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MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF DALLAS CHAS. C. HALL-W. J. EVANS Assistant Federal Reserve Agents C. C. WALSH Chairman and Federal Reserve Agent (Compiled March 15, 1936) Volume 21, No.2 Dallas, Texas, April 1, 1936 ----- This copy is r eleased for pub· lication in mOl'ning papers- Apn'll DISTRICT SUMMARY THE SITUATION AT A GLANCE Eleventh Federal Reserve District February 1936 ~ank debits to Individual accounts (at 18 cities) $681,834,000 Chnnge From Jonuorr, 1936 9.7% 6.6% .................... + ~partment store sales.............................................. rve bank loans to m ember banks at end R 0 month ........................................................... _....... $ 86.818 Be~iJ:ve bank I'atlo at end of month .................... 64.4 % ~I Ing permit valuation at larger centers. ... .. $ 7,720,868 Commercial failures (number) ............................... . 26 281,000 Oiltnmercial failures (liabilities) ........................... . $ Droduction (barrels) .......................................... .. 34,478,100 't - $60,082 .6 Dointe 80.7% 18 - 17.1% 2.9% + + Business and industrial conditions in the Eleventh Federal Reserve District continued generally favorable during th~ past month. Sales at department stores in larger cities e~ldenced a gain of 7 per cent as compared with the preVIOUS month, and were 16 per cent larger than in February, 1935. Distribution of merchandise in most reporting lines of wholesale trade registered large increases over a year ago, and in some lines the January lo February changes ~~r~ more favorable than usually occur at this season. ~ r,tIle debits to individual accounts at banks in principaJ cIties were 10 per cent smaller than in January, they exceeded those of February last year by 17 per cent. Commercial failures in this district were fewer and the volume of indebtedness was smaller than in either January this year or February last year. The valuation of building permits issued at leading cities reflected an expansion of 81 per cent over that in January, and was more than five times greater than the total for February, 1935, due largely to extraordinary building activities in two cities although healthy increases were shown in most of the other cities. The agricultural and livestock industries are confronled with a deficiency in surface moisture over a large area of the district at a season when an adequate supply is needed for planting operations and to stimulate the growth of small grains and range vegetation. However, with a good subsoil season obtaining over the major portion of the district, the situation would show rapid improvement should widespread rains occur in the near future. According to the March 1 report of the Department of Agriculture, range and livestock conditions in this district are in about average condition and much better than a year ago. The investments of member banks in selected cities showed a decline between February 12 and March 11, but the reduction was partially offset by an increase in loans. The daily average of combined net demand and time deposits of member banks amounted to $771,136,000 in February as compared with $782,745,000 in January. While Federal Reserve Bank loans to member banks on March 15 were larger than a month! earlier 01' a year ago, the volume of such loans continued small. Federal Reserve notes in actual circulation rose to $75,060,000 on March 15, which was $2,555,000 higher than on February 15, and $26,905,000 above the circulation on March 15, 1935. BUSINESS Wholesale Trade While business at wholesale in this district during February was more active in some lines than in others, the total volume of distribution compared favorably with that in the previous month and continued on an appreciably larger sc.ale than a year ago. Better than seasonal comparisons WIth the month of January were evidenced in the case of groceries, hal:dware, and drugs, and in the latter two lines the February increases over the same month last year were 80~ewhat larger than those recorded in January. Inventones reflected gains during February ranging from 1.7 to 4.1 per cent. Material declines from the previous month's volume were shown in the collections of all lines except hardware. The demand for dry goods at wholesale in this district during February was spotty, being fairly good in some sections but poor in others. There was a net gain of 2.5 per cent in business over that of January, and the increase over February, 1935, amounted to 6.1 per cent. Stocks on hand February 29 were larger than at the close of the previous month but continued substantially less than a year ago. Collections during the month showed a further reduction. Sales of drugs at wholesale by reporting firms in the Eleventh District registered a smaller than seasonal recession of 3.3 per cent as compared with January, and were 23.4 per cent above those in February a year ago. In the case of the latter comparison the percentage of increase This publication was digitized and made available by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas' Historical Library (FedHistory@dal.frb.org) ~2 - ______________________ M~O_N_T_H_L_Y_B_U_S~I_N_E~S~S_R_E_V_IE_W ______________________ -- was the largest reported since July. A decrease of 8.6 per cent from the previous month was reflected in collections during February. the corresponding month a year ago. A substantial l'edu~. tion in collections, which was not general, followed t e expansion shown in the previous month. Distribution of groceries through wholesale channels last month was on a slightly larger scale than in January, but a decrease of 2.4 per cent from the same month last year was reflected. While jobbers in some parts of the district indicated that there was a falling-off in activity during the month, those in certain localities were benefited by an increased demand for merchandise. Total collections in February were 1.4 per cent less than those in the preceding month. Retail Trade An improvement was shown in the wholesale hardware business during February. Firms in this district reported total sales 1.0 per cent larger than in the previous month and 24,.0 per cent above those in the same month last year. A general undertone of confidence was in evidence in practically all sections of the district. There was an increase of 9.9 per cent in the volume of collections as compared with January. A decline of seasonal character was registered in the combined sales of reporting wholesale farm implement firms during February. Business was 21.6 per cent smaller than in the preceding month, but 59.4, per cent better than in CONDITION OF WHOLESALE TRADE DURING FEB'RUARY, 1986 Percentage of increase or decrease inNet Sales Net Sales Feb. 1936 Jan. 1 to date compared with compared with February January . ame period 1935 1936 last year Grocerlea. ............... Dry goods.............. Farm implements Hardware ............ Drugs .................... - 2.4 + 6.1 +69.4 +24.0 +28.4 +.6 + 2,6 -21.6 + 1.0 - 8.8 - 1.6 + 6.6 i64.8 21.8 22.7 Stocks Feb. 29, 1936 camp. red wi th Pcb. 28, Jan. 31, 1935 1936 - 1.4 -16.0 +74.0 + 7.7 +22.6 +2.1 +8.4 +4.1 +8.6 +1.7 Ratio Feb. collec tions to accounts and notes outstand ing J.n. 31 79.5 88.1 8.7 48.8 62.2 The business of department stores in principal cities of the Eleventh District reflected increased activity during Feb;'u, ary. Conswner demand, as measured by sales of l'epor~lng firms, evidenced a ~ain of 6.5 pe~ ce~t .over the prevlO~d month, and on a dally average ~asls thIS mcrease .amoun t th to 1104. per cent. As compared WIth the corresponding mon of 1935 sales reflected an increase of 16.4 per cent. In con' nection with this comparison it should be taken into co n sideration that February this year had ~ve Saturdays anS one more working day than was the case m February, 193 . This bank's seasonally adjusted index of department store sales stood at 91.2 per cent of the 1923-25 average for February, as compared with 82.9 per cent in February a year ago. Distribution of merchandise during the first tWO months of 1936 was on a scale 15.6 per cent greater than in the like period of 1935. d Inventories of merchandise on hand February 29 evidenced the usual preparation by merchants for spring b~Y' ing. Stocks were 11.5 per cent greater than a month earhe ' and 3.2 per cent above those on hand February 28, 193 S . The rate of stock turnover dming January and Febru~ry this year was .52, as compared with .47 in the same pen od of 1935. Collections on regular accounts during February were better than in either the previous month or the same month a year ago. The ratio of February collections to regular accounts outstanding on February 1 was 4.1.0 per cent, ~s against 39.9 per cent in January, and 37.1 per cent 10 February, 1935. A slight decline from January was shown in the collections on installment accounts. BUSINESS OF DEPARTMENT STORES Total sales (percentage) : ~:~;~:;~: m~: ~~~~~:~ :l:~ r:~~~~~~\~~~~:::::::::::::::::::::~::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::: January I, to date compared with same period last year ......................................................... .. Credit sales (percentage) : February, 1986, compared with February, 1986.......................................... February, 1986, compared with January, 1986...................................... ..... _........................... January I, to date compared with same period last year................... ~~::.·.·:.·.:·:.·.·.·....::.·.·:..:...·.:·....::............:: Stocks on hand at end of month (percentage) : February, 1986, compared with February, 1985 ............... _......................................................... .. February, 1986, compared with January, 1986............................................................................. Stock turnover (rate) : Rate of stock turnover in February, 1985............................................ . Rate of stock turnover In February, 1986........................................ . ...................................... .. Rate of stock turnover January I, to February 28, 1986 .............. :::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::: Rate of stock turnover January I, to February 29, 1986............................................................ Ratio of February collections to open accounts receivable outstanding February 1, 1986 ..... Ratio of February collections to Installment accounts receivable outstanding Feb. I, 1986.. Indexes of department store sales : ~jk!g;~F~;g~~;~~·~~~~ :· ~ ~ ~ ~ :~ :·:~·: : :~ ~:·:~ :.:~ :~:~.~:~ :~~:~.~.:~~~.~.:~~ ~.: ~:.~~:. ~:~ ~: .: .:.~ :~:. :.:~:. :.~:. :. .~: Indexes of department store stocks : Dallas + 17.2 14.0 + 17.6 + Ft. Worth + 21.2 14.1 + 17.5 + Hou!ton + 16.8 .7 + 12.2 S.n Anton! o + 17.1 2.0 19.8 + 17.2 18.1 + 19.2 + + 28.0 + 16.8 + 19.8 +21.8 1.0 + 17.2 8.6 8.4 + 12.9 + 10.1 + + 14.6 .80 .82 .67 .61 41.6 16.6 74.5 89.0 86.6 101.1 2.8 7.8 + - + 11.4 9.4 + + - + + 8.1 8.3 .20 .24 .40 .45 88.6 10.1 .21 .27 .42 .62 42.5 .24 .26 .61 .64 44.7 16.1 66.9 78.9 89.1 96.1 69.7 72.6 78.8 85.4 64.1 68.7 70.4 76,7 Others + 12.0 .2 + 10.6 Tota! Di.' I. 16.4 6,5 15.6 + 10.4 .9 + 11.9 + S.9 + 12.1 + 16,8 + 6.6 + 16.9 + 3.2 .19 .20 . 88 .42 87.8 21.2 i +11.5 ,24 .27 ,47 .52 41.0 14.7 68.8 76.6 81.9 91,2 ~if~~iit~;~~b1if.~~:~·:·: :·: :·:·:·: ·:·: :·: ·: :~:·: :.:.: : : :.: :~: :.:.:.: :.: .:::~:::.:~:~.~.:::. .: .:.: :.:.:.: .: .: :~::: :.: : ~: :~: :.:.:.: .................................................................................................................. -----------------------------------------------------Co'!"'mercial ,!here were fewer insolvencies reported .. .. Fatlures m the Eleventh Federal Reserve District . during February than in either the precedmg mon~h or the corr~sponding month last year, and the amount of mdebtedness mvolved was likewise smaller than in either comparative month. According to the compilation 49.4 57. 0 66.8 69.4 68.0 62.6 67.4 66.1 87.2 39.4 43,8 42.4 47.7 48 .5 61.8 48. 0 62.2 67.6 60,0 60.0 of Dun & Bradstreet, Incorporated, 26 firms defaulted last month and their combined liabilities amounted to $281,000. In January there were 39 commercial failures with liabilities aggregating $339,000, and in February a year ago 28 ins ol · vencies occurred, their indebtedness amounting to $315,000. MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 8 AGRICUL TURE Crop Conditions The agricultu,rul situation during the past month was affected adversely by the lack of rainfall. Since the first of the Y~ar, precipitation has been deficient over most of the terl"ltOl'Y in this district and the north winds have depleted sU.dace moisture. In the northwestern portion of the distnct the condition has been aggravated by the recurrence of dust storms in recent weeks. While a good subsoil seas~n still obtains in practically all sections of the district wllh the exception of west and northwest Texas and eastern New Mexico, and moderate rainfall has occurred recently in some areas, a heavy general rain is urgently needed to supply adequate surface moisture for spring planting operations and to stimulate the growth of small grains. . The preparation of the soil for spring planting is prac!lcally completed in most sections of the district. The plantIng of corn is nearing completion in south Texas, is well advanced in central Texas and is beginning in north Texas where soil moisture is sufficient to germinate the seed. Cotton planting is under way in south Texas. Small grains in most sections are reported to be in fair to good condition. Grain crops have been damaged by the f~eezing ~emperatures, high winds, and dust storms, but SInce the appearance of warm weather, fields are greening rapidly, particularly where some moisture has becn ob· tamed. Nevertheless, substantial rainfall in practically all sections is needed to assure crop growth during the spring 11l0nths. The March 1 repor't of the Department of Agriculture estimated the production of grapefruit in Texas during the 1935-36 season at 3,080,000 boxes as compared with 2,750,000 boxes during the previous season, and the production of oranges at 627,000 boxes as against 560,000 boxes in the 1934,-35 season . The vegetablc crops in south Texas are reported to be in good condition generally as the moisture supply has been adequate, and most crops came through the cold weather in January and February without serious damage. Shipments during the current season have greatly exceeded those of the previous season. Further deterioration in range and livestock conditions over a large area of the ~leventh District occurred during February due to the contInued dry, cold weather, together with the high winds and dust storms in northwest Texas and eastern New Mexico. ~ubsoil moisture is adequate in most areas with the exceptIon of west and north west sections of Texas and eastern New Mexico, but surface moisture would be beneficial in practically all sections. Since the first of March the warm weather, together with rains in south Texas and portions of southeast, central, and southwest Texas and in scattered localities elsewhere, has started spring grass and weeds. However, heavy general rains are needed to stimulate the growth of range vegetation so that good spring grazing would b· available. While livestock showed some shrinkoge durin g the cold weather in February, they held up well due largel y to supplemental feeding and have come lhrough the winter ill good shape. The Departmellt of Agriculture reported Livestoclc that prospects are good for a large calf crop, a lamb crop fully average, and a better than average kid crop. The condition of cattle ranges in Texas was reported by the Department of Agriculture as 76 per cent of normal on March 1, which was 1 point lower than a month earlier, but 23 points higher than a year ago. The condition of sheep and goat ranges, which declined 3 points in February, was 22 points higher on March 1 than on the same date in 1935. Between February 1 and March 1 there was a decline of 1 point in the condition of cattle and goats and 2 points in that of sheep, but the condition on the latter date was materially higher than a year ago and slightly higher than the ten-year average. The condition of livestock and ranges remained unchanged in New Mexico and there was a slight improvement in Arizona . The production of wool and mohair in states attached to this district, as estimated by the Department of Agriculture, showed a further decline in 1935, due largely to the smaller number of animals shorn. The production of wool in Texas amounted to 59,220,000 pounds in 1935, as compared with 60,8{5ft,000 pounds in 1934, and 74,,800,000 pounds in 1933. However, the production in 1935 was higher than in any year prior to 1933. Texas mohair production totaled 13,000,000 pounds in 1935, as compared with 13,500,000 pounds in 1934, and 13,700,000 pounds in 1933. Production of WoolandMohair in 1935 Number and Value According to the Department of Agriof Livestock on culture, the unit price and total value of Farms all classes of livestock on farms in states attached to this district showed a substantial increase dw-ing 1935. The number of mules and cattle on farms in Texas was smaller on January 1, 1936, than on the same date in 1935. On the other hand, there was a slight increase in the number of horses, swine, and goats. The supply of sheep was the same on both dates. In Louisiana there was a decline in the number of cattle, swine, and sheep, while the number of horses and mules remained unchanged. NUMB'E R AND VALUE OF LIVES'l.'OCK ON FARMS AS OF JANUARY 1, 1986 AND 1986 Number (OOO's omilled) 1935 19 36 'fuu&- Avenge Price (Per he",l) 1936 1935 Total V.lue (000" omilled) 1936 1935 $ 80,214 $96.00 $80.00 890 $71 ,840 887 Mules .............. 64.00 52.00 44,270 35,470 686 698 HOl'sea ............ 19.00 42,514 29.00 27,854 1,466 Milk cowso ... 1,466 162,892 22.20 18.00 7,222 94,180 All cattle...... 6.861 5.20 14,693 10.20 7,219 1,899 Swine............. 1,441 8.46 ')0,827 24,402 7,092 5.70 Sheep.............. 7,092 6,744 2.40 1.15 8,047 2,650 Goats .............. 2,810 Louisiana19,791 99.00 84.00 16,618 199 199 Mules .............. 45.00 6,848 56.00 6,515 122 122 Horaes........... 24 .00 9,881 29.00 8,472 858 889 Milk cows· ... 14.20 19,517 18.90 15,955 1,125 All cattle .... 1,085 4.85 5,782 7.90 8,758 777 Swine............ 780 3.20 2.65 788 727 275 248 Sheep............. New Mexico65.00 1,448 85.00 1,164 18 17 Mules ............. · 41.00 144 53.00 7,496 5,872 141 Horses............ 45.00 27.00 8,160 1,868 69 Milk cowso ... 70 28.80 15.60 28,047 1,101 17,148 All cattle..... 991 4.45 681 258 10.60 64 58 Swine............ 6.60 3.80 12,888 9,856 2,460 Sheep.............. 2,887 .Cows and heilet·s two years old and over, being kept for milk. SOURCE: United States Deportment of Agriculture. 4 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW The February receipts of all classes of livestock at the Fort Worth market reflected a considerable decline as compared with those in the previous month, but arrivals exceeded those in the corresponding month last year by a wide margin_ FORT WORTH LIVESTOOK REOEIPTS (Number) February Change from January February Movements and Prices The market on most classes of cattle evidenced a downward trend during the last half of February, but prices were a little higher in the first half of March with the best gains being registered in the calf division. While the hog market continued erratic, the best offerings were bringing $10.00 at the middle of March, which was the same as a month earlier. Sheep and lamb prices declined during the second half of February, but most of the loss was regained in the subsequent two weeks. Oattle..................._... Oalves ....................... Hogs ......................... Sheep ........................ 1936 62.988 21.896 41.888 22.161 19J5 28.678 14.848 80.882 12.088 year +29.260 + 7.047 +11.606 +10.068 1936 73.247 31.106 44.068 29.727 COMPARATIVE TOP LIVESTOOK PRIOES (Dollnl's pel' hundredweight) February February Beef steers............................................................. . Stocker steers ....................................................... . Heifers and yearlings........................................ . Butcher cows ............................................... ·......... Calves ....................................................................... Hogs......................................................................... Sheep ....................................................................... . Lambs ...................................................................... 1936 $ 8.25 7.25 9.26 6.00 7.00 10.36 6.00 9.60 19J5 '12.00 7.25 11.00 6.50 8.00 8.86 6.60 7.76 Change from month _20.809 _ 9.710 _ 2.180 _ 7.676 Januar, 1936 $ 9.86 7.60 9.60 6.00 7.00 10.26 6.60 10.00 FINANCE Federal Reserve Bank loans to member banks showed some increase during the past month, but they continued in small volume. These loans totaled $178,000 on March 15, as compared with $89,000 on February 15, and $119,000 at the middle of March last year. Outstanding advances to established industrial and commercial firms for working capital purposes and commitments to make such advances again reflected ' a slight decline. This bank's investments in United States securities, and in bills bought in the open market remained unchanged between February 15 and March 15. The total cash reserves held by this bank rose to $148,697,000 on March 15, which was $6,586,000 larger than a month earlier, and $33,305,000 greater than holdings a year ago. The reserve deposits of member banks increased $4,,468,000 between February 15 and March 15, and on the latter date were $10,275,000 above those on the corresponding date in 1935. Federal reserve notes in actual circulation amounted to $75,060,000 on March 15, which represents an increase of $2,555,000 since the middle of February and $26,905,000 over the total on March 15 last year. Operations of the Federal Reserve Bank CONDITION OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK (In thousands of dollars) March IS, March IS, Total cash reserves....... _..................................... Discounts for member banks........................... . Otber bills discounted...................................... .. Industrial advances...___ .. __ .. __.. __ ........................... Commitments to make Industl'ial advances .. Bills bought In the open market.. __________.... __ __ United States Government securities owned .. All other Investments.. ________ ......__ ...... __ .. __ ......... . Total earning assets ...................___ ..... __ ......__ .... .. Member bank reserve deposlta __ .. __.__ . ___ .. _____ . Federal Reserve notes In actual olrculatlon .. 1936 $148.697 178 None 1.718 687 188 86.000 10 87,084 186.608 76.060 1935 $116.892 119 Feb. IS, 1936 $142.111 89 None None 1.462 1,786 690 1a8 86.000 10 86.967 182.040 72,606 None 148 71.476 6 78.194 126,283 48.166 The total loans and investments of reporting member banks in selected cities of this district reflected a decline of $1,764,000 between February 12 and March n, but on the latter date were $12,887,000 higher than a year ago. During the four-week period ending March 11, the investments of these banks in the direct and fully guaranteed obligations of the United States declined $1,029,000 and investments in other stocks and bonds were reduced $1,424,000. As compared with a year ago, there was an increase of $2,989,000 in the former classification, and $7,215,000 in the latter classification. While loans on securities reflected an expansion of $816,000 Condition of M ember Banks in Selected Cities during the four-week period, the total on March 11 was $6,221,000 lower than a year earlier. "All other" lo~ns (largely commercial), which showed a steady decline dur~ng the first two months of the year, turned upward dunng the week ending March 11 and on that date were $8,904,,000 higher than a year ago. Their net demand deposits ro~e $8,227,000 between February 12 and March n, but th~lr time deposits declined $1,4,09,000. Their reserve depOSits with the Federal Reserve Bank totaled $84.,758,000 on March 11, which was $8,4.01,000 greater than four weeks earlier and $1,263,000 larger than a year ago. CONDITION STATISTICS OF MEMBER BANKS IN SELEOTED OI'I'IES (In thousands of dollars) Feb. 12, March II, March 13, 1936 19J5 1936 $147,502 $166.876 United States securities (owned) ..... __ ....... __ .. $146,692 Securities fully guaranteed by United 60.008 27.701 49.874 States Government (owned) .......... __ ........... . All other stocks. bonds. and securities 48,875 89.786 (owned) ...... ______... _........................ __ ...... __ .. __ ..... __ 46.951 42.02 0 49.067 42.836 Loans on secUl·ltles.... ____ .................................... __ 144.460 186.429 144.888 All other loans ........................ __ ...... __ .................. .. 186,48 0 184.486 Total loans ..... __ ............... ________ ....................... __ ..... .. 187.169 349.227 321.047 867.464 Net demand deposits..................... __ ..... __ .. ____ .... .. 119.769 Time deposits .. ____ ................ ______........ __________ ........... . 122.498 1l8.860 76.367 88.496 84.768 Reserve with Federal Reserve Bank. __ .. __ ...... . Bi\ls payable and rediscounts with Federal None None Reserve Bank............____ ..... __ ............. ____ ..... ____ ..... None - A sizeable decrease from the previoU Deposits of month was witnessed in the net dema~ Member Banks deposits of reserve city banks in this dIStrict during February. While a partially offsetting gain ~c· cUlTed at country banks, the daily average demand depOSIts of all member banks declined from $586,980,000 in ~anud~ to $574,,058,000 in the subsequent month. Average tune e d posits on the other hand reflected a further expansion a~ h amounted to $197,078,000 in February, as compared WIt $195,765,000 in the previous month. . d DAILY AVERAGE DEPOSITS OF MEMBER BANKS (In thousands of dollars) CountryB~ Reserve City Dank s Combined Total 'rlm e Time Net Del11nnd Depo,lt. Time Ne t Demand Net Demand Deposits Deposits Deposits Deposits Depos its Feb., Mar., April. May. June, July. Aug .• Sept .• Oct.• Nov .• Dec" Jan., Feb .• 1986 ...... __ 1936 ........ 1986 ...... __ 1936 ........ 1986...... __ 1985........ 1936........ 1986.. __ .... 1986 ........ 1986.... ____ 1936...... __ 1936.. __ .... 1986...... __ $609.126 $197.166 $289.967 $112.686 $819,168 $84.6~~ 81.8 811.391 1l2.019 198,394 294.281 605,672 81.6~~ 807.186 112,252 209.163 606.348 193.849 81.8 807.017 1l8.128 194.624 296.770 603.787 80. 416 308.636 112.888 800.626 609.260 198.263 81. 648 309.683 112.752 308.892 194.896 618.475 82. 75 304.880 111,826 326.406 194.680 680.786 82.48 264.422 111.616 194,060 818.466 567.887 82.98 4 256,380 1l0,998 326.245 581.626 193.927 82.07 4 266.900 111.867 882.346 689.246 194.841 82.848 244.891 111,682 340.708 194,626 585.699 86.714 241.981 1l0.051 346.049 686,980 195.766 87. 414 246,268 109.664 828.806 674.068 197.078 ! MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW Debits to Individual Accounts The volume of charges to depositors' ac· counts during February at banks in principal centers in this district was sea· sonally smaller than in January, and showed a slightly smaller margin of increase over a year ago than had been registered in the three preceding months. DEBITS TO INDIVIDUAL ACCOUNTS (In thousands of dollars ) Feb. Feb. Petg. ch.ng. Jan. Pctg. ch.ng. 1936 1935 from y."r 1936 from month ~:~~:~~i:"~'~'~'~'~'~: -:'~~ ~:':"~: :~ ~un ~tm ~~H ~~:!!i ~i~J rlslalcsana....................... .. Oa iif~~S::;')~/:~;D;: ~rt Arthur................... S Swel!........................... n Antonio.................. l' reveport.................... _ Sh .. 1'~~:~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ~~~~~. 2,611 192,931 2,554 161,022 + 2.2 +19.8 8,889 218,913 6,817 2,287 60,208 85,486 0,444 1,947 52,640 26,766 +25.2 +17.6 +14.4 +82 .6 7,616 2,721 69,468 37,184 JHU JHn liH JHn g:~g~ ~f~~~~:::::::::::~:::::::::::::~:::: g:~~~ c Ita Falls................. 12,977 ~:::g t}U 1~:m ~80:~ 11,042 +17.6 g:m g:m -23.0 -11.9 ~iH -10.5 -16.0 -18.3 - 4.6 =lg:~ =~:~ 14,823 - 9.4 TotaL.............. 681,834 681,454 +17.3 754,731 - 9.7 "Includes the figures of two banks in T exarkana, Arkansas, located in lhe Eighth District. 6 Total debits amounted to $681,834,000, as compared with $754,731,000 in the previous month, and $581,454,000 in February, 1935. Acceptance Market While a further decrease in outstanding bank acceptances usually occurs during February, a moderate upturn was report· ed last month. Total acceptances executed by banks in the Eleventh District and outstanding February 29 amounted to $1,985,134., of which $1,752,679 represented acceptances based on the domestic shipment and storage of goods, and the remaining $232,455 comprised those executed against import and export transactions. The aggregate outstanding a month earlier was $1,767,116, and that on February 28, 1935, was $1,667,457. Savings Deposits The amount of savings deposits held by reporting banks on February 29 was slightly under that a month earlier, but continued appreciably larger than a year ago. The total of these deposits reported was $152,434,147, this figure com· paring with $152,906,487 on January 31, and $14.7,301,256 on February 28 last year. Th~re was a larger number of savings depositors than on either comparative date. SAVINGS DEPOSITS Febru.ry 29, 1936 Febru.ry 28, 1935 Number of re.. Number of Amount of Number of Amount of P ercentage change porting savings savings savings savi ngs from yenr in banks depositors deposits depositors depos its snvings deposi tS 9,065 3 $ 8,512,899 8,814 $ 8,627,281 .4 77,204 9· 24,8&4,858 76,881 26,287,046 - 1.6 2 12,868 6,192,856 11,919 6,215,858 +18.7 8 34,704 11,589,821 84,509 10,814,889 6.7 4 16,921 10,485,484 16,841 9,916,207 6.2 66,488 11" 80,458,007 65,486 29,804,475 8.9 2 5,654 2,215,882 6,288 2,060,516 + 7.6 6· 18,286 17,860,161 17,267 16,844,669 + 6.2 3 22,867 10,277,599 22,409 11,165,976 - 7.9 3 10,581 5,778,970 11,009 6,422,808 - 10.1 3 6,829 3,818,645 6,969 2,802,749 +18.4 50,842 75" 26,684,615 49,774 24,499,887 + 8.8 TotaL. ............................. 124 380,808 $152,484,147 826,106 $147,801,256 + 8.6 · Only 8 banks in Dallas, 10 in Houston, 6 in San Antonio, and 67 in unll others" reported the numbel' of 11'. I:I !~il!l ;! - l MARCH DISCOUNT RATES (Prevailing rates) Dn11 •• nute chal'ged customers on prime commercial puper such tiS that now eligible for I'edlscount under t h e Federal Reserve Act .........................; ............................................. 8l1,.-6 te recCivable................................... . n ate churged on loans to other banks secul'ed by bills other current collateral (not on loans secured by pl'ime stock exch ange 01' including loans placed in other markets through correspondent banks) : Demand .............................................................................................................................. 6-8 n Time .......................................................................................................... --......... --... --........ 8~-8 nate charged on commodity paper secured by warehouse receipts, etc . ...................... .. IVs-6 ate on cattle loans..............__....................................................... _............................................... nn J.nuary 31,1936 Number of savings depositors 9,017 77,016 12,286 84,620 16,906 66,970 5,620 18,122 22,429 10,681 6,289 50,565 Amount of snving! deposits $ 8,687,769 24,814,480 6,101,896 11,518,177 10,498,676 80,876,841 2,218,867 17,846,771 10,820,554 5,901,580 8,807,481 26,478,595 Percentage change from month ill ... ings deposits .7 0.0 + 1.5 + .2 .6 1.4 + .1 0.0 .4 - 2.2 =1= .8 .2 880,421 $152,906,487 savings depos itors. EI Paso Fort Worth 6-8 5-8 4-7 4-7 8-7 4l1,.- 6 6-8 6-8 8 6-8 4-10 4-10 6-8 6-10 8-7 8-7 8-7 7-10 Houston Snn Antonio - - - .8 Waco 6-7 6 6 6 6-7 6-8 6-8 8-7 8 5-8 7-8 INDUSTRY The receipts and crushings of cottonseed and the production of all products reo ~ f1ected the usual seasonal decline during 1; ebruary at both Texas and United States mills, but these Operations, with the exception of the output of crude oil at United States mills, continued above those in the same ll10llth a year ago. The demand for cottonseed products, as I~easured by shipments during the month, showed an appre· clable upturn at Texas mills, as an increase over both the previous month and the corresponding month of 1935 was reflected in the shipments of all classes of products. At ~nited States mills, however, shipments of oil were less than In either comparative month, and cake and meal evidenced a decrease from the January shipments. Movemenls of hulls <Iud lintel's£rol11 American mills were grealer than in either Cottonseed Products January this year or February a year ago. While operations S'fATISTICS ON COTTONSEED AND COT'fONSEED PRODUOTS Texas United St.tes August 1 to Februnry 29 August 1 to Februnry 29 This seaSOIl Last senson This senson Lust season Cottonseed received at mills (tons ) .................. _ .... 948,252 697,872 8,564,981 3,281,889 Cottonseed crushed (tons) . 719,101 868,892 8,282,706 2,928,812 Cottonseed on hand Feb. 29 (tons) .................. 107,272 80,982 871,850 580,288 Crude oil produced (lbs.) .. 242,548,869 206,188,741 989,869,178 904,215,686 Cake and meal produced (tons) .............................. _ 896,776 389,627 1,485,188 1,827,741 Hulls produced (tons) ....... _ 282,644 190,484 764,889 848,090 Lintel'S produced (running bales) ................ 168,487 152,895 748,182 649,620 Stocks on hand Feb. 29 : Crude 011 (pounds) .............. 88,985,061 18,194,855 89,497,926 45,564,941 Cake and meal (tons) ......... 70,668 88,864 322,211 848,254 Hulls (tons) .......................... 86,066 59,922 154,861 181,788 Lintel'S (runnlnll' bales} .._ 66,680 56,111 175,991 197,551 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 6 of cottonseed oil mills during the cunent season continue well above those of the previous season, they are still on a smaller scale than in other recent years. Stocks of crude oil on hand February 29 at crushing establishments in both Texas and the United States were slightly larger than the holdings a month earlier, and they continued noticeably greater than a year ago. Supplies of all other products reo Hected a seasonal decline during the month, and at Amer· ican mills they were less than on February 28, 1935. Despite a seasonal decline of 12.6 per cent in the domestic consumption of cotton during February, activity in the cotton textile industry continued on a relatively high level. Consumption not only evidenced another increase over the corresponding month of the previous y~ar, but it also continued above the ten-year (1926·35) average for that month. There were 516,649 bales of cotton consumed during Febru· ary, as compared with 591,309 bales in the preceding month and 4.80,339 bales in February a year ago. Consumption during the first seven months of the current season totaled 3,523,846 bales and represents an increase of 11.3 per cent over the 3,164.,986 bales consumed in the same period last season. Stocks of cotton on hand at consuming establishments on February 29 were less than a month earlier, but continued in excess of those a year ago. The total supply of cotton at textile mills and public storage and compresses on February 29 amounted to 8,652,279 bales, which is 9.1 pel' cent less than the holdings on February 28, 1935. Textile Milling The consumption of cotton and production of cloth at reporting textile mills located in Texas reflected an increase in February over both the previous month and the same month a year ago. The demand for cotton goods, as measured by orders on hand at the close of the month, continued well above that a year ago, but evidenced a further decrease from that a month earlier. Mill stocks of finished goods on February 29 were in smaller volume than on January 31 this year or February 28, 1935. over the corresponding month last year. Shipments t?taled 406,022 bales, which com pares with exports a.mount111g .to 525,636 bales in January, and 390,294. bales III FebrualY, 1935. During the first seven months of the present season exports totaled 4409619 bales, which compares very favor· , , . . 'd bI ably with exports of the previous season, but IS consl era Y smaller than in other recent years. COTTON MOVEMENTS THROUGH THE PORT OF GALVESTON (Bales) Feb. Receipts ............................... .. Exports ................................ .. Stocl,s, February 29 .......... . Feb. F.b. 1936 1935 481.591 382,285 2,524,865 1,179,024 927,764 7,124.704 8,148,636 516,649 480,889 8,528,846 8,164,986 1,404,476 1,161,076 7,247,803 8,864,790 Cotton Movements Movements of cotton followed the usual seasonal trend during February at the ports of Houston and Galveston. Both receipts and exports reflected a decline from the previous month, but continued in substantially larger volume than in the corresponding month of 1935. During the first seven months of the cunent season the combined exports of cotton from both Houston and Galveston totaled 2,312,754 bales which ~epresents an in?rease of 31.8 per cent over the ship: ments III the same penod of the previous season. Stocks of colton on hand at both concentration points on February 29 were seasonally smaller than on January 31, and at Houston they continued noticeably below those a year ago. Total foreign exports of American cotton showed a sub. stantial decline in February, but registered a small increase August 1 to February 29 This season Last season 1,462,126 1,012,269 674,620 Feb. 29, For Great Britain............................................................... ·...... For France....................................... _.................. ....................... 1936 9,000 1,800 f;~Jl~~l~~~r~~~~!~:~~:i~.: : : :.: : .:.: : : : : : : :.:.:.: .: : : : : : : .: :.: : : :. 6:~:i~~ TotaL............................................................................ 674,520 866,281 848,42 6 684 ,848 Feb . 28 , 1935 8,80 0 1,30 0 16,800 1,000 612~ 634,348 COTTON MOVEMENTS THROUGH THE PORT OF HOUSTON (Baies) Feb. 1936 Receipts............................................... 81,742 Exports................................................ 146,849 Stocks, February 29 ...................................... .. Feb. 1935 86,814 105,403 August 1 to FebruarY 29 This season Lnst SC:l!on 1,688,801 1,800,496 572,641 992,28~ 911.81 5 876,81 SEASON'S RECEIPTS, EXPORTS, AND STOCKS OF COTTON AT ALL UNITED STATES POR'rS (Baies) Receipts..................................................................................·.... . Exports: United Kingdom .............................................. ·...... · France.................................................. ·.... ·.............. · Italy ......................................................................... .. Germany.......................................................... .........· Other Europe..................................................·...... .. J apan ....................................................................... .. All other countries ........................................ ·........ · Total foreign ports............................................................ ·.... ·.. Stocks held at all United States ports, Feb. 29 ................. .. Augu. t 1 to Febru,ry 29 This season Lnst season 6,276,029 8,949,664 606,988~ 999 ,810 658002 274,9 262;040 808,181~ 662 600 288,2 696'798 608,775 1,114;988 1,12~g~~ 236,681 ~ 4,409,619 3,254,882 2,420,776 2,581,716 SPOT COTTON PRICES Middling Basis (Cents per pound) Augu. t 1 to February 29 This season Last season 2,952,172 Feb. 1935 41,880 108,224 COTTON-GALVESTON STOCK STATEMENT (Bales) COTTON CONSUMED AND ON HAND (Bales) Cotton-growing states: Cotton consumed .............................. Cotton on hand February 29 inConsuming establlshmente......... Public storage and compl·esses .. United States: Cotton consumed ............................... Cotton on hand February 29 inConsuming establishments......... Publio storage and compresses .. 1936 69,574 184,696 F.bruory, 1936 High Low New york ............................................................... . New Orleans.......................................................... . Dallas...................................................................... . Houston .................................................................... Galveston....................... _........................................ 11.80 11.69 11.26 11.85 11.82 11.28 11.21 10.66 11.05 11.00 March H, 1936 11.86 11.40 10.94 11.85 11.80 --------------------------------------------Production of crude oil in this district totaled 34.,478,100 barrels in Febru~6: as compared with 35,4,98,100 bar~els in January, an~ D;' 4094,00 barrels in the corresl'londmg month last yeal . e , r '1 spite the decrease from the I)revious month d al y aV erag 00 bar' Production turned upward and amounted to 1,188,9 Illg ac' rels as aO'ainst 1145100 barrels in January. Dn'11' ' t::> " • ur' tivity continued on an approximately unchanged baSIS d 11s ing February. The initial output from newly completed ~~ a was reported as 1,153,763 barrels, which compares 'Vl ' Sub total of 1 168 187 barrels in the preceding month. .tll , were recorded in both New MexlCO an d no1 , ' stantial gains Louisiana. The daily avera"e yield fr0111 Texas fi elds, wh'ch in I Is Petroleum February amounted~o 1,071,200 barrels, was 34,800 baJ'r~er larger than in th~ previo?s mon~ and. 55,000 bal'l:eIs ?re;ot.h than a year ago. fhe major portIon ot the cxpansIOII III 7 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW cases occurred in the western and Gulf coastal areas. A further sizable increase was recorded in north Louisiana during the month. OIL PRODUCTION (Barrels) Incrensc or decrease ~rth Texaa ........................ fEl;1~~1~~;~~ :~ :~·~ ~ :~ ~:~:~ . 'fotal Texaa ...................... ~ew Mexlco ... _................... .. orth Louisiana .................. Total District................... February, 193 6 over J.nunry, 193 6 Tot. l Dnlly Avg . Tot.l D.lly Avg. 3,888,660 114,960 248,860 460 5,891,100 186,900 45,150 i18,450 14,018,600 488,400 761,850 6,950 69,100 2,800 2,086,800 70,200 44,450 +12,550 6,286,760 ~ 1,071,200 -1,068,600 81,064,800 +84,800 57,100 1,666,900 148,800 - 1,100 1,757,400 + 191,900 60,600 +10,100 84,478,100 -1,020,000 1,188,900 +48,800 + FEBRUARY DRILLING RESULTS Completions North Texas ...................... West Texas........................ East Texas....... _.............. _ South Texas...................... Texas COastnl ........... _....... Total Texas................... New Mexico....................... North Louisiana.............. F eb. totals, District..... Jan. totals, District ..... 168 105 217 180 66 720 86 82 787 817 Producers C .. Well. 96 18 2 81 201 1 ao Ii 46 664 81 21 616 604 1 22 2 6 80 88 Failur.. 44 22 16 86 18 184 2 6 141 180 Initial Production 19,706 124,994 706,060 70,078 20,410 940,246 60,202 168,816 1,158,768 1,168,187 Building A further considerable expansion over the previous month was registered in the valuation of building permits issued at leading cities in the Eleventh Federal Reserve District during February, and the month's volume was more than five times larger than that reported a year ago. The total valuation, which amounted to $7,720,358, was at the highest point reached for anyone month since October, 1929. In January the amount reported was $4,,271,546, and in February last year the aggregate was $1,503,448. CRUDE OIL PRICES (Price p el' burrel) March 6, March 8, 1936 19J5 $1.22 $1.12 North Texas (40 gravity and above) ..................................... 1.08 1.08 orth Loulsluna (40 gravity and above) ............................. 1.10 1.08 (011 statistics compiled by The 011 Weekly, Houston, Texas) ~exus Coastal (84 gravity !lnd above) ............................. .... BUILDING PERMITS February, 1936 i:!~ll:i:: : : : : : : : : : :: Dofpus ChristL ............ ~i~~':io::::::::::::::::::::::::::: Gort Worth.................... ~~;B~~.~ ::::::::::::::::::::::: S art Arthur................... n Antonio.................. st ~i~~·~~·~Falls ................ ·~·~::::::::::::::::::::: chlta 'l'ota\... ............. Cement Valuation No. 26 $ 48,295 142 456,482 102,282 78 257,060 78 2,149,091 847 50 58,171 118 284,975 74 20,013 8,961,612 887 112 48,844 149,012 191 92 186,660 84 89,896 10 18,575 1,789 $7,720,858 Fcbruory, 19 JS No. Valuation 20 $ 10,807 121 176,590 98 14,270 47 28,487 883 225,479 8D 42,890 90 49,400 101 209,658 197 448,179 81,247 61 128 45,241 150 148,507 16 13,884 21 69,859 1,457 $1,508,448 Pctg. change J.nuary, 1936 valuation over yen r 22 154 97 81 419 47 102 82 269 69 195 78 27 7 1,644 Vnluation valuation over month 48,884 799,845 219,888 125,580 999,275 42.098 582,400 25,561 798,921 26,400 489,880 84,208 27,758 12,995 $4,271,546 .1 - 42.9 - 58.5 +104.8 115.1 + 26.8 - 61.1 - 21.7 +899.0 + 90.8 - 69.6 + 62.8 + 48.8 + 42.9 + 80.7 No. +820.1 +158.5 +616.4 +994.5 +858.1 + 25.4 +476.9 - 90 .5 +798.9 + 64.7 229.4 8.0 +188.4 - 78.4 +413.5 Increased activity was in evidence during February at Texas Portland cement mills, ?oth production and shipments being in larger volume than In either the previous month or the same month last year. There were 375,000 barrels of cement manufactured, as compared with 260,000 barrels in January and 221,000 barrels in February a year ago. Aggregate shipments amounted ~o 397,000 barrels, as against 395,000 barrels in the preced~ng month and 229,000 barrels in the corresponding month In 1935. Inventories on hand decreased from 607,000 barrels at the close of January to 586,000 barrels on February Pctg. change $ No. 48 296 175 159 766 97 220 166 656 181 886 165 61 17 8,888 Jnnunry I to February 29 1936 19J5 Vnluntlon No. V.lu. tlon 86,629 $ 49 $ 81,611 1,255,777 252 1,912,893 822,070 186 68,185 882,590 98 59,568 8,148,866 784 605,069 95,264 66 57,947 867,876 176 428,889 45,574 188 284,906 4,755,588 416 964,614 78,758 91 55,876 688,901 806 259,427 220,858 277 209,179 67,649 89 48,088 81,570 41 79,410 $11,991,904 2,908 $5,005,111 Pctg. chanae valuation over period +174.0 - 84.8 -410.1 542 8 420.8 • 64,4 102.2 - 80.6 1 1"'" 82.0 146.8 5.6 57.0 - 60.2 +189.6 29, and on the latter date were 18.3 per cent smaller than a year ago. PRODUC'l'ION, SHIPMENTS, AND STOCKS OF PORTLAND CEMENT (In thousands of bane1s) Percentnge chnn!;c over February, 1936 Production at Texas m111s. 875 Shipments from Texas mills................................... 897 Stocks at end of month at Texas mills.................. 586 February, ]nnu:uy, 19J5 1936 +69.7 +44.2 +78.4 +.5 - 18.8 - 8.5 ]anuory 1 through Percenlaao Feb. 29, change 1936 over year 685 +28.8 792 +68.9 8 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW SUMMARY OF NATIONAL BUSINESS CONDITIONS (Compiled by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. March 26, 1986) Volume of industrial production and employment showed little change in February, and the index of production which makes allowance for seasonal changes, declined fro~ 98 to 95 per cent of the 1923·1925 average. Distribution of commodities continued at about the January level. PRODUCTION AND EMPLOYMENT Daily average output in basic industries was in about the same volume in February as in January. Since usually there is an increase in manufacturing activity at this season, the Board's seasonally adjusted index of factory output showed a decline. Output at mines increased. There was a sub. stantial further decrease in automobile production in Febru. ary, and the rate of operations at steel mills increased by less than the usual seasonal amount. In the first half of March pro~uction of steel expanded seasonally and output of automobiles showed a more than seasonal increase. There was little cha~ge in the volume of lumber cut in February, although an mcrease usually occurs in that month. At woolen mills production increased by about the seasonal amount, while activity at cotton textile mills, which is usu~lly l~rger in February than in January, decreased, and at Silk mills there was a larger than seasonal decline. Out. put at meat· packing establishments also declined. There was a substantial increase in the mining of both anthracite and bituminous coal, while output of crude petroleum declined s2...mewhat. Factory employment increased by less than the usual seasonal amount between the middle of January and the middle of February. There was little change in the num. ber of workers at steel mills and a decrease in the number employed at automobile factories, although increases are usual in these industries in February. Employment declined at silk and rayon textile mills and showed a smaller than seasonal increase at shoe factories. Increases in employment were. reported fo~ railroad repair shops, for printing and pubhshmg estabhshments, and for factories producing wear. mg a~parel. Factory payrolls, which are usually larger in the middle of February than a month earlier, showed no change. The value of construction contracts awarded, as reo ported by the F. W. Dodge Corporation, declined further 1~ February. Awards for residential construction showed lIttle change, and there was a decrease in the value of awar.ds for . all other contracts, a large part of which are for pubhc projects. DISTRIBUTION Department store sales showed little change from January to February and, after allowance for seasonal variation, were at about the same level as that prevailing last summer and autumn. Freight-car loadings increased by a small seasonal amount in February. Loadings of coal were con· siderably larger than in January, while shipments of miscel· laneous freight declined, and the Board's seasonally adjusted index of total loadings remained at the January figure of 70 per cent of the 1923·1925 average as compaTed with 71 per cent in December and an average of 63 per cent for 1935. COMMODITY PRICES The general level of wholesale commodity prices declined somewhat during the latter part of February and the first half of March, following a six-month period of little change. The recent downward movement reflected declines in prices of farm products and foods. BANK CREDIT Excess reserves of member banks decreased by $650,· 000,000 during the four weeks ending March 18 and on that date amounted to $2,4.00,000,000. This decrease reo flected chiefly a transfer of funds to Treasury deposits at the Reserve banks in connection with receipt of income taJ(~s and of cash payments for newly.issued Government secUl?' ties. Loans and investments of reporting member banks 111 leading cities increased rapidly in March and on the 18th of the month were $525,000,000 higher than four weeks earlier. Of this increase $190,000,000 represented a growth in holdings of direct and guaranteed obligations of t~e United States Government and $80,000,000 an increase In other investments. Security loans both to brokers a~d dealers and to others increased, and there was a substantial growth in so·called "other loans", which include loans for commercial purposes. Adjusted demand deposits of report· ing member banks declined by $340,000,000 during the four weeks ending March l8. Balances held for domestic ba~ks increased at the turn of the month as banks in the intel'lOr sold Government securities in New York in anticipation of maturities. During the week ending March 18 balances de· clined, partly as the result of banks throughout the coU?~ry purchasing in the New York market Government secul'lUes issued on March 16.