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Federal Reserve Banl~ of Da las This summary of agricultural and commercial conditions In the Eleventh Federal Reserve Dlstrlot Is Issued In the beUef that a concise review of trade will be of interest to our member banles, business men of the distrIct and friends of the Federal Reserve System. The Information given Is obtained by the Federal Reserve Agent from various sources throughout the district, and in our opinion the same is relluble. 'l'hose desiring the letter furnished them regularly will receive It without charge upon application. DALLAS, FEBRUARY, 1919 Headjustments to peace times are being effected in the outlook, and farming conditions are very favorthe District without any undue disturbance, and able. according to the reports received business condi- Heavv rains and snows, av raging from two to tions following the turn of the new year have been eight "inches, have fallen over the ~heat belt of}he Panhandle, and a bumper crop IS assurecl. n"e fair ly satisfactory. \Vith the transition from a war Government report for December-the late t availto peace basis it is expected, of coursc, that con- able-estimates the condition of wheat in Texas at &ervatism will be exercised, and there is a strong 100 per cent, as compared with the ten-year avera.ge tendency toward caution in entering upon future of 83 per cent. The same report estimates the 111ereas·e d acreage at approximately one-third more Commitments. than in 1917. If present prospects materialize the ~Ocally, trade reflects the after-holiday dullness and l!1"~'entory period. We may expect thi condition for State will unquestionably produce the largest wheat thIrty Or sixty days longer. The lull is, however, crop in its history. 'While too early to begin no mope apparent than in previous years and has preparations for row and feed crops, which conb.ee~l partially offset by other activitie , of which th tribute to the prosperity of the Panhandle, conoIl ll~dustry predominates. Thc excitement caused ditions are very favorable for such crops in 1919. by 011 op rations in Central and Northwest Texas ha;'l Spread like wild fire and a genuine "boom" Banking conditions have not changed materially during the month. 'fhe strong dee~lsts in many of the smaller towns in Eastland, BANKING mancl for funds continues, on acErath, Comanche Wichita and other counties 0 count of ~le State where ~",ells are b~ing b.rought in daily. ton and the very heavythe slow marketing of cotcalls upon banks in the 11 Sorts of rumors arc bC111g Circulated to endrouth section for financing their customers in COurage speculation by the small investor; princiresult the member banks ~af lly those, of course, which chronicle the n~a~(i.ng another crop year. fA a ties of this in ti tution, and contin ue to seek the acili fortunes over night. As a result of the actIvItIes l1le t' . I 11 loned local business at the smaller towns In our total bills discounted and bought show an int ~e oil fields is the heaviest of record. The influx crease of ov r $6,000,000 in the past 30 days. Duro. oil men an 1 the consequent increase in popula- ing the same period the amount of member banks reserve over $3,000,000. The ~IOIl .of the .d,ri.lling centers. has caused a deart~ of demand deposits has increas·edgreat that many memfor loans has be n so OllSIIlg facIlIties, and locatIons for new enterpnses tre greatly in demand. 'rhe ovcrAow has contri- ber banks have found it practically impossible to )llted to the business of the larger towns adjacent subscribe for the Treasury Certificates of Indebtedness now being issued anticipation of the Fifth ~~T the fields and is reA ctecl in Dallas and Fort Liberty Loan, and thisin district has consequently '1' .orth particularly, in the opening of Boards of been unable to meet its quotas. I ade and Exchanges for trading in oil stocks. An analysis of the reports of member banks, on the Comptroller's call of December 31st, shows an inIn .0111e COunties of South and East Te.x as the very crease in deposits and a slight decrease in loans A. heavy rains h~ve interfered with over the call of November 1st. Except with banks GRICULTURE crop preparat10ns and the farm- in the oil producing sections, deposits are still great\\ ers are badly behind in their ly below what they should be for this season, and t{ork. . Over most of the agricultural helt, however, the deferred liquidating p~riod and unprecedentecl 19~ Winter rains insure unusuall,Y hea:,y. cr.ops in demand for funds for livestock and agricultural 9. Our correspondents are qUIte Optl1111StIC 0"\ er financil1g have permitted a very small reduction in This publication was digitized and made available by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas' Historical Library (FedHistory@dal.frb.org) the loan account. Interest rates are practicall y unchanged, and 6 to 8 per cent prevail for customer's paper. Clearings at the principal cities of the District in December show an increase or 1.9 per cent over' December, 1917. For the years of 1917 and 1918 an increase oE 15 per cent will be noted. Detailed figures follow : Inc. 1917 17,865,299 5,072,416 92,134,348 17,398,767 74,366,078 30,036,760 71,655,205 12,857,133 Total ____________________ $321,385,996 or Dec. *27.4 24.6 20.2 19.5 *21.8 * 3.1 6.1 5.5 1918 $ 12,975,434 6,318,245 110,758,577 20,782,340 58,155,278 29,096,247 76,060,650 13,561,914 t.he same periods a year ago, are shown below : DECEMBER 1917 No. Valuation. ________ ______ 11 $ 15,035 Austin 60,602 Beaumont ..... --- .... Dalla s ________________ 28 128,115 58,700 78 E l Paso ____________ 26 ______ 136,345 Ft. Worth ________ 171 4,051 Galveston 712,683 Houston ____________ 120 234,945 San An tOllio ___ 204 17,605 Shreveport ______ 37 $327,708,685 Austin .... _ ...... _____ .. _ ___ $ __ .. Beaul110n t .......... ____________ Dallas .. ________________ .. ________ E l Paso ________________________ Ft. Worth ____________________ Galveston .. __________________ Houston ______________________ Sh reveport __________________ * Decrease. TWELVE MONTHS 1917 Austin .. __ .. ____________ .. ______ $182,1(}51,911 Beaumont ____________________ 58,340,430 Dallas __ .. ______________ .. ________ 790,312,730 E1 Paso ________________________ 206,696,077 FL Worth ____________________ 668,322,419 Galveston ____________________ 283,295,093 Houston ______________ ____ ____ 703,647,253 Shreveport __________________ 109,023,913 1918 $185,372,224 68,216,730 1,076,092,264 226,641,693 694,451,202 278,382,862 796,351,625 132,002,711 Inc. or Dec_ 1.8 15.9 36.2 9.6 3.9 * 1.7 13.2 21.1 Total... ____________ _ $3,002,189,876 $3,457,511,311 Increase-$45,321,435-15 0/0 * Decreas e. vVeather conditions have b een extremely unfavo rable for the building industry durBUILDING iug January, and temporarily checked any tendency ther·e might have been to re-open operations. Contractors are qui.te optimistic over t.he outlook, however, and believe that as the new year advances unpre cedented activities w ill prevail in the build ing line. Manufacturers of construction materials report increased inquiries, and feel encou r aged over the outlook_ The high price of labor is affecting operations to a serious extent. Every effort is being made to encourage and promote bui lding activities, in order to provide employment for men discharged from the army- In some of t he larger cities of Northern T exas, t he inft ux to t he population caused by t he oil industry has created a very active demand for b usiness houses and dwellings, a nd m ade additional housin g facilities ab solutely essential. P ermi ts issued at the principal cit ies of th e D istrict in Decemb er , and during 1918, as com pared w ith No. 7 33 65 38 415 172 118 54 1918 Valuation. $ 3,400 35,583 61,635 52,668 53,312 15,062 149,784 82,963 18,024 Inc. or Dec_ *77.3 *-11.2 *5 1.8 *10.3 ':'60.9 271.8 *78.9 *64.6 2.3 TotaL _________ 675 $1,368,151 902 $'172,431 Decrease-$895,72'0----65.4% 'I' Decrease. TWELVE MONTHS No. Austin _____________ 289 Beaumont ________ ____ naJlas ____________ .. __ 807 EI Paso __________ 1,785 Fort Worth ____ 524· Galves ton ______ 1,818 Houston _______ 2,388 Sail Antonio_2,004 Shreveport ______ 707 1917 Valuation. $347,561 1,1066,331 3,575,259 3,469,5'07 1,790,612 226,610 3,129,246 2,134,868 915,.112 No. 102 555 1,030 630 3,957 2,227 2,612 593 1918 Valuation. $252,615 1,304,421 1,667,729 6'16,149 2,067,887 175,614 2,222,151 3,756,344 552,257 Inc. or Dec. *27.3 22.3 *53.3 ':'81.3 15.4 *22.5 *28.9 75.9 *39.6 TotaL. _______ 1O,322 $16,655,106 11,706 $12,M5,167 Dccrease-$4,005,939-24% Incrcase in number-1,384. * Decrease. Continued rains have curtailed production and shipments of lumber fully 50 per cent during the past two mont.hs. As this is written January promises no improvement. The demand is very light, although no decline in prices is noticeable. On the contrary, prices are somewhat higher t.han were Government schedules in effect up to D ecember 23rd. Stocks in the hands of manu Eacturers are very low and badly hroken, and, on account of weather conditions, are not being replenished at the normal rate_ Manufacturers are hopeful that Spring trade will be very active, as it is expected the railroads wi ll shortly resume buying 011 a large scale, and that the export demand will be limited only bY t he bottoms that may be available for shipmentS. The Government will soon place a large quantity 01 lumber (estimat·ed at 400,000,000 feet) on th e market, but it is expected it will be offered in such a manner as to not undu ly disturb prices. O n t he w hole, it is anticipated that the lumber industry, for t he next two years at least, will enjoy t he greatest prosperity in its history. Export.s from the Galveston Di strict in November--the latest month for whi ch figure~ EXPORTS are available, a g g r eg a te d $15,050,744, a decr ease of $14,884,779 --or 49.7 per cent over Oct ob er. The record of commercial suspensions for December shows a slight decrease in nUlTIFAILURES ber, but a substantial increase in the amount involved, as compared . with December 1917. 'l'l:e record for 'the year is an excellent one, considenng' the uncertain conditions as a resu lt of the country being at war. The figures which follow show, by months, the number of failures in the Eleventh District, and amount involved, in ] 918, as COmpared with 1917: No. {~anuary ....... _............... 58 ~< [ebruary .................... 50 JV.arch 90 ~yjl .• • • • • • • • • • • • • • • ~ s ugust ........................ oe p tel11 bel' .................. N ctober ...................... ] oV(!l11ber .................. Jecember ............. _... 56 42 52 57 50 1917 Liabilit ies. $498,256 518,042 310,418 228,577 503,691 376,200 292,589 344,273 223,142 392,822 421,936 380,506 No. 48 41 31 32 31 33 33 46 33 30 32 33 1918 Liabilities. $455,538 288,227 192,997 251,858 262,671 470,752 311,032 298,340 272,521 410,202 293,019 1,191,850 'fotal.. .................... 684 $4-,490,452 423 $4,699,007 Decrease in l1umber-261-38.1 % Increas e in liabilities-$208,555-4.6% 'I'he labor situation in the District is be oming complicated by the rapid demohilization of LABOR soldiers. A large number of the men are unable t.o find employment, as l1lany concerns are refusing to re-employ soldiers formerly in their service. This, of course, has resu!tecl in a large surplus of labor, skilled and unskt1led, and the situation is becomi.ng very acute. 'n\c severe weather durino' the month has caused b some heavy losses in cattle in the LIVE STOCK Panhandle, and northern and east. ern New Mexico; in the latter . eCllOn especially losses will be heavier than for inters past. The heavy snows remained several \i\T On the ground for several days and necessitated large quantities of high-priced feed. The extremely. cold weather, coming as it did rather earl yin the winter, caused cattle to lose in flesh and strenoth and. will make it necessary to feed heavily u~ti l ~pnng opens. The \i\Tinter rains and snows insure . ne ran.ge conditions in the Spring and w ill 1110rc t!lan .ort. et any temporary damage to stockmen. h.ecelpts at t he principal markets in Jan uary have been heavy, though a slight decrease is shown in the nUl11b-er of cattl e, and a substantial increase in hogs. T he unsettled condition of t he copper market a nd th e high price of labor and material MINING h ave greatly restri cted m ining ope rations in t he T ucson, Clifton and Douglas sections. The volume of busin ess in thi s particul ar line has b een sub stanti all y r edu ced as a result, and the prospects for the imm·cdiate future in the industry are not good. Coal mines in the Albuquerque section are having a very heavy demand for their output, and orders greatly exceed the production. The Oklahoma mines are also running on full time. Post office receipts at the principal cities of the District in December show a decrease of 1.4 per cent. SevPOST OFFICE eral of the cities report subRECEIPTS stantial decreases, as will be disclosed by the figures foHowing: 1917 Austin ............................... $ 22,788 Beaumont .................................... 17,627 Dallas ...... 167,647 EI Paso ........................... --........... 42,967 Fort Worth ............. __ ............... __ 82,9~4 Galveston __ .................. --.............. 23,370 Houston ..... ____ ........ __ .... __ .. __ ........... 106,702 San Antonio ............... __ ............... 108,217 Sh reveport .............. __ .................. 25,272 Waco .................. ______ .................... 50,456 00 . . . . . . . . . 0 0. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . _ _ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . _ _ • 191tl $ 24,789 16,450 179,909 41,288 68,650 24,044 104,604 105,740 26,347 33,808 Inc. or Dec. 8.7 '" 6.6 7.3 'I' 3.9 *17.2 2.8 * 1.8 * 2.2 4.2 *32.9 '1' ota 1 ______ .......................... __ .. $565,046 .... $556,979 Decrease-$8,067-1.4% * Decrease. A comparison of 1917 and ]918 at the same cities shows an increase of 35.3 per cent. The increases were especially conspicuous at the cantonment. cities. The figures in detail were : 1917 Austin ..................................... ____ $209,185 Beaumont ............. __ .......... __ ....... __ 126,145 Dallas .......... __ ....................... __ .... 1,499,260 E1 Paso ..................... __ ................. 365,490 Fort Worth ................................ 582,551 Galveston ................................. __ . 182,300 Houston ...................................... 772,981 San An tonio ................................ 682,830 Shreveport ............. __ .. __ .......... __ ... 221,708 \. aco ......... __ ............ _................... 256,650 V 1918 $268,167 171,261 1,849,146 400,543 842,180 232,349 1,'029,550 1,145,426 278,269 416,075 Inc. 28.2 34.9 23 .3 9.5 44.5 27.4 33.1 67.7 25.5 62.1 To ta 1.............. ______ .. __ .. __ ........$4 ,899,100 $6,632,966 Increasc-$1,733,866-35.3 % Ret.ail trade during the month has been only fairly activ'e. The lull is especial ly noticeabl e following the holiWHOLESALE days. The inanguration of barA ND RETAIL gain sales, the . demand fo r ciTRADE vilian clothing by demobilized sold iers, and concessions made in the prices of merchandise for quick t urn-over, incident to the stock taking period, hav-e partly offset this seasonal dull ness. vVholesale trade is unsettled and cancellations of orders are quite num erou s. \i\Thile a good business is expected in 1919, fo r the present at least merchants are r estri cting t h eir purch ases t o actual r equirem ents, are careful not to over-stock, and a rc awaitin g more settled market co ndi tions befor e placing large contracts. 1 his is very noticeable in the grocery trade, and dealers report that orders for future delivery are being cancelled and contracts repudiated. The grocery trade is therefore not brisk and is less active than a month ago . There seems to be no immediate prospect that prices of goods will decline. They certainly will not until labor gets cheaper, and as lon g as living costs are abnormal, as at present, the wage scale will be well maintained. Collections are slow, on account of the cotton situation and bad weather. Due to the relaxation of passport restrictions with Mexico, and the elimination by the GENERAL 'vVar Trade Board of a great many articles from the export conservation list, r etail trad·e with the Republic is improving rapidly. Wholesale business, however, is practically at a standstill, as the merchants below the borcler seem to expect an early return to pre-war prices from the pres·ent abnormal market. Th ey are therefore purchasing from "hand to mouth." This has curtailecl local business to a considerable extent and necessitated merchants at border point holding large stocks of goods. STATEMENT OF CONDITION OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF DALLAS At the Close of Business JANUARY 24, 1919. RESOURCES Gold Gold Gold Gold Gold coin and certificates in vauIL ............................................. .................................................................................... .. $ 5,883,385.00 settlement fund ............................................................................................................................................................. . 6,625,757.35 redemption fund ........................................................................................................................................................... . 2,184,450.00 held with foreign agencies ........................................................................................................................................ .. 204,010.61 with Agent for retirement of F. R. Notes ..................... ................................................................................... .. 22,246,995.00 Total ............... _.......................... _.......... _............................................. .......................................................................... . $37,144,597.96 Legal tender notes, silver, etc ...................................................... .................................................................................... . 1,745,084.50 Total ....... _.............................. _................................................................................................ ........................................ $38,889,682.46 5% redemption fund-F. R. Bank Notes .................................... .................................................................................... . 314.200.00 Bills discounted-members .............................................................................................................................................. .. 48,702,103 .10 Bills bought in open market ....................................................... .................................................................................... .. 2,625,000.00 Total Bills on Hand ............................... _.. _............................ ................. .................................................................... $51,327,103.10 Tnvestments-U. S. Bonds ............................................................. ............................. ........................................................ . 3,973,025.00 D . S. Certificates of Indebtedn ess ................................................................... ............................................... ................ .. 4,400,000.00 Total earning assets ................................................................................................................................................... .. $59,700.128.10 Federal Reserve Banks-Transfers Bought-(net) ............... ...... .............................................................................. .. 3,572,635.53 Checks and drafts in process of collection ..................... :.......... ................................................................. ,................... . 11,780,363.25 Due from other F. R. Banks........ ...................................................................................................................................... .. 3,511,005.59 All other resources ........................................................................... ............. ..................................................................... .. 3,519,412.52 Total Resources ........................................................................................................................................................ $121,287,427.45 LIABILITIES Capital paid in ................................................................................... .................................................................................. .. $ 3,169,750.00 Surplus .......................................................................................................... ...................................... ................................. .. 592.204.25 Government deposits .......................................................................................................................................................... .. 5,277,246.06 Due to member banks' reserve accounL .................................. _.................................................................................... . 38,484,403.66 Deferred credits, account checks and drafts in process of collection .............................................................. .. 10,739;179.28 Federal Reserve Notes in cireulation ............................... _......................................... ................................................. . 55,980,390.'00 F. R. Bank Note Circulation ............................................... _......................................................................................... .. 5,791 ,400.00 All other liabilities ....................................................................... _.. ..................................................................................... . 1,252,554.20 ----- Total Liabilities ............................... _.............................. _...... .......................... ,......................... ................................ $121,287,427.4 5 OFFICERS W. F. RAMSEY, Federal Reserve Agent. R. L. VAN ZANDT, Governor. LY N N P . TALLEY, Deputy Governor-Cashier. CHARLES C. HALL, PAUL G. TAYLOR, R.R. GILBERT, Ass't Federal Reserve Agent. Assistant Cashier. Assistant Cashier. R. BUCKNER COLEMAN, FRED HARRIS, Assistant Cashier. Assistant Cashier.