Full text of Productivity and Costs : Third Quarter 2023, Revised
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USDL 23-2529 Transmission of material in this release is embargoed until 8:30 a.m. (ET) Wednesday, December 6, 2023 Technical information: (202) 691-5606 • Productivity@bls.gov • www.bls.gov/productivity Media contact: (202) 691-5902 • PressOffice@bls.gov PRODUCTIVITY AND COSTS Third Quarter 2023, Revised Nonfarm business sector labor productivity increased 5.2 percent in the third quarter of 2023, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, as output increased 6.1 percent and hours worked increased 0.9 percent. (All quarterly percent changes in this release are seasonally adjusted annual rates.) The increase in labor productivity is the highest rate since the third quarter of 2020, when productivity increased 5.7 percent. From the same quarter a year ago, nonfarm business sector labor productivity increased 2.4 percent. (See chart 1 and table A1.) Chart 1. Labor productivity, nonfarm business, 2019Q1 – 2023Q3 22.0 20.0 18.0 16.0 14.0 12.0 10.0 8.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 -2.0 -4.0 -6.0 -8.0 -10.0 -12.0 -14.0 Percent change 2019 2020 2021 2022 From previous quarter, annual rate From same quarter a year ago 2023 Chart 2. Unit labor costs, nonfarm business, 2019Q1 – 2023Q3 22.0 20.0 18.0 16.0 14.0 12.0 10.0 8.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 -2.0 -4.0 -6.0 -8.0 -10.0 -12.0 -14.0 Percent change 2019 2020 2021 2022 From previous quarter, annual rate From same quarter a year ago 2023 Unit labor costs in the nonfarm business sector decreased 1.2 percent in the third quarter of 2023, reflecting a 3.9-percent increase in hourly compensation and a 5.2-percent increase in productivity. Unit labor costs increased 1.6 percent over the last four quarters. (See chart 2 and tables A1 and 2.) BLS calculates unit labor costs as the ratio of hourly compensation to labor productivity. Increases in hourly compensation tend to increase unit labor costs and increases in productivity tend to reduce them. Real hourly compensation, which takes into account consumer prices, increased 0.3 percent in the third quarter of 2023, and increased 0.4 percent over the last four quarters. Labor productivity, or output per hour, is calculated by dividing an index of real output by an index of hours worked by all workers, including employees, proprietors, and unpaid family workers. During the current business cycle, starting in the fourth quarter of 2019, labor productivity has grown at an annual rate of 1.5 percent, as output grew at a 2.2-percent per year rate, outpacing hours worked, which grew at a 0.7-percent annual rate. (See chart 3.) The 1.5-percent annual rate of productivity growth in the current business cycle thus far is the same rate as the previous business cycle from the fourth quarter of 2007 through fourth-quarter 2019, and is below the long-term rate since the first quarter of 1947 (2.1 percent). Chart 3. Labor Productivity, Output, and Hours Worked index series, nonfarm business, 2019 Q4 – 2023 Q3 110 Index (2019 Q4=100) 108 106 104 102 100 98 96 94 92 90 88 86 84 2019 Q4 2020 Q2 2020 Q4 2021 Q2 2022 Q2 2021 Q4 Output Labor Productivity Hours Worked 2022 Q4 2023 Q2 Manufacturing sector labor productivity declined 0.8 percent in the third quarter of 2023, as output decreased 0.3 percent and hours worked increased 0.5 percent. In the durable manufacturing sector, productivity decreased 1.8 percent, reflecting a 1.6-percent increase in output and a 3.4-percent increase in hours worked. Nondurable manufacturing sector productivity increased 2.3 percent, as output decreased 2.1 percent and hours worked decreased 4.2 percent. Total manufacturing sector productivity decreased 0.7 percent from the same quarter a year ago. (See tables A1, 3, 4, and 5.) Unit labor costs in the total manufacturing sector increased 6.2 percent in the third quarter of 2023, reflecting a 5.4-percent increase in hourly compensation and a 0.8-percent decrease in productivity. Manufacturing unit labor costs increased 5.2 percent from the same quarter a year ago. (See tables A1 and 3.) -2- Chart 4. Labor Productivity, Output, and Hours Worked index series, manufacturing, 2019 Q4 – 2023 Q3 106 Index (2019 Q4=100) 104 102 100 98 96 94 92 90 88 86 84 2019 Q4 2020 Q2 2020 Q4 2021 Q2 2022 Q2 2021 Q4 Output Hours Worked Labor Productivity 2022 Q4 2023 Q2 Manufacturing sector labor productivity has increased at an annual rate of 0.1 percent during the current business cycle, which began in the fourth quarter of 2019. This rate reflects output and hours worked growing at annual rates of 0.2 percent and 0.1 percent, respectively. (See chart 4.) This slow productivity growth rate follows the 0.0-percent annual rate of growth during the last business cycle that spanned the fourth quarter of 2007 through fourth-quarter 2019, and is below the long-term rate since the first quarter of 1987 of 2.1 percent. The concepts, sources, and methods used for the manufacturing output series differ from those used in the business and nonfarm business output series; these output measures are not directly comparable. See the Technical Notes for a more detailed explanation. (See page 8.) Preliminary third-quarter 2023 measures were announced today for the nonfinancial corporate sector. (See table A2.) Productivity increased 2.2 percent in the third quarter of 2023 as output and hours worked increased 3.1 percent and 0.8 percent, respectively. Productivity increased 1.2 percent in the nonfinancial corporate sector over the last four quarters. Unit profits of nonfinancial corporations increased 11.1 percent in the third quarter of 2023 and decreased 1.7 percent over the last four quarters. (See table 6.) Revised measures Measures released today are based on more recent source data than were available for the preliminary report. Regular updates of source data from the BLS, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), and the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System are reflected in data for the second and third quarters of 2023. Measures of output for the manufacturing sectors incorporate revised annual benchmark data from 1987 to 2021 released November 21 by BLS. The most notable revisions to manufacturing output from the incorporation of these data occurred with several upward revisions in 2018 and 2019 of between 0.1 and 0.3 percentage point and several downward revisions in 2020 and 2021 of between 0.1 and 0.3 percentage point. -3- Table B1 presents revised and previously published productivity and related measures for the nonfarm business, business, and manufacturing sectors for the third quarter of 2023. In the third quarter of 2023, nonfarm business sector labor productivity increased 5.2 percent rather than the preliminary estimate of a 4.7-percent increase, reflecting a 0.2-percentage point upward revision to output and a 0.2-percentage point downward revision to hours worked. Unit labor costs were revised down 0.4 percentage point, reflecting a 0.5-percentage point upward revision to labor productivity; hourly compensation was not revised. In the manufacturing sector, productivity decreased 0.8 percent rather than decreasing 0.7 percent as previously reported, reflecting a 0.2-percentage point downward revision to output and a 0.2-percentage point downward revision to hours worked. Durable manufacturing productivity decreased 1.8 percent rather than decreasing 1.4 percent as previously reported, and nondurable manufacturing productivity was revised up to an increase of 2.3 percent from the previously-reported increase of 2.1 percent. Total manufacturing unit labor costs were revised down 0.8 percentage point to an increase of 6.2 percent, the combined effect of a 0.8-percentage point downward revision to hourly compensation and a 0.1percentage point downward revision to productivity. Table B2 shows revised and previously published productivity and related measures for the nonfarm business, business, manufacturing, and nonfinancial corporate sectors for the second quarter of 2023. In the second quarter of 2023, labor productivity, output, and hours worked were unrevised for the nonfarm business sector. Unit labor costs increased 2.6 percent, rather than increasing 3.2 percent as previously reported, due to a 0.7-percentage point downward revision to hourly compensation. In the manufacturing sector, productivity was revised up 0.2 percentage point to an increase of 3.3 percent. Unit labor costs were revised down to an increase of 4.7 percent from the previously-reported increase of 6.3 percent. This revision is mainly due to a 1.6-percentage point downward revision to hourly compensation. In the nonfinancial corporate sector, productivity increased 2.2 percent rather than increasing 2.1 percent as previously reported. Unit labor costs were not revised. Quarterly and annual data for all sectors for recent years appear in tables 1-6. Full historical annual and quarterly measures can be found at www.bls.gov/productivity/tables/. ______________ The preliminary Productivity and Costs news release for fourth-quarter and annual averages 2023 is scheduled to be released on Thursday, February 1, 2024, at 8:30 a.m. (ET). Calendar year 2024 release dates for Productivity and Costs news releases are now available at www.bls.gov/schedule/news_release/prod2.htm. -4- Upcoming Method Change Beginning with the Productivity and Costs news release scheduled for March 7, 2024, estimates of hours worked by self-employed workers and unpaid family workers will reflect a method change to reduce volatility of the estimates. Self-employed and unpaid family workers accounted for 7.4 percent of hours worked in the nonfarm business sector in 2022. The method change will remove statistically insignificant variability during seasonal adjustment of the Current Population Survey (CPS) source data. In addition, volatility associated with respondent turnover will be reduced by adjusting respondent weights. These two adjustments by the BLS productivity program will dampen noise in the series without losing important information about cyclical changes in hours worked by self-employed and unpaid family workers. A more detailed discussion of the upcoming changes is forthcoming in the Monthly Labor Review in December 2023. -5- Table A1. Labor productivity growth and related measures - revised third-quarter 2023 (percent change from previous quarter at annual rate and from same quarter a year ago) Sector Percent change from: Nonfarm business Previous quarter A year ago Labor productivity 5.2 2.4 Output 6.1 3.2 Hours worked 0.9 0.8 Hourly compensation 3.9 4.0 Real hourly compensation 0.3 0.4 Unit labor costs -1.2 1.6 Business Previous quarter A year ago 5.2 2.5 6.0 3.2 0.8 0.7 4.0 4.0 0.4 0.5 -1.2 1.5 Manufacturing Previous quarter A year ago -0.8 -0.7 -0.3 -0.8 0.5 -0.1 5.4 4.4 1.8 0.9 6.2 5.2 Durable manufacturing Previous quarter A year ago -1.8 -0.8 1.6 0.2 3.4 1.0 3.4 3.8 -0.2 0.2 5.3 4.6 Nondurable manufacturing Previous quarter A year ago 2.3 0.2 -2.1 -1.9 -4.2 -2.1 8.8 5.5 5.0 1.9 6.4 5.3 Table A2. Labor productivity growth and related measures - preliminary third-quarter 2023 (percent change from previous quarter at annual rate and from same quarter a year ago) Sector Nonfinancial corporate Percent change from: Previous quarter A year ago Labor productivity 2.2 1.2 Output 3.1 2.1 Hours worked 0.8 0.9 Hourly compensation 3.9 4.5 Real hourly compensation 0.3 0.9 Unit labor costs 1.7 3.3 Table B1. Labor productivity growth and related measures - revised and previously published third-quarter 2023 (percent change from previous quarter at annual rate) Sector Nonfarm business Labor productivity Revised 5.2 Previously published 4.7 Output 6.1 5.9 Hours worked 0.9 1.1 Hourly compensation 3.9 3.9 Real hourly compensation 0.3 0.3 Unit labor costs -1.2 -0.8 Business Revised Previously published 5.2 4.7 6.0 5.7 0.8 1.0 4.0 4.0 0.4 0.4 -1.2 -0.7 Manufacturing Revised Previously published -0.8 -0.7 -0.3 -0.1 0.5 0.7 5.4 6.2 1.8 2.5 6.2 7.0 Durable manufacturing Revised Previously published -1.8 -1.4 1.6 2.3 3.4 3.8 3.4 4.2 -0.2 0.6 5.3 5.7 Nondurable manufacturing Revised Previously published 2.3 2.1 -2.1 -2.4 -4.2 -4.4 8.8 9.4 5.0 5.6 6.4 7.1 -6- Table B2. Labor productivity growth and related measures - revised and previously published second-quarter 2023 (percent change from previous quarter at annual rate) Sector Nonfarm business Labor productivity Revised 3.6 Previously published 3.6 Output 2.0 2.0 Hours worked -1.5 -1.5 Hourly compensation 6.2 6.9 Real hourly compensation 3.4 4.1 Unit labor costs 2.6 3.2 Business Revised Previously published 3.4 3.4 2.0 2.0 -1.4 -1.4 5.8 6.5 3.1 3.7 2.4 3.0 Nonfinancial corporate Revised Previously published 2.2 2.1 1.2 1.2 -0.9 -0.9 7.2 7.1 4.4 4.3 4.9 4.9 Manufacturing Revised Previously published 3.3 3.1 1.1 1.0 -2.1 -2.1 8.1 9.7 5.2 6.8 4.7 6.3 Durable manufacturing Revised Previously published 5.2 5.4 4.0 4.2 -1.2 -1.2 7.8 10.2 4.9 7.3 2.4 4.5 Nondurable manufacturing Revised Previously published 2.0 1.5 -1.7 -2.1 -3.6 -3.6 8.4 8.5 5.6 5.7 6.3 6.9 -7- TECHNICAL NOTES Labor Hours Hours worked data for the labor productivity and cost measures include hours worked for all persons working in the sector—wage and salary workers, the self-employed and unpaid family workers. The primary source of hours and employment data is the BLS Current Employment Statistics (CES) program, which provides monthly survey data on the number of jobs held by and hours paid to wage and salary workers in nonfarm establishments, counting a person who is employed by two or more establishments at each place of employment. As of the February 3, 2023 Employment Situation release, the CES program has updated the national nonfarm payroll series to the 2022 North American Industry Classification System (NAICS). The BLS Major Sector Productivity program will be remaining on a NAICS 2017 basis for the time being by converting NAICS 2022 data from CES back to a NAICS 2017 basis using ratios published on the CES website and based on the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW). Hours of paid time off are removed from hours paid using data from the National Compensation Survey (NCS) for 1996 forward and data from the BLS Hours at Work survey, conducted for this purpose, prior to 1990. Between 1990 and 1995, hours of paid time off are removed using a combination of NCS and Hours at Work survey data. Off-the-clock hours are added, yielding hours worked, using data from the Current Population Survey (CPS). Data from the CPS are used to estimate hours worked for farm labor, nonfarm proprietors, and nonfarm unpaid family workers. Using CPS information on employment and hours worked at primary jobs and all other jobs, separately, the BLS productivity measures assign all hours worked to the appropriate industrial sector. Hours for government enterprises are derived from the CPS, the CES, and the National Income and Product Accounts (NIPA) prepared by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) of the Department of Commerce. Detailed hours data are presented in the table “Hours Worked in Total U.S. Economy and Subsectors” on the BLS website (www.bls.gov/productivity/tables/total-economy-hours-employment.xlsx). Output Business sector output is a chain-type, current-weighted index constructed after excluding from gross domestic product (GDP) the following outputs: general government, nonprofit institutions, and households (including owner-occupied housing). Corresponding exclusions also are made in labor hours worked. Business output accounted for about 77 percent of the value of GDP in 2022. Nonfarm business, which excludes farming, accounted for about 76 percent of GDP in 2022. Annual indexes for manufacturing and its durable and nondurable goods components are constructed by deflating current-dollar industry value of production data from the U.S. Bureau of the Census with deflators from the BLS. These deflators are based on data from the BLS Producer Price Index program and other sources. The industry shipments are aggregated using annual weights, and intrasectoral transactions are removed. Quarterly manufacturing output measures are based on the indexes of industrial production prepared monthly by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, adjusted to be consistent with annual indexes of manufacturing sector output prepared by BLS. Nonfinancial corporate output is a chain-type, current-weighted index calculated on the basis of the costs incurred and the incomes earned from production. The output measure excludes the following outputs from GDP: general government; nonprofit institutions; households; unincorporated business; and those corporations classified as offices of bank holding companies, offices of other holding companies, or offices in the finance and insurance sector. Nonfinancial corporations accounted for about 52 percent of the value of GDP in 2022. -8- Labor Productivity The measure describes the relationship between real output and the labor time involved in its production. Measures of labor productivity growth show the changes from period to period in the amount of goods and services produced per hour worked. They reflect the joint effects of many influences, including changes in technology; capital investment; level of output; utilization of capacity, energy, and materials; the organization of production; managerial skill; and the characteristics and effort of the work force. Labor Compensation The measure includes accrued wages and salaries, supplements, employer contributions to employee benefit plans, and taxes. Estimates of labor compensation by major sector, required for measures of hourly compensation and unit labor costs, are based primarily on employee compensation data from the NIPA, prepared by the BEA. The compensation of employees in general government, nonprofit institutions and households are subtracted from compensation of employees in domestic industries to derive employee compensation for the business sector. The labor compensation of proprietors cannot be explicitly identified and must be estimated. This is done by assuming that proprietors have the same hourly compensation as employees in the same sector. The quarterly labor productivity and cost measures do not contain estimates of compensation for unpaid family workers. Unit Labor Costs These measures describe the relationship between compensation per hour and labor productivity, or real output per hour, and can be used as an indicator of inflationary pressure on producers. Increases in hourly compensation increase unit labor costs; labor productivity increases offset compensation increases and lower unit labor costs. Presentation of the data The quarterly data in this release are presented in three ways: as percent changes from the previous quarter presented at a compound annual rate, as percent changes from the corresponding quarter of the previous year, and as index number series where 2017=100. Annual data are presented both as index number series and percent changes from the previous year. The index numbers and rates of change reported in the productivity and costs news release are rounded to one decimal place. All percent changes in this release and on the BLS web site are calculated using index numbers to three decimal places. A complete historical series of these index numbers are available at the BLS web site, www.bls.gov/data/home.htm, or by contacting the BLS Division of Major Sector Productivity (Telephone 202-691-5606 or email productivity@bls.gov). For a more detailed explanation of methodology see the Handbook of Methods at www.bls.gov/opub/hom/msp/home.htm. If you are deaf, hard of hearing, or have a speech disability, please dial 7-1-1 to access telecommunications relay services. -9- Table 1. Business sector: Labor productivity, hourly compensation, unit labor costs, and prices, seasonally adjusted. ValueReal added Hourly hourly Unit output Year Labor compencompenUnit nonlabor price and producHours sation sation labor payments deflator quarter tivity Output worked (1) (2) costs (3) (4) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Percent change from previous quarter at annual rate (5) 2023 III II I 5.2 r 3.4 -0.6 6.0 r 2.0 2.1 2022 ANNUAL -1.8 1.9 3.8 3.8 -4.0 2022 IV III II I 2.0 0.2 -3.4 -6.7 2.9 2.7 -1.3 -3.0 0.9 2.5 2.1 4.0 -0.1 6.9 1.9 0.9 1.8 7.2 5.3 4.9 2021 ANNUAL 0.8 r -1.4 2.7 4.0 5.8 r 6.5 0.4 3.1 r 2.7 -1.2 r 2.4 r 7.1 8.7 r -0.6 r -1.3 3.1 r 1.1 3.3 5.7 10.5 7.8 -4.1 1.3 -7.2 -7.7 -2.0 6.7 5.4 8.2 10.9 0.7 17.2 11.4 3.5 4.0 10.5 9.6 0.1 3.1 7.9 5.1 2021 IV 2.8 8.8 5.8 6.1 -2.4 3.2 14.5 8.0 III -2.0 3.3 5.4 6.1 -0.5 8.3 4.3 6.6 II 1.1 7.2 6.0 7.3 -0.6 6.2 8.7 7.3 I 1.9 6.7 4.6 -0.3 -4.5 -2.2 19.9 6.6 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Percent change from corresponding quarter of previous year 2023 III II I 2.5 r 1.2 -0.5 3.2 2.4 1.6 0.7 r 1.2 2.0 4.0 r 4.8 r 3.8 0.5 r 0.7 r -1.9 1.5 r 3.5 r 4.2 2022 ANNUAL -1.8 1.9 3.8 3.8 -4.0 5.7 10.5 7.8 2022 IV III II I -2.0 -1.8 -2.4 -1.3 0.3 1.7 1.8 4.0 2.4 3.6 4.3 5.3 2.4 3.9 3.7 5.1 -4.5 -4.1 -4.5 -2.8 4.5 5.9 6.3 6.5 9.9 10.8 11.8 9.7 6.9 8.0 8.6 7.8 1.8 7.2 5.3 4.9 0.1 3.1 7.9 5.1 2021 ANNUAL 4.3 r 2.3 r 6.6 2.7 r 3.0 5.3 2021 IV 0.9 6.5 5.5 4.8 -2.0 3.8 11.7 7.1 III -0.8 5.6 6.4 5.6 0.2 6.4 4.9 5.8 II 1.4 15.2 13.6 2.7 -2.1 1.3 11.1 5.3 I 5.7 2.5 -3.1 6.5 4.4 0.8 4.2 2.2 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Indexes 2017=100 2023 III II I 111.1 r 109.7 108.8 116.8 r 115.1 114.6 105.1 r 104.9 105.3 132.7 r 131.4 r 129.5 105.9 r 105.8 r 105.0 119.4 r 119.8 r 119.1 125.2 r 122.6 r 122.8 121.9 r 121.0 120.7 2022 ANNUAL 108.8 113.1 103.9 126.4 105.6 116.2 119.6 117.6 2022 IV III II I 108.9 108.4 108.4 109.3 114.0 113.2 112.4 112.8 104.6 104.4 103.7 103.2 127.5 127.5 125.4 124.8 104.4 105.5 105.1 107.1 117.0 117.6 115.7 114.2 123.2 120.1 119.8 115.2 119.7 118.7 117.5 114.6 2021 ANNUAL 110.9 110.9 100.0 121.8 109.9 109.8 108.2 109.1 2021 IV 111.2 113.6 102.2 124.5 109.3 112.0 112.1 112.0 III 110.4 111.3 100.7 122.7 109.9 111.1 108.4 109.9 II 111.0 110.4 99.4 120.9 110.1 108.9 107.2 108.2 I 110.7 108.5 98.0 118.8 110.2 107.3 105.0 106.3 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------See footnotes following Table 6. December 6, 2023 r=revised Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics -10- Table 2. Nonfarm business sector: Labor productivity, hourly compensation, unit labor costs, and prices, seasonally adjusted. ValueReal added Hourly hourly Unit output Year Labor compencompenUnit nonlabor price and producHours sation sation labor payments deflator quarter tivity Output worked (1) (2) costs (3) (4) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Percent change from previous quarter at annual rate (5) 2023 III II I 5.2 r 3.6 -0.8 6.1 r 2.0 1.8 2022 ANNUAL -1.9 2.1 4.0 3.7 -4.1 2022 IV III II I 1.6 0.4 -3.6 -6.3 2.8 2.8 -1.1 -2.8 1.3 2.4 2.6 3.7 -0.5 7.1 1.5 1.1 1.7 7.2 5.5 4.9 2021 ANNUAL 0.9 r -1.5 2.6 3.9 6.2 r 6.5 0.3 3.4 r 2.7 -1.2 r 2.6 r 7.4 9.2 r -0.1 r -0.3 3.2 r 1.4 3.9 5.6 10.1 7.5 -4.5 1.4 -7.6 -7.5 -2.0 6.6 5.3 8.0 11.0 0.6 16.1 10.3 3.5 3.9 9.9 9.0 0.0 3.1 7.2 4.8 2021 IV 2.8 8.9 5.9 6.0 -2.6 3.1 15.8 8.4 III -2.4 3.4 5.9 5.6 -0.9 8.2 4.2 6.4 II 0.8 7.3 6.4 7.0 -0.8 6.1 6.5 6.3 I 1.6 6.5 4.9 -0.4 -4.6 -2.0 19.3 6.5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Percent change from corresponding quarter of previous year 2023 III II I 2.4 r 1.2 -0.6 3.2 r 2.4 1.6 0.8 1.2 2.2 4.0 r 4.8 r 3.6 0.4 r 0.7 r -2.1 1.6 r 3.6 r 4.2 2022 ANNUAL -1.9 2.1 4.0 3.7 -4.1 5.6 10.1 7.5 2022 IV III II I -2.0 -1.7 -2.4 -1.3 0.4 1.8 2.0 4.1 2.5 3.6 4.5 5.5 2.3 3.9 3.5 4.9 -4.6 -4.1 -4.7 -3.0 4.4 5.7 6.1 6.3 9.4 10.5 11.5 9.1 6.5 7.8 8.4 7.5 1.7 7.2 5.5 4.9 0.0 3.1 7.2 4.8 2021 ANNUAL 4.8 r 2.7 r 6.6 3.0 3.2 5.3 2021 IV 0.7 6.5 5.8 4.5 -2.2 3.8 11.3 6.9 III -0.8 5.7 6.5 5.6 0.2 6.5 3.9 5.4 II 1.1 15.1 13.8 2.5 -2.3 1.4 9.8 4.8 I 5.8 2.4 -3.2 6.6 4.5 0.8 4.1 2.2 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Indexes 2017=100 2023 III II I 111.0 r 109.6 108.6 117.0 r 115.3 114.7 105.4 r 105.2 105.6 132.5 r 131.2 r 129.2 105.8 r 105.7 r 104.8 119.4 r 119.7 r 119.0 124.8 r 122.1 r 122.1 121.7 r 120.8 120.3 2022 ANNUAL 108.8 113.3 104.1 126.3 105.4 116.0 118.7 117.2 2022 IV III II I 108.8 108.4 108.3 109.3 114.2 113.4 112.6 112.9 104.9 104.6 104.0 103.3 127.2 127.4 125.2 124.8 104.1 105.3 105.0 107.0 116.9 117.5 115.6 114.1 122.2 119.1 118.9 114.5 119.2 118.2 117.0 114.3 2021 ANNUAL 110.9 111.0 100.1 121.8 109.9 109.9 107.8 109.0 2021 IV 111.1 113.7 102.4 124.4 109.1 112.0 111.8 111.9 III 110.3 111.4 100.9 122.6 109.9 111.1 107.7 109.6 II 111.0 110.4 99.5 120.9 110.1 109.0 106.6 107.9 I 110.8 108.5 98.0 118.9 110.4 107.3 105.0 106.3 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------See footnotes following Table 6. December 6, 2023 r=revised Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics -11- Table 3. Manufacturing sector: Labor productivity, hourly compensation, and unit labor costs, seasonally adjusted. Real Year Labor Hourly hourly Unit and producHours compensacompensalabor quarter tivity Output worked tion (1) tion (2) costs --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Percent change from previous quarter at annual rate (5) 2023 III II I -0.8 r 3.3 r -1.9 2022 ANNUAL -1.3 2022 IV III II I -3.2 -2.8 2.2 -3.9 2021 ANNUAL -0.3 r 1.1 r -0.4 0.5 r -2.1 1.5 2.8 r 4.2 3.5 -4.3 4.8 -0.5 3.3 0.7 7.3 -0.1 7.7 3.2 0.7 -4.1 2.0 -6.0 -7.9 3.2 10.8 1.0 r 4.7 3.2 2.3 -2.4 0.6 r -3.6 0.4 3.0 3.1 1.7 r 4.9 r 5.4 r 8.1 r 4.5 1.8 r 5.2 r 0.8 6.2 r 4.7 r 6.6 2021 IV -2.2 r 4.8 r 7.2 8.0 -0.7 10.4 r III -1.9 r 3.3 r 5.3 -1.7 -7.8 0.2 r II 5.5 r 6.1 r 0.6 6.1 -1.7 0.6 r I -1.1 r 0.2 r 1.3 -1.3 -5.4 -0.2 r --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Percent change from corresponding quarter of previous year 2023 III II I -0.7 -1.2 -1.4 2022 ANNUAL -1.3 2.8 r 2022 IV III II I -1.9 -1.7 -1.5 r -0.7 r 1.7 r 2021 ANNUAL -0.8 -0.7 -0.2 -0.1 0.5 1.3 4.4 r 5.0 r 3.8 0.9 r 0.9 r -1.9 5.2 r 6.3 r 5.3 4.2 3.5 -4.3 4.8 0.7 2.8 3.6 4.3 r 2.7 4.6 5.1 5.0 2.8 4.8 2.5 3.2 -4.1 -3.2 -5.7 -4.6 4.9 6.6 4.0 r 3.9 r 4.9 r 3.2 2.3 -2.4 0.6 r 2021 IV 0.0 r 3.6 r 3.5 2.7 -4.0 2.6 r III 0.3 r 4.2 r 3.8 2.6 -2.7 2.2 r II 4.9 r 15.0 r 9.6 -0.6 -5.2 -5.2 r I 1.6 r -1.9 r -3.5 4.3 2.3 2.6 r --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Indexes 2017=100 2023 III II I 98.0 r 98.2 r 97.4 r 99.9 r 100.0 r 99.7 r 102.0 r 101.9 102.4 124.9 r 123.2 r 120.9 99.7 r 99.3 r 98.0 127.5 r 125.6 r 124.1 r 2022 ANNUAL 98.8 r 100.3 r 101.5 118.5 98.9 119.9 r 2022 IV III II I 97.8 98.6 99.3 98.8 99.8 100.8 100.7 99.9 r r r r 102.1 102.2 101.4 101.2 119.5 119.6 117.4 116.4 97.8 98.9 98.4 99.9 122.2 121.2 118.1 117.9 97.5 r 97.4 114.5 103.3 2021 ANNUAL r r r r 100.2 r r r r r 114.3 r 2021 IV 99.8 r 99.2 r 99.4 116.2 102.0 116.5 r III 100.3 r 98.0 r 97.7 114.0 102.2 113.7 r II 100.8 r 97.2 r 96.5 114.5 104.3 113.6 r I 99.4 r 95.8 r 96.3 112.8 104.7 113.5 r --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------See footnotes following Table 6. December 6, 2023 r=revised Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics -12- Table 4. Durable manufacturing sector: Labor productivity, hourly compensation, and unit labor costs, seasonally adjusted. Real Year Labor Hourly hourly Unit and producHours compensacompensalabor quarter tivity Output worked tion (1) tion (2) costs --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Percent change from previous quarter at annual rate (5) 2023 III II I -1.8 r 5.2 r -4.2 2022 ANNUAL -1.0 2022 IV III II I -2.2 -3.7 3.7 -3.0 2021 ANNUAL 1.6 r 4.0 r -1.8 3.4 r -1.2 2.5 3.6 r -2.7 2.0 5.4 5.6 0.7 r 3.8 r 3.4 r 7.8 r 5.6 -0.2 r 4.9 r 1.7 4.7 2.4 -5.2 -0.5 5.9 1.6 8.9 -1.5 7.5 3.4 -1.8 -5.5 1.9 -5.8 -10.2 3.1 3.2 -1.6 5.3 r 2.4 r 10.2 3.5 r 0.7 11.7 -0.3 1.2 2.4 r 2021 IV 0.2 r 5.3 r 5.1 9.5 0.7 9.3 r III -3.0 r 2.7 r 5.9 -7.4 -13.2 -4.6 r II -2.6 r -2.9 r -0.3 9.0 0.9 11.9 r I -4.4 r -0.6 r 3.9 0.7 -3.5 5.3 r --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Percent change from corresponding quarter of previous year 2023 III II I -0.8 r -1.3 r -1.6 0.2 r 0.4 0.7 1.0 r 1.7 2.4 3.8 r 4.8 r 3.7 0.2 r 0.7 r -2.0 4.6 r 6.1 r 5.4 2022 ANNUAL -1.0 3.6 r 4.7 2.4 -5.2 3.5 r 2022 IV III II I -1.3 -0.8 r -0.6 r -2.1 r 2.5 4.5 r 4.7 r 2.6 r 3.9 5.3 5.3 4.8 1.8 4.6 0.7 2.0 -5.0 -3.5 -7.3 -5.7 3.2 5.3 1.3 r 4.2 r 0.7 r 3.8 r 3.1 3.2 -1.6 2.4 r 2021 ANNUAL 2021 IV -2.5 r 1.1 r 3.6 2.7 -3.9 5.3 r III -2.7 r 0.9 r 3.8 3.4 -1.9 6.2 r II 6.6 r 18.0 r 10.7 0.7 -4.1 -5.6 r I 2.3 r -2.3 r -4.5 5.7 3.6 3.3 r --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Indexes 2017=100 2023 III II I 96.1 r 96.5 r 95.3 r 98.9 r 98.5 r 97.6 r 102.9 r 102.1 102.4 123.8 r 122.8 r 120.5 98.9 r 98.9 r 97.7 128.8 r 127.2 r 126.4 r 2022 ANNUAL 97.2 r 97.9 r 100.8 118.2 98.7 121.6 r 2022 IV III II I 96.3 96.9 97.8 96.9 98.0 98.7 98.2 96.9 r r r r 101.8 101.9 100.4 100.0 118.9 119.3 117.2 116.2 97.3 98.7 98.2 99.7 123.4 123.2 119.8 119.9 2021 ANNUAL 98.2 r 94.5 r 96.3 115.3 104.1 r r r r r r r r 117.5 r 2021 IV 97.6 r 95.6 r 97.9 116.7 102.4 119.6 r III 97.6 r 94.4 r 96.7 114.1 102.3 116.9 r II 98.3 r 93.7 r 95.3 116.3 105.9 118.3 r I 99.0 r 94.4 r 95.4 113.9 105.7 115.0 r --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------See footnotes following Table 6. December 6, 2023 r=revised Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics -13- Table 5. Nondurable manufacturing sector: Labor productivity, hourly compensation, and unit labor costs, seasonally adjusted. Real Year Labor Hourly hourly Unit and producHours compensacompensalabor quarter tivity Output worked tion (1) tion (2) costs --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Percent change from previous quarter at annual rate (5) 2023 III II I 2.3 r 2.0 r 1.1 -2.1 r -1.7 r 0.9 -4.2 r -3.6 -0.2 8.8 r 8.4 r 2.4 5.0 r 5.6 r -1.3 6.4 r 6.3 r 1.3 2022 ANNUAL -1.6 1.7 3.4 5.3 -2.6 7.1 r 2022 IV III II I -4.2 -0.2 1.3 -3.9 -4.6 -1.2 0.6 0.6 -0.4 -1.1 -0.7 4.7 2.6 7.5 2.7 5.2 -1.5 1.8 -6.5 -3.8 7.1 7.6 1.3 9.4 4.5 3.3 0.7 -3.9 -0.4 r 2021 ANNUAL 1.1 r 2021 IV -6.2 3.8 10.7 5.7 -2.8 12.7 III -1.5 r 2.6 r 4.2 10.1 3.3 11.8 r II 12.1 r 14.4 r 2.1 1.1 -6.4 -9.8 r I 1.7 r -1.2 r -2.9 -5.7 -9.6 -7.2 r --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Percent change from corresponding quarter of previous year 2023 III II I 0.2 r -0.4 r -0.5 2022 ANNUAL -1.6 1.7 2022 IV III II I -1.8 -2.3 -2.6 -0.1 2021 ANNUAL 1.1 r -1.9 r -1.7 r -1.1 -2.1 r -1.3 -0.6 5.5 r 5.2 3.8 1.9 r 1.1 -1.9 5.3 r 5.6 r 4.3 3.4 5.3 -2.6 7.1 r -1.2 0.9 1.9 5.2 r 0.6 3.3 4.6 5.4 4.5 5.2 5.9 5.5 -2.5 -2.9 -2.5 -2.5 6.3 7.7 8.7 5.6 r 4.5 3.3 0.7 -3.9 -0.4 r 2021 IV 1.3 r 4.7 r 3.4 2.6 -4.0 1.3 r III 1.8 r 5.9 r 4.0 1.1 -4.1 -0.7 r II 2.2 r 10.3 r 7.9 -3.1 -7.7 -5.2 r I -0.7 -2.5 -1.8 2.1 0.1 2.9 r --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Indexes 2017=100 2023 III II I 99.3 r 98.8 r 98.3 r 99.8 r 100.3 r 100.8 r 100.5 r 101.6 102.5 126.8 r 124.1 r 121.6 2022 ANNUAL 98.9 r 101.5 r 102.7 2022 IV III II I 98.0 99.1 99.1 98.8 100.5 101.7 102.0 101.9 r r r r 99.9 r 2021 ANNUAL r r r r 100.6 r 101.2 r 100.0 r 98.6 127.6 r 125.6 r 123.7 r 119.2 99.6 120.6 r 102.6 102.7 102.9 103.1 120.9 120.1 118.0 117.2 99.0 99.3 98.9 100.6 123.3 121.2 119.0 118.6 99.3 113.2 102.2 112.6 r r r r r 2021 IV 99.8 r 101.7 r 101.9 115.7 101.5 116.0 r III 101.4 r 100.8 r 99.4 114.1 102.3 112.6 r II 101.8 r 100.1 r 98.4 111.4 101.5 109.5 r I 98.9 r 96.8 r 97.9 111.1 103.1 112.3 r --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------See footnotes following Table 6. December 6, 2023 r=revised Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics -14- Table 6. Nonfinancial corporate sector: Labor productivity, hourly compensation, unit labor costs, unit profits, and prices, seasonally adjusted. ValueReal added Unit Hourly hourly output Unit combined Year Labor compencompenUnit price nonlabor input Unit and producHours sation sation labor deflator costs costs profits quarter tivity Output worked (1) (2) costs (4) (6) (7) (8) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Percent change from previous quarter at annual rate (5) 2023 III II I 2.2 2.2 r 1.6 3.1 1.2 4.3 0.8 -0.9 2.6 3.9 7.2 r 6.7 0.3 4.4 r 2.9 1.7 4.9 5.0 2.0 3.1 0.0 -2.7 -2.4 2.3 0.3 2.6 4.1 11.1 6.0 r -18.8 2022 ANNUAL -1.0 3.1 4.2 4.1 -3.7 5.2 7.5 11.8 7.2 9.1 2022 IV III II I -1.3 1.4 -1.6 -3.1 -0.1 5.0 0.6 0.8 1.2 3.6 2.3 4.0 0.3 6.7 2.6 1.7 -3.7 1.0 -6.5 -7.0 1.7 5.2 4.3 4.9 1.1 3.1 11.2 10.4 2.2 1.1 9.1 22.8 1.8 3.9 5.8 10.2 -2.3 -0.6 42.8 11.7 3.6 9.0 5.1 4.7 -0.2 1.0 4.8 3.8 1.8 23.3 2021 ANNUAL 2021 IV -2.5 5.2 8.0 4.2 -4.2 6.9 7.7 18.6 10.3 -4.7 III 2.6 7.0 4.2 8.7 1.9 5.9 3.6 15.2 8.6 -17.9 II 0.6 6.4 5.8 6.9 -0.9 6.3 8.5 -12.0 0.4 59.6 I 3.4 7.7 4.2 -0.5 -4.7 -3.8 5.7 5.6 -1.0 53.3 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Percent change from corresponding quarter of previous year 2023 III II I 1.2 1.0 r 0.0 2.1 2.6 2.4 0.9 1.6 2.4 4.5 5.2 4.1 0.9 1.1 -1.6 3.3 4.2 4.1 1.5 1.8 3.8 -0.2 0.7 r 3.6 2.2 3.1 3.9 -1.7 -4.4 3.0 2022 ANNUAL -1.0 3.1 4.2 4.1 -3.7 5.2 7.5 11.8 7.2 9.1 2022 IV III II I -1.2 -1.5 -1.2 -0.6 1.6 2.9 3.4 4.8 2.8 4.4 4.6 5.5 2.8 3.8 4.3 5.3 -4.1 -4.2 -4.0 -2.6 4.0 5.3 5.5 6.0 6.4 8.1 8.2 7.5 8.5 12.6 16.3 10.2 5.4 7.5 8.7 7.3 11.5 10.8 5.7 8.7 3.6 9.0 5.1 4.7 -0.2 1.0 4.8 3.8 1.8 23.3 2021 ANNUAL 2021 IV 1.0 6.6 5.5 4.8 -2.0 3.7 6.4 6.1 4.4 17.6 III 4.6 10.9 6.0 5.7 0.3 1.1 4.0 14.3 4.7 0.5 II 3.7 17.1 12.9 1.7 -3.1 -1.9 5.6 3.1 -0.5 48.8 I 5.7 2.4 -3.2 6.5 4.4 0.7 3.3 -5.6 -1.3 37.5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Indexes 2017=100 2023 III II I 111.0 110.4 r 109.8 117.7 116.9 r 116.5 106.1 105.9 106.1 133.5 132.2 r 129.9 106.6 106.5 r 105.4 120.3 119.8 r 118.4 121.8 121.2 120.3 110.3 111.1 r 111.8 117.0 117.0 r 116.2 154.0 150.0 r 147.8 2022 ANNUAL 109.6 114.6 104.5 126.7 105.8 115.5 118.8 110.0 113.7 153.2 2022 IV III II I 109.3 109.7 109.3 109.8 115.3 115.3 113.9 113.7 105.4 105.1 104.2 103.6 127.8 127.7 125.7 124.9 104.6 105.6 105.4 107.1 116.9 116.4 115.0 113.8 120.3 120.0 119.0 115.9 111.2 110.6 110.3 107.9 115.0 114.5 113.4 111.8 155.7 156.6 156.9 143.5 2021 ANNUAL 110.8 111.1 100.3 121.7 109.8 109.8 110.5 98.4 106.1 140.4 2021 IV 110.6 113.5 102.6 124.3 109.1 112.4 113.1 102.5 109.2 139.6 III 111.3 112.1 100.7 123.1 110.3 110.5 111.0 98.2 106.5 141.3 II 110.6 110.2 99.6 120.6 109.8 109.0 110.0 94.8 104.3 148.4 I 110.5 108.5 98.2 118.5 110.0 107.3 107.8 97.9 104.2 132.0 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------See footnotes following Table 6. December 6, 2023 r=revised Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics -15- SOURCES: Output data are from the Bureau of Economic Analysis and the Census Bureau of the U.S. Department of Commerce; the Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Department of Labor; and the Federal Reserve Board. Hours and compensation data are from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and the Bureau of Economic Analysis. SIZE OF REVISIONS: Productivity and cost measures are revised on a regular schedule as more complete data become available. The first estimate is published within 40 days of the close of the reference quarter, the second estimate approximately 30 days later, and the third estimate approximately 60 days after the second estimate. Based on past revisions, the third estimate of nonfarm business sector quarterly labor productivity growth has differed from the first estimate by -1.1 to +1.3 percentage point about 80 percent of the time. This interval is based on estimates for reference quarters from the first quarter of 2001 to the second quarter of 2023. For more about revisions to labor productivity growth see “Revisions to BLS quarterly labor productivity estimates: How large are they?” at www.bls.gov/opub/mlr/2022/article/revisions-to-bls-quarterly-labor-productivity-estimates-how-largeare-they.htm. Table Footnotes (1) Wages and salaries of employees plus employers' contributions for social insurance and private benefit plans. Except for nonfinancial corporations, where there are no self-employed, data also include an estimate of wages, salaries, and supplemental payments for the self-employed. (2) The change for recent quarters is based on the Consumer Price Index for all urban consumers (CPI-U). The trend from 1978-2022 is based on the Consumer Price Index Retroactive series (CPI-URS). (3) Unit nonlabor payments include profits, consumption of fixed capital, taxes on production and imports less subsidies, net interest and miscellaneous payments, business current transfer payments, rental income of persons, and the current surplus of government enterprises. (4) Current dollar output divided by the output index. (5) Quarterly changes: Percent change compounded at annual rate is calculated using index numbers to three decimal places. Indexes published in the news release are rounded to one decimal place for convenience. Annual changes: Percent change is calculated using annual indexes to three decimal places. (6) Unit nonlabor costs include consumption of fixed capital, taxes on production and imports less subsidies, net interest and miscellaneous payments, and business current transfer payments. (7) Total unit costs are the sum of unit labor and nonlabor costs. (8) Unit profits include corporate profits before tax with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustment. -16-