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Monthly Business Review OFT H E FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF DALLAS ~~~~~========~~============~========== Volume 24" No. 12 Dallas, Texas, February 1,1940 This copy Is released for pub- F b 2 ~~==================================================~~==============~h~'c~~~lo~n~i~n~a~£~oo~rn~o~o~n~p~a~pe~r~B~~e~.~ DISTRICT SUMMARY heavy consumer buying enabled merchants to reduce inventories by considerably more than the average seasonal amount for that month. Although inventories on hand at the close of 1939 were still 5 per cent higher than at the end of 1938, they are comparatively low in relation to the current volume of sales. The stock turnover at reporting firms during 1939 averaged 3.63 times, or approximately the same as the average for the preceding three years. The turnover of inventories at department stores in each of the past four years has been considerably higher than in the years prior to 1936. In recent years department stores, through increased operating efficiency, have been able to expand sales considerably with only a moderate increase in stocks. th Tr~de and industry in the Eleventh District expanded fur. er In December, and the level of activity was higher than In the closing month of 1938. Consumer buying at depart~ent stores was exceptionally heavy during December and ~n the first two weeks of January, 194.0, sales averaged about I)per. cent higher than in the corresponding period last year. lstnbution of commodities through wholesale channels Was w?ll sustained in December, as heavy consumer buying ~ecessltated substantial fill-in orders by retailers. ConstrueIon ~ctivity increased sharply in December, following substantIal declines in the preceding two months. Petroleum ~roduction rose to a level near the all-time peak recorded in thugust, 1937, and refinery operations in Texas exceeded o~ of a year ago by a wide margin. The outlook for the ~gl'lcultural and livestock industries showed an improvement ~ll. December and the first half of January, as widespread ~lns or snow partially relieved the severe moisture defillency. Extremely low temperatures in the third week of anu~y, however, damaged grain and truck crops and caused : shnnkage in livestock. After reaching the highest level of tnecord at the middle of December, total loans and investents at weekly reporting member banks declined modi~ately in the subsequent four weeks, but on January 10, 40, they were still $26,000,000 greater than a year earlier_ The rate of collections on outstanding accounts during 1939 ,":as practically the same as that in the preceding year, averagIng about 4,0 per cent monthly on open accounts and about 15 per cent on instalment accounts. Distribution of commodities to consumers through independent retail establishments other than department stores expanded by about 4 per cent during 1939, the expansion beIng most pronounced in centers having a population of 2,500 to 50,000. In Texas increases in sales were recorded at stores in most reporting lines of trade, but the most out~tandiI?g gains occu~red in the distribution of durable goods, IncludIng automobIles, furniture, lumber, hardware and farm implements. Sales of dry goods and general merchandise were also somewhat larger than in 1938. PhDuring 1939 an improvement occurred in virtually all Al ases of business and industry in the Eleventh District. lJ t~ough the expansion was not as pronounced as in the r lllte~ States as a whole, due largely to the very moderate /C~lon in this district during 1938 as compared with that a~rhi e entire country, the general level of activity was nearly gh as in 1937. The expansion in consumer buying, together with an increase in the volume of inventories carried by retailers, resulted inl a substantial gain in the business of wholesale trade firms in the Eleventh District during 1939. In the first quarter of the year the value of sales was about the same as that in the corresponding period of 1938, but there was a noticeable improvement during the remainder of the year. Buying was particularly heavy following the outbreak of war early in September when widespread speculative purchases were made in anticipation of rising prices. Although the rate of expansion declined somewhat in the fourth quarter, business was well sustained by numerous fill-in orders to meet the expanding consumer demand. Distribution of BUSINESS In Stimulated by the largest volume of Christmas trade in ?re than a decade, department store sales in the Eleventh n . Selstr'let Increased by considerably more than the average iuaso:nal amount in December. This bank's seasonally ada"sted index of sales rose to 113 per cent of the 1923-25 Co erage, which is the highest for that month since 1928, and a"rnpares with 105 per cent for December, 1938. On a daily thtrage basis, the value of merchandise sold in December S year was 7 per cent greater than a year ago. .... <[NT al dollar sales at department stores in this district durht:i ab 939 were fractionally higher than in 1938 and only Pa;Ut 2 per cent lower than in 1937, the year in which deall !ment store trade was at its post-depression high. When in l~ance is made for the lower level of prices prevailing dUro 39, it appears that the physical volume of goods sold Ing the year was somewhat larger than in 1937. se~epartment store inventories, after adjustment for average the final changes, showed a moderate downward trend during tttollthst seven months of 1939, but in the subsequent four tern 5 when sales were slowed down by unseasonably high Peratures stocks rose sharply. In December, however, : '10 DEPARTMENT STORE SALES AND STOCKS £l£VENTH rED£RAL RtsmV£ DI$TRICT ""'''' ~ so 70 ~.,j"~ v , \ i', - so I SAJ.\itd lA,N A~· I "M. 100 00 120 T)"'" ",1. . VJATION fv\AJ - -Lx.. luS '..,_10"'1 \'\. 100 A ~ I~ 90 so 70 STOCKS 1 110 ICC " '"....~)J' NY "', I" ,\.-,." \" ''''-' " f. ...,~ '" ..., Ml rv' 1- ~/..,.·.,'~/ ~ eo 40 40 30 .... ..,. ... ,... ,... , .... ,... ... , This publication was digitized and made available by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas' Historical Library (FedHistory@dal.frb.org) 30 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 2 automotive supplies, electrical goods, hardware and surgical equipment increased sharply as compared with 1938, and the demand for non-durable goods expanded moderately. Employment and payrolls in Texas, after declining somewhat in January, 1939, showed an upward trend during the remainder of the year. According to data compiled by the Bureau of Business Research of the University of Texas, employment during December averaged 2 per cent higher than a year earlier and payrolls were up 4 per cent. Among the State's manufacturing industries, noticeable increases in employment and payrolls occurred at those producing cotton textiles, forest products and iron and steel products. The number and liabilities of commercial failures in the Eleventh District increased further in 1939 to the highest levels in several years. In comparison with the preceding year, the number of bankruptcies increased by about onefourth and the indebtedness of defaulting firms was more than 50 per cent greater, reflecting a substantial increase in their average liability. It should be noted that although the bankruptcy record in 1939 was less favorable than in other recent years, it was still far better than in any of the fourteen years prior to 1934,. According to Dun & Bradstreet, 322 commercial establishments failed in 1939, with aggregate liabilities totaling $4,,4.15,000. In December, 1939, there were 17 insolvencies, owing $243,000. WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE STATISTICS , _ _ - - - Percentage ohange in: ,Ratio Deo. oolleotions Net sales Stooks' to acoounte outstandv , ing Decemher 1 Deo .• 1039 from , . - - - - - - - - . Jan. 1 to 'Dec .• 1939 from Nov.. InstalDeo.. Nov .• Deo. 31, 1039 Deo.. from 1938 1938 1939 Regular ment 1938 1939 Retnil trade: Dopartmont stores: 41.8 17 .0 .7 5.1 -24.2 Totnl 11th DlBt" + 2.6 +66.9 6 42.5 19 .3 + .9 - .6 -23. Dallna .... " .... + 6.1 +60.3 39.5 +10.5 -24.4 13.0 .5 Fort Worth ...... .8 +96.4 41.5 + 21.1 -20 .5 .3 Houston ........ + 1. 3 +56.0 7 41.3 .1 + .9 -27. San Antonio ..... + 4.0 +64.6 42.8 20.2 8.5 -24.4 +1.5 Oth~r oities ...... .4 +73.0 independentstores:t 3.5 ArIZona . . ....... + 6.1 + " 4' 0".9' - .4 Oklahomn ....... - 1.5 3.8 New Moxioo ..... + 4 .4 +"3'3".6' + 4.6 Toxas ........... + 3.6 Wholcsnlo trado:t Machinery. eqp't & supplios (excopt 24.8 0Ieetrica\) ....... +107.2 - 11.6 + 6.1 +27.2 ':':''':i 42.3 + 4.8 Dry goods ........ - 15.6 -23.7 +10.5 11.9 89.1 Groceries ........ . + .6 .7 + 3.6 70.5 2.0 - 5.5 .9 + 2.6 + 2.6 Drugs ............ 72.4 9.0 2.4 +14.6 Hardwaro ........ + 6.0 - 11 .6 Electrical supplies . + 28.2 + 8.3 Tohaoco&prod·s .. - 6.5 - 12 .2 +'i:i Burgioaloqp·t ..... 6.8 -28. 6 +12.5 - 8.7 44.3 'Stocks at close of month. tCompiled by United States Department of Commeroe. + + + + ia:ti + + + + + + INDEXES OF DEPARTMENT STORE SALES AND STOCKS (1023-25 averago - l00) With seasonal adJustmont Without seasonal adjustment Total Eleventh Dist .. Dallas ............ " Fort Worth .......... Houeton ............. San Antonio.. . . .. ... Sales-Deo. 1939 1938 112.8 105 .1 127.4 116.3 129 .5 124.8 116.4 100.9 107.4 07.0 Stooks-Deo. 1939 1038 68.9 66.0 69.0 69.4 73.4 65.7 51.4 48.8 48.9 40.7 Sales-Deo. 1930 1988 105.1 181.8 203.0 186. 1 220.3 220.0 190.9 180.2 166.6 151. 7 Stocks-Deo. 1939 1938 59.9 57.4 60.7 61.1 60.2 53.9 47.8 40 .7 44.2 43 .5 COMMERCIAL FAILURES IN ELEVENTH DISTRICT (Liabilities in thousands of dollars) ,--1939--..,---1938--v--1987----.. Numbor Liabilities Number Liabilities Number Liabilities 36 $ 764 25 $ 217 11 $ 42 January ................ . M m M W U ill Fobruary .... ...... ..... . U _ W 9 m Maroh ... . ........ . .... . 31 414 28 264 16 344 W U ill U M ~;;:::::::::::::::::::: W _ June ....... .......... .. . 24 223 14 129 16 87 July .... . .. ....... ..... . August ..... ............ . 23 ~ W m 14 " U W W ~ 9 • Soptember .... ... ...... .. 22 ' 555 21 316 19 205 Ootober ................ . U m U ~ U ~ November ....... .... ... . ~ mUM w ~ December ......... .... .. 256 $2,873 182 $4,415 52,117 Total......... 322 ~ m ~ ~ ~ ~ AGRICULTURE The outlook for the agricultural and livestock industries improved considerably during the latter part of December and the first half of January. Rain or snow was received ill virtually all areas of the district, and while there is still a deficiency in subsoil moisture in many sections, conditions are now more favorable than for several months. SnoW in north and northwest Texas apparently protected wheat and oats against early January freezes, and the moisture was conducive to plant growth. Nevertheless, the condition of wheat, which was the lowest in fifteen years prior to the December rains, is still far below normal as a result of poor growing conditions last fall. According to the Department of Agriculture, the area seeded to winter wheat in Texas during the fall of 1939 totaled 4,154,000 acres which waS 6 per cent greater than in 1938, but much smaller than in 1937 and less than the 1927-1936 average. The condition of commercial vegetable crops in south Texas showed an improvement in December, and reports indicate that little or no damage occurred from the low temperatures that pre· vailed over the major portion.of the district early in January· The Department of Agriculture has announced that cotton acreage allotments for Texas have been placed at 9,917,000 acres for 1940, as compared with 10,139,000 acres in 1939. It was pointed out that a substantial part of the 1940 reduction will be offset by an increase in the acreage allotted to individual farmers under the minimum allotment provisions of the Agricultural Adjustment Act_ Prospects for winter range feed and late winter grazing on grain pastures were improved by the rains and snow in December and early January. The average condition of livestock ranges in this district on January 1 was about normal. Livestock were apparently in good condition to withstand the recent cold weather and the Department of Agriculture reported that in view of the generally ample supply of feed for winter needs in most areas and the improved outlook £~r winter grazing, livestock should go through the winter )Jl good flesh. Cattle on feed in Texas on January 1, 1940, waS estimated at 144,000 head, which is the same as that a year earlier, but 4 per cent smaller than on January 1, 1938. Reflecting improved range conditions, the number of cattle on feed in Arizona at the beginning of 1940 was one-fourth greater than a year ago_ Moisture deficiency over the major portion of the Elevent~ District dur.ing 1939 had an adverse effect upon cr~Ps durmg the growmg season with the result that productlOn of most principal crops was smaller than in 1938 and in a majority of cases was also below the 1928-1937 average harvest. Per acre yields of most field crops were bel~w those of 1938 and the ten-year average. In the case of cottoll, cord and wheat, however, the smaller production was accounte for by a reduction in the area harvested. Cotton production in this district during 1939 totaled 3,612,000 bales, which was 5 per cent less than ~n 1938 and nearly one-fourth smaller than the 1928-1937 average. This decline was due almost entirely to a smaller production in Texas, where the acreage harvested was the smallest since 1905. The acreage of corn, wheat and oats harvested in Texas during 1939 ~a9 also below that in the preceding year. Althouah the decltne in the acreage of these crops was offset in par~ by increased in the acreages of some minor crops, the total area harves te during 1939 was still about 900,000 acres less than in the preceding year and 3,700,000 acres smaller than the tenyear average. MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW . Although the 1939 production of agricultural commodities in Texas was smaller than in 1938, the increase in average prices of farm products was a compensating factor. The department of Agriculture estimated the farm value of aU crops produced in Texas during 1939 at $315,000,000, which represents an increase of 5 per cent over the value of agricultural products harvested in 1938. The increased value, however, was attributable to those crops raised chiefly for non-commercial purposes, as the value of commercial or cash crops, including cotton, rice, wheat, peanuts, fruits, ~~!S, and truck crops, was moderately smaller than in 1938. WIth the exception of oats, the value of feed and forage crops produced in 1939 was greater than a year ago. . Reflecting the lower value of commercial crops produced In 1939, cash farm income in this district from the sale of principal farm crops during the first eleven months of the year averaged 13 per cent smaller than in the corresponding period of 1938. The major portion of the decline is accOunted for by a reduction in income from the sale of cot~on and wheat, due to the smaller production as well as the a: t that the bulk of the crops was marketed by farmers Pnor to the advance in the prices of these commodities. OROP PRODUOTION (Thoueands oC units) ~---ToxnB---v--.E1eventhDistrictt______ 1028-1937 1028-1037 Crop Unit 1039 1038 avorage 19aO 1038 averago g~::on.. . . . . . . .. Bales 2,880 3,086 4,077 4,304 4,617 5,011 Co onsced .. . ... Tons 1,258 1,378 1,816 1,053 2,054 2,632 1V1:;,'·t· ··· . . .. ' " Bushels 73,376 75,648 75,062 126,744 140,550 135,402 Oatsa (.11) .. .... BURheis 27,650 35,040 32,038 01,853 100,541 82,760 narl· · · ·· ....... Bushels 28,750 36,020 34,245 52,306 60,637 61,058 l\iecOY .......... Bushels 2,055 2,365 2,518 10,285 6,757 4,650 Or . " . .. .. ... .. Bushels 13,088 13,668 0,215 13,088' 13,668' 0,215' 'l'a~n torgbums .. Bushels 38,115 46,051 47.741 53,109 63,744 65,104 Wild\ ay.... ... Tons 1,022 1,012 700 2,024 2,026 2,413 Pea ay. . . . . . . . Tons 257 285 208 770 859 681 lri8~uts .... " '" Pounds 129,480 117,000 73,876 151,190 142,000 06,401 S", Potatoes .... Bushel. 2,660 2,050 3,361 7,713 8,013 0,174 nr:t PotatoeB . .. Bushols 3,780 4,350 4,~30 11,660 12,750 12,327 poo. lncoru ...... 'rons 2 .2 4.0 3 .3 17.5 22.0 25 .5 Ora os .......... Pound. 10,000 23,000 25,120 34,003 28,500 42,752 oge. ..... .. . . . Boxes 2,650 2,815 677 2,650' 2,815' 677' r.PeCrutt .... '" Boxes 15,200 15,670 3,538 15,200' 15,670' 3,538' tiall tEleventh Distriot figures represent tho oombined totals Cor the fivo states wholly or parArii attached to the Eloventh Distriot, i.o., Toxas, Louisiana, Oklahoma, Now Mexico and Ol\a. 'Texas only. SOu ROE: United States Department oC Agrioulturo. o OASll FARM INOOME FROM SALE OF PRINCIPAL FARM PRODUCTS AND GOVERNMENT BENEFIT PAYMENTS (In thoueand8 of doHars) ,..--November, 1039-----,. Reoeipt. Crom Govsrn- , Total rccoipts,---___. , - - -- -----" ment November November Jan. 1 to Nov. 30 Orops Livestoek' payment. 1939 1038 1030 1038 Ari'on. 3,658 $ 6,034 $ 471 $ 10,163 $ 6,220 $ 46,070 $ 43,688 }fUi8i.~~.·.·. : : : $ 18,258 2,260 1,620 22,153 24,170 108,364 104,867 O~~hMcxico . . . 2,317 11,653 144 14,114 8,314 48,754 37,417 'l'ex..~ma .... . 7,900 7,360 2,151 17,510 17,051 161,501 158,585 12,867 10,508 6,560 38,035 01,355 460,548 466,656 ,/otal... U5,000 $46,830 S10,055 $102,884 $118,010 80~l.:idCesE reoeipts Crom the ••10 oC livestock and livestook products. ., $835,146 $811,213 : United States Department oC Agrioulture. FORT WORTH LIVESTOOK UEOEIPTS (Number) December Decomber Ohange over November Ohang. over year 1030 month 1038 1030 - 10,607 50,062 - 16,149 54,420 34,813 - 10,115 44,087 -21,435 33,617 23,502 25,669 23,566 5,430 31,108 7,542 - 12,324 -13,518 36,816 38,010 24,402 + OOMPARATIVE TOP LIVESTOCK PUIOES (DoHars per hundredweight) December December 1030 1038 ~eer steers S9.50 SO.50 8.50 8.40 0 .50 10 .00 CUtoher eow~ear IDgB ............ .. .............. . 6.25 6.75 8.75 8.25 0. 50 6.35 7:00 7.75 8.00 ~:~~ :~~~:::I;::: :::: : :::::::::::: : : : :::::: ::: &~:r.~~~~~.;.;. :::::.:;;;; ~:;;: ~ ~;;;:;:;;:::: ~ ~; + November 1030 $9.25 8.50 10.00 0.25 8.76 0.50 6.70 8.25 3 In contrast with the decline in income from marketings of agricultural commodities in 1939, livestock growers in this district again experienced a profitable year. Calf and lamb crops were large and the production of wool was near the record output in 1938. Moreover, prices of livestock and livestock products during 1939 averaged somewhat higher than in 1938. The market for wool and mohair advanced sharply in September and October to the highest level in recent years and despite some irregularity since that time, prices have continued at comparatively high levels. Ranchmen disposed of most of the 1939 clips, as well as a substantial volume of wool and mohair carried over from 1938. Marketings of cattle and calves during 1939 exceeded those of a year ago by a substantial margin and shipments of sheep and lambs continued heavy despite some decline from the record marketings of 1938. The growing importance of the livestock industry in this district is indicated by the fact that cash income from the sale of livestock and livestock products during the first eleven months of 1939 rose to the highest level for any similar period for which data are available, exceeding that in the first eleven months of 1938 by 9 per cent. Larger receipts from the sale of cattle, calves, wool and mohair, and poultry products were chiefly responsible for the expansion in income from this source during the past year. Although the expansion in cash income during the first eleven months of 1939 from the sale of livestock and livestock products was substantial, it was insufficient to counterbalance the decline in receipts from the sale of farm crops, with the result that combined receipts were 3 per cent smaller than in the corresponding period of 1938. This contraction was more than offset, however, by a marked increase in Government benefit payments to farmers for their compliance with provisions of the Agricultural Adjustment Act. Between January 1 and November 30, 1939, the Federal Government disbursed $154,,000,000 to farmers in the five states attached to the Eleventh District, which was much greater than in the corresponding period of any preceding year, exceeding that in the first eleven months of 1938 by 44 per cent. In consequence of this expansion, farm income from all sources during the first eleven months of 1939 exceeded that in the corresponding eleven months of 1938 by 3 per cent. FINANCE The growth in deposits at member banks in the Eleventh District during 1939, which was at a much faster rate than the expansion in loans and investments, resulted in a sharp expansion of member bank reserve balances at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas and a marked increase in balances carried with correspondent banks. The increase in reserve balanc'es was particularly noticeable after the middle of the year, and on several occasions during the fall, total reserve balances made .successive new high records. Reserve balances during the year averaged about $194,000,000, which was nearly $20,000,000 higher than the average for 1938. There has been a further growth in these balances since the turn of the year, the total rising to $228,087,000 on January 12, or about $3,250,000 higher than the previous record established on November 25, 1939. Excess reserves of member banks also rose to a new high level in 1939. The peak was reached in the first half of November at $83,000,000, a figure which amounted to approximately 62 per cent of required reserves. In December member banks in this district were carrying $475,000,000 with correspond- MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 4 ent banks, which was about $90,000,000 higher than a year earlier and more than double the current volume of reserve balances. MEMBER BANK RESERVES ELEVENTH fEDERAL RESERVE MILLIONS OF DOLLARS DIST RICT MILLIONS OF OOLLARS 2~0 250 1-----I-----I-----I-----l-----l------:cEl 2CO ·REi,ERVES :·P~~~p.~,:.;;;:;+.: 100 50 o o 103 4 1030 1937 1939 Total earning assets of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas were reduced $12,600,000 during the year ended January 15, 1940, reflecting chiefly this bank's pro rata share of a net reduction in the System's holdings of United States Government securities. Member bank borrowings from this bank were in small volume throughout 1939. The peak was reached early in August at only $451,000; thereafter, borrowings followed a downward trend, being completely liquidated early in January, 1940. Industrial advances were reduced further in 1939, totaling $487,000 at the middle of January, 1940, as compared with $771,000 a year earlier. Federal Reserve notes of this bank in actual circulation, which amounted to $81,376,000 on January 1, 1939, showed an irregular decline during the first half of the year, reaching the year's low at about $75,000,000. There was a gradual expansion during subsequent months and the seasonal peak was recorded on December 23 at $86,142,000. Since that time the return flow of currency from circulation in this district has been in substantial volume with the result that our note circulation had declined to $81,386,000 by January 15, 194,0. This amount was $2,600,000 greater than on the corresponding date of 1939. The higher level of business and industrial activity in the Eleventh District during the past year resulted in an increased demand for credit at weekly reporting member banks in leading cities. Total loans showed a counter-to-seasonal increase during the spring and summer and this gain was followed by a sharp seasonal expansion during the remainder of the year. The increase over the year amounted to $41, 000,000, and total loans outstanding at the close of the year were the largest since December, 1931, but about $100,000,000 below the 1929 high. The decrease from 1929 reflects in large part the smaller volume of loans on securities. Although the major portion of the expansion in loans during the past year was utilized for commercial, industrial and agricultural purposes, nearly all types of loans showed an increase. In contrast with the expansion in loans, holdings of investment securities were reduced sharply, reflecting a liquidation in direct obligations of the United States Government. The major portion of the contraction took place in the first six weeks of the year, and was apparently effected to take advantage of the appreciation that had occurred in security prices. Moderate increases in holdings of Government guaranteed obligations and of other securities partially offset the decline in holdings of Government direct CONDITION OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK (In thousands of dollara) Jan . 15, Jan. 15, 1939 1940 1210,032 Total cash rcoervco . ... . ...... .. ..... . . .. . .. .. .... . $256,177 4 26 Discounts for member hanks . . . .. .. . .•............ None 151 Other hills discounted ........ ....... .... . .. .. . .. . . 771 Ind ustrial advances ...................... .. .. . . .. . 487 16 None Bills bought in the open market ..............•..... 106,814 United States Government seeuritico .. . .......... .. . 94,362 107,627 95,004 Total earning assets ......... ..... ... .... ... ..... . 222,741 184,579 Member bank reserve deposits ..... .. ............ . . 78,741 81,386 Federal Reserve notes in actual cireul.tion ......... . 46 Commitments to make industrial advaneco ......... . Nnne Deo.15, 1939 1260,09~ 140 506 None 90,875 91,525 215,606 83,290 None CONDITION STATISTICS OF MEMBER BANKS IN LEADING CITIES (In thousands of dollan) Jan. 10, Jan. 11, Dee. 13, 1940 1939 1989 Tot. 1loans and investments.. ..... .. . . ... .. .. . . ... $548,172 1522,092 1560,005 Total loans. .. .... .. ................ ........ ..... 283,965 242,485 285,551 Commcreial, industrial and agricultural loaDs . ..... 188,170 159,079 190,191 Opcn market paper ..... . ............... . .. ..... 1,749 967 1,858 Loans to brokers and dealers in seeuritico.. .. . . . .. . 3,033 2,949 5,163 Other loans for purchasing or carrying securities 14,145 13,239 14,086 Heal estate loans ........................... :::: 22,416 20,008 21,635 Xfl·~~h~~ r~a~~::.::::::::: ::: : : ::::::::: :: :::: : UIII~ed ~tates Government direct obligations. ... ..... g~~,gatl ons.r~IIY guaranteed by United Statco Govt.. er seeurtt,co. . . .. . .. . .. ... . .. . .. .... ..... .. . .. 1teserves with Federal Reoerve Bank. .. . . . . ... . .•. .. Enlances with domestic banks. ... . .. . . .. . . ... . . . ... T.ema;; d dcposit&-adjusted' ..... ..... .. .. :.... . .. U~it~d eS't~~::'G~~~~~~~i d~jX,~it~:: :: :: ::::: ::: : : : 54,~~ 46,~~g 52,:~~ 153,132 53,596 57,479 138,522 261,903 459,494 179,806 43,395 56,406 115,258 218,641 426,658 164,368 52,209 57,87 7 138,860 264,231 472,833 2~~'~~~ 2~~:~~~ 2~~,m 137,122 133,466 135,504 Interba?k deposits. . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Borrowtngs from Federal Reserve Bank. . .. ... ... ... None None None 'Includes all demand depo.its other than interbank and United St.tes Government, less oash items roported as on hand or in proe ... of collection. GROSS DEMAND AND TIME DEPOSITS OF MEMBER BANKS (Average of doily figurc&-in thous.nds of doUars) Combined total Deoomber, Deeemhor, August, September, Oetobor, November, Deccmber, Gr08l demand 1937 . . ....... $1,117,735 1938 .......... 1,189,670 1939 .. .... .... 1,208,731 1939 .. . .. . . . .. 1,255,634 1939 .. ........ 1,305,705 1939 .......... 1,340,118 1939 ........ .. 1,344,386 Abil~ne .. ... Austm...... Bea~mont. .. Corsicana.... D.Uas. . . . . . EI Paso. . . . . Fort Worth.. Galvcoton... Houston.. ... l'orl Arthur.. Roswell .. ,,, San Antonto. Shroveport... Texarkana'.. Tueson.. .. .. Tyler. . ... . . Waco....... Wichita Falls n.....rv. oity hanka Groll Tim. demand 1211,810 1607,769 223,336 665,072 232,308 701,997 231,820 729,653 231,863 760,455 232,340 777,045 234,145 777,931 Country bon~ Gro8S Time demand $116,993 $509,966 123,655 524,598 506,734 128,122 123,084 525,981 127,567 545,250 128,081 563,073 130,299 666,455 Time I 94,817 99,681 104,186 103,736 103,796 104,259 103,846 DEBITS TO INDIVIDUAL ACCOUNTS (In thousands of doUars) ___PetRo ohange from--... PercentSge December December November r - - - Total ysar -----. ohango frolll 1939 1938 1939 1939 1938 1988 $ 9,917 +.7 +19 .5 I 102,845 I 102,235 + .5 39,330 +11.3 +34.5 410,405 377,427 + 8.7 26,738 + 4.9 + 9. 1 278,766 278,960 _.1 4,220 + 9.0 +27.3 39,780 39,186 + 1.5 326,097 +13.6 +28.. 2,992,939 2,824,286 + 6.0 35,877 +10 .2 +12.8 349,032 317,377 +10. 0 104,386 + 7.3 +25 . 7 973,836 974,451 _ .1 29,689 - 3.4 +.8 302,216 321,473 - 6.0 283,263 +11.2 +184 2729307 2533651 + 7.7 10,723 + 8.6 +14:6 '109:301 '109:031 +.2 5,639 - .7 - 3.5 52,816 51,953 + 1.7 78,508 + 5.1 +19.0 830,718 787,403 + 5.5 54,966 + 1.4 +20 .. 522,484 524,169 _.3 9,328 + 6.4 +27.7 87,896 86,440 + 1.7 13,159 + 3.7 + 9.2 139,359 134,987 + 3.2 13,621 + 2.4 +16.2 137,473 142,865 - 3.8 16,926 -.4 +22 5 166227 158635 + 4.8 17,997 + 2.5 +38 : 1 174:836 193:273 - 9.5 -- Tote!. .. $1,080,384 + 9. 1 +21.7 110,400,236 19,957,852 + 4.4 'Inoludes the figuree of two bank. in Texarkana, Arkan..., looated in the Eighth Distrio t • SAVINGS DEPOSITS Number of reporting b.nks 3 Boaumont ... . .......... . 8 Dalh", ... ........ . . .... . 2 EI Paso .... ............ . 3 Fort Worth .... ......... . 4 Galveston .............. . 10 Houston .............. .. . 2 Port Arthur .. .... . ... .. . San Antonio ............ . 5 Shreveport ......... . ... . 3 Waco ........... ....... , 3 Wichita Falls ........... . 3 69 AU other ." ........... .. Tota!. ........ .. 115 Deeemher 31, 19a9 Percentage ehan~e in ,__------~, ••vinga dep'osit~ Number of Amount of s.vings .avin~. r Deo.31, Nov.30, depo.i""n depOSita 1938 1939 9,840 $ 3,921,836 2 +. 9 7 89,097 26,695,421 l' 7 17,657 8,488,018 + 5:0 2.~ 36,101 13,268,345 - 3.0 - 2. 04 18,777 12,135,307 + 1.7 +. 8 74,720 30,993,140 + 4. 7 + 1' 9 = :j:' 2~:~~~ I~:m:m ~1~: ~ :j: 1:9 ~:~~ ~:~~~:~~ ~ U ~:~ 24,899 + .~ 11,933,360 + 4. 1 58,613 30,148,655 + 1. 8 .::...-:-:- 374,066 $167,441,124 + 1.2 +.5 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW obligations, but total investments at the close of 1939 were still $27,000,000 less than at the end of 1938. Despite the contraction in security holdings during 1939, total loans and investments near the end of the year were at the highest level of record. As compared with 1929, security holdings at the end of 1939 were $156,000,000 larger, and this expansion in investments more than offset the $100,. 000,000 decrease in loans during the ten-year period. Deposits at reporting banks continued the sharp upward ~rend in 1939 that had been in evidence during the preced- ~ng five years. The expansion was much greater than that ~n loans and investments, with the result that the volume of Idle funds at these banks showed a further sharp increase. The increase in deposits totaled $97,000,000, which is acCOUnted for by additions to adjusted demand and interbank deposits both of which rose to newall-time peaks during ~e year. Reserves of these banks carried with the Federal eserve Bank of Dallas were increased $21,000,000 during the year and balances with other domestic commercial banks Were expanded by $59,000,000. REPORTING MEMBER BANKS IN LEADING CITIES ~IONS OF OOI.l.ARS ~~~~--j!\CO !Oo I - - ! - - - - - I - t-+=-~:"'--+----+----1----t-----1 """ --t----+-----±------:ilOO ----+-----1200 100 ",)t,::-U.L..W.~,-,-,-....J.........~u...............L..~~...........L~,,==~.....J...u..'-'7.~.....w IQl4 I~ t03& 100 1039 1Deposits at all member banks in the Eleventh District II So showed a further sharp upward trend during 1939. !he seasonal decline during the spring was very small and III the last half of 1939, the combined average of gross deIll. and and time deposits established a new all·time peak in each succeeding month. During December total deposits a Veraged $1,579,000,000 which was $166,000,000 greater than' h h 3 The increase in d ' d' In t at mont of 19 8. epos1ts urmg 1939 w.as double that in the preceding year. to individual accounts at banks in eighteen cities °f Dthebits e Eleventh District were maintained at a level 9 per Cent h' h th d' D b d d d th 19 er an a year ago urmg ecem er, an excee e ose for any corresponding month since 1929. During the h .. ast year, charges to depositors' accounts averaged 4 per Cent greater than in 1938 and although the aggregate was dpp.roximately 3 per cent smaller than in 1937, the total ;"urIng the final quarter of 1939 was 4 per cent greater than . . , th at period of 1937. INDUSTRY d C.onstruction contracts awarded in the Eleventh District i urIng December showed a pronounced increase over those tn the preceding month, reflecting an expansion in awards tor heavy engineering projects. The value of awards for this ~p~ of building, which includes public works and public 11 \hty construction, was only 4 per cent belo-w the heavy ~ Utne in December, 1938, and exceeded that for any other onth during 1939. Residential building declined consider- ably in December, due in part to seasonal factors, and for the third consecutive month was smaller than in the corresponding month of the previous year. During 1939, the aggregate value of construction contracts awarded in this district was the largest since 1930, exceeding that in 1938 by about 6 per cent. The increase during the year was accounted for chiefly by an expansion in privatelyfinanced construction, which registered a substantial increase in each of the major types of building activity. The construction of publicly-financed residential buildings showed a marked expansion, as a result of awards for several hU'ge slum-clearance projects under the United States Housing Authority, but this expansion was more than counterbalanced by declines in awards for the constl"Uction of publiclyfinanced non-residential and engineering projects. Among the several types of building activity, the most pronounced increases during 1939 occw'red in residential and public utility construction. The value of contracts awarded for residential building rose to the highest level in more than ten years and exceeded that in 1938 by 27 per cent. The construction of single-family dwellings for owner occupancy showed only a moderate expansion during the year, but there were substantial increases in speculative building and in slum-clearance projects. The value of apartment houses constructed in 1939 was more than double that in 1938, but the value of contracts for dormitories and hotels was only a small percentage of the preceding year's total. Public utility construction in this district increased sharply in 1939, following several years in which this type of building had been at a low level. The expansion oc· VALUE OF OONSTRUCTION OONTRACTS AWARDED (In tbousand. of dollars) December Deoember November January 1 to Deoember 31 1930 1988 1039 1930 1988 Eleventh District-total.. . $ 17,608 $ 23,816 $ 12,672 $ 190,110 $ 187,523 Rc.idential. ... .. ... .. . 4,762 5,527 6,186 88,484 65,739 All other ... ....... ... . 12,841 18,280 6,486 115,676 121,784 United StatO!'-total.. .. . 354,098 389,480 209,847 3,550,543 3,106,928 lksidcntial . ......... . . 88,681 01,539 116,588 1,384,272 985,787 265,417 207,000 183,250 2,216,271 2,211,141 AI~;;:~:~ ~~t ~'f 'ih~ Rocky Mountaino. SOUROE: F. W. DodgeCorporation. BUILDING PERMITS Dooember, 1939 Pereentago valuation ohange from Jan. 1to Deo. 31,1939 Poroentago eb.ngo ....-------,,--------.,, valu.tion No. Valu.tion "Deo.,1988 Nov.,1939 No. Valuation from 1938 Abilene. ....... 10 $ 16,980 -52.6 - 41.2 285 $ 577,560 - 26.8 Amarillo....... 31 106,865 -89.9 - 40.9 713 2,634.476 - 18.1 Auotin......... 188 275,898 -110.8 - 20.0 3,117 7,178,716 + 16.5 BoaulDont. ..... 83 85,401 +18.0 - 73.6 1,660 1,714,346 + 35.8 Corpus Obristi. 121 623,040 178,204 -53.0 +12.9 -- 86.9 1,879 12,843,889 6,597,478 + +114.2 Dallas'.... ..... 488 9.9 7,123 4.0 EI Paso. ....... 69 161.205 +16.3 + 16.9 1,143 2,573,035 + 46.7 }'ort Worth..... 158 403,092 -aU - .1 2,771 7,116,824 + 24.3 GalvO!ton...... 122 107,071 - 72.7 + 44.4 1,789 1,436,009 - 40.1 Houston........ 364 1,040,045 +28.0 + 39.8 6,024 25,373,545 + 1.3 Port Arthur... . 94 69,821 - 38.5 - 42.5 1,531 1,143,917 - 24.3 San Antoaio.. .. 461 461,898 +12.9 - 56.3 4,800 8,421,256 + 80. 1 Shroveport..... + .6 -- 3.5 Waco.......... 122 33 269,400 57,206 -32.8 4.8 1,801 751 5,868,306 1,406,104 + + 24.6 3.5 Wichita Falls ...__ 34 _2_63_,4_07_ -21.7 +134.1 588 1,280,944 + 4.2 Total. ... 2,378 $5,019,632 -29 .0 - 23.5 35,025 $86,256,405 + 15.0 'Inoludes Highland Park and Univeroity Park. PORTLAND OEMENT STATISTICS-TEXAS MILLS (In tbousands of barrelo) Stooks (end of month) ,---Produotion-v-- Shipments ~ , 1939 1038 1030 1938 1089 1038 January ... ... ......... . . 673 334 628 530 826 752 444 545 532 852 664 ~~r~:~:: :::::: :::::::: 571 409 664 607 646 655 681 720 751 665 580 700 853 ~;~l.: ::::::::::::: : :::: 772 717 686 612 795 058 JuDe ......... .......... . 537 611 644 664 688 905 July ........... .. ...... . 667 630 585 507 820 1,027 August ....... ....... ... . 485 300 582 570 722 838 September .... .......... . 685 624 585 601 822 862 Ootober........ .. ... ... . 704 536 568 650 058 748 November .. ........ .... . 478 648 554 636 882 750 Deoember ........... .... 547 605 518 584 011 781 Total. . . . . ... .. . 7,888 6,954 7,207 7,121 SOUROE: United States Burcnu of Mines. MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 6 curred chiefly in electric light and power projects and in pipe lines. In the non-residential field, the construction of virtually all types of buildings for commercial and manufacturing purposes increased moderately over the year. A sharp reduction in the value of street and highway improvements was chiefly responsible for a 22 per cent decline in public works construction. CONSTRUCTION CONTRACTS AWARDED ELEVENTH fED[ RAL RESERvt MILLIONS OF DOI..LARS OISTRICT MILUO"" ' " OOlLA:g 40 30 20 10 J..-.......jf---V 10 '''''' The valuation of building permits issued at fifteen principal cities in the Eleventh District expanded further in 1939 to the highest level in ten years, exceeding that in 1938 by 15 per cent. Eleven of the reporting cities participated in the expansion over 1938. The most pronounced gains occurred at Beaumont, Corpus Christi, EI Paso, Fort Worth, San Antonio and Shreveport. The value of permits issued at Houston and Dallas was only moderately higher than in 1938; nevertheless, the aggregate for these two cities represented nearly one-half of the total for all reporting cities. The expansion in building activity during 1939 resulted in a further increase in the operations of allied industries. The production and shipments of Portland cement from Texas mills closely approximated the peak levels attained in 1929, and operations at southern pine mills showed an expansion of 5 per cent over those in 1938. The demand for lumber during 1939 exceeded production hy ahout 5 per cent, with the result that mill stocks were reduced by a corresponding amount. Unfilled orders for lumber on the books of mills at the close of 1939 were 14 per cent greater than a year earlier. Crude oil production in the Eleventh District and the United States continued to expand in December. Daily average production in the nation as a whole rose to the highest level of record, and output in this district was only 4 per cent under the all-time peak recorded in August, 1937. Refinery operations in the United States declined further in December, but production of gasoline continued in excess of consumption and stocks showed a further sharp expansion. Operations in the petroleum industry during 1939 were maintained at a high level. Production of crude oil in both the Eleventh District and the United States was greater than in 1938, but was lower than the record output in 1937. Crude oil runs to refinery stills during 1939 showed an increase of 7 per cent, as compared with 1938, reaching the highest level of record. As the demand for crude oil was in excess of production, there was a further sharp decline in aboveground stocks of crude oil, which were reduced appro.ximately 35,000,000 barrels during the year. The major portion of the decline occurred in the last half of August when most of the wells in the mid· continent area were shut down. At the close of 1939 crude oil inventories were 13 per cent smaller than a year earlier and only moderately above the 17-year low recorded on October 21, 1939_ Preliminary reports indicate that the demand for petro' leum products was likewise in record volume during 1939, the average exceeding that of a year ago by about 7 per cent. Export demand was 3 per cent greater, and the domes· tic demand was up 8 per cent. The most significant increas~ occurred in the distribution of gas and fuel oils and lubrI' cants. The consumption of these products was much greater than production, and as a consequence, stocks on hand at the close of 1939 were considerably smaller than a year earlier. Although the demand for gasoline was the largest in the history of the industry, averaging about 5 per cent greater than in 1938, production expanded by a larger amount, causing stocks to rise to an unusually high level. At the close of the year gasoline inventories were 13 ped' cent greater than a year earlier, and the highest of reco r for that season of the year. The average pFice of gasoline in the United States, which had declined sharply in 1938, increased moderately during the first half of 1939 and remained fairly steady in the sub· sequent four months when consumption was at an all-time high for those months. During November and December prices of gasoline in the mid-continent area showed are· newed weakness, declining fractionally in each succeeding week, reflecting the seasonal decline in demand, the heavY output and the consequent rapid accumulation of inventories. The downward trend in prices persisted during the first half of January, as stocks of gasoline continued to expand. prices of gas and fuel oils and lubricants were very strong at the close of 1939, reflecting the heavy demand for these products occasioned in part by the high rate of industrial production, the increased use of oil for heating purposes and the expan' sion in foreign demand. Posted prices of crude oil at mosJ fields remained unchanged during most of 1939, but upwa r f adjustments at some fields were made in the latter part 0 the year. Drilling activity, which normally declines in December, showed a sharp increase in the closing month of 1939, com' pletions being at the highest level of record for that mo nth More numerous completions were reported for a majority 0 states, indicating that the increase was fairly general. F?r the year as a whole, drilling activity in the Eleventh DIS' trict was 21 per cent lower than in 1938, but a noticeable expansion in some other sections of the United States, pa~' ticularly Illinois, Michigan and Indiana, partially offset l decline, with the result that total completions in the Un1t,e States were only 3 per cent smaller. In comparison wlth 1937, when drilling activity was at its peak, total comple· tions in the United States during the past year were 17 per cent smaller, while in this district the decrease was about 36 per cent. f 0J Cotton mill activity in the United States, after adjustment for seasonal variations, showed a further expansion in De' cember. There were 653,000 bales of colton consumed during the month, which represents a smaller-than-average decrInae from that in November, and as a consequence, the Boar of Governors' seasonally adjusted index of cotton consumP' tion increased further to an all-time high level. When all~w' ance is made for customary seasonal changes in activI~Y' operations at domestic c'otton mills showed an almost unl~' terrupted expansion during the final eight months of 193 ~ the index of cotton consumption having risen 38 per cell MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW during the period, or from 105 per cent of the 1923-1925 average ill April to l4.5 per cent in December_ The latter figure compares with an index of 120 per cent in December, 1938. During the initial five months of the current season there were 3,300,000 bales of cotton consumed in the United ~tates, as compared with 2,800,000 bales in the correspondIng period last season. Coincident with the expansion in cotton consumption, mill margins showed a substantial increase, reflecting chiefly an expansion in prices of finished products. According to the Department of Agriculture, mill ?largins rose from a low in 1939 of 9.33 cents per pound ~ May to the year's peak of 15.83 cents per pound in Octoer. Although margins fell off somewhat in the final two Inonths of the year, due chiefly to the increase in prices of haw cotton, they averaged 13.06 cents per pound in Decemer, which was 22 per cent above that a year ago and 4 per cent higher than the 1928-1937 average for that month. FollOWing a substantial increase during the first half of Decemb~r, manufacturers' sales of textile products apparently dechned somewhat in the subsequent two weeks. Consuming establishments continued to make heavy purchases of raw Cotton in December. Stocks on hand at the close of the month Were the largest for any month-end since April, 1937, and eXceeded those of a year ago by 9 per cent. Inventories of haw cotton in public storage and compresses were reduced bY much more than the average seasonal amount in Decemer, and at the year-end they were 5 per cent smaller than at the close of 1938. Operations at cotton textile mills in Texas have followed 7 the largest for any corresponding period since 1933, exceeding those in that period last season by 54 per cent. Between August 1 and December 31, 1939, shipments amounted to approximately 1,900,000 bales, which represented 60 per cent of the total cotton exports from the United States. Following the sharp increase in November and the first half of December, domestic prices of raw c'otton showed relatively little net change in the subsequent four weeks. On January 15 the price of cotton, middling, 15/16-inch staple, at the ten designated spot markets was 23 per cent above that at the beginning of November and 26 per cent higher than a year ago. The higher level of cotton prices has resulted in numerous requests for the release of cotton from the Government loan stock. Many producers who had borrowed from the Commodity Credit Corporation on their 1938-1939 cotton have retired their loans and sold the cotton in the open market. CONSUMPTION, STOCKS AND EXPORTS OF COTTON (BahlS) December December November Au ~ust 1 to December 31 1030 1088 1030 TIllSS08S0n Last season Consumption at: 11,040 12,800 58,175 8,001 51,377 Texn. mills",.,.". " United States mills.. ,. 652,605 565,027 718,721 3,311,702 2,708,708 U.S. stookH-cnd of month: Tn consuming estab'mts , 1,850,664 1,782,040 1,700,877 Public stg.« comprcsscs. 14,581,642 15,330,720 15,484,508 Exports from U. B. to: United Kingdom •...... 162,873 51,282 158,364 053,598 243,003 France, .. , . , .. ,. , ..... 67,451 32,170 40,378 300,364 273,043 Italy ....... . , ........ 03,761 243,201 86,786 80,810 151 ,003 Germany , ..... .. , .... Nono 24,614 27,522 None 168,736 Other Europe , .. , ... .. . 160,825 73,088 124,504 700.058 426,685 ~ trend in close conformity with that for all such mills in iir~tb~~ ~~~~ i~i~: : ' : : : 128,932 188,878 112,837 36,707 116,707 103,782 422,171 478,481 457,307 181,420 he United States. Consumption of cotton was maintained at a higher rate than a year earlier throughout most of 1939, h~d between August 1 and December 31 it increased to the t Ighest .level in several years. The aggregate amount of coton consumed during the year averaged about 7 per cent i~ove that in 1938, and the expansion thus far in the 193940 season has amounted to approximately 13 per cent oVer that in the corresponding five months last season. Total exports . ... 806.720 368,048 583,644 3,143,395 1,002,367 . Following a sharp decline in November, exports of Amer~can cotton resumed their upward trend in December, due In part to increased freight space available in ocean-going vessels. Shipments amounted to 807,000 bales during De:Inher, which was 38 per cent larger than in the preceding Onth and more than twice as great as in the corresponding 0nth last year. During the first five months of the 1939\ h~O season, exports of cotton amounted to 3,143,000 bales, th Ich Was nearly two-thirds greater than in that period of In e preceding season and about equal to the volume of shipnts in the initial five months of the 1937-1938 season. b though increased exports to Great Britain, which have II een augmented by deliveries under the barter agreement, ~counted for more than one-half 0.£ the expansion in shipIIIe~ts over the preceding season, movements to virtually all GIIJor importing Continental European countries, except oferlDany, and to some other countries have exceeded those fal' a y~ar ago. On the other hand, shipments to Japan thus th this season have averaged 8 per cent smaller than in e corresponding five months last season. du~J(Ports of cotton from the ports of Houston and Galveston ring the first five months of the 1939-1940 season were COTTON CONSUMPTION AT TEXAS MILLS Ootober . , , , , .. , , , . , , , "" . , , . . , .. , . , . " , . , , , ... . November .. " ,.,.,' , ., .. . , . . . , . . . . . , "" ....... . December, .. "., . . . ", ,,,,,, ... ,,,., "".,." .. , 1030 10,378 0,785 10,901 9,240 11,182 10,355 0,182 11,002 11,115 12,140 12,800 11,040 1938 8,737 8,964 10,551 0,356 10,622 10,248 10,731 11,529 10,878 10,002 0,887 8,901 1037 10,612 10,558 12,042 12,362 11,864 11,728 11,141 10,483 10,012 0,435 8,757 9,517 TotaL ... " .... , . . ... ,' .. .. , . . . . . ,., 120,258 120,586 130,011 January "" .. ".,. " . , .. ,.,.,. , .,. , ., .. " .. , ... , February .. ,., .. ".",,, .,. , . , .. ,,,,,,,,,,,,,, .. , Maroh, .. . , , . , . , ..... , , , ... . . " , . , , , " , , , . , . . ... ~;~::: :::: :: ::::: :: : :: : : ::::::::: : : : : :::: :: :::: June" ... , , ... , .. " " . , , , , , , " , . , , , . " , . , ...... , July . . , .. " , . . . . , .. " , .. , ,." .. "'''' ' ' " " ", . , ~~:t~~bc''', :::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::: CRUDE OIL PRODUOTION (Dorrels) December, 1030 Increase or decrease in daily r-----------., average production from Total Daily avg. produotion production Dec., 1038 Nov., 1939 0 l\i North Texas" .... , ...... .. . , Wcst Texas ................ , . Enst Texas .......... " ..... , South Texas . . ............ , .. Texas Ooastal ............. , .. 5,242,450 8,835,150 16,066,200 7,030,050 7,627,750 160,111 285,005 547,207 220,776 246,056 Total Texna . .. .. . .. . New Mexico, .. ... " .. , .. ... . North Louisiana .. " ... .... . , . 45,701,600 3,382,600 2,150,650 1,474,245 100,116 60,376 + 150,863 + 0,860 - 1,345 +112,443 + 8.466 + 1,863 Total District . .. , .. . , 51,284,850 1,652,737 SOURCE: The Oil Weekly, Houston, Texaa. +168,387 +122,772 + + + + 28,442 46,812 65,450 10,453 20,612 + + + + + 6,538 23,205 38,074 19,993 28,643 RECEIPTS, EXPORTS, AND STOCKS OF COTTON AT THE PORTS OF HOUSTON AND GALVESTON-(Dales) December December November Au~ust I to Deoember 31 1030 1038 1080 Th,s season Last season Reccipta." .. , .... , ', .. .. 471,850 174,003 541,267 2,700,880 1,710,960 455,738 303,740 350,357 1,804,851 1,231,761 Exports . " "." , . .. ,., .. Stocks, end of month . . ... 1,762,632 1,752,328 1,604,331 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW FEBRUARY 1,1940 NATIONAL SUMMARY OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS (Compiled by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System) ..."'" INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION .Eft "'" 140 140 130 I 30 120 )1 20 11 0 J~ \ f I tv .'y./ toO 90 J 90 / so 70 eo 60 1934 1935 1935 1937 1938 1939 Index of physical volume of production. adjusted for seasonal variation. 1928-1926 average 100. By months. January. 1934 to December. 1989. = ..lit 110 110 100 100 o"La~ 90 eo 70 ..."'" DEPARTMENT STORE SALES AND STOOKS ,NT / 1.AjVrv" ~ .., . / ~ ITOCK~~ .1 1\';/r-v . eo 90 70 "'--- f-..--/" '"---- 60 ~o 40 40 19~ '934 1938 1937 1938 1939 Indexes of value of sales and stocks. adjusted for seasonal variation. 1928-1926 average 100. By months. J anuary. 1984 to December. 1989. = - ... WHOLESALE PRICES ,1ft CZKT 110 90 80 70 h -v V 90 ----... N Industrial output decreased in December, but by a smaller amount than is usual at tl!is season, with the consequence that the Board's index, which allows for usual seasonal varlll · tions, advanced further from 124 to 128 per cent of the 1923·1925 average. As in other recent months, the rise in the index continued to reflect mainly increased activity in industries pro· ducing durable goods. Automobile production rose sharply in December owing to the reopen· ing of plants of one large producer which had been closed for almost two months. Plate glass production also increased. At steel mills activity was maintained near the high level that pre· vailed in October and November; fourth quarter production of steel ingots was greater tha l1 in any other three·month period on record. Output of zinc and deliveries of tin continued to increase in December, and lumber production declined less than seasonally. In the nondurable goods industries, where production had been at high levels tlu'ougho ut the autumn, changes in output in December were largely seasonal in character. At wool.en textile mills, however, there was a considerable reduction in activity, and activity at 611~ mills declined to a low level, reHecting in part continued high prices of raw silk. Output °d crude petroleum continued at a high rate in December, while coal production was reduce • following a large volume of output in the two preceding months. In the first half of January steel ingot production was at a somewhat lower level tha ll in December, while automobile assemblies were maintained at about the same high rate as in the previous month. Value of construction contracts awarded, as reported by the F. W. Dodge CorporatioP• increased further in December, owing to the inclusion in the December figures of a large amount for a dam under construction by the Tennessee Valley Authority. Contracts for private building, both residential and nonresidential, declined seasonally EMPLOYMENT According to reports from leading industrial states, factory employment decreased lesS than seasonally in December and payrolls showed a further advance. 110 100 100 PRODUCTION I 10 I00 -V V 70 / V \ /\ 80 I Industrial activity, after a rapid rise in recent months, declined less than seasonally ~ December. In the first half of January activity did not show the usual seasonal increase. DIS" tribution of commodities to consumers was maintained in large volume. so 70 60 DISTRIBUTION Distribution of commodities to consumers increased further in December. Sales at varietY stores showed about the usual sharp rise and sales at deparlment stores and mail·order houses increased more than seasonally. Freight-car loadings declined by more than the usual seasonal amount from Novembf to December, reflecting chiefly a further reduction in coal shipments and a decrease in loa · ings of ore, which had heen at a high level in the previous month. COMMODITY PRICES 1939 1938 1937 1936 1935 1934 Index compiled by the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics. 1926 100. By weeks. 1984 to week ending January 18. 1940. = MEMBER BANKS IN 101 LEADING cmES etWlHa ClDOI..URS 12 10 ~ 8 IIIWOH. . . ""'-"', 12 r-i J "'"- .". J ~ us. oatr 08UGAT1ONS e - ~/~ 4 GOVERNMENT SECURITY MARKET 10 8 ("""'~i"'-"" - 8 4 OTHER SECURmES 2. o l.OANS TO nFO<VIS o ANODEALER' ·34 1938 1936 Prices of wheat, which had advanced sharply early in December and continued at tb e higher level during the rest of the month, declined considerably in the first half of J anu~rY· Smaller decreases occurred in some other commodities, including hides, tin, and zinc. PrIeSS of most other basic commodities, such as cotton, wool, lead, and steel scrap. showed lit e change. 1937 1938 1939 Wednesday figures for reporting member banks in 101 leading cities. September 6. 1984. to January 10. 1940. Commercial loans. which Include .Industrial and agricultural loans. represent prior to May 19. 1987. so-called "Other loans" as then reported. Prices of United States Government securities continued to advance during December and were steady during the first two weeks of January. BANK CREDIT Total loans and investments of reporting member banks in 101 leading cities decljne~ in the four weeks ending January 10, following an increase during the first half of Decemb~ . These changes reHected largely a temporary rise and a subsequent decline in loans to securt! brokers and dealers in connection with the Government's flotation of a new issue of bon e; Total holdings of United States (;{)vernment obligations at city banks showed little n change during the period. As a result chiefly of further increases in gold stocks as well as the post·holiday !et~ of currency from circulation, excess reserves of member hanks increased sharply In four weeks ending January 10.