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MONGJrHLG)[ REVIEW FEDERAL Vol. 37, No.8 RES E R V E BANK o F DALLAS August 1, 1952 DALLAS, TEXAS SAN ANGELO This is the fifth of a series of articles on leading cities of the Eleventh Federal Reserve District. Articles on other cities will appear in the Monthly Business Review from time to time. Additional copies of this article may be obtained by addressing a request to: Research Department Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Dallas, Texas • • San Angelo, the wool center of the Southwest, is located on the northern edge of the Edwards Plateau and in the southeastern portion of the Permian Basin. The Edwards Plateau is the largest sheep and goat raising area in Texas, while the Permian Basin is the greatest oil producing area in the Nation. The city is situated at the confluence of the orth, Middle, and South Concho Rivers, on an expanse of level to g-ently rolling land. These gentle topographic features of the land, together with favorable flying conditions, were instrumental in attracting the large Army Air Force Base located on the southeastern en· virons of the city. finest residential area is found in the southwest portion of the city. More modest dwellings are found in the north and east sections of the city. The Latin American population, which comprises about 15 percent of the total, for the most part lives in the south section of town. While numerous brick and stone houses are found in San Angelo, frame houses predominate. N ..A.- San Angelo is the largest city within a radius of almost 200 miles. Lubbock, the nearest larger city, is 185 miles to the northwest; Fort Worth is 220 miles to the northeast; San Antonio is 215 miles to the southeast; and El Paso is 400 miles to the west. The atmosphere of San Angelo is distinctly western. Tengallon hats and cowboy boots are a common sight. The streets are broad and buildings tend to be low. San Angelo has many new structures, reflecting the rapid growth of the past decade. Fine stores are particularly noticeable. t Being located in a semiarid region, San Angelo has an unusually large number of bright sunny days. The normal annual rainfall amounts to a little less than 22 inches. This relatively dry climate has been responsible for attracting many people for health reasons. The winters are generally mild, and the summers are hot, although the low relative humidity and the altitude tend to moderate the effects of the heat. San Angelo is 1,847 feet above sea level. The average temperature in January is about 46 degrees and in July is almost 84 degrees. San Angelo, like so many other cities in the Southwest, has been experiencing a water problem. Both last summer and again early this year the city was forced to restrict the use of water as the supply in Lake Nasworthy, at present the city's only source of water, was The city has spread in all directions from its original reduced to a dangerously low level. These water restrictions nucleus on the north bank of the North Concho River. The are still in effect. This publication was digitized and made available by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas' Historical Library (FedHistory@dal.frb.org) • .. 106 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW The water problem of San Angelo has been caused principally by two factors: (1) the rapid growth of the population, with a corresponding increase in water consumption, and (2) a severe drought. The drought in 1951, when rainfall was only 55 percent of normal, was a culmination of a 10-year period in which subnormal rainfall prevailed in every year but one, 1949. While San Angelo has been confronted with an immediate water problem, paradoxically, from a longer range standpoint, the city is in a much more favorable position with respect to meeting its water needs than most other cities in west Texas. A large dam, the San Angelo Dam and Reservoir, was begun by the Army Corps of Engineers in 1947 on the North Concho River to the northwest of the city and was completed last year, with the gates being closed this past February. This dam has been designed to provide a conservation pool of 80,400 acre feet, which may be used for municipal as well as irrigation purposes. The use of this water is controlled by the Upper Colorado lliver Authority. Of course, rains will be necessar y to fill this conservation pool, but when the pool has been developed, it will constitute a potential water supply over seven times the capacity of the present source, Lake Nasworthy. In addition, the city and the Upper Colorado River Authority are working joi ntly on a program to complete the development of the entire Concho watershed. standing and others are being restoTcd. The former officers' headquarters now house the Fort Concho Museum. Some of • the officers' quarters have been converted into private resi- • dences, while a few of the buildings which had formerly been barracks are now being used as warehouses by private firms. The population of San Angelo maintained a steady growth during the first four decades of its existence, although the earliest official Census data are for the end of that period, 1910, when the population of the city was shown to be 10,321. During the ensuing four decades, the city's population appeared to grow in spurts, showing little change from 1910 to 1920 and from 1930 to 1940 and very sharp increases in the decades of the 1920's and the 1940's. The 1950 Census revealed that San Angelo had passed the 50,000 mark. In this most recent 10-year period, when southwestern cities were mushrooming, tllis city experienced a faster rate of growth than any other of the larger cities in Texas, except Odessa and Lubbock. POPULATION, SAN ANGELO TN " " . " . , go >EO'" ov Lake Nasworthy, built in 1929 and enlarged in 1948, now has a capacity of about 11,000 acre feet. This lake receives its water from four sources-the South Concho and Middle Concho Rivers and Spring and Dove Creeks. While the water in the Middle Concho River is obtained entirely from runoH, the three other streams are spring fed. San Angelo is served by three national highways that pass through the city-Highways 67, 87, and 277-as well as by several state highways. These highways form the basis for the trucking services which are very important in meeting the tran sportation needs of the city. While no major trunkline railroad passes through San Angelo, two subsidiaries of the Atcheson, Topeka, and Santa Fe Railroad-the Panhandle and Santa Fe and Gulf Railroad and the Gulf, Colo· rado, and Santa Fe Railroad-serve the city. In addition, three commercial airlines-Continental, Pioneer, and TransTexas- maintain fli ghts in and out of San Angelo. San Angelo owes its origin to the establishment in 1868 of a military post, Fort Concho, for protection against In· dians. Simultaneous with the construction of the Fort between the forks of the Middle and North Concho Rivers, a settlement which form ed the beginning of San Angelo developed across the river on the North Concho. The town was laid out originally by a merchant, Bart 1. DeWitt, who named it Santa Angela in honor of his sister·in-law, a Catholic nun; the uame was later changed to San Angelo. In 1882 San Angelo became the county seat of Tom Green County after a Aood had washed away the existing county seat, Ben Ficklin, located a few miles sou th of San Angelo. San Angelo was incorporated in 1903. Fort Concho now represents a tourist attraction. Although it was aband'oned in 1889, many of the buildings are still SOURCE; u.s. lI~ruw ., 1ft, CtftIU • . Economic Development The rapid population growth of San Angelo during the past 10 to 12 years has had its counterpart in the sharp economic growth of the city. In fact, the economic growth and development have been the fundamental forces behind the population growth. The succeeding paragraphs will be devoted to a discussion of some of the more important aspects of the economic growth of San Angelo and the reasons for thi s growth. Personal Income Perhaps one of the best comprehensive measures of the economic development of a city or area is the inhabitants' income. The aggregate income of the population of a city renccts the composite develop men t of all the economic activi- • ties by which the people make their living-industry, trade, services, government employment, and other activities. Personal income of the San Angelo metropolitan area, which in this study is considered as comprising Tom Green County, 107 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW PERSONAL INCOME S an Anlll l0 Me tropoli tan Area MI LLI ONS 0 ' DOLlA'" MI LL IONS Of DOL L 10 0 0 0 o - "..,. 40 20 '" I0 0 ./ / V '40 '4' :....- ,,/ 80 60 .0 20 i-" 1939 - .... V '42 '. .. ' 45 46 47 48 49 ~O o 51 in 1951 was almost five times as high as in the prewar year 1939. This tremendou s increase reflects, in part, the substan· tial price inflation which occurred during the period. Never· theless, if the influence of monetary inflation is eliminated and San Angelo's 1951 personal income is stated in terms of 1939 dollars, personal income last year was still over two and one·half times as high as in 1939. spending may have been a dominant factor in the increase in the income of the city 's inhabitants. An examination of the sources of the personal income of San Angelo, as well as the increases in income by major source, tends to confirm the influence of government, as well as the relative importance of other factors in the growth of the income of the city's population. Two sources of income-trade and service industries and government- overshadowed all others in the San Angelo met· ropolitan area in 1951. Payrolls and proprietary income of retail and wholesale establishments, business and personal services, hotels, tourist courts, amusement places, medical, legal, and other service industries supplied over 30 percent of the city's personal income, Meanwhile, almost 23 percent of the income came from government in the form of payrolls of civilian and military personnel of the Goodfellow Air Base ; payrolls of other federal, state, county, and city gov· ernment activities, including public schools; as well as old· age insurance, public assistance, veterans, and other govern· ment payments. PERCENT INCREASE IN PERSONAL INCOME, BY MAJOR SOURCE Son Ang l lo Metropoliton Area 1939 -1 951 o 100 200 300 400 SOO 600 700 800 900 MINING • Personal income in the San Angelo metropolitan area rose . very rapidly during World War II. In the first postwar year it declined moderately, but then resumed its upward trend, although at a slower pace than during the war years. In the past two calendar years, p articularly since the defense pro· gram was initiated, the rate of increase in San Angelo's personal income has become substantially larger. The fact that the largest increases in San Angelo's income during the past 12 years have occurred during the war years and during the defense period suggests that government PERSONAL I NCOME. BY MAJOR SOURCE Son Angela Metropolitan ArlO CONSTRUCTION MANUFACTURING GOVERNMENT ALL SOURCES - TOTAL. TRAOE and SERVICES TRANSPORTATI ON,UTIL.I TI ES PROPERTY INCOME .:.:.:.: .:.:.:.: ..... AGRICUL.TURE OTHER Agriculture ranked third as a direct source of income, with proprietary income and wages from farm enterprises amount· ing to almost 11 percent of the total income of the inhabi· tants of the San Angelo metropolitan area. The remaining 36 percent of the income was widely distributed among a number of sources, including manufacturing, construction, transportation, communication and utilities, oil production, finance, and dividends, interest, rents, and royalties from property. During the peri od 1939 to 1951, income from government and trade and service industri es- the most important sources of San Angelo's income- increased markedly, rising 585 per· cent and 366 percent, respectively, The increases of these two lead ing sources constituted about 45 percent of the total in· crease in income of the city's population during this period. Nevertheless, some of Lhe other sources of income which are of considerably less importance to the city's economy experien ced a larger rate of growth. Income from mining, largely fr om oil production (excluding rents, bonuses, and royalties MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 108 from oil property), showed the largest relative gain of any source of income, increasing 856 percent from 1939 to 1951. Income from the construction industry rOse 677 percent and from manufacturing (manufacturing payrolls, together with profits from unincorporated manufacturing enterprises) increased 651 percent. Government Activities The' expansion in government activities has been the most powerful single factor in the growth of San Angelo during the past decade. Goodfellow Air Force Base furnishes more employment than any other organization in the city. Con· struction on this Base began in 1940, and by early 1941 the Base was in operation. This Air Force Base, together with the San Angelo Army Air Field, a wartime bombardiers' school, was largely instrumental in producing the extremely rapid increase in personal income in San Angelo during the war years. When the bombardiers' school was closed and Goodfellow Air Force Base inactivated after the war, personal income in San Angelo declined moderately, but fortunately, an increase in other activities partially oHset the loss from these air force facilities. Goodfellow Air Force Base was reactivated at the end of 1947, and the enlargement of its activities with the outbreak of Korean hostilities has contributed importantly to the marked rise in San Angelo's personal in· come during the past 2 years. While Goodfellow Air Force Base overshadows all other government activities in the area, two other government projects should be mentioned-the San Angelo College, supported in part by a county-wide ad valorem tax, and the state tuberculosis hospital north of the city. These institutions bring visitors and, consequently, trade to the city, as well as employment and income to some of its inhabitants. Trade and Service Indus.rles People employed in trade and service industries in April this year comprised three out of every five nonagricultural workers in the San Angelo metropolitan area, and the income derived by individuals from this source in 1951 ex- RETAIL SALES, SAN ANGELO a.l llliOHS 0 ' DOLLAft $ IoI ILUONS OJ" DO LL AR S • 0 80 60 0 20 I' o Ins / ,.,-V '40 '4 ' " .- ~V ,/' ~ / ~ 60 ,o .,... 2o '4 '. 4 4~ 46 47 '. e 0 49 :)0 51 ceeded $25,000,000. Although trade and service industries are of maj or importance to most cities, they take on particu- • lar importance in San Angelo. A significant portion of the ~ business of San Angelo's trade and service establishments is derived from people living outside the city in a rather extensive trade area, and the business obtained from this trade area has been a primary factor in the growth in employment and income of the city. Of course, a major proportion of the trade and services of the city's establishments has represented merely the effects of the growth in demand which has accompanied the expansion in other activities and industries in the city. A relatively high volume of retail sales in relation to the city's population provides evidence of the importance of retaillrade to San Angelo. In the Census of Bz/.Siness year 1948, San Angelo ranked higher than all but four of the larger Texas cities in per capita retail sales. The types of retail trade in which San Angelo made the strongest showing were automobile dealers; general merchandise, including department stores; furniture and appliance stores; and lumber, building, and hardware establishments. Trade drawn from outside the city has been an important factor in the relatively high volume of San Angelo's retail sales in relation to its population. Although the city's trade territory does not extend very far to the east and north, customers from the oil and ranching country to the west and south sometimes come distances of more than 200 miles. This .. trade territory, while thinly populated, has been a prosperous . area due to oil activity and favorable agricultural prices_ Total retail sales of San Angelo in 1951 are estimated to have exceeded $70,000,000, representing an increase of 357 percent over the prewar year 1939. The growth of San Angelo's population and the increase in prices account for a large portion of this increase in retail sales, but part of the sales increase has been due to a larger volume of sales derived from outlying areas. San Angelo's chief claim to being a wholesaling center arises from its position as the Nation's largest inland wool market. From 20 to 25 percent of the wool produced in Texas usually is marketed through the warehouses in San Angelo_ The city has seven wool warehouses. A maj ority of the resident buyers in Texas of Eastern wool dealers make San Angelo their headquarters during the spring and fall marketing seasons, and many of these buyers maintain homes in San Angelo. The area served by San Angelo as a wool market is shown on an accompanyiog map. This area covers the greater part of the principal wool producing region of the Eleventh Federal Reserve District. Of course, many other cities and towns in the region have wool warehouses which handle substantial. quantities of the wool produced in the area, particularly i~ that section to the southeast of San An gelo, Competition from other cities is considerably less to the west of San Angelo, with the city's warehouses drawing wool from a very wide area. 109 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW THE SAN ANGELO WOOL MARKET AREA .--"--, \ , l.. j/ /' ··,--..-1 . t " ~:~/_.1 .~ .. • • •• Area served by San Angelo as wool market. Boundary of principal wool producing area . • • Other important or secondary markets. Based on informatIon obtained from San Anoelo wool warehousemen, The warehouse wool marketing system used in San Angelo and other Texas cities is peculiar to this section of the coun· try. The wool warehouse ofIers the grower complete faeili· ties for handling wool from the time it leaves the ranch until it is sold, shipped, and paid for. When sheep raisers bring their bags of wool to the warehouse, each bag is weighed, tagged for identification, and then is generally en· trusted to the warehouse operator for safekeeping. Sometimes all or certain lots of the wool placed in the warehouse are offered for sale on a sealed·bid basis. Eastern buyers are shown samples of the wool prior to the bidding. The bids are examined by the warehouse officials, who may either accept or reject them. The wool warehouse system provides a means of concentrating for sale anCi shipment the relatively small quantities of wool of the individual growers and makes it readily available for inspection to prospective buyers. Agriculture • The wool marketing industry of San Angelo suggests that agriculture is one of the major supports to the economy of the city. Although cotton and grain crops are raised in the city's trade territory, this area is largely devoted to ranching. Sheep, wool, and beef cattle are the area's principal agricul. lural products. Agricultural production in the area has tend· ed to decline during the past decade, due in part to a sue· cession of years of subnormal rainfall. The drought last year caused a substantial liquidation of livestock. Despite this de· cline in production, agricultural income has risen substan· tially as a result of the marked rise in agricu ltural prices. For instance, Texas Crop Reporting District 7, in which San Angelo is located, showed an increase in cash receipts from farm marketings of about 234 percent from 1940 to 1951. In the latter year, cash receipts from farm marketings in Tom Green County were around $14,000,000. Oil Although San Angelo has been only On the fringe of the major oil producing areas of the Permian Basin, oil has been a significant factor in the city's growth. The first major oil field in the Permian Basin was discovered in 1923 at Big Lake, 70 miles west of San Angelo. At one time a number of oil companies had their headquarters in San Angelo for ac· tivities in the Permian Basin, but later these headquarters were moved nearer the center of the oil activity. The Texas Railroad Commission today maintains its office for District 7c in San Angelo, and the city is the home of a number of inde· pendent oil operators. During the past 10 years oil activhy in Tom Green County, as well as in counties close to San Angelo----Coke, Crockett, Runnels, and Schleicher- has increased greatly. Total pro· duction in Railroad Commission District 7c in 1951 was almost five times as large as in 1939. This increase in oil activity in the general vicinity of San Angelo has brought with it an increase in the number of oil well supply houses and oil field servicing organizations in the city. In addition, the number of drilling crews residing in MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 110 CRUDE PETROLEUM PRODUCTION TEXAS RAILROAD COMMISSION DISTRICT 1939-1951 7~C 'f PECOS OIL FIELDS SOURCE: Complied from Annual RIl>Qrt. of the Comptroller of Public Account! of th4 State of Tuo',1939-51. San Angelo has increased. Furthermore, a substantial amount of bonuses and rents from oil leases, as well as oil royalties, has flowed into San Angelo to ranch owners who have estab· lished homes in the city. Nevertheless, the increase in the city's retail sales stemming from workers in the near·by oil fields probably has had fully as important an influence on San Angelo as the oil money which has been received directly by the city's inhabitants. Manufacturing San Angelo is not an important manufacturing city; fac· tory employment now accounts for less than 10 percent of the total nonagricultural employment of the metropolitan area. Nevertheless, manufacturing employment in the San Angelo metropolitan area has increased substantially and in April 1952 was almost three times as high as in April 1940 and was 55 percent larger than in April 1946. The city's manufacturing is quite diverse, with no single industry dominating. The largest number of firms is in the food industry, which accounts for approximately 25 percent of total manufacturing employment. The major portion of the manufacturing plants are engaged in producing largely for the needs of the population of the city and its surround· ing area. Only a few ship a substantial quantity of their prod. ucts outside the west Texas area. Most of the manufacturing plants are small, with the overwhelming proportion employ. ing less than 25 persons and only a few employing more than 100. MANUFACTURING EMPLOYMENT Son Anulo Metropolitan Ario 1.5001--------- - - - 1. OO"r--------------- • • MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW BUILDING PERMITS. SAN ANGELO ,2 , MIL IONS OF 0 oL LARS 1 0 • • / 4 2 0 ~i"-.. ."0 .41 .42 1~?l9 SO~HICE ' , DOLLAR I.IILLIOr<lSO~ 1/ / / / \1 44 45 6 4 ...:.:..,rt 46 41 48 49 '50 0 '51 Bui lding P"",U Dtporl"""l. Th Clly 01 SClft Allgllo. Construction The rapid growth of the city's population during the war years resulted in an accumulation of need for residential and other facilities, as construction was kept at a minimum during the war. Since V·J Day, construction activity in San Angelo has been at a very high level in order to meet the war-deferred demand, as well as to meet the needs arising from the continued increase in the city's population. A mao jor expansion in school facilities has been accomplished in the past 6 years. In addition to the construction needs of the city proper, the building of the San Angelo Dam and Reservoir intensified construction activity in this postwar period. The peak in building was reached in 1950; but 1951, although down noticeably from 1950, still was substantially larger than any other year on record. The value of building permits issued by tbe city in 1951, $8,864,000, was more than nineteen times as large as in the prewar year 1939. Banking • BANK DEPOSITS. SAN ANGELO " MILLIONS OF DOLL A ILLIONS Of DOLLARS "7 0 70 60 / a a 0 0 0 1939 V- J..-V 40 41 V y 40 V 30 20 ,o 42 43 SOIJRCE ' Rand MeNa lly Bankll' alr.tlOr, 44 4S Cultural and Civic Activities 46 47 48 49 'so In a study devoted primarily to the economic development of a city, it is easy to overlook those cultural and civic activities which may not comprise a significant source of income but which indirectly contribute to the economic well· being of the city by making it a better place in which to live. Perhaps one of the strongest influences in the cultural life of the city is San Angelo College. San Angelo College, established in 1928, is a junior college ;;iving tbe student fully accredited freshman and sophomore college work in such fields as agriculture, business administration, and arts and science. The college holds full membership in the Southern Association of Colleges and Secondary Schools. In the postwar period the college was moved from a downtown location to a 60'acre campus with newly constructed modern buildings in the southwest section of the city. In addilion to the regular curriculum, the college conducts an adult education program through which the people of San Angelo are offered the opportunity of taking courses in life insurance, speech, geology, income tax, bookkeeping, and other subjects. No college credit is given for these courses. On the other hand, college credit is given for night courses offered at the college in subjects such as Spanish, accounting, business law, shorthand, and typing. Moreover, the college cooperates with Goodfellow Air Force Base in providing night courses for military personnel at the Base. Another activity of the college is the basic preparatory program for veterans who did not finish grade school. 60 '0 y 40 The three banks of San Angelo- The Central National Bank, First National Bank, and San Angelo National Bankhave participated actively in the growth of the city, as indicated by the sharp increase in their deposits and resources during the past 12 years. Total deposits of these banks on December 31, 1951, were 502 percent higher than on the same date in 1939, and total resources showed a 423-percent increase for this period, with loans and discounts more than tripling . 2 .43 o \' • 111 o '51 The college and other groups sponsor fine arts programs in which outstanding artists are brought to San Angelo. Programs by local musicians also are presented from time to time. In 1949 a symphony orchestra was established in San Angelo, and recently the San Angelo Civic Theater was organized, giving five plays during the 1951-52 season. A local art association endeavors to promote regional artists and invites national art shows to the area. In connection with the cultural activities of the city, it should be mentioned that San Angelo has a large mnnicipal auditorium which seats 1,860. MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 112 Although not falling within the category of a cultural activity, the annual San Angelo Fat Stock Show and' Rodeo is one of the major shows of its kind in Texas, attracting visitors from a large area. In keeping with its i mportant wool industry, San Angelo has a number of sheep shows each year. The city is the headquarters of the Texas Sheep and Goat Raisers' Association, and the American Rambouillet Sheep Breeders' Association maintains its offices here. The rise in agricultural income in the area, as was noted before, has been due entirely to the increase in agricultural • prices; production has actually declined since 1940. The de- ... cline in production has been largely due to the subnormal rainfall which the area has received in most years during the past decade. If rainfall in coming years were to approach more closely the long-term average, agricultural production would undoubtedly increase, but it would take a substantial period of time for the ranges to recover. Brush at the present time has taken over thousands of acres of range land. Summary and Outlook San Angelo has had one of the fastest rates of growth of any of the larger Texas cities since 1940. The most prominent aspects of the city's economic development during this period have been in government and trade and service activities, although practically all the city's industries have experienced' marked expansion. The basic factors in the growth of San Angelo have been the increase in government activities, the expansion in oil development, and the rise in agricultural income in the area. The establishment of Goodfellow Air Force Base has overshadowed all other factors. While manufacturing activity is of relatively small importance, it has contributed to the city's economic development. The outlook for San Angelo is perhaps more obscure than for many other southwestern cities. Government activity, which has played such a dominant role in the growth of San Angelo, is difficult to predict, certainly, for any particular area. In view of the unsettled condition of international af· fairs, it appears likely that our military forces will not be reduced noticeably within the next several years, and there is apparently no justification for assuming that activities at Goodfellow Air Force Base will be curtailed. The Base was designated as a permanent installation in 1950. Moreover, recently Congress appropriated almost $4,000,000 for the erection of additional permanent structures on the Base and for the acquisition of more land for expansion purposes. Despite these developments, it is unlikely that any expansion in military activities in the area will be comparable to that which furnished' the major impetus to the growth of the city during World War II. The marked increase in oil activity in the area during the past 5 years shows no signs of tapering off. While that portion of the Permian Basin in the area surrounding San An· gelo has not produced major oil fields such as have been dis· covered in some other parts of the Basin, nevertheless, a number of important fields have been found. Moreover, oil in the area has been found at shallower depths than many of the other sections of the Basin, and accordingly, the cost of driLling has tended to be less. Oil drilling and production appear likely to be maintained or increased during the next several years. The course of oil and agriculture will partly determine trends in trade and service industries in the City of San Angelo. In addition, developments which extend or contract the trade territory of the city may also influence trends in these trade and service industries. New highways are being built in the area and new stores opened in cities competing with San Angelo for trade. The success of the city in maintaining or increasing its trade territory will be partially determined' by the aggressiveness of its merchants. The expansion in manufacturing in San Angelo has been, in large part, in response to needs of the area. The fortunes of the firms producing for the local market are, of course, closely tied to trends in that market. On the other hand, probably more important from a growth standpoint for the city are firms producing for more distant markets. While San Angelo has acquired a number of manufacturing plants producing for other than the local market, distances from the • more populated areas of the country, lack of an abundant . water supply, and a relatively small labor force are among the factors which have tended to prevent west Texas ci ties from attracting industries distributing over wide areas. Once the conservation pool at the San Angelo Dam and Reservoir has been established, San Angelo may be in a more favorable position with respect to water than many other west Texas cities. It is probable that San Angelo will experience further expansion in its manufacturing industries, but it does not appear likely that the city will become an important manuf acturing center. The San Angelo Dam and Reservoir may give some stimulus to the growth of the city. Not only will the dam furnish an additional water supply, but it will also provide a recreat ion area which may aUract tourists and sportsmen whose spending may help San Angelo merchants. Furthermore, water from this dam may also permit an expansion of irrigation farming in the area. Considering the factors which have been responsible for the very rapid growth of San Angelo and those factors which are likely to playa part in the coming years, it would appear that the growth of San Angelo in the next 10 years will be favorable, but considerably slower than in the previous 10. • MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 113 REVIEW OF BUSINESS, INDUSTRIAL, AGRICULTURAL, AND FINANCIAL CONDITIONS Department store sales in the Eleventh Federal Reserve District in June were ~ the highest for any June on record; this was the third consecutive month to establish such a record. Total sales in the first 6 months of 1952 were 5 percent higher than for the same period last year. Sales in the first 3 weeks of July were 12 percent over a year ago. Department store inventories on June 30 were 11 percent below a year earlier and were at the lowest level since the end of last January; orders outstanding were 36 percent higher than at the same time last year. After declining from January to April, instalment credit at department stores rose 7 percent in May and 8 percent in June to about the sa me level as a year earlier; coll ection periods have lengthened since recent relaxation of credit terms. uw • • Daily average crude oil production in the District in July was lower than in any of the previous 17 months except May, as the fourth successive reduction in Texas allowables held production down in an effort to work off heavy crude stocks accumulated during the oil strike. A substantial increase in Texas allowables for August, however, foreshadows a rise in production. Refinery acti vity in the Nation reached record levels, but drilling activity was noti ceably curtailed by shortages of tubular goods arising from the steel strike. The value of construction contracts awarded in the Eleventh District in the first half of 1952 was 9 percent below the same period last year, compared with a decline of 12 percent for the United States. The five states of the District this year are growing 5 percent more acres of crops than the acreage harvested in 1951, but the total is 5 percent smaller than the average of 1941-50. Yields per acre presently appear good, and most crops are expected to show production gaills ill 1952. Cotton acreage in the District this year is off 9 percent, compared with a decline of 7 percent in the United States. Range and pasture feed supplies in the District were reduced further by dry, hot weather in July, although rains past midmOllth were helpful in many sections. Farm commodity prices in the District generally are holding relatively steady; at mid1952 they averaged near the same level as a year earlier. Loans, investments, and deposits of the weekly reporting member banks in larger cities of the District showed increases during the 5 weeks ended Jul y 23. Loans outstanding at these banks rose $25,000,000; investment holdings were up about $120,000,000; and total deposits were ap· proximately $49,000,000 larger. Gross demand deposits of all member banks in the District in June were about 1 per· cent above the total for May and 10 percent above June 1951. sales fell 14 percent below those of May but were 12 percent above those of June 1951. As a consequence of the high level of sales during the second quarter, the cumulative total for the first 6 months of this year was 5 percent higher than for the same period last year. Sales in the 3 weeks ended July 19 showed a gain of 12 percent over the comparable period in July 1951, although they were seasonally lower by 13 percent from the first 3 weeks of June. Sales during June in most major departmental groups registered from moderate to substantial increases over a year ago. Special sales of women's and misses' coats and suits, which offered attractive price adjustments, resulted in a 17-percent increase over June 1951 in the sales of those items. Sales of summer goods in the accessories and apparel groups showed increases of 11 percent for women's and misses' dresses; 15 percent for blouses, skirts, and sportswear; and 21 percent for girls' wear. Sales of men's clothing, compared with a year ago, showed an increase of 4 percent. Major household appliances and television sets continued in strong demand during June, showing increases over year-ago figures of 121 percent and 329 percent, respectively. Basement store sales were 9 percent over last year, showing strongest gains in homefurnishings, women's and misses' ready-to-wear and piece goods. The principal declines in the main store, exclusive of the basement, were in domestic floor coverings, down 24 percent; piece goods, 8 percent; and hou sehold textiles, 10 percent. Sales of furniture and bedding were down 1 percent. The retail value of department store inventories at the end of June was 11 percent below the value of those held on the same date last year and was at the lowest dollar· value level since tbe end of January of this year. Tnventori cs of furniture and bedding on June 30 were 28 percent lower than a year earlier, and inventories of major household appli- RETAlt TRADE STATISTICS IPereentage change) • 1952 from mo. 19S2 compo with 6 J~. line of trade by area DEPARTMENT STORES Total Eleventh District •... . .•.. CorplI! Ctvisfi ...... ......... Oollos .... .... .. ....•... ,'. EI Paso .• •.•••....•....••.. fort Worth ............•.... Houston .•••..•....•...•.•. . ~n Antonio .••....•....•... Shreveport, la ... . .. . .... .. . . Waco . .... " .. "'.,'" .... Other cities •. ........ ... .... Department store sales in the Eleventh District in June were the highest for any June on record, although down seasonally from May. This was the third consecutive month to establish such a monthly record for dollar value of department store sales in this District. With two less business days than in the previous month, June STOCKSI NET SALES J~e FURNITURE STORES Totol Beventh District ......... Ausm ..................... 001105 ... . ..... ..... . . . . . . . HOulton ...........•........ Port Arthur .......... .. ..... San Antonio . ............... Shreveport, Lo ............... Wichita Falls .. .•. ..•.. . .... . HOUSEHOLD APPLIANCE STORES Total Eleventh District ••... .... 001105 • . . . . . . . • . . . . . • . . . . . . 1 Stocks at end of month. 1951 May 19S2 12 18 11 7 S IS 19 4 IS 6 -14 -8 -18 -7 -16 -13 -12 -25 -21 -7 31 47 43 29 61 29 3. 24 -12 -13 -17 -17 30 -IS -5 -2 10 -7 -12 14 6mo.1951 5 19 1 •2 9 7 10 20 -1 June 1952 from J~. 19S1 -11 -8 -9 -18 -8 -11 May 1952 -18 -9 -9 -8 -6 -7 -9 -6 -9 -11 -21 -11 -7 -19 -4 -36 -S -7 -1 -3S -11 -24 -11 -8 3 -14 114 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW ances and television sets were lower by 48 and 17 percent, respectively. Stocks of furniture and bedding on hand at the end of the month were equivalent to approximately 5 months' sales at the June level. Stocks of air conditioning units, mechanical refrigerators, and television sets were equal to less than 2 months' supply at the same level of demand. Those ratios were substantially lower than for June 1951 and were more nearly comparable with the level of June 30, 1950, before the heavy build-up of inventories following Korea. percent but show an increase of 31 percent above June 1951. The retail value of end-of·month inventories was 19 percent ill below that held on the same date last year. Total accounts .. receivable rose 4 percent above Maiand were at a level 14 percent higher than a year earlier. Total dollar collections at reporting furniture stores were 3 percent under those of June 1951. INDEXES OF DEPARTMENT STORE SALES AND STOCKS (I 9.47-49 Total stocks of all types of department store merchandise at the end of June were 2.6 times June sales, compared with June ratios of 3.2 for 1951 and 2.6 for 1950. Although the rate of inventory depletion has been particularly rapid in certain items of consumer goods requiring the use of steel for their manufacture, it is reported that suppliers are still able to supply current needs. Merchandise on order by department stores in the District at the end of June reflected the anticipation of a continued strong consumer demand in the fall and winter seasons. Orders outstanding were 36 percent higher than On the same date last year. WHOLESALE TRADE STATISTICS Eleventh Federal Reserve District (Percentage change) NET SALES p STOCKSl p Jone 1952 from LIne of trade Automotive supplies • •..•..•• Drugs and sundries .......... Dry goods ............. . ... June Moy June 6 mo. 1952 compo with 6 mo. 1951 1952 from June Moy 1951 1952 50 13 -37 8 -7 -2 1951 1952 - 2 1 2 12 -4 -8 -9 3 8 14 -2 -5 -3 6 -10 10 -4 -10 163 -5 -3 115 -21 29 -2 -9 26 5 -3 -16 5 4 53 8 -1 -19 S -1 5 -12 -1 -2 -3 Grocery (voluntary-group and full-line wholesale rs not sponsoring groups) ••.• ..• •• •. • Hardware ••............... Industrial supplies .. . . ....... Machinery equipment and sup- pile' except electrical .... . M.tals . . •...... ... .. .. .... Tobac:co produc:ts ... .. .. ... . Wines and liquors .. .. .. .. . . Wiring supplies, c:onstructlon materials distributors ...... 1 Stoc:ks at end of month. p-Preliminary. SOURCEz Unitlld States Bureau of th o Census. Instalment credit at department stores, which declined steadily from January through April, rose 7 percent in May and 8 percent in June to a level virtually the same as at the end of June 1951. Charge account receivables at the end of June were 5 percent below a month earlier and were at the lowest level for this year, but remained 5 percent higher than a year ago. Although the full effects will not be in evidence for several months, collections during June had already hegun to show the influence of the recent relaxation of credit terms. The average collection time for instalment accounts lengthened from 11 to 12 months, while the payout period for charge accounts increased from 63 da ys to 67 days. Furniture store sales reported for the District during June indicate a month-to-month decline of approximately 12 = 100) UNADJUSTED J008 Area SALES-Daily average Eleventh District ........... Dallas . . , .• _ ........ ... . . Houston . .... . .... . .. .. .. . STOCKS-End of month Eleventh Dilfria .... . ... ... ADJUSTEDl 1952 Moy 1952 April 1952 Joo. 1951 1952 1952 1952 1951 116 103 13 2 125 116 141 114 106 126 100 90 110 132 128 145 lHp 125 129 128 123p June Moy April Juno 128 120 142 114 109 128 111 121 124 122 138 113r 1 Adiusted for se050nol vorlotion. r- Revised. p-Preliminary. The total acreage of 13 major field crops in the five states of thc Eleventh District thi s year is about 5 percent greater than the acreage harvested in 1951 but 5 percent below the average acreage harvested in the previous 10 years. With normal acreage abandonment, usually resulting from unfavorable weather or insects, the total acreage of crops harvested this year may be only ... sli ghtly above that of 1951. Tbe crops sho wi ng sib'Ilificant .. increases in acreage in the District are wheat, oats, hay, flaxseed, and sweet potatoes. Declines are reported for cot· ton, corn, rice, and peanuts. On the basis of production estimates currently available (no official forecast has been made of the cotton crop)' crop production in the District in 1952 is expected to exceed slightly the volume of output last year. Crops showing production increases include wheat, oats, barley, rice, hay, flaxseed, and sweet potatoes, while smaller crops of corn and Irish potatoes are in prospect. Meanwhile, the drought conditions which returned to man y parts of the District in late June became more severe durin g the first balf of July. Widely scattered showers around mid-July greatly benefited growing crops, but more rain is needed to assure high yields per acre. The acreage of cotton in cultivation in the five states of the Eleventh District has been estimated by the United States Department of Agriculture at 14,325,000 acres, com· pared with 15,793,000 acres last year. Smaller acreages are reported for Louisiana, Oklahoma, Texas, and New Mexico; the Arizona acreage is up 22 percent. Texas farm ers have 11,235,000 acres in cultivation, or about 9 percent less than in 1951. The northern High Plains, the Trans-Pecos area, and some upper coastal and east central sections of the State have more acres in cotton this yea r, but other sections . of the State report moderate to sharp declines. More than half of the decline in the State's cotton acreage this year occurred in the drou ght-stricken southern Hi gh and Low Rolling Plains and in the Lower Rio Grande Valley. MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW II. • The United States cotton acreage is estimated at 26,. 051,000 acres - a reduction of 7 percent from last year. About 80 percent of this reduction occurred in Texas and Oklahoma; most other states show increases or only minor reductions. The Nation's cotton crop generally is in good condition and is making satisfactory progress except in Texas and Oklahoma, where drought conditions have caused loss of acreage and lower prospective yields. 115 The larger production of wheat in the District thi s year reflects a 50-percent increase in harvested acreage and a sharp rise in yields per harvested acre. CROP ACREAGE Texas and Five Southwestern States lin thousands of acres} Fi'l'e southwestern statest Texas PLANTED COTTON ACREAGE, JULY 1 Har'l'ested Texas Crop Reporting Districts Crop AYerage 1941-50 Cotton ••.•.••••• Winter wheat •••• Com •• • ••.••••• Oats ••••• .• ••.• Barley •••• • •.••• Rye ••.••••••••• Rice • • ••.•.••.•• Sorghums •• •••• • Hay •••• • •. • . • •• Peanuts (alone) ••• Fla:ueed ••.. ..•• Irish potatoes •• •• Sweet potatoes. •• 7,936 4,744 3,520 1,304 209 24 429 6,820 1,583 770 107 46 57 lin thousands of acresl Crop reporting 1952 As percent of 1951 1949 1950 1951 1952 8·S., .... ., .... 9 .............. 10·N, ....... ... 10·5 . . .... ., ... 356 2,627 1,017 1,147 1<2 2,640 596 205 171 200 563 300 324 218 684 174 1,603 632 711 78 1,789 359 149 152 120 385 186 224 100 386 527 2,841 1,109 1,"10 208 2,671 450 226 217 271 627 405 390 290 765 725 2,600 1,090 1,250 175 2,375 300 230 230 250 550 350 410 200 500 138 92 98 89 84 89 67 102 106 92 88 86 105 69 65 Stat • ••.•......• 11 ,190 7,048 12,407 11,235 91 dislrkt I·N . ...... ..... 1·5 ........ . . .. 2-N •••••••••••• 2·S .......... .. 3 .............. .... ........... 5-H ••••. •••• _.• 5-S., ......... . 6 .............. 7 .............. 8·N •••..••••••• SOURCE, Unit.d Stat•• Deportment of Agrkullure. • • The District's winter wheat crop turned out much beLter than expected early in the season. Oklahoma, Texas, New Mexico, and Arizona growers harvested an estimated 150,· 000,000 bushels, compared with 58,000,000 bushels in 1951, and the 1941-50 average of 136,000,000 bushels, The Okla· homa crop totaled 109,000,000 bushels, which is almost 30,000,000 bushels above average; while the Texas crop, although more than double the small crop of 1951, totaled only 40,000,000 bushels, or about two· thirds of average. • Hal"'fesf.d 1951 12,407 1,923 2,278 543 45 13 564 5,761 1,446 541 22 19 21 For harvest AYerage 1952 1941·50 11,235 3,365 2,301 896 60 23 547 6,076 1,521 400 115 17 29 10,559 10,469 6,162 2,521 573 102 1,017 9,079 3,751 1,048 146 108 167 For hervest 1951 1952 15,793 6,183 4,075 921 182 63 1,160 8,158 3,686 787 30 43 88 14,325 9,230 3,977 1,397 394 127 1,107 8,133 3,759 543 119 39 113 kizona, Louisiana, New Meltico, Oklahoma, and Teltas. SOURCEl United States Deportment of Agriculture. 1 Corn production in the District this year is expected to total only about 71,000,000 bushels, or 10,000,000 bushels less than 1951. This decline reflects the long·term downward trend in corn acreage in this area, together with a reduction in yields per acre in 1952, The corn crop in the Eleventh District was cut short by drought during June and early July; much of the crop ripened prematurely, while a con· siderable acreage was cut for silage, The Nation's corn crop is estimated at 3,365,000,000 bushels, the second largo est on record. The acreage of sorghums in the five states of the District this year is estimated at 8,133,000 acres, or about the same as in 1951. A sharp decline in Oklahoma was offset by in· creases in Louisiana, Texas, New Mexico and Arizona; how· ever, drought conditions have caused substantial reductions in prospective yields of sorghum grain per acre, while part of the crop has been grazed off or baled. NORTHERN HIOH PLAINS l-N The acreage of rice in Texas and Louisiana this year is estimated at 547,000 acres and 560,000 acres, respectively. CROP PRODUCTION Texas and Five Southwestern States lin thausends of bushels) FiYe southwestern stotes l Tellas CROP REPORTING DISTRICTS OF TEXAS Crop i"9:;~~O 1951 estimated July 1, 1952 Winter whtKIt ••.• Corn •••••••• ••• Oats ••••••• •• •• Barley ••• ••• _••• Rice' ••••••• ••• • Hays •• • .••••••• Flaxseed ••••••.• Irish potetoes ••• _ Sweet potatoes••• 60,347 56,861 28,263 3,649 8,668 1,550 737 4,402 4,855 17,307 42,143 8,145 518 12,408 1,456 75 2,20" 1,365 "0,380 39,117 21,952 900 13,128 1,634 978 1,870 2,175 AYerage 1941-50 1951 Estimated July 1, 1952 136,455 101,839 52,904 12,194 18,916 4,729 1,357 9,365 14,850 57,567 8 1,042 15,004 6,046 23,732 4,649 233 5,005 7,990 150,345 71,033 33,673 7,320 24,048 4,703 1,041 4,680 10,367 I Arizona, Louisiana, New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas. I 1n thousands of bogs containing 100 pounds each. a In thousands of tons. SOURCE= United States Oepartment of Agriculture. MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 116 Although both estimates are below a year ago, higher yields are in prospect. The Texas crop is forecast at 13,128,000 bags, the largest on record, while the Louisiana crop of 10,920,000 bags is '400,000 bags under last year's output. The Texas flaxseed crop is estimated at 978,000 bushels, which is 33 percent above average but less than half the record crop harvested in 1949. The acreage of peanuts in Texas, planted alone, totals only 400,000 acres-25 percent below 1951 and 48 percent below average. Estimates of this year's acreage and production of other important crops, such as oats, barley, hay, Iri sh potatoes, and sweet potatoes, are shown in accompanyin g tables. Oat production in the 5·state area is more than double the short crop of 1951. Barley production is up about 20 percent, while the hay crop in prospect is up fractionally. Production of swect potatoes shows an increase of 30 percent over the short crop of 1951 but is still 30 percent below average. CASH RECEIPTS fROM fARM MARKETINGS (In thousands of dollors) Cumulative receipts Marcn 1952 Slate Arizona ••... ...• $ 31 ,544 Oklahoma • ••.... 14,921 13,41 0 30,583 Texas .......... louisiana ...... . . New Me:dco . .... January-April April 1952 1951 1951 1952 $ 19,532 $ 28,349 $ 24,689 $148.235 18,3 43 16,684 81.264 15,272 14,271 14,0.42 59,390 9.325 111 ,873 127.2 56 139,429 499,677 46,1 33 136,452 467.812 Totol. ........ $207,331 $163,088 $214,885 S229,085 S924,955 $824,232 34,241 136,389 Farm commodity prices, as a group, held relatively steady in the District during July, although prices of individual commodities experienced significant changes, Weakness was most evident in prices of cotton and some of the grains and classes of livestock, while prices of poultry advanced, Aver. age prices received by farm ers in the District at mid·1952 were near the same level as a year earlier. Higher prices were received for corn, sorghum grain, Irish potatoes, sweet potatoes, milk, and hay, while prices of wheat, colton, pea· nuts, livestock, poultry, eggs, and wool were lower, 1951 $ 95,623 78.212 30.791 88,168 26,666 temporary relief to counties in scattered areas, but more rain is needed to provide grass for summer and fall graz· ~ ing ; livestock are barely holding their own in most areas . • Some ranchers in the Hi gh Plains area are giving their live· stock supplemental feeds to hold shrinkage to a minimum, Meanwhile, livestock marketings continue at a brisk pace. Marketings of cattle during June and July were especially heavy as compared with the same months last year, although near the levels of 1950. In the 4 weeks ended Jul y 19, reo ceipts of cattle on the Fort Worth market were up 21 percent as compared with comparable weeks of 1951. Marketings of hogs were up 5 percent, while receipts of sheep and calves were off 5 percent and G percent, respectively. fARM COMMODITY PRICES Top Prices Paid in local Southwest Markets Comparable SOURCe United Stot.s Department of Agriculture. Commodify and market Conditions during Jul y were favorable for active harvest of the remaining commercial vegetables, mostly cantaloupes, potatoes, tomatoes, and watermelons; however, because of unfavorable weather early in the spring, production esti· mates for most commercial vegetable crops in the District are lower than a year ago, Carlot shipments of potatoes from the Panhandle were very active around mid.July. Watermelons were harvested in volume in central and eastern counties, and carlot shipments were ex pec ted to con tinue until about the lirst of August. Plantin gs for A ugust harvest have sufIered from lack of moisture, and yields have been lowered considerably_ Preparation of seedbeds for fall vegetable plantings in southern counties made good progress in July; moisture con ditions in the Lower Valley are more favorable than a year ago. LIVESTOCK RECE IPTS (Nu mber) FORT WORTH MARKET SAN ANTONIO MARKET June June May J~. Clan 1952 1951 1952 1952 June 1951 Cottle .......... Ca lves ... . ...... 58,361 18,745 32,230 16,0 .010 44,633 128,059 44,81 2 14,701 18,69 1 9,757 12,594 12, 193 60,693 87,334 3,914 ",997 120, '40 57,4 11 Hogs •...•••... • Sheep .•.••• ••. • 117,1 66 I 125,319 May COnON, Middling 15/ 16-inch, Dalla5 ..... WHEAT, No.1 hard. Fort Worth .......... OATS, No.2 white, Fort Worth ........... CORN, No.2 yellow, Fort Worth . ...... . . 5ORGHUMS, No.2 yellow milo, Fort Worth . . HOGS. Choice, Fort Worth . .... .... . .. .. SLAUGHTER STEERS. Choice. fort Worth .. . . SLAUGHTER CALVES, Choice, Fort Worth ... STOCKER STEERS. Choice. Fort Worlh ...... SLAUGHTER LAMBS, Choice, Fort Worth ... . HENS, 3 -4 pound, ForI Worlh ........... fRYERS, Commercial, ForI Worth .. ........ BROILERS, 50uth Texas ............ ...... Week ended week Unit July 24, 1952 lost month lb. b,. b,. b,. cwt. cwt. cwl. <wI. cwl. cwl. lb . lb. lb. $ .3895 2.53~ 1.07 2.17lA 3.30 23.00 31.50 29.00 27,00 28.00 .18 .33 .33 $ .4080 2.49 1.06Y2 2.17~ 3.27 20.25 32.50 32.00 27.00 25.00 .16 .30 .30 Comparable we.k last yeor $ .3710 2.5534 1.06V2 2.03 2.50 23.00 36.00 35.00 35.00 31.50 • Budget expenditures of the l'nitcd States Government during the fiscal year ended .Tune 30 amounted to $66,145,· 000,000, while budget receipts totaled 862,129,000,000. The budget deficit of 84,017,000,000 is in contrast with the budget surplus of $3,510,000,000 during the preceding fiscal year ended June 30, 1951, when expendi. tures totaled $44,633,000,000 and receipts were $48,143,000,000. As indicated by the budget totals, although there were notable increases in both expenditures and receipts during the fiscal year 1952, the shift from a bndget surplus in fi sca l 1951 to a budget deficit in fiscal 1952 arose prin. cipally from the marked increase in expendilures. 1952 26,027 13,264 ",202 123,518 Includes goats. Pasture and range fecd supplies over the District were reduced further by dry weather in July, Local rains brought Expenditures of the Defense Department rose 92 percent during fiscal 1952 to a total of $38,936,000.000 and ac· • coun ted for 87 percent of the in crease in total budget expenditures. The increase in expenditures of the Defense Dcpartment renects principally thc expansion of spendi ng in connection with the military functions of the army and the air force programs, 117 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW • • On Jun e 30, 1952, the gross publi c debt amounted to $259,105,000,000, an increase of $3,883,000,000 durin g th e preceding 12 months. This increase in t.h e public debt in fi scal 1952 contrasts with a redu cti on of $2,135,000,000 duro ing fiscal 1951. GROSS DEMAND AND TIME DEPOSITS OF MEMBER BANKS Eleventh Federal Reserve Districl (Averoge, of dally figures . In tholJlond. of do llau) COMBINED TOTAL G rOll demand Date RESERVE CITY BANKS G ross d e mand Time COUNTRY BANKS Gross d emand Time Time June 1950 . • .•.. 55,550,468 5669,715 $ 2,684,39 3 5424,252 $2, 866.075 $24 5,4 6 3 June 1951 ...... 5,820,309 669,791 2,720,1 58 374,734 3 ,100,1 51 295,057 February 1952 . .. March 1952 . ... . April 1952 • •••• • May 1952 •••.. • June 1952 . • • • .• • 6,567,846 6,513,810 6,451 ,803 6,329,241 6,"16,878 721 .578 719,804" 73 4,170 736,861 7"1, 15.. 3,030,813 3,046, 2 89 3,0 2 1,'43 2,959,2 28 3,035,2.41 3,5 37.033 3,467.521 3,430.660 3,370 .013 3.381 ,637 395,99 2 392, 193 40 1,2 80 " 0 3, 137 " 05,0 07 325,586 327.651 33 2,890 333,72 .. 336,1"7 Gross demand deposits of all member banks in the District averaged $6,416,878,000 in June, which reflects increases of S87,637,000, or 1 percent, over the total for May and $596,569,000, or 10 percent, over the total for June 1951. Reserve city banks accounted for 87 percent of the expansion during June. The almost uninterrupted month·to·month upward trend in time deposits which began in March 1951 continued in June, with country banks accountin g for most of the $4,293,000 increase. BANK DEBITS, END·OF·MONTH DEPOSITS AND ANNUAL RATE OF TURNOVER OF DEPOSITS (Amaunh In thou.ands of dol lars) OEBITSI DEPOSITS' Percentage change from City Annual rate of turna .. er June Jun. 1952 1951 May 1952 17 -3 6 9 -4 7 3 26,411 _4 6 51.376 137,965 15 1 142,650 6 3 -I -5 116,75" 12 8,966 10 -6 9 11 13,26" _1 1,427,71 6 9 17 4,714 6 3 52 2.2 16 13 I 83,660 9 1 1.546,354 8 - 3 22,498 11 -19 _ 5 18 96,03 2 _ 4 15 "1 ,97 6 38.268 -1 7 -4 _ 2 371 ,530 - 3 _ 2 20,30 5 15 52,87 3 6 -7 60.2 10 - 10 _14 13 87.90 9 6 57.656 118.012 128.293 99,888 106.4 10 21,953 1.0 65.2 19 153.7"1 399.586 10 3,568 1.179.390 25,506 105 .... 99 " 3.049 " 9.8 6 8 3 88,4 37 25,9 26 56,981 92," 02 10 8.770 $4,7 13,6 40 14.2 ARIZONA Tucson ••• • ••• • •••••• $ 96.007 LOUISIANA Monroe • .• ••• ••• • • • • 45.818 Shreveporl • • •• •••• • • 188.359 - I June 30, 1952 $ Jun. J"". May • 22,997 Tolal-2.4 cities •• • • ••.• $5,490.'17 8 - 2 Between June 15 and July 15 the principal changes in the condition of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas included a decrease of $46,748,000 in gold certificate reserves and an increase of $1 6,748,000 in total earning assets. The increase in holdin gs of United States Government securities accounted for about 88 percent of tbe expansion in earnin g assets. On June 15, Federal Reserve notes of thi s bank in actual circulation amounted to $71 0,452,000, reflecting an increase of $15,644,000 during the preceding month. CONDITION OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE BAN K OF DAL LAS (In thousand , of dollon) Item July 15, 195 2 July 15, 1951 Total gold certiflcat. reserves ••• • ••••.. •• • •• $ 680,751 $ 5 32.760 8,500 2.276 Discounts for member banks • ••• ••• •••• • • • .• 50 o Industrial ad ..ances • •• • .•• ••• • • •••• • •• ••••• o 57 0 foreign loons an gold •••••.•••• •••• • • •• • •• 1, 10 1,535 1.036.1 2 8 U. S. Government '8CUfitie' , •• . ••••• • • •••••• 1.103,86 1 Total earning alleh •• • .•• ••• .• •••• • • ••••• • 1,0 45,198 95 ..... 27 999,430 Member bank reserve depo. ih • •• ••• • • • •• ••• 635. 433 71 0.45 2 federol Re.erve noles In actual cirl;ulalion •. .•• June 15, 1952 $ 7 27, 499 6,7 00 .. 30 . 1,02 1,"42 1.028.-450 998.572 6 94.808 On June 27 the Secretary of the Treasury announced the subscription and allotment figures with respect to the 1)!g· percent ll-month certificates offered in exchange for the certificates which matured July L Investors exchanged $4,963,097,000 of their holdings for the new issue and reo deemed $253,000,000, or 5 percent of the total amount outstanding, for cash. 1952 195 1 1952 10 6,567 10.9 10.4 11.2 "7,923 202,5 85 11.5 11.2 1 1.5 11.2 11.5 11.6 l OA 10.8 10.1 11.0 14,3 13.7 14.3 14.5 7.1 16.6 14.0 1 5.5 9.8 16.0 10.4 11.3 11 .8 9 .1 1 1.5 9.5 11.3 8.2 9.8 1 1.5 14.8 14.6 16.0 15.2 7 .0 17.2 15.1 15.7 9.2 16.0 11.8 10.8 13 .1 10.7 12.5 8.9 11.6 10. 2 9.6 1 1.8 14.3 13.8 15.1 15.6 6.4 17.3 14.2 15.5 9.8 16.7 13.1 11.4 10.0 9.6 11.9 9.7 12.5 9.8 9.5 ",.5 "'.6 NEW MEXICO Ralwell •• •• •• •• , • •.• TEXAS AbileM •••••• • •••. .• Amarilla •• • •• •• • .•.• Austin ••••• . .••• .. •• Be aumont ••••• • ••••• Corpus Christi • • .• •• • • Corsicana ••••• • ••••• Dalias. _ .•• _. ••••• . • EI Paso • • •• _••• . ••• • fort Worth • • •• ••• ••• Ga i.. eslon •. _••• • • ..• Houston •••• ••••••• •• Loredo • ••• ••. •• •• •• Lubbock ••••• . • • •• • • Port Arthur ••• • •.••• • Son Angelo ••• •• • .•. • Son Antonio •• • •••••• Texarkana' • ••• ••••• • Tyler • •• . •••••••••• • Waco ••••••••••.• .• Wichita Falls • •••• ••• • Reflecting a continuation of the trend that prevailed from January to May, debits to deposit accounts reported by banks in 24 cities of the District for June were 8 percent above the total for June 1951. Charges to deposit accou nts at these banks decreased 2 percent during J une, however, as compared with charges during May, wi th most reporting cities showing decreases. The annual rate of turnover of deposits was 14.2 in June, as compared with 14.6 in May and 14.5 in June 1951. 1 Debit, to deposit accounts excepllnterbonk acco unts, • Demond and time deposits, Including certifled and officers' checks outstanding but .)(duding d eposih to the credit of banks. , The.e flgure s include only on e bonk in Texarkana, Texa s. Total debih for all bank. in Texarkana, Texo,·Arkansos, including two banks located in the Eighth District, amounte d to $38.362,0 00 fo r the month of June 1952. , Indic:ateJ change of I.u mon one-holt of 1 percent. Between June 18 and July 23, principal assets and liabilities of the weekly reporting member banks in leading cities of the District increased. On Jul y 23, loans, in vestments, and deposits were moderately larger th an on June 18 and substantially above the fi gures reported fo r the week ended July 25, 1951. Following a seasonal decline in loans which extended in to the first week of June, the volume of loans at the weekl y reporting member banks began to rise gradual! y and increased by $25,000,000 during the 5 weeks ended July 23. Commercial, industrial, and agricultural loans showed onl y a moderate increase, however, of approximately $9,000,000, whereas the "all other" loan categor y, incl udin g loans for consumer credit purposes, rose $12,000,000, while loans for carrying securities and loan s on real estate were approxi. mately $6,000,000 and $4,000,000 larger. A decli ne i n loans to banks partially offset these various increases, In view of the seasonal loan demand which may be expected to exert its influence in the coming wccks an d the possibility of a further strengthenin g in busincss activity MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 118 CONDITION STATISTICS OF WEEKLY REPORTING MEMBER BANKS IN LEADING CITIES Eleventh Federal Reserve District (In thousands of dollars) Item July 23, July 25, 1952 195. 1952 $2,666,273 1,420,684 1,436,608 $2,909,040 1,055,636 10,807 974,203 8,339 1,046,637 9,899 67,192 118,354 4,664 323,518 1,473,569 258,744 169,036 178,820 58,505 119.706 3.486 272.369 61,454 Total loons (gross) and investments .......... . $3,053,740 Total loans_Net l ••• . ••• .•. •• .• ••••••••• 1,563,795 Totol loans-Grou ..................... . 1,580,171 June 18 , 1,538,494 Government. Deposits to the account of the Government at these banks increased about $84,000,000, a total that was partially offset by declines in other deposit categories. Time deposits continued to move up gradually and On July 23 were about $3,700,000 more than the amount reported on J line 18. The increase in this type of deposit was accounted for by larger time deposits to the accounts of individuals, partnerships, and corporations, 1,554,987 Commercia l, industrial, end agricultural loans ............ ... .... . ........ . Loons to brokers and deal.rs in securities .. Otner loons for purchasing or carrying securities ......................... . Real estate loans .. ....... ........... . loons to banks ...................... . All other 1000ns • .. .. . . .. . .. ... . ... .... Total iAyestments ... . ... ... ... ......... . U. S. Treasury bills .......... . ..... .. . . U. S. Treasury certificates of indebtedness. U. S. Treasury not.s ......... ......... . U. S. Goyernment bonds (inc;. gtd. obligations) .... ................... . Other securities ........... ........... . Resel"les with F.derol Resel"le Bonk •... ...... Balances with domestic banks .... .......... . Demand deposits-a d iusted ' •..•........... . Time d e posits except Government ........... . United Stales Govomment deposits ...• ....... Interbank demand deposits ................ . Borrowings from Federal Resorve Bank ••.•. ... 698,129 168,840 570,352 393,700 2,401,842 470,876 172,506 736,897 16,100 114,588 10,768 311,64' 1,229,665 1,35 4,0 53 156,336 214.126 72,586 165,127 261,829 177,028 571,98.4 166,930 .c.97.199 627,630 365,281 2,188,223 440,372 80,207 633,309 0 170,1.42 557,968 447.848 2,376,777 467,453 88,216 753,354 14,500 Aft.r deduct10ns for resel"les ond unallocated charge-offs. Includes all demand deposits other than interbank and United States Government, leu cash Items reported os on hand or in process of colleaion. 1 1 during the fourth quarter of 1952, it is probable that the volume of loans outstanding at the weekly reporting member banks will continue to move upward. Accompanying the increase in loans that occurred during this 5·week period, member banks in the larger cities of the District also increased their holdings of Government securi· ties, The increase between June 18 and July 23 amounted to approximately $120,000,000. Holdings of Treasury bills rose from $214,126,000 to $258,744,000, OT an increase of almost $45,000,000, while investments in United States Gov· ernment bonds rose very sharply - from $627,630,000 to $698,129,000. Influential in contributing to this substantial increase in investments in Government bonds were the pur· chases of the 2o/s·percent bonds of June 15, 1958. No sig· nificant change was reported in holdings of certificates of indebtedness or United States Treasury notes. Operations in the oil industry in the Eleven th District, as weI! as in the Na· tion, during the past few months have been heavily influenced by strikes - the oil strike in May and the stecl strike during most of June and July. With allowables reduced in Texas because of the accumulation of crude oil during the oi I workers' dispute, daily average production in July is estimated to have amounted to only 2,885,000 barrels, which, except for May, is the lowest daily production rate since February 1951. July daily average production was about 100,000 barrels less than in the previous month and almost 175,000 barrels less than in July a year ago. Crude oil production in the Nation showed a similar picture, although the dedine was smaller than that of the District. The Texas Railroad Commission announced an increase in Texas aJlowables for August; this increase wiJl be ef. fected by permitting two more producing days than in July and will result in an estimated rise of 187,000 barrels in the daily average production. By mid.July some progress had been made in reducing the stocks of crude oil from the unusll all y high level that existed at the end of the oil strike. District crude stocks on July 12 stood at 149,500,000 barrels, or about 2,700,000 barrels lo wer than on May 31, near the end of the oil strike, while national stocks amounted to 283,800,000 barrels, or 4,200,000 barrels lower. Nevertheless, crude stocks in the District were still 24,500,000 barrels higher than on the same date last year, and stocks in the Nation were 36,000,000 barrels higher. • CRUDE OIL PRODUCTION (Barr.ls) Total deposits of the weekly reporting member banks rose almost $49,000,000 during the 5·week period as a result of a very substantial increase in deposits of the United States NEW MEMBER BANK The First National Bank in Arlington, Arlington, Texas, a newly organized institution lowted in the ter· ritory served by the head office of the Federal Reserve Bank 0/ Dallas, opened for business ful y 29, 1952. The new bank has capital of $200,000, surplus of $50,000, and undivided profits of $50,000. The officers are: Carlisle Cravens, Presillent; Scott Peters, Execu· tive Vice President; ferrol E. Taylor, Cashier; and Roy V. Stc phens, Assistant Cashier, June 1952 Area Total production ELEVENTH DISTRICT TellO' R. R. Com. Districts 1 South Central............ .... . . . .. 2 Middle Gulf. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3 Upper Gulf ................•...... 4 lower Gulf....................... 5 Eo!>' Central. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 Northeast ............•........... East Texas..................... Other flelds.................... 7b North Central. . . . . . . . . • . . . . . . . . . . . 7c West Central..................... 8 West . . .............. • ........ ... 9 North............................ 10 Panhandle........................ Total Tell;os ..............•...... New Mexico. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . • . . . . . . North louisiana......................... Total Eleventh District .... . ....... . ..... OUTSIDE ElEVENTH DiSTRiCT ....... .. . ,.. . . UNITED STATES .......................... 954,100 4,416,000 13,837,500 7,226,900 1,626,200 11,675,700 8,092,800 3,582,900 2.773,700 4,134,700 26,854,700 ".892,200 2,47",400 80.866,100 4,869,500 3,732,450 89,468,050 9-4,500,050 183,968, 100 Dailyovg. production Inereose or decrease in daily overage production from June 1951 31,803 147,200 461,250 240,897 54,207 389,190 269,760 119,430 92,457 137,823 895,157 163,073 82,480 2,695,537 162,3 16 124,415 2,982,268 3,150,002 -1,244 -16,107 -39,980 -20,529 650 -10,128 -11,320 6,132,270 -49,440 SOURCEz Estimated from American Petroleum Institute weekly reports, 1,842 5,3 14 32,551 -46,786 4,773 -6,120 -96,956 20,459 -5,240 -8 1,737 32,297 • 119 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW Refining activity has reached record levels in an attempt to • make up for production lost during the oil strike. Crude " runs to stills in the Nation durin g the week ended July 14 amounted to 7,013,000 barrels per day, the hi ghest for any week on record. Daily average refinery runs in June represent a new monthly high, 1 percent greater than lhe previous high of last November and 2 percent hi gher than June a year ago. June refinery runs in this District, although 1 percent larger than in the same month of 1951, failed to equal the high rate during the first few months of thi s ycar, due in part to the fact that the strike at one of the large CuI[ Coast refineries had not been settled. The high level of refinery activity is gradually tending to correct the reduced level of refined stocks which resulted from the oil strike, although stocks of three of the four major refined products continue appreciably below yearearlier levels. While gasoline stocks have been declinin g seasonally, the decline from May 31 to July 12 was less than 3,600,000 barrels, as compared with almost 6,200,000 barrels during the corresponding period last year. During this same period, distillate fuel oil stocks rose 21,500,000 barrels as compared with 18,200,000 a year earlier, and residual fuel oil stocks rose almost 9,900,000 barrels as compared with 4,300,000 in the earlier period. This more-than-seasonal increase in residual fuel oil stocks, however, has been due in large measure to the loss in demand for such oils from the steel industry as a result of the steel di spute. Vn· like distillate and residual fuel oils, kerosene stocks failed . to show as large an increase in the 6 weeks ended Jul y 12 as . in the same period last year. As compared with a year earlier, gasoline stocks on Jul y 12 were 11 percent lower; kerosene, 13 percent lower ; di s· tillate fuel oils, 6 percent lower; while rcsidu al fuel oils were 10 percent higher. In connection with the di stillate fuel oil stocks, the Deputy Petroleum Admini strator for Defense indicated last month that record production of fuel oil and I'r=T""""'l~ diesel supplies would be needed during the 9 months ahead in order to avoid shortages next winter. Existing oil burners would use, under normal winter weather, about 10 percent more fuel than they used in relatively mild winter last year. The steel strike, in addition to reducing temporarily the demand for residual fuel oil, by mid·July was beginning to have a serious effect on drilling and, to sOme extent, on other phases of the oil industry. The number of active rotary rigs in the United States in the week ended July 21 totaled 2,611, according to the Hughes Tool Company; this represents a drop of 89 from the previous week and was 421 below the record high of 5 weeks earlier. The use of inventories prevented the strike from having an immediate effect on drilling, but the losses of tubular goods during the strike can be expectcd to hold down drilling perhaps for several months. It is estimated that each day of the steel strike resulted in a loss of 5,000 tons of oil field tubular goods, which is enough to complete 110 wells. The strike also slowed construction on several pipeline projects and brought to a stop the laying of pipe on the Hancho crude line hom west Texas to Houston. VALUE OF CONSTRUCTION CONTRACTS AWARDED (In thousands of dollars) Area and type June 1952p ELEVENTH DISTRICT.. $ 115,290 Residential. . . . . . . 43,489 All other......... 71,801 UNITED STATESI.. .. 1,488,850 Residential. . . . . . . 581,792 All other . . . . . . . . . 907,058 January- June Juno Moy 1951 1952p $ 115.388 $ 181,521 93,999 50,318 87,522 65,070 1,.39.432 1,563,660 545.152 753,755 894,280 809.905 1951 1952p $ 744,094 $ 822.909 301,070 .U3,024 355,364 467,545 8,844,109 3,323,727 7,758,578 3,344,037 4,414,541 5,520.382 I 37 states east of the Rocky Mountains. p-Preliminary SOURCE: F. W. Dodge Corporation. The value of construction contracts awarded in the District during June totaled $115,300,000, which is 37 percent below the previous month but about the same as a year ago. Hesidential awards, accounting for 38 percent of the June total, were less than half those of May and 14 percent under RAILROAD COMMISSION OF TEXAS i-~n1."1:j OIL AND GAS DISTRICTS !-~.-'-J t~-k.~","" , BUilDING PERMITS 6 months 1952 Percentage change in valuation from Number June 1952 J""o City MII)OL E GULl' UPP ER GULF LOWEll! GU Ll" S & EAST CE NTRA L NORTHE AS T 1 .. I'fORTH C[lIT"AL Te WE ST CENl Fl U • WEST NORTH Number Valuation 1951 LOUISIANA 21 20 405 $ 1.544,903 Shreve port . ... TEXAS 499,194 83 -71 89 Abilene ...... . 1,601,268 18 -13 308 Amarillo ...... 8 1,811,623 54 246 Austin ....... . 711,602 65 89 214 Beaumont .... . 5,833,410 727 346 404 Carpus Christi .. 6,487.017 7 -47 Dallas ....... . 1.849 2 879,729 -33 322 EI Palo ....... 55 -14 4,816,353 1,091 Fort Worth .... -2 1,014,013 -80 140 Ga lveston ..... 8,047,094 4 -11 982 H.ouston ...... . 259 1.374,760 29 -13 lubbock . ..... 658,252 -31 112 195 Port Arthur . ... 6,904,497 198 96 Son Antonio .. . 1,576 407,250 _35 -58 182 Waco ... . ... . 517,380 -67 -70 57 Wichita Falls. . . 9 10 P~NHAN Dl. E Total .......... . 8.319 $43,108,345 23 Valuation Moy 195, Percentage change in valuation from 6 months 1951 2,230 $11,713,692 29 839 2,265 1,547 1.435 2,311 11,12. 1,898 5,943 725 5.830 1,672 1,152 8,498 1,957 710 5,300,543 12.880,268 15.001.997 5,319.214 37 12 15 56 7 -12 4 -12 -55 -31 _4 -29 8 -3 179 12,870,144 48,181,487 9,209.436 26,015.465 2.967,220 53.464,566 8,914,698 1.997.201 25.190.244 7,555.931 14,397,585 ----- -4 50,136 $260,979,691 -6 120 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW a year ago; nonresidential awards in June were down 18 percent from the previous month but were 10 percent above the year.ago figure. I In the first 6 months of 1952, the value of construction contracts awarded in the District was down 9 percent from 1951, compared with a decline of 12 percent for the United States. Residential awards in the District fell 15 percent, as against virtually no change for the Nation. On the other hand, nonresidential awards in the District declined only 5 percent, compared with a reduction of 20 percent in the United States. The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and the Administrator of the Housing and Home Finance Agency announced on July 15 the procedures to be followed in carrying out the new housing credit provisions of the Defense Production Act Amendments of 1952. Beginning with the month of June 1952, estimates of housing starts will be made by the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics. The housing to be counted in the estimate shall consist of permanent, nonfarm, family dwelling units. H the estimates show that for each of three consecutive months starts are below a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,200,000, then the President shall announce a period of residential credit control relaxation. The announcement of such a period must be published in the Federal Register. During a period of residential credit control relaxation the President may not authorize any down payment requirement in excess of 5 percent of the transaction price. On the other hand, the President may terminate the period of relaxation any time after construction starts during each of three con· secutive months exceed an annual rate of 1,200,000. COTTONSEED AND COTTONSEED PRODUCTS TEXAS UNITED STATES August 1 to May 31 August 1 to May 31 This season hem COTTONSEED (to"'1 Received ot mills . ... . ...... 1,361,727 Crushed . .. . .............. . 1,395,962 Stocks, end of period ........ 63,746 COTTONSEED PRODUCTS Production Crud. oil (thovsand pounds). 454,120 Coke and meal (Ions) • . • . . • 679,615 Hull, (tom) .•....... ... .. . 323,469 linters{ running bales) ..... 425,384 Stock., end af period Crude oll!thousand pound,). Cake and meal {ton') . .... . Hulls (tonsl ...... . .. . .... linters (running boles) . ..•. ~ Last season This season last seeson 970,224 1,138,647 39, 368 5,376,827 5,196,025 315,186 3,375,608 3,527,853 141,761 361,512 531,302 271,173 337,856 1,651,612 2,417,179 1,169,366 1,661,221 1,129,387 1,580,230 810,736 1,913 48,177 57,870 29,148 200,387 6,375 94,795 34,413 12,799 15,157 7,502 13,618 4,503 43,377 5,375 1,162,414- 43,824 SOURCE: United States Bureau of the Census. DOMESTIC CONSUMPTION AND STOCKS OF COTTON (Bolesl August-Ma), Ma, Areo Ma, 1952 1 1951 April 1952 3 10,579 686,697 14,731 832,561 14,375 126,570 147,817 847,444 7,746,841 9,069,190 542 35,215 755 575 600 42,695 33,898 36,643 This season Last season CONSUMPTION Total Texas mills ........... . U. S. mills ...... ...... . DoilY Average Texas mills • .. •.•.. .. . . U.S. mills •• •••• ..•... • STOCKS, U. S.- End of period Consuming establishments". Public storoge and compresses . .... ... .. . . 1,421 ,916 2,078,052 1,574,399 2,424.739 1,"36,254 3,044,205 1 Four weeks ended Moy 31 . , Five weeks ended May 3. SOURCE: United Stotes Bureau of the Census. 68' 41,971 -t 41