Full text of July 2004 : Text File, USDL 04-1588
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TRANSMISSION OF MATERIAL
IN THIS RELEASE IS EMBARGOED
UNTIL 8:30 AM EDT, Tuesday,
August 17, 2004
REAL EARNINGS IN JULY 2004
Real average weekly earnings increased by 0.7 percent from June to July
after seasonal adjustment, according to preliminary data released today by the
Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor. This was due to a
0.3 percent increase in average hourly earnings, a 0.3 percent rise in average
weekly hours, and a 0.1 percent decrease in the Consumer Price Index for Urban
Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W).
Data on average weekly earnings are collected from the payroll reports of
private nonfarm establishments. Earnings of both full-time and part-time
workers holding production or nonsupervisory jobs are included. Real average
weekly earnings are calculated by adjusting earnings in current dollars for
changes in the CPI-W.
Average weekly earnings rose by 2.3 percent, seasonally adjusted, from July
2003 to July 2004. After deflation by the CPI-W, average weekly earnings
declined by 0.7 percent. Before adjustment for seasonal change and inflation,
average weekly earnings were $526.94 in July 2004, compared with $515.27 a year
earlier.
_____________________________
Real Earnings for August 2004 will be released on Thursday, September 16,
2004.
Table A. Composition of change in real earnings of production or
nonsupervisory workers(1) on private nonfarm payrolls
________________________________________________________________________
| | | | |
| Average | Average | Average | The | Real
| hourly | weekly | weekly | Consumer | average
Year | earnings | hours | earnings | Price | weekly
and | | | | Index(2) | earnings
month |___________|___________|___________|___________|___________
|
| Percent change from preceding month, seasonally adjusted
____________|___________________________________________________________
| | | | |
2003: | | | | |
July | 0.4 | -0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0
Aug. | .1 | .0 | .1 | .4 | -.4
Sept. | .0 | .0 | .0 | .3 | -.3
Oct. | .1 | .3 | .4 | -.2 | .6
Nov. | .2 | .3 | .5 | -.3 | .8
Dec. | -.1 | -.6 | -.7 | .2 | -.8
2004: | | | | |
Jan. | .3 | .6 | .9 | .6 | .3
Feb. | .2 | .0 | .2 | .3 | -.1
Mar. | .2 | .0 | .2 | .5 | -.3
Apr. | .3 | -.3 | (3) | .2 | -.2
May | .3 | .3 | .6 | .7 | -.1
June(p) | .1 | -.6 | -.5 | .3 | -.8
July(p) | .3 | .3 | .6 | -.1 | .7
____________|___________|___________|___________|___________|___________
1 See footnote 2, table 1.
2 The deflator for the constant-dollar series presented in this
release is the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical
Workers (CPI-W).
3 Less than 0.05 percent.
p = preliminary.
Table B. Percent change in earnings from the same month a year ago for
production or nonsupervisory workers(1) on private nonfarm payrolls,
seasonally adjusted
_________________________________________________________________________
| |
| Average hourly | Average weekly
| earnings | earnings
Year |_____________________________|_____________________________
and | | | |
month | Current | Constant | Current | Constant
| dollars | (1982) | dollars | (1982)
| | dollars(2) | | dollars(2)
_____________|______________|______________|______________|______________
| | | |
2003: | | | |
July | 2.9 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 0.3
Aug. | 2.7 | .6 | 1.8 | -.4
Sept. | 2.4 | .1 | 1.5 | -.7
Oct. | 2.2 | .4 | 1.9 | (3)
Nov. | 2.2 | .7 | 2.2 | .6
Dec. | 1.8 | .1 | 1.2 | -.5
2004: | | | |
Jan. | 2.0 | .2 | 2.0 | .2
Feb. | 1.6 | .2 | 1.9 | .5
Mar. | 1.8 | .4 | 1.8 | .4
Apr. | 2.2 | .2 | 2.5 | .5
May | 2.1 | -.8 | 2.4 | -.6
June(p) | 2.0 | -1.1 | 1.7 | -1.4
July(p) | 1.9 | -1.0 | 2.3 | -.7
_____________|______________|______________|______________|______________
1 See footnote 2, table 1.
2 The deflator for the constant-dollar series presented in this
release is the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical
Workers (CPI-W).
3 Less than 0.05 percent.
p = preliminary.
Table 1. Earnings of production or nonsupervisory workers on private
nonfarm payrolls in current and constant dollars(1) by industry and
selected industry detail, not seasonally adjusted
_______________________________________________________________________________
|
| Average hourly earnings
|_________________________________________________
| | | |
Industry | | | | Percent
| July | June | July | change:
| 2003 | 2004p | 2004p | July 2003-
| | | | July 2004
_____________________________|___________|___________|___________|_____________
| | | |
Total private:(2) | | | |
Current dollars..........| $15.29 | $15.57 | $15.59 | 2.0
Constant (1982) dollars..| 8.25 | 8.14 | 8.17 | -1.0
| | | |
Goods-producing: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 16.85 | 17.14 | 17.19 | 2.0
Constant (1982) dollars..| 9.09 | 8.96 | 9.01 | -.9
| | | |
Natural resources and | | | |
mining: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 17.53 | 18.18 | 18.15 | 3.5
Constant (1982) dollars..| 9.46 | 9.51 | 9.51 | .5
| | | |
Construction: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 19.00 | 19.13 | 19.24 | 1.3
Constant (1982) dollars..| 10.25 | 10.01 | 10.08 | -1.7
| | | |
Manufacturing: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 15.68 | 16.09 | 16.05 | 2.4
Constant (1982) dollars..| 8.46 | 8.42 | 8.41 | -.6
| | | |
Private service-providing: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 14.87 | 15.14 | 15.15 | 1.9
Constant (1982) dollars..| 8.02 | 7.92 | 7.94 | -1.0
| | | |
Trade, transportation, and | | | |
utilities: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 14.32 | 14.61 | 14.62 | 2.1
Constant (1982) dollars..| 7.73 | 7.64 | 7.66 | -.9
| | | |
Wholesale trade: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 17.33 | 17.58 | 17.66 | 1.9
Constant (1982) dollars..| 9.35 | 9.19 | 9.26 | -1.0
| | | |
Retail trade: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 11.89 | 12.08 | 12.06 | 1.4
Constant (1982) dollars..| 6.42 | 6.32 | 6.32 | -1.6
| | | |
Transportation and | | | |
warehousing: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 16.35 | 16.79 | 16.88 | 3.2
Constant (1982) dollars..| 8.82 | 8.78 | 8.85 | .3
| | | |
Utilities: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 24.64 | 25.30 | 25.40 | 3.1
Constant (1982) dollars..| 13.30 | 13.23 | 13.31 | .1
| | | |
Information: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 21.01 | 21.17 | 21.25 | 1.1
Constant (1982) dollars..| 11.34 | 11.07 | 11.14 | -1.8
| | | |
Financial activities: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 17.29 | 17.37 | 17.43 | .8
Constant (1982) dollars..| 9.33 | 9.08 | 9.14 | -2.0
| | | |
Professional and business | | | |
services: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 17.07 | 17.29 | 17.31 | 1.4
Constant (1982) dollars..| 9.21 | 9.04 | 9.07 | -1.5
| | | |
Education and health | | | |
services: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 15.62 | 16.06 | 16.14 | 3.3
Constant (1982) dollars..| 8.43 | 8.40 | 8.46 | .4
| | | |
Leisure and hospitality: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 8.68 | 8.78 | 8.80 | 1.4
Constant (1982) dollars..| 4.68 | 4.59 | 4.61 | -1.5
| | | |
Other services: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 13.72 | 13.81 | 13.77 | .4
Constant (1982) dollars..| 7.40 | 7.22 | 7.22 | -2.4
_____________________________|___________|___________|___________|_____________
See footnotes at end of table.
Table 1. Earnings of production or nonsupervisory workers on private
nonfarm payrolls in current and constant dollars(1) by industry and
selected industry detail, not seasonally adjusted - Continued
_______________________________________________________________________________
|
| Average weekly earnings
|_________________________________________________
| | | |
Industry | | | | Percent
| July | June | July | change:
| 2003 | 2004p | 2004p | July 2003-
| | | | July 2004
_____________________________|___________|___________|___________|_____________
| | | |
Total private:(2) | | | |
Current dollars..........| $515.27 | $524.71 | $526.94 | 2.3
Constant (1982) dollars..| 278.07 | 274.43 | 276.17 | -.7
| | | |
Goods-producing: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 665.58 | 690.74 | 687.60 | 3.3
Constant (1982) dollars..| 359.19 | 361.27 | 360.38 | .3
| | | |
Natural resources and | | | |
mining: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 757.30 | 814.46 | 809.49 | 6.9
Constant (1982) dollars..| 408.69 | 425.97 | 424.26 | 3.8
| | | |
Construction: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 741.00 | 738.42 | 754.21 | 1.8
Constant (1982) dollars..| 399.89 | 386.20 | 395.29 | -1.2
| | | |
Manufacturing: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 620.93 | 659.69 | 646.82 | 4.2
Constant (1982) dollars..| 335.09 | 345.03 | 339.00 | 1.2
| | | |
Private service-providing: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 481.79 | 489.02 | 492.38 | 2.2
Constant (1982) dollars..| 260.01 | 255.76 | 258.06 | -.7
| | | |
Trade, transportation, and | | | |
utilities: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 484.02 | 489.44 | 494.16 | 2.1
Constant (1982) dollars..| 261.21 | 255.98 | 258.99 | -.8
| | | |
Wholesale trade: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 653.34 | 661.01 | 667.55 | 2.2
Constant (1982) dollars..| 352.58 | 345.72 | 349.87 | -.8
| | | |
Retail trade: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 373.35 | 373.27 | 377.48 | 1.1
Constant (1982) dollars..| 201.48 | 195.22 | 197.84 | -1.8
| | | |
Transportation and | | | |
warehousing: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 603.32 | 621.23 | 627.94 | 4.1
Constant (1982) dollars..| 325.59 | 324.91 | 329.11 | 1.1
| | | |
Utilities: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 1007.78 | 1044.89 | 1026.16 | 1.8
Constant (1982) dollars..| 543.86 | 546.49 | 537.82 | -1.1
| | | |
Information: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 762.66 | 774.82 | 771.38 | 1.1
Constant (1982) dollars..| 411.58 | 405.24 | 404.29 | -1.8
| | | |
Financial activities: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 610.34 | 611.42 | 615.28 | .8
Constant (1982) dollars..| 329.38 | 319.78 | 322.47 | -2.1
| | | |
Professional and business | | | |
services: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 580.38 | 589.59 | 590.27 | 1.7
Constant (1982) dollars..| 313.21 | 308.36 | 309.37 | -1.2
| | | |
Education and health | | | |
services: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 504.53 | 518.74 | 524.55 | 4.0
Constant (1982) dollars..| 272.28 | 271.31 | 274.92 | 1.0
| | | |
Leisure and hospitality: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 226.55 | 227.40 | 231.44 | 2.2
Constant (1982) dollars..| 122.26 | 118.93 | 121.30 | -.8
| | | |
Other services: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 430.81 | 428.11 | 429.62 | -.3
Constant (1982) dollars..| 232.49 | 223.91 | 225.17 | -3.1
_____________________________|___________|___________|___________|_____________
1 The deflator for the constant-dollar series presented in this
release is the Consumer Price Index for Urban Earners and
Clerical Workers (CPI-W).
2 Data relate to production workers in natural resources and
mining and manufacturing, construction workers in
construction, and nonsupervisory workers in the
service-providing industries. These groups account for
approximately four-fifths of the total employment on private
nonfarm payrolls.
p = preliminary.
Table 2. Earnings of production or nonsupervisory workers(1) on private
nonfarm payrolls, seasonally adjusted
_________________________________________________________________________
| |
| |
| Average hourly | Average weekly
| earnings | earnings
| |
Year |_____________________________|_____________________________
and | | | |
month | | | |
| Current | Constant | Current | Constant
| dollars | (1982) | dollars | (1982)
| | dollars(2) | | dollars(2)
| | | |
_____________|______________|______________|______________|______________
| | | |
2003: | | | |
July | $15.40 | $8.31 | $517.44 | $279.24
Aug. | 15.41 | 8.28 | 517.78 | 278.08
Sept. | 15.41 | 8.25 | 517.78 | 277.33
Oct. | 15.43 | 8.28 | 519.99 | 278.96
Nov. | 15.46 | 8.32 | 522.55 | 281.09
Dec. | 15.45 | 8.30 | 519.12 | 278.80
2004: | | | |
Jan. | 15.49 | 8.27 | 523.56 | 279.68
Feb. | 15.52 | 8.27 | 524.58 | 279.48
Mar. | 15.55 | 8.24 | 525.59 | 278.53
Apr. | 15.59 | 8.25 | 525.38 | 277.98
May | 15.63 | 8.21 | 528.29 | 277.61
June(p) | 15.65 | 8.20 | 525.84 | 275.45
July(p) | 15.70 | 8.23 | 529.09 | 277.30
_____________|______________|______________|______________|______________
1 See footnote 2, table 1.
2 The deflator for the constant-dollar series presented in this
release is the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical
Workers (CPI-W).
p = preliminary.
Explanatory Note
The earnings series presented in this release
are derived from the Bureau of Labor Statistics�
Current Employment Statistics (CES) survey, a
monthly establishment survey of employment, payroll,
and hours. The deflator used for constant-dollar
earnings series presented in this release is derived from
the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and
Clerical Workers (CPI-W).
For the purpose of the Real Earnings series,
the CPI-W is converted from the base of 1982-84 that
is used in the official, published series to a base of
1982. Thus, the constant dollar average hourly and
weekly earnings series are in 1982 dollars. To avoid
confusion for users, the CPI data presented in Table A
are the official, published CPI-W series. These data
may differ slightly from those used in the real earnings
calculations.
Seasonally adjusted data are used for
estimates of percent change from the same month a
year ago for current and constant average hourly and
weekly earnings that are presented in Table B of this
release. Special techniques are applied to the CES
hours and earnings data in the seasonal adjustment
process to mitigate the effect of certain calendar-
related fluctuations. Thus, over-the-year changes of
these hours and earnings are best measured using
seasonally adjusted series. A discussion of the
calendar-related fluctuations in the hours and earnings
data and the special techniques to remove them is
available in the June 1998 issue of Employment and
Earnings or on the Internet
(http://www.bls.gov/ces/).
Earnings series from the monthly
establishment series are estimated arithmetic averages
(means) of the hourly and weekly earnings of all
production or nonsupervisory jobs in the private
nonfarm sector of the economy. Average hourly
earnings estimates are derived by dividing the
estimated industry payroll--for all production or
nonsupervisory jobs--by the corresponding paid hours.
Average weekly hours estimates are similarly derived
by dividing estimated aggregate hours by the
corresponding number of production or nonsupervisory
jobs. Average weekly earnings estimates are derived
by multiplying the average hourly earnings and the
average weekly hours estimates. This is equivalent to
dividing the estimated payroll by the number of
production or nonsupervisory jobs. The weekly and
hourly earnings estimates for aggregate industries,
such as the major industry division and the total private
sector averages printed in this release, are derived by
summing the corresponding payroll, hours, and
employment estimates of the component industries.
As a result, each industry receives a "weight" in the
published averages that corresponds to its current level
of activity (employment or total hours). This further
implies that fluctuations and varying trends in
employment in high-wage versus low-wage industries
as well as wage rate changes influence the earnings
averages.
There are several characteristics of the series
presented in this release that limit their suitability for
some types of economic analyses. (1) The denominator
for the weekly earnings series is the number of private
nonfarm production or nonsupervisory worker jobs.
This number includes full-time and part-time jobs as
well as the jobs held by multiple jobholders in the
private nonfarm sector. These factors tend to result in
weekly earnings averages significantly lower than the
corresponding numbers for full-time jobs. (2) Annual
earnings averages can differ significantly from the
result obtained by multiplying average weekly
earnings times 52 weeks. The difference may be due
to factors such as turnovers and layoffs. (3) The series
are the average earnings of all production or
nonsupervisory jobs, not the earnings average of
"typical" jobs or jobs held by "typical" workers.
Specifically, there are no adjustments for occupational,
age, or schooling variations or for household type or
location. Many studies have established the
significance of these factors and that their impact
varies over time.
Seasonally adjusted data (table 2) are
preferred by some users for analyzing general earnings
trends in the economy since they eliminate the effect of
changes that normally occur at the same time and in
about the same magnitude each year and, therefore,
reveal the underlying trends and cyclical movements.
Changes in average earnings may be due to seasonal
changes in the proportion of workers in high-wage and
low-wage industries or occupations or to seasonal
changes in the amount of overtime work, and so on.
For more information, see Thomas Gavett,
"Measures of Change in Real Wages and Earnings,"
Monthly Labor Review, February 1972.
Information in this release will be made
available to sensory impaired individuals upon request.
Voice phone: 202-691-5200; TDD Message Referral
Phone Number: 1-800-877-8339.