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Monthly Business Review OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF DALLAS • (Compiled January 15, 1938) ~:ln~e~2~2~'~~~O=.=1=2=================D==a=1l=a=s=,=T=e=x=a=s=,='F==e=b=r=u=a=r=Y=1=,=1=9=3=8======~===T=h=i8=c=o=pY~i8=r~el~ea=B=e(~lf~O=r=PU~b='==J=a=n=.=3=1= ~===================================================================ll~ca~t1=o=n=in=m==or=n=in=g=p=aP:e=r8=-========== DISTRICT SUMMARY ----~~---------------------------------------- Despite the curtailment in production during the last four THE SITUATION AT A GLANCE Eloventh Federnl Resorvo District Totnl 1937 Dank dobits t . d' 'd Department s~o'::' ~~lcsu.1 accounts (18 aitics) .. .... . . . . $10,566,430,000 W I " " ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' '' '''' ''' T os .(fivo lines) .... .. .. .. .. ..... .. .. ~!rrctl an contraots awarded . . . . ... ... Value all otb IB constru~tion. .. .. .. .... .. ... .. .. Value building or co~s truc tlon . . . . . . . . . . .. .. .. . . . . . .. Taltal cash fnr.tf~~I~eiBSued (14 cities) . . . .. . . . ..... ncolOe fro I f ' . . . . . . . .. . . .. .. .. .. .. . . . . . . . Income from sale a farm crops .......... .. ..... GOvcrnmon~ ~ e livestock and Iivestoek products.. COlOont produ t' lie t ~ aymontB to farmors .... ..... . Cemont Shipments . Clanfrnt 1'0XII8 mills. (barrols) .. ..... .... . 0m Texas DUlls (barreIB) .. . . . .. .. . CommerCia f '1 Coc mmercial fan'lllures I~ub~bcr) . ........ .. .. .. .. .. .. ures (bnrrols In Ihtles) rud e 011' production . . . ... . . . .. .. ..... .. .. --- ur $ . ilii.·66ii,000 46,638,000 S S 106,022,000 $ $ $ $ $ 1 ) ... ... ... ... .. .. " .. . $ 68,816,031 969,802,000 641,975,000 361,260,000 66,577,000 6,918,000 6,705,000 182 2,117,000 579,080,550 Porcentag~ ohango from 1936 +16 .3 + 8. 6 + 8.3 +21.8 +16 .9 +24.1 - 1.9 +16.8 +13 .6 +16 . 7 +39.6 +18.6 +14 . 6 -16 .6 -14 . 6 +23.0 ni After showing a further upward trend during the first D~e ~onths of 1937, business and industry in the Eleventh lnlsthlCt declined in the fourth quarter, but the recession was ou~c smaller than in the United States as a whole. Throughest h?st of the year, business at both wholesale and retail lev~l hhhme?ts in this district was at a substantially higher the 1 t an lr: 1936, and aggregate sales for the year were tis ~~gest smce 1929. Department store sales, which had 9 en 9 per cent from 1935 to 1936, increased further by er teg c nt in 1937. Business of independent retail firms, as hi rte by the Department of Commerce, was also at a btg er level than in the preceding year. In the wholesale in fich l.of distribution, combined sales of reporting firms WithVe mes of trade increased 8 per cent over those in 1936, plo hardware and groceries showing the largest gains. EmPt ce Y1~nt and payrolls were noticeably higher than in the ax: mg year. The number of business failures and the in unt of indebtedness involved were the smallest reported e twenty years for which records are available. hd ili on~.~~s~ruction contracts awarded in this district were about onl t larger in 1937 than in the preceding year, but t Util't 936 re.suIted chlefly from the larger awards for pubhc ove~ bout 60 per c~nt of the 1929 volume. The increa~ ing 1 y, p~bhc works, and residential building. After showdent~ 10hceable expansion in the preceding two years, resi193~a b construction increased sharply in the forepart of decl" ~lt t~ward the end of the year there was a sharp new me n thiS type of building. In the latter part of the year a lev~t ers ,for lumber fell off and production declined to and h' conSiderably under that of a year earlier. Production 19 s Ipments of cement from Texas mills during 1937 were 193Ket cent and 15 per cent, respectively, greater than in d months of the year, the output of petroleum in 1937 was the largest on record, exceeding that in 1936 by 23 per cent. This increase was accompanied by an expansion in the demand for petroleum, resulting in generally stable prices for crude oil throughout the year. Although copper mining in the western portion of the district was very active in the early part of the year, production has been reduced in recent months, following the decrease in demand and the decline in copper prices. The volume of agricultural production was considerably in excess of that in 1936, and for most crops it was about equal to or greater than the 1928·1932 average production. Physical conditions in the livestock industry as a whole have been favorable, resulting in heavy marketings of grassfat sheep and cattle. Shipments of calves and lambs to market and to other states were the largest on record and mar· ketings of cattle were the heaviest in ten years. In contrast with the favorable physical factors, prices of agricultural products, after reaching a peak in the spring, followed a downward course in subsequent months with severe declines· occurring in the last four months. According to the Depart· ment of Agriculture, prices of agricultural products in December were 21 per cent lower than a year earlier. The full extent of the drop in prices, however, was not reflected in cash farm income, as prices of livestock and some agricultural products averaged higher than in the preceding year during the heavy marketing season. For a few crops, the lower unit prices were offset in part by larger production. Estimated cash farm income, which includes receipts from the sale ' of livestock and livestock products as well as Government benefit payments, in the five states wholly or partially attached to this district rose to a total of $970,000,000. This amount was 16 per cent greater than in 1936, nearly double that in 1932, and the largest since 1929. Gross deposits of member banks declined substantially in the first half of the year due principally to the decrease in Government deposits and the withdrawal by country banks of a portion of their balances with reserve city banks. After the middle of the year deposits showed a noticeable expansion and in December averaged about $20,000,000 larger than in that month of 1936. Reserve balances of member banks increased further in 1937 with the December average about $25,000,000 higher than a year earlier. Excess reserves were l'educed considerably by the increases in reserve requirements effective on March 1 and May 1, hut the increase of reserves in the latter part of the year raised the total .t~ about 31 per cent of required reserVeS. The loans This publication was digitized and made available by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas' Historical Library (FedHistory@dal.frb.org) MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 2 until the end of the year, while investments showed an ir· regular downward trend throughout the year. of weekly reporting member banks, after declining seasonally in January and February, followed an upward trend BUSINESS Distribution of merchandise in five lines of wholesale trade in this district showed more than the usual recession during December, but, with the exception of farm implements and hardware, sales in individual lines were about equal to or greater than those in December, 1936_ Demand for dry goods again reflected a smaller than seasonal recession from the preceding month, and sales were about the same as a year ago_ Business of grocery and hardware firms declined more than usually from November to December. Hardware sales were 3.3 per cent below those in December last year, and the increase of 6 per cent in grocery sales was the smallest year-to-year comparison recorded during 1937_ Sales of farm implements showed a further decline in December, and were 61.5 per cent less than a year ago. Distribution of drugs continued to expand and the December volume was 15.7 per cent larger than in December, 1936. Although wholesale trade in this district declined more than seasonally during the final quarter of 1937, total sales for the year were 8.3 per cent greater than in 1936, and the largest for any year since 1929. Increases over last year in the individual lines of trade ranged from 0.8 per cent for farm implements to 14.1 per cent for hardware. Collections Wholesale Trade CONDITION OF WHOLESALE TRADE DURING DECEMBER, 1987 Percentage of inore..e or doorellSe inNet Salos Net Salos Stooks Ratio Deo. Deo., 1937 Jan. 1 to Dco. 31 Dco. 31, 1937 oollootions compared with compared with compared with to aocollnts Dec., Nov., sarno period Dec. 31, Nov. 30, outstanding 1930 1937 I.. t yenr 1936 1037 Nov. 30 Groceries ... .... .. + 6.0 -12.9 +13.7 -11.1 -12 .0 86.3 Drygoods ........ + .3 -29.6 + 1.1 -10.0 -11.0 42. 0 Farm implcmonts .. -61.5 - 5.9 +.8 +12.2 - 3.8 11.0 Hardware .. ...... - 3.3 -21. 1 +14.1 + 1.6 - 10 .2 51.2 Drugs· ......... .. +15.7 +11.3 + 8.1 + 7.8 - 4.6 69.7 ·Drug data compiled by tho Unitod States Department of Commerce. Colleotion ratio represenh modian percentage. on accounts and notes were generally good throughout the year. Inventories held by grocery and dry goods firms on December 31, 1937, were considerably smaller than a year earlier, but in the other lines of trade they were larger. Retail Trade Sales of merchandise at department stores in principal cities in the Eleventh District showed slightly less than the usual increase in December, but continued in larger volume than a year ago. The increase in the dollar value of sal~s from November to December was 57.6 per cent and the gaIn over December last year was 4,.8 per cent. Preliminary reports indicate that business in the first half of January was substantially better than in the same period of 1937, The downward trend in this bank's seasonally adjusted index of department store sales, which has been in evidence since last August, was extended in December. The figure for the latest month was 106.4, per cent of the- 1923-1925 average, as compared with 108.5 per cent in November, and 103.4 per cent in December, 1936. For the year 1937, sales were 107.2 per cent of the 1923-1925 average, which compares with 99.7 per cent in 1936, 65.1 per cent in 1932, and 1l0.2 per cent in 1929. Inventories were reduced by more than the usual amount in November and Decembe-r, and at the end of the latter month were only slightly larger than a year ago. The per· centage increase in the average end-of-month stocks during 1937 was larger than the increase in sales, and as a conse' quence the rate of stock turnover declined from 3.76 in 1936 to 3.60 in 1937. With the exception of 1936, however, the latter figure is the largest for any year on record, The rate of collections on regular accounts during 1937 was about the same as in 1936, but it was slightly lower on installment accounts. BUSINESS OF DEPARTMENT STORES Dallas Fort Worth Total sales (peroentage): Docember, 1037, compared with Deoember, 1936 ....... ... .......... .. .............. : ... . + 4.6 + 3.5 Dooember, 1037, compared with Novomber, 1937 ........................... , .......... . +56.1 +82.2 January 1 to December 31, 1937, comparod with 8ame period I.. t year : . ...... .•. .. .. .. ... + 7.1 5.1 Crodit sales (percentago): December, 1937, oompared with December, 1936 .................. . ......... . .... . . . . .. . . + 6.9 - 2. 9 December, 1037, oompared with November, 1937 ................................... ... . +45.4 +78.0 January 1 to December 31, 1037, compared with 80me poriod l.. t year ....•. .. ..• •. . . .. . .. . +10.8 + 4.0 Stooks on hand at end of month (~rcentage): December, 1937, compared With December, 1036 ...................................... . + 4.2 + 3.3 -21.1 Deoember, 1937, comparod with November, 1937 ................... . .................. . -20.7 Stoek turnover (rate): .56 Rate of stook turnover in December, 19S6 ............. .. ............................... . .50 .54 Ratc of stook turnover in December, 1937 .................. ... ................. ........ . .60 4.15 3.51 Rate of stook turnover January 1 to Decomber 31, 1936 ....... ...... .. ................. . Ratc ofstock turnover January 1 to Docember 31, 1937 .......................... . ..... . 3.02 3.64 Ratio of December collections to open accounts reoeivable and outstanding December I, 1037 .. . 43 .3 36.3 Ratio of Dec. oolleotions to installment accounts receivable and outstanding Dec. I, 1037 18.8 11 .0 Indexes of department store salos: 120.3 119 .7 Unodjusted-November, 1937 '" .... . .. ... .... ............................. ..... .. . 192.9 214 .4 100 .6 99.8 120 .6 121.1 Indexos of department store stooks: 77.3 Una<!iustcd-November, 1937 ....... .... ... ............. . .. ........... ..... ....... . 75 .0 60 .5 50 .4 Unadjusted-December, 1037 ........................................................ . 70 .9 66.4 68.8 72.4 t~i~:~=~~~::~' 1~1:S~[~::Etf8:r::::::: : : :: ::::::::::: :: :: ::::::: :::: :::::::: :::: : ::::::: : l8:1. .::::::::: :: :.:: :: :::::: :: :::::: ::: ': :: ::: :: ::: :: ::: :: ::: :: - Houston + 6.7 +30.4 +13.0 San Antonio + 5.7 +52.5 + 8.8 Otbcrs + 4.1 +66.4 + 9.3 Total Distriol + 4.8 +57.6 + 8.5 + 8.9 +31.5 +16.5 +10.7 +50.0 +11.2 + 9.0 +60.7 +11.0 + 0.6 + 53.7 +10.9 + 4.6 -25.4 - 6.7 -23.3 - 2.0 -20. 7 +1.1 -23.8 .48 .51 3 .65 3 .58 42 .0 .50 .55 3 .08 3.79 44.8 12.0 .48 .48 3.10 2.07 42.7 19.1 .63 .53 3.76 3.60 42 .4 16.2 130 .2 161.9 111.3 08.7 102.1 154.8 88.8 90 .9 121.5 184.0 108.5 106 .4 48.6 36.2 42 .3 38.9 01.8 46.6 55.7 52.4 74.8 57.1 66 .8 05.~ AGRICUL TURE Moisture supplies in the major portion of the Eleventh District are now about normal or above, as conditions were improved by widespread rains during the past thirty days. Crop Con· ditions Rainfall was light, however, in northwest Texas and in por· tions of New Mexico, where there is a moisture deficiencY' Field operations in many sections have been delayed by wet soil, and dry weather is needed in these areas for the colli' s MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW pletion of land preparation. The Department of Agriculture reported that t~e a~reage seeded to winter wheat in Texas and New MeXICO In the fall of 1937 was the same as in the fall of 1936. As compared with the 1927-1931 average, the area sown was about the same in New Mexico and 35 per cent higher in Texas. In a considerable area of the main wheat growing section of northwest Texas, the crop has made poor to only fair ~rowth due to the deficiency in moisture, but in other sechons the condition is mostly good. Farm stocks of wheat in this district on January I, 1938, as reported by the Department of Agriculture, were nearly four times larger than on the same date in 1937, and about the same as the 1928-1932 average. Stocks of corn and oats Were also substantially larger than a year ago, hut they were considerably below the average. Crop Production Agricultural production in this district Prices, and Farrr: was in large volume during the past Income in 1937 year, and the harvest of virtually all crops was considerably greater than in 1.936, as generally favorable growing and harvesting condihons brought about larger per acre yields. The production of Cotton, 'wheat, oats, and some of the less important crops w~s further augmented by an increase in the area harvested. WIth the exception of feed and some minor crops, 1937 production was also greater than the 1928-32 average harvest, t~e increases in individual crops being accounted for prinCIpally by the larger acreage harvested, as per acre yields of most crops, other than cotton, were smaller than the fiveyear average. After substantial increases during the last half of 1936 and the early part of 1937, prices of farm crops followed a downward course during the remainder of the year. The effect of this recession on the average price received for all farm products was largely counterbalanced during the summer months by continued increases in the prices of livestock and livestock products, which rose to the highest levels in recent years. In subsequent months, however, livestock prices suffered noticeable declines along with those of cropS", and according to the Department of Agriculture the average price obtained for all farm commodities declined in December to a level 21 per cent below that of ru year ago. Pronounced recessions occurred in the prices of hogs, cattle, cotton, wool, wheat, corn and other feed crops. Despite the sharp declines in the prices of agricultural commodities during 1937, cash farm income from the sale of crops and livestock was substantially above that in the preceding year. This gain was due largely to the increased production and marketings of crops and livestock, and in some measure to the fact that prices of some commodities, notably wheat and livestock and livestock products, averaged higher during the heavy marketing season than in the corresponding period of 1936. Estimated cash farm income from the sale of crops in the five states attached to this district aggregated $542,000,000 during 1937, as against $478,000000 in the preceding year. Nearly three-fourths of the tota'l income from this source was obtained from the sale of wheat cotton, and cottonseed. Receipts from marketings of livest~ck and livestock products rose to the highest level in more than ten years, the total of $361,000,000 exceeding that in 1936 by 16 pel' cent. Government benefit payments to farmers increased from $48,000,000 in 1936 to $67,000,000 in 1937. The combined receipts from all sources totaled $970,000,000 during the year, which is 16 per cent greater than in 1936, about twice as great as the 1932 low, and larger than in any year since 1929, when farm income aggregated $1,174,000,000. RECEIPTS FROM THE SALE OF PRINCIPAL FARM PRODUCTS (In thousands of dollars) Raceipts from: Livestock and liveFarm Total crops stock products recoipts Nov. Stato 1937 Arizona ..... " .. .. . .. .. . $ 2,181 Louisiana . . . . . . . . . . . . 22,615 Now Mexico............. 1,998 Oklahoma..... ........ .. 7,141 Tcxas .................. 44,718 Nov. Nov. 1936 $ 2,572 22,004 2,506 4,864 28,805 1987 $ 4,767 1,861 8,970 6,891 15,022 Nov. Totallivo statos $78,603 $60,811 $37,511 SOURCE: United States Department of Agriculture. 1036 Nov. Nov. 1,816 6,887 7,041 13,465 1037 $ 6,808 24,476 10,068 14,032 59,740 1036 S 6,837 23,820 9,a03 11,005 42,330 $33,474 $110,114 $94,285 S 4,265 -----------------------------------------------------PRODUCTION OF SELECTED CROPS AND CASH FARM INCOME IN TEXAS AND THE ELEVENTH DISTRIC1' Production (OOO's omitted) Cash Farm Income (OOO's omitted) Eleventh Districtt Texas 'roxns Elovonth Distriotf Avorago Avoragc 1037 1080 1036 Unit 1937 1936 1928-32 1937 1986 1928-32 1937 $ 5,225 $ 8,215 $ 7,365 Corn (all) B 72048 68025 81922 131,128 104,106 156,522 $ 5,950 Wheat (ali)" .. · ....... ... .. ..... .. ...... u. 41' 90 18'927 41:410 111,326 48,574 101,267 33,700 11,750 82,875 33,450 Oats ...... ....... ... .... . .... " " Bu. ,6 22' 552 30 032 60008 44 602 65,018 2,250 8,400 3,650 5,847 nice" . .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . .. . .. .. .. .. .... . ... Bu. 30,432 10'608 0'020 33 '512 31:684 26,882 7,400 21,300 7,400 19,400 Grai~ h........ · .......... .. ......... Bu. ~~'~~~ 31'711 55:091 71:758 40,754 74,718 3,800 3,500 4,355 4,170 Tallle ha g urns (all) .. .. . .. .. .. . .. .. .. .. Bu. , 1 '815 638 2,581 2,423 2,366 1,560 6,710 5,250 1,850 Broo Y (aU) ........ .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Toas 63 5 200 1420 34700 20 100 26 680 a05 2,325 675 2,335 l'ean:°U:)~" .. .. ..... ....... .. ........ . Tons 1~'~~~ 09:120 87:224 115:785 116:790 . 110:104 1,200 1,350 1,460 1,610 ColVJ>eas nuts) .. .. .. .. .. .. . ....... .. . LOO. 1'157 1,122 782 1,753 1,463 1,216 285 325 435 44.5 Cotton (lint .. .. .. · .............. .. • .... · Bu. 5'230 2,033 4,580 7,572 4,286 6,652 184,000 256,125 178,515 260,290 Cottonsoed ) ...... . " ..• . ..... ..•. .... Bales 2'320 1,306 2,041 3,370 1,007 2,062 31,000 47,725 44,770 28,420 Potatoes (I~i~hi' .......... ........ .... .. . fioas 3'456 2,860 3,602 8,700 7,624 0,202 2,850 5,700 6,050 2,075 SWeet potat . .. ...•. . . . .. . . .. .. . •.. . . . u. a'744 3,640 4,734 11,364 11.962 11,566 900 4,075 3,115 1,625 Pecans oes ................ "........ Bu. , 10 400 24 360 50 209 16,500 42,554 1,775 2,705 880 1,460 FrUit-.'.' ::: : . ................... " . .. . .. Lbs. 3l'~~~ 1:614 (846 5:620 3,252 4,277 1,291 3,239 2,317 740 'sor ~~~: ~:: i~~~~~·I~~~·!t i~~~~~'cir;;p's:::::::::~:u:': ::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::: nH~~ G tal farm income from sale of livestock and Iivestoek products .. . ...... ........ . .. ............. . .. ........... .................... 38,226 o vernment benefit payments to farmers ... . . . ............. ...... ..... .. . . .. .. .. . . . . . .. . . . . . .. . .. .. . . .. .. .. .. .. . .. .. .. .. . . . ... _ _ 247,630 278,450 155,700 27,205 450,284 541,075 361,250 66,577 398,484 477,000 812,350 47,698 Grand total . .. ............... . .... . .. .... ... .'.. .. .. .. ...... .. .... . $544,176 ~46~,35? $969,802.. 5837,648 • farm mcome. .. .. . . . . . . . . . . .. .. .. .. .. . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . t' II attaohed to the Eleventh Dlstrlot, I. e., Texas, LoUISiana, Oklnh Apples, poaches, and pears. tEleventh District figures roprcsont the comblOed totals for the five states wholly or par In y OIna. Now Merioo, nnd Arizona. _SOURCE: United States Department of Agriculture. Heavy rains in the past thirty days improved the outlook for spring grazing in areas of the Eleventh District, except the northwest Pan- Livestock all handle and portions of New Mexico. Although range feed is good in New Mexico, soil moisture is being depleted. In the Texas Panhandle small grains are suffering from the 4 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW lack of moisture, and the removal of cattle from the grain pastures will be necessary unles's moisture conditions are improved in the near future. Cattle and sheep generally are in good flesh and losses have been light thus far. Mild temperatures and good pasturage in most areas have resulted in supplemental feeding being held to a minimum. With stock ewes in strong condition, prospects are favorable for a large lamb crop this year, but the supply of yearling lambs for the spring market will be limited, as holdings of lambs were reduced by the heavy marketings in 1937. The number of cattle on feed in Texas on January 1, 1938, was 30 per cent higher than a year ago, and the number of sheep and lambs was 76 per cent larger. Coincident with a weak, irregular market, receipts of cattle, calves, and sheep at Fort Worth declined considerably more than seasonally in December, and the marketings of hogs reflected a recession contrary to the usual trend at this season. As compared with December, 1936, receipts of sheep were 42 per cent greater, but other classes of livestock showed declines ranging from 2.4 per cent in the case of cattle to 54.2 per cent for hogs. Movements and Prices After declining to new low levels for the season during the first half of December, livestock prices follo wed an uneven course through the first week of January. In the subsequent week, however, trade in the cattle division was more active and the market strengthened somewhat, with practically all classes registering moderate price gains. On the other hand, the lamb market remained weak and prices were lower_ Hog prices fluctuated within narrow limits throughout the first half of January, ranging from $7.60 to $8.0 0 per hundredweight for choice stock. FORT WORTH '1IVESTOCK RECEIPTS (Number) December December Chauge over November Changeover month year 1937 1936 1937 _24,916 60,369 - 1,465 83,820 58,904 ... .. ... . .. .. .. Cattle -28,702 45,945 -13,699 60,948 32,246 Calves ... ...... ..... .. . . _ 1,551 -23,647 21,541 19,990 43,637 _17,889 44,308 18,643 :ho:P .. : ::::::::: ::: :: : 26,419 7,776 + COMPARATIVE TOP LIVESTOCK PRICES (Dollars por hundredweight) December December 1936 1937 S 9.00 Beef steers . ... . ....... .. .... .. ....... ... .. .. . $8. 25 7.10 7.36 Stoeker steers ....... . .... ... ........ ... , ...... . . 8.75 11.00 Heifers and yearlings ... . ..... . . .. , ....... . .. .... . 5.50 6.00 Butcher cows . ..... . .. ... .... . .. .. ........ ...... . 7.00 8.00 Calves ..... .. .. .. .. .. ... .. .. ... .... . ........... . 8.10 9.96 8.25 8.U r=bs ..::::::::::: : ~:::::::::::::: : :: : : : :: : :::: November 1937 $10.00 7.25 9.00 6.26 8.00 9.10 9.00 FINANCE Earning assets of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas on January 15, at $100,856,000, were $4,,434,000 higher than on the same date in 1937, due to the larger holdings of United States Government securities resulting principally from this bank's participation in the System's open market purchases in April and November. Discounts for member banks increased somewhat in the spring and summer, reaching a peak at about $2,000,000 late in August, but liquidation of these loans in subsequent months. reduced total borrowings of member banks to $132,000 on January 15, 1938. Outstanding industrial advances declined throughout the year and the total at mid-J anuary was $369,000 lower than a year ago. Operations of the Federal Reserve Bank Reserves of member banks in this district averaged $190,800,000 in the first half of January, which was about the same as in December, and $25,000,000 higher than in the same period last year. The trend of these reserves has been upward since last August and, as required reserves have shown little change, excess reserves have increased. During the first half of January excess reserves averaged $4.8,000,000 as compared with $36,000,000 in August. The return flow of Federal Reserve notes since the Christmas holiday had reduced the circulation of these notes approximately $6,000,000 by January 15. On that date, total circulation of $83,011,000 was $5,731,000 lower than a year CONDITION OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK (In thousanda of dollars) Jan. 15, Jan.15, 1037 1938 $191,604 Total cash reserves . ........ .. ..... , ..... , ....... . $197,734 None 132 Discounts for member banks .................... . 1,310 941 Industrial advances .. . . ...... .. .... .. .. ........ . 87 16 Bills bought in the open market .... .. ... ....... .. . 95,019 99,767 United States Government securities . ... .. . . . . ... . None 6 All other investments .. .. .... . ... .. . .. . .. ... . ... .. 96,422 100,856 Total earning assets .. .. . . ........ ...... ... . ..... . 173,906 191,456 Member bank reserve deposits ...... .. ............ . 88,742 83,011 Federal Reserve notes in actual circulation ......... . 26g 489 Commitments to make industrial advances. , .• , . •... Deo.16, 1937 $200,632 287 970 80 99,731 Nono 101,068 189.606 88,191 269 ago. This decrease resulted from an increase in the amount of Treasury currency in circulation. Deposits and total loans and investmen.ts of weekly reporting member banks 10 this district, which had shown an almost uninterrupted expansion from the middle of 1935 to the end of 1936, declined considerably in the fil'st half of 1937, and then increased in the subsequent six months. The decline in ' deposits during the first half 0.£ the year reflected chiefly the withdrawals of United States Government deposits and of bankers' ba~ ances. Country banks usually withdraw a portion of their balances with other banks at this season to meet the local demand for funds, and in 1937 this movement coincided with the transfer of funds to the Federal Reserve Bank to meet the increases in reserve requirements effective on March 1 and May 1. In the last half of the year, United States Go"ernment deposits and bankers' balances increased, large~y accounting for the expansion in total deposits during thiS period. At the close of the year, however, aggregate deposits were about $27,000,000 lower than at the end 0 f 1936. Condition of Member Banks in Leading Cities The loans of these banks, after declining seasonally in January and February, remained relatively steady until the middle of June, and then showed an upward trend durinS the remainder of the year. This increase in loans was chiefly in agricultural, industrial, and commercial loans in response to the demand for credit to finance the movement and storage of commodities and the expansion in busin~s activity, but other loans also increased somewhat. COI~ cident with the weakness of bond prices and the decline In deposits during the early months of the year, these banks made substantial reductions in their investment holdings. Following an increase at the time of the Treasury financing in June, investments showed little change in July and August, but were again reduced in the last four months of the MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW year, largely offsetting the expansion in loans during that period. In the first two weeks of January, 1938, loans declined ~1l,000,000 and investments $2,000,000. Total loans and Investments on January 12 were about $20,000,000 lower than a year earlier, as the increase of $16,000,000 in loans ~as more than counterbalanced by a reduction of $36,000,00 in investments. CONDITION STATISTICS OF MEMBER BANKS IN LEADING CITIES (In thousands of dollars) Jan. 12, Jan.13, Dee.8, 1937 1937 1938 ad' t ts Tetalleans $516,634 5508,854 Total loans. n lOVes men . . ............ ... . .. .. . $496,169 252,797 241.805 226.341 gemmcroi~l: 'i~d~~i~i~i: n~d' ~g~i~~li~~.I· io.~~ : : : : : 154,228 160.324 3,202 2,663 11:"n market papor . . ... . .. . .............. . ... .. 4,177 2,905 3,130 o ~ns to brokers and dealers in securities . . . . . . . 14,668 fr loans for purchasing or carrying seourities . .. . 14.906 " 20,841 20,438 23,187 10 a estate loans .. ..... . . . . ... . ............... . 1,190 162 427 AJlan:hlo banks .. ......... . ... . . ..... . . .... . 46,503 48.395 United S Pr loans .. . .................. . . ......... . " 174,610 198,390 178,898 Obli . ta!os Government direot obligations ... . . . Otb gntIOIIS .f~lIy guaranteed by United States Gov't . 29,440 39,443 27,314 62,460 49,845 Res: r scour.ltlOs ... ... . . ... . . .. ... . . .... . ........ . 50,314 111,703 Bal rves With the Federal Reserve Bank .. . . .. .. .. . . 109,902 117.320 170,146 172,259 163,639 De~ne~ lith ?omestic banks ... ... ............ . 392,809 401,603 396,672 Timea:; el'08lts- adjustedt ............ . ........ . 127,241 128,231 121,139 United 'milts . .. . ... ... .. ... : ......... . . .. .. .. . 21,820 38,408 16,020 lnte b k!os Government depOSits .... . . .. . ...•. . Ber : a~ depOSits . . . . .... . .. .... . . . .. . .. . .. . . 188,819 201,720 190,459 OWings from the Fedoral Reservo Bank ... . ... . None None 130 "Cemparable figures not available. clilJb tfnoludes all demand deposits oth~r than interbank and United States Govornment, less ~ms reported as on hand or in process of oolleolion. n! The daily average gross deposits of member banks established a new high record in December at a level about $20,000,000 ab?ve that in the corresponding month of 1936, the increase beIng. about equally divided between gross demand deposits nd hme deposits. During the first five months of 1937 gross emand deposits decreased about $74,000,000, chiefly at fheserve city banks, but they showed an upward trend during t e remainder of the year. At the clpse of the year, these ~poSits at reserve city banks averaged $24.,000,000 lower 00an a year earlier, while those at country banks were $34, 0,000 higher. Deposits of Member Banks d GROSS DEMAND AND TIME DEPOSITS OF MEMBER BANKS (Average of daily figures-in thousands of dollars) Combined Total Reservo City Banks Country Banks Gross Gross demand Time demand deposits deposits deposits 193~ - December ..... .. $1,108,410 $200,898 $632,243 - ~anuary .. . ..... 1.094,826 199,824 021,186 Mebruary .. . . ... 1,079,858 IP9,798 007,432 aroh ... . .. .. . . 1,051,972 199,134 587,596 ~pril .... . ... 1,043,756 199,683 578,110 ray ........ ... 1,035,133 200,293 509,613 193 . . ...... . ~,~~g~g Au~~s't""" "" J~re Soo pt.mbor·· _ : :::: ctober ..... .. .. November ... . .. Dccember . .... .. 1'000'580 1:089:891 1,110,345 1,106,106 1,117,735 ~~agg 203,704 208,581 210,451 211,488 211,810 m:m 586,477 601,677 613,865 005,120 607,769 Gross Time demand Time deposits deposits deposits $110,280 1476,167 $90,618 109,726 473,640 90,098 109,355 472,426 90,443 108,501 464,376 90,634 108,562 465,646 91,121 109,344 465,520 90,949 m:~~g i~:~~~ ~~:m 111,312 114,828 116,181 117,133 116,993 474,103 488,214 490,480 500,986 509,966 92,392 93,753 94,270 94,355 94,817 1933, as a consequence of the recovery in business and industry, continued throughout 1937. During the first three quarters of the year the increase over 1936 averaged 19 per cent, but in the subsequent three months, when there was a moderate slowing down in business activity, the rate of increase was somewhat smaller. Charges to depositors' accounts for the year were 15,3 per cent greater than in 1936, almost double those in 1933, but 10 per cent below the high level in 1929. DEBITS TO INDIVIDUAL ACCOUNTS (In thousands of dollars) Pereonlnge ohange from Abilono . . ... Austin . . . . .. Beaumont .. . Corsicana . . . Dallas . .. . .. EI Paso .... . Fort Worth Galveston . .. Houston Port Arthur. Roswell. .... San Antonio. Shrevoport. . Texarkana"" Tucson ir,ler .. .. : : : noo .. .. .. . Wiohita Falls Deoomber 1937 $ 10,791 34,063 26,780 3,798 282,612 31,999 105,568 33,696 247,016 10,307 4,329 73,874 53,671 8,422 12,685 15,352 16,401 18,838 Docember 1936 +16 .0 11.0 + 4.5 - 5.7 + .2 + 8.7 +10 .0 + 3.6 + 6.0 13.4 + 3.4 - 1.8 + 2.0 -10 .1 .9 - 4.3 - 4.2 +27 .1 - Novomber 1937 + .4 +21.6 + 9.9 +14.7 +19.4 + 7.1 +24.0 + 2. 3 +16.3 +10 .8 + 1.4 14.7 +18 .5 +14.6 + 4.9 +18.6 +11.3 +21.8 Total 1937 109,1 82 358,370 307,485 43,954 2,944,628 335,721 1,096,269 356,088 2,667,184 112,445 43,426 835,402 571,164 98,569 143,144 175,385 177,311 190,703 Percentage Total ohange from 1936 1936 $ 91,833 +18. 9 293,384 +22.2 261,983 17 .4 38,408 +14 .4 2,671,096 +10.2 294,228 + 14 .1 914,355 +1 9. 9 312,489 + 14 .0 2,222,896 +20.0 92,012 +22.2 35,821 +21.2 757,187 +10.3 488,859 + 16 .8 84.743 +16 .3 120,553 +18.7 162,582 + 7.9 164,441 + 7.8 160,743 +18. 6 110,566,430 $9,167,513 Total. .. $991,102 + 3.8 +16.6 +15.3 "Inoludes the figures of two banks in Texarkana, Arkansos, looated in the Eighth Dislriot. The volume of outstanding acceptances executed by banks in this district totaled $2,509,632 on December 31, which represents a non-seasonal decline of 13.6 per cent from that of a month earlier, but an increase of 14,.0 per cent over the amount outstanding on the corresponding date of 1936. Acceptances based on both import and export transactions and the domestic shipment and storage of goods averaged considerably higher during 1937 than in the preceding year. Due in part to the crediting of year-end Savings interest payments, savings deposits at Deposits U5 banks in this district increased further in December, and at the close of 1937 were 2,5 per cent greater than on December 31, 1936. The number of savings depositors at these banks increased continuously during the first eleven months of 1937, and while a small decline was evidenced in December, ·t he total of 366,955 on December 31 was 6,2 per cent greater than a year ago. Acceptance Markee Beaumont .. ......... . ... DaUos . .. .............. , EIPnso .... . .. ..... ..... Fort Worth Galveston ............... Houston Port Arthur.' : : : : : : : : : : : : Sau Antonio . .. ... . .. . ... Shrovoport .............. Waco . . . . ... ... ......... Wiohita FaUs ..... . ...•. . All others ............... SAVINGS DEPOSITS Deoomber 31, 1937 Number of Number of Amount of savinj!S savings r06~,;:g dopositors depOSits 9,637 $ 3,730,340 3 89,267 26,396,717 8 15,679 8,323,031 2 37,462 13,137,299 3 11,162,557 18,101 4 71,257 28,687,885 10 2,897,979 6,685 2 17,169,228 22,667 5 11,036,310 24,510 3 9,344 4,602,600 3 3,415,178 6,007 3 28,631,365 56,489 69 Peroentage oban~e in savings deposits rom Dec.31, Nov. 30, 1936 1937 + 2.1 + 1.0 .7 + 1.9 +10.4 + 3 .7 + 4.8 + 1.0 + 4.2 .6 + 1.2 + .9 + 2.7 .04 + 6.6 +1.1 - 2.1 .5 - 9.7 - 7.2 - 2.5 + .8 + 5.7 + .1 - Reflecting generally active business con...... ..... . ditions during December, bonus and diviA.~counts dend payments, and the usual year-end "':lthdrawals, debits to individual accounts at banks in eighteen cities of the Eleventh District rose to the high~st level for any month in eight years. The upward trend ------366,955 $158,690,489 + 2.5 115 In debits that has been in evidence since the middle of Tot.l ......... + .8 -------------------------------------------------~-------=~~~---------------------DISCOUNT RATES CHARGED BY MEMBER BANKS DURING JANUA.RY, 1938 Debits to Individual II 5 Prevailing rates: Dallos nateF~arged oustomers on prime commeroial papor suoh as is now eligible for redisoount undor tho 2~-8 'Rate h oral Roserve Aet . ...... . . .. .. .. .. .... .. .............. ..... . ... . .. . ... .... ....... .. nate 0 'lrged on loans to other banks seoured by bills rooeivablo .. . . . . ... . ... . .... . . .. ........ . ion 0hans scoured by prime stook exehange or other ourrent collateral (not inoluding loans placed n otDer markets through oorresponding banks): nate h 'ri':n":'~~~ ... ::::::::::::::::::: ::::::: :::::::::::::::::::::: :::::::::::::::::: ::: Itate 0 arged on oommedity pap~r scoured by warehouse receipts, eto . . .... .. ••. . ............. ~eattle loans . ..................................... .. .. .. ......................... . 2-4~ 4*8 2- 8 6-8 El Paso Fort Worth Houston Ban Antonio Waoo 5-6 8-6 fro7 6 H G 1-6 4-6 61 5-8 6-8 fro8 4-8 4-8 4*8 5-10 3-6 3-7 1* 6 5-8 5-6 5- 7 5-8 7-8 7 5- 8 3-8 8 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 6 INDUSTRY While operations of cottonseed oil mills in both Texas and the United States showed a further seasonal decline during December, they continued on a high level, exceeding those in the corresponding month of 1936 by a wide margin. Crushings of seed and the production of products at Texas mills during the five months of the current season exceeded those of a year ago by about 50 per cent, while at all United States mills they were approximately one·third larger. Mill stocks of cottonseed on December 31 were considerably larger than a year ago, as crushings have not kept pace with the heavy recepits from the large 1937 cotton crop. Shipments of cottonseed products also reflected a seasonal recession from November to December, but with the excep· tion of linters, continued well in excess of those last year. Cottonseed Products STATISTICS ON COTTONSEED AND COTTONSEED PRODUCTS TexllS United States August 1 to Dccember 31 August 1 to December 31 This senson Lnst scason This senson Lnst SOBson Cottonseed received nt mills 5,237,071 1,455,373 862,415 4,033,041 (tena) .... ...... .. ....... 1,043,368 692,914 3,609,513 2,791,836 Cottenseed crushed (tons) .. .. Cottonseed on hand Dee. 31 1,669,033 434,877 179,377 1,263,131 (tona) . : ................ Preduction of products: 192,887,716 1,091,826,774 830,066,330 Crude oil (pounds) . ..... .. . 301,322,266 317,472 482,390 1,603,956 1,248,654 Cake and meal (tons) ....... 272,046 184,590 922,038 714,205 Hulls (tons) .............. 213,288 145,443 819,103 676,225 Linters brunDing bales) .... Stocks on and Dec. 31: 13,478,618 82,661,646 Crude oil (pounds) ......... 25,173,083 51,351,590 74,022 83,094 192,978 216,645 Cake and meal (tona) ....... 122,380 53,406 63,481 156,188 Hulls (tons) ....... ........ 102,358 62,170 401,187 187,752 Linters (running bales) .... SOURCE: Bureau of Census. , Following pronounced recessions in the two preceding months, consumption of cotton in the United States declined by more than the usual amount from November to December, and was 38 per cent smaller than the near record consump· tion in December last year. There were 4.33,058 bales pro· cessed during the month, as against 484,819 bales in Novem· ber, and 694,84,1 bales in December, 1936. During the first five months of the current season consumption averaged 17 per cent smaller than in the corresponding period last season. According to the Department of Agriculture, the lower level of cotton mill activity this season has been due to an almost continuous decline in mill sales of goods, unfilled orders, and mill margins. In recent weeks, however, there has been some improvement in the demand for cotton goods. Mill stocks of raw cotton were increased slightly during Decem· ber, but at the close of the month they were 14 per cent smaller than a year ago. Textile Milling COTTON CONSUMED AND ON HAND (Bales) December Deccmber AuguRt 1 to Decembcr 31 1936 This season 1937 Lnstseason Cotton-grnwing states: Cotton consumed . . . . . . . . Cotton on hand Dec. 31 inConsuming establishmcnts Publio storage and oom· presses . .............. . United Stntes: Cotton oonsumed . . . . . . . • Cotton on hand Dec. 31 inConsuming estnblishmonts Publio storoge and com· prOSS08 .. ............. . SOURCE: Bureau of Consus. 373,298 433,058 578,327 694,841 2,258,777 2,658,255 1,449,365 1,723,155 11,791,287 7,705,309 2,650,558 3,176,502 1,718,352 2,005,556 11,867,457 7,786,860 Receipts of cotton at the ports of Hous· ton and Galveston, augmented by the heavy movement of Government financed cotton to these ports, declined less than seasonally from Cotton Movements November to December, and exceeded those of a year ago by 17 per cent. On the other hand, total exports from th~se centers reflected a decline of 17 per cent as compared w1th December, 1936, which is in sharp contrast to the substan· tial increase registered for the combined shipments from all United States ports. During the current season prices of American cotton at Liverpool have averaged lower, in relation to prices ~f foreign grown cotton, than for several years past, and th1s factor has apparently caused an increase in foreign deman d for American cotton. Shipments from the United States during December totaled 751,001 bales, which represents a seasonal recession from November smaller than the 1927·36 average, and 'an increase of 26.5 per cent over a year ago. Aggregate exports during the first five months of the cur· rent season were 10 per cent greater than in the correspond· ing period last season. The increase in exports is attri~U' table to larger takings by European countries, and accordmg to the Department of Agriculture a portion of these impo.rts have apparently been utilized to replenish stocks, wh1ch have been very low during the past two or three years. Spot cotton prices continued upward during the latter part of December and the first half of January. Factors con· tributing to the stronger prices include the active forei~ demand, the concentration of a large quantity of cotton )n the Government loan, and the recent steadiness of prices of many internationally traded commodities. COTTON MOVEMENTS THROUGH THE PORT (Bales) Deoember December 1037 1936 Receipts .. . . . . . . .. . .. . . . . 196,169 185,139 Exports. . .. . . . . . . .. . . . . .. . .. • 223,371 294,954 Stooks, December 31 ...... . OF GALVESTON AuguRt 1 to December 31 'rbis S0l\80n Lnst scason 1,500,780 1,509,2 11 800,853 094,1 32 906,907 877,274 COTTON-GALVESTON STOCK STATEMENT (Bales) December 31, Decembor 31, 10S6 1937 20,500 For Great Britain ....... ..... . . ............... ... ....... . 4,600 11,800 For Fronee ................... .. .... . ... .. ...... ........ . 2,100 57,209 For other foreign ports .......... . ....................... . 37.700 4,009 For coastwise ports ............ . ......................... . 2,000 783,714 In compresses and depots .... ... .. ...... ........ ...... . 860,507 Total. ... .................. ............... . .. . 006,007 - 877,214 COTTON MOVEMENTS THROUGH THE PORT OF HOUSTON (Bales) August 1 to December 31 December December 10S7 This Sca80n Last soason 1936 1,424,771 1,135,092 Recoipts .. . .. . . .. ....... . 197,599 150,300 Exports .................... . 763,915 700,646• 156,773 164,369 865,950 589,265 Stocks, December 31 .. .. .. . SEASON'S RECEIPTS, EXPORTS, AND STOOKS OF OOTTON AT ALL UNITED STATES PORTS-(Bales) August 1 to December 31 This seasen Last .eason Receipts ... . ........ . ... .... ......... .......... ........ . 5,808,723 5,218'7167~ 988,236 618, Exports: United Kingdom .... ... ... ..... .. ........ ...... . France .... ...... ............. ..... ........... .. 538,660 467,894~ 279,633 151,6 Italy ......................... .... .......... . 503,627 353,2376~ 483,087 346, g~;;:::.aE~r~j,C: ::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::: an ............... . . .. . ................... . 119,921 780,lH AI othor oountries .......... . ................ . 271,593 ~ : Jar Total exports... ..... ..... ........ ........ ............... Stocks held at aU United States ports, December 31. . . .... ... 3,184,766 3,237,131 SPOT COTTON PRICES-(Middling basis) (Cents pcr pound) December, 1937 New york ............................... . New Orleans ... ................ ...... ... . Dallas .............. . ........... .. . ...... . Houston .......... .................. . .. Galveston ................................ . High 8.51 8.59 7.91 8.35 8.36 Low 7.97 8.02 7.32 7.70 7.68 2,896,802 2,866,14 8 Jnn.16, 1038 8.63 8.76 8.18 8.60 8.60 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 7 , Daily average production of crude oil in the Eleventh District continued downward in December due entirely to a curtailment of activity at Texas fields, as small increases in output occurred in New Mexico and North Louisiana. During the first week of January, however, daily average production rose slightly above that in December. Petroleum The increasing demand for crude oil during the past three years brought about sharp increases in production, particularly in the spring of 1936 and the first eight months of 1937, and in consequence output in this district reached the unprecedented level of 1,725,185 barrels daily during August. While production declined almost continuously during the final four months of 1937, in accordance with ~educed production allowables effected to meet the decline In consumption, the level of production in December was ~1.8 per cent greater than a year ago. Total production during 1937 amounted to 579,000,000 barrels, which is the argest on record and exceeds the 1936 volume by 23 per chent. Drilling activity also increased substantially during !ne year, there being 16,181 completions, as against 13,647 1936. More than three·fourths of all completions during oth years were producers of oil. h FolIowing an increase in the prices of crude oil during the latter part of January, 1937, the market remained generally steady during the remainder of the year, due largely ~o ~h: fact .that production all.owabl~s were kept in close conOimIty WIth demand. Gasolme pnces, on the other hand, OIL PRODUCTION (Barrols) Incrcaso or decronse from Novombor, 1037 Docember, 1037 ~~~\:~~.. ... .... ..... .... Total 4,474,350 6,960,850 16,752,050 7,603,350 6,008,450 Daily Avg. 1'44,384 224.834 540,418 245,269 103,821 New M . Total Texas ... .. .. Nortb i.X1~0 41,808,950 3,327,550 2,342,450 1,348,676 107,340 75,563 47,478,050 1,581,570 Eo'l8tT .. ..... . .. ... .. . Soutb ~~~ ... .. . .. ... . . .. • .. '1'ox", Coa~~i . . : : : : : : : : : : : : : ... ............ .......... OUlSlann. . .. Total District Total + 128,850 - 42,100 - 231,750 + 187,250 + 42,750 Daily Avg. 516 - 8,808 - 25.730 - 1,934 - 5,035 + 186,900 +166,650 - 42,122 + 2,652 + 3,036 +488,550 -36,434 - + -85,000 - DECEMBER DRILLING RESULTS Number of wells ~~rtbloX... . .... .. . .. .. . . . ... E...~ T Oxas .. .. .... . .. ........ Boutb ~~~ .... . .. . . ... .. .... ... '1'ox.. Coasa:ni' . . : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : Ne M .Total Texas ....... ... . NO~h~'~o.. . .. . . . . .... . . .. . ... Ul8lnnn, • • . .• •.. . . ... Complotion. 284 248 265 230 115 Pr<>ducors 154 180 250 164 04 G.. Wells 16 1,002 30 47 851 35 25 38 2 8 Fni!urcs 64 50 13 46 21 '2 20 - Initinl produotion (barrel. dnily) 57,304 131.944 1,023,414 60.872 48,156 14 1,321,600 10,658 15,175 210 242 1,356,518 2,080,064 203 2 ;~~cember totals, distriot . . ....... 1,178 011 48 vember totals, distriet .. .. .... 1,564 1,254 68 ·December figures represent four weeks ended Deeember 25, 1037. tNovembor figures represent five weeks onded November 27, 1037. have been weak during recent months due to the accumulation of stocks. CRUDE OIL PRICES (PrioD per barrel) North and we. t-central Tex..... .. . .... .... .. ...... .. ... .. E..t-central Texas .. .. ......... .. .... .... .. .. .. ..... .... .. 'rrx.. Gulf ooast ........... . .. ....... ........ .... . ... . .. . West Texas-New Mexico .... .... . . . . . . ... ... .. . . .... . ... • Nortb Loui. innn .. .... . . .. . ... .. . ....... . ... . . ..... .. .... . NOTE: Prices quoted npply to oil 40 gravity nnd nbovo. ·Prices for n compnrable grade of oil not avnilnble. SOURCE: The Oil Weekly, Hou. ton, '1'016•• December 31, Decomber 31, 1037 1036 $1.08 $1.20 1.27 1.15 1.41 1.08 1.22 1.10 . According to figures of the F. W. Dodge Corporation, the total value of construction contracts awarded in this district showed a further increase in December, and was the largest for that month since 1928. The gain from November to December was due to larger awards for non-residential construction, as residential building declined for the fourth consecutive month. The year-to-year trend in building activity since 1932 has been upward, the increase in 1937 being due to a noticeable up·turn in the latter part of the year, which more than offset the smaller volume during the earlier months. The increase over 1936 is attributable chiefly to larger awards for public works and public utility construction, including highways, water front developments, electric light power plants, and transportation terminals. Other non-residential building was about one-fifth smaller in 1937 than a year earlier, reflecting declines in awards for factory, educational, social, and public buildings. Contracts awarded for commercial buildings, on the other hand, increased sharply. Although the volume of residential construction during the last four months of 1937 was smaller than a year earlier, the aggregate for the year was 16.9 per cent greater than in 1936, representing principally increased awards for single family dwellings. The value of all construction contracts awarded during 1937 aggregated $151,660,000 which is 21.8 per cent greater than in 1936, more than twice as great as in 1932, but 4,0 per cent smaller than in 1929. Building permits issued at fourteen principal cities during 1937 were valued at $58,816,000, which is 1.9 per cent less than in 1936. The number of permits issued, however, was 2.7 per cent larger than a year earlier. Building VALUE OF CONSTRUCTION CONTRACTS AWARDED (In thou.ands of dolln,,) December Deoember November Jnnunry 1 to Decembor 31 1937 1036 1037 1037 1036 $ 15,027 S 151,660 S 124.584 Eleventh District.-total" . $ 10,007 $ 7,360 2,033 46,638 30,887 Rosidentinl. . . . . . . . . . . . 2,185 3.060 12,094 105.022 84,647 All other . .. .... .. .... . 16,822 4,309 United Statcs' - totnl . ... 209,451 190,696 108,465 2,054.061 2,667.030 60,001 013.446 801,021 Residential . . . . . . . . . . . . 48,480 65,487 138,464 2,041,515 1,866,099 All other. . . . . . .. .. . . . . 165,971 134,209 ·37 Btntes . .. t of the Rooky Mountain•. SOURCE: F. W. Dodge Corporntion. ----------------------,--------------------------------------------------------BUILDING PERMITS December, 1037 December, 1036 No. Vnluation 17 $ 57,307 108 148,205 93 449,683 735,327 77 320 787,221 43 154,073 120 308,190 471,088 107 254 1,564,280 87 37,008 204 875,255 72 106,752 23 20,227 11 14,045 No. Valuntion 33 $ 30,607 214,556 143 174,075 07 132 141,635 357 1,944,439 64 50,601 614,760 184 76 43,840 324 1,640,370 126 58,802 252 303,178 82 135,278 31 144,150 13 547,577 _ _ _ Totnl . .... 1,536 $5,320,551 1,014 S6,151,868 Atnarillo . . ......... . Au.ti Bilau~~~i"""" " . Cerr,us Ch' : . '.. . . ... . Dal as rl9t.... .. .. El Pas· · · · ··· · · · ·· ·· Fort \~orth' ... . .. .. . Galveston .. ....... !:IoUston ........... Port Arthur .. ... . ... SanA t . .. ....... Shrev~:l'°" " . . •.. Waco .. .. ...... Wiohita ·Fnli.: : : : : : : : + 44.9 - 30.9 +158 .3 +410 .2 - 50 .5 +206.3 - 35.2 +974.6 5.2 - 35 .6 4.6 - 21.1 - 86 .0 - 97.4 No. Valuntion 25 $ 73.506 321,170 142 47,038 121 105,078 132 615,706 443 83,850 60 188,788 128 221,070 125 409 1,080,250 41,013 108 228,374 256 146.443 120 68,177 38 32,014 17 Pereentnge obnnge vnluntion over month - 21.0 - 53.0 +838 .1 + 276.9 + 27 .0 + 84.8 +110 .0 +113.1 + 44 .8 0.6 + 68 .0 - 27 .1 - 70 .3 - 56 .1 13 .5 2,133 $3,339,295 + 50 .3 Percentage ohange valuntion over year - - Novomber, 1037 - Totnl yenr Peroentnge ohnnge 1036 1087 , vnluntion Valuntion No. Vnluntion over year No. 366 $ 1,140,462 302 $ 1,178,109 + 3.3 4,301,129 3,868,040 1,869 1,840 - 11 .0 1,196.729 1,444,669 1,400 1,697 + 20 .7 2,718,759 3,840,722 1,385 1,611 + 41.3 7,741.815 5,710 10,088,275 5,250 - 20.5 040,013 1,579,360 781 053 + 67.9 8,526,115 6,711,401 2,165 2,061 - 21.3 4,000,136 1,270 1,544,909 1,346 +158. 9 4,665 18,684,535 4,538 18,766,247 .4 012,557 807,008 1,650 1,722 1.7 4,534,778 2,064 4,544,625 .2 3,136 2,850,503 1,518 2,518,071 1,570 + 13 .2 1,171,701 438 847,496 580 + 38. 3 225 313,005 894,698 - 65.0 207 - 26,080 $58,816,031 26,283 $59,030,685 - 1.9 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 8 SUMMARY OF NATIONAL BUSINESS CONDITIONS (Complied by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System) . INDUSTRiAl PRODU'CTlON """ '40 , •30 .to / VV\ 110 . J .00 10 .20 •.0 \ \ i I ~ /'\ 'v-/ .. .. I 00 \ eo V 70 .... 10 70 .... .." Itll "" Index of physical volume of production, adjusted for seasonal variation, 1923-1925 average IOCr. By months, January, 1984, to December, 1937. = ... FACTORY EMPLOYMENT AND PAYROLlS .20 "" I •.0 110 t::::.A .00 '""'"""YI~ 10 10 70 10 f'v.... VV "'J J ,,/ . I 00 \ \ 10 PAYROlLS 70 f\..~ If " .... 10 ID31 II.. .,. Indexes of number employed and payrol1s, without adjustment for seasonal variation, 1928-1925 average 100. By months, January, 1934, to December. 1987. Indexes compiled by the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics. = WHOLESAlE PRICES """""11 0 '00 •0 eo 70 80 ..'" oa Indexes complied by the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1926 100. By weeks. 1984 to week endlnll' January 15. 1938. = EXCESS RESERVES OF MEMsER BANKS 1---=;;=::C::::~1""-7II·-t---t---j ~ o ,.... IV:SS .... Itsa Wednesday fill'ures of estimated exceS8 reserves for all member banks and for selected New York City banks. January 8. 1934. to January 19. 1988. Industrial output declined futher in December and, according to preliminarY reports, showed little change in the first three weeks of January. Prices CYf r!lw materials, which had declined sharply in October and November, have been maintained since that time. PRODUCTION Volume of industrial production declined further in December and the Board's seasonally adjusted index was at 84 per cent of the 1923-1925 average as co~ pared with 89 in November. The decline reflected chiefly a continued sharp curtailment of activity in the durable goods industries. Steel ingot production average~ about 26 per cent of capacity, output of automobiles and plate glass was reduce considerably, and production of lumber and cement also declined. Total output o{ nondurable goods declined seasonally. There was a sharp decrease in output a silk mills, and cotton consumption declined further. At woolen mills and shoe factories, however, output was maintained, following a considerable period of sha~P decline. Activity at sugar refineries :increased further. , Mineral production m December, as in other recent months, was at a rugh level. Output of crude 12etroleum and bituminous coal declined seasonally, while anthracite production Increased somewhat. ,In the first three weeks of January output of steel and automobiles increased somewhat from the extreme low levels reached in the latter part of December. Value of construction contracts awarded in December continued in about the same volume as in the preceding three months. During this period there was a. decline in awards for privately-financed projects, reflecting in lal'ge part further reductions in residential building, while publicly-financed work increased. EMPLOYMENT Factory employment and payrolls showed further declines between the mid~le of November and the middle of December, and employment at mines, on the ral}roads, and in the construction industry also continued to decrease. The decline .In the number employed at factories was lal'ger than in earlier months in in-dustn e producing durable goods, and was particularly marked in the steel, machinery, an automobile industries. For the nondurable goods industries as a group, the decline in December was about the same as in each of the previous three months, after allowance for seasonal changes. There was some increase in employment a.t shoe factories and little change at plants producing tobacco products, while most other industries in this group showed further decreases. DISTRIBUTION Department store sales increased in December by about the usual seasonal amount, and the board's adjusted index was 90 per cent of the 1923-1925 average as compared with 91 per cent in November and an average of 93 per cent in the first ten months of the year. Mail-order business and sales at variety storeS showed somewhat more than the seasonal increase, while sales of automobiles declined substantially. Preliminary reports indicate that in the first half of January sales at department stores were at about the same level as a year ago . Railroad freight-car loadings continued to decline in December, and in that month were 18 per cent lower than the average for the first half of the year, making allowance for usual seasonal change. COMMODITY PRICES Wholesale prices of basic commodities, after declining sharply in the autu~n , showed little change in December and the first three weeks of January. Gra1l?s, cotton, print cloths, steel scrap, and bituminous coal increased somewhat, wh ll leather, rayon, and wood pulp prices were reduced. Prices of a wide variety 0 finished industrial products showed further declines, and livestock products continued to decrease sharply. BANK CREDIT Excess reserves of member banks increased in the four weeks ending JanuarY 19 from $1,010.000,000 to $1,370,000,000 and were larger than at any time sin~e May 1. The post-holiday decline in money in circulation, which accounted for thiS growth of excess reserves, was larger than the increase that occurred before Christmas. The volume of loans at reporting member banks in 101 leading cities· declined sharply in the five weeks ending January 19, while their holdings of investments showed little net change. Declines occurred in loans to security brokers and dealers in commercial loans, which decreased both ill New York City and in other leading cities. Interbank balances were built up during the period, while other deposits decreased somewhat, reflecting largely the repayment of bank loanS, partly offset by a return flow of currency from circulation. MONEY RATES AND BOND YIELDS The average rate on new issues of 91-day Treasury bills continued in JanuarY at less than 1h of 1 per cent, and yields on Treasury notes and bonds declined to new low levels for recent months. Yields on the highest-grade corporate bonds also declined somewhat, while those on the lower-grade railroad issues rose. d f