 - 1 -3 February Total industria l production • • • . .... Manufacturing •• ... . •••..•••• 168,884 338,676 113,114 308,735 316,729 228,551 229,825 18,489 3,725,04 1 361,033 873,443 99,448 3,709,990 40,633 248,569 64,0 18 62,942 788,275 31,730 109,255 137,236 14 1,485 F G'rt Worth . . . . . •. • . H olveston.... .. . . . . LOUs lon. . • • . . • • . . . L e do • • • . . . . . . • . . pU bock. .. .... ... . sort Arth ur . . . • • • . . • Son Angelo. • • • •• . . r"n Antonio... . .... April 30, 1964 Apr . 1964 Mcrch 1964 TEXAS Annua l rate of turnover Percent change from Ar ea April 1964p Area and type of inde x Debits to demand deposit accounts! Durable .................. -----------------------------------------------~--~ S U~d~ep?sits of individual s, partne rships, and corporations and of states and po litical ~ Ivl slon s. . ban Th ~se Ag ures include on ly two ba nks in Texarkana, Texa s.. Tota l ~e blts f?r ,all am ks In Tex arka na, Tex as-Arkan sa s, including one bonk located I n the Eighth Dls tnct, Ounted to $66,738,000 for the mont h of April 1964. r - ReV ised. Nondurable •. . ....•....... Mining •..... .. ... .......... Utiliti es • .. ........ . . . ......• p - Pre liminary. r - Rev ise d. SOURCES, Board of Gov ernors of th e Federa l Reserve System. Fe de ral Rese rve 8ank of Dallas. NONAGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT Five So uthwes tern States' Percent chang e Apri l 1964 from Number of persons Apri l 1964p Manufacturing • ......... . Nonmanufacturing . . . .... . Mining ............... Construction •.........• Tran sportation and public utilities .•...... Trade •... .. .. .... ...• Finance ••. . .... . ..... • Servic e •. • .. •. ... . .... Government . .......... 1 Apri l 1963r March 1964 April 1963 4,785,100 834,900 . 3,950,200 231,300 309,600 4,716,100 8 15,500 3,900', 600 231,500 306,200 0.7 .5 .8 .7 2.4 2.2 2.9 2.1 .6 3.5 384,100 1,15 1,800 244,600 689,900 960,400 Tota l nonagricultural wage and salary workers . • March 1964 4,8 19,500 838,800 3,980,700 233,000 316,900 Type of employment 384,600 1,147,000 242,600 679,000 956, 100 386,400 1,133,900 237,400 669,800 935,400 -.1 .4 .8 1.6 .4 -.6 1.6 3.0 3.0 2.7 Ari zona, Loui siana , N ew Me xico, Ok lahoma, and Texas . p Pre liminary . r Rev ised. SOURCE , State employment age ncies. INDEXES OF DEPARTMENT STORE SALES Elevent h Federal Reserve Dis trict (Dei ly ave rage sales, 1957· 59 = 100) ~~~~~======================================== Date Seasona ll y cdjusted 963, April.. . ........ . .. .... . ~ovemb e r.. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 196 ecember .. ............. Janu 4, F c ry................. M'brucr y ................ 110 109 12 1 117 125 BUILDING PERMITS Unadjusted 108 126 210 92 91 111 -----~--------------------~--------------~~-----1 m ---i;;t::::::::::::::::: VALUATION (Dollar amounts in thousand s) Percent change April 1964 from NUM8ER 4 months, 113 Apr. 1964 4 mos. 1,029 3,184 9,974 6 -3 13 390 1,208 2,6 10 8,11 9 26 23 -17 118 282 399 294 355 2,606 51 1 694 15 1 2,224 2 12 128 96 169 1,303 243 16 1 404 973 1,382 954 1,244 8,27 1 1,76 1 2,138 535 7,748 697 380 286 556 4,74 1 956 359 1,346 4,864 7,009 902 2,644 29, 11 6 4,324 4, 106 1,263 29,971 3,743 1,07 1 588 323 5,007 2,365 1,374 6,474 15,152 32,549 4,91 1 8,570 91,060 12,490 16,582 2,598 125,384 19,689 5,635 2,809 1,768 19,425 7, 154 5,724 3 -32 25 25 20 20 -34 -55 43 19 60 31 -18 9 3 -16 85 139 1 -5 -12 5 1 68 -16 38 - 14 -44 -32 40 80 72 127 80 -27 10 -20 10 13 -13 27 3 16 - 6 -9 -9 -17 35 22 -6 -32 Total-19 cities • . 11,365 37,777 $105,605 $396,067 13 -5 Area Apr. 1964 1964 4 mos. Mar. 1964 1964 Apr. 1963 1964 from 1963 ARIZONA Tucson ••.•.... $ 2,979 $ LOUISIANA Shreveport • . . • TEXAS DEPARTMENT STORE SALES (Perc entage chango in re tail volue ) ~~~===================================== April 1964 from ~ Are o TOlal El eve nIh D'Istnct .. . • .. ... . C D~lrous Christi ...... ... ...... . ~~~~~~n:.:.:::::::::: :: :::::: : -- Shrev ntonia •. • . ••. .•.• •. .•. • 'Waco~~~~tl La •• .• ..•. . •• ...• Other citie~ ...•...•.••....•. ............... .. March 1964 April 1963 5 4 1 -2 4 -8 5 3 7 -5 3 o 8 1 2 5 6 4 months, 1964 from 1963 11 1 10 8 15 8 4 11 9 Abilene . . •... . Am a rillo .... . . Aust in .... . • .. Beaumont .. ... Corpus Chri sti.. Dalles .. .. . ... EI Paso ....... Fort Worth .... Ga lveston ••••• Houston .•.•.. Lubbock •....• Midland ...•.• Odessa . ...... Port Arthur .... San Antonio ... Waco .•...... Wichitc Falls •• 12 VALUE OF CONSTRUCT ION CONTRACTS W INTER W HEAT PRODU CT IO N (In mill ions of dol la rs ) (In th ousa nds of bushe ls) January-April Ap ril 1964p Are a and type f iVE SOUTHWESTERN STATES ' • •• • .••••••. .• •• Resid ential build ing . . . . . .. Nonresi dential building .. . • Nonbuilding construction • •• UNITED STATES ••••• . •• ••• • Resi d ential b uilding . . . .... Nonres id ential building . . . . Nonbuilding construction . . . 1 Ma rch 1964 40 1 198 120 83 4,359 2,006 1,420 933 April 1963 434 213 114 106 4,215 1,991 1,252 972 1964p 1,639 777 480 382 15,063 6,786 4,891 3,3 87 375 194 91 89 3,983 1,986 1,2 10 787 1964, indicated Ma y 1 1963 1958-62 Texas • . . . . . •.•• . .. . . . 1,290 1,584 2,730 85,2 18 50,544 1,188 1,484 3,800 75,4 11 40,6 18 2, 154 7 82 4,892 10 1,844 66,334 Tota l • • • . . • ••.. ••• • . 141,366 122,501 176,006 1963 1,521 687 443 390 13,190 6,079 4,348 2,763 Area Ari zona .. .. . . . . .. . . . . louisiana • • . .. . . . ... . . N ew M exico . • . . . . . • . . . Oklahoma • . • •••• ••• • • Av erag e SOURCE, U. S. De partment of Agric ul ture. Arizona , Lou is iana , N ew Mex ico, Ok lahoma, and Texa s. p - Pre limi nary. NOTE . - De tai ls may not add to to tal s be cau se of round ing . SOURCE, f . W . Dodge Corporation. CO TTON ACREAGE, PRODU CTION, AN D VALUE OF PRODU CT IO N (I n thousands) =================================~ CASH RECE IPTS FROM FARM MARKETINGS Acreag e ha rvest ed Bal es p rod uced I Va lue of lint and seed ( Dollar amounts in tho usand s) 1962 1963 1962 387 519 190 590 5,850 405 565 201 612 6,500 839 681 27 1 336 4,4 17 942 547 268 311 4,726 Total •• • .. • • 7,536 Un ited States 14,2 12 8,283 15,569 6,544 15,327 6,794 14,867 1963 Area January-Ma rch Area 1964 1963 Percent chang e Arizona • • ••.. ..... .•.• .••.••• loui siana . ... . ... . ... . ....... • Ne w Mexico . . . ... . .... ... .. . . . Oklahoma • • ••. • •• ••• •••• ••• • • Texa s .. .. .. . . ..... . . . . ...... . $ 11 2,001 88,314 39,271 116,340 536,780 $ 128,004 64,794 43,473 135,775 649,02 2 - 13 36 -10 - 14 - 17 Total • ••..••.• •• .. • • ••• • • ••• Unit. d Stat.s •••••• .. ••••• ••• $ 892,706 $8,186,060 $1,021,068 $8, 156,663 -13 Ari zona . .. .. . Louisiana ••. .. N ew M exico ... Oklahoma • • • • o Texa s.... • .. . 1 1963 1962 $ 154,324 124,497 52,393 56,460 761,2 25 $ 172,293 99,905 49,421 51,156 812,7 19 $2,776,477 $1, 185,49 4 $2,664,325 -1,148,899 - -$ 500 pound s gro ss we ight. SOU RCE , U. S. Depar tment of Ag ricult ure. SOURCE , U. S. De po rtm ent of Agr icu lture. NATIONAL PETROLEUM ACTI V ITY INDI CATORS DAILY A V ERAGE PRODU CTIO N O F CRUDE O IL (Seasona ll y adjusted indexes, 1957·59 = 100 ) (In th ou sands of barrels) April 1964p Ma rch 1964p April 1963 CRUDE OI L RUNS TO REfiNERY STI LLS (Dolly ove rag e) •• • •• . . • • •••••• DEMAN D (Doily avera ge) 11 3 11 2 109 G a soline . . • •.... • ... .•. . . • ..... .. .• Kerosene . . . •. . ...•.• . .•• ........ .• Di sti ll at e f uel oil •• .. .. . .. .. . . .. . •... . Resid ua l fuel .oil • • . . . .. . . . .. .• •. . . . . . Four refin ed p ro ducts •• •• . ... .. • ... 112 189 127 102 11 7 11 2 134 111 90 108 Area ELEVENTH DISTRICT. • •• • • •• Texas . . . ... . ..... . . . •.. Gulf Coast • . • • •• • • • •.• W est Texa s . ... • . . .. . . East Texas (proper) ••••• Panhandl e •• .... . . .. .. Rest of State •• .•••• • • • South ea ste rn N ew M exico . . North ern louisiana . • . •.. .. O UTSIDE ELEVENTH DISTRICT. UNITED STATES • • •• ••• •• ••• p - Pre liminary. April 1964p Ma rch 1964p April 1963 3,175.3 2,729.6 519.5 1,203.8 111 .3 104.7 790.3 284.0 161.7 4,460.3 7,635.6 3,158.4 2,714.0 512.8 1,200.5 111.3 103.9 785.5 284.0 160.4 4,441.7 7,600.1 3,090.2 2,667.3 508.7 1,192.7 113.7 109.3 742 .9 271.5 151.4 4,5 18.8 7,609.0 SOURCES , Am erican Pe tro leum I nstitute . .' U. S. Bureau of Min es. f edera l Rese rve Bank of Dal las. 4 March 1964 0.5 .6 1.3 .3 .0 .8 .6 .0 .8 .4 .5 April 1963 2.8 2.3 2.1 .9 -2 .1 -4.2 6.4 4.6 6.8 - 1.3 .3 109 138 120 78 11 0 108 152 128 80 113 104 130 11 3 91 107 -= - 11 4 155 104 94 109 Indica tor Pe rcent chang e f rom STOCKS (End of mo nth) Gasoline • • • •. ... •• .• •• . . . . . . •.•.. • . Keros ene . . . .. .•.. .. ..... •. .. . ... . . Distillate fuel oil ••• • • • ....• • ••••••• •• Residual f uel oil ••..... . .•.• . . .•. . ... Four refin ed prod ucts . .• • • . .••. ... . p - Preliminary . SOURCES, America n Petrol eum Institute. U . S. Burea u of M ines . f ederal Reserv e Ba nk of Dal la s. ---