Full text of Review (Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas) : April 1965
The full text on this page is automatically extracted from the file linked above and may contain errors and inconsistencies.
business • review april 1965 FED ERA IL. RES E R V E BANK 0F DALlAS This publication was digitized and made available by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas' Historical Library (FedHistory@dal.frb.org) contents texas manufactured products in international trade ....................... 3 perspective on bank profits ........ . ........ 7 district highlights ........................... 12 texas manufactured products in international trade Foreign markets provided an important outlet for Texas manufactures in 1963, according to data recently released by the U. S. Department of Commerce. 1 Products from nearly every major industry group were shipped to foreign ports or across the Mexican and Canadian borders. The regional specialization of the Texas economy is clearly evident, however, ~rom the preponderance of nondurable goods IU total sales abroad. This preponderance refte~ts the agricultural and mining bases upon whIch much of the manufacturing activity in Texas is built. Three product groups - chemiC~ls, food, and petroleum - accounted for tree-fourths of the value of Texas manufactured exports. I Texas factories shipped (f.o.b. producing pants) $899 .1 million of merchandise inter~ationally in 1963, a value which ranks the f tate as the seventh largest exporter of manutctured goods in the Nation - behind Cali'ornia, New York, Illinois, Ohio, Pennsylvania, ~~d Michigan. Of this total, $694.5 million, or d percent, was derived from sales by the nonur.able goods industries. In none of the other major exporting states did the export of n0n- - lTh C of ma e f ensus Bureau survey of the value of exports run o~u act.ure~ products by state of origin has been Consist y tWl<?e, ID 1960 and in 1963. The respondents ing m ed mamly of manufacturing establishments havthan $~~e than 100 employees and exporting more rePOrted ,000 of goods per year. The figures actually sUs Bu by manufacturers were adjusted by the Cenufactu:eeJu to account for the local origin of all manPOrt valu e~ports. The product classification of exof total ~s IS bh~sed upon the industrial classification vidual pP dant s Ipments, rather than exports of indiro ncts. durables play such a leading role. Threequarters of the value of internationally traded manufactured goods of California origin, for example, represented shipments of durables. Most of the other leading manufacturing states had an even higher proportion of durable goods in total foreign shipments. This heavy weighting of nondurables in the composite of Texas shipments of manufactured goods abroad was important, however, in keeping the State in the ranks of the largest international traders in the Nation between 1960 and 1963. Whereas sharp increases in durable goods exports were recorded for the top six states, Texas reported a slight decline. It was only in the export of nondurables that the Texas gain about matched the performance of the Nation. The absence of growth in the shipment of durables to foreigners from Texas plants between 1960 and 1963 is attributable to sizable decreases in the value of exports by two of the largest durable goods industries in the Statenamely, nonelectrical machinery and primary metals. Nearly all of the other industries producing hard goods realized appreciable gains between the two periods of time, especially electrical machinery and fabricated metal products. The value of foreign shipments of primary metals of Texas origin showed a 51-percent decline from 1960 to 1963, a precipitous decline that reflects a number of factors. Although a list of the primary metals produced in the business review / april 1965 3 State includes aluminum, antimony, copper, lead, manganese, tin, zinc, and steel, the bulk of the dollar value of exports of these metals from Texas is accounted for by zinc, lead, aluminum, and copper, most of which is sent abroad in the form of ingots or slabs. 2 The volume of foreign shipments of zinc, copper, and aluminum, both from the United States and from Texas, was at an all-time high in 1960 - in fact, at a level neither before nor since closely approached. This peaking in 1960 was caused, in part, by a high world demand for the three nonferrous metals in a year when the American economy was experiencing a mild recession. There was, also, some stocking of nonferrous metals in the world economy that year, especially refined copper. Thus, the comparison of primary metal exports for Texas between 1960 and 1963 is distorted by the unique, unsustainable level of such exports in the former year. oil the zinc ,slabs ' sold abroad by domestic producers went to Ind£a. 'United States exports of lead, copper, and aluminum also declined ap. preciably between 1960 and 1963.' \VALUE 'OF 'MANUFACTURES EXPORTED BY SELECTED STATES, 1963 1 J CALIFORNIA I I J j ILLINOIS I j OHIO I PENNSYLVANIA I I MICHIGAN J J TEXAS I I NEW JERSEY I I MASSACHUSETTS Furthermore, the export prices of lead, zinc, and copper were all slightly lower in 1963 than in 1960; aluminum ingot prices were generally down by about 13 percent. As a result, the effects of sharply reduced tonnage were magnified in value terms by price declines. Another contributing feature of the significant reduction in the value of primary metals shipped internationally from Texas plants between 1960 and 1963 was the growth of world capacity to produce nonferrous metals, a growth that led to changed patterns of international distribution. In 1960, when Texas was the Nation's largest producer of zinc, the United Kingdom purchased one-third of all zinc slabs and pigs shipped from the United States; however, by 1963, such shipments from the United States to the United Kingdom had declined to zero. In this latter year, 89 percent 2 Texas produces much of the Nation's supply of magnesium. The metal is pro~uced by a!1 electr~ chemical process, however, and IS classed wIth chemIcals and allied products. 4 J NEW YORK L WISCONSIN J o J 400 800 1,200 1,600 MILLIONS OF OOLLARS SOURCE:U,S, Daporlm'nl of Commt rce. The decrease in the value of nonelectrical machinery sold abroad by Texas plants between 1960 and 1963 mainly represents a reduction in the shipment of oil field equipment. Although the nonelectrical machinery industry in the State embraces the production of a wide range of items, including farm, construction, food-processing, refrigeration, and air-conditioning equipment, the manufacture of oil field supplies is clearly the leading segment. This is not surprising in view of the fact that more than half a million oil and gas wells have been drilled in Texas since 1900. The moderate decline in the value of oil field machinery sent abroad between 1960 and 1963 probably reflects a reduced pace of exploratory drilling in the latter year in Canada, Libya, and Argentina. Texas-based oil firms and drilling contrac- tors were much involved in the oil plays in those countries during 1960. In the durable goods category, slightly over one-half of the losses incurred by the primary metal and nonelectrical machinery industries were offset by appreciable gains in foreign sales by Texas producers of electrical machinery and tr~nsportation equipment. The electrical ma~hlUery industry in Texas is highly concentrated In electronics, although industrial controls, carbon electrodes, storage batteries, and other ~ypes of electrical equipment are manufactured In the State. The larger sales to foreigners in 19.63 reflect, to a significant degree, increased shIpments of radar and microwave systems, system components, and solid state semiconductor devices. In the case of transportation equip~ent, the sharp rise from 1960 to 1963 derIved, in part, from increased sales to Latin America of Texas-produced motor vehicles, truck and bus bodies, truck trailers, helicopters, and boats. The strong advance in Texas shipments of nondurable manufactures between 1960 and 1963 is attributable almost entirely to increased Erxportds of nondurables manufactured in exas u' ind rmg 1963 came mostly from three Ustry groups . •• ~NDURABLE GOODS PETROLEUM AND COAL PRODUCTS ...-r-r-_ DURABLE GOODS FOOD AND KINDRED PRODUCTS PRIMARY METAL INDUSTRIES SOIJRCE: U,3.0t pol lmtnt 01 Commerce. foreign sales by each of the three largest exporting industry groups in the State - chemicals and allied products, food and kindred products, and petroleum and coal products. Nondurable goods were a major part of Texas factory exports in 1963 ... TE XAS UNITED STATES DURABLE GOODS 64% NONDURABLE GOODS SOU RCE: U.S, D, porlm,nl 01 Commltce. The chemical industry - the largest manufacturing group in Texas, as measured by value added - was the largest exporter, by a wide margin, in both 1960 and 1963. The chemical industry in the State is primarily oriented toward the production of organic compounds derived from the sophisticated processing of natural gas, natural gas liquids, and refinery off-gases. Sizable quantities of inorganic chemicals are produced annually in the State, but most of these are consumed within the area in the production of organic compounds. Solvents, alcohols, resins, and elastomers were all represented in the product mix shipped abroad from Texas in 1963, with most of the foreign sales going to the developed nations of the world, particularly those of Western Europe, Japan, and Canada. Japan and Western Europe were also important takers of carbon black, mainly used in the production of tires. Lacquers, enamels, and primers found favorable markets in Latin America. business review / april 1965 5 The Texas industries classified as manufacturers of food and kindred products were the second largest exporters of manufactured goods in both 1960 and 1963. In addition, this industry group enjoyed the largest absolute gain in the value of merchandise shipped abroad of any manufacturing industry in the State. Except for the production of liquors, wines, and brandies, virtually every major food-processing activity is carried on in Texas. In international commerce, however, a significant proportion of the value of food and kindred products shipped from the State is accounted for by vegetable oils, animal feeds, milled rice, animal fats and oils (both edible and inedible), and meat and meat products. Important markets for rice include India, Japan, and Pakistan, while Western Europe and the United Kingdom are significant importers of other products. weather. In the early months of 1963, Western Europe experienced one of the worst winters of record for that area; and, not surprisingly, heating oil consumption spurted to a new high. This record call for heating oils required supplemental shipments from outside Western Europe's usual primary channels of supply, running from the Middle East and North Africa. Venezuela provided additional quantities of residual fuel oil, and the United States (mainly Texas) sharply increased shipments of distillate fuel oil. Compared with the prior year, distillate exports from the United States in 1963, on a volumetric basis, were up 82 percent. This advance was the first strong yearto-year rise in distillate sales abroad since the Suez crisis in 1957. The upward spurt in 1963 boosted distillate exports for the Nation to a level that was 53 percent higher than in 1960. The sharp increase between 1960 and 1963 in foreign sales of petroleum products refined in Texas does not reflect a major uptrend. The gain largely mirrors an aberration of European Apart from the chemical, food processing, and petroleum refining industries, the other Texas manufacturing groups in the nondurable goods category posted relatively modest abso- VALUE OF EXPORTS OF MANUFACTURED PRODUCTS, BY MAJOR PRODUCT GROUPS (Values f.o .b. producing plants. In millions of dollars) Texas Product group 1963 1960 . . .... . , .... Durable manufactures Lumber and wood products ....... .. . Furniture and fixtures ....... . ....... Stone, clay, and glass products ..... Primary metal industries .... . ... . .. . . Fabricated metal products .. . ........ Machinery, except electrical .. . .... . .. Electrical machinery ..... Transportation equIpment ...... .. ... Instruments and related products .... Miscellaneous manufacturing 3 . . . 204.6 5.5 .8 3.5 32.6 22 .9 77.9 30.7 15.6 7.2 8.0 .... .. Nondurable manufactures Food and kindred products ... Tobacco manufactures Textile mill products . . .... . .. Apparel and related products . Paper and allied products .... Printing and publishing . . ..... Chemicals and allied products . Petroleum and coal products Rubber and plastics products ... Leather and leather products ... 694.5 194 .7 .0 2.2 2.8 7.0 2.0 314 .5 169.0 2.0 .2 205.9 4.2 .9 1.3 67.1 13.0 85.4 11.5 11.2 4.6 6.7 621.0 166.0 .0 2.4 2.6 7.9 1.6 294.0 144.4 1.9 .2 899.1 826.8 Total manufactures .... . , ..... ..... United States Percent change -1 33 ( 1) (~) -51 ( 0) -9 (0) 39 (0) 20 12 17 0 -8 5 -12 25 7 17 9 (t) 9 1963 10,463.4 192.9 26.4 197.7 852.1 546.6 3.473.3 1,206.8 2,590.6 697.2 679.8 5,814.0 1,710.2 498.7 266.2 119.5 452.0 168.5 1,869.5 428.5 240.1 60.8 16,277.4 Not calculated in instances where exports were less than $1 million. o More than 50.percent change, and less than three·fourths of total figure was actually reported. 3 Includes ordnance and accessories . NOTE. - Details may not add to totals because of rounding. SOURCE: U. S. Department of Commerce. 1 6 1960 Percent change 9,199.8 152.3 30.2 173.4 1,072.3 410.9 2,827.0 919.2 2,551.4 507.4 555 .7 14 27 -13 14 -21 33 23 31 2 37 22 5,143.4 1,384.0 456.7 284.0 114.4 376.1 132.0 1,728.2 393.6 219.4 55 .0 14,343.2 13 24 9 -6 4 20 28 8 9 9 11 13 lute changes in the value of goods exported between 1960 and 1963 . Increases in some in~ustries were slightly outweighed by declines In others. There is little room for doubt that exports of merchandise provide a significant margin of ~evenue and employment for a number of major Texas manufacturing industries. The five largest exporting groups - chemicals, food processing, petroleum refining, nonelectrical machinery, and primary metals - accounted for 88 percent of the total value of :Texas manufactured shipments abroad in 1963. These same industries employed 45 percent of the factory wage and salary workers in the State and generally paid their employees aboveaverage wages for the area. WELDON C. NEILL General Economist P@rsp@ctive on ban/~ p,.ofits · D~ring the current period of economic ex- pa~slon, which began in March 1961 financial savlUgs h ave been accumulated by corporatIOns ' . and 'md'IVlduals . at an unprecedented rate. A gro . Wing share of these funds has accrued to comm . I banks in the form of time and sav. erCla lUgs d . deposits; and, as a result, the banking ini~try has. undergone significant changes. The ow of time and savings deposits has stimuIated the . banks and enbl growth of commercIal ~ ed them to satisfy a greater proportion of T~ total credit requirements of the economy. e enlarged role of banks in the financial markets has n t b . a como een reflected however III " parabl . e Improvement in bank profits. Member banks in the Eleventh Federal Reserve D' . . Istnct experienced a decline in the raho of t net current earnings before taxes to otal assets during the 1961-64 span of the current . sh economic expansion. This trend is in arp Contrast to that shown in each of the two · prior periods of rising economic activity.1 Earnings as a percentage of total assets rose steadily from 1954 to 1957 and from 1958 to 1960, but from 1961 through 1963, this percentage fell sharply. In 1964 the ratio of earnings to total assets was unchanged from the 1963 level. This article examines the principal factors affecting the profitability of member banks in the Eleventh District during the current phase of the business cycle and highlights major features of bank operating statements for 1964. sources and uses of f unds An analysis of the sources of bank funds and the purposes for which the funds are used is basic to interpreting changes in bank 'profita1 These periods have been designated by the National Bureau of Economic Research as extending from August 1954 to July 1957 and from April 1958 to May 1960. business review / april 1965 7 bility. Sources of bank funds include increases in deposits and other liabilities and shifts in the composition of assets. Funds from these sources may be used to acquire other assets or to reduce other bank liabilities. The accompanying table reveals marked differences in the sources and uses of bank funds in three periods of economic expansion, differences which are important in explaining variations in bank profits among the periods. During the 1961-64 upswing in economic activity, the increase in deposits provided about 88 percent of the expansion in bank funds, compared with about 70 percent in the 195860 interval and almost 46 percent in the 1954-57 period. Increases in other liabilities and capital accounts supplied a significantly smaller proportion of bank funds than in the other two expansionary periods. This inflow of deposits enabled member banks to meet customers' loan demands without reducing U. S. Government security holdings and other liquid assets. Cash assets of member banks - principally reserves at the Federal Reserve Bank and balances with correspondent banks - increased sharply from 1961 to 1964, absorbing 19 percent of the rise in bank funds during the period. It should be noted, of course, that this gain stemmed partially from the larger required reserves associated with higher levels of deposits. The growth in deposits in the 1961-64 period largely took the form of a surging inflow of time and savings deposits. During this period, these deposits rose at an average annual rate of 21 percent, compared with rates of about 14 percent and 7 percent in the 1954-57 and 1958-60 periods, respectively. The higher COMPARATIVE STATEMENT OF SOURCES AND USES OF MEMBER BANK FUNDS DURING THREE PERIODS OF ECONOMIC EXPANSION Eleventh Federal Reserve District (Dollar amounts in millions) October 7, 1954June 6, 1957 Source or use of funds Sources of funds Increase in: Time and savings deposits ... . ....... . Demand deposits ............. .. .. . Other liabilities .......... .. . . . . . Capital accounts ... . ........• Decrease in: U. S. Government obligations ..... . .. . Cash assets . . .. . ......... . . . Total sources . . .. ... .. . ...• . ... . . Amount Percent of total $ 490 45.9 March 4, 1958June 15, 1960 Amount Percent of total April 12, 1961December 31, 1964 Amount Percent of total $2,067 1,706 231 300 48.0 39.6 5.4 7.0 -4.5 $ 425 287 175 131 41.5 28.0 17.1 12.8 6 .6 $1,068 23.2 ~ 100.0 $1,024 100.0 $4,304 $ 778 (429) (81) (174) (94) . 72.8 (40.2) (7.6) (16.3) (8.8) $ 690 (162) (54) (231) (243) 67.4 (15.8) (5.3) (22.6l ' (23.7 $2,655 (1,235) (343) (614) (463) 79 48 159 248 123 14.9 Uses of funds Increase in: Loa ns (net) ....................... . Commercial and industrial loans . Real estate loa ns ..... . . Consumer loans .. All other loans ... . ..... . . U. S. Government obligations ... . . . . . . Obligations of states and political subdivisions ......... . .. . . Cash assets .......... . Other assets ... . . . . ... .. . . •.. . Decrease in demand deposits ..... . .. . . . Total uses .. ... .. . .. . .. . ......•. . 80 7.5 125 85 11.7 8.0 $1,068 100.0 100.0 = 61.7 (28.7) (8 .0) (14.3) (l0.8) 1.8 170 119 45 16.6 11.6 4.4 592 823 155 13.8 19.1 3.6 $1,024 100.0 $4,304 100.0 ~ NOTE. - Details may not add to totals beca use of rounding. SOURCE: Call reports for dates most nearly corresponding to business cycle reference dates as designated by the National Bureau of Economic Research. 8 interest rates paid, increased sensitivity of the public to rate changes, and development of the negotiable time certificate of deposit as an imPOrtant money market instrument were major factors contributing to the mounting importance of interest-bearing deposits at member banks in the District. ~ Contrast to the two prior expansionary larger proportion of high-yielding assets in their portfolios. Real estate mortgages became a more important outlet for funds, and taxexempt state and municipal obligations were purchased in large volume. While declining as a percentage of total funds used, consumer loans absorbed a far greater dollar amount of bank funds than in other past periods. per~ods, the growth of time and savings deposits durmg the 1961-64 period was accompanied by a sharp rise in demand deposits, which ac~Ounted for almost 40 percent of the increase 1Q bank funds . During the 1958-60 period, demand deposits supplied only 28 percent of total bank funds; in the 1954-57 period, a decline in these deposits absorbed funds. The growth in deposits during the 1961-64 span of the current economic expansion was supported by a monetary I . policy which remained basically stimuattve throughout the period. Due to the pres~nc~ of inflationary pressures, the two previous yclical upturns were accompanied by a monetary policy designed to limit the growth in bank deposits. While providing funds to meet rising credit ?emands, the inflow of time and savings depos~s . created problems for bank management, hlch had to find profitable outlets for these relatively expensive funds. This problem was compounded by the fact that the demand for Commercial and industrial loans, which constitute the principal outlet for bank funds, was not ~s strong in relation to the inflow of funds as it ad ?een in some past periods of economic expansion. Funds channeled into business loans ~ccOunted for about 29 percent of the increase ; ~otal bank .funds during the 1961-64 interval. hiS proportion was greater than in the 1958~o expansion but was significantly less than the o percent recorded for the 1954-57 period. b ~o compensate for a rather disappointing USlness loan demand and to improve earnings, ~ember banks in the District modified their oan and investment policies to incorporate a trends in bank pro fits Although increasing in dollar amount, profits of member banks in the District, whether computed before or after taxes, have declined substantially since 1961 in relation to both bank assets and capital accounts. Net profits as a proportion of assets fell from 0.74 percent in 1961 to 0.65 percent in 1964. During this same period, the ratio of net profits to capital accounts declined from 8.8 percent to 7.8 percent. Diminishing profitability was recorded at all sizes and classes of banks. The sharp rise in bank expenses, rather than the reduction in revenues, was largely responsible for pressure on bank profits at District Member bank assets, expenses, and revenues rose at more rapid rates during the 1961-64 span than in the two prior periods of economic expansion • .• ELEVENTH FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT (AveroQI onnuol rot .. ol lncrlOIl) PERCENT 16 D 14 o r-- REVENUES EXPENSES ASSETS 12 r- r- :-"' - 0 .", r- 8 6 4 2- 1954-57 D n 1958-60 1961-64 business review / april 1965 9 Until the current cyclical expansion, increased rates .of earnings on member bank assets in the Eleventh District have been associated with rising economic activity in the Nation .•. PERCENT BILLI ONS OF DOLLARS 1. 5 5 650 1. 45 590 1.3 5 530 1 25 1.15 1956 1958 1960 1962 SOURCES: U.S,O,porlm,nl 01 Comm,ru. F,d,ral R.urn Bonk 01 0011111, banks during the 1961-64 period. Operating expenses as a proportion of total operating revenue rose 6.7 percentage points during the period to a level of 71.0 percent in 1964. From 1954 to 1957, this ratio increased only 1.7 percentage points; and between 1958 and 1960, the proportion declined fractionally. Rising interest costs, associated with the inflow of time and savings deposits and with higher rates paid, were the major factor contributing to the sharp increase in bank costs during the 1961-64 period. As a proportion of interest-bearing deposits, interest expense rose from 2.58 percent in 1961 to 3.30 percent in 1964. This upward trend generally followed the changes made in regulation Q by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System in January 1962, July 1963, and November 1964 to allow member banks to pay higher interest rates on time and savings deposits. Bank revenues in the 1961-64 period rose more rapidly than in the other two expansionary periods. Interest earnings on loans and dis- 10 counts - the most important source of revenue to member banks - increased at an annual rate of 12 percent in the most recent period, compared with 11 percent in the 1958-60 expansion . The 1961-64 advance was associated with increases in loan volume and higher rates of earnings. Interest received from loans as a proportion of outstanding loans rose from 5.88 percent in 1961 to 6.18 percent in 1964. Moreover, fees and other charges levied on borrow~rs rose at a very rapid pace. During the previous periods of economic expansion, fees and charges on loans declined. Earnings from investments have become an increasingly important source of bank revenue in recent years. This development is largely the result of the growing prominence of state and municipal obligations in bank portfolios. Revenue from these securities rose at an annual rate of almost 23 percent from 1961 through 1964. The rate of increase in revenue from U. S. Government obligations fell below that recorded for the other two periods, due principally to the relatively moderate increase in interest rates since 1961. Holdings of these securities receded only modestly. From February 1961 to December 1964, 91-day Treasury bill rates rose 1.42 percentage points to 3.84 percent. This increase compares with gains of about 2.20 percentage points in the two previous cyclical expansions. The failure of bank revenue to keep pace with expenses during the 1961-64 period resulted in a sharp decrease in the rate of growth of bank profits at District member banks. Net income increased at an annual rate of only slightly in excess of 2 percent during the period, compared with rates of 8 percent in the 1958-60 period and 5 percent in the 1954-57 interval. costs and revenues in 1964 Member bank operating statements for 1964 generally mirrored a continuation of develop- ments which have affected bank profits throughout the current cyclical expansion. Pressure on profits stemming from rising interest costs remained great during the year; and, as in other past years, banks sought to COver these costs by channeling funds into more profitable assets. Net current operating earnIngs expanded at a slightly faster pace last year than during the 1961-64 span of the current Cycli~al expansion, principally because of the levelmg off in the upward trend in bank expenses. The II-percent rise in current operating revenue in 1964 was little different from that of other recent years. Over three-fourths of the ?ollar gain was accounted for by greater earnlU.gs on loans and discounts, partly associated With a $1.4 billion expansion in loan portfolios. Rates of earnings on loans, as well as fees and charges, also advanced in 1964. Revenue from investments accounted for almost one-fourth of the total revenue of District ~ember banks in 1964. Interest earnings on . S. Government securities declined nearly 2 percent, as a $185 million reduction in holdings of these obligations more than offset the in~:as~d revenues accruing from higher yields. f rnmgs from non-Government security port~lios, however, rose about one-fourth from t e 1963 level. Service charges on deposit ac- counts, which rank just below interest on loans and investments as a source of bank revenue, advanced almost 8 percent during 1964 to a level of $27.7 million. This rate of advance is somewhat greater than the average rate of gain over the 1961-64 period. Trust department revenue, which has been gaining in importance at District member banks in recent years, rose further during the year. Total expenses of member banks advanced sharply during 1964, but the rate of increase is less than the average for the 1961-64 period. Interest costs rose 23 percent during the year to become the largest single item of cost to member banks. This rise, however, was about 10 percentage points below that registered for the 1961-64 period. Salaries and salary-related expenses trended upward at about the same rate as in other recent years. Net income before taxes of member banks receded about 3 percent during 1964, due principally to a substantial increase in losses, charge-offs, and transfers to valuation reserves. Because of this reduction and the lower rates of taxation, taxes on income declined almost 15 percent; partially reflecting this decline, net income of member banks showed a 4.8-percent increase. DON L. WOODLAND Financial Economist business review / april 1965 11 dist,.ict highlights The negotiable time certificate of deposit in recent years has become an increasingly important financial instrument in the Eleventh Federal Reserve District, as well as in the Nation. In an effort to appraise the development of this money market instrument, the Federal Reserve banks recently conducted the fourth quarterly survey of negotiable certificates of deposit in denominations of $100,000 or more outstanding at weekly reporting member banks. The outstanding negotiable time certificates of deposit as reported by the respondent banks in the Eleventh District aggregated $970.8 million on February 17, 1965. This level represented a gain of $75 .2 million, or 8.4 percent, over the volume recorded for November 18, 1964, the previous survey date. From the first survey, based on data for May 20, 1964, to the most recent one, there was a 5.9-percent advance in the level of negotiable time certificates. Results of the latest District survey show that the maturity distribution of certificates of deposit is heavily concentrated in the near-term area. Slightly over one-half of these deposits fall due within 3 months, and over 80 percent mature within 5 months. This maturity distribution is quite similar to that indicated by each of the three previous surveys. The seasonally adjusted index of industrial production in Texas reflected a gain of 1.4 percent in nondurables and durables production during February. Weakness in the mining sector, however, limited the month-to-month gain in the total index to 0.7 percent. In the durable goods sector, output gains were recorded in the furniture and fixtures, primary and fabricated metal, and machinery industries. The February advances in the primary metal and machinery 12 industries resulted partially from the resumption of normal production schedules after labor difficulties in January. Broadly based gains were registered in the nondurables sector in February, especially in the printing and publishing and textile industries. February crude oil output in Texas slipped, however, from the January level. Total nonagricultural wage and salary employment in the five southwestern states advanced 0.3 percent from January to February, reaching a level of 4,976,300 persons. This advance reflected fractional employment increases in both the manufacturing and the nonmanufacturing sectors. However, employment in trade, construction, and mining registered downturns in February. Employment in the five states posted a strong 3.8-percent gain over the same month in 1964, with strength evident in both the manufacturing and the nonmanufacturing sectors. The gain from February last year to February 1965 reflected an advance of 10.5 percent in construction employment and an increase of 5.2 percent in service employment. After gaining for 6 consecutive months, daily average crude oil production in the Eleventh District dipped 1 percent in March to a level that was 2 percent higher than a year earlier. The decline from February is attributable to decreases in Texas and northern Louisiana, as crude oil output in southeastern NeW Mexico was relatively unchanged. A smaller allowable in Texas contributed to the slower rate of production in the State. In northerll Louisiana, the month-to-month decrease reflected, in part, some buyer prorationing in the area. At mid-March, inventories of crude oil stored aboveground in the District were 5 percent less than a year earlier. f A March 1 survey of prospective plantings or 1965 shows that southwestern farmers i,ntend to seed about 27 million acres to springplanted crops, or 3 percent less than the acreage planted to these crops in 1964. According to the U. S. Department of Agriculture, there ~re some noticeable shifts among crops in 965. Decreases in acreages of cotton, corn, oats, barley, and peanuts more than offset increases in those of sorghums, Irish potatoes, ~weet potatoes, soybeans, and sugar beets. creages of hay, rice, and flaxseed are exP:cted to remain stable. Farmers in the Distnct states plan to seed 7.6 million acres to cotto . l~ ~ 1965 - moderately below last year's P ntIngs. Of the spring-seeded crops, soy- beans lead in acreage expansion, followed by sorghums. The 1964 citrus fruit crop in the District states is estimated at 7.8 million boxes. An output of this size would be more than onefourth above the previous year but one-fifth below the 1958-62 average. Indicated production of grapefruit is 32 percent above the 1963 outturn, and the orange crop is up 19 percent. Realized net income per farm in 1964 declined in each of the five District states except Oklahoma. The figures ranged from $2,448 per farm in Oklahoma to $19,363 per farm in Arizona. The realized net income per farm in Texas amounted to $3,877 in 1964. AVAILABILITY OF FEDERAL OPEN MARKET COMMITTEE MINUTES Minutes of the meetings of the Federal ?pen Market Committee from the time of Its organization in 1936 through the end of 1960 are being made available by the Federal Reserve System for the use of s~holars and other interested persons. To t at end, the Board of Governors has transferred to the custody of the Archivist of the United States the original signed copies of the minutes for these years. Although the Federal Reserve System available a great deal of inormation on its actions and operations, th~s is the first time that official records of thl~ type relating to monetary and credit pollcy actions have been released to the ~Ub1ic for research or historical studies. hese materials increase significantly the ~as long made sources of information regarding Federal Reserve policy decisions over the years. Copies of the minutes transferred to National Archives are available for inspection and use at each Federal Reserve bank and branch, as well as at the Board's offices in Washington, D. C. In addition, the National Archives is in a position to furnish complete microfilm copies (16 rolls of 35 mm. film, either positive or negative) at a cost of $55, including shipping charges. The National Archives will also furnish prints of individual pages at 20 cents each. Requests for these materials should be sent directly to that agency, Eighth Street and Pennsylvania Avenue, N. W., Washington, D. C. 20408 . business review / april 1965 13 PER JACOBSSON FOUNDATION LECTURES On November 9, 1964, in Basle, Switzerland, the Per Jacobsson Foundation presented the inaugural lectures of a series to be continued in future years and other cities. The Foundation thus honored the late Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund and began to carry out its principal purpose, which is to sponsor and publish regularly lectures on international monetary affairs by recognized authorities. The first two lectures, both on the subject of "Economic Growth and Monetary Stability," were given by Maurice Frere, former Governor of the National Bank of Belgium and President of the Bank for International Settlements (viewing the subject from the standpoint of a developed country), and by Rodrigo G6mez, Director General of the Bank of Mexico (the view from a developing country) . The Foundation has now published the texts of these lectures in English, French, and Spanish and will make copies available to interested persons. Requests for copies (indicating the language desired) should be addressed to: THE PER JACOBSSON FOUNDATION INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND BUILDING WASHINGTON, 14 D. C. 20431 lie,., par ballJ~ 16 The Prosper State Bank, Prosper, Texas, an insured nonmember bank located in the territory served by the Head Office of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, was added to the Par List on March 15, 1965. The officers are : U. N. Clary, Chairman of the Board; Ralph C. Boyer, President; Charles J. Winikates, Vice President; Mrs. M. L. Boyer, Cashier; and Mrs. Mary Keith, Assistant Cashier. STATISTICAL SUPPIlEMENli to the BUSINESS REVIEW April 1965 FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF DAllAS CONDITION STATISTICS OF WEEKLY REPORTING MEMBER BANKS IN LEADING CITIES RESERVE POSITIONS OF MEMBER BANKS Eleventh Federal Rese rve District Eleventh Federal Reserve District (Averages of daily flgures . In thousands of dollars) = (In thou sands of dol/ors) Mar. 31, 1965 Feb . 24, 1965 Apr. I, 1964 Gross loans .... . ... ... ............ ......... 4,648,285 82,887 4,73 1,172 4,528,818 82,026 4,610,844 4,273,483 76,297 4,349,780 Commercial and industrial loans.. ..... .. ..... Agricultural loans... . . . ............... . .... 2, 188,4 13 58,537 2,156,015 60,835 2,057,207 46,335 4,274 46,165 20,303 39,036 274 78,348 2,4 13 291,126 2,396 282,280 3,458 256,558 129,357 276,736 134,923 9,173 387,604 1,202,451 2,107,658 119,858 259,840 106,328 6,431 378,234 1,179,288 2,098,795 11 1,413 264,927 133,383 2,418 344,954 1,050,505 2,113,266 1,337,390 143,975 0 1,327,570 109,553 0 1,379,497 107,541 6,647 Cash items in process of collection ..... .. ....... Balances with banks in the United States .. .... ... Balances with bonks in foreign countries ......•.. Currency and coin . .. .. . ........ . ........ .. . . Reserves with Federal Reserve Bank ........... . . Oth er assets .•. ...•. •...................... 176,777 625,124 391,514 770,268 77 1,084 514,640 3,106 63,623 544,510 288,883 180,323 608,678 429,0 16 771,225 594,623 45 1,503 3,193 65,776 539,345 282,385 125,075 741,660 398,574 733,769 670,394 497,908 3,701 58,926 563,722 238,605 TOTAL ASSETS •••..••..••.. ••• .••...•.. 8,94 1,789 liABIlITIES AND CAPITAL ACCOUNTS Total deposils .•••••.. • •.•••..•.••..••..•••• 7,840,900 7,5 17,23 1 7,347,621 4,928, 115 3,209,37 1 4,644, 121 3,152,292 4,749,151 3,120,147 5,661 176,322 328,490 5,747 146,902 282,104 2,472 162,725 277,936 1,1 08,075 18,131 82,065 2,912,785 966, 102 25,518 65,456 2,873,110 1,096,572 13,437 75,862 2,598,470 1,283,212 1,224,814 1,256,512 1,207,789 1,130,960 1,096,439 500 3,594 389,357 500 3,594 393,625 500 3,899 357, 168 Capital accounts ............ . .. . ............ 8,868 2,440 214,701 155,403 730,785 8,790 2,300 168,680 150,35 1 728,176 7,104 2,400 229,268 142,524 700,592 TOTAL LIABILITIES AND CAPITAL ACCOUNTS 8,941,789 8,564,438 8,420,005 Item Ilem 4 week s end ed 4 weeks end ed 4 weeks endod Mar. 3, 1965 Feb. 3, 1965 Mar. 4, 196: 603,244 561,957 41,287 598,901 4,343 31,072 -26,729 6 14,626 571,122 43,504 609,822 4,804 7,929 -3,125 58 1,574 541,684 39,890 575,316 6,258 13,795 -7,537 589,755 454,404 135,351 551,283 38,472 973 37,499 600,778 460,320 140,458 556,674 44, 104 266 43,838 564,694 440,894 123,800 525,702 38,992 595 38,397 1,192,999 1,016,361 176,638 1,150,184 42,8 15 32,045 10,770 1,21 5,404 1,031,442 183,962 1,166,496 48,908 8,195 40,713 1,146,268 982,578 163,690 1, 101,0 18 45,250 14,390 30,860 RESERVE CITY 8ANKS Tota l reserves held •.....•.. .. • ASSETS Net loans . . ...... ....................... . .. Valuation resorvo •. .. ............. ..... ... . .. Loans to brokers and dealers for purchasing or carrying: U. S. Government securities .. ..... . ...... .. Other securities ........ .. ...... .. ... .... Other loans for purcha sing or carrying: U. S. Government securities ..... . ... ... .. .. Other securities ........... . ............. Loans to nonbank flnanciol institutions: Sales flnance, personal finance, etc ...... . ... Olher ••..•••..••.•.•• . . •• •••.... ..• ... Loans to domestic commercial banks.. ......... Loans to foreign banks .• ....... ......... . . . Real estate loans . ... ...................... Other loans ..•• •.•••.•• . .. ... . .... ....... Total Investments ............. . .............. Totol U. S. Government securities .. . ..... ..... Treasury bills.................. ... . ..... Treasury certiflcates of indebtedne ss ..... . .. Treasury notes and bonds moturing: Within 1 yeor ...•.................... 1 to 5 yeors •••........ .... . ...... .. . . After 5 years •••...•....•... • ... •...•• Other se cu rities ••......•••••• ••.•. .•.•.... Total demand deposits ........ .. ....... .... Individuals, partnerships, and corporations .•.. Foreign governments and offlcial institutions, central banks, and International institutions .. U. S. Government . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .•. .. States ond political subdivisions ............ Banks in the United States, including mutual savings banks . ..... . .. . ... . . .... Banks in foreign countries ............... .. Certifled and offlcers' checks, etc ........... Total time and savings deposits ••... . ••...... Individuals, partnerships, and corporations Savings depo sits ....•. ••.... . ......... Other time deposits . . ..... .... ......... Foreign governments and offlcial institutions, central banks, and international institutions .. U . S. Government, including postal sa ving s ... States and political subdivisions •.. .. .. .... . Banks in the United Stotes, including mutual savings banks•••.... .... .. ...... Banks in foreign countries ..... .. .. ... ..... Bill s payable, rediscounts, etc .................. All other 110 b lIilies •..• • •..••••...•...•...••.. 8,564,438 With Federal Reserve Bank .••• Currency and coin ..... . ..... Required reserves .. . .......... Excess reserves ...... .. ...... . Borrowings . ...... ............ Free reserves . ........... . .•. . COUNTRY 8ANKS Total reserves held . ... .. ...... With Federol Reserve Bank .... Currency and coin ... . .... . .. Required reserves ............. Excess reserves . ....... . .. .. .. Borrowings . . ........... . . .... Free reserves . . .... ... ... . . . .. All MEMBER BANKS Totol reserves held .. . ... . . .... With Federa l Reserve Bank .... Currency and coin ... ........ Required reserves . . ........... Excess reserves ............... Borrowing s.... ....... .. ...... Free reserves......... ........ GROSS DEMAN D AND TIME DEPOSITS OF MEMBER BANKS Eleventh Federal Reserve District (Averages of doi ly flg ures. In millions of dolla rs ) GROSS DEMAND DEPOSITS - Total city bonks Country banks Tota l city bonks CountrY banks 1963: February .•. 1964: February .• . Septemb er. 8,354 8,359 8,530 8,582 8,683 8,852 9,042 8,582 4,007 3,887 4,090 4,098 4,120 4,2 13 4,271 4,006 4,347 4,472 4,440 4,484 4,563 4,639 4,771 4,576 3,706 4,440 4,689 4,627 4,655 4,713 4,88 1 4,984 1,811 2,2 17 2,354 2,274 2,269 2,288 2,399 2,438 1,895 2,223 2,335 2,353 2,386 2,425 2,482 2,546 Res erve October ... November . . Dec ember .. 1965: January •.• February ... Reserve --- - COND ITIO N STAT ISTI CS OF ALL MEMBER BA NKS Eleventh Federa l Reserve District (In millions of dollars) Item Feb. 24, 1965 Jan. 27, 1965 7,773 2,592 1,606 933 198 1,029 5 671 344 7,654 2,65 1 1,566 976 199 1,064 6 725 464 ~ Feb. 26, 196:- ASSETS Loans and di scounts•• . .•.... . .... . ...... U. S. Government obligations ••........... Other securities . •...... . .... . ... . . .. ... Reserves with Federal Re serve Bank •• ••.... Cash in va ult e .•....•.. . . .. . .. ....... .. Balance s with banks in the United States • ••• Ba lances with banks in foreign countries e .... Ca sh items in process of collection • .. . . .. .. Other assets e ..• •.•.......•....•....••. TOTAL ASSETse ••• •• .. ••. •.•. • .•••.. 15,15 1 15,305 1,199 7,290 5,019 1,276 7,42 1 4,927 Borrowings e •.... ....••................ Other lia bilities e • •. . •. .. . . ... . . •. . . . ... Tota l capital accounts e •......... . ..... " 13,508 171 188 1,284 13,624 197 '207 1,277 TOTAL liABILITIES AND CAP ITAL ACCOUNTSe •.•...•.••.•..••....•• 15, 151 15,305 6,955 2,697 1,453 916 182 10 1, 1 - 707 387 ~ lIA81l1T1ES AND CAPITAL ACCOUNTS (In thousands of dolla rs ) Demand deposits of banks ............... Other demand deposi ts ••• •.. . ••• .• •.• . .. Tim e d e posits ••. . .....................• Item Mar.31, 1965 Feb. 24, 1965 Apr. I, 1964 Total gold certiflcate reserves .. •••••• . ...• •• Discounts for member banks •............... Other discounts and advances . . ... . ...... . . U. S. Government securities .•..... . .. .....•. Total earning assets ..•............•....... Member bank reserve deposits ...•.......... Federal Reserve notes in actual circulation ..... 374,857 1,770 870 1,627,078 1,629,7 18 908,883 1,070,710 546,32 1 1,645 2,610 1,446,760 1,45 1,015 933,288 1,069,106 544,671 1,777 Total deposits •• •• •••. . •••.. •. . . •.••• o 1,348,458 1,350,235 921,333 956,759 e- 2 -= TIME DEPOSITS Dote 8,420,005 CONDITION OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF DALLAS - Estimated. 1,205 7,136 4,486 - 12,827 158 197 1,22 1 -=:::::.--~ BANK DEB ITS, END-Of-MONTH DEPOSITS, AND DEPOSIT TURNOVER (Dollar amounls in thousands, sea sona lly adlusted) DEBITS TO DEMAND DEPOSIT ACCOUNTS' DEMAND DEPOSITS' Percent change Annual rate of turnover Feb. 1965 from February 1965 1965r (Annual-rate basis) Stand a rd me tropolitan statistica l area ARIZONA Tucson LO U ISIA~~" "" """ """ "" """ """ ' " • Feb. 1964 2 months, 1965 from 1964 January Jan. 1965 Feb . 28, 1965 February January Fobruary 1965 1965r 1964 3,925,728 3,819,8 16 165,816 23.6 22.9 22.8 NE~re~~~f~~ : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : 1,648,428 4,523,208 1,709,940 4,517,820 -4 0 21 3 23 2 73,027 198,961 23.2 22.9 24. 1 22.8 20.5 21.0 Roswell' TEXAS • ..• " ..•••••.•••.•••••••••••••••••••• 596,400 610,236 -2 -7 -7 31,611 18.8 19.0 17.6 1,628,232 3,819,192 3,796,944 4,340,304 1,292,544 2,920,980 307,620 58,903,584 4,964,316 12,110,556 1,809,396 50,713, 128 476,616 3,061,428 1,728,216 1,104,588 756,144 10,034,244 979,500 1,52 1,168 1,876,584 1,960,11 6 1,806,372 3,985,476 3,593,832 4,470,408 1,323,6 12 2,969,400 292,644 51,923,016 4,614,768 11 ,762,280 1,770,180 51,84 1,128 474,384 3,861,708 1,79 1,720 1,004,424 78 1,536 9,983,532 947,628 1,491,864 1,848,168 1,863,180 -10 -4 6 -3 -2 -2 5 13 8 3 2 -2 0 -21 -4 10 -3 1 3 2 2 5 5 12 6 7 8 6 14 23 12 9 -1 8 9 -9 6 4 3 12 -4 14 14 8 6 12 6 8 6 3 17 22 5 6 0 14 11 -4 7 2 4 10 -2 13 11 8 90,587 135,996 162,062 198,053 51,847 137,194 25,998 1,548,336 193,525 481 ,500 83,220 1,722,189 27,539 137,949 119,729 62,918 51,461 477,116 48,792 78,670 100,541 11 0,625 17.9 28.0 22.4 21.8 25.0 21.2 11.6 38.2 25.0 25.2 21.3 29.4 17.3 22.1 14.4 18.4 14.8 21.2 19.6 18.9 18.7 17.2 19.7 29.1 20.2 22.5 25.0 21.5 10.5 33.8 23.3 24.7 20.1 30.2 16.6 27.0 15.2 17.5 15.4 21.2 19.2 18.7 19.0 15.8 16.7 25. 1 20.7 21.4 23.6 21.4 11.2 32.1 24.0 23.4 21.1 29.1 16.1 24.8 15.7 18.3 14.5 20.3 20.7 17.8 1B.6 15.7 $180,799, 164 $ 175,059,072 12 13 $6,515,262 27.7 26.9 25.7 Monroo Abilene ~~~[~I~~ :P:: ::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::: 8roYtns~~,~.H~r~~thur • •...• . . ..••..••..••••.••••• Corpus Ch" gon-San 8enlto ••. • ..•.•••.••..••• CorSicana i ,sh •••...•. . .•......•....•.....•••..• Dallas '" ....... . . ........•....••...•••.•• TOl a l_26 centers _ .. . . . . ... ... . . ..... .. ............ 1 De . :! of individua ls partnerships, and corporations and of stotcs and political su bdivisions . OUnly basis. ' C r- pOSIts Revised. DEPARTMENT STORE SALES IPorcentage change In re lall va lu e) )NDEXES Of DEPA RTMENT STORE SALES Eleventh federal Reserve District February 1965 from 2 months, (Da ily average sales, 1957·59 = 100) = - Da le Seasonally adiusted Unadlusted 125 123 117 124 129 131 125 91 118 120 142 223 102 91 196s.1af~1y:j< iii iii iii iii iii iii ii nuary ~bruary::::: ::: :: :: :::::: : ::: :: February 1965 Area 1964: February . January Total Elevent h District • •••.. ••• Corpus Ch risti • •••.• ••••• . • •• . Dallas •• •• • • • •••. . ••••• . • • •. EI Paso ••••.•• . •• •••••••• ..• Houston • • ••• • •• • • • ••••• • • • • So n Antonio •. .•••• • • ••.. •• .. Shreveport, la . •• • •• •• . •••.. . Waco ••• • .• •• . .. •••• • . •• .. • O ther cities . • • . • .••.....•... 1964 -14 -4 10 - 1 - 16 -21 - 16 -9 -10 -4 -13 -6 0 3 -5 -2 -8 -4 1965 from 1964 -4 2 0 8 2 2 -3 0 NATIONAL PETROLEUM ACTIV ITY IND)CATORS DAILY AVERAGE PRODUCTION OF CRUDE OIL =- (Seasonally adl usted Inde.es, 1957·59 = 100 ) (In tho usands of barrels) Percent change from : - - - . Area ELEVE T NTH DISTRICT eXas... • •••. . " Gulf C~~ ·t········ · ··· West Tox~;: " """" Easl Te. ( •.•.••••.• Pan hand'lS proper) • •••• e Rest of St i ' .... " .... SOutheast a e . •. . ...••• Northern L~n. ~ ew Me xico .. OUTSIDE ulS'ana •• • ••• • • UNITED 5 ELEVENTH DISTRICT ____TATES • • . •• • ••• •.. Feb. 1965p 3,303.8 2,804.4 536.9 1,245.8 113.2 103.5 805.1 309.6 189.8 4,553. 1 7,856.9 Jan. 1965p 3,271.3 2,786.5 537.5 1,237.2 113.1 103.3 795.4 294.5 190.3 4,562 .7 7,834 .0 Sou-:re llminary. CES · Am . . U ~ncQn Petroleum Institute. • . Burea u of Minos. Fedora l Reservo Ba nk of Da llas. Feb. 1964 1965 Feb. 1964 3,171.7 2,729.2 561.3 1,193.4 11 5.1 97.9 761.5 280.8 161.7 4,569.5 7,741.2 1.0 .6 -.1 .7 .1 .2 1.2 5.1 - .3 -.2 .3 4.2 2.8 -4.4 4.4 -1.7 5.7 5.7 10.3 17.4 -.4 1.5 Jan . February J anuary February 1965 p 1965p 1964 111 110 110 11 7 11 6 130 105 106 11 2 116 137 109 94 111 114 143 121 70 11 2 108 137 117 84 109 In d icator CRUD E O IL RUNS TO REFINERY STILLS (Dally averag e). • • • • • • • • • • • . • • DEMAND (Dally averago) Gasoline. . . . .. .. ......... ..... ..... Kerosene . . . • • • . . . . • • . . • • • • . . . . • . . • 14 1 Distillate fuel Residual fu ol Four reflne d products. • • • • • . . . . . . . . STOCKS (End of monl h) Gasoline. . ... . . .. ... . . . . ...... . .. . . Kerasone. • • • • . • . . . . . • • • • • • • • . . • • • • Distillate fuel oil. .. . . . . • • . . • • . . . • • . . . Residua l fue l 119 10 1 115 Four reflned p roducts . • . . . . . • • • . . . • 11 0 011.. .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 011....... ... ........... 011..... .. . . . . .... . . . . . . 114 148 113 68 p - Preliminary. SOURCES, American Petroleum Instit ute • U. S. Bureau of Mines. Federa l Reserve Ba nk of Da llas. 3 CITRUS FRUIT PRODUCTION NONAGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT (I n thousands of boxes) Five Southwestern Stotes 1 State and crop Indicated 1964 1963 1958-62 2,000 2,800 2,200 3,210 1,254 2,358 10 15 205 240 500 2,168 3,794 = Average ARIZONA Orange s ................. . Grapefruit .. .. .. ... . .. .. . . LOUISIANA - Perce nt change Fe b. 1965 from Number of persons Feb. 1965p 1965 Feb. 1964r 1965 Feb. 1964 wage and sa lary workers .. Manufacturing . .. . ... . ... Nonmanufacturing . . ...... Mining . ........ . .... . Construction . . . ........ Transportation and 4,976,300 873,400 4,102,900 233,900 332,900 4,962,400 870,100 4,092,300 234,000 336,000 4,793,300 843,700 3,949,600 228,400 301,300 0.3 .4 .3 -.1 -.9 3.8 3.5 3.9 2.4 10.5 public utilities • •••... • Trade • .••••..••••.... 383,700 1,1 75,800 253,200 727,900 995,500 373,200 1,183,900 252,300 724,800 988,100 392,800 1,132,600 244,500 691,800 958,200 2.8 -.7 .4 .4 .7 _2.3 3.8 3.6 5.2 3.9 Type of employment Jan. Jan . Total nonagricultural Oranges .. .... .... .... .. . . TEXAS 900 2,100 Oranges . . ............... . Grapefruit ......... . . . ... . SOURCE : U. S. Department of Agriculturo. Finance .. • ..... .. ..... Service ............ . .. Government . . . ..... . . . VALUE OF CONSTRUCTION CONTRACTS (In millions of dollars) 1 January-February Area and type FIVE SOUTHWESTERN STATES' •••• • •••.•••••.• Residentiol building •••. • • • Nonresidential building .... Nonbulldlng construction • •. UNITED STATES • •• •..•••.•• Residential building • .•••.• Nonresidential building ... . Nonbuildlng construction ... Feb. 1965 Jan. 1965 Feb. 1964 1965 1964 387 149 97 141 3,223 1,299 1,060 863 453 164 187 102 3,127 1,273 1,155 700 504 140 161 202 3,201 1,427 1,082 692 840 313 283 243 6,342 2,568 2,214 1,559 817 365 247 204 6,543 2,798 2,238 1,506 - Arizona, Louisiana, New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas . p - Preliminary. r - Revised. SOURCE: State employment agencies. BUILDING PERMITS ;::::::: VALUAT ION (Dollar amounts in thousands).- 1 Arizona, Louisiana, New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas. NOTE. - Details may not odd to total s be cause of rounding , SOURCE: F. W . Dodge Corporation. Percent change _____ Feb. 1965 NUMBER from Feb. 1965 Feb. 1965 2 mos. 506 1,035 $ 1,081 276 597 1,150 2,919 61 Amarillo ..• • •• 140 Austin ........ 244 Beaumont .. . .. 282 Corpus Christl .. 339 Dallas . . . ... . . 1,550 EI Paso •..••• • 411 Fort Worth •••• 542 Galveston . . . . . 87 Houston . .. . .. 1,564 Lubbock ••••.• 182 Midland •••.•• 74 115 Odessa . . . .. . . Port Arthur ••• • 111 San Antonio .. . 845 Waco ........ 183 100 Wichita Falls •• 135 300 551 457 694 3,210 766 1,105 187 3,342 367 160 214 203 1,853 380 203 1,685 3,573 3,422 2,104 2,731 14,813 4,258 4,331 291 26,352 4,174 7 10 683 385 4,303 2,035 545 2,408 7,491 7,183 5,060 4,8 10 25,607 11 ,594 8,894 640 45,440 7,043 3,233 1,241 704 8,072 3,931 2,231 Total-19 cities • • 7,612 15,759 $78,626 Area INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION 1965 2 mos. Jon . 1965 1965 Feb. 1964 2 months, 1965 from .- 1964 ARIZONA (Seasonally adiusted indexes, 1957·59= 100) Tucson . . .. .... $ -53 -6 1 2 44 43 133 - 9 30 -9 -38 -29 30 31 62 37 -17 -42 7 -5 33 -17 -57 38 -6 45 -39 -72 -21 22 11 21 -37 14 10 7 12 -68 -53 15 _5 -45 61 _8 -20 84 0 -40 - 19 -29 _5 17 _58 _28 33 27 2, 150 LOUISIANA Area and type of index TEXAS Totol industrial production •••.. •• • Manufacturing .. . ...•.. • . • .•• Durable ••. • ..•. • ••.•••••• Nondurable • •.• • •••.••..•• Mining ••••••• . •••••••• •• .•• UNITED STATES Total industrial production •.• . ...• Manufacturing •.... . . • ....•.. Durable ••. •. ...••••••.• • • Nondurable • •• ..••••••.••• Mining •••• • .•••••••••..•••• Utilities • . •.. . •..• • .......... p - Feb. 1965p Jan. 1965 1964r Feb . 1964r 130.7 152.8 151.3 153.9 101.7 129.9 150.7 149.2 151.8 102.7 129.9 150.7 148.2 152.5 102.5 125.8 143.6 136.7 148.6 102.5 138.8 140.3 142.0 138.1 112.5 156.5 138.1 139.4 141.3 137.1 112.4 155.5 137.5 139.0 140.6 136.9 112.3 154.7 128.2 129.1 128.9 129.4 108.9 143.4 Preliminary. r - Revised. SOURCES : Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. 4 Dec. Shreveport .... -35 TEXAS Abi lene .. ... .. $ 150,651 9 -8 -14 .....-/