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The Obama Administration’s Efforts To Stabilize The Housing Market and Help American Homeowners November 2012 U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development | Office of Policy Development Research U.S Department of Housing and Urban Development | U.S. Department of theand Treasury The Administration’s goal is to stabilize the housing market and provide security for homeowners. To meet these objectives in the context of a very challenging market, the Administration developed a broad approach implementing state and local housing agency initiatives, tax credits for homebuyers, neighborhood stabilization and community development programs, mortgage modifications and refinancing, housing counseling, continued Federal Housing Administration (FHA) engagement, support for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and increased consumer protections. In addition, Federal Reserve and Treasury Mortgage-Backed Securities purchase programs have helped to keep mortgage interest rates at record lows over the past year. More detail on the Administration’s efforts can be found in the Appendix. November 2012 Scorecard on Administration’s Comprehensive Housing Initiative The President’s housing market recovery efforts began immediately after taking office in February 2009. The November 2012 housing scorecard includes the following key indicators of market health and results of the Administration’s comprehensive response, as outlined above: • The Administration’s foreclosure programs are providing relief for millions of homeowners as we continue to recover from an unprecedented housing crisis. More than 1.3 million homeowner assistance actions have taken place through the Making Home Affordable Program, while the Federal Housing Administration (FHA) has offered more than 1.5 million loss mitigation and early delinquency interventions. The Administration’s programs continue to encourage improved standards and processes in the industry, with HOPE Now lenders offering families and individuals more than 3.2 million proprietary mortgage modifications through September. • HAMP continues to offer homeowners affordable and sustainable assistance to avoid foreclosure. As of October, more than 1.1 million homeowners have received a permanent modification through the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP), saving approximately $542 on their mortgage payments each month, and an estimated $16.2 billion to date. In October, 74 percent of homeowners with eligible non-GSE mortgages benefitted from principal reduction with their HAMP modification. Eighty-seven percent of homeowners entering the program in the last two years have received a permanent modification. View the Making Home Affordable Report with data through October 2012. Given the current fragility and recognizing that recovery will take place over time, the Administration remains committed to its efforts to prevent avoidable foreclosures and stabilize the housing market. October 2012 National Scorecard | Page 1 U.S Department of Housing and Urban Development U.S. Department of the Treasury The Obama Administration’s Efforts To Stabilize The Housing Market and Help American Homeowners | November 2012 November 2012 National Scorecard | Page 2 U.S Department of Housing and Urban Development U.S. Department of the Treasury The Obama Administration’s Efforts To Stabilize The Housing Market and Help American Homeowners | November 2012 November 2012 National Scorecard | Page 3 U.S Department of Housing and Urban Development U.S. Department of the Treasury The Obama Administration’s Efforts To Stabilize The Housing Market and Help American Homeowners | November 2012 November 2012 National Scorecard | Page 4 U.S Department of Housing and Urban Development U.S. Department of the Treasury U.S. Department of Housing and Urban | Office of Help Policy American Development and Research| November 2012 The Obama Administration’s Efforts To Stabilize TheDevelopment Housing Market and Homeowners Indicator HOUSING ASSISTANCE AND STABILIZATION PERFORMANCE METRICS This Period Last Period Cumulative From April 1, 2009 Latest Release Distressed Homeowners Assisted (thousands) HAMP Trial Modifications HAMP Permanent Modifications FHA Loss Mitigation Interventions HOPE Now Modifications HARP Refinances 13.4 16.0 47.3 60.6 90.8 15.2 13.8 36.1 59.5 98.9 1,941 1,107 1,556 3,201 1,731 October-12 October-12 October-12 September-12 September-12 972.3 420.4 8,522 2nd Q 12 Borrower Annual Savings ($ millions) HAMP Active Trial Modifications HAMP Active Permanent Modifications All Refinances ---- ---- 354 5,419 35,578 Activities Completed Under NSP (housing units) New Construction or Residential Rehab Demolition or Clearance Direct Homeownership Assistance ---- ---- 17,349 [57,976] 18,923 [25,935] 9,084 [17,716] 386.9 397.1 Counseled Borrowers (thousands) Change in Aggregate Home Equity ($ billions) Indicator Mortgage Rates (30-Yr FRM, percent) Last Period 3.32 Year Ago 3.31 3rd Q 12 3rd Q 12 3rd Q 12 (b) (b,s) (b,s) 3rd Q 12 3rd Q 12 3rd Q 12 1472.3 (r) HOUSING MARKET FACT SHEET This Period (r) 4.00 3rd Q 12 As of Dec 2008 Latest Release 5.10 29-Nov-12 Housing Affordability (index) 190.0 188.3 (r) 191.0 162.9 Home Prices (indices) Case Shiller (NSA) FHFA (SA) CoreLogic - Excluding Distressed Sales (NSA) 146.2 191.1 154.4 145.8 190.8 153.7 (r) (r) (r) 142.0 183.1 147.1 150.5 197.4 161.1 Home Sales (thousands, SA) New Existing First Time Buyers Distressed Sales (percent, NSA) 30.7 399.2 167.6 23 30.8 390.8 164.4 22 (r) 26.2 360.0 142.9 26 31.4 334.2 149.9 32 October-12 October-12 October-12 September-12 Housing Supply Existing Homes for Sale (thousands, NSA) Existing Homes - Months’ Supply (months) New Homes for Sale (thousands, SA) New Homes for Sale - Months’ Supply (months, SA) Vacant Units Held Off Market (thousands) 2,140 5.4 147 4.8 3,807 2,170 5.6 145 4.7 3,928 (r) 2,740 7.6 159 6.1 3,840 3,130 9.4 353 11.2 3,542 October-12 October-12 October-12 October-12 3rd Q 12 1574.9 601.5 1,199.4 629.1 (r) (r) 1,160.4 720.8 767.2 986.4 3rd Q 12 3rd Q 12 45.4 56.2 38.3 (r) (r) (r) 29.3 59.8 46.0 62.9 72.7 56.2 October-12 October-12 October-12 4.3 31.1 12.7 4.4 34.3 14.3 October-12 October-12 October-12 October-12 October-12 October-12 Mortgage Originations (thousands) Refinance Originations Purchase Originations (p) (p) (r) (r) (r) (r) FHA Originations (thousands) Refinance Originations Purchase Originations Purchases by First Time Buyers 43.3 60.3 46.3 Mortgage Delinquency Rates (percent) Prime Subprime FHA 3.9 30.0 11.7 4.2 31.1 12.5 1,203 1,575 734 1,255 1,622 739 (r) (r) 1,465 1,737 662 915 1,632 333 10,779 11,374 (s) 11,794 -- (r) (r) 110.8 67.6 26.4 56.3 148.6 78.9 14.0 74.7 Seriously Delinquent Mortgages (thousands) Prime Subprime FHA Underwater Borrowers (thousands) Foreclosure Actions (thousands) Foreclosure Starts Foreclosure Completions Short Sales REO Sales (p) (p) (p) 89.2 (s) 53.5 24.2 (p) 26.4 (p) 87.1 53.6 32.0 43.0 September-12 (r) (r) September-12 September-12 September-12 2nd Q 12 October-12 October-12 September-12 September-12 SA = seasonally adjusted, NSA = not SA, p = preliminary, r = revised, b = brackets include units in process, s = see note Sources and Methodology page. November 2012 National Scorecard | Page 5 U.S Department of Housing and Urban Development U.S. Department of the Treasury U.S. Department of Housing and Urban | Office of Help Policy American Development and Research| November 2012 The Obama Administration’s Efforts To Stabilize TheDevelopment Housing Market and Homeowners A. Items in Tables Description Distressed Homeowners Assisted HAMP Trial Modifications HAMP Permanent Modifications HARP Refinances FHA Loss Mitigation Interventions HOPE Now Modifications Counseled Borrowers (thousands) Borrower Annual Savings HAMP Active Trial Modifications SOURCES AND METHODOLOGY Frequency Sources Notes on Methodology Monthly Monthly Monthly Monthly Monthly Treasury Treasury Federal Housing Finance Agancy HUD Hope Now Alliance As reported. As reported. As reported. All FHA loss mitigation and early delinquency interventions. All proprietary modifications completed. Quarterly HUD Housing counseling activity reported by all HUD-approved housing counselors. HUD estimate of annualized savings based on Treasury reported active HAMP trial modifications and Freddie Mac monthly savings estimates. HUD estimate of annualized savings based on Treasury reported active HAMP permanent modifications and median monthly savings estimates. Refinance originations (see below) multiplied by HUD estimate of annualized savings per refinance. Quarterly HUD, Treasury, and Freddie Mac HAMP Active Permanent Modifications Quarterly HUD and Treasury All Refinances Quarterly HUD, and MBA Quarterly HUD Demolition or Clearance Quarterly HUD Direct Homeownership Assistance Quarterly HUD Change in Aggregate Home Equity Quarterly Federal Reserve Board Mortgage Rates (30-Yr FRM) Weekly Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey, as reported for 30-Year fixed rate mortgages (FRM). Housing Affordability Monthly National Association of Realtors® NAR’s composite housing affordability index as reported. A value of 100 means that a family with the median income has exactly enough income to qualify for a mortgage on a medianpriced home. An index above 100 signifies that family earning the median income has more than enough income to qualify. Home Prices Case-Shiller (NSA) Monthly Standard and Poor’s Monthly Monthly Federal Housing Finance Agency CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-metro composite index, January 2000 = 100. Standard and Poor’s recommends use of not seasonally adjusted index when making monthly comparisons. FHFA monthly (purchase-only) index for US, January 1991 = 100. CoreLogic national combined index, distressed sales excluded, January 2000 = 100. (Only available as NSA). Monthly HUD and Census Bureau Existing Monthly National Association of Realtors® First Time Buyers Monthly NAR, Census Bureau, and HUD Distressed Sales (NSA) Monthly CoreLogic Housing Supply Existing Homes for Sale (NSA) Existing Homes - Months’ Supply New Homes for Sale (SA) New Homes for Sale - Months’ Supply (SA) Vacant Units Held Off Market Monthly Monthly Monthly Monthly Quarterly National Association of Realtors National Association of Realtors HUD and Census Bureau HUD and Census Bureau Census Bureau As reported. As reported. As reported. As reported. As reported in Census CPS/HPS Table 4. Estimates of Housing Inventory, line item “Year-round vacant, held off market for reasons other than occasional use or usually reside elsewhere.” Vacant units can be held off the market for a variety of reasons. Mortgage Originations Refinance Originations Quarterly Purchase Originations Quarterly Mortgage Bankers Association and HUD Mortgage Bankers Association and HUD HUD estimate of refinance originations based on MBA estimate of dollar volume of refiance originations. HUD estimate of home purchase originations based on MBA estimate of dollar volume of home purchase originations. Monthly Monthly Monthly HUD HUD HUD FHA originations reported as of date of loan closing. Estimate for current month scaled upward due to normal reporting lag and shown as preliminary. Monthly Monthly Monthly LPS Applied Analytics LPS Applied Analytics HUD Total mortgages past due (30+ days) but not in foreclosure, divided by mortgages actively serviced. Total mortgages past due (30+ days) but not in foreclosure, divided by mortgages actively serviced. Total FHA mortgages past due (30+ days) but not in foreclosure, divided by FHA’s insurance in force. Seriously Delinquent Mortgages Prime Subprime FHA Monthly Monthly Monthly LPS Applied Analytics, MBA, and HUD Mortgages 90+ days delinquent or in foreclosure, scaled up to market. LPS Applied Analytics, MBA, and HUD Mortgages 90+ days delinquent or in foreclosure, scaled up to market. HUD Mortgages 90+ days delinquent or in foreclosure. Underwater Borrowers Quarterly CoreLogic As reported. Foreclosure Actions Foreclosure Starts Monthly Realty Trac Monthly Monthly Monthly Realty Trac CoreLogic CoreLogic Foreclosure starts are reported counts of notice of default or scheduled foreclosure auction, depending on which action starts the foreclosure process in a state. Real Estate Owned (REO). Count of Short Sales for the month as reported (current month subject to revision). Count of REO (Real Estate Owned) Sales for the month as reported (current month subject to revision). Completed Activities Under NSP (housing units) New Construction or Residential Rehab FHFA (SA) CoreLogic - Excluding Distressed Sales (NSA) Home Sales (SA) New FHA Originations Refinance Originations Purchase Originations Purchases by First Time Buyers Mortgage Delinquency Rates (NSA) Prime Subprime FHA Foreclosure Completions Short sales REO Sales Housing units constructed/rehabilitated using Neighborhood Stabilization Program. Bracketed numbers include units in process, to be completed by 3/2013. Housing units demolished/cleared using Neighborhood Stabilization Program. Bracketed numbers as above. Completed downpayment assistance or non-amortizing second mortgages by grantee to make purchase of NSP unit affordable. Bracketed numbers as above. Difference in aggregate household owners’ equity in real estate as reported in the Federal Reserve Board’s Flow of Funds Accounts of the United States for stated time period. Seasonally adjusted annual rates divided by 12. A newly constructed house is considered sold when either a sales contract has been signed or a deposit accepted, even if this occurs before construction has actually started. Seasonally adjusted annual rates divided by 12. Existing-home sales, which include singlefamily, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, are based on transaction closings. This differs from the U.S. Census Bureau’s series on new single-family home sales, which are based on contracts or the acceptance of a deposit. Sum of seasonally adjusted new and existing home sales (above) multiplied by National Association of Realtors ® annual estimate of first time buyer share of existing home sales. Short sales and REO (Real Estate Owned) sales as a percent of total existing home sales (current month subject to revision). November 2012 National Scorecard | Page 6 U.S Department of Housing and Urban Development U.S. Department of the Treasury U.S. Department of Housing and Urban | Office of Help Policy American Development and Research| November 2012 The Obama Administration’s Efforts To Stabilize TheDevelopment Housing Market and Homeowners SOURCES AND METHODOLOGY B. Notes on Charts. 1. Monthly house price trends shown as changes in respective house price indices applied to a common base price set equal to the median price of an existing home sold in January 2003 as reported by the National Association of Realtors. Indices shown: S&P/Case Shiller 20-metro composite index (NSA), January 2000 = 100, FHFA monthly (purchase-only) index for US (SA), January 1991 = 100, and CoreLogic-Distressed Sales Excluded (Monthly) for US (NSA), January 2000 =100. 2. S&P/Case-Shiller 20 metro composite index (NSA) as reported monthly. Futures index figures report forward expectations of the level of the S&P/Case Shiller index as of the date indicated, estimated from prices of futures purchased on the Chicago Board of Exchange reported by Radar Logic. 3. Reported seasonally adjusted annual rates for new and existing home sales divided by 12. 4. HUD estimate of refinance originations based on MBA estimate of dollar volume of refinance originations. 5. Cumulative HAMP permanent modifications started, FHA loss mitigation and early delinquency interventions, plus proprietary modifications completed as reported by Hope Now Alliance. Some homeowners may be counted in more than one category. Foreclosure completions are properties entering Real Estate Owned (REO) as reported by Realty Trac. 6. Beginning with the September 2012 release, filings of a notice of default or scheduled foreclosure auction, depending on which action starts the foreclosure process in a state, are reported for foreclosure starts. Foreclosure defaults previously had been reported as a proxy for foreclosure starts. Foreclosure completions are properties entering REO. Both as reported by Realty Trac. 7. See “Borrower Annual Savings” above. 8. FHA market shares as FHA purchase and refinance originations divided by HUD estimates of purchase and refinance mortgage originations as noted in “Mortgage Originations” above. Data for 2010 and 2011 have been revised. C. Additional Notes. Additional loan servicers were added to the LPS Applied Analytics data base in March 2012, increasing market coverage of active prime loans in the LPS sample by 0.5 percent and active subprime loans by 20 percent. Since the estimated number of delinquent loans from this source have always been scaled to represent the entire market, the additional market coverage would not necessarily increase the number of delinquent loans reported here. The increased sample size improves the accuracy of the estimates. The Q1 2011 NSP counts for Direct Homeownership Assistance were revised with the Q2 2012 data. Also, the Q2 2012 NSP counts for Demolition were revised with the Q3 2012 data. Beginning the 1st quarter of 2012, Corelogic revised the methodology used to estimate the number of underwater borrowers by improving the accuracy of their home value estimates. This resulted in increasing the share and number of loans underwater, affecting current and past quarters. CoreLogic provided revised estimates back through the 3rd quarter of 2009. Beginning with the September 2012 release, filings of a notice of default or scheduled foreclosure auction, depending on which action starts the foreclosure process in a state, are reported for foreclosure starts. Foreclosure defaults had previously been reported as a proxy for foreclosure starts. See “Foreclosure Actions” above. November 2012 National Scorecard | Page 7 U.S Department of Housing and Urban Development U.S. Department of the Treasury U.S. Department of Housing and Urban | Office of Help Policy American Development and Research| November 2012 The Obama Administration’s Efforts To Stabilize TheDevelopment Housing Market and Homeowners Appendix The Administration has taken a broad set of actions to stabilize the housing market and help American homeowners. Three years ago, stress in the financial system had severely reduced the supply of mortgage credit, limiting the ability of Americans to buy homes or refinance mortgages. Millions of responsible families who had made their monthly payments and had fulfilled their obligations saw their property values fall. They also found themselves unable to refinance at lower mortgage rates. In February 2009, less than one month after taking office, President Obama announced the Homeowner Affordability and Stability Plan. As part of this plan and through other housing initiatives, the Administration has taken the following actions to strengthen the housing market: • Supported Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to ensure continued access to affordable mortgage credit; • The Federal Reserve and the U.S. Treasury purchased more than $1.4 trillion in agency mortgage backed securities through independent MBS purchase programs, helping to keep mortgage rates at historic lows; • Launched a modification initiative to help homeowners reduce mortgage payments to affordable levels and to prevent avoidable foreclosures; • Launched a $23.5 billion Housing Finance Agencies Initiative to increase sustainable homeownership and rental resources; • Supported the First Time Homebuyer Tax Credit, which helped more than 2.5 million American families purchase homes; • Provided more than $5 billion in support for affordable rental housing through low income housing tax credit programs and $6.92 billion in support for the Neighborhood Stabilization Program to restore neighborhoods hardest hit by the concentrated foreclosures; • Created the $7.6 billion HFA Hardest Hit Fund for innovative foreclosure prevention programs in the nation’s hardest hit housing markets; • Launched the $1 billion Emergency Homeowners Loan Program, as part of the DoddFrank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act, to help unemployed and underemployed homeowners pay a portion of their monthly mortgage. • Created an FHA Short Refinance Option that helps underwater borrowers refinance into a new, stable, FHA-insured mortgage that is more aligned with actual property values. • Supported home purchase and refinance activity through the FHA to provide access to affordable mortgage capital and help homeowners prevent foreclosures. • Implemented a series of changes to the Home Affordable Refinance Program (HARP) in an effort to attract more eligible borrowers who can benefit from refinancing their home mortgages during this time of historically low mortgage rates. ### November 2012 National Scorecard | Page 8
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