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; Railroad ^ te c h n o lo g y and M a n p o w e r ^ n the 1970’s Bulletin 1717 j.S. DEPARTMENT OF LABOR bureau of Labor Statistics Payton & Montgomery Co. Public Library MAY 191972 DOCUMENT COLLECTION R ailroad T e c h n o lo g y and M anpow er in the 1970’s Bulletin 1717 U.S. DEPARTMENT OF LABOR J. D. Hodgson, Secretary BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS Geoffrey H. Moore, Commissioner 1972 For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office Washington, D.C. 20402 - Price $1 Preface This bulletin describes changes in technology in the Railroad Industry, one of the major industries of the economy, projects their impact on productivity, em ployment, and occupational requirements, and discusses methods of adjustment. It is one of a series of reports designed to help meet the requirement of the M an power Development and Training Act that the Secretary of Labor “evaluate the impact of and benefits and problems created by automation, technological prog ress and other ch'anges in the structure of production and demand on the use of the Nation’s human resources; establish techniques and methods of detecting in advance the potential impact of such developm ents;. . The study was based on discussions with company, union, and government officials and with railroad equipment manufacturers. It was based also on attend ance at conferences and exhibits as well as on information obtained from Bureau sources and others in government, and on trade and technical publications. The Bureau of Labor Statistics is deeply grateful to many individuals who furnished valuable information and reviewed and commented on the draft of this report. Special acknowledgement for photographs is due the Association of American Railroads, Reading Lines, Western Maryland Railway, Louisville and Nashville Railroad, Santa Fe Railway, Norfolk and Western Railway, Seaboard Coastline Railroad Company, Illinois Central Railroad Company and R a ilw a y A g e. This bulletin was prepared by Richard Johnson under the supervision of Morton Levine. Mable Elliott prepared the material on communications and assisted in the research and the preparation of statistical material for many parts of the report. The chapter on worker adjustment is based on research materials collected by Audrey Freedman and Kenneth Levin. The study was made in the Office of Productivity and Technology under the general direction of John J. Macut, Chief of the Division of Technological Studies. Ill CONTENTS Page Summary and H ighlights.............................................................. ............................................................................ 1 Chapter I. The Changing Railroad In d u stry .............. ..........................................................._ ........................ Definition of the industry ..........................................—.................................................................................. The railroad industry— a coordinated sy stem ................................ -.............................. ........................... Relationship to other industries...................................................................................................................... Changing competitive position of the ra ilro a d s.......................................................................................... Freight traffic ............................. ........................................ ...................................................................... Passenger traffic........................................................... .................................................. .......................... Changing structure of the in d u stry ............................................................................................................... Marketing and managerial ch a n g es............................................................................................................... Investment and modernization .............. ...... ................. .............................................................................. Research and developm ent................................................................................................... ......................... 5 5 5 6 6 7 7 8 8 9 11 Chapter II. Technological Change in the 1960’s and 1970’s ...... ..... ........................................................ Background ............................................................................................................ ......................................... Motive power developments ............................................. ............................................................................. Freight car improvements ...................... .............................................................. ......................................... Shop facilities: relocation and im provem ents............................................................................................... Piggyback traffic and unit trains .................................................................................................................... Automatic classification y a rd s ....... ....... ...................... ...... ..... ..................................................................... Computers ....................................................................................... Signaling and communication im provem ents............................................................................................... Detection devices____ „..................................................... ...................................................................... Microwave ................................. ...... .......................... ............................................................................. Automatic car identification .................................... ......................................... ................................... M aintenance of way changes.......................................................................................................................... Passenger serv ice...... ..... ....... ............................................ ............................................................................. 13 13 13 18 23 24 25 27 30 31 31 32 32 34 Chapter III. Productivity and Other Measures of Technological C h an g e................................................... Output per m an-hour .;................................................................................ .................................................. Capital and output per unit of capital .......................................................................................................... Output and material in p u ts .......................................................................... Selected equipment utilization m easu res........................ ............................................................................ 35 35 37 37 37 Chapter IV. Employment Trends ......................................... Employment trends ...................................................................................... Employment sh ifts........................................... r....................................................................................... Characteristics of the railroad w o rk fo rce.................................................................................................... Distribution of em ploym ent................................................ Women employed by ra ilro a d s............................................................................................................. Age .............................................................................................................................................................. Employment of Negroes and Spanish-surnamed A m erican s............. ........................................... 41 41 41 41 41 42 42 42 V Contents— Continued Page Chapter V. Employment Outlook and Impact of Technological Change on Occupational Structure Employment outlook ......................................................................................................................................... Trends in freight traffic ....................................... ................................................................................... Trends in passenger traffic ...... ................................ .................................................. ......................... Changes in occupational structure, 1957 and 1967 .......................................................................... Technology and occupational tre n d s ...... ..................................-.................................................................. Redieselization ............................................................................ ........................................ .......................... Improved cars ...... .......................... ................................................................................................................... Shop facilities: relocation and im provem ents.......... ..... .......................... ...................... ........................... Unit trains and piggyback traffic .......................................... .................... .................................................... Automatic classification y a rd s ....................................................... ............. .......................... ........................ Computers ........................................... ....................................... ..... ............... .............................................. . Centralized traffic control ............... ............................................... ............................................................... Detectors, microwave and automatic car identification............................................................................ M aintenance of way innovations ....................... ..................... .......... ............. ........................................... Passenger service ch a n g es............... .................... „ .................... ................................................................... Other employment and occupational changes not related to a specific innovation .................... 45 45 45 45 46 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 56 57 58 Chapter VI. Adjustments to Technological Change, Working Conditions, and E arn in g s.............. Collective bargaining and adjustments to technological change ................................... .................... Adjustment techniques ..________________ ______________________________________________ _ Advance notice ..... .............. ............................... ..................................... .............................................. Job sec u rity ............. ................. .......................... ....... ........... ................................................................. Crew size regulation .............................................................................................................................. Transfer rig h ts...................................... .............. ............... ...... ...... „ .................................................... T ra in in g ____ ____ ___________________________ _ ______ _ ____________ _____________ _ _ Limitations on subcontracting___ ___ __________________________ ___________ __________ Displacement allow ances................................................... ............ ............... ........................................ Severance or dismissal allow ances.............. ..................... ........... ...... ................................................. Unemployment b en efits......... ........... ............................................ ...... ................................................. Retirement ................................. ..................... ............. ..... ............. ........................................................ Earnings and working conditions ....... ........... .......................................................... .......................... 61 61 62 62 62 62 63 63 64 64 65 65 66 66 Tables: 1. Ton-miles of shipments— means of transport and commodity, 1967 ........... 2. Gross product originated in transportation, by mode, selected years, 1947-69 ....... 3. Percent distribution of total estimated intercity ton-miles of freight, by mode, selected years, 1939-69 ......................... ............ ............................................................................................ 4. Distribution of intercity passenger traffic in the United States, by mode, selected years, 1949-69 __ _______________________________________ ________ ________ __________ 5. Commodities carried: Class I railroads, 1968 ................... 6. Percentage distribution of gross capital expenditures of Class I railroads, by category, 1956-65 .............................................................................. ...... ....... ....... ........... . ..................... 7. Percentage distribution of age of industrial capacity, spring 1962 and December 1966 ......... 8. Research and development related to railroad industry, selected years, 1960-66 .................. 9. Technological change in railroads, 1957-67 and outlook, 1975-80 ............................................ VI 6 7 7 8 9 9 10 11 14 Contents— Continued Page 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. Specialized freight cars, by major class, 1957 and 1967 ................................................................. I.C.C. approved piggyback plans, unit terminations, and revenues, first six months,1968 .... U.S. automatic classification yards ................................................... The age of operating computers, railroads and other industries, 1965 ...... Track miles controlled by block signal and CTC systems, selected years,1957-68 ............. Miscellaneous detectors installed, by year, 1960-67 ..................................................................... Degree of maintenance of way mechanization, by operation, 1969 ......................................... O utput per man-hour (R TU ’s): Ratios for “best” railroads in a district and industry aver age, 1^56-66 ............. Value of road and equipment, number of employees, all U.S. railroads, selected years, 1948-67 ............................................................................................................................... Freight equipment utilization, 1957 and 1968 ...................... Revenue and nonrevenue ton-miles per ton of capacity, Class I railroads, selected years, 1955-68 ..................................................................................... Class I railroad employment and traffic, selected years, 1947-69 ..... Age distribution of railroad employees, 1957 and 1967 .............................................................. Estimated retirements, by occupation, 1967-75 ............................................................................ Railroad employment of minority groups, 1966 ............................................................................ Changes in Class I railroad employment, by major occupational group, 1957-67 ............. Occupational categories with greatest employment decreases, 1957-67 .................................. Employment by innovation group, 1957, 1967, and outlook for 1975 .................................... Employment and occupational changes related to redieselization, 1957-67 ........................... Estimated maintenance man-hours for selected diesel locomotive se rie s.................................. Employment and occupational changes related to improved cars, 1957-67 .......................... Employment and occupational changes related to facility relocation and improvements, 1957-67 ................................................................................................................................................ Employment and occupational changes related to use of automatic classification yards, 1957-67 ..... Employment and occupational changes related to use of computers, 1957-67 ............... New railroad job titles associated with use of computers .................. Employment and occupational changes related to centralized traffic control, 1957-67 -----Employment and occupational changes related to detectors, microwave, and automatic car identification, 1957-67 ..............................................................................................................-....... Employment and occupational changes related to maintenance of way innovations, 195767 ........................................................................................................................................................... Employment and occupational changes related to passenger service, 1957-67 ....................... Employment and occupational changes, not related to specific innovations, 1957-67 ......... Hours and earnings of workers in manufacturing and Class I railroads, 1947, 1957, and 1960-68 ................................................................................................................................................ Average straight-time pay, by occupational group, Class I railroads, 1957 and 1967 ...... Employee compensation, Class I railroads, 1965 ............................................................................ 19 24 28 30 31 32 33 1. Number of locomotives, by type, and percent of total, selected years, 1947-67 .................. 2. Car set-outs per million car-miles, 1955-70 ..................................................................................... 3. Piggyback freight carriage, 1955-69 ................................................................................................... 18 22 25 18. 19. 20. 21. 22. 23. 24. 25. 26. 27. 28. 29. 30. 31. 32. 33. 34. 35. 36. 37. 38. 39. 40. 41. 42. 36 37 38 39 42 42 43 43 46 47 48 48 49 49 50 51 52 53 54 54 56 57 58 67 67 67 Charts: VII Contents— Continued Page 4. Railroads: output and output per man-hour, 1947-70 ....... .................. ................................... 5. Fuel requirements per gross ton-mile in Class I, linehaul railroads, 1948-66 ......................... 36 38 Appendix: I— 1. Railroads and other transportation new plant and equipment expenditures,1945-70 .............. 1-2. Class I railroads, methods of financing, by y e a r ............................................................................. II— 1. Locomotives in service, by type, 1947-67 .............................................. I I - 2. Piggyback freight carloading of 1 or more trailers, 1955-69 ......................... II— 3. Automatic car identification (A C I) applications ............................................................................. III— 1. Alternative productivity forecasting technique .................... III— 2. Methodological note on output per m a n -h o u r.... ...................... III— 3. Railroad transportation-revenue traffic (SIC 401) output per m an-hour, unit labor re quirements, and related data, all employees, 1939-70 .......... ....................... ..... ....................... III— Railroad transportation-revenue traffic (SIC 401) output per man hour, unit labor re 4. quirements, and related data, production workers, 1939-70 ..................................... .......... III— 5. Leading railroads ........ III— Revenue traffic units per man-hour for railroads and industry, 1965 ........................................... 6. III— Road and equipment, constant dollar value se rie s ......... ....................... 7. III— 8. Product and input value in U.S. railroads, 1947-68 .......................... III— 9. Methodological note on derivation of total fuel requirements and efficiency .......... III— 10. Fuel consumed by Class I line-haul railways per gross ton-mile, selected years, 1948-66 .... IV— 1. Concentrations of railroad employment, 23 leading SMSA’s, March 1957 and M arch 1967 IV— 2. Changes in composition of SMSA’s, March 1957-67 .... V— 1. Railroad unions .................................................................. 69 70 71 72 72 75 75 B ibliography............................................................................................................. .................................................. 86 V III 76 77 78 79 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 Summary and Highlights The railroad industry is an excellent example of an industry that has undergone technological change almost continuously since its inception in the early 19th century. These changes, as well as railroad mergers, consolidations, line and facility abandon ments and passenger train discontinuances, have often contributed to increased output per man-hour (productivity) and frequently have had im portant manpower and employment implications. This report examines the technological changes that are currently affecting the industry and evalu ates their future impact on productivity, manpower and labor-management relations. The following sum mary highlights the major elements of the report. Technology in the 1970’s Modernization of the railroads in terms of adop tion of technological advances in equipment, proce dure and plant, advanced management techniques and an enterprising approach to the marketing of rail services has recently enabled the industry to achieve and maintain a relatively stable share of all intercity freight traffic. The degree of this trend to ward modernization differs among the various rail roads, influenced to a large degree by the availabil ity of capital. During the 1970’s one of the more important technological advances in the industry will be the widespread use of computers. This change will per mit the continued diffusion of the automatic car identification system (A C I), and will allow for im provements in other areas such as recordkeeping. Basically the ACI system accounts for the where abouts of cars and their contents by rthe computer. ACI will make it easier to establish regional control points for keeping inventories of cars owned by sev eral roads. With growing use of computers for train operations such as dispatching and scheduling, train mileage under centralized traffic control (C TC ) will probably also continue to increase. The number of automatic classification yards with reliance upon computer control of retarders for braking and switching of cars also is likely to grow. Route mile age of railroad microwave is likely to expand greatly because of the growing volume of data, voice message traffic, and facsimile transmission. The diffu sion of the more powerful and more maintenancefree second generation diesel locomotives will con tinue through the 1970’s; by 1975, these may account for two out of every three locomotives, compared with one out of every four in 1967. Piggy back transportation may possibly reach 1 V i to 2 mil lion carloadings by 1975, up from about 1.3 million in 1969; the use of unit trains, another form of expe dited freight transportation is expected to grow over the same period. Mechanization of maintenance-ofway activities will continue to .increase because of growing use of multipurpose machinery and up grading of other tools which the work force will use. Potential for productivity growth For the past 20 years, output per m an-hour in the railroad industry has increased rapidly, placing it among the industries with the highest average in creases in productivity. During the 1947-60 period, the average change was 4.3 percent per year. D ur ing the recent 1960-70 period, output per man-hour has increased more rapidly than over the 1947-60 period— averaging 6.0 percent annually. This higher rate of increase is expected to continue into the early 1970’s. Among the sources of productivity growth are the widespread diffusion of technological developments noted earlier. In addition, increases in capital efficiency result ing from larger capacity, longer trains, and more powerful locomotives, as reflected in various indica tors such as car-miles per car-day and gross tonmiles per train mile, also point to continued gains. The number of miles a car can travel each day and its level of gross-ton-miles per train-mile are ex pected to continue to rise because of the wider dif fusion of more powerful second-generation diesels and the increasing use of light weight, specialized freight cars. The relatively new practice of using un 1 2 manned remote control locomotives in the middle of long trains will also contribute to the anticipated rise in gross ton-miles per train mile. Traffic prospects After World War II, freight traffic fluctuated around a level which, although nearly double its prewar volume, was substantially below wartime traffic. However, from 1961 through 1969, the amount of freight carried by the railroads rose sharply, surpassing previous records established dur ing World W ar II. Even though this upward trend is likely to continue, the railroads may not be able to increase their relative share of freight traffic carried, which was about 41 percent in 1968 and 1969 after having remained at about 43 percent over the 1961-67 period. Long-haul (noncom m uter) railroad passenger traffic continued its long-term decline during the 1960’s. The possibility of reversal of this trend de pends on many factors, including the successful out come of such innovations as the operation of high speed corridor trains like the Penn-Central Metroliner and “A m trak,” The National Railroad Passen ger Corporation now operates most of the country’s intercity passenger trains. Employment outlook Employment in the class I railroad industry had dropped to 578,277 workers in 1969, from nearly 1.4 million persons in 1947, because of new devel opments in technology, competition from other modes of transportation, mefgers, and consolida tions. Total employment is expected to decline fur ther even if the economy continues to grow at its long-term average rate. Nevertheless, an estimated 235,000 job openings are expected, as a result of the num ber of retirements, between 1967 and 1975. However, in spite of declining employment levels, the unemployment rate in the industry is lower than for the economy as a whole, reflecting, in part, pre vailing worker adjustment provisions found in unionmanagement agreements. Occupational trends Since 1957, the most recent and relevant period in terms of occupational change, declines in employ RAILROAD TECHNOLOGY AND MANPOWER IN THE 1970's ment have taken place in every m ajor occupational group in the industry. However, the proportion of total employment represented by specialized and high-level manpower has tended to rise. Employ ment in selected professional and clerical occupa tions has been rising because of changes such as the introduction of the computer, and new directions in management and marketing operations. In the case of skilled labor, where proportionate declines have occurred, these changes have been relatively small. Occupations requiring little formal education, train ing, or experience, such as helper or laborer, have been most adversely affected. Women employed by railroads Since the end of World War II, women have rep resented about 6 percent of total railroad employ ment and about three-fourths of them work in office occupations. Because the impact of technology and other changes on office employment has been less severe than on class I railroad employment gener ally, and because of the increasing need for operat ing data, employment prospects will continue to be relatively good for women. Minority group employment Employment prospects for minority group work ers are improving. Shortages of employees in various technical fields are likely to continue, opening many opportunities for higher-level employment to qualified employees, including members of minority groups. At present, Negroes and persons with Span ish surnames make up a relatively small proportion of railroad employment and are found mainly in blue collar jobs (often as operatives or laborers) and in service occupations. Adjustment to technological change Adjustments to problems arising from technologi cal change are covered by an extension of some principles and provisions of the “Washington Agree ments of 1936,” originally designed to protect em ployees faced with layoff because of consolidation and coordination of facilities. Only since the 1950’s have specific provisions for such problems been in cluded in nationwide contracts, notably in those covering nonoperating shopcraft and nonshopcraft SUMMARY AND HIGHLIGHTS employees. These contracts include a number of protective provisions: advance notice of proposed technological change; moving allowances, and re training rights and benefits. They include also var ious guarantees of job security, like crew size regu lations, transfer rights, limitations on subcontracting 3 of work and provisions for shorter work periods; in come maintenance plans; and unemployment and re tirement benefits. Resolution of worker adjustment problems arising from technological and related changes may continue to be a key determinant in the railroad industry’s future development. Chapter I. The Changing Railroad Industry The railroad industry, for nearly a century the Nation’s primary means of shipping freight, em ployed about 578,000 workers in the class I sector or about one out of four transportation employees engaged in intercity commerce in 1969.1 Like many other old and established industries, the railroads have gone through various phases of rapid growth, stability, decline, and revival. Due to competing modes of transportation, railroad passenger traffic has declined precipitously since the close of World W ar II. Trains now rank below the private automo bile, bus, and air transportation as a carrier of pas sengers. Nevertheless, the railroads carried a higher proportion of ton-miles of freight in 1969 than any other mode of transportation, even though their share of freight business has been dropping since 1947. (See tables 2 and 3 for detail.) This chapter briefly defines the industry, describes its relationship to other industries and sets forth its changing competitive position. It provides the back ground for subsequent chapters on technological in novations and their implications for productivity, employment, job requirements, training needs, and manpower adjustment procedures. Definition of the Industry The industry (SIC 4 0 ), includes companies mainly engaged in line-haul railroad operations (SIC 4 0 11), such as electric railroads and interurban railways and the building, rebuilding, and re pairing of locomotives and cars by railroad compa nies. It also includes switching and terminal companies (SIC 4 0 1 3 ), which provide terminal fa 1 The study is concerned with class I railroads, of which there were 76 in 1968, defined by the Interstate Commerce Commission (ICC) as companies reporting average reve nues of $5 million or more for 3 years, consecutively. These railroads account for 87 percent of total railroad employment and 98 percent of total freight revenue tonmiles. 2 The Pullman Company, which has long been the prin cipal company in the industry (SIC 4021), turned over its sleeper service to the railroads as of Jan. 1, 1969. cilities for passengers and freight in line-haul service and which move railroad cars between terminal yards, industrial sidings, and other places. Also, it includes companies operating sleeping and other cars to furnish berths and seats to passengers, and companies furnishing dining car service (SIC 2021) 2 as well as railway express service (SIC 4041). The railroad transportation industry does not include railway companies that provide com muter services only within a single municipality, contiguous municipalities, or a municipality and its suburban areas. Railroads are primarily engaged in providing freight and passenger transportation, but in carrying out this function, their varied activities also include manufacturing of railroad cars and other equipment they use as well as a construction program that carries out m ajor capital improve ments. The railroad industry— a coordinated system One of the salient features of railroad technology is the ability of the industry to function as an inte grated system, because of standardization of equip ment and track achieved in the last half of the 19th century. Previously, there had been 24 different gauges of railroad track with widths ranging from 2 to 6 feet. When a shipment moved from one com pany area into the territory served by another, freight and passengers were necessarily transferred to different cars, resulting in a great deal of unload ing and reloading. Today, use of standard track and cars, assisted by modern communications, expedite integrated operations by several hundred companies. Cars of industry-approved design equipped with standard coupling arrangements shuttle from one part of the country to another by the switching of whole carloads at interchange points. The most im portant result of this standardization is to permit the industry to operate nationwide some 28,000 loco motive units, 18,000 passenger train cars and more than 1.8 million freight cars over a nationwide sys tem of 320,000 miles of track. 5 RAILROAD TECHNOLOGY AND MANPOWER IN THE 1970's 6 Relationship to other industries Changing competitive position of the railroads In 1969, class I railroads originated (were the in itial carriers), 1.5 billion tons of freight and trans ported 296 million passengers. Despite the rise of other methods of transportation, railroads remain the crucial link in the nation’s system of production. Any prolonged interruption in rail service would curtail operations in many of the country’s largest industries, where they connect various stages of pro duction. For example, trains haul iron ore from con centrating plants to furnaces, steel slabs from pri mary casting facilities to rolling mills, and alumina from initial refining plants to reduction or smelting plants. Electric power production belies to a great extent on coal hauled by railroads from the mine. Railroads also represent the major mode of trans portation for moving the goods produced by many industries. F or example, in 1967 over 50 percent of ali product ton-miles were carried by the railroads in the following industries: Food and kindred prod ucts; tobacco products; lumber and wood products; pulp paper and allied products; stone, clay and glass products; chemical and allied products; primary metal products; transportation equipment; and waste as scrap material. The railroads also carried a very high proportion of goods produced in industries such as furniture and fixtures; fabricated metal products; and machinery including electrical ma chinery. (See table 1.) The changes in the relative position of various transportation modes are illustrated by the statistics on constant dollar gross product originated, which cover the entire output, both passenger and freight traffic. Gross product originated in the railroads de clined between 1947 and 1961, but the figure has risen since 1961. (see table 2.) Gross product origi nated in the other transportation sectors has also risen steadily since 1961, growing at a faster rate in air transportation and m otor freight than in the rail road industry. Since 1947, transportation as a whole has de clined in relative importance in the economy with railroads furnishing a substantial part of the decline. F or example, in 1947 railroads accounted for 3.5 percent of th e ' all-industry total but, by 1969 had decreased to 1.6 percent. Gross product originated in all industries (in constant dollar term s) grew by 135 percent in the 1947-69 period, compared with a 64 percent increase in all transportation industries. Almost all of the growth in transportation was ac counted for by a 284 percent increase in motor freight and a 1,500 percent growth in air transporta tion. During the early years of the period (1 9 4 7 -6 1 ), gross product originated in local and highway passenger transportation (not shown sepa rately) decreased sharply as private automobile traf fic rose after World W ar II. This decline in local Table 1. Ton-miles of shipments—means of transport and commodity, 1967 Percent distribution by means of transport Transport commodity code 1 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 Commodity Food and kindred products............................................. Tobacco products............................................................... Basic textiles........................................................................ Apparel, including knit apparel, and other finished textile products................................................................ Lumber and wood products, except furniture Furniture and fixtures....................................................... Pulp, paper, and allied products................................... Chemical and allied products......................................... Petroleum and coal products.......................................... Rubber and miscellaneous plastic products............... Leather and leather products.......................................... Stone, clay, and glass products...................................... Primary metal products.................................................... Fabricated metal products............................................... Machinery, except electrical............................................ Electrical machinery and equipm ent............................ Transportation equipm ent............................................... Instruments, photographic goods, optical goods, watches, and clocks....................................................... Miscellaneous products of m anufacturing.................. Ton-miles of shipments (millions) All means of transport Rail Motor carrier Private truck Air Water Other Unknown 91,854 L 146 5,925 100.0 100.0 100.0 66.1 64.0 15.8 21.1 25.1 64.6 9 .9 .4 16.6 0.1 .2 2 .6 9 .8 2 .0 0.1 .2 .8 0 .2 .4 2,331 45,145 3; 860 36,333 62;117 288,356 5; 754 694 25,525 51'756 14,262 12,341 8,781 16,350 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 103.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 12.2 77.9 33.4 77.4 60.2 3 .4 34.2 8.7 50.8 60.2 39.7 39.1 4 2 .8 72.6 67.7 5 .4 48.9 15.2 20.3 1 .8 56.8 6 3.9 31.9 2 5.5 4 6.0 48.2 46.0 21.9 8 .3 6 .8 13.4 3 .9 4 .5 .7 6 .0 18.2 9 .8 3 .9 10.1 8 .3 6 .5 3.9 1.9 9 .3 .6 .4 .2 .1 .1 .2 .2 .1 .5 .9 1.4 .4 .5 9 .8 3 .4 2 .9 14.6 94.1 .4 .7 7 .3 10.2 2 .9 .9 .8 .8 1.8 7 .8 .1 .1 .7 2 .5 2 .4 .3 .3 .1 .1 .1 .1 .1 .1 .1 665 1,629 100.0 100.0 30.5 2 8.6 57.0 5 4.9 2 .7 8 .3 4 .0 .4 .4 1.2 5 .0 5 .7 .4 .9 ‘ The basis for classifying commodities in the Census of Transportation. SOURCE: 1967 Census of T ra n s p o rta tio n , “ Commodity Transportation Survey,” U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, Pages 30-53. .1 .1 .5 .6 7 THE CHANGING RAILROAD INDUSTRY Table 2. Gross product originated in transportation, by mode, selected years, 1947-69 [billions of 1958 dollars] Year All industries, total (GNP) All transportation, total Railroads, SIC 40 Air transportation, SIC 45 Motor freight and warehousing, SIC 42 All other transportation1 6 .9 309.9 21.1 10.7 0 .4 3.1 452.5 2 2.5 9 .5 1.5 6 .4 5.1 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965..................................................................................................................... 497.2 529.8 551.0 581.1 617.8 2 2.5 23.8 25.2 2 6.2 2 8.6 8 .7 9 .2 9 .7 10.2 11.0 1.9 2.1 2 .4 2 .7 3 .3 7 .5 8 .0 8 .5 8 .6 9 .7 4 .4 4 .5 4 .6 4 .7 4 .6 1966 1967 1968 1969..................................................................................................................... 658.1 675.2 707.2 727.1 3 1.2 3 1.4 3 3.3 3 4.5 11.7 11.2 11.3 11.3 4 .2 5.1 5 .8 6 .4 10.5 10.4 11.1 11.9 4 .9 4 .8 5 .0 4 .9 6 .5 5 .9 -3 .2 1.4 1947..................................................................................................................... Average Annual Percent Change 1 947-61.............................................................................................................. 196 1 -69 .............................................................................................................. 3 .4 4 .9 i Standard Industrial Classifications 41 (local and highway passenger), 44 (Water -1 .5 3 .3 0 .5 5 .5 11.8 16.4 transportation), 46 (P ipeline), and 47 (Transportation services). SOURCE: U.S. Departm ent of Commerce. and highway passenger transportation is reflected in a decrease in gross product originated in the cate gory “all other transportation.” In the 1961-69 period, growth occurred in all transportation categories shown. In recent years, the railroads have been making a concerted effort to re tain existing traffic and to generate new traffic, thus reversing the decline that had occurred earlier. However, the growth of railroads has not been keeping pace with that of other modes of transpor tation. Total transportation output grew by 53 per cent during the 1961-69 period while railroad growth was only two-thirds as great, m otor freight was approximately equal to this total growth, and air transport growth about 5 times as fast. A m ajor reason for the slower rate of growth in railroads was the continuous decline in rail passenger service, offsetting some of the gains in freight carriage. The following two sections give more details of actual volume of traffic moved by various modes, as esti mated by the Interstate Commerce Commission. Freight Traffic. In 1939, the first year for which an estimate of traffic carried by various transport modes was published by the ICC, railroads ac counted for over 64 percent of total freight traffic, although motor vehicles already carried over 9 per cent. The railroads’ position was then enhanced, rel ative to both m otor transportation and water trans portation, during World War II, because of wartime induced shortages (see table 3 ). Beginning in 1947, the railroads’ share of freight traffic de clined steadily, stabilizing at 43 percent in 1961, and declining only slightly since then. During the same time, trucking increased its share from 9.6 percent to 21.3 percent, while water transportation and pipelines also increased their relative shares— the latter doubling its percentage of the traffic. Passenger Traffic. In 1944, an all-time high point in rail carriage of passengers, the railroads accounted Table 3. Percent distribution of total estimated intercity ton-miles of freight, by mode, selected years, 1939-69 Percentage distribution1 Year Total ton-miles (billions) R a il2 Motor vehicle Inland waterway and great lakes Pipeline 1939................... 574.8 64.4 9 .2 16.7 9 .7 1947................... 1 ,0 6 0 .8 66.6 9 .6 13.8 9 .9 1957................... 1 ,3 5 4.0 4 7.6 18.8 17.1 16.5 1961................... 1962................... 1963................... 1964................... 1965................... 1 ,3 1 0.3 1,3 7 1.5 1,4 5 4.4 1 ,5 4 2.8 1 ,6 3 8.6 4 3.5 4 3.8 43.3 43.2 4 3.3 2 2.6 2 2.6 23.1 23.1 21.9 16.0 16.3 16.1 16.2 16.0 17.8 17.3 17.4 17.4 18.7 1966................... 1967................... 1968................... 19691 ................ 1 ,7 4 7.4 1,7 5 7.3 1,8 3 4.3 1 ,8 9 4.2 4 3.0 41.6 41.3 41.2 2 1.8 22.1 2 1.6 21.3 16.1 15.6 15.7 15.6 19.1 20.5 21.3 21.7 1 Air cargo excluded as amount carried is only 0.2 percent in 1969. 2 Because of data limitations, rail figures for years 1939-57 include nonrevenue tonmiles; thereafter coverage is for revenue ton-miles only. In 1959, the figure including nonrevenue ton-miles was 599.3 billion ton-miles compared with 582.5 billion exclud ing nonrevenue ton-miles. 3 Preliminary. SOURCE: Interstate Commerce Commission. RAILROAD TECHNOLOGY AND MANPOWER IN THE 1970’s 8 for 75 percent of the intercity total carried by public transportation, and the airlines only about 2 per cent. In the years since World W ar II, the airlines and the railroads have reversed their relative posi tions in passenger miles carried by public carriers. By 1969, the airlines accounted for over 70 percent of all passenger miles carried by public carriers, the railroads less than 8 percent. (See table 4.) Private automobiles continue to carry the major share of total intercity passenger miles. In 1947, they carried 273 billion passenger miles or 78 per cent of the total; by 1969, they carried over 3 times the 1947 level, or about 86 percent of all intercity travel. Changing structure of the industry One of the significant changes in the industry has been the reorganization of railroads into fewer but larger companies through mergers. The current merger movement in the railroad industry dates from January 1955, when the Interstate Commerce Commission was petitioned to approve the merger of two southern railroads, effective August 1957. This merger followed by 10 years (1947) the last m ajor merger approved by the ICC. On the other hand, it was the first of 17 significant mergers in volving class I railroads, effected between 1957 and 1969. Altogether, 31 companies were involved in the 17 mergers, some having been affected more than once. By early 1969, these 31 companies had been re duced to 11. F or the industry as a whole, merger, Table 4. purchase, and control of other railroads had reduced the total number of operating railroads from 415 in 1957 to 370 in 1967.3 Accompanying this general decline was a decrease in the number of railroads that operated over 1,000 miles of road— from 40 in 1957 to 34 at the end of 1967. However, the per centage of miles of road operated by these compa nies increased from 85.2 percent of the total to 86.4 percent over the same period. As of July 1, 1969, there were 13 companies seeking to merge with other railroads. Marketing and managerial changes Im portant changes in railroad management in the 1960’s have turned the absolute decline in rail traf fic into a gain and stabilized the railroads’ competi tive position with respect to total intercity freight traffic. First, there has been a reorientation from a relatively passive approach to marketing of services to an aggressive search for new business. Second, there has been an increased emphasis on the recruit ment of more broadly trained personnel— frequently from colleges— contrasted with the traditional rail road progression “up through the ranks.” Traditionally, the railroads have focussed on the carriage of commodities for which they are uniquely suited— notably, high density, bulky cargoes with low unit values. (See table 5.) As a result they al lowed high unit value cargo to go to the trucking in- 3 Includes classes I, II, and circular and unofficial rail road companies. Distribution of intercity passenger traffic in the United States by mode, selected years, 1949-69 [Billions of passenger-miles] Year Total intercity travel Public carriers Private automobile Total i Railroads and electric railways Buses Air carriers 1944..................................................................................................................... Percentage.................................................................................................... 280.3 100.0 151.3 5 4.0 131.0 100.0 9 7.7 74.7 2 6.9 2 0.5 2 .2 1.7 1947..................................................................................................................... Percentage.................................................................................................... 351.6 100.0 2 73.0 7 7.6 7 8.6 100.0 4 6 .8 5 9 .5 2 3.9 3 0.4 6.1 7 .8 1957..................................................................................................................... Percentage .................................................................................................... 748.3 100.0 670.5 89.6 7 7 .8 100.0 2 6.3 3 3 .8 2 1.5 2 7.6 28.1 36.1 1967...................................................................................................................... Percentage.................................................................................................... 1 ,0 2 0.6 100.0 889.8 87.2 130.8 100.0 15.3 11.7 24.9 19.0 8 7.2 66.7 1969 2 ......................................................................................... Percentage.................................................................................................... 1,1 3 0.0 100.0 977.0 86.4 153.0 100.0 12.0 7 .8 26.0 17.0 111.0 1 Addition of the separate sectors in the public carrier section add to less than the amount shown in the “total" column due to the omission of passengers carried by water. 3Preliminary. 7 2.6 SOURCE: Reports of the Interstate Commerce Commission; Civil Aeronautics Board; and Corps of Engineers, U.S. Army, 9 THE CHANGING RAILROAD INDUSTRY Table 5. Commodities carried: class I railroads, 1968 Revenue freight originated (millions) Percent distribution1 Commodity groups, ranked by tonnage Carloads Tons Carloads Tons Total (excluding small packaged fre ig h t)........................................................................................................... 27.6 1 ,4 3 0.4 9 9.8 100.0 C oal................................................................................................................................................................................................ Nonmetallic minerals, excluding fu e l................................................................................................................................ Farm products............................................................................................................................................................................ 5 .2 2 .3 2 .3 1.4 2 .8 2.1 1.7 1.6 1.4 1.2 .8 .8 1.2 .5 .5 .3 1.7 379.1 170.7 116.0 111.7 105.2 98.1 9 1.0 87.1 77.3 4 0.8 34.5 28.9 27.3 12.5 10.6 4 .7 35.6 19.0 8 .4 8 .2 5 .2 10.0 7 .7 6 .0 5 .9 5 .0 4 .3 2 .9 2 .4 4 .4 1.6 1.8 26.5 11.9 8.1 7 .8 7 .4 6 .9 6 .4 6.1 5 .4 2 .8 2 .4 2 .0 1.9 .9 .7 .3 2 .5 Food and kindred products................................................................................................................................................... Lumber and wood products, excluding fu rn itu re ........................................................................................................... Primary metal products.......................................................................................................................................................... Chemical and allied products............................................................................................................................................... Pulp, paper and allied products.......................................................................................................................................... Waste and scrap m a te ria l...................................................................................................................................................... Petroleum and coal products............................................................................................................................................... Transportation equipm ent..................................................................................................................................................... Fabricated metal products, excluding ordnance, machinery and transportation................................................. Miscellaneous mixed, excluding forwarder and shipper association tra ffic .......................................................... Freight forwarder traffic......................................................................................................................................................... All others ................................................................................................................................................................................. 1.0 6 .0 1 Percentages do not add to 100 percent due to rounding. SOURCE: Interstate Commerce Commission Statement 69100. dustry by default. In the mid-1950’s, some railroads set about stemming traffic declines by setting up marketing offices, which took on a more aggressive marketing stance. Salesmen with research reports and cost-benefit analyses actively demonstrated po tential savings to prospective customers. Investment and modernization Capital investment in new plant and equipment in the railroad industry averaged $1.4 billion a year over the 1947-69 period; these expenditures ranged from a low of $800 million in 1961 to a high of $2.4 billion in 1966. Expenditures in the 1947-57 period av.eraged $1.3 billion, then dropped to an av erage of $1.1 billion in the 1957-61 period. During the 1960’s (1 9 6 1 -6 9 ), these expenditures rose to reach an average of $1.6 billion. Appendix 1-1 shows year-by-year figures for capital investment. These figures, however, do not include all outlays for new equipment rented and leased. The Associa tion of American Railroads (A A R ) estimates that in 1969 leases and rented equipment added about $400 to $500 million to class I railroads’ outlays. Specific examples, of these quasi-capital expendi tures include the leasing of over 150,000 tank cars, as well as rental of computers. As of January 1969, the railroads paid an average monthly rental of $3.5 million for computers. Table 6, which shows a percentage distribution of gross capital expenditures by category, is based on figures reported to the Interstate Commerce Com mission. It serves to illustrate how, in the recent past, capital expenditures have been allocated by class I railroads. Over the 10-year period, 1956-65, expenditures for new rollingstock— diesel locomo tives and cars— accounted for about 70 percent of the $10.7 billion spent; next in importance were ex penditures for right-of-way, track, and structures and improvements which accounted for 17 percent of the cumulative total. The purchase of roadway machines and the installation of communications and signaling equipment accounted for another 6 percent of the total. In recent years, the emphasis in capital expenditures appears to have been shifting toward these latter two areas. It has been suggested that expenditures include provisions both for regular replacement of equip ment and also for an expansion of capacity to meet Table 6. Percentage distribution of gross capital expendt tures of class I railroads, by category, 1956-65 Description Percent of total expenditures 1956-65 i Total ...................................................................................................... 100.0 Locomotives2.................................................................................................... Freight and passenger c ars3........................................................................ 15.6 54.6 16.9 1.6 4 .4 6 .8 Communications and signalling6................................................................ All others ^ ..................... 7.....7................................. 1 Percentages do not add to 100 percent due to rounding. 2 Interstate Commerce Commission (ICC) account numbers 5 1 ,5 2. 3 ICC account numbers 53, 54. 4 ICC account numbers 1-7 , 8 -1 2 ,1 3 -2 4 . 6 ICC account number 37. 6 ICC account numbers 26-27. 7 All other numbers, table 138, part I, tran sp o rt sta tis tic s in th e U nited S tates ICC. SOURCE: Interstate Commerce Commission. RAILROAD TECHNOLOGY AND MANPOWER IN THE 1970’s 10 requirements of future growth of the economy. This means that railroad capital expenditures should re main approximately constant relative to all industry capital expenditures. However, railroad investment has not kept pace with investment in all other indus tries, nor in other transportation modes in these rel ative terms. While other transportation modes have retained their relative position in the framework of all industry capital expenditures, railroads have not. (See appendix 1-1 for absolute and relative figures.) The anticipated goal for capital expenditures stated by the Association of American Railroads in the mid-1960’s— $2 billion per year through 1975— was far in excess of current experience.4 Moreover, a 1970 restatement of these capital requirements puts industry needs at a higher figure— about $3.6 billion per year between 1970 and 1980.5 The dif ference between industry goals and current experi ence implies that maintaining or improving the rail roads’ share of total intercity traffic will be a major challenge. This lag in capital investment is a contributing factor in the average age of capital equipment, which among railroads tends to be older than in other industries. A 1966 survey by McGraw-Hill showed that railroads have 49 percent of their ca pacity in equipment “over 16 years” old.6 As can be seen in table 7, which compares the age of capi tal equipment in 1966 with 1962, “other transporta tion” has maintained its 1962 distribution of capac ity by age. By contrast, in the railroad industry the proportion of capacity more than 16 years old has increased substantially. The significant rise in the percent of railroad equipment found in the “over 16 years” category in 1966 compared with that of 1962 probably stems from two major causes, in addition to a lagging cap ital investment program. First, the large amounts of Table 7. Percentage distribution of age of industrial capacity, spring 1962 and December 1966 Industry More than 16 years 11-16 years 6 -1 0 years 0 -5 years 4 Technological Trends in Major American Industries, AS OF SPRING 1962 Railroads................................................................... Other transportation and comm unications... All m anufacturing.................................................. 39 19 24 19 15 16 49 19 24 20 23 22 27 19 44 33 AS OF DECEMBER 1966 Railroads................................................................... Other transportation and communications... All manufacturing.................................................. SOURCE: McGraw-Hill (Nov. 2 5 ,1 9 6 6 ). capital equipment purchased between the end of World W ar II and the Korean conflict entered the “over 16 years” category in the brief period between 1962 and 1966. Second, it is likely that rather large amounts of older capital equipment (relevant partic ularly to the car fleet) were held in use, rather than retired, during the high demand for railroad service that characterized the period of the early and mid1960’s. It should be borne in mind, however, that the proportion of railroad equipment in the “over 16 years” category might go still higher and yet be within bounds of a “norm al” replacement schedule because of the extremely long-lived nature of much railroad equipment (over 25 years). In the future, the industry’s efforts to modernize will depend, to a great extent, on the amount of funds available from different sources. In earlier pe riods, the railroads financed capital expenditures pri marily from internally generated funds (retained earnings, both undistributed profits and capital con sumption allowances). However, debt financing was extensively used after World W ar II. A continued decline in the rate of return on net investment (original cost of transportation equipment, less de preciation and amortization plus cash and m ate rials) from 2.9 percent in the 1957-67 period to 2.5 percent in 1968 and 1969 has made financing through internal generation of funds increasingly dif ficult in recent years. Although retained earnings (internally generated funds) still provide over half of the money for capital investment, debt financing has become increasingly im portant. For example, during the 1957-67 period, debt certificates issued (bonds and equipment trust certificates) amounted to 49 percent of the funds reported for capital ex penditures. Equipment trust financing— a special debt form wherein the ownership is retained by the lender until the loan has been repaid in full— is be coming increasingly im portant and has accounted for over one-third of the $7.7 billion raised through debt financing in the 1957-67 period. (See appen dix 1-2 for year-by-year figures on methods of debt 16 19 13 23 21 18 42 36 U.S. Department of Labor, Bulletin 1474, 1966, pp. 196-97. 5American Railroad Industry: A Prospectus, America’s Sound Transportation Review Organization, Association of American Railroads, Washington, D.C., June 1970. 6 “How Modem is American Industry?” McGraw-Hill, Nov. 25, 1966, table 1. More recent data being compiled was not available while this report was being prepared. THE CHANGING RAILROAD INDUSTRY financing.) Stock issued during the 1957-67 period amounted to only about 0.5 percent of the reported capital expenditures. 11 Table 8. Research and development related to railroad industry', selected years 1960-66 Year Industry Suppliers Companies AAR $6,000,000 5,400,000 (77) 42,000,000 (22) 48,000,000 (22) $1,000,000 N.A. N.A. 1,272,800 Research and development The need for greater efficiency in the face of rigo rous intermodal competition has led to increased emphasis on research and development expenditures in the railroad and in its supply industries. Research and development (R&D) in this industry is a con tinuous process which has led to numerous changes in equipment, methods, and materials, many of which are discussed in chapter II. Surveys on research and development expendi tures carried out by R a ilw a y A g e in 1960 and 1966, provide some information on the growth of such ex penditures by railroad companies. The relationship between these company expenditures and those of the Association of American Railroads for R&D can be seen in table 8. This relationship exists because company research efforts are generally geared to the problems of indi vidual companies, A A R research to the entire indus try’s needs. The Association has traditionally worked on problems that relate to industry-wide technical standards and equipment certification. In 1969, the President of the A AR pledged a change in the Association’s research effort leading to both a separation of the testing and research programs, and also increases in the amount of money to be spent in both categories. Research performed by suppliers complements the individual companies and the A A R ’s. F or example, a company may define a particularly vexing problem to a supplier, asking him to develop and build some type of special equipment, within specified costs. According to the R a ilw a y A g e survey, 32 suppliers spent almost $33 million in 1965 for R & D and the anticipated 1966 figure was close to $30 million. 1960................................. 1961................................. 1965................................. 1966................................. $35,000,000 15,000,000 32,900,000 29,800,000 (est.) (132) (32) (32) 1 Parenthetical numbers indicate companies covered by survey. SOURCE: R ailw ay Age, Apr. 18, 1966. The U.S. Departm ent of Transportation (D O T ) now has the m ajor responsibility for governmentsponsored research in the field of railroad transpor tation. Formerly, this activity was divided with the Departm ent of Housing and Urban Development (for mass transit). One m ajor DOT demonstration project is now taking place in the northeast corridor to test customer response to fast, comfortable rail transportation between New York City and Wash ington, D.C. During the initial operation minimum time for non-stop “M etroliner” service was 2 hours and 30 minutes. During the first 6 months of opera tion— through mid-July 1969— all rail passenger service in the corridor increased 11 percent. The number of passengers traveling the full distance be tween the 2 cities had risen by 72 percent, mainly “M etroliner” passengers. The new trains were filled to 76 percent capacity, a level 50 percent higher than that for conventional trains; passenger traffic on regular trains has also increased slightly. Compu terized ticket sales were instituted in 1969 to de crease the need to wait in line for ticket purchase. Another major Federally sponsored demonstra tion project is the New York-Boston “Turbotrain,” put into operation in April 1969. The three-car trainset, making one round trip between the two cit ies, and stopping at four intervening locations, is scheduled to make the trip each way in 3 hours and 39 minutes. Thus far, the service provided has been limited. Chapter II. Technological Change in the 1960’s and 1970’s This chapter presents information on the major technological and procedural changes that have been taking place in almost all operating depart ments of the railroads in the past decade. These in novations include (1 ) equipment subjected to a major change, (2 ) a completely new piece of equip ment, or (3 ) a series of minor changes in a particu lar operation. The common denominator of these items is the significant implication -for the industry’s labor force. Effects of these changes on employment and occupations are discussed in detail later in chapters IV and V. Background Technological changes in the railroad industry have been introduced in response to pressure from competition by other modes of transportation and from rising wage rates, fuel, and material prices. Changes have been a part of overall efforts to cut costs and to provide better services. While many changes have been accepted, the process has been gradual, extending over a long period of time. The factors preventing the immediate acceptance of the diesel locomotive illustrate well the economic con straints slowing many technological advances. For example, when the diesel locomotive was intro duced, it could not be immediately adopted because many of the steam locomotives still had years of useful life, while a substantial investment was re quired to dieselize completely. In addition, rail traf fic’s decline in the postwar period reduced the num ber of locomotives needed. Also, capacity to produce the new locomotives was limited. In addi tion, some railroad managements, especially of lines hauling extensive quantities of coal, were not easily convinced that the diesel was advantageous. As a result, the changeover from steam to diesel locomo tives took about 20 years to accomplish; by 1958, virtually every locomotive was diesel-powered. The diffusion of Centralized Traffic Control (C T C ) has, likewise, taken place over decades and is still not complete.7 A brief description, with present and estimated status in the last half of the 1970’s, of 10 types of technological changes is presented in table 9, fol lowed by a detailed discussion of those changes. Motive power developments The num ber of locomotives in use has been de clining, largely because the newer ones are capable of delivering more tractive effort than the ones they replaced. In 1967 there were 27,687 locomotives, 99 percent diesels. Approximately 25 percent of these were “second generation,” introduced in 1961, and represented a much improved locomotive com pared to the first diesel used throughout the indus try. Ten years earlier, there had been 30,248 loco motives in service 90 percent diesel-electrics and the remainder steam locomotives. Chart 1, shows the decline in the num ber'of steam locomotives and the growth of diesels at 5-year intervals for the period 1947-67. The introduction of the second-generation diesel in 1961 reduced unit maintenance requirements. Second-generation diesels required 57 percent fewer unit man-hours for annual maintenance and inspec tion than did earlier diesels; first generation diesels had also, previously, reduced unit m an-hour require ments substantially below the steam locomotives (see chapter V ). Among the im portant improve ments included in the second-generation units are sealed, pressurized engine compartments that ex clude dirt and moisture; solid state components in electrical systems to improve reliability; alternating current traction generators to replace more complex 7 For an earlier discussion of diffusion of innovations, see “Regularization of Capital Investment in Railroads,” by K.T. Healy in R egularization o f Business In vestm en t —A Conference, National Bureau of Economic Research, Prince ton University Press, 1954, pp. 162-184. Also see The T ransportation Industries, 1889-1946, Harold Barger, Na tional Bureau of Economic Research, New York, 1951, pp. 100-111 and “Productivity, Hours and Compensation of Railroad Labor,” by Witt Bowden, M on th ly L abor R eview , December 1933, pp. 1275-1288 for a discussion of techno logical improvements between 1916 and 1932. 13 14 RAILROAD TECHNOLOGY AND MANPOWER IN THE 1970’s Table 9. Technological change in railroads, 1957-67 and outlook, 1975-80 Description and impact 1957 status 1967 status Outlook Motive Power Developments M ore powerful units; solid state electronics improve electrical sys tems; higher tractive power per unit; greater overall reliability re duces maintenance. Class I locomo tives totaled 30,248; 90 percent diesel. Class I locomo tives totaled 27,687; 99 percent diesel. Twentyfive percent were second generation models. Class I locomo tives may total about 26,000 diesels; about two-thirds ex pected to be sec ond generation models by 1975. Freight Car Improvement Special cars developed for commodity groups; better bearings; higher capacity with reduced car weight to capacity ratio. Design and m a terial improvements reduce loading and maintenance require ments. Total fleet con tained 2.1 million cars of which 36 percent were gen eral box cars. 13.5 percent of fleet privately owned. Total fleet con tained 1.8 million cars of which 32 percent were gen eral boxcars. Nonrail owner ship 17 percent of total. Total fleet require ments of 1.7 mil lion cars in 1975. Private ownership expected to in crease with contin uing emphasis on expensive, special purpose cars. Shippers’ pressure for cars, rather than capacity, may slow increase in average car capac ity. Facility Relocation and Improve ments Repair station consoli dation, including spot shop development, accompanied dieselization, resulting in greater efficiency. Car and loco motive washing and in terior cleaning mechan ized. Bad order car ratio reduced. Concept being introduced. Widespread use. Further consolida tion and use of spot shops ex pected for both locomotives and cars. Piggyback and U nit Trains Trains comprised of trailers or containers of general merchandise loaded on flatcars move on expedited schedules. U nit trains carry a single bulk commodity between two terminals. They are a vital link in production processes Piggyback trains carried 250,000 carloads. N o sig nificant use of unit trains. Piggyback in creased to over 5 times 1957 levels. Widespread use of unit trains for many commodi ties. Continued growth of piggyback, but at a decreased rate. 1 ^ - 2 million car loading expected in 1975. Greater use of unit trains likely. Types of innovation TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE IN THE 1^60’s AND 1970’s Table 9. 15 Technological change in railroads, 1957-67 and outlook, 1975-80— Continued Description and impact Types of innovation ' 1957 status 1967 status Outlook and their movement is on a strict time sched ule. Automatic Classi fication Yards Large yards in which cars are sorted and switched by destina tions have digital and analog computers to control car speeds and to aid in switching. Small yards equipped with automatic features now feasible. Increased car utilization, custo mer service and m an power savings result. About 20 major yards in service. More than 50 m ajor classifica tion yards in operation. Three small yards used automatic equip ment. About 12 more m ajor classifica tion yards may be equipped with “ automatic” fea tures by 1975. Some additional small yards by 1975. Computers Both digital and analog computers in use. Com puters have provided information processing and switching capacity that permits manage m ent better control of operations. Limited numbers of analogs in use in classification yards. Digital computers, intro duced in 1955, scarce. Widespread use of analog computers. In January 1967 there were 192 digital computers installed. The sharp increase to 252 digital computers on Jan ary 1, 1969 sup ports expectation that all Class I roads will be using computers by 1975. Centralized Traffic Control (CTC) Control of train move ment over 50-100 mile or more stretches of track from a central location. A model of the track is operated by one man who pushes buttons or switches to keep trains moving in accordance with their priorities. Capacity of track is expanded and manpower savings re sult. 32.000 miles of track were under CTC, out of 269.000 miles of main track oper ated. 49.000 miles of track were under CTC, out of 254.000 miles of main track oper ated. Extension of am ount of track under control of a single center ex pected. This may take form of re gional, multiroad complex or cover age of greater per centage of a single road’s track. RAILROAD TECHNOLOGY AND MANPOWER IN THE 1970’s 16 Table 9. Technological change in railroads, 1957-67 and outlook, 1975-80— Continued Types of innovation Miscellaneous Signaling and Communication Description and impact 1957 status 1967 status Outlook These developments en hance equipment uti lization, promote safety and decrease m ainte nance costs. (a) Detectors Detectors—mechanical or infra-red devices—locate and report dan gerous conditions in equipment along the right of way. Several types developed for different purposes. First introduced in mid-1950’s. Over 8,600 detec tors were in place. Detectors will in crease. Rising train speed increases importance of de tecting dangerous conditions early. (b) Microwave High capacity radio carrier wave currently being used by railroads to supplement or sup plant wire message carriers. Federal Com m u nications Commis sion authorized use in 1957. 22,000 route miles in 1966. About 50,000 route miles expected. Rapid growth tied to development of total information systems. (c) Automatic Car Iden tification (ACI) Reflecting labels picked up by transmitter, de coded and sent to cen tral operations. Equip ment location and progress easily recorded. Non-existent. Under develop ment. Standard version adopted 1969. By 1970, all cars in interchange service to be labeled for ACI, but all roads will not have oper ating systems to use. By 1975, uni versal use expected. Single and multi-pur pose machines aid in track laying, tie place ment and ballast sur facing. Continuous rail that replaces 39' sec tions and concrete ties are in use. Off-track machines combined with use of radio in crease labor utilization. Track defects detected by electronically Single purpose machines in limited use. Other innovations not yet in use. Widespread use of single-purpose machines. Con crete ties in limited use. Seven percent of m ain line trackage in continuous rail. By 1975, use of combination m a chines and con crete ties is likely to expand; con tinuous rail will be used exten sively. M aintenance of Way Innovations TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE IN THE 19 60’s AND 1970’s Table 9. 17 Technological change in railroads, 1957-67 and outlook, 1975-80—Continued Types of innovation Description and impact 1957 status 1967 status Outlook N ortheast Corri dor Experiment to use Metroliners being formulated. Successful use of N ortheast Corri dor concept may be extended to other areas. Other long-haul service may vanish. equipped cars. M /W scheduling aided by computers to obtain maximum equipment and manpower use. Innovations in Passenger Service Air conditioned, elec trically driven cars in Northeast Corridor Ex periment. Autom at food service on some trains. Computerized ticketing. A /C cars in use. direct-current units, and improved cooling systems. These new second-generation diesel locomotives range in horsepower from 2,500-6,000, compared with 1,200-1,500 for earlier diesels. Their tractive power— effective pulling force delivered to the draw bar— is also much higher. In 1967, the average die sel electric unit’s tractive power was 65,178 pounds compared to 60,479 pounds 10 years earlier. This increased pulling power has resulted in a 12 percent increase in gross ton-miles hauled per engine over the 1957-67 period. Six axle-drive units have been a contributing fac tor to this increased tractive effort per locomotive and may promote still further the trend to high horse power, single unit engines of over 4,000 horse power. Six-axle drive units have rapidly gained pop ularity because they increase ability to utilize high horsepower. First available in 1963, the six-axle drive accounted for 60 percent of all units delivered by 1966. The units are especially good for railroads operating in steep grade territory. Another motive power development becoming more widespread is the use of a “slave” unit, placed unmanned in the middle of the train. Because of the trend toward higher horsepower units, starting trains with only one unit can be hazardous. Too much power applied rapidly can cause breakage of the drawbar— the connecting link between the train and the engine units. Dispersing these slave units throughout the train reduces the amount of inertia to be overcome by each locomotive unit, reducing the drawbar breakage problem and increasing maxi mum feasible length of trains. Still another motive power development is the gas turbine locomotive, introduced in the early 1960’s, and being used on a limited basis in the West. They are best used over a long haul with a limited num ber of stops. Thus, their use is precluded on many railroads which operate over shorter distances, so there is little prospect for wider diffusion by 1975. In 1966, the industry announced that it was em barking on an “Evenkeel” repowering program keyed to the purchase of 1,500 locomotive units each year for the 1966-75 period. While locomotive purchases totaled 1,419 in 1966, the 1966-70 aver age was only 1,122. Carrying out of this projected purchase of 1,500 units per year through 1975 ap pears unlikely in view of the limited amount of capi tal available and the rising unit cost. Through 1975, an annual average of 1,200 locomotives is likely to be added to the fleet. This means that, after ac counting for retirements, the total fleet may number about 26,000— down from nearly 28,000 in 1967. The proportionate share of second-generation diesels in the fleet may reach about 63 percent, up from 25 percent in 1967. RAILROAD TECHNOLOGY AND MANPOWER IN THE 1970’s 18 Freight car improvements The percent of freight cars owned by railroad companies fell during the decade 1957-67. There were over 1.8 million freight cars in operation in 1967, down from 2.1 million in 1957. Of this num ber, 13.5 percent of all cars were owned by other than railroad companies in 1957, in contrast with about 17 percent by 1967. However, the increase in average car capacity has tended to offset much of the decline in the number of freight cars; in fact, the total capacity of all cars, including those privately owned, increased between 1957 and 1967. The composition of the car fleet has shifted from general purpose toward special-purpose cars and the average capacity has increased. In 1968, for exam ple, the average new car purchased had a capacity of 81 tons compared to an average of only 57 tons for those being retired. In addition, material and de sign changes have reduced the weight of the car in relation to its capacity. In 1957, box cars had represented 36 percent of all freight cars but, by 1967, this proportion had dropped to 32 percent. (See table 10, Specialized Freight Cars, by M ajor Class, 1957 and 1967.) On the other hand, the number of specialized cars (box cars especially fitted for a particular kind or class of cargo) rose almost IV z times (from 54,000 in 1957 to 139,000 in 1967). Declines occurred among gen eral-purpose box cars, stock cars, gondolas and open hopper cars and refrigerator cars. The number of flat cars in use rose between 1957 and 1967 because of an increase in piggyback traffic and also in the number of automobiles transported by rail. Piggyback traffic grew from less than 1 per cent of carloadings in 1957, to 4.3 percent in 1967, and 4.8 percent in 1969. According to the Autom o bile M anufacturer’s Association, auto carriage in creased from 538,000 cars in 1959 to 5.4 million in 1969. The dramatic growth in number of autos transported by railroads resulted from the fitting of flat cars with special car carrying racks. As a result, one railroad car was able to carry more autos than one truck, while at the time eliminating the need for a truck driver. Another improvement, in materials used, has re- Chart 1. Number of Locomotives, by Type and Percent of Total Thousands 45% Steam, Electric and Others 55% 10% 2.0% -4 ----- 90% 98% 1957 1962 DieselElectric 1952 Source: See Appendix 11-1. 19 TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE IN THE 1960’s AND 1970's Table 10. Specialized freight cars, by major class, 1957 and 1967 Special features M ajor car class Average capacity per car (tons) 1 Ownership— other than railroad Cargo 1957 1967 1957 48.9 54.5 0.3% 0 .3 % General service bulk freight. Agricultural and manufactured products. 1967 1957 Increased capac ity cars, with special interior fittings like stan - , chions to support plywood, cush ioned underframes, convey ors, etc. Conveyor belt inside to load & unload cargo. Much greater door space than conventional box car. Extra-large box car. Contains built-in dolly. Multi-purpose cargo tiedown attachments, compatible with several container types. Bulkhead Cars Flat car with “walls” on the ends. Auto Rack Cars Special drive-on racks. 93,538 (4.6) 143,335 (7.9) Unitized lumber & plywood; canned goods, pipe and rolled floor coverings. Flat 578,426 (31.7% ) Designed for tobacco. “ Hello Dolly” Box Car 747,838 (36.4% ) Lumber, bulky products. “ Big Boy” Boxcar 1967 Potatoes, apples, other produce All-door Box Car II. Box Conveyor Produce Cars I. Total cars and percentage of fleet 52.7 61.6 2.0 28.6 Piggyback con tainers, autos, lumber. Lumber, ply wood, gypsum. (2 ) Assembled auto mobiles, 15 per car. (2 ) RAILROAD TECHNOLOGY AND MANPOWER IN THE 1970's 20 Table 10. Specialized freight cars, by major class, 1957 and 1967— Continued M ajor car class Special features Average capacity per car (tons) 1 1957 Piggyback Cars III. Gondola and Hopper 1957 Cargo 1967 . 1957 1967 36,415 (1.8) 17,040 (0.9) 39.7 1.9 2.0 Live animals. 60.4 71.3 1.0 4.0 Coal, grain, other bulk solids. 884,563 (43.1) 786,664 (43.2) (3 ) Larger cars with commodity re lated variations. 40.3 (3 ) Commodities like salt, grain, coal. (4 ) (4) Covered Hoppers “ Big John” Car 4,000-cubic-foot aluminum cov ered hopper. Grain Pneumatic unloading hopper Eliminates center sill for more usable space. Dry, flowable material, such as flour, malt, chemicals, plastic pellets. H ot Steel Car V. Total cars and percentage of fleet Trucks and con tainers o f gen eral freight. New “ all-pur pose” cars hold both trailers and containers. Stock IV. 1967 Ownership— other than railroad H ot steel slabs. Tank 49.7 Cryogenic Car PressureFlow “ Hopper” 55.3 96.1 97.2 Petroleum, chem 166,452 icals, foods, fertil (8.1) izers, other dry bulk or liquid ladings. Super-cold lad ings ( —350°F. and below). Liquefied gases, etc. Pneumatic pres sure-unloading. Dry-bulk ladings like cement. 175,117 (9.6) TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE IN THE 1960's AND 1970’s Table 10. 21 Specialized freight cars, by major class, 1957 and 1967—^Continued Special features M ajor car class Average Ownership— capacity per other than car (tons) 1 railroad 1957 1967 1957 Cargo 1967 1957 Wine car Holds 2Y 2 times wine of earlier cars (20,000 gal.). Insulated, with up to 3 separate compartments. Thermos style. Urethane in sulated. M ain tains temperature without mechaniical cooling. 120,998 (5.9) 117,274 (5.4) Fruit juices, liquid sugars & fats, adhesives and chemicals. Refrigerator 39.5 Mechanical “ reefers” VII. 1967 Wine “ Sandwich” Tank Car VI. Total care and percentage of fleet Opens like clam shell to receive cargo. 56.0 M eat and other foods stored at 35°F. or some what above. Uses m otor for cooling instead of ice. Other, eg. Coil Car 61.3 83.3 (5 ) 69.9 68.5 40.5 1 Average capacity available for class I only. 2 Accounted for over }/& of all flat cars in 1967. These cars are virtually all privately owned. 3 Ownership by other than railroads increased from 9 percent of the category in 1957 to 19 percent in 1967. suited in a steady rise in the net-to-tare ratio— weight of the transported product relative to empty car weight. New materials, notably steel alloys and aluminum, and new interior coverings and fittings, are now being used in car construction. Thus, car material and design changes contribute to an in crease in the amount of freight that can be hauled 33.1 Various special cargoes, e.g., six 32,000-lb. coils of thin steel. 4,507 (0.2) 4,513 (0.2) 4 60,360 in 1957 and 147,412 in 1967. 5 About 16 percent o f refrigerated cars in 1967. SOURCE: Interstate Commerce Commission, Association of American Railroads, American Railway Car Institute. by a given amount of locomotive power. Further more, because these new materials are stronger and easily cleaned, maintenance requirements are re duced. Many new covered hopper cars are plastic lined to allow easy, thorough cleaning that facilitates their interchangeable use between hauling of food and other commodities. Interior fitting changes in- RAILROAD TECHNOLOGY AND MANPOWER IN THE 1970’s 22 elude the use of nailable steel floors in place of wooden floors and receptacles in car walls to hold the telescoping rods which reduce in-transit cargo shifts. Hydraulic cushioning devices have also been introduced for the purpose of reducing claims for loss and damage. One of the most dramatic improvements in the operation of freight cars has resulted from changes in journal (axle) lubrication procedures and intro duction of roller bearings. Before 1957, car wheels and the journals they revolved upon were lubricated by placing rags or “loose waste” in the journal box, to prevent the oil from splashing out and to keep it against the journal. This loose waste had frequently tangled around the axle, however, and caused the very “hotboxes” it was supposed to prevent. Subse quently, journal pads were developed to supersede this use of loose waste. These pads required replace ment at 30-month intervals and were more effective in retention of oil or grease than the loose waste. The Association of American Railroads ruled that after August 1, 1957, all new cars purchased must have either journal pads— used with friction bear ings— or roller bearings; after January 1, 1961, all cars used in interchange had to have one or the other. According to the Association, about 4 percent of all cars were equipped with roller bearings in 1960, over 20 percent by 1966. By 1975, taking into consideration anticipated car purchases, about half the car fleet should be equipped with roller bearings. The hotboxes that once resulted from improper axle lubrication were a m ajor cause for car setouts — cars set off on sidings for later repair. Chart 2, Car Setouts Per Million-Car-Miles, 1955-68, dra matically shows how the use of journal pads and roller bearings have reduced lost train time. From the 1957 peak of 5.5 car setouts per-million-carmiles, a decline of almost 90 percent had occurred by 1968. The net result of the reduction in time spent with car setouts for repair has been to in crease car utilization. The diffusion of the innovations relative to freight cars (as described above) is directly related to an ticipated new car purchases. The American Railway Car Institute (A R C I)— the major spokesman and data source for car builders— has made estimates of annual new car and total fleet requirements between Chart 2. Freight Car Set-O uts Per M illion Car-M iles, 1955-70 TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE IN THE 19 60’s AND 1970's 23 1967 and 1975. Based on retirement curves, utiliza tion trends, and demand estimates of various com modity groups, the ARCI foresees retirements aver aging 71,000 cars for the period January 1, 1967 through January 1, 1976. Total fleet requirements in 1975, estimated at 1.7 million cars, less the retire ments, yields an average annual purchase require ment ranging from 62,000 to 85,000 cars, depend ing on railroad m arket share. Average purchases for 1967-70 have been about 69,000 cars annually, or about the level expected by ARCI. pacity hydraulic jacks and electric hoists. Hose reels, acetylene, and oil are similarly placed, as are revolving part bins that eliminate fumbling for a part or the need to make a trip away from the work station. Heating of new facilities is accomplished with more efficient boilers, having better controls. C ar cleaning is done in these locations by using au tomatic “car wash” techniques. These procedures cut cleaning time by as much as one-half. Large vacuum units are used to clean car interiors. While the cost of these new spot shop facilities is high, railroads adopting them expect the savings re alized to result in a quick payback. F or example, one railroad centralized and modernized one of its shop facilities in 1964. Its fully automated wheel shop, which replaced 10 smaller shops, was ex pected to be fully amortized in 1969. Also, one equipment company reports that spot repair facili ties “generally increase labor efficiency 100 percent.” 8 The superiority of spot shops use over older re pair methods is widely recognized. Although they are presently widespread, some further adoption of this method can be expected. Further improvements within these facilities, such as the automatic wheel shops mentioned above, are also expected by 1975. Shop facilities: relocation and improvements Repair work of rollingstock, both locomotives and cars, has been shifted from locations scattered along the right-of-way to central locations called “spot shops,” which use production-line techniques. The locomotive or car is now brought to a central facility which is subdivided into various work sta tions where specialized equipment is available for any type of repair or inspection required. Thus, time spent in carrying tools to the equipment to be re paired has been eliminated. When disassembly of lo comotive or car components is required, the repair of parts is closely coordinated so that equipment is not held in bad order condition because of lack of some minor part. Other changes taking place within spot shops include the strategic location of high-ca 8 Car and Locomotive Cyclopedia, 1966, Simmons-Boardman, 1966, p. 1182. View from the “ pit,” as diesel-electric locomotive undergoes periodic maintenance and overhaul check-up. 24 RAILROAD TECHNOLOGY AND MANPOWER IN THE 1970's Piggyback traffic and unit trains Piggyback traffic, or trailer-on-flat-car (T O F C ), and more recently container-on-flat-car (C O F C ), services are among the most significant newer trans portation developments. Piggybacking is simply the loading of a highway trailer onto a flat car by means of a ramp or mechanical loader. COFC service is less widespread because a mechanical loader is al ways required; however, the space savings from eliminating wheels on containers makes them rela tively more attractive for intramodal shipment be tween rail, air, and sea transportation. In either TO FC or COFC traffic, goods need to be handled only once, at the shipper’s dock. The container can be transshipped through several transportation modes, arriving at the consignee’s dock without being subjected to reloading— a prime cause of breakage, delay, and pilferage. TOFC technology includes use of specially de signed flatcars, tunnel, and track reconstruction, and the design of terminal facilities for high volume TOFC loading and unloading. The American Stand ards Association has established standard container sizes which will permit easier interchange between railroads and other modes of transport. Trailer Train, an organization of 36 railroads, had a pool of 50,000 TOFC cars in 1969. Trains of TOFC-loaded flatcars operate on expedited schedules. The handling of TOFC is covered by five major plans approved by the ICC. Table 11 describes these plans, including their major characteristics. Table 11. Plan 2 V i is growing very rapidly. Although, in the first half of 1967, it accounted for only 5 percent of all terminations— the final delivery of a trailer from the railroad to a trucker or to the final consignee— it had reached 26 percent in the first half of 1968. On January 1, 1966, a private survey indicated that there were 1,548 U.S. cities having piggyback facilities.9 Of these, 1,391 had only trailer ramps; the remaining 157 had mechanical loading or un loading devices. Over 1,000 storage yards for use in conjunction with piggyback operations existed in 1966, with a combined capacity of almost 54,000 units, the survey also indicated. Since 1966, rail roads have continued to expand and improve their storage yards. For the period 1957-68, piggyback traffic has been growing at a rate of about 16.5 percent a year. Since 1955, the first full year of TOFC service, carloadings have risen from 168,150 to over 1.3 mil lion, or 4.7 percent of total loadings in 1968 (see chart 3 ). Assuming a continuation of this rate of growth, piggyback traffic would reach a level of about 3.9 million carloadings in 1975. However, as shown in chart 3, the rate of increase in this traffic has been moderating in recent years. Also,”because of the increasing size of the traffic base and the attendant congestion of facilities to handle TO FC /' COFC freight, it appears that the 1957-68 rate of growth cannot be sustained. Thus, it is estimated 9 R a i l w a y A g e , Oct. 31, 1966, pp. 22ff. ICC approved piggyback plans, unit terminations, and revenues, first 6 months, 1968 Terminations of trailers and containers Plan number Percent of total1 Characteristics Loader & unloader Mover to and from tracks Motor carrier Motor carrier At rates competitive with other modes. Railroad Shipper Same as plan II. Shipper Shipper Based on approximate cost of highway operation between points served. Railroad Shipper Shipper Rail rates for loaded or empty cars. Allows for expense of flatcar ownership. Shipper Shipper Variable Based on through-route and joint-rate coordination of rail and motor carriers. Variable (inter change of modes) Variable Revenue 1 15% 8% II 39% 43% Railroad 11-1/2 26% 27% Railroad III 10% 7% Shipper owns van; RR owns flatcars. IV 7% 12% V 4% 3% 1 Percentages do not add to 100 due to rounding. SOURCE: Interstate Commerce Commission. Payment Ownership of van and flatcars Terminations Motor carrier At motor rates. Motor carrier collects from shipper and pays railroad pro-rata share. TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE IN THE 1960’s AND 1970’s 25 that a lower level of around lV i-2 million carloadings may be possible by 1975. The unit train, like TOFC, is a high-priority train that hauls a single commodity. It may haul any one of a number of different kinds of bulk commodities such as coal, bauxite, hot asphalt, steel slabs, and various kinds of grains, in from 70 to 120 hopper cars. Unit trains usually travel from a single destina tion to their terminals on a continuous basis, al though a recent variation would permit the renter to move the train between several points. Railroads transport about three-fourths of America’s coal; in 1969, about 21 percent of the total 560 million tons produced moved by unit train. Several railroads and electric power companies have negotiated long-term contracts which often run for 20 years. They pro vide for the movement of millions of tons of coal annually by unit train. The m ajor reason for the growth in the use of unit trains since 1962 is the decreased cost per ton carried, compared to previous methods used. These savings result because unit trains bypass switchyards and are subject to quick turnaround. Although high in initial cost, these trains yield a rapid return on the capital invested. According to one expert in the field, unit trains return 16 percent net income on revenue compared with only 8 percent for conven tional cars.10 By 1975, it is likely that unit trains will be used even more extensively than today because of the formulation of special rates for various commodities. One such target for special rates is the approxi mately 55 million tons of coal— about 10 percent of total production in 1969— moved annually by railwater combination. The development of new rates that may divert this traffic to all rail movement is being investigated. Automatic classification yards Classification yards are the center of railroad ac tivity; thus, yards can be a major contributor to pro ductivity. In 1970, according to the AAR, the aver age serviceable car spent about 11 percent of its time, either loaded or empty, moving in a train. The remainder of the time it spent in classification yards, or standing idle because of seasonal lulls, or waiting to be loaded or unloaded. The experience of many railroads indicates that automatic classification yards bring about increased car utilization. O ther benefits stemming from the automatic classification yards are improved customer service through reduced transit time; consolidation of work from outlying locations with accompanying manpower savings; and preven tion of claims from loss and damage. The case of one railroad provides a good example of the benefits to be derived from automatic classifi cation yards. The railroad recently completed an au tomatic yard at a cost of $75 million. This replaced 10 U n it T r a in O p e r a tio n s , Railway Systems and Manage ment Association, Chicago, 1967, p. 22. RAILROAD TECHNOLOGY AND MANPOWER IN THE 1970’s 26 A 200-car unit train moves coal directly from mine to customer site. 8 smaller yards and is the first in the industry to employ a digital computer for car classification.1 1 Another road built a new yard that replaced six old ones, reduced car throughput (receive, classify, and dispatch) time by 5 -1 2 hours. Annual return on in vestment, according to the railroad, was calculated at 25 percent. Technological changes in classification yards, other than miscellaneous improvements (such as closed circuit television, and use of radios and weighing-in-motion), are divided into three m ajor elem ents: 1. T he change from flat yards to hum p yards. This simply introduces a slight incline into the switch yard so that, instead o f having to provide all the pow er to send a car from the point at w hich it was cut from the train, the sw itch engine need only reach the top o f the hum p at a relatively slow speed and gravity provides the m om entum needed to keep the car going into the desired classifica tion track. T he engine need no longer go forward and backward, but sim ply travels slow ly forward toward the hump. 2. T he installation o f m echanical retarders lo cated along the track. Operated by electro-pneu m atic or hydraulic pow er, they “squeeze” the w heels o f cars passing through them , thus slow ing 11 “PC’s Milestone Yard Dedicated September 25,” Sept. 28, 1968, p. 50. 12 “Railroads on the Automation Track,” E le c tr o n ic s , Jan. 9, 1967, pp. 168-70. T ra ffic W o r ld , the car to the desired speed. W hile retarders were used in som e yards before W orld W ar II, their adoption w as speeded during the war because o f m anpow er shortages. T hese retarders, initially m anually operated, are now controlled by com puters. T hese com puters calculate braking require m ents according to car w eight, and the speed o f the car. 3. Shifting o f the sw itching operation from the yard to a con sole operator in the tower. W here previously a man in the yard had to throw the sw itch for each car or group o f cars, the tower console operator now m erely operates sw itches on the console before him . H e has a list o f cars being sw itched and activates sw itches according to des tinations. The diffusion of automatic classification yards is shown in table 12. The first of these yards appeared in 1949, and by 1967, construction had been started on 52 automatic classification yards. In early 1967, according to a private survey, 118 freight yards out of about 1,200 major classification yards had some form of automatic control.12 Recent advances in technology have now made possible a small-scale adaptation of the automatic yards. These new yards operate efficiently with a lower number of cars classified per day. These socalled “economy yards” first appeared in 1965 and in 1967 there were three yards on which the up grading had already been accomplished (see table 11 ). Total expenditures for automatic classification TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE IN THE 19 60’s AND 1970’s 27 yards are not available. However, based on average expenditures per yard of about $9 million, total ex penditure estimates are in the area of one-half bil lion dollars. Because of the high capital investment required, ownership is concentrated in large compa nies. All 52 major yards are owned by 22 class I railroads; 28 of them are owned by only 8 railroads, each of which owns 3 or more yards. By 1975, there are prospects for limited further application of large automatic classification yards in the United States. One major supplier of equipment estimates that 12 additional yards may be installed by that time. The smaller automatic yard has much further to go to reach complete diffusion. Some 300-400 smaller yards have traffic patterns of den sity suitable for yard upgrading, but it is difficult to estimate how many will be converted by 1975. find out where their goods are, enroute, and the rail roads to utilize vacant cars more fully. Reports can be routinely issued on either a periodic or a request basis, so that management can fully perceive exist ing problems or forestall potential ones. Previously, information on problem areas, potential or actual, could be lost in the large volume of papers gener ated by freight transactions. The impact of the computer on railroads has been pervasive. Computers aid in locating and switching cars, in scheduling trains and in making motive power assignments to trains. They are used also in controlling inventory and in scheduling road mainte nance and equipment use. Advanced applications include simulation of clas sification yards or other operating areas of the rail road. Simulation obtains information on the potential effects of changes in operating procedures and physical configuration without spending the real time and money required in actually trying new pro cedures or constructing new facilities. Construction projects are subjected to sophisticated control tech niques, such as critical path method scheduling that may result in time savings and can eliminate bottle- Computers The computer, in combination with microwave data transmission, allows data to be transmitted for accurate control of car movement. By establishing car locations quickly, computers allow shippers to Retarder operator controls the speed of coasting freight cars in classification yard. 28 Table 12. RAILROAD TECHNOLOGY AND MANPOWER IN THE 19 70’s U .S. Automatic Classification Yards Yard Year started 1. Moline, 111. (Silvis).......................................................................... 2. Kansas City, Kans. (Arm ourdale)............................................... 3. Kansas City, Kans. (Argentina)................................................... 4. Chicago, 111. (M arkham )................................................................ 5. Pueblo, Colo..................................................................................... 6. Knoxville, Tenn. (Sevier)............................................................... 7. Birmingham, Ala. (N orris)............................................................ 8. Gary, Ind. (K irk )............................................................................ 9. Milwaukee, Wis. (Airline).............................................................. 10. Roseville, Calif................................................................................. 11. Chicago, 111. (Bensenville).............................................................. 12. Nashville, Tenn. (R adnor)............................................................. 13. Hamlet, N. C.................................................................................... 14. Houston, Tex. (Englewood).......................................................... 15. Chattanooga, Tenn. (Citico)......................................................... 16. Pasco, W ash...................................................................................... 17. Portsmouth, O hio............................................................................ 18. Pittsburgh, Pa................................................................................... 19. M inot, N. Dak. (G avin)................................................................ 20. St. Paul, M inn.................................................................................. 21. Eugene, Ore....................................................................................... 22. Pittsburgh, Pa. (Conway).............................................................. 23. Atlanta, Ga. (Inm an)...................................................................... 24. Buffalo, N. Y. (Frontier)............................................................... 25. Atlanta, Ga. (Tilford).............................................................. 26. Chicago, 111. (Corwith)................................................................... 27. Elkhart, Ind. (Y oung)..................................................................... 28. Birmingham, Ala. (Boyles)............................................................ 29. Youngstown, Ohio (G atew ay)...................................................... 30. Chicago, 111. (Cicero)...................................................................... 31. Pine Bluff, A rk................................................................................. 32. Kansas City, Mo. (Paul J. Neff)................................................... 33. Russell, Ky. (Fitzpatrick).............................................................. 34. Potomac Y ard .................................................................................. 35. Indianapolis, Ind. (Big F o u r)........................................................ 36. Cumberland, M d.............................................................................. 37. N orth Little Rock, A rk.................................................................. 38. East Buffalo, N. Y .............................................................. 39. Roanoke, Va..................................................................................... 40. McGehee, A rk....................................................... ....................... 41. Chicago, 111. (59th Street).............................................................. 42. Selkirk, N. Y. (Perlman Y d .)........................................................ 43. Kansas City, M o.............................................................................. 44. Decoursey, K y.................................................................................. 45. Pocatello, Ida.................................................................................... 1949 1949 1949 1950 1950 1951 1952 1952 1952 1952 1953 1954 1954 1954 1955 1955 1955 1955 1956 1956 1956 1957 1957 1957 1957 1958 1958 1958 1958 1958 1958 1959 1959 1959 1960 1960 1961 1961 1961 1962 1965 1966 1967 O 0) Car capacity per day Cost (millions) 4,372 4,980 7,173 9,827 2,163 4,500 5,400 O 1,799 0) 7,497 7,905 5,030 7,719 6,300 4,700 10,300 828 3,237 3,245 5,063 12,000 7,800 6,100 2,141 5,871 7,873 6,151 5,848 5,777 2,820 7,156 1,861 0) 4,480 2,976 4,654 3,000 $ 3.3 1.5 0) 3.0 0) 4 .0 10.0 4.9 3 .0 o 5.2 14.0 8.0 7 .6 12.0 5.5 O 4.5 6 .0 4.9 2 .0 35.0 15.0 10.5 11.0 20.0 14.0 10.0 7.5 6.5 4.5 12.8 5.5 2.5 14.0 10.0 8.4 7.5 0) O 2,608 0) 0) o 0) 29.0 9 .0 11.5 0) 5,000 4,812 0) 29 TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE IN THE 19 60’s AND 1970's Table 12. U .S. Automatic Classification Yards— Continued Yard 46. 47. 48. 49. 50. 51. 52. Car capacity per day Cost (millions) 0) 3,900 (x ) 0) 0) 0) 0) 0) o 0) Year started N orth Platte, N ebr.......................................................................... Grande Jet., Colo. (East)............................................................... Riverdale, 111. (Blue Island)........................................................... Detroit, M ich.................................................................................... Memphis, Tenn. (Tennessee)......................................................... Tulsa, Okla. (Cherokee)................................................................. East St. L o u is................................................................................... 0) 0) 0) 0) 0) 0) (x ) 0) 0) 0) 0) 1965 0) 0) 0) 0) 0) ( x) SMALL AUTOMATIC YARDS 53. 54. 55. 56. Bellevue, O hio.................................................................................. Grandview, O h io ............................................................................. Richmond, C alifornia..................................................................... Beaumont, Texas............................................................................. 0) 0) 0) C1) 0) 1 Data not available. SOURCE: T ra in s, January 1961; Association of American Railroads. necks in completing projects and save large sums of money. Computers were introduced into the railroads in 1955. By January 31, 1969, according to the Asso ciation of American Railroads, there were a total of 252 computers installed or 6.8 percent more than the number installed one year earlier.13 Leading railroads have adopted use of computersat about the same time as major companies in other industries. F or example, according to a McGrawHill survey, in early 1965, 4 percent of all railroad respondents had owned computers for 7 years or more— the same as the average for either all m anu facturing or all businesses (see table 13). However, diffusion throughout the railroad industry has tended to be generally slower than in other industries. The survey indicated that 91 percent of railroad re spondents that had computers had used them for less than 3 years, compared with 71 percent for all manufacturing. Computers have shifted the basis for decision13 Data Systems Division, Association of American Rail roads, July 1969. making from precedent and experience to a more objective one based on quantified data. By 1975, railroad use of computers will be more widespread and intensive. In this connection, the Association of American Railroads notes that . . . “computers will be a necessity for all class I railroads and most of the smaller railroads.” Console operators at data processing centers expedite tne huge volume of paperwork handled daily by the railroads. 30 RAILROAD TECHNOLOGY AND MANPOWER IN THE 1970’s Signaling and communication improvements Advances in signaling and communication tech nology are having a continuing impact on all other phases of railroad operations. The components of signaling are becoming more and more a part of a complex, comprehensive, interlocking communica tion system. These parts include centralized traffic control mechanisms, detectors of many different kinds, microwave carrier capacity, and finally com puters to process increasing amounts of information. When the total communication system is completed, it is likely to include continuous hotbox monitoring, regional centralized traffic control, automatic car identification and interroad information exchange on car location anywhere in the United States. Centralized traffic control (C TC ) is the activa tion, by remote control, of signals and switches over long stretches of track. A single operator controls and monitors the train movement from a central unit. The control panel is equipped with an elec tronically animated track model of the controlled track sections. By watching the model, the control board operator, or dispatcher, is able to view the track for occupancy. With push buttons and levers, he activates the signals and switches to control traf fic flow. This dispatcher determines train priority for track use, rerouting of trains, and use of track for passing and sidings; he also controls the distance be tween trains. He uses the track model as a decision making tool, since track occupancy and the posi tions of signals and switches for main tracks and sidings are immediately evident. Before the advent of CTC, trains were operated by use of time tables and written train orders only (without signals an d /o r switches), with manual sig naling by flagmen, and by block signaling, both manual and automatic. This “block signaling” conTable 13. The age of operating computers, railroads and other industries, 1965 Percent of companies indicating— Industry Less than 3 years All manufacturing.......................................................... Railroids.......................................................................... Other transportation and communications............... Electric utilities.............................................................. Commercial..................................................................... All business1.................................................................. 1 Excludes gas utilities. SOURCE: McGraw-HMI Publishing Company. 3-6 years 7 years and over 71 79 91 71 57 68 70 25 16 5 25 39 27 26 4 5 4 4 4 5 4 cept, introduced before 1872, is still basic to the system in use today. It uses wayside towers for con trol of signals and switches, and as relay stations for information. The Interstate Commerce Commission classifies CTC as a part of “automatic block signal ing” and includes both track and road miles of CTC in this total. CTC is used to expedite rail traffic over the few est possible miles of track, without the use of writ ten train orders. Recent additions to basic CTC systems have helped to promote faster rail traffic. Added circuits allow signals to clear automatically without the control board operator’s intervening. Di rect voice communication between the CTC board operator and the signalmen along the line, as well as with the train and engine service employees, in creases the system’s efficiency. Thus, dragging equipment and hotbox indications can be immedi ately reported to operating personnel for correction when detectors are installed as a part of the CTC system because of this radio link. Centralized traffic control was first introduced on the railroads in 1927; at that time, it accounted for only 40 out of a total of 260,000 miles of main track operated. During the period 1957-68, track miles under centralized traffic control rose from slightly over 32,000 to nearly 50,000. In 1957, CTC represented about 12 percent of total main track operated; by 1968, this proportion had in creased to approximately 20 percent (see table 14 for m ileage). Moreover, the rapid growth in track mileage under CTC systems since 1957 took place while the total miles of main track operated were declining. Undoubtedly, CTC has contributed greatly to the ability of the railroads to handle the increasing volume of traffic of recent years by pro viding better track utilization. For example, install ing CTC on a single track line may increase its ca pacity up to 80 percent of the capacity of a double track, but at a lower cost. According to the Association of American Rail roads, some form of centralized traffic control is likely to become more common on all rail lines in the years ahead. By 1975, the number of track miles under centralized traffic control is likely to be extended further, because of the increasing use of computer programing of train operations to include dispatching and scheduling. Computerization is also likely to expand the miles of track that can be con trolled by one CTC center and also may make pos sible inclusion of entire roads into a single system. TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE IN THE 1960’s AND 1970’s Detection devices. A hotbox or hot journal (axle) involves the overheated condition of friction journals or roller bearings, caused by inadequate lubrication. If a hotbox is not discovered early, the temperature of the journal or bearing may rise to a critical level, so that the wheel end of the journal may burn off and cause a derailment of the car. Hotbox detectors are designed to measure tem perature changes of journals and/or roller bearings on passing railroad cars. Ideally, these detectors are mounted alongside the track at about 30-mile inter vals—usually in areas of CTC track. They scan the journal box or the hubs of the car wheels and relay the journal temperature of each wheel to CTC offices or other central locations where this informa tion is recorded on tape. Shoulcj- an overheated jour nal be indicated, an alarm brings this fact to the at tention of the recorder monitor. He, in turn, informs the train engineer by signal or direct station-to-train telephone. The use of detectors replaces the old “sight and smell” method of hotbox detection— a method that has become less reliable with adoption of improved technologies. Better journal lubricants and substitu tion of journal pads for loose waste have greatly re duced the visible smoke and flames generally result ing from a journal’s overheating and ignition. Also, visual inspection is virtually impossible, because of faster moving trains and the increased use of roller bearings. The savings and other benefits that stem from the 31 Table 14. Track miles controlled by block signal and CTC systems1 selected years, 1952-68 , Year 1957 ........ 1961 ........ 1968......... Total miles of main track operated Total Automatic Manual 269,300 263,222 227,897 139,594 131,177 123,007 110,689 107,563 116,612 28,905 23,614 14,411 Track miles of block signal system Track miles of centralized traffic control 32,033 38,264 48,984 Average Annual Percent Change 1957-61... 1961-68... - 0 .6 - 2 .1 - 1 .6 -.9 - 0 .7 1.2 - 4 .9 - 6 .8 4.6 3.6 1 Coverage is for all U.S. railroads. SOURCE: Report of the Section of Railroad Safety, Bureau of Railroad Safety and Service of the ICC for year concerned. installation of hotbox detectors have more than offset the cost of their installation and maintenance, even in the shortrun. According to one manufac turer, for each potential hotbox detected the cost of replacing the axle— up to $300—is saved. However, the overriding factor for adopting hotbox detectors is to prevent car derailments and other serious wrecks which may result in equipment loss and per sonal injury. Hotbox detectors were introduced in the mid1950’s, but the first available accumulated total of installation is for 1958, when 97 detectors were al ready installed. In 1967 alone, 21 roads installed 132 detectors. In addition to wayside installation, many roads are installing detectors at classification yard entrances. It is expected that the installation of wayside detectors will become increasingly more dif fused, leading to continuous monitoring of the jour nal temperatures, possibly by 1975. In addition to hotbox detectors, railroads are in stalling other new detector devices in increasing numbers each year. With the advent of faster freight and passenger speeds, there is an increasing empha sis on safety and a growing need for new detectors of all types. These increased from about 5,000 auto matic devices in 1957 (including hotbox detectors) to more than 8,000 in 1967 (see table 15). They include “presence” detectors which are placed in areas where falling rocks or other debris may be found on the track, clearance or high-wide load de tectors, high-water detectors, and smoke detectors. Microwave. Railroads are increasingly adopting mi Detectors mounted along the track automatically warn of improper or dangerous equipment conditions. crowave, a radio frequency above 890 megacycles per second, to provide the wider bandwidth neces sary for the growing volume of data, voice, and message traffic. Route mileage of railroad micro- RAILROAD TECHNOLOGY AND MANPOWER IN THE 1970’s 32 Table 15. 1960-1967 Miscellaneous detectors installed, by year, Year Dragging equipment Broken wheel 1960......................... 1961......................... 1962.......................... 1963......................... 1964......................... 1965......................... 1966......................... 1967.......................... 17 37 22 67 26 19 123 70 15 15 1 12 28 11 31 31 Presence 1 700 331 266 312 210 Other 79 19 1 3 18 5 3 Cumulative total, all detectors2 5,505 5i 691 5| 788 6,611 7,164 71611 8,303 3 8,617 1 No specific yearly data available before 1963. 2 Includes hotbox detectors. 3 Estimated. SOURCE: R ailw ay Age, July 17, 1967; 1967, Railway Signaling and Communica tions, January 1968. wave has increased from less than 200 miles used on an experimental basis in 1952 to more than 22,000 miles in 1966. A 1966 survey indicates an annual rise of 25 percent in voice traffic and 8 per cent in message volume; data transmission, however, is increasing about 40 percent per year. In 1957, the Federal Communication Commission (FCC) for the first time formally assigned a band of frequen cies for private railroad microwave. Both leased common carrier and private, road-owned lines are used. Many roads are using microwave to com pletely supplant existing pole-lines. Adoption of microwave offers substantial cost savings that result from the avoidance of pole line installation, particularly where the terrain is difficult and requires many extra miles of circuits to span. Also, savings occur with increased transmission reli ability (especially in extreme weather), lower maintenance costs and greater usage possibilities. The General Supervisor of Communications for one railroad reports a reliability of 99.99658 percent, with only 15.81 minutes of downtime per year. Facsimile transmission (as of waybills) and VHF radio are two of the key uses of railroad microwave. One railway system, for instance, is using a combi nation of computer and data processing techniques, with microwave and long distance xerography, to provide real-time transmission, primarily of waybills. This waybill contains data needed for operational control— train consist, commodity weight, and con signee. Centralized, operational control is dependent on transmitting advance knowledge of crew, car, and motive power requirements, as well as of cost data— all information contained in the waybill or able to be computed from its entries. Now in use on several roads, facsimile transmission is expected to become one of the principal uses of railroad microwave. VHF radio is being increasingly used in yard and road operations and in maintenance-of-way work, as well as in dispatching from wayside to train, because the line communication system is not adequate to meet the demand. Industry estimates of 35,000 route miles of private railroad microwave by 1970 and 50,000 route miles by 1975 are based on rising requirements for current, accurate informa tion. Automatic Car Identification. Automatic car identi fication (A CI) is a system that uses wayside scan ners to locate cars carrying specially printed labels. ACI is also helpful in scheduling cars for inspection and for servicing. A label with the car initial and description is placed on the exterior of the car, ca boose, locomotive, trailer, or container. As the car passes, wayside scanners “read” and transmit the data from the label to decoders which provide the user with all types of information about the car’s lo cation, type, current load status, future availability, priority status (in scheduling) and its weight (net, gross, load). (See appendix II-3 for descriptions of various applications of ACI.) In the mid-1960’s the need for an industry-wide ACI system was recognized by the Association of American Railroads. A standard system was adopted for industry-wide use beginning in the spripg of 1969. According to AAR rules, all cars and locomotives to be interchanged among the var ious railroad systems must be equipped with ACI labels by January 1, 1970. In the fall of 1969, it was reported that roughly half the car fleet were la beled and no railroad had less than 30 percent of its cars labeled; also, about 50 ACI scanners were in service. Scanners will be located at interchange points and supply information to both railroads, thus enhancing better scheduling coordination. Transit time and the amount of clerical work will be reduced substantially. Also, with a continuous infor mation flow, the railroad industry is likely to im prove customer service and, in turn, its position in the competitive shipping market. Maintenance of way changes The term “maintenance of way” refers to the in stallation and upkeep of railroad track, rail bed, and associated structures. For some years following World War II, maintenance of way work was done TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE IN THE 1960’s AND 1970's 33 by men who relied largely upon sheer brawn and handtools. Gradually, these handtools were supple mented with pneumatic powered tools and then re placed by single-purpose machines. These machines were designed for specific operations such as pulling and driving spikes, unscrewing bolts, packing bal last, and hoisting heavy materials like ties and rails into place. In the late 1950’s and early 1960’s, these single purpose, manually-operated machines spread throughout the industry. Concurrently, manufactur ers also developed off-track vehicles which could travel along the tracks for work purposes but could also get off the track quickly when trains ap proached. Sophisticated combination machines that could raise and align the track, and level and tamp the ballast in the road bed in a single operation were also introduced. Still other machines were de veloped that could pick up, clean and return ballast to the roadbed; remove old ties and insert new ones; or clean switch yards quickly. A 1969 survey revealed that the degree of mecha nization of the various operations involved in main tenance of way ranged from 20 to 100 percent. (See table 16.) In addition, improved materials and techniques are also contributing to a reduction in maintenance labor requirements. Of major importance is the adoption of continuous rail and the imminent spread of the concrete tie. In 1967, over 7 percent of main-line track was continuous-welded rail that was laid in quarter-mile sections with extensive use of machinery. This type of rail eliminates joints at the rail-end and saves a significant amount of labor once required to lift, cut off and relay short 39-foot pieces of conventional rail. Concrete ties, which tend to have longer useful lives than wooden ones, are currently in experimental use on several roads and their more widespread use is expected in the fu ture. Other developments, such as two-way radio, have contributed greatly to increasing work capacity of the labor force. Radio communication permits the work force to maximize work time before clearing the track in ^advance of oncoming trains. In addi tion, improved paints, paint application methods, and the use of prestressed concrete for bridge con struction reduce maintenance labor requirements. The future adoption of “weathering” steel for con struction purposes may also reduce manpower re quirements for surface maintenance. Routine maintenance and “clean up” around the Table 16. Degree of maintenance of way mechanization, by operation, 1969 Operation Percent of mechanization Transportation of gangs............................................................. Track surface and lining (m ainline)........................................ Rail laying, cropping, transposing— Jointed rail: . Unloading and distribution........................................ Installation................................................................... Pickup.......................................................................... Transposing................................................................. Welded rail: Unloading and distribu tion.................................... Installation.................................................................. Pickup.......................................................................... Transposing................................................................. Normal handling......................................................... Ballast unloading and distribu tion.......................................... Snow removal. .7 ........................................................................ Tie renewal: Unloading and distribu tion................................................ Installation.......................................................................... Disposal................................................................................ Vegetation control: Spraying............................................................................... Cutting 7................................................................................ Road crossing maintenance....................................................... Track inspection and field testing............................................ Right of way fences.................... 7............................................. Cleaning ditches and drains...................................................... Track and yard cleaning............................................................ 65 81 68 78 73 75 76 100 55 95 100 65 37 51 86 21 67 52 45 90 20 65 45 SOURCE: Roadmasters and Maintenance of Way Association, Chicago, 1969. classification yard is also being speeded up by prefab rication of track panels and retarder units. This re duces the time and labor required to repair tracks and transfers repair work indoors where it can be done more efficiently. In both yard and line-of-track work, snow removal attachments for some mainte nance of way equipment and also specialized porta ble snow removal equipment are replacing manual removal of snow. Routine maintenance is also aided by the use of herbicides which are mechanically ap plied in yards and along the track. In 1957, 151,453 men were maintaining the 345,832 miles of track operated, compared to 76,546 men maintaining 322,855 miles of track in 1967.14 The 50 percent decrease in the employ ment of workers maintaining approximately the same miles of track implies a significant increase in productivity. However, these statistics include an unknown number of miles of track used on which little or no maintenance is performed. The subject of deferred maintenance in the railroad industry is a controversial one. Observers of the industry and trade specialists have been studying this problem for some time. According to one of these sources, for the past several years maintenance has been pro14 In both years, the amount of track operated under trackage right agreements is excluded as a means of avoid ing duplication. The exclusion will also eliminate some track which is jointly owned. Coverage is for class I rail roads only. 34 ceeding at only about 60 percent of the rate re quired to effect a complete rail renewal within 50 years. Within the industry, some spokesmen main tain that many roads are not financially able to keep abreast of their scheduled maintenance of way re quirements. The outlook for further mechanization in the pe riod through 1975 is not clear, but some trends are discernible. Increasingly, there are indications of a continuing emphasis on maintenance of way equip ment acquisition and activity. For example, when capital expenditures were reduced by 22 percent, from a 1966 high of $1.9 billion, total expenditures for roadway and structures were reduced only 6 percent. Again in 1968, when total capital expendi tures were reduced still further—by 23 percent—the reduction in total expenditures for roadway and structures was only 2.2 percent. Passenger service Positive efforts to improve passenger service have been hampered for several reasons. From the cus tomer’s point of view, coach ticket costs on rail roads are frequently only slightly below air fare, while additional time is required to go by rail. When overnight travel is involved, sleeping accommoda tions bring the cost above air fare. From the rail roads’ point of view, passenger trains are costly to run. For example, in 1967 expenses related solely to passenger and allied services (including rents and taxes) exceeded total passenger service revenues by $138 million. Because of a lack of profits from pas RAILROAD TECHNOLOGY AND MANPOWER IN THE 1970’s senger service, old equipment dating from the late 1940’s and early 1950’s, in general, has not been re placed. This older equipment is difficult to maintain and makes travel by railroad undesirable for many persons. In addition, the problem has been com pounded as train service has been cut to minimize cash drains. There have been only a few changes in long-haul passenger service technology. One such change is the Northeast Corridor Experiment in which cus tomer response to frequently scheduled, well main tained trains is tested. To achieve these goals, new lightweight, high-speed cars have been developed and stretches of welded track installed. Also, com puterized ticket machines have been introduced to expedite the process of purchasing tickets. Further innovations in passenger service may follow at the conclusion of the current experiment if it proves to be successful. Currently, attempts are being made in the U.S. Congress to improve railroad passenger service. For example, the Railroad Passenger Service Act of 1970 established the National Railroad Passenger Corporation (NRPC) in the fall of 1970. A semi public corporation, the NRPC has 8 directors who serve on a 15-man board that has the responsibility for operating most of the nation’s intercity passenger trains effective May 1, 1971. Amtrack is attempting to eliminate underutilized and unprofitable passenger trains to the greatest extent possible, while still main taining a network of passenger routes among selected cities. The implications of these developments for passenger traffic and for employment are outlined in chapters V and VI. Chapter III. Productivity and Other Measures of Technological Change Several quantitative measures are presented in this section that are illustrative of technological progress. These include output per man-hour, and a variety of capital related measures such as the capi tal output ratio. Output per man-hour Relating changes in output to changes in man hours (i.e., productivity) is a useful although partial indicator of the pace of technological change. The change in the ratio reflects the changes in quality and quantity of capital equipment, capital invest ment, new materials, new approaches to marketing as well as the procedural changes and many other management measures that contribute to more effec tive freight and passenger transportation. Measures of output per man-hour reflect also changes in occu pational mix, skill levels, training, and education of the work force. Furthermore, the measure for the industry reflects shifts in the importance of railroads with different degrees of operating efficiency and the long-term practice of shifting some railroad opera tions to outside firms as discussed in the chapter on employment. Output per man-hour (productivity) increased more rapidly between 1957 and 1969 than in the previous decade, although productivity in the indus try was already growing more rapidly than that of the total nonfarm economy. Many factors contrib uted to this increase, including the new technology mentioned earlier, increased levels of capital ex penditures, and cost-cutting in services caused by financial stringency. The average annual rate of increase in output per man-hour for all employees in the railroad industry was 5.2 percent between 1947-70, (chart 4 ), al most twice the 2.7 percent increase for the total nonfarm economy. Between 1957 and 1970, output per man-hour of all employees in the railroad indus try increased at an average annual rate of 6.0 per cent. Besides those already discussed, another factor contributing to the increase in productivity in the later period was the noticeable growth in output.15 For example, the average annual rate of change in output between 1957 and 1970 was 2.2 percent, compared with a decline of 0.4 percent between 1947 and 1957.1 6 Levels of output in revenue traffic units (RTU’s) per man-hour vary widely among the railroads be cause of differences in equipment, managerial, and employee skills, size of railroad, and the type of traffic carried— the latter influenced greatly by the geographic districts 1 in 1965, based on the number 7 sents data on railroads which were selected as the “best” railroad in each of the three ICC-designated geographic districts 17 in 1965 based on the number of revenue traffic units produced per all employee man-hour in 1965. The railroads considered for analysis were restricted to those having a labor input in excess of 20 million man-hours annually. The “best” railroads were chosen from among 22, at the top of their geographic districts—West, South, East— when ranked according to productivity.1 8 Those “best” railroads were studied to see if their 15 See appendix III-l for study concerning relationship between output and output per man-hour growth. 16 This output measure is based on revenue traffic units (RTU’s), a weighted combination of revenue freight tonmiles (one ton of freight hauled one mile) and revenue passenger miles (one passenger carried one mile). (See ap pendix III-3.) Also see U.S. Department of Labor, “In dexes of Output Per Man-Hour, Selected Industries, 1939 and 1947-70,” BLS Bulletin 1692, Government Printing Office, 1971, Washington, D.C. 17 A district is a geographical grouping, used by the In terstate Commerce Commission, to which railroads have been assigned for statistical purposes. 18 Although a particular railroad may be the “best” in its geographic district, there may be other plants in other dis tricts that exceed its level of productivity. For example, in 1965, five out of seven railroads in the Southern district and two out of 10 in the Western district, had higher levels of output per man-hour than the “best” railroad in the Eastern district. For more detail on choice of railroads and methodology, see appendices III-5 and 6. 35 36 RAILROAD TECHNOLOGY AND MANPOWER IN THE 1970’s Chart 4. Railroads: O u tp u t and O utput Per M an-H o ur, 1947-70 Index (1967=100) 110 itllllill® 100 Output II Output per man-hour A n n u a l rates o f change P erio d O u tp u tl / 1 9 4 7 -7 0 1 9 4 7 -5 7 1 9 5 7 -7 0 — * •» * « / O u tp u t p e r all e m p lo y e e m a n -h o u r 0 .5 % -0 .4 % 2 .2 % 5 .2 % 4 .2 % 6 .0 % 1 R e v e n u e T r a f f ic U n its S o u rc e : B ure a u o f L a b o r S ta tis tic s 1947 48 50 52 54 56 58 productivity growth patterns could be used as pre dictors for the entire industry. Even though subse quent analysis indicated that the approach was no better than one which uses conventional trend anal ysis, it showed a wide range in productivity levels (output per man-hour) both among the “best” rail roads and between each of them and the industry average. (See table 17.) Also, analysis of the “best” railroads revealed that the time required for the in dustry as a whole to achieve the average “best” 60 62 64 66 68 1970 plant level of productivity has shortened—from about 42 months to roughly 35 months— a situation that would persist if the industry meets its capital expenditure goals. This shortened lag results from the more recent higher average rate of changes in productivity (output per man-hour). The weighted “best” railroad average productivity was about 23 percent above the industry for the 1956-66 period. During the early 1960’s, when all railroads generally were increasing their productivity, the average for Table 17. Output (RTU’s) per man-hour: Ratios for “ best” railroads in a district and industry average, 1956-66 Ratio of “ best” railroads to industry average Year Railroad “ A” , southern district 1956................................................................ 1957................................................................ 1958................................................................ 1959................................................................ 1960................................................................ 1961................................................................ 1962................................................................ 1963................................................................ 1964................................................................ 1965................................................................ 1966................................................................ 1.38 1.41 1.36 1.38 1.37 1.40 1.38 1.39 1.38 1.30 1.28 Railroad "B ” , eastern district Railroad “ C” , western district “ Best" railroad, average 1.03 1.03 1.07 1.08 1.17 1.19 1.19 1.19 1.18 1 .0 0 1.06 1.03 1 .0 1 .99 1.03 1.07 1.09 1 .1 0 1.04 iT h e industry average differs slightly from the published BLS series due to omission of switching and term inal company data. 1 .1 1 1 .1 2 1.18 1.23 1.28 1.32 1.32 1.30 1 .2 0 1 .2 2 1.25 1.27 1.24 1 .2 1 Industry average (R T U 's /M h r.)1 314.9 320.3 336.1 357.3 372.3 398.2 423.5 450.1 476.6 526.0 563.3 SOURCE: Bureau of Labor Statistics and Interstate Commerce Commission, PRODUCTIVITY AND OTHER MEASURES OF TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE all of the “best” ones considered together increased their margin over the industry. These roads in creased their traffic more than the industry average, indicating a business shift toward more efficient plants. Capital and output per unit of capital The trend in output relative to the trend in value of road and equipment owned by U.S. railroads is an indicator of changes in the productivity of capital. Although for productivity analysis, the flow of capital services rather than physical stock is the preferred measure, the data for this measure are not available.1 In 1958 dollars, the value of road and 9 equipment owned by all U.S. railroads remained vir tually unchanged between 1948 and 1967— about $52 billion in each year. (See table'18.) During the 20-year period, the BLS index of output for class I railroads (RTU ’s) rose about 4 percent from 114.2 to 118.8. Railroad employment during the same period de creased drastically with the result that the value of road and equipment per employee increased from $34,000 to about $75,000 per employee. However, despite the change in this ratio, and the changing quality of the equipment used, as described earlier, the output relative to the value of road and equip ment changed little. This resulted in large measure from the nature of the industry which requires a fleet of rollingstock that is in a non-earning status much of the time. O u tp u t a n d m a te r ia l in p u ts 20 Still another measure that is helpful in assessing industry changes taking place is the trend in output (BLS revenue traffic) relative to the input (includ ing fuel, materials, and services), exclusive of capital and labor discussed elsewhere. For the whole period of 1947-68, output increased by less than one per cent while the value of supplies consumed decreased on a constant dollar basis by 39 percent. (See ap pendix III-8.) One of the outstanding reductions that occurred was in the amount of fuel required per gross tonmile of train movement. Fuel is among the more im portant inputs, excluding capital and labor, and the amount required to move a gross ton-mile has declined by 80 percent in the 1948-66 period, as shown in chart 5. (See appendix III-9, 10.) Al- 37 Table 18. Value of road and equipment, number of employ ees, all U.S. railroads, selected years, 1948— 1 67 Year Road and equipment (constant 1958 dollars, billions) All railroad employees (000’s) Road and equipment per employee (000’s of $) 1948................................... 1952.................................... 1957................................... 1962................................... 1967................................... 51.9 5 3.6 53.3 51.0 52.1 1,517 1,400 3 4.2 38.3 4 7.5 64.1 74.6 1 ,1 2 1 796 698 Average Annual Percent of Change 1 948-57............................. 1957-67............................. 0 .3 -.2 -3 .3 -4 .7 3.7 4 .6 1 See Appendix 111-7. SOURCE: Office of Business Economics, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Interstate Com merce Commission. though a major portion of this savings is due to the transition from steam to diesels, quality improve ments in the fuels, themselves, may also have been a factor. Although small increments may be realized as fuel savings in the future, the most likely further economies resulting from motive power changes will be from reduced maintenance man-hour require ments. (See discussion on redieselization in chapter II.) Selected equipment utilization measures Several other measures also highlight changes tak ing place in various operations. These aspects of train performance underlie, in part, the increases in output per man-hour described earlier. Table 19 shows these measures which describe train and car utilization. Changes in labor requirements associated with changes in operation are pointed out specifi cally in subsequent employment chapters. For exam ple, the same changes in car construction that per mit greater average speed also reduce the requirements for maintenance men; similarly, a car’s higher capacity frequently lends itself to mechanized loading and adversely affects persons employed as freight handlers. In general, as unit sizes increase 19 A flow measure reflects differences in usage and efficiency of existing capital capacity and how these differ ences affect varying levels o f output. See paper prepared for the National Commission on Productivity which in cludes a discussion on this subject by Jerome A. Mark, A s sistant Commissioner for Productivity and Technology, BLS, pp. 21-22. 20 These inputs include fuel, rail, and ties as well as other materials and supplies needed to carry on day-to-day business operations. RAILROAD TECHNOLOGY AND MANPOWER IN THE 1970’s 38 Chart 5. Fuel Requirements Per Gross Ton-M ile in Class I, Linehaul Railroads (Index 1957-59=100) S o u rc e : S ee A p p e n d ix T a b le II I - 7 . and transit times decrease, unit labor requirements are reduced. The first group of measures (line numbers one through four) pertain to train operation and demon strate the increases that have occurred in the 1957-68 period. Taken together, they show that the average freight train has been increased in length from 68.6 to 70.1 cars; in product carried from 1,424 to 1,768 tons; in speed from 18.8 to 20.4 miles per hour. This combination of increased length, load and speed has resulted in the average train’s carrying more freight per train hour— 34.5 percent more in 1968 than in 1957. Increased loco motive power, tractive effort, and better bearings have permitted the railroads to use these heavier, longer trains while centralized traffic control has re duced train delays and contributed to increased average train speed. The second group of measures (line numbers 5-8 ) relate to the use of cars. In the 1957-68 pe riod, the average daily distance traveled was in creased from 47.0 to 53.9 miles; the average freight carload increased from 43.8 to 51.8 tons, while the average capacity increased from 54.5 to 64.3 tons. Taken together, these increases in distance traveled, carload weight, and car capacity have resulted in an increase of almost 40 percent in the ton-miles pro duced per freight car day. Another measure related to freight car utilization is the ratio of annual revenue and nonrevenue tonmiles carried to annual capacity available. As shown below in table 20, utilization of railroad-owned and leased cars increased 14.8 percent between 1955 and 1968, from 7,040 ton-miles to 8,079 ton-miles per ton of capacity. The increase in utilization may be due, in part, to the exclusion of private cars. Changes in car material and construction, com bined with better classification yards and higher Table 19. Freight equipment utilization, 1957 and 1968 Line number Occupations 1957 1 2 Cars per average freight tra in .......................* ,................................................................... Average freight train load (to n s)........................................................................................ Average freight train speed.................................................................................................. Net ton-miles per train hour................................................................................................ Average daily car m ileage.................................................................................................... Average freight carload (to n s )............................................................................................. Average freight car capacity (to n s).................................................................................... Ton-miles per freight car-d ay............................................................................................. 1 ,4 2 4.0 18.8 2 6,8 33 .0 47.0 4 3.8 54.5 975.0 3 4 5 6 7 8 SOURCE: Y earbook o f R ailroad Facts, 1969 and 1970 editions, Association of American Railroads. 6 8 .6 1968 70.1 1 ,7 6 8 .0 20.4 3 6,0 91 .0 53.9 51.8 64.3 1,361.0 Percent change 1957-jp8 . + 2 .2 + 2 4 .2 + 8 .5 + 3 4 .5 + 1 4 .7 + 1 8 .3 + 1 8 .0 + 3 9 .6 PRODUCTIVITY AND OTHER MEASURES OF TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE Table 20. Revenue and nonrevenue ton-miles per ton of capacity, class I railroads, selected years, 1955— 68 Year Total revenue and nonrevenue ton miles (billions) Aggregate capacity of freight cars in service 1 (millions of tons) Revenue and nonrevenue ton miles per ton of capacity 1955................................. 1959................................. 1963................................. 1966................................. 1968................................. 642.2 588.2 632.9 749.6 755.7 91.2 92.3 85.9 91.4 93.5 7,040 6,375 7,364 8,197 8,079 1 Cars in service of class I railroads, owned and leased at close of year. SOURCE: Interstate Commerce Commission. train speeds, are largely responsible for better car utilization by the railroads. Since car purchases ac count for about 55 percent of average annual rail road capital expenditures, slight improvements in 39 car utilization can have great significance for the railroads’ overall capital spending program. A small gain in utilization effectively increases the car fleet size, thus freeing capital for other areas. The technological advances that seem to promise the greatest return on investment for the future are those that increase car utilization by increasing train speed and daily car mileage. Areas of capital ex penditures that would facilitate these developments are improvements in right-of-way and track and structure, as well as communication and signaling — particularly automatic car identification. As car utilization is increased, without enlargement of the fleet, the railroads’ return on investment may be en hanced, attacting more capital to the industry and permitting it to preserve its market share of intercity freight. C h a p te r IV. E m plo ym ent T ren d s This chapter reviews trends of the industry’s em ployment profile, which serve as a basis for estimat ing future employment levels. It also provides infor mation on the regional distribution of employment, the age of workers, and the employment of women and Negroes. Projected employment levels, which take into account the specific impact of technologi cal changes, are presented in chapter V. change,” has cut down on engine rebuilding in rail road shops. The leasing of equipment that is related to technological changes in the railroad industry— communication and computer systems, for example — generates employment in other industries which manufacture and service such equipment. Employment trends Distribution of Employment. In early 1967, nearly In 1969, employment of class I railroads stood at 578,277 workers, down about 26 percent from 1960, and 57 percent from 1947 (see table 2 1 ). During this same period, the trend in employment for production workers followed a similar pattern, although declining slightly as a proportion of total employment.21 A t the same time that employment in the industry has been declining, the unemployment rate has been lower than for the economy as a whole. In 1969, the unemployment rate for railroad and railway ex press workers was 1.6 percent; for all workers, it was 3.5 percent. This better-than-average record re flects, in part, the relative success of the efforts of the industry and unions to provide adjustment meas ures, as described in chapter VI. Employment Shifts. In addition to primary employ ment changes brought about directly in the industry work force by technology, changes in employment have also resulted from the long-standing practice of shifting employment to outside firms which supply equipment to the industry. For example, a growing proportion of the freight car fleet is privately owned (14.3 percent in 1960 and 17.1 percent in 1967); this has contributed to a drop in manpower require ments in the “maintenance of equipment and stores” category. Similarly, “piggybacking” has shifted work previously done by railroad workers to freight for warders and regular trucking firms. Also, the ex change of one diesel locomotive unit for another through purchase, a practice known as “unit ex Characteristics of the railroad workforce two-fifths of all railroad employment was concen trated in 23 Standard Metropolitan Statistical Areas (SMSA’s), compared with about one-third in 1957. (See appendix IV -1.) 22 The shift of railroad em ployees from locations mainly on the rural railroad rights-of-way to urban communities resulted, in part, from the consolidation of railroad car classification yards and rolling stock maintenance facilities. Changes in communication technology have also contributed to this shift to urban centers. Chicago, Illinois, the leading SMSA in terms of railroad employment (48,600 employees) is the hub of railroad traffic; it serves as the point for trans shipment of eastern m anufactured goods to the west and south, as well as eastbound agricultural prod ucts. In addition, it serves as a terminal point for goods leaving the country via the Great Lakes route. St. Louis, Missouri-Illinois and Kansas City, Missouri-Kansas, with 15,600 and 10,800 employees respectively, are both gathering points for agricul tural products. New York City, N.Y. (19,900 em- See appendix III-3 and 4 for data. Except in New England, an SMSA is a county or group of contiguous counties which contains at least one central city of 50,000 inhabitants or more. In addition to the county, or counties, containing such a city, or cities, contiguous counties are included in a standard metropolitan area if according to certain criteria they are essentially metropolitan in character and sufficiently integrated with the central city. In New England, “Metropolitan State Eco nomic Area” is a county or group of counties which is characterized by a distinctive combination of social and economic characteristics. 21 22 41 RAILROAD TECHNOLOGY AND MANPOWER IN THE 1970's 42 Table 21. Railroad (class I) employment and traffic, selected years, 1947-69 Year Total employment (in thousands) Revenue ton miles (in billions) Revenue passenger-miles (in billions) 1947....................................................... 1 ,3 5 2 .0 654.7 4 5.9 1952....................................................... 1953....................................................... 1954....................................................... 1 ,2 2 6.2 1 ,2 0 6.5 1 ,0 6 4 .6 614.8 605.8 549.3 34.0 31.7 29.3 1955....................................................... 1956....................................................... 1957....................................................... 1958....................................................... 1959........................................................ 1 ,0 5 7.2 1 ,0 4 2.6 984.8 840.8 815.2 623.6 647.1 618.2 551.7 575.5 28.5 28.2 25.9 23.3 1960....................................................... 1961....................................................... 1962....................................................... 1963....................................................... 1964....................................................... 780.5 717.5 700.2 679.3 665.0 572.3 563.4 592.9 621.7 658.6 21.3 20.3 19.9 18.5 18.2 1965....................................................... 1966....................................................... 1967....................................................... 1968....................................................... 1969....................................................... 640.1 624.9 602.6 590.5 578.3 697.9 738.4 719.5 744.5 767.2 17.4 17.1 15.2 13.1 1 2 .2 ployees), Philadelphia, Pennsylvania (15,200), Los Angeles, California (1 3,800), and San Francisco, California (1 1 ,5 0 0 ), are all overseas terminal points. New York is also a distribution point for east coast commodity shipments, with San Francisco serving as a m ajor import-export center for trade with the Orient. Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania (13,900) is a city where activity centers around processing raw materials into primary metals— bulky, heavy products which are best transported by rail. (See ap pendix IV -1 for railroad employment in major SMSA’s and appendix table IV-2 for definitions of these areas in 1957 and 1967.) Women Employed by Railroads. In 1966, the rail roads employed 58,000 women, about 6 percent of total railroad employment, according to data com piled by the Railroad Retirement Board. Their em- Table 22. Age distribution of railroad employees, 1957 and 1967 Percentage distribution 1957 Total i _________ 34 and under. 3 5 -4 4 ............... 4 5 -5 4 ....................................................................................................... 5 5 -6 4 ....................................................................................................... 65 and over........................................................................................... 1 Includes employees whose age was not reported. SOURCE: U.S. Railroad Retirement Board. Year 1944 1947 ______ 1957 _ 1966 E m ployees in service during year (000’s) 2,903 2,470 1,510 944 W om en (000’s) 268 140 92 58 Female em ploym ent as percent o f all em ployees 9.2 5.7 6 .1 6 .1 2 2 .0 SOURCE: Association of American Railroads and Interstate Commerce Commission. Age (On birthday in given year) ployment reached a high point during World W ar II when they accounted for 9.2 percent of total railroad employment, reflecting the general increased labor force participation by women during that time. 1967 1 0 0 .0 26.9 19.7 25.3 22.3 5 .6 Soon after the end of World W ar II, men began replacing women in many of the more strenuous railroad occupations and some women returned to their traditional clerical and service occupations. By 1966, they accounted for 66 percent of workers in the “clerks and other office employee” category. While technological and procedural changes have had an impact on office employment, the decline in these occupations (discussed fully in chapter V ) has been less rapid than that of the total railroad indus try. The increasing use of data by the industry may cause this employment sector to remain fairly stable, thus causing an expansion in the proportionate share of jobs held bv women in the 1970’s. Age. The age distribution of an industry’s employ ment supplies important clues about present and fu ture job opportunities. The railroad industry’s work force had a median age of 46.4 years in 1967, up from 44.4 years in 1957. (See table 22 for distribu tion of employment by age.) Between 1967 and 1975, it is estimated that 235,000 railroad em ployees will reach age 65, providing an increasing number of potential job vacancies. These cover workers at all skill levels and in jobs requiring vary ing levels of education to enter. F or example, the largest single number of potential retirees will be among shop craftsmen; the next largest, among clerks and other office employees; and the third largest among supervisors and professional workers (see table 23). Relatively large numbers of retirees will also be found among miscellaneous maintenance of way workers. 1 0 0 .0 29.6 21.7 SOURCE: Annual Report, Railroad Retirement Board. 2 1 .6 20.5 6 .4 Employment of Negroes and Spanish-Sumamed Americans. Negroes and persons with Spanish sur names made up a relatively small proportion of total railroad employment in 1966, according to a survey of 788-establishments conducted by the U.S. Equal EMPLOYMENT TRENDS Table 23. 43 Estimated retirements, by occupation, 1967-75 Occupational category T o ta l................................................................................................ Office employees: Executives, officials, and staff assistants................................ Supervisors and professionals................................................... Station agents and telegraphers................................................ Clerks and other office employees............................................ Train and engine service employees: Engineers........................................................................................... Conductors........................................................................................ Firemen and hostlers.................................................................... Brakemen, baggagemen, and switchtenders......................... Gang forem en............................................................................................ Maintenance employees: Way and structures c rjfts m e n .................................................... Shop craftsm en............................................................................... Way and structures helpers and apprentices........................ Shop helpers and apprenticed.................................................... Other maintenance-of-way employees.................................... Other shop and stores employees............................................. Station and platform employees........................................................ All other employees................................................................................ Number Percent 235,000 1 0 0 .0 6,496 2 .8 2 1 ,0 1 2 Among the Spanish surnamed Americans, slightly over half the women were in white collar employ ment (office and clerical) compared with 6.2 per cent of the males. Among Negroes, 9.1 percent of the women employed on railroads were in white col lar jobs and only 2.3 percent of the men. Relatively more Negroes are employed in the rail road industry than in industry as a whole— 9.4 per cent compared with 8.2 percent in 1966, according to the EEOC study. Negro workers, who comprise a high proportion of workers in low skill occupational categories, will continue to be in demand because of increased maintenance of way work, much of which has been deferred for years and because of the large number of older workers in these job categories. (See table 23.) In general, Negro workers with ap propriate education and training are likely to have better prospects in the future for higher level work because of the growing trend toward hiring Negroes for such jobs and for upgrading their skills.24 9 .0 3 .4 11.5 7,897 26,983 15,642 13’ 741 5,320 12,990 13,642 6 .6 7,470 35,802 799 5,023 17,961 10,544 10,842 22,836 3 .2 15.2 .3 5 .8 2 .3 5.5 5 .8 2 .1 7.6 4 .5 4 .6 9.7 SOURCE: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, based on Railroad Retirement Board data. Employment Opportunity Commission (E E O C ).23 In 1966, there were 54,250 Negroes employed in these establishments and 16,703 persons with Span ish surnames; both groups were heavily concentrated in blue collar jobs, often as operatives or laborers. (See table 2 4 ). About one-fifth of the Negro rail road workers were employed as service workers. Spanish surnamed Americans comprised 6.9 percent of white collar jobs, with 2.6 percent for Negroes. Table 24. 23 Equal Opportunity Report N o. 1, Part II, Job Patterns for Minorities and Women in Private Industry, 1966, U.S. Equal Employment Opportunity Commission, Washington, D.C., 1968. 24 “where do Railroads Stand on EEO?” Tom Shedd, Modern Railroads, February 1969, pp. 40-42; Part II, pp. 44, 45. Railroad employment of minority groups, 1966 Blue collar occupations Employee category All Employees (SIC 40) Total employment 648,136 1 0 0 .0 34,992 Spanish Surnamed American M a le ...................................................................................................... Total blue collar employment 151,547 23.4 476,068 225,388 156,189 94,491 Occupational distribution...................................................... 14.6 24.1 683,128 1 0 0 .0 16,458 30,958 88.5 3,231 9 .2 599 1.7 182,505 26.7 479,299 70.2 15,281 9 2.8 3 .2 1 0 0 .0 Percent of to tal........................................................................ 6 .2 2 .5 .7 Fem ale................................................................................................. Occupational distribution...................................................... Percent of to ta l........................................................................ 245 T o ta l................................................................................................. 16,703 Negro M a le ...................................................................................................... Percent of to ta l........................................................................ .7 129 52.7 .4 1 0 0 .0 Percent of to tal........................................................................ 1,146 6 .9 2 .4 1 0 0 .0 52,478 1 0 0 .0 8 .1 Fem ale................................................................................................. Occupational distribution...................................................... Percent of to ta l........................................................................ 1,772 T o ta l............................................................................................... 54,250 1 0 0 .0 5.1 1 0 0 .0 Percent of to ta l........................................................................ SOURCE: U.S. Equal Employment Opportunity Commission. Craftsmen 1,017 1 0 0 .0 Total (788 establishments)....................................................... Occupational distribution..................................................... Total white collar employment 7 .9 101 Operatives Laborers Total service workers 20,521 3 .2 1 .1 2,260 6 .5 803 2 .3 225,987 33.1 156,561 22.9 96,751 14.2 21,324 3.1 4,656 28.3 2,366 14.4 1.5 8,259 50.2 8 .7 160 95 3 8.8 4 .2 15 175 2 .1 0 372 6 1.0 .8 41.2 3.1 .0 .0 2 .4 4,656 27.9 2,372 14.2 1.5 8,354 50.0 .6 15,382 92.1 3 .2 8 .6 .8 1,224 2 .3 40,937 78.0 4,888 9 .3 .8 8 .6 2 .2 7,948 15.1 5.1 28,101 5 3.5 29.7 10,317 19.7 50.3 162 9.1 .5 1,415 79.9 4 3.8 69 3 .9 11.5 56 3 .2 15.1 1,290 7 2.8 57.1 195 42,352 78.1 4,957 9.1 8 .8 2 .2 8,004 14.8 5.1 29,391 54.2 3 0.4 1,386 2 .6 .8 2 .1 1 .6 6 .1 1.9 1.0 1 1 .0 24.3 10,512 19.4 4 9.3 C h a p te r V. E m ploym ent O utlook and Im p a c t of Tech nolo gical C hange on O ccupational S tru c tu re This chapter provides an estimate for class I rail road employment as well as the underlying assump tions about output (traffic) and technological change. It also relates future changes in employment in specific occupational categories to the major tech nological changes that have affected them in the past. Employment outlook The outlook for an upturn in railroad employ ment by 1975 is not promising. Technological and other changes which have influenced output and productivity, and in turn employment trends in re cent years, are likely to persist and to become even more pervasive in the years ahead. Thus, the most optimistic estimate of class I railroad employment in 1975 is that it may total 540,000 persons, compared with about 600,000 in 1967.25 Even though this es timate points to a continued decline in class I rail road employment, many job opportunities will con tinue to arise because of the growing need to replace workers who die or retire. Also, because of changing job requirements in this industry, which stem from the technological changes and other’s cited earlier, a growing need for workers with higher levels of education and skill is likely. Any employment estimate for class I railroads must take into consideration trends in output (freight and passenger traffic) as well as overall productivity changes. The trends in output per all employee man-hour, (productivity) have been dis cussed previously in chapter III. In estimating future trends in productivity, it was assumed that the most recent rate of growth would continue through 1975.26 Trends in freight traffic. Between 1947 and 1967, the average annual increase in revenue ton-miles was 0.5 percent but since 1961, freight traffic has been rising at an average annual rate of 3.6 percent. Projections of future growth in revenue ton-miles assume, as a minimum, the continuation of this trend between 1961-67. This conclusion arises both from the great increase in all intercity freight traffic (revenue ton miles of 1.7 trillion in 1967, compared with 1.3 trillion in 1961) since the 1960-61 dip in economic activity, and also from the ability of the railroads to maintain their competitive position visa-vis other transportation modes. The impact of the Vietnam buildup on the amount of railroad freight traffic carried is difficult to measure; however, total railroad carloadings have increased slightly since 1964. Between 1964 and 1965, carloadings rose by 0.3 percent; the following year (1966) carloadings increased by 1.8 percent. The cessation of hostilities in Vietnam will have some effect o n ‘the growth of railroad traffic, but apparently the overall reduction is unlikely to alter the 1961-67 trend greatly be cause of the underlying strength of the American economy. Should the 1961-67 trend persist through 1975, revenue ton-miles may total 954 billion, up onethird from the 1967 level. A somewhat higher level, about 985 billion revenue ton-miles is possible, however, if the stable relationship continues between this output measure and constant dollar Gross Na tional Product (G N P ) which has been growing at the long-term rate of 4 percent yearly. Trends in passenger traffic. The long-term rate of decline in revenue passenger miles has been modi- 25 This estimate of 1975 class I railroad employment is consistent with the estimate of 570,000 workers employed in all railroad transportation published earlier in T o m o r r o w ’s M a n p o w e r N e e d s , Supplement Number 2, U.S. D e partment of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1970. The Bureau of Labor Statistics employment projections utilize regression analysis and take account o f information from the Bureau’s economic growth model and its industry-occu pational matrix. 2 6 An alternate productivity projection based on regres sion analysis was developed by the Bureau. The method is discussed in appendix III-l. 45 46 RAILROAD TECHNOLOGY AND MANPOWER IN THE 1970’s fled slightly since 1961; at this time it slowed to an average annual rate of 4.7 percent. By comparison, this rate of change between 1947 and 1967 was —5.4 percent; during the early part of this 20-year period, a dramatic shift had occurred from railroad to air passenger travel, particularly among sleeping and parlor car patrons. Coach traffic had also de clined between 1947 and 1957, but at a considera bly slower pace. During this period, the sleeping and parlor car traffic decreased at an average annual rate of 11.1 percent— over twice as fast as the rate for coach traffic. The major factor modifying the drop in revenue passenger miles has been commuter traffic, which has averaged about 4 billion passenger miles a year since 1960. This, together with a possi ble increase in corridor-type traffic (see Research and Development section of chapter I) and the op eration of intercity passenger trains by Amtrak, may slow the rate of decline in passenger traffic. Changes in Occupational Structure, 1957 and 1967. Each of the seven summary reporting occupational categories, as defined by the Interstate Commerce Commission registered declines in employment, al though the relative proportion of specialized and high level manpower in the industry tended to grow (see table 2 5 ). The classes of occupations most ad versely affected by the drop in employment between 1957 and 1967 generally were those occupations that required little formal education, training, or ex Employment in certain occupations increased dur ing the 1957-67 period. Among these were chief claim agents or investigators (ICC 22) in the pro fessional and clerical m ajor occupational group and portable equipment operators (ICC 35) and gang foremen (ICC 38, 39) in the maintenance of way and structures group. In addition, while employment in skilled trades declined in absolute numbers, this decline was substantially below the industry average annual rate. Technology and occupational trends To get more detailed information about specific occupational categories, as distinct from the broad trends in employment described earlier, technologi cal, managerial, marketing and other changes that have affected employment of class I railroad work ers were examined independently for their impact on workers in particular occupations.27 Each of the 128 ICC categories was reviewed to ascertain the kinds of work done by persons reported in a partic ular category and an evaluation was then made of the relationship between the various technological changes and job content. To facilitate analysis, some innovations that affected the same classes of occupa tions were grouped together. Also, when more than one technological change affected a single occupa tion,- that occupation was included with the change that had the greatest impact on employment. For perience to enter, such as the helper or laborer job classifications concerned with either maintenance of way and structures, maintenance of equipment and stores, or transportation. Those occupations which experienced declines faster than the average annual industry rate of 4.7 percent between 1957-67 are listed in table 26. 2 7 It was not possible, however, to assess fully the proba ble impact on productivity and employment of any sub stantial increase in the rate of abandonment of unprofitable lines. At the time this report was being prepared, abandon ment of unprofitable lines was a subject being discussed in the industry but the positions of the various interested par ties had not been determined. Table 25. Changes in class I railroad employment, by major occupational group, 1957-67 Employment ICC reporting title(m ajor occupational group) 1957 1967 Average annual percent change 1957-67 Number Percent Number Percent T o ta l....................................................................................................................................................... 986,001 10C.0 610,191 100.0 -4 .7 Executives, officials and staff assistants................................................................................................. Professional, clerical, and general............................................................................................................ Maintenance of way and structures.......................................................................................................... Maintenance of equipment and stores.................................................................................................... Transportation (other than train, engine, and y a r d ).......................................................................... Transportation (yardmasters, switch tenders, and hostlers)........................................................... Transportation (train and e ngine)............................................................................................................. 16,264 190,046 170,766 246,358 115,293 14,199 233,075 1.7 19.3 17.3 2 5.0 11.7 1.4 2 3,6 15,501 131,360 90,462 138,488 57,020 9,8 2 8 167,532 2 .5 21.5 14.8 22.7 9 .3 1.6 2 7.5 - .5 -3 .7 -6 .2 -5 .6 -6 .8 -3 .6 -3 .3 SOURCE: Interstate Commerce Commission. EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK AND TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE 47 Table 26. Occupational categories with greatest employment decreases, 1957-67 Employment ICC line no. 1957-67, percentage decrease Title 1957 T o ta l.................................................................................................................................................................................................. Class 1, linehaul employment................................................................................................................................................... 65 23 62 92 103 64 37 91 74 32 42 104 107 49 128 43 72 96 86 95 115 1967 187,553 986;001 61,039 610,191 67 38 Helper apprentices (M . of E. and stores)........................................................................................................................................... Miscellaneous trades workers (other than plum bers)................................................................................................................... M olders.......................................................................................................................................................................................................... Truckers (stations, warehouses, and platform s)............................................................................................................................. Crossing and bridge flagmen and gatem en....................................................................................................................................... Skilled trades helpers (M. of E. and stores).................................................................................................................................... Pumping equipment operators.............................................................................................................................................................. Callers, loaders, scalers, sealers, and perishable-freight inspectors........................................................................................ Stationary firemen, oilers, coal passers, and water tenders....................................................................................................... Bridge and building painters................................................................................................................................................................. Section m e n ................................................................................................................................................................................................. Foremen (laundry) and laundry w orkers........................................................................................................................................... Switch ten ders............................................................................................................................................................................................ Signalman and signal maintainer helpers......................................................................................................................................... Yard firemen and helpers........................................................................................................................................................................ Maintenance of way laborers (other than track and roadway) and gardeners and farm ers............................................ General laborers (stores and ice, reclamation, and tim ber-treating plants).......................................................................... Chefs and cooks (restaurants or dining c ars)................................................................................................................................... Baggage agents and assistants.............................................................................................................................................................. Stewards, restaurant and lodging-house managers, and dining-car supervisors................................................................. Road passenger baggagemen................................................................................................................................................................ 1,023 791 163 10,425 6,983 37,002 258 12,099 1,563 1,858 69,264 419 2,655 2,291 20,160 1,972 11,202 3,060 364 1,203 2,798 215 183 39 2,499 1,806 9,752 74 3,675 479 639 24,277 149 950 833 7,447 738 4,211 1,232 151 507 1,183 79 77 76 76 74 74 71 70 69 66 65 64 64 64 63 63 62 60 59 58 58 SOURCE: Interstate Commerce Commission. Redieselization and greatly improved diesels). This employment represents a drop of 47 percent since 1957.28 The average annual decline in employment for the group was 6.2 percent, substantially above the 4.7 percent average for the total of the industry’s class I rail roads. Table 28 shows the occupations that com prise the group and employment changes since 1957. Among those occupations with the greatest rates of decline in employment were molders (ICC 62) who have all but disappeared from the industry. They accounted for 39 workers in 1967, and it is likely that this occupation will vanish by 1975 as workers die or retire. Employment in two other occupations in the group also declined rapidly. Skilled trades helpers (IC C 64) and helper apprentices (ICC 65) totaled 9,967 in 1967, down from 38,025 in 1957. This de cline of 74 percent is closely associated with de creased unit maintenance man-hours for new loco motive series. As an example of the sharp drop in man-hour requirements, table 29 sets forth require ments for locomotives introduced at different times, representing first- and second-generation diesels and improvements in each stage of development. It can be seen from the table that unit man-hour require ments for maintenance of second-generation diesels In 1967, there were 78,033 railroad employees working in 16 occupations that had been signifi cantly affected by redieselization (purchase of new 28 See R a i l r o a d S h o p c r a f t F a c tf in d in g S tu d y , U.S. Depart ment of Labor, 1968, for a detailed analysis of year-to-year trends in these occupations. each grouping of innovations, the occupations af fected and the total num ber of workers employed was determined for the year 1957 and then compared with employment levels in 1967. Then, taking into account past and expected trends in the diffusion of the technological change and their impact on past employment, estimates for the various occupations were obtained for the year 1975. Table 27 summa rizes employment related to the major groups of in novations for 1957 and 1967, and provides an esti mate of the probable impact of these changes on employment by 1975. Using this method to estimate class I railroad employment implies that this total will reach 540,000 by 1975. Altogether, 10 technological innovation groupings were selected as having a major impact on class I railroad employment. These are described in chapter II and include redieselization; improved cars; facility relocation and improvements; unit trains and “pig gyback;” automatic classification yards; computers; centralized traffic control; detectors, microwave and automatic car identification; maintenance of way; and passenger service changes and improvements. In this chapter, tlje innovation groupings are analyzed for their manpower implications. RAILROAD TECHNOLOGY AND MANPOWER IN THE 1970’s 48 Table 27. Employment by innovation group, 1957, 1967, and outlook for 1975 Employment Innovation grouping Number of occupations affected Number 1957 1967 Average annual percent change Estimated 1975 1957-67 1967-75 T o ta l.................................................................................................................... 128 986,001 610,191 538,900 -1 .9 -1 .6 Redieselization.............................................................................................................. Improved cars............................................................................................................... Facility relocation and im provements................................................................... Unit trains and piggyback 1...................................................................................... Automatic classification yards................................................................................. Computers...................................................................................................................... Centralized traffic control.......................................................................................... Detectors, microwave, and automatic car identification................................. Maintenance of w a y .................................................................................................... Passenger service changes and improvements.................................................. All other.......................................................................................................................... 16 10 5 9 10 8 10 5 17 15 32 147,941 110,845 16,543 78,033 66,428 6,757 66,000 51,000 3,900 -6 .2 -5 .0 -8 .6 -2 .1 -3 .3 -6 .6 127,233 137,804 48,880 21,924 151,453 60,964 162,414 90,173 95,713 29,257 13,764 76,546 30,385 123,135 85,000 93,000 26,000 10,000 72,000 17,700 116,000 -3 .4 -3 .6 -5 .0 -4 .6 -6 .6 -6 .7 -2 .7 -0 .7 -0 .4 -1 .5 -3 .9 -0 .8 -6 .5 - .7 1Occupational categories whose employment was affected by the introduction of this innovation, are included in the above three changes because they had a greater impact on employment. are less than 40 percent of those for diesels of the first series. In 1975, manpower requirements in these 16 cat egories of jobs affected will be substantially lower due to expected diffusion of second generation die sels. M an-hour requirements for diesel maintenance in these 16 occupations will be reduced, although workers in these occupations will also be required to work on other equipment, both rolling stock and stationary. It is estimated that employment in the 16 occupations will be reduced by about 12,000 jobs, and will total 66,000 in 1975. SOURCE: Interstate Commerce Commission, BLS. Improved cars In 1967, there were 66,428 employees working in 10 occupations that had been significantly affected by changes in the design and construction of new railroad cars. In addition, the almost complete dis appearance of less-than-carload freight traffic also accounted for employment declines in most of these occupations. The 1967 employment in these occupa tions is 40 percent below the 1957 level. The aver age annual decline in employment for the group was 5.0 percent, slightly above the 4.7 percent average Table 28.' Employment and occupational changes related to redieselization, 1957-67 Employment Occupations (ICC classification numbers) 1957 1967 Average annual percen change, 1957-67 Number Percent Number Percent T o ta l............................................................................................................................................ 147,941 100.0 78,033 100.0 General, assistant general, and department foremen (5 0 ).................................................... General and assistant general foremen (stores) ( 5 1 ) .............................................................. Equipment, shop, electrical, material and supplies inspectors (5 2 )................................... Gang foremen and gang leaders (skilled labor) ( 5 3 ) .............................................................. Blacksmiths (5 4 ).................................................................................................................................. Boilermakers (5 5 )..................................................... Electrical workers (A) ( 5 8 ) .............................................................................................................. Machinists (6 1 )...................................................................................... .................... Molders ( 6 2 ) ..................................................................................................................................... Sheet-metal workers ( 6 3 ) .................... Skilled trades helpers (M . of E. and stores) ( 6 4 ) .................................................................... Helper apprentices (M. of E. and stores) (6 5 )........................................................................... Regular apprentices (M . of E. and stores) ( 6 6 ) ........................................................................ Gang foremen (shops, enginehouses, and power plants) (6 8 )............................................. Classified laborers (shops, enginehouses, and power plants) (7 0 )..................................... General laborers (shops, enginehouses, and power plants) (7 1 )........................................ 7,762 295 1,388 7,389 2,963 3,558 15,199 29,977 163 8,854 37,002 1,023 6,090 646 11,302 14,330 5 .2 .2 .9 5 .0 2 .0 2 .4 10.3 2 0.3 .1 6 .0 2 5.0 .7 4.1 .4 7 .6 9.7 6,231 207 804 5,454 1,539 1,681 10,983 18,612 39 5,800 9,752 215 3,553 329 5,490 7,344 8 .0 .3 1.0 7 .0 2 .0 2 .2 14.1 23.9 .1 7 .4 12.5 .3 4 .6 .4 7 .0 9 .4 SOURCE: Interstate Commerce Commission, BLS. - 6 .2 - 2 .2 - 3 .5 - 5.3 - 3 .0 - 6 .4 - 7 .2 - 3 .2 - 4 .7 -1 3 .3 - 4.1 -1 2 .5 -1 4 .5 - 5 .2 - 6 .5 - 7 .0 - 6 .5 EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK AND TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE Table 29. Estimated maintenance man-hours for selected diesel locomotive series1 First generation Second generation Work performed Series 1 introduced 1941 Series 2 introduced 1947 1,301 Series 3 introduced 1961 Series 4 introduced 1965 Total........................................ 1,541 ICC Inspection man-hours (an n u a l).......................................... Scheduled Maintenance (an n u a l).......................................... 270 270 270 270 1,271 1,031 278 299 Total Maintenance & ICC In spection Man-hours for 4-year cycle................................... Average annual unit m an-hours.. 7,283 1,820 6,154 1,538 2,619 655 2,286 572 548 499 1 Excludes truck maintenance man-hours which amount to about 1!4 man-hours per 1,000 unit miles. In 1966, the average daily mileage for freight locomotive units was 232, according to the Association of American Railroads. 49 are responsible for the maintenance of freight and passenger cars, have also been reduced in numbers, but their average rate of decline has been less rapid than for the industry as a whole. Their employment has been affected by the increasing use of large size freight cars. Also, modern freight cars are con structed of lighter weight, more durable materials and use improved bearings— factors that contribute to reduced car maintenance requirements. In 1975, overall employment in this group of oc cupations will be about one-fourth lower than in 1967 and may total 51,000 workers. This conclu sion assumes a continuation of recent trends in em ployment among carmen, truckers and callers, load ers, scalers, sealers, and perishable-freight inspectors who, together, accounted for 84 percent of the employment in this group of occupations in 1967. SOURCE: General Motors Electromotive Division. for all occupations in the industry’s class I railroads. Table 30 shows the 10 occupations that comprise the group and employment changes in them since 1957. Among those occupations with the greatest rates of decline were truckers (ICC 92) and callers, load ers, scalers, sealers, and perishable-freight inspectors (ICC 9 1 ). Employment in these two occupations was substantially affected by changes in the design of railroad cars that permitted the use of more mecha nized loading equipment. In 1957, workers in these occupations accounted for about 20 percent of the employment associated with the loading of freight cars; by 1967, the proportion had declined to less than 10 percent. Carmen (ICC 56 and 5 7 ), who Table 30. Shop facilities: relocation and improvements In 1967, there were 6,757 employees working in five occupations that had been significantly affected by facility relocation and improvements; in 1957, employment in these occupations had totaled 16,543 workers. The average annual decline in employment for the group was 8.6 percent, substantially higher than the class I railroad industry average rate of 4.7 percent. Table 31 shows the occupations that com prise the group and employment changes since 1957. This innovation grouping includes technological changes that have had a very significant impact on employment. It excludes automatic classification yards, but covers improvements within maintenance Employment and occupational changes related to improved cars, 1957-67 Employment Occupations (ICC classification numbers) Average annual percent change, 1957-67 1967 1957 Number T o t a l........................................................................................................................................... Motor vehicle and motor car operators (2 4 )............................................................................... Carmen (A and B) ( 5 6 ) ..................................................................................................................... Carmen (C and D) ( 5 7 ) ...................................................................................................................... General foremen (freight stations, warehouses, grain elevators and docks) ( 8 8 ) ......... Assistant general foremen (freight stations, warehouses, grain elevators, and docks) ( 8 9 ) ......................................................................................................................................... Gang foremen (freight stations, warehouse, grain elevators and dock labor) ( 9 0 )___ Callers, loaders, scalers, sealers, and perishable-freight inspectors (9 1 )........................ Truckers (stations, warehouses, and platforms) (9 2 )............................................................. Laborers (coal and ore docks and grain elevators) ( 9 3 ) ........................................................ Common laborers (stations, warehouses, platforms, and grain elevators) (9 4 )............. SOURCE: Interstate Commerce Commission, BLS. Percent Number Percent 110,845 100.0 66,428 100.0 - 5 .0 6,453 16,434 56,107 362 5 .8 14.8 50.6 .3 5,745 12,436 37,142 187 8 .6 18.7 55.9 .3 - 1.2 2 .7 4 .0 6 .4 194 2,647 12,099 10,425 1,620 4,504 .2 2 .4 10.9 9 .4 1.5 4.1 89 1,208 3,675 2,499 760 2,687 .1 1.8 5.5 3 .8 1.1 4 .0 - 7 .5 - 7 .6 -1 1 .3 -1 3 .3 - 7 .3 - 5 .0 50 RAILROAD TECHNOLOGY AND MANPOWER IN THE 1970's Table 31. Employment and occupational changes related to facility relocation and improvements, 1957-67 Employment Occupations (ICC classification numbers) 1957 1967 Average annual percent change 1957-67 Number Percent Number Percent T o ta l.................................................................................................................................................................... 16,543 100.0 6,757 100.0 -8 .6 Electrical workers (B) ( 5 9 ) ....................................................................................................................................... Electrical workers (C) ( 6 0 ) ....................................................................................................................................... General laborers (stores and ice reclamation, and timber-treating plants) (7 2 )................................... Stationary engineers (steam) ( 7 3 ) ......................................................................................................................... Stationary firemen, oilers, coal passers, and water tenders ( 7 4 ) ................................................................ 1,998 397 11,202 1,383 1,563 12.1 2 .4 67.7 8 .4 9 .4 1,221 200 4,211 646 479 18.1 3 .0 62.3 9 .6 7.1 -4 .8 -6 .6 -9 .3 -7 .3 -1 1 .2 SOURCE: Interstate Commerce Commission, BLS. facilities and in adjacent service operations. Employ ment in each of the occupations affected by facility relocation and improvements declined more rapidly than the industry average. Two affected occupations — general laborer (ICC 72) and stationary firemen (ICC 7 4 )— were among those that led the industry in terms of average annual rates of decline in em ployment. First in importance in reducing labor require ments has been consolidation of maintenance facili ties stemming largely from the widespread industry adoption of the diesel engine. The development of more efficient boilers and controls has also had an adverse impact on the employment levels of station ary engineers and their helpers. Other technological improvements have affected employment of labor ers: wheel maintenance is now performed by sophis ticated machines; large vacuum units are being used to clean car interiors; and mechanized washing facil ities are available for the exterior cleaning of cars and locomotives. Altogether, employment in these five occupations in 1967 was 59 percent below the number employed in 1957. Although facility consolidation is an indus try practice which has already become widespread, continuing declines in employment among laborers is anticipated but at a lower average annual rate than that of the period, 1957 to 1967. By 1975, it is likely that overall employment in this group of occupations will decline further to 3,900 workers, largely because of employment trends in the general laborer category (ICC 72). Unit trains and piggyback traffic Altogether, employment in 9 ICC occupational categories has been affected by the development of unit trains and piggyback traffic; in 8 of these occu pational categories (m otor vehicle and m otor car operators, ICC 24, is the exception), the adoption of these innovations has led to greater-than-average de clines in employment between 1957 and 1967. Fol lowing is a list of these occupational categories, each of which has already been discussed under the ap propriate technological development that has had the greatest impact on its employment. ICC Line 24 60 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 Occupational Category Motor vehicle and motor car operators Electrical workers (C ) General foremen (freight stations, warehouses, grain elevators, and docks) Assistant general foremen (freight stations, ware houses, grain elevators, and docks) Gang foremen (freight station, warehouses, grain elevators, and dock labor) Callers, loaders, scalers, sealers, and perishable freight inspectors Truckers (stations, warehouses, and platforms) Laborers (coal and ore docks and grain eleva tors) Common laborers (stations, warehouses, plat forms, and grain elevators) In both unit and piggyback trains, manpower sav ings have resulted from the reduction in loading, un loading, and switching operations. Unit trains bypass switchyards completey and piggyback trains are un loaded by simply driving the trailers away from the switchyards. Some low-skilled railroad jobs associ ated with loading, unloading, and switching opera tions have been diverted to other industries as a re sult of these innovations. However, new jobs have also been created in the railroad industry. These job titles include those of the director of piggyback pric ing or marketing, his assistants, and his related cleri cal staff. All of these new jobs are included among professional and clerical (white collar) occupations while the occupations that have declined in employ ment have been blue-collar ones. 51 EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK AND TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE Yardworker directs the loading of a piggyback trailer onto a waiting flatcar. Automatic classification yards In 1967, there were 90,173 railroad employees working in 10 occupational categories (about 14 percent of all class I railroad workers) that had been significantly affected by the establishment of automatic classification yards. This employment rep resents a total drop of 29 percent since 1957, when this innovation was still relatively new. The average annual decline in employment for the group of oc cupations was 3.4 percent, significantly less than the 4.7 percent average for the industry’s class I rail roads. Table 32 shows the occupations that com prise the group and employment changes since 1957. Among those occupations with the greatest rates of decline in employment were yard firemen and Table 32. helpers (ICC 128) and switchtenders (ICC 107). Employment for yard firemen and helpers also de clined because of dieselization and the subsequent compulsory arbitration award called for by the Pres idential Railroad Commission established in 1963. Both switchtenders and yard firemen and helpers were among the 21 occupational categories in the industry (out of 128) that declined the most be tween 1957 and 1967. New technology associated with the establishment of automatic classification yards has changed the job content in several occupations. Yardmasters and their assistants (ICC 105 and 106), for example, now rely heavily on computers for accurate information about the location and scheduling of cars—when they are due, where each is bound, and which are being switched. Data available to the yardmaster through computer printouts allow him to supervise the move ment of scheduled inbound and outbound traffic. Also, the yardmaster relies on the use of radio trans mission to provide current information to yard per sonnel. In automatic classification yards, switches are no longer thrown manually by switch tenders; in stead, retarder and remote control switch operators, located in towers overlooking freight yard operations, switch cars by flicking switches located on a con sole. The duties of the yard brakemen (ICC 120) have also been modified somewhat. In some yards, they still manually uncouple cars and signal to the switchtender when track switches must be thrown; in others, regulation of car speed has been taken over by computers which control mechanical re tarders. Also, the brakeman uses radio to communi cate with the yard conductor from whom he receives his instructions. The 1975 employment outlook for workers in this Employment and occupational changes related to use of automatic classification yards, 1957-67 Employment Occupations (ICC classification numbers) 1967 1957 Average annual percent change 1957-67 Number Percent Number Percent T o ta l.................................................................................................................................................................. 127,233 1 0 0 .0 90,173 1 0 0 .0 -3 .4 Yardmasters (1 0 5 )..................................................................................................................................................... Assistant yardmasters (1 0 6 ).................................................................................................................................. Switchtenders (1 0 7 ).................................................................................................................................................. Outside hostlers (1 0 8 )............................................................................................................................................. Inside hostlers (1 0 9 )................................................................................................................................................ Outside hostlers helpers (1 1 0 ).............................................................................................................................. Yard conductors and yard foremen (1 1 9 ).......................................................................................................... Yard brakemen and yard helpers (1 2 0 )............................................................................................................. Yard engineers and motormen (1 2 4 ).................................................................................................................. Yard firemen and helpers (1 2 8 )........................................................................................................................... 5,129 1,213 2,655 1,767 2,319 1,116 21,411 53,293 18,170 20,160 4 .0 4,803 5 .3 688 .8 1 .1 -.7 -5 .5 -9 .7 -2 .6 -5 .8 -3 .8 -1 .3 -3 .2 -1 .6 -9 .5 SOURCE: Interstate Commerce Commission, BLS. 1.0 2 .1 1.4 1 .8 .9 16.8 41.9 14.3 15.8 950 1,352 1,272 763 18,729 38,590 15,579 7,447 1.5 1.4 .8 2 0 .8 4 2.8 17.3 8 .3 52 RAILROAD TECHNOLOGY AND MANPOWER IN THE 1970's group of occupations related to automatic classifica tion yards is one of relative stability. Current em ployment (1967) is likely to diminish only slightly by 1975, accounting for about 85,000 workers in this group of occupations. This slight change in overall employment is related to the diffusion of small automatic classification yards and the con struction of a few more large ones. Computers In 1967 there were 95,713 employees working in 8 occupations that had been significantly affected by computers. This employment represents a drop of 31 percent since 1957. The average annual decline in employment for the group of occupations be tween 1957 and 1967 was 3.6 percent, compared to a 4.7 percent decline in all class I railroad employ ment during the same period. Table 33 shows the occupations that comprise the group and employ ment changes since 1957. Among the occupations with the greatest rates of decline in employment were clerks (ICC 7), the tel ephone switchboard operators and office assistants (ICC 14), and messenger and office boys (ICC 15). Employment in the last two occupations de clined at a much greater average annual rate than overall employment of occupations related to the utilization of computers. In fact, their numbers have been so depleted that the further introduction of new telephone switching techniques and greater use of computer terminals for information dissemination is not likely to have much effect on employment lev els in these occupations. However, the major groups of clerks (ICC 6 and 7) may be reduced somewhat further as additional computer systems are modified to permit direct shipper and consignee access to car Table 33. location files, rather than relying on clerks to query the system for these users. The introduction of computers in the railroad in dustry provides a good example of the employment and occupational changes associated with technolog ical change. In this industry, as in others, the impact of the growing use of computer technology has been to reduce employment most heavily in occupations requiring lower levels of skill and in jobs that are repetitive. At the same time, higher level jobs have been growing in importance, increasing their relative share of overall employment. For example, in the railroad industry, employment among professional and subprofessional assistants (ICC 3), chief clerks (ICC 4 and ICC 5) and clerks and clerical special ists (ICC 6) declined at a rate substantially below the average for class I railroad employment between 1957 and 1967. At the same time, employment in these occupational categories increased as a propor tion of all workers employed in occupations associ ated with introduction of computers. The introduction of computers has also meant the introduction of job titles previously unheard of in the industry.2 These new job titles are shown in 9 table 34. In 1975, employment in this group of occupations may total 93,000, only slightly below the 1967 level shown on table 33. This estimate takes into consid eration the increasing requirement for high-level white-collar workers (noted above) and is based 29 These job titles were reported to the Interstate Com merce Commission under its 128 line reporting system. Since these are new job titles, they were subsumed into the existing classification. The greatest number of new job titles were reported in categories 1-8 (mainly in occupations re lated to computers) while the remainder were distributed among the other occupational categories. Employment and occupational changes related to use of computers, 1957-67 Employment Occupations (ICC classification num bers) 1957 Average annual percent change 1957-67 1967 Number Percent Number Percent ............................................................................................... 137,804 1 0 0 .0 95,713 1 0 0 .0 -3 .6 6 .0 2 .0 7,373 2,342 9,407 9,132 58,562 6,026 1,775 1,096 7 .7 2 .4 9 .8 9 .5 61.2 6 .3 1.9 Messengers and office boys (1 5 ).......................................................................................................................... 8,325 2,769 11,416 11,265 90.013 8,233 3,434 2,349 -1 .2 -1 .7 -2 .0 -2 .1 -4 .2 -3 .1 -6 .4 -7 .3 T o t a l... . SOURCE: Interstate Commerce Commission, BLS. 8 .3 8 .2 65.3 6 .0 2 .5 1.7 1 .1 EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK AND TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE 53 Table 34. New railroad job titles associated with use of computers ICC Line and occupational category New job titles reported Division officers, assistants and staff assistants (ICC 2 ) ........................ Supervisor of Computer Centers; Supervisor of Data Coordination; Transportation Analyst Professional and subprofessional assistants (IC C )................................... Assistant Computer Engineer; Assistant Manager, Applied Reseirch; Assistant Quality Control Engineer; Communication Valuation Engineer; Electronic Engineer. Supervisory or chief clerks (m ajor departments) (ICC 4 ) ..................... Assistant Chief Cost Analyst; Assistant Cost Analyst; Auditor; Machine Accounting; Manager, Electronic Data Processing Center; Supervisor, Methods and Cost Control Engineers Systems. Chief clerks (minor departm ents), assistant chief clerks and super vising cashiers (ICC 5 ). Chairman, EDPM Committee; Accounting Chief of Keypunch; Chief System Analyst; Tape Room Super visor. Clerks and clerical specialists (A) (ICC 6 ) .................................................. Automation Analyst; Cost and Methods Engineer; Junior Economist; Methods Analyst; System and Methods Analyst. Clerks (B and C) (ICC 7 ) .................................................................................... Manifest Clerk IBM Operator; Tape Librarian. Mechanical Device Operator (Office) (ICC 8 ) ............................................. IBM Clerk; Accounting Machine Operator; Alpha-Numeric Keypunch Operator; Assistant Computer Programer; Assistant IBM Operator; Clerk, Machine Operator; Lead Computer Programmer; Console Operator. SOURCE: Interstate Commerce Commission, BLS. upon employment and occupational trends found in a few railroad companies that have led the industry in computer applications. Centralized traffic control In 1967, there were 29,257 employees working in 10 occupational categories that had been significantly affected by the installation of centralized traffic con trol. This employment represents a drop of 39 per cent since 1957. The average annual decline in em ployment for the group between 1957 and 1967 was 5.0 percent, compared with a decline of 4.7 percent among all class I railroad workers. During this pe riod, the number of miles of track under centralized traffic control increased from 32,000 in 1957, to 46.000 in 1967. Table 35 shows the 10 occupa tional categories included in the group and employ ment changes since 1957. Among those occupations with the greatest rates of decline in employment were assistant signalmen and assistant signal maintainers (ICC 48), signal men and signal maintainer helpers (ICC 49), clerk-telegraphers and clerk-telephoners (ICC 82), telegraphers, telephoners and towermen (ICC 83), crossing and bridge flagmen and gatemen (ICC 103) and train dispatchers (ICC 76). On the other hand, in two occupational categories—general and assistant general foreman and inspectors (ICC 44) and gang ^foremen, signal and telegraph skilled trades labor (ICC 45)—employment declines were slight between 1957 and 1967. Telegraphers and telephoners, in the past, had re ceived train orders from dispatchers while towermen operated the controls for automatic and manual block signaling devices. With the adoption of CTC, many towermen, telegraphers and telephoners were shifted from work locations along the line of track to work stations where, with the use of a console, several stretches of track could be controlled. The effect on employment in these occupations can be illustrated from the example of one railroad which installed approximately 150 miles of track regulated by CTC. This change eliminated the need for 6 towers along the right of way and the 24 signal operators (tower men) who were employed in these towers—one op erator per tower for each of 3 shifts plus one relief man at each tower.3 0 Signalmen and signal maintainers are skilled workers who can readily find employment in other industries. Employment in this occupational cate gory declined relatively more slowly than overall in dustry employment. Competition from other indus tries for men with these skills has been a factor in the decline of employment. Attrition of this occupa tional category also accounts for the recent upturn in employment in the related helper and apprentice categories (ICC 48, 49) which had a substantial net decline between 1957 and 1967. Clerk-telegraphers and telephoners (ICC 82) convey train orders received from dispatchers to various destinations along the right-of-way. With the adoption of CTC, this activity is becoming less com mon, reducing the need for some clerk-telegraphers and telephoners who have been transferred to other clerical duties such as car distribution. In addition, the transmission of messages using Morse Code has been virtually superseded by voice and facsimile 30 R a i l w a y A g e , June 19, 1961. Also, Interview, Balti more and Ohio Railroad, May 25, 1966. 54 RAILROAD TECHNOLOGY AND MANPOWER IN THE 19 70’s Table 35. Employment and occupational changes related to centralized traffic control, 1957-67 Employment Occupations (ICC classification numbers) 1957 1967 Average annual percent change 1957-67 Number Percent Number Percent T o ta l.................................................................................................................................................................. 48,880 1 0 0 .0 29,257 1 0 0 .0 -5 .0 General and assistant general foremen, and inspectors (signal, telegraph, and electrical transmission) ( 4 4 ) .......................................................................................................................................................... Gang foremen (signal and telegraph skilled trades labor) (4 5 )................................................................. Signalmen and signal maintainers ( 4 6 ) .............................................................................................................. Assistant signalmen and assistant signal maintainers ( 4 8 ) ........................................................................ Signalman and signal maintainer helpers ( 4 9 ) ................................................................................................ Chief train dispatchers ( 7 5 ) ................................................................................................................................... Train dispatchers ( 7 6 ) .............................................................................................................................................. Clerk-telegraphers and clerk-telephoners ( 8 2 ) ............................................................................................... Telegraphers, telephoners, and towermen ( 8 3 ) .............................................................................................. Crossing and bridge flagmen and gatemen (1 0 3 )........................................................................................... 1,585 1,684 8,664 2,254 2,291 1,086 2,949 8,123 13,261 6,983 3 .2 3 .5 17.7 4 .6 4 .7 1,520 1,479 6,786 1,166 833 894 2,219 4,440 8,114 1,806 5 .2 5.1 23.2 4 .0 -.4 -1 .3 -2 .4 -6 .4 -9 .6 -2 .0 -2 .8 -5 .8 -4 .8 -1 2 .7 2 .2 6 .0 16.6 27.1 14.3 2 .8 3.1 7 .6 15.2 27.7 6 .2 SOURCE: Interstate Commerce Commission, BLS. transmission—a factor which has contributed greatly to the above-average rate of decline in this occupa tional category. Employment among crossing and bridge flagmen and gatemen (ICC 103)—an unskilled occupation —has declined rapidly as a result of the installation of automatically actuated signals. Train dispatchers (ICC 75, 76) have had an employment decline sub stantially less than that of total employment in the industry. They now have charge of CTC consoles or may operate them and have wide responsibility for safe train movement. By 1975, total employment in the 10 occupations associated with the installation of centralized traffic control may decline to 26,000 at a rate considerably slower than between 1957 and 1967. The occupa tional composition may also change: crossing and bridge flagmen and gatemen may disappear and em ployment levels may continue to drop among teleg raphers, telephoners, and towermen; clerk-telegra phers and telephoners; and among train dispatchers. Table 36. In the case of train dispatchers, moreover, some of the reduction in employment may result from CTC’s becoming more widely used on a regional basis. An upturn in employment is likely among both assistant signalmen and assistant signal maintainers and also signalmen and signal maintainer helpers because of the growing need to train skilled signalmen and sig nal maintainers who are in short supply. Detectors, microwave and automatic car identification In 1967, there were 13,764 employees working in five occupations that had been significantly affected by the introduction of such innovations as detectors, microwave, and automatic car identification. This employment represents a drop of 27 percent since 1957. Between 1957—when the Federal Communi cations Commission first assigned frequencies to the railroads—and 1966, microwave grew to more than 22,000 route miles. The average annual decline in Employment and occupational changes related to detectors, microwave, and automatic car identification, 1957-67 Employment Occupations (ICC classification numbers) 1957 1967 Average annual percent change 1957-67 Number Percent Number Percent T o ta l.................................................................................................................................................................... 21,924 1 0 0 .0 13,764 1 0 0 .0 -4 .6 Traveling auditors or accountants (1 3 )................................................................................................................. Linemen and groundmen ( 4 7 ) ................................................................................................................................. Station agents (sm aller stations— nontelegraphers) ( 7 9 ) ............................................................................... Station agents (telegraphers and telephoners) ( 8 0 ) ........................................................................................ Chief telegraphers and telephoners or wire chiefs (8 1 ) ................................................................................. 1,183 2,835 4,119 12,660 1,127 5 .4 12.9 18.8 57.7 5.1 811 2,132 2,216 7,553 1,052 5 .9 15.5 16.1 54.9 7 .6 -3 .7 -2 .8 -6 .0 -5 .0 -.7 SOURCE: Interstate Commerce Commission, BLS. EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK AND TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE employment for the group of occupations between 1957 and 1967 was 4.6 percent, about equal to the decline of 4.7 percent in total class I railroad em ployment during the same period. Table 36 shows the occupations that comprise the group and employ ment changes since 1957. Station agents (telegraphers and telephoners— ICC 80) and station agents (smaller stations—non telegraphers—ICC 79) relay train orders and messages and may have other duties such as ticket sales, passenger information, and baggage checking, depending upon the size of the station. The installa tion of microwave has been a major reason for above-average employment declines among station agents. The increasing use of detectors for determin ing the condition of journals or roller bearings and to check for equipment that may be dragging or for a broken wheel, smoke, high water, and for many other purposes, has also cut down on the employ ment of station agents, who formerly visually checked the train for these conditions. The growth of centralized traffic control systems, the decrease in passenger service, the centralizing of freight station accounting and the loss of less-than-carload traffic, are among the additional factors that have contrib uted to the decline in employment in these occupa tions. The adoption of microwave-based communication systems has also contributed to the decline in em ployment among linemen and groundmen (ICC 47) largely because of reduced line maintenance and need for fewer telegraph poles. The growing use of microwave has had little impact on the employment of chief telegraphers and telephoners or wire chiefs (ICC 81); some workers in this occupational cate gory have, in fact, found the scope of their work ac tivities broadened to include a new job title—super visor, communications center. Employment of traveling auditors or accountants (ICC 13) has been adversely affected by the adop tion of microwave which has furnished the capacity to centralize recordkeeping. Clerks have also suf fered employment declines because of microwave’s increased carrying capacity; however, the major im pact on their employment has resulted from the widespread adoption of computers. In 1975, employment in these five occupations may total about 10,000, down 27 percent from 1967 levels. Should this decline take place, the downward trend in employment will probably be re 55 flected mainly among linemen and groundmen and among station agents as microwave becomes more widely established. The installation of detector de vices is not likely to have a major impact on the employment of workers who read such devices rou tinely as a part of their regular duties. Some record ers, for example, are tied in directly with central ized traffic control, while hotbox detectors that are located at trackside are the responsibility of signal maintainers and their helpers. In addition, automatic car identification, as it becomes more operational in the industry, will mainly affect employment levels of clerks and office personnel while employment of traveling auditors or accountants is likely to remain relatively stable. Signalman checking out signal strength of a microwave station. 56 RAILROAD TECHNOLOGY AND MANPOWER IN THE 1970’s Maintenance of way innovations In 1967, there were 76,546 employees working in 17 occupations that had been significantly affected by improvements and innovations in maintenance of way activities. Current employment represents a drop of 49 percent from 1957. The average annual decline in employment for the group between 1957 and 1967 was 6.6 percent, compared with a 4.7 percent decline among class I railroad employees. Table 37 shows the. 17 occupational categories in cluded in the group and employment changes since 1957. Ten of the occupations associated with mainte nance of way changes declined at a faster average annual rate than did class I railroad employment. Moreover, four of these 10 occupations were among the 20 railroad occupations that declined the most between 1957 and 1967. Altogether, six of the oc cupational categories with above average employ ment declines had large concentrations of workers: section men (ICC 4 2 ); gang or section foremen (ICC 4 0 ); extra gang men (ICC 4 1 ); bridge and building carpenters (ICC 3 0 ); bridge and building gang foremen, skilled labor (ICC 2 9 ); and mainte nance of way and structures helpers and apprentices (ICC 3 4 ). As the occupational titles show, both skilled and unskilled workers were included among the declining occupational categories. In the case of skilled workers, the declines have slowed down since 1964 while in the case of unskilled workers, em ployment declines have continued, although at a slower rate than in the late 1950’s. Table 37. Between 1957 and 1967, employment increases occurred among workers in three occupational cate gories related to maintenance of way work: portable equipment operators (IC C 35) because of the shift from pick and shovel work to the use of pneumatic handtools and multipurpose machines; gang foremen (extra gang and work train laborers, ICC 38) be cause of the growing reliance upon supervision as more complex equipment is used to satisfy grade, curvature and ballast specifications; and gang fore men (bridge and building, signal and telegraph labor ers, ICC 39) who are relatively few in number. The relatively stable occupations associated with maintenance of way work in the 1957-67 period were roadmasters, general foremen, and assistants (ICC 27); masons, bricklayers, plasterers and plumb ers (ICC 3 3 ); and maintenance of way and scale inspectors (ICC 28 ). Total employment in maintenance-of-way activi ties is difficult to estimate. Much of this kind of work is performed by workers in low skilled occu pations whose employment tends to fluctuate with increases and decreases in maintenance of way ex penditures, as does employment of the skilled work ers they assist. According to one expert, estimates of maintenance requirements of rail installations as sume an “ average service life for rail of over 100 years” 31 even though many railroad officials be lieve track life is much shorter. In 1968, record ex penditures of over $400 million were earmarked for 31 See, “Derailment Problems Tackled by Railroads,” by Vera Herschberg, J o u r n a l o f C o m m e r c e , Mar. 12, 1969. Employment and occupational changes related to maintenance of way innovations, 1957-67 Employment Occupations (ICC classification numbers) 1957 1967 Average annual percent change 1957-67 Number Total .. ........................................................................................................... Gang foremen (bridge”and building, signal and telegraph laborers) (3 9 )........................................ Gang or section fore~men (4 0 )___ ~ .......................... 7........................................................................... Extra gang men (4 1 )................................................................................................................................ Section men (42) ................................................................................................................... ................ SOURCE: Interstate Commerce Commission, BLS. Percent Number Percent 151,453 100.0 76,546 100.0 - 6 .6 3,374 993 3.547 10,464 785 1,858 2,788 5,627 6,897 581 258 2,881 128 16,949 23,087 69,264 1,972 2.2 .7 2.3 6.9 .5 1.2 1.8 3.7 4.6 .4 .2 1.9 .1 11.2 15.2 45.7 1.3 3,206 817 2.278 5,214 404 639 2,726 2,444 8,891 322 74 3,309 149 7,486 13,622 24,227 738 4.2 1.1 3.0 6.8 .5 .8 3.6 3.2 11.6 .4 .1 4.3 .2 9.8 17.8 31.7 - .5 -2 .0 -4 .3 - 6 .7 -6 .5 -1 0 .2 -.2 -8 .0 + 2 .6 - 5 .7 -1 1 .7 + 1 .4 + 1 .5 -7 .8 - 5 .1 -1 0 .0 - 9 .3 1.0 57 EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK AND TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE Men are still an important element in maintenance of way1 activities despite introduction of mechanization. maintenance of way requirements; this was heralded by many in the industry as evidence of a new awareness of the need to stop deferring such mainte nance work. If current high levels of maintenance of way expenditures continue, employment in this group of occupations may drop only slightly to 72,000 by 1975 (about 6 percent below 1967 lev els). Should this occur, there will be numerous op portunities for relatively unskilled workers and the skilled craftsmen they assist— particularly in view of the high average age and years of service in these categories. Passenger service changes In 1967, there were 30,385 employees working in 15 occupations that had been significantly affected by changes and improvements in passenger service, a drop of about 50 percent since 1957. The average Table 38. annual decline in employment for the group of oc cupations between 1957 and 1967 was 6.7 percent, compared with a decline of 4.7 percent among all class I railroad workers. Table 38 shows the 15 oc cupational categories included in the group and em ployment changes since 1957. Eleven of the occupations associated with changes and improvements in passenger service declined at a faster average annual rate than did class I railroad employment, as a whole. One of these occupations — parlor and sleeping car conductor (IC C 100)— disappeared altogether. Overall employment in this group of occupations is likely to continue to decline rapidly, and may reach 17,700 by 1975. Developments such as the introduction of the Penn-Central M etroliner and other high-speed trains that operate in corridors are not likely to contribute greatly to employment of workers whose jobs are related to passenger traffic. These high-speed trains carry traffic that is much less labor-intensive than the regular passenger train traffic they offset. Over the long run, should the Metro concept be extended to other corridors and account for the bulk of passenger traffic and should the operation of intercity passenger trains by Amtrak be successful, employment levels may stabilize or even rise among some workers. These include coach cleaners (IC C 6 7 ); road passenger engineers and m otormen (ICC 121); road passenger brakemen and flagmen (ICC 116); train attendants (IC C 101); road passenger conductors (ICC 111); assist ant road passenger conductors and ticket collectors (ICC 112). Employment and occupational changes related to passenger service, 1957-67 Employment Occupations (ICC classification numbers) Average annual percent change 1957-67 1967 1957 Number Percent Number Percent 60,964 100.0 30,385 100.0 - 6 .7 Coach cleaners (6 7 )...................................................................................................................................... 8,093 Baggage agents and assistants (8 6 ).......................................................................................................... Baggage, parcel room, and station attendants (87)................................................................................. Stewards, restaurant & lodging-house managers, & dining-car supervisors (9 5 ).............................. Chefs and cooks (restaurants or dining cars)” (9 6 ).......... ............... ....................................................... Waiters, camp cooks, kitchen helpers,” etc. (9 7 )...................................................................................... Parlor and sleeping car conductor (100)................................................................................................... Train attendants ( fO l) ....................................................... ...................................................................... 364 8,208 1,203 3,060 7,028 6 3,403 5,341 2,851 2,798 6,269 6,434 5,811 13.3 .2 .6 13.5 2.0 5.0 11.5 .0 5.6 8.8 4.7 4.6 10.1 10.6 9.5 3,464 72 151 4,425 507 1,232 2,995 0 2,111 2,926 1,975 1,183 2,963 3,489 2,892 11.4 .2 .5 14.6 1.7 4.1 9.9 .0 6.9 9.6 6.5 3.9 9.8 11.5 9.5 - 8 .2 - 2 .7 -8 .4 -6 .0 - 8 .3 - 8 .7 -8 .2 95 Assistant road passenger conductors and ticket collectors (112).......................................................... Road passenger baggagemen (1 1 5 )... ......................................................................................... Road passenger brakeinen and flagmen (116) ..................................................................................... Road passenger and engineers and motormen (121).............................................................................. Road passenger firemen” and helpers (125).............................................................................................. SOURCE: Interstate Commerce Commission, BLS. -4 .7 -5 .8 -3 .6 -8 .3 -7 .2 -5 .9 -6 .7 58 RAILROAD TECHNOLOGY AND MANPOWER IN THE 1970’s Other employment and occupational changes not related to a specific innovation Thirty-two additional occupational categories (out of the 128 classified for reporting purposes by the IC C ) were also affected by technological or proce dural changes. However, shifts in their employment could not be readily traced to a single innovation or to a combination of technological changes, as with all other occupations. Altogether, these 32 occupa tions accounted for 123,135 workers in 1967, com pared with 162,414 in 1957. As a group, they de clined at an average annual rate of 2.7 percent between 1957 and 1967, considerably slower than total class I railroad employment. (See table 39). Employment in 11 of the 32 occupations amounted to 99,829 workers in 1967, compared to 123,729 workers in 1957, a decline of 2.2 percent a year during the period 1957-67. Each of the 11 oc cupations accounted for at least 5,000 employees in 1967 and as a group accounted for 81 percent of all workers in the residual group. Employment of road freight firemen and helpers (ICC 126) declined at an average annual rate of 7.2 percent between 1957 and 1967, sustaining the most rapid rate of decline of any of these 11 occu pational categories. The main reason for this decline was the initial changeover from steam to diesel en gines, which resulted in the elimination of the “firing” job of the fireman. Subsequently, the arbi tration award of 1963 permitted the railroads to start cutting employment in this category. In view of the strong bid by unions to reinstate firemen since expiration of the award, it is impossible to project employment for this occupation. ' Table 39. Employment of stenographers and typists (ICC 10) has declined at an average annual rate of 5.2 percent during the 1957-67 period. In addition to their regular work, stenographers and typists also perform routine clerical work which has been taken over by computers or affected by changes in com munications. This portion of their work is likely to be further diminished as more railroads develop total information systems. Each of the occupational categories discussed below declined well below the average annual change in class I railroad employment between 1957 and 1967. Also, employment in some of these occu pations began to rise in the latter part of the period. These included road freight brakemen and flagmen, local and way freight (ICC 118); rail freight engi neers and motormen, through freight (ICC 122); and road freight conductors, through freight (ICC 113). Employment of traffic and various other agents and investigators (IC C 19) declined at an average annual rate of 2.8 percent between 1957 and 1967. This decline is likely to continue to 1975 since many of these workers are performing tasks related to passenger traffic. Employment of road freight brakemen and flag men in local and way freight service (IC C 118) has declined at an average annual rate of 1.5 percent for the' 1957-67 period. Despite a slight upturn in employment starting in 1965, a decrease in employ ment by 1975 is likely to result from the growing use of newly developed automatic coupler devices which eliminate the need for m anual air hose connections. Employment and occupational changes, not related to specific innovations, 1957-67 Employment Occupations (ICC classification numbers) 1957 1967 Average annual percent change 1957-67 Number Percent Number T o ta l................................................................................................................................................ 162,414 100.0 123,135 100.0 t -2 .7 Executives, general officers, and assistants ( 1 )................................................................................... Division officers, assistants, and staff assistants ( 2 )........................................................................... Stenographers and typists (1 0 ).............................................................................................................. Traffic and various other agents, inspectors, and investigators (1 9 )................................................ Road freight conductors (through freight) (113)............ 7........... .................................................. Road freight conductors (local in d way freight) (114) ..................................................................... Road freight brakemen and flagmen (through freight) (117)............................................................ Road freight brakemen and flagmen (local Ind way freight) (118).................................................. Road freight engineers and motormen (through freight)~(122)........................................................ Road freight engineers and motormen (local and way freight) (123).............................................. Road freight firemen and helpers (through freight) (126)7. .............................................................. A ll other occupations (21 occupations) . 7 . ___7 . . . . . . . . . f ............................................................... 7,276 8,988 12,944 10,681 9,286 6,244 23,282 14,712 11(456 6,478 12,382 38,685 4.5 5.5 8.0 6.6 5.7 3.8 14.3 9.1 7.1 4.0 7.6 23.8 6,595 8,906 7,578 8,039 8,303 6,085 19,591 12(616 9,941 6,333 5,842 23,306 5.4 7.2 6.2 6.5 6.7 4.9 15.9 10.2 8.1 5.1 4.7 18.9 -1 .0 -.1 - 5 .2 -2 .8 -1 .1 - .3 - 1 .1 -1 .5 -1 .4 -.2 -7 .2 -4 .9 SOURCE: Interstate Commerce Commission, BLS. Percent EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK AND TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE Employment of road freight engineers and motormen, through freight (ICC 122), declined at an av erage annual rate of 1.4 percent between 1957 and 1967. Although employment in the group is allied closely with freight traffic, which has been rising since 1960, this link will become less direct with the increasing use of more powerful locomotives to pull longer and heavier trains. Thus, despite increased freight traffic, employment in this occupational cate gory in 1975 is expected to be about the same as today. Road freight conductors’ employment on through freight trains (ICC 113) declined at an average an nual rate of 1.1 percent between 1957 and 1967. As in the case of road freight engineers and motormen, through freight (IC C 122) noted above, employ ment in this occupational category is closely related to traffic. Like road freight engineers and motormen, their employment is likely to be much the same in 1975 as now, despite increased traffic. Employment of road freight brakemen and flag men (ICC 117) declined at the same average an nual rate as the conductors’— 1.1 percent— between 1957 and 1967. Like that in the two occupations discussed above, employment of workers in this oc cupational category is also affected by length of trains and amount of traffic carried. Current dis putes concerning the manning scale for freight make employment estimates difficult. However, should the United Transportation Union (U T U ), which repre sents many of these employees, continue to be suc cessful in obtaining one conductor and two brakemen crews for most trains and should the ex pected rise in overall freight traffic materialize, a slight increase in the number of these employees by 1975 may be in prospect. Employment levels in the executive, general 59 officer, and assistant category (ICC 1) declined at an average annual rate of 1.0 {percent between 1957 and 1967. Many new jobs related to changed tech nology or innovations in marketing have been re ported in this category in recent years. These in clude assistant manager, property taxes; assistant manager, rail-highway sales; director of piggyback pricing; and director of computer systems. The dif fusion and adoption of various new technologies and marketing methods points to a growing need for the higher level manpower represented in this occupa tional category. There appears to be every indica tion that the slight decline in employment noted in the 1957-67 period will be reversed by 1975. In local and way freight service, employment of road freight conductors (ICC 114) and road freight engineers and motormen (IC C 123) declined at av erage annual rates of 0.3 percent and 0.2 percent respectively, during the 1957-67 period. Each cate gory increased substantially as freight increased in the 1960’s and because of this factor, it is likely that their employment will increase still further in the 1970’s. Employment of division officers, assistants, and staff assistants (ICC 2) declined during the 1957-67 period, at an average annual rate of 0.1 percent. The average annual rate of decline might have been higher, however, except for the fact that employment in this group benefited from the adop tion of new technology.32 Since 1964, employment in this category has increased by almost 1,000 per sons; in all likelihood, a steady growth in employ ment may be expected through 1975. 32 See the section dealing with employment effects of computers which discusses new job titles created in this re porting category. Chapter VI. Adjustments to Technological Change, Working Conditions and Earnings Widespread technological change is responsible for changes in working conditions and industrial re lations and has contributed to worker adjustment problems. This chapter examines these innovations from the viewpoint of their impact on working con ditions and of employee adjustments to technologi cal change, largely as expressed in collective bar gaining agreements. Collective bargaining and adjustments to technological change Although collective bargaining provisions specif ically relating to technological change have be come prominent in the 1960’s in the railroad indus try, they follow the pattern of a contract— the “Agreement of May 1936, Washington, D.C.”— originally designed to protect employees of merged carriers.33 The nationwide pact, signed by most of the m ajor U.S. railroads and all the standard rail road labor unions represented by the Railway Labor Executive Association, provided comprehensive pro tection against loss of job or earnings resulting from mergers and consolidations. It included provisions for advance notice of a merger; moving expenses and reimbursement for losses on home sales by relo cated employees; an allowance which maintained the former wage rates of downgraded employees for several years; and, for separated workers, a sever ance allowance payable over a period of time or as a lump sum. The “Washington Agreement,” how ever, did not apply to displacement or job loss caused by technological changes, or to reorganiza tion within one railroad; neither did subsequent ICC regulations. Therefore, as these types of situations arose and had a greater effect on railroad workers during the 1950’s and early 1960’s, the growing de mand for job protection became the subject of collective bargaining negotiations. Subsequently, some principles and provisions of the “Washington Agreement” were applied as well, to meet problems stemming from technological change, being incorpo rated into a few nationwide union-management con tracts. For example, a 1964 nationwide contract covering some 140,000 nonoperating, shopcraft em ployees, extended protections such as moving allow ances, income maintenance provisions and severance pay.31 Also, in early 1965, a national contract em bodying job guarantees, limitations on job subcontracts, and income protection devices was ne gotiated for about 255,000 nonoperating, nonshopcraft employees.35 In 1970, the first agreement with such provisions for operating employees was negoti ated on a pilot basis between the United Transportation Union and the Illinois Central Rail road. Nonoperating railroad employees, totaling about 360,000 people, are organized into about 25 sepa rate unions. (See appendix V -l).30 A merger in early 1969 reduced the number of unions covering operating personnel— about 170,000 workers— from five to two: The United Transportation Union (U T U ) and the Brotherhood of Locomotive Engi- 33 See “Adjusting to Technology on the Railroads,” November 1969, pp. 36-42. M o n th ly L a b o r R e v i e w , 3 4 The Shopcraft Agreement of Sept. 25, 1964, signed by the Eastern, Western, and Southeastern Carriers’ Confer ence Committee and the Railway Employees Department, AFL-CIO. 3 5 The Nonshopcraft Agreement dated Feb. 7, 1965, be tween the National Railway Labor Conference and the Eastern, Western, and Southeastern Carriers’ Conference Committee and the following unions: Brotherhood of Rail way and Steamship Clerks, Freight Handlers, Express and Station Employees; Brotherhood of Maintenance of Way Employees; Order of Railroad Telegraphers; Brotherhood of Railroad Signalmen; Hotel and Restaurant Employees and Bartenders International Union. 36 Some of these major unions are the Brotherhood of Maintenance of Way Employee (BM W E), Brotherhood of Railway, Airline and Steamship Clerks, Freight Handlers, Express and Station Employees (BR ASC ), and the Interna tional Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers (IA M ). 61 62 neers (BLE, Independent).37 Declining railroad employment and the resulting decline in union mem bership has encouraged the smaller unions to merge to strengthen their bargaining power. The existing adjustment techniques for technolog ical change that apply to nonoperating employees include: Advance notice of change; various guaran tees of job security, including crew size regulations and transfer and retraining rights and benefits; limi tations on subcontracting and provisions for shorter work periods, income maintenance plans, and unem ployment and retirement benefits. A discussion of each technique follows. Adjustment techniques Advance Notice. Usually, the carriers notify the union or unions affected at least 1 to 3 months in advance of a planned change which will eliminate positions. During this period, the parties may nego tiate the individual conditions of each change in a separate ad hoc agreement. The definition of “change” is just beginning to extend beyond transfer and consolidation of seniority rosters to include any change in job function or in work methods. F or ex ample, when jobs are to be “abolished” the two na tionwide nonoperating employee agreements men tioned earlier require advance notice. Notice must be given to the union 60 days in advance of a job abolition caused by technological, organizational, or other operational change, including “contractingout” of work. If the change requires some employ ees to relocate, 90 days’ notice must be provided. After the required notice is given, the parties negoti ate an “implementing agreement” which deals with such specific adjustments as the realignment of sen iority rosters, job content, or rates of pay. If a dis pute develops over these implementing steps, the 37 In early 1969, the railway conductors and brakemen, locomotive firemen and enginemen, trainmen, and switch men merged their separate unions into a new organization, the United Transportation Union (U T U ). Also by early 1969, the Brotherhood of Railway and Airline Clerks, a nonoperating union, completed its merger with other non operating craft unions including railway patrolmen, telegra phers, and business machine technicians and other unions covering similar occupations outside the railroad industry. 38 See U .S . E m e r g e n c y B o a r d , Steelton and Highspire Railroad Company, 1944 (I. L. Sharfman, Chairman), U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C., 1945. RAILROAD TECHNOLOGY AND MANPOWER IN THE 1970’s problem is referred to a special committee for ad justment. Job Security. Guarantee of job security is becoming the pattern in railroad union agreements. Such pro visions specify that no employee will be severed from the payroll except for disciplinary reasons. Some contracts, moreover, “stabilize” the work force in each craft by setting a maximum annual rate at which employment may decline. In both types of seniority clauses, employment levels are re duced only through attrition. This means that jobs are abolished only because of the workers’ death or retirement, or as workers quit or leave their jobs for other reasons. Where the carrier has agreed to “sta bilize” the work force, it must hire new workers if losses through attrition exceed an agreed-upon num ber. Agreement with these provisions, however, often do not apply when layoffs are necessitated by declining business or when employees have less than a specified amount of service, or when employees are seasonal. Moreover, these contracts usually con tain special provisions for temporary layoff during emergency weather conditions. Some of the first agreements with employment stabilization provisions based on attrition were nego tiated by the Order of Railroad Telegraphers and the Brotherhood of Railway and Steamship Clerks in the late 1950’s and early 1960’s, when the rail roads initially began installing electronic data proc essing equipment and improved communications systems. Some other agreements having job guaran tees written into them included two in 1965: the first, the national nonoperating, nonshopcraft em ployees’ contract covering 255,000 workers and the second, the agreement between the trainsmen and 23 eastern carriers, covering 80,000 workers. In ad dition, the arbitration award in 1963, affecting about 33,400 firemen, which resolved the dispute over using firemen on freight diesels, provided var ious job guarantees. (Also, see the section on “Sev erance” provisions permitted by this aw ard.) The problem of manning of locomotives has been one of national importance since the diesels were first in troduced in 1934.38 Crew Size Regulation. Additional job security in the industry is provided when union contracts and state laws require each train to operate with a minimum size of crew or specify the crew’s occupational com position. As of early 1969, five States— Arkansas, TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE, WORKING CONDITIONS AND EARNINGS Indiana, New York, Ohio, and Wisconsin— still had “crew consist” laws on the books compared to 14 States in the early 1960’s. Over the years, as the trainmen were successful in negotiating agreements regulating crew size, they no longer opposed the re peal of State full crew laws. “Crew consist” laws or contract provisions may remain in effect for many years after an innovation has reduced labor require ments, or altered duties, skills, or occupational needs. An example of such a situation was the na tional “rule” (contract) negotiated in 1937, requir ing the use of a fireman on all freight, yard, and passenger locomotives. On steam locomotives, which represented virtually all locomotives in operation that year, firemen stoked the furnaces and tended the boiler to produce power. This duty was elimi nated, however, on diesel-electric locomotives, which by 1958 had nearly replaced all steam loco motives. It was only in 1963, after negotiations by the carriers and unions, that a study by a Presiden tial Commission and a Congressional investigation culminated in legislation calling for arbitration of the dispute 394 At that time, the existing rule was . 0 modified, permitting carriers to remove firemen’s po sitions on about 90 percent of all freight locomo tives. The manning of train crews continues to be a major industrial relations problem. For example, one recent dispute involved an attempt to restore trainmen helper jobs (also eliminated by the carriers as a result of the 1963 arbitration aw ard). The ef forts of the union to restore these jobs have been relatively successful but negotiations continue on this issue.'1 0 Transfer rights. In the past, transfers of workers among the various railroad craft unions have oc curred relatively infrequently, mainly because the railroad work force is organized according to craft. Seniority rights are usually accrued on the basis of length of service in a particular craft as well as in a seniority or geographic district. Thus, a worker who transfers into another craft or geographic district 3 Public law 88-108, Aug. 28, 1963. See “The 1963 9 Railroad Arbitration Act,” M o n t h l y L a b o r R e v i e w , October 1963, Volume 86, N o. 10, pp. 1187-1188. 40 The 1965 trainmen agreement with 23 eastern carriers fixed future crews at one conductor and 2 brakemen (or switchmen or helpers). By the fall of 1968, it was esti mated that roughly two-thirds of the railroad industry was operating under contracts requiring these 3-man crews. 63 may lose some or all of his seniority, depending upon the contract provisions. All class I railroads and the labor unions with which they bargain have been encouraged by the Railroad Retirement Board to develop a job place ment system; it operates like a clearinghouse and provides transfer opportunities for employees who are threatened with layoff from their present jobs. Placement may be made both in and out of the in dustry. When layoff is imminent, usually because of abandonment of facilities, unemployment claims agents employed by the railroads seek out roads that are hiring workers and attempt to arrange transfers. Frequently, these transfers are within the agent’s carrier system. Where the available jobs are semi skilled or unskilled, craft restrictions do not apply, and transfers may cut across departmental or district seniority lines. However, in the case of skilled shopcraft workers, the transfers have been made within the same craft. Altogether, during the 11-month pe riod July 1, 1968 to May 30, 1969, a total of 6,153 placements were made; slightly over three-fifths were arranged within the railroad industry, itself. Geographical transfers have been common in the railroad industry throughout its history. In connec tion with railroad mergers and consolidations, the “Washington Agreement” provided moving allow ances, including a salary maintenance or “displace ment” allowance, which assured the person being transferred that his earnings would not fall below their current level for 5 years. The national con tracts signed in 1964 and 1965 covered nonoperat ing employees, provided for the payment of moving allowances, patterned after the provisions of the “Washington Agreement,” in cases of transfer re sulting from road reorganization or from technologi cal change. Expenses for moving household effects and travel are usually covered, but losses incurred from the sale of a house are not always covered. There is also great variation among the contracts about the number of days for which pay will be re ceived and the conditions under which moving al lowances will be paid. The National Contract for operating employees, unlike that for non-operating employees, does not provide for payment of moving allowances in cases of job transfer. Training. Use of training or retraining measures, as a means of adjusting to technological change, has differed widely among railroad occupations. The oc cupational structure of the industry, ranging as it 64 RAILROAD TECHNOLOGY AND MANPOWER IN THE 19 70’s does from the relatively unskilled worker who per forms maintenance-of-way tasks to the highly skilled craftsman and professional and technical worker, re quires the services of persons with varying levels of education and training. At the lower end of the oc cupational spectrum, most jobs can be learned in a short time and are usually interchangeable. There fore, there is no great problem in training or retrain ing. At the middle and upper level occupations, the case is quite different. The skilled crafts, for exam ple, require the completion of several years of formal apprenticeship training to enter. This fact, along with the seniority provisions of union agreements, prevents crossing over from one skilled craft to an other. Railroads themselves have been providing training to help some workers meet new demands. Railroad clerks and the telegraphers have been most affected by the introduction of com puter technology and their contracts with the carriers have provided for training workers with seniority to meet the require ments of changed jobs, as in the agreement between the Southern Pacific Company (Pacific Lines) and the Brotherhood of Railway Clerks,41 effective April 1, 1963. Many of the carriers have training programs, out side of collective agreements, which are directed to ward improving and updating worker skills. Train ing may be given on the job or be provided through correspondence or other schools in the community. Railroad workers— particularly those in the skilled crafts and in some maintenance-of-way occupations — often learn about new and changed equipment di rectly from the equipment m anufacturer or the sup plier. Railroad unions, in turn, have also attempted to set up training programs to help their members qualify for available job opportunities in the railroad industry. The Brotherhood of Locomotive Firemen and Enginemen, an A F L -C IO affiliate, developed an apprenticeship program for locomotive engineers approved by the U.S. Department of Labor in Janu ary 1966. Most of the carriers have rejected the program, maintaining that retraining is not a bargainable issue. This dispute is still before the Fed eral Courts. 41 Merged with Brotherhood of Railway, Airline and Steamship Clerks, Freight Handlers, Express and Station Employees in early 1969. Limitations on Subcontracting. The issue of “con tracting out” work is particularly important to the shopcraft unions because diesel engine repair and rebuilding are frequently accomplished in this way. Some maintenance-of-way tasks and the installation of new signal equipment are also subject to this practice. Restrictions on subcontracting to avoid job loss are sometimes explicitly stated in the union contract. When they are not so stated, such limitations have been inferred from the clauses which defined the scope of the agreement and its coverage. For the most part, however, the subcontracting policy that has evolved in this industry can be found in the various arbitration awards of the National Rail road Adjustment Board. Contracting out is generally permissible if the carrier does not have adequate equipment or properly trained men for special jobs, or if there is an emergency time limit, with the fol lowing stipulations: (1 ) The carrier must justify subcontracting; (2 ) laid-off employees must be used before outsiders are hired; and (3 ) proposed sub contracting must first be discussed witli the un ion (s) affected. Displacement Allowances. Nearly all nonoperating employees are now covered by contractual displace ment allowance provisions modeled after those found in the “Washington Agreement,” which pro vides a guaranteed wage to displaced workers if they accept transfers to other jobs. The displacement al lowance guarantees an average of the previous year’s earnings for a period of 5 years for the fire men and for shopcraft workers; it is paid indefinitely to nonshopcraft, nonsupervisory employees. In 1964, the shopcraft unions negotiated an agreement which extended the provisions of the “Washington Agreement” to displacements resulting from technological change, as well as from other causes. The national contract of February 1965 for nonshopcraft, nonoperating employees provides a similar allowance to all these employees (other than seasonal) who had completed 2 years of service prior to October 1964 and were willing to accept a transfer (see footnote 35 for unions concerned). The arbitration award covering the issue of fire men’s employment on diesels extended the displace ment allowances of the “Washington Agreement” to firemen, with more than 2 but less than 10 years of service, who were offered “another comparable job.” Manpower adjustment provisions found in collec TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE, WORKING CONDITIONS AND EARNINGS tive bargaining agreements may represent sizable cash benefits to the workers affected, as demon strated in the findings of BLS research into situa tions resulting from mergers and consolidations cov ered by the “Washington Agreement.” 42 For example, in a 1957 case involving the payment of displacement allowances, $375,374 was paid over a period of 40 months to 200 operating employees. Two-thirds of this sum was paid in the form of par tial benefits which averaged $132 a month per worker; full benefits averaged $447 a month per worker. In another case involving 37 employees, an average of $765 was paid in displacement allow ances to employees who lost their jobs, and $1,486 in moving allowances per worker who transferred. In addition, the carrier provided affected employees with free trips to their new location to look for homes and familiarize themselves with their new surroundings. S everan ce o r D ism issal A llo w a n ces — The “Wash ington Agreement” provides either a continuing al lowance or a lump sum payment to employees who lose their jobs as a result of merger. The continuing allowance amounts monthly to 60 percent of the employee’s last 12 months’ average pays. It is granted for periods ranging from 6 months to 5 years, depending on length of service. Payments the worker receives from the Railroad Unemployment Insurance Fund are subtracted from the allowance. The lump-sum payment is higher, but an employee who chooses this alternative severs all ties; he must resign his rights to recall, to maintenance of fringe benefits, and to all other rights which continue while on a temporary layoff status. In the early 1960’s, contracts between individual crafts and roads began to extend these “Washington Agreement” allowances to layoff or severance result ing from technological change. The agreements of national nonoperating shopcraft and nonshopcraft employees also extend these provisions to technolog ical change and a wide variety of situations reducing the work force. In the 1963 arbitration award which resolved the firemen-on-diesels issue, provision was made for lump-sum severance payments based on seniority. It is estimated that between 1964 and 1968, some $35 million in severance payments were made to firemen whose jobs were eliminated. Alto gether, some 17,000 firemen jobs disappeared by the end of 1968; some firemen, however, were able to move into jobs as engineers. 65 Although not specifically related to technological innovations, the law that created the National Rail road Passenger Corporation (Am trak, see page 72) provides that the Secretary of Labor has the ulti mate responsibility for protecting employees “against a worsening of their position with respect to their employment.” With the law becoming effective on May 1, 1971, the carriers and the rail unions failed to negotiate a mutually acceptable job protection plan, and Am trak submitted its plan to the Secre tary who certified it as “fair and equitable.” The Am trak plan, which the rail unions may challenge in the courts, requires railroads to provide full wages and benefits, up to 6 years on a monthly basis, to workers displaced by A m trak’s planned cutting of the N ation’s 300 passenger trains to 114. Estimates of the number of workers to be affected ranged from 12,000 to 25,000. Any income a worker earned from other jobs would be subtracted from these payments. He would be covered for up to 6 years and would qualify for any pay increases during the “protective” period, while still eligible to be recalled to work. The worker would also have the option of receiving lump sums of up to 1 year’s salary, instead of the monthly payments. Unemployment Benefits. Railroad workers are cov ered by a Federal unemployment insurance system which operates only within the railroad industry, is financed by employer contributions, and provides uniform benefits throughout the United States. Bene fits are paid equal to 60 percent of the last daily rate of pay of the unemployed worker, up to a max imum daily benefit of $12.70. Nearly all beneficiar ies are awarded the maximum benefit of $12.70 a day. Unemployed workers receive benefits for twen ty-six 5-day weeks. For workers with many years of railroad service, there are additional weeks of bene fits: 14 for workers with 10 to 14 years of service or 26 for workers with 15 or more years of service. Special provisions allow a worker who has frequent ly-recurring spells of unemployment to qualify re peatedly for benefits, each time he becomes unem ployed. Unlike the several State unemployment compensa tion programs, the Railroad Unemployment Insur ance (R U I) system does not vary in terms of 42 “Studies Relating to Railroad Operating Employees,” Appendix Volume III to the Report of the Presidential Commission, Washington, D.C., Feb. 1962, pp. 136-171. 66 coverage, benefit amount and duration, qualification requirements, and the proportion of weekly income replaced. Also, the railroad program is more liberal than the State programs in two other respects: dis qualification provisions and compensation for inter mitten days of unemployment. Retirement. Retirement is yet another way in which the work force may adjust to technological change. In 1966, for example, 5.6 percent of all railroad workers were 65 years old or older compared with 3.6 percent of all nonfarm workers. A t the present time, only about one-third of all railroad workers elect to retire at age 65, and few union agreements have mandatory retirement provisions, although early retirement is possible. In the benefit year, 1967-68, some 40,000 persons retired. The average age of those retiring for reasons other than disability was 66.5 years. Between 1963 and 1967 (the latest year for which this information is available) an av erage of 99,000 persons have retired each year, a figure far in excess of the net decline in employment each year since 1963. Railroad employees are covered by a compulsory pension system, the National Railroad Retirement System, which is administered by the Federal Gov ernment, but financed by a tax on employee earn ings and on payrolls. Pension benefits, starting at age 65, are determined by length of service and amount of earnings. Legislation enacted in 1966 provides for the payment of an additional annuity at age 65 to persons entitled to an age or disability an nuity who have completed 25 or more years of serv ice and who have a current connection with the rail road industry. Beginning with 1971, employees forfeit the supplemental annuity if they work in the railroad industry beyond a specified closing date. This closing date for the years after 1973 is the end of the calendar month following the month in which the employee reaches age 65, with somewhat higher ages applicable for the years 1971 through 1973. Early retirem ent on a reduced annuity, is possi ble at age 62 for employees with 10 years or more of railroad employment. All employees with 30 years of railroad service can retire at age 60, though the amount of the pension is reduced for men who exercise this option. In fiscal year 1967-68, about 16 percent of all those who retired because of age (rather than for disability) did so early and on a re duced annuity; their average age was 63.2 years. RAILROAD TECHNOLOGY AND MANPOWER IN THE 1970’s Earnings and Working Conditions. The introduction of technological change in the railroad industry has affected working conditions and frequently has re sulted in adjustments in wage rates. Wage rates and working conditions, including hours of work and overtime provisions, are covered in the labor-man agement agreements that apply to most of the work ers in the industry. Their basic work schedules dif fer, depending on the kinds of work they do. For example, the basic workweek of the great majority of workers employed at terminals— in railroad yards, stations and offices— is 40 hours of five 8hour days; overtime is usually paid after 8 hours of work a day. However, train and engine crew members are paid according to different rules, in terms of their movement over the road. They must either cover a specified number of miles, or else have worked a certain number of hours, before receiving extra pay. Workers in occupations that directly serve passenger needs work a stipulated number of hours each month before receiving premium pay for overtime work. Also, irregular work schedules are common among railroad workers who do not have regular as signments but are called in when their sendees are needed. Train service must be provided 24 hours a day and, thus, railroad workers must often work nights, weekends, and on holidays. This accounts for the higher-than-average workweek in this .industry compared with all manufacturing industries. (See table 40.) The basic wage formula for operating employees takes into consideration minimum daily guarantees, mileage pay, graduated rates, special allowances which are higher than standard rates and mileage limitation rules. The pay system for nonoperating employees is much simpler and is primarily on a time basis, hourly, daily, or monthly. Average hourly earnings (including premium pay) of class I railroad workers are higher than those paid to workers in manufacturing generally. In 1968, for example, class I railroad workers earned an estimated $3.39 an hour, on the average, com pared with an estimated average hourly rate of $3.01 for workers in all manufacturing industries. This relationship has persisted since 1957, through the spread between average hourly earnings in class I railroads and in all manufacturing has ranged widely, from a low of 21 cents an hour in 1957 to an estimated high of 38 cents an hour in 1968 (see 67 TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE, WORKING CONDITIONS AND EARNINGS Table 40. Hours and earnings of workers in manufacturing and class I railroads, 1947, 1957, and 1960-68 Class 1 railroads1 A ll m anufacturing2 Year Average hourly earnings Average weekly earnings 1947................................................................................................................................................. $1.19 1957................................................................................................................................................. 2.26 I9 6 0 ................................................................................................................................................. 1961................................................................................................................................................. 1962................................................................................................................................................. 1963................................................................................................................................................. 1964................................................................................................................................................. 1965................................................................................................................................................. 1966................................................................................................................................................. 1967................................................................................................................................................. 1968................................................................................................................................................. 2.61 2.67 2.72 2.76 2.80 3.00 3.09 3.24 3 3.39 Average weekly hours Average hourly earnings Average weekly earnings $55.03 46.4 $1.22 $49.17 40.4 94.24 41.7 2.05 81.59 39.8 108.84 112.94 115.87 118.40 121.80 130.80 135.65 139.97 3 149.16 41.7 42.3 42.6 42.9 43.5 43.6 43.9 43.2 3 44.0 2.26 2.32 2.39 2.46 2.53 2.61 2.72 2.83 3.01 89.72 92.34 96.55 99.63 102.97 107.53 112.34 114.90 122.51 39.7 39.8 40.4 40.5 40.7 41.2 41.3 40.6 40.7 Average weekly hours 1 Excludes executives, officials, and staff assistants (ICC group I). 3 8-month averages. 1 Applies to production workers only. SOURCE: Bureau of Labor Statistics and Interstate Commerce Commission. Table 41. Average straight time pay, by occupational group, class I railroads, 1957 and 1967 Average straight tim es rates 1 Percent of total employees Occupational group 1957 Executives, officials, and staff assistants.................................................................................................... Professional, clerical, and general............................................................................................................... Maintenance of way and structures............................................................................................................. Maintenance of equipment and stores........................................................................................................ Transportation (other than train, engine and y a rd ).................................................................................. Transportation (yardmasters, switch tenders, and hostlers)................................................................... Transportation (train and engine service).................................................................................................. A ll employees (excluding switching and terminal companies)................................................................ 1967 Percent change 1957-67 1957 1967 $4,512 2.300 2.002 2.222 2.123 2.631 2.385 2.288 $6,648 3.364 2.976 3.196 3.113 3.698 3.220 3.302 47.3 46.3 48.7 43.8 46.6 40.6 35.0 44.3 1.65 19.27 17.32 24.99 11.69 1.44 23.64 100.0 2.54 21.53 14.82 22.70 9.34 1.61 27.46 100.0 1 Includes "straight tim e paid for” in train and engine service, and “ time actually worked and paid for at straight time rates” in other services. SOURCE: Interstate Commerce Commission. Table 42. Employee compensation, class I railroads, 1965 All employees Per hour Compensation practice Percent of compensation Paid for Working time 100.0 $3.71 $4.04 87.8 78.5 2.0 6.9 5.0 1.5 .4 .3 3.26 2.91 .07 .26 .19 .06 .01 .01 3.55 3.17 .08 .28 .20 .06 .01 .01 12.2 8.0 5.0 2.3 .7 4.2 3.3 .9 .45 .30 .19 .09 .03 .16 .12 .03 .49 .32 .20 .09 .03 .17 .13 .04 1 Includes m ilitary, ju ry , funeral, and personal leave, not presented separately. NOTE: Due to rounding, sums of individual items may not equal totals. 3 Includes savings and th rift plans, not presented separately. SOURCE: Bureau of Labor Statistics. 68 table 40.) Average straight time rates in class I railroads rose by nearly 45 percent between 1957 and 1967, as can be seen in table 41. This rate of increase was exceeded in every major occupational group except in Transportation (train and engine service), Trans portation (yardmasters, switchtenders, and hos tlers), and in M aintenance of equipment and stores.43 Straight time pay for time worked is the major component of employer expenditures for the com pensation of employees. To arrive at total compen sation, it is necessary to include employer payments for overtime and other premium payments, pay ments for leave time (vacations, holidays, sick leave, and other leave), terminal (severance) pay ments and expenditures for legally required insur ance programs and private welfare plans operated for the benefit of employees. In 1965, average com pensation of all class I railroad workers amounted to $4.04 per working hour,44 $3.17 of which was straight time pay, and 87 cents pay supplements. (See table 42.) By 1967, the BLS estimated total straight time pay per hour of working time in class I railroads had risen to $3.51, and supplements to straight time pay to $1.00 a working hour.45 Total compensation rose by about 11 percent in the 2- RAILROAD TECHNOLOGY AND MANPOWER IN THE 1970's year period, from $4.04 to $4.51 an hour. Straight time pay increased because of pay raises that were negotiated while the level of supplemental expendi tures grew because of higher employer payments for railroad retirements, health and welfare benefits, premium pay, and vacations. 43 Wage statistics which provide information for the years 1957 and 1967 and from which average straight time rates may be computed for the detailed occupations that comprise the major occupational group are available from the Interstate Commerce Commission A-300 Reports, Wage Statistics of class I railroads in the United States. 44 Hours paid for consist of aggregate hours worked, paid leave hours, rest periods, coffee breaks, machine downtime, and other nonleave hours paid for but not worked, for which employers made direct payments to work ers during the year. Excluded are hour equivalents for which pay was received though actual hours were not in volved; for example, hours paid for because of additional mileage or because of extra work during regular working hours. Working time excludes paid leave hours. Unless oth erwise noted, all rates are expressed as per hour of work ing time. 45 See “Employment Compensation and Payroll Hours, Railroads, 1965,” Report 335-3, U.S. Department o f Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. Also, see “Pay and Fringe Ben efits of Railroad Employees,” by Robert E. Pope, in M o n t h l y L a b o r R e v i e w , Sept. 1968, Vol. 91, No. 9, pp. 45-48. Appendix I Tables 1. Railroads and other transportation, new plant and equipment expenditures, 1945-70 [billions o f dollars] Total expenditures Year Railroads All other transportation Amount As a percent of all industries Amount As a percent of all industries 1945............................................... 1946............................................... 1947............................................... 1948............................................... 1949............................................... .55 .58 .91 1.37 1.42 6.3 3.9 4.7 6 .4 7.5 .57 .92 1.30 1.27 .88 6.6 6.2 6.7 6 .0 4.6 1950............................................... 1951............................................... 1952............................................... 1953............................................... 1954............................................... 1.18 1.58 1.50 1.42 .93 .8 6.2 5.7 5.0 3.4 1.19 1.47 1.47 1.53 1.46 5.9 5.8 5.6 5 .4 5 .4 1955............................................... 1956............................................... 1957............................................... 1958............................................... 1959............................................... 1.02 1.37 1.58 .86 1.02 3.5 3.8 4.2 2.7 3.0 1.56 1.66 1.71 1.43 2.11 5.3 4 .6 4.5 4.5 6.3 1960............................................... 1961............................................... 1962............................................... 1963............................................... 1964............................................... 1.16 .82 1.02 1.26 1.66 3.2 2.3 2.7 3.1 3.5 1.96 1.96 2.17 1.98 2.52 5.3 5.5 5.7 4.9 5 .4 1965............................................... 1966............................................... 1967............................................... 1968............................................... 1969 p ........................................... 1970 e ........................................... 1.99 2.37 1.86 1.45 1.83 1.94 3.7 3.7 2.8 2.1 2 .4 2 .4 2.90 3.38 3.77 4.15 4.20 3.96 5.3 5.3 5.8 6.1 5.6 4.8 P—Preliminary. E—U.S. Dept, of Commerce and SEC. estimate. SOURCE: Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). 69 RAILROAD TECHNOLOGY AND MANPOWER IN THE 1970’s 70 2. Class I Railroads, methods of financing, by year, 1957-67 [ thousands of dollars] Debt issues 1 Conditional contracts & deferred payments T o ta l.......... 3,463,175 1957........................ 1958........................ 1959........................ 1960........................ 1961........................ Stock issued Corporate equipment obligations (par value) Year Total debt plus stock Other Total 2,553,008 1,693,253 7,709,436 771,985 8,481,421 279,938 113,884 138,451 150,807 107,705 359,501 175,180 170,505 180,193 118,215 61,207 225,014 176,583 241,824 191,069 700,646 514,078 485,539 572,824 416,989 14,912 30,393 144,544 60,765 145,783 715,558 544,471 630,083 633,589 562,772 1962........................ 1963........................ 1964........................ 1965........................ 1966........................ 178,896 211,022 435,302 545,079 798,286 135,980 240,900 318,976 258,345 341,968 60,377 183,506 184,598 218,227 50,457 375,253 635,428 938,876 1,021,651 1,190,711 10,923 40,884 78,389 79,656 44,319 386,176 676,312 1,017,265 1,101,307 1,235,030 1967........................ 503,805 253,245 100,391 857,441 121,417 978,858 1Does not include any new debt issues of those companies in receivership. In 1966, there were none issued by these companies. SOURCE: T ra n sp o r t S t a tis tic s in th e U n ite d S ta te s — , Interstate Commerce Commission, Washington, D.C., tables 146, 146A, 147A. Appendix II Tables 1. Locomotives in Service, by type, 1947-67 Total secondgeneration locomotives 2 (cumulative) Year Total locomotives Diesel Steam Other 1 1947........................................... 1948........................................... 1949........................................... 1950........................................... 41,719 41*851 40*691 40*494 5,772 8,089 10,888 14,047 35,108 32,914 28*964 25,640 839 848 839 807 1951........................................... 1952........................................... 1953............................................ 1954........................................... 1955........................................... 40,036 37,343 35*009 32*872 31*429 17,493 20*492 22*503 23,531 24*786 21,747 16,078 11*787 8,650 5*982 796 773 719 691 661 1956........................................... 1957........................................... 1958........................................... 1959........................................... 1960........................................... 30,433 30*248 29*513 29*493 29*080 26,081 27,186 27,575 28*163 28,278 3,714 2*447 1*350 754 261 638 615 588 576 541 1961........................................... 1962........................................... 1963........................................... 1964........................................... 1965........................................... 28,815 28,639 28,449 28,300 27,816 28,169 28,104 27,945 27,837 27,389 112 51 36 34 29 534 484 468 429 398 288 1,052 1,886 2,957 4,344 1966........................................... 1967........................................... 27,886 27,687 27,481 27,309 25 21 380 357 5,763 6,872 1The “Other” category includes electric and turbine locomotives 2This is a cumulation o f new purchases 1961-67. The tech nology for second-generation diesels was first sold in 1961 and it is assumed here that all new purchases thereafter were of that type. SOURCE: Interstate Commerce Commission as summarized in R a ilr o a d T ra n sp o r ta tio n , AAR, April 1965 for years 1948-53; all other years, F a c t B o o k 1 9 6 9 summary of ICC information, p. 68. 71 72 RAILROAD TECHNOLOGY AND MANPOWER IN THE 1970’s 2. Piggyback freight carloadings o f 1 or more trailers, 1955-69 Year Carloadings 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 168,150 207,783 249,065 278,071 416,508 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 554,115 591,246 706,441 797,474 890,748 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1,034,377 1,162,731 1,207,242 1,337,149 1,344,123 SOURCE: Association of American Railroads. 3. Automatic car identification (ACI) applications 1 Applications Description of Application Commercial 1. Intransit weighing (ore)........................ Scanner system, connected to a weigh-in-motion scale, com putes cargo weight and transmits with car number to shipper and to R R data processing, via teletype. 2. Notice of train arrival, to customer_ _ Scanner transmits car number and time of train passing to com puter center, via teletype. Future: (1) Automatic route-setting (2) Automatic payroll information (3) Train Announcement. Management central office uses......................... Linkage of Traffic, Operating, and Accounting Departments through use of car initial and number. Inform ation access re sults in best car type to shipper, movement control across rails, proper charges, and collection. 73 APPENDIX II 3. Automatic car identification (ACI) applications1 Continued — Applications 1. Operational C ontrol............................. 2. Car Accounting Department (Key Punch Section)......................... Description of Application Prevention of missed connections, and advance knowledge ol power needs, train length, tonnage limits. Closing open records on cars and trailers. 3. Car Accounting D epartm ent.............. Automatic audit of per diem and mileage payable and per diem receivable. 4. Car M aintenance................................... Mileage calculation as required for car maintenance scheduling.2 5. Equipment Utilization.......................... Keeps car availability records and locates cars for special cargoes. 6. Improved Customer Service................. Specific cargo information on delays (why-where-how long to shipper or consignee), if there is delay. 7. Car T racer.............................................. Elimination of car tracer form for closing open records on cars and trailers. 1. Hump y ard ............................................. Scanners at yard entrances—check incoming, outgoing cars, provide exact location of inventory; scanners on other side of hump crest (combined with yard switching systems) read labels, align switches for classification, update inventory file; scanner between classification and departure yards—produce waybill list. 2. Car Repair Track A rea........................ Scanners at entrance and exit to car repair area — Automatic inventory of cars in shop, with automatic notification to car user. 3. Locomotive Service A rea................... Scanners at entrance—arrival and departure information, availability, utilization, maintenance, and I.C.C. inspection scheduling. 4. Piggyback Terminals............................. Scanner at each Piggyback Terminal—immediate trailer and container inventory, reduce open records. 5. Point of Interchange............................. Scanner shared by connecting roads—receipt and delivery information exchange, eliminate open car records. Field RAILROAD TECHNOLOGY AND MANPOWER IN THE 1970’s 74 3. Automatic car identification (ACI) applications 1 —Continued Description of Application Applications 6. Interlocking Plant O peration.............. 7. Centralized Traffic Control (CTC) Machine O peration............................... 8. Line-of-Road Car Defect D etectors.. Automatically operate signal interlocker control equipment through scanner reading of routing label. Scanner identification of train priority, length, and tonnage would allow automatic CTC train dispatching from yard, enlarging dispatcher territory. Scanners located adjacent to detectors (hotbox, broken flange, loose wheel, load imbalance, clearance, and dragging) identify defective cars and provide direct radio information to car crews. 1Applications limited to individual roads, pending development and adoption of national identification standards. All applications are experimental unless noted. 2 Applications feasibility based on Chicago Transit Authority Tests. SOURCE: Data Systems Division, Association o f American Railroads, Addresses, Panel Discussion, and Workshop Papers, October 17-19, 1966. Appendix III 1 Alternative productivity forecasting technique . An alternative method of forecasting productivity developed by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, which covers the period to 1980, tends to confirm a con tinued high rate of productivity increase. In this ap proach, productivity increments are obtained as the sum of the gain due to output increases and a gain due to time; the latter includes gains from tech nical change and more efficient labor-capital combinations \ Various transformations of data are used to eliminate shortrun cyclical disturbances which obscure the longrun behavior pattern of pro ductivity with respect to output. The significance of this approach is its use of output as an independent variable affecting productivity. The study was based on quarterly data for the pe riod 1954-66, and thus, this analysis covers periods of both increasing and decreasing output, unlike the productivity estimates which are based on the expe rience of the 1961-67 period. Taking the final fore casting equation from the report, which is shown below, we find a quarterly rate of productivity change cf 1.42 percent with output constant and an elasticity of productivity with respect to output of 0 . 20 . Thus, % A Q /L = 1.42% + .20 (% A Q ) Q = Output (weighted combination freight and passenger traffic). L — Labor. of In using this equation, the temporal variable is eliminated. Thus, with no change in output, the pro ductivity growth rate is 1.42 percent per quarter. If output increases, as is expected in the future, a sec ond element is added to the quarterly growth rate — for each one percent increase in output, an incre ment of .20 percent is added. Thus, if output were to grow by 1 percent per quarter, total productivity gain would be 1.62 percent per quarter. 1 See P r o d u c t i v i t y in th e R a i l r o a d I n d u s tr y , Report 377, U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Mar. 1970. 2. Methodological note on output per man-hour The index of total revenue traffic (R T U ’s) is an output series using different statistical weights to combine passenger traffic with freight traffic. These weights are derived by dividing passenger revenue per mile by freight revenue per mile for 1947-49, 1957-59, and 1963. The corresponding weights for the periods 1947-49 and 1957-59 were 1.88/1.00 and 1.99/1.00 respectively; for 1963 to date, it is 2.43/1.00. Revenue passenger miles, multiplied by the appropriate weight, results in a revenue traffic unit quantity which is added to revenue ton-miles and then converted into an index number. (F or his tory of output per m an-hour since 1939, see appen dix m -3 ,4). 75 RAILROAD TECHNOLOGY AND MANPOWER IN THE 19 70’s 76 3. Railroad transportation-revenue traffic (SIC 401) output per man-hour, unit labor requirements, and related data, all employees, 1939-70 [indexes, 1967 = 100] Output per— Unit labor requirements in terms of— Related data Year Employee Man-hour Employees Man-hours Output Employees Man-hours 1939.............................. 31.4 27.9 318.0 358.4 50.5 160.6 181.0 1947.............................. 1948.............................. 1949.............................. 45.2 44.4 40.9 '38.3 37.6 36.7 221.3 225.3 245.0 261.1 265.7 272.4 99.6 96.1 79.6 220.4 216.5 195.0 260.1 255.3 216.8 1950.............................. 1951.............................. 1952.............................. 1953.............................. 1954.............................. 1955.............................. 1956.............................. 1957.............................. 1958.............................. 1959.............................. 1960.............................. 1961.............................. 1962.............................. 1963.............................. 1964.............................. 1965.............................. 1966.............................. 1967.............................. 1968.............................. 1969.............................. 1970.............................. 43.5 45.7 45.3 45.1 46.3 52.2 54.6 54.8 57.5 61.3 63.5 67.9 73.0 78.2 84.4 92.9 99.6 100.0 105.9 42.0 44.4 44.6 44.8 46.6 51.6 54.0 54.8 57.6 61.2 63.6 68.2 72.6 77.1 82.1 90.8 97.5 100.0 104.4 109.2 109.7 229.6 218.8 220.9 221.7 215.8 191.4 183.2 182.5 173.9 163.1 157.5 147.3 137.1 127.9 118.5 107.7 100.4 100.0 94.4 90.0 89.3 238.3 225.1 224.5 223.3 214.5 194.0 185.1 182.5 173.5 163.4 157.2 146.7 137.7 129.6 121.7 110.1 102.5 100.0 95.8 91.6 91.2 87.1 95.6 91.2 89.4 81.2 91.0 94.1 89.6 80.1 82.9 82.2 80.8 84.7 83.1 92.9 97.8 103.1 100.0 102.5 105.4 104.2 200.0 209.2 201.5 198.2 175.2 174.2 172.4 163.5 139.2 135.2 129.5 119.0 116.1 112.7 110.1 105.3 103.5 100.0 96.8 94.9 93.1 207.6 215.2 204.7 199.6 174.2 176.5 174.2 163.5 139.0 135.5 129.2 118.5 116.6 114.2 113.1 107.7 105.7 100.0 98.2 96.5 95.0 111.1 111.9 77 APPENDIX III 4. Railroad transportation-revenue traffic (SIC 401) output per man-hour, unit labor requirements, and related data, production workers 1939-70 [indexes, 1967= 100] Output per— Unit labor requirements in terms of— Related data Year Production worker Production worker man-hour Production workers Production worker man-hours Output Production workers Production worker man-hours 1939.............................. 30.5 27.2 328.1 367.7 50.5 165.7 185.7 1947.............................. 1948.............................. 1949.............................. 43.2 42.5 39.3 36.7 36.1 35.5 231.5 235.5 254.4 272.8 277.1 281.8 99.6 96.1 79.6 230.6 226.3 202.5 271.7 266.3 224.3 1950.............................. 1951.............................. 1952.............................. 1953.............................. 1954.............................. 1955.............................. 1956.............................. 1957.............................. 1958.............................. 1959.............................. 1960.............................. 1961.............................. 1962.............................. 1963.............................. 1964.............................. 1965.............................. 1966.............................. 1967.............................. 1968.............................. 1969.............................. 1970.............................. 41.9 43.8 43.5 43.4 44.9 50.6 52.9 53.3 56.4 60.2 62.5 67.1 72.2 77.3 83.5 92.3 99.2 100.0 106.0 111.4 112.6 40.4 42.7 43.0 43.3 45.4 50.2 52.7 53.7 57.1 60.6 63.2 68.1 72.4 76.9 81.9 91.0 97.6 100.0 104.4 109.3 109.9 238.9 228.5 229.9 230.5 222.5 197.7 189.1 187.7 177.2 166.0 160.1 149.0 138.5 129.3 119.7 108.4 100.8 100.0 94.3 89.8 88.8 247.3 234.0 232.6 231.0 220.1 199.0 189.6 186.3 175.3 164.9 158.2 146.8 138.1 130.0 122.2 109.9 102.4 100.0 95.8 91.5 91.0 87.1 95.6 91.2 89.4 81.2 91.0 94.1 89.6 80.1 82.9 82.2 80.8 84.7 88.1 92.9 97.8 103.1 100.0 102.5 105.4 104.2 208.1 218.4 209.7 206.1 180.7 179.9 177.9 168.2 141.9 137.6 131.6 120.4 117.3 113.9 111.2 106.0 103.9 100.0 96.7 94.6 92.5 215.4 223.7 212.1 206.5 178.7 181.1 178.4 166.9 140.4 136.7 130.0 118.6 117.0 114.5 113.5 107.5 105.6 100.0 98.2 96.4 94.8 RAILROAD TECHNOLOGY AND MANPOWER IN THE 19 70’s 78 5. Leading railroads Choice of roads The leading railroads were chosen on the basis of a ranking of all of the 76 class I railroads reporting to the Interstate Commerce Commission in 1965. To make the data more manageable for historical analysis, while retaining representative coverage, the 76 railroads were segregated into groups on the basis of m an-hour inputs. Companies having over 20,000,000 man-hours as a labor input were chosen for further analysis. Twenty-two companies fell into this category. Their man-hours comprised 82 per cent of the class I total in 1965. These 22 were then segregated into three geo graphic districts to permit some allowance to be made for the effect of a different traffic mix on out put per man-hour in various parts of the country. The roads were then ranked within geographic dis tricts on the basis of Revenue Traffic Units per all employee man-hour. The most efficient in each dis trict (southern, eastern and western) was then cho sen for further analysis. As a check on the choice of these roads, an addi tional tabulation and ranking of the 22 large companies was made for 1956. In the 1956 ranking, the 1965 leader was also first in one district, was second in another and sixth (of 10) in the third dis trict. Still another criteria was applied by ranking in accordance with the percent of increase in Revenue Traffic Units per man-hour from 1956-65, on the theory that the largest change ratios represented companies with good or vastly improving manage ments. Procedure of study and data adjustment A merger history of the selected companies was used to ensure comparability of beginning and end Revenue Traffic Units per all employee man-hour (referred to hereafter as productivity). The compa nies that were merged into the parent were included in years prior to the merger to avoid incorrect com parisons of man-hours and output. The revenue passenger miles and revenue tonmiles were combined with the same weights as are used in the Bureau’s regular work with the industry. Linking procedures were also the same as the regu lar method. The data were tabulated for years 1956-66 and a weighted average was obtained for the leading rail roads. The procedure was aggregation of all man hours and of all Revenue Traffic Units with subsequent division of the latter by the man-hours. Source of data Revenue ton-miles and revenue passenger-miles are published in the Interstate Commerce Commis sion’s T ran sport S ta tistics in the U n ited S ta tes for 1956; later data appears in the ICC’s “A bstract of Individual class I roads.” The source of the m an-hour data is the individual road report on file with the Interstate Commerce Commission, “Monthly R eport of Employees, Serv ice and Compensation” (4th quarter for annual). The man-hours were compiled as follows: From Service Hours under Division V ia, column 4, “Time worked and paid for a straight time rates;” plus col umn 5, “Overtime paid for at punitive rates;” plus Division VIb total transportation (train and engine) column 4, “Straight time actually worked;” plus col umn 6, “Overtime paid for;” plus column 7, “Con structive allowances.” Thus, for each railroad, five individual man-hour figures were picked up to yield the total man-hours for the railroad. 79 APPENDIX III 6. Revenue traffic units (RTU’s) per man-hour for railroads and industry, 1965 Year Railroad “A”, southern district Railroad “B”, eastern district Railroad “C”, western district “Best” railroad average Average for industry Industry average as percent of “Best” railroad average 1956............ 1957............ 1958............ 1959............ 1960............ 1961............ 1962............ 1963............ 1964............ 1965............ 1966............ 435.1 452.4 457.3 494.4 510.5 556.2 583.9 625.3 659.6 686.0 722.1 324.6 321.3 356.4 367.3 374.7 392.4 435.8 480.3 522.7 578.7 588.2 325.4 343.9 362.2 399.0 418.7 470.0 521.8 575.1 630.1 694.6 733.1 369.4 380.3 399.3 426.0 439.4 476.9 518.1 562.2 606.6 652.6 680.8 314.9 320.3 336.1 357.3 372.3 398.2 423.5 450.1 478.6 526.0 563.3 85.2 84.2 84.2 83.9 84.7 83.5 81.7 80.1 78.9 80.6 82.7 SOURCE: Bureau of Labor Statistics and Interstate Commerce Commission. 7. Road and equipm ent, constant dollar value series1 The value of road and equipment in 1948 (the base year for the series) was obtained from the ICC as of January 1, 1949. The 1948 current dollar figure was adjusted, using the railroad construction index published by the ICC which was rebased to make the year 1958 equal 100. The method used was to divide the current dollar value (before depre ciation) by the index to arrive at an approxim ation of the 1948 value of the road and equipment. After 1948, each year’s road and equipment value was obtained by adjusting current dollar gross capital ex penditures as published by the Office of Business Economics (O B E ) by using the ICC index, depre ciating that figure and then adding it to the preced ing year’s base stock which was also depreciated. Two depreciation ratios were used to obtain the final figures for each year. First, to obtain the new base stock, a ratio of .9753 was used as the depre ciation factor for that year. This ratio was obtained by assuming a 40-year life for the capital. Forty years is obviously a compromise figure, since part of the total value of the capital is that derived from land which is more likely to increase in value than decrease over time. On the other hand, an average of about 55 percent of the capital expenditures are for car purchases; these cars are very long-lived, but nevertheless, subject to economic deterioration. Other major expenditure categories are likewise long-lived, yet this equipment, too, wears out. D ata for the industry from the Internal Revenue Service indicate that over the period 1954-64, the ratio of depreciation taken to the preceding year’s total de- 1 See unpublished report, Productivity Trends in U.S. Transportation Industries by John W. Kendrick, prepared for U.S. Department of Transportation (control number C -286-66). Also see Capital in Transportation, Communica tions and Public Utilities: Its Form and Financing, by M. J. Ulmer, Princeton, Princeton University Press, 1960. RAILROAD TECHNOLOGY AND MANPOWER IN THE 1970's 80 preciable assets is consistent with the 40-year esti mated depreciation schedule. A second ratio— .9876— was used to depreciate reported gross capital expenditures before adding 8. them to the previous year end stock. Expenditures are treated as being spaced evenly throughout the year with only half the investment subject to depre ciation on the average. Product and input value in U .S. railroads, 1947-68 Year Gross product originated (millions, constant dollars) Value of inputs 1 (millions, constant dollars) Gross product per unit of in p u t2 1947........................................................................ 1948........................................................................ 1949........................................................................ 10,700 10,500 8,700 3,482 3,324 2,912 3.07 3.16 2.99 1950........................................................................ 1951........................................................................ 1952........................................................................ 1953........................................................................ 1954........................................................................ 9,500 10,600 10,100 9,900 8,900 2,841 2,952 2,827 2,817 2,377 3.34 3.59 3.57 3.51 3.74 1955........................................................................ 1956........................................................................ 1957........................................................................ 1958........................................................................ 1959........................................................................ 9,900 10,000 9,500 8,400 8,900 2,482 2,479 2,399 2,065 2,122 3.99 4.03 3.96 4.07 4.19 1960........................................................................ 1961........................................................................ 1962........................................................................ 1963........................................................................ 1964........................................................................ 8,700 8,700 9,200 9,700 10,200 2,058 1,976 2,067 2,090 2,151 4.23 4.40 4.45 4.64 4.74 1965........................................................................ 1966........................................................................ 1967........................................................................ 1968 3..................................................................... 11,000 11,700 11,200 11,300 2,170 2,160 2,068 2,119 5.02 5.42 5.42 5.33 1These inputs include fuel, rail, ties, and other materials and supplies required to carry on day-to-day business operations. 2This series will have a slight upward bias since it is based on Gross Product originated by all railroads while the input data are available only for class I railroads. 3 Preliminary. SOURCE: Office of Business Economics, U.S. Department of Commerce and the Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Depart ment of Labor. APPENDIX III 81 9. Methodological note on derivation of total fuel requirements and efficiency The first requirement in assessing the efficiency of fuel use in the industry is to convert the several dif ferent kinds of fuel into comparable units. This was accomplished by coverting fuel from conventional units of measure into British Thermal Units (BTU’s). Table 72 of the Interstate Commerce Commission’s, T r a n s p o r t S ta tistic s, lists the basic fuels used, by type* and amount. Anthracite and bi tuminous coal are shown as separate fuels. The bi tuminous figure includes other fuels, used in small quantities, but whose unit measure is “ton.” Fuel oil (kerosene), diesel oil, and gasoline are shown as separate entities. “Fuel oil” includes other fuels, not otherwise shown, measured in gallon units. Each of these latter four fuels are shown in ICC’s table 72 with gallons as the unit of measure. All liquid meas ures were converted to barrels, using a conversion factor of 42 gallons per barrel, since BTU equiva lents were for barrel units. This base data was tabu lated for the years 1948 and 1954 through 1966. BTU conversion factors, for gasoline, fuel oil, diesel and coal, as shown in the following table, were ob tained from the U.S. Department of Interior’s Bu reau of Mines, and for wood and electricity from P e tr o le u m F a c ts a n d F ig u re s, by the American Pe troleum Institute. B ase F u el U n it o f m easu re B T U c o n v e r s io n f a c to r s (In th o u s a n d s ) 1948 Bituminous c o a l ____ Ton Anthracite c o a l_____ Ton Fuel o i l ____________Barrel Diesel o i l __________ Barrel Gasoline ---------------- Barrel W o o d ______________ Cord E le ctr icity _________ KWH 1954-66 26,200 25,400 6,287 5,825 5,218 40,000 3 26,200 25,400 6,287 5,825 5,248 40,000 3 In order to arrive at the end product which would be shown in billions of BTU’s, the base data were multiplied by the appropriate conversion factor. The BTU’s for the seven base fuels were totaled for each given year and an index was constructed using the 1957-59 average as a base. The number of gross ton-miles of freight and pas senger cars and contents was taken from the AAR’s R a ilr o a d T ra n sp o rta tio n , A S ta tistic a l R e c o r d , for the years 1948 and 1954 through 1963, and was taken from the Interstate Commerce Commission’s T ra n sp o rt S ta tistic s, table 162, for 1964 through 1966. An index of gross ton-miles of class I LineHaul Railways was then developed, using the 1957-59 average as the base. To arrive at the fuel consumed by class I Line-Haul Railways per gross ton-mile, the BTU index was divided by the gross ton-mile index (appendix III-10). RAILROAD TECHNOLOGY AND MANPOWER IN THE 1970’s 82 10. Fuel consumed by Class I line-haul railways per gross ton-mile1, selected years, 1948-66 Year Fuel index of BTU’s used (1957-59 = 100) Index gross ton-miles (1957-59 = 100) Fuel per gross ton-miles (1957-59 = 100) 1948... 536.8 116.3 461.6 1954... 1955... 152.4 150.3 100.7 108.5 151.3 138.5 1956... 1957... 1958... 1959... I960... 136.3 115.4 92.9 91.8 90.7 110.3 105.7 95.8 98.4 97.2 123.6 109.2 97.0 93.3 93.3 1961... 1962... 1963... 1964... 1965... 88.0 90.7 92.3 93.9 96.6 94.9 97.9 100.4 104.0 107.0 92.7 92.6 91.9 90.3 90.3 1966... 100.0 111.6 90.4 1Freight and passenger, cars and contents. SOURCE: Interstate Commerce Commission and Bureau of Labor Statistics. Appendix IV tables 1. Concentrations of railroad employment, 23 leading SM SA’s, March 1957 and March 1967 Employment 1 (thousand) City and State March 1957 March 1967 Chicago, Illinois............................................................................................... New York City, New Y ork............................................................................ St. Louis, Missouri-Illinois............................................................................. Philadelphia, Pennsylvania-New Jersey........................................................ Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania................................................................................. Los Angeles-L.B., California.......................................................................... Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minnesota................................................................... San Francisco-Oakland, California............................................................... Kansas City, Missouri-Kansas....................................................................... Cleveland, Ohio................................................................................................ Baltimore, M aryland....................................................................................... Detroit, Michigan............................................................................................. Buffalo, New Y ork........................................................................................... Omaha, Nebraska-Iowa.................................................................................. Cincinnati, Ohio, Kentucky............................................................................ Jersey City, New Jersey (Newark).................................................................. Houston, Texas................................................................................................. Louisville, Kentucky-Indiana......................................................................... Portland, Oregon-Washington....................................................................... Sacramento, California..............................................................................•... Washington, D.C., Maryland, Virginia......................................................... Jacksonville, Florida........................................................................................ Boston, Massachusetts..................................................................................... 63.4 28.7 21.5 23.3 23.8 16.8 17.6 17.3 13.7 13.3 13.7 11.0 12.2 10.4 10.3 18.3 7.9 8.6 7.8 5.4 5.6 5.4 5.4 48.6 19.9 15.7 15.2 13.9 13.8 12.2 11.5 10.8 9.8 8.6 9.4 8.0 7.9 6.7 6.6 6.3 6.3 5.7 5.7 8.0 3.2 10.1 Total Employment, 23 Leading SMSA’s ........................................... Total Railroad Employment, United States...................................... Total, 23 Leading SMSA’s as a Percent of all Railroad Employ ment ................................................................................................... 366.4 1,121.0 259.0 698.0 32.7 37.1 1While data are generally comparable for 1957 and 1967, some counties have been added or removed from SMSA’s in the interim. Where comparisons were made, differences were less than one percent. SOURCE: From unpublished Bureau o f Labor Statistics data for SMSA’s; total railroad employment, 1957, 1967, Office o f Business Economics. NOTE: Total railroad employment 1957-1967 percent change: —37.7 SMSA railroad employment 1957-1967 percent change: —29.3 83 RAILROAD TECHNOLOGY AND MANPOWER IN THE 1970’s 84 2. Changes in composition of SM SA’s, March 1957 and 1967 Chicago, Illinois.................................. St. Louis, Missouri-Illinois............... Los Angeles-Long Beach................... Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minnesota__ San Francisco-Oakland, California.. Kansas City, Missouri-Kansas......... Cleveland, Ohio.................................. Baltimore, Maryland.......................... Cincinnati, Ohio, Kentucky, Indiana Houston, Texas........... Sacramento, California Washington, D.C., Maryland, Virginia Boston, Massachusetts........................... McHenry County, added Lake County, deleted Jefferson County,-added 12/58 Franklin County, added 10/63 Orange County, deleted 10/63 Washington County, added 12/58 Solano County, deleted 10/63 Cass and Platte Counties, added 10/63 Geauga and Median Counties, added 10/63 Carroll and Howard Counties, added 6/59 Harford County, added 3/67 Clermont and Warren Counties, Ohio, and Boone County, Kentucky, and Dearborn County, Indiana, added 10/63 Brazoria, Ft. Bend, Leberty, and Montgomery Coun ties, added 3/65 Placer and Yolo Counties, added 10/63 Loudoun and Prince William Counties, Virginia, added 3/67 Some towns were added in 6/59 and in 10/63. Break out of railroad data not available by towns. Appendix V 1. Railroad unions A. BLE UTU Brotherhood of Locomotive Engineers (Independent) United Transportation Union B. RASA TDA BBF BMWE BRASC 1 2 BRC BRS SCP HREU2 IAM IBEW IBFO RYA SMW TWU 2 DIST 50 UTSE USA GLLO HREU ILA IUOE MMP MEBA NMU RMU SIU TWU DIST 50 The nonoperating unions American Railway and Airline Supervisors Association American Train Dispatchers Association International Brotherhood of Boilermakers, Iron Shipbuilders, Blacksmiths, Forgers and Helpers Brotherhood of Maintenance of Way Employees Brotherhood of Railway, Airline and Steamship Clerks, Freight Handlers, Express and Station Employees Brotherhood of Railways Carmen of America Brotherhood of Railroad Signalmen Brotherhood of Sleeping-Car Porters Hotel and Restaurant Employees and Bartenders International Union International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers International Brotherhood of Firemen and Oilers Railroad Yardmasters of America Sheet Metal Workers’ International Association Transport Workers Union of America, Railroad Division International Union of District 50, Allied and Technical Workers of the United States and Canada (Independent) United Transport Service Employees United Steel Workers of America C. BRASC The operating brotherhoods Marine unions in railroading Brotherhood of Railway, Airline and Steamship Clerks, Freight Handlers, Express and Station Employees Great Lakes Licensed Officers Organization (Independent) Hotel and Restaurant Employees and Bartenders International Union International Longshoremen’s Association International Union of Operating Engineers International Organization of Masters, Mates, and Pilots National Marine Engineers Beneficial Association National Maritime Union of America Railroad Marine Union Seafarers International Union of North America Transport Workers Union of America International Union of District 50, Allied and Technical Workers of the United Sates and Canada (Independent) 1 All unions listed are AFL-GIO, unless otherwise designated. Also appears in Marine Union List. SOURCE: 34th Annual Report of the National Mediation Board (Washington, Government Printing Office, 1968) pp. 88-89. 2 85 Bibliography I. Federal Government Publications A. U. S. Interstate Commerce Commission— A Five Year Market Forecast for Commuter Railroad Cars, (Statement No. 5227), June 1952. Accident Bulletin, No. 123, Bureau of Transport Economics and Statistics, 1955, 95 pages. Florida East Coast Railway Company Vs. United States of America and Interstate Commerce Com mission, U. S. District Government for the Middle District of Florida, Jacksonville Division, (Civil Action No. 64— CIV-J), July 1964, U. S. GPO: 1964, 207 pages. 64— Freight Commodity Statistics, class 1 railroads in the United States, 1968. Report—Section of Railroad Safety, Bureau of Railroad Safety and Service, 1966, 37 pages. B. Other Federal Government Publications— Annual Report, Railroad Retirement Board, 1949, 1967, 1968. Bowden, Witt, Productivity, Hours and Compensation of Railroad Labor, Monthly Labor Review: Part I, All Employees Vol. 37, No. 6, December 1933, pages 1275-1289; Part II, Classes other than Transportation Employees Vol. 38, No. 1, January 1934, Pages 43-72; Part III, Transportation Employees Vol. 38, No. 2, February 1934, pages 269-288. Census of Transportation, 1963, U. S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, pages 25-45. Congressional Record, First report on High Speed Ground Transportation Act of 1965, October 3, 1966, Volume 112, No. 167. Feasibility and Cost of Expanded Intercity Air Service in the Washington-Boston Corridor, U. S. Department of Commerce Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technical Information, Docu ment No. P.B. 166-883, 1964. Indexes of Output Per Man-Hour, Selected Industries, 1939 and 1947-70, U. S. Department of Labor, BLS, 1967, (Bulletin No. 1692). Job Patterns for Minorities and Women in Private Industry, 1966, Equal Opportunity Report No. 1, Part II, U. S. Equal Opportunity Commission, Washington, D.C., 1968. National Transportation Policy, U. S. Congress, Senate, Committee of Interstate and Foreign Com merce, 1961. Railroad Shopcraft Factfinding Study, Labor-Management Services Administration, September 1968, 175 pages. Railroad Shopcraft Factfinding Study, Labor-Management Services Administration, appendix Vol ume, September 1968, 211 pages. Science and Technology in the Railroad Industry, National Academy of Science—National Research Council, August 1963, 130 pages. Showing the Implication and the Significance of Automation in Major Switching Yards of the Rail road Industry, Testimony of S. R. Hirsh, Chief Engineer, before the congressional subcommittee on economic stabilization, October 27, 1955. Studies Relating to Railroad Operating Employees, Appendix Volume III to the Report of Presiden tial Commission, pages 136-171, February 1962. The 1963 Railroad Arbitration Act, Monthly Labor Review, Vol. 86, No. 10, pages 1187-1188, October 1963. 87 RAILROAD TECHNOLOGY AND MANPOWER IN THE 1970’s 88 II. Books and Reports American Railway Car Institute Market Forecasting Commitee, Projection of Freight Car Demand Through 1975, April 1967. Banner, Paul H., Predicting Transportation Demand, Papers of the Seventh Annual Meeting of the Trans portation Research Forum, Transportation Research Forum, December 1966, pages 107— 113. Barger, Harold, The Transportation Industries, 1889-1946, A Study of Output, Employment and Productivity, National Bureau of Economic Research, New York, 1951. Beisher, G. M., Automation— A Key to Railroad Progress, “Addresses, Panel Discussion and Workshop Papers,” Data Systems Division Association of American Railroads, Washington, D. C., October 17-19, 1966, pages 105-106. Bureau of Railway Economics, Yearbook of Railroad Facts, Association of American Railroads, Wash ington, D.C.* Edition-1967, 1968, 1969. Car and Locomotive Cyclopedia, Simmons-Boardman, New York, 1966, Volume I. Cottrell, Fred, Technological Change and Labor in the Railroad Industry, Heath Lexington Books, Lex ington, Massachusetts, 159 pages, 1970. Coyne, R., “Computerization of American Railways,” Paper presented before Railway Systems and Management Association, Chicago, Illinois, 1964. Crecine, John P.; Moss, Leon H.; and Stucker, James, The Census of Transportation; an Evaluation, Paper presented at the Transportation Research Forum, 1966, Richard B. Cross Company, Oxford, Indiana, pages 87-105. General Railway Signal Company, Centralized Traffic Control, Bulletin 169, Rochester, New York, March 1938. Hallmann, E. H., Statement with Regard to Job Content of Trainmen and the Effects Thereon of Tech nological and Operational Changes, Testimony presented before the Presidential Railroad Commission, Washington, 122 pages, 1961. Hultgren, Thor, American Transportation in Prosperity and Depression, National Bureau of Economic Research, Waverly Press, Baltimore, Maryland, 1948. Mansfield, Edwin, Industrial Research and Technological Innovation; an Econometric Analysis, W. W. Norton, New York, 1968. Mansfield, Edwin, The Economics of Technological Change, W. W. Norton, New York, 1968. Owen, Wilfred, The Metropolitan Transportation Problem, Brookings Institution, Washington, 1966, 266 pages. Pell, Hon. Claiborne, Megalopolis Unbound: The Super City and the Transportation of Tomorrow, Frederick A. Praeger, Inc., New York, New York, 166, 223 pages. Selected Impacts of Railroad Mergers, prepared for U. S. Department of Commerce by Stanford Research Institute, SRI Project No. 11— 4895, Menlo Park, California, May 1964. “Survey of Computers and Computer Usage,” McGraw-Hill, April 9, 1965. Transportation Economics; A Conference of the Universities— National Bureau Committee for Economic Research, National Bureau of Economic Research, New York, 1965. Ulmer, Melville J., Capital in Transportation, Communications, and Public Utilities: its form and financ ing, Princeton, Princeton University Press, 1960. Ward, Edward J., Potential New Technologies, Paper presented at the Transportation Reseach Forum, Richard B. Cross Company, Oxford, Indiana, pages 325-333, 1966. Wilbur Smith and Associates, Highway Travel in Megalopolis, New York, 1963, 186 pages. BIBLIOGRAPHY III. 89 Periodicals A. Control Engineering— Aronson, R. L., “Clear Track for On-Line Railroad Controls,” June 1965, pages 95-96. “Four Views of Train Control; San Francisco Tries Them All,” December 1964, Volume II, pages 62-68. B. Fortune— “Freight Cars That Pack a Competitive Wallop,” July 1965, pages 132-137. “The 400-M.P.H. Passenger Train,” April 1965, pages 124-129. “The Rail Route to a More Mobile America,” July 1, 1966, pages 107— 109. C. M odern Railroads— Ford, Nancy, “The Great Merger Maze,” October 1966, Volume 12 Number 10, pages 72-82. “Intro,” November 1967, pages 50, 60, 62. Roberts, Robert, “Pennsy Metroliners Readied for Corridor,” November 1967, pages 64-65. Shedd, Tom, “Where Do Railroads Stand on EEO?” February 1969, pages 40-42, 44-45. “Tops: Real-Time Control Over 14,000 Miles,” December 1969. pages 47-50. D. Railway Age— “ACL Sets Up a New Office Operation to Take a Letter,” December 5, 1966, pages 42— 43. Barnette, Frank, “What it Takes to be a Growth Industry,” August 18, 1969, pages 14— 25. 16, Interview with Thomas Goodfellow, President, AAR, “A New Research Effort for the Railroads,” March 31, 1969, pages 30-32, 81-82. “Microwave: There’s Dramatic Growth Ahead,” Robert McKnight, May 23, 1966, pages 18-19. “Railroads Cite Shortage of Signal Personnel,” August 15, 1966, page 59. “Railroads must Rethink Their Basic Goals,” February IQ, 1969, pages 14 ff. “Remote Control Saves Money,” January 12, 1959, pages 16, 21. “Six Axle Designs Popular as New AC-DC Diesels Reach the Roads,” October 17, 1966, pages 24— 26. E. Railway Signaling and Communications— “Automatic Car Identification,” (Special Report Part I) April 1968, pages 20, 21, 32, 34. “Automatic Car Identification,” (Special Report Part II) May 1968, pages 13-23. “By 1980 Railroads will have Total Information Controls,” October 1967, pages 23-26. “Hotbox Detectors Cut Out Journal Losses on B & O,” August 1966, pages 13-15. Kellar, W. M., Vice-President Research Association of American Railroads, interview in November 1965, conducted by Railway Age, November 1965. “Railroads Keep Computers Busy,” September 1968, pages 21-32. “Railroad Microwave has Big Future,” June 1966, page 16. “Railway Cybernetics: Train project gets underway,” March 1969, pages 17-25. “Railway Cybernetics: ACI gets DSD Attention,” October 1969, pages 30, 35, 37. 90 RAILROAD TECHNOLOGY AND MANPOWER IN THE 1970's F. The Signalman’s Journal— “Application of Digital Computers to Solve Traffic Control Problems,” J^nuary-February 1967, pages 18-19. “C&NW Maintenance Crew in Step with 20th Century Signal Technology,” April 1965, pages 87-90. “I.C.C. Decides Fate of Rule Revisions,” March 1966, pages 63-71. G. Traffic World— “Northern Lines, Say they Can Save $39.7 Million Annually by Merging,” March 11, 1967, pages 70-71. “Rails Build Piggyback Facilities,” June 24, 1967, page 46. H. O ther Periodicals— “A High-Speed Bid for Business,” Business Week, February 4, 1967, pages 126-128. “Erie Enlarges Croxton Piggyback Yard in Jersey City,” Via Port of New York, July 1969, page 13. Evans, R. K., “Computers: How do These Machines Relate to Railroading,” Trains, September 1967, pages 42-48. “Railroads on the Automation Track,” Electronics, January 9, 1967, pages 168-170. “Rundown on Automation,” Trains, March 1961, page 22. “Personnel Policies in the Railroad Industry,” Higdon C. Roberts, Jr. Personnel Journal, August 1971, pages 630-36. * U. S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING O F FIC E : 1972 O - 484-791 (93) Order Form Enclosed find $ (check, money order, or Superintendent of Documents copies of The Handbook of Labor Statistics, 1971, coupons). Please send me BLS Bulletin 1705, at $3.25 a copy S/N 2901-0641 Please charge this order to my Deposit Account No____________________ Name Street address City and State - . 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