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MONGJrHLG)[ REVIEW FEDERAL RESERVE Vol. 38, No.2 BANK o F DALLAS February 1, 1953 DALLAS, TEXAS FORESTS - AN IMPORTANT ASSET OF THE SOUTHWEST H. Agricultural Economist Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas CARL MOORE, Early settlers of the southwestern plains soon learned the value of trees as a sonrce of fuel, bnilding material, shade, and protection from the wind and sun. In other areas, where trees had to be cleared from the land before crops could be sown, forests sometin1es were considered a nuisance. Today, growing trees on a commercial scale is rapidly becoming an important enterprise on many farms of east Texas, eastern Oklahoma, and parts of Louisiana; in the mountain timbered areas of Arizona and New Mexico, a program of forest con· servation has been in operation for half a century. In the Southwest, 10 percen t - about 37,000,000 acres ' of the total land area is commercial forest land, i.e., land that is producing or is capable of producing commercial timber. In Louisiana and the eastern portion of Texas, commercial fores ts cover 56 percent of all land. These figures do not include approximately 30,000,000 acres of mesquite, oak, and cedar brakes in the western portions of Oklahoma and Texas and nearly 29,000,000 acres of pinyon-juniper and more than 4,000,000 acres inaccessible and reserved from cutting in New Mexico and Arizona. While posts, fuel wood, and a limited amount of timber are cut from parts of these regions, their productivity is considered to be so low that they are not classified by the Forest Service as connnercial timber areas. It is of interest that the acreage of commercial forests in the five-state area is only slightly smaller than the 41,000,000 acres of cultivated crops harvested in the Southwest in 1952. In Louisiana, forest lands occupy five tin1es as large an area as do cultivated crops. reservations. There are 13 national forests in these states, comprising a total of 20,4.95,000 acres. The Carson, Santa Fe, Cibola, Lincoln, Gila, and parts of the Coronado and Apache National Forests are in New Mexico_ The Kaibab, Prescott, Coconino, Tonto, Sitgreaves, Crook, and parts of the Apache and Coronado are found in Arizona. Actual logging operations in national forests and other areas supervised by the Forest Service are done by private individuals or firms under a working agreement with the Forest Service_ In Texas, Oklahoma, and Louisiana, 93 percent of the commercial forest land is privately owned, and it is estin1ated that in east Texas and parts of Louisiana more than half of thc connnercially valuable timber land is in holdings of less than 3,000 acres. There are six national forests in these three states: the Kisatchie in central Louisiana (538,000 acres); the Ouachita (western portion) in southeastern Oklahoma (176,000 acres) ; and the Sam Houston (161,500 acres), Davy Crockett (161,500 acres), Angelina (154,200 acres) , and Sabine (184,500 acres) in southeast Texas. Prior to 1934., there were no federally owned lands in Texas, inasmuch as the State r etained title to all public lands under the Treaty of Annexation of 1845. In 1934, the Texas Legislature invited the Federal Government to establish national forests in Texas through the purchase of certain lands where forestry conservation measures were needed urgently. Under this program, 1,714,000 acres have been approved for purchase by the Federal Government and are included within the boundaries of four national forests. Only about 661,800 acres have been purchased to date. Ow nership of Commercial Forest Lands COMMERCIAL FO REST LAND, BY OWNERSHIP lin thousands of Clcres) About 82 percent of the commercial forest lands in Arizona and New Mexico is federally owned or managed, with most of the area included in national forests or Indian 'The United States Forest Service Reappraisal 0/ 1945 provides the most recent data on area and ownership of commercial forests. Figures from the survey are the basis 0/ this report. They were reviewed, however, by forestry officials in the area and are believed to be reasonably current. Stote, Total all Federally owned or managed State own~rship, Arizona •••.••• • • 2.815 16.169 2,744- 3,465 4,308 10,788 2,405 louisiono •••.... . New Mexico ..... Oklahoma . • .... . Te,;05 • • • • • • • • • • 747 619 696 Pri'l'ote county, a,d Industria l municipal Totol 30 265 149 23 16 41 15,157 911 3,666 10,076 Form and other 36 5 2,969 12,188 218 2,854 7,263 693 812 2,813 SOURCEI Based on Uniled States Forest S.r... ice Reappraisal, 1945 This publication was digitized and made available by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas' Historical Library (FedHistory@dal.frb.org) MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 18 or denuded. Efficient utilization of this forest land would add materially to the income of many communities. Value of Forest Products The mill value of forest products sold in 1952 in the Southwest is estimated at $237,000,000 - three times the value of forest products marketed in 1939. During the process of milling, this value is more than doubled, so that the estimated dollar value of milled forest products of the Southwest in 1952 exceeded $500,000,000. Lumber constitutes the largest single item, accounting for virtually all income from forest products in Arizona and New Mexico and about two·thirds of the total in Texas, Louisiana, and Oklahoma. Sales of pulpwood have become an important item in the lalter states during the past decade and in 1952 represented about one· fourth of all sales of forest products in Texas and Louisiana and about one· seventh in Oklahoma. In 1939, pulpwood sales were only about 10 percent of the total in Texas and Louisiana, while no sales were reported in Oklahoma. Other forest products of the Southwest include fuel wood, poles, posts, veneer, cooperage stock for making barrels, and railroad ties. Income from the sale of forest products in the Southwest represents a relatively small proportion of all agricultural income. For example, the total in 1952 is equal to about 6 percent of cash receipts from farm marketings (excluding forest products sold by farmers and ranchers). However, in Louisiana, where forestry occupies a more prominent position in the economy, sales of forest products were equal to 25 percent of cash receipts from farm marketil)gs. Estimates for east Texas indicate that sales of forest products in that area were only slightly lower than the total sales of field crops, livestock, and livestock products. The importance of forests to the economy of eastern sections of the Southwest is emphasized further by the potential earning capacity of much of the land if it were properly stocked with trees and managed for a sustained income. A survey by the United States Forest Service shows that of the commercial forest land, 15 percent in Texas, 20 percent in Louisiana, and 26 percent in Oklahoma are poorly stocked ESTIMATED VALUE OF FOREST PRODUCTS SOLD t.lllLIOHS O~ OOLLARS MILLIONS OF DOLLARS 120 '2 0 100-1 1939 -----------~~~4100 \:::::: :1 '952 ao~~~---------~~--~~ao « The wide variation in geographic location, tree species, and management practices of the forest areas in the South· west makes it desirable to divide the region into two sections for discussion. The western area includes the mountain timbered lands of Arizona and ew Mexico. The eastern forest lands are composed of the timbered areas of the coastal plains and adjoining hill lands of east Texas, eastern Oklahoma, and Louisiana. Mounta in Timbered Areas of Arizona and New Mexico Virgin stands of ponderosa pine stretch for nearly 300 miles from the Gila wilderness of southwestern New Mexico in a northwesterly direction to the Grand Canyon of the Colorado River in northwestern Arizona. The forests are unbroken for miles in many areas, completely covering the mountain slopes. Other stands of ponderosa pine, spruce, and Douglas.fir are found in many sections of both states. The total forested area in Arizona and New Mexico amounts to 39,540,000 acres, of which only 6,300,000 acres are classified as "commercial saw·timber forest." There are saw·timber stands on an additional 4,440,000 acres that would be classified as commercial saw timber except for their inaccessibility or location in areas where cutting is restricted. The remaining 28,800,000 acres are noncommercial wood· land from which only limited quantities of minor products are cut. The forests of the area are softwoods, except for fairly extensive stands of quaking aspen which, as yet, has not become commercially important. The aspen of Arizona and New Mexico has been found to produce an excellent quality of excelsior, and three small excelsior mills, cutting about 2,000 cords annually, have been established during the past decade, with production going largely into air cooler pads and packing for fruit and furniture. Two sawmills in northern New Mexico cut aspen timber during 1951 and 1952, the lumber going largely for crating and furniture squares and a small amount into panel stock for interior finish. Virtually all of the forest land is in the mountain areas at elevations between 5,000 and 11,500 feet. Rainfall below 5,000 feet is insufficient to support tree growth, and the upper timber line is generally reached at about 11,500 feet. COMMERCIAL FOREST LAND, BY STAND SIZE Gol------------~ l---.~._I GO (In thousands of acres) 401-------------{.~~:~~:--~~40 2: JH JJ ARIZONA NEW ME X ICO .....F.'l OKLA HOMA tic-- t r20 LOUI~NT- TE~L- 0 Seedling and Stote Tola r Sow timber Arizona •••••••.• 2,815 16,169 3,465 4,308 2.735 10,041 2,615 2,059 10,788 7.109 l ouisiana . .•... . . New Mexico .. ... Oklahoma •••... . Texas ..•....... Pol. timber sapling 50 1,502 1.400 700 830 1,149 297 942 SOURCE, 80sed on United States Forest S.r'fice Reappraisal. 1945. Poorly stocked seedling and scpling or denuded 30 3,226 150 1,122 1,588 4 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 19 T E XA S COMMERCIAL FOR EST ARE AS The commercial forests, where ponderosa pine, Douglas-fir, and spruce trees grow abundantly, are found at altitudes from 6,500 to 10,000 feet It is from this region that virtually all of the saw logs are cut Very little timber is cut above 10,000 feet elevation because slopes are generally too steep and rocky to permit logging to be done economically and the standing timber is more valuable for watershed protection and as soil cover to prevent erosion than it would be if sa wed inlo lumber. The pinyon.j uni per, Arizona cypress, and the evergreen-oak-type trees found below altitudes of around 6,500 feet provide fuel wood and posts bUl are not suitable for commercial timber production. The best-known forest management practices are used in the commercial timber areas, and cuttings are made with due regard to improving the stand, maintaining the forest in a productive state, and providing the logging operators with a sufficient volume from each area to make an economical operation. Nearly all logging areas in national forests are managed on a sustained yield basis. It has been necessary to make culs of 35 to 60 percent of the volume from virgin stands to remove overmature and decadent timber and convert the area to a stand of more desirable, younger, fastgrowing trees. Regular annual cuttings have been main~ Lained by rotating the harvest between different sections , within the harvesting area on a periodic cutting basis. Nearly 85 percent of the commercial forest land in this region is classified as saw timber. The total volume of saw timber is estimated at about 25 billion board feet. This represents the net volume of the potential saw logs in trees with a diameter at breast height of 12 or more inches. The estimated annual growth added to the saw·timber volume is about 370,000,000 board feet, or about 11;2 percent of the total volume. Growth on national forest stands which have been cut over is between 2 and 2lj2 percent of total volume per year, but in many of the virgin stands where no cuttings have been made, growth is largely offset by loss in old decadent trees. Over the area, cutting is now about equal to Lhe computed sustained yield, but this - at least in the national forests - will increase as the first cutting is completed and the entire stand is placed in a growing condition. I n recent years about 370,000,000 board feet have been cut annually. Timbered Areas of Ea stern Oklahoma , East Texas, and louisiana The pineywoods and boLtomland and mountain hard· woods of eastern Oklahoma, cast Texas, and Louisiana represent the western end of the Southern Pine Belt, which extends from Virginia to Texas and produces about 40 percent of the lumber cut in the United States and more than one-half of the Nation's pulpwood. The pines and other soft· woods represent about 60 percent of the standing timber in Oklahoma and Texas and about 30 percent in Louisiana. About 18 percent of all southern pine lumber is cut in this three·state region. 20 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW Some small areas of virgin longleaf pine are stilI found in east Texas and Louisiana, but most of the conifers are in faster· growing second.growth stands, with loblolly and short· leaf pines predominating. All of these pines as a group usually are referred to as "southern yellow pine." They are generally found on the sandier, better·drained soils and are familiar to all who have traveled in east Texas or western Louisiana. For the most part, in Texas the piney woods section is confined to about 36 eastern counties. The only exception is the area of approximately 85,000 acres in Bastrop, Fayette, and Caldwell counties east and southeast of Austin known as " The Lost Pines." This stand is composed almost entirely of loblolly pine and is unusual in that the rainfall in that area is from 10 to 15 inches lower than in any other area where this species is found. The hardwood trees consist principally of oaks and gums. The better stands usually are found along the bottoml~nds of streams. The more abundant lesser species include hickory, elm, ash, willow, cypress, hackberry, and cottonwood. In this section of the Southwest the volume of oak timber exceeds that of all other hardwood species by a wide margin. About 62 percent of the total area of commercial forests is classified as saw·timber size. This classification applies to stands with a net volume of at least 600 board feet per acre in softwood species 9 inches or larger in diameter at breast height and hardwoods 13 inches in diameter. Eleven percent is classified as pole timber - trees 5 to 9 inches in diameter - and 8 percent as seedlings or saplings less than 5 inches in diameter. Nineteen percent, or about 6,000,000 acres, is poorly stocked or denuded. Heavy cutting and lack of attention to restocking or care of forest lands until recent years have left the timber stand of this area with a relatively high percentage of young trees. Practically no virgin stands remain. Much of the land that should have been replanted with pine after the original cutting has grown up to poor·quality hardwoods. In many respects, the forestry of the area is in its infancy, as it has just begun to build permanent forests that will yield a sustained level of production year after year. There are between 65 and 70 billion board feet of sa w timber in this region. Abont two·thirds is softwood in Okla· homa and Texas, and two·thirds, hardwood in Louisiana. Limited data on the area covering the period 1935 to 1948 suggest that the total volume increased in some areas, such as southeastern Texas and southcentral Louisiana, but de· clined in other regions, such as northeastern Texas and northwestern Louisiana. I t is estimated that each year about 3.7 billion board feet - equal to about 5% percent of the saw·timber volume are added to the staud by new growth. The faster·growing softwoods add about 7 percent to their saw·timber volume, while hardwoods add only about 4 percent. Most estimates of the annual drain , or harvest, of the saw·timber area are about equal to the volume of new growth - 5.5 percent of the saw·timber volume. However, there is considerable varia· tion in this relationship between drain and growth among different species, trees of different size and quality, and from area to area and year to year. General economic cond itions, species preference of consumers, quality requirements, and other factors influence the amount and quality of timber products used. In addition to the 65 to 70 billion board feet of saw timber, it is estimated that there are an additional 10 billion cubie fee t in trees sma ller than saw·timber size or of inferior quality and in the tops and main branches of saw·timber stands. Much of this represents potential saw·timber volume, if the smaller trees are left to grow. It also is a source of timber for other uses, such as pulpwood, fuel, poles, posts, and ti es. A substantial volume is harvested each year for these purposes. Considering all of the timber uses, estimated annual drain is slightly less than annual new growth. This indicates a more judicial use of our timber resources than was true a few decades ago. However, much can be done to improve further this relationship and to build a reserve of timber resources for future years when the pressure of population and the demands of industry may easi ly increase our need for lum· ber and other timber products. Products of the Forest Forest products that are used in industry and agriculture include lumber, veneer, pulpwood, poles, posts, railroad ties, and fuel. Lumber is by far the most important in both volume and value. More than half of the total volume of wood cut goes into lumber, and the value of timber used for lumber LUMBER PRODUCTION c::J LOU ISIANA rzz!3 OKLAHOMA c:::::J NEW MEXICO c=::J ARIZONA ~TEXAS t MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW accounts for about two-thirds of the total value of all forest products_ In 1951, about 6 percent of thc Nation's lumber was produced in the Southwest, an amount substantially less than the 15 percent contributed by thc area in the mid-1920's_ The change has been due primarily to a decline in production of lumber in Louisiana_ In recent years the Southwest has produced about 18 percent of all southern yellow pine lumber, 24 percent of the willow, and 10 percent of the oak_ Although the total volume is relatively small, the area also produces 56 percent of all pecan and 25 perccnt of the sweetgum logs cut in the United States_ Pulpwood used for making paper, paper products, and rayon is the second most important forest product in the Southwest. It is estimated that from 15 to 18 percent of the total volume of timber cut is used for making wood pulp_ In a sense, pulpwood is a by-product of the forest, inasmuch as trees are seldom grown for the specific purpose of producing pulpwood_ Thinning of stands and improvement cutting of inferior trees, plus the utilization of tops and branches of saw-log trees, provide virtually all of the pulpwood_ Capitalizing upon this use of wood enables the owner of a timber tract to receive some income from his property many years before the stand is large enough for saw-log operations_ The fast-growing southern pine trees, such as the loblolly and slash, can be cut for pulpwood about 15 years after planting_ On the other hand, spruce, grown in the northern areas of the United States and Canada and formerly the primary source of pulpwood, rcquires 50 to 60 years to reach the same size_ The use of pulp wood has increa sed rapidly in recent years, with an exceptionally sharp increase occurring in east Texas during thc past decadc_ Thc three states of Texas, Louisiana, and Oklahoma produced morc than 9 percent of the total United States output in 1951, compUTed with 6 percent in 1939_ The 12 southern states in which most of the southern pine is grown produced 56 percent in 1951 and 46 percent in 1939_ In 1951, Texas ranked eighth in the South and eleventh in the Nation in pulpwood production_ Montgomery County, Texas, with 84,726 cords cut in 1951, ranked eleventh in pulpwood production in the South_ ~ Much of the rapid increase in pulpwooc] production in Texas stems from the development of techniques permitting the production of newsprint from southern pine_ The pine trees of the South have been used for many years in the manufacture of kraft pulp - the kind used for container board, wrapping paper, bags, magazine papers, and specialtiesbut it was not until 1939 that southern pine was used commercially for the manufacture of newsprint_ In the spring of that year the first pulp mill for commercial mannfacture of lIe\\sprint using southern pine was opened in Lufkin, Texas_ A great deal of research had gone into the develop- 21 PULPWOOD PRODUCTION ''oooI--__+---L---L--_t_--t--t '----t-~~----~~'--_r----1_----+_4 600 ~---~'----~-----.----+_----t---~--1 400 ~~__+-----+----4_----_t_----L---~~200 ,O.,L.--~--"·:.:-"· ..ii>.-"'--"'."-'.u;i";i.",,'!.!-'.:!-': ;"i'.i" ":':~ :':-~:':~' i;:~i.~;-'~- ~- - ';i- , ..-.- , 3Q ~"l 1~"3 Ii'" 1947 li"9 t!f ~ 1 10 rnent of the processing methods, and sonthwestern newspaper publishers had agreed to purchase each year at least 30,000 tons of newsprint made from southern pine_ This assured a market, and production was begun in May 1939, Since that date the original mill has increased its capacity several times, and it now produces about 500 tons of pulp daily_ A second mill has been built at Pasadena, Texas, which manufactures high-grade paper for use in magazines_ Total capacity of these two plants is now approxinlately 1,000 tons of pulp daily, compared with 665 tons in 1946_ Recently, it was announced that a third pulp mill will be constructed at Evadale, Texas, in Jasper County_ The preliminary announcement of this plant indicates that it will also manufacture high-grade paper for use in magazines_ In Louisiana there are eight pulp mills, located at Shreveport, West Monroe, Elizabeth, New Orleans, Bogalusa, Bastrop, Spring Hill, and Hodge_ The total capacity of these plants is about 4,500 tons of pulp daily, compared with a little over 3,000 tons in 1946_ These mills draw pulpwood from Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Mississippi, and Louisiana_ About one-third to one-half of the pulpwood cut in Texas is shipped to pulp mills in Louisiana for processing, although Texas mills draw some of their pulpwood from Louisiana_ Fuel wood represented about 20 percent of the volume of wood cut a decade ago, but the almost universal use of natural gas, coal, or oil in industry and the recent expansion in the use of low-pressure gas for rural homes have reduced the demand for wood fneL Today, wood-burning fireplaces in urban homes and the use of slabs, edgings, and sawdust as fuel in certain lumber mills represent the largest uses of wood for fueL In 1948, it was estimated that fuel wood represented only 13 percent oof the total volwne cut in east Texas_ 22 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW Veneer has become a very important forest product. The development of mechanical equipment to cut thin pieces of wood, plus the improvement in adhesives that enable fabricators to glue several thicknesses of wood together to produce a strong structure, opened up an almost entirely new field of wood products. The process enables the furniture manufacturer to give a desired finish to an item without using solid wood, which is more expensive and adds considerable weight. Veneer·cut woods also are used in the mannfacture of boxes, crates, and other containers which must be light in weight and yet strong. In fact, until recent years this "package veneer" was the major use, volumewise, of veneer. However, plywood production is now developing rapidly. The bonding together of two or more thin layers of wood gives additional strength without increasing weight or volume. In recent years the shortage of certain structural steel items has increased research in the use of laminated wood beams and other structural parLs of buildings. In many instances, these products have compared favorably with metals in strength and durability. Moreover, greater utilization of timber can be achieved in making veneer and laminated products, since short logs (usually called bolts) that would not be suitable for lmnber production can be utilized. Another forest product that long has been used by industry is cooperage stock, usually cut from oak or some other hardwood and used in the manufacture of barrels. This still represents an important use of timber, althongh on a much smaller scale than a generation ago. Metal materials have replaced it in many uses. Cross ties for railroads take about 4 percent of the volume of timber harvested in east Texas each year, and it is estimated that in the neighborhood of 4,000,000 ties are cut in that region annually. Other forest products that are im· portant include poles and fence posts. Thesc products usually are treated with chemicals or creosote materials that make them resistant to decay and insects. Such treatment, usually under pressure, frequently triples or quadruples the useful life of the poles or posts. Many farmers have devised homemade equipment for treating their own posts cut from the farm woodlot. In addition to these uses of forest products, the forested areas also are valuable for recreational purposes and as an important link in a sound water conservation program. The recreational use of woodlands is of particular interest to sportsmen and others who enjoy camping, fishing, hunting, and hiking. The extent of this interest is indicated by the fact that more than 25,000,000 persons annually visit our national forests to use the recreational facilities. Many others make frequent use of state and municipally owned parks. Conservation of water resources has become increasingly important in the Southwest, and while it is not possible to evaluate accurately the importance of forests in reducing runoff and maintammg the level of underground water reservoirs, it is known that runoff is reduced sharply and percolation of rainfall into underground reservoirs is facilitatcd by the cover of vegetation and residue provided by forests. Some Economic Aspects of Forest Production A substantial portion of the forest products of the South· west is grown on relatively large tracts owned by paper or lumber mills. Many of these holdings cover thousands of acres, and timber production is virtually the only use made of the land. These firms, for the most part, recognize the value of sound forestry management to provide continuous timber production. Following proved management practices enables them to prolong the productive life of their forest land and, thus, to place their mill operations on a more permanent basis. Some of the important practices recommended by foresters and used by progressive forest managers include fire control, careful selection of trees for cutting, careful log· ging operations to avoid unnecessary injury to younger trees, and making provision for perpetuating the stand, either through natural reseeding or planting of seedlings. Similar practices also have proved to be profitable for the small operators of commercial timber tracts and for farmers in managing their woodlots. Timber production requires a minimmn of labor and equipment prior to the logging operation and a relatively small investment. It does require the development of a sound plan for the use of forest stands, in order to protect the investment and to insure a reasonable rcturn when the timber is of merchantable size. The costs involved in establishing and managing a planta· tion of trees, as well as the returns from timber products sold, ESTIMATED VALUE PER ACRE OF AtTERNATIVE FOREST PRODUCTS' Alterncfive prodlJth Average diameter brea st high (inches) Yean after planting Saw logs o,d Pulpwood Saw logs pulpwood STUMPAGE VALUE 15 . •... . ........ . .•...... .. 20 .••.............•........ 25 ..•.............••• . . .... 30 ..•. . ..•....•.. ••.•..... . 35 .. •.... •...... ..•. ..... .. 40 .. •...... . ..•... .•....... 45 . . ......•....•. . .. ....... 50 ........•....•.........•. 55 ........•....•........... 60 .. ... . ... . .............. . 65 •• ...........•........... 6.1 7.7 9.2 10.7 12.2 13.7 15.2 $ 22 24 24 24 23 23 22 S1,070 $ 15 16.7 21 18.2 19.7 21.2 20 101 44 27 37 52 64 77 459 231 $348 $962 Total ••• •• .••.••••.•••• • 22 24 24 22 33 42 56 67 79 467 234 $ VALUE OF DELIVERED PRODUCTS 15......................... 20......................... 25......................... 30......................... 35....... . .•... ... ..•.. .... 40......................... 45.......... . .............. 50......................... 55....................... . . 60......................... 65 . ........................ Total .................. . 6.1 7.7 ~2 10.7 12.2 13.7 15.2 16.7 18.2 19.7 21.2 $ 89 95 95 93 91 89 84 79 406 176 39 63 80 102 122 138 810 397 89 95 96 68 07 99 118 134 146 844 409 $1.393 $1.751 $2.185 " From slash pine plantations; based on 1950 prices. SOURCE: United States Forest Service. t S ~ MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW ESTIMATED ANNUAL RANGE FORAGE YIELD AND GRAZING CAPACITY' Sou thwest louisiana Green foroge per acre Stocking rol. per animal unit (Pounds) (Acre,) (air d ry) Age of plantation (Ye(usj 1- 5 . ........... . ... . ...... .. ... . 6- 10 .. . .......•.........•.... • ... 11_15 .. . ... .. ..•....••.•.•..•.•..• 16-20 ..........• • ........• ........ 21-25 .. ...... .. . .... . ............ . 26-30 •••••.....•. . •• •... •• . •.••... 31-35 •..••.•.• • •..•••..••. . ...•... 36-40 ....... . • ••. . , . . ..• . •....•. . . 41_45 ..•. . .....•....•....•...••... 46-50 .. .. ......• • . ..•... . •....•... 51_55 ...•........ .. ....• . ......... 56-60 ............. ' .. . . . . ........ . 61-65 ............... . . . . . ........ . 575 525 125 150 150 160 160 175 175 200 225 275 400 13 14 58 49 49 46 46 23 Approximately eight cords of pulpwood per acre can be harvested at each cutting. At the 1950 price of $3.00 per cord, stump value, this gives a return of about $24 per acre every 5 years, beginning in the fifteenth year after planting - an amount 1.6 times the original investment, plus accumulated annual maintenance costs but exclusive of land cost or valuation. The first cutting of lumber is quite small, but the volume increases with successive cuttings. One of the initial costs of establ ishing a tree plantation, of course, is that of suitable land. Many farmers and other residents now own land as a part of their farms or in separate tracts that would be most profitable if used to grow trees. In addition to the value of forest products, the forested land also can be used for grazing. This combination of forestry and grazing is increasing rapidly in parts of east Texas, eastern Oklahoma, and Louisiana. Some of these operations are quite large, with several hundred head of cattle involved and thousands of acres of forest land leased for pasture. Most of them, however, are on a relatively small scale. During the spring and early summer months, usually from March to June, the native grasses provide excellent grazing. At this stage of growth, the forage is abundant and nutritious, with the protein content ranging in the neighborhood of 11 to 13 percent. Cows frequently gain a pound per day, and calves may increase in weight at the rate of 1112 or more pounds per day. The accompanying table indicates the estimated volume of range forage produced annually and the recommended stocking rates. Grazing becomes very poor in the fall and winter months, and cattle should be moved to other areas during this period. Another initial cost is that of the seedlings with which to plant the area. In Louisiana, slash pine seedlings can be purchased from the Louisiana Forestry Commission for about $2.50 per thousand. With a recommended planting rate of about 900 trees per acre, this item costs about S2.25 per acre. The seedlings can be machine·plantcd, on a custom basis, for about $4.25 per acre giving a total per-acre cost of $6.50, exclusive of land, to establish the plantation. If the area is fenced, there is an additional cost of around $500 per mile of fence constructed. Cattle grazing of pine forests also may be beneficial to timber production. Perhaps the most important benefit is the reduction of fire hazard by keeping the undergrowth of grass and weeds from accumulating. Several rules should be followed, however, if this combination of livestock and forestry is to be profitable. The more important include: no grazing with sheep until trees are at least 4 feet high, no grazing with any livestock during winter and early spring months, no grazing with hogs on young stands of longleaf or slash pine, and no grazing with goats at any time. Management and maintenance costs also vary, but if all of the labor is hired, the Louisiana study indicates the following annual costs per acre, based on 1950 wage rates: taxes, 20 cents; fire protection, 6 cents; management, 10 cents; evaluating and marking the trees to be cut, 15 cents; and fence maintenance, 4 cents. This total of 55 cents per acre per year can be reduced considerably if the owner performs most of the functions himself. Even the tax cost is much less when the homestead exemption, which applies to most farms, can be used. Problems 42 42 37 32 27 18 For manoged slosh pine plontotions. SOURCE: United Stotes Forest Service. 1 vary considerably depending on location, species of trees grown, demand for forest products, and other factors. However, a study in Louisiana by the United States Forest Service shows some of the costs and probable returns on a plantation of slash pine. Results of the study are fairly typical for a large area in the eastern section of the Southwest. No sales of forest products from the plantation should be anticipated before the fifteenth year after planting. In some instances, unusually favorable growing conditions will give some pulpwood earlier, but in most plantations the first cutting of pulpwood is made about the fifteenth year. Additional cuttings are made each 5 years thereafter, with the first saw logs usually cut when the trees are about 30 years of age. Balancing production with the expanding demand for forest products is a major problem facing forestry today. A growing population, plus a high level of industrial activity and construction, has pushed the demand for forest products higher and higher. Lumber consumption is now at higher levels than at any time since 1925 and is one· third higher than in 1945. Pulpwood consumption has increased 2% times since 1937 and 27 percent since 1945. These increases have been offset only partially by declines in consumption of cooperage stock, fuel wood, and a few other uses of timber. Moreover, because of djITerent requirements for different uses, a reduction in one ilem does not always permit an in· crease in another. The problem of boosting the output of forest products is complicated by the fact that forest production is a slow process, and the investment in land and seedlings will not pay a dividend until the plantation of trecs is from 15 to 25 years old. 24 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW The total annual drain of timber resources is an elusive figure because of the many small operators harvesting tim· ber products and tbe difficulty of obtaining comparable measurements of different forest products. In 1945 the United States Forest Service made a rather comprehensive appraisal of the Nation's forest resources and estimated that in 1944 the total drain of saw·timber volume amounted to about 54 billion board feet. In that same year, new growth added to saw timber was estimated at 35 billion board feet. Another indication that national consumption is exceeding production is that the estimated total volume of saw timber in our forests in 1945 was 1.6 trillion board feet, compared with 2.2 tril· lion in 1922. It does not follow necessarily that during the next 25 years the inventory of saw timber will decline at this same rate, even if current levels of consumption are maintained. The volume of new growth added each year varies with the age of the tree, weather conditions, and other factors. Moreover, millions of seedling trees have been planted during the past 20 years, and these plantations will become a part of the inventory as they reach saw·timber size. It is true, however, that there is ample opportunity to in· crease the productivity of our forests. Millions of acres of valuable timber land are not being managed properly to give maximum output. For example, a study in east Texas in 1945 showed that three·fourths of the owners controlling more than half of the total acreage were not following proper cut· ting practices to obtain the maximum yield over a period of years. Moreover, there are an estimated 75,000,000 acres of potential forest land in the United States that are now idle or growing up to inferior trees and brush. Only a relatively small per· acre investment would be required to plant many of the acres to trees. What steps can be taken to bring about more efficient utilization of our forest resources and the potential forest lands? They include (l) control of fires; (2) cutting of established stands to allow continuous growth of high·quality trees; (3) planting productive, adapted species on denuded land or acres with a thin stand of seedlings; and (4) con· trolling growth of inferior hardwood species in pine areas. Fire control. Fire control is essential, for fire can destroy the entire stand within a few hours. It is impossible to assure complete fire protection, but certain things can be done which will reduce matcrially this hazard. If the plantation is in a fire protection area of the United States or state Forest Servo ices, this in itself will be a major step toward fire control. In any event, firebreaks should be provided around the planta· tion and the necessary tools for fighting fire kept in a can· venient location ready for immediate use. In setting up a fire control program, it should be kept in mind that most forest fires are man·made and can be pre· vented. Uncontrolled burning of waste areas, camp fires that are not put out, and many other careless or actually incendi· ary acts of man pose one of the greatest threats to forests. Controlled burning carried out under very restricted weather conditions and with adequate supervision is an accepted forest management practice in the longleaf pine area, but wild fires have no place in the building of more productive woodlands. Selective cutting. Mature stands of trees should be thinned to remove the larger trees and to open up the stand so that younger trees may grow. By harvesting the mature trees and eliminating the poor·quality trees, the smaller, second·story undergrowth is given access to more light and moisture and will grow much more rapidly. AJI timbered areas should be inspected periodically - at least every 5 years - and trees that have reached maximum growth or that arc retarding the development of the stand should be removed. As young plantations become thickened by growth, cuttings to thin the stand should be made. Planting seedlings. Older forest areas are sometimes reo stocked naturally by seed from the mature lTees. However, in many logging operations of the past, all trees were removed from an area and no "seed trees" remained to reseed the area. Tn such cases, it is advisable to purchase seedlings of the de· sired species from a nursery and replant the area. Slash and loblolly pine are recommended species in the eastern area of the Southwest. Mechanical planters have been developed that can be attached to a tractor and make the task of setting out seedlings relatively easy and quick. Control of Hardwoods. Thc first step in establishing a profitable stand of trees in a large part of the Southwest is the control or removal of inferior hardwood species - mostly oaks. When the original stand of pine was cut and no pro· vision made for re·establishing pines, the area usually grew up to hardwoods. Where these species dominate, they must be removed before a profitable stand of pine can be grown. Once the pine plantation is well established, it will keep the hardwoods under control. An appreciation of the value of trees as a crop by the majority of landowners in the Southwest would go a long way toward increasing the efficiency and productivity of our forest lands. The United States Forest Service, the state forest associations, and the state Forest Services have made considerable progress in this direction, and it is encouraging to see many new plantations of desirable tree species in the east Texas, eastern Oklahoma, and Louisiana areas. However, much more can be done. Timber resources are a valuable and ever·renewable asset of the Southwest and, if properly managed, can be made even more productive and profitable. They form the basis for a substantial and growin g wood·using industry in the South· west, and if proper attention is given to output from our forest lands, this industry will continue to grow and prosper. 25 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW REVIEW OF BUS INESS, AGRICULTURAL , AND Retail sales at reporting department stores in the Eleventh Federal Reserve District during the 2 weeks cndcd January 10 were 9 pcrcent above the same period in 1952 but declined sharply the following week. Sales in December were 11 percent above a year earlier and the highest for any month on record. Accounts receivable at district department stores at the end of December were 15 percent higher than a year earlier; instalment accounts and charge accounts represented 36 percent and 64 percent, respectively, of total accounts outstanding. Department store stocks at the end of December were up 5 percent from the same date in 1951. Conditions in the District during the first half of January generally were Iavorable for agriculture, although there is still need for more moisture in many parts of the area. Winter crops are making only fair progress; development of the wheat crop in the Texas Panhandle has been retarded hy low temperatures and lack of moisture. Preparations for planting of crops in the spring have been making good progress over most of the District. Farm commodity prices average about 20 percent below a year ago. Activity in the oil industry in the District in December and early January was above a year earlier. Crude oil production in the District during December averaged 224,000 barrels per day above the December 1951 rate of output. Crude runs to refinery stills also showed a marked gain. Year-end crude oil stocks in the District were 7 percent above a year earlier. Seasonal declines occurred during Decembcr and early January in district stocks of major refined petroleum products, except gasoline. Marketed production of natural gas in the District in the third quarter of 1952 was 8 percent higher than in the corresponding period of 1951. Nonfarm employment in the District reached a record high in late 1952, although seasonal declines occurred in January. Manufacturing employment, also running at record levels, is continuing to expand, as seasonal layoffs in some lines are more than offset by the opening of new manufacturing plants. Construction activity in the District continues to expand. The value of construction contracts awarded in December was up sharply from November and was the highest for any month on record. Nonresidential awards accounted Ior the increase over November. Construction contracts awarded in the District in 1952 were valued at 10 percent more than in 1951, with residential and nonresidential awards gaining 1 percent and 17 percent, respectivcly. All of the gain in 1952 came in the fourth quarter. Between December 17, 1952, and January 21, 1953, commercial, industrial, and agricultural loans at weekly reporting member banks in the District rose somewhat less than 1 percent. During the same period, investments of these FI N ANC IAL CONDITIO NS banks declined about 2 percent. Deposits rose 1.7 percent, with about two· thirds of the increase occurring in demand deposits of individuals, partnerships, and corporations. Time deposits also rose. During December 1952, gross demand deposits of all member banks in the District averaged about 1 percent above November and 5 percent over December 1951; time deposits showed a year· to-year gain of 11 pcrcent. Debits to deposit accounts reported by banks in the larger cities of the District in December were 9 percent above a year earlier. Total retail sales at reporting department stores in the Eleventh District during the 2 weeks ended January 10 were approximately 9 percent ahead of the comparable period in 1952. During the following week, however, sales dropped off sharply, largely as a result of cold weather over the District, and the year·to·year gain for the 3 weeks ended Jnnuary 17 was reduced to 4 percent. The month of December, with its ll-percent gain over December 1951, established a new record for sales at department stores in the District for a single month. Finol figures for 1952 show sales during the year 6 percent above the previous record in 1951; department store sales in the Nation during 1952 are estimated at 1 percent above the previous year. In this District, sales during the first quarter of 1952 lagged 4 percent behind 1951. The upturn occurred in April, with the exceptionally heavy Easter trade, and was followed by a sharp rise in May, due in part to the suspension of credit controls on May 7. RETAil TRADE STATISTICS (Percenlage chong e) NET SALES STOCKSI Dec. 1952 from line of trade by area Dec. 1951 Nov. 1952 Dallas...... . .... ... .. .. ...... EIPoso........... . . . ......... Fort Worth... . .... . ... .. .... .. Houdon... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 22 12 15 7 14 61 62 61 57 73 66 San Antonio. .................. 11 S4 Shreveport, La.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 .4 - , 56 56 8 36 .. 17 43 46 25 68 Shreveport, La.. • • . . . • . . . • . • . . . . -3 .4 5 13 53 .48 Wichita Falls.... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22 1.4 34 26 40 38 DEPARTMENT STORES Total Beventh District...... . ..... Corpus Christi . ............... .• Waco................. . .... . . Other cities . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . FURNITURE STORES Total Beventlt District............ Austin. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Dallas........................ Houston....................... Port Artltur.................... San Antonio. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48 HOUSEHOLD APPLIANCE STORES Total Eleventh District. . . . .. . . . .. . Dallas........................ 1 Stocks at end of month. I Indicates change of leu than one-half of 1 percent. Dec. 1952 from 12mo.1952 compo with 12 mo. 1951 6 23 •9 3 10 6 10 12 - 1 Dec. 1951 Nov. 1952 5 -18 -2' -18 -1' -21 -17 -15 -26 -20 -16 29 2 8 10 4 8 8 2 , -. -7 _6 8 -18 -3 -9 -13 _7 5 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 26 The stimulative effect of the removal of credit restrictions was observed in the immediate increase in the volume of instalment buying, which accounted for the greater portion of the year-to-year net gain in total sales from May through the summer months. From late August through the remainder of the year, in the Iace of heavy seasonal demand for wearing apparel and other regular fall and winter goods, instalment buying diminished in dollar volume and in relative importance to total sales. in retail sales in April, departmcnt stores increased thcir stocks on order, and a month-to-month build-up of inventories began during July. By the end of October, stocks on hand had risen 3 percent above a year earlier; by the end of the year they were 5 percent greater than at the end of 1951, reflecting about the same proportionate increase as occurred in sales. The ratio of stocks at thc beginning of December 1952 to sales during the month was 1.69, or not significantly different from the corresponding month in 1951. Despite spectacular percentage gains during the year in the sales of some of the major appliances and other durable items, wearing apparel and other soft goods lines accounted for 83 percent of total annual sales and 77 percent of the net gain over 1951. Furniture store trade in this District showed a moderate decline in the first month of 1952 but recovered in February, and monthly sales for the remainder of the year held substantially above year-carlier figures. The year 1952 showcd a gain of 11 percent. Inventories, despite the higher sales volume, were kept at a lower level throughout the year and on December 31 were 7 percent smaller than at the cnd of 1951. The higher level of sales and longer credit terms combined to raise end-of-year accounts receivable 24 percent above the previous year. INDEXES OF DEPARTMENT STORE SALES AND STOCKS {1947.49 = 1001 ADJUSTEDI UNADJUSTED D.c, Nov. Oct. De c. 1952 1952 1952 1951 Area SALES-Daily average EI.venth District . ........... Dallas ...............•... . Dec. Dec. Oct. 1952 1952 1952 1951 USr 138r 162 134 133 149 226 130 127 148 120p 146r 141 114r 215 206 Houston •• . • •••••••.••.••. • 248 Nov. 202r 192r 129 145 128 124 150 122 llSr 135 131p 130 129 124 r 119r STOCKS-End of month Eleventh District .. .......... 1 Adjusted for seasonol ... ariolion. r-Revised. p-Preliminary, Accounts receivable at the end of December were 15 percent greater than a year earlier. Instalment accounts represented 36 percent of total outstandings - the remainder, 64 percent, was on the basis of regular charge accounts. The collection period on instalment accounts in December averaged about 14l1z months, compared with 10 months during December 1951. Charge accounts showed an average collection period of about 63 days, compared with 65 days a year earlier. Inventories during 1952 reflected a uniformly conservative buying policy. During the first quarter of the year monthly inventories were lower than in 1951. Following the upturn The aggregate value of the principal crops produced iu 1952 in the five states lying wholly or partly in this District is estimated to be slightly higher than in 1951. The total acrcage of harvested crops is virtually the same, but larger crops of rice, sweet potatoes, and wheat, plus slightly higher average prices for corn, sorghums, rice, and a few minor crops, were sufficient to push the total value above a year ago. In Texas the total value of the principal crops produced in 1952, estimated by the Bureau of Agricultural Economics at $1,321,000,000, is 1 percent less than a year ago, largely because of a 3-percent decline in total harvested acreage. Smaller crops of cotton, sorghum grain, and peanuts more than offset increases in small grains and rice. Conditions during the first half of January were favorable for general field work in most of the District. In eastern sections, warm, open weather dried fields and permitted farmers to begin seedbed preparation for spring-planted crops. Moisture conditions in the District are generally adequate for immcruate needs, although more than the usual WHOL~SALE TRADE STATISTICS CROP PRODUCTION Eleventh Federal Reserve Distric t Texas and Five Southwestern Slates (Perc.nIClgll change) (In thousands of bushels) NET SALESp Texos STOCKSl p December 1952 from December 1952 from 12mo.1952 December line of trode Dry goods..••••.•......... Grocery (full-line wholesalers not sponsoring groups) •••• . Hardware .....••.•......• . Industrial supplies • . ..• . •• ... Machinery equipment and sup' plies except electrical ..... Metals ••. ... ...... ........ Tobacco products .... ....... Wines and liquors ...... .... Wiring supplies, construction materials distributors . .. ... Noyember compo with 1951 1952 7 -22 35 17 -6 -21 -15 12mo.1951 -, -2 3 Crop December November 1951 1952 -15 -16 5 -3 -3 -9 -6 -11 -, 8 20 4 -2 -12 -5 14 -10 -30 30 16 5 9 37 10 11 1 Stocks ot end of month. p-Pr.1iminary. I - Indicates change of less than one-half of 1 pen:ent. SOURCE: United States Bureau of the Census. 5 ( -2 -1 5 Colton! ..... . . . . Corn . .... .. ... . Wheot. .... . . . • Dais ......... .. Rices ...... .... . Sorghum groin . .. Averoge 1941·50 3,020 56,861 60,347 28,263 8,668 P e anuts ~ •••••••• 79,096 317,066 Flalueed ....... . Pecans ......... . Irish potatoes . . .. Sweet polo toes . . . Hay, 011$. .. ..... 737 26,418 4.402 4,855 1,550 195 1 4,074 42,143 17,946 8,145 13,514 72,250 118,300 Five southwestem state,l 1952 4,700 2,204 1,365 3,750 41,292 34,626 20,9 10 13,662 48,236 80,500 1,062 34,400 2,040 1,215 1,456 1,512 75 Average 1941·50 4,406 101,839 136,455 52,904 18,916 94,930 434,851 1.357 52.906 9,365 14,850 4,729 Arizona, louisiana, New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas. I In thousands of ba lel. I In thousands of bags, 100 pounds each. 4 In thousands of pounds. $ In thousands of tons. SOURCE: United States Department of Agriculture. I 1951 6,372 81,042 58,206 15,00 4 25,448 93,536 239,695 233 40,450 5,005 8,890 4,648 1952 6,095 65,587 1.4 2,966 32,198 26,304 55,057 132,650 1,150 46,950 4, 800 9,235 4,605 • 27 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW amount of winter snow and rains will be required to provide ample moisture reserves for the growing season. Irrigation water continues short in the Lower Rio Grande Valley. LIVESTOCK RECEIPTS (Number) SAN ANTONIO MARKET FORT WORTH MARKET On the Texas High Plains, late·sown wheat was coming up to a stand by mid·January, but growth was brought to a standstill by sharply lower temperatures the week of January 15. Most acreage that is up to a stand in the Low Rolling Plains is developing a good root system, and some additional acreage was planted in January. Small grains in north Texas and northern Louisiana arc making satisfactory growth and supplying some grazing. Preparation for early spring vegetable crops is under way in many sections of the District, with the east Texas tomato growers starting their plants in hotbeds and farmers in parts of north and northeast Texas preparing seedbeds for the early onion crop. Planting of can taloupes and watermelons in the Lower Rio Grande Valley was under wa)' by mid-January, and considerable acreage was prepared for sweet corn. Growth of winter vegetables was retarded by the sharply lower temperatures around the middle of the month. ~ Indicated production of commercial winter vegetables in Texas is 30 percent above a year ago and 11 percent higher than the 1949-51 average. This estimate covers winter production of beets, cabbage, cauliflower, lettuce, broccoli, onions, and spinach. Total acreage of these crops is about 19 percent above a year ago, and generally favorable yields are forecast. Rangc and pasture conditions in the District improved during the past 2 month in most central and castern sections, where some green feed is availablc from small grains, winter legumes, and grass. However, most pastures are still short, as cool nights retarded growth. In western areas there is very little range feed, and supplemental feeding continues on a wide scale. The January 1 report of range and pasture conditions prepared by the United States Department of Agriculture indicates a sharp improvement during the month of December in the condition of ranges in Oklahoma, a moderate improvement in Texas and Arizona, and a slight decline in ew Mexico. Compared with a year ago, Oklahoma ranges are in much better condition, while those in other western parts of the District are generally unchanged. Prospects for early spring grazing are somewhat improved, although additional rains will be needed to assure growth of new feed. December 1951 1952 1952 Cottle •••••••••• Ca lves •••••••••• Hogs •• • .••••••• 59,335 22,734 83,215 Sheep • ••••••••• 45,677 32,411 20,553 93,073 29,631 67.588 25,217 57,875 49,535 19.276 '1,060 3,132 110.392 I December De<:ember 1952 Clau 1951 17,926 15,552 6,632 19,556 Nay.mba, 1952 21,506 15,925 116,022 Includes goats. Prices received by farmers for most commodities declined further during December, and the Bureau of Agricultural Economics reported the over-all index of prices received by Texas farmers at 290 percent of the 1910-14 base, reflecting a decline of 4 percent from the previous month. During January, reports from farm commodity markets indicated relatively small price changes, although most grains tended to show considerable weakness. Fed-slaughter cattle prices also declined, while prices of stocker cows and steers strengthened. Farm commodity prices in the District averaged about 20 percent below the level of a year ago. Livestock have shown the sharpest declines, but wheat, corn, oats, flaxseed, cotton, FARM COMMODITY PRICES Top Prices Paid in local Southwest Markets Comparable Comparable Week ended week week lad year Unit Jon. 22, 1953 last month Commodity and market COTTON, Middling 15/16·inch, Dallas ••••• WHEAT. No.1 hard, Fort Worth •••••••••• OATS, No.2 white, Fort Worth •••.••••••• CORN, No.2 yellow, Fort Worth ••• • .•••• SORGHUMS, No.2 yellow milo. Fort Worth. HOGS, Choice, Fort Worth •• .•• ••••••.• . SLAUGHTER STEERS, Choice, Fort Worth ••• SLAUGHTER CALVES, Choice, Fort Worth ••• STOCKER STEERS, Choice. fort Worth .•••• SLAUGH TER LAMBS. Choice, Fort Worth •• • HENS, 3·4 pounds, Fort Worth •.•..••••.. FRYERS, Commercial, Fort Worth ••••..•..• BROILERS, south Texas••• •••••• ••••• • • •• TURKEYS, No.1 hens, fort Worth •••..•••. lb. b,. b,. b,. cwl. ",t. "'t. ",t. cwl. ",t. lb. lb. lb. lb . $32.15 2.68~ 1.09* 1.SSy-' 3.20 20.00 25.50 25.00 23.50 22.50 .22 .27 .27 .35 $32.20 2.70v.. 1.131f.t 1.89 3.43 17.50 28.00 25.00 21.00 20.00 .24 .32 .32 .37 $41.80 2.77Y.. 1.22 2.21 3.16 18.50 34.00 33.00 32.00 28.00 .24 .32 v.. .3 5 FARM PRICES P,rc.nt Perc 500'" 400 Cattle are wintering in fairly good condition in district states as a result of heav y supplemental feeding and relatively mild and open wealher, at least to mid-January. The condition of caule on January 1 as reported by the Department of Agriculture shows improvement over December 1 and over a year earlier. Sheep are wintering in good condition except in west Texas, where range feed has been short for many months and most breeding flocks are in poor condition. Prospects fOT feed in the eastern part of the Edwards Plateau have improved, with some new feed now becoming available. However, most of the major sheep-producing aTcas in the State are continuing heavy supplemental feeding. December November 500 I I ~ 400 300 300 f-........................ j" .......................... • "'Pritts paid by formtrs-U~lt.d Statu 200 200 - 100 I DO o o 1951 1952 1953 28 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW cottonseed, and citrus fruit also have declined substantially. The average price received by Texas farmers for cotton on December 15, 1952, was 29 cents per pound, compared with 38.4 cents in December 1951. During the same period, beef cattle declined from an average of $23.80 per hundredweight to $15.50. During the 5 weeks ended January 21, investments declined 829,378,000, or 2.0 percent, to a totnl of 81,453,105,000. Sales or redemptions of Treasury bills accounted for slightly more than this over· all reduction. Increases in holdings of Trcasury certificates of indebtedness and bonds were approximately offset by reductions in Treasury notes and municipal securities. Between December 17, 1952, and January 21, 1953, total resources, loans, cash assets, and deposits of the weekly reporting member banks in the District rose. Investments of these banks declined. In most cases, these changes in major categories of assets and liabilities during the 5 wecks contrast with those reported during the comparable period ended January 23, 1952. Deposits at these banks rose $72,383,000, OT 1.7 percent, during the 5 weeks, as compared with a r ed uction of $52,663,000, or 1.3 perccnt, during the comparable period ended January 23, 1952. Approximately two·thirds of the increase - $47,989,000 - was reflected in an expansion of demand deposits of individuals, partnerships, and corporations. Increases in deposits of banks and of states and local subdivisions were offset by a contraction of deposits of the United States Government. Time deposits rose $7,641,000, or 1.5 percent, with deposits of individuals and businesses accounting for slightly more than the increase. These deposit changes during the 5 weeks reRect, in part, the effects of a return flow of currency from circulation and net Treasury expenditures in the District. Commercial, in dustrial, and agricultural loans rose $6,700,000, or somewhat less than 1 percent. In most weeks, commodity dealers, wholesale and retail trade establishments, construction firms, and transportati on companies liquidated substantial amounts of thci r outstanding bank borrowings. These reductions were more than offset, however, hy increases in loans to manufacturers of petroleum and chemical products, sales finance companics, and a miscellan· eous group of other borrowers. GROSS DEMAND AND TIME DEPOSITS OF MEMBER BANKS Eleventh Federal Reserve Disfrict (Averages of daily filjJure s. In thou sa nds of dollars) COMBINED TOTAL Other changes in loans included an increase of $20,912,000 in loans to banks and a r eduction of $1,543,000 in loans for financing security transactions. "All other" loans, a category which includes consumcr·type loans, rose $9,579,000, or somewhat less than 3 percent. Real estate loans were unchanged. On January 21, loans of these banks amounted to SI,789,478,000, reflecting an increase of 5234,069,000, or 15 percent, over the comparable total for 1952. CO NDITION STATISTICS OF WEEKLY REPORTING MEMBER BANKS IN LEADING CITIES Eleventh Federal Reserve District (In thousands of doll ars) January 21, Item 1953 Total loans (gross) and Investments ....... . ... $3.242.583 Totolloans-Net l .. .... ... ... ......... . . 1, 770,649 Total loans-Gross . . ....... . ............ 1,789,478 Comme rcial,lndustrio l, and agriculturolloons 1,1 88,331 loons to broken and dealen in se<urilies . . 10,297 Other loans for purchasing o r carrying securities . ... ......... .. ........... 64,948 Real estate loons . ...... .. ......... . .. 128,127 Loans to banks ...... . .. .. ......... .. . 32,535 All other loons .. ... ... . . ........... . . 365,240 Tota l Investmenh . .................. . .. . 1,453,105 U. S. Treasury bills . .. .. .. .. ........... 209,688 U. S. Treasury cer'i flcates of indebtedness. 153,029 U. S. Treasury notes •.. .... . . ....... . .. 2 11 ,163 U. S. Government bonds (incl. guaranteed obligations) ................... . . .. . 704,678 Othe r securities .... . ... .. .......... . .. 174,547 Reserves with Federal Reserve Bank .. ........ 577,962 Balances with domestic banks ..... .. ........ 455,876 2,528,817 Demand deposits-adiusted' ............ .... Time deposits except Government ............ 490,262 United States Government d eposits .. .. ....... 84,570 Interbank demand deposits ................. 938,643 Borrowings from Federal Reserve Bank .... . ... 8,000 January 23, 1952 52,927.075 December 17, 1952 1,089,497 8.914 $ 3,236,255 1,735,253 1,753,772 1,181 ,631 10,670 53.598 114,927 132 288.341 1.371.666 241.232 162.833 18 1.272 66,118 128,069 11,623 355,66 I 1,482,483 240,113 148,918 214,636 617,786 168,543 700,974 177,842 613,259 448.780 2,537,728 482,621 110,136 927, 102 14,800 1,539,131 1,555,0409 574,110 488,638 2,395,837 457,196 51,388 879,501 3.000 After deduction s for reserves and unallocated charge· off,. Includ es all dema nd de posits other tMn interbank and United Sta les Gove rnment, less cosh items reported os on hond or in process of collection. I Z Dale Gross demand Time RESERVE CITY BANKS Gron demand Time COUNTRY BANKS Gross demand Time Dot.mber 1950 .. $6,256,2 10 $646,999 53.044,765 $397,983 $3,2 11,4455249,016 December 1951 .. 6,753,139 706,327 3,170,047 390,143 3,583,092 316,184 August 1952 ..... 6,546,078 758,238 3,123,6 16 414,837 3.422,462 343,401 September 1952 . 6,692,788 767,553 3,190,957 421,871 3,501,831 345,682 Oclober 1952 ... 6,828,512 770,099 3,262,180 420,233 3,566,332 349,866 Novemb.r 1952.. 7,025,207 780,156 3,338,376 42 1,427 3,686,831 358,729 December 1952.. 7,090,304 784,739 3,380,098 422,356 3,710,206 362,383 Gross dcmand deposits of all member banks in the District averaged 57,090,304,000 during December 1952, reflecting an increase of slightly less than 1 percent during the month and an increase of 5 percent over December 1951. The reserve city banks accounted for 64 percent of the increase in December and for 62 pcrccnt of the expansion during the year. Time deposits averaged $784,,739,00 in December, a level which is slightly higher than that for November but 11 percent above December 1951. Country banks accounted for approximately 59 percent of the expansion in time deposits during 1952. Debits to deposit accounts reported by banks in 24 cities of the District rose 17 percent during December 1952, as compared with the total for November 1952. The increased volume of spending which these figures reflect was general ovcr the District and represents in part the influence of seasonal factors. The volume of charges to deposit accounts in December was 9 perccnt above the total reported for December 1951. The annual rate of turnover of deposits rosc from 13.8 in November to 16.0 in December. The latter rate is identical with the rate of turnover for December 1951. The annual volunle of debits duri ng 1952 reported by banks in these 24 centers of the Di strict was 9 percent above the total for 1951, reflecting a somewhat higher level of 4 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW B.... NK DEBITS, END -O F-MONTH DEPOSITS .... ND .... NNU,t..L R....TE OF TURNOVER OF DEPOSITS (Amounts In thoulQnds of dellan) DEBITS' DEPOSITS1 Percentage change from City December Dec. 1952 1951 Nov. 1952 109,287 21 3 53,695 213,583 5 2 8 18 29,010 23 11 Annual rate of turnover Dec.31, Nov. Dec. 1952 Dec. 1951 117,660 11.3 10.6 11.2 57,545 208,453 11.8 12.2 11.5 12.4 11.8 10.7 32,2 2 1 10.9 9.6 10.2 1952 1952 ARIZONA Tucson ••..••.•••.• . • LOUISIANA Monroe ............ . Shreveport . •••..•••. $ HEW MEXICO Roswell . • •.••..•.•• • TEXAS Abilene ............ . Amorillo ••• ••.•• .. .. Austin . • . . . . . . . . . . . . Beaumont ••••••• .. . • 6 i 8 8 - I 152,799 17,349 1.938,584 246,"83 586,293 83,897 1.867.786 26,"31 152,61.4 "9,771 38,555 405,126 20,196 59,185 83,802 96,125 6 5 13 2 12 21 9 -1 10 20 -2 6 -8 4 1 -11 10 10 8 7 36 30 20 16 7 16 25 -8 10 6 15 3 19 21 9 Tolal-2" cities ........ $6,711,045 9 17 Corpus Christi ........ Corsicana . .... .. .... Dallas ....... . ..... . EI Paso .• ..•.. . . ...• Fort Worth .......... Galveston ..... . ... . . Houston ....... . .. . . . laredo .........• .. . Lubbock .. . . ... . , . . . Pori Arthur .......... San Angelo .. .... , ... Son Antonio . .... , . .. Texarkano· ......... . Tyler .............. . Woco ............. . Wichita Falls, ........ • 58,891 145,032 135,666 140,885 59,080 124,641 14.2 11.9 15.2 11.5 13 .3 128,981 106,655 121,166 23,723 1,148,407 13.1 16.1 15.1 13.3 16.3 15.7 13.2 9.0 43 ,463 103,509 1,246,896 26,561 126,218 45,101 54,636 414,188 28,769 60,647 98,160 113,333 17~520 17.4 16.6 9.7 18.2 11.9 15.2 13.3 8.6 11.9 8.5 12.1 10.3 10.3 9.0 20.0 16.9 17.0 10.2 17.8 11.4 17.3 12.7 9.1 12.1 9.7 11.6 9.8 9.8 15.4 14.5 9.2 16.0 9.6 18 .0 12.4 8.3 10.7 8.4 10.6 8.6 9.7 $5,055,533 16.0 16.0 13.8 12.1 19.3 15.0 14.4 6.8 15.2 1 Debits 10 deposit accounts except Interbank accounts. I Demand and time deposits, Including certified and offlcers' check, outstanding but excluding deposits to the credit of bonks. J These Agures include only one bonk in Texarkana. Texas. Total debits for all bonks in Texorkono, Texcs·Arkansos, Including two bonks located in the Eighth Dbtrict ,amounted to $39,308,000 for the month of December 1952. I Indicates chonge of teu thon one·holf of I percent. general spending by individuals, businesses, and others. The annual rate of turnover of deposits, or the annual rate of use of deposit accounts, declined slightly - from 14.8 in 1951 to 14.7 in 1952. Between December 15, 1952, and January 15, 1953, the principal changes in the condition of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas included an increase of $50,562,000 in total earning assets, which was more than accounted for by the expansion of holdings of Government securities, and a reduction of $52,866,000 in total gold certificate reserves, Member bank reserve deposits rose $26,627,000, while discounts for member banks declined $14,970,000. On January 15, Federal Reserve notes of tbis bank in actual circulation amounted to 734,834,000, reflecting a decrease of 24,265,000 from December 15, 1952, but an increase of $54,794,000 over January 15, 1952. CONDITION OF THE FEDER .... l RESERVE MNK OF DMl .... S (In thoulands of dollars) Item • , Jon. 15, Jon. 15, 1953 1952 Dec. 15, 1952 $ 631,099 3,000 16 $ 769,540 16,000 Total gold certificate reserves .........•..... $ 716,674 Discounts for member banks . ........ ... ... . 1,030 Industria l advances .... ........... , ....... . 945 Foreign loans an gold . . .... ... ...... .. ... . U. S. Government securiti es . .... . .......... . 1,160,352 Total earning asseh ..... .. ............... . 1.162.327 Member bank reserve deposits . ............ . 1,087,501 Federal Reserve notes in actual circulation .... . 73',834 o o 1.Q97,752 1,100,768 1,060,'73 680,0.0 o 1,691 1,094,074 1,111,765 1,060,874 759,099 29 Life insurance company investments in four southwestern states - Louisiana, Oklahoma, Texas, and Arkansas - rose rather sharply during 1951, according to data released on January 16 by the Life Insurance Association of America. Investments of a group of life companies which accounts for 88 percent of the assets of all life insurance companies in the country rose $614,355,000, or 11.6 percent, to a total of $5,931,912,000 on January 1, 1952. The net flow of capital funds to the Southwest wbich these figures reflect was greater than that to any other region of the country, with the exception of the Pacific Coast states. These latter states showed an increase of $698,099,000, or 12.6 percent. During the decade ended January 1, 1952, investments of these companies in the Southwest increased 221 percent, a greater relative growth than that shown by any other region of the country. On January 1, 1952, investments in Arkansas, Louisiana, Oklahoma, and Texas accounted for 11.1 percent of the total investments of these companies in the United States. This proportion compares with 6,7 percent on January 1, 1942. The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System announced on January 15 approval of an increase in the discount rate of eight of the twelve Federal Reserve Banks - New York, Philadelphia, Cleveland, Atlanta, Chicago, St, Louis, Minneapolis, and Kansas City - from 1% percent to 2 percent, effective January 16. The Board approved a similar increase in the discount rate of three of the four remaining Reserve banks, effective January 20 for the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston and the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco and January 23 for the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. The discount rate of these banks had been at a level of 1% percent since August 1950, when an increase from a level of 1% percent was announced_ Budget expenditures of the United States Government during the first half of fiscal 1953 -from July 1, 1952, to December 31, 1952 - amounted to 836,496,977,000, as compared with expenditures of $31,276,342,000 in the first half of fiscal 1952. Net budget receipts (after deduction of appropriation to Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance Trust Fund and of refunds of receipts) during the first half of the current fiscal year amounted to $27,203,928,000, or $9,293,049,000 less than expenditures_ This deficit in the budget accounts, for the July-December half of the fiscal year, compares with an excess of expenditures of $7,467,242,000 during the comparable 6 months of fiscal 1952. The President transmitted the budget of the United States Government, for the fiscal year ending June 30, 1954, to Congress on January 9. Budget expenditures for the Government's programs, as recommended by the President, are estimated at $78,587,000,000. Receipts are estimated at $68,665,000,000_ On the basis of these spending and receipts totals, the budget deficit for the fiscal year is estimated at $9,922,000,000, Expenditures by the military services - estimated at $46,296,000,000 - constitute the largest proposed item of spending in the budget and account for 59 percent of total estimated expenditures. Outlays for international security MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 30 and foreign relations - $7,861,000,000 - and for interest on the public debt - $6,420,000,000 - account for an additional 18 percent of total proposed spending. On the receipts side, direct taxes (on the basis of present tax laws) on individuals and corporations are expected to supply $34,334,000,000 and $23,300,000,000, respectively. The yield from excise taxes is estimated at $9,869,000,000. On the basis of the budget totals for fiscal 1954 and estimated receipts and expenditures for the remainder of the cnrrent fiscal year, the pnblic debt is expected to rise to $273,800,000,000 by June 30, 1954. NEW MEMBER BANKS The First Na#onal Bank of Strawn and the Strawn National Bank, Strawn, Texas, merged on December 31, 1952, under the name of the First Strawn National Bank, Strawn, Texas. The merged institution has capital stocl, of $75,000; surplus of $50,000; and undivided profits of $15,000. The officers are 1. I. Encke, President; 1. A. Ferguson, Vice President; Mac D. King, Vice President and Cashier; Ruth Messimer, Assistant Cashier; and Maggie Cato. Assistant Cashier. The bank is located in the territory served by the Head Office of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. The American National Bank of Houston, Houston, Texas, a newly organized bank located in the territory served by the Houston Branch of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, opened for bztsiness lanztary 24, 1953. The new bank has capital of $200,000, surplus of $100,000, and ztndivided profits of $50,000. The officers are: Damon Wells, President; Marlin E. Sandlin, Vice President; E. 1. Rhodes, Vice President; Harold Harty, Vice President; and C. A. Dahlberg, Cashier. No significant change occurred in the national snpply and demand picture for petroleum during December and the first part of January. Wbile the demand for major refined products was moderately above a year ago, refining activity, crude oil production, and imports also were higher. The seasonal decline in stocks of heating oils was a little less than a year earlier. Stocks of the major refined products and crude oil at the beginning of January continued in ample supply. Daily average crude oil production in the Eleventh Federal Reserve District during the first half of January was down about 75,000 barrels from the December rate of 3,292,000 barrels. This decline was largely the result of the reduction in the Texas January allowables. Not much change in production is anticipatcd for February, in view of the small chan ge annonnced in the Texas allowables for that month. Daily average production in December was 78,000 barrels less than in November but 224,000 barrels higher than in December 1951. Daily average production in the Nation in December, at 6,558,000 barrels, was 75,000 barrels less than in November but 344,000 barrels greater than a year earlier. CRUDE OIL PRODUCTION (Barrels] December 1952 Area Totol production Doily Qvg. production Increese or decrease in doily overage production from Dec, 1951 NoY.1952 ELEVENTH DISTRICT Texo5 R. R. Com. Districts 1 Soulh Central. . . . . . . . . , ,203,400 2 Middle Gulf. . . . . . . . . . 5,404,400 3 Upper Gulf.. . . . . . . . .. 15,792,600 lower Gulf. . . . . . . . . . . 8,462,800 East Cenlrol . . . . . . . . . . 1,706,800 6 Northeast.. .. ........ 12,480,600 East Texas. . ... . ... 8,215,050 Other flelds. . . . . . . . 4,265,550 7b North Central. . . . . . . . . 3,657,850 7c West Central... ...... 5,440,150 a West ........ . ... .... 30,663,400 9 North.... . ..... . ..... 5,889,400 10 Panhandle........ . . . . 2,501,650 Total Teltas .... ... .. 93,203,050 New Mellica . . . . ....... . ... 5,333,300 North louisiana.... . . . . . . . . . 3,518,000 Totol Ele venth District ...... .. 102,054,350 OUTSIDE ElEVENTH DISTRICT ... 101,234,950 UNITED STATES ... .......... . 203,289,300 .4 5 38,819 174,335 509,439 272,994 55,058 402,600 265,002 137,598 11 7,995 175,489 989,142 189,981 80,698 3,006,550 172,042 11 3,484 3,292,076 3,265,643 6,557,719 5,938 8,056 23,526 16,736 2,214 7,502 -3,775 11,277 33,677 52,397 32,358 31,905 -2,841 211,468 24,936 -12,484 223,920 120,414 344,334 -438 -4,863 -9,884 -7,562 766 8,183 8,277 -94 -433 -8,483 -57,705 -1,689 -60 -82,168 2,580 1,097 -78.491 3,477 - 75,014 SOURCE: Estimoted from American Petroleum Institute weekly reports. Refinery activity in both the District and the Nation dipped during the first half of December but recovered strongly in the latter part of the month. Crude runs to refinery stills in Lhe Nation reached a record high of 7,221,000 barrels daily in the week ended January 3. For the month of December as a whole, daily average crude runs to refinery stills in the District amounted to 2,068,000 barrels, reflecting a decline of 59,000 barrels from November but a gain of 124,000 barrels over December 1951. Refinery runs in the Nation in December averaged 6,928,000 barrels per day, also ill declining from November but higher than a year earlier. ~ Crude oil stocks in the District rose 4,500,000 barrels during December and at the end of the month stood at 144,000,000 barrels, or 7 percent higher than in the corresponding week of 1951. While crude stocks in the Nation as a whole showed a smaller rise during the month, month-end stocks of 268,300,000 barrels were over 4 percent above a year earlier. Seasonal declines were evident during December and the first part of January in district and national stocks of distillaLe and residual {uel oil and kerosene, while stocks of gasoline showed a typical increase. The United States demand for all oils for domestic use and export in 1953 is expected to average 8,000,000 barrels per day, according to a forecast released by the Bureau of Mines_ Such a demand would represent an increase of 3.8 percent over that of 1952, as compared wiLh eSLimated year-ta-year increases of 3.4 percent in 1952, 9 percent in 1951, and 11 percent in 1950. Despite the 3_8-percent increase forecast in the total demand Jor the current year, the demand for domestic crude oil is estimated at only about 1 percent higher than in 1952_ Moreover, the forecast demand :for domestic crude of 6,329,000 barrels per day is substantially less than the current production level. The r elatively smaller increase in the demand for domestic crude as compared with that for the total demand results from the increases expected in oil imports and in domesLic production or light oils from natural gas. The Bureau of Mines' forecast shows increases in total imports of oil at 9 percent and in the production of light oils from natural gas at 5 percent. No change is anticipated in the level of stocks. 4 The daily average volume of imports forecast for 1953 ~ is only a little less than the daily average rate of imports ~ , 31 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW during the fourth quarter of 1952. Imports in October, November, and December were at record levels for those months, averaging more than 1,000,000 barrels per day, or about 30 percent above the same 3 months in 1951. In the week ended January 10, import~ reached an all-time high of 1,305,000 barrels daily. and is estimated unofficially at about 3,830,000 workers, or near the October level. Manufacturing employment in the states of the District also increased from a revised estimate of 726,500 workers in October to 737,000 in November. It is expected that reports will show a total of 745,000 manufacturing workers in the five states in December. Even thongh some seasonal layoffs occurred in January, the total number of manufacturing workers continued to increase as new plants were placed in operation. Marketed production of natural gas in the Southwest continued to expand during the third quarter of 1952. Total marketed production in the four gas producing states lying wholly or partly within the Eleventh Federal Reserve District - Louisiana, New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texasamounted to 1,495 billion cubic feet. This figure represents a slight contraseasonal increase over the previ~us quarter and is 8 percent higher than in the third quarter of 1951. New Mexico and Louisiana were the southwestern states experiencing the largest year-to-year increases, gaining 15 percent each, while Tcxas and Oklahoma reported increases of 7 percent and 4 percent, respectively. These four states accounted for 80 percent of the Nation'8 marketed production in the third quarter of 1952. A recent tabulation by the Texas Employment Commission reveals that it has paid out $7,944,993 in unemployment insurance during 1952, which is 33 percent more than in 1951. Meanwhile, the unemployment trust fund for Texas workers increased to $266,126,000. The interest from this fund, amounting to $5,558,300, accounted for about 70 percent of the money paid out to unemployed workers during 1952. MARKETED PRODUCTION OF NATURAL GAS ARIZONA, L OUISIANA, NEW MEXICO, OKLAHOMA, AND TEXAS MANUFACTURING TOTAL. Thou sands of Persons Mili l ons 0 f Pons '"~ 800 (In millions of cubic fee l) Third quarter NONAGRICULTURAL WAGE AND SALARY WORKERS Third quarter Second quarter ~I r-~( _ _ _ _A _r_.a_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 9~5~2_ _ _ _~1~ 95~1_ _ _ _~1952 louisiana....... .. .. .. ....... New Mexico. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Oklahoma.................. . Texas. . .. . .. ............. . . 279,800 83,100 134,100 998,100 243,700 72,200 129,200 935,000 254,400 85,600 163,500 970,900 Total.................. . 1,495,100 1,380,100 1,474,400 I T~;·~!:·~·······!·············r .. 700 SOURCE: United Statel Bureau of Mines. Utility sales to natural gas customers in the Nation in 1952 were 10 percent higher than in 1951, according to data released by the American Gas Association. Sales to industrial customers were almost 12 percent higher. Meanwhile, residential and commercial sales increased about 8 percent and 9 percent, respectively. The relatively mild weather during the usually cold months in 1952 tended to limit the increases in sales to residential and commercial users. There were 16 percent more residential customers at the end of 1952 than a year earlier, and the number of commercial customers was up 14 percent; there were also about 19 percent more industrial customers. Estimates by the state employment agencies indicate that the total number of nonagricultural wage and salary workers in the five states lying wholly or partly within the District rose to 3,843,000 in November, or about 10,000 above the r evised estinlate of 3,833,900 for October. The ~ revision in the October estimate, as well as for earlier months, , was occasioned by the recent release of Bureau of Census tabulations of construction workers. It is expected that reports for December will show a r ecord 3,852,000 nonagricultural wage and salary workers employed in the five-state area. The January total was off seasonally from December ·r···j··· ........ j YI ..··)·······1 I I I I I I I I I I , •.. MANUFACTURING ••••••••••••••••••••••••••• .t. . ....-_.-. 3.5 ·r-···r·_············· ..... 60 0 oJ 3.0 --, --, SOURC E Slat. • A ,m~ l a1m .nt M A SON o 0 .··· .. · .. 1951 --1952 a" nct" Announcement has been made of a projected $4,000,000 chemical plant to be constructed near Beaumont, Texas. The plant will produce chemicals for use as feed suppleNONAGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT Five Southwestern Stales 1 Percent change Number of persons Type of employment November 1952p Total nonagricultural wage and salary workers •. 3.843.800 Manufacturing .. •••...•.. 737,000 Nonmonufacturing .•.• ...• 3,106,800 Mining ......... .. ..•.. 228.300 Construction .•. . •...... 286.300 Tronsportation and public ulililiei •... .. .• •. .• .. 410.600 Trade .. . • . . .••.••.•. . 975.000 Finance .............. . ' ..... 200 Service ....... ....... . 4 .. 1,400 Government ..•....... . 621.000 Nov. 1952 from November 1951 October 1952 3,705,500 691.600 3,013,900 219.900 286.200 3,833,900 726.500 3,107.400 228,300 292,800 408,600 942,500 132,500 424.600 599,600 410,000 966.700 14",300 443.700 621,600 1 Ari%ona, louisiano, New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas. p-Preliminory. SOURCE, Stale em ployment agencies. Nov. 1951 Oct. 1952 3.7 .3 6.6 1.4 3.1 -.01 3.8 0 .0 3 -2.2 .5 3.' 8.8 4.0 3.6 .1 .9 -.06 -.5 - .09 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 32 ments for poultry and other animals. Construction is scheduled to be completed in 1954, and over 100 workers will be employed. At the same time, it has been announced that the initial shipment of acrylonitrile, a raw material for synthetic fibers, has been made from a new plant at Texas City. Of particular importance at the moment is the expected start of production of steel pipe in February at the Daingerfield, Texas, plant. This new steel mill is the first of two such mills to be placed in operation at Daingerfield. The combined yearly capacity of the two mills will be 350,000 tons of electric-weld tubing. The entire plant now employs about 1,250 workers and will add 1,650 more when in full operation. The importance of tubular goods to this area is emphasized by recent reports which show that oil and oil products now move through nearly 49,000 miles of commoncarrier pipelines in the State of Texas. This mileage compares with an estimated 47,500 miles at the end of 1951. The value of construction contracts awarded in the Dis· trict in December totaled $189,l4.7,000, by far the largest for any month on record. All major categories experienced sharp increases as compared with a year earlier, with several large contracts for industrial and other nonresidential construction adding greatly to the total. Nonresidential awards accounted for $153,000,000, which compares with the previous monthly record of $101,000,000 reported in May 1951. Residential awards, on the other hand, were valued at about $36,000,000, which is less than the total for November but still higher than for any previous December. Construction contracts awarded in the District in 1952 were valued at $1,467,559,000, or 10 percent above the previous record established in 1951; the United States total in 1952 rose 6 percent. Residential awards in the District in 1952, valued at $565,057,000, also were a record high, showing a fractional gain over the previous year. Nonresidential awards for the year reached a total value of $902,502,000, which is 17 percent above the record of 1951. It is particularly significant that total awards for construction in the District through the first 9 months of 1952 ran 4 (In thousands of dollars' January-December December 1952p December 1951 November - - - - - - - - 1952 1952p 1951 ELEVENTH DiSTRiCT .... S 189.147 $ 69.337 $ 101 .747$ 1.467.559$ 1.330.606 23,420 40,4 13 565,057 562,345 Residentiol. . • . . ... . 36,103 45,9 17 61,334 902,502 768,261 All other. . . . . . . . . . . 153,044 UNITED STATESt ••••.. 1,467,384 1,099,509 1,248,803 16,774,936 15,751,131 Residentia l. • • • • • . . • 438,580 346,104 528,429 6,667,504 6,205,388 All other .••...••..• 1,028,804 753,405 720,374 10, 107,432 9,545,743 1 37 ,totes east of Ihe Rocky Mountains. ~OJRCI~~i~~W·. Dodge Corporation. « .. Reports on construction contracts awarded in Texas in 1952 show that, in terms of value, 32 percent of the awards was for public construction, while the remaining 68 percent was privately finan ced. Contracts for private construction constituted 65 percent of the total in 1951 and 74 percent in 1950. Information on residential building in Dallas, supplied by the Dallas Power and Light Company, indicates that in the week ended January 17, 1953, there were 1,726 one-family units (residences, duplexes, and apartment buildings) under construction, compared with 1,518 a year earlier. However, completions during 1952 totaled only 7,935 units as against 9,728 in 1951. Residential building in Dallas in 1952 showed a marked trend toward more construction of single-family residences and less duplexes and apartment units. Total production of building materials in the United States in most months of 1952 for which data are available was significantly below levels in corresponding months of 1951 and sharply below the peak rate of output in late 1950 and early 1951. Construction costs, on the other hand, have continued to edge upward and in 1952 averaged around 4 to 5 percent higher than in 1951. In the latter part of the year, wholesale prices of paints, lumber, millwork, plywood, plumbing and heating equipment, and fabricated structural metal products were slightly lower than a year earlier, while prices of structural clay products, gypSunl products, paper and paperboard, construction machinery and equipment, flat glass, concrete products, asphalt roofing, and construction wages averaged higher. 4 BUILDING PERMITS 12 months 1952 Percentage change in valuation from Dec. Nov. Percentage change in valuation from 12 months 1951 1952 1951 175 73 4,163 $ 19,477,033 24 19 4 14 -1 98 46 197 100 -51 -4 47 26 207 -31 246 -70 66 7 -50 6 -56 9 41 -61 -19 -8 203 125 20 267 1.344 4.5 46 3.122 2.697 4.413 21.037 3.647 11,000 1,326 11,413 3.244 2.108 17.198 3. 190 1.170 8,158,707 24,184,331 27.281,960 7,482,898 21,076,368 116,716,3 03 15,493,595 45,190,885 6,442,540 113,906,805 20,157,940 4,436,754 46,714,939 13,401 ,9 10 18.687,526 17 13 -6 5 16 20 6 6 -14 -13 11 -28 5 -12 123 44 -11 95.618 $508,810,494 December 1952 City Number lOUISIANA Shreveport ••. . VALUE OF CONSTRUCTION CONTRACTS AWARDED Area and type , percent below a year earlier, but the total for the fourth quarter was 84 percent higher than that for the same quarter in 1951. TEXAS Abitene •••• .• . Amarillo •••••. Austin . •••.••• Beaumont ••••• Corpus Christi •• 00110$ . •••. . •• EI Poso ••...•• Fort Worth •• . . Galveslon •. •. . Houston ... .. . • lubbock ••••.• Port Arthur •• .• Son Antonio •.• Waco .•.•.••• Wichita Fall$. .• Valuation 265 S 1,3 56.672 56 248 211 71 349 1.2 37 270 736 48 665 216 82 1.139 159 100 260.989 1.595,059 1.626.098 171,377 1.476.594 6.349.864 1.279.03 1 3,21.4,492 119,040 8.300.301 1, 160,2 58 623.019 6.193.922 668.051 745,600 Tolal •.• . .••••. . 5.852 $35.140.367 Number Valuation 4