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'^y/- ::;lii "''•.' '•;/VaI" . J.-J r Class. Book h/S6 o/ Ji Gopyiig]it]\l?_ CQEffilGHT DENSm THE NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME -y^)^' THE NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME BY IRVING FISHER, Ph.D. PBOFESSOE OF POLITICAL ECONOMY, TALE UNIVERSITT THE MACMILLAN COMPANY LONDON: MACMILLAN & 1906 All rights reserved CO., Ltd. HB4o II 1906 OOPYB COPYEIGHT, 1906, bt the macmillan company. Set up and electrotyped. J. S. Published September, 1906. ITortoaotr ^ress Berwick & Smith Co. Gushing & Co. Norwood, Mass., U.S.A. — ( TO WILLIAM GRAHAM SUMNER WHO FIRST INSPIRED WITH A LOVE FOR ECONOMIC SCIENCE ME PREFACE This book is an attempt to put on a rational foundation the concepts and fundamental theorems of capital and income. It therefore forms a sort of philosophy of eco- nomic accounting, and, it is hoped, may supply a link long missing between the ideas and usages underlying practical business transactions and the theories of abstract To some readers it may seem that certain economics. elementary topics have been treated at undue length but, as experience shows that economic structures built on hasty and inadequate generalizations inevitably collapse, it seems hardly possible to take too much pains in making On the other hand, topics which the foundations secure. are in their nature technical or which digress from the and in particular mathematical formulae main theme have been relegated to appendices. Many of the theses maintained will undoubtedly fail to command assent on a first reading, for in any orderly ; — — presentation of a subject serve a the way definite for those cessitated it is impossible to forestall all The aim has been to presequence by which each step prepares objections as they occur. which follow; but this plan has ne- the postponement of some topics beyond the at which a consciousness of their difficulties might begin to trouble the reader. He is therefore asked to stay judgment until he has finished the work, and, if necessary, to reread those parts in which his difficulties were first encountered. This suggestion is especially urged in regard to the treatment of income, the concept of which forms the central theme of the book. point Many of the friendly critics to whom the manuscript has PREFACE viii been shown have at first dissented strongly from the conclusions of Chapter VII, but have invariably withdrawn their objections after finishing Chapter XIV. The nature of income is a subject which has not hitherto received, in economic literature, the attention it deserves. Income plays an important role in all economic problems it is income for which capital exists it is income for which labor is exerted and it is the distribution of income which constitutes the disparity between rich and poor. ; ; Nor mists. who is the subject of interest solely to theoretical econo- It appeals to practical men of affairs and to those are interested in problems of social reform, as well as to the special classes of accountants, actuaries, and mathe- The book is so arranged that the general he so desires, omit the technical portions, such as the appendices and possibly Chapter XVII. It is suggested that all readers should give special attention to Chapters VI, VII, IX, and XIV. The problem of nomenclature has proved not a little puzzling. In general, each term has been employed in one, and only one, sense but to follow this plan exclusively has not been found practicable. Several words are sometimes used for the same concept, for instance, "resources" and "assets," or "utility "and "desirability"; and sometimes the same word has been used in more than one maticians. reader may, if ; — sense, as in the case of " capital," which may mean capitalgoods or capital- value. But special pains have been taken to avoid any confusion or uncertainty of meaning. The definitions have been carefully framed, and will be found collected in a glossary at the end. A few fragments of the book have appeared in a somewhat different form in economic periodicals, and the whole book may be said to be only the elaboration of the ideas outlined some years ago in the Economic Journal. I would express my thanks to the publishers of the Economic Journal for permission to use unaltered some PREFACE passages from " What Capital," 1898, and " is Capital ? " The Role ix 1897, " Senses of Capital in of Economic Theory," 1898, and to the Quarterly Journal of Economics for similar permission with reference to "Precedents for Defining Capital," 1904. I wish also to express my obligations to the many persons who have aided me in the preparation of this work, among them especially my wife my brother, Mr. Herbert W. Fisher my colleagues. Professor Henry C. Emery, Professor John P. Norton, and Dr. Lester W. Zartman; and my friends, Mr. Richard M. Hurd and Mr. Orland S. Isbell of New York City. ; ; IRVING FISHER. New Haven, Conn., June, 1906. CONTENTS FIRST SUMMARY OHAPTEKS INTEODUCTION. FUNDAMENTAL CONCEPTS PART I. CAPITAL PART II. INCOME PART III. CAPITAL AND INCOME PART IV. SUMMARIES . . I-III IV-VI . .... VII-X XI-XVI XVII-XVIII CONTENTS xu SECOND SUMMARY INTRODUCTION OHAFTEB I. II. III. Wealth .......... V. VI. 18 Utility 41 I Capital Capital Accounts Capital Summation 51 66 90 PART VII. VIII. IX. X. Income Income Accounts Income Summation Psychic Income XL Four XIII. XIV. XV. XVI. II 101 119 . . PART XII. 3 Propbrtt PART IV. FAeS . 141 165 III Income-capital Ratios . Concept of Rate of Interest Value of Capital Earnings and Income Capital and Income Accounts The Risk Element . . 183 191 202 227 256 265 PART IV ........ Summary of Part III General Summary Glossary. Summary of Definitions 303 323 APPENDICES 341 INDEX 413 XVII. XVIIL 329 ANALYTICAL TABLE OF CONTENTS CHAPTER I Wealth § 1. Definition of wealth § 2. Classification of wealth § 3. Measurement § 4. Price of wealth of wealth 3 5 8 9 . . § 5. Market-, asking-, appraised-price 11 § 6, Value of wealth 13 § 7. Quantity, price, and value contrasted § 8. Accuracy in measurement of quantity, CHAPTER 14 price, and value 15 II Pkopekty § 1. Definition of property 18 § 2. Definition of services 19 § 3. Definition of rights § 4. Wealth and property § 5. Table illustrating this correlation guide for finding wealth underlying given property rights A second guide One property right overlaid by another A third guide Property rights are always to existing wealth Total ownership is aggregate of partial rights § 6. § 7. § 8. § 9. 20 . 22 correlative A : : 32 34 36 § 11. Importance of a clear understanding of wealth and property CHAPTER 31 ... Classification of property rights . 24 . § 10. . 24 38 III Utility § 1. Desirability vs. satisfaction 41 § 2. Synonyms 42 § ;l Desirability vs. services for desirability (utility, etc.) 43 xiii ^ ANALYTICAL TABLE OF CONTENTS xiv § 4. Total and marginal desirability § 5. Law 44 46 of decreasing marginal desirability CHAPTER rV Capital § 1. Pund and § 2. Discordant definitions of capital § 3. Fundamental truths § 4. Confusions resulting from neglect to introduce time element The weight of economic usage § 5. § 6. § 7. flow distinguished. Capital and income . , . . 51 53 in these conflicting definitions Popular and business usage Correct terminology less important than correct thinking . 57 58 60 61 65 CHAPTER V Capital Accounts § 1. Senses of capital 66 § 2. 68 § 3. Book capitalization Book and market values § 4. Summary 70 of senses of capital 72 Case of decreasing capital-balance . § 6. Effect of payments between stockholders and company §7. " Rights to subscribe " § 8. Stock watering § 9. Insolvency § 10. Pseudo-insolvency § 11. Creditor nominally takes no risk §5. . . . . . .73 . 75 77 79 81 82 82 86 § 14. But practically creditor is risk-taker Winding up a bankrupt company One bankruptcy leads to another § 15. Summary 89 § 12. § 13. 84 87 CHAPTER VI Capital Summation and balances § 1. Methods § 2. Distinction between accounts of real and fictitious persons § 3. Summation by couples brings of couples into relief concrete capital 90 . 92 . 93 ANALYTICAL TABLE OF CONTENTS xv PAOB § 4. § 6. Nature of credit Importance of distinguishing methods of couples and balances CHAPTER 96 97 VII Income § 1. § 2. § 3. Difficulties of defining income 101 The money-income concept The real-income concept 103 104 .... § 7. Error of including as income both commodities and services Vain attempts to escape the pitfalls thus laid Income not restricted to " enjoyable " elements So-called social and individual income § 8. Conclusion § 4. § 5. § 6. . . . 106 109 .112 113 115 CHAPTER VIII Income Accounts § 1. Introduction 119 § 2, Specimen income and outgo accounts Cost of construction is to be included in outgo accounts Devices for making income regular Applications of income accounting 121 § 3. § 4. § 5. § 6. § 7. Example of individual accounts Income and outgo account for negative . 124 127 129 131 capital (liabilities) § 8. Limitations of practical bookkeeping § 9. Income accounts for fictitious persons Relation of income accounts to capital accounts § 10. . . 134 135 . . . 138 139 CHAPTER IX Income Summation §1. Summation by " method of balances " §2. "Interactions" § 3. Interactions which change the form of wealth (production) § 4. Interactions which change the place of wealth (transportation) § 5. Interactions which change the ownership of wealth (exchange) § 6. Accounts illustrative of the first class (production) § 7. Results of combining these accounts § 8. Methods of balances and couples contrasted § 9. Accounts illustrative of the third class, for fictitious persons § 10. Accounts illustrative of the third class, for real persons . . . .... . . § 11. Conclusion . 141 143 145 148 149 152 156 157 158 162 164 • ANALYTICAL TABLE OF CONTENTS XVI CHAPTER X Psychic Income PAGE § 1. Objective income leads up to subjective § 2. Illustrative cases § 3. § 7. Concept of subjective income Objective and subjective incomes differ in time Objective and subjective incomes differ as to labor Labor the only ultimate cost of production Objective and subjective income differ as to pain § 8. Summary 177 § 9. Classification of services 178 § 4. § 5. § 6. 165 . .... 165 167 169 170 173 175 CHAPTER XI Tour Income-capital Ratios § 1. Besume § 2. and value-productivity, physical- and value-return Errors from confusing them How costs, past and future, affect values § 8. § 4. 183 of previous chapters Physical- CHAPTER . 184 Ib6 188 XII Concept of Rate of Interest — -^ 191 § 4. rate of interest as a case of " value-return " . . Annual, semi-annual, quarterly, and continuous reckoning Rate of capitalization or reciprocal of the rate of interest The " premium " and " price " concepts of the rate of interest § 5. The conditions under vphich they are interchangeable . . 196 § 6. Conditions under vrhich they are not interchangeable . . 198 § 7. The § 8. Summary § 1. § 2. § 3. The . . 192 . 19i 194 .199 rate of discount 199 CHAPTER XIII Value of Capital „ The "discount curve § 1. Capital- value of a single future item. § 2. Application to valuing capital, property, and wealth 202 204' § 3. Capital-value of a perpetual annuity 205' § 4. Application to valuing capital, property, and wealth 208 § 5. Capital-value of a terminable annuity § 6. Application to valuing capital, property, and wealth 209 210 bond § 7. Capital-value of a § 8. Capital-value of any income stream whatever 211 217 ANALYTICAL TABLE OF CONTENTS § 9. Capital-value when alternative XVll PAOE 221 income streams are possible § 10. Capital-value of a group of articles § 11. General conclusion 223 223 CHAPTER XIV Earnings and Income § 1. .... Capital-value less than total anticipated income . . §2. Effect of a change in the rate of interest § 3. Value-return may be greater or less than rate of interest § 4. Standard or earned income vs. realized income . . . . . § 5. Increase of capital equals excess of earnings over income . § 6. A depreciation fund as a means of standardizing income . § 7. Sinking funds .... .... .... Other devices for making income regular device of keeping a large stock of instruments § 10. Savings are not a part of realized income §11. Imaginary case of three brothers income tax on the three brothers § 12. An § 13. A misconceived income tax affects the use of capital § 14. To consider " savings " income confuses capital and income § 8. § 9. The ' ' ' ' . . . . . 227 229 229 231 236 238 243 244 246 247 249 250 253 254 CHAPTER XV Capital and Income Accounts § 1. § 2. § 3. and income accounts when items recur regularly. Case in which repairs occur at long intervals The same, when there is a repair fund but no repairs as yet Capital . § 5. The same, when repairs actually occur Extraordinary increases or decreases § 6. Conclusion § 4. .... .... 256 257 259 261 263 264 CHAPTER XVI The Risk Element § 1. Subjective nature of chance . . , . . .... .... § 2. Definition of chance § 3. Risk as applied to the rate of interest Same, in case future income is dependent on rate of interest Risk as applied to immediate income "Riskless," "mathematical," and "commercial" values § 4. § 5. § 6. bond and commercial § 7. Capital-value of a risky § 8. Riskless, mathematical, § 9. Inverse case, where instead of risk of loss there is chance of gain 265 269 271 273 275 276 277 rates of interest 279 280 ANALYTICAL TABLE OF CONTENTS xviii § 10. The general § 11. Difficulties in practice § 12. Enumeration § 13. case, where both are present .... . § 19. § 20. Forms §21. Shifting risks to speculators. § 22. Buying and § 15. § 16. § 17. § 18. 281 283 of causes affecting capital-value on the form of the " discount curve " Effect of chance on bookkeeping Five methods of avoiding risk The method of guaranties The method of safeguards The method of increasing knowledge The method of insurance § 14. PAGE Effect of chance , . . . 284 286 287 288 of insurance Dangers of imitative speculations selling futures 288 289 291 291 294 295 298 CHAPTER XVII Summary of Part § 1. Mode III bt Means op Diagrams of representation adopted 303 304. § 4. income Capital-value as mean between past cost and future income How to combine capital curves § 5. Resultant in case of interactions 311 § 6. Application to summation of capital of individuals § 7. § 8. Application to summation of capital of society An " interaction " as preparatory to enjoyable services § 9. The § 2. § 3. Capital- value as discounted 309 314 . risk element 305- 316 . 317 320 CHAPTER XVIII General Summary § 1. Picture of capital and income § 2. Summation of capital and income .... 323 324 § 3. Subjective counterparts of objective capital and income 326 § 4. Relative changes in values of capital and income 327 § 5. Final summary . 328 GLOSSARY Summary of Definitions 329 APPENDICES Appendix to Chapter I FAGB § 1 (to Ch. I, Dimensions of quantity, value, and price of § 7). 341 wealth Appendix to Chapter § 1 (to Ch. Ill, III Mathematical expression for marginal desir- § 4). 344 ability Appendix to Chapter VII § 1 (to Ch. VII, Specimens of current definitions of income § 1). . 345 Appendix to Chapter XI § 1 (to Mathematical dimensions of income-capital Ch. XI, § 2). 357 ratios Appendix to Chapter XII Mathematical relations between rates of reckoned annually, semi-annually, etc., when the rates are conceived in the " price " sense 2 (to Ch. XII, § 4). The same, when the interest rates are conceived in the " premium " sense. Diagrammatic representation. § 1 (to Ch. XII, § 2). interest § Economic interpretation § 3 (to Ch. XII, § 6). of e 357 358 A premium rate of 4 per cent in one year and 3 per cent thereafter, means a price rate of 3.03 per cent the § § first year and 3 per cent thereafter 4 (to Ch. XII, § 6). price rate of 4 per cent in one year and 3 per cent thereafter means a premium rate of 37^ per cent the first year and 3 per cent thereafter Mathematical relations between the rates of 5 (to Ch. XII, § 6). 362 A interest as a § 6 (to Ch. XII, interest premium and § 7) . as a price 362 363 Mathematical relations between the rates of and discount Mathematical relations between rates of discount for different time reckonings § 8 (to Ch. XII, § 8). Dimensions of rates of interest, discount, 364 § 7 (to Ch. XII, § 7). and capitalization 366 367 ANALYTICAL TABLE OF CONTENTS XX Appendix to Chapter XIII PAGE ........... Ch. XIII, one year § 2 (to Ch. XIII, § 1 (to at § 1). Formula for capital-value of a sum due § 1). Formula for capital-value of a sum end of any time 368 F, due 368 t Formula 3 (to Ch. XIII, § 3). annuity § in for capital- value of a perpetual 369 4 (to Ch. XIII, § 3). Formulae and diagrams for capital- value of annuities payable annually, semi-annually, quarterly, and con- § 369 tinuously § 5 (to Ch. XIII, ous income Ch. XIII, § 6 (to § 3). Diagrams for discontinuous and continu371 § 5). Formula for capital- value of a terminable 374 annuity Ch. XIII, § 7 (to annuities § 8 (to § § Discussion of formulae for terminable § 5). by diagrams. Ch. XIII, § 7). 9 (to Ch. XIII, § 7). of a bond "Total discount." " Total interest " 374 .378 Formula} for value of bond Alternative method for computing value 380 . . 10 (to Ch. XIII, § 7). Formula for a bond -when interest reckoned oftener than yearly § 11 (to Ch. XIII, § 8). Formula for capital-value of any is 382 series of 382 income installments § .... 12 (to Ch. XIII, § 8). Diagram and formula for deriving capitalvalue from a given continuous income stream § Diagram showing the accumulated XIII, § 8). "amount" of a given income stream 14 (to Ch. XIII, § 10). Effect of reckoning semi-annually, quarterly, and continuously, on the rate of interest realized from the income of a continuously replenished stock of articles § 15 (to Ch. XIII, § 11). § 13 (to . interest 390 . Appendix to Chapter Ch. XIV, § 5). rival concepts of § 2 (to Ch. XIV, § 12). XIV, § 13). When • 393 XIV the interest rate varies, there are " standard income " Effect of 396 foreknown tax on increase of 398 capital § 3 (to Ch. 388 Kepresentation of capital and income by polar coordinates two . 387 Influence of variation in the rate of . § 16 (to Ch. XIII, § 11). § 1 (to 383 Ch. tax impracticable Unrestricted application of a true income •• • 400 ANALYTICAL TABLE OF CONTENTS xxi Appendix to Chapter XVI PAOB XVi, § 6). Mathematical coefficients of proTjability, caution, and risk 403 2 (to Ch. XVI, § 7). Formula for mathematical value of a riskybond 403 3 (to Ch. XVI, § 10). Variability about a mean, as measured by the " standard deviation " 406 4 (to Ch. XVI, § 20). Method of computing a pure level life insurance premium 410 § 1 (to Ch. § § § INDEX 413 INTRODUCTION. Fundamental Concepts Chapter I. Chapter II. Chapter III. Wealth Property Utility THE NATUEE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME CHAPTER I WEALTH § 1 The term " wealth" is used in this book to signify material owned by human beings. According to this definition, an object, to be wealth, must conform to only two conditions it must be material, and it must be owned. To these, some writers add a third condition, namely, that it must be useful. But while utility is undoubtedly an essential attribute of wealth, it is not a distinctive one, being implied in the attribute of appropriation hence it is redundant in a definition. Other writers, like Cannan, while specifying that an object, to be wealth, must be useful, do not specify that it must be owned. They therefore objects : ; define wealth as " useful material objects." This definition, however, includes too much. Rain, wind, clouds, the Gulf Stream, the heavenly bodies especially the sun, — from which we derive most of our light, heat, and energy are all useful, but are not appropriated, and so are not — wealth as commonly imderstood. Still other writers be wealth, must be "exchangeable." would exclude parks. Houses of Parhament, the Hague Temple of Peace, and much other trusteed wealth all wealth, in fact, which happens to fall into permanent hands. Although it is essential that wealth insist that But an article, to this restriction ; should be owned, it is not essential that 3 it should contin- NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 4 [Chap. I Again, many writers, like McLeod, "material" altogether, in order to make room for the inclusion of such "immaterial wealth" as stocks, bonds, and other property rights, and for human and other services. Property and services are, it is true, inseparable from wealth, and wealth from them, but they ually change owners. omit the quaHfier are not wealth. To embrace these under one term all A railway, a railway not three separate items of involves a species of triple counting. share, and a railway wealth; trip are they are respectively wealth, a wealth, and a service of that wealth. mists, like Tuttle, title to that Finally, a few econo- have endeavored to break away from The term " wealth," they main- concrete objects entirely. tain, applies, not to the concrete objects, but to the value these objects. of contention. Much may be But as the question said in support of this is chiefly verbal, that is, not a question of finding a suitable concept, but of finding a suitable word for a concept, it does not seem advisable to depart from the prevailing usage among economists. Wealth, then, includes all those parts of the material universe which have been appropriated to the uses of mankind. It does not include the sun, moon, or stars, because no man owns them. It is confined to this little planet, and only to parts of that namely, the appropriated ; portions of the earth's surface upon it is as in and the appropriated objects The appropriation need not partial and for a particular purpose, the case of the Newfoundland Banks, which are approbe it. complete; often only priated only in the sense that the fishermen of certain nations have the right to take fish in their vicinity, while their waters are open to all men for all other purposes. In fact, it is doubtful if any objects owned them may use them there are unrestrictedly that the owner of absolute defiance of the wishes of others. in By appropriation any object is therefore meant that degree tion to which the object is subjected. of so of appropria- WEALTH Sec. 2] 5 Any single object of wealth is called an article of wealth, an item of wealth, or an instrument. The term "instrument" is perhaps the most convenient. It appears to have been first employed by John Rae in 1834.^ § Various classes of wealth 2 may Wealth any fixed structures upon it, land improvements; and the two together, constituting immovable wealth, real estate. All wealth which is movable (except man himself) we which consists A third group includes human beings shall call commodities. — not only be distinguished. of the earth's surface is called land; who slaves beings, but also freemen owned by other human own masters. are who are their It is true that freemen are not ordinarily counted as wealth; and, indeed, they are a very peculiar form of wealth, for various reasons: because they are not, first, bought and sold; secondly, because the owner usually estimates his own importance so much more highly than any one else and finally, because the owner and the thing owned in this case coincide. Yet they are, like other wealth, "material" and "owned." These attributes, and others which depend on them, justify* the inclusion of man as wealth. But in order to concede as like ordinary wealth, ; much as possible to popular usage, the following supple- mentary definition restricted sense) is framed: we mean external to the owner. New wealth (in its material objects owned by more man and This definition obviously includes but not freemen. But it cation than the wider definition slaves, By is more first difficult of given, as it appU- requires Principles of Political Economy, recently reprinted under the Theory of Capital, Macmillan, 1905. ^ Among those writers who have included man in the category of wealth are Davenant, Petty, Canard, Say, McCuUoch, Roscher, Wittstein, Walras, Engel, Weiss, Dargun, Ofner, Nicholson, and Pareto. ^ title Sociological NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 6 [Chap. I US to separate into arbitrary classes those persons who are intermediate between freemen and slaves, such as vassals, indentured servants, long-time apprentices, and negroes held in peonage. A man bound out to service for thirty years almost indistinguishable from a slave, and if the term of is service be long enough and the control absolute enough, the distinction becomes a distinction without a difference. On the other hand, the shorter the term of service, the As a matter nearer does his condition approach freedom. most workers in modern society are "hired," i.e. bound by contract to some extent and for some period of time, even though it be for no more than an hour, and to that extent are not free. In short, there are many degrees of freedom and many degrees of slavery, with no fixed of fact, line of Two demarcation. concepts have been defined which ignated as "wealth in in its more may be des- more general sense " and " wealth restricted sense." between them. is its Ordinarily, There need be no confusion when the simple term " wealth used, the former concept will be understood, and ' any propositions which hold true of this broader concept will we have occasion at any time to refer to the latter exclusively, we may always make use of the full phrase, "wealth in its more necessarily apply also to the narrower one. If restricted sense." There are many admissible ways of classifying wealth, one being more or less desirable than another according to the purpose for which it is intended. The scheme on page 7 is not based on any one logical criterion, but is intended merely to give the principal groups into which wealth, as it actually exists, naturally falls. It scarcely needs to be stated that the various classes are not always absolutely distinct. Like all classes of concrete things, they merge imperceptibly from one into another. For this reason the classification is of httle importance WEALTH Sec. 2] a bird's-eye view of economic science. except to give In fact, the classification paramount importance in tion, but analysis, solves of concrete things is scientific study. Not seldom of classifica- scientific problems.^ f productive land crop land grazing land timber land mining land hunting land fisheries riand ' ] ways of transit . . railways roadways waterways - parks building land ' land improvements - L r raw materials -! [ buildings improvements on highways minor f overhead underground surfacing . bridging mineral agricultural manufactured by being burned by being eaten or drunk [ by being otherwise used r consumable ^ o finished -! mechanical devices animals products . durable -I "hard money" and jewelry furniture and works of art clothing reading matter "3 L minor slaves free ^ See the writer's ber, 1896, p. 516; "What is Capital?" Economic Journal, Decem- and "Precedents Journal of Economics, March, 1904. for Defining Capital," Quarterly NATUEE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 8 [Chap. I 3 § In the definition of wealth were included two attributes is material; and, it is owned. These attributes, materiality and appropriation, need to be considered separately. The remainder of this chapter will be devoted to wealth the former. An important and useful result of the materiality of is that it provides a basis for the physical measurement of wealth. Wealth is of many kinds, and each kind is measured in its own proper physical unit. These units have been handed down to us from various sources and in great diversity, but all of them are in the last analysis wealth arbitrary. Many This is kinds of wealth are measured by weight-units. true of "commodities." some coal, iron, Each beef, unit and consists particular piece of matter which in of is fact, of most the weight of adopted for con- For instance, the English pound is simply a lump of platinum kept in London and called arbitrarily the pound. venience as a standard. Many are not so conveniently measured by by space-units, whether of volume, area, or length. Thus we have, for volume, milk measured by the quart, wheat by the bushel, wood by the cord, and gas by the cubic foot for areas, we have lumber sold by the square foot and land by the acre; for length, we have rope, wire, ribbons, and cloth measured in feet and yards. All these units of length, area, and volume are also quite arbitrary or conventional. The definition of the English yard, for instance, is an imaginary line drawn between two small articles weight-units as ; dots on gold plugs in a particular brass rod in London. Many articles exist in more or less definite units which need only to be counted, as for instance, eggs or oranges, which are measured by the dozen. Similarly, writing paper is reckoned by the quire pencils and screws by the gross. ; WEALTH Sec, 3] 9 In such cases we say that the article is measured by number. But "number" is by no means peculiar to the last-named case. All measurement implies both an abstract number, and a concrete unit, as "ten screws," "six eggs," or "four pounds-of-granulated-sugar." The example suggests that in order to specify fully it is necessary to enumerate attributes, or enough of them to distinguish particular its with which it may become conit from other sorts of wealth Thus, it is often necessary to specify what "grade" fused. or "brand" is meant, as "Grade A," "Eagle Brand," "Lackawanna" coal. Sometimes the special sort is denoted by a trade mark or hallmark. It is in this way that the last the unit of any kind of wealth, attributes of particular kinds of wealth enter into the con- sideration of economic science, and not, as some have er- roneously supposed, separately as an "immaterial" sort of The wealth. "fertility" of land wealth apart from the land which is wealth. The "skill" in addition to the man is itself; of a himself; not to be counted as it is the "fertile land" mechanic it is is not wealth the "skilled me- chanic" who should be put in the category of wealth. Of course, the number expressing the measure of wealth be unity, as for instance, "one dwelling." Sometimes there is only one article of the particular kind in existence. There is but one Battery Park, one Buckingham Palace, one Koh-i-noor diamond, one Rhynd papyrus. Dealers may call such articles "uniques." Strictly speaking, every ar- might be called a unique, even as no two grains of wheat are precisely alike; but for practical purposes we overlook minor differences and regard articles sufficiently similar as homogeneous. ticle § Thus each individual kind its own special unit, purposes it is 4 of wealth may be measured — pounds, gallons, yards more important to ; in but for most measure the value of wealth. NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 10 [Chap. I may be done in dollars and cents, pounds and shiland centimes, and so forth. This is also a species of physical measurement, but involves the principle of exchange. So much mystery has surrounded the term and this lings, francs ''value" that we cannot be too careful to obtain correct In the explanation which to depend on that of price; that of price in turn on exchange; and finally, that of exchange on transfer. An article of wealth is said to be transferred when it changes owners. It is to be observed that such a change does not necessarily imply any change of place. Ordinarily, the transfer of an article involves change in its position. The purchase of tea or sugar is accompanied by the delivery of these articles across the counter from dealer But in many cases such a change of position to customer. does not occur, and in the case of real estate it is even imThis distinction between change of ownership possible. and change of position is not always borne in mind. It is sometimes said, for instance, that exports and imports must balance in a certain manner. But if by "exports" and simple ideas on the subject. follows, the concept of value is we mean made articles that are sent out of the country, ''imports" those which come into and by the proposition will it, When, some years ago. Englishmen were buying American breweries, these articles, of course, were not exported, though they were transferred to foreign not hold true. ownership. may be voluntary or involuntary. Examples of involuntary transfers of wealth are transfers effected either (1) through force and fraud of individuals, as in robbery, burglary, embezzlement, etc.; or (2) through force Transfers of government, as in taxes, court fines, etc. we have But at present do with voluntary transfers. Voluntary transfers are of two kinds (1) one-sided transfers, i.e. gifts and bequests and (2) reciprocal transfers or exchanges, which are the most important for economic science. to : ; WEALTH Sec. 5] Exchange of wealth, then, 11 means the mutual and volun- tary transfer of wealth between two owners, each transfer being If either of the in consideration of the other. ties of wealth quotient is exchanged two quanti- divided by the other, the is Thus, when three called the price of the latter. bushels of wheat are traded for two dollars of gold, the price of the wheat is two times, one of the condition is other wealth, one who wheat per articles is not essential, and in When even common. it is who the exchange dollar. one of money for is called a purchase (with reference to the parts with the to the person and the price In modern usually money, but this primitive times was not § of a dollar per bushel, of the gold is IJ bushels of money) and a sale (with reference receives the money). § In order that there may 5 be a price, it is not necessary that the exchange in question should actually take place. It may be only a contemplated exchange. agent often has an "asking price," that is, A real estate a price at which he tries to sell, usually above the price of an actual sale. In the same way there is often a "bidding price," which is usually below the price of actual sale. The price of sale thus generally Ues between the prices first bid and asked. But it sometimes happens that the bidder refuses to raise his bid and the seller refuses to lower his asking price. In such a case no sale takes place and the only prices are those bid and asked. Trade journals report, for many commodities, the price of sale if there is a sale, otherwise the two prices bid and asked, or if both do not exist, the one which does. When there is no price bid or asked, What is ment" the price? sale, it is and especially when there is no not so easy to answer the question. Recourse or appraisal, which is is then had to an "appraise- simply a more or less skilful NATUKE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 12 [Chap. I guess as to what price the article would or should fetch. Appraising or guessing at prices is often very difficult in It is necessarily employed, however, by the govpractice. ernment in assessing taxes and customs and condemning land by insurance companies in settUng claims and adjusting losses by merchants in making up inventories and other statements; and by statisticians and others. In fact, some people make a living by simply appraising wealth on which, for one purpose or another, a price of some sort must ; ; be Evidently, the purpose makes a great difference in set. Sometimes we need to know the price for which an article could be sold at an immediate forced sale; sometimes, what it might be expected to bring if a reasonable time were allowed sometimes, what the owner would probably take; sometimes, what a possible purchaser would probably give. These appraised prices may all be A family portrait may be worth an untold different. amount to the owner, but might bring next to nothing if The owner would endeavor to appraise it at actually sold. a high figure if he wished to insure it against fire; but if he wished to borrow money on it, the appraisement would doubtless be small, for the pawnbroker would consider it the appraisal. ; almost worthless. Thus, in practically making an appraisement we encounmany difficulties, owing partly to the unknown char- ter acter and condition But whatever the and partly by the appraisal. of the parties involved, to the variety of interests to be served and ambiguities in asany article, the price or without ambiguity. The vague- difficulties certaining a price or prices for prices do actually exist ness comes wholly from failure to specify sufficiently the conditions under which the exchange we is to take place. If specify in sufficient detail the conditions of the contem- plated exchange, or not its we can guess matter. terms will be quite definite but whether is quite another at those terms correctly ; WEALTH Sec. 6] § 13 6 Having obtained the price of any kind of wealth, we may compute the value of any given quantity of that wealth, without necessarily supposing that particular quantity to be exchanged. The value of a given quantity of wealth is found by multiplying the quantity by the price. Thus, if the price of wheat is § of a dollar per bushel, then a lot consisting of 3000 bushels would have a value of 3000 x In other words, the value of a $1 per bushel or $2000. certain amount of one kind of wealth is the quantity of some other kind for which it would be exchanged, if the whole amount were exchanged at the price set upon it. The exchange which sets the price need not be the exchange of the particular 3000 bushels which we are valuing some other exchange of, say, 300 bushels for $200 may set the price. This is one reason why it is preferable to ex- and value afterward. which has been given, applying, an of wealth instead of the unit, it does, to aggregate as departs somewhat from economic usage; but it follows closely the usage of business men and practical statisticians. Economists have not usually thought it necessary to distinguish between the purchasing power of the unit and the aggregate, but have employed the term "value" indiscriminately to both. In other respects also their usage has been somewhat different from that here employed. Some of them have confined "price" to a money expression, i.e. to what is here called money price, and appHed the term "value" to purchasing power in "goods." Others have used the term "price" in the sense of what an article actually sells for (market price) and "value" in the sense of what it ought to sell for (appraised price or reasonable price). Others, in turn, have used the term "price "in the sense employed in this book, but "value" in the sense of the degree of esteem in which an article is held ("marginal utility" plain price The first definition of value NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 14 [Chap. I It seems preferable to conform our definitions of value and price as closely as possible to business usage, which instinctively and consistently apphes or "subjective value"). the term " price" to the unit and " value " to the aggregate. §7 The wealth between quantity, price, and value of be seen clearly in any "inventory," such as the distinction may following : — WEALTH Sec. 7] in the mind of or wheat value. man, but purely 15 objective, as money value, It has, of course, subjective causes, but these do not concern us yet.^ The measurement of wealth in "value" has this great advantage over its measurement in "quantity," that it translates the many kinds of wealth into a single kind. All the items in the third expressed in a common column of the inventory are thus unit, the bushel. We may conse- quently add together this column and obtain a single sum, namely, 14,410 bushels but summation of the first column impossible, because shoes, pounds of beef, houses, and bushels of wheat are incommensurable. We see here one ; is money of the important functions of of measurement out ; it brings uniformity of diversity. But, although this reduction to a practically convenient, it common measure is would, of course, be a great mis- take to suppose that it gives what may be called "the true measure of wealth." "The value of wealth" is an incomplete phrase; to be definite we should say, "the value of wealth in terms of gold," or in terms of some other particuWe cannot, therefore, use such values for lar article. comparing different groups of wealth except under certain To compare the conditions and to a Hmited degree. wealth-values of America and England, of Ancient Rome and Modern Italy, of Carnegie and Crcesus, will give different results according to the standard of value employed. §8 We have seen how to measure the three magnitudes, quantity, price, and value of wealth. This measurement The degree of acis, practically, a very inaccurate affair. curacy attained is exaggerated in the minds of most perIn measurements of sons, even including business men. quantities of wealth there are two sources of error, for every * Further explanation as to the dimensions of the quantity, price, of wealth are given in the Appendix to Chap. I, § 1. and value NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 16 [Chap. I measurement includes, as we have seen, two elements: a unit of measure, which may be inaccurate and a number or ratio between the quantity to be measured and the unit, which number may also be inaccurate. In modern times the first source of error is practically ehminated. Our units of weight and measure are standardized by law, and a pound weight in CaUfornia is equal to one in Connecticut, within one part in many thousand. The chief source of ; error, therefore, Hes not in the unit, but in the ratio of the inaccuracy is as great as five per cent, or greater. Wholesale transactions are more accurate. A large manufacturing concern of Syracuse had its measurement of the weight of caustic soda sold in carload lots compared with the measurement made by its customers, and the results agreed within one Probably fifth of one per cent on two fifty-carload lots. In wealth to that unit. retail trade the the greatest degree of accuracy ever obtained in com- on the Mint scales used by the United States in Philadelphia and San Francisco. These scales weigh accurately to within about one part in ten mercial measurements is million. When we we introduce proceed from quantities of wealth to values, still a third source of inaccuracy, namely, in by which we multiply. This is especially the price be merely an " appraised " price. The price of any actual sale is an absolute fact and cannot be said to have any inaccuracy; but the price at which we estimate the price factor true if that a thing would sell under certain conditions is always In the case of staple articles, i.e. articles regularly on the market, a dealer can often appraise correctly within one per cent. Real estate in certain parts of a city where sales are active can sometimes be appraised correctly within five or ten per cent; but in the "dead" or out-ofthe-way parts of some towns, where sales are infrequent, the appraisement becomes merely a rough guess. Again, in the country districts, while farms in the settled parts of uncertain. WEALTH Sec. 8] 17 Iowa and Texas can be appraised within ten or fifteen per cent, in the backward parts even an expert's valuation is often proved wrong by more than fifty per cent. In some cases, in fact, where a sale of the article is scarcely conceivTo able, an appraisement is almost out of the question. estimate the value of the Yellowstone Park is impossible, unless we allow ourselves a range of several hundred per Similar wide limits must be allowed when we try cent. human beings. We can often give a lower but seldom an upper one. The estimates may vary enormously with the point of view. It is sometimes said, "If I could buy Mr. So-and-So at my valuation and sell to value free limit, him at his, I'd get rich." some conclude, as It would be wrong, however, to writers have, that because we cannot value them accurately, public parks or freemen cannot be called wealth. When the slaves in the South became free- men they ceased to be appraised as wealth. The result has been somewhat confusing to our census statistics. The Manufacturers' Record of Baltimore recently issued showing a sharp drop in the assessed valuations of wealth in the South after the war, and the inference was drawn that wealth had immensely decreased. But a large part of this so-called decrease consisted merely in the change of ownership of slaves from their old masters to themselves, and the consequent omission of them from the statistics. Various writers, from Petty down to Engel and Nicholson, have tried to assess the value of human beings. Professor Nicholson estimates roughly that the English nation is worth at least five times the value of other existing wealth in England.^ Such calculations are of course figures of more moment. They are also and involve in each case some par- theoretical than practical necessarily inaccurate, ticular supposition as to the purpose of the for instance, whether it is appraisement to indicate the earning the population, their value to themselves, or to others. * c Economic Journal, March, 1891, p. 95. ; power of CHAPTER II PROPERTY The definition of Wealth in the previous chapter restricts meaning to concrete material objects. But economics has also to deal with abstract services, utilities, and propertyrights. These, like material wealth, are bought and sold, and are, in fact, often regarded as a sort of "immaterial" its or " incorporeal " wealth. It is, however, needless as well as confusing to include these elements under the general cate- They are not wealth, though they are The definition given shows that wealth has two attributes: it must be material, and it must be owned. Its materiality was the subject of the gory of wealth. intimately related to wealth. previous chapter; its ownership will be the subject of the present chapter. meant by owning wealth? We answer: to have the right to use it. Such a right is called 'property, or, more explicitly, a property right. To own a loaf of bread, or to have property or proprietorship in it, means nothing more nor less than to have the right to eat it, or sell it, or otherwise employ it to satisfy one's desires. To own a suit of clothes is to have the exclusive right to wear it. But what To own a is carriage is to have the right to drive in it or To own a plot of land means to have the right to its use forever. The concept of property "right wealth" is more the to use fully expressed by the phrase, the "right to the uses of wealth." In this phrase we have to deal with two new otherwise utilize it as long as — ideas it lasts. — — rights and uses — each separately. 18 of which needs to be treated PROPERTY Sec. 2] 19 §2 We need first to understand what is the nature of the uses The or services of wealth. services of an instrument of wealth are the desirable changes effected (or the undesirable changes prevented) by means of that instrument. For loom consist in changing yarn into instance, the services of a cloth, or what is called weaving. Similarly, a plow per- forms the service of changing the soil in a particular manner a bricklayer, of changing the position of bricks. A dam or dike performs the service of preventing the water from overflowing the land; a fence, of preventing cattle from roaming; a necklace, of sparkling or reflecting light, and thereby satisfying the love of beauty or the vanity of the owner. When services are described as desirable events, it is meant that they are desired or esteemed by the owner or owners, not necessarily by every one, or even any one, else. It may even happen that the events are distinctly distaste- A factory whistle may be a nuisance to every one except the factory owner. In this connection it is important to distinguish between ful to others. the uses or desirable events, and the utility or desirability The desirable service is a thing; it is The desirability of the service, on the a quality, and is purely subjective. It is of those events. usually objective. other hand, is a feeling toward the events, not the events themselves. In the present chapter we do not have to deal with the desirability, and it will form the subject of the next chapter. Each sort of service is measured in its own appropriate unit. Sometimes the measurement is by number, i.e. obtained by simply counting the acts in which the specified service consists, as, for instance, in the case of the strokes sometimes the measurement is by time, day laborer; while sometimes the measurement of the services is expressed in terms of the of a printing press ; as in the case of the NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 20 [Chap, II by those services, as in the case of The services of a miner are measured by reference to the quantity of coal mined the services of a planter, by the number of acres planted and of a spinning machine, by the number of yards spun. Services, units of wealth affected so-called piecework. ; ; like wealth, are subject to have prices. The quantity of When price gives its value. standard, exchange and, in consequence, any service multiplied reduced to value in a all varieties of services by its common become commensurable with each other and with wealth. The opposite of a service is a disservice, which is an un- desirable change effected (or a desirable change prevented) by means For instance, a locomotive renders coal; a farm, by requiring fertilizers and labor a factory, by requiring costs of working. Disservices, like services, are measured in quantity by special units and made commensurable in value by disservices of wealth. by consuming ; reduction to a common standard. 3 § Having seen what is meant by services of wealth, we next is meant by the right to those services. "Right" is a term of jurisprudence, and brings economics into contact with the whole subject of legal and custom-sanctioned ask what relations; but, for our present purpose, to go far in this direction. it is not necessary The right of a person to the be defined as his liberty, under the sanction of law and society, to enjoy the services uses of an article of wealth may of that article. Lawyers distinguish between property rights and personal rights; but, to the economist, The tary. rights exists only so long as wealth to the narrower of long as we exclude free all rights are proprie- between property distinction its we two human and personal meaning of restrict the definitions, that beings. instance in which logical convenience is is, only so Here we have an served by adopting PEOPERTY Sec. 3] 21 the broader definition of wealth, which includes beings even when free, and by adopting broad definition of property so as to include This being premised, to jurisprudence. every right No a property right. human also a coextensively known all rights it follows that have ever been suggested which are not rights to obtain and enjoy the is rights uses of wealth, either persons or things. to liberty, fife, and the pursuit one's right to certain uses of his of a husband over and the his wife and Even the "right of happiness" own is The person. simply rights of a wife over her husband, reciprocal rights between parents and children, as well as all other rights in 'personam, are claims against particular persons; while the right to reputation, to the free immunity from boycott, perseupon the community generally.^ exercise of one's calling, to cution, etc., are claims These rights are not ordinarily called property rights, just as persons are not ordinarily called wealth, and for a similar — they do not enter into trade. When wives were bought and sold they were regarded as wealth, and marital rights as property. To-day, both are taken out of commerce and therefore removed from commercial ideas and terms. The economist need not, perhaps, absolutely like the business man, he is chiefly insist on restoring them But in framing his definiinterested in what is salable. reason, ; tions he finds it difficult, if not impossible, to confine the terms "wealth" and "property" to objects which are ex- changeable, without thereby sacrificing simplicity and logical convenience, and excluding certain objects, such as public parks and former Enghsh entails, which, though never sold, even business men would call wealth and property respectively. We therefore choose in this book to frame our nitions so as to include such elements, even not further referred to include too 1 Cf. T. 90, 128. much to. In defi- though they be definitions, it is usually better rather than too little, and in this case, E. Holland, Jurisprudence, Macmillan, 1898, pp. 50, 80, 87, NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 22 at least, the superfluous which is [Chap. II included will seldom con- cern and never embarrass us. Property rights, then, consist of rights to the uses or services of wealth. ways and But the which we own are alfuture services; the past have per- necessarily Moreover, since ished. all services future events are uncertain, we are always constrained to reckon with the element of chance. A strictly complete definition of a property right, therefore, would read as follows A property right is the right to the chance of obtaining some or all of the future services of one or more articles of wealth. : Property each in is its is measurable, just as are wealth and services, own "by number," of the Usually the measurement by counting the number of rights particular unit. that same kind. is, Thus, one hundred shares of preferred stock in a particular company is of that particular property. a statement of the amount The concepts transfer, exchange, price, and value apply to property as to wealth and Indeed, as an exchange of wealth to services. is but a con- cealed exchange of services, so an exchange of services is but a concealed exchange of the right thereto, namely, property. Hence the exchange of property is the final form of exchange, and includes in itself all other forms whatso- ever, §4 Wealth and property, then, are correlative terms. Wealth is the concrete thing owned; property is the abstract right of ownership. The two concepts mutually imply each other. There can be no wealth without property rights applying to which it, nor property rights without wealth In fact, the proposition that and wealth are coextensive follows necessarily from the definitions of wealth and property which we have adopted. But it may readily be objected that in the actual concrete world, for which these definitions were designed, the correspondence between what are to property they apply. PROPERTY Sec. 4] known as wealth 23 and property does not hold true. of the case, however, will ough examination A thor- remove this objection. Sometimes wealth and property rights are so closely associated as to be confused with each other, so that, unless one stops to consider the matter, the existence of the two separate concepts would not be suspected. This is true in the case of "fee simple," where a piece of land is spoken of as a "piece of property." For practical purposes, little objection can be raised to such popular usage, but even in such cases strict accuracy requires that the two ideas should be distinguished. The distinction is more easily remembered if we employ the full phrase "property right." A loaf of bread erty right; the right to eat other hand, in the is concrete wealth, not a prop- more involved we encounter the opposite On the property. it is The danger here difficulty. separating the concepts of wealth and property too so as to consider them the cases of property rights, is in far, as independent instead of interde- When railway shares are sold in Wall Street, the prone to think of those shares as entirely detached from any concrete wealth. It is unlikely that he has ever seen or ever will see the steel rails, cars, and locopendent. investor is motives upon which those shares are based; and indeed, the only concrete object of which he is Hkely to be distinctly conscious is is the paper certificate clear that this paper certificate is not itself. itself But it the prop- but merely the written evidence of it and that the railway shares, to be property, involve a real railway (v>^ealth) underneath. That all wealth involves a property right is not likely to be denied by any one; and that all property rights involve underlying wealth should be equally evident. But this is not the case. In fact, some of the most dangerous fallacies which beset the business world, including many of the sophisms of credit, are due to the difficulty of recogerty, NATUEE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 24 nizing the wealth lying behind property in [Chap. II some of its sub- limated forms. §5 In order not to devote too much space to this subject the best procedure will be to give types of the chief forms and to specify in each case what wealth underThis is done in the table on pages 26 and lies the right. 27, which also specifies the services involved, and (where they of property, exist) the certificate or written evidence of the property right. §6 Probably ninety per cent of the actual property in the United States would be included under the cases entitled Fee Simple, Partnership Rights, Stocks, Bonds, Notes, and In all of these cases, the existence of the Lease Rights. real wealth behind them is well known and acknowledged. For practical purposes, therefore, the proposition that wealth and property are coextensive is already established. Of the remaining cases some seem a Uttle obscure at first, but they may be readily solved if we bear in mind a few general principles The first thought which should guide us is that, given any particular property right, we should first discover the benefits or "services" secured by that right, then the physThese ical means by which those services are obtained. means are not always identical with the "cause" of those For instance, real estate with a southern exservices. posure is especially desired because of the sunlight which The sun may be called the cause of the sunit. but the land is the practical means of obtaining it. To own or not to own the land is to obtain or not to obtain the sunlight which goes with it. It is the land which falls upon light, puts the sunlight at the disposal of its owner. On the other hand, when a lamp gives its fight it is not only means, but also cause. PROPERTY Sec. 6] 25 Following this idea, that wealth is simply the means and not necessarily the cause, we can better understand some We see clearly what it is that lies of the items in the table. behind a street railway franchise, or the franchise of the underground system of New York City. It must be the wealth by means of which the transportation can take place. The streets which the railway has the right to use form the necessary means for its transportation services. To own them the streets involves the possession of the right to use for transportation purposes, and, or sold, as when a franchise is when this right is given granted, this act constitutes a partial surrender of the ownership of the streets. Again, let us consider the case of a promise. The physical means of fulfilling a promise are. evidently the person who made the promise and the wealth which that person can or will use for that purpose. by a mortgage he may But is Thus, a debt or bond secured primarily a claim upon the promisor which satisfy out of his earnings or his general wealth. advantage over other forms of upon a specific portion of the promisor's wealth, which may be taken in payment even against his will, if the promisor otherwise fails to make good his promise. Here the means of perfecting the right evidenced by the bond include the it offers this great indebtedness, that it is also a contingent claim person of the promisor, his general wealth, and the specific part of that wealth covered by the mortgage. On the other hand, a "labor due" is principally a claim upon the person of the laborer, for he must be the means of performing the labor required. In country districts farmers are often under obUgations to the county to furnish a certain amount The right to such work of roadwork of men and horses. a species of property belonging to the county. A still is found in cases where the labor or services to be rendered are of a personal or artistic character, such for, as the singing of a Patti or the acting of a Bernhardt is better example ; while one under contract to lay bricks might reasonably 02 H w o >^ Pi H P4 CLh O 04 Oh Q I— W w H I-:) <1 fa O w O I— H 02 XI 15 w H O I— H <i1 P4 H O s 05 3 M H O J 2^ |z; B S Q ^ S « ? << O" O M oa w PL, a;3 Su CQ fc. •^a o -a S3 CO ^:: o O O 73 A ft. tC! o.-g HM Eh rt S +3 4J S- - ^ - I'^^itC a -i:^ Cj f5 <B >^ S o3 '-a O O O O o d o o +^ ^ :3 bi ;-! t< a /1^ t- 03 rn :l- (11 t^ :^ Oi _i_zi t< > 1^. bD a T3 tD fl C! o O O *- ;3 <» a. 2 ^ ^a 43 j3 "II 1^.2 :1s bCbJDbC&CbCbCbCiJCbC a t(-( s*_i tj_i <<_, o o o o I I ; -^ -is c3 S3 bC W) C3 ^ &5 26 o 03 -3 S — CQ g o 03 02 fl O^ OJ OS'*- 03 ^ 'S 03 a-t^ S Q<a 03 M) rj NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 28 fulfil his contract bricklayer, [Chap. II by furnishing another equally no audience attracted by either of those skilful artists would accept in return for its entrance money the performThis ance of any understudy, no matter how capable. right to the services of a particular person, as distinguished from the right to services of a particular character, gives rise to many Similarly, a personal curious cases in law. note is to a large extent a claim upon the person of the drawer, though also a claim upon his other wealth; for both the man himself and his external wealth are the means of keeping good the promise and finally paying the debt. Another case is that of a ''factor's agreement" or some other promise by which a firm or person agrees to refrain from certain acts, such as selling in competition with the promisee. Some years ago a paper manufacturer near New Haven was offered a round sum if he would close his mills. This he did, to the benefit of both himself and his former In this case the contract rivals, though not of the public. which he made with his rivals constituted a kind of prop- by means of which his promise was made good was evidently his own person, together with and the service performed was the inactivity of his plant erty for them the wealth ; ; both. Good will is of property. a less certain though still a valuable form A few years ago one of the largest newspapers was sold. The property included, besides presses, type, Hnotype machines, office building, etc., An overthe items of overdue subscriptions and good will. due subscription is a debt which constitutes a virtual promise of the subscriber, and thousands of these in the aggregate make up a considerable value. By good will is meant in the United States something very similar; namely, the quasi-promise of the subscribers to continue to pay as long as the newspaper is sent to them and they These quasi-promises are satisfied. are also property, being almost equivalent to a signed agreement of the subscribers to the effect "We hereby promise : PROPERTY Sec. 6] 29 PubHshing Compay the annual sum of $8 to the is received newspaper its long as and so that provided pany, the right merely will is Thus good and is satisfactory." and patsupport of promise to a tacit, loose, and contingent owns a will ronage, less cost. The firm possessing good precarious yet valuable claim upon its patrons, namely, the chance of their continued patronage. The persons of these subscribers, and their other wealth, are what underUe the property right, because they are the means to the Of course desired services to which those rights apply. to the chance of obtaining these services would be is very much less the services were specifically promised than it but chance, either large or small, if is involved in all property rights. In the same way, the ''custom" of a tailor or the "pracis simply the right to the chance of tice" of a physician future patronage. A franchise in the sense of a monopoly privilege granted by a government is quite different from a street railway The object of the monopoly is to prevent cerfranchise. The means to that end are, tain acts of certain persons. in the last analysis, the persons refrain, who are constrained to and the wealth withdrawn from competition. We may similarly regard a copyright. case of the paper trust, part of whose property RecalUng the was the prom- a paper manufacturer not to compete, we may regard a copyright as the right to a similar refraining from or reAt one time, an English pubstraining of competition. ise of lisher would obtain the promise of an American publisher It would have been property not to "pirate" his works. of great value to the publishers of the Encyclopaedia Bri- they could have prevented the pirating of their work in this country. Prevention can now be accomphshed tannica if through the instrumentality of international copyright. The wealth underlying this property right is the wealth which, if employed in the specified line, would enter into NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 30 [Chap. II It mainly consists and plants of possible competing publishers their nonand it does not matter whether their inactivity is purchased by a money payment or encompetition forced by government intervention. In like manner we may resolve the problem of irredeemable paper money. Where this exists in its purest form, with no promise or intention of ultimate redemption by the government which issues it, it amounts to a forced It is like a check drawn by the govloan, or rather, a levy. ernment upon the public, which each individual is obliged to cash. It is an order to surrender on demand a certain amount of the community's goods. The government usually employs paper money to obtain ammunition or soldiers' supphes. The merchants who give these goods are forced to accept paper money in return, and allowed to recoup themselves by passing on these orders to others. In this way people are deluded into believing that no one The really loses, but that the loss is perpetually passed on. competition with the property owner. of the persons — ; — loss is shifted, but nevertheless it exists ; for, since a definite quantity of supplies has been abstracted from the pubUc by the government, it is clear that this much loss has been suffered, however it irredeemable paper may be money distributed is by rotation. Thus, a claim on the general wealth Of course it seldom occurs that it conand when it becomes redeemable it changes its character; for when the government assumes the obligation involved, it becomes a special claim upon the government gold and other wealth. A somewhat similar vague property right is the government's taxing power, which is the right to take from the of a community. tinues irredeemable, individual so as may much of the services or product of his wealth be necessary for the pubhc good. The heavier the tax, the greater the reduction in the value of the individual It is well known Henry George proposed, means wealth of the community. that to nationaHze land, as PROPERTY Sec. 7] 31 merely to increase the tax upon it until all its value has been taxed out of it; that is, to take from the individual all of the services or profit of his landed wealth for the benefit of the pubhc, leaving him merely the empty shell of nominal ownership. The case is analogous to that of a person or a community which has mortgaged its wealth so consumed payment of interest, and nothing is left with which redeem the pledge. The same principle applies to all heavily that the value of its services is entirely in the to taxes, even when not carried to such an extreme. §7 A second helpful guide in resolving the various obscure forms of property is found in the fact that one property right by another. For instance, a mill is owned in shares; a railway company owns some of those shares; a bank owns some of the railway shares; and John Smith owns some of the bank shares. It is evident that John Smith has a claim upon the wealth constituted by the mill, is often overlaid although his property is only distantly connected with it, and through several intermediate layers of property rights. A common example of such secondary relation between wealth and property occurs when the property is held in At common law, the trustee is the legal owner but trust. ; the law of equity recognizes the fact that the beneficiary the true owner. He has is a claim against the trustee, and the trustee holds the right to the wealth as against the rest of the world. The beneficiary must work out his rights through the rights of the trustee. Another good example is that of a claim upon a government, as, for instance, a government bond. This is really a claim against the community, for the government is merely an intermediary between the bondholder and the pubhc wealth which is taxed to satisfy the bondholder's claims. The government owns property only as a sort of trustee for the pubhc. The Boston Common is held by the NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 32 city of Boston, but is owned by the citizens, who are Each individual who has the right really the true beneficiaries. to enjoy it is [Chap. II to that extent a part owner. uncommon thus to have, between a property and the wealth underlying it, several layers of property. A man who owns an ordinary foreign bank note has a claim upon the property of the bank. But the bank's property consists, for the most part, not of tangible wealth, but of promissory notes and other claims on merchants. It is not right These notes represent a part right in the wealth (including community; consequently the holder of a bank note quite unconsciously owns a claim upon the dry goods, groceries, and other wealth of merchants, which make good the debts of these merchants to the bank. In the case of United States bank notes he also owns an alternative claim on government bonds, and therefore on the taxable wealth which makes these bonds good. It is erroneous to think of a bank note as representing simply persons) of the money. This is true of gold certificates; for there are in many the United States Treasury as there are certificates in circulation. other hand, is made actual gold dollars as A bank note, on the good, not solely by the metallic reserve of the bank, but also by the other property or "assets," which the bank is constantly changing or transforming into cash. The Bank of England, for instance, had £60,000,000 of notes out at a given date, and only £43,000,000 of gold in its vaults. But the £17,000,000 deficiency which thus seemed to exist was represented by securities, that is, other property held by the bank. §8 A third guide is erty and wealth That is that the correspondence between propis a contemporaneous correspondence. to say, the existing property rights are rights to the use of existing wealth, so that existing wealth underlies all existing property rights. It would seem at first sight PROPERTY Sec. 8] 33 that "credit" forms an exception, for credit payment. right to a future But it is is a present impossible to have a any future wealth which is not also a right to some means of securing that future wealth. right to present wealth as a The right to next year's fruit trees. The is right to next year's a right to or in present fruit wheat is a right to or in the present farm, farmer, and farm implements. receive a future chair or table yet unmade is The right to the right to or and other wealth of the carpenter, which are the means by which that chair or table To own a note falling due next year is is to be secured. a part right in the person and other "assets" of the promisor, and ceases to have value as soon as he ceases to be "good for it." The courts do not restrict a debtor in the in the present person, tools, disposition of his possessions prior to the maturity of a note. He may elect to squander these, and even to commit suiBut such destruction of the present means of providing for future payment carries with it the impairment or destruction of the value of the note. No future commodities or benefits whatever can be owned in the present except as claims on certain requisites of their production cide. now in existence. pended in mid air, We as kite without a cord. means own next not only is year's goods sus- more than we can fly a There must always be some present were, any of controlling the future. other property right, And cannot it is Thus, credit, like every a part right upon existing wealth. every right to a future benefit a claim on present wealth, but conversely, every claim on present wealth is "futures" a right to a future benefit. is therefore not an exceptional Owning rights to case, but the gen- eral one. As we have seen, all wealth is merely existing means toward future services, and all property, merely present rights to some of those future services. It is only through the future services that wealth and property are bound together at all. The sequence of ideas is, first, pres- ent wealth second, future services ; ; third, present rights to NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 34 [Chap. II these future services and therefore to the present wealth which yields them. chance of a Property future thus always a right to the It always contemplates is benefit. both present and future time. We are here emphasizing the fact that property always constitutes an interin est nothing the present is means for acquiring it. Property in This principle applies even to the nothing. extreme case of good will. We saw that good will is the ownership of a chance of continued patronage. The future patronage may in some cases include that of persons yet unborn; but the road to their patronage must lie through the present generation. Existing persons and things must always constitute the means for the attainment of any benefits expected in the future. §9 A fourth guide is that, in the case of partial ownership of wealth, the aggregate of all the partial rights constitutes the total ownership. We may picture to ourselves all ar- wealth as having attached to them streams of services stretching out into the future. These services ticles of up among separate owners in different ways, sometimes transversely, sometimes longitudinally, and sometimes definite parts of them are separated out. The total are cut ownership of the wealth is simply the aggregate of the rights to the entire stream of future services. It may, of course, be true that the character and size of this stream of services will differ according its ownership is to the different parceled out. methods by which This fact, however, does not invalidate the principle that the total ownership the combination of all the partial rights. In common is speech the minor rights to wealth are not ordinarily dignified as rights of ownership. ant's right in the dwelling he occupies an estate in Thus, a tensharply distin- Yet the law recogthe land, and when the guished from the right of the owner. nizes a leasehold as is PROPERTY Sec. 9] owner of land wishes to sell fee simple title, he finds it 35 and convey an unencumbered necessary to extinguish all out- standing leases, or claims for future services, often at considerable cost. Recently the New York Reform Club sold its leasehold in a building for $25,000, because the pur- chaser could not afford to wait for the expiration of the lease. The total ownership always includes the ownership of the tenant. In is like manner, the total value of any concrete wealth the total value of the property rights in it. The close correspondence between wealth and property gives us a new method of appraising wealth, namely, by appraising In fact, we are here provided with another sense of appraisement of wealth, in addition to the several already given in Chapter I, Such appraisement may mean, not what the whole article of wealth would sell for en bloc, but the sum of the values of the partial rights to it when these latter are appraised on the basis the property rights to it. of small individual sales. Thus, the value of a railroad, found by taking the Railways are seldom sold as a whole, but their stocks and bonds are constantly on the market, and are often the only means of affording a valuation. It is true that under these circumstances the market price of the stock would form no basis for judging what would be the value of the road if sold as a whole. There would need to be added the value of "control." But this will be accounted for by an addition to the value of such of the shares as will secure this control. "Control" is the power, coming from a majority of votes, to obtain from the road some services which would not be possible without such majority ownership. The additional benefit thus obtained may be illegitimate, as when the parties in control vote themselves large salaries. But whether legitimate or illegitimate, the power to make the road better serve one's operating under normal conditions, sum of the values of its stocks is and bonds. NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 36 [Chap. II interest often affects profoundly the value of the shares. The stock of the Chicago, Burlington, and Quincy Railroad was quoted at $132 when a certain capitalist determined to buy it. Knowing that it would be almost impossible to acquire all the stock by ordinary means, he offered instead to take over as much as should be offered to him, provided and to give $200 in four per-cent an offer which was accepted by bonds for each $100 share, most of the stockholders. The acceptance added at once fifty per cent to the market value of the stock, and improved even the value of the bonds so that the value of the system, sold virtually as a whole, was much more than of the stock it was more than half, — ; and bonds before the negotiation was opened. The valua- tion of the road will thus be different according to whether under the control of a particular interest or whether is widely distributed, as well as according to But in every the purpose for which the valuation is made.^ instance the value of the railroad is the sum of the values of the complete aggregate of rights in it. If one bears in mind the explanations which have been given, there can scarcely be any difficulty in tracing out for each property right some underlying wealth, so that we may give adherence to the general principle that wealth and property are coextensive. That this is true as a "general fact" cannot fail to be admitted even were it necessary to reject But if our definitions of wealth it as a "necessary truth." it is ownership its and property are adopted, it becomes also a necessary truth. §10 Having seen what property is, we may now classify property rights. There are two chief classes, complete A complete, or practically rights and partial rights. complete, right, or "fee simple" to an article of wealth, right to all those uses of that article ^ is a which are owned; a The completest account of railway valuation is that contained "The Commercial Valuation of Railway Operating in Bulletin 21, Property," United States Census, 1905. PROPERTY Sec. 10] partial right a right to a part of is rights are the only ones The among 37 services of an its uses. which make The partial difficulty. wealth may be apportioned owners in many ways. If they are article of different part divided longitudinally in time, the rights of the various The coowners are similar to each other. are the rights of partners well-defined rights of the individual commune family, or common, and, in to the finally, examples chief and stockholders, and the common members less of a club, property and all rights the rights to the different kinds of where one person owns the right of farming a piece of land, another the right of mining its minerals, and a third the right of fishing in the streams uses, as, for instance, which run through it. If the services are divided transversely in time, son has the rights of and another all one per- up to a particular date, beyond that. The former all services the rights and the latter the landlord. Hmited both in time and also in quantity or value, we have still another group of property rights. These and other classes are seen in the following scheme person is called the tenant If the services are of classification. r Complete (Fee Simple) rights in common rights to different to services cut longitudinally -i usufructs partnership rights joint stock shares (lease reversion patent and copyright to services cut transversely Ph O (bonds . private notes Partial banknotes bank deposits rights to definite parts of services (checks, drafts, orders money , ..,„., mdennite mmor and f < [ will and custom taxmg power good ° . and exchange irredeemable paper bills of NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 38 [Chap. II §11 Since wealth and property are each the opposite aspect of the other, economics might be described as the "sci- ence of property" quite as truly as the "science of wealth." If we are studying the economic condition of a whole country, less we prefer to fix our attention upon wealth, caring how its ownership is divided. We are then inter- about ested in the acreage of wheat mines, railways, factories, On owners. the other hand, tribution of wealth" classes — The idea it is the extent of coal we if in their are studying the "dis- — the condition of individuals property on which we need community or of to fix attention. of wealth, therefore, is associated fare of the is fields, and homesteads, and not with the wel- in general, while that of property associated with the welfare of the different individuals in the community. But, it may be asked, why is so much stress laid on the principle that wealth and property are coextensive? It may be conceded that most of the principles of political will be unaffected whether or not this one is ac- economy cepted as rigorously true. Its usefulness consists in help- At present there seems mind a confusion of the concepts ing us to arrange our ideas. to exist in the popular of wealth, property, certificates of property, services, and utihty, which should be carefully separated from each other. No one can fully understand monetary problems, for instance, unless he distinguishes carefully the three elements to which the term "money" is indiscriminately applied. There is all of raonej-wealth, such as a gold eagle; money-property, such as the right of a holder of "greenbacks"; and money-cer- such as the paper "greenbacks" themselves. If the fact that wealth and property are coextensive were more tificates, generally known and acknowledged, some very practical and salutary results would follow. inflation, Wild schemes of currency which are based on the idea that wealth may be PROPERTY Sec. 11] 39 by multiplying the titles to it, would be checked, and the usual atrocities of double taxation, for inincreased simply and mortgage, or would be avoided/ stance, of farm shares, If we bear in mind the we shall and railway of railways and distinctions in this in the no advantage, but much disadvantage, in including any "immaterial" elements in wealth. "Immaterial wealth" is, in fact, one of those bugaboos which have done a great deal to obscure the simplicity of economic relations. Legal advice or medical attendance are not "immaterial wealth" they are, as we have seen, simply services of wealth (human wealth previous chapter, see that there is ; The "properties and powers in this case). of nature" are not wealth, but, as explained in the previous chapter, are attributes of land and enter economic science merely as giving characterization to that particular kind of wealth. They cannot be counted as wealth any more properly than can the in addition to the land rubber be counted as wealth in addition to the rubber. Likewise, swift horses are wealth, but not their swiftness honest, wise, successful, and healthy men are wealth, but not their honesty, wisdom, skill, or health. Most of the mystery of banking to the ordinary mind consists in the mistaken noelasticity of ; tion that credit basis. is something "inflated," without a tangible A mere inspection make of a bank's balance sheet should behind every claim upon something to make it good. If the anterior something be itself a claim on some other bank or person, there lies behind it, in turn, some basis, and so on until a concrete instrument is finally found. Another common error is the belief that "wealth consists of utility." If this were true, the law of diminishing serve to the bank clear the fact that is ^ See Report of Professor Edward W. Bemis and Carl H. Nau, on Value of Ohio Railroads, 1903; also, Report of the Interstate Commerce Commission on Railways in the United States in 1902, 1903, Part V. NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 40 utility, [Chap. II that equal increments of wealth have decreasing increments of To plead utility, would be a contradiction in terms. in extenuation of such confusions the fact that popular usage is guilty of them, is like trying to justify in the science of physics a jumbling together of the concepts mass and density, or of velocity and acceleration, or of and energy, on the ground that the ordinary man does distinguish between them. The proper method of not avoiding large errors in any science is to avoid small ones This can be accomplished only by scrupuat the outset. of force lous attention to elementary distinctions. CHAPTER III UTILITY We have seen that all wealth and property imply pro- spective services or "desirable events." It is the desir- which gives meaning would therefore be im- ability of these future expected services to all economic possible, in any phenomena. It view of the subject, to confine our- full selves strictly to the study of objective wealth, property, In the present chapter we shall consider element in economics. Wealth is wealth only because of its services and services are services only because of their desirability in the mind of man, and of the satisfactions which man expects and services. briefly the subjective or psychical ; them to render. Indeed, the desirability of services is implied in their very definition as "desirable events." The mind of man supplies the mainspring in the whole economic machinery. It is in his mind that desires originate, and in his mind that the train of events which he sets going in nature comes to an end in the experience of subjective satisfactions. initial desire services and the It is only in the interim between the final satisfaction that have place as intermediaries. We wealth and its — that are thus led to consider two. new concepts, Both of of " desirability " and that of " satisfaction." these enter into our consideration only as they are applied — wealth, property, economic elements, services. To avoid unnecessary repetitions, we may treat these three elements under the one rubric of "goods." to the three 41 NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 42 [Chap. Ill §2 The any particular goods, desirahility, then, of particular time, to any particular conditions, is at particular individual, under any any the strength or intensity of his de- goods at that time and under those conditions. What is here called desirability is identical with what has usually been called in economic writings "utihty." But utility, though not to be utterly displaced, is not the happiest term for our purpose. To say nothing of the mere awkwardness of its only antithetical term "disutility" sire for those — — as compared with "undesirability," it has fallen heir to so many different meanings that its use here is apt to be confusing. The term "useful," for instance, in ordinary language is employed in opposition to "ornamental." In this sense diamonds are said to be ornamental and not useful, though in economic science they are adjudged useful. Again, "utility" usually imphes intrinsic merit, whereas, when we employ it in economic science, we are obliged to apply it to any noxious thing considered by its owner desirable, for instance, opium, alcohol, or degrading literature. Finally, in the last few years, the word "utility" has come into a new and technical meaning as employed in the phrase "public utilities," which designates electric lighting plants, street railway systems, gas works, and many other things which are merely collections of wealth of a peculiar kind. In order to obviate these objections, Professor Pareto has proposed an entirely new term, "ophelimity." This has both the advantages and the disadvantages of any newly invented technical term, and has thus far shared the fate which usually befalls the attempt to coin words. The word "utility" is still employed, and it is not likely that "desirability," "ophelimity," or any other term will soon displace it. In the present book we shall use both but preferably the latter. "utility" and "desirability," UTILITY Sec. 3] 43 In proposing that economists substitute so far as possible the term " desirabihty " for '^utihty/' the author is simply following the example of Professor Gide ^ and Professor Marshall. 3 § If the term "utility" is to be used at all, we must dis- tinguish the utihty of goods from the use of the goods. As has been pointed out, the uses or services of goods are the desirable events which occur by their means. on the other hand, is Utihty, not these desirable events, but their desirability. Again, the desirabihty or utility of goods must not be confused with the pleasure which tained from those goods. involved, for pleasure tion of the desire. means the be ultimately obis not the desire, but the satisfacan experience in time, and requires is It is duration of time for may Here our second concept its existence. Desirability, which intensity of desire of an individual under certain mind conditions, merely indicates a state of at a particular point of time, namely, the point of time at which he mentally weighs and measures the desirability of any contemplated service, property, or wealth. We may speak of the desirability of a fruit orchard to a particular person on Janu- ary is 1, 1905; but the pleasure derivable from that orchard only to be experienced during future years, as fruit and the fruit gives it bears enjoyment to those who eat it. — Thus we have two concepts utility or desirability, a and pleasure or satisfacstate of mind at a point of time tion, an experience of mind through a period of time. These two concepts are closely related for the desirabihty of goods is simply the present esteem in which the future : ; — ; Gide's Principles of Political Economy, 2d American ed., 1904, See also the present writer's " Mathematical Investigations in the Theory of Value and Prices," Transactions of the Connecticut Academy, 1 p. 48. 1892, p. 23. NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 44 satisfactions none the we that The [Chap. Ill from those goods are held. But the two are It is with utihty or desirability less distinct. are concerned in this chapter. desirability of any particular goods may relate to the whole or to any part of the group of goods. The desirability of the entire group is called the total desirability the desirability of one unit more or less of the group is In economic science we with total desirability, than marginal with more to do have of marginal desirthe concept that important and it is ability should be thoroughly understood. That marginal desirability is the desirabihty of one unit, called the marginal desirabihty. more or less, may be illustrated as follows: If a person possesses ten chairs, their marginal desirabihty is the differ- ence, in his mind, between the desirabihty of having ten having nine chairs; that is, by having one chair less. it thing, the marginal desirabihty same the almost Or, what is desirability of one chair chairs is the of the group of ten chairs is more, and and the desirabihty of the desirability sacrificed — the difference in desirability between eleven chairs ten. Whether the marginal desirabihty is taken more or to one unit less is usually referring to one unit as of so httle importance as not to require separate designations to distinguish them, and in case the commodity is one which admits of indefinite subdivision, as flour, wheat, coal, etc., the two coalesce as the size of the increment is reduced indefinitely.^ This fact is usually expressed by saying that the marginal desirability of the chairs is the desirabihty of But though this mode of statement is "the tenth" chair. correct, not intended to convey the idea that any par- it is ticular chair is the The group "tenth" under consideration 1 chair. of goods the marginal desirabihty of may which is be any specified group of goods For a mathematical treatment see Appendix to Chap. Ill, § 1. UTILITY Sec. 4] 45 whatever. Reference may be had to a specified group of goods now existing, or to a specified group of goods in the future, or to a specified flow of goods through a period of time. For instance, the marginal desirabiHty of coal to an individual may be taken to refer to the particular stock of moment. If this stock con- coal in his bin at the present sists of fifteen tons, its marginal desirability is the desir- him between ability of the fifteenth ton, or the difference to the desirability of having fifteen and that of having four- teen tons. Or, reference may be had to an intended pur- chase of coal to be delivered in three months. If we con- sider a possible purchase of future coal to the extent of marginal desirability then represents the fifteen tons, its same an existing stock. present desire for the fifteenth ton, in exactly the way as though reference were Again, if a person is had consuming in his to household fifteen tons any instant is the sacrifice which ton, or fifteenth desirability of the the his yearly consumpwould be occasioned were he to reduce tion from fifteen tons to fourteen. of coal a year, its marginal desirability at Again, the group of goods considered may consist of ar- which are of the same kind, or of a heterogeneous collection. In the preceding examples the goods were of exactly the same kind. As an example of the marginal desirability of a group consisting of diverse kinds, we may cite the desirability of an additional monthly magazine ticles all of or newspaper. If a subscriber is already taking ten periodi- a specified journal additional to the existing assortment may be regarded as the marginal desirability with reference to the entire group cals of different kinds, the desirabiHty of of journals. In the same way we may speak of the marginal desir- ability of a series of characteristics or features connected with any article or articles of wealth. the building of a house dows he will put in. may have A person contemplating how many win- to decide If he contemplates fifty windows, the NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 46 marginal desirability of the windows is [Chap. Ill the desirability of the fiftieth window, or the difference in the desirability of having fifty windows rather than forty-nine. §5 The is first principle in regard to marginal desirability that an increase in the quantity of goods in the group the marginal desirabihty of which is under consideration, a decrease in the marginal desirability of the group. Each successive increment is less desirable than the preceding increment. The marginal desirability of sugar to the householder consuming five pounds weekly is greater than the marginal desirability if six pounds are consumed, and is successively diminished as each successive pound is added to his consumption. It is well to remember that when the term "successively" The is here employed, it is not used in a temporal sense. succession to which it refers is not a succession in time, but a succession in thought. We consider the consumer of sugar under a series of different hypotheses which we examine successively. We begin with the hypothesis of a weekly consumption of five pounds, and take up successively the hypotheses of six pounds, seven pounds, eight pounds, etc. The desirabihty of the "last" pound in this series is the marginal desirability for the group ending at that point; but the "last" pound refers to the one considered last in our mental review, and not the one acquired last by the consumer. This fact needs to be emphasized, in results in view of frequent confusion on the subject occasioned by too loose an employment of the words "last" and "successive." It is presumably because of the time confusions involved in these words that, under the leadership of Wieser^ and Marshall,^ economists have substituted the phrase "marginal utihty " for the older phrase of Jevons, "final utility." With these provisos and explanations in view, it is ^ Ursprung des Werthes, 2 Principles of Economics, 3d ed., 1895, p. 168. p. 128. clear UTILITY Sec. 5] 47 that the total desirability of any group of goods of the desirabilities of is the sum The total found by add- the successive units. desirability of the ten chairs, for instance, is ing together (1) the desirability of having only one chair, (2) the desirability of having a second chair, (3) a third, a fourth, etc., until ten chairs have been considered. These successive desirabilities will evidently continually diminish. Hence their sum, or the total desirability of the group, is not the same thing as ten times the marginal deIn this is found the explanation of the fact that sirability. (4) them as possessing much him than the total desirability the money which they cost, although the loss of any one the ten chairs may not represent more desirability than the possessor of the chairs regards more of of total desirability to the desirability of the As is known well money which that one chair cost.^ to all students of the modern theory of value, marginal desirability lies at the root of the deter- mination of value and price. We are here concerned, however, not in applying the concept of marginal desirability to the determination of economic magnitudes, but merely in explaining its nature. Although the definitions which have been given of dethey do not enable manner. The exact a subject of much impor- sirability serve to explain its nature, us to employ measurement it in a quantitative of desirability is tance, as well as of great difficulty. Inasmuch as present work only an incidental use will be concepts, it made in the of these does not seem proper here to enter into these discussions.^ Economics, New York, 1904, pp. 25-26. See the writer's " Mathematical Investigations in the Theory of Value and Prices," Transactions of the Connecticut Academy of Arts and Sciences, 1893, Vol. IX; Pigou, Economic Journal, March, 1903, Vol. XIII; Pareto, Cours d' Economic Politique, Vol. I; Giornale d'Economisti, August, 1892; J. B. Clark, "Ultimate Standard of Value," Yale Review, November, 1892; Seligman, Principles of Economics, Longmans, Green & Co., 1905, Chap. XIII; Chin tao Chen's Societary Circulation, a doctor's thesis, Yale Univ., 1906. ^ ^ Cf. Fetter's Principles of PART Chapter IV. Chapter V. Chapter VI. I. Capital Capital Capital Accounts Capital Summation CHAPTER IV CAPITAL In the foregoing introduction we have set forth several fundamental concepts of economic science, wealth, — property, services, satisfactions, utility, price, and value. We have seen that wealth consists of material appropriated objects, and property, of rights in these objects human in its broadest sense includes beings, ; that wealth and property in its broadest sense includes all rights whatsoever; that services are the benefits of wealth, satisfactions the enjoy- ment of services, and desirability or utility the desire for wealth, property, services, or satisfactions; that prices are the ratios of exchange between quantities of wealth, property, or services ; and, finally, that value is the price of of these multiplied by the quantity. any These concepts are the chief tools needed in economic study. Nothing has yet been said as to the relation of these various magnitudes to that great " independent variable of human experience, time. quantity of wealth When we we may have speak of a certain reference either to a quan- quanconsumed, exchanged, or transported during a period of time. The first quantity is a stock (or fund) of wealth; the second quantity is a flow (or stream) of wealth. The contents of a granary at noon, January 1, 1906, is a stock of wheat the amount of wheat which has been hoisted into it during a week, or the amount of wheat which has been exported from the port of New York during tity existing at a particular instant of time, or to a tity produced, ; 51 NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 52 [Chap. IV a flow of wheat. The term "wealth" by itself is determine which of these two kinds of magnitudes is meant. Similarly, when we speak of property or of value, we may have in mind either a fund or a flow. A thousand shares in a certain company owned by a certain man at a certain time constitute a particular fund of property the number of shares transferred in a week on the stock exchange constitute a flow of property. Again, the value of the checks held at noon of any day by one bank drawn on other banks constitutes a fund of value the value of the checks which pass through a clearing-house in twentyfour hours constitutes a flow of value. Services and satisfactions, unUke wealth and property, can exist only as flows a fund of either is impossible. A fund is fully specified by one magnitude only a flow 1905, is insufficient to ; ; ; ; — the amount of flow and the duration — the of flow or the two a third requires two, From these of flow. follows, quotient of the of flow is amount divided by the duration. The rate more importance than the amount of flow. often of Thus we care man rate less to know the aggregate wages of a work- during a fifetime than the rate of his wages during various periods of his fife. between a fund and a flow has many applications in economic science.^ The most important appfication is to differentiate between capital and income. Capital is a fund and income a flow. This difference between capital and income is, however, not the only one. There is another important difference, namely, that capital is wealth, and income is the service of wealth. We have The V distinction therefore the following definitions: isting at an instant of time is A stock of wealth ex- A flow of serv- called capital. through a period of time is called income. Thus, a dwelling house now existing is capital the shelter it affords ices ; or the 1 " bringing in of a money-rent is its income. For some of these applications, e.g. to monetary circulation, see: is Capital ? " Economic Journal, 1897. What CAPITAL Sec. 2] The railways 53 of the country are capital transportation or the their services of ; dividends from the sale of that transportation are the income they yield. The between capital and income distinction is somewhat analogous to the distinction between desirability and satisfactions, which was emphasized in Chapter III for desira; bility was shown to relate to a point of time and satisfactions to a period of time. §2 The foregoing it to is define and income are definitions of capital true, universally accepted. not capital, as Many wealth in not, authors attempt a particular as- pect with reference to time, but as a particular kind or species of wealth, or as wealth restricted to a particular purpose; in short, as some specific part of wealth instead of any or of all We it. are obliged, therefore, to pause a moment to consider these opinions. In this chapter we are concerned with the concept of capital only. From the time of Adam Smith it has been asserted by economists, though not usually by business men, that only particular kinds of wealth could be capital, and the burning question has been, What kinds ? But the fail- ure to agree on any dividing hne between wealth which and wealth which of discussion, such hne is is suggests certainly exists.^ is not capital, after a century and a half What the suspicion that no Senior wrote seven decades ago "Capital has been so variously defined, be doubtful whether it have any generally meaning."^ In consequence, "almost every true to-day: that it received may year there appears some conception, but, new attempt unfortunately, to settle the disputed no authoritative result has as yet followed these attempts. On the contrary, ^ For a fuller statement than that which follows of the disagreements and confusions on this subject, see the writer's "What is Capital?" Economic Journal, December, 1896. ^ "Political Economy," Encyclopcedia MetropoUtana, Vol. VI, p, 153. NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 54 many field [Chap. IV of them only served to put more combatants in the and furnish more matter to the dispute."^ Many own treatment authors express dissatisfaction with their and even recast of capital, Adam Smith's in successive editions.^ it concept ^ of He would 3delds "revenue." capital is Hermann/ on occupied by the owner. wealth which therefore exclude a dwelling the other hand, includes dwelUngs, on the ground that they are durable But a fruiterer's stock in trade, which is capital according to Smith, because used for profit, according to Hermann does not seem to be capital, because it is perish- goods. able. Knies ^ any wealth, whether durable or ^ reserved for future use. Walras calls capital not, so long as is it attempts to settle the question of durabihty or futurity by counting the uses. Any wealth which serves more than one use is capital. A can of preserved fruit is therefore capital to Knies if stored away for the future, but is not capital to Walras because To Kleinwachter,^ it will perish He duction, such as railways. single use. excludes food, for instance, Jevons,^ on the contrary, as passive. by a capital consists only of "tools" of pro- makes food the most and excludes railways, except as representing the food and sustenance of the laborers who built typical capital of all, them. While most authors make the distinction between capital and non-capital depend on the kind of wealth, objectively considered. Mill ^ makes it depend on the intention in the mind of the capitalist as to how he 1 Bohm-Bawerk, Positive Theory London and New York, 1891, p. 23. 2 of Capital, of Nations, Book Chap. Wealth * Staaiswirtschaftliche Untersuchungen, 5 Das '' » * English translation, E.g. Roscher, Marshall, Schaffle. 3 ' shall use his wealth, II, I. Munich, 1832, p. 59. Berhn, 1885, pp. 69-70. Elements d'Economie Politique Pure, 4th ed., Lausanne, p. 177. Grundlagen des Socialismus, 1885, p. 184. Theory of Political Economy, 3d ed., 1888, Chap. VII, pp. 222, 242. Principles of Political Economy, Book I, Chap. IV, § 1. Geld, 2d ed., CAPITAL Sec. 2] Marx makes 55 depend on the effect of the wealth on the laborer, and Tuttle,^ upon the amount of wealth possessed. Again, while most authors confine the concept of capital ^ it MacLeod^ extends it to all immaterial goods which produce profit, including workmen's labor, credit, and what he styles "incorporeal estates," such as the Law, the Church, Literature, Art, Education, an author's Mind. Clark ^ takes what he styles "pure" capital out of the material realm entirely, making it consist, not to material goods, of things, but of their utiHty. Most authors leave no place, in their concept of capital, for the value of goods as distinct from the concrete goods themselves, whereas Fetter,^ in definition, leaves place for nothing else. Some his definitions are framed with especial reference to particular problem^s of capital; many, lem of capital and for instance, have reference to the prob- labor, but they fail to agree as to the re- MacCuUoch ® regards it means of supporting laborers by a wage fund Marx,^ a means of humiliating and exploiting them Ricardo,^ lation of capital to that problem. as a as ; ; as a labor saver; MacLeod,^ as including labor itself as a special form of capital. Many definitions have reference to the problem of production, but in no less discordant ways. Accord- ing to Senior,^ Mill,® and itself a product. many must be and others admit others, capital Walras,*" MacLeod,^ London, 1887, Vol. II, p. 792. Capital Concept," Quarterly Journal of Economics November, 1903. ^ Dictionary of Political Economy, article "Capital," p. 331. * Capital and its Earnings, Publications of American Economic Association, 1888, pp. 11-13. ^ "Recent Discussion of the Capital Concept," Quarterly Journal of Economics, November, 1900, and Principles of Economics, 1904. ^ Principles of Political Economy, 4th ed., p. 100. ' Principles of Political Economy, § 37. ^ Capital, English translation, ^ "The Real * "Political Economy," Encyclopaedia Metropolitana, Vol. VI, p. 153. ^ ^° Principles of Political Economy, Book I, Chap. IV, § 1. Elements d'^conomie Politique Pure, Lausanne, 4th ed., p. 177. NATUKE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 56 land ^ and all must not apply is IV Bohm-Bawerk,^ must be a product, insists that it natural agents under capital. while agreeing that capital [Chap. it Marx ^ to a finished product. productive. Bohm-Bawerk ^ denies that admits that it is not "independently" productive, but denies the Marxian Other writers corollary that it should not receive interest. make it coordinate with land and labor as a productive element. As to what disagreement. it is that capital produces there Adam Smith ^ is further affirms that capital produces "revenue," Senior,^ that it produces "wealth." Others vaguely imply that it produces value, services, or utiUty. Most of the definitions involve some reference to time, but in many different ways. Hermann ^ has in mind the time the wealth will last; Clark,^ the permanency of the fund capital as contrasted with the transitoriness of its 1 The fancied distinction between land and capital, viz., that the former yields rent and the latter interest, and that rent varies with different grades of land whereas interest is uniform for all sorts of capital, is based on a confusion between quantity and value of wealth. The return from land per acre will, it is true,' vary according to the quality of the land. But so also the return from machinery of different grades will vary per machine. The return from different kinds of capital per $100 worth will, it is true, be uniform; but so will the For a full treatment of this confureturn from land per $100 worth. sion see Fetter's "The Relations between Rent and Interest," a paper presented before the American Economic Association, December, 1903. Cf. Clark, Capital and its Earnings, p. 27, and Distribution of Wealth (Macmillan, 1899), Chaps. IX and XIII. Cannan developed the same idea in " What is Capital ? " Economic Journal, June, 1897. Cf the writer's " R61e of Capital," Economic Journal, December, 1897, pp. 524, . 526. 2 Positive Theory of Capital, York, 1891, Enghsh translation, London and New p. 38. Enghsh translation, London, 1887, Vol. II, p. 792. 3 Capital, * « Capital and Interest, Book VI. Wealth of Nations, Book II, Chap. I. "Political Economy," Encyclopcedia Metropolitana, Vol. VI, p. ^ ^ 153. ' Staatswirtschaftliche Vntersuchungen, 8 Capital and its Munich, 1832, p. 59. Earnings, PubUcations of American Economic Association, 1888, pp. 11-13. CAPITAL Sec. 3] 57 Knies/ the futurity of satisJevons/ and Landry/ specifically the time between the "investment" of the capital and its return. elements, "capital goods"; factions; §3 attempt any reconcihation between concepts and yet there are elements of truth in all. Though generally wrongly and narrowly interpreted, there are certain recurrent ideas which are entirely correct. The definitions concur in striving to express the important facts that capital is productive, that it is antithetical to income, that it is a provision for the future, or that it is a reserve. But they assume that only a part of To the authors all wealth can conform to these conditions. of the definitions quoted, it would seem absurd to include all wealth as capital, as there would be nothing left with which And yet, as to contrast it and by which to define it. Professor Marshall says, when one attempts to draw a It is idle to of capital so conflicting, hard-and-fast line between wealth which wealth which is is capital and not capital, he finds himself "on an in- chned plane," constantly tending, by being more Hberal in his interpretation of terms, to include more and more in the term capital, until there is little or nothing left outside of it. We are told, for instance, that capital is "wealth for future use." But "future" is an elastic term. As was shown in Chapter II, all wealth is, strictly speaking, for future use. It is impossible to push back its use into the past; neither is it possible to confine it to the present. The present is but an instant of time, and all use of wealth A plateful of food, howrequires some duration of time. though "future" the future is but the next few seconds; and if by we mean to exclude the "immediate future," where is the ever hurriedly it is being eaten, 1 Das ^ Theory of Political Economy, 3d ^ L'Interet Geld, 2d ed., 1885, pp. is still for future use, 69-70. ed., 1888, du Capital, Paris (Giard), 1904, Chap. VII, pp. 222-242. p. 16. NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 58 [Chap. IV be drawn ? Are we to say, for instance, that capital that wealth whose use extends beyond seventeen days ? And as all wealth is for future use it is also, by the same line to is token, a "reserve." all To call capital a reserve does not, from other wealth. Even a beggar's crust in his pocket will tide him over a few hours.^ Equally futile is any attempt definitely to mark off We have capital as that wealth which is "productive." therefore, in strictness, delimit seen that all wealth is it productive in the sense that it yields the question was hotly There was a time when services. debated what labor was productive and what unproductive. The distinction was barren and came to be so recognized. No one now objects to calHng all labor productive. And this productivity is common to all labor, it is equally common to all wealth. If we admit that a private coachman is a productive worker, how can we deny that the if horse and carriage are also productive, especially as the three merely cooperate in rendering the very — transportation Finally, same service, ? we cannot which bears income. distinguish capital as that wealth All wealth bears income, for income But the idea some wealth bears income and some not has been persistent from the time of Adam Smith, who, meaning by income only money income, conceived capital as the wealth consists simply of the services of wealth. that which produces income in this sense, as distinguished from the wealth, such as dwellings, equipages, clothing, and food, which dissipates that income. A home, according to him, is not a source of income, but of expense, and therefore cannot be capital, §4 In these and other ways have economists introduced, in place of the fundamental distinctions between fund and flow, and between wealth and services, the merely relative dis- See the writer's "Precedents for Defining Capital," Quarterly Journal of Economics, May, 1904, p. 404. 1 CAPITAL Sec. 4] As a and another. of wealth between one kind tinction 59 have consequence, their studies of the problems of capital Among the many confusions ^ been full of confusion. which have come from overlooking the time distinction between a stock and a flow was the famous wage fund theory, that the rate of wages varies inversely with the amount of capital in the supposed "wage fund." MacCulloch wrote " : ^ — suppose that the capital of a country appropriated to the payment of wages would, if reduced to the standard of wheat, form a mass of 10,000,000 quarters; if the number of laborers in that country were two millions, it is evident that the wages of each, reducing them all to the same common standard, would be five quarters." To illustrate this principle, let us "The wages would be loch — but five five quarters in hour, per day, or per year concept, this definition : ^ MacCul- it is from any time meaningless. Even so acute a writer as John Stuart states — thus Five quarters per Divorced as ? is quarters" what time ? — Mill unhesitatingly "Wages, then, depend mainly upon the demand and supply of labour; or, as it is often expressed, on the proportion between popuBy population is here meant the number only lation and capital. of the labouring class, or rather of those who work for hire and by capital, only circulating capital, and not even the whole of that, but the part which is expended in the direct purchase of labour. To this, however, must be added all funds which, without forming a part of capital, are paid in exchange for labour, such as the wages of soldiers, With domestic servants, and all other unproductive labourers. these limitations of the terms, wages not only depend upon the relative amount of capital and population, but cannot under the rule of ; . competition be affected by anything the general rate [sic]). ..." Wages (meaning, else. . . of course, A httle attention to business bookkeeping would have saved economists from such errors for the keeping of records in business involves a practical if unconscious recog; 1 See "What is Capital?" loc. cit. Principles of Political Economy, 1st ed., pp. 327-328, 377-378. See Cannan, History of Theories of Production 2 bution, p. 264. ^ Political Economy, Book II, Chap. XI, § 1. 2d ed., pp. and Distri- NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 60 [Chap. IV The "capi- nition of the time principle here propounded. account" of a railway, for instance, gives the condition of the railway at a particular instant of time, and the "income account" gives its operation through a period of time. tal §5 been objected that the proposed definition does So far as economic precedent is concerned, we have already seen that there is no established usage.^ Moreover, in the immense Uterature on the subject there is no lack of precedent for the definition here proposed. Turgot ^ employed the term capital It has not conform to established usage. in practically the sense of a stock of wealth. Courcelle-Seneuil,^ among and Guyot ^ followed. J. B. Say,^ Edwin Cannan,^ present economists, reintroduced it, and in a very To-day it is used in five or six standard works,^ as well as in some minor writings. Many economists have orally expressed their approval of the pro- clear and explicit way. posed definition. Others virtually or approximately adopt stance, Knies,« Clark,« Pareto,' Giffen,^ De it, as, for in- Foville," Flux,^^ 1 For a fuller statement of this fact see the writer's "Precedents for Defining Capital," Quarterly Journal of Economics, May, 1904. 2 Formation and Distribution of Riches, § 58, Ashley's translation (Macmillan, New York), pp. 50-59. ^ See Tuttle, "The Real Capital Concept," Quarterly Journal of Economics, November, 1903, p. 83; but of. Bohm-Bawerk, Positive Theory, English translation, p. 59, n. * Traite theorique et pratique d' Economie Politique, 1867, tome I, p. 47. ^ Principles of Social Economy, English translation, p. 50. ^ Theories of Production and Distribution, London, 1894, p. 14. ' Among them are Cannan's History of Theories of Distribution, Hadley's Economics, Smart's Distribution of Income, Daniels's Finance, Fetter's Principles of Economics, Seligman's Principles of Economics. 8 See "What is Capital?" loc. cit. In his Growth of Capital. ^^ In his "Wealth of France and of Other Countries," English translation, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, 1894. ** Economic Principles, London (Methuen), 1904, pp. 16-18. ' CAPITAL Sec. 6] 61 Nicholson/ Hicks/ and the "Committee Association for the Advancement [of of Science] the British on a Common Professor MarMeasm-e of Value in Direct Taxation," ^ shall says that in earlier years he "invariably thought of capital as the whole stock of goods, and of interest as the whole of the usance or benefits derived from the use of that stock";* that "when one approaches the problem of distribution from the mathematical point of view, there is practically no choice" ^ but to do so; and that "wealth in the form of houses or private carriages helped to give emplo3niient to labour as much as when in the form of hotels or cabs." He ® expressly concedes what is really the chief when he says: "I concur whatever we do with the word contention of the present writer [my] conclusion that we cannot solve problems of capital by classifying wealth," ^ Yet he concludes, "not without doubt, that it is best to" ^ base his definition of capital on such a classification, purely out of deference to what he conceives to be the dominant usage. in his capital, §6 As and business usage, to popular it careful study of this usage as reflected who have sought from time may be said that a by lexicographers, to time to record the fact that before the time of Adam it,^ reveals Smith capital was not regarded as a part of the stock of wealth, but as synony- mous with that stock.^^ Sometimes the inclusion of all In his Elements, pp. 42, 43. Lectures on Economics, Cincinnati, 1901, pp. 91, 244. ^ Report of British Association for Advancement of Science, 1878, Dubhn, p. 220. ^ ^ * "Distribution and Exchange," Economic Journal, 1898, p. 56. 5 Ihid. p. 55. 8 Ihid. p. 57. ^ Ihid. p. 50. » Ibid. p. 56. See the writer's "Precedents for Defining Capital," loc. cit., where are presented the results of an examination of seventy-two diction* aries. Originally .the term "capital" was not a noun, but an adjective. debiti " indicated the principal part of a debt, i.e. the "principal " as distinguished from the interest. This virtually repre^° " Capitalis pars NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 62 [Chap, IV stock as capital was explicit, as, for instance, in the year 1611, Cotgrave defined capital as, "wealth, worth; a stocked we Again, find : 1678, Dufresne omne quod du Cange, Glossarium. possidetur. More often business, as 1759, — : Rider, . capital — — . W, — Capitale dicitur bonum . is explained as a term employed in A New Universal English Dictionary. . . . London. Capital. Among merchants, the sum of money brought in by each party to make up the common stock. Likewise the money which a merchant first brings into trade on his own account. Here the phrase "among merchants" is perhaps intended to specify the sphere in which the term is generally found, rather than as a necessary limitation to that sphere, just as "hawser" is explained as a "nautical term" without implying that a hawser could not be employed on shore. With the advent of the economists the dictionary definitions were thrown into confusion, although the great majority of them continue still to adhere to the original usage; e.g. : — Simmonds, P. L. The Commercial Dictionary. Capital . the net worth of a party. 1894. Palgrave's Dictionary of Political Economy, under "Assets." The assets remaining after the discharge of liabilities are a person's actual capital. 1883, . . . . . In many cases it is thought necessary to distinguish between the meaning of capital among economists and its meaning among business men ; e.g. : — A New English Dictionary. Vol. II, 1893, Murray, J. A. H. Oxford. Capital, B. sh. 3. A capital stock or fund. a. Comtnerce. The stock of a company, corporation, or individual with which they enter into business and on which profits or dividends are calculated; — . . . sented the distinction between a fund and a flow. The term soon became applied to a merchant's stock in contradistinction to the flow of profits springing from it, and hence to any fund or stock whatever. See "Precedents for Defining Capital," Quarterly Journal of Economics, May, 1904, p. 395. ^ See "Precedents," pp. 8, 9. CAPITAL Sec. 6] in a joint stock company, tions of the shareholders, it 63 consists of the total b. Pol. Econ. sum of the contribu- The accumulated wealth of an individual, company, or community, used as a fund for carrying on fresh production; wealth in any form used to help in producing more wealth. In business manuals and articles on practical accountemployed in the sense of the net value of a man's wealth. Thus L. W. Lafrentz, speaking of the difference between assets and habiUties/ states "The residue will be the net worth of the proprietor ing we find that capital is — the capital of the proprietor." Inquiry among men business in business usage all wealth is also reveals the fact that included in the term "capital." would astonish a business man to have an economist from his assets as non-capital his raw materials, as would Kleinwachter his perishable goods, as would Hermann; his fuel, as would Walras; or, above all, his land, as would most of the classical economists. That land It strike out ; is capital, business men all emphatically declare. As the manufacturer would express it, land is the very first thing into which the "paid-in" capital of a new concern is converted. Again, business men maintain that the function of any given wealth has nothing to do with its classification as capital. It need not be "for production" nor "for sustaining laborers," nor for any particular object whatever. The only point on which some of them hesitate is whether The or not all articles in consumers' hands are capital. reason for this hesitation may possibly be found in the customs of bookkeeping. As one business man expressed it, "Capital is simply a bookkeeping term." Consequently the business man naturally associates the term with his shop and not his home, for he keeps a balance sheet in the former and not in the latter but, once given a balance sheet, ; 1" Economic Aspects of Accounting and Auditing," Journal of Accountancy, April, 1906, p. 482. Cf Victor Branford, Economics and Accountancy, London (Gee & Co.), 1901, and Charles E. Sprague, The Accountancy of Investment, New York (Business Publishing Co.), 1904, . p. 12. NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 64 does not matter what purpose it club, an art is gallery, or a hospital behind [Chap. A it. may have IV social a capital. In one year a joint stock company with capital stock was proposed for the purpose of building the yacht for defendIf a private family should call iting the America Cup. self a joint stock company and draw up a balance sheet, entering on one we all its side, property, house, furniture, provisions, imagine, would hesitate to liabilities, which is call the balance of assets over the total wealth-value of the family, by the name "capital." As a the writer, "Capital isn't a man man business said part of wealth, but has got, including his automobile." in your etc., with the debts on the other, no business man, mouth capital?" he was asked. all to a "Is that cigar "No," he said, but this opinion he quickly reversed as inconsistent with his former statement, and admitted that a box of cigars and each cigar in it, or out of it, for that matter, hesitatingly; were a part of his stock or reserve. The phrases "to capitalize" and "to Uve on capital," as used by business men, imply that capital is simply a fund. When we "capitaUze" an annuity of $5 a year at a given sum, as $100, we mean that $100 is the fund of ready-money equivalent of $5 flowing in annually. It does not matter what kind of goods the $5 of income or the $100 of capital represents. Again, when we say that a man is "Uving on capital," we mean that he is using up The reference his stock faster than he is replacing it. A is not to any particular part or kind of the stock. wealthy New Yorker who was recently forced to "live on capital" did so by selling his accumulations of art treasures; it would be the same if he had sold his stocks and bonds. So far, then, as popular and business usage we have ample warrant is concerned, for the definition of capital here accepted, and no warrant whatever for ordinarily found in economic text-books. the definitions CAPITAL Sec. 7] 65 §7 Should economists continue to reject the simple definition above explained, and insist on restricting the term capital to some narrower meaning, our only recourse will be to follow the example of John Rae,^ and, after defining capital as a part of stock, quietly shelve the term and proceed to the analysis of "stock" instead.^ We shall then be in the curious position of acknowledging ' that the "problems of capital 'are not problems of " capital only, but of stock, and shall have to regard such common phrases as "the interest on capital," "I'interit du capital," and '' But capitalzins" as misnomers. tired of the present confusion of tongues. recently complained that he was any other this or settlement of the difficulty will be welcome to A all who are business friend chiefly deterred from read- ing the books of economists because they seemed to have no settled terminology. name we select matter what The important It does not so greatly by which to call a concept. which are That the concept by whatof a stock of wealth at an instant of ever name we call it time is thus fruitful will, we believe, appear more plainly as we proceed to apply it to what have been called, rightly or wrongly, the "problems of capital." matter is to select for consideration those concepts — fruitful in scientific analysis. — ^ Sociological Theory of Capital, edited by Professor Mixter, Mac- millan, 1905. denied that " stock " falls into several more or One classification has already been given in the chapter on "Wealth," and there are many others. One of the most striking divisions of the stock of wealth as it exists in modern society is between that at home and that in business. This is the basis of ^ It is not, of course, less distinct groups. many definitions of capital, especially that of Komorzynski (Credit, Innsbruck, 1903, p. 138). But the distinction applies only to modern and highly differentiated societies. Like all classifications of concrete things, it serves a descriptive purpose but does not help analysis. It is well known that in science the most general conceptions are the most fruitful. Professor J. Willard Gibbs, noted for the generality and simplicity of his methods in mathematical physics, used to say, "The whole F is simpler than its parts." CHAPTER V CAPITAL ACCOUNTS §1 We have defined capital as a quantity of wealth existing an instant of time. A full view of capital would be afforded by an instantaneous photograph of wealth. This would reveal, in addition to the durable wealth, a large amount of goods of rapid consumption. It would disclose, not the annual procession of such goods, but the members of that procession that had not yet been transmuted in form or passed off the stage of existence, however swiftly It would show trainthey might be moving across it. loads of meat, eggs, and milk in transit, cargoes of fish, spices, and sugar, as well as the contents of private pantries, Even the supplies on the table ice chests, and wine cellars. of a man bolting his dinner would find a place. So the clothes in one's wardrobe or on one's back, the tobacco in a smoker's pouch or pipe, the oil in the can or lamp, would all be elements in this flash-light picture of capital. Such a collection of wealth is, however, heterogeneous; We can inventory it cannot be expressed in a single sum. the separate items, but we cannot add them together. They may, however, be reduced to a homogeneous mass by considering, not their kinds and quantities, but their And this value of any stock of wealth is also called values. "capital." To distinguish these two senses of capital, we call a stock, store, or accumulation of existing instruments of wealth, each instrument being measured in its own unit, capital-instruments, or capital-wealth, and we call the value of this stock, when all articles are measured in a comat CAPITAL ACCOUNTS Sec. 1] mon Similarly, a unit, capital-value. 67 quantum of property any instant is called capital-property, and its value, capital-valice. As a general term to include both capital-instruments and capital-property, we may employ capital-goods, a term first suggested by Professor rights existing at Clark. We have, then, a definite antithesis between capitalgoods and capital-value, capital-goods being measured in various units appropriate to the various goods, as, for instance, in bushels of wheat, gallons of oil, acres of land, and capital-value being measured in a single uniform manner, as in dollars or other convenient The simple term "capital" is only emunits of value. ployed as an abbreviation of either of the compound terms The business man "capital-goods" and "capital- value." "capital" in the sense of capitalordinarily uses the term value, and hereafter, unless it is otherwise specified, the shares of stock, In term "capital" will be understood in this sense. adopting this nomenclature we find ourselves in harmony with Professors Clark, Fetter, Tuttle, and others referred to in the preceding chapter. We are now ready employed in business. of these accounts is to consider the "capital accounts" It is strange that generally any treatment omitted from economic There seems to be no systematic study of capital accounts in any work on political economy. A capital account is a statement of the amount and text-books. value of the property of a specific owner at any instant of — the assets and the two colirams, an owner are the debts and other obligations owing to others; that is, they are the property-rights of others for which such owner is responsible. The assets or resources of the owner are all his propThe assets erty-rights, irrespective of his liabilities. liabilities, the include both the property which makes good and the property, if any, in excess of the liabilities. They time. It consists of liabilities. The liabilities of NATUKE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 68 ^^ also include, if [Chap. V exhaustively considered, the person of the owner himself. The owner may be either an individual human being, or a collection of human beings, such as a family, an association, a joint stock company, a corporation, or a government. With respect to a debt or Hability, the person who owes it is the debtor and the person owed is the creditor. Every item in a capital account is an element of the owner's total capital, the assets being positive elements and the braic liabilities sum being negative. Consequently, the alge- of the elements of capital, or the difference in value between the total assets and the total liabilities, is the net capital, or capital-balance indicated in the account. §2 The items in a capital account are constantly changing, and their value also, so that when, after one statement of assets and liabilities is drawn up, another is constructed at a point of time six months later, the balancing item, or net However, bookcapital, may have changed considerably. keepers are accustomed to keep the item "capital" intact from the beginning of their account, and to denominate any There it as "surplus" or "undivided profits." are several reasons for this. In the first place, the less increase of often the bookkeeper's entries are altered, the simpler the bookkeeping. capital and Again, by stating separately the original the books show at a glance its later increase, what the history of the company has been as to the accumucom- lations of capital. Finally, in the case of joint stock panies, the capital is represented by stock certificates, the engraved "face value" of which cannot conveniently be altered to keep pace with changes in real value. Consequently it is customary for bookkeepers to maintain the book value of the "capital" equal certificates. to the face value of the CAPITAL ACCOUNTS Sec. 2] The following two balance sheets mulation of "surplus." January 1, 69 will show the accu- 1900 Assets Liabilities Plant $200,000 Debts Capital , . . . . $200,000 January $246,324 Plant, etc $200,000 1, 1901 Debts $100,000 100,000 46,324 Capital Surplus $246,324 $246,324 But not only is $100,000 100,000 the book item, capital, maintained intact as long as possible, but often the surplus also numbers and kept at the same is put in round figure for several succes- have an effect simply on a third item called "undivided profits." The sive reports. distinction All the smaller fluctuations between surplus and undivided — profits is thus capital, surplus, merely one of degree. The three items together make up the present net and undivided profits capital. Of this, "capital" represents the original amount, "surplus" the earHer and larger accumulations, and "undivided profits " the later and minor. The undivided profits — are more likely to appear in dividends, that divided profits, although this or even in certain cases to the capital We see, then, that is, to become may also happen to the surplus, itself. the capital of a company, firm, or person is to be understood in two senses; first, as the the item entered by the bookkeeper under that head, original capital; and, secondly, this sum plus surplus and — undivided profits, — the true net capital at the instant under consideration. Inasmuch as the stock certificates were issued at the formation of the company and cannot be perpetually changed, they ordinarily correspond to the original instead NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 70 of to the present capital. Recapitalization [Chap, may be V ef- fected, however, by recalling the stock certificates or issuing new ones. In these ways the nominal or book value may be either decreased or increased. It is sometimes scaled down because of shrinking assets, and new subscriptions or expanding because of often increased assets. If, for was $100,000, and the present capital (that is, including surplus and undivided profits) is $200,000, it would be possible, in order that the total certificates outstanding might become $200,000, and the surplus and undivided profits be enrolled as capital, to instance, the original capital issue free to each stockholder stock certificates of a face already held. value equal to those ever, such a proceeding is very rare. In practice, howOrdinarily the stock and merely increase in is as in the above example, $200,000, whereas the original capital and the outstanding certificates amount to only $100,000, the market value of the shares will be double the face value; certificates value. remain as Thus, if for the stockholders by originally, the present capital own a total of $200,000, represented certificates of the face value of $100,000. If, however, we attempt to verify such a relation by we shall find some disFor instance, the Second National reference to the company's books, crepancies in the results. Bank of New York had, at a recent statement, a total and undivided profits of $1,295,952.59, of which the original capital was only $300,000. We should expect, therefore, that the stock certificates, amounting to $300,000, would be worth $1,295,952.59, or, in other words, that each $100 of stock certificates would be worth The actual selling price, however, is found to be $432. $700. Again, the Fourth National Bank of New York City had a total capital, surplus, and undivided profits of $5,700,000, of which $3,000,000 was capital. From this capital, surplus, CAPITAL ACCOUNTS Sec. 3] we should expect 71 at l%,o,m —^^^The Here actual selling price, however, is $240. are discrep- the shares to ancies which call for explanation. sell If a business man were upon to explain them, he would say that book values and market values are entirely distinct, the latter depending on estimated "earning power," The stock is worth its "capitalized earning power," and its value fluctuates from day to day in response to a thousand called causes. This is tinction between quite true, but it does not constitute a dis- book values and market values, values also represent estimated earning power. for book The book valuations of the company's lands, buildings, machinery, etc., were originally determined by their earning power; their market estimate of earning power as truly as the market price of stock. This cost value was, at the time of purchase, a The principle holds true of liabiHties as well as of assets. liabihties are simply capitalized charges, interest, rentals, and other expenses. The meaning of the discrepancy is, therefore, not that one valuation depends on earning power and the other not, but that there are two estimates, one that of the bookkeeper, which is seldom revised and usually conservative, and the other that of the market, which is revised daily. Thus the stockholders of the Second National Bank are credited by their bookkeeper with owning $1,295,952.59, whereas in reality the total value of their property is more nearly $2,100,000. The bookkeeper has systematically undervalued the assets of the bank, and even omitted some valuable assets altogether, such as good will. The object of a conservative business man in keeping his books to give mathematical accuracy, but to make tive a valuation as to be well within the market, times of financial stress. He is more is not so conserva- even in interested in safety than in precision, and in maintaining his solvency even in the face of heavy shrinkage of market values than in meeting the requirements of ideal statistics. NATUKE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 72 [Chap. V There are thus two valuations of the capital of a company, — the bookkeeper's and the market's. apt to be the truer of the two, although bered that each of them see, therefore, is it The latter is must be remem- merely an appraisement. We that the balance of a company's books which worked out to the last cent, and which has an appearance of accuracy, may be in reality very wide of the mark. is so carefully so imposing §4 Not only is there a discrepancy between the market estimate of the present capital of a company and the bookkeeper's entries, but the original capital paid in to the company may itself have been quite different from the nominal capitalization, for the stock may have been sold below or above par. We see, then, that the "capital" of a person or firm has four separate meanings the nominal — : "capitalization"; the actual original "paid-in capital"; the present accumulated capital, or "capital, surplus, and undivided profits" as given by the bookkeeper; and the market estimate of the same, i.e. the "value of the shares." These and the other senses of capital are given in the following scheme, which displays the various uses of the term "capital." ' e apital-instruments Capital-goods c apital-property assets Capital and liabilities in general f I original Capital- value nominal capitalization paid-up actual j capital I . net capital present capital [ capital as recorded in the company's books, consisting of capital, surplus, and undivided profits market value of the shares Sec. 5] CAPITAL ACCOUNTS § 73 5 We have seen that the effect upon the balance sheet of an increase in the value of the assets was to swell the surplus or the undivided profits. Reversely, a shrinkage of value tends to diminish those items. For instance, if the plant of a company having a capital of $100,000 and a surplus of $50,000 depreciates to the extent of $40,000, the on the books will be as follows effect : — NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 74 Sometimes the value of the assets. ically, as in the case of V done systematUnscrupu- stock-jobbing concerns. lous promoters often invest the by this is [Chap, sums entrusted to them confiding stockholders, in unwise or fraudulent ways. For instance, we California, may imagine an Oil Well of the type called Company in "stock-producing wells," which borrows $50,000 and collects $50,000 more from the sale of stock (at par), and with this $100,000 purchases land of friends at a fancy price, collusively providing that the proceeds be returned in large part to the promoter. In such a case the books of the bubble concern will show the following figures : — ^ Assets Liabilities Land $100,000 Debts $50,000 50,000 Capital $100,000 But if the land should read : — $100,000 worth, say, only $60,000, these accounts is Assets Liabilities Land $60,000 Debts $50,000 10,000 Capital $60,000 $60,000 In other words, the investor has only $10,000 worth of property, instead of the $50,000 which he put in, or 20 cents for every dollar he invested. The rest has been diverted into the pockets of the promoter and those in collusion with him, A favorite company is method to enter of concealing the real condition of a among at their nominal value. up the assets the bad debts due it, Sometimes bad debts are bought company investsome bankrupt concern, which can be obtained for very little, but may be entered on the books at face value. It is clear that any exaggeration on the assets side of the ledger produces an equal exaggeration of for that special purpose, the fraudulent ing in the notes of CAPITAL ACCOUNTS Sec. 6] 75 the capital, surplus, and undivided profits, on the opposite A side. great responsibility, therefore, rests on those who construct commercial accounts. §6 Thus we have far considered the fluctuations of the items of a capital account independently of any payments between the company and the stockholders. When payments are made to the stockholders in the shape of dividends, the effect is to reduce both sides of the account, de- and the undivided profits each by the amount of the dividend. declared larger than the undivided profits, pleting the cash on the assets side, on the liabilities side, a dividend If is the effect will be to reduce the surplus, or even the capital. For most business concerns it is regarded as bad policy, or even fraudulent, to pay dividends out of capital. How- no inherent reason why such dividends should not be paid, and in some sorts of business it is not only proper but necessary. In these cases when dividends are paid out of capital there should be a correever, there is sponding reduction in the amount of outstanding capital stock, in order that those dealing with the concern may not be deceived. For instance, land companies in Colorado and California, such as the Redondo Land Company, are formed for the express purpose of investing in land and selling it again. among As fast as it is sold, the proceeds are divided the stockholders, and stock certificates cancelled, until the whole capital of the company is cleared away. Ordinarily, however, reduction in capital takes other forms than dividend payments. of capital is, creditors of a The payment of dividends out generally speaking, unlawful, otherwise the company might suddenly find themselves without any adequate security for their loans. Payments are, of course, also made from the stock- We will suppose that a company formed with a capital stock of $100,000, but that when its holders to the company. is NATUKE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 76 first statement subscribed. made is V only $60,000 of this stock has been would be possible It [Chap. enter the capital at that moment for the bookkeeper to as $60,000; but, follow- ing his rule of keeping the capital item the same in all suc- on the on the other side cessive accounts, he will place the whole $100,000 and, to offset liabilities side, it, will insert assets of $40,000 in the form of treasury stock, the idea company holds, in its treasury, stock cer- being that the tificates for Of course keeping $40,000, which are to be regarded as an asset. mode this of entering treasury stock is for this fiction, sum a book- what of $40,000 represents is neither owned by nor owing to the company, except in the sense that the company owes itself; yet promoters will upon the credulous investor the statement that amount of the stock of the company in its own treasury increases by that much the property of the often impose to keep a certain stockholders. After the capital stock has been fully paid in, it is often Let us suppose that before the increase in capital the account stands as follows necessary to enlarge it. : Liabilities Assets Miscellaneous . . — . $300,000 Debts Capital Surplus $100,000 100,000 and undivided .... profits 100,000 $300,000 $300,000 Next let new capital to the extent of $100,000 be issued and sold to old stockholders at par, in lots proportionate The new stock certificates of to their original holdings. The face value of $100,000 are thus sold for $100,000. accounts will then stand as follows : — Liabilities Assets Miscellaneous . . . $400,000 Debts Capital Surplus and undivided profits $400,000 .... $100,000 200,000 100.000 $400,000 CAPITAL ACCOUNTS Sec. 7] The additional capital will first 77 take the form of cash, but afterward, by the purchase of plant, equipment, etc., wiU be changed into these or other forms of wealth or property. We shall suppose, however, for the present, that in whatever form invested, the value remains exactly equal to the cost, namely, $100,000, so that the assets are changed from $300,000 to $400,000. § 7 Let us assume that the books accurately represent actual values and correspond to market prices. we of stock, After the new issue find $200,000 of stock certificates representing $300,000 of actual value of capital, surplus and undivided But the new stock was, we or $150 per share. assumed, issued to them at $100 a share. Hence the profits, original stockholders will be able to new stock by buying $150 selling at ; make a profit on their at the issue price of $100 or they may shorten and then by sell- this operation ing their "right to subscribe" for $50. At first sight it would seem as though this right to subscribe represented a mysterious bonus to the stockholders, due to the issue of the new stock. It must be remembered, however, that the $100,000 par value of original stock certificates represented, including the surplus, $200,000 worth of property belonging to the stockholders, consequently the original That is, the efi'ect certificates were worth $200 per share. of issuing new stock below the original market price was from $200 per share to $150 per share. Consequently the loss of $50 to the stockholders on their old stock will exactly compensate for the to lower the value of the old stock $50 of excess value represented in the rights to subscribe. An individual stockholder owning 10 of the original shares will find he his 10 for them worth, instead will lose $500. new them. of $2000, only $1500, that is, This will equal the profit of $500 on shares or the value of his rights to subscribe The outside public would be willing to pay NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 78 him $500 for the privilege of [Chap. buying $1500 worth V of stock for $1000. We thus see that the price at which the issued does not of And holders. itself affect yet the price of indifference. The lower the new stock is the balance due the shareof issue is not a matter price of issue, the greater the inducement to the individual stockholder to subscribe, or to find some one "right." Neglect to subscribe (or to else to subscribe instead, sell and buy his the right to sub- would then cause a loss. The value of the old shares be lowered in any event, and in such subscription or scribe) will only means of indemnification. sale lies the reasons, it is usual for new For these stock to be offered to the original stockholders below the market price. The exact compensation between the value of the new and the depreciation of the old stock is seldom realized in practice, because the company may be in a position to invest the new sums to advantage, in other words, to buy In this case there assets which are worth more than cost. may be Uttle or no loss in the value of the old shares. But rights the point emphasized still of issue does not of itself remains true, that the price create additional capital value through the "right to subscribe." Any increase of value to be due to unusual opportunities for investment, economic causes and not to mere bookkeeping changes. Of course, it may be true that the very fact of issu- — will may of itself create a different opinion market and influence prices there for better or worse. A low price of issue may, for instance, make the stock more available for small investors, and the consequent increase in the volume of the stock on the market ing new shares in the stock may make it, temporarily at lation of pools. do not Such least, facts, while affect the principle. a subject for the specuthey modify the results, CAPITAL ACCOUNTS Sec. 8] 79 §8 We have considered two ways through which the bookvalue of capital, surplus, and divided profits may exaggerate the true condition of the stockholders' property, namely, through misfortune or the unforeseen shrink- age of the assets, and through misappropriation of stock- even when stock had at the outset been There remains to be considered a third way, namely, through the issue of stock below par, or for services, patents, etc., at unduly high prices. holders' funds, issued at par. To way of overvaluing capital, or " stockcompany to be capitahzed at $200,000, company issues at the beginning 1000 certifi- illustrate this watering," suppose a and that this cates of the par value of $100,000, but sells per share actually paid into the treasury. them for only $60 Here is $60,000 by $100,000 face value of stock a margin of $40,000 " water." Suppose, further, that another block of $100,000 of the stock is given to an inventor for his patent, the real value of which Finally, suppose that bonds are issued is only $10,000. paid-in capital, represented certificates, leaving and are floated at par. Then the company has received in actual cash only $360,000. Of this sum only $60,000 has been received from the stockholders. The patent, which has also been contributed in to the extent of $300,000, return for $100,000 of stock, and which is worth only one tenth of that sum, makes the total balance due the stockholders But, $70,000. $200,000. Consequently the company it will is capitahzed at be necessary for the book- keeper to exaggerate the assets to the extent of $130,000. He may do this as follows: — Assets Plant [cost S360,000] Patent [worth 10,000] Liabilities . . $400,000 Bonds 100,000 Capital $500,000 $300,000 200,000 $500,000 Here $90,000 of the exaggeration is put under patent and the remainder in an overvaluation of the plant. Many NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 80 other methods of stock-watering are possible. [Chap. V A common one is to allow the plant to run down; i.e. to fail to make proper repairs, while retaining its old book value in the balance sheet. A railway may be "skinned" in this way, by diverting to dividends what should be paid to a depreciation account. This operation, however, is not com- monly mismanagement. sometimes said that stock-watering is not wrong, as long as all the terms and conditions are known. This is much Hke saying that lying is not wrong, provided everycalled stock-watering, but It is body knows that it is lying; for a false balance sheet only one form of a false statement, and, ordinarily, a false statement is made with intent to deceive. The object is may be, for instance, to mislead intending bondholders making them believe that there loans than actually exists. honest if men there is is We see here one reason often undervalue their assets. any by a larger security for their They why prefer, error in their valuations, that the error be against themselves rather than in their favor; in other words, that their representations as to financial strength shall be well within the truth. Yet it not infrequently happens that undervaluations of assets shall may, like overvaluations, serve the purposes of dishonesty, — to "bear" the speculative market, Many which attempts have been result or National made for instance. to prevent the frauds from stock-watering. For instance, the State governments compel publicity of accounts in the case of insurance companies, national banks, and inter- The stock exchanges require similar pubAny company whose securities are listed on the New York Stock Exchange must pubUsh its assets and habilities at stated intervals. But this rule is too general to be very effective. In some state railways. Hcity in regard to "listed" securities. cases the law requires the entire nominal capital to be paid into the company, in cash or securities at their value, as in the case of national banks. 1 Revised Statutes, § 5140 (Act June 3, 1864, § 13). market CAPITAL ACCOUNTS Sec. 9] 9 § The it may may original capital of a concern increased or decreased. of liabilities. therefore be either In the course of sometimes shrink to have insolvency, 81 its If it sinks zero. fluctuations below zero we — the condition in which assets The capital-balance is fall short intended to prevent very calamity; that is, it is for the express purpose of guaranteeing the value of the other liabilities. this These other Uabilities represent, for the blocks of property carved out, as most part, fixed were, of the assets, and it which the merchant or company has agreed to keep intact The fortunes at all hazards. of business will naturally cause the whole volume of assets to vary in value, but " slack" ought properly to be taken capital, surplus, and undivided all this up or given out by the profits. Capital thus acts as a from overtaking the assets. It is interested in an enterprise, as a guarantee to others who advance their capital to it. The amount of capital-balance necessary to make a business buffer to keep the liabilities the "margin" put up by those most reasonably safe will differ with circumstances. A capital- balance equal to five per cent of the habihties may, in one kind of business, such as mortgage companies, be perfectly adequate, whereas fifty per cent may be required in another Much depends on how likely the assets are to shrink and how much and much, likewise, on the character of the kind. ; If the assets habihties. will be required than The may if risk of insolvency shrink below the have stability of value, less capital they consist of speculative securities. is, then, the chance that the assets liabilities. more shrinkable the This risk is the greater, and the less the margin of The subject capital-value between assets and Habihties. lends itself to mathematical and statistical treatment; but to work out the quantitative relations would lead us far afield it would require much statistical material, and its analysis by the mathematics of chances. the ; assets, NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 82 § [Chap. V 10 may exist for a time without being known; be no legal bankruptcy. Legal bankruptcy exists as soon as there is a legal declaration of inability This may not be true insolvency. to meet obligations. Insolvency there may For instance, the assets may exceed the cash assets at the particular time may but the than the cash liabilities, be less due at that time. This condition we may call In such a case, a little forbearance on the part of creditors may be all that is necessary to prevent liabilities pseudo-insolvency. financial shipwreck. A wise merchant, however, will not only avoid insolvency, but also pseudo-insolvency; that is, he will not only keep his assets in excess of his liabilities by a safe margin, but will also see that his assets are invested in the right so as to enable in the to cancel each claim at the time form and manner agreed upon. From assets, him this point of — cash view there are three chief forms of quick assets, and slow assets. assets, A cash money, or what is acceptable in quick asset is one which may be ex- asset is property in actual place of money. changed A for cash in call loans, a relatively short time, as, for instance, short-time loans, and other marketable securities. A slow asset is one which can be exchanged for cash only in a relatively long time, as real estate, office fixtures, facturers' equipment. The skill of and manu- a good business man consists in properly marshaling these various constituents of his assets. § 11 When we speak of the assets falHng short of the liabilities, we which are included in the company, private means of stockholders adequate to meet the debts In fact, in the case of a of a company, but unavailable. express provision for ''limited joint stock company, there is refer only to those assets balance sheet. There may be, outside of the CAPITAL ACCOUNTS Sec. 11] liability," so that the 83 only assets which can be considered in determining solvency are those on the balance sheet the company. cases, as in the case of However, in some of national banks, the stockholders are liable for double the amount of the capital. In the case of a partnership, on the other hand, the partners are liable for almost their private property, so that the individual all of member of the firm has always to reckon w^th a contingent liabiUty to the creditors of the firm. was separated from private even including his own person, Originally, before business life, all of a debtor's assets, were regarded as pledged to the payment of a debt. The attitude of the law and public opinion toward this matter has changed greatly. Only a few generations ago an insolvent debtor was imprisoned, the theory being that insolvency was a crime. When intentional, or due to gross negligence, it is; but when due to the ordinary chances of business it is not. To put a debtor in prison did not of course help him to pay his debts. When this practical point was admitted, special bankruptcy acts were passed to relieve insolvency if very widespread, as after a panic. Such acts were at first merely temporary, and regarded as justified only under extraordinary circumstances. To-day, however, laws exist by which a bankrupt may be discharged free of further liability, and without the necessity of any special legislation. The Ray Act in the United States, under which our present system of bankruptcy has been worked out, was passed as late as 1898. In some places, as in France, the older view of limited liabiHty still prevails; but the EngHsh and American system is not only sounder in practice, as shown by its results in encouraging legitimate enterprise, but is also based on sounder theory, for it recognizes the fact that the creditor is a risk-taker. This has always been and is necessarily the case, however much the debtor may try to safeguard his creditors' interests. The capital of a company exists, as we have seen, for the NATUEE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 84 purpose of mimmizing this but risk, it [Chap. "V cannot eliminate it altogether. 12 § The principle that a creditor of a concern is a risk-taker has two important corollaries. The first is that, when bankruptcy occurs, though the nominal liabiUties exceed the assets, their actual value does not. We may say that so far as their actual value liabilities of a concerned, the value of the is company can never be greater than the they derive their value from these assets. A company which can pay only fifty cents on the dollar must have its obligations classified as "bad debts," worth only half assets, for their nominal amount. This fact does not, of course, Some justify the intentional repudiation of debts. of the United States have, it is the burden of their debt by own bonds at market their true, offering price, states attempted to reduce buy up their this price was to when below par, owing to a lack of confidence in their ultimate redemption. Such an operation is evidently a species of repudiation. On the other hand, we must not regard it givable sin for the bona fide bankrupt not to as an unfor- pay his debts in So long as the creditor understands in advance the nature of the risk he is taking, he must abide by the full. result. Nowadays, corporations, this in the case is perfectly .of well investments in large understood. Many have been bonded for almost their entire cost, the bondholder reaUzing fully that he could obtain nothing This participation in risk unless the road was a success. is particularly evident in the case of income bonds, which specifically pay interest only so long as the road's income railroads is adequate. The principle that the true value of the liabiUties is derived from the assets and can never exceed them may seem to have an exception in the case of a person who succeeds in borrowing money "without capital." It is clear, how- CAPITAL ACCOUNTS Sec. 12] ever, that if we employ who is sense, a person 85 the term "wealth" in good its larger himHis present value must in the estimation' of his creditors be at least equal to the discounted value of his debt-paying power; otherwise he could not borrow. It follows that his liability, being only self assets really for his debt is to that extent. part of the discounted value of his debt-paying power, cannot exceed his assets. The second corollary, from the imply risk, is principle that all seciu-ities that the distinction between stockholders and bondholders is chiefly one of degree, and may be bridged over by intermediate forms. Preferred stock and income bonds amount to very nearly the same thing. The preferred stockholder is elevated above the common stockholder, and resembles a bondholder in that he is assigned a certain fixed amount of the earnings before any accrue to the common stockholder. The income bondholder, on the other hand, is depressed below the other bondholders, and resembles a stockholder in that he will not be paid until the ordinary bondholders have been satisfied. The chief remaining differences between these two forms of security are that the stock confers voting power, while the bond does not and that the bond has a due date for final ex; tinguishment, while the stock continues until the is company "wound up." The between the different classes of creditors further swept away in some cases where there is no capital stock, as in that of a mutual insurance company. Here the policy holders, instead of being creditors for fixed sums due them from the company, as distinction of a concern is still are the bondholders of a joint stock concern, themselves assume the chance there and also take whatever They are, as it were, both risk of the business may be of profit. In the accounts of a mutual In therefore, bankruptcy would seem to stockholders and creditors. company there will be almost no outside creditors. such companies, NATUEE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 86 [Chap. V be impossible; but as their debts for death claims are for specific sums, they may be forced into Hquidation, if unable to obtain these sums by remitting dividends or by assessments. §13 When bankruptcy occurs, the claims of creditors are settled in one of three ways: through an agreement of "composition," by which the creditor agrees to take what he can get and excuse the debtor for the difference; through an assignment by the debtor of his assets to his creditors; or through foreclosure by the holder of some obligation. The final result of bankruptcy will be either liquidation, by which the business assets are sold and distributed and the business wound up or reorganization, by which the business is continued and the habilities are entirely changed ; in character. capital, as, In the case of companies with large fixed for instance, raihoads, reorganization is the usual result, and the old bondholders often become the stockholders, the old stockholders surrendering their rights altogether. While the affairs of the this reorganization is being company are administered appointed by the bankruptcy court. He effected, by a receiver calls in all stock and bonds, and issues temporary receiver's the certifi- These in turn are exchanged for the new securities However, the bondholder seldom wishes to assume his right of control and become a stockholder, and cates. when is ready. usually offered instead the option of cash or some new security similar in kind to that which he held before, but less in amount. He tives, realizing that likely to is to apt to accept one of these alternaforeclose and take possession be more troublesome, and, in the end, less is advan- Thus the losses of the old company are "written and the reorganized company starts afresh with a clean The change is simply a change in the forms set of books. of ownership of wealth and in the individual owners. tageous. off," — CAPITAL ACCOUNTS Sec. 14] 87 §14 The bankruptcy may often causes the bankfirms be clearly seen in the following table, where the liabil- ity of thus of one firm The interdependence between ruptcy of another. one person is represented by the asset of another, : Person Assets Miscellaneous . . , A NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 88 down as a bad asset that worth only $10,000 B's assets shrink $40,000. [Chap. instead A's loss $50,000 ; enough to wipe out all of B's capital of $30,000, is, is V of thus and pare down the value of his other liabilities by $10,000, so that B can now pay only $30,000 out of the $40,000 he owes. In other words, he Next comes C, is able to pay only 75 cents on the who has $20,000 dollar. invested in B's note. He gets only 75 cents on the dollar, so that this asset, nominally found to be worth only $15,000, and his This loss is not enough to wipe out all his capital, but only reduces it from $30,000 to $25,000, Consequently D, who owns C's so that C remains solvent. worth $20,000, loss is is only $5000. bills for The force of the catasruined A and B and injured C, $5000, will lose nothing. trophe has been spent. It but stopped short of D. From this example we may see that the statistics of bankruptcies are often misleading. the statistician to firms. But sum up Thus, it is the liabilities of all usual for bankrupt in case the various firms are connected, as in the above example, the total sum lost is not as great as though the same amount of bankruptcy occurred in independent firms. In the preceding example the only loss is $90,000, all in A's assets. But there would appear to be a loss of $90,000 in A's account, one of $40,000 in B's account, and one of $5000 in C's, or $135,000 in all. This misleading result is evidently due to counting parts of the loss twice and three times. Failures are sometimes due to a false fear of calamity, a shock to business confidence. This will cause a shrinkage For instance, it will induce of values in several ways. creditors to demand payment and refuse renewals of bills. Forced liquidation and contraction of credit are the result. No physical capital is destroyed, but the form of ownership is violently disturbed, and often the management, being transferred from stockholders to bondholders, from competent to incompetent hands. is Above turned all, the CAPITAL ACCOUNTS Sec. 15] expectations of the future are 89 changed and confused. Plans are given up, orders are countermanded, and trade is stopped. Assets, representing as they do the value of future expectations, suffer sudden and heavy reductions. §15 summarizing Briefly son who has this chapter liabilities is, in we may say a sense, a trustee. that a per- He holds more than he owns. He holds all his assets; he owns only the margin between these and his liabilities. His responsibility for the liabilities requires that he should keep his own margin there always risk of losing his margin and becoming is insolvent. assumed This by risk, of capital comparatively safe. whether large or small, his creditors, and its is But necessarily existence should be recognized in law as well as in business practice. The record of the relations which at any time exist between assets, liabilities, and the margin of capital separating them constitutes what we have called the "capital ac- counts." CHAPTER VI CAPITAL SUMMATION The interdependence of the balance sheets of different firms or companies which has been revealed by the communication of bankruptcies exists, of course, irrespecwherever any item It exists tive of bankruptcies. two accounts, in one as asset and in the other as In fact, every liability item in a balance sheet impUes the existence of an equal asset in some other balConseance sheet, for every debtor impUes a creditor. offset balance sheet is one term in quently every negative The conother. by a corresponding positive term in some enters liability. verse, however, does not follow, namely, that every asset implies a liability. When we attempt to sima up the items in the balance sheets of various persons, the positive and negative elements may be canceled out by pairs or couples. This method of cancellation may be called the method of Each debt or Habihty between any two persons couples. whose accounts are included, being a liability to one and an asset to the other, constitutes a couple or pair of equal and opposite items. We have already noted another way in which liabihties may be canceled against assets, namely, by subtracting the Habilities in any capital account from the assets in the same account. This method may be called the method of balances, since for each individual account liabilities are deducted from assets and the net Both methods must, of course, lead to balance is taken. result. the same 90 Sec. 1] CAPITAL SUMMATION 91 The two methods may be illustrated by the balance X, Y, and Z sheets of three persons, say : — NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 92 The [Chap. VI same by both methods, but the method shows the share of this total capital which is totals are the of balances owned by each individual, while the method of couples shows the various items of capital-goods of which this total posed, namely, residence, personal effects, farm shares and is com- railroad and bonds. §2 It is well to note here the distinction between the accounting of real persons and of fictitious persons. For a real person, the assets may be and usually are in excess of the Habihties, and the of that person. This capital difference is the capital-balance is not to be regarded as a but as a balance or difference between the Habihties and the assets. For a fictitious person, on the other hand, as for instance a corporation or partnership, liability, the for liabilities the obligation holders, person, always are balancing item from the as in any fact, of is exactly called equal to capital is the assets; as truly an person to the real stockother Kabilities. A fictitious fictitious the a mere bookkeeping ing certain assets and dummy, hold- them out again to real persons. Bookkeepers, it is true, apply the same methods in both cases, but they do so by regarding the owing all of accounts even of a real person as relating to a fictitious entity for bookkeeping purposes. one's real self are separated. One's business Thus self and X's business shows a balance in X's favor of $10,000, he enters this as a habihty item in his business accounts and considers his "business" as owing him this sum. There is no objection to such a procedure. But we must remember that when we say that "X's business" owes $10,000, we imply that if X the real amount X in his own accounts holds a claim of that In other words, we are compelled, in order to be consistent, to open a separate account for and carry forward the $10,000 balance against his "business." X to the opposite side, thus : — CAPITAL SUMMATION Sec. 3] X's Business Assets Miscellaneous . . . $50,000 Due Due to ott to X 93 NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 94 [Chap. VI which were obtained by the method of balances before the railroad was introduced into the discussion. The totals will stand as follows : — X's capital balance Y's capital balance Z's capital balance R.R. Co.'s capital balance $ 70,000 40,000 80,000 000 $190,000 When we apply the method of couples, however, we of the railway company's capiThe tal account will affect the items in the final sum. stocks and bonds, as assets of X, Y, and Z, will now pair off find the inclusion that with the corresponding liabilities of the railroad company and their place will be taken by the concrete railroad itself, as follows : — Method op Couples Residence Personal Effects $ 70,000 20,000 50,000 50,000 Farm Railway $190,000 The appearance of the capital inventory is thus changed. Formerly, the items of property-rights in it included part rights, as stocks and bonds; now they consist only of complete property-rights solely residence, the right to of The items property rights speaking, complete right to any the farm, article of in terms of the article of wealth phrase, the "right to a consist, strictly still — the wealth itself, right to the But, since the etc. is best expressed instead of the long residence," we merely use The property no longer veils the wealth beneath it, and the inventory, which before was called an inventory of property-capital, is now also an inventory "residence." of wealth-capital. CAPITAL SUMMATION Sec. 3] Such a when we combine we combine enough of them to every liability which have no its counterpart supply, and item, its counterpart asset, every asset which has one, assets capital result is sure to follow accounts, provided for 95 counterparts are what for The liability. we have called complete rights to wealth, or "fee simples"; those The which have them are the partial rights to wealth. reason that every article of concrete wealth is garded as owned in "fee simple" have to set up a fictitious person purpose. Hence every part right essarily appear as a liability on the is to be re- by some one, even as dummy if for that we very to that wealth will nec- opposite side of that per- and again as an asset on the account of some other person. Thus, if two brothers own a farm in equal shares, the farm as a whole is regarded as owned by the partnership person called "Smith Brothers." The balance sheet of this fictitious person will show as assets the farm and as Habihties the "undivided half-interest" of each brother, and these same items enter the individual son's account, accounts of the brothers as assets. To follow out capital clusion of many summations thus requires the fictitious persons, for it is often in- only the who hold the complete rights to articles Locomotives and railway stations, for instance, are owned by corporations, not individuals. In fact, these fictitious persons of wealth. fictitious persons municipalities, — partnerships, associations, corporations, and the like trusts, — are formed purpose of holding large aggregations of concrete wealth and parceling out its ownership among a for the express larger If, number of real persons. we suppose balance then, sheets so constructed as to include the whole world of real and fictitious persons, with entries in them for every asset and liability, even pubhc parks and streets, household furniture, persons themselves, and other possessions not ordinarily accounted for in practice, it is evident that we shall obtain, by the NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 96 method [Chap. VI of balances, a complete account of the distribution of capital-value among of couples, a complete On thus owned. mortgages, real persons; list and, by the method of the articles of actual wealth this hst there will be no stocks, bonds, other part rights, but notes, or only land, buildings and other land improvements, commodities and In other words, we arrive again at the real persons. and proposition of Chapter III, that wealth underhes cor- responds to property. §4 Among other part-rights in real wealth There has been called "credit." much we find what is discussion as to the nature of credit; whether, in particular, credit is to be regarded as a "part of capital." It has been claimed that, from the merchant's point of view, credit cause it enables a business In this view MacLeod it revenue borrowed capital. includes credit under capital. Pro- Nicholson capital,^ capital be- is to enlarge his business. though is capital, specifically fessor J. Shield man but that it is says that credit "strictly is a sort of and taking only material (productive) capital, this would involve counting the same elements twice over." of capital accounts, That part of a how We see, from our study to avoid such double counting. man's so-called capital which should not enter his books as his capital at is borrowed being but a all, manifestation of the fact that the total capital of the com- munity which he in part owns is also owned in part by Indeed, the phenomenon of credit means nothing others. more nor less than a specific form of divided ownership of wealth. to control is, Credit merely enables one more wealth some part man temporarily or property than he owns, that of the wealth or property of others. occurs generally on the theory that he can use it advantage than the real owner. ^ Palgrave's Dictionary of Political Economy, Vol. This to better I, p. 452. : CAPITAL SUMMATION Sec. 5] It 97 therefore a cardinal error to regard credit as in- is creasing capital may by the amount of that credit. Indirectly, in an increase of capital, through and production and by getting the management of capital into the right hands and its ownership into the most effective form; but the amount of any such increase of capital thus indirectly produced bears no necessary relation to the amount of the credit credit result stimulating trade If capital is increased, the credit does not constitute itself. the increase, but merely represents a part ownership in the final total, after all the increments have been counted in. §5 A great deal of confusion in legislation be avoided if the two methods of and writing could summing up capital were distinguished and their interrelations recognized. tion, the A two methods are often confused. In taxa- chief prob- lem of efficient taxation is how to tax all property once, and none of it more than once. There are two solutions One list to tax the is amount owned by each which expresses the method real person in a of balances ; this method The seeks out the real owners or part owners of wealth. other is to tax the actual concrete wealth in a Ust which expresses the real wealth method of couples this method seeks out the At present the two are much confused. ; owned. Legislators too often fail to perceive that under the first, or owner-method, corporations should not be taxed, for they are not true owners; and that under the second, or wealth-method, bonds, stocks, and other part-rights to wealth should not be taxed, for these are sufficiently included when the which these actual railways and other wealth are taxed, securities represent. It is not claimed, of course, that a complete system of taxation can be worked out merely by choosing one of the of taxes just indicated. We are here only concerned in pointing out that the distinction between the two forms NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 98 two should be observed and that where one is [Chap. VI applied the other cannot also be applied without duplicating the tax. The failure to distinguish and couples also manifests clearly the itself in methods of balances the form of fallacious Statistics of railway capital have been compiled in which the value of all railway property is obtained by adding up the assets of the railways, regardless statistics of capital. of the fact that bonds many of these assets consist in stocks and of other railways. We should therefore distinguish carefully the two methone the method of ods for the summation of capital, — owned by different inand the other the method of couples, which balances, which exhibits capital as dividuals, exhibits capital as consisting of different concrete instru- ments. The one relates to the owner, the other to the They do not conflict, but present the same things owned. facts in different aspects. PART II. Chapter VII. Chapter VIII. Chapter IX. Chapter X. Income Income Income Accounts Income Summation Lora Psychic Income CHAPTER VII INCOME Income has already been defined as a flow through a and not, like capital, as a fund at an instant of time, and as consisting of abstract services and not, like capital, of concrete wealth. The income from any instrument is thus the flow of services rendered by that instrument. The income of a community is the total flow of The income of an indiservices from all its instruments. vidual is the total flow of services yielded to him from his period of time property. Before attempting to elaborate or even to justify this definition, we have first to examine the erroneous now current. The present chapter is concepts of income devoted to such an examination. It is no exaggeration to say that at present the state of economic opinion on this important subject is deplorably confused and conflicting. Many writers fail to construct any too definition whatever, either because they find the task difficult, or because they deem the concept too obvious And those who do to require definition. set themselves the task of reaching a working concept of income do not find it an easy one tion with their own ; and authors often confess dissatisfac- results. The definitions which are given are usually vague.* Their authors, often able and distinguished, and keenly alive to the difficulties of the subject, seem to take refuge ^ VII, F®r a collection of conflicting definitions see Appendix to Chap. § 1. 101 | I NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 102 in for [Chap. VII an obscure and ambiguous phraseology.^ Were it not an instinctive feeling that there exists a definite income- concept, the repeated failure to formulate it might lead one not susceptible of any exact and rigorous definition, and that the best course is to abandon its to conclude that it is Kleinwachter, who wrote a book espedevoted to this subject, specifically takes this course. search as futile cially He no useful concept of income,^ merchants attempted to keep a record of their transactions by counting the money which they received and disbursed, and that, in consequence of this, arose the "illusory" notion that through some such record the complete economic standing of an individual or firm could be expressed. He observes, that such a complete picture could not be obtained by recording merely the incomings and outgoings of money, but should include Hkewise the incomings and outgoings of every other kind of wealth.^ A complete record, he states, would that there states His idea is is that, originally, alone cover the required ground. So-called statistics of in- come are, he maintains, merely a makeshift for such a record.* But why should the possibility of a concept of income be rejected because it does not reveal a " complete" picture of an individual's economic condition ? On the same plea we might also reject the possibility of a concept of capital. Y. Edgeworth, Falgrave's Dictionary of Political Economy, "Income," Vol. II, p. 374: " Income may be defined as the wealth, measured in money, which at the disposal of an individual, or a community, per year or other ^ E.g. F. — article, is (The italics are the present writer's.) This formulaadopted by N. G. Pierson, Principles of Economics, London unit of time." tion is (Macmillan), 1902, p. 76. ^ Das EinJcommen und ^ Op. cit., seine Verteilung, Leipzig, 1896, p. 11. p. 14. * The present writer at one time also expressed these doubts {Economic Journal, December, 1896, pp. 553, 554). By aid of the criticisms of Cannan and Edgeworth, the conclusions here stated were reached. These were first outlined in "Senses of Capital," Economic Journal, June, 1897, and in " The R61e of Capital in Economic Theory," Economic Journal, December, 1897. INCOME Sec. 2] 103 A good definition should always conform to two tests: useful for scientific analysis; and it must harmonize with popular and instinctive usage. We shall see that the usual definitions of income fail in one or both it must be Many of these requisites. i fail to lend themselves to scien- by committing the fallacy of double counting, others by confusing income and capital, while almost all fail to harmonize with popular usage by making out income larger or smaller than common sense would dictate. Like most familiar notions, the notion of income seems to the uninitiated clear enough without definition. But tific analysis pitfalls which are unseen are more dangerous. We for that very reason shall point out all the a few of them by criticising, not the specific definitions of particular authors, but the general concepts of income which the reader is likely, more or less unconsciously, to have acquired. §2 of income which is the most common is "money-income." A business man's "moneyincome" means to him the money receipts from his busi- Q\ The concept that of ness, less applied to money expenses of obtaining them. As commercial affairs, this concept is nearly the adequate, and in fact it coincides, as a special case, with the income which we have adopted concept for the services which a man's business capital yields him usually consist exclusively of bringing him money, and the disservices which it causes him, of taking money from him. Thus the net value of its services to him, or difference between the value of the services and disservices, is simply the difference between the money brought in and the money taken away from him by his business. of But while the concept ; of "money-income" is correct so from exhausting the complete income concept. As soon as we pass outside of commercial circles, we find cases in which money-receipts are evifar as it goes, it is far NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 104 [Chap. VII all receipts and money-costs only In primitive communities, and even in highly organized communities, the income of many persons dently only a part of a part of all costs. consists; partly the in acquisition of goods other than money. /"The clergyman receives, besides his salary, the use of a parsonage and domestic servants receive, besides their wages, their food and lodging. Again, many goods considered as constituting income are not acquired by exchange at all, but produced by the individual himself. It is usually recognized that a farmer's income includes not only what he gets in money by sale and barter, but what he obtains "in kind," the products of his farm consumed by his own family. ; — On the other side of the ledger there are many costs which are not in money form, namely, sacrifices of commodities and labor in the process of acquisition. The him money for some of farmer's crops cost he may sacrifice not pay for these labor as well as wages. his seed the and products Again, fertilizer, of his but farm instead. While the acknowledged existence of non-monetary reand costs is of itself a sufficient proof of the inadequacy of the money-income idea, there is the further objection that money-income itself exists, so far as it has any existence, merely for the purpose of purchasing other goods. The laborer's wages are not his "real wages," but the means to them. He transforms his money-wages into food, clothing, housing, and other uses. These, and not the money which buys them, constitute his real income. If we acknowledge this, we are led away from moneyincome to another concept common in economic literature, but still inadequate, namely, "real income." ceipts §3 "Real income" has been defined in various ways, and, income in general, is often not defined at all. So like INCOME Sec. 3] 105 far as it has any recognized meaning, it may perhaps be expressed in the phrase "enjoyable commodities and services." This concept that of money-income; elements which certainly is for we found it more adequate than includes the supplementary lacking under the head of money- income, such as the clergyman's use of a parsonage, the servant's board and lodging, and the farmer's produce for his own consumption. It is also less superficial concept of money-income; for is it than the recognizes that money only an intermediary, and seeks to discover the real ele- ments for which that money-income stands. But the definition errs in two particulars first, instead of making income consist simply and consistently of one kind : of attempts to include with this totally incongruous element, commodities; element, element services, the and, secondly, it it unnecessarily restricts itself to enjoyable though enjoyable elements are, in the last analysis, the final income of society or of an individual, the fact that they are should constitute the end of our reasonings and not the beginning. We shall now take up these two errors in order. That the two elements "commodities" and "services" form a heterogeneous combination is evident from the fact that one is concrete wealth and the other, abstract use of that wealth. To bring about homogeneity we could exclude uses altogether and confine "income" to concrete commodities or we could exclude commodities altogether and restrict the term whollj'' to uses. The latter alternative, which is the solution offered in the present book, seems never to have occurred to those who have written on the subject. The former alternative is quite untenable and has been instinctively discarded. Instead of either alternative, the course which has actually been pursued has been the eclectic makeshift of including some commodities and the services or uses of others, and even sometimes both elements; for, — — ; the commodities and the uses of these very commodities. NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 106 [Chap. VII The choice of the commodities to be included has usually on the less durable varieties, such as food, fuel, and clothing, while the objects the uses of which have been more durable instruments, included have been the fallen In the case of intermediate types, and musical instruments, no fixed rule seems to have been observed. Some economists are inclined to regard a newly acquired piano as a part of real income, others to regard the music which comes from it as the real income, while still others apparently regard both the piano and its music as real income. Evidently such a patchwork of arbitrarily selected elements is insuch as dwelling-houses. such as carriages, furniture, capable of furnishing any consistent, reliable, and logical theory of income. §4 The only true method, in our view, is to regard uniformly as income the service of a dwelling to or money rental), the service of the service of food (nourishment) ; its owner (shelter a piano (music), and and in the same uni- form manner to exclude alike from the category of income the dwelling, the piano, and even the food. These are capital, not income; and the instant we include any such concrete wealth under the head of income, that instant we begin to confuse capital and income. The newly purchased or newly constructed house is not an element of income, but of capital. The income appears afterward in the services the house yields its owner, the shelter it affords through — subsequent years or the bringing in of a money rent to its owner. In like manner the newly acquired piano and loaf of bread are not income, but capital. Their income fol- lows later in the form of piano music and nourishment. No reason has ever been given why the short-lived bread should be treated differently from the long-lived dwelling. The use of the bread is the use of the dwelling from the bread as from the dwelling. The just as distinct is distinct INCOME Sec. 4] 107 between the case of the bread and that of the purely one of degree. The uses of the bread follow the acquisition of the bread almost instantly, whereas the uses of the dwelling are not completely ended until difference dwelling many is years after the dwelling difference in time The value is of the use of the bread From acquired. comes a corresponding is this difference in value. practically identical with the value of the bread. A man will give ten cents today for a loaf if he expects its use (consumption) to-morrow to be worth ten cents. The value of the dwelling, however, will be less than the value of its prospective uses, owing to the fact that these uses are so remote in the future. the dwelling is expected to If and its shelter $50,000 worth of shelter will last fifty years, to be worth $1000 a year, this not by any means be worth $50,000 in advance, but only, say, $15,000. This "capitalized" value of the expected uses of the dwelhng will be the value of the dwelling. short, the bread and its In uses are practically contemporane- ous and equal in value, whereas the dwelling and its uses are widely diverse in both particulars. Consequently it has not seemed worth while to economists to distinguish between the bread and its uses; whereas they could not help distinguishing between the dwelling and But in and their science, logical distinctions its uses. are inexorable, violation always brings retribution. be said in truth that if It may economists had been scrupu- lous enough to distinguish a loaf of bread from its uses, they would have escaped most of the confusions which have so long enveloped the theory of income. Having once chosen as the income element the food instead of its use, economists have proceeded to do the same in the case of clothing and other moderately durable commodities. Naturally they have not known where to cease calling the concrete instrument income and begin calling its use income instead. In their hesitation they have in some cases ended by including both. By so doing they commit the fallacy NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 108 of double counting. [Chap. VII This fallacy they escape only in the case of the very durable instruments, such as the dwelling, and the very perishable instruments, such as the bread. The dwelUng is too evidently not income ever to be so regarded, and, as to bread, one of the two elements its But it is felt that interuse is overlooked altogether. — — mediate types, like the piano, are as fairly entitled to be called income, when acquired, as the bread, and that their services are as fairly entitled to be called income as are the services of the dwelling. Consequently both are deemed income. But a piano valued at $500 is so valued because sum this the capitalized value of the future expected is uses which, let us say, are $600, distributed over the lifetime of the instrument. Consequently piano is first purchased, it is the extent of $500, and then later in providing its if, when the entered as real income to its subsequent services also counted as owner with music are income to the extent of $600, it is clear that there has been double (though successive) counting. The services of the piano have been counted as income in anticipation as well as in realization. Yet this error, in committed. one form or another, It is virtually in this way is not infrequently that Cannan ^ and others regard "savings" as income in the year in which the savings are accumulated, although the interest upon those savings will years. we translate man it is The nature saves be counted as income in subsequent of the fallacy is seen as soon as from money to other instruments. If a up money and purchases an automobile, clearly double counting to call the automobile thus ob- tained "real income," and then include in the real income of ensuing years. its subsequent uses matter It does not Elementary Political Economy, London, 1888, pp. 58, 59. The income will be treated at greater length in Chap. XIV. The reader who believes that savings ought to be regarded as income is asked to stay judgment until he has finished Chap. XIV. ^ fallacy of including savings in INCOME Sec. 5] how durable the instrument; to include the instrument it is and 109 always double counting its uses. be invested in land or in confectionery. income is tionery. The savings may The only true the use of the land or the use of the confec- To include also the value of value of the confectionery is the land or the to count as income the capi- taUzation of income. §5 Economists have been more or less aware of the pitfall of double counting, but not of the reason for it. They have therefore attempted to avoid it, not by excluding all commodities from the income concept and restricting it to services, but by specifically excluding from income certain groups of commodities. Naturally, they have been at a loss to formulate a satisfactory and logical principle for this exclusion. Some of them have no better suggestion to offer than that all "large" or "unusual" acquisitions should be ruled out, and that only those commodities which come into a man's possession in a "regular" stream shall be entitled to the name income. This makeshift has received much currency among German writers. To be sure, it serves the purpose of excluding from income such obviously inappropriate elements as bequests and gifts of large fortunes. It is clear that when a well-known millionaire recently fell heir to seventy millions, this did not constitute his income for the year in which he received it, but that it merely constituted the principal or capital from which he would receive income in subsequent years. But the reason that it is improper to call this suddenly acquired fortune income is not that it was large, nor that it was sudden, but that it consisted of rights to concrete wealth factories, ships, railways, and dwellings. These things are not under any circumstances income, but yield income through future uses. It is idle to call income "regular"; — for we all know that it is irregular. NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 110 [Chap. VII Another but very similar attempt to escape the of double counting and of confusing capital difficulties and income is vague way be "regular," but that it must be such as to leave unimpaired the Such a definition has the merit capital which yields it/ as its source, but it merely with capital income connecting of of uniformity from the attribute shifts the pretended In actual fact it income itself to its parent capital. is seldom true either that income flows uniformly or that to specify, not that income must in a capital remains at a constant level. To stipulate such uni- formity as a necessary limitation of income is to define, not the actual irregular income which exists in fact, but an which we set up for reference. It cannot be denied that the term "income" is sometimes used in the sense of such an ideal instead of in the sense of actual income and we shall follow this usage so far as to call such an ideal by the name of "standard income." What we insist on is that such standard income is not, and must not ideal standard ; be confused with, the actual income which a man receives from his capital. It is simply the income which he would receive if he chose to keep his capital unimpaired and unIf a man has his capital invested in the form of increased. a house which yields him rent, this actual rent, less any actual expenses for repairs, taxes, etc., is his income from that house, even though the house may be depreciating in value. The ideal or standard income whi h the house might yield without depreciation will be somewhat lower than this actual income, the difference being what is called amortization. ^~{ This is not the place to discuss amortization and the relabetween standard and real income. These tions subsisting topics will be fully discussed in Chapter present concerned with actual, not XIV. ideal, We are at income; so This specification is characteristic of Hermann, SchmoUer, and See Kleinwachter, Das Ei^kommen und seine Verteilung, pp. 22-23. 1 many others. Sec. 5] INCOME far as popular usage goes, it gives 111 its sanction to the use of the term "income " in the one sense quite as much as in the though usually with very little intelligent discrimination between the two. For instance, a life annuity from an insurance company, or a pension from a government, is universally recognized as "income." Yet this income trenches on the capital which produces it, eating it up year by year until, at the end of its allotted period, it is entirely exhausted. Let us suppose that the annuity is one of $1000 a year for twenty years. Reckoning interest at five per cent, such an annuity is worth, by the actuaries' tables, $12,462. That is, the annuitant could sell his annuity, on a five per cent basis, for $12,462 in ready money. But this $12,462 invested at five per cent would bring in, without impairing the principal, not $1000 a year, but If then he actually gets $1000 he is only $623.10. trenching on his capital the first year to the extent of Yet we regard him, and very properly too, as $376.90. having a true income of $1000 a year. If it were true that income could never trench on capital, we could not reckon a laboring man's wages as income without first deducting a premium or sinking fund sufficient to provide for the continuance of this income after the destruction by death of the laborer. If the annuitant or laborer should actually set aside such an annual sum as to maintain the capital value of his property unimpaired, we should be quite justified in considering the net sum, and not the gross sum, as income. The $1000 annuitant who pays $376.90 annually into a sinking fund is getting only $623.10 annually, not $1000, for an income, and the laboring man who pays an insurance premium reduces his income by that amount. '^-It surely makes a difference whether these "sinking funds" or "premiums" are actually To reckon what one ought set aside or merely reckoned. other, to save in and a order to maintain capital definition of is not to save income which depends upon an it, ideal NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 112 reckoning instead of a real payment is [Chap. VII to that extent inadequate. §6 We have now seen how the fatal inclusion of concrete wealth by the side of abstract services as a part of income has led economists into two errors, one the confusion of — and the other the capital with income, counting. We now fallacy of double proceed to consider the other mistake in the ordinary concept of real income, namely, that due by the term "enjoyReal income, we were told, consists of "enjoyable commodities and services." We have thus far succeeded in eliminating "commodities" from this formula; we now proceed to show that we may also eliminate "enjoyable," and leave the very simple formula: Income consists of to the needless restriction introduced able." services. It when we put together all the make up the total income of a com- quite true that is elements which go to munity or of an individual, and deduct all the negative we shall find that there are then left solely enjoyable services. But the various elements which elements, or outgoes, are thus combined — the income from factories, mines, farms, and other instruments or groups of instruments do not all consist of enjoyable services. Most of — them consist of intermediate services preparatory to enjoyable services. How these intermediate services cancel them- summation will form the subject At present we are merely concerned in pointing out that any adequate concept of income must leave room for these intermediate services, i.e. for the income rendered by a factory or a bank as well as that yielded by a dwelling or a pleasure yacht. We have already had occasion to note the inadequacy of that concept of income which restricts it to the yielding of money we now selves out in the final of a future chapter. ; need to observe the inadequacy of that concept which " INCOME Sec. 7] 113 money income Having found "money income insufficient for their purposes, economists have conceived of "real income." But by making real income consist of "enjoyable" elements, they have excluded money income altogether. Some of them more or less avowedly retain both concepts, but they do not show how to coordinate them nor how to include them both under a more general incomeconcept. In their minds the two seem to stand totally disconnected, except that, in a partial and incomplete way, real income is thought of as that for which money income goes to the opposite extreme and leaves out of account altogether. is spent, §7 The ordinary concepts income fail to conform to any In consequence, among other are those which have been drawn of consistent scheme whatever. needless distinctions, between social and individual income. Social income has usually been conceived as the "net — not in the sense of the net difference product" of society, between services and disservices, but in a sense which includes commodities. this net consistent product has been furnished. cannot include new No capital, all products. Some method of reckoning It is clear that we are only too evidently such as newly constructed railways, steam- ships, tunnels, bridges, and buildings and would not be Others must included by most persons in social income. certainly be omitted to avoid duplication in our reckoning. we were wheat crop of the farmer, the and the bread of the baker, we would be counting the same thing three times over, once for each of three successive processes. Some economists have sought to avoid this repetition, either by excluding the production and consumption of raw materials, or, if these are included, by not including the whole value ol the finished If to include the flour of the miller, — product, but only the increment of value over that of the raw materials. NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 114 [Chap. VII "We must be careful not to count the same thing twice. If we have counted a carpet at its full value, we have already counted the values of the yarn and the labour that were used in making it; and But if the carpet is cleaned by these must not be counted again. domestic servants or at steam scouring works, the value of the labour spent in cleaning it must be counted separately; for otherwise the results of this labour would be altogether omitted from the inventory of those newly-produced commodities and conveniences which constitute the real income of the country." ^ These reservations are entirely correct; but they furmeans of avoiding double counting. For instance, are fuel and labor to be deducted in the same way as raw materials ? Some writers have gone so far as to claim that, just as the cost of feeding work animals must be deducted from the value of the work they do, so the cost of supporting laborers must be deducted from the value of their product.^ If this view were correct, it would seem that the laborer could not share at all in the distribution of the social income, since all that comes to him is deducted nish no general A similar question as to deductions arises in the oft- cited case where one profession irksome than another. is more disagreeable or Should any deduction be made from the income of the hangman, for instance, to equalize his net income with the net income of a more desirable calling ? When income is called "net product," the same question arises which was met with in the case of individual income, viz., whether by "product" is meant concrete " wealth, or services, or both. In our own theory, " services are taken, but the usual concepts adopt wealth, or both wealth and services. According to them, part of the insocial new come of society consists of sihps, and dwellings, while the services of these new creations wealth, such as factories, 1 Marshall, Principles of Economics, Vol. ^ E.g. "Report of Committee on a I, p. Common 150. Measure of Value in Direct Taxation," Report of British Association for Advancement of Science, 1878, p. 220. INCOME Sec. 7] figure as 115 income in future years. We have already observed new dwelHng or piano as income this year, that to count a and its use as income in succeeding years, is a species of double counting as well as a confusion of capital and income. of these errors are repeated in any concept of social income which includes at once additions to the world's wealth, and the income which this very wealth subse- Both quently yields. §8 When a wrong road happens that ther astray. of income to it is once taken, leads those who almost inevitably it follow it further and fur- Economists, having selected a wrong idea found it so ill suited to problem to which they at- start with, naturally their purposes that, in each tempted to apply it, some special interpretation or amendment became necessary, until, instead of one concept, they became possessed of a miscellaneous assortment^ of They have been compelled not only to disconcepts sociate money-income and real-income, but also to dissociate the income of the individual and the income of society. When it is understood that the entire and only contribution to the income stream which any given instrument of capital ! can make consists in the services which that instrument it will be found that all subsidiary meanings of income are simply incomes from particular instruments or groups of instruments. If the instrument in question is a private carriage, the services which it brings forth, as events desirable to its owner, are the acts of conveying him from one place to another. These are primary or natural-incouie. If the in trument is a public carriage, the services which it brings forth, as events desirable to its owner, are the payments of fares. These are money-mcoiaej' If the group of renders, ^ The reader who cares to study them in detail will find a collection of definitions in the Appendix to Chapter VII. be borne in mind that the income is not the money which is a concrete commodity, but the bringing in of the money, which is an abstract service. ^ It should itself, NATURE OP CAPITAL AND INCOME 116 [Chap. VII instruments is the entire group of instruments constituting the entire capital of a community, the net total of their services and munity. disservices This is the entire income of the com- social income. If the group be the entire property of an individual the rights which he owns, complete or partial, in instruments the net total of the is — services and disservices to tutes his income. This is — which he is thus entitled consti- individual income. In science, the chief test of a definition is its adaptability to analysis. Judged by this test, none of the current concepts of income which we have passed in review can claim to be adequate for we have found them subject to ; the confusions of capital and income, and of double count- A secondary test ing. also fit that a working definition should is into, or rather, give clear and consistent outlines vague notions of income which we find ready made in the actual world of business and accounts. Of our own concept of income, as consisting exclusively of services, we shall endeavor to show that it includes the commercial bookkeeper's concept of "money income"; to the that it is coextensive with the popular notions of income, including what those notions include and excluding what they exclude ; that it affords a place for the usage by which sinking funds are reckoned and justifies the phrase "living beyond income"; that it avoids double counting automatically and without the necessity for the exercise of judgment in each special case that it makes capital and income ; strictly correlative but never in danger of being confused; and last, but not least, that it lends itself readily to economic analysis and serves as a foundation for the theory of interest. The concept of income to be elaborated is similar to several which have been put forward by other writers. It is almost identical with that of Edwin Cannan ^ it ; ^ See History of the Theory of Production and Distribution ; ElemenEconomy; and "What is Capital?" Economic Journal, tary Political 1837. INCOME Sec. 8J 117 harmonizes with what Professor Marshall ^ calls "usance" of wealth, and with the psychological concepts of income in President Hadley's Economics^ in Professor Flux's Economic Principles,^ and in Professor also the Fetter's Principles of Economics.* more closely than at first Finally, it harmonizes glance might be supposed, with the etymological and popular meaning of income. In- come from any source is what comes in from that source. The income from any capital is what that capital brings in to its owner, no matter what may be the form of benefit brought in. If the capital serves to bring in money, the income is ''money-income." If it serves to bring in crops or products, as does a self-supporting farm, the income is of another form. If it serves to bring in enjoyable comforts, as does a dwelling house, the income is of a still different form. the capital But in all cases, the essential fact performs service, — accomplishes is that something desired. As usage makes income include this cannot be maintained that usage. may It it — often many all it includes too much; — of the non-monetary benefits con- income by economists, as have studied the subject with care. A business man who had bought a yacht remarked: "It's a good investment, and I get my dividends every Saturday afternoon when I take a sail in it." And the writer has never had any difficulty in perferred by money-income, it with commercial be objected by the unreflecting that by including non-monetary elements but all conflicts capital are recognized as as well as by such men suading other business In of affairs men of the propriety of such usage. without an enjoyable use in prospect, money-income would have no existence or meaning. A house could fact, itself ^ See Principles of Economics, 3d ed. (Macmillan), Vol. I, p. 156. part of this passage is quoted in Appendix to Chap. VII. See also Carver's Distribution of Wealth (New York, Macmillan, 1904), p. 123. A 2 Chap. I. 3 p_ i7_ 4 pp 43^ 571^ NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 118 never command a money rent to the landlord [Chap. VII if it did not also 3deld shelter to the tenant, and even from the money only own rent and standpoint of the landlord the receipt of the intervenes as a medium for payment of his other expenses of living, in other words for securing his enjoyable income. Income is, then, a very general concept. services rendered by capital. We are included several special concepts vidual income, income. We It consists of have seen that under : it Social income, indi- money income, natural income, and enjoyable shall soon see that the net income of society or of an individual consists wholly of enjoyable income. This is because the non-enjoyable elements of income, such, for example, as money-income, are by equal items of outgo. all exactly offset But the non-enjoyable elements are none the less a part in the grand total, and, in fact, The money-income of ordinary bookkeeping forms the bulk of any true inventory of inby far the greater part. come; but its significance counterpart in outgo is cannot be understood until its also taken into account, nor until, in fact, a complete picture of all elements of income is brought before the mind's eye. To present this picture will be the object of the next three chapters. CHAPTER VIII INCOME ACCOUNTS it The income of our capital, then, is simply that does for us. Whether it brings us money which or other return does not matter; the flow of its services is its income. These services of wealth, as was previously explained, consist of any desirable events which occur by means of that wealth or any undesirable events prevented. Services exist in infinite variety. All work done by human beings, all the operations of industry, all the trans- actions of commerce, are services, accounts. wealth — and enter into income A bird's-eye view of this busy planet would reveal real estate, commodities, and human beings, — Land, men, and ceaselessly at work performing services. implements are changing land, seed, and live stock into Manufacturing plants are grain, beef, lumber, and steel. converting raw materials into flour, furniture, cloth, and implements. In domestic establishments we find the servAgriices of cooking, warming, cleaning, and sheltering. culture, mining, transportation, names that we give and commerce are simply by to the group of services performed farm, mine, railroad, and business capital. A disservice is a negative service. It is an undesirable event occasioned, or a desirable one prevented, by means of an article of wealth. A flow of disservices or negative income is called outgo. It does not matter whether the outgo occasioned by an article consists in depriving the owner of money or in some other evil. If the outgo is in mone119 NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 120 tary form it is called expense; if it is in the It includes all of have called trouble, cost, i.e. labor, form human of what economists expense, and sacrifices of exertion it is called labor. all [Chap. VIII kinds. An instrument very seldom yields services without in- volving some disservices. not only gives A dwelling house, for instance, off services called shelter, disservices in the form but also occasions of labor (or expense) for renewals, and taxes. Any by that house is a disservice; painting, cleaning, caretaking, insurance, disagreeable event occasioned just as any agreeable event is a service. Again, while its owner a performs disservices in being stabled, fed, A farmer gets services out of his land when it a saddle horse performs services in giving daily ride, it and shod. yields him crops; but to get these services he has to put fertilizer, seed, labor, and expense into that land. A rail- way performs a vast service of transportation, passengers and commodities, but amount of coal, suppHes, it hauling requires a prodigious and labor to keep it going. Disservices are not essential to the idea of wealth; an article of wealth sometimes offers services without any dis- When services. disservices exist they are usually over- balanced, in the estimation of the owner, by prospective As soon services. as the disservices of preponderate, in the est mation of its an article of wealth owner, over the serv- regarded as "more trouble than it is worth," In meantime the is constitute all, a such articles, if regarded as owned at Jevons calls them sort of wealth of negative utiUty, "discommodities." They are never of great importance and need receive no special attention. The chief examples ices, it is cast aside and ceases to be wealth. — of such articles are garbage, ashes, sewage, carrion, rubbish, and waste. It ices, has already been observed that services and disservin quantity hke wealth, are measured in two ways and value — and — that the quantity of each service is INCOME ACCOUNTS Sec. 2] measured in its own special unit. 121 The quantity of the serv- measured by the number of hours he works the services of a windmill, by the number Quantities of services (or of gallons of water pumped. ices of a gardener is often ; very hetero- disservices) are thus, like instruments of wealth, geneous and are incapable of being combined in a single sum. To obtain a homogeneous mass of value, we must multiply the quantity of services (or disservices) by their several prices. Income and outgo, then, senses: income-services like capital, are used in two (as well as outgo-disservices) income-value (as well as outgo-value). Hereafter, and when the terms "income" or "outgo" are used alone, the value sense will be understood. of any individual service or disservice conan element of income or outgo. The value of all the services flowing from an article of wealth through any The value stitutes period, that is, the sum of all the elements of income, called its gross income^ '-The excess of the gross income over the outgo, in other words, the algebraic or net of all elements of income and outgo, instead of an excess, there is is the net income. a deficiency, it is is sum If, called net Net income is of far more impoi^tance, both in and in theory, than gross income;|- Gross income may often be measured in more than one way, according as the elements of which it is composed are considered with or without accompanying olBFsets but the sum called net income will be the same in either case. outgo. practice ; §2 Income (or outgo) always implies (1) capital as the and (2) an owner of capital as the beneficiary. Mr. Smith's income from his farm imphes that the farm yields the income and that Mr. Smith receives it. In this book we shall need to consider income chiefly in its relasource, tion to the capital yielding it rather than in its relation to NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 122 the owner receiving it.^ [Chap. VIII This twofold aspect of income is expressed in accounts by regarding the farm as "in account with " its owner. All income from it to him is placed on one side of the ledger and is said to be "credited" to the farm, Hke manner, "debited." A credit item, then, signifies income which is yielded by a given capital, and a debit item signifies outgo which it occasions. The terms refer respectively to positive and negative elements in the income and outgo accounts of that capital. We are now in a position to apply the foregoing definitions to income accounts. We begin by imagining a "house and lot" as an article of wealth or capital, and shall first consider its income and outgo during the period of the calendar year 1900. The income which this capital brings in to its owner may be either a money rental or the services of shelter for himself and family. In either case the income may be measured in money, although in the case of occupancy by the owner this measurement requires a special appraisement. We shall suppose that the house was built many years ago and in 1900 is nearly worn out. It yields an income worth $1000 a year. Against this income there are offsets in the form of repairs, taxes, etc. for these payments are "undesirable events" occasioned by the house and lot. We have, then, the following "income account" while its outgo in is, ; Income for House and Lot during Year 1900 Income Use of house and lot Outgo . . $1000 Repairs Taxes Insurance $1000 The net income is $200 100 100 $400 therefore $600. 1 The terms income and outgo are somewhat unfortunate, as, etymologically, they suggest the relation to the owner Smith rather than to its source, the farm. Smith's income is the farm's "outcome"or "yield" (in German, ertrag). Similarly, when the farmer INCOME ACCOUNTS Sec. 2] 123 Next year we may suppose that the house is found to have rotted beams, is condemned, and must be abandoned Its services are ended, but the land is still or torn down. good and the owner can build a new house. This operation consmnes, let us say, the first six months of the year 1901, no income, but only outgo. During the second half of the year the house is occupied and In the first six months not only its use is valued at $600. did the "house and lot" fail to yield any income, but on the contrary occasioned an expense. The cost of production of the house was a disservice; for this was an "undesirable event" occasioned by the house and lot. It was withstood only for the sake of future services which it would bring in When we It was not itself a desirable event. its wake. so that during that period there say, then, that straction any event future of is is we make undesirable, compensations. ab- All disservices are "necessary evils"; they lead to good, but are themselves evils. We have, then, the following account : — Income for House and Lot during Year 1901 Income Use of house and months) Outgo Expense lot (six of building house $600 $10,000 100 Taxes $600 During this year, then, the $10,100 house yields a net outgo of $9500. This adverse balance will be more than which follow. lowing : — made up For the year 1902 we may in the years have the fol- puts fertilizers on his land, this, his outgo, is the farm's ingo. But, although we shall be largely concerned with income and outgo in relation to capital as their source, employ the terms outcome and ingo, and might therefore logically seems preferable, for reasons of usage, to retain the usual terms, income and outgo. it NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 124 [Chap. VIII Income for House and Lot during Year 1902 Outgo Income $1200 Use $ 50 Repairs Taxes 150 $200 $1200 Net income .... $1000 Let US suppose that these figures remain about the same years, and give $50,000 net income during that time, which cancels the excess in cost for 1901 of $9500 and leaves a large margin besides, the nature Then a of which, as interest, need not here be considered. second time the house is worn out and has to be rebuilt. for forty-nine The same cycle is repeated, one year of excess offset by forty-nine years of excess of income. of cost being §3 ^ It will be observed that the cost of reconstructing the house was entered in the accounts in exactly the same way There may seem to as repairs or other "current" costs. be objection to such a proceeding in the thought that reconstruction appears to be not a part of "running expense" but a "capital cost," and belongs, not to income accounts, but to capital accounts. It is true that the value of the new house must be entered on the capital balance sheet, but the cost of "producing it belongs properly to income The former represents wealth; the latter repreThe former relates to an instant of time (which may be any instant from the time it is begun till accounts. sents disservices. the time when it ceases to exist) period of time (which may be all ; or the latter relates to a any part of the time during which the labor and other sacrifices occasioned by A house is quite distinct from the the house occur). which it was fashioned. The consacrifices by series of fusion between the two is natural in view of the practice INCOME ACCOUNTS Sec, 3] 125 bookkeepers in often entering capital at its " cost value." In fact it is sometimes said that "liabilities represent money received by a company, and assets, how it has been expended." But this is not strictly true. Since its market value depends on its suitabihty to the uses to which it is put, not on the money sunk in its construction, the house on which was expended $10,000 for construction may be worth more or less than $10,000. In this case the income account should contain $10,000 on the outgo side, and of tlie capital account should contain a larger or smaller figure.^ And yet it is undoubtedly true that we instinctively building the house in its object to entering the cost of income-and-outgo account; and we express this objection by calling this cost a "capital cost," rather than a part of running expenses. By so classing it we mean that it does any rate, only at long intervals. 'On this basis Wagner and others have erroneously claimed that income and outgo should be confined to "regular" items. At first glance this seems feasible because, in actual practice, an extraordinary expense in a given year, like the not recur, or, at cost of constructing a house, does not usually reduce the owner's net income for that year by that amount. He will avoid such a result by offsetting the extraordinary expense of the house by a correspondingly extraordinary income from some other source, such generally contrive to as a depreciation fund. It is evident that the house owner ^ Even in the normal case the value of the house, as is well known, not exactly equal to the cost expended in construction, but to that amount plus interest. A house which costs $10,000, expended through six months, ought to be worth a few hundred dollars more than this sum at the time of completion otherwise the man who expended those $10,000, and at completion has only $10,000 worth of house to show The relation for it, has evidently received no interest on his money. between the value of capital, and its cost, and interest, will form a is ; subject to be taken up in a later chapter, where the common error that accrued, but unpaid, interest is itself a cost will also be discussed. 126 NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME who has had the foresight to set aside annually throughout [Chap. VIII the period of existence of the house a small deposit in a savings bank, may derive therefrom, sum when the time for money, the receipt of which is just as properly an element of income as its expenditure for rebuilding is an element of outgo. The great outgo for rebuilding is then offset by a great income from the savings bank account, so that the combined net depreciation fund and income from the two sources will be approximately zero and the total net inhouse rebuilding arrives, a large of — — come of the individual will be affected little or not at all. The depreciation fund, therefore, does not prevent, but merely offsets the large negative balance in the income account from the "house and lot" considered by itself. The combined income from the two sources taken together will be negligible, but that from the one source, the "house and lot," will fluctuate. In figures, from this single source, the net income is evidently +11000 a year for each of fortynine years, and —$9500 for the fiftieth year <X It is mislead- is "gross" income from which must be deducted the depreciation fund or "amortization" supposed to be laid aside each year against the cost of rebuilding. Merely to suppose a depreciation fund is not to have one. It is quite true that the $1000 income which the house yields during each of forty-nine years is more than the income which would have been left after an annual payment into a depreciation fund had actually been made; but an income which simply might have been is only an ideal standard. Confusing the actual and the ideal is one of the commonest fallacies in this field. The actual net income of the house and lot is alone the object of our present study, and this actual income, in the example we are supposing, is $1000 each year for forty-nine years. While this sum is in excess of the ideal standard income during each of these fortynine years, this overplus is atoned for by the sudden and large deficiency every fiftieth year. ing to say that the $1000 INCOME ACCOUNTS Sec. 4] 127 §4 Such irregularity of income may be avoided, not only by a depreciation fund, but by other devices, for instance, by paying for the house in installments, by borrowing money to defray cost and mortgaging the house, or by selling other property. Another method of steadying income and one which ought to set at rest any remaining qualms — which the reader may feel at adopted, of entering cost of the procedure, which has been new construction under "outgo" — applies when the same owner possesses so many of the articles in question that the reconstruction of of them must occur one or another Consider, for in- at short intervals. and loan association which and each of which lasts fifty years, so that the houses have to be In the accounts of rebuilt at the rate of one every year. such an association the expense side should include the stance, the case of a building has houses, each built in a different year fifty new cost of construction as a regular annual item, thus : — Building and Loan Association Fifty houses (with land) 1900 Outgo Income Construction of one new Rents of 49 houses at $1000 a year $49,000 Rent of one house for . part of which . house Repairs on 49 houses . . Taxes the year in constructed 500 it is $19,900 $49,500 Net income .... We have here $29,600 a net annual income of $29,600, which con- tinues year after year without interruption. larity of ceases income which we found when $10,000 4,900 5,000 the larger number The irregu- in the case of a single is taken. But if it is house proper to regard the cost of reconstructing the houses as outgo in the case of a large number of houses, it must be equally NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 128 [Chap. VIII proper to regard it as outgo in the case of each single house for the income account of the total mass of the community's capital is simply the combined accounts of the individual elements. wise than regard all We costs, cannot consistently do otherwhether recurrent or not, as outgo. In actual business there are usually many articles of the same kind, so that it is seldom necessary to reckon the net income from each individual article. Such articles may be conveniently lumped together. This we have just seen As anwe may take the stock-in-trade of a merThis stock yields him income, not, as in the case house, by rent, but by sale the difference between in the case of the houses of the loan association. other example chant. of the ; rent and sale being simply that rent consists of a series of contributions to income, whereas sale consists only of one. A stock which is of stoves, just as a stock of houses, yields the constituents. sum income of the net incomes from its individual But the stove dealer would find the book- keeping very troublesome were he to reckon in a separate account the net income from each individual stove which he buys and sells. He reaches the same final result for his stock as a whole (or rather, for each specific category of articles in his stock) by taking from his gross receipts obtained by selhng stoves the year's cost of replenishing his stock, the rent of his warehouse, salaries of clerks, and Were he to arrive at this result by applying other outgo. the same process to each individual stove, the individual vary widely for a stove left over year (and therefore free from any item of cost in this year's accounts), if sold this year, would give a large net income, while another stove, bought this year, results would, of course, from ; last but not sold until next, would only have debit items in this year's account. But the sum of these irregular incomes from individual parts of the merchant's stock will give a steady income for the whole. INCOME ACCOUNTS Sec. 5] 129 Any merchant's stock that rapidly changes elements of which it treated as a whole. is constituted To use is the individual most conveniently Professor Clark's admirable Niagara Falls, which remains a waterfall, although consisting each day of entirely different drops of simile, it is like The stock of a butcher, grocer, or fruiterer consists changing elements, but remains as a whole relatively unchanged. Though it would be logically sound, water. of rapidly would be foolish and impracticable to keep an income and outgo account for each individual leg of mutton or box of figs. The tendency to-day, however, is distinctly toward a more detailed accounting. Some business firms, by means of modern card indices, keep a careful record for each separate variety of commodity dealt with, if not for each individual article in that variety. The important it thing to observe is is that the net income of the entire group simply the difference between the sums of the incomes and outgoes of the elementary units which constitute that group. The very item which, for the elementary unit, constitutes "capital" cost, and which, for that unit, occurs but once, becomes, for the group, the regular cost of re- and recurs annually. From the explanations which have been given, it is clear that consistency and logic must assign to every cost, whether large or small, regular or irregular, a place as an element of plenishing, and illustrations outgo in the income-and-outgo accounts, §5 Whether or not the irregularities of income from indi- vidual articles of wealth are smoothed away in the total, the combined income, even from a large group of articles, We usually is not necessarily an absolutely steady flow. strive to make it so to some extent but we do not always succeed, nor do we even always try. When income does vary, the method of measuring which has been given will The unerringly register that variation automatically. ; NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 130 [Chap. VIII method is not, of course, restricted to a group of articles of the same kind, hke the fifty houses of the building and loan association or the stock of stoves of the stove dealer. It appUes to any stock of miscellaneous to the entire stock of wealth of a articles, community The net income from any such group is and even or the world. simply the sum of the net incomes of the various articles of wealth in exist- ence at all that income the points of time within the period for which is reckoned. In hke manner may be obtained the income from any This application collection of of income-and-outgo accounts occurs especially in the case For we then find that the sources of of an individual. income consist largely, not of capital-wealth, but of capipartial rights to wealth, such as bonds, tal-property, property rights as capital. — and mortgages. But the introduction of the idea of property as distinct from that of wealth involves no new difficulties for we have seen that property is only another aspect of wealth, and represents simply rights to some of the services of wealth. Thus in respect to partnership rights, each partner in the firm of Smith & Jones, farmers, The same principle receives half the income of the farm. stocks, ; applies in respect to shares, bonds, or other forms of property. Business men are accustomed to say that a railway bond yields or earns so much income. But this merely means that the railway behind this bond yields income, a Thus specified share of which belongs to the bondholder. the true source of the services which flow to the property holder specifies income the concrete wealth; his property-right merely is such portion of those services as are his. The of a stockholder, for instance, consists of all the benefits he receives sacrifices. from being a stockholder, less all the Usually, for him, both benefits and sacrifices accrue in monetary form. His income from his stock is usually the receipt of dividends. The total net income of a person is, then, the sum of INCOME ACCOUNTS Sec. 6] 131 the net incomes from each individual article of property which he holds within the time interval considered. §6 To illustrate this, let us consider the case of a lawyer hving in a rented house, but owning the furniture. We shall assume, for simplicity, that his property is grouped under the following nine heads: (1) stocks and bonds, (2) lease of house (including not only the privilege of occupancy but also the obligation to other house, (4) (5) money and bank account, (6) ing not only the claim on their to pay wages), pay rent), (3) furniture household supplies, especially food, of (7) like claim on servants (includ- work but also the obligation claims on, coupled with obligations own person, (9) " etc." We from, office clerks, (8) his shall take, as the time interval, a period of a month. During the month, the stocks and bonds bring in checks aggregating $2,000 and the lawyer buys new securities to His total net income, therefore, during this particular month from this particular group of property rights is $1500. Under his lease he enjoys a month's use of a house, this use being regarded by him as the extent of $500. worth, let us say, exactly what it costs, or him $100 worth $100 a rnonth. and costs furniincome. His no net it leaves ture yields him comfort worth $50, from which cost of repairs, etc., amounting to $30, has to be deducted, leaving a balance of $20. His stock of food and similar suppUes yields him the board of himself and family for the month, worth $150 but the cost of replenishing this stock and the services of cook and waitress in preparing and serving it absorb, let us say, all of this sum, leaving for the month no net income from the pantry's stock. The next source of income (or outgo) is " cash." By this is meant the stock of property which includes money on hand and money on deposit in bank. To find how Since the lease yields him $100 in money, ; of shelter NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 132 much income [Chap. VIII comes from " cash " we need only usage of bookkeepers which cash as though it were a gold mine or outgo follow the well-established regards a stock of which, consequently, is to be credited with all the gold or cash which comes out of into it, and debited with all that goes This usage often puzzles the novice, but its cor- it. undoubted and it harmonizes with our definiand disservices. For the services or desirable events which come from one's stock of cash the events, in fact, for the sake of which that stock of cash exists are the furnishing of money from time to rectness is tion services of — — time ; the disservices, or the undesirable events occasioned by that stock of cash, are the absorption by it of money from time to time. In other words, my purse serves me whenever it pays my bills it costs me whenever I, so to speak, pay its bills. In this respect it is precisely similar to any other stock of wealth. A bin of coal serves its owner when it renders him fuel; it costs him when it has to be The cost may be the sacrifice of money, of labor, or filled. of coal taken from some other store of coal. In the case before us, the income from "cash," or all the payments the lawyer takes out of his pocket-book or check book, amounts, let us say, to $3780, whereas the outgo to "cash" all amounts to $4000, leaving $220 as a sums paid to it ; — — net outgo. The claim on the servants, like the lease of the house, involves an obligation to pay as well as a right to receive. We suppose that the servants render services during the month worth $100, and also cost $100 in wages, leavshall ing no net balance. in Similarly the office clerks cost $500 wages and yield $500 worth of assistance to the lawyer in the preparation of his cases. The man himself receives from his practice during the month $2000. But his office and professional expenses amount to $500 and leave a balance of $1500. The class called "etc." comprises all sources of income not other- INCOME ACCOUNTS Sec. 6] 133 wise included, such as clothing, watches, jewelry, and other articles of wealth or property not contained in the other For simplicity we shall suppose that the income and outgo connected with etc." are equal to each other, and amount to $2500. The total income of this man is therefore as follows categories. '' : Income, — NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 134 [Chap. VIII A little consideration will show that if we credit the servants with the services of cooking and waiting, and debit them with wages as a distinct item, we must debit the food with their services of cooking and waiting. If we prefer to drop out these services both from the credit side of the and the debit servants' account we side of the food account, are then at liberty to omit the category of servants and only the charge of their wages There are endless admissible modifications of the accounting here described, many of which have practical advantages, but the preceding is presented as a complete and detailed record of all income and outgo arranged by sources. entirely, leave to against the food. In complete accounting we must not omit the negative items of property, or liabilities. The same principles apply here as for positive items, or assets. Items which are negative are such because they yield negative income, or outgo. If the lawyer whose accounts we have followed is in debt, the payments on his debt (whether "interest" or "principal") which he considered are outgo. makes during the On the other hand, time-interval if a debt contracted during the time-interval considered, its is pro- ceeds are for that period an addition to gross income. Thus an income-and-outgo account may always be comformed by recording the values of the services and disservices occasioned by all the articles of capital under consideration. In the case of an individual these articles of capital are his assets and his liabilities. No other items than the services and disservices mentioned can properly find a place in the accounts. We have already warned pletely the reader against the fallacy of deducting from income any depletion of capital; he should also be warned against the opposite fallacy of adding to income any savings of capital. This fallacy is so common and so subtle " INCOME ACCOUNTS Sec. 8] that its where it 135 discussion will be postponed to Chapter may receive the attention it XIV, We deserves. con- tent ourselves at present with a preliminary illustration. savings bank depositor is sometimes thought to draw income from his deposit when the interest "accumulates." This is an error. He draws income when, and only when, he draws money out of the bank; he suffers outgo when, and only when, he puts money into it. If he merely lets his deposit accumulate, he derives no income and suffers no outgo. There is no effect on income. What does occur He cannot have his cake and eat it is increase of capital. /.'-A too. If we make the fiction that the man who allows his savings to accumulate virtually receives the interest, we must, to be consistent, also make the fiction that he redeIf the teller hands over the interest across the posits it. counter, the depositor's account certainly yields up "in- come" to him, but if he hands it back it must, in consistency, be charged as "outgo," and the net result on his income is simply a cancellation. This procedure reveals clearly the fact that the accumulation is not income. _^ §8 The method of lawyer's account accounting employed in the preceding is, of course, not the only, nor is it the method, however, which shows the shares of the total income attributable to each individual source. In practice, the minor sources of income The income and outgo of one's " cash are neglected. almost balance in the long run, and the same is true of the lease, the servants' contracts, and the household supplies. One's furniture probably yields a larger net income than is commonly realized, but even this is usually a small usual, method. It is the total. It is only in case the lawyer lives in house that a serious correction would need to be made on this account. In this case, his shelter is not offset by any rent payment, and enters the accounts as pure income. element in the his own NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 136 [Chap. VIII income is obtained two principal the income from items, investments and the income from Practically, therefore, the lawyer's by taking from the above table only the Each his professional work. of these is $1500, so that according to this approximate accomiting the net income $3000. Another and more common method of approximating an income account is to record simply money receipts and disbursements, in other words, to record only the items of the preceding account under "cash." The lawyer's cash account book would present an appearis ance like the following : — Disbursements Receipts Investments, From From stocks and bonds personal labor . 2000 in stocks and bonds Rent $ 500 .... 100 30 50 100 500 2500 Furniture repairs Cost of food Servants Clerk hire . "Etc." . . . . . . . $4000 $3780 This leaves a cash balance of $220, which is to be added, end of the month, to the cash on hand at the begin- at the ning. This balance does not here indicate the net income of the lawyer, as did the balance in the completer account- ing which preceded. The net income of the lawyer, in the incomplete and makeshift accounting eration, total is, so far as cash receipts it is now under represented at less certain all, consid- shown makeshift corrections. in the The such accounting, so far as any exists, is that income, from whatever source, passes through the most justification of cash drawer. It will account, be noticed that the receipts side of the above $4000, greatly exceeds the true net income, $2800, shown in the previous accounting. any one using such mere money accounting Instinctively feels the need INCOME ACCOUNTS Sec. 8] making some deductions from the of He 137 total money receipts. also instinctively feels that not all of the disbursements should be thus deducted otherwise little or nothing would The ordinary makeshift is to deduct the " business expenses," the $500 invested in stocks and bonds and the $500 for clerk hire. The remainder will then be remain. ; — $3000, which is, for practical purposes, a sufficiently close approximation to the true net income of $2800. Practically, therefore, either ness" expenses) or the sum money receipts (less "busi- incomes from secuand labor, are good makeshifts for true income. But even from a practical point of view they will not always of the net rities serve, while as a wrong. They matter of strict theory they are always could be right only under the condition that income, from whatever source, flowed through the cash drawer. If it were true that the net income from stocks and all bonds, the net income from the lawyer's practice, and, in manner, the net income from every other source flowed on the other hand, the flow out of that drawer consisted exclusively of expenditures for each and every satisfaction as it occurred, then the flow of money through the cash drawer would serve as a true measure of income, and the cash drawer might be called a sort of income meter. The flow into it would be money income and the eventual satisfactions obtained from it would be real income. The two would then also have the relation like into the cash drawer, while, usually ascribed to them by economists. practically reahzed in the case of a rentier, ceives This case who simply money from investments and spends it for is re- imme- diate satisfactions, renting, let us say, not only a dwelling but its furniture as well, so that practically no part of his income can reach him except by passing through the money stage. But few people are in exactly this position, so that not all income passes through the meter. Some passes around it, as, for instance, the shelter derived from a man's own house or the comforts from his own furniture, and hence NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 138 [Chap. VIII not be registered by the meter at all. On the other hand, some passes through it not toward direct satisfactions will but toward some "business" expenditure likely later on to repour cash through the money meter and hence to cause happens that the money and sometimes registers It is therefore only a rough and imperfect instrutwice. ment for measuring net income. it to register too much. meter sometimes fails Thus it to register §9 ^ When we turn from real to fictitious persons, we find, for income accounts, as for capital accounts, that the two sides necessarily balance exactly. A corporation, as an entity distinct from its stockholders, cannot enjoy income or suffer outgo. All the income not devoted to other expenses is absorbed in paying dividends. A railway company, for instance, has an income account as follows ; : — Income Account op Railroad Corporation for Year Income By passenger freight service Outgo To and . $1,246,147 operating ex- $800,000 pense's To interest to holders To dividends To bond- .... holders surplus applied to 200,000 purchase of land (2) cash in treasury (1) $1,246,147 100,000 to stock- .... 140,000 6,1^7 $1,246,147 In these accounts we see that the gross income from all was $1,246,147, of which $800,000 disappeared for running expenses, $100,000 for paying bondholders, and $200,000 for paying stockholders, leaving a balancing item of $146,147. But this balance is likewise expended, $140,000 of it being outgo for new land, and the small odd sum sources INCOME ACCOUNTS Sec. 10] 139 $6147 being put into the safes of the company or deposited Even this last operation is a true outgo; for a cash drawer and a bank account are, as we have seen, always debited with what is put into them. There remains, therefore, no final balance for the abstraction called the "company." Just as, in the capital accounts, the company's excess of assets over liabilities to other than stockholders in bank. constitutes the true liability to the stockholders themselves, so, in income accounts, any excess of income over outgo to other purposes than dividends paid to stockholders con- a true outgo for the benefit of those stockholders. stitutes §10 We see, then, that the guiding principle for the construc- tion of the income account, either of real or fictitious per- make a complete list of the services and which flow from each and every item of the assets and liabilities. This simple relation between capital and income accounts is commonly obscured by the fact that it sons, is simply to disservices is not practically convenient to include in one's capital ac- counts certain items of assets and Uabilities, although their and services This is disservices are entered in the income account. true, in particular, of one's own person, and such claims as are coupled with equal obligations, as leases and contracts with laborers. These are not and, from a purely practical point of view, ought not to be entered in the capital account but much of the income and outgo from them, such as wages and rent, are entered in the income account. In respect of income accounts the use of one's ; dwelling is omitted, as well as the unpaid-for services and human beings. A shopkeeper usually keeps a punctilious record of the work of his employees, but seldisservices of dom any of his own personal work. If he owns the build- ing he occupies, he will not usually include accounts. In private life its use in his he seldom or never includes in his accounts the use of furniture. 140 NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME Our present [Chap. VIII object, however, is to show, not the methods but merely the application of economic principles to such bookkeeping. The chief obof practical bookkeeping, ject is to find the philosophical basis of accounting. Care- ful examination shows that accounting is at bottom not a mere makeshift but a complete, consistent, and logical system. When thus conceived and understood it will be seen to be of importance, not alone to the accountant but also to the economist. For his purposes, the only method of constructing income and outgo accounts which is philosophically correct, and which can serve as a basis for economic analysis, is the method by which are recorded, for each article of capital, the values of all its services and disserv- These services and disservices are of many kinds. ices. Sometimes they consist of money payments, sometimes of productive operations, and sometimes of enjoyable elements. These all enter the accounts on the same footing, but in the next chapter we shall see that after being thus entered, the items may be so combined that all except the enjoyable elements will cancel among themselves. CHAPTER IX INCOME SUMMATION We have now seen how to reckon the income of either a By combining the net incomes real or a fictitious person. of all persons, the net income of society may be obtained. As we have seen, fictitious persons have no net income, and would therefore not affect such a method of summation. Another way to obtain the total social income is by adding together the net incomes from each individual article of concrete capital, regardless of its ownership. In such a summation no partial property-rights, such as stocks and bonds, would appear. Instead we would only find actual For railways, mills, refineries, and other concrete capital. Pacific Southern the instance, the net income earned by Railroad, considered as an aggregate of roadbed, termi- and other existing instruments, would be taken. This would not be the income of the Southern Pacific Railroad Company, for, as we have seen, the company, as such, has no net income. Nor would it be the nals, rolling stock, income of the stockholders of the company, for this conNor stitutes only a part of the earnings of the road. would it be exactly the sum of the incomes of the stockholders and bondholders, inasmuch as the company may earn income from other sources than the railroad itself, as, for instance, through leases of other roads and shares held in other companies, none of which income is produced by the railway. It would be simply the difference between the total value of the services of transportation rendered 141 NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 142 [Chap. IX by the railroad and the value of the disservices occasioned by it, whether through cost of operation, repairs, renewals, or betterments. The two ways of obtaining the total social income which have just been outlined (1) by summing the net incomes — of individual persons as owners, and (2) by summing the net — incomes from individual articles of wealth as sources may be illustrated by supposing two ledgers to be opened containing the income for a given community, one ledger being devoted to each way. Each page of Ledger No. 1 would be devoted to the income-account of a particular individual, stating in detail, in two columns, the items of income and outgo in the minute manner already shown. In Ledger No. 2 likewise each page would be devoted to The the income-account of a particular article of wealth. first ledger would represent, therefore, the distribution of income among summary The the mag- community. different persons in the of such a ledger, arranged according to nitude of the incomes, would give us the "distribution curve" of incomes shown by Professor Pareto.^ Let us suppose, for the sake of illustration, that the lowing is such a summary for the United States : Distribution Ledger No. — fol- 1 Net Income for 1900 15,000 millionaire families 100,000 families, incomes ranging from $10,000 to $50,000 1,000,000 families, incomes $1000 to $10,000 20,000,000 families below $1000 . . $ 2,000,000,000 3,000,000,000 5,000,000,000 10,000,000,000 $20,000,000,000 The second ledger would show the same total income, but distributed according to the source which produced We may follows : — See his Cours d'Economie Politique, Lausanne, 1897, Vol. 299-345. ^ it. suppose a summary of Ledger No. 2 to be as II, pp. INCOME SUMMATION Sec. 2] 143 Distribution Ledger No. 2 Net Income for 1900 From land " " " " buildings railways and " etc $ 2,000,000,000 2,000,000,000 1,000,000,000 1,000,000,000 13,000,000,000 1,000,000,000 tramways factories persons $20,000,000,000 §2 Both these ledgers would be constructed by combining a number of separate net incomes, each one of which was the balance remaining after deducting the outgo from the gross income of the particular group of capital considered. In other words, both ledgers would be constructed to adopt the phrase which was employed under capital accounts — — by the "method of balances." But there also a second method of summing incomes, — is the "method accounts is view, and of couples." both asset and is, Just as the same item in capital liability, according to the point of therefore, self-canceling, so the income accounts is same item both service and disservice, and is, in there- The reader may, in fact, have felt examples cited, what we called disHe may have asked services seemed to him to be services. himself. Why should we call rebuilding a house a disservice ? When a carpenter and his tools repair it, do we not credit him and them with services? Is not any production a service? Are not, then, repairs placed on the wrong side of the ledger ? In answer it may be said that when a carpenter with his plane, hammer, and saw helps to rebuild a house, we have to consider two groups of capital. One group, the carpenter and tools, is acting on the other group, the house. The carpenter and tools used in the process certainly perform a service, but the house does not. Con- fore, also self-canceUng. that, in many of the by the hoiise, the repairs are disThe house absorbs or soaks up these costs. sidered as occasioned services. NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 144 [Chap. IX promising to compensate for them by better service later is certainly not what but is only a necessary evil. On the part of the hammer, however, these same events are services. The service called " nailing " is credited to the hammer. on. Tiie renailing of loose shingles the house is for, Therefore the repairing of the house is at once a service and a disservice. Such double-faced events require a special name. We may christen them interactions between two instruments or groups of instruments. Alternative names are interacting services, coupled or preparatory services, simply "couples." They underlie intermediate, or services, what business men call "double entry bookkeeping." An interaction, then, is a service of the acting instrument, a disservice of the instrument acted on. There can never arise the shghtest doubt as to when it is to be regarded as positive and when negative. The and by referring it the owner of the service definitions of service disservice settle this question in each case, to the desire of a or disservice. human being, viz. As he desires that the house should not occa- sion repairs, these repairs are disservices of the house; as he desires that the tools should occasion repairs, they are services of those tools. its value from its The hammer exists for and derives prospective services in renailing shingles. The house does not exist for nor derive its value renailing of its shingles; that event detracts from from the on the contrary, the prospect its of value. The example given is typical of the general relations between interacting instruments. The mental picture we should construct is that of two distinct groups of capital. Group A acts on group B for the benefit of the latter. Whatever the nature of this interaction, A is credited with it and B debited. The credit and debit are equal and simultaneous, the only result of the interaction being that, in consequence of it, B is enabled at some later time to yield more income. INCOME SUMMATION Sec. 3] 145 Interactions are essentially identical with cussed a generation ago under the title what were dis- "productive serv- But inasmuch as the name "productive services" is not a very happy one, and its use has been so confused and ices." has engendered so many verbal quibbles, it seems advisable not to revive it. The essential fact that these "productive services" were two-faced — negative as well as positive — was always overlooked, and there remained no other characteristic which could give the phrase a definite and scientific meaning. Interactions constitute the great majority of the elements which enter into income and outgo accounts. The only services which are not merely the positive side of interacdesirable conscious experitions are mental satisfactions ences often miscalled "consumption"; and the only disservices which are not the negative side of interactions — — But these are only the outer fringes Between them is a connective network of productive processes and commercial transactions, every fiber of which has two sides, a positive side of services and a negative side of disservices. are pains or "labor." of the economic fabric. §3 The interactions between two articles or groups of articles may, of course, consist either in causing or preventing changes or events. The events or changes which are caused or prevented are of three chief kinds, — changes of and changes of ownership or, transformation, transportation, and transfer. We shall take these up in order. form of wealth, changes of position, ; What is here called transformation of wealth tically identical with what is is prac- usually understood by "pro- duction" or "productive processes." ^ By the transformation of wealth, or the changes produced in its form, is meant the changes ^ of relative position of its parts. Cf. Marshall, Principles of Economics, 3d Weav- ed., p. 132. NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 146 ing, for instance, is the by a rearrangement [Chap. IX transformation of yarn into cloth in the relative position of the warp and Spinning, likewise, consists of moving, stretching, woof. and twisting fibers into yarn ; sewing, of changing the posi- may hold cloth together; and so with carding, wool-sorting, shearing, and all the other operations which constitute the manufactm-e of fabrics. tion of thread so that it and agriculture consist simply of a and each transformation All manufacture series of transformations of wealth, is On two-faced. the part of the transformed instrument (or instruments) the transformation is a disservice ; part of the transforming instrument (or instruments) it is a We have seen that when a carpenter and his tools service. transform a house, are credited when the When on the i.e. build or repair and the house is painter decorates he and his tools The same is true it, debited. or the janitor cleans it a cobbler transforms leather into shoes, he is it. per- forming services; the shoes at each stage are occasioning disservices, or costs. When a bootblack transforms dirty shoes into clean and polished ones, he Hkewise services, and the shoes, disservices. which produces cloth out of yarn is is rendering manner, a loom to be credited with this In like operation as income, while the stock of cloth receiving the product of the loom is to be debited with the very same item as part of its outgo or "cost of production," Again, land renders a service in producing wheat. the part of the wheat, however, this production we is stock of a granary, the entry of is a disservice. its On Wheat a service of land, a disservice *of wheat. consider a farm as pouring wheat is If crop into the stock of wheat from farm to wheat and debited to the credited to the farm as its service wheat stock as its disservice. Sometimes, as has been said, the interaction consists not but in preventing one. A warehouse renders its service as a means of storing bales of cotton, i.e. protecting them from the elements. This storage is, how- in causing a change, INCOME SUMMATION Sec, 3] ever, on the part of the stock of cotton, 147 an element of outgo or expense. As has already been intimated, there may be, and usually more articles than one in either or both of the two are, interacting capitals. Plowing, or the transformation of is performed by a plow, a horse, The plowing is a cost debited to the land on the one hand, and at the same time a service credited to the group of capital consisting of the plow, horse, and man land into a furrowed form, and a man. We on the other. of how much are not here concerned with the problem should be placed to the credit of each operating agent, but merely with the fact that the co- sum total of the three is equal to the debit for the land. The principle is not altered if one or more of the transforming agents perishes and another comes for the first time into existence in the transformation. Bread-baking is a transformation debited to the bread and credited to the cook, the range, the flour, and the fuel, of which the last two perish as soon as they perform their services. Agents which disappear in the transformation but reappear, in whole or in part, in the product are called "raw materials." The production of cloth from yarn is a transformation effected by means, not only of the loom, but also of a number The cost of other agents, and among them the yarn itself. consumption of raw material, consumption of yarn, on the part of the yarn itself, is not cost or disservice, but service. It is the event for which the yarn had existed. When cloth is turned into clothes this transformation is a service to be credited to the cloth, and a disservice to be debited to the clothes. All raw materials yield services as they are conof weaving includes as cost the yarn, and this verted into finished products. Their conversion is, however, always outgo on the part of those products. In this way, when an article passes through various stages of production, it is often an arbitrary matter whether we designate those stages by different names or not. A "sap- NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 148 ling" grows into a "tree." We may, if we choose, [Chap. consider the sapUng as one category and the tree as another. this case the "sapUng" performs a service at the IX In moment becomes a "tree," just as the "tree" performs one later when it, in turn, becomes "lumber"; but no effect on social income is produced, because, if we credit the sapUng it with the value of the tree, we must debit the tree with the Likewise we may arbitrarily designate cost of the sapling. moment when a "new" wine becomes the "calf" becomes a "cow," or when "old," without disturbing the income accounts of society; for such events are always two-faced and cancel themselves out in the total. We may, in fact, by an and regard the passage across this Hne as a on the part of the capital on one side of the line mark any stage whatever in the course of production arbitrary Une, service and a disservice on the part of the capital on the other side. §4 The second class of interactions is transportation, or the change in place of wealth. It is a very thin Hne which separates this class from the preceding class. Transforming or producing wealth consists of changing the position transporting wealth of its parts relatively to each other But is changing the position of that wealth as a whole. ; "part" and "whole" are themselves loose and relative Bookbinding is a transformation or production of wealth; it assembles the paper, leather, thread, and paste Delivering books to a library is transinto a whole book. portation. Yet the library is, in a sense, a whole and to assemble books into a classified and organized Ubrary is to make a whole out of parts. The distinction between transformation and transportation is thus merely one of convenMany writers prefer to include them both under ience. "production." We prefer to include them under the less ambiguous and more inclusive rubric "interactions," and terms. ; our object here is not to emphasize their difference, but INCOME SUMMATION Sec. 5] their similarity. The same 149 principle of equal and opposite appUes to both. When merchandise is changed from one warehouse to another, the first warehouse is The credited with the change and the second debited. warehouse which has rendered up the merchandise has done a service; that which has received it has done a disservice. A banker who takes money from his vault and puts it in his till will, if he keeps separate accounts for the two, credit the vault and debit the till. When wheat is imported from Canada, that nation is credited and the United States is debited with the value of the operation. services We may, as cesses, divide lines, lines in the case of continuous productive pro- up transportation and consider the passage as an interaction. districts of any by any arbitrary articles across those §5 The third class of interactions ship of wealth or property. is the change of owner- This has been called transfer. and involve two objects between two owners. This double transfer, we have called an exchange. Since an exchange consists of two transfers, and since a transfer is a species of interaction and as such is self-canceling, every exchange is self-canceling and cannot of itself contribute anything to the total income of society.^ When a Transfers usually occur in pairs, transferred in opposite directions bookseller, for instance, sells a book, he credits his stock with the fact that it has brought in money, and the customer debits his Hbrary to the same amount. 1 The exchange does not dupHcate income, but merely shuffles it about. It may and does put services of wealth where they are most needed, and thus results in a more effective use of income, just as credit and other forms of the divided ownership of wealth may make a more effective ownership of capital. In both these cases there is an increase of "total utility." This needs to be considered in its proper place, but it must not stand in the way of our canceling the values These values, of assets and liabilities or of services and disservices. as is well known, are connected, not with total utilities, but with mar- ginal utilities. NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 150 [Chap. IX These two items constitute the transfer between the stock of books of the dealer and the stock of books of the The remaining two items constitute a transfer between the stocks of cash of the two men; the dealer debits his " cash " and the customer credits his. When therefore an article of wealth changes hands, it occasions an element of income to the seller and an element of outgo to the purchaser, and therefore no income customer. at all to society. The effect of canceling these items — the credit item of the seller and the debit item of the pur- — is to free the income account of that article from entanglements with exchange, to wipe out all moneyincome, and to leave exposed to view what we have called the natural income of the article. Thus, books yield their natural income, not when the book dealer sells them, but chaser all the reader peruses them. The sale is a mere preparatory service, a credit item to the book dealer and a debit item to the buyer. The fact of bookselling adds nothing to the income of society, but the reading of the when Again, a forest of trees yields no natural does. income, until the trees are felled and pass into then ext The owner of the forest may, to be sure, stage of logs. book ready to be cut, the forest has by simply selling it to another then yielded income but, as the purchaser has suffered an equal outgo, the forest has as yet yielded nothing to society. "reaUze" on the forest long before it is ; and to him ; The principle that an article of capital yields, to society, no income except its natural income, is not altered when its ownership is divided nor when the part rights are bought and sold. Adam Smith regarded a rented house as bearing income in the form of rent, but a house occuThe truth pied by the owner as bearing no income at all. and both income, Both houses yield is nearly the reverse. incomes are of the same kind, viz. shelter. The rent of the rented house is, for society, not income at all. It is income outgo which he to the landlord but outgo to the tenant, — INCOME SUMMATION Sec. 5] is 151 willing to suffer solely because of the shelter he receives. This shelter alone remains as the income from the house after the rent transaction parties concerned. is canceled out between the two The shelter-income abiding item, and without it is the essential and there could be no rent-income to the landlord. Again, a railway yields as its income solely the natural one of transporting goods and passengers. Its owners sell money and regard the railmoney way maker; but to the shippers and passengers this same money is an expense and exactly offsets the railway's money earnings. Of the three items money income of the road, money outgo of its patrons, this transportation service for simply as a — and transportation — the first two mutually cancel and leave only the third, transportation, as the real contribution of the railway to the We see, then, that the sum total of income. method of couples, applied to buyer and seller, denudes all capital of its so-called "money-income," and lays bare the only income it can really produce, the natural income. We see that capital is not a money-making machine, but that its income to society is simply its services of production, transportation, and gratification. The income from the farm is the yielding of its crops from the mine, the production of its ore; from the factory, its transformation of raw into finished products; from commercial capital, its passage of goods from producer to consumer; from articles in consumers' hands, their enjoyment or so-called " consumption." Similar principles apply to outgo, no part of which, for society, exists in money form. The great bulk of what mer; chants call money "cost of production," expense, or outgo, consists which carry with them their own cancellaFor manufacturers, merchants, and other business men, almost every outgo is an expense, i.e. consists of a money payment. Such money payments are for wages, raw materials, rent, and interest charges. Now all these of tion. costs NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 152 [Chap. IX The wages are the raw material is rethe rent by the land- outgoes are incomes for other people. earnings of labor; ceived lord; the payment for by some other manufacturer the interest charges by the creditor. ; §6 Not only do exchange transactions completely cancel themselves out in reckoning total income, but the great majority of the natural services of capital do so also. Even most these natural uses part, of "interactions," capital of — they or transportations of wealth. consist, for the are transformations These intermediate stages are merely preparatory to the final use or so-called "con- sumption" of wealth, and, after the interactions have been canceled out, do not enter as items either on the income or outgo side of the social balance sheet. In order to show the and opposite items canceUng out the equal every interaction effect of entering into throughout the productive processes, let us observe the various stages of production which begin with the forest above referred come, is to. The product of the forest, its gross in- the series of events called the turning out of logs. a mere preparatory service, a credit item to the forest and a debit item to the stock of logs of the saw mill, to which they next pass. As the sawmill turns its logs into lumber, the lumber yard is debited with the production of lumber, and the sawmill is credited with This log-production its is share in this transformation. Intermediate categories may, of course, be created, and we may manner, the further transformation, and exchange to the end of the stages of production, or rather, to the ends for these stages split up and form several streams flowing in different directions. To indicate merely one of these streams, let us suppose that the lumber which goes out from the yard is used in repairing a certain warehouse. The warehouse is used for storing follow, in like transportation, ; INCOME SUMMATION Sec. 6] 153 the cloth goes from the warehouse to the tailor; cloth; the tailor converts the cloth into suits for his customers; and and wear those suits. In his customers receive this series, all the intermediate services cancel out in "couples" and leave as the only uncanceled element, or final fringe of services, the use of clothes in consumers' hands. Should we stop our accounts, however, at earlier points in the series, the uncanceled fringe will be not consumers' but the positive side of intermediate services or The negative side will not appear, as it belongs to later stages in the series. This will all be clear, if we put the matter in figures, stage by stage. The following are the items for the logging camp above mentioned, in the accounts of its owner services, interactions. : — Income Account for Logging Camp for Year 1900 Income Outgo Production of logs The itself, (Omitted) $50,000 gross income from the logging camp, considered and without any deductions by for expenses, is here seen to consist in the production of $50,000 worth of logs. however, shall we combine have accounts the logging camp with the sawmill, If, we like the following, in which, to no account irrelevant complications, is avoid taken of any ex- penses which are not interactions between the groups of capital considered : — Income Account for Logging Camp and Sawmill for 1900 Capital Source Logging camp Yielding logs to sawmill $50,000 Yielding lumber to lumber yard $60,000 . Sawmill Outgo Income . . Receiving logs from camp . $50,000 NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 154 [Chap. IX In this case, canceling the two log items we have left only the lumber item; i.e. the income from the combined logging camp and sawmill consists only of the production of lumber, The transfer of logs from one department its final product. This transfer is hke the to the other no longer appears. taking of money from one pocket and putting it in another, as is particularly evident m case the logging camp and sawmill are combined under the same management. Extending the same principles to the entire series, we have the accounts as given on the opposite page. It should be noted that these entries relate not to sucthat all the items refer cessive but to simultaneous events ; to a fixed period of time; that to say, is we are not following the fortunes of the original logs through succeeding stages, but comparing the simultaneous operations of the series of groups of instruments. If we successively cancel items pair by pair by offsetting any item on the right side by the item in the line on the left side, we shall find, if we stop after the first two cancellations, that the net income from logging camp, sawmill, and lumber yard, consists only of the proabove it duction of retail lumber, $70,000 ; it does not include either the transfer of logs or the transfer of wholesale lumber. like manner, if we proceed one stage further, that stop our cancellations, at the end of the tions, the production of first In we four interac- lumber no longer appears as of income and so on, step by step to the end, the only surviving item will be the " wear " of the an element when retail is, if ; suits. is, of course, true that in any actual accounts there be numerous other items than those which have been exhibited in this simple chainlike fashion. Were it worth It will we might insert these additional entries of income and outgo elements. Most of them would consist of the positive or negative side of an interaction, and if we were to introduce its mate, the opposite aspect of the same transac- while, Sec. 6] o o Oi w O Pi INCOME SUMMATION 155 \ NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 156 [Chap. IX would be necessary to include still other accounts. follow up all such leads we should soon have an But the same prinintricate network of related accounts. ciple of the interaction as a self-effacing element would apply. The only items of outgo which are not the negative sides of interactions will be the items of subjective labor and trouble. These alone will finally remain as uncanceled tion, it If we should elements of outgo. on the question, Of what The question is not a thoroughly definite one. If we ask instead, Of what does the income particular group of capital consist ? we shall make it a from definite. Whether the production of logs is income or not depends upon the point of view. It is income from the it is not first link of capital (logging camp) in our series The table given will throw light does income consist? ; income from the link it first two occurs as outgo. links combined, for in the second Likewise, the use of the ware- house is true income with respect to the first four links or groups of capital, but is no longer income when the fifth is included. We see, income from any group of any degree of the interactions therefore, that the capital does not consist in taking place within it, but only of the final or outer fringe As the group is enby being joined to the next part of the economic fabric, and another frmge, still more remote, appears. The question naturally arises. When is the economic fabric complete, and has it any final outer fringe ? But this question must be deferred for of services larged, performed by the group. this particular outer fringe disappears the present. Nor do we yet inquire what relations exist between the two sides of the same account, say the expense to the sawIn the illusmill for logs and its income from sawn lumber. trative tables the latter is entered as greater than the INCOME SUMMATION Sec. 8] former, and this is normally the case, At sawmill remains constant. if 157 the capital of the present, however, we are not concerned with the effects of income and outgo on capital, but only with the summation of income. The method of couples, then, is useful in showing of what elements income consists in any given case. The method of balances, on the other hand, exhibits the amount of income contributed from each article of capital as its source. The two methods, as applied to the example just given, are as follows : — Method of Balances Income Capital Logging camp Sawmill Lumber yard Stock of cloth in warehouse Stock of cloth of tailor Stock of clothes of customers . . . .... . . Outgo Income = + $50,000 $50,000 = + 10,000 60,000 = + 10,000 80,000- 70,000 = + 10,000 90,000 - 80,000 = + 10,000 100,000 - 90,000 = + 10,000 110,000-100,000 = + 10,000 $ Warehouse 50,000 60,000 70,000 - . . . $110,000 Method of Couples Income Outgo iio^ooo^i^oorooa — — The two methods balances and couples show the same result, but from different points of view. By means of the method of balances we are enabled to see what part of the final net income is contributed by each of the articles in the group. By means of the method of couples, we are enabled to see of what the net income from the entire group NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 158 consists; of articles [Chap. IX canceling by the oblique lines, we but one item, $110,000, representing the *' wear " The two methods must not be confused. of the suits. have left When we income find of by the method suits of clothes, this does is all it is of couples that the net $110,000 consists exclusively of the due to the stock due, recourse use of not imply that this net income of clothes. must be had To discover to what method of balances. to the We thereby see that only $10,000 of it is due to the stock of clothes, the remainder being due to the other capital instruments in the table and most of Combining the logging camp. we may group all ($50,000) to the hoth methods, income from the specified " of $110,000 worth of " wear results of state that the total net of instruments consists and that this is due partly to the stock of clothes and partly to other capital. The two methods, that of balances and that of couples, correspond in a general way to the two methods for The canceling liabilities and assets in capital accounts. method of balances gave, it will be remembered, the amount of capital belonging to each individual the method of couples showed of what elements the total capital conof suits ; sisted. §9 We have now followed the cancellations to which inter- actions lead, whether they be interactions of exchange or production. The consideration. fers, and every case of exchange, however, needs further Since every exchange consists of two transtransfer of two items, a credit and a debit, two which are credits and two, debits. These four may be paired off in two ways, only one of which has thus far the exchange evidently consists of four items in all, of been mentioned. They stand, as it were, at the four corners of a square, as in the following scheme, which shows the credits and debits involved when goods worth $2 Sec. 9] are sold. INCOME SUMMATION goods and debits buyer does the opposite. Tlie dealer credits his stock of his "cash," while the 159 NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 160 [Chap. IX by an equal and opposite item on the outgo side. All items thus paired are represented by the same letters, the capitals being used for positive items and the small letters for negative. Income and Outgo of Dry Goods Company, for Year Capital Source 1906 INCOME SUMMATION Sec. 9] income is In credited (B). involving a payment like all the transactions or receipt of cash are entered on one side with respect to the cash, and on the opposite side with capital som"ce. The category of the source called " rights to and obligations from respect to capital manner 161 some other employees " yields a certain amount of work and clerical This item credited {H) other services appraised at $1500. above-named source is here debited (h) to the stock goods, to sell which requires the services of these to the of employees. It may be that it the store which they clean, or to should be debited to some other article of on which they do work; but in any case it must be debited imder some head or heads. It will be seen that among the other items of capital which are sources of income or outgo are the bonds and stocks of the company. The bonds absorb $800 of interest, and the capital-stock, which is a residual claim on the company, absorbs any surplus of cash which it is capital decided to distribute in dividends. The two sides of the account of such a fictitious person necessarily balance. It cannot be otherwise, company accumulates its profit instead of the shareholders; for, as has been seen, the received is even if the paying it to money thus debited to the cash account. In practical accounting, the items would usually be simsomewhat. It would not ordinarily be worth while plified to make an appraisement of the value of the use of the ware- house for storage as distinct from the value of the work performed by the employees as distinct from the wages paid them. In the above accounts we have the storage charge, nor of purposely distinguished these magnitudes, estimating the storage benefit as $1000 though the rent paid for it is $1200, and estimating the work done by employees as worth $1500 though their wages were $1600. If, instead, we estimate the storage benefit at the rent figure and the employees' work at the wages figure, our accounts would contain four NATURE OP CAPITAL AND INCOME 162 items of $1200 and four of $1600. Of these, [Chap. two of IX each might well be, and These are the pair of items "storage service" ((? and g) and the pair "clerk work" {H and h). Omitting these, which are both appraised items, there will be left only cash transactions. These may be further simplified by dispensing with the two categories called " store lease and "rights to and obligations from employees," by placing the rent (6) and the wages (d) under the head of " stock of goods." In other words, we charge the expenses for rent and wages directly against the goods stored and cared for in practice usually are, dispensed with. them " storage There is no difficulty in service" and "work of selling." recognizing the resulting accounts as those employed in ordinary bookkeeping. Occasionally the more elaborate accounting is necessary, as when a very old lease, hke some instead of, as ui the table, charging against in force in London, requires only a nominal rent charge compared with the benefits conferred. still §10 In the case of real persons, however, the two sides do not balance, for the accounts do not consist solely of double To show this, let us recur to the accounts of the entries. lawyer considered in Chapter VIII. The table on the opposite page reproduces those accounts, with some of the items given in greater detail. In these accounts, as in the previous ones, we have indicated the like items on opposite sides by like letters, the positive being represented by capitals and the negative We observe that, as in the corporation But, unUke the accounts, many of the items will " pair." corporation accounts, the present accounts contain a resi- by small letters. due of items which will not pair. The letters representing by being inclosed in these unpaired items are designated square brackets. They show that [B], [C], [D], [0] — the shelter of the house, use of furniture, use of food, use of o Sec. 10] o o a O O HH 1^ T3 cq CI o o t3 ^ INCOME SUMMATION e a o 163 164 ^ NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME clothes, jewelry, etc. — constitute [Chap, IX a kind of income which does not appear elsewhere as outgo. §11 We found, when studying the accounts of instruments, the chain of productive services of the lumber camp, etc., that there always remains some outer fringe of uncanceled in- come produced by the capitalistic machine. We have now reached this same kind of outer fringe in studying the accounts of persons, provided they are real persons. This outer fringe consists of what economists have usually called " consumption." All other services are merely preparatory to such services, and pass themselves on from one category Thus the income from investments, being deposited in bank, is outgo with respect to the bank account; the bank account yields income by paying for stocks and bonds, food, etc., but in each case the same of capital to another. item enters as outgo with respect to these or other categories of capital. In all these cases the individual receives no income which is not at the same time outgo. It is only as he consumes the food, wears the clothes, or uses the furniture that he receives income. The question reached is still remains whether the fringe we have we must not the final outer fringe, or whether proceed one step further and regard the final services just mentioned as merely interactions between a man's external wealth and his own body. This question will be discussed in the following chapter. We are content here to leave the chains of services at the point where they reach the person of the recipient. CHAPTER X PSYCHIC INCOME §1 The we stage at which, in the previous chapter, come may be left in- called the stage of final objective services. In other words, it is the stage at which the wealth of the objective world at last acts upon the person of the recipient of income. This final income is that for which the economist is usually in search, and is that which the ordinary statistics It is clear from what of workingmen's budgets represent. has been said, that in this fiinal net income all interactions all the between articles of external wealth drop out, transformations of production, such as the operations of — mining, agriculture, and industry, transportation, For, in all and all all the operations of business transactions or exchanges. such cases, the debits and credits inevitably and opposite items. The only occur in pairs of equal items which survive are the final personal uses of wealth, ordinarily called "consumption." Let us rather The main enjoyable objective services. objective services are the following ' : call them sorts of enjoyable services of nourish- ment, services of housing and warming, services of clothing and personal adornment, services of personal attendance, services of amusement, instruction, and recreation, services of gratification of vanity. §2 It is usually recognized by economists that we must not stop at the stage of this objective income.^ more step before the process ^ is See Fetter's Principles of Economics, 165 complete. New There is one Indeed, no York, 1904, Chap. VI. NATUEE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 166 objective services are of significance to man [Chap. X except as they are preparatory to subjective satisfactions. The body. come through the human final subjective services No agent outside the body can yield them. that persons or things outside of his bodily organism. ment man can do All to stimulate is Even what are called services of amuseamuse or instruct the or instruction cannot directly mind; they can only the body. affect book, for instance, renders its An service simply reflecting light into the eye of the reader. instructive and solely by It is necessary that these stimuU on the optic nerve should be transmitted through the nervous system before any mental instruction So a piano can of itself produce no sensations takes place. It merely produces external vibrations, which, of tone. through the ear and auditory nerve, ultimately result in All sound, sight, taste, smell, touch, come sensation. about through reactions of the nervous system to external stimuli. A man who receives a Turkish bath has received enjoyable income in the objective sense, but ices of the water, towels, attendants, all the serv- and other cooperat- ing agencies, while credited to them, must, if we treat man They result simply in cleaning and stimulating his skin. They are income from outside agencies absorbed by his body in himself as capital, be regarded as debited to him. order that he may later experience pleasant sensations or avoid unpleasant ones, through the enjoyment of health. Similarly the use of clothing and shelter prevents the occurrence of the sensation of cold, but their immediate objective service is heat from the body. simply in hindering the dissipation of They are disservices with reference to the body, just as similar care and protection of a horse are disservices with reference to it. When medicine is taken, it may, from the objective standpoint, be counted as a part of income, just as food, clothing, and other ordinary items. of medicine are (or are But it is clear that the services supposed to be) the repairing of the PSYCHIC INCOME Sec. 3] 167 body, and, although credited to the medicine, should be debited to the body, just as the services of a carpenter are credited to So him but debited which he mends. from producing any immedithe moment quite an opposite to the house the services of a dentist, far ate satisfactions, have for effect, but result later in better service of one's own teeth. They are credited to the dentist, but debited to the body. The "consumption," or use of food, though it is a service of the food, is a disservice of the body for food stands in the same relation to the body as fuel to a furnace or repairs to a house. The final income consists of the subjective satisfaction of appetite and the other satisfactions which the intake of food enables the body to yield to the mind. ; These include not simply the immediate gratification of the palate, but the promotion of pleasant sensations or the avoidance of unpleasant ones later on. In other words, the consumption of food, by preserving health and maintaining life, enables the body to yield better and longer- continued income to the mind in future years, just as the repairs on a house enable it to yield shelter a long time after the repairs are made. §3 These and other illustrations will show that, if we inbody as a transforming instrument, while we must credit with their respective services all these outside agencies, such as food, clothing, dwelHng, furniture, ornaments, and other articles which, as it were, bombard a man's sensory system, we must also at the same time debit the body with these same items. In this case the only surclude the viving credit items after these equal debits and credits are canceled are the resulting final satisfactions in the human mind. In other words, in order that the external world should become effective to man, the human body must be considered as the last transforming instrument. Just as there is a gradual transformation of services through the NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 168 [Chap. X farm, flour mill, and bakery, so is there a final transformation within the human body itself. It is a sort of factory, the products of which are the only final uncanceled income of the consumer. In a complete view of productive processes, the human machine is no more sideration than machines to be left out of con- which handle the wheat in its prior stages. All objective income, therefore, negatived as soon as of the recipient. empty out, as it The entirely erased or to the body which that income consists quota into the human body, but services of were, their the ultimate result is we apply our accounting is not finally received until it emerges in the stream of consciousness. We define subjective income, then, as the stream of con- sciousness of any human being. All his conscious from his birth to his death, constitutes his subjective come. Sensations, thoughts, feelings, voHtions, and life, inall psychical events, in fact, are a part of this income stream. All these conscious experiences which are desirable are positive items of income, or services which are undesirable have avoided expressly the statement that subjective income consists of pleasure, or of pleasure minus pain. These terms have been too loosely used by economists, and such use has involved them in unnecessary controversy with psychologists. It is better to avoid such disputes, and content ourselves with the simple statement that subjective events which are desirable are services, and those which are undesirable are disservices. This statement conforms to the definition of services and disservices originally given, and does not commit us to any psychological theory of pleasure or pain. Some psychologists would maintain that pain, to an ascetic, may be just as much an object of desire as pleasure.^ ; all are negative items, or disservices. 1 We For instance, of the founder of the Sacred Heart Order, we read that, — "Her love of pain and suffering was insatiable. . . • 'Nothing PSYCHIC INCOME Sec. 4] Nor is it 169 necessary to take sides in the controversies re- We garding the relations between mind and body. are but with means and end, and, whatever may be the causation of mental states, the human body is certainly the means by which the good not concerned with cause and from external wealth is finally effect, communicated to the con- sciousness of the owner. §4 The two kinds of final income, the physical psychical, or the objective mate and in their proper spheres. and the subjective, are both legiti- Usually the physical and psychical income are equal to each other in value. A loaf of bread which yields ten cents' worth of services presumably gives ten cents' worth of immediate satisfaction. When one enjoys a musical concert worth one dollar, it does not matter whether we say that the services of the musicians in producing vibrations are worth one dollar, or the enjoyment which these vibrations occasion in the mind is worth this sum. When rent is paid for a house, this is generally taken to measure also the subjective comfort obtained through it. Nevertheless, there are several points at which the valuations of subjective and objective income are different, and three of these are sufficiently important to emphasize. The first case is that in which the transformation within the body takes a long time. Here the two species of income do not correspond. For instance, the instruction received by an apprentice in preparation for his trade is a service rendered to him in the body in manual manual income-earning power. Aptraining of his dexterity, in order that, a few years later, this dexterity may increase his but pain,' she continually said in her able.' " Bougand, 1894, pp. 171, 265. James, Varieties letters, 'makes my life support- Hist, de la bienheureuse Marguerite Marie, Paris, Cf. also pp. 386, 387. Quoted from William of Religious Experience, 1902, p. 310. 170 NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME prenticeship is, as it [Chap. X were, an investment in the body, to be returned at a later time (with interest), just as the plantis an investment in the tree in order that its ing of a tree may At the time of tree work credited the tree planter is debited the tree; it is only when in after years the tree bears fruit or other product that any return is obtained from the planting. Similarly, the work of fruit be secured in later years. planting there no net income, is for the teaching the apprentice should be credited to the teacher and debited to the apprentice's body the final satisfactions will not come until the acquired knowledge becomes ; All this can be faithfully recorded only in the complete accounting which includes subjective income. The same principles apply to any training or education effective. for a profession. When a young man cine, journalism, music, or prepares for he sion, is investing in his own studies law, medi- any other profes- person, with the hope that may ultimately be returned to him The same is true of physical training. Many of the most successful men are those who, Uke President Roosevelt, in early life saw the wisdom of developing a strong body, and in consequence have increased their productive power in mature years. the sums thus invested (with interest). §5 The second point income diverges is at which subjective and objective found in occupations whose special grati- fication or irksomeness renders their return in psychical in- come widely This is different from their return frequent in conditions of labor. in objective income. Properly speaking, objective income takes no account of the toil of the laborer. The workingman who earns $2 a day earns double the obincome of one who earns SI a day. Yet if the work jective of the former is difficult, loathsome, or dangerous, well be that many would it may prefer the nominally smaller in- come rather than endure these disadvantages. These facts PSYCHIC INCOME Sec. 5] 171 have often puzzled economists, and the question has been asked whether any allowance should be made for disagreeable trades, such as that of the hangman, and whether it is fair to say that a workingman who the sweat of his brow really gets as who receives The answer an earns $500 a year much by as a capitalist $500 from stocks and bonds. is now evident. So far as concerned, no allowance should be effortless to these questions income is made. That is, the returns to the laborer are all to be counted gross and not net, no deduction being made on account of so-called "mental anguish" or painful feelings. Objective income stops at the threshold of the laborer's body. It does not follow beyond this point and include what the body communicates to the mind.^ objective But, by passing to subjective income, we avoid some of the manifest unfairness in the usual statistical comparisons which contrast a capitalist's income with that of a laborer, or contrast with each other the incomes of various laborers, some of whose tasks are obtain one's net income difficult we must and others easy. To subtract from the sub- jective satisfactions the subjective efforts of attainment. A laborer who receives $2 a day may work so hard for it as to justify a deduction of $1,50 for the effort, whereas the laborer who day may possibly need to The nominally $2 man would then receives $1 a deduct only 25 cents. be receiving a net income of only 50 cents a day, whereas the nominally $1 man would be receiving one worth 75 The only way in which a man's person contributes to such objecincome is, as has been imphed in our illustrative accounts, through the work he performs upon external objects, in order that these may, in turn, yield back service to him. Objective income thus includes all the results of his own bodily exertions so far as they come to him via A farmer, for instance, sows wheat, which these outside agencies. The farmer's services here start a is sold and yields him income. circuitous process which is transmitted through the farm, the crops, the wheat, the proceeds from selling the wheat, the enjoyable commodities purchased with these proceeds, and finally his own person again, to which those commodities minister. ^ tive NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 172 we ought laborer's income, who receives $500 a year, with appraised at $250, income as the effort and of effort only receiving one half as great an who obtains, during same the interest to the extent of $500, with asked how an appraisement of labor is possible. practical or statistical standpoint the appraisement is difficult, if A able. to say that the laborer an expenditure whatever. may be From a is capitalist period, dividends It X Again, in the comparison between the capitalist's cents. and no [Chap. Yet certain data are obtainwork asks not simply in not impossible. servant applying for regard to the wages, but in regard to the difficulty of the work, and will consent to do extra or disagreeable tasks only on condition of a definite increase in wages. we may say that the increase in wages which In is this case necessary to procure the consent of the laborer represents subjectively, him to In or her, the increased difficulty of the work. like manner, a government employee who has at any time the option of retiring on half-pay may, at the point when he decides to retire, be said to regard the difficulty of his work as equal in his estimation to half of the income he receives for it. In general we may say that the proper method of appraiswork is to de- ing the disagreeable element involved in one's sum which the worker would were it possible for him so to avoid the That is, he is supposed to imagine disagreeable element. an alternative condition, considered as an equivalent in his mind to the actual conditions under which he works, but which differs from them in two particulars in being free from the labor or pain of toil and being deprived of a cerduct from the gross income that be willing to sacrifice : ; tain amount the laborer of its earnings or rewards. who estimates that this would be to instance, him the equivalent without labor, he has virtually cents a day If, for obtains $2 a day for eight hours' made work of $1.50 a deduction of 50 for the irksomeness of his work. PSYCHIC INCOME Sec. 6] 173 §6 We have reached a convenient place in which to emphaa point of great importance, but one which is seldom understood. This is, that most of what is called "cost of size production" is, in the last analysis, not cost at all. We have found, in using the method of couples, that every objective item of cost is also an item of income, and that in the final total, no objective items of outgo survive cancellation. This principle holds true whether we stop our accounts at the bodily threshold, confining jective income, or extend them them to a record of ob- to include the body, thus income. Those who have been accustomed to construct their theories of political economy on the assumption that "cost of production" is an essential and ultimate item, may do well to reflect carefully on this proposition. It means that in a comprehenyielding a record of psychic sive view of production there is objective sense at all. All of no what cost of is production in its ordinarily called cost cost only with respect to certain accounts; it is always also income with respect to other accounts. This is really is true, for instance, of the cost of raw materials. It costs produce bread but all that the flour costs to the baker is income to the miller. The same is true of wages. The employer counts his pay roll as cost of production, but the laborer counts it as earnings. Glimpses of the fact that all objective costs are always also objective income, and therefore disappear in the final summation, are occasionally found in the books, especially those on land and interest, although the points of view have been variable and uncertain. There have been long disflour to ; cussions as to whether rent enters into cost of production. The question has by many been negatively answered.^ Bohm-Bawerk has also maintained that interest was not ^ See the interesting remarks of Jevons in the preface to his Theory of Political Economy, 3d ed., 1888, p. xlvii. NATUEE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 174 [Chap, X an element in the cost of production. From what has been said it is evident that every rent and interest payment, while it is a cost to the payer, is income to the payee. The total objective income of society consists wholly of positive items, such as the use of food and furniture, the shelter from houses, and the other direct services of wealth. There are no negative items in the account of social income which survive in the form of "costs of production." When we turn, however, to subjective income, we find the case somewhat as capital acted different. Including the human organism upon by the outer world and upon the inner world the uncanceled of consciousness, fringe of itself acting we not only carry services one step further and obtain as net income the subjective satisfactions from the use of food, clothing, furniture, dwelling, etc., but we find it necessary to include also the subjective efforts put forth by human beings in order that these satisfactions may accrue. Thus, to revert to the income account of the lawyer. We found that his net income consisted of the use of house $100, use of furniture $50, use of food $150, and other uses $2500, making a total of $2800. own person addition following Capital Source to : — all the if we include we should have But in our accounts, previous items of the lawyer's to enter, in income, the PSYCHIC INCOME Sec. 7] of the recipient, have all 175 equal and opposite counterparts accounts as given in Chapter IX, §10. These same items were there entered as credits and constituted in the the "uncanceled fringe" of final objective income. were designated as [B], [D], [C], after the introduction of the new the debits of like letters, 'd, h, c, o ; [0]. They Now, however, items, they cancel with but another uncanceled fringe appears, namely, [P], [Q], [R], [S], which items are wholly subjective. These we have, for convenience, entered at the same sum therefore also $2800. is figures as their objective prototypes. jective labor cost, and pain [t], of But there also appears Their a sub- $500 to express the personal labor of the lawyer in his work. The result is that income is not equal to the objective income of $2800, but is only $2300. When we have reached this final stage in our inquiries, therefore, we find the only ultimate item of cost to be labor cost, or, if the term "labor" be not itself suflaciently broad, labor, anxiety, trouble, annoyance, and all the other subjective experiences of an undesirable nature which are necessary in order that the experiences of an agreeable nature may be secured.^ In a sense, therefore, the socialists his net subjective are quite right when they say of production, although deduce from some that labor is the only true cost of the conclusions which they this proposition are not justifiable. §7 The income third discrepancy between subjective and objective due to the fact that certain agreeable and disagreeable experiences are due directly to the character of is 1 It may be well here to emphasize the distinction between work and labor which has been so well drawn by Professor J. B. Clark. The work performed consists of the services rendered, and is posi- tive; the labor consists of the efforts of performing those services and is negative. The work is objective; the labor is subjective. Properly speaking, an employer does not pay a man for his labor, but for his work. NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 176 A [Chap. X income is with a conhas more agreeable stream of a good constitution The sciousness, or subjective income, than one without. pains and sufferings of illness here find a place in the comIt is evident that plete accounts of income and outgo. the wealthy man who confessed that he would exchange all his millions for a young and vigorous body may be the recipient of a large objective income, but not enjoy as much subjective income as Walt Whitman, who had the body itself. large part of our subjective due to our condition of health or disease. A man scarcely a dollar in the world. That these subjective items are by no means to be despised by the economist, who has far too long busied himself with a study of the superficial objective phenomena, is evident when we consider that a healthy body is absolutely essential for receiving and enjoying the income from external wealth. The man who is short-sighted enough to lose his health in the pursuit of what he calls wealth will soon be and we all of this sort of wealth to regain health need only visit the health resorts of Colorado and Cahfornia to be struck with the number of cases of business men who have found themselves in this predicament. Economists, by fixing attention exclusively on physical phenomena, leave out of account the most essential element of all, the vigor of human fife. The true "wealth of nations" is the health of its individuals. A nation consisting of weak, sickly, and short-hved individuals is poor compared with a nation whose inhabitants are of the opposite type. Hence spending it is that the devices of ; modern hygiene, sanitation, preventive medicine, which tend to increase and human work- and enjoying power, are of greater economic import than many of the luxurious and enervating devices commonly connoted by ''wealth." We see, then, that subjective income means simply one's whole conscious fife. Every item of it comes via the body ing power of the person. ; PSYCHIC INCOME Sec. 8] 177 §8 As to the measurement of the items entering into this psychic stream, the same principles apply which already been laid nitudes. counting. First, have measurement of other magHke events are measured by simple down all for the Secondly, so far as terms of money To accomplish is it is possible, a valuation in placed on them, as on objective services. this appraisement it is only necessary for the what money is he willing any enjoyment brought about by means of exterIf the event nal wealth, such as a box of sweets or a cigar. is one which cannot be connected with purchasable commodities, it is necessary to imagine an exchange, even when individual to answer the question to pay for actual exchange We is impossible. have now followed the method of couples from the balance sheet for a particular article of capital, or group goods of an individual or been inevitably to lead us to a of society. consideration of the psychic stream of events as final income, all the agreeable items being on the credit side and the disagreeable ones on the debit side. But the methods which have been given also enable us to stop at any earher point. There are two such earlier points which are convenient and logical. The final objective income is one the other has its existence only in a highly developed civilization Uke the one now existing in western Europe of articles, to the entire capital The result has and America, and consists of the familiar "money income" of an individual, that is, his money receipts from The all capital sources, less his money outgo to them. income of a person reckoned by these three methods will ordinarily be very similar, though in theory, and sometimes in practice, it may differ widely. As long as we understand the various kinds of income, and the relations between them, we are at liberty to consider any one of them But we can scarcely as "income" in its proper place. NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 178 [Chap. understand any one without having had at view of both of the others. X some least §9 Having completed our survey elements of income, They items. fall we may of the summation of the properly pause to classify these naturally into three groups. The first group includes those items of income which are positive and not negative, that is, the agreeable experiences of sub- jective income, for these, as final we have seen, are the only The second group in- uncanceled positive items. cludes items which are negative but not positive, namely, disagreeable psychical experiences, and consists of two (1) the labor and trouble which are sacrificed for the sake of procuring income through objective channels, classes: in other words, the toil of the producer; and (2) the dis- by an abnormal state of the body, as aches, pains, and all sorts of illness, but which are not, like toil, voluntarily incurred The third group includes for the sake of future return. what we have called interactions, or items which are at once positive and negative, according to the point of view. Both of the first two groups are entirely subjective, and agreeable impressions produced in one's consciousness the last is entirely objective. by The third group, interac- bulk of the items entering into income accounts, and includes all of those which enter into practical bookkeeping. It may be subdivided tions, constitutes far the two groups: (1) interactions outside of the human body, and (2) interactions between external wealth and the human body, or what have been called "final objec- into tive services." divisions : — The following scheme shows further sub- 179 PSYCHIC INCOME Sec. 9] Pure services (subjective) labor (cost of production) f Pure disservices (subjective) | ^^^^ ^^^ ^^^^j. discomforts nutrition clothing between objective wealth and body of owner Services (final housing amusements objective services) instruction etc. Interactions , r f agricultural | manufacturing transportation between objective , . production \ commerce articles (advertising organizing indemnifying etc. PART III. Capital and Income Chapter XI. Foue Income-Capital Ratios Chapter XII. Concept of Eate of Interest Chapter XIII. Value op Capital Chapter XIV. Earnings and Income Chapter XV. Income and Capital Accounts Chapter XVI. The Risk Element ; CHAPTER XI FOUR INCOME-CAPITAL RATIOS §1 We have now learned what capital and income are and We have seen that capital is not to is measured. be confined to any particular part or kind of wealth, but that it applies to any or all wealth existing at an instant of time, how each or to property-rights in that wealth, or to the values of that wealth or of those property-rights. come is not restricted to of a flow of commodities, nor and services, nor must it is it have seen that is it it in- consist a composite of commodities necessarily regular in its receipt, nor necessarily be such as to leave capital unimpaired but that it consists simply of the services of wealth, that, analogously to capital, either We money income, nor does by the mere quantity income may and be measured of the various services rendered, We have seen that in the summation both of capital-value and of income-value there are two methods available for canceling positive and negative items called the "method of balances" and the "method or by their value. By the method of balances the negative items any individual account are deducted from the positive items in the same account, and the difference, or balance, shows the net capital (or income, as the case may be) with which that account deals, whether this be the net capital of couples." in (or income) of a particular owner, or of a particular article The method of couples, on the other hand, cancels items in pairs and is founded on the fact that, as to capital, every liabihty relaor group of articles of capital. 183 NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 184 and tion has a credit as well as a debit side, income, every interaction is [Chap. that, at once a service XI as to and a dis- service. We observed that the method of couples, fully carried out, reveals mately respectively We consist. and income ultihave seen that such a summation, wherein capital applied to capital, gradually obliterates partial rights, all such as stocks and bonds, and leaves as the final result the concrete capital wealth of a community; and that when the method of couples is applied to income accounts, the "interactions" involved disappear, leaving an uncanceled outer fringe of services and disservices. If the method is continued as far as possible in the world of objective services, it leaves simply the direct or final services of objec- tive wealth if the as they affect method is the human organism; while, pushed one step further, leaves, as the it income stream, simply the pleasant and unpleasant experiences of human consciousness. We found as one result of our study that so-called cost of production has no existence as an element of the objective income stream, and that, therefore, the only costs of production which are not also elements of income are the subjective labor and trouble of those engaged in that production. We have seen that capital and income are in many refinal spects analogous, and are strictly correlative ; that all capi- — income and that all income flows from capital at least when the term " capital " is used in its broader sense, which includes human beings. The old proposition of the economists, therefore, that capital is that wealth which tal yields yields income, statement is correct, although the idea that such a is restrictive, and applicable only to certain kinds of wealth, is incorrect. §2 Since capital and income are so intimately related, it becomes necessary to examine in detail what their relations are. The chief relations between capital and income are FOUR INCOME-CAPITAL RATIOS Sec. 2] represented by four and income may 185 ratios. As we have seen, both capital be measured either in quantity or value. It follows that the relation of income to the capital which bears it takes four different forms, according as the income and the capital are measured in one or the other of these two ways. These four forms of the income-to-capital ratio follow (1) The : — ratio of the quantity of services per unit of time to the quantity of capital may which yields those services be called the physical productivity of capital. Thus, if 10 acres of land yield, in a certain year, 60 bushels of wheat, the ratio of income to the capital This per acre per year. Uke manner, if may is its be expressed as 6 bushels In physical productivity. 10 looms will weave 500 yards of cloth in a day, the ratio of services to the quantity of capital, or the physical productivity of the looms, is 50 yards per machine per day. (2) The ratio of the valv^ of the income from capital to may be called the value produc10 acres of land yield a net return worth the quantity of the capital Thus, if $200 a year, the value productivity is $20 per acre per year. This is what has ordinarily been called the rent of land. The same principles apply to the rent of a dwelling tivity. or of any other article of capital. value productivity (3) The is ratio of found in the the quantity of services rendered capital to the valu^ of the capital ical return. Thus, if Another example of wages of the laborer. may be called its by phys- $100 worth of capital applied to land in the form, say, of agricultural implements adds to the yield of the land one bushel, the physical return of this capital Y^ of a bushel per year per dollar invested. cept of physical return is is Such a con- familiar to students of classical economics under the head of "doses" of capital appHed to land. (4) The ratio of the valu£ of services to the valv£ of the capital yielding them may be called the value return. Thus, NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 186 if [Chap. a house worth $10,000 yields in any given year a net rent of $1000, the value return is ten per cent per year. important case of value return terest. Thus we have four 1- 2- 3. XI ratios : is An evidently the rate of in- — Quantity of services per unit of time,^ physical productivity. quantity of capital, Value of services per unit of time, ^ ^^^^^ productivity. quantity of capital, Quantity of services per unit of time, ^ physical return. value of capital, 4. Value of services per unit of time, _ ^^^^^ return. value of capital, These four magnitudes must be carefully distinguished. They are, as mathematicians say, of different " dimensions." * This fact may is suggested in the four following phrases, which be taken as typical 1. 2. 3. 4. : — Bushels per acre per year. Dollars per acre per year. Bushels per dollar|per year. Dollars per dollar per year. §3 The failure to keep these four magnitudes clearly tinguished has already led to a great many dis- confusions in economic science. The spurious distinction between rent as the income from "land" and interest as the income from "capital" is a case in point.^ From this confusion comes the notion that land differs from "capital" in that there is a margin of cultivation for the former and none for the For a mathematical statement, see Appendix to Chap. XI. error is fully exposed in Cannan's "What is Capital?" Eco' nomic Journal, June, 1897, pp. 283-284, and in Fetter's "The Relations between Rent and Interest," a paper presented before the American Economic Association, December, 1903. See also Hicks's Lectures on Economics, Cincinnati, 1901, p. 228, and the present writer's "R61e of Capital in Economic Theory," Economic Journal, December, 1897, p. 524, and "Precedents for Defining Capital," Quarterly Journal of Economics, May, 1904. ^ ^ The FOUR INCOME-CAPITAL RATIOS Sec. 3] and latter; that, 187 whereas different qualities of land bear in advantage different rents, representing the difference between a particular grade parts of capital bear the errors of land and no-rent land, all same rate of interest. These come from unconsciously regarding the land in terms of quantity and the so-called "capital" in terms of value; in other words, from considering the income from land in the sense of value productivity, but that from capital in the very different sense of value return. ing our comparisons, of these ratios, the interest we If, in mak- abide consistently by either one imagined distinction between rent and and between land and capital will vanish. It is quite true that the value productivity of land differs with different grades of land; but it equally true that the is value productivity of machinery, or of any other element of capital, so varies. bears exactly the New, high-grade, and efficient machinery same relation to machinery which is out date and inefficient that of land bears to fertile sterile. have different degrees of prohaving high ductivity, some and others low earning power. It was on this basis, in fact, that Francis Walker applied Similarly, different persons the Ricardian theory of rent to the explanation of entrepreneur's profits. On the other hand, if we fix our attention on value return, we find it indeed true that the value return called the rate of on "capital" (however narrowly capital may be is uniform, but we find it equally true that the value return on land is also uniform for land which yields a high rent will have a correspondingly high value, and, in consequence, the ratio of the rental to the value will be interest conceived) ; exactly the same as for lower grades. Other examples of confusion might be some of them in the cruder "naive" productivity theory,^ ^ See Bohm-Bawerk, Capital and pp. 120-141. cited. We find interest. The for instance, confuses phys- theories of Interest, English translation, 1888, ^ NATUEE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 188 ical [Chap. XI productivity and value return, and attempts to deduce the rate of interest from mere physical productivity, which is impossible. §4 In this book we are concerned chiefly with the fourth relation, value return, or the ratio of the value of income to the value of capital. {^ The fundamental principle which applies here is that the value of capital at any instant is derived from the value of the future income which that capital The expected services. services may, In our ignorance of the future valuations on the basis of The is expected to yield. of course, not we be the actual fix our present what we expect the future principle of present worth is of to be. fundamental impor- tance in the theory of value and prices. value of any article of wealth or property It means that the dependent alone on the future, not the past. The principle has been imperfectly stated as follows: "The value of any article is not determined by its cost of production, but by its uses." But the costs of production are disservices, and these, if they be future, enter into value on precisely the same terms as uses or services. They are is discounted as are services. For the Panama Canal to-day is dependent upon the future expected services, taken in coninstance, the value of nection with the expected cost of completion. If these future elements be given, the value of the canal will be the same whether past cost was large or small, or nothing at all. Of course, the future expected cost for completing the canal is less than if some of the work had not been done already, so that the greater the past cost has been, the less the future cost will be, and hence the greater the value of the canal at present. Thus normally the value past cost of production. past enables us to make a of capital will vary with the Moreover, the experience of the better estimate as to future cost. , /— FOUR INCOME-CAPITAL RATIOS Sec. 4] 189 But, however determined, it is the estimated future cost alone which enters into the calculation of present value. All of these principles are well illustrated in the case of After some $300,000,000 had been sunk in the enterprise, the proprietors were willing to sell out for only the canal. To them, therefore, it was worth less than it The effect of the work already done on the canal $40,000,000. had was cost. certainly to lessen the labors of the present possessors, but it also at the same time opened their eyes to the magnitude of the task still before them; hence the reduction in value to correspond to the new forecast of the future. No one will dispute that the buyer of any article of capital will value it for its expected services to him, and that " at the margin" of his purchases, the price he will pay is the equivalent to words, is him of those expected services, or, in other their "present worth," their "discounted value " speculator as to But some doubt may be felt reAs to him, he is simply a the possible demand. He sells for what he can whatever price he believes or "capitalized value." garding the professional get, affixing profit seller. him most, sometimes making out will, in the end, of the transaction sometimes less, usually, or normally, covering those costs plus interest on them for the time elapsing between their occurrence and the sale. The same principle applies all the way back in the production processes. The labor expended is staked (either by more than his costs of acquisition, the laborer or entrepreneur) in anticipation of the prices which the buyers will be willing to pay. If these anticipated prices are not expected to cover the value of the labor and other costs plus the interest upon them, the result will be that the labor and other costs will not be expended. Hence by trial and error the labor and other costs will, imder nor- mal conditions, gradually be fitted to the prices. When prices find this normal level at which costs plus interest are covered, it is not because the past costs of pro- duction have determined prices in advance, but because NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 190 the sellers have been good speculators as to would be. costs and If [Chap, what XI prices they had foreseen that prices would not cover interest on costs, production entirely, while they would have refrained from if they had foreseen the opposite condition, that of large profits, competition would have tended to reduce these profits to the usual dimensions. We see, then, that although prices bear a normal relation to past costs, this relation does not always hold true that, whether it ; and holds true or not, the costs do not prede- termine the prices except in the sense that the producers have skillfully adapted the stocks available now, and those to be available at succeeding points of time, to the expected demand for them. not our purpose in the present book, however, to emphasize these principles, for they belong properly to the It is theory of prices. We merely premise them in order to proceed to the study of the relation between capital-value and income-value, that return." is, of what we have called *' value- CHAPTER XII CONCEPT OF RATE OF INTEREST §1 From we obtained the concept of be explicitly defined as the ratio of the value of the income which flows from a specified capital during a specified interval of time, to the value of that capital at a specified point of time. Thus, if on January 1, 1900, a capital is worth $10,000, and during the year 1900 this capital jdelds an income worth $500, the valuethe return come is five is return is chapter last may This value-return. per cent per annum for that year. If the in- perpetual and flows at a uniform rate, the valuecalled the rate of interest realized other words, the rate of interest is, on the capital. In briefly stated, the ratio As business men say, the rate capital. the " price of money," or the " price of capital." between income and of interest is This very common capital simi is usage is based on the thought that any the equivalent of some annuity. The usage has been needlessly condemned by economists on the ground that a different meaning should be assigned to the expression "price of money," viz. its "purchasing power" over goods in general. But the objection is not well founded, for it is evident that "purchasing power" includes not only purchasing power over a stock of goods but also purchasing power over a flow of income. If $100 will buy a perpetual annuity of $6 a year in Japan, while in England it will buy one of only $3 a year, the purchasing power of capital over income much in England. able to is six per cent in Japan, and only half as A millionaire in the first country will be command an income of $60,000 without trenching on 191 NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 192 [Chap. XII England he can get but $30,000, and be just half as wealthy in actual income. his capital, whereas in will, therefore, §2 The rate of interest has concept is many so vital to our study, in the present chapter, The meaning implied meanings, and since the we shall specify carefully, what these various meanings are. in the previous section postulates the i.e. a uniform and perAlthough such an annuity does often convenient to employ it as existence of a perpetual annuity, petual flow of income. not actually exist, it is a vehicle of thought. Suppose $10,000 to-day will secure a perpetual annuity of $400 per year payable annually, the first payment accruing one year from the day of purchase then the rate of interest is said to be four per cent ; per annum payable annually; that is, the rate of interest (when the interest is payable annually) is the ratio between the rate of flow of a perpetual annuity and its equivalent in present capital. In case the income accrues semi-annually the case is Let $10,000 to-day yield a perpetual annuity of $400 a year in semi-annual payments of $200 each, the first payment being due six months from date. Then slightly different. the rate of interest is said to be four per cent per annum payable semi-annually. That these four-per-cent rates are not equivalent to is well recognized in practice, and can be made The holder of the semi-annual evident in various ways. each other annuity has a slight advantage over the holder of the annual annuity, because he receives half of each year's income He may, in fact, convert his income six months earlier. of $200 twice a year into an income of for in six months, besides receiving his $200, he may may receive $10,000, by $404 once a year first installment of selling his annuity. He then reinvest the entire $10,200 on 4 per cent payable semi-annually, and hence obtain a perthe original terms, CONCEPT OF RATE OF INTEREST Sec. 2] 193 petual annuity of $408, in semi-annual installments of $204. In six months more, or one year from the original investment, he may realize $204 of income and $10,200 of " prinOf this he may reinvest the cipal," or $10,404 in all. original $10,000, retaining $404, he may repeat From same annual the this point cycles of onward and sales reinvestments, and, therefore, receive $404 net, payable He is, consequently, better off by $4 a year, than the holder of an annuity of $400 a year, payable annually. In other words, a rate of interest of 4 per cent once a year. per annum, the income is payable semi-annually, is a rate of interest of 4.04 per cent per annum, if the income is payable annually. The same reasoning may be applied when the income equivalent if to accrues at quarterly or any other intervals.^ By subdividing the time of payment indefinitely, we may pass from an income obtained in installments to a continu- ous flow of income. The idea of a uniform and perpetual stream of income is nearly realized in certain cases, as in the West, where water rights are sometimes bought in the form a perpetual flow through a square of a "miner's inch" — inch opening under a head of six inches. Let us suppose worth $100 a year. If the right to such a perpetual and uniform flow can be bought for $2000, the rate of interest is five per cent "reckoned contiauously." that the water We is thus reach the conclusion that there are various senses of the rate of interest, according to the of pajmaent, namely, The The The The The — annum, annum, annum, annum, per annum, rate of interest per rate of interest per rate of interest per rate of interest per rate of interest income income income income income payable payable payable payable payable frequency annually. semi-annually. quarterly. at other intervals. continuously. The last named, while it is the least familiar in practice, is in some respects the most natural, and lends itself the most ^ See Appendix to Chap. XII, § 1. NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 194 [Chap. XII The first, on the used in practical readily to mathematical transformations. other hand, is the most frequently computations. §3 We have considered the rate capital in terms of income. of interest as the price of we If consider reciprocally the price of income in terms of capital, is years, namely, the number would flow an amount if we have what measured in years during which there called the "rate of capitalization." 125,000 will '' shall is income equal to the capital. Thus, buy a perpetual annuity of $1000 a year, the rate of capitalization concept of of It of is " twenty-five years' purchase." years' purchase " is applied to land rents. common in The England as It is evidently interconvertible with A the rate of interest. rate of interest of four per cent indi" cates a years' purchase " or rate of capitalization of twenty-five years. A rate of interest two per cent of indicates a rate of capitalization of fifty years. capitalization has thus as interest, many meanings according as the income semi-annually, quarterly, etc., or is The rate of as the rate of payable annually, continuously. §4 The concepts of interest which have been given depend upon the concept of a perpetual annuity. But they can be made may to apply also to terminable annuities. Thus, $10,000 an income of $400 a year for ten years, at the expiration of which time the $10,000, or the "original loan," is returned. In such a case the loan may evidently be regarded as a purchase and resale of a perpetual annuity. A perpetual annuity of $400 is, for the price of $10,000, diverted to the lender's benefit, and at the end of ten years is restored to the borrower for the same sum. yield at four per cent We may regard in this light even short-time loans. Thus, CONCEPT OF RATE OF INTEREST Sec. 4] 195 man borrows $100 to-day and agrees to pay it back with 4% in one year, we may conceive of him as having sold a perpetual annuity of $4 a year for $100, and at the same time as having bound himself to buy it back for if a interest at $100 at the end of one year. The combined result of these operations amounts to an exchange of $100 this year for $104 next year. It is possible to use such a simple exchange between this year's and next year's money, as the basis of an entirely new definition of the rate of interest, and one which is independent of the idea of an annuity. When $100 to-day is exchanged for $104 next year, the ratio of exchange between the two simis is j^^. This ratio is not, of course, itself the rate of interest; the rate of interest is the excess, or premium, of \^^, above unity. In other words, the rate of interest is the premium, or " agio," above par of this year's dollars in terms of next year's dollars. of interest may be called the premium conwhereas the concept hitherto employed, or the price of capital in terms of an annuity, may be called the price con- Such a concept cept, To say that the rate of interest means that the price of $100 of capital is $4 of income per annum forever. To say that the rate of interest in the premium sense is four per cent means that the price of $100 of one year's goods is $104 of cept of the rate of interest. in the price sense is four per cent the next year's goods. The premium concept much emphasized, of the rate of interest has been so notably seems advisable to repeat by Bohm-Bawerk, that briefly, with respect to it, it the dis- tinctions as to annual, semi-annual, quarterly, etc., reckoning. Let us suppose that $100 to-day months hence. The is rate of interest in the worth $102 six premium here 2 per cent for the six months' interval, and sense said " 4 per cent per annimi payable or reckoned semi-anto be is nuallyy is It will be evident, however, that this is a little higher rate than 4 per cent per annum reckoned annually. Let us suppose that at the end of six months, at which time NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 196 $102 the is due, the debt same rate. is renewed [Chap. XII for another six It is evident that the $102 months at by The will then, ''compounding," amount to $102 x 1.02, or $104.04. end of a year, instead of being $4, is In other words, 4 per cent interest reckoned half$4.04, interest then, at the yearly is equivalent to 4.04 per cent reckoned yearly, as was also the case under the price concept of the rate of interest. In the same way we may consider quarterly or other intervals for compounding. At the limit, the interval for com- pounding may be reduced to an instant.^ We have then two methods of defining interest. In both of them the time element is prominent. Before passing on we should here remark that the time element enters not only as referring to the times of payment but also to A rate of interest implies not only the time of contract. the two points of time between which the goods for exchange are available, but also the point at which the deIt would be quite poscision to exchange them is made. sible, for instance, to agree in the year 1900 to exchange $1000 in the year 1901 for a given sum or series of sums In this case the rate of returnable at still later dates. interest for this exchange appertains to the year 1900, although execution of the contract does not begin until a year later and is not concluded until later conditions have often been overlooked tics of still. These in treating statis- the rate of interest. §5 We have defined the rate of interest both in the "price" and the "premium" sense. The question now arises whether these two concepts are interchangeable. Under certain conditions they are, and under others they are not. Cases in which the two are interchangeable are shown ^ in the following propositions. For the mathematical relations involved, see Appendix XII, § 2. to Chap. CONCEPT OF RATE OF INTEREST Sec. 5] 197 a premium on goods in terms of next year's goods, is the same year after year forever, then the rate of interest considered as the price of capital in terms of a perpetual annuity will be equal to it. (1) If the rate of interest, in the sense of this year's A numerical example will make this clear. We shall suppose that the rate of interest sense, i.e. that $100 at any consideration will are to show that four per cent in the buy $104 premium during the period under to be paid one year later. as a consequence $100 will necessarily an annuity of $4 a year premium is moment forever. Let us suppose, then, the rate being 4 per cent, that $100 to be repaid one year later. We buy Of this is spent for $104, $104, when it is received at the end of the year, the investor reinvests $100. By our hypothesis bring, will of which in turn $100 of By an unchanged interest rate, this $100 the end of the second year, another $104, at is reinvested ; and so on indefinitely. continually reinvesting, he obtains for his original $100, $4 a year indefinitely and $100 deferred indefinitely. If the process is perpetual, the $100 is deferred to infinity, and has no present value. Hence the original $100 obtains simply a perpetual annuity of $4 a year, and the rate of interest in the price sense is therefore also 4 per cent, which was to have been proved.^ It is evident that this reasoning may all be put in general terms, and that it applies equally to interest reckoned semi-annually, quarterly, etc., and continuously. (2) Conversely, if a given rate of interest in the price sense holds good to-day, next year, two years later, and so on indefinitely, then the rate of interest in the premium sense will be equal to This also will may be buy $4 a year it. readily shown by an example. forever, the first $4 being $100 due one year If ^ An alternative proof consists in obtaining the present value of each successive item of income and adding the results. This process is exemplified in the next chapter in obtaining the capital-value of a perpetual annuity. NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 198 [Chap. XII hence, the buyer of such an annuity at the end may, immediately upon the receipt of his first his rights. By of one year $4, sell out hypothesis they will bring $100. Conse- $100 a year ago. He quently, he receives $104 has thus virtually exchanged $100 one year for $104 the That is, the premium rate of interest for this year after. year is also 4 per cent. in all for his We see, then, two senses that — price if or the rate of interest in either of the premium — remains constant, the rate in the other sense will also remain constant and equal to the former. It is clear that the same reasoning reckoned for any period of applies to interest time, — semi-annually, quar- terly, continuously. §6 But if the rate of interest does not remain constant, its two senses of price and premium are no longer interchangeable. Thus, suppose that the rate is 4 per cent in the sense for the first year, but 3 per cent for the premium second year and for all succeeding years. This means that $100 to-day will buy $104 next year, and that $100 next year Then $100 to-day will eviwill buy $103 the year after. dently not buy $4 a year forever, nor $3, but an intermediate amount, approximately $3.03, so that the rate the price sense is is of interest in 3.03 per cent.^ Again, suppose that the rate of interest in the price sense 4 per cent this year, but 3 per cent next year. This buy $4 a year forever, and then buy $3 a year forever. that $100 next year will Then $100 to-day will not buy $104 next year, nor $103, means that $100 to-day but $137^. is 37^ per of interest will That is, the rate of interest in the premium sense Thus a very slight change in the price rate implies a great change in the premium rate of in- cent.^ 1 2 See Appendix to Chap. XII, See Appendix to Chap. XII, § 3. § 4. CONCEPT OF RATE OF INTEREST Sec. 7] 199 This goes to explain why, in the actual market, the terest. rate of interest for short-time loans fluctuates so more widely than the ments. It is much rate of interest on long-time invest- scarcely necessary to exhibit statistics to show though they are easily obtained by comparing the fluctuations in the rate of interest on short-term and longterm loans, in the United States or in England. We see, then, that the two concepts of interest rate, though definitely related,^ are not always interchangeable. this, §7 There is yet another device for indicating the terms of time exchanges. Besides the rates of interest and their reciprocals, the ratios of capitalization, there is the rate of discount. We have seen that if $104 due one year hence win buy $100 of present goods, then \^^ is the rate of exchange between the two times and exceeds unity or par by the rate of interest. The rate of exchange between the two times, when taken in the opposite direction, is \^^ and This deficiency, this is less than unity or par by -^^^. which amounts to 3.9 per cent, is called the rate of discount. The nimiber representing the rate of discount is always slightly less than that representing the corresponding rate The rate of discount is practically employed of interest.^ only for short-time loans, usually less than a year, in which yf-g-, cases it better serves the purposes of rapid computation. The present chapter may be lows : — briefly summarized as First, the rate of interest is a special case of return," and may fol- "value- be approached from either of two stand- points, according as we consider it the price of capital in See Appendix to Chap. XII, § 5. For further discussion of the rate of discount, see Appendix to Chap. XII, §§ 6, 7. ^ ^ NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 200 [Chap. XII terms of a perpetual annuity, or the premium on the price of this year's goods in terms of next year's goods. These two we have found them is assumed definitions of the rate of interest when but when to be interchangeable either one of invariable ; this condition is not fulfilled the to be two are not interchangeable. Secondly, not only does the rate of interest have the two meanings which have been given, but each mean- distinct ing is subject to various interpretations, according as the interest is payable or reckoned annually, semi-annually, quarterly, etc., or continuously. Thirdly, as alternatives to the rate of interest we may em- ploy the rate of discount and the rate of capitalization. Both magnitudes also apply either in the price sense sense. Furthermore, like the rate of inthey apply somewhat differently according as the of these or the terest, premium reckoning is annual, semi-annual, quarterly, etc., or con- tinuous. The following table illustrates the various magnitudes which have been considered:^ — Equivalent Rates of Interest, Discount, and Capitalization CONCEPT OF RATE OF INTEREST Sec. 8] 201 constancy enters, the two senses will involve two unequal magnitudes, we have here represented or implied thirty- two possible magnitudes. The means for expressing time exchanges between goods of the same kind thus present an embarrassing variety. But since it is easy to proceed from any one of them to all the others, it is evident that we need not, in general, employ more than one. The one which is practically the simplest, and which, therefore, we shall hereafter per on annum the goods of ing. employ in this book is: the rate of interest reckoned annually and considered as a premium one year compared with those of the year follow- CHAPTER XIII VALUE OF CAPITAL Having found what constitutes a rate of interest, we are now enabled to pursue our study of the relation between capital and income. We found in Chapter XI that these relations are of four kinds, according to and the capital are measured whether the income in quantity or in value. The fourth of these, "value-return," brought us to the concept of a rate of interest. The rate of interest acts as a link between income-value and capital-value, and by means of this link it is possible to derive from any given income-value its capital-value, i.e. to "capitalize" income. To do this, we assume that the expected income known with certainty, and that the rate of interest sense of an annual premium) is is is fore- (in the foreknown, and also that constant during successive years. With it these provisos very simple to derive the capital-value of the income to be yielded by any article of wealth or item of property in other words, to derive the value of that wealth or property. That value is simply the present worth of the future income from the specified capital. This is true whether the income accrues continuously or discontinuously whether it is uniform or fluctuating; whether the installments of income are few or infinite in number. We begin by considering the simplest case, that, namely, in which the future income consists of a single item accruIf, for instance, one holds ing at a definite instant of time. a property right by virtue of which he will receive, at the end it is ; 202 VALUE OF CAPITAL Sec. 1] of one year, the right, sum of $104, the present value of this the rate of interest if If the property is 203 is 4 per cent, will be $100. the right to $1 one year hence, its present is evidently oi or $0,962, and if the sum to which the property entitles the owner is any other amount than $1, value present value its is by or multiplied due in one year If the future interest is still simply that amount divided by 1.04 Thus the present value of $432 .962. ^, is sum is x .962, which is $416.^ due in two years, and the rate of or 432 4 per cent, it is evident that $1 to-day is the present value of $1.04 next year, which in turn (by compounding) will then be the present value of $1.04 x 1.04 or $1,082) at the end of the second year. The "amount" of $1 at the end of two years, and $1.04 is the "amount" of $1 in one year. Similarly, in three years (1.04)^ is the "amount" or sum worth $1 in present value; and so on for any number of (i. e. [1.04] $1,082 is 2, called the These results show what $1 to-day is worth at number of years. And any conversely, the end from them it is easy to see what $1 due at the end of any number of years is worth to-day. We have already seen that the present worth of $1 due in one year is j^, or $0,962. Similarly, the present value of $1 due at the end of two, years. of three, etc., years is respectively the present value of $1, other To sum by we may i^„ ^j;^, etc.^ Knowing evidently find that of any simple proportion. illustrate these results geometrically, let us represent time by horizontal and the value of the capital by A A' A" A'", as shown in Figure 1, will exhibit the relative values at any two instants, exchangeable on the basis of a given rate of interest, lines, vertical Hues; then the curve compounded annually. The point B represents the present 1 B', the in- For the general mathematical treatment, see Appendix to Chap. XIII, ^ instant; § 1. For a mathematical formulation, see Appendix to Chap. XIII, § 2. NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 204 stant a year hence; B" years hence; and B^^\ t , [Chap. XIII that two years hence; B'" three represents any years hence. , AB present value, A'5' the " amount of this sum one year hence, A"B" the ''amount" two years hence, etc. Consequently, year also represents the present value of A'B' due one ' ' AB A"B" due two years hence, or of A'-'^B^'^ due The curve AA(*) is an " exponential curve," t years hence. in geothis being the name given to a curve which ascends hence, or of B' B" m B"' Fig. 1. metrical progression, i.e. ascends so that the successive vertical lines, AB, A'B', A"B", andA"'5'"(ordinates), taken at equal intervals, increase in length at a uniform We shall, however, for economic purposes, christen ratio. this curve the "discount curve." §2 The principles which have been explained for obtaining sum apply to many the present value of a single future commercial transactions, especially to the valuation of bank assets, which exist largely in the form of "discount paper," or short-time loans of other kinds. The principles also apply, though in combination with those of risk and foreign exchange, to that form of property called "bills of VALUE OF CAPITAL Sec. 2] exchange." another application Still and in course of trade to the owner is 205 to wealth which is of which, therefore, the only service consists in its sale. It is on this principle that a dealer reckons the value of his stock, by discounting its selling price for before it is expense of the time which will probably elapse sold — deducting, of course, the prospective discounted in like manner. selling, value of any article of wealth reckoned is in course of construction will bring is when completed, Similarly, the when that wealth the present value of what less it the present value of the For instance, the maker of an autoat any of its stages in course of construction, as worth the discounted value of its probable return when subsequently finished and sold, less the discounted value of the costs of construction and selling which still remain. Of course, the element of risk cannot, in such cases, be overlooked but its consideration belongs cost of completion. mobile will appraise it, ; to a later chapter. Another application of these principles of capitalization to goods in transit. A cargo leaving Sydney for Liverpool is worth the discounted value of what it will fetch is in Liverpool, less the discounted value of the cost of carry- examples are wine, the value what it will be when "mellow" and ready for consumption; and young forests, which are worth the discounted value of the lumber they will ultimately form. In Germany and some other countries, such appraisement of forests is now worked out with ing of it there. which is Other classical the present worth of considerable precision. §3 It seldom happens, however, that there is one item only of income or outgo earned by an article of capital. The items are unusually numerous. Perpetual annuities, for instance, form an important class, in which these items recur in equal amounts and during equal intervals forever. We NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 206 have already seen, in the last chapter, that if [Chap. XIII a person owns the right to $1 a year payable at annual intervals forever, its present value, reckoned at four per cent, If his annuity is $2 per year, is present value its ~, or $25. is evidently any other sum, its present value is found by multiplying in the same way. Thus, an annuity of $17 is worth jj. In other words, the value of a perpetual annuity is found by dividing the annual income by the rate of interest,^ or, what amounts to the same thing, by multiplying the income by the rate of capitalization, double this, or also called the $50 ; and number if it is of years' purchase. This proposi- tion, however, serves to determine only that capital-value which an annuity possesses at before the first its inception {i.e. one year installment) or at any other point taken one year in advance of the first of the installments to be The value included in the calculation. of the annuity, taken immediately before any installment of income falls due, is evidently greater than the above, by the amount of that installment. Thus, if the rate of interest is four per cent, a perpetual annuity of $4 a year, of which the first payment falls due one year hence, is worth $100 today, and is also worth this same sum at any instant immediately following the payment of an installment. But next year, immediately before the first paj^ment becomes due, it will be worth $104. At any intermediate point between the present when it is worth $100 and a year hence when it is worth $104, it will be worth an intermediate amount, determined by the discount curve; for its value will always be the discounted value of the $104, which could be realized on it at the time of the next payment. As soon as this payment has passed by, the value will drop to $100 again, after which it will gradually ascend as before, and so on, following a series of curves In this like the teeth of a saw, as shown in Figure 2. interest diagram, the value of the annuity * is represented by For a mathematical statement, see Appendix to Chap. XIII, suc§ 3. VALUE OF CAPITAL Sec. 3] 207 cessive vertical lines, four units in height, each representing $4, and situated one unit If the annuity future time, '^ is of time apart/ deferred," present value its 4 J4 it will possess till some the discounted value of is JlFig. that value does not begin i.e. J4 11. 2. when it does begin. Thus, in- $100 is the value of a $4 annuity beginning to-day (by which, as we have seen, is terest being four per cent, while meant that its falls due one year from an annuity deferred one year or $96.15, and the present value of an first installment to-day), the present value of later will be only j^, is ^^„ or $92.46. The value any time before its inception at the point shown by the height at any point of the discount annuity deferred five years of the annuity at A is curve through A. In the preceding discussion, the income, which posed to accrue in installments, successive vertical lines. is represented is sup- by separate But when the income is sup- posed to flow continuously, it becom.es necessary to represent it by an area. In the "area" method, time is still ^ For further discussion of the ferent time-intervals, see reckoning interest for Chap. XIII, § 4. effect of Appendix to dif- NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 208 represented by horizontal nates are employed income. lines, and [Chap. XIII vertical lines or ordi- — not to represent income, but Thus, in Figure ing at the instant A, and rate of 3, AC is the rate of income flowBD is the rate at the instant B. Fig. 3. As a consequence, the income which flows through any period of time, AB, is represented by the area ABDC. It is therefore the time AB multiplied by the average rate. In the case of a uniform flow of income, horizontal straight line. CD The area method be used wherever continuous income is reduces to a will hereafter in question.^ §4 Actual examples of true perpetual annuities cannot be but for practical purposes, some government "rentes" are perpetual annuities, also railway leases for 999 years. While the capital value of a perpetual annuity of $4 a year, capitalized at 4 per cent, is $100, that of an annuity of $4 a year for 50 years is $85, for 75 years is $94, It will be seen, for 100 years $98, and for 200 years $99.96. therefore, that for any ordinary rate of interest, an annuity said to exist ; extending a century or more is practically equal in value to a perpetual annuity. Among non-monetary examples may be cited as per- petual annuities the before-mentioned water rights in the These are often sold by the miner's inch, i.e. a theoretically perpetual flow of 1^ cubic feet per minute, West. ^ For a fuller statement of the area method, as related to the method, see Appendix to Chap. XIII, § 5. line VALUE OF CAPITAL Sec. 5] 209 which is supposed to be the rate at which water will flow through an aperture of one square inch with a "head" The of six inches. "first" inches are often so sure to con- Again, tinue as to be guaranteed. element of risk, the S^ hares in we if overlook the stock joint companies often exemplify perpetual annuities. Turning from capital proper y to capital wealth, we find in land an approximate example of capital yielding a perpetual annuity. Land is often capitaUzed on the basis of a perpetual and uniform income, in the form of crops or other uses. It is then valued at a certain number of years' purchase. These so-called " natural and indestructible powers of the soil," however, which such a calculation assumes, do not always exist, and when they do exist, do not always Mines and quarries become yield a perpetual annuity. exhausted, while much land yields an irregular, increasing, or decreasing income stream. We turn now from Suppose that a year. man perpetual to terminable annuities. possesses a ten-year annuity of $100 a This means that he has the right to receive ten annual payments of $100 each, the first falling the present moment. It is due one year from an annuity differs clear that such from a perpetual one by lacking the infinite succession of payments after the ten years are past. In short, the terminable annuity is simply a perpetual annuity dated to-day, less a perpetual annuity deferred ten years. fore, the present value of the terminable annuity Thereis simply the difference between the present value of the two perpet- Of these two perpetual annuities, the present value of the one which begins immediately, interest being four per cent, is $2500, and that of the one which is ual annuities. deferred ten years is ^^, or $1689. Their difference is $2500 -$1689 or 811. Now such a difference as this, i.e. the difference between any particular sum (as $2500) and NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 210 its discounted value for any time, We on that sum. may, is [Chap. XIII called the total discount therefore, express our result by saying that the present value of a terminable annuity is the total discount on a perpetual annuity of the same annual amount beginning when the terminable one If the value is terminable annuity the discounted value of ends.^ deferred, its present is itself its value reckoned at inception. §6 Terminable annuities are sometimes employed by insurance companies and governments, but are otherwise comparatively rare as specific forms of property rights. Approximate cases, however, of such income exist in the case Thus, a of many, if not most, durable articles of wealth. fairly uniform of value for series of services machine yields a same may of of and the be true a years, a fairly fixed term rolling stock ship, the and other house or other building, a equipment of a railroad, etc. Such terminable income is also exemplified in many kinds of land, in the case of mines and quarries, peat beds and other tracts whose yield brings exhaustion. The state of Nevada presents an example of a large area of land which once yielded large incomes, but to-day is quite or nearly unproductive. It is evident, however, that in all these cases risk is an important factor in determining capital-value. This factor is for the present excluded from consideration. As the date for the termination of the the total discount diminishes; annuity approaches, hence, the capital- value of the terminable annuity diminishes. The decrease of capi- sometimes known as ''wear and tear"; namely, the depreciation of an article due to the fact that the tal-value is what is it to render gradually diminish. The approaching cessation of services may or may not be due to services left for physical wear, so that the expression "wear and tear" is a For a mathematical presentation of this proposition, see Appendix to Chap. XIII, §§ 6, 7. ^ VALUE OF CAPITAL Sec. 6] misnomer. We can imagine an 211 article which suffers no material change, and of which the services will nevertheless only a limited period. last On the Atlantic coast the fish- temporary platforms which ermen sometimes It are pretty sure to disappear in the September gales. construct is evident that the value of such a property will decrease rapidly as the end of the fishing season approaches, without this decrease being tion. due in the least to The ''World's Fair" any physical deteriora- buildings at St. Louis depre- ciated, during the brief period of the fair, from $15,000,000, which was first paid for their construction, to $386,000, for which they were sold after they had served the purpose for which they were built. In like manner, a small wooden bridge, which is to be supplanted by a larger and better structure near by, will decrease in value rapidly as the time approaches for the other structure to divert its traffic, without any corresponding physical deterioration. Examples are common enough of productive instruments losing known their value, because of its being that better devices ''Wear and tear," therefore, is a phrase which we must use only in a metaphorical sense. Even when the wear and tear take place because of physical deterioration, this deterioration acts upon the value only in so far as it decreases or terminates the flow of income, and not because of a physical change in the capital which are soon to displace them. bears this income.^ clusively on the The value income from of the capital it, depends ex- upon its a terminable annuity, we and not directly physical condition. Having considered the case turn to of the case of a bond, which entitles the holder not only to a terminable annuity, but also to a single deferred * Cf. sum called the " principal." Bohm-Bawerk, 1891, p. 347. Thus, a so-called " five Positive Theory of Capital, English translation, NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 212 per cent, ten-year, $100 bond" means [Chap. XIII the right to receive an annuity of $5 a year for ten years, and, in addition, ^100 at the end of the ten years. If the rate of interest is five per cent, and one buys a bond which entitles him to an annual income of $5 a year for ten years and $100 returnable at the end of this period, it is evident that the purchase price of the bond must be $100. In this case the $5 of annual income is the interest on the purchase price, and the sum of $100 which is to be received at maturity is equal to the originally invested capital or "principal." For these reasons such a bond is called a five per cent bond, the annual installments of income are called " interest," and the final payment of $100 is called "principal." But more sequently nomers. is not often than not the all of If the bond is not sold at par ; con- the three terms just mentioned are mis- bond five per cent, is but sold above par the rate of interest less than five per cent, so that it is only nominally a "five per cent bond"; the $5 annually received is only nominally "interest"; and the $100 turnable at the end is only nominally "principal." In order to obtain the capital-value of a so-called when the market rate when the bond is sold on a per cent bond cent {i.e. we need simply re- five of interest is four per four per cent basis), add together the present values (reckoned at four per cent) of the ten payments of $5 and of the final payment of $100. We may consider these items as consisting of (1) a ten-year annuity of $5 a year, and (2) a sum of $100 deferred ten years. Both of these we can easily find from the explanations already given. to been explained^ that the present value of a tenyear annuity is the "total discount" on the capitalized value of a corresponding perpetual annuity beginning when the terminable annuity ceases. Now a perpetual annuity It has of $5 is worth, 1 See § if 5, interest is four per cent, supra. ^ See § 3, ;^, supra. or $125.^ VALUE OF CAPITAL Sec. 7] A 213 perpetual annuity beginning in ten years will thus be worth $125 To-day, therefore, in ten years. by discounting four at "total discount" is, per cent, (^^> or therefore, $125 worth, it is The $84.45. less $84.45, or $40.55. We need to add to this the other element in the bond, namely, the present value of the so-called "principal" of $100 due in ten years. Discounted at four per cent, this Combining our two figures we is worth (1^10, or $67.56. Lave, for the value of the bond, $40.55 + $67.56, or $108.11. We find, therefore, that a so-called five per cent bond yields the investor four per cent In like manner per cent, if it In general a bond interest) ; is bought at $108^^0. it will yield him six bought at $92.50.^ sells or nominal "interest," principal if it is could be shown that it sells is at par when the annual income, equal to the true interest on the above par if the annual income (nominal greater than the interest on the principal ; and below par if it is less. In a similar way we may calculate the value of a bond in cases where the installments of income, or nominal interest, are semi-annual and the rate of interest is reckoned semiannually, and in the case of more frequent intervals, as well as in the limiting case of continuous payment.^ Elaborate tables have been constructed, called "bond value books," calculated on the foregoing principles, which are used by brokers for showing the value of bonds under The tables are usually employed, different circumstances. however, for the converse problem, to find the rate of interest "realized" when a bond The following an abridgment is is bought at a given called) three per cent, four per cent, The prices of the bonds in all price. of these tables, for (so- and five per cent bonds. cases are the prices taken ^ For a mathematical statement, see Appendix to Chap. XIII, 8; for an alternative method of calculating the value of a bond and one which gives the "premium" separately, see Appendix to <:hap. XIII, § 9. § ^ For mathematical statement, see Appendix to Chap. XIII, § 10. 214 NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME [Chap. XIII Rates of Interest (reckoned semi-annually) realized on a bond (with semi-annual coupons) known as a " Three per cent bond" Sec. 7] VALUE OF CAPITAL 215 Rates of Interest (reckoned semi-annually) realized on a bond (with semi-annual coupons) known as a " Five per cent bond " NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 216 The original investment the discounted value of expected is the final "returned" principal receipts; The only largest one) of those receipts. this large receipt it is employed [Chap. XIII is simply one (the difference and the other smaller ones when differently is between that, usually, received. It is usually reinvested in other long-time securities, whereas the smaller items of income, the so-called "interest," are spent for cles of shorter duration, and, into true "final income." therefore, while both are considered by itself, thereby, arti- soon converted The "principal" and "interest," income with reference to the bond are apt to lead to different results when followed into the final transformations of purchase and sale, by the pounded. sold on a and debit If credit cancellations previously ex- we suppose a five per cent five per cent basis, reinvested in the same kind bond to be always and the principal of security, it to be always is evident, in relation to the whole series of operations, including the reinvestment, that the principal, canceled though income, is immediately In other words, income from one bond, it by reinvestment as outgo. whenever it appears as immediately disappears again as outgo for another; consequently the owner is virtually in possession of a perpetual annuity of $5 a year. It is with a view to such an operation that the final payment of $100 on a bond is instinctively regarded on a different footing from the other payments called "interest." It is called "principal" on the theory that it is the annuity of $5. to be reinvested in order to continue It thus in theory represents capital, whereas the other payments represent only income. But we see now that both are income received from the bond may, by reinvestment, them is usually put back as a source of income, although either That one be put into capital. into capital and the other of a matter of subsequent the immediate study of the not, is and does not affect bond itself. Even when the "principal" received at the maturity history of VALUE OF CAPITAL Sec. 8] bond the is reinvested, may it be that 217 it is not equal to the original investment, nor, therefore, to the capital-value of the bond at any time before maturity. This equality would hold true only in case the bond is always kept at par. When it is worth more or less than par the capitalvalue is more or less than the "principal," and for this reason, if for no other, the capital-value should not be confounded with the " principal." In order to determine whether or not a nominally five per cent bond really yields five per cent, we must refer to the price at which it sells, and while there is no necessity to abandon the terminology by which ''principal" and "interest" are used with reference to bonds, these terms are undoubtedly misnomers and their existence is responsible for considerable confusion. For instance, insurance companies have recently been offering their policy holders an option between the receipt at the death the insured of a definite insurance of $1300, or of a of "five per cent gold ment but bond" for $1000. many it is — evident that such a bond, considered as the equiva- lent of $1300 in cash, Hitherto we have is on a lower basis than income item ; (2) five per cent. considered only four special cases of capitalizing income, viz. (1) (3) The gold bond has policy holders, a tempting form of investfive per cent because of the " high rate of interest," seemed, to the capital-value of a single the capital- value of a perpetual annuity the capital- value of an annuity terminable in a definite number of years ; and (4) the capital- value of a bond. But income from any property may occur in many other forms, may last for any length of time, and may be distributed through this time in any manner whatever. Let us, therefore, consider the general case in which any random series of income items, AB, A'B' A"B" it is clear that the items of , A'"B''' are received^ as , shown in Figure 4. The capital- NATUKE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 218 [Chap. XIII is found by adding together the present value of the separate items. The best way to exhibit this is to begin at the last income payment, A"'B"'. Just after this last installment, of value of this series at the point of time course, the property zero. is valueless ; that is, its capital-value Just tefore this installment the capital- value to the installment itself, is and is represented by A"'B"' is equal . At D Fig. ^ny time in the interval 4. between this installment of income and the next preceding installment, the value will evidently be found by following the discount curve B"'C" C" being vertically over A" The height A"C" is, therefore, the capital-value of the property just after the payment A"B" Its capital-value just before this payment is found by adding the vertical line C"D", equal to the installment of income A"B". From D" in turn we proceed backward along the discount curve D"C' to C, at which point A'C represents the , . A'B\ amount an capital- value of the property just after the installment To this is added, CD' if we pass back an instant, equal to the installment A'B'. The result the capital-value just before said installment. is A'!/, From D', in VALUE OF CAPITAL Sec. 8] 219 turn, the capital-value descends along the discount curve where CD, equal to AB, is added, and from D we proceed finally by discount curve to P, vertically over 0. to C, OP is, therefore, the capital-value of the property at the " present " instant, and its value at any succeeding instant is shown by following the course of the broken line This curve must descend to zero PDCD'C'D"C"B"'A'"} B' B Fig. finally, when income the is 5. exhausted, and it shows a tendency to decrease before this last is usually payment reached. If, in a series of income items, a negative one occurs, it is only necessary to reverse the capital curve, as shown in Figure 5, where the of income. first installment, AB, is outgo instead The curve PB" evidently represents the be- havior of capital- value, rising suddenly as the outgo is passed and falling when the income A'B' is AB received, and so on to the end. We may, if we choose, trace the history of the value of a security from the time immediately before its purchase, and consider the purchase price itself as an outgo. If this price of ^ For the mathematical formula for the capital-value of any income installments, see Appendix to Chap. XIII, § 11. series NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 220 is [Chap. XIII exactly equal to the discounted value of the succeeding it is evident that the value immediately before its purchase must be exactly zero. Thus in Figure 6 let be the purchase price, and equal to OA, which is the capital- income, OM The capital-value immediately after purchase. immediately before purchase is, therefore, zero, and the entire capital curve is the line OABCDEFH, which starts value Fig. at zero and ends at zero, but 6. is above the zero line at all This represents the normal hisany capital instrument if bought at a " fair intermediate intervals. tory of price." If the flow of income is we may obtain the by dividing the continuous continuous, capital-value approximately VALUE OF CAPITAL Sec. 9] 221 income stream into arbitrary installment sand discounting each installment separately/ The value of the income stream has heretofore been always reckoned in advance of its occurrence; that is, we have discounted income to obtain present value. We may, however, consider an income as paid for at the close of the period, in which case we have to deal with its "accumulated" value or its "amount." ^ §9 Thus far we have considered the possibility of but one income stream from any given capital wealth. But it often happens that, with one capital instrument, there is a choice between various income streams. Land may be used for grazing, agriculture, building, or recreation purposes. may be employed in a variety of ways, and the same Tools is true of innumerable articles of wealth, particularly when taken in combination. What determines the choice of the series of uses to which any given instrument may be put ? Evidently that series of uses or income stream will be seThus, lected which yields the maximum present value. land used for grazing purposes will yield a net service of $1000 a year forever, and interest is taken at four per cent, its value for grazing purposes is evidently $25,000. If, in like manner, the capital-value for some other use, say for growing wheat, is $20,000, it is clear that the land will be if employed for grazing rather than for growing wheat. Sometimes the two series of uses to which land or other wealth may be put differ, not only in their amount, but in their time of beginning or ending. In a city, for instance, land may be used either for present dwelling or for future and it often becomes a question which more valuable. In case the city is growing business-purposes, use is the For a fuller statement, see Appendix to Chap. XIII, § 12. For discussion, and for formulae for the capital-value of any come, discontinuous or continuous, see Appendix to Chap. XIII, § * ^ in13, NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 222 rapidly, it may happen [Chap. XIII that in certain quarters, although the present use for dwelling purposes is more important, in a few years the locality will cease to be a residence quarter and the land cases, it tirely it may will be needed for business purposes. In such ''pay" to keep the land out of present use en- and reserve it until the city has profitable to erect a business block. encumbered with a dwelling, make now grown so as to If the land were either the possibility of its subsequent use for business purposes would be cut off, or the profit from its conversion to those purposes would be impaired by the prior destruction and waste of the dwelling. Under such circumstances it would usually happen that buy up and hold the land. The manner in which the gain presents itself to them is simply as a prospeculators would spective rise in value from the growth of the city; they buy the land to sell it later at a higher price. Such a speculator is commonly regarded as keeping land therefore "out of use." He is, however, only deferring the use, and, he has foresight, is no more to be condemned than the wise speculator on the wheat exchange, whose work, as is The well known, operates to conserve the supply of wheat. speculator thus tends to bring about the best utihzation of the land in the sense that, out of several alternative income streams which the land might be made to yield, that one is if which possesses for him the maximum present value. In general it is probable that the best uses of the land The latter confor the public also are found in this way. clusion does not, however, absolutely follow from the former, since the " best " uses are not necessarily those which have the greatest market value; but those who would prevent all land speculation will at least need to adduce other arguments than that speculation "keeps land out of use," before they have- proven their case; for wise land selected speculation number means simply the discriminating choice, out of a of uses, of that use or series of uses to-day the greatest present value. which affords VALUE OF CAPITAL Sec. 10] be observed that It should the relative advantages of 223 the rate of interest if the two uses given might be quite different. In this case to put up the dwelling rather than wait block for the holder of the land, as ; in not afford to "lose his interest" it it is raised, might pay for the he expresses when is the example business it, could at so high a rate. §10 Thus we have far considered the capital-value only of individual articles of wealth. The same reasoning An to a group of articles of wealth. applies important case is In this case we may prefer that of a merchant's stock. to capitalize the stock as a whole rather than to take the sum of the capitalizations of its separate elements. The net income from the stock from the gross income all the is found by subtracting outgo, including, besides the cost of replenishing the stock, the other costs of the business, work — clerk hire, rent, and even an allowance for the merchant himself, unless he is a mere "silent If the net income is supposed to remain constant of the partner." forever, the capital value of the stock will, of course, be found by dividing the net income by the rate of interest. In this case the rate of interest must be taken for the proper installment interval. If the goods are supposed to be continuously bought and sold, the rate to be employed is the ^ "rate of interest per annum reckoned continuously." §11 We conclude, therefore, that the value of any capital- good, either of wealth or of property-rights, assuming that all future income is foreknown, is the discounted value of that income, and consequently that, as time goes on, the value of that capital will oscillate, rising gradually during intervals between installments along a "discount curve," ^ For a mathematical statement in this connection, see Appendix to Chap. XIII, § 14. NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 224 [Chap. XIII as the future income approaches, installments are successively contrary manner and an outgo. This os- of begins at zero, when the instrument or group newly acquired or produced. as after capital-value ends finally at zero, when the or service of the article or group is ended. It also often cillation life before and falling suddenly as the passed by and acting in a it It were, a sort of may seem to life is one that is These changes constitute, history of capital- value. some readers that there to the rule that the value of capital is is an exception the discounted value of its expected income, in the case where the income which might be received from the capital is indefinitely postponed. This is the case in which the "principal" accumulates at compound interest so that no " interest" is withdrawn. If a person has a deposit of $1000 in a savings bank and leaves it there to accumulate at 4 per cent until it amounts to double that sum, which will happen in about eighteen years, the $1000 does not appear to him to be the discounted value of any income. If he thinks of it as the discounted value of anything at all, it will be of the $2000 of capital which he expects to own at the end of eighteen years. It is perfectly true that the capital-value of $1000 is the discounted value of the future capital-value of $2000; but the latter capital-value is itself the discounted value either of some subsequent income, or, in turn, of a capital still further deferred, and so on indefinitely. Actual income is hoped for sometime, even if it be not for a million years. The present $1000 is the discounted value of that ultimate income, however far distant. A perpetual accumulation is, humanly out of the question. But if such perpetual accumulation be regarded for the moment as possible, it may still be interpreted as a perpetual postponement of speaking, possible income; ^ so that even in this case the $1000 may For mention of the case where the rate of interest changes and changes are foreknown, see Appendix to Chap. XIII, § 15. its VALUE OF CAPITAL Sec. 11] 225 be regarded as the discounted value of an income Of is indefinitely postponed, but indefinitely great. still which course, such a limiting case is of purely theoretical interest. The prodigious sums which result from the reckoning of compound interest always surprise those who have never made such computations. One dollar put at compound interest at 4 per cent would amount, in one century, to second century to $2500, in a third century in a fourth century to $6,500,000, in a century to $325,000,000, and in a sixth century to $50, in a to $125,000, fifth $16,000,000,000. Beyond this the figures are ahnost unthinkable in magnitude.^ Yet we have few instances in which any one has endeavored to set aside even one dollar for the benefit of posterity There is too much reluctance to six centuries removed build for the remote future, even though the attainable Benjamin Franklin, at his death results are enormous. in 1790, left £1000 to the town of Boston and the same sum ! it should accumulate hundred years, at the end of which time he calculated that at 5 per cent it would amount to £131,000. In the case of the Boston gift, it actually amounted, at the end of the century, to $400,000, and has since accimiulated to about $600,000. The sum received by the city of Phila- to Philadelphia, with the proviso that for a delphia has not increased nearly as fast. Another interesting case of accumulation is that of the Lowell Institute in Boston, which was founded by a bequest of $200,000 in 1838, with the condition that 10 per cent of the income from principal. The should be reinvested and added to the peculiarity of this provision is that it it There is, therefore, theoretically no limit to the future accumulation thus made possible. applies in perpetuity. The fund, after sixty-seven years, amounts already to $1,100,000. It * must be remembered however that practically even a For a geometrical representation, see Appendix to Chap. XIII, Q § 16. 226 NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME small sum, such as $1000, if [Chai-. allowed to accumulate, say, at 4 per cent for 1000 years, could attain the theoretical magnitude. the fact that the theoretical This XIII us let never actually is evident from sum would then amount to over $100,000,000,000,000,000, which is so far in excess of the total value of capital on this planet, as to be out of the range of possibility. The reason the sum would to accumulate as fast as theoretically required, aside fail from fortuitous losses, lies in the reduction of the rate of interest which the very accumulation would bring about. The administrators of such a fund, as the centuries passed by, would jfind it increasingly difficult to obtain fields in which to invest it, and their effort so to invest would have the same effect in reducing the rate of interest realized on the investments as is now felt by the national banks in their pressure to buy government bonds. CHAPTER XIV EAENINGS AND INCOME §1 In the last chapter it was shown that, perfect foresight being assumed, the value of any capital good its It is derived from by discounting the value of that income. now remains to compare the capital-value thus derived future income with the expected income- value on which it depends. It is evident at the outset that the capital-value is less than the total expected income; for the discounted value of any future sum This fact is is necessarily less than that simi the following table of capital five typical articles : — itself. and fourth columns and income in the cases illustrated in the third of of NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 228 [Chap. XIV value of the house when interest is at the same rate is $18,300, whereas the total income to be expected from it is about three times as much, or $50,000 that the value of ; a over $500, whereas the total expected the horse is income about $100 more, or $600; that the value of the whereas its total income is $30, of is little suit of clothes is $28, which $20 accrues the first year and $10, the second; and, that the capital-value of the loaf of bread finally, cents and the income expected from it is is 10 also 10 cents. In this limiting case there is practically no diminution on account of the interval of time to elapse between the time of valuing the instrument and the time of receiving its services, for the reason that this time is too brief. From the table we see clearly one reason that certain have been identified with income and others Bread has practically the same capital- value as not. income- value, so that, if a person were not accustomed to fine distinctions, he might think it unnecessary to discriminate between the 10 cents which is the value of the use of the bread, and which is, therefore, income^ and the 10 cents which is the value of the bread itself, and which is, therefore, There is almost as much danger of such confusion capital. articles in the case of clothing and is is therefore income, the suit, and is more enduring between of the for there ; between the $30 which is only a slight difference the value of the use of the suit, and the $28 which is the value of But as we pass to the therefore capital. articles, there emerges so wide a difference an instrument and the value the value of the use of instrument itself, that there tinguishing between them. is no Accordingly difficulty in dis- we usually find in on economics some distinction between the value of the use of a house ($50,000 in the foregoing table) and the value of the house itself ($18,300 in the table). But if the distinction is valid in one case it is valid in the others. The consequence of disregarding it we have already seen in Chapter VII. treatises EARNINGS AND INCOME Sec. 2] If the rate of interest is 229 not 5 per cent, but 2^ per cent, there will result great differences the capital- values. in The consequences are seen in the last column of the But the effect on capital-values wrought by thus table. -cutting the rate of interest in two of the five different articles. The more enduring ones will be different for each will be affected the most. When the rate of interest is halved the value of the land will be doubled, rising from $20,000 to $40,000, but the value of the house will rise by only about from $18,300 to $28,400 the value of the i.e. from $508 to $551 the value of the suit will rise only from $28 to $29 and, finally, the value of the loaf of bread will not rise at all, but wiU remain at 10 cents. We see in these five types of articles that the sensitiveness of capital-value to a change in the 60 per cent, i.e. ; horse will rise only 10 per cent, ; ; rate of interest In general, is the greater the more enduring the income. also, this sensitiveness is the greater the more remote the periods of time at which the income is concenFor instance, if the total income is $100, and is trated. concentrated at a point of time all capital-value, when fifty the rate of interest is years distant, 5 per cent, is its $8.72, becomes $29.09 when the rate of interest is reduced to 2^ per cent. That is, the rate of interest being halved, the capital-value is more than trebled. If the same income of $100 were to be due only one year from date, the change from 5 per cent to 2^ per cent in the rate of interest would elevate the capital- value only from $95 to $97.50. but it §3 Thus far we have been concerned only with total income, we now consider the rate of in relation to capital- value ; income per year in relation to capital-value. This ratio lias already been called the rate of "value-return." In accordance with previous explanations the sequence NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 230 the calculating of A rate value-return of is [Chap. as XIV follows: owner to a future series of income items which is assumed to be definitely foreknown. These items are all discounted by means of a specified rate specified property entitles the The sum of interest. of the discounted values constitutes the capital- value of the property. any time, taken as divisor This capital- value, at and the income per year taken as a dividend gives the rate of value-return as quotient. It must be mind steadily borne in which forms the divisor capital is value, nor the value as indicated originally invested, but is that the value of the not a by fictitious sum the of book money simply the discounted value, at the specified time, of the expected income subsequent to We that time. should at the outset rid our minds of the bogey of an unvarying "principal" perpetually existing somewhere entity to deal with considered, which income, When The only value in a debt or other property. we have is and which capital for instance, is is the value of the property the discounted value of the expected therefore is continually for the present yielding vacant land, time to yield income, and it nevertheless it is is changing. no income, as, expected some- the discounted value of this remote income which alone constitutes the present value of the land. It is true that a speculator may prize the land simply because he thinks he can sell it later to some one else, and to him it may seem that its value is independent of any future income, and depends only on the future capital- value at which he expects to sell. But it is the discounted clear that this futuref' capital- value value of the income which the then purchaser will expect. is itself he too be a speculator, and his valuation, hke his depends on a resale, the dependence on future income is merely again postponed to the time when some purchaser shall buy the land for the income it will This ultimate expected uicome gives the basis for yield. Or, if predecessor's, all prior capital valuations. Were there no expectation EARNINGS AND INCOME Sec. 4] — 231 any future income or, at least, the expectation that there would be an expectation of it there could be no of come, is — Capital-value, independent of expected in- capital-value. impossible. §4 MJThe first proposition to be emphasized as to the rate of value-return interest, to but is that it is not necessarily equal to the rate of than that rate, and may be either greater or less any degree. Let us take, for example, the case of the house which we assumed would endure just fifty years, giving throughout that period a shelter-service worth, after actual expenses are deducted, $1000 annually. We saw that its value, computed by discounting this fifty-year annuity on a 5 per cent basis, is $18,300. It therefore yields the first year a rate of value-return on its capital-value of j|^, or 5.4 per cent. At the end of ten years its value, found by discounting the income still remaining, will be $17,200. It will therefore then be yielding a value-return of j^ per year, or 5.8 per cent. At the end of thirty years, in like manner, it will be worth $12,500 and yielding j^„, or 8 per Again, the suit of clothes which will last two years, cent. and gives services worth $20 the first year and $10 the second, has a value at the start of about $28, and at the end of the first year of about $9.50. The value-return the first year 9^0, is therefore |, or 71.4 per cent, or over 100 per cent. of 10 cents. which is The It yields 10 cents' and the second year loaf of worth bread has a value income in a day, of at the rate of $36.50 per year value-return is ^, ; consequently or a rate of 36,500 per cent per its annum reckoned daily or ''continuously"). In these examples the value-return exceeds the rate (interest of interest. Reversely, on capital to be it is possible for the value-return than the rate of interest. stance, forest land with small trees is bought, less If, it for in- may be NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 232 [Chap. XIV that no product can be obtained until the end of ten years.. that then the yield is worth $1000 a year We may suppose during the ensuing (second) decade, after which worth $2000 a year forever. It may it will be be shown that the present value of the forest, reckoned on a five per cent basis, about $20,000. This would be the discounted value of an annuity of $1000 a year, whose commencement is deferred ten years from the date of investment, and which then is runs ten years, plus the discounted value of a perpetual annuity of $2000 a year beginning twenty years in the On future. the five per cent basis, the forest will, from the present, be worth about $32,000 (this being the discounted value of an immediate ten-year annuity of $1000 followed by a perpetuity of $2000).. Twenty years from the present, the forest will be worth $40,000 (this being the discounted value of $2000 a year in ten years The forever). forest land therefore rises gradually in value from $20,000 to $32,000 in the first decade, during which no income is realized, and continues to rise, though less rapidly, to $40,000 in the second decade, during which there is realized the comparatively small The rate of out the The first the rate is of income realized divided by the tient of the or zero. income $1000 a year. return, therefore, at the beginning, being the quo- decade. evidently of the third capital, is jpoo, rate of return evidently remains zero through- decade At the beginning ~^, it of the second decade or 3.1 per cent; at the beginning is ^, or 5 per cent. We see, therefore, that in this case the rate of value-return gradually from zero to a height equal to the rate of interest. There may even be a negative rate of return. A colt, for instance, may occasion more trouble than it is worth for the ^ first year, and produce a net expense or disservice of $20_J^ Thereafter it may render a net income of $10 during the second year, $20 during each year from the third to the tenth inclusive, and $10 a year the next five years, after which it dies. Supposing, as our preliminary hypothesis rises EARNINGS AND INCOME Sec. 4] 233 obliges us to do, that all these are definitely foreseen at the would be worth the discounted value (at 5 It will therefore these, or about $135. yield during the first year a return of ^, or — 15 per cent. The value-return for the second year, reckoned on its capitalstart, the colt per cent) of all value taken at the beginning of that year, is ^, or 6 per cent; on the third year ^, or 13 per cent, on the fifteenth year about jg, or 100 per cent. The entire series may be seen from the following table : — Capital- Income DTJKING value AT Yeab Beginning of Year 1st year ;20 $134 2d year 3d year 10 161 159 146 134 121 107 92 4th year 5th year 6th year 7th year 8th year 9th year 10th year 11th year 12th year 13th year 14th year 15th year 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 76 60 43 35 27 19 10 Rate OF Retubn -15% 6 13 14 15 17 19 22 26 34 23 28 37 54 100 + C^ From the foregoing examples it is evident that a property which yields 5 per cent to the investor may yield in individual years either more or less than 5 per cent. The dwelling house jdelded more than 5 per cent for 50 years, and then ceased to yield income. The forest yielded less than 5 per cent for 20 years, and thereafter yielded 5 per cent on its value at that time. The colt yielded rates ris- NATUKE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 234 ing from — 15 per cent in the the fifteenth year, and n At first [Chap. XIV year to 100 per cent in then zero forever after. however, the business reader may feel He will point out that in our tables the represented as yielding 5.4 per cent the first year this juncture, disposed to object. house is by neglecting depreciation, and was represented as yielding in per cent instead of 5 per cent, by instead of 5 per cent, that, contrariwise, the forest the eleventh year 3.1 For it is true that the house, worth $18,300 at the beginning of the year, must, under the given conditions, depreciate $85 during the year; and the objector will maintain that this ought to be deducted from the $1000 received from the house, in order to obtain the The deduction leaves $915, which is true "net earnings." According to this just 5 per cent on the capital of $18,300. calculation, therefore, the house really returns, not 5.4 per And, applying the same line cent, but only 5 per cent. of reasoning to the case of the forest, the objector might insist that the forest increased in value just enough to make up the difference between the 3.1 per cent, which was neglecting appreciation. given as the rate of value-return at the beginning of the second decade, and the 5 per cent to which it would seem to be entitled. These calculations are correct. But they do not mili- which has been given. They merely bring into relief a distinction between income which is realized by the investor and income which Realized income is the value of is earned by the capital. the actual services secured from the capital; earned income is found by adding to realized income the increase We of capital-value, or deducting from it the decrease. may designate them briefly simply as income and earnings. To illustrate this distinction and to show its importance, let us consider a four per cent $1000 bond, the interest on which is payable annually. From what was shown in the previous chapter it is clear that (if the bond is valued on a tate against the treatment of value-return EARNINGS AND INCOME JSec. 4] four per cent basis) the value of the 235 bond will oscillate from the former payments and falling back suddenly as each payment is made. The income is simply the payment of $40 at the end of each year. Even our objector will not deny this. During the entire year up to the very end there is no income at all; yet the bond "earns" about $10 each quarter, in the form of an increase between $1000 and S1040, rising gradually to the latter between interest These earnings are simply equal in the value of the bond. to the interest on the capital. ^e assume that income is And so in general, definitely foreknown, earnings the interest on the capital. will equal when It is, therefore, main when they attempt to to earnings that accountants instinctively give their But they attention. away spirit it income and put earned income in Realized income plays the more important place. on realized err grievously depend all the other elements, — its role, for capital- value, value- and even earnings themselves. To take the case of the house, the first and primary fact is that it promises to yield $1000 a year for fifty years. This income return, depreciation, series being given, by the discounting income by capital ; it is possible to obtain its capital- value process its ; by division of by comparing its capital and its earnings, by deducting its value-return, depreciation, values at successive dates; depreciation from realized income. Unless the realized income be given at the start, all these calculations are impossible. Earnings could not serve as our starting point, for earnings cannot be calculated except by the aid of de- preciation, depreciation cannot be calculated except capital- value, and capital- value from expected realized income. Moreover, the fundamental proposition ter, that capital-value is "Which is of the last chap- the discounted value of expected income, will cease to hold true, earniags. from cannot be calculated except if by income we mean Thus, the house has a capital-value of $18,300, the discounted value of its realized income of NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 236 [Chap. XIV $1000 a year for 20 years, discounted at 5 per cent. But it is not true that $18,300 is the discounted value of the earnings of the house, for the earnings are all less than $1000, beginning at $918 a year and dwindling each year have expired; and clearly the discomited value of fifty annual items each less than $1000 must be less than the discounted value of fifty annual items until the fifty years of $1000 each. Since, then, earned income cannot be derived without assuming realized income, and since capital-value has been shown to be the present value of the latter, and not of the former, it is clear that realized income is the more fimda- mental concept of the two. y\y^ §5 ' But so persistent realized income is the accountant's instinct to put aside in favor of earnings that we need to point out in detail the confusions which arise, unless income and earnings are carefully distinguished. We first observe that, under the given conditions interest are equal. Now if of foreknowledge, earnings interest is and at 5 per cent, a capi- — land, houses, $1000 invested in whatever form though it is said to horses, securities, or anything else earn 5 per cent, does not necessarily receive an income each tal of — The $1000 means the present value, discounted at 5 per cent, of some expected income stream; but that income stream may take any one of an indefmite number of forms; such, for instance, as a perpetual annuor a terminable ity of $50 a year, as in the case of land annuity of $100 a year for 14 years or an income of $25 a year for 10 years followed by an income of $167.50 a year year of $50. ; ; for 10 years. All of these are inter-equivalent, and when discounted at 5 per cent, each of them represents a capital of $1000. Of all these possible forms of income it is usual to take the perpetual annuity as the standard income (earnings) and to EAKNINGS AND INCOME Sec. 5] compare other incomes with iti 237 Consider, for instance, the possessor of a property yielding $100 a year for 14 years. He will, if he discounts property at $1000. this He income at 5 per cent, value that thinks of himself as possessing $1000 ''invested in" that property. From it he gets the income of $l00 a year for 14 years. But he knows that he might sell this property for $1000 and reinvest in another property yielding the standard $50 a year forever. Contrasting with the standard income of $50 a year forever which he might receive, the income of $100 a year for 14 years which he does receive, we observe that at first his in- come is double the earned or standard income, being $100 The excess of $50, however, is compen- instead of $50. sated for by a reduction of $50 in the capital-value of his property, for at the end of the first year the value of his property will be the discounted value of $100 a year for thirteen (instead of fourteen) years, which, still reckoned at 5 per cent, is $950. And so if interest is it is in general that the owner of $1000 invested at 5 per cent can obtain a higher income than the standard $50 only at the cost of trenching on capital to the extent of the excess. Suppose, on the contrary, that the $1000 5 per cent, but in such a form as to yield at is invested at than form which yields the above-mentioned income of $25 a year for 10 years, followed by $167.50 a year In that case, during the first year the owner for 10 years. receives only $25 instead of $50, which is the earned or "standard" income. But the deficiency of $25 in his income is made up by an augmentation of his capital by that amount. The principle is perfectly general, and perhaps too familiar to require a rigorous demonstration, though there is no difficulty in framing on^^J We may therefore state (1) When a property yields a specified foreknown income, and is valued by discounting that income according to a specified rate of interest, if the income realized is equal to $50, e.g. first less in a : — NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 238 XIV [Chap. the income earned (and hence equal to the rate of interest), the value of the capital will remain at a uniform level. (2) If realized income exceeds earned income, the value of the capital will be decreased by the amount of the excess. (3) If realized income is less than earned income, the value of the capital will be increased by the deficiency.. These principles hold true whether the period for reckon- compounding interest is a year, half year, quarter, or any other period, or shrinks to the vanishing point in the ing or case continuous of A interest. slight modification quahfication in the statement of these principles or how- is, when, instead of there being a rate of inwhich remains the same year after year, there is a ever, necessary terest succession of different rates.^ <^ Expressed in a single sentence, the general principle connecting realized and earned income is that they differ by the appreciation or depreciation of capital. It is thus depreciation of capital, income as realized income less or else as realized income plus appreciation of capital. We may therefore possible to describe earned fallacy of confusing realized state anew the income with earned income: the fallacy consists in reckoning depreciation of capital as a part of outgo, or appreciation of capital as a part of This usage income. it is difficult has become habitual. will to combat, for with To expose the many fallacy completely be our object during the remainder of this chapter. We may at the outset emphasize a fact already mentioned namely, that this popular and erroneous not consistently adhered to. A pension is an in Chapter usage is VII ; income the capital-value of which ^ The case is continually diminish- discussed in the Appendix to Chap. XIV, § is a refinement into which practical purposes, however, this dom need is to enter. 1. we For sel- EARNINGS AND INCOME Sec. 6] 239 Yet even popular usage seldom or never deducts ing. depreciation from the pension to obtain the this ''true" in- come; and the reason we instinctively include (as we ought) the whole of such a pension in income, is that the depreciation is not actually offset. In ordinary business, on the other hand, we are accustomed to deduct depreciation, because this is usually offset by actual pay- ments into a depreciation fund. Even in this case the depreciation is not itself an expense; but there is a concomitant expense approximately equal to it, in the form of payments into the depreciation fund. It thus makes all the difference in the world whether the depreciation fund is actually maintained, or merely reckoned. tion fund ing it is If a deprecia- actually maintained, the expense of maintain- serves to reduce realized income so as to make it coincide with earned income. In such a case, therefore, the ideal earned income becomes realized in actual fact. Assuming a fixed rate of interest, the depreciation fund C may be defined as a fund formed by accumulating that part of income which must be turned back into capital in order to maintain the value of capital at a fixed level. A depreciation fund is thus made from annual contributions equal to the excess of realized income above earned in- come. If, instead of an excess, there is a deficiency, the become negative, being conincome that is, instead of a certain quantity of verted into capital, a certain quantity of capital must be converted into income .^^^ contributions to the depreciation fund Geometrically, a depreciation fund sented. In Figure 7 let is very simply repre- the income consist of the items The capitalized value of this income stream is AB. The interest on AB is represented by the height AC, so that the standard income would be represented by a series of annual hues of the height of the dotted line CD. The excess of the lines a, a' a", etc., a, a', a", a"', d'^, etc. , above the dotted line CD therefore represents the contri- 240 NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME Where butions to the depreciation fund. ciency, as in the case of a'", depreciation fund time, instead of is the negative; that some of the there a is contribution is, XIV [Chap. defi- to the for that particular income being reinvested, some income from of the capital is used as income, to prevent falling below the uniform a' level prescribed for I a "I Fig. a'v av it. a VI The same I a VII 7. principles apply in case the income is a continuous flow, as shown in Figure 8. Here the earned income is represented by the elevation of the straight line CD, and the reahzed income by that of the curved hne EF the deprecia; tion fund is formed from the successive differences between these elevations. Thus, if $1000 of capital is invested on a 4 per cent basis, but so that the returns are not $40, but $70 a year for twenty- two years, the annual EAKNINGS AND INCOME Sec. 6] contribution to the depreciation fund For at the end 241 is evidently of the first year, before the income is re- ceived, the capital-value will, under the supposed conditions, become not $1070, but only $1040. of income, $70, is then received. from $1040 leaves $970, which Fig. capital-value. Consequently is The first item This being deducted $30 short of the original 8. it is to the capital, in order to bring it necessary to restore $30 up to the original level of $1000. It will evidently make no difference whether the income items are reinvested simply as additions to the original capital, or invested at the same rate of interest in some other form of capital. The owner of depreciating machinery may NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 242 offset The by investing annually by annually buying investment that depreciation new machines, latter or type of investment is the phrase "depreciation fund" of the machines follows this a few in securities. when usually thought of is used. XIV [Chap. If the owner procedure, then instead of the original capital being maintained at a fixed level, it is continually decreasing, while the depreciation fund con- is manner that the value of the machinery and the depreciation fund two remains constant. Consequently, at the end of the income term, when the value of the original capital, the tinually increasing in such a together — the — machinery, is entirely exhausted, the value of the depre- have exactly taken its place. sometimes employed in the definition of a depreciation fund. The fund is then described as formed of a succession of payments out of income, such that if each be accumulated at compound interest the total will equal the original capital at the end of the entire income ciation fund in securities will This fact is term. The most common application of a depreciation fund bond which does not sell at par. For instance, to a is a. $100 five per cent bond, when interest is 4 per cent, will, if The interest at 4 per it has 20 years to run, sell at $115. cent on this capital is $4.60, which shows that the depreciation fund, being the difference between the income and the interest, is $5 minus $4.60, or 40 cents. This item of 40 cents should annually be saved out of the income and reinvested at 4 per cent, in order that at the end there may remain a capital of $115. If the last installment of income from the bond, $105, is treated as an income Hke the previous items, the depreciation fund is, in the last year, $105 minus 84.60, or $100.40 that is, besides the 40 cents annually there should be reinvested, at the end of the term of the bond, the $100 of so-called "principal.'^ Thus we again reach the reason that the $100 of the last payment is regarded as "principal" or "capital" and not still ; EARNINGS AND INCOME Sec. 7] "income." It is simply that this $100 is 243 always supposed is, to be rein- to enter into the depreciation fund, that In case the bond is an income equal to the there is no depreciation fund ex- vested and not retained as income. sold at par market rate {i.e. if it of interest), yields itself at the end, when the last item income ($105) exceeds the earned income of cept the "principal" of realized $5 by $100. This excess, being reinvested at the same rate, 5 per cent, will secure the continuance of the same income. The operation it is of the depreciation fund presupposes that possible to invest the small differences each year in such a manner as to accumulate at compound interest at the rate which the original capital is earning. Such is not al- ways the case, especially with articles of wealth, like land, In case two different rates of inmachinery, and so forth. terest are involved, one for computing the capital-value of the given income, and another for compounding the annual savings put into the depreciation fund, the calculation of the depreciation fund will, of course, § be more complex.^ 7 In close relation to a depreciation fund is the "sinking fund" employed by governments as a means of meeting large obligations in particular of meeting the "principal" — public debts. of Needless obscurity has enveloped the "sinking fund," especially since the intricate but fallacious and Pitt. The annual contribution theories of Price to the depreciation fund was the between the income actually experienced and an ideal perpetual annuity of the same present value. A sinking fund, however, is formed from the difference between income (or more commonly outgo) actually expedifference * The reader is referred to the Institute of Actuaries' Text-book, I, London (Layton), 1901, where this and other problems in an- Part nuities are fully dealt with. NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 244 [Chap. XIV rienced and an ideal terminable annuity of the same present A government has to meet a series of expenses connected with its bonded debt. These expenses constitute, let us say, a stream of outgo lasting ten years, and consisting and one nominally "interest" of nine equal payments amount the much larger payment, exceeding the others by The sinking fund is merely a of the so-called "principal." value. — — all ten payments. ments are S5000 a year for nine years device for equaUzing tenth year (as is If the actual and $105,000 pay- in the the case of 10-year "five per cent" bonds), the ideal 10-year annuity equivalent to this series would, on a 4 per cent basis, be $13,329. The government, therefore, if it would pay off its debt, or rather provide for it in ten equal installments, must during each of the years, besides paying the $5000 the sinking fund $8329. reversed, and the to its creditors, first nine pay into In the tenth year the process is entire $100,000 then accumulated in the is taken to pay the $100,000 of "principal." Hence, as apphed to bonded debts, the sinking fund may be defined as formed by accumulating an annual sum during a specified period, such that its amount will just suffice to extinguish a given sum at the end of that period. sinking fund Depreciation and sinking funds are not the only devices by which uneven income streams may be, as it were, smoothed out. Many other devices may be employed. For instance, a person engaging in an unusual expense, such as that of building a house, will not allow this expense to seriously interrupt the even flow of his income, but will provide for come. shares; offset it by some correspondingly unusual item He may sell of in- other property, for instance railway the unusual simi he realizes on the sale will then the unusual outgo for the dwelling. Or, he may mortgage his dwelling and the land on which it stands, sell a claim upon the and pay the debt off gradually — EAENINGS AND INCOME Sec. 8] dwelling itself instead of selling 245 some property distinct from the dwelling. Or again, he may make an arrangement at the outset to pay for the house in installments. methods of maintaining more or less reguincome merely shift the burden of an unusual expense from one person to another. The first method, by which the purchaser of the house raises the necessary All of these larity of money by selling other property, shifts to the buyer of that property an expense equal to that which he himself seeks, for the time, to avoid. mortgage, presupposes a ply the necessary funds. The second method, that money lender who is ready to The money lender is in this of supcase The payment by installment, implies that the builder (or some other party) advances the cost of the dwelling. In other words, the person who attempts to smooth out his own income does so by throwing his irregularities on some one else, usually a banker or broker. To society as a whole such purely shifting devices are inapplicable, for society can find no outside party on whom to shift the fluctuations. There is, however, a method by which society's income may be more or less standardized. This is by assorting and combining the various instruments of capital wealth so that the various income the one who, for the time, shoulders the burden. third method, may mutually compensate. For instance, if a iron mines, it has a form of property which, for a time, probably yields more than the standard income. By the nature of the case, every bucketful of ore reduces the amount which the mine can yield in future. streams community owns The mine is is, in fact, a sort of terminable annuity. exhausted there will be no further returns. The After it capital- value of the mine will therefore continually decrease. On the other hand, forest land which is covered with young saplings will not begin to yield much income for many years. The income from this capital is therefore tempo- NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 246 [Chap. XIV" below the standard. A community which owns both mine and timber land will consequently find that the increase and decrease will offset each other, so that its income will be more nearly standard than if it merely possessed rarily either one without the other. The last-named method is applied to the case of capital of a large number of instruments in different stages of production or consumption. If a weaving mill is equipped with 20 looms of the same degree of wear, the value of this plant will evidently depreciate and a deBut if the 20 looms are preciation fund may be necessary. which consists evenly distributed throughout the different stages of wear, and if, for convenience, we assume that one loom wears- Fig. y. out each year, no depreciation fund will be necessary. The replacement of one loom annually is equivalent to such a. depreciation fund, and the capital a constant is thereby maintained at level. Any income stream whatever, even parts are very irregular, will, if if its component these parts are renewed at frequent and regular intervals, necessarily produce in total a uniform or standard income. Let ABC (Figure 9) represent an income stream which at first is negative and after- ward positive, such, for instance, as is occasioned by first constructing and then using a machine. Let an exactly begin a short time later, as income stream A'B'C It is eviat A' and so on indefinitely, at equal intervals. our which the point at dent that after we have reached C first income stream ends, we have a fairly uniform income similar , EARNINGS AND INCOME Sec. 9] 247 and outgo, the income at any point consisting of the sum of the ordinates above the base Kne AC^, and the outgo of the sum of the ordinates below. This case brings into juxtaposition two different points of view from which the interest Professor sidered. J. on capital may Clark conceives B. of be coninterest as the net difference between the rate of total income and rate of total this net return point. outgo at any point, with the capital-value as it and compares exists at that This concept treats the outgo or cost of production as simultaneous with the income, that is, it takes into con- any small section of the curves in Figure 9 contained between any tv/o vertical lines a short interval apart. Professor Bohm-Bawerk, on the other hand, always sideration thinks of cost of production as preceding income. He on the elementary income stream ABC, and contrasts the outgo or cost between A and B with the later income between B and C. These two points of view are evidently quite reconcilable, though their authors do not seem to have realized the fact. Each carries his own special point of view throughout his treatment of capital and interest. Professor Bohm-Bawerk regards interest as an agio, or premium, found by contrasting the positive income return between B and C with the investment or outgo between A and B, whereas Professor Clark regards interest as the ratio between a perpetual, uniform flow of income and fixes his attention the capital-value of the entire stock. Bawerk has mind what we have ous chapter the premium concept of in In short, Bohm- called in the previinterest, and Clark, the price concept of interest. §10 We have seen that earned income is often only an ideal standard, and not to be confused with actually realized in- come. Yet the confusion is common. Even Edwin Can- 248 NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME [Chap. XIV nan, who is usually a safe guide, makes an error at He states in his Elementary Political Economy this point. : ^ — "If a man has a cellar of port wine, or a plantation of trees, the annual increment of the value of these things is evidently part of his annual income. If he likes to spend it, he can do so without decreasing his property. If he does not choose to spend it, he is engaged in a form of saving and is thereby adding to his property." And again, in come ''What "The Capital?"^ he states, is divided into two parts, is (1) in- the increase of the and (2) the things enjoyed." That "saving" or increase of capital is no^ income cof> ordinately with ordinary income is evident from the fact that this item is never discounted in making up capitalvalue. As we have seen, one of the fundamental characteristics of income is that it is the desirable event which occurs by means of wealth, and for the sake of which, concapital, sequently, that wealth valued. is that every item of income its is This definition implies discounted in order to obtain contribution to capital-value. The mere increase or de- crease of capital-value, on the other hand, is never thus Suppose, for instance, with interest at 4 per discounted. man buys an annuity of $4 a year, which is deferred one year. Since this annuity will be worth $100 one year hence, its present value will be about $96, which, during the ensuing year, cent, that a does not begin at once but will of gradually increase to $100. (about) $4 is itself If this increase of value to be called income, treated like every other item of income, But counted. would be this is absurd. $3.85, which, if it should be and should be The discounted value dis- $4 added to the $96, would require of that the entire value of the property to-day should be $99.85, or practically the $4 less as is same actually the case. as a year later instead of In other words, the hy- pothesis which counts an increase of value as income self-destructive; for * p. 59. 2 if the increment is income, Economic Journal, Vol. VII, 1897, it is must p. 284. EARNINGS AND INCOME Sec. 11] be discounted, but, if discounted, that it sense, practically abolished. not income in the sense can be discounted in addition to other items of inIf it is income at all, it is income in a very peculiar Clearly, then, increase of capital come. it is 249 is and nothing but confusion can result from having two kinds of income so widely divergent that to consider whereas one is not. We / — is discounted to obtain capital- value, the other have seen that the increase pense of income. It is of capital is at the ex- occasioned by and is equal to the deficiency of reahzed compared with standard income. With this in mind, Edwin Cannan's definition of income could be stated as realized income plus the deficiency be- But tween realized and earned income. this is earned income, not realized, income. § To put 11 the matter in a practical light, let us imagine the case of three brothers, each of whom inherits the same Let us assume that interest is 5 per cent. The first brother invests his $10,000 in an annual annuity of $500 a year forever. The second puts his in trust to accumulate at 5 per cent for fourteen years, at which time, having doubled in value, it is to be invested in a perpetual annuity of $1000 a year. The third, being fortune, say, $10,000. of the spendthrift type, buys an annuity of $2000 a year for (nearly) six years. According to the theory here advocated, the first has a perpetual income of $500 a year; the second has no income for 14 years, and thereafter an income of $1000; the third has an income of $2000 a year for 6 years and thereafter none at all. This mode of viewing the matter also squares with ordinary business reckoning. On the other hand, according to the theory which re- gards increase of capital as income, although the income from the first would be the same as we have reckoned it, NATUKE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 250 [Chap. XIV that of the second and third would be quite different the of the second would be $500 the first year, for during : income that year his capital increases from S10,000 to $10,500; would be $525 the second year, during which his capi- it again from $10,500 to $11,025, and so on, he is receiving an income of $1000 a year. third brother, during the first year, uses $2000; but tal increases imtil in 15 years The as his interest capital. This is only $500 he is, is forced to take $1500 out of in our view, true realized income. cording to the theory which we But ac- are criticising, this deprecia- tion of $1500 would have to be deducted from the $2000 which the spendthrift actually enjoys, in order to compute his net income. The net income would thus be only $500, or the interest on his original capital. At the beginning of the second year, this spendthrift brother would possess a capital of $8500, the ''income" of which would, by the same theory, be 5 per cent on $8500, or only $425. Following similar reasoning to the end we find that the so-called "income" would progressively diminish until, in the sixth year, it would be only $90. The capital then having been entirely destroyed, no income would remain. It would appear from all this that the spendthrift had received from the original $10,000, during the six years of its hfe, a very small income, steadily diminishing from $500 to zero, the simi total being only $1695. Was it for such an ''income" that he invested $10,000 ? §12 If we suppose an income tax laid on the three brothers, we shall find that, according to the different interpretations which we give to the term "income," the results will be startlingly different. If the income be taken in its true sense, namely, as those items whose capital-value is the $10,000 with which the three brothers started, then an income tax of 10 per cent will yield from the first brother ^50 a year; from the second, nothing for 14 years, after EARNINGS AND INCOME Sec. 12] which a year it will yield for 6 years of the three taxes $100 a year and from the third, and nothing thereafter. The burden ; ^ on these three brothers conditions be exactly equal, by means of ''compound" 251 when under these Each brother could present values. their for his taxes (that will the three are compared is, could pay a fixed sum advance in lieu of the annual sums) at the same cost, namely, SIOOO for SIOOO is the sum in present cash which is equivalent respectively to $50 a year forever to $100 a year beginning 14 years hence; and to $200 a year for 6 in ; ; years. But turning now income as the value tal, to the spurious interpretation of of uses plus the accumulation of capi- or the value of uses less the depreciation of capital, we would be very unequally taxed. The first would, as before, pay $50 a year indefinitely. But the second who "saves" for 14 years, will be compelled find that the three brothers Second Brother Capital At beginning In 1 year In 2 years In 3 years In 4 years In 5 years In 6 years In 7 years In 8 years In 9 years In 10 years In 11 years In 12 years In 13 years In 14 years In 14^ years Thereafter * . . . . $10,000 10,500 11,025 11,576 12,155 12,763 . . . . . . . . . . . 13,401 14,071 14,775 15,513 16,289 17,103 17,959 18,856 19,799 20,000 20,000 Tax So-called " Income " Thekeon 525 551 579 608 638 670 704 738 776 816 856 897 943 1000 Or, to be exact, $200 a year for 5 years inasmuch as the capital will $50.00 52.50 55.10 57.90 60.80 63.80 67.00 70.40 73.80 77.60 81.60 85.60 89.70 94.30 True Tax Income Thereon nil nil nil nil nil nil nil nil nil nil nil nil nil nil nil nil nil nil nil nil nil nil nil nil nil nil nil nil nil nil 100.00 $1000 $100 and $180 in the last year, be exhausted in a little less than 6 years. NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 252 [Chap. XIV pay an annually increasing tax on this saving for the 14 years of postponement, and then a tax on the income from these same savings in which his annuity is to consist. His first year's savings will be $500 and will be taxed $50. During the second year his capital grows from $10,500 to $11,025, making an increase of $525, the tax on which is $52.50, and so on, as shown in the precedmg table. The third brother, under such a tax, will fare as shown below to : — Third Brother Capital At beginning In 1 year In 2 years In 3 years In 4 years In 5 years In 6 years Thereafter $10,000 8,500 6,930 5,270 3,530 1,710 So-called . nil $500 425 340 260 180 90 . nil nil . . . . Tax "Income" Theeeoit $50.00 42.50 34.00 26.00 18.00 9.00 nil True Tax Income Theeeon $2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 1,800 nil 200 200 200 200 180 nU When we compare the burden of the various taxes imposed on so-called "income," we shall find that the first brother could "compound" for his taxes, as before, by a The second brother, however, cash payment of $1000. would need to pay $1714. For he would have to pay $1000 as the present value of the tax of $100 a year beginning in 14 years, and in addition, $714 as the present value of the series of taxes on his savings, namely, $50, $52.50, etc. And the third brother, though the least provident of all, could compound for only $157.73, this being the present value of the six small tax payments which he would have make, namely, $50, $42.50, $34, $26, $18, and to $9.^ In the foregoing calculation it was assumed that the tax did not itself affect the value of the "income" on which the tax is laid. But this would be untrue of "income" which includes the increment of capital. For the discussion of this point, see Appendix to Chap. ^ XIV, § 2. EARNINGS AND INCOME Sec. 13] 253 Instead, therefore, of having a burden of taxes on the three which have an equal present value of $1000, and $157.73. Such a system of taxation is clearly unjust and discourbrothers, we all of find the unequal burdens of $1000, $1714, ages the saver, while it spendthrift virtually has encourages the spendthrift. some The of his taxes remitted to him, whereas the saver is made the victim of that too frequent double taxaconcomitant of fallacious economic theory, tion for he is first taxed 15 years on his accumulation of capital ($10,000 in all), and thereafter is taxed again on the income which he derives from that same accumulation. And yet this procedure is very common in practice. It amounts to taxing, not the income actually flowing from — ; capital, ital. but its "earnings" or the interest upon the capin the "general property tax" in It is famihar the United States. Under it such wealth as temporarily unproductive land is taxed, though it bears no income except the purely constructive income of its annual rise in value. To some extent also the British income tax is an instance of the same fallacy. § 13 In the example which has been given we have supposed each brother to be possessed of a fixed and definite annuity. We have considered the effect of an income tax on these properties, according to the incorrect interpretation of It often if not usually happens, however, that "income." the owner of a property may use it in any one of many ways, and thus derive from it any one of many income streams. We have seen in the previous chapter that the choice between the different methods of using the property will depend on the question. Which source of income possesses the greatest present value? An income tax laid according to the correct idea of income would not disturb the comparative merits of these different income streams; but if income be interpreted to include savings, the tax would NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 254 disturb them greatly. The example illustrated in the effect of [Chap. such a tax as was of the three brothers would be discourage the uses of capital which involve waiting. fact, XIV this discouraging effect is well recognized to In and ap- plauded by the single-tax advocates, although they overAccording to them, it is look the inequities involved. right to discourage waiting, and no speculation in real estate such as was described in a previous chapter should be permitted. They would tax all increase of value of land in the manner just described. such a system Perhaps the most harmful case of of taxation is that of forest land. Forestry advocates have long been aware of the baleful effect of the taxation of growing forests, producing, as it does, wasteful and premature cutting, and have attempted to secure a But the persistent reduction or remission of such taxes. belief that the annual increment of value of such forests is income and should be taxed has hitherto prevailed in America, with the natural consequence that the owners of these forests have cut them when they should have allowed them to grow. In Europe, a longer experience in forestry has led, in some cases, to a more rational system. " Baden exempts newly established forests from tax for twenty years (law of 1886). In Austria they are exempt for twenty-five years (law of 1869). In France three-fourths ^ Even a on forest land which will yield no years, becomes a very serious drain in the of the land tax small tax, when timber for fifty is remitted for thirty years." laid long run.^ §14 The which has been exposed is not only a conand earned income; it is also a confusion between income and capital. To regard "savfallacy fusion between realized 1 " How shall Forests be Taxed? " by Alfred Gaskill, Forestry and Irrigation, April, 1906, p. 173. ^ Some limitations on come tax are mentioned the applications of a theoretically correct inin the Appendix to Chap. XIV, § 3. EARNINGS AND INCOME Sec. 14] income, ings" as is 255 essentially to regard an increase of But from what has been said it is clear that he who increases his income must decrease his capital Capital and income are thus mutuallyto an equal extent. exclusive. One cannot receive the whole standard income, and at the same time secure also an increase of his capital. -'i^^ The truth of this has been instinctively expressed in the adage, "You cannot eat your cake and have it too." capital as income. / O We have and learned, then, to distinguish between standard realized income. Tiie one is The one that income which, is ideal, the other actual. if it were received, would leave the level of capital- value unchanged ; the other is that income which is actually received and detached from capital, no matter whether that capital, as a result, is increased or decreased. In short, the one is earned, the other realized. The two may, of course, coincide, in which case capitalvalue remains constant. When they do not coincide, the discrepancy measures the increase or decrease of capitalThis discrepancy may be partially or wholly done value. away with by means of a depreciation fund or other devices whereby realized income, otherwise irregular, is made But, merely to reckon depreciation is not to proregular. vide for it. It merely stigmatizes part of realized income as "coming out of capital," but it does not make good the loss of capital nor prevent its becoming a part of realized income. No more does the mere calling of "savings" by the name of income make it reaHzed as income J\_ These two procedin-es are both attempts to standardize income in thought when it is not standardized in fact. We have seen that they represent a confusion both between capital and income and between income which is merely earned and income which is actually realized, and * that they lead to inequitable taxation to the saver and remission — double taxation of taxes to the spendthrift. CHAPTER XV CAPITAL AND INCOME ACCOUNTS § The ing. last two chapters have 1 their counterpart in accomit- Correctly kept accounts will increase of income is show that an abnormal always at the expense of capital. the case of a corporation, the distribution holders of such excessive income is among In the stock- called ''paying divi- dends out of capital." It is not necessarily or always wrong. A Land Company of California has already been A case at the opposite excited as a legitimate case. in which the dividends are made one treme would be unusually small in order that the capital may be inThere is in New York City a company which creased. has never declared any dividends, but has been rolling up a large surplus for years, and whose stock much above is for this reason par. We have already seen in Chapter VIII, that every item an income account represents the income or outgo from some item in the capital account. That is, the income account consists merely in a statement of the income and outgo connected with each item of asset or liability, including that class of assets and liabilities which are alike claims and obligations, such as leases and employees' contracts. If the income for each item remains steady or standard, the relation between the capital and income accounts is very in In such a case (supposing the rate of interest to be 5 per cent), each item in the capital account will constantly stand at twenty times the amount of the corre- simple. 256 CAPITAL AND INCOME ACCOUNTS Sec. 2] 257 spending item in the income account. Let us suppose a factory company operating a plant worth $300,000, which bonded is for The remainder, $200,000, will company If these and not simply a fictitious book $100,000. represent the capital and surplus of the valuations represent a true value, and if the rate of interest be taken at 5 per cent, the worth $300,000 signifies simply that $15,000 a year, of which $5000 goes in interest to the bondholders and $10,000 in dividends The capital and income accounts of to the stockholders. fact that the plant is its earning power is such a firm, doing a steady and uninterrupted business, would repeat themselves in monotonous regularity year after year. If now we suppose that the repairs and replacement of the plant do not occur in equal amounts each year, but that it is necessary, at long intervals, to extraordinary repairs ; make diate years "depreciations" of the plant, torations in Thus, its value large, special, or there will occur during the interme- when and sudden res- these special repairs are made. suppose that during the year 1900, the factory by $10,000. The capital account at the begin- depreciates ning and end of this year, and the income account during the year, will be given in the following table : Capital Account at Beginning op Assets Factory Year — 1900 Liabilities $300,000 Bonds Capital and surplus $100,000 200,000 . $300,000 $300,000 Capital Account at End op Year 1900 Assets Factory Liabilities $290,000 Bonds Capital and surplus $290,000 . $100,000 190,000 $290,000 — NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 258 [Chap. XV Income Account during Year 1900 Income Capital Source Product Factory . $40,000 Bonds Capital Net Outgo Running expenses . . Interest . . $15,000 5,000 + $25,000 5,000 - and Dividends Surplus . $40,000 From this table we 20,000 - 20,000 000 $40,000 see that the factory 5delds $25,000; worth only $300,000 (on a 5 per cent basis), by the principles of Chapter XIV, it cannot yield more than $15,000 without depreciating to the extent of the difas it is ference ($10,000); but, instead of setting aside something for depreciation, pany has i.e. declared to pay larger for future repairs, the dividends. Hence, comcorre- sponding to the depreciation of $10,000 in the value of the plant there is an excess of $10,000 above the "standard" income received by the stockholders. Instead of $10,000, which is the normal interest on their capital and surplus of The extra $10,000 above $200,000, they receive $20,000. the standard thus corresponds precisely to the depreciation which accordingly sinks in the course from $200,000 to $190,000. of their property, of the year During the next year we yields again $25,000. Since of the year, $290,000, it shall its suppose that the factory value was, at the beginning cannot, on a 5 per cent basis, yield more than $14,500 without depreciating to the extent of the difference (in this case $25,000-$ 14,500, or $10,500). Its value at the end of the year exclusive of improvements consequently $290,000 -$10,500, or $279,500. We shall suppose that the entire depreciation for the two years, is $20,500, is amount. made good by extraordinary repairs to that Since the factory yields only $25,000 and only $20,000 after the bondholders are paid, it will be necessary, meet the $20,500 of repairs to assess the stockholders $500. The accounts will then stand as follows in order to : CAPITAL AND INCOME ACCOUNTS Sec. 3] Year Capital Account at Beginning of 259 1901 Liabilities Assets Factory Bonds S290,000 Capital and surplus $100,000 190,000 . $290,000 $290,000 Capital Account at End of Year 1901 Liabilities Assets Bonds $300,000 Factory Capital and surplus $100,000 200,000 . $300,000 $300,000 Income Account during Year 1901 Factory Product . Running $40,000 ex- penses Special repairs Interest . Bonds . Capital and surplus Assessment Dividends 500 . § the repair bill . . . $15,000 20,500 5,000 000 . $45,500 $45,500 Had Net Outgo Income Capital Source + $4500 -5000 + 500 000 3 been distributed over the two years, the dividends to the stockholders, instead of being S20,000 the first year and less than nothing the second, would have In order to make their income thus been $10,000 in each. and "standard" instead of irregular, it is only necesThis accumulates for sary to employ a special repair fund. investment, and is then conseparate years as a a few which meanwhile will verted back into the plant itself, have continued its depreciation. We shall assume that this plan is adopted, beginning with the year 1902, for which the capital and income accounts will be as follows stable — : Capital Account at Beginning op Assets Factory Year 1902 Liabilities $300,000 Bonds Capital $300,000 and surplus . $100,000 200,000 $300,000 260 NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME Capital Account at End of Year 1902 Assets Factory Ldabilities $290,000 [Chap. XV CAPITAL AND INCOME ACCOUNTS Sec. 3] Capital Account at End of Year Assets Factory Repair fund 261 1903 Liabilities $279,500 20,500 .... Bonds Capital and surplus $300,000 . $100,000 200,000 $300,000 Income Account during Year 1903 Income Capital Source Factory Product Repair fund Interest . $40,000 expenses received New 500 Net Outgo Running $15,000 invest- ment . 10,000 + $25,000 NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 262 Capital Account at Beginning op A sse is Factory Repair fund . . Year [Chap. XV 1904 Liabilities . $279,500 20,500 Bonds Capital and surplus Assets Factory (exclusive of impro vemen ^s"! $100,000 200,000 $300,000 $300,000 Capital Account at . End of Year 1904 Liabilities CAPITAL AND INCOME ACCOUNTS Sec. 5] 263 year does not yield the S25,000 which has regularly appeared as the net income in the previous accounts, for during we have to charge to the factory the special repairs The factory itself, therefore, produces a net deficit of $6500, offset by the large proceeds received from the sale of the repair fund of $31,500, which, less the new tliis year of $31,500. investment of $10,000 during the year, shows a net return We see, therefore, that the existfor the year of $21,500. ence of the repair fund to cover depreciation virtually maintains the capital accounts at a constant level, merely changing from year to year the form of the items, but not affecting either the interest of the bondholders or the In other words, the repair dividends of the stockholders. fund acts as a means of standardizing the stockholders' income. In ordinary business accounting, such standardizing is regarded as sound poHcy. §5 Certain exceptions occur, as in the case of mining companies or land companies which necessarily must terminate their operations in the more or less remote future. But even in such instances, the instinct of the accountant toward standard accounting is so strong, that he usually treats the excess or deficiency of real income with relation to standard income in a special manner. Thus, when a company winds up business, the final disis not treated as an ordinary dividend; the most of these proceeds are regarded as tribution of the proceeds capital returned to the stockholders. The "company" therefore goes through the form of paying for the shares of its stockholders and enters what it thus pays over to the stockholders as a cost of purchase instead of as a dividend. The reverse operations may occur if at any time the stockholders forego their dividends. company usually enlarges It is in its capital. such a way that a It nominally dis- tributes the regular dividends, but allows the stockholders NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 264 who choose to do so to new stock certificates. reinvest them and [Chap. XV receive in return §6 From the foregoing accounts it is clear that the theory and income which has been explained appUes practically to the accounting ordinarily employed in busiSuch accounting is, in fact, nothing but a method of ness. recording the items of income and their capitalization at A merchant's balance sheet is a different points of time. statement of the prospects of his business. Each item in it represents the discounted value of items which he may expect later to enter in his income account. Rightly inof capital terpreted, the capital account merely represents as a whole- the capitalization of expected items in the income account ; the fluctuations of the capital account correspond with the deviations from the standard income in the items of the income account; and where there are no such fluctuations, every item of the income account is equal to the standard income from the corresponding items of the capital account. There are, of course, numerous practical modifications of this general statement to be made when actual was shown in Chapter VIII that such modifications are due to a variety of circumstances, accounts are treated. It such, for instance, as the influence of that important ele- ment, risk; the desire of accountants to maintain their capital accounts unchanged from year to year; and the omission from their capital accounts of such two-sided items as leases, employee-contracts, and the like. But none of the exigencies of practice militate in the least against our theory of capital and income accounts. In all cases the income account simply records the values of the services and disservices of articles of property through period ; and the any given capital account records the present values of those articles, as resulting at any given instant from the expected values of their services and disservices. CHAPTER XVI THE RISK ELEMENT Throughout sumed the the three previous chapters, we have existence of artificially simple conditions. as- We have assumed that the entire future history of the capital in question is definitely known in advance in other words, The factory which was taken we have ignored chance. for illustration was supposed to yield definite future income which could be counted upon as a bondholder counts upon his interest. In actual practice, however, every factory or other enterprise offers chances both of gain and loss. How these chances affect capital-value will be discussed ; in the present chapter. We have pated seen that capital-value increases as an antici- installment of income approaches in time, and is reached and passed. These diminishes as that installment changes in capital-value take place when the future in- The introduction of the and even more important changes in capital-value. If we take the history of the prices of stocks and bonds, we shall find it chiefly to come is regarded as certain. element of chance will bring other due than of a record of the foreknown approach and detachment of income. Few, if any, future events are entirely free from uncertainty. In fact, property, by its very definition, is simply the right to A mine owner takes his the chance of future' services. chances as to what the mine will yield; the owner of an consist of a record of changing estimates of futurity, to what is called chance, rather orange plantation in Florida takes risks of winter frosts; 265 NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 266 [Chap. XVI the owner of a farm takes risks as to the effect of sun and rain and other meteorological conditions, as well as In risks of the ravages of fire, insects, and other pests. risk its as to effecbuying an overcoat a man takes some tiveness in excluding cold, and as to the length of time it Even what are called will continue to be serviceable. In "gilt-edged" securities are not entirely free from risk. a sense, therefore, every owner of property is a risk-taker. Some persons will estimate more highly than others the risks taken. From this fact it might seem that there is a distinction between the actual risk incurred and the But a little estimate which individuals put upon it. this distinction is spurious; consideration will show that for, by the nature of the case, chance is always an estimate. Although one man's estimate may Chance is subjective. be better than another's through superior knowledge, intuition, or experience, the best estimate is still only an estimate, In the actual world of events there is no human opinion, there is no such not a certainty. Aside from uncertainty. thing as chance. To an omniscient being, all things are certain. must be admitted that this view of chance is not familiar to the ordinary man, nor is it universally accepted by the professed students of chance. Thus, writers like Dr. Venn, adhering to an objective theory, regard the chance of an event as the number of times it would occur in the long run, out of the total series of possible occurrences. But no matter how long the "run," the number of times the It event actually occurs seldom corresponds exactly with the chance of its occurring. Even in so simple a case as cointossing, 1000 trials will not often give exactly 500 heads and 500 tails. the chances of and only .400 Yet even the " long-run heads and tails as even. is If 600 heads fall To this objec4. by the long-run theorists is not long enough, that heads and tails are tails, the odds are not 6 to tion the only answer offered that the run " theorists regard THE RISK ELEMENT Sec. 1] 267 equally probable because the longer the trial the more will the argue in a circle. longer the run the event approach its is It is more continued But they two tend toward equality. not necessarily true that the closely will the frequency of the probability. For example, it is possible that though heads and tails have an equal chance, a run of heads may keep up for any given number of times, however long, a million, for instance; or that at first heads and tails may occur with equal frequency and as the experiment proceeds they may diverge more and more from such equality. No student of chance, whatever his theory of the philosophy of chance, would claim that these cases are impossible. The most that can be said is that they are extremely improbable. The statement, therefore, that the longer the run the more closely will the frequency of the event approach its probability turns out to be ''the longer the run the more probably will the frequency correspond to the probability." This is true as a proposition and it is known as "BernoulU's Theorem"; but it cannot be made the basis of a sound definition of probability, for in fact probability would be defined in terms of that the probability of heads coming up itself. is It states the frequency which heads will probably approximate in the long run How else than in terms of probability can we formulate the conditions under which in the long run the coin "will" fall according to its probability? It is precisely at this point that the radical difficulty with the "long- run " theory is seen. It is said that in an athletic contest, the chance of winning is one half when two wrestlers are so nearly mated that in the long run "under precisely the same conditions," each will win in half the contests. If the conditions are, Hterally speaking, precisely the same, then the same result will necessarily follow and the same man will always win. It is only as the conditions vary slightly from time to time in their unknown elements that there is a change of winner and the instant the unknown; NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 268 [Chap. XVI introduced into the problem, the observer unconsciously shifts his ground from the " long run " to the true theory of chance. ness of these elements is Chance is, then, an affair of human knowledge or ignotheory, chance the ignorance According to this not objective, but subjective. Outside of the mind, — rance. is — chance has no place. If a man holds a coin in his hand and, without letting it be seen, asks his neighbor what the "real" chance is that heads are up, will not the latter reply one half ? But as a matter of fact the position of the coin Either heads are up, or tails is absolutely determinate. Without changing the are up; there is no ambiguity. He heads are he repeats the question, "What is the chance that heads are up?" Will not the latter still reply, "One half"? To Mm, in his ignorance about the coin, the chances are coin, the holder up. opens his hand. Without disclosing exactly even; but to the man who whose eye has seen is it, sees that this fact to his neighbor there holds the coin and no uncertainty. He knows For him the element of chance has that heads are up. vanished because the element of ignorance has vanished. Chance exists only so far as ignorance exists varies with different persons according to their comparative ignorance ; of the matter under consideration and ; is in fact a measure of ignorance. Of course the actual statistical record may afford an important and sometimes the only basis for our degree of knowledge and ignorance. Practically it therefore often happens that we derive our estimate of chances from the behavior of events "in the long run." It is thus that the chances of fire, shipwreck, and death are estimated by the insurance companies. But while statistics supply data do and even when they enter into the problem the insurance examiner does not He always examines the special follow them blindly. for the forming of subjective estimates of chances, they not, themselves, constitute chances; THE RISK ELEMENT Sec. 2] 269 circumstances of each case; and his final estimate of the chance that a particular building will burn, a particular ship founder, or a particular person die, is based on all the data available, among which the data supplied by statistics are an important but by no means the sole element. this idea of chance to an economic example, To apply What consider a gold mine. is the chance that it conceals The ordinary man makes an estimate, based on his experience or inexperience. The geologist has additional knowledge and would make a different estia rich lead of ore ? In actual mate. fact, however, gold is either actually is totally absent. there in certain definite quantities, or It is a coin held in nature's closed hand. §2 But, in showing that chance is purely a psychological and not an objective magnitude, we are from deIn order to measure chance, it is necessary to state (1) when two chances are equal or unequal; and (2) when one chance bears any given ratio to the other. The chance of one event is said to be equal to the chance fining chance as a mathematical of another in the mind still far magnitude. of a particular individual, when that individual has no inclination to beheve that one will occur rather than the other. the other when One of the chances is said to exceed the individual is "inclined to believe" that one event will occur rather than the other. The test two chances is mere indecision of opinion opinion exactly and evenly balanced. Next comes the question of the ratio of two chances. of the equality of — When it is said that the odds in favor of one event as compared with another are two to one, the meaning is that out of three equally probable combinations of conditions, two imply the Thus, known if first there are three that only one will event and only one the second. cards in a hat, of which draw a prize, the it is chance against NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 270 [Chap. XVI who draws a card from the hat receiving the prize two to one; for of the three equally probable drawings, two are blanks. In general terms the odds in favor of one event as coma person is pared with another are said to be m+n the equally probable cases in m two events may happen, and among there are m cases such that the n when to there are which one or the other first these m+ n of cases event would happen, and n cases such that the second event would happen. The chance of the first event is then —^ and the chance of the second is ~. The m and the n cases are, it should be noted, assumed to be mutually exclusive.^ Probability is thus not merely an affair of pure mathematics, as is of concrete so often imagined. human estimate. It What is, first of all, a matter are called the mathe- matics of probability apply only to arrays of equally probable combinations, and consist in calculating the number of these which are favorable or unfavorable to a given event. of probability never estabhsh a probbut always rest on some human estimate Like every other of chances which are equal to start with. branch of applied mathematics, it must depend on having The mathematics abihty of itself, raw material supplied from without. By mathematics we seem to discover that the chance of throwing double But this calculasixes with two dice is one in thirty-six. tion rests on the hypothesis that, in some person's estimation, each die is equally liable to fall on any one of its its six faces. show that Starting with this assumption, in throwing two dice there are it is easy to thirty-six equally ^ It often happens that we cannot divide the field of probability In such a case the mind is into separate cases all equally probable. For instance, the probability of an forced to make an estimate. event may be said to be one third against the field if the estimator's state of opinion toward the field is exactly similar to his state of mind toward another combinations If the state of mind is similar but less definite, then the chance " about " one third but not definite. tion. is which the division into three separate and one of them favors the event in ques- field in is possible THE RISK ELEMENT Sec. 3] 271 probable cases and that only one of these will give double sixes. Mathematics could not obtain the result unaided by experience. All that mathematics accomphshed with the dice was to derive a result from the assumed conWhether these ditions of two sets of six equal chances. assumed conditions existed was a question, not of mathematics, but of concrete opinion. If the dice were known to be "loaded," the case would be materially altered. §3 C'Lln order to apply of capital, this theory of we observe chance to the valuation that both the future rate of interest and the future items of income are uncertain. In the problem of capital-valuation, however, the uncertainty in the rate of interest does not always enter, for only present and not future rates are employed at the time at which the valuation of the capital is made. When we call a rate a " present " rate we mean, of course, that the contract or estimate to which it relates is a present contract or estimate.^; The very fact of valuation implies a known rate or rates at which the valuer is contrasting present and future goods. There may be several " present " rates. if the " present " be the year 1906, we may imagine a whole series of rates of interest holding true in 1906 for such a man for instance, 4 per cent for a 1-year contract, Thus ; 6 per cent for a 5-year contract, and 5 per cent for a 15- moment. All and known and hold true in the year 1906, but they do not determine the rates which year contract, all originating at the present of these rates are fixed will hold true for the contracts or estimates of 1907 or 1914. In valuing capital, therefore, it is not necessary to regard the rate of interest as uncertain except question is when the rate in a future rate. Let us suppose that in Figure 10 the income AB is due at the end of the time FA, and that the rate of interest NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 272 is [Chap. XVI such as to produce the discount curve BE. ent value of may AB is FE. not follow the line of interest unchanged. G, the valuation of Then the presBut the future valuations of AB EB as they would were the rate Thus, at a midway AB may be only GD, point of time, found by means of a higher rate of interest involving the steeper discount curve The history of the value of the property, namely, the right to AB, therefore follows the broken line ECDB^ abruptly changing from GC to GD, if we suppose G to be DB. --^^^=^^^^ G F Fig. 10. the point at which the rate of interest changes unexpectedly from one level to the other. foreseen at the start that Had the owner of the property the point G was reached when the rate of interest would be higher, he would have taken account in valuing the property at the moment F, and the value would have been FE% found by using the this fact into discount curve BDE'. This curve has a slight angle at D, being composed of the curve BD, constructed according to the high rate of interest prevailing at the time G, and the curve DE,' constructed according to the lower rate of interest which applies to the period FG and which was employed in the curve EC. The essential fact, therefore, is that because of the failure to foresee the future rise in the THE RISK ELEMENT Sec. 4] rate of interest, the value of the property 273 is FE, instead of FE', and that the value of the capital will fall, as at CD, or it may be rise, in accordance with successive future adjustments in the rate of interest. Since these readjust- ments are usually small and gradual, fluctuations in the capital-value will not ordinarily be as great or as abrupt as here represented, but the principle involved will hold true. We see, therefore, a new cause for still the fluctuations in capital-value, namely, unforeseen changes in the rate of interest. §4 ^ There is, however, a more fundamental way in which a change in the rate of interest enters into our calculations, for it will affect the magnitude of the future income items themselves. In the above example it was assumed that the income items were not dependent on the rate of interest. But it often happens that the income items are not elements of what in Chapter VIII we called "final income," but are "interactions"; or, in more practical language, it often happens that the income is to be reinvested. In this case such an item cancels itself out and leaves in its place a series of income items in the future, and the magnitude of the income items in this later series will depend on the rate of interest at which the preliminary "interaction" was reinvested. If the intention in advance is to reinvest, it becomes important not simply to know the present rate This enters of interest, but to forecast the future rate. into the calculations of an investor who holds a 25-year bond ment at 5 per cent. He will usually regard the final pay- when it becomes due be reinvested in a similar 25-year bond. He, therefore, is not really buying a 25-year income stream of 15 a year plus $100 at the end of the term, but is buying, let it as "principal," intending that shall us say, a SO-year income stream consisting of $5 per year for the first 25 years and an unknown amount per year dur- NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 274 [Chap. XVI In order to forecast what income be received in the second period, he has to forecast the rate of interest. In other words, although the bond represents nominally a fixed and certain series of income items, yet, in view of the intention to reinvest, it actually repre- ing the second 25 years. will which is quite uncertain after 25 years, . because of the uncertainty in the future rate of interestyC. Such an investor, if he expected the rate of interest at the sents an income end of 25 years to be 2 per cent, would, in purchasing the above-mentioned bond, be getting %5 a year for 25 years and $2 a year for the next 25 years. Under these conofitions, if he could buy a 50-year bond at 4 per cent, he would prefer to do so. But, if he expected the rate of interest to remain, for each 25-year period, at 5 per cent, he would prefer, rather than invest now in a 50-year bond at 4 per cent, to invest in the 25-year bond at 5 per cent, intending to reinvest at 5 per cent at the expiration of the term. forecast of what the His rate of interest will be in 25 years will thus materially affect the choice of his investments to-day. Those who expect the rate of interest to fall will prefer to invest in long-time securities at the present market rates, even when those rates are time, while those who less than on securities of shorter expect the rate of interest to rise will prefer short-time securities. In the case of insurance com- panies which are constantly reinvesting, a change in the rate of interest becomes a very serious matter. the actuaries of a large company has One of recently pointed out that such changes in the rate of interest are not uncommonly encountered and are more important for the prosperity of the company than tality tables. the most unusual changes in the mor- Insurance companies can only roughly take account of the chances, reckoning that the greater the Hkelihood of a rise, the better the policy of making temporary investments at high rates; and the greater the Hkelihood of a fall, the better the policy of permanent investments, even at moderately low making rates. THE RISK ELEMENT Sec. 5] 275 §5 The main to capital valuation application of risk however, not to the rate of interest, but to the items themselves. To is, income we now address this application Let us begin by considering the case in which is wholly absent. The simplest case is that of ordinary gambling. If one invests in a lottery ticket where there is one chance in ten of drawing a fyize of $50, it is evident that the price of the ticket must be considerably less than $50, which is the income it may yield. Mathematicians have called the product ourselves. the element of discounting by of the prize multiplied probability, the its ''math- In the present instance this "mathematical value" will be $50 x -^^^ or $5. If a professional gambler should always pay the mathematical value of the chances, he would, in the long run, probably come out about even, as is well known from "Bernoulh's Theorem." Thus, if he continued to try for such $50 prizes, paying each time $5, he would probably win about one time in ten. In a thousand trials, therefore, he might expect to win 100 times, spending $5 each for his 1000 tickets, or $5000, and receiving $50 each for ematical value" of the chance. his 100 prizes, or $5000. But the actual price which one will pay the mathematical value of the chance. it is The gambler usually lower. is is It not necessarily may be higher usually a person ; who pay more than the mathematical value of the chance. At Monte Carlo, the "bank" makes its profit in this way, will although its know victims full well that they are paying more than the mathematical value consequence, of course, nately, persons who is He pay even the is The Fortu- gamble are in most comThe ordinary man is unwilhng deliberately munities in the minority. to of their chances. ruin to most of them. full mathematical value of the chance. reluctant to assume any risks, and is, on the NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 276 contrary, willing to Where of them. make [Chap. XVI sacrifices in order to rid himself the gambler would be willing to pay more than $5 for his lottery tickets, the cautious investor would only be induced to buy such tickets for considerably less than S5. To him, the chance of gain is outweighed by the prospect of loss. Rather than risk little in order to obtain large gains, he prefers to sacrifice much in order to avoid It is this sentiment which gives rise to large losses. the phenomenon of insurance. §6 There are three values which apply to an uncertain (1) the value which that return would have if the uncertainty could be eliminated, or its riskless value; (2) the value which would be attached to it if the investor were willing to pay the product of the income by the chance return : of obtaining which he Thus is the in holder it, or the mathematical value case of the chance of the to (3) the value the lottery ticket, entitling SlOO, $100; the mathematical value cial ; actually willing to pay, or the commercial value. is value the riskless $5; and the commer- is more than S5 for the reckless, less for the ordinary caution, and just $5 for those of an value, man of intermediate temperament. The ratio of the mathematical to the riskless value may be called the " coefficient of probability." In the supposed case of the lottery ticket this coefficient is -^^q. The — ratio a ratio of the commercial to the mathematical value of the inwhich will vary according to the temperament may be called the "coefficient of caution." dividual In the case of a man who values his chance at $4, this coeffiGiven these ratios, we can for a given cient would be f individual derive the commercial value from the riskless — . value by multiplying the riskless value by the coefficient of probability and the result by the coefficient of caution, X I = $4. The product of these two ratios thus $ 100 X if : -g- THE RISK ELEMENT Sec. 7] the is ratio of the commercial to 277 the riskless value (loo"^ To^o) ^^'^ ™^y t>^ called the coefficient of risk} The coefficient of caution expresses a feature of individ- i= by nature and partly by environment. In times like the colonial period when lotteries were common, or in places like Monte Carlo, where ual character as determined partly gamblers congregate, the coefficient of caution is such as to represent an abnormal lack of caution. The opposite extreme is found in the timid investor who hoards money rather than risk its investment in any form. The coefficient of caution also varies with the same individual under different circumstances. Chief among these varying cir- cumstances, as Professor Norton has pointed out, amount of capital of which the individual The more capital a man possesses, the less of serious loss in reason a rich The any enterprise involving man finds it is is the possessed. is his chance and for this grow still richer. millions where the poor risk ; possible to rich can well afford to lose There is less likeliUnited States Steel Corporation from its projected investment of $75,000,000 to found a new steelproducing city than there would be to a workingman who makes a " safe " investment of $1000. could barely afford to lose hundreds. hood of ruin to the §7 We are now in a position to apply these principles of probability to the valuation of capital, tion of uncertain income. i.e. to the capitaliza- The most important classifica- tion of investments from a practical point of view two categories of safe and unsafe investments. is into But even in so-called safe investments the element of risk enters. As between bonds and stocks, the latter usually represent the precarious and the former the safe investments; yet in the case of bonds, the receipt of interest and principal is always in some degree a matter of uncertainty. ^ For a mathematical statement, see Appendix to Chap. XVI, § 1. NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 278 [Chap. XVI Take, for example, a "5 per cent" bond running for 10 years. Let us assume that the market rate of mterest 4 per cent, in the sense that $100 at any time will exchange is $104 certain one year for the bond ought to is, sell for an investor buying in 10 years this "make" 4 Under these later. bond at a premium That of $8 will per cent provided he receives The $108 the sums stipulated. conditions, $108 (see Chapter XIII). is all the ''riskless value" of the bond. But, while $108 would be the price of the bond were the investor absolutely sure of the income items to which entitles instance, pa3Tiient him, he that is may that -^q, in there is of any which event it is probability the only feel a risk, given it — for interest evident that he We can easily calculate, on the assumed probability, that what has been called the "mathematical value" of the bond would be This figure is found by multiplying each income $97. item by its coefficient of probability and discountingthe result at the market rate of interest, 4 per cent. We assume here that the risk attached to each individual interest and principal payment is independent of that attached to all the others. The probability of receiving each payment is -^q, and the risk of its not being received is in each case -^q. It is evident that the first payment of $5, due in one year, has at that time a mathematical value of 5 X -^Q, and the present value, when discounted at 4 per cent,, would be ^^. If the same expressions be obtained for all the other items of income, and the sum total of the present will not pay $108. basis of the valuations be found, it is evident that in the result the factor appear for every individual sum, and that the total will simply be -^-^ as much as though the element of risk were In other words, the "mathematical value" of absent. the bond will be -^^ of its riskless value of $108, or about j-^o will )7. But the actual "commercial value" of the bond will THE RISK ELEMENT Sec. 8] 279 ordinarily be less than this "mathematical value" of $97. We may suppose it to be $92.50, indicating a coefficient of caution of ^"Here, as in the case of the lottery ticket, we have regarded the actual value of the bond as obtained from its riskless value by applying first the probability factor, and second the caution factor, ^. If the probabilities of receiving the individual interest pajnnents were not regarded as independent, the calcula- would tions of the mathematical value from the preceding. Thus, if we differ somewhat suppose that default in one interest payment carried with it, by the terms of the contract, the default in all subsequent interest payments, we should have to apply the theory of probability somewhat differently^ but the principle would be the same. §8 There is another way, and one which conforms more to ordinary usage, in which the commercial value of the bond may be derived from While the price of the riskless value. vary inversely with the risk, the rate of interest varies directly with the risk so that as the value the bond will ; bond descends, the corresponding rate of interest Thus we have riskless, mathematical, and will ascend. 4 per cent, 5.4 per cent, and commercial rates of interest of the cent — corresponding — respectively with the 6 per mathematical, and commercial values of the bond riskless, — $108, $97, $92.50. The question sometimes risk thus raises the basis the 6 per cent tion is is arises, where the element of on which the bond is sold, whether a true "rate of interest." purely one of definition. Were it The queswould possible, it be simpler to confine the application of the phrase " rate of interest" to an exchange between present and future riskless income. But in this case, it is always exceedingly diffi^ For the consideration of this case, see Appendix to Chap. XVI, § 2. NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 280 cult to state what the riskless rate of interest [Chap. since is, shght risk attaches to almost every investment. ingly it is all when some Accord- usual to regard the commercial rate as a true The best "rate of interest." nize XVI three as rates of necessary, as course, therefore, interest, is to recog- distinguishing them, "mathematical," "riskless," and "commercial." §9 When we we intend speak of the riskless value or the riskless rate, by the employment of the word "riskless,'' from consideration the chance element entirely risk of receiving less, but also the chance of For cases are receiving more than the specified income. not wanting in which the mathematical and commercial to exclude — not only the values of a security are, by reason of the chance that it prove extra-profitable, more than its riskless value. Take, for mstance, a $100 share of preferred stock, on which a minimum income of 5 per cent, or $5, is assured. will If the true rate of interest stock should be $125. be 4 per cent, the value of such This is the "riskless" value. The mathematical value, however, wUl be greater, say $150, inasmuch as there is a probabiUty that the holder will receive more than $5 a year, and practically no probAnd the commercial value ability that he will receive less. wUl be still different, falling, by reason of the caution of the investor, somewhat below the mathematical, say to Another instance bonds. is that of United States government The national banks which invest in these receive, besides the interest, a special privilege in the form of per- mission to issue bank notes. This additional benefit may be regarded as a species of additional income, and materially For this reason, of the bonds. United States government bonds are not used for investment purposes, except among those in whom the eleenhances the value THE RISK ELEMENT Sec. 10] ment of caution is 281 unduly strong, but are held for the most part by national banks. It is therefore misleading to cite, as some have done, the rates of interest realized on government bonds as an indication of the true rate of interest. A similar benefit attaches to the bonds of the These are sold on a very low Credit Foncier in France. " basis " because of the chance, winning connected with them, of prizes. § 10 In the general case we have to do not simply with the risk of falling below a specified income, nor with the chance of rising above a specified income, but with both. Thus, the dividends from common stock have no fixed minimum as do those from good preferred stock, nor any fixed maximum as do the interest payments from bonds. They may vary, and vary widely, in either direction. The amount of variation may be measured with reference to any specified amount selected arbitrarily as a basis of comparison. yielded, 5, 5, 6, For instance, in the case of stock which has in successive years, 5, 5, 4, 5, 7, 5,' 3, the 4, 5, following percentages: we may for take 5 per cent to serve for a basis of ience conven- computa- The stock has yielded 1 per cent or more in excess it has yielded 2 per cent of this in two cases out of twelve in excess in one case out of twelve; it has fallen short by 1 per cent or more in three cases out of twelve, and fallen short by 2 per cent in one case out of twelve. If these fretion. ; quencies are our only guide for judging the future, they represent the probabilities of receiving the respective dividends. On the basis of the foregoing figures late the "riskless" stock, and, if calculate the it is possible to calcu- and the ''mathematical" value we know the caution factor, "commercial" value also. it is of the possible to Thus, the "risk- less" value, in this case, signifies that value which the stock NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 282 [Chap. XVI would have if it were certain to yield the ( arbitrarilynever more and never less. assumed) 5 per cent forever The riskless value is therefore simply the capitalized value — of a perpetual annuity of $5 per share of $100 face value. If the rate of interest is 4 per cent, the result is $5 divided by 4 per cent, or $125. To obtain the "mathematical" value we simply add to the riskless value the value of the chance of getting more, and subtract that of the chance of getting less. The is found by expetwo in twelve, or ^ each chance of getting an additional $1 a year rience, as set forth above, to be year. The present value of the right to this chance has therefore a mathematical value ^ as great as though the $1 increment were a certainty. But the certainty of $1 a year would be worth $25. Hence a chance of 1 in 6 of getting $1 a year would be worth mathematically ^ of $25, In like manner the chance of a second addior $4.16f . one in twelve and is worth (mathematically) These two terms, $4.16f and $2.08^, are the additive terms sought. The subtractive terms are the mathematical value of the chance of getting $1 less than the $5, and of getting still another $1 less. These tional dollar is jL of $25, or $2.08^. chances, being 3 in 12 and 1 in 12 respectively, are worth -^^ of $25 and ^V of $25 respectively, or $6.25 and $2.08^. The whole mathematical value is the factor of caution, which, let us say, The commercial value to be $110.63. thus, approximately: — " riskless " value " mathematical " value " commercial " value In this manner we other case. $125+ therefore $2.081)- ($6.25 + $2,081), or $122.91f. ($4.16§ Applying to is ^^o, we + this find the three values are S125 $123 $111 may compute the three values in any Usually, however, the chances involved are so indefinite that the reckoning is made only by rule of thumb. I THE RISK ELEMENT Sec. 11] Any 283 further attempt to apply the theory of would therefore outrun the exigencies probabiUty of practice/ §11 The practical investor, in order to estimate the influence of probability, attempts to forecast as nearly as possible all the elements which may affect his interests. An example Mining Journal for Decemmine at Cananea, the Green Consolidated Copper Company, was occurs in the Engineering and ber 8, 1904. belonging to It is there stated that the worth, according to quotations at that time, $30,000,000. This valuation the journal shows might be justified if we suppose the mine to contain a total of 1,040,000,000 pounds of copper which can be mined at the rate of 104,000,000 a year for 10 years, and if we suppose that the price of copper will be 14 cents, and the cost of production 8 cents, to which should be added the expense mission, etc., making we make allowance of refining, selling, 2^ cents more, or 10| cents in we should all. If may be called pound. On this for future economies, this 10 cents, leaving a net profit of 4 cents a basis com- obtain a 10-year annuity of $4,160,000 per annum, the present value of which, at 5 per cent, would be $32,000,000. But inasmuch as these forecasts involve great uncertainty, a fair price would be regarded as $30,000,000, the discrepancy between $30,000,000 and $32,000,000 being due to the element of risk, i.e. the combined inThis price represents fluence of probability and caution. a basis of 6|- per cent.^ Nevertheless it is more than conceivable that the time may come pi'actical brokers will make use of probability computations in the same way that they now make use of bond tables. The writer's For a brief colleague, Professor Norton, has shown this possibility. statement, see Appendix to Chap. XVI, § 3. ^ For such properties as mines which rapidly depreciate, brokers ^ when often reckon the "basis" in a somewhat different manner, computing the percentage realized to the investor on the supposition that he employs a depreciation fund and reinvests, not at the 6i per cent just NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 284 In forecasting the income from sary to forecast it and their variability. also times exceedingly numerous. XVI capital, it is thus neces- the elements which all [Chap. may influence These elements are someA stockholder in a railroad, in order to obtain a true idea of the value of his property, must look forward can be charged volving the to the traffic of the road, the price amount and of labor, fuel, paid for these items, volves, in turn, which for this traffic, the cost of operation, in- etc. To materials, the prices forecast some knowledge any one of these in- of outside conditions, as the outlook for crops, prices of agricultural products, probabilities of increased trade through connecting lines, increased population, possible competition, possible ad- density of verse legislation, etc. §12 We now see that the value of capital actually changes through any one of four causes: of discount ; that is, (1) while no income is Through the effect being received, the value of the capital will rise along a discount curve. (2) Through the periodic detachment of income; that is, at when income or outgo occurs, the capital will be by the amount of the income and increased by the amount of the outgo reached and passed. times directly decreased (3) Through unexpected changes in the rate of interest; that is, when such changes occur causing revaluations of the future by discounting it at a new rate, the value of the capital will change correspondingly of interest falls, and decreasing if — increasing it rises. if (4) the rate Through unforeseen changes in expected income. The fourth cause is the one of most practical importance. mentioned, but at the true or safe rate of interest, 5 per cent. On this calculation the investor would be found to make 10 per cent per annum in addition to the amount set aside for depreciation at 5 per For the case just cent, and the "basis" would be called 10 per cent. mentioned, this 10 per cent realized, with the depreciation fund reinvested at 5 per cent, is equivalent to 6^ per cent realized, with a reinvestment at 6A per cent. 285 THE RISK ELEMENT Sec. 12] The market quotations for any product are constantlybeing changed and revised, not so much through the opera- — tion of the first three principles as through the fourth the constantly changing outlook into the future. Every rumor as to crops, every storm or pest which is known to have destroyed them, changes the expectation of future income. Since the third and fourth causes are both due to lack of foresight, they may be included, if desired, under the common head of ''risk." In Figure 11 the operation of these four causes is represented as occurring successively in the order enumerated. The capital-value first rises along the discount curve AB, constructed according to a particular rate of interest. first income coupon, so to speak, BC, is detached, When the the value falls to C, after which it travels again along the suddenly when a certain expected cost DE has been gotten rid of, then following EF again, whereupon, in consequence of a sudden and unexpected rise in the rate of interest, it falls to G, after which it ascends discount curve CD, rising according to the steeper discount curve GH, and then, in consequence of a change in the estimate of future income, falls again to /, after which it proceeds along another disThe changes count curve to /, and so on indefinitely. caused by actual income and outgo, we here represent by the continuous lines BC, DE, etc., and the changes due to a revised estimate of interest and of income we represent by the dotted lines FG, HI, etc. NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 286 [Chap, XVI §13 The discount curves just employed are assumed to be the same as those employed formerly in the discussion of certain But, as a matter of fact, chance will even on discount curves. For the increase of capital- value along a discount curve is due to the approach of expected income, and this approach, in the case of uncertain income, is quite different from what it is in the case of prospective income. have an effect owner has a conviction nearing the time when income will be received, certain income. that he is It is only as the that the capital- value will increase at of dividends for the declaration of nitely appointed times; but if This will be true which there are defi- all. the times for the install- income are wholly fortuitous, the capital-value will not increase and instead of a discount curve, we shall have a horizontal line. If a piano dealer is asked to value a particular piano in his stock, he will not add interest because it had been in his stock a long time. It is impossible for him to say which individual piano will be sold next, and the mere fact that a particular piano has stood for a long time in his store will offer no assurance that it will be sold earlier than the others. Therefore the value of the piano will not advance with time, but will remain nearly at the wholesale price. In the same way, a stock of money which a man carries as cash does not advance in value by lying in his pocket. For although the services which it will render to its owner are actually approaching, their exact time of occurrence is not known, but is subject to chance. It is chiefly in the case of bonds and stocks, where there ments of are definite times for the occurrence of income, that the actual value ascends strictly along the discount curve. In the case of shares of stock if the stockholder fears that a dividend will be small, the value of the stock will only slowly increase as the time for the dividend approaches. It will follow a discount curve, but one which climbs toward Sec. 13] THE RISK ELEMENT 287 — enough to represent the commercial only a slight elevation value of the uncertain dividend. Then when the amount of the dividend is known, just before it is distributed, the stock (including the right to the impending dividend) suddenly jump in value. After the dividend is paid, will again descend and then increase slowly in value until will it This will explain the been observed, that the value fact which has sometimes of a dividend-paying stock often remains fairly constant. Normally its course will be somewhat as in Figure 12. The capital- value increases only slowly from A to B, when, with the declaration of a dividend, it immediately jumps to C, and with the distribution of the dividend at D the approach of the next dividend. Fig. 12. If we omit the descends to E, and so on indefinitely. fluctuations between the declarations of dividends and the distributions, the course of the stock remains relatively horizontal, as represented by AB, EF, IJ. §14 The introduction of the element of chance does not greatly bookkeeping except to impair somewhat the correspondence between capital accounts and income accounts. This is occasioned by mere changes in the size of the affect capital items. new When revision of capital- value estimate of future income, as after a or other calamity, the immediate result is fire, is due to a shipwreck, merely to reduce The (or, it may be, to increase) the value of the assets. and assets, the accountant must "write down" (or up) — ; ; NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 288 ; [Chap. XVI therefore also reduce the balancing item on the other side, called undivided profits, or profit account and the future may lead But the income new outlook toward loss. not affected except as the is new expenses to for reconstruction, new income. or to §15 Business men try not only to estimate the risks which they must encounter and to adjust their accounts accordingly, but they also endeavor to avoid such risks altogether. This follows from the existence of the factor of caution. Where the coefficient of caution is abnormal, amounting to tncaution, risks are not avoided, but are expressly sought, and the phenomena of gambling and indiscriminate specuBut in the great majority of men there lation are the result. exists a healthy fear of risks, and in consequence a tendency to avoid or reduce them. There are five principal ways in which risks may be reduced, 1. tracts 2. 3. viz. By : increasing guaranties for the performance of con- ; By By increasing safeguards against incurring losses By By insurance, that increasing foresight and thereby diminishing the risks 4. . 5. is, by consolidating risks throwing risks into the hands of a special class of speculators. These will be considered in order. §16 The ownership of capital wealth the income from necessarily involves — never can only be estimated, precisely foreknown. But it is possible, by a division of the ownership of capital wealth, for one class of property risk, since it holders to assume the burden of risks and to guarantee to another class a fixed income. This is the primary reason ^ ' THE RISK ELEMENT Sec. 16] 289 two great classes called and bonds. In any large enterprise the stockholders take the risks, and by so doing guarantee to the bondholders a fixed income. As was remarked in a previous chapter, the capital stock acts as a buffer between the liabilities and the assets, which amounts to saying that it guaranPresitees a fixed income to the holders of the liabilities. dent Hadley has emphasized the fact that a bondholder "commutes" the precarious income of an enterprise into a fixed annuity and that the system by which one class receives "interest" and another "profits" has its origin in the desire of one class to avoid and the willingness of another to assume risks. Nevertheless the general relation between creditor and debtor necessarily carries with it a certain amount of risk to This risk may be reduced by the deposit of the creditor. collateral security or endorsement ^ as in the case of bank loans and discounts; by mortgage on real estate, or occasionally on chattels; by legal regulations, as in the case of notes of national banks, and by other methods. for the separation of securities into stocks §17 The method risks rather of guaranties' is method of shifting The second method really a than of avoiding them. aims to reduce risk by special safeguards. Some articles But the "rate of commutation" is not a rate of interest, since commutation is necessarily a ratio between two incomes, those respectively of the stockholders and the bondholders, whereas ^ any ratio of the rate of interest is a ratio of income to capital. The influence of endorsement in reducing risk is greater than would appear on the surface. Thus, if there is one chance in a hundred that the signer of a note will default, and a like chance for his endorser, both these risks being independent, the chance that the bank ' is the product of these two, or only one chance in ten thouHence, two-name commercial paper is ordinarily a safe se- will lose sand. curity, provided, of course, the names are those of reliable business men, such as have a high "rating" in Bradstreet's or other standard commercial agency. NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 290 of wealth exist, ing sudden in XVI simply for the sake of meet- fact, unforeseen [Chap. emergencies. instance, of fire engines, fire This is true, for extinguishers, safety appliances on railways, safety valves, and other devices connected with steam engines and machinery, burglar alarms, safety deposit vaults, etc. To a large extent this risk-meeting function appUes to almost every stock of wealth. in a pantry usually exists beyond certain order to provide for uncertain wants, and Food wants when in sources need to be large. Again, a both of will usually have large reserve stock, factory a raw materials and finished products, in order to meet unexpected demands. In like manner, jobbers, wholesalers, and retailers maintain a sufficient stock of goods to meet not only the foreseen, but some of the unforeseen demands of supply are distant, such stores of food Especially is this true in the case of of their customers. The function armies. of speculators in grain or other commodities consists largely in conserving the stock of a community as a safeguard against future scarcity. Almost all of what is called the reserve of a bank is used as a safety fund to meet the unforeseen demands of note-holders and depositors, and, in particular, to meet a special "run." These reserves often remain as idle as a fire extinguisher for years or even decades against the hour of need. It is said that there are bars of precious metals in the Bank of England which have lain there undisturbed for two centuries. A large part of the cash carried by an ordinary individual is quite analogous to a bank reserve, being held to meet special Some individuals even keep in a separate emergencies. pocket a special gold piece, lest some day they should become "stranded." It may be said that this risk-meeting function of pocket cash is the chief compensation for the so-called "loss of interest" on the money thus carried. The con- venience and security obtained by having an adequate supply is a species of income replacing the income which might be earned were the sum invested. The same prin- THE RISK ELEMENT Sec. 18] 291 from the standpoint of an individual, apply to bank deposits, and thus to the whole volume of the circulating medium. ciples, §18 The method third knowledge. by of reducing risks is It has been seen that risk is increasing nothing but an expression of ignorance, and decreases with the progress of science. being may It made be said that the chief progress industrially consists in lifting the veil hides the future. now which The countless trade journals now use have their special in reason for existence in enabling by supplying them with data as to past and present conditions, as well as by instructing them in the relations of cause and effect. The government reports of crops, the technical schools and agricultural colleges, all tend in the same direction. Whereas formerly the mine prospector could only guess wildly at the ore "in sight" and the time and cost required to mine it, the graduate of mining schools is now able, through knowledge of geology and metallurgy, to bring these forecasts into some degree of scientific accuracy. And, whereas until recently farming was one of the most imcertain of occupations, it is to-day thanks to modern their readers better to forecast the future, — almost — not quite as amenable to prediction as industry or commerce. scientific agriculture if §19 We and come now to that important shifting risks, called insurance. means of avoiding Insurance involves by another; that is, the consolinumber of chances whereby relative cer- the offsetting of one risk dation of a large tainty To is, as illustrate it were, manufactured out of this, let uncertainty. us suppose that 10,000 houses of the same kind are too distant from each other to be de- stroyed by the same fire, and let us suppose that these NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 292 [Chap. XVI houses in the average would be worth $10,000 each were it not for the risk of fire; in other words, that $10,000 is the capitalized value of the services to be rendered by each house, assuming that value of the it lives total number This is $100,000,000. out of its natural The life. houses would then be the " riskless value." It is the which the 10,000 houses were there no loss by fire. If interest is the income which is thus capitalized is capitalized value of the income would bring in, at 5 per cent, $5,000,000 a year. If now we suppose that the annual one chance in 200, there will be about 50 houses annually burned. Reckoning the value thus destroyed at an average of $10,000 for each house, there risk of fire is be $500,000 annually lost by fire. We must now dethis from the $5,000,000, which would be the We have left $4,500,000, income were it not for fires. In only $90,000,000. which is of the capitalization houses is of property 10,000 other words, the total instead of worth in "mathematical value" $90,000,000 $100,000,000, the reduction being because of the prospect If we suppose all of these houses to be owned by of fires. one corporation, this mathematical value of $90,000,000 might also be the actual value, for such a corporation could count on about 50 houses burning annually almost Each house would then be worth, on an as a certainty. will duct average, $9000. But if such an individual house is owned by an individual person, this mathematical value would not be its " commercial value," on account of the element Let us say that the caution coefficient is |, in of caution. which case the house would be worth $7000. In other words, we have $10,000 as the "riskless" value of the house, $9000 as its "mathematical" value, and $7000 as its actual "commercial" value, assuming that there is not as yet insurance. Now if the owner of such a house could secure insurance on a purely mathematical basis of the risk, which, as we have seen, is one half of one per cent, THE RISK ELEMENT Sec. 19] 293 and, therefore, could pay only S50 per annum, in considif destroyed by eration of which the value of his house, fire, is restored to him, good investment he it is evident that he has made a now assured of a house even occur, and he has, instead of the risk of fire, ; for is should a fire merely to pay his annual premium of $50 a year, the capitalized value of which is $1000. Consequently, his house is worth $10,000 - $1,000, or $9000.^ Such an insurance rate, however, being based on the mathematical or "pure" premiums, would not pay any profit to the companies conducting it. But even a higher insurance would leave a large margin of capital- value saved If we suppose a "loading," so that the into the insured. surance premium is not $50 but $100, similar reasoning would show that the value of the house when insured would be to the owner $8000 instead of $7000. As long as the loading is not sufficient to absorb all the margin between the $7000 and $9000, it will be advantageous to insure. Between the case of a man owning an individual house, when the element of caution would have a large influence, and that where 10,000 houses are owned by the same corporation, in which case the caution element is almost entirely absent, there are numberless intervening cases. The larger the number of houses owned by one individual or corporation, the less profitable becomes insurance. To express it in the language of the business man, the various risks insure each other. Thus, the North German Lloyd Company finds it profitable not to insure its vessels against shipwreck, be- cause they have so large a •a fleet that their losses through period of time can be counted on fairly well in advance. One on the individual is to steady The owner of the house in question would receive, if it were not insured, a net annual income, after providing for depreciation, of 5 per cent on $10,000, or $500 a year until the house was burned, after effect of insurance the income from his property. ^ For a mathematical statement, see Appendix to Chap. XVI, § 3. NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 294 [Chap. XVI which he would receive nothing whereas, if he insures, he receives this $500 income less his premium up to the date of the fire, and afterward the income from the indemnity paid him by the company. ; §20 The same principles apply to other forms of insurance, marine insurance, which, by consolidating in an insurance company the risk on a large number of vessels, reduces for the individual even the perils of the sea to relative certainty and regularity; or as steam boiler insurance, which in a similar manner treats the risks of as explosion; or as plate-glass insurance, burglar insurance, Uve stock insurance, hail and cyclone insurance, fideUty insurance, accident insurance, employer's liabiUty insurance, and, above all, Ufe insurance/ This form of insur- ance, like the other forms, tends to steady the income of the beneficiary. If a wife holds insurance on her husis that, although what he band's Ufe, the consequence gives her during his come will life is somewhat diminished, her inThe ten- not suddenly cease at his death. dency of insurance here as elsewhere is to make regularity out of irregularity, relative certainty out of relative uncertainty; and where, under the form of insurance contracts, the opposite result follows, the case is not one of become one of gambhng. Thus, if a person insures the life of some one in whom he has no financial interest, he is merely gambling on that perSome years ago in Michigan there was an abuse son's Hfe. true insurance, but tends to Speculators called "graveyard insurance." went through the form of insuring the lives of certain old persons, in other words of betting on their deaths, of this type a procedure not only vicious as gambling, but calculated The same considerations apply to also to lead to crime. fire insurance, where a person insures a building in which ^ See Appendix to Chap. XVI, § 4. THE RISK ELEMENT Sec. 21] 295 he is not financially interested, or over-insures one in which he is/ The range ited but ; which insurance can apply to alv/ays lim- is constantly being extended, as business it is learn how to bring risks of basis and to apply the theory of probabihty. any kind on men to a statistical At present the total assets of Ufe insurance companies alone in the United States are nearly $3,000,000,000. §21 Where risks cannot be reduced to a statistical basis, and therefore cannot be insured against, recourse is often had to the shifting of the risk into the hands of those who are willing to take it. Such persons are speculators. A is usually one in whom the caution factor is pronounced as in the ordinary individual. not so In extreme cases he tends to become a simple gambler. The distinction between a speculator and a gambler, however, A gambler seeks and makes is usually fairly well marked. risks which it is not necessary to assume, whereas the speculator is one who merely volunteers to assume those risks of business which must inevitably fall somewhere, A specu- speculator lator is also usually fitted for his so that the risk to outset less than Mm, owing it work by would be to nate prejudice against all special knowledge, to superior foresight, others. The speculation, which is is at the indiscrimi- so often met were there no speculators, the same risks would have to be borne by those less fitted to bear them. The chief evils of speculation flow from the with, is beside the point ; for, participation of the general public, who lack the special knowledge, and enter the market in a purely gambling spirit. In addition to suffering the usual evil consequences of gambling, they produce evil consequences for the non- participating public by causing factitious fluctuations * For the moral effects of insurance, see Insurance and Crime, A. C. Campbell, Putnam's, 1902. by NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 296 XVI [Chap. which they in the values of the products or property in speculate. The are acute when^ happens with the investing public, the forecasts evils of speculation are particularly as generally made not independently. made up individual speculator Were it true that each his mind independently of every other as to the future course of events, the errors of some would probably be offset by those usually in the same Like sheep, they direction. How a single leader. of others. they are led easily is all are follow shown by the effect on the stock market in the year 1904, Thomas Lawson published But, common herd as a matter of fact, the mistakes of the when scare-head advertisements in the newspapers advising the public to certain securi- sell ties. A chief cause of crises, panics, runs on banks, etc., is mere general and differs from any that risks are not independently reckoned, but are a matter of imitation. forced liquidation.^ A crisis is a time of In other words, it other period in two particulars, viz. that the liquidations are more numerous, and that they are for the most part upon the debtors by the creditors because of threat- forced ened or actual bankruptcy. Neither of these conditions could exist unless there had been at a prior time a general Both creditors and debtors must have made a wrong forecast when their ill-fated agreements were entered into. Hence a crisis is the penalty which must be paid when a previous general error in preSuch a general error may be due to diction is discovered. the coincidence of a number of independent mistakes of miscalculation of the future. individuals pendence, ; but — to it almost always the principle of is due to lack of inde- imitation. The error, whatever it is, when committed by a person of influence, is Uke an infection; it is caught by hundreds of others and ' See Chapter Juglar, Des Crises Commerdales, Paris, I. 2d edition, 1889, THE RISK ELEMENT Sec. 21] transmitted to thousands. A great mob 297 of easily led in- vestors, eagerly searching for "straight tips" bring instant wealth, when the mistake is make their mistake in which may common, and disastrous they try, en masse, to escape. A sudden rush of all the passengers on a ferry-boat to one side will produce a " list " in the boat's position, and sometimes cause ment it to capsize, though the independent produce disaster. public So also the sudden general realiza- unforeseen danger on the part of the investing tion of it move- the individual passengers will seldom or never of may submerge the craft of credit and those whom has hitherto borne along in safety. crisis In short, a general bears the relation to individual bankruptcies which a general conflagration bears to individual fires. The key to the study of either crises or conflagrations is the existence, in place of independent hazards, of interdependent ones. So far as conflagrations are concerned the principle of interdependence is distinctly recognized by stuinsurance, and in consequence, each company keep its own fire risks independent of each other, by not having too many in the same locality; but so far as crises are concerned, the principle has not yet been sufficiently emphasized by students of economic history. dents of fire strives to The same phenomenon of a run on a bank. The opinions of the bank's solvency are not formed independently but interdependently. A year or more ago the newspapers reported that, a policeman and a crowd of people being collected on the steps of one of the Wilkes-Barre savings banks to escape the rain, two Hungarian depositors who were passing jumped to the conclusion that the bank had been attacked by burglars, and circulated the disturbing news in the Hungarian colony, with the result that when the bank opened for business many depositors made a run upon it. We see, then, that where speculation is imitative, it is dangerous alike to those who engage in it and to the public. principle applies to the NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 298 Where, on the other hand, speculation ent knowledge, its utility is [Chap. based on independ- is usually enormous. means of and also ates both to reduce risk by XVI It oper- utilizing the special knowledge of speculators, to shift risk from those who lack this knowledge to those who possess it. The consequence is that normally speculative property will gravitate into the hands of those most able to forecast its true income. Modern production has been owing to the tive production, "captains of industry," forecast and to who mould the called capitahstic-specula- fact that it is managed by are specially fitted at once to future within the special realms which they operate. The industries of transportation and manufacturing particularly are under the lead of an educated and trained speculative class, whose function it is to assume for themselves the main risks, and leave the in ordinary investor, who is not so equipped, to cooperate as a mere "lender" or silent partner. Yet it often happens that they betray the confidence placed in them, and continue to throw the burden of risk on those whom they pretend to shield. §22 In the special — namely, field more usually known that in which attempts are prices in the great exchange markets, who as "speculative," made to forecast we find a similar — These speculators are either "bulls" or "bears"; that is, they speculate either for a rise or a fall. Those who believe that wheat or any other article is likely to rise in value and hence yield more than the "rate of interest," will hold it. Or if they do not own it, will buy it or obtain an option on it. Such an option is known as a "call," and is put in force at a later time, at a price fixed in advance and considered low. On the other hand, those who believe that prices class will are fall will specially trained. sell out their present holdings, or may seU "short," agreeing to supply such holdings at a later time THE KISK ELEMENT Sec. 22] at a fixed price to sell often is 299 which they consider high. Such a contract made in the form of an option, in which it is known as a "put." To show how such contracts case ples will suffice. large contract A will shift risks, building contractor was asked if a few exam- who had taken a he were not taking large since he could not foreknow the cost of building. risks, He re- "No, I am taking no risks at all except on 'labor'; have made contracts to be supphed with all materials plied, I Those who made these conat fixed prices." assumed the risk of fluctuation in price in the materials in which they dealt, relieving the con- when needed, tracts thus special tractor of the necessity of informing himself of the special market conditions as lic, for stone, brick, timber, etc., him to make a there was less need bling of closer bid for the contract, of the element of caution. and enainasmuch The pub- course, get the benefit of such a shifting of risk form of reduced cost of building. Similar results from most other "short" sales. Again, a woolen follow manufacturer need not carry so large a stock of wool if he can make a contract by which some one will sell short, or agree to supply the wool at fixed prices and at certain He can afford to use up his present stock feardates. lessly, with the certainty that when it is gone he can obtain a new supply.^ Without such a contract, he would be under the necessity of carrying a large and idle stock. An important method of shifting risks is "hedging," whereby a dealer, for instance in transporting wheat, may be relieved of the risk of a change in price. He buys wheat in the West intending to ship it to New York and sell it there at enough to cover cost of transportation and a small profit. In consequence of a sudden fall in price he might find all his profit wiped out or he might, on the other hand, by a rise in price, make much more than normal profits. But, being of a cautious disposition, in the ; 1 Cf. Hadley, Economics, Putnam's, 1896, p. 106. NATUKE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 300 [Chap. XVI — he prefers an intermediate course, a small profit which is sure, rather than the chances of both gain and loss. Consequently he "hedges." He enters into some speculative market, knowing that it will move in sympathy with the New York market, and there he "speculates" In case the price in New York for a fall, or sells "short." falls, what he loses on the wheat which he has transported he gains through his speculative short selling. Contrariwise, if the price rises, what he gains on his wheat transported he loses in the speculative market. In other words, he is, as it were, betting on both sides of the market at once, and therefore eliminating all risk, so that he only obtains his normal profit, commission, or percentage on the actual wheat handled, having imposed the burden of risk of speculation on the speculative dealers to whom he sold short.^ The effect of hedging on those who engage in it, such as the wheat dealers, is evidently to enable them to work on a smaller margin of profit. In consequence the public receives a benefit in lowered prices. The case is thus very similar to those respectively of the builder and Short selling, binding the woolen manufacturer. of the future to the past, enables the specialist to guarantee to the general public a definite foreseen series of events. The and beneficial effect to the public, in saving useless stocks reserves, in producing terprises, and more intelligent direction of en- in encouraging accumulation through greater its future benefits, is both obvious and great. one of the direst economic evils, and all of the dewhether increased guarvices which aid in overcoming it certainty of Risk is — anties, safeguards, foresight, insurance, or legitimate specu- lation — represent a great boon to humanity. See " Speculations on Stock and Produce Exchanges of the United by Henry C. 'Emery, Publications of American Economic Association. For the development of insurance-speculation in England, see " The Put and Call," by L. R. Higgins, London, Effingham WU^ States," son, 1902. PART Chapter IV. SUMMAKIES Chapter XVIII. Summary of Part III General Summary Glossary. Summary of Definitions XVII. — CHAPTER XVII SUMMARY OF PART (CHAPTERS XI-XVl) REPRESENTED BY DIAGRAMS III §1 We have finished our study of the relations between and income-value and may now pause to summarize them briefly. At the beginning of Part III it was stated that the income from capital wealth consists that capital and of whatever service it performs for man income may each be measured either in specific quantities of their respective units, or in value and that consequently there are four ratios between income and capital; namely, capital-value ; ; (1) the physical productivity of capital, (2) the value pro- ductivity, (3) Our return. the relation the physical return, and We saw that the value of value of value of (4) the value- theme has been the value-return, between income-value and capital-value. special capital wealth The is the discounted between the the income and the value of the capital was indiits expected income. cated by diagrams. of vertical relation Income was represented by a hues as in Figure 13 (a, a', series a", a'"), the hori- them representing intervals of was then found possible to represent the capitalvalue of this income in anticipation, on the assumption that the income could be relied upon with certainty. zontal distances between time. It — a broken or This representation gave the capital curve, drop is vertical each curve, toothed curve AB. In this equal to the corresponding income item shown below it, and the intervening points are connected by discount 303 NATUKE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 304 XVII [Chap. G curves; so that the total capital- value at the time is represented by the altitude BG. But this separate representation for capital and for income respectively need not be adhered to, because the capital curve AB alone contains in teeth all its vertical that is necessary to indicate the installments of income and in the present chapter the main propositions relating to ; Fig. 13. capital and income will be restated with the aid of geothis capital curve AB metrical representations of which is the type. §2 First of of any come. all, such a curve exhibits the fact that the value capital is the discounted value of the expected inIn Figure 14 the several discount curves used in previous diagrams are The continued to meet OB. will &', V", h" divided, thus 6, all parts into which GB is represent respectively the present values of the income This may readily be proved from items a, a', a", a'". , the nature of the discount curves. SUMMARY OF PART Sec. 2] 305 III The diagram shows, in the second place (tracing it forward chronologically), that the capital- value alternately rises and falls, rising in anticipation of approaching income and falling as the installments of this income are, like coupons, successively detached from capital. The alternate rise and fall of the capital curve may be equal, each to the other, indicating that the income is "standard"; or the former Fig. 14. may be the greater, indicating respectively above or below standard. If any installment of income is negative in other words, is not strictly income, but outgo we need simply to reverse the direction of one of the teeth, as in Figure In this case the capital- value is simply the discounted 15. or the latter that the income is — value of the future income less — that of the outgo. §3 As we have seen, if we trace the entire history of a capital curve backward in time from the last installment of income to the beginning of the investment or enterprise, the curve NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 306 will is [Chap. XVII normally be at the zero point at both ends. This Such a curve shows the normal in Figure 16. shown cycle of capital-value from the of capital is first utilized moment when the article moment when it is ex- to the FiG. 15. hausted. It is "normal" just sufficient to no income is no more and in the sense that the compensate for the outlay, and that usually the principal items of outgo all the cycle, and the principal items of income all accrue in the latter part. In such a less, occur in the early part of Fig. 16. normal curve the capital-value (AB in Fig. 16) at any moment may be said to represent two things first, it represents the discounted value of the future expected income : (less that of future expected outgo, if any) ; and, secondly, SUMMARY OF PART Sec. 3] it 307 III represents the accumulated value of past outgo (less that of past income, if any). AB From this it follows that the on the one hand, less than the future total income which it represents, and greater than the past outgo. This capital- value may be regarded as made up of the elements 6, h' h'" which are respecvalue of the capital is, , tivel}^ , the discounted values of the respective larger nitudes and, on the other hand, as a, a', a"; mag- made up of a' A Fig. 17. which are the accumulated values of the respecmagnitudes a'", a'^, a^. By puttuig together the elements of which AB is composed, we see, on the one hand, that AB is less than the anticipated income and greater than the past outgo; and consequently, a fortiori, that the past outgo is less than the future income. For the sake of simplicity in our illustration, we have chosen a point of time after all the outgo and before any of the income has accrued but the same principles could be worked out upon such a diagram, no matter what point of time were chosen. In other words, in the normal case the value of any b'", 6'^, If, tive smaller ; capital is intermediate between the value of its of production or acquisition and the value of income. past cost its future NATUKE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 308 In the special case in which there and one item of income, the curve in Figure 17, where a is is [Chap. XVII but one item of cost reduced to that shown the expected income, and a' the is Fig. 18. past outgo. If the capital-value midway between AB the income and be taken at a point outgo, it evidently fol- 6" c" Fig. 19. lows, by the nature of a' to AB is the of the discount curve, that the ratio same as the ratio of AB to a, or that Fig. 20. AB is the "mean proportional," or "geometric mean," In other words, the normal relation between a and a' capital, and return is expressed in the statebetween cost, . SUMMARY OF PART Sec. 4] 309 III ment that the capital is a mean proportional between past cost and its future return. its §4 Another use which representation is may made be of the diagrammatic compact manner the sumand the income of any given This may be done simply by to exhibit in a mation of both the capital enterprise or community. Fig. 21. adding together the corresponding ordinates or vertical lines in any number number of articles of wealth or property. of capital curves, representing any Let Figure 18, one capital curve, and Figure 19 another. Figure 20, formed by combining Figures 18 and 19, then represents the sum of the capital and income of both. Figure 20 is derived from Figures 18 and 19 in such a for instance, represent manner that the ordinate ordinates 6' and h", and in G, is and it is the c". B is like the sum of the individual manner any other sum of the corresponding individual From the rule by which Figure 20 is ordinate, ordinates c' constructed, evident that every tooth in the constituent curves, be reproduced in the combined diagram. In Figure 20, therefore, the ordinates represent the combined capital-values at various points, while the two such as teeth a" a' and and a' a", will represent the total income accruing in that time interval which includes them. Thus, Figure 20 epito- mizes the summation both of capital and income. NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 310 But it is [Chap, XVII not necessary to have three separate diagrams. It is possible to superimpose upon the the same other, as axis XF one of the first two figures shown in Figure 21. In this figure, on is drawn first FG, corresponding to Fig- ure 18 above, and, secondly, at distances above FG corre- sponding to the ordinates in Figure 19, is drawn the line This line contains an apparent tooth or break which does not appear in Figure 19, but this is only for the purpose of preserving at this point the prescribed dis- MN MN . tance from the line FG. Considered relatively to FG there Fig. 22. MN measured relatively to no break. Thus the line FG, takes the place of the constituent curve of Figure 19, it represents and measured relatively to the base line the combined curve of Figure 20 for both constituents. The same method applies where there are any number of constituent capital curves. Thus (Fig. 22), let us draw for our first capital curve one which has an income item a, and superimpose upon it a second capital curve, of which the income item is a' and so on. The capital curve at is , XF , the top will represent the total of the individual capital — it, and each belt between namely, the between any two neighboring capital curves curves beneath difference will replace a constituent curve. From the — manner of their construction it is clear that the income item a' will be carried forward successively to each of the curves above it, and will be represented by a tooth in the curve at the SUMMARY OF PART Sec. 5] top, as represented by the top thus shows in its Similarly, a' a", clotted lines. separate teeth contained in the curves of which , The a'" are transmitted to the top. final all it is 311 III and curve at the the income items the sum. §5 In case two teeth in separate curves occur at the same combined curve will, of course, have a large instant, the Logging Camp Fig. 23. tooth equal to their sum. In case one tooth representing income, and the other is positive, negative, or outgo, is the coincidence of these will result in a small tooth equal to and their difference, this difference will be zero if the two items are equal. The most important case of this kind occurs when there are" interactions." It has been explained that an interaction is an income item for one capital which at the same time two income and outgo items will cancel, and the resulting combined curve will be unbroken at the point representing the time of interaction. is an outgo item for another. If the curves for these capitals are superimposed, the equal This is shown in Figure 23, giving the typical history of limiber operations. Every year a logging camp yields a NATUKE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 312 amount [Chap, XVII which is credited In the diagram, the space between the base line and the first curve above it represents the capital curve of the logging camp, and the space above this curve represents the capital curve of certain of logs, the turning out of to the camp, but debited to the mill. At the time the sawmill. the transfer of logs from of the one category to the other, there is a corresponding diminution in the capital-value of the logging camp, but an increase in the capital-value of the sawmill. The characteristic of such an interaction or couple is that it leaves unbroken the upper curve of final summation. Tree SaolinE C Fig. 24. There is no carrying forward of in the previous diagram, teeth, as by the dotted lines — or rather, the carrying forward The interaction is merely a one capital for the benefit of another, and does results in a cancellation. sacrifice of not disturb the total. If the interaction it BG is greater than we have represented G is lower and B higher than in- in the diagram, so that dicated, the discount curve AB will be nearer coincidence with MN, and GD nearer coincidence with XY. We may suppose a case in which coincidence is reached. This case Here BG represents such an is represented in Figure 24. interaction as occurs when one capital good is completely transformed into another, as when the " sapling" becomes a " tree " at a certain definite point of time. The capital-value SUMMARY OF PART Sec. 5] 313 III BC, but there appears in its The change from one to the other is evidently entirely nominal, and it is possible, by drawing any other vertical line than BC, to create an 'interaction" simply by calling the portion on the two sides of this line by different names. When, as in Figure 25, a series of curves is constructed and superimposed to represent the income from any speciof the sapling disappears at stead the capital- value of the tree. fied is group of capital instruments, the sum total of the income evidently represented by the entire series of teeth in the Fig. 25. These teeth form a physical picture of the of services, which was discussed in previous chapters. If in the diagram we omit the uppermost layer of capital, the curve remaining immediately top curve. fringe" "outer below this layer will series of capital then be the outer fringe for the entire instruments below it. We may ceed step by step in either direction, leaving off pro- an item of In every case the outer fringe of teeth wiU represent the sum total of income for the group of capital represented below it. capital or taking one on. NATUKE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 314 In Figure 25 all final XVII the teeth below the top layer are rep- resented to be interactions. be [Chap. But if any of them should services, they need only be carried forward by dotted lines to the top, as in Or Figure 26, if the capital repre- sented by one layer interacts with the capital represented by a layer two or more removes above it, the connection Fig. 26. will be represented by carrying forward the tooth by dotted proper stage. lines to the As we are at present interested in the general aspects we need not take into account such complicabut may assume, for purposes of exposition, that all capital can be arranged in a single definite series, each member of which acts upon the one above it, and so on to the end. In the actual world, it is usually possible to arrange capital roughly in such an interacting series. of the subject, tions, §6 Two special applications may be made of the foregoing of capital curves. The show the total value of capital property and the total value of income possessed by a particular individual, and the second will show the same condition as to an entire representation for the first will society. summation SUMMARY OF PART Sec. 6] 315 III We may suppose a man's capital to be divided into first, money-paying investments; second, money; third, enjoyable articles purchased by money. three classes: We may juxtapose these elements, as in Figure 27. Enjoyable Capital "U-Money Investments Fig. 27. whenever an investment pays money, a tooth produced in the first curve and a transaction takes place between the categories "investments" and Here, is "money." By each such transaction the investments are reduced in value by the amount of coupons detached, and the stock of money is increased by the same amount. In like manner, every time money is spent, a transaction takes place between the belt representing senting enjoyable capital. By such and the value increased by the same amount. stock is depleted, money and that repre- transaction the money of the enjoyable capital These operations are NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 316 [Chap. XVII and are not transmitted to the outer fringe. The total income, therefore, from the entire group of capital, is represented simply by the vertical unself-canceling therefore dulations in the top curve. By means meanings of this of diagram we "individual may see clearly the various income." The business man usually applies the term to the teeth of the investment curve the economist to the teeth next above in the ; money curve, or the teeth above that in the curve representing enjoyable capital. Practically, which we of the three does not greatly matter it select, since usually, for any conThis siderable period of time, all will closely correspond. must needs be so, unless the stock of appreciably increasing articles is money or or enjoyable decreasing. These exceptional cases have already been discussed in detail, and there is no difficulty in representing The other application of our them by diagrams. diagrammatic summation is to present a fairly complete picture of the total value of and the total value of income of an entire In the capital of a community it is not usual to capital-wealth society. include human beings, and for that reason it is scarcely worth our while to discuss the theoretical questions as to the manner in which they might be included in such a repAs a matter of fact, the method of capitalizresentation. beings will vary with the special purpose in ing human Our present purpose is chiefly concerned with inview. teractions between man and other capital, and we need practically only to capitalize the money-earning power of the individual. we may call This part of the capital-value of a "labor power." We man then have the total capi- tal of a community consisting of labor power, land, intermediate capital, and enjoyable capital, as in Figure 28. For convenience, and to avoid needless complications, we assume that labor power interacts only with land, land SUMMARY OF PART Sec. 7] 317 III with intermediate capital, and intermediate capital with enjoyable capital. The income from the entire series is by the teeth of the uppermost line. diagram we see that the total income of a community comes through enjoyable goods. The other capital items produce income, but this income is in every case also represented, as before, From this Intermediate Capital Land Labor-power Fig. 28. an outgo with reference to the layer of capital next above. Many of the fallacious methods of summing income consist virtually in adding together the teeth in the various layers. It is tions forgotten that the teeth below the top layer are interac- and therefore both positive and negative — positive with reference to the layer below and negative with reference to that above — and that therefore they come the summation of income only to go out again. function in each case is into Their simply to keep up the capital in the their activities these layers above would soon be exhausted, and the income at the top would layers above. Without not continue for long. §8 From this point of view, each interaction may be con- sidered as the discounted value of a certain portion of the 318 NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME [Chap. XVII In Figure items of income from the layer next above. value taken the discounted a may be as 29 the interaction income taken from the layer next above, between the points P and Q. Here we have a geometrical repre- of the sentation of the fact so often insisted Bohm-Bawerk^ and Professor upon by Professor Taussig,^ that the pro- next year's (or next month's) yarn, of this year's yarn for next year's cloth, of this year's cloth for next year's clothes, etc. In tracing the connection between the income items in duction of this year's wool different layers, tween the we may is for consider either a cross-section be- different layers, by drawing two vertical lines Fig. 29. separated by a certain interval and noting the intervening income taking place simultaneously in the various layers; or we may follow the successive time connections involved between one layer and the next. In the treatment which has been given in the previous chapters, the former method was emploj^ed. The present diagrammatic representation Thus, in Figure 30, gives us a bird's-eye view of both. representing the logging camp, sawmill, lumber yard, etc., having selected a period represented between the vertical line drawn at A and B, we may either address ourselves to the mutual relations of the various layers there comprised; or we may address ourselves to the income item a, whose 1 2 Positive Theory of Capital, English translation, 1890, pp. 179-189. Wages and Capital, New York (Appleton), 1896, Chapters II, III. SUMMARY OF PART Sec. 8] influence traverses the entire section. the logging camp; ''ripens" into mill this which is all 319 III It is produced by that income of the saw- comprised between the points P and Q and income of the lumber yard ; in turn ripens into the comprised between the points P' and Q' In this way we are virtually following the log as it is transformed in the various processes from tree to lumber. It is in consideration of such a relation or set of relations that an income item like a was called a "preparatory service." Each such preliminary process of production . takes place in anticipation of future resulting processes, and derives its value from them. Combining with the principle that the value of all this principle capital is the dis- expected income, we see that the value of the capital in the lower layers is ultimately dependent on the value of the income in the topmost layer; for the counted value of its value of that earlier capital income it is the discounted value of the produces, and this income, consisting of interac- tions or preparatory services, of the services to which it is in turn the discounted value leads, and so on through succes- NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 320 sive layers to the top, as seen in Figure 31. the capital-value of the lowest layer, is [Chap. XVII Here AB, the discounted value of the income from that layer, namely the teeth a, a', a", but this income in turn is the discounted value income represented by the teeth intervening beand Q from the layer next above, and this income in turn is the discounted value of the income between P' of the tween P Q Q Fig. 31. and Q' on the layer still the curves are shown as above. all In this representation terminating in the base line but the representation may readily be extended to the case of an income infinitely continued. §9 In Chapter XVI it was shown that certain modifications needed to be introduced into our theory of the determination of capital-value when the element of uncertainty was introduced. We are fresh from the discussion of these, and they need no extended mention here. The main point to be kept in mind is that when the element of chance is taken into account, sudden breaks occur in the capital curve, so that instead of following the simple order previously indicated, beginning at zero and ending at zero, with inter- mediate teeth alternately rising and falling along the discount curve, it suffers additional interruptions at points where the estimates of future chances are changed. The most important point in the life history of such a SUMMARY OF PART Sec. 9] curve of capital-value is 321 III When at the beginning. the ele- ment of chance or luck is taken into account, the capital curve is less likely to begin at the zero line. some point above at for if ; it will It may begin not begin at any point below ; the present value of the chance of gain did not out- weigh the present value of the chance of loss, the enterprise would never be undertaken at all. In the great majority of cases, the capital-value at the outset of an enterprise is greater than zero that is, in the estimation of those who enter into it, the gains will not only pay for the costs with interest, but something in addition, even when the element of chance is included in the discounting operation. At any ; rate, is it is not infrequent that started, those possibilities, who have and the first when a new enterprise knowledge of the opportunity to exploit them, the first expect returns out of proportion to the ordinary rate of and compensation for risk. The only reason this is not more generally true is because of the existence of competition, by which the special advantage of individuals through special knowledge, foresight, etc., is offset by the interest vigilance of their rivals. With these points in mind, of the value of any particular we observe that the history article of capital-wealth may Starting at A, some point be represented as in Figure 32. above the zero fine, the capital-value rises to B, because, From B it let us say, of the first expenditure involved. the through proceeds along a discount curve to C. There, influence of the risk element, it suddenly drops to D, at which point some new information has reduced the prospect of future gain or increased the risk of future loss. From D in turn it proceeds along the discount curve to E. At this point the cost EF is incurred, but at the same time confidence as to the future receives a shock, and instead of proceeding from F, the curve drops at once to G. Thence it rises gradually and normally to H, when the first income item, HI, This being, let us say, less than was anticipated, is received. NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 322 [Chap. XVII shows that the capital-values had been hitherto too high. Consequently the curve drops to J, and thence proceeds it in the manner indicated in the diagram, ending at the zero when the last installment of income OP is received. point P, Fig. 32. In we have this chapter continuously suggestions ; but made it is not treated income as accruing disdifficult, in accordance with the in a previous chapter, to extend the prin- It would also worth while, to exhibit, by means of similar diagrammatic representations, numerous propositions other than those already noted. Our object, however, has not been to exploit the diagrams, but merely to use them for a running epitome of the general relations existing between capital and income. ciples to apply to the continuous case. be possible, were it CHAPTER XVIII GENERAL SUMMARY §1 m the preceding chapters to It has been the endeavor of capital and its services of the mass picture give a definite In such a picture we see man standing in the to man. midst of a physical universe, the events of which affect Over many of these events he can exercise no his life. control or selection ; these constitute his natural environ- ment. Over others he exercises selection and control by assuming dominion over part of the physical universe, and fashioning it in new shapes to suit his needs. The parts of the material world which he thus appropriates constitute wealth, whether they remain in their natural state or are "worked up" by him into products to render This mass of instruthem more adapted to his needs. ments will consist, first, of the appropriated parts of the surface of the earth, of the buildings and structm-es attached to the soil, and of the movable objects or "com- modities" which man upon the earth; human population possesses and stores in the buildings and, secondly, of itself, — for these, the persons of the though they are also the abode of the owner of wealth, are themselves objects owned. This mass of instruments serves man's purpose in so far him to modify the stream of historical events. By means of land and the modifications which he makes upon it he is enabled to increase and improve the growth of the vegetable and animal kingdoms as its possession enables 323 NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 324 in such a rials way as to supply for constructing other [Chap. XVIII him with food and the mateBy means of instruments. dwellings and other buildings he is enabled to divert the elements from contact with his body and with the objects By means of machinof wealth which he stores in them. ery, tools, and other instruments of production, he enabled to fashion new instruments to add or to take the place of those destroyed or worn out. is to his stocks By means of the final finished products which minister to his more immediate enjoyments, such, for instance, as food, clothing, books, ornaments, he is enabled to consummate the objects for which the entire mass of wealth is produced and kept in existence, namely, the satisfaction of his desires, whether these be for the necessities, the luxuries, the life. In these and other modify the course of natural ways events in ways more or less agreeable to the owner. These changes in the historical stream of events which occur by means of wealth constitute what have been called the serv- comforts, or the amusements of the stock of wealth will ices of wealth. In our picture, therefore, we observe (1) a stock of instruments existing at an instant of time, and (2) a stream of services through time, flowing from this stock of wealth. The stock of wealth is called capital, and its stream of servThe income is the more important ices is called income. concept of the two, for the capital exists merely for the sake of the income, and the ownership of the capital has no other significance than the ownership of possible income from that capital. The division of income between different owners constitutes in reahty a division of ownership of the capital which bears the income, and the individual shares constitute what are called property rights. From this go side by apparent that property rights and wealth and that neither can exist without the other, it is side, GENERAL SUMMARY Sec. 2] 325 property signifying merely the sharing of wealth individuals. When we tain the ownership of of the entire sum mass piece together these shares, all among we ob- wealth. In like manner, the value of wealth must be taken to mean simply ownerattempt to reach this total by combining the shares of individuals, we do so by making a careful record of all "capital accounts." In such a record we find the ship. that of the values of the individual shares of this When we many items occur in pairs, — negative items of property or "liabihties" in one account and positive items or "assets" in another. will be left as the By final this pairing of items, there sum of property value the value of the entire stock of physical instruments. Of the services which flow from the stock of capital, it has been seen that the great majority consist merely between one category of capital and is accomplished by most instruments of capital is to hand over something to other instruments of capital. The great mass of capital lands, warehouses, railof "interactions" another. All that roads, machinery, ships, etc. tation," that is, — — exists either for "transpor- for changing the position of wealth one place to another; or for "production," that is, from for chang- ing wealth from one state or form to another; or finally In for exchange, the mutual transfer of rights to wealth. every such operation, the instruments which have wrought the change are said to have rendered a service and in the ; income account these instruments are credited with the value of such services while the instruments which receive the services, and are thus improved in position or condition, are said to have rendered a disservice and are at the same time debited with exactly the same item. When ; we thus come to put together the entire total of income, all such pairs of items or "interactions" cancel. These double-faced events or interactions constitute the over- whelming mass of items in the actual inventory which enter into the accounts of business men. of income Out of NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 326 this fact, is also combined with the [Chap. XVIII " fact that every " transaction double-faced, grows, as we have seen, the entire theory of double-entry bookkeeping. Out of the entire mass of instruments thus acting and reacting upon each other, there finally emerges an uncan- mere transfer from one category to another within the mass, but an actual contribution issuing from the mass to the benefit of man, the owner. These final elements are his real income. In celed or net income which does not represent a the last analysis they consist purely of subjective or psychic satisfactions; that is, of conscious desirable experiences. §3 But these , desirable mental experiences occur at the sacri- fice of certain undesirable ones, namely, of efforts. The subjective efforts put forth for the sake of subjective satisfactions constitute the net or uncanceled elements of outgo. Thus we see that, side by side with the objective income and outgo stream, and as the final result of that stream, there exists its subjective counterpart, namely, the stream of ef- and satisfactions. In the same way, there exists, side by with the objective mass of capital, the subjective esteem in which this capital is held, namely, what we have called forts side its desirability, or utility. If efforts and satisfactions are called subjective income, desirabiUty or utihty should be called subjective capital. The same antithesis of time appHes to the subjective as to the objective; desirabihty is a state of mind at an instant of time ; efforts and factions are experiences through a period of time. ability stands for anticipated efforts and satis- Desir- satisfactions, just We as objective capital stands for anticipated services. thus see in the mind of man a microcosm of the objective economic world, consisting of desires, efforts, and satis- factions, corresponding respectively in the objective world to capital, outgo, and income. GENERAL SUMMARY Sec. 4] , 327 §4 For convenience we have used the term "goods" to comany one or all of the three categories, wealth, property, and services. It has been seen that any two goods may be compared in respect to desirability, and if the marginal increments of two groups of goods are equally — prise The interbe measured by ex- desirable, those groups are equivalent in value. equivalence of goods in this sense pressing all may goods in terms of any one good, as, for instance, When the various goods are thus converted into common standard, we have a new sense both for capital money. a and income. Capital, instead of consisting of a miscellaneous mass of wealth or property rights, is now taken in the sense of capital-value; and income, instead of consisting of a miscellaneous stream of services, some final and some intermediate, some objective and some subjective, will consist of a single homogeneous element, income-value. It is to the relation between capital and income in the value sense that our attention throughout this book has been chiefly devoted. It has been noted that the relation between capital and income, taken in the value sense, is profoundly different from the relation between capital and income when either or both are measured in their various individual units. When capital and value are measured as "quantities," capital maybe said to produce income; but when they are measured in "values," we find that it necessary to reverse this statement, and to say that in- is The manner in which capitalvalue is produced from income-value is by discounting, and this is done by means of a rate of interest, due attention come produces capital. being given to the fact that future income more or of this less to the element of chance. fundamental discount is always subject As a consequence relation, it follows that the value of capital rises as future income approaches, and falls reached and passed. with as that income is It rises or falls NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 328 [Chap. XVIII each change in the rate of interest employed in the discount and with each change in the estimate of the chance process, and fall in the value of capital and even, the capital will recur to a constant level, and the income in this case is said to be the earnings of capital. The earnings of capital constitute a standard with respect to which the actual income in any case may be compared. If the actual income exceeds the element. If the alternate rise are rhythmic standard income, there will be a depreciation of capital, which may be made good, however, by paying back the excess into another fund of capital called the depreciation fund. If, on the contrary, the earnings exceed the actual income, the excess will constitute savings, and will accumulate and be added to the capital. §5 To describe in a few words the nature of capital income, we may and say that those parts of the material universe which at any time are under the dominion of man constitute his property; its capital wealth ; its ownership, his capital value, his capital- value ; subjective capital. But capital in its any desirability, his of these senses stands for anticipated income, which consists of a stream When values are considered, the not from capital to income, but from of services or its value. causal relation is income to capital; not from present to future, but from future to present; in other words, the value of capital the discounted value of the expected income. The is fluctu- ations of this capital-value will, chance aside, be equal and opposite to the deviations of " income" from " earnings," when the influence of chance is included, there be in addition to these fluctuations still others which mirror the successive changes in the outlook for future whereas, will income. GLOSSARY A Summary of the Definitions used in this Book Amortization fund. Amount. — The — (See amount of Fund, depreciation.) any given sum at a given time is its equivalent at a later time. Ch. XIII, § 1. Assets of a 'person. His property-rights, including — both those good his liabilities and those, if any, which excess of and free from any liability. (Syn. Resources.) which make are in Ch. V, § 1. Balance sheet. —A statement of a person's assets and liabilities. Ch. V, § 1. Basis. The rate of interest yielded by a security when sold at a specified price. Ch. XVI, § 9. commercial, of a security. The basis corresponding to the commercial value of the security. Ch. XVI, § 8. (Syn. Capital account.) — — — The mathematical, of a security. basis corresponding to the mathematical value of the security. Ch. XVI, § 8. riskless, of a security. — The basis corresponding to the riskless Ch. value of the security. XVI, § 8. — Abbreviation for Capital goods, and Ch. V, Ch. V, account. — (See Balance balance. — The difference between the value of Capital. Capital value. § 1. sheet.) § 1. the assets in a balance sheet and of the liabilities. (Syn. Net capital.) The capital balance is measured in three different ways: as the nominal capital (or capitalization), the book value, and the market value of the rights of the shareholders or those whose capital account hook value of. — divided profits, the assets and account. considered. is The sum i.e. Ch. V, the capital, § 1. surplus, and un- the difference in value at any time between liabilities Ch. V, of according to the entries in the capital § 4. — Capital-wealth or capital-property. — instruments. — (See Capital goods. Ch. V, The market value of as market value of shares. Ch. V, § 4. holders' rights in a concern. wealth.) 329 § 1. the share- NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 330 — (See Capital balance.) — The par or face value Capital, net. Ch. V, § 3. a joint stock company, and hence also the original book value of the difference between assets and habilities. Ch. V, § 2. nominal. of the shares in — The capital when the capital account is first opened. be measured in two different ways, as nominal capital and paid-up capital. Ch. IV, § 4, paid-up. The amount of original capital of a concern actually paid in by the shareholders. Ch. IV, § 4. property. A stock (or fund) of property existing at an instant of time. Ch. V, § 1. wealth. A stock (or fund) of wealth existing at an instant of time, (Syn. Capital instruments.) Ch. V, § 1. value. The value of a stock of wealth or property at an instant. It is found by discounting (or " capitaHzing ") the value of the income expected from the wealth or property. Ch. V, § 1. Capitalization. A. The process of discounting by which expected income is translated into present capital- value. Usually employed only when the income is considered uniform and original. It may — — — — — perpetual, in which case capitalization consists in dividing the rate of income per Ch. XIII, annum by the rate of interest. Ch. IV, § 6; § 1. B. The nominal capital of a joint stock company. Ch. V, § 4. The reciprocal of the rate of interest. (Theoretically of. also the reciprocal of the rate of discount. Practically this rate — meaning is — To never used.) capitalize income is to find the capital-value equivalent to that income. Ch. IV, § 6; Ch. XIII, § 1. Caution, coefficient of. The ratio of commercial value to mathemat- Capitalize. ical value. Ch. — XVI, — The ratio of the number of cases in which § 6. Chance, of any event. that event may occur to the total possible when all the cases are equally probable. number Any two of cases, cases are equally probable (to any particular person at any particular time) if the person has no inclination to believe one rather than the other to be true. Ch. XVI, § 2. (Syn. Probability.) commercial value of. The value which the chance will actually command in the market. It is equal to the mathematical value multiplied by the coefficient of caution, Ch. XVI, § 6. mathematical value of. The product of the value of the prize at stake multiplied by the chance of winning it. Ch. XVI, § 5. The ratio of commercial value to matheCoefficient, of caution. matical value. Ch. XVI, § 6. — — — SUMMARY OF DEFINITIONS Coefjicient, of 'probability. Ch. less value. of risk. 331 — The ratio of mathematical value to XVI, risk- § 6. — The ratio of commercial value to riskless value the product of the coefficient of caution multiplied coefficient of probabiUty. — — Ch. XVI, ; hence by the § 6. Commercial basis. (See Basis, commercial.) value of a chance. (See Chance, commercial value of.) Commodities. Movable instruments not human beings. Ch. I, § 2. Consumption. (See Services, enjoyable objective.) Couple. A liability to a debtor and its counterpart asset to the creditor. Or the service of one instrument acting on another and the counterpart disservice of the second acted on by the first. Ch. VI, § 1 Ch. IX, § 2. Coupled services. (See Couple, Interaction.) Depreciation fund. (See Fund, depreciation.) — — — ; — — Desirability of goods (wealth, property, or services) sity of desire, for those goods, of — The inten- . a particular individual at a particular time under particular circumstances. Ch. Ill, marginal § 2. (Syn. Utility.) — — of a specified aggregate of goods. Approximate desirability of one unit more or less of that aggregate, or the difference between the desirability of that aggregate and another aggregate one unit larger or smaller. Ch. Ill, § 4. Exact definition The limit of the ratio of the increment (or decrement) of desirability to the increment (or decrement) of the aggregate when the last-named increment (or decrement) approaches zero. (Syn. Marginal utility.) Appendix to Ch. definition The : : Ill, § 1. progressive marginal — of desirability of one unit gressive marginal utility.) regressive marginal sirability of — The a specified aggregate of goods. more of that aggregate. (Syn. ProAppendix to Ch. Ill, § — of a specified aggregate one unit less of 1. of goods. that aggregate. — The de- (Syn. Regressive utility.) Appendix to Ch. Ill, § 1. an aggregate of goods. The difference between the desirability of goods which include and of those which exclude marginal total — of — that aggregate. Dimension. by its to Ch. — The (Syn. Total utility.) Ch. Ill, § 4. kind or species of any magnitude as indicated measurement in terms of other magnitudes. Appendix I. Discount curve. represents — A curve so constructed that, any given sum, any if one of its ordinates later ordinate will represent the NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 332 "amount" of by the sented that sum at a time later by an interval repre- horizontal distance between the ordinates ; and consequently also such that any earlier ordinate will represent the "present value "of that sum at a time earlier by an interval represented by the horizontal distance between the ordinates. Ch. XIII, § 1. which is — The deficiency below unity of the ratio of of. exchange between the values of present and future goods, taken in relation to the time interval between the two sets of goods. Ch. XII, § 7. The rate of discount may, like the rate of interest, be reckoned annually, semi-annually, quarterly, or continuously. (It may also, theoretically, be taken in the price sense as well as in the sense above, but practically never is.) total. The difference between any sum and its discounted or Discount, rate — present value. — Discounted value. (See Value, present.) A negative service. An instrument renders a disDisservice. — service when, by its means, an undesirable event or a desirable event prevented. Ch. II, § 2; is promoted Ch. VIII, § 1. — Negative (Syn. Undesir Ch. §2. Earnings. — (See Income, Exchange. — The mutual and voluntary transfer of goods (wealth, Disutility. utility. Ill, ability.) earned.) property, or services) between two owners, each transfer being in consideration of the other. Expense. Ch. I, § 4; Ch. II, § 3. — Outgo in the form of money-spending. Ch. VIII, § 1. — The quantity of any thing undergoing any change during any period of time. Ch. IV, — The duration. a flow to Ch. IV, value. Ch. IV, Fund. — A stock of wealth or property or amortization. — (See Fund, — A fund formed by accumulating that part Flow. specified speci- specified fied ratio of rate of. § 1. its § 1. its § 1. depreciation.) depreciation. of income which must be turned back into capital to maintain the It may also be defined as formed from capital-value intact. the difference between real income and earnings, when that difference is accumulated. income is uniform and runs only for a fixed term, the depreciation fund may also be defined as formed from a succession of equal payments out of income, such that if each be accumulated at compound interest, the total will be equal to the (Syn. Amortioriginal capital at the end of the income term. If the zation fund.) Ch. XIV, § 6. SUMMARY OF DEFINITIONS 333 — A fund formed by accumulating the difference Fund, sinking. between actual income and a terminable annuity which has the same present worth. As applied to bonded debts it may also be defined as formed by accumulating an annual sum such that its amount will just suffice to end — Abbreviation Income. Ch. VIII, § 1. — Statement account. for any by earned, Income of specified capital or to a person. of sum at the and Income value. equal (or extinguish) a given Ch. XIV, § 7. of a given period. services income and outgo, whether from — Income capital. the capital (or minus its appreciation plus realized depreciation). I.e. that income which a given capital can yield without alteration in its value. If interest be assumed invariable and all future income foreknown, this definition is equivalent to another, viz. the uniform and perpetual income which a given capital might yield; but the equivalence ceases if interest varies (see Appendix to Ch. XIV, § 1) or if future income is unknown. (Syn. Earnings, Standard income.) enjoyable. VII, — Income XIV, Ch. § 4. which consists of enjoyable services. Ch. § 6. — Sum of positive income elements. Ch. VII, — The income from the entire capital of an individual. Ch. VII, money. — Income which consists of the receipt of money. Ch. VII, 7 Ch. IX, natural. — Income which consists of services not obtained by exchange. Ch. VII, 7; Ch. IX, — The difference between gross income and outgo. Ch. VIII, §1. (Syn. Subjective psychic. — Agreeable conscious experiences. income.) Ch. X, — Actual income, the value of from any actual — The flow services from that capital any through a period of time. Ch. VIII, — The income from the entire capital of the Ch. VII, standard. — (See Income, — (See Income, — The value of income-services. from any Ch. VIII, Ch. of wealth. Instrument. — An individual gross. § 1. all individual. § 7. § § 5. ; § 5. § net. § 3. capital realized, its i.e. services. of capital. services, of § 1. society. social. § 7. earned.) psychic.) subjective. capital. value, its § 1. article I, § 1. NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 334 Interaction. — An event which a service of one capital and at the is same time a disservice of another. Intermediate service, Ch. IX, § 2. Interacting services. Preparatory — (See — (See (Syn. Interacting service, service, Coupled service.) Interaction.) Intermediate services. Interaction.) — The product of the rate of interest multiplied by the Ch. XIV, capital-value. nominal. — The stipulated annual payments on a bond or note Interest. § 4. nominally (but not always in fact) equal to the interest on the "principal." Ch. XIII, § 7. Many meanings are given below. The standard meanrate of. ing used in this book is that called "rate of interest in the premium sense reckoned annually." In the price sense : The ratio between the annual rate rate of. of a perpetual annuity and the equivalent capital- value. — — Ch. XII, § 2. is said to be reckoned annually if the annuity is payable in annual installments; it is said to be reckoned semi-annually, if the annuity is payable in semiannual installments; quarterly, if in quarterly installments; continuously, if payable continuously. In the premium sense: The excess above unity of the rate of. rate of exchange between the values of future and present goods taken in relation to the time interval between the two sets of Ch. XII, § 4. (Syn. rate of interest in the agio sense.) goods. The rate of interest is said to be reckoned annually if the two This is the standard meaning sets of goods are one year apart. It is said to be of the "rate of interest" as used in this book. The rate of interest — reckoned semi-annually, terly, if three if they are a half-year apart; quar- months apart; continuously, if infinitesimally apart. rate of. rate of. — In agio sense (See in premium — Reckoned annually, semi-annually, sense.) : quarterly, contin- uously: (See under rate of interest in price sense and rate of interest in premium sense.) — The difference between any sum and "amount." Appendix to Ch. XIII, the form of human exertion. Ch. X, Labor. — Outgo Ch. part of the earth's Land. — Wealth which improvements. — Wealth constructed upon and attached to land, Ch. §2. Ch. V, obligations due a person. — Amount its total. § 7. § 6. in surface. is I, § 2. I, Liabilities of of others. § 1. SUMMARY OF DEFINITIONS 335 — — — Mathematical basis. (See Basis, mathematical.) (See Chance.) value of a chance. The method of summing capital- or inMethod, of balances. come-accounts which consists in first deducting the sura of the negative items in each from the sum of the positive items, and then adding the "balances" thus obtained. Ch. IX, § 2. The method of summing capital accounts and income of coufles. accounts which consists in canceling out the "couples.' Ch. IX, § 2, Outgo. Negative income. Ch. VIII, § 1. net. Net income, when negative. Ch. VIII, § 1. Person. Any owner of property, whether real or fictitious. Ch. — — — — II, § 3. fictitious. — An imaginary entity (such as a firm or corporation) regarded, for bookkeeping purposes, as holding property for a number of other persons (real or fictitious.) Ch. II, § 2. An owner of property who is a living human being. Price. A ratio of exchange. Ch. I, § 4. The quotient found by dividing the money exchanged money. for goods by the quantity of the goods themselves. Ch. I, real. — — — §4. Principal. — The final payment on a bond or note, supposed to be sum " lent." (but not always in fact) equal to the original Ch. XIII, § 7. — (See Interaction.) — See Chance. — The ratio mathematical value to value. Ch. XVI, Production. — (See Transformation.) — (See Transformation.) Productive services of capProductivity, physical. — The the quantity Ch. XI, per unit time to the quantity of the — The ratio the value of services of capital per unit the Ch. XI, time to the quantity — Rights to the chance of future Property property services wealth. Ch. complete. — The exclusive right to the services of an instrument. Ch. — The right to part of the services an instrument, other parts belonging to other owners. Ch. Purchase. — An exchange of money for goods. Ch. — Land and land improvements. Ch. Real Resources. — (See Preparatory services. Probability. of coefficient of. riskless § 6. process. ratio of of capital. of ital § 2. of of value. of rights) (or of § 2. capital, . II, § 3. right, all II, § 10. of right, partial. II, § 10. I, § 4. I, § 2. estate. Assets.) NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 336 Return, physical. — The ratio of the quantity of services of capital to the value of the capital. value. — The Ch. XI, § 2. ratio of the value of services of capital to the value Ch. XI, of the capital. Risk, coefficient — The § 2. commercial value to riskless value. product of the coefficient of probability multiplied by the coefficient of caution. Ch. XVI, § 6. of. ratio of It is equal to the — (See Basis, — The value which a thing would have nated. Ch. XVI, value a chance. — (See Chance.) — An exchange goods money. Ch. — An instrument renders a service when, by Riskless basis. riskless.) value. risk if were elimi- § 6. of Sale. of for I, § 4. Service. desirable event (Syn. Use.) is Ch. Services, coupled. its means, a promoted or an undesirable event prevented. II, § 2. — (See — Services received directly by human beings, Interaction.) enjoyable objective. and not (hke by other interactions) merely received for objective capital. Ch. X, sumption.) (Syn. (not well human beings chosen) Con- § 1. — (See Interaction.) preparatory. — (See Interaction.) Sinking fund. — (See Fund, sinking.) Standard income. — (See Income, earned.) Standardize. — To standardize a given income to convert into equivalent income earned. Stock. — The quantity of any specified thing at any instant. (Syn. Fund.) Ch. IV, Transaction. — That an exchange which to one of intermediate. is it its § 1. side the exchangers Ch. IX, ; it of relates credit and a debit. § 9. — An interaction which Transformation. — An interaction Transfer. Ch. IX, two items, a consists of a change of ownership of wealth. is § 3. condition of wealth. Ch. IX, §§ Transportation. is a change of form or Productive process.) 2, 3. — An interaction Ch. IX, — Negative position of wealth. Undesir ability. which (Syn. Production, which is a change of place or §§ 2, 3. desirability. (Syn. Ch. Disutility.) Ill, § 2. Utility of goods. (See Desirability.) — The value of goods (wealth, property, or services) product of their quantity multiplied by their price. Ch. Value. is the I, § 6. SUMMARY OF DEFINITIONS 337 — Value, commercial, of a chance. (See Chance.) discounted. (See Value, present.) — — (See Chance.) — The quantity of goods multiplied by money — The present value of any given future goods mathematical, of a chance. money. Ch. I, their price. § 6. is the quantity of present goods which will exchange for those future goods. (Syn. Present worth. Discounted value.) Ch. XIII, § 1. riskless, of a chance. (See Chance.) Wealth (in its broader sense). Material objects owned by present. — — human (in its beings. Ch. I, § 1. narrower sense). — Material article of. —A Instrument.) of. Ch. single object of wealth. Ch. I, article of.) Ch. present.) § 2. (Syn. Item of Wealth, I, § 1. — (See Wealth, Worth, present. — (See Value, item owned by human objects beings and external to their owners. I, § 1. APPENDICES Appendix to Chapter I Appendix to Chapter III Appendix to Chapter VII Appendix to Chapter XI Appendix to Chapter XII Appendix to Chapter XIII Appendix to Chapter XIV Appendix to Chapter XVI , APPENDIX TO CHAPTER § 1 (to Ch. I, I § 7) Dimensions of Wealth, Price, and Value What matliematicians call the "dimension" of a magnitude simply is its species or kind, as indicated by its measurement in terms of other magnitudes of the same or different kinds. It Consider is expressed mathematically by a letter or letters. amount of beef, any given If represents for example. h beef, say three hundred pounds, this letter may be taken to indicate The "dimension." its where w amount price of beef in terms of wheat is — stands for the amount of wheat exchangeable for an The expression — h of beef. (or, as it may be written, h thus expresses the "dimension" of price. It matters not what particular price of beef in terms of wheat is referred Every price is of the same form wb~^. Finally, the dito. wb~'^) " value " of the beef in terms of mension of the for this value is the product of the price, w — . -, I.e. , o its b, is w, by its b is, its price wheat beef, x~w = w. b That amount of the dimension of beef is represented by b, jp=— =100 by bp = value by ^, b— = w. We thus have a different dimension for each of the three differThis fact is expressed in common language, We measure cloth in yards, the price of cloth in bushels also. per yard, the value of cloth simply in bushels. Price and value ent magnitudes. differ as fundamentally as velocity and distance, which are feet per second and plain feet; or as measured respectively in 341 NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 342 density and weight, which are expressed in pounds per cubic and simply pounds. may seem at first that these distinctions between the dimension of price, quantity, and vahie are somewhat strained. foot It It may be claimed that price is simply the value of a unit, and In the is simply the price of the whole quantity. that value same way it moving body is is sometimes loosely said that the velocity of a simply the distance traversed in a unit of time. It is quite true, of course, the value of a unit of wealth that the is expresses the price per unit. number which expresses the same number as that which It is likewise true that the number which expresses velocity is the same as that which expresses the distance which will be traversed in a unit of time. Yet velocity is not distance, and no more is price, value; although practically where the wealth under consideration is or may be regarded as a single unit, it is less necessary to insist on If the price of a. the distinction between value and price. " unique " is $25 per unit, then its value is also $25. If a farm of 100 acres has a value of $5000, the price of the farm as a. and not as measured in acres, is $5000 per farm. But as soon as we have to deal separately with a single unit and a number of units, we must make a distinction between price and value. That they are not of the same dimension is clear from the fact that the number expressing the price of beef in terms of wheat varies with both the unit of beef and of wheat, while the number expressing the value of beef varies only with the unit of wheat. Thus, if the quantities of beef and wheat which exchange for each other are 300 pounds and 60' bushels respectively, the price and value of the beef in terms, of the wheat will be single thing, price of the beef, | bu. per lb. value of the beef, 60 bu. A change in the unit of measurement for beef will evidently two numbers. Thus, if the beef is measured in ounces (4800 oz.) instead of in pounds, the numaffect only the first of these bers become price of the beef, -^ bu. per oz. value of the beef, 60 bu. APPENDIX TO CHAPTER On 343 I the other hand, a change in the unit for measuring the wheat will affect both numbers. Thus, if wheat is measured in pecks instead of in bushels (while beef is still measured in pounds), the numbers representing price and value will change from ^ and 60 to |- and 240 respectively, each being magnified fourfold. We see then that the value and price of beef are similar in that they are similarly affected by a change in the unit of wheat but are different a change in the unit of It may in that they are differently affected by beef. aid the reader who is unfamiliar with the subject of the dimensionality of magnitudes to indicate a few of cations to physical science. If I is its appli- taken to represent the di- mension of length, area will be represented by Z^ and volume by l^. Consequently, length, area, and volume are said to be respectively of one, two, and three "dimensions," because Z, l^, and l^, which represent their dimensionalities, have for exponents 1, 2, and 3 respectively. The term "dimension" was originally applied simply to these cases of length, area, and volume. But it soon came to be extended to apply to every sort of mathematical magnitude. The following examples are noted without comment (I stands for length, m for mass, and t for time) : — Velocity, of dimension Acceleration, lt~'^, or feet per sec. or feet per sec. per sec. pounds feet per sec. pounds feet per sec. per sec. or pounds feet feet per sec. per or pounds feet feet per sec. per or or per sec. sec. sec. To illustrate the meaning of this table, we observe that the number which represents work (or energy) would be affected by a change in the units of mass, length, and time, as follows Halving the unit of mass (so that the number representing any mass would be doubled) would double the number representing the work halving the unit of length (so that the number representing any given length would be doubled) would quadruple the number representing work halving the unit of time : ; ; NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 344 (so that the number representing any given time would be doubled) would quarter the number representing the unit of work. The idea of " dimension " and its mode of representation are important subjects, for a fuller treatment of which the reader is referred to the article on the subject in Palgrave's Dictionary its more general applicaSystem of Units, 1891. of Political Econoiny, as well as for tions to J. D. Everett's C.G.S. APPENDIX TO CHAPTER § 1 (to Ch. Ill, § III 4) Definition of Marginal Desirability To express mathematically the marginal utility or desirabil- ity of any group of goods, For instance, coal containing 15 tons, and if of that increment. of 3 tons. that — Am will any increment of let Aa; represent goods measured in any specified unit, and mean the if Am reference the desirability is Aa? represents had to a bin of an increment desirability of those 3 tons, so will represent the average desirability per ton of 3 ad- Aic If ditional tons. we suppose the increment Aa; to be succes- sively decreased to 2 tons, 1 ton, approaching zero as a limit, i ton, and so the expression — on indefinitely, will mean suc- cessively the average desirability per ton of 2 additional tons, the desirability of 1 additional ton, the desirability per ton of i an additional ton {i.e. twice the desirability of that additional half ton), the desirability per ton of \ an additional ton {i.e. four times the desirability of an additional ^ of a ton), etc. The limit of this series will be the desirability per ton of an infinitesimal increment of the fraction — dx This, . which coal, is, and may be expressed by as mathematicians say, the assuming continuity, have the same value if, in place of the increment, a decrement were considered that is, if instead of supposing the owner of the 15 tons to add 3 tons, we suppose him to subtract 3 tons. differential quotient of desirability, will, ; APPENDIX TO CHAPTER Then — would Ax represent the average desirability per ton of this 3 tons subtracted, which would evidently be somewhat ton of 3 additional tons. greater than the desirability per But when we 345 VII substitute for 3 tons, the smaller magnitudes 2 tons, 1 ton, i ton, i ton, etc., the resulting value of — , or the desirability peo' ton of this constantly lessening decrement, will become equal, at the limit, to the desirability per ton of the The constantly lessening increment. — dx . The expression — indicates dx limit of the by and when the article may is expressed more exactly than could be indicated in the text the true meaning ability, — of marginal desir- be indefinitely subdivided, marginal desirability is the same whether reckoned Practically, however, such increments or decrements. mathematical subdivision does not always apply, and it may even happen that the desirability of one unit more may be materially different from the desirability of one unit less. For instance, the owner of one piano may esteem it very highly, but a second piano would have almost no desirability. Here the desirability of one unit less is far greater than the desirability of one unit more, owing to the fact that the piano is an indivisible unit, and we can consider no increments or decrements except of whole pianos. In this case instead of one marginal desirability we have two, which may be distinguished as " regressive " and " progressive." APPENDIX TO CHAPTER § VII 1 (to Ch. 7, § 1) Specimen Definitions of Income Murray, English Dictionary on Historical Principles, 1901. Income : 6. spec{ijically']. That which comes in as the periodical produce of one's work, business, lands, or invest- ments (considered in reference to its amount, and commonly expressed in terms of money); annual or periodical receipts NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 346 accruing to a person or corporation revenue. Formerly also receipts, emoluments, profits but the plural is now in pi. ; = ; used only in reference to more than one person. (The prevailing sense.) 1601, E. Johnson, Kingd. & Commun. (1603) 196. Paying the expense of one yere with the income of another. 1633, Herbert, Temple, XXVII. Never exceed thy Oomm. Angells. 152. Hee hath paines and cost; now what are his Cli. Porch. 1646, H. Laurence, income. "beene at a great deale of in-comes ? He 1652, C. B. Stapylton, Herodian, 16. scraped and never was content. But studied more his Incomes to augment. 1697, Dryden, Virg. Georg. II, 285. No Fields afford So large an Income to the Village Lord. 1789, Loiterer, No. Having lived, what is called up to his income, that is, 43, 10. a good deal above it. 1802, Med. Jrnl. VIII, 229. Income, in its usual acceptation, is a loose and vague term it applies equally to gross receipts and to net produce: But when the Legislature had limited it to be synonimous with profits and gains, it became as clear and precise as any other word. 1866, George Eliot, F. Holt, ii, 1, 76. No, I shan't attack the Church only the incomes of the bishops, perhaps, to make them eke still ; out the incomes of the poor clergy. These definitions afford no means of deciding on net income. If income is simply what comes in and outgo simply what goes out, and if in any year as much passes out of one's hands as comes in, is the net income izero? Dr. N. G. Pierson, Principles of Economics Trans, by A. A. London (Macmillan & Co.), 1902. Wotzel, Vol. I, p. 76. By social income we mean the sum-total of economic goods which a nation has at its disposal in a given period of time; the net result of the productive labour of the nation during that time. Is not its capital " at its disposal " in ? Economy (2d Is it then income ? Eng. trans., speaking of national wealth, says that gross income con- Eoscher, Principles of Political p. 5), any period sists of, " (a) " (6) vol., — Of the raw material newly obtained in the country. Of imports from foreign countries, including that which is secured by piracy, war booty, contributions, etc. APPENDIX TO CHAPTER " (c) The increase of values add to the first final " (d) two 347 VII which industry and commerce up to the time of their classes consumption. Services in the narrower sense and the produce of capital in use. " To find the national net ing items : — income we must deduct the follow- "(a) All the material employed in production which yields " (6) " (c) The exports which pay for the imports. The wear and tear of productive capital and no immediate satisfaction to any personal want. capital in use." illustrated is the method which takes its from the goods. There is another method which takes its starting point from the persons who receive them. By this method the national income is to be calculated as The method thus starting point follows "(a) — : From the net income of all independent private busi- nesses, etc, " (b) From the net income of the state, of municipalities, corporations and institutions, " (c) derived from their own resources. Under the former heads must be taken into the account such parts of property as have been immediately consumed and enjoyed. "(d) Interest on debt must be added only on the side of the creditor and deducted from the income of the debtor." How is double counting to be avoided if " raw materials produced" and also "the produce of capital in use" (d)? "Increase (a) are income of values" (c) is not income but capital. Alfred Marshall, Principles of Economics, Vol. London (Macmillan), 1898. "Another convenient term is I, pp. 149, 150. the usance of wealth. It means income of benefits of every kind which a person derives from the ownership of wealth, whether he uses it as the whole capital or not. Thus it includes the benefits which he gets NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 348 from the use of his own piano, equally with those which a piano dealer would win by letting out a piano on hire. " This income is most easily measured when it takes the form payment made by a borrower for the use of a loan for, then expressed as the ratio which that payment bears to the loan, and is called interest. But this term is also used more broadly to represent the money equivalent to the whole income which is derived from capital. # * * * * * * of a say, a year it is ; "Social income may be estimated by adding together the incomes of the individuals in the society in question, whether it be a nation or any larger or smaller group of persons. Everything that is produced in the course of a year, every service rendered, every fresh utility brought about is a part of the national income. "We same thing twice. we have already counted the values of the yarn and the labour that were used But if in making it and these must not be counted again. the carpet is cleaned by domestic servants or at steam scouring works, the value of the labour spent in cleaning it must be If must be careful not to count the we have counted a carpet at its full value, ; counted in separately ; for otherwise the results of this labour would be altogether omitted from the inventory of those newlyproduced commodities and conveniences which constitute the real income of the country." "Usance wealth" is apparently identical with income as explained "Social income," however, seems at variance with the concept of " usance " for it includes concrete wealth. of in this book. ; William Smart, The Distribution of Income, London (Macmillan), 1899, p. 18. "In any case, the attempt at classification seems to bring out clearly that there are, conceivably, two ways of computing the one which takes it as the sum any additions to capital, the other which takes it as the sum of the services which contribute to the making of them and that these two are alternatives. Either alternative, however, may be used when different purposes are in view and the thesis which I put forward is that. the real National Income : of consumption goods plus ; ; APPENDIX TO CHAPTER 349 VII while the National Income must be conceived of as the total sum of consumption goods, as these and these alone are the means of satisfying the end of economic action, the life of man, must be calculated as the sum of the contributory services." it Includes concrete goods and abstract services. F. W. Taussig, Wages and Capital York), 1906, p. 36. ^' would seem It best, therefore, to let the simply for inchoate wealth yet serve houses, (Appleton : & New Co., term capital stand for all the possessions that do not human wants. Tools and machines, factories and ware- raw materials and — these half-finished and nearly finished go together as being not directly conducive to enjoyment; while all forms of finished commodities food, goods, houses, all clothes, ornaments — — belong together as enjoyable wealth and as income." Are houses income Henry Rogers New ? Seager, Introduction to Economics (Holt & Co., York), 1904, pp. 163-164. "The money income merely the convenient medium by income of the community is divided among those entitled to share it. This real income consists of consumable goods for those who spend their entire money incomes, and partly of consumable goods and partly of capital means of which the goods for those As to and the who is real save." the inclusion of "savings" under Income, see text of this chapter fuller treatment in Chapter XIV. Charles Jesse Bullock, Introduction to the Boston & rev. ed. "In this way (Silver, Burdett the social income for any be divided into four constituent parts "1. : Study of Economics, Co.), 1900, p. 376. — month or year may The satisfactions derived from durable consumable goods, the product of past industry, that still remain in the possession community and add to its material enjoyments. "2. The personal services at the disposal of the society during the period for which the income is computed. "3. The material goods of a consumable character that are of the the product of the current industry for the period considered. NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 350 "4. The producers' goods, or capital, created by the current industry of the period, and available for the production of economic goods during the following periods." double counting avoided Is ; Frank A. Are material goods from them ? e.g. then, in addition, the satisfactions Fetter, Tlie Principles of Economics, Century Co. ), to be counted, and New York (The 1904, pp. 40, 41. 3. " Objective income consists of the additional sums of goods acquired by individuals or by society during the income period. TV tF ^ :^ ^ ^ ^ 4. " Income in the logical sense must be a net addition, but the term gross income is not loithout popular and practical meaning. sometimes spoken of in the sense of total receipts, as the total of goods secured; net income is the remainder after deducting expenditures and after replacing the goods employed to secure the income. In order to produce some goods technically, men make use of other goods. While they are storing up a supply of wood or coal it may be looked upon as the income, but they may burn it to help grow hotWhile they gather flowers with one hand, they house plants. destroy fuel with the other. Only the net increase in value can be accounted income in the second period. The goods that come into a man's possession in any period are of many Gross income sorts : to get is some he has destroyed many previously existing goods; while to get others he has not needed to use up the accumulations of the past or to mortgage the future. The one kind is gross, the other net income. An income of consumption goods is a part of wealth, but The consumption goods, the 'present not the whole of it. 5. ^^ goods' at the moment available, are the essential part of wealth for the moment's enjoyment. The only essential and immediate conditions of a series of gratifications is a regular series of consumption goods. But many things existing which could be used to secure a gratification are not in fact treated as consumption goods. a time of famine last year, it A crop of corn is not all income. In could be used, but seed-corn was saved from and some must be kept for next year. This is a APPENDIX TO CHAPTER 351 VII part of wealth, but not of 'present goods' we understand as the term." " Goods " are not income. Increase of value is not income. See text. Kleinwachter, Das Einkommen und seine Verteilung, Leipzig, 1896, pp. 11, 12. So bestimmt beispielweise das Einkommensteuergesetz 26. Marz, 1886, im Sec. 4: — Hamburg vom flir von dem reinen Einkommen oder in Geld oder Geldeswert (etwaige selbstverwohnte Miete, den Wert etwaige freier "Die Einkommensteuer Erwerb zu entrichten, d. ist h. alien Wohnung, Naturallieferungen u. s. f. hinzugerechnet) beste- henden Einnalimen des Steuerpflichtigen, ohne Ausnahme, gleichgiltig aus welcher Quelle sie gefiossen. . . ."^ Ahnlich sagt das sachsische Einkommensteuergesetz vom Juli, 1878, im § 15: "Als Einkommen — gilt die 2. Summe aller Einnahmenmit Wohnung im eigenen Hause, . . , Einschluss des Mietwertes der sowie des Wertes der zum Haushalt verbrauchten Erzeugnisse der eigenen Wirtschaft. Und ." . fast mit denselben Worten, nur etwas minutioser und sagt der osterreichische genauer, betreffend die §195: . — Entwurf direkten Personalsteuren "Als Einkommen gilt die Summe eines vom Jahre aller in Gesetzes, 1892, im Geld oder Geldes- wert bestehenden Einnahmen der einzelnen Steuerpflichtigen mit Einschluss des Mietwertes der Wohnung im eigenen Hause oder sonstiger freier Wohnung, sowie des Wertes der zum Haushalte verbrauchten Erzeugnisse der eigenen Wirtschaft und des eigenen Gewerbebetriebes, sowie sonstiger dem Steuerpflichtigen Bemerkenswert allenfalls ist, dass zukommender ISTaturaleingange." keine dieser Gesetzesstellen die einzelnen Arten oder Zweige oder Bestandteile des Einkom- mens, die der Steuer unterworfen sein sollen, taxativ aufzahlt, sondern dass die in Eede stehenden Gesetze das "Einkommen" ganz allgemein zu definieren bestrebt sind. Und der Tenor ist jedesmal : " Unter Einkommen versteht man alle in Geld oder NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 352 Geldeswert bestehenden Einndhmen, gleichgiltig aus welcher Quelle sie gejiossen.'' Da nun in unserer heutigen auf der Grundlage des Privateigentums und der Individualwirtschaft aufgebauten Volkswirtschaft alle 1. erdenklichen Sachgtiter, erdenklichen Nutzungen dieser Sachgiiter und erdenklichen personlichen Dienstleistungen um Geld verkauft und gekauft werden konnen und demgemass " Geldes2. alle 3. alle wert haben," so ergiebt sieh, dassder Gesetzgeber alle materiellen und immateriellen Gliter, die in die Wirtschaft des Einzelnen treten, unter den Begriff des Einkommens subDas heisst also mit anderenWorten: sumiert wissen will. . . . der Gesetzgeber definiert den Einkommensbegriff in der nam- und zwar so, dass werden sollen, welcbe entweder in die eigene Wirtschaft von aussen hereinkommen, oder welche innerhalb der eigenen Wirtschaft neu entstehen, und zwar gleichgiltig ob diese Giiter materielle (oder Sach-) Giiter, oder ob sie immaterielle Giiter (d. i. Nutzungen von Sachgiitern oder personliche Dienstleistungen) sind. lichen Weise, wie es oben definiert wurde, "Einkommen" unter To Giiter verstanden include in income all newly acquired or newly produced goods clearly to include too shown alle much. To restrict income in the text, to err both in inclusion the income shall be required to make Kleinwachter, it "rein" or "net" without so op. is is money receipts is, as and exclusion. To require that to defining the deduction to leave the definition incomplete. cit., pp. 22-23. An dieser Stelle gentigt die Bemerkung, dass die HekMANN-ScHMOLLEBSCHE Definition oder Auffassung des (Einzel-) Einkommens bis auf den heutigen Tag so ziemlich (die abweichenden Meinungen sollen welter unten erwahnt werden) die herrschende geblieben wirtschaftliche Untersuchungen." S. 582 u. ist. 583) definiert das (Einzel-) 2. Hermann Aufl., (" Staats- Miinchen, 1870, Einkommen wie so wenig "So wenig jede Ausgabe Verbrauch ist, Einnahme Einkommen. Dieses ist vielmehr die folgt: ist Summe jede der wirtschaftlichen oder Tauschgiiter, welche in einer gewissen Zeit zu dem ungeschmalert fortbestehenden Stammgut einer Person neu hinzutreten, die sie daher beliebig verwenden kann. APPENDIX TO CHAPTER Dass es ebensowohl korperlicher konne, ist 353 VII als unkdrperlicher Natur sein klar." Und im Anschlusse an diese Hermannschb Definition des Einkommens sagt Schmolleb ("Die Lehre vom Einkommen u. s. w." in der "Zeitschr. Bd. 19, S. 1 ff. f. speciell S. 19): " Einkommen ist . . . d. ges, — also die Staatsw. " Summe von Jalirg. 1863, wirtschaftliclien Giitern, die ein Subjekt in einer gewissen Zeit zur Befriedigung Schmalerung seines Vermogens verwenden kann. Filr Jeden sind die Frilclite seiner Arbeit und seines Vermogens sein ursprtingliches Einkommen; ein abseiner Bedlirfnisse ohne geleitetes hat nur der, welcher solcbe Ertichte nicht hat d. h. Zum Einkommen nur er lebt vom Einkommen anderer. gehoren stets aiich samtliche unmittelbar, d. h. ohne Tausch, verbrauchten oder genossenen Ertichte der Arbeit und des Vermogens." ; . . . The foregoing definitions express in a general way wiiat we have called " earnings " as distinct from " income." They err however by fixing on concrete commodities in place of their services and in some other respects. See text. In erschopfender Weise hat Adolf Wagner bisher geschilderten Auffassung entspringenden "Grundlegung" (1. Aufl., S. 96 Einzelneinkommen defin- definitionen in seiner bekannten 97 ) zusammengefasst, iert wie folgt: u. — "Im Einkommen wenn sie empfangt, daher mit Das Einkommen "1. Diejenige er das (einzeln in den Einktlnften) Einnahmen oder Ertrage die aus der Einkommens- werden die in Beziehung mit der Person, welche dem Wirtschaftssubjekte gebraeht. einer Person umfasst zweierlei: — Summe welcher der- wirtschaftlicher selben in gewissen Perioden . . . Giiter, regelmassig und daher mit der Fahigkeit der regelmassigen Wiederholung als Eeinertrage einer festen Erwerbsquelle neu als Dieser Teil des Einkommens Vermogen hinzuwachsen. einer Person rilhrt daher aus der Wirtschaftsfilrung ilberhaupt und aus einzelnen lichen Thatigkeiten (Arbeit, wirtschaft- Unternehmung) oder aus Eigen- tums- oder Eorderungsrechten inbesondere (Sklaveneigentum, Grundeigentum, Kapitaleigentura, Eorderungen aus Kreditge- 2a NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 354 endlich schaften), aus regelmassigeu nahmen (Almosen, Geschenk) unentgeltlichen Ein- her. Die Gentisse (JSTutzungen) oder selbst nur die Genuss- "2. moglichkeiten, welche das ISTutzvermogen einer Person nach. Abrechnung der dabei stattfindenden Abnutzung und Verkehrswertverminderung periodisch. fortdauernd gestattet. " Das Einkommen einer Person bildet zunacbst den Giiterf end zur Befriedigung ihrer Bedtirfnisse. Seine Erwerbung Es kann Mittel zu letzterem Zwecke. ist das in derselben Periode, in der es erlangt wurde, vollstandig verzehrt werden, ohne dass dadurch das frtihere Vermogen geschmalert wird. Die Tauschwerthohe des Einkommens einer Person entsclieidet liber das Mass der letzterer moglichen dauernden Bedilrfnisbefriedigungen, ist daher volkswirtscliaftlich von grosster Bedeutung." The errors in Wagner's definition are the restriction that income must be "regular" and the inclusion of concrete commodities and abstract services, side by side. Kleinwachter, . . . steht : man — alle op. cit., p. 24. heute unter dem Einkommen einer Person ver- Guter, welclie in die Wirtschaft oder in das einer Person treten, und zwar : — Vermogen 1. gleichgiltig, ob diese Gilter von aussen in die eigene Wirtschaft hereinkommen, oder ob sie innerhalb der eigenen Wirtscliaft neu entstanden sind, und 2. ler gleicbgiltig, Natur ob diese Gtiter materieller oder unmateriel- sind. Allerdings mtissen in diese Definition zwei weitere aufgenommen werden, wenn Momenta communis zwei Momente, die dieselbe die heutige opinio der Wissenschaft widerspiegeln soil, der "Einleitung" mit Vorbedacht unberticksichtigt gelassen babe, well sie ftir den mir dort vorscbwebenden Zweck bedeutungslos waren, namlich ich in : — 1. dass die in Rede stehenden Gtiter mit einer gewissen Eegelmassigkeit in die Wirtschaft oder in das Vermogen der betreffenden Person treten milssen, wenn sie als " Einkommen " gelten sollen, 2. und dass diese Gtiter nur dann als "Einkommen" aufgefasst . APPENDIX TO CHAPTER 355 VII werden konnen, -vvenn sie neu in die Wirtschaft oder in das Vermogen der betreffenden Person treten, d. h. also wenn sie zu dem bislierigen Vermogen der betreffenden Person hinzutreten, oder mit anderen Worten: es liegt umgekehrt kein vor, wenn Guter in die eigene Wirtschaft herwelche Teile des Stammvermogens dieser Wirtschaft sind, also beispielweise, wenn ausstehende Forderungen zuriickgezalilt oder ausgeliehene Vermogenobjekte zurtickgestellt "Einkommen" einfliessen, werden. According to Kleinwachter the effort to reach a self-consistent concept income had led to the inclusion of every element flowing into one's possession whether by exchange from without or by production from within his own establishment, and whether these elements are material or immaterial, so long as we exclude such elements as " irregular " receipts of and the return of old debts. The uselessness of such a concept Klein- wachter himself points out. Eobert Meyer, Handioorterhucli der Staats- Wissenschaften, Bd. Ill, Art. Einkommen "Begriff," p. 348. Die englische liberale ISTationalokonomie war von dieser Grundlage aus zu einseitigen Eesultaten gelangt, indem sie das Einkommen ganz in der Art verstand, wie die Buchhaltung einer kaufmannischen oder industriellen Unternekmung den Eeingewinn ermittelt. M, TT M, VT ^ M, TT -TS" ^ ^ •R" TV" M, TV' Die deutscke Litteratur hat diese Einseitigkeit vermieden, und die bis auf die Gegenwart herrsckend gebliebene Hermannsche, von Schmoller erganzte und vielleickt tlber Gebiihr viel bewunderte Lehre versteht unter Einkommen alle TauschStammvergiiter, die nach vollstandiger Herstellung alles mogens innerhalb des Jahres neu erzeugt und dargeboten werden und zur Befriedigung der Bedtirfnisse der Nation dienen raogen (Hermann), oder die Summe der wirtschaftlicken Guter, die ein Subjekt in einer gewissen Zeit zur Befriedigung seiner Bediirfnisse ohne Schmalerung seines Vermogens wer- wenden kann (Schmoller) ^ -TT In neuerer Zeit ausgesetztes T? tP ist ^ TT tP ein frtiher als selbstverstandlich vor- Merkmal auch begriflich in den Vordergrund NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 356 die Wiederkehr, die regelmassige Wiederkehr oder die Fahigkeit der Wiederkehr der das Einkommen bildenden Einnahmen. gestellt -worden: Formliclie Definitionen des Einkommens werden vermieden, doch sagt die sachsische Einkommen steuer haufig vom 2. Als Einkommen gilt die Summe aller in Geld und Geldeswert bestehenden Einnahmen abztlglich der auf Erlangung, Sicherung und Erhaltung dieser Einnahmen verwandten Ausgaben sowie etwaiger Schuldzinsen, auch inJuli, 1878, § 25: sofern diese nicht zu den eben bezeichneten Ausgaben gehoren, Ausserordentliche Einnahmen durch Erbschaft und ahnliche Erwerbungen gelten jedoch nicht als steuerpflichtiges EinkomGanz men, sondern als Yermehrung des Stammvermogens. ahnlich das osterreichische G. v. 25. Oktober, 1896, welches jedoch den zweiten Absatz anders gefasst hat: — "Ausserordentliche Einnahmen aus Erbschaften, Lebensliapitalsversicherungen, Zuwendungen kommen. " lichen Schenkungen und ahnlichen unentgelt- gelten nicht als steuerpflichtiges Ein- These formulations virtually repeat the definitions given above. Eranz Guth, Die Lehre vom Einkommen in dessen Qesammt- zweigen, Leipzig, 1878, p. 62. Einkommen ist jede aus einer Quelle, also mit einer gewissen ^egelmassigkeit widerkehrende Vermehrung des Verm o gens. Der Bezieher Kann es geniessen, verzehren, oder auf irgend Lot•einer Art vernichten, ohne seinen Eonds zu schwachen. teriegewinne, precare Almosen und Geschenke sind daher kein Einkommen, wohl aber sind es sich auf gewisse Titel griinden. This view is discussed iu the text. Almosen und Geschenke, die APPENDIX TO CHAPTER 357 XII APPENDIX TO CHAPTER XI 1 (to Ch. XI, § § 2) Dimensions of Income-capital Ratios If we indicate time by t and distinguish the quantity and value of services by the letters q and v, and the quantity and value of capital by Q and V, the four ratios mentioned assume the form : — Physical productivity, -^, e.g. bushels per acre per year. Yalue productivity, — , e.g. dollars per acre per year. Physical return, -^, e.g. bushels per dollar's worth of capital per year. — Talue return, , e.g. dollars per dollar ( i.e. per cent) per year. APPENDIX TO CHAPTER § XII 1 (to Ch. XII, § 2) -Mathematical Relations between Rates, Annually, Semi-annually, when conceived in the Sense of the Price of Capital If i' income annum when the represents the rate of interest per is % payable semi-annually (such as 4 in the text) and the income is i the rate which would be its payable annually (such as 4.04 the relation between V and i is, — etc., <fo in the example equivalent when in the example), 4 this we observe that under our hypothesis as to i a capital of f 1 will buy a perpetual income of either i V each year, or - each six months. Let us suppose, as in the To show and i', preceding example, in six months the holder of the latter i' annuity, after receiving his first installment of income, „? sells NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 358 out for $1, which he may remains unchanged. With new annuity 1 +M same of the evidently do the rate of interest if his total receipts, 1 i' + -, he buys a This will evidently yield him type. per annum, payable in semi-annual installments of i' amount, or half that — ^^ jr-^ At . the end of another six Zi months, then, he receives this last-named sum, and, selling his newly bought annuity sum for its original value of 1 (^ i' hand a total vests $ 1 and retains of l + --f ^ as + 5)'-' — Of ^ i' + -, . he has in sum he this income the remainder, or - 2 -f ' rein- 2 may evidently be obtained year after year simply by repeating the above process. It constitutes a perpetual annuity, payable annually, and its value simplified from the This sum above formula Since this is evidently %'-{-—. the annual income, payable annually, which is of capital will hwj, that is, i = We may i' -f by definition, the f1 magnitude we called i; . in like which case we i" 4 it is manner proceed to quarterly payments, in by analogous reasoning, denoting by shall find, the rate of interest per annum payable 8 § ^16 2 (to Ch. XII, quarterly, that 256 § 4) Mathematical Relations between Rates reckoned Annually, Semi-annually, Diagrammatic Repetc., when Rates are conceived as " Premiums." resentation. In general Economic Interpretation let semi-annually. i' of e. be the rate of interest per Then the " amount " of f1 annum reckoned in six months is ; APPENDIX TO CHAPTER i' 1 +- and , compound the " est, or, this sum months in another six interest to 1 1 + - , XII 359 will " amount " by + which must be equal to 1 J i, amount " i, of $1 in one year at the equivalent rate of interreckoned annually; i.e. expanding and reducing, — = 1'+-, 1 4 which is was regarded interest prove 1 -\- i the rate of as the price of capital. Similarly, for the interest rate may when the same result obtained before = (1 -\ j reckoned n times a year, 1 reckoned quarterly, and for the , -\- i", i —11 -\ V rate interest we i^"', )• ^ J In other words, i" ^H = 1^+4 = ^(.n)\n fl + o (n)\ n J!L (n) n As n increases indefinitely, the last expression approaches a limit. The limit of i'-"^ is the " rate of interest per annum com- puted continuously," called S. The limit of the square bracket the base of the Napierian system of logarithms called e for is ; by the definition of e usually given, when k -; — is is any number increasing such a number, for indefinitely, and i^"-'' n, it is the limit of indefinitely. by hypothesis, evidently decreases. is ( 1 + j, Evidently to be increased Hence at the limit the last formula becomes, 1 Or, substituting for e its 1 + = e« i numerical value, + = I (2.7182818)«. Another proof of this formula could be given for the case where the rate of interest is conceived as the price of capital, NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 360 by following to the limit the method 1 of this Appendix, § above. The number e, or 2.7182818, plays almost as important a role the number 3.141592, in mathematics as called which ir, expresses the ratio of the circumference of a circle to its diameter, but the meaning of e is less familiar to most students. Various definitions and interpretations economist, the most interesting "amount" of fl put at compound may To the be given. the following: is e is the interest during the "pur- chase period," the latter being derived on the assumption that the rate of interest is payable continuously. This proposition is implicitly contained in the demonstration of the equation 1 -\-i= e^, as given above. The following is a more explicit statement, with actual illustrative figures : If we consider the rate of interest annually, amount the purchase period of f 1 put 4% at is 4%, or - — 25 years, or - payable , and the interest for these 25 years will be (1 If next amount we of take 4% payable of 25 years will be 4% if at interest at is the interest /-. \ is times a year, the amount At f^ \ amount of $1 put payable quarterly And + .04)25. semi-annually, the $1 during the purchase period Similarly, the — reckoned as payable w is /-. \ .04V50 2 J .04V100 4 y .04\-^ n J we have the amount of $1 at interest at 4^ for 25 years when the rate of interest is payable continuously. The limit of the above expression, when n is made indefithe limit, nitely great, is the definition of e. The distinction between the different rates of interest may be shown by a diagram. In Figure 33, let the curve B'AB represent a "discount curve," any two ordinates of which represent exchangeable goods situated at two corresponding points of time, as a and the b, that is, the sum aA of " present " goods will buy sum bB beyond of goods which lie in the future a time interval ab, the " present." If we take these two points, a and b, a year apart, the rate of interest as reckoned annually is the APPENDIX TO CHAPTER "slope" of the secant —=^ -5- aAy AB 361 XII in relation to the ordinate Similarly, the- slope of the secant AC aA drawn through points corresponding to times a half year apart, taken in relation to aA, is the rate of interest reckoned semi-annually. Fig. 33. and so At the limit, the slope aA) represents the rate of on. lation to of the tangent AT (in re- interest reckoned continu- ously. Similarly, the regressive secant, AB', represents the rate of discount, reckoned annually (if ab' represents a year interval), NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 362 AC, the rate reckoned semi-annually, and so on until the tan- gent AT',OT interest AT, again reached, is and discount disappears. when the distinction between It is easy to prove (by simi- lar triangles) that the reciprocal of the rate of interest continu- ously reckoned, in other words the represented by aS "year's § 3 (to Ch. XII, is § 6) A Fremium Rate of 4% one Year and 3% Each Year Rate We purchase," the subtangent. of after means a Price 3.03% the First Year. 4% as the rate of interest (as premium) in and 3 % as the rate for each year thereafter. Let us suppose that f 100 to-day is invested for $ 104 next year, and that at the end of the year, of this $ 104, f 100 is re- the have given first year, Since thereafter the rate of interest invested. premium is always 3% by proof in the text, also 3% Consequently, the $100 reinvested next in the price sense. year may be used to buy $ 3 a year forever. The result is that for the $ 100 to-day the return is f 4 next year and $ 3 each year thereafter. This series of payments is the same as $3 a in the sense, it must be, year forever, together with one extra dollar at the end of the first year. This extra dollar has a present worth (since the interest -i-, premium between this year and next year is 4%) of If we deduct this present value of the extra or .96j\. dollar from the $100 (which series of $4, $3, f 3, $3, is etc., the present value of the entire ad inf.), we have value of the series without the extra dollar, i.e. of the present $3 a year Since, then, this The remainder is $99.03^. $99,031^ will buy f 3 a year forever, the rate of interest in the forever. pnce sense is is $3-j-$99.03i|, or 3.03% approximately. This After the first year it will evidently the rate at the outset. always be 3%. § 4 (to Ch. XII, § 6) A Price Rate of 4 % this Year and 3 % Each Year after means a Premium Rate of 371% the Eirst Year. We have given 4 % first year, after. and 3% as the rate (in the price sense) for the as the rate (in the same sense) for each year —— APPENDIX TO CHAPTER $ 100 buy the right will to-day $4 year hence this right to It will therefore basis. consequently receive in 14+ f 1331 to may end of forever, and a be sold on a The $ 133.33. at the all, $ 4 a year annually fetch 363 XII 3% investor will this first year, a total f 1371. Hence the rate of interest in the sense of a premium will be for that year 37-^%. In succeeding years the rate of interest, considered either as a premium or a price, will evidently be 3%. of or § 5 (to Ch. XII, § 6) Mathematical Kelations between the Rates of Interest as a Premium and as a Price In general, year, and so rates of we if premium sense let represent the rate of interest in the ii for this year, whereas on, Zg for next year, and ji,J2, for the third ig represent etc., jg, the same successive between the i's and /s may be interest in the price sense for the years, the following relations proved: + ^ i, 1+J2 ^ 1 + , -+7 + ^-+ 1 ,H i^ .., -v^ (1 ^ + • . • ,. ^. ad = inf. : + h) (1 + *2)(1 + ad inf. = .., + (1 . . — ^"^—^ -\ + ii)(l + Q ... (i+j^y .. r-T-+ +7:; h ... ad inf. : ^'3) . (l+i^/ A + Q^ + 73(1 + i,)(l +^. (1 "^ .... + i,)(l + gw.(1 + rT-+ ... ad inf. ii) etc. These equations may be said to determine j^, as a peculiar mean of the magnitudes ii, i^, h, ad inf., and J2 as a similar mean of {2, 4, U, ... ad inf., etc. Their proof, which is simple, is left to those readers who are interested in sort of . • mathematics. The preceding equations express the values of the /s in NATUKE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 364 terms of the /s : The following equations i's. — give the i's in terms of h h ''5—jz T : J Ji etc. Thus if, as in our example, .04 The proof + ji = .04 and j^ — .03, = .371 .04 .03 -^^ 7^-^^ .03 of these formulae to the mathematical is also left may be proved independently or either set may be proved and the other set derived from it. To show that either set may be derived from the other, it will be found useful to substitute for reader. He will the left-hand observe that the two sets of equations members of the first set their simpler values as These derived by algebra. 111 are, -, r^-, etc. Jl J'2 Jz An easy proof of found by actually dividing 1 by Ji, etc. the formulae it is clear that if ii= t2= ^'3=, etc., then j.^=J2=J3=, etc., and that then all the t's = the /s. The this is From converse is also evident. § 6 (to Ch. XII, § 7) Mathematical Kelations between the Eates of Interest and Discount Let V, due one year hence, be the equivalent of in the present. Then the rates of interest expressed respectively by the formulae l : — V available and discount are + = ^; i l-d = Z. V Whence, by multiplying the two equations together we derive (1+0 (1 — d) = l, which reduces to d = i — id. That is, the number representing the rate of discount equals the number representing the equivalent rate of interest less a - APPENDIX TO CHAPTER 365 XII small correction, equal to the product of the rates of interest and discount. The relation between the rates of discount and interest when semi-annually reckoned is analogous to the relation which we found between those annually reckoned. We then have — =1—— Z V the equations, Y = ^-2' and ^Hence By (^1_|:) (l + |') = l. multiplication and reduction, We may interest reasoning to quarterly-reckoned apply similar and discount It follows that (1 rates. + J) (^ - x) = 1' d" = i"-''-^. or 4 The same reasoning may obviously be applied n times a year. to reckonings We then find, n of parts into which the divided, be sufficiently increased, the term be- It is evident that if n, the year is number comes infinitely small, so that, at the limit, the rate of interest and the rate of discount become equal. This rate for continuous reckoning, being the same as the rate of interest for continuous reckoning, is Unlike the rate of also called 8. interest, the rate of discount is always considered as associated with the exchange of present against future goods, and not with the exchange between capital and income, i.e. is taken, not in the "price" sense, but in the "pre- mium" sense (the premium being, in this case, negative). We may, however, to complete our scheme of concepts, construct for ourselves a "rate of discount" in the sense of the price of capital in income. We recur to the fact that the rate of NATUKE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 366 in the price sense, was defined as the ratio of income to capital, when the first installment of income is due at the end of the first time-interval. But if the first installment is due at the beginning, the ratio of income to capital is no longer the rate of interest, but may be called a interest, sort of rate of discount. Thus, first if $ 100 will buy a perpetual annuity of installment being due one year hence, then $ 4 a year, the $ 104 will buy such a perpetual annuity, the first installment being due at In the first case, the ratio of income to capital, j^^, is once. called the "rate of interest in the price sense." In the second case, the ratio of income to capital, y|-^, may be called "the rate The of discount in the price sense." rate of discoimt in the price sense and the rate of discount in the related in a manner premium sense are strictly analogous to the relation between the rates of interest in the two respective senses. As is well known, bonds, just before an installment of two ways they may be interest is due, are sold in either of : payment ("ex-interest"), or with the interest payment ("flat"). These two methods are associated respectively with the rate of interest and rate of discount, as sold without the interest just described. § 7 (to Ch. XII, § 7) Mathematical Eelations between the Eates of Discount for Different Time Keckonings The rates related in a of discount for different manner quite analogous time reckonings are to that in which the corre- sponding rates of interest are related, as shown in this Appendix, § 2. and if W Thus if V to-day will buy W~ will then W in half a year, 2' buy F' in another half year on the same terms, V~ whence, multiplying, —= 2' 1 -— . APPENDIX TO CHAPTER XII But 367 yr=l-^' l therefore — d={f 1 — d' -^ d= and /d'\ * d' ' 27' from which we see that the discount rate reckoned annually less than its equivalent reckoned semi-annually. reasoning applies to quarterly and other rates. Similar is § 8 (to Ch. XII, § 8) Dimensions of the Rates of Interest, Discount, and Capitalization The rate of interest in the price sense of the is — Vt form where v represents the part of the perpetual income stream which flows in the time t, and V represents its capital value. Since, in this fraction, v and V are of the same dimension, both being measured in dollars, or else in bushels, or in some other units of same denomination, the dimensionality of the fraction —V 1 reduces to - or f~\* yI In like manner, the ratio V of capitalization, being the reciprocal of this fraction, or — has the dimensionality t. These results are recognized in as the rate of interest of capitalization is so is so many common usage, inasmuch much per annum, and the ratio years' purchase. The same dimensionality interest considered as a premium V are is given is obtainable from the rate of premium. The rate of interest as a V by the equation — = (1 + ii) , where F' and two exchangeable sums separated by the interval t, usually a fraction of a year, for which the rate of interest is to be reckoned. Since * It Thus, if the reckoning is V and Fare of the same dimension, — is capital" quarterly, is t is \. a pure number. interesting to observe that the dimensionality of this "price of is entirely different from the dimensionality of the price of one kind of goods in terms of another, as shown in the Appendix to Chap. I. NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 368 Hence its equal, the term 1 is Hence number. 1 — ti, is a pure number. Since of this sum, a pure number, the other term, i must be ti, is also a pure of a dimension reciprocal to i.e. t, -, or t-\ The same dimensionality rate of discount evidently has the as the rate of interest. APPENDIX TO CHAPTER § Formula 1 (TO Ch. XIII, for Present Value of due next year is by i, in One Year it is evident that 1 worth hence f 1 due next year and any sum § 1) Sum due If the rate of interest be denoted XIII $1 is worth . V due next year is worth Formula for Present to-day, 2 (to Ch. XIII, Value of i to-day, which is the general formula for the present value of a sum due at the end of one year. § + to-day, § Sum V due single 1) at End of Any Time t In general, it is obvious that (1+i)^ is the amount which, two years hence, has a present value of $ 1, hence that — worth to-day — V due at the end of 2 ^years is worth to-day^ {1 Similarly, V due at the end of 3 years is worth to-day — and V due at the end of $ 1 due at the end and that The of 2 years is t years ^ is worth to-day ^ :. , ^ (1 + if — V + 0' formula is perfectly general. It is not even necThe reader who is mathet should be an integer. matically inclined will have no difficulty in proving that the formula applies if the period of time is 3^ years or any other time whatever. last essary that — APPENDIX TO CHAPTER § 3 (to Ch. XIII, Formula for the Present Value The - annum; it on annui- Consider a perpetual annuity of $1 required to find the capital value. It is is due being has preceded that the — (l -; + if first the end of a year, has at value at the present time of worth of alternative proof, usually given in treatises is evident from what $1, Annuity follows: as is An in the preceding chapter. and the one which per 3) § of a Perpetual proposition that the present value of a perpetuity is was proved ties, 369 XIII the third, the second has a present ; : • (l payment, a discounted ; + if and so on indefinitely. ^ Therefore, the present value of the entire series will be, rr—-If, + for brevity, /-, .s2 , + /I we substitute v v , for ad this ;, + v^-{-v^ + ad. V (l-\-v^-\-a.d. or + etc., -NO inf. may be written, inf., inf.). Since the series evidently converges, the parenthesis to 1 —V , is equal which may be seen by simply dividing 1 by 1 — v. Hence the value of the annuity which reduces — if we to is, v 1-v substitute for v its original value. ° ' i This sum, - dollars, is, therefore, the capital-value 1 of + i an i annuity of f 1. annuity a By proportion, the capital-value of any other is -. § 4 (to Ch. XIII, § 3) Formulae and Diagrams for Capital-value of Annuities payable Annually, Semi-annually, Quarterly, Continuously In case the annuity accrues semi-annually, the teeth will be but twice as frequent. In Figure 34 we see the behavior 2b finer, NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 370 of the capitalized annuity if the annuity $4 teeth drop if payable annually, $4 a year, the payable annually, $2, if semi-annually, and f 1, If the frequency of the installments of income be if quarterly. 12 is If the annuity be semi-annually, or quarterly. ,..-^12,^^^ 13--^'^ 2 1 Semi-annual ' 1 ' ' Payments 2 Quarterly Payments Fig. 34. we reach the limiting case of a continuous the teeth disappear entirely and the value of the indefinitely increased, income, when annuity remains at a constant of $4 come is is received, 4%, provided will the rate be is of the annuity any installment of after in- the rate of interest respectively " reckoned annually," $100, semi-annually, and quarterly in the case of continuous income, The value level. in all these cases, just if various cases. In the the value of the annuity of $4 $100 if the rate of interest be 4% "reckoned continuously." The same remarks apply, of course, to an annuity of any number of dollars. Its value after each installment is equal to the annual income divided by the rate of interest, or the annual income multiplied by the purchase period. will always be In order to obtain the formulae for the value of a perpetuity payable semi-annually, quarterly, or continuously, in terms of i, the rate of interest reckoned annually, we need only to transform T,) —,i -, X % o by means of the equations in the previous chapter. Thus APPENDIX TO CHAPTEE annum payable the value of an animity of a dollars per annually is - which, by substituting for from the relation between i' = 2 ( Vl -\- i — T) and i i' viz. i', 371 XIII its 1 value as derived + = i becomes semi- 1 [ + - , ) or Similarly, the 2(Vl + ^-l) quarterly annuity becomes , and the continuous 4(^iq:^i) annuity, ^' since l+i=e^ or 8=loge(l+i), ^^ ^ becomes ^=; ^' 8 . log, (1 + In every case the value just before an installment is found by adding that installment to the results just derived; and the value at intervening points by applying the discount curve, value (just before the next ini.e. dividing the impending stallment) and by (1 4- iy, where t is the time between the present the time of the next installment. § Diagrams 5 (to Ch. XIII, for Discontinuous § 3) and Continuous Income If the income installments recur annually, and are these installments are represented in the line c c c c c c c c c $4 method by c c each, a, a, a, c c Fig. 35. in Fig. 35. If they occur semi-annually, in installments of each, they are represented by 6, b, b. f2 If they occur quarterly, in NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 372 f 1 each, they are represented by c, c, c, and so on indefinitely, in each case the lines becoming shorter but more numerous. If this process is continued indefinitely, it is clear that continuous income would simply be represented by an ininstallments of — number of infinitesimally small lines, a representation which would be unintelligible. It is for this reason that the area method becomes necessary. To show how it may be used, even finite for discontinuous income, let a series of annual payments, a, be represented in Figure 36 by the rectangles whose bases are equal and whose altitudes, therefore, are equal to a. The point which each rectangle is referred is taken, for convenience, as the end of each year in which it occurs. Thus the recto Q. If the tangle OF refers to the point of time P, and payments are semi-annual, we represent them by the areas of to unity of time to PW O S T X Y W U Z Q P Fig. 36. the rectangles OT, TV, etc., in the same manner. But as the rectangles are each equal to one half, the altitudes will no longer represent the individual payments, but double those semi- annual payments, i.e. the per annum rate. Thus, if the annu$4 per annum payable semi-annually, the rectangle OT means $2, its base is one half, and its altitude, YT, will not be 2, but 4, the rate per annum. ity is payments are represented by rectangles OS, XT, TU, etc., whose altitudes will again represent the rate per annum of each quarterly payment. Finally, for continuous payments, we shall have an infinite Similarly, quarterly of infinitesimal rectangles, forming in the aggregate the whole figure represented, the altitude of which at any point will be the rate per annum at which income is flowing at that number point. APPENDIX TO CHAPTER By XIII 373 we may pass from income which flows at a uniform any income stream. Evidently, therefore, any continuous income-stream may be represented by a curve (Fig. 37) of which the ordinate represents the per annum rate offlow at any limits rate to point of time, and the area and CF represents EC between any two ordinates BE the total income which flows within the time intercepted between those ordinates. For the case of uniform is flow, the continuous represented in Figure 38 by the area OB. income stream OA represents the Fig. 38. rate of income, and OC represents the capital-value of this inThis capital-value remains constant, as shown by the come. NATURE OP CAPITAL AND INCOME 374 horizontal line ously) IS — CD, and the § Formula rate of interest (reckoned continu- 6 (to Ch. XIII, § 5) for Capital-value of a Terminable Annuity- Let a represent the annual payment of the annuity, t its duration or term, and its present value. We are required V V t, and i, the rate of interest. We have observed that a man who owns such a terminable annuity owns the difference between a perpetual annuity beginning at present and another perpetual annuity deferred t to find in terms of a, Consequently, the value of his property is the difference between the values of these two that is, it is equal to the value of a perpetual annuity beginning now, less the present value of a perpetual annuity beginning t years hence. The years. ; deferred annuity which begins at the end of know, be worth then the sum of -, and will be t years will, we worth now what- i ever is the present value of this -. This present value is of i course found simply by discounting the ^ just obtained, and (1 -L is ^^^^ expression should therefore be subtracted from ' ^-y the value of the other perpetual annuity which begins now, of which the present value formula, is ?. This subtraction gives the Hi + 0' § 7 (to Ch. XIII, § 5) Discussion of Formulae for Terminable Annuity by Diagrams. Discount." "Total Interest." Depreciation. In Figure 39 let AB represent the term t "Total of the annuity, AD the value of a perpetual annuity beginning at the point of time A, and BE the equal value, taken at the end of the term, of a deferred perpetual annuity beginning at that time. Now the APPENDIX TO CHAPTER XIII 375 Fig. 39. A of the value BE, at time B, is eviAC, found by drawing the discount curve CE. Therethe value of the terminable annuity is equal to AD — AC, present value at time dently fore NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 376 or DC, wliicli is which it is, as the total discount Bohm-Bawerk on BE; i.e. the amount by says, " diminished in time per- spective." Similarly, the capital- value of the annuity, taken at later A! (just after an installment of income), smaller sum GH. Thus the is capital-value gradually decreases in accordance with the distance of the curve line any time equal to the CE from the DE. E. In this representation the discount curve was drawn through If another is drawn through D it may be shown that is the EF time "amount" it terminates, if at interest EF, of the terminable annuity, or its value at the from its we suppose that each individual item date to the point of time B. is put This "amount," is called the " total interest " on that capital in that interval. In the same way, at any intermediate time just after an installment, GI will represent the value of the annuity concentrated at that point, and this value will consist of two parts, HG, which is the (discounted) value of the part subsequent to K, and HI, the (accumulated) value of the part preceding K. APPENDIX TO CHAPTER XIH The decrease in capital-value of the annuity, which has been represented by the approach of above 377 it, is the position CE to the horizontal line better represented, however, KB, by inverting in order that the capital-value sented, as in our previous examples, DE CE may be to repre- by the distance from the Fig. 41. horizontal line AB in Figure 40. The value below installment of income of the curve is is KB, and it. This change is accomplished taken after each of the annuity represented by the ordinate, as mA\ the value just before an installment represented by the ordinate, as nA^', of a point above this curve a distance equal to that installment. The value at inter- mediate points evidently follows a discount curve, as mn, between these two points. The result is that the capital-value will rise and fall according to the steps, or teeth, shown in the diagram. As the income items become more numerous the teeth become more frequent and smaller, and disappear when the flow of income is continuous, as represented in Figure 41, where the NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 378 curve KB the capital-value at itself represents all points of time. The formula for the present value income after each installment of is (F) of the annuity just the same, whatever the time intervals between installments. This is strictly true, however, only on the proviso that the rate of interest i is to be understood as reckoned in accordance with the frequency of the installments of income in each case, terly, etc., — instead — semi-annually, quar- of annually, as has been hitherto under- stood. The formula for the capital-value, V, just before an installment is evidently found by taking the preceding formula for Fand adding a. This gives, a 3* /-# {1+iy ^ At intermediate points the capital-value is equal to the amount just named discounted for the interval elapsed between the point of time considered and the next installment of income. § 8 (to Ch. XIII, § 7) Formulge for Value of a Bond general, let us suppose a bond, the income from which a dollars per year, payable annually for t years, at the end of which time, in addition to the final payment a, another larger To be is payment P, We called " principal, " is paid. are required to find the present value, V, of these future expected for a given rate of interest, The discounted value payments i. of the terminable annuity has already been expressed, namely, {1 i The discounted value explained and is of P + iy deferred evidently, P (1 + 0'* t years has also been — APPENDIX TO CHAPTER The sum 379 XIII of these expressions is the value V, "which we are In other words, seeking. a L— + F=^i or t;-_ (1 special cases income a [ is "^ (1 + 0' * a (1 + be considered. 0' i Some + 0* may First, if the the interest on the " principal " P, orP = ^|, — the second term vanishes, as evidently zero, and since the pothesis P, the equation then becomes Secondly, if a is greater than iP, P V will its a term, -, first it — is i.e. if annual a = Pi numerator is by present hy- V=P. may be readily shown that V and if a is less than iP, that be greater than is than P. The formula given is of practical importance, as it enables us to compute the price at which a bond must sell in order to ; less yield a certain rate of interest. To apply the formula numerically we need only particular values for the magnitudes involved. to assign Let us take the numerical case already considered, where P=$100, a = $5, In this case the formula becomes, i = .04, and t = 10. — .04"*" which reduces Similarly, it to 108, as may (1.04)i« we found be shown that basis, the price of the ' before. bonds are sold on a 6 % bond in question would be $ 921 if We have derived the value of a bond, V, just after a In this case the bond is said by of "interest." brokers to be sold " ex-interest." If, on the contrary, it is sold " flat," that is, with interest, its value will evidently be increased by the " interest " a, and will be 7"+ a. The price payment at any ^ time between installments will evidently be ^ ,^ ^ (1+0 ,, NATUKE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 380 where V represents the value the bond will "interest" payment, and Or, last it is F(l + t)' ", t' have after the next the time elapsing to that payment. F represents where the value after the "interest" payment, and t" the time since said payment. F+ Vit", which in turn a and Vi are practically equal, each being nearly the true interest for one installment This is the formula usually employed by brokers, at" period. Practically this last formula reduces to is practically the same as V+ at" ; for being called the " interest earned " since the last coupon. § 9 (to Ch. XIII, Alternative Method, whereby the is § 7) "Premium" in the Price of the Bond compounded separately The so-called 5 % bond running for 10 years, which is sold on a basis of 4 %, may be considered as consisting of the following two property rights (1) the right to four dollars a year for 10 years and f 100 at maturity, and (2) the right to one It is evident that the present dollar a year for 10 years. value of the first property is $ 100, to which, therefore, we need only to add the value of the second property, namely, the annuity of f 1 a year for 10 years. It is therefore the present : value of this small annuity, consisting, we may say, of the and nominal interest on $100, which constitutes the "premium" on the price of the bond. This present value is f 8, and is found in the manner already explained for terminable annuities, being the total discount on $ 25 at the end of 10 years, f 25 being the capital-value of a difference between the perpetual annuity of 4%. is real f1 a year, Consequently, the bond is when interest is reckoned at worth in all f 108. This value represented diagrammatically in Figure 42. Let A A' represent the 10-year period, with the f 5 interest payments shown by the ten vertical lines at unit intervals. A'B' represents the $100 "principal" due in 10 years, and AB represents what the bond would be worth ($100) if the To this must interest payments were $4 instead of $5. for 10 years. year of a present value 1 the $ therefore be added equal to $25), the (drawn discount on B'C the total This is The total capitalization of a perpetual annuity of $ 1 a year. APPENDIX TO CHAPTER 381 XIII $25 is shown by the line BD, which is therepremium in the selling price of the bond. The total The price at later dates (taken price is AB-\-BD = AD. each just before an installment) is represented by points on discount on this fore the Fig. 42. the discount curve D5' drawn with reference to CC as a horizontal axis. Adding at each of these installment points a line equal to $5, we have the value just before interest pay- ments, and connecting the tops of these lines with the preceding by discount curves reckoned at 4%, we have a series of teeth representing the normal course of the price of interest intervals the bond from the present to maturity. In case a bond is sold at a 6% basis, we have the curve B'D', instead of B' D, with the teeth superimposed as before, the tooth curves, however, being in this case on a 6% slope. NATUEE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 382 § Formula for a Bond, The formula 10 (to Ch. XIII, when Interest is § 7) reckoned oftener than yearly in the case of semi-annual income when in- terest is reckoned semi-annually is evidently, which applies is evidently just after an interest F+-; and payment just before, ; it at intervening intervals it is this value discounted, or for practical purposes, the simple formula, where V is the value taken after the last "interest" payment, and t the time elapsing since that date. For the case y-\-at\ of continuous interest, if we as in the previous chapter, let, continuous interest, 8 represent we have, p_a F=?+which formula remains unchanged during the entire period of the bond. These various formulae may, of course, be somewhat transformed and simplified for practical purposes. Moreover, they may all interest. be transformed in terms of the various rates of Some actuaries apparently prefer to use, as the in- terest rate, only the "effective" rate, i, which the "rate of interest reckoned annually." formulae, what we call The preceding is which employ the semi-annual, quarterly, and other forms of interest rates, may be transformed by substituting their values in terms of i, in accordance with the relations shown in Appendix to Chap. XII, § 2. § 11 (to Ch. XIII, Formula for Capital-value We may of Any § Series of 8) Income Installments formulae, the capital-value of express, in general any income stream, as follows Let %, a^, Og, represent the successive installments of income accruing at various times dis: — APPENDIX TO CHAPTER 383 XIII tant from the present instant by the intervals ^i, U, t^, etc., which may be equal or unequal, whole or fractional, or even positive or negative according as the income Let i represent the rate of of such an income stream will be, past. F= —+^ (1 1 t)'i ( 1 in the future or in the is The present value interest. ^ + iy^ \ (1 ^ + iy h , etc. Or, in briefer notation, ^ V=V ^(1 + where % is taken in series of terms of the § Diagram and Formula its i)'' usual sense of the summation of the type of that following 12 (to Ch. XIII, it. § 8) for deriving Capital-value from a given Continuous Income Stream For any income stream flowing continuously, and represented in Figure 43 by the area below JO/, the capital-value will be represented by the curve NO. The ordinate of the income stream at any point, as US, represents the rate of point, and any area, as IiSS"Ii", represents the period RR". The ordinates of the curve sent the capital-value of this income stream. N its its total flow at that flow through NO will repreNO is con- N structed from backward as follows the curve begins at on the income stream and is generated by a point moving in such a manner that at any position its direction of motion is the resultant of two tendencies. To represent these two tendencies we draw through the discount curve OP. Tangent to this curve we draw OH so as to meet the line drawn vertically and distant to the left one unit from OK. represents one of the two tendencies mentioned, that due to discounting the future. drawn vertically up from and equal to MS, the rate of income at that time, represents the other tendency. The resultant, OQ, drawn according to the principle of the parallelogram of forces, will represent the : QH OH OK which the curve will be moving at the In other words, a point moving under the influ- actual direction in point 0. ence of two forces, curve NO. OK and OH, will generate the required NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 384 In order to show that this is a correct representation let us first take the case of semi-annual income. year ; Rr represents half a year. RR" represents Draw the ordinate rh. one From h draw vertically upward hq to represent a half-year's installment of income, that is, half of Rs. To avoid complicating the figure, hq is omitted; were it drawn, q would lie on the line OQ'. Then, according to our previous representation, the capitalvalue will follow the curve Ohq, which forms a "tooth." The line Oq is therefore a line neighboring teeth. drawn through the top points Its direction is a first of two approximation to Fig. 43. the direction OQ of the curve for the continuous case. This Oq is the diagonal of a parallelogram formed by producing Oh to meet the ordinate from in H', producing Oq to Q' and completing the parallelogram. direction W Since H'Q' is twice as far from as hq {i.e. RR" =2 {rR) by hypothesis), it follows, by similar triangles (i.e. Ohq and OH'Q'), that it is also twice as long. But hq represents a half year's installment of income. Hence H'Q' represents two APPENDIX TO CHAPTER 385 XIII Therefore such installments, or the annual rate of income. OK, being of the same length, also represents this annual rate of income. to g lies along a paralIn other words, the direction from represents the annual rate lelogram of which the side OK of income and the side OH' a chord of the discount curve OP. Now it is evident that if, instead of a semi-annual installment, we assume greater frequency, the same statement except that the point h will be nearer 0. By will apply proceeding in this Fig. 44. OH manner the chord OliIF approaches the tangent limit, and the parallelogram OH'Q'K becomes the parallelogram sides are OK, OHQK as originally described. the annual rate of income, and to the discount curve drawn from as its at the limit OH, That is, its the tangent to a vertical line one year to the left. That this construction and its demonstration bear a striking analogy to the construction and demonstration which apply to 2c NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 386 the composition of forces or motions ourselves of this analogy, is we may say very evident. Availing that in the case of dis- traces the capital curve (back- continuous income, the point — ward) by obeying alternately two tendencies, one, to follow the discount curve at times when no income occurs, and the other, to rise vertically whenever income occurs. In the case of continuous income these motions occur simultaneously instead of alternately, and the resultant is a smooth curve instead of a series of teeth. The same principles apply when part of the income curve is below the horizontal axis, representing negative income. If Fig. 45. at the beginning the prospective cost just counterbalances the prospective income, the capital-value will at that instant be zero, and will from that point rise and fall again to zero at the end, as indicated in Figure 44. The formula for capital-value in the case of a continuous income stream will be, 1^_ r da ^~J (1 + 0" which da may be said to represent the infinitesimal income which flows in the infinitesimal increment of time dt. In other words, da represents an infinitesimal element of the area ABC (Fig. 45), of which element the base or breadth represents the infinitesimal time dt. For the purpose of integration we may substitute for da the expression /(i)d«, where /(i) represents CB, or the ordinate of the income stream taken as a function of time t. If the special form of the function / (t) is known, it is evidently possible to integrate the expression and obtain its value for any in given limits. APPENDIX TO CHAPTER § 13 (to Ch. XIII, XIII 387 § 8) Diagram sho-wingthe Accumulated "Amount" of a Given Income Stream in Figure 46 the diagram with which we began general case of capitalizing income. We now the of study the wish to obtain the accumulated value A"'Q, at the close of the period OA'", of the income items AB, A'B', A"B", and A"'B"'. We reproduce This consists of of CD" discount curve amount amount : (1) A"'B"' (or its equal, CD" of CD' of CD to itself ; is EF, which in like manner is the and (4) FQ, which is the equal AB). Thus, while OP represents E; (3) (or its equal A'B') (or its which is the amount found by continuing the (2) B"'£!, A"B"), and ; NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 388 the price of the stream if paid for in advance, A"'Q repre- By sents the price if paid for at the end. similar reasoning may be shown that the price at any intermediate point of the entire series is the height of any point on the one smooth it curve PQ. This result must not be confused with that which represents the capital-value of future income. Thus, at the point of time the line 0', O'P represents the value of past as well as future, AB, A'B', O'P" represents the value and A"'B"'. line § all the income items, A"B", A"'B"', whereas the of only the future items 14 (to Ch. XIII, § Effect of reckoning Semi-annually, Quarterly, 10) and Continuously, on the Eate of Interest realized on a Stock or Store As usual, the passage A"B" of Articles from the rate of interest reckoned annually to the rate of interest reckoned continuously, if accurately considered, is not so simple as appears on the surface and may afford to some readers no little we If perplexity. assume, for convenience, that each article in the merchant's stock remains there for a definite period, called the time of "turn-over," and the cost of purchase and all the other costs connected with the article occur at the time it enters the stock, while all the receipts or gross occur at the time that it income from that leaves the stock, we may article pass from the case of the rate of interest "reckoned annually" to that of the rate of interest " reckoned continuously " as follows : — As a first step we assume that all of the stock is bought at the beginning of a calendar year and sold at the end, so that the time of turn-over is one year. If the cost of the stock is represented by c, including not only the purchase price but all other elements of cost, this must represent the discounted value of the receipts at the end of the year, which are thereThe net income for the year is, therefore, fore c(l + i). c(l + i)--c, or ci. This bears a ratio to the total cost value reckoned at the beginning of the year, namely to the rate of interest, c, of — , equal i. For the second step we consider the stock as half purchased — APPENDIX TO CHAPTER on January 1 and half on July 1, six 389 XIII mouths later, and that, as before, each element of the stock remains one year before The sale. If cost on January 1 we take inventory on July is -, 1, and on July 1 is to be disposed of in six as having a somewhat greater also -. the stock just purchased rep- resents a value -, while that purchased six which is months before, months more, may be taken value, namely, latter being the cost value plus interest, or, ^VT+T worth on July 2 + 2Vl The sales or receipts months - + 1, the what amounts the same thing, the expected selling value less interest. total stock is therefore and — to The i. from the stock will evidently be every six (l-f-*)> ^^^^ being the accumulated value for one year of the amount purchased, ^. For the entire year the receipts will thus be just double, or c (1 we deduct the per net income, ci The annum cost, c, we ratio of this net value taken on January 1 or July 1, of -|- 1). If from this obtain, as before, the income to the capitalany year, will therefore be, ci 2+2^1+* This expression, which is evidently the same as 1+ VI + , t seems no longer to be equal to the rate of interest but the discrepancy is due to the fact that the merchant's income accrues semi-annually, whereas i is reckoned annually. If we substitute for i its value in terms of i the rate of interest reckoned ; ', semi-annually (namely, Chap. XII, § 2), we i' +j , as shown in the Appendix to shall find, on simplifying, that the above expression reduces to i'. In other words, in the artificially is supposed to accomplish simple case in which the merchant NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 390 buying and selling in two equal amounts and at semiannual intervals, the ratio of his annual income to his capital, In the same manner it may be reckoned at these times, is i shown that if his buying and selling take place at quarterly intervals, the ratio of his income to his capital reckoned at these all his '. case, V, i.e. the rate of interest per annum reckoned and so on indefinitely until we reach the limiting approximately true in practice, in which the merchant buys and sells times will be quarterly ; daily, when we find that the annual net income, divided by the value of the capital at any instant, to the rate of interest reckoned continuously. that to make this hold good proposition is equal be observed is necessary It will it that the valuation of the merchant's capital its wholesale price nor retail price, its shall be, not but something inter- mediate, which shall take account of the fact that the stock cannot all be sold immediately, and that, on the other hand, it it is all sold. Similar will not be necessary to wait a year before reasoning may evidently be applied in case the time of turn- over of the stock is § more or less than a year. 15 (to Ch. XIII, § 11) Influence of Variability of Eate of Interest Thus far we have treated the rate of interest in successive years as invariable. is As a matter constantly fluctuating. fluctuations are foreknown, We of fact, the rate of interest shall suppose at first that these and for convenience we shall confine Let us assume that the rate of interest for the first year is ^l, for the second year, i^, for the third year, 4, and so on indefinitely, all of these being supposed to be known in advance. By means of ourselves to a year as the standard interval of time. these rates of interest we can calculate the present value of any item or series of items of income. Thus, if ^ 1000 in two years and the rate of interest for the first year 5%, while the rate for the second year obtain the present value of the f 1000 for one year, thus obtaining -zr-ir^, (is) is due is 3%, we can by discounting or $970.87, as is (ij) its it at 3 value % a APPENDIX TO CHAPTER 391 XIII year previous to the due date, or one year from the present, and rediscounting this 970.87 at 5% for one year, giving ' , or $924.30, as the present value. 1.05 In general, its V represents the item of income to be received, if value in one year will be 1 + and its present value, *2 V (1 w^hich formula number If -AB, we its is, + i,) (1 + 4)' of course, easily extensible to three or any of years. V in Figure 47 by the line CF, found by the 3% discount represent the future value value in one year is Fig. 47. curve BC, and its present value is ED, found by the 5% dis- count curve DC. In other words, instead of having a uniform discount curve from B to D, we have a broken discount curve BCD, with a different percentage rate of rise for the two years considered. In this way we may obtain the present value of any series of income items precisely as before, with the exception that the discount curves are now somewhat irregular. Thus, if of income items at different points of time are of the the series magnitude NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 392 GH represented in Figure 48 by AB, CD, EF, and (read in tlie order of futurity), the remotest item, AB, is discounted by means of the discount curve BC, and the next to the last item is added to the capital-value at C, bringing the capital-value to the point D, from which the next discount curve is drawn, DE and so on until we reach the point /. Z7is thus the capital- value of the given series of income items. In this way it is possible to review all the special cases of capitalizing income which were considered in Chapter XIII, Fig. 48. and correct them for the general case of a rate of interest which is variable but foreknown. Such a calculation, however, is of very little practical consequence, inasmuch as the variations in the rate of interest are seldom Were it worth while to pursue the if ever foreknown. subject, it would be convenient to simplify the calculations by substituting, where possible, for the series of rates of interest i-^, ij, an average, ,/, such that if the given series of in?3, come items were discounted uniformly according to the rate etc., we should obtain exactly the same present when the several separate rates ij, i^, h, etc., are employed. The formula for the average rate of interest j of of interest j, value as . APPENDIX TO CHAPTER any particular number of individual 393 XIII rates, as i^, used for discounting individual items of income, i^, is, ai, etc., ttg, ag, would evidently be, "^ 1+i ^^ + ^^ +...= + (i+jy (i+jY + .....:!... + ... ..."^... .. . +. Various applications of such formulae might be made, though they have little practical utility. nable annuity of a given term Thus, the value of a termi- found, as before, by taking the is difference in value between a perpetual annuity beginning today and a perpetual annuity deferred to the end of the given The value term. of the perpetual annuity beginning to-day would be found, as has just been shown, by dividing the annual income a by ji, the average rate of interest of the individual The value rates from the present into the indefinite future. of the deferred annuity taken at the end of the term would be, in like manner, — , where jt is the average of the individual Jt from that point indefinitely forward. The present value would be found by discounting the latter value for the term of the annuity according to the rate ji^t where j^^t is the average of the individual rates of interest % for the term of the annuity. h) hf hi The value of a bond would be found in a similar manner. We have just shown how to find the present value of the "interest" of the bond, and the present value of the "princirates of this deferred annuity • pal," P, • ' due at maturity, would be evidently § 16 (to Ch. XIII, § — p — ^ ^ 11) Representation of Capital and Income by Polar Coordinates The mathematical method of reader may representing income be interested in an alternative and capital, by which polar Let the coordinates are employed instead of rectangular. radius vector in Figure 49 represent the parent capital. The time required for a complete revolution of the radius vector may be 394 NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME taken to represent the " purchase period. " Thus, if the rate of %, the purchase period is twenty-five years. During one year the radius vector will move through an angle of a interest is 4 ^ Fig. 49. complete revolution, and the length of the radius vector will increase from OA to OB by an amount, BC, -^-^ of the original OA, interest being 4 % reckoned annually. In case the interest BC is not reinvested, but detached from the principal, next APPENDIX TO CHAPTER 395 XIII year will bring the radius vector to the position OD, at which time the same interest, DE, may be detached, and so on indefinitely, the result being a toothed wheel. Each tooth being ^ig- OA, the sum of the radius of the twenty-five teeth will be In case the interest is reckoned semi-annually, the teeth will be fifty in number instead of twenty-five, but each will be half as large; and so on until, for "continuous" reckoning, we have an infinite number of teeth each of infinitesimal size; but the sum of the whole number in the complete revolution will still be exactly equal exactly equal to the radius. to OA. In case no income is received, the accumulation of capital is represented by increasing the length of the radius vector, the end of which thus traces a spiral. The radius vector rearound the spiral once every twenty-five years, and the ratio between the "amount," OA', after a complete revolution, and the original "principal" OA, will be provided the rate of interest is reckoned e, that is, 2.718, volves continuously. The same whatever spiral may be the represents the accumulation of capital, rate of interest. For a complete revolution does not represent a definite length of time, but the purchase period ; and it is clear that a more rapid rate of interest sented by a more rapid turning of the radius vector. repre- is Thus, if 4%, but 8%, the radius vector swings around through the same spiral once in twelve and a half years instead of once in twenty-five years. Again, if the rate is 2%, the revolution is fifty years. The spiral is what is known as the "equiangular spiral," and has the property that the tangent at any point is inclined at a constant angle to the radius vector. The angle is in this case such that its tangent is 27r. This the rate angle is is not 80° 57'. The equation of this spiral is —= e"'^, in which p represents the radius vector, 6 the angle of revolution, and po the initial radius vector; e and tt are, of course, the magnitudes ordinarily represented by these letters, namely, the base of the Napierian system of logarithms and the ratio of the circumference of a circle to its diameter. NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 396 APPENDIX TO CHAPTER XIV § When 1 (to Ch. XIV, the Interest Eate varies, there are § Two 5) Rival Concepts of Standard Income. When the rate of interest varies during successive years, the standard of the comparison of income and capital requires statement. We re- found, vrhen the rate of interest was assumed income corresponding to a given was a perpetual and uniform flow, of which flow that capital was at any time the present value. It did not matter whether standard income was conceived as income which was constant and perpetual, or as income which would mainconstant, that the standard capital tain its capital-value at a constant level ; for under the con- dition of a constant rate of interest, a constant income will necessarily maintain a constant capital-value. But when we introduce the possibility of a change in the rate of interest, these two concepts of standard income are no longer equivalent; under such conditions only an inconstant income will maintain a constant capital-value. Thus, if the rate of interest for the first year is 10%, for the second, 5%, and for the third, 6%, etc., the income stream which will maintain the capital unimpaired will be, in successive years, proportional to the numbers 10, 5, 6, etc. A person possessed of $100 of capital can evidently earn with it $10 the first year and still have his $100 unimpaired, with which, in turn, he can earn $5 the second year and maintain the principal of $100 and again ; $6 in the third year, and so on, receiving each year proportional to the rate of interest. an income Relatively to this income stream considered as a standard of reference, the propositions stated in Chapter XIII will remain true, namely, that if the income in any year exceeds the standard for that year, the by the excess and if the income falls short of the standard in any year, the capital will accumulate by the amount of the deficiency. But this concept of standard income is not the only legitimate one. We may, if we choose, employ the other definition In this of standard income, as a perpetual and uniform flow. real capital will be impaired ; APPENDIX TO CHAPTER XIV case, it is the capital-value of will vary from time to time. 397 such an income stream which As has been seen, the capital- value of such an income stream is found by dividing the rate of income a by the average of the individual rates of interest, such the above example, 10%, 5%, 6%, etc., ad inf., the average being obtained by the formula given in Appendix to Chap. XII, § 5. If such average rate of interest be called ji, the as, in capital -value will be -. Suppose, for instance, that the person has a uniform perpetual income of $5 per annum. If the rate of interest to-day, ji, is 5%, the capital-value to-day will be f 100. If next year, Jg (the average of the future rates in individual years, beginning at that time) is 4.9%, the capital- value will If, two years from date, js be 5.1%, the capital-value be f 102. Adopting such an income stream as a standwill sink to $98. ard, the propositions as to impairment or increase will still be true, provided such impairment or increase is measured with reference to the variable capital-value just shown. Thus, if at year more income than $5 is received, the capital-value will be impaired by the difference, this impairment to be reckoned with respect, not to f 100, but to $102, the end of the first which would be the value had the income remained standard. Thus, the effect of a difference between real and standard income may be stated in the same terms, whichever of the two definitions of standard income is adopted. In the one case the standard is with reference to constant capital and variable income in the other, to variable capital and constant income. In practical life, the former standard is usually employed, although for certain purposes the latter would be more suitable. We all know of cases of investors who, twenty years ago, invested at a high rate of interest, and who have taken pains ; merely to maintain the value of their capital unimpaired, although they were well aware that the rate of interest was In consequence, these persons are now constantly sinking. forced, when reinvesting, to suffer a large decrease in income, which could have been avoided had they kept in tenance, not of their capital, but of their income, view the mainand laid aside sum in order to offset the fall in the rate The reason such a procedure is not common each year a certain of interest. is NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 398 that the fall or other change in the rate of interest can never be foreseen with precision, and thus a perfectly uniform flow of income secured, whereas always possible, in the case of what is necessary to maintain the value of the capital at a uniform level. it is safe investments, to calculate 2 (to Ch. XIV, § Effect of § 12) Foreknown Tax on Increase of Capital Let us suppose that the three brothers invest in their respective annuities without realizing that a tax is to be imposed. The first brother has bought with his $10,000 a perpetual annu- $500 a year; the second, a perpetual annuity of $1000 and the third, an annuity of $2000 for six years only. After these investments have been made, let us suppose that the tax of 10% on income is announced. If "inity of deferred 15 years ; come" is interpreted properly, i.e. as simply the annuities, the value of each of the three properties will immediately shrink by $1000, so that any of the three brothers could sell his annuity, subject to the tax, for $9000. tax" is interpreted as a tax on "earnings," But i.e. if the "income on income and announcement of such a tax will not only reduce the values of the three properties very unequally, as has been shown, but will have the further effect of altering the very increase of capital, the annual increase in the value of the capital which taxation. To show is subject to the effect of this " repercussion," let c rep- resent the value of the capital of the second brother (who saves) end of any year during which no (true) income is received. $18,000 at the end of the fifteenth year when the annuity of $1000 a year is purchased for the capitalization of the perpetuity of $1000 which begins at that time is $20,000, from which $2000 is deducted as the capitalized tax. Let i represent the rate of interest (as 5%) and t the tax rate (as 10%). We wish first to find x, the capital-value one year earlier than c. It is clear that x is the discounted value at the Thus c is ; of c we is [i.e. —— V 1 ] less the discounted value of the tax, which +V The tax end of the year. on the increase of capital-value in the year, i.e. on will suppose is due at the laid APPENDIX TO CHAPTER XIV c — x. As the rate of this tax vahie, is c ^ 1 value, X "^ ., +i ; t, the tax is (c — x)t. This deducted The discounted value from the discounted of next year's capital-value i.e., Solving for is — x)t 1 + i' (c x, — (c c 1+i we have, 1 399 is this year's capital- — x)t + i x- 1 — +i — x), which, if we t The tax itself is t(c just found, reduces to 1 If we substitute we have for i — + t and and t substitiite for x its value . i their assumed values, .05 and .10, x = c x .947 tax = c x .0053. Substituting for c its value at the end of the fifteenth year, namely, $18,000, we find that x, the value one year earlier, will be 18,000 x .957, or f 17,046, and that the value one year previous will be the latter sum multiplied likewise by .947, or $16,142.56, and so on until the present is reached, when the value will be $7,952.15. fore, the total effect of a The table below will show, there- 10% tax on the increase of value, NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 400 including " repercussion " of the tax on the capital-values in the table evidently differ somewhat from the ttie themselves. The taxes taxes given in the text, which do not include the effect of The present "repercussion." value, therefore, of this tax on the increase of capital should be altered from $714 to $661.81. A similar correction should be Our main made for the case of the spend- however, is not to study the effects of different methods of levying taxes, but merely to show how untenable is the theory which includes savings under income, and excludes that part of true income or services which brings thrift. object, about a depreciation of capital. § 3 (to Ch. XIV, § 13) Unrestricted Application of a True Income Tax Impracticable Theoretically, an income tax should tax every element of income, large or small, positive or negative. That is, all positive items should have a tax and all negative items a bounty. This system would be ideal in theory but difficult to carry out in practice. No made book to contrive a practical all the difficulties which have been pointed out as belonging to systems now in use. It is undoubtedly true that it would be impracticable to assess taxes on each article on the basis of the actual items of income it yields for most of such items are simply the positive sides of " interactions" and are offset as outgoes in the accounts of some other article of capital. To carry out such a system in detail would require that we levy taxes on the proceeds of every sale and remit them on every investment. It would be difficult to avoid injustice, evasion, and fraud if the attempt were made to assess taxes on such income and remit, as would be required logically, taxes on the corresponding outgo. The taxpayer would contrive to exaggerate his outgo and understate his income. Consequently, the sj^stem is not wholly unjust which exempts from taxation that part of income which stands for impairment of capital, and assesses taxes on that part The system would be which swells capital, or savings. attempt is in this system of taxation which would avoid ; APPENDIX TO CHAPTER XIV entirely just offset if 401 the impairment of one capital were always by the equal increase of some other capital, i.e. if the taxpayer's total capital-value were kept at the same level. In general, large receipts are usually reinvested and should therefore not be subject to the income tax at all. If we could assume such reinvestment to be the invariable rule, we could approve of the system by which, in England, a terminable annuity is not taxed as income at its full value, but is taxed only on that part of it which constitutes "interest." The other part, which constitutes impairment of principal, is not taxed. The system, of course, fails of justice in cases where this impairment of principal is never restored in some other form of investment but ultimately represents, like the other part of the annuity, through personal expenditure, final enjoyable income. To illustrate the English exemption of impairment of capital, if $1000 is paid for a five-year annuity on a basis of 4 % interest (reckoned semi-annually), it will purchase an annuity of $111.33 at the end of each six months, and the following will be the schedule showing the capital-value at each interval, the interest accruing upon it, the payment to the beneficiary, and the impairment of capital resulting.^ NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 402 first is left f 908. 67, which has impaired by f 91.33. This being reinvested and yielding inwould make a total combined fund of $1000 as before. half year, there his capital terest, At the end of the second half year, in like manner, the original security is worth $815.52, but capital invested last year, $91.33, year, $93.15, making a must be added the to this and also the investment this total again of $1000; and so on for each year. If, then, as in England, the tax is annually (second column), no injustice paid on the interest is done, providing the items in the fourth column are actually reinvested each year, and that the interest on such reinvestment in some other form is used as income. In other words, each reinvestment is not accumulated at compound interest, but made a separate fund yielding perpetual interest which is converted into enjoyable income as fast as it is received. In this case the man will be receiving, from the given security and the others created out of his reinvestments, a uniform net income of $20 a year, and will maintain his capital at $1000. Consequently the exemption of "impairment of capital" works no ultimate injustice, since ultimately there is no such impairment. But as, practically, we can never know to what extent the " impairments " are actually reinvested, the justification of taxing the sums in the first column instead of those in the third is entirely on grounds of expediency. Theoretically, the actual income from this particular form of capital as represented in the third column should be taxed, and afterward whatever is reinvested in some other form should earn remission of taxes. This method, while impracticable in such detailed application, might with advantage be applied to the taxation of an individual's income as a whole. After all the individual components are combined all the income elements, large or small, and all — the outgo elements, including reinvestments — there will be a resultant net income for the individual which, and which alone, A system which would accomplish this any net impairment of his capital, for such impairment would mean large income; but, on the other hand, if he were not depleting but laying up capital, it would exempt the increase, for such increase would not be part should be taxed. would tax, to this individual, ; APPENDIX TO CHAPTER XVI Ms of income. tion of income. 403 Such a system would secure justice in the taxaIt is practically what has usually been called the system of taxing " consumption." APPENDIX TO CHAPTER XVI § Mathematical Let us call 1 (to Ch. XVI, § 6) and Risk Coeflficients of Probability, Caution, the riskless value V, the mathematical value V, the commercial value V", the coefficient of probability P, the and the entire coefficient of caution C, We have, — P-^ ^-r Whence H. B-^' -C-^' ^—v' ^-v' follows that it coefficient of risk B = PC. That is, the total effect of risk on value is twofold: first, through mere probability, which gives mathematical value and secondly, through caution, which gives commercial value. ; Practically, it is usually impossible to separate is factor explicitly, as to make and P, and rities is much not so object of this analysis P and C. The to introduce the caution the general distinction between to point out that the actual B market value of secu- not their actuarial or simple " mathematical " value that, in other words, B is § Tormula not the same thing as P. XYI, 2 (to Ch. for Mathematical § 7) Value of Risky Bond Let us denote by p^ the probability of receiving the first a-^, of income due in one year, and hjp2 the prob- installment, ability of receiving the second installment of income, vided the first year's is received, ag, pro- and again by pg the probability of receiving a^ in three years, provided the previous tivo have been received, and so on for years to the last payment. j>4 . . . p„, where n The chance is the number of of receiving the first payment is p^, hence the "mathematical value" of the first payment, when due, is aiPi, the present value of which is -i-^. 1 i + But the chance of receiving the second payment is NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 404 evidently not pa? but piP2 for one of the first principles of the theory of probabilities is that the chance of two successive events is the product of their successive probabilities. Thus, if the ; chance of heads appearing in coin tossing is ^, the chance of two or \, and the chance of three successuccessive heads is -^ x sive heads is, in like manner, ^ X ^ X |-, or etc. Hence the " mathematical value" of the second installment, a^, when due is -|-, -|-, which the present value a2PiP2, of is In .A - ^^ manner, like the mathematical present value of the third installment (^zPxP^Pz (1 gQ QQ_ g^^(j ^ + if value thus obtained the property. we '^"' 1 + i "^ we suppose If denote all the is expressions for present this mathematical value (1+ if (1 by F^, + if we may that all the probabilities are equal, simply by p, and simplify by substituting p^ jj's and p^ for PiPsPs? for P1P2, ijJ^q is the total present mathematical value of + if (1 Qf g^jj^ we denote If — have, rpjjg e^c. Since the p's represent the probability of receiving the installments, it is clear that the chance or risk of not receiving them is default and also p^ shall denote = 1 — q^, note them by q, by the letter q. Thus, gi = 1 —pi, we If all the g's are equal, etc. and the present value evidently be written, TT This risk of the difference between this and unity. we — of the property etc., shall de- may then _ ai(l-g) "^ a2(l-qy' "^ asjl-qf ^•••^ a„(l-9)" 0"* (i + if 1+i (1 + (1 + if , , I In case the risk of default q ^ the fraction 1 +i is is very small, approximately equal to ^^ ^ •" it is evident that — + +q 1 . This may i be seen by dividing the numerator and denominator of the first fraction by 1 — g, which will give for the new numerator unity, and the for the denominator 1 fractional because the term + + q -|-l-+-!£. 1-g becomes denominator, while the numerator, i g^ + iq, 1 is is made up when is small, approximately unity, negligible — g, In this expression of q two terms, each of — p APPENDIX TO CHAPTER XVI whicli is y^ is 405 the product of two very small quantities. and j^, i is Thus, if q the value of the fractional term becomes approximately .0005, which is a negligible quantity (compared with 1 + ^ + g = l + .04 + .01). Hence when q is small, the formula for mathematical value becomes approximately, — XT ^ + i + qy d/ I 1 +i+q (1 ^ + + qf I L. . . • + i^-g)" (l i {1 ^™ _1_ In other words, when the risk of default is small, its effect is substantially the same as that which follows from a rise in the If the rate of interest rate of interest. when risk is absent is on 1% Thus, if we which the loan can be contracted to about 5 % recur to the so-called 5% ten-year bond, and suppose that the probability of each successive payment is -^^, and the 4%, will therefore merely increase the "basis" a risk of . risk of default, of the bond, q, is when Y = = y^, then interest is ^1 is approximately, ^ J —+— ^ 1.05 the mathematical present value 4^, (1.05)2 ^ I — etc |_ — + ,etc. -h— (1.05)3 ' In other words, the present value is approximately the same as the present value of a 5% bond on a 5% basis, which is of course par, or 100. But if the risk no longer apply. the approximate formula given will Thus, if the chance of default is y^^-, or, in other words, if the chance of payment is only jL, the formula for the mathematical value of the property becomes, is great, — TT _ ^IVT?) I ^2(to') In this case it is ligible ag, etc., I + l-h^ (1 evident that compared with the ^sCtW (1 all first _t_ pf + terms after the first are neg- (unless the successive items a^, increase with sufficient rapidity to offset the decreasing % y^, y^Vo> ©tc). In the case of a 5 ten-year $100 bond, in which the risk of default is at any moment ^, the approxi- fractions mate value of the bond, obtained by omitting the first, all terms after would be _AllZ, or approximately 50 cents " mathematical value " might be ef6.cient of caution. still ! This further reduced by a co- In other words, the bond is worthless. In NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 406 case of such high risk we cannot, therefore, apply the simple rule of adding to the rate of interest the rate of risk to obtain "mathematical value"; and the "commercial value" would, of course, be even less than the mathematical value. In other words, it is practically impossible to compensate for a the risky investment by increasing the rate of interest as though it were an insurance premium. In actual practice such a "bond" would be absolutely worthless; for, while the above calculations are correct on the basis of a chance of payment of one in ten, practically this chance of payment would be zero. The high risk not only makes the terms of the loan onerous, but these onerous terms make the uncertainty of repayment greater, can and so on in a vicious circle. A lender who fancies he high as -^-^ by lending only 50 cents instead of offset a risk as f 100 for a returnable principal of f 100^ not offset that risk, but merely increased will find that he has it. In the previous calculations, we assumed that a default in one payment carried with it a default in all subsequent payments. We may, however, easily extend our formula to the general case by designating the chances of payment in successive years, whether interdependent or not, by pi for the first year, p, for the second (instead of third, etc., and changing the first by p^ p^ as before), p^ for the equation on page 404 accord- ingly. § 3 (to Ch. XVI, Variability about a Mean, as measured § 10) by the "Standard Deviation" Eor a more minute analysis of the bearing of chance it is preferable to measure the variability with reference to the mean. Thus, in the case mentioned, where the dividends are successively 4%, 5%, reference to mean 5%, 5%, 6%, 5%, 5%, 4%, 5%, 7%, 5%, 3%, instead of measuring the variability of dividends with rate, 5%, we should measure it with reference to the is 4.9%. The deviations from this mean which during the twelve successive years were therefore: +0,1, +1.1, +0.1, +0.1, -0.9, +0.1, +2.1, +0.1, -1.9, -0.9, +0.1. + 0.1, APPENDIX TO CHAPTER XVI 407 A simple measure of the extent of variability displayed by such a series of deviations from the mean is what is called the " standard deviation. " This is a sort of average of the deviations not the ordinary arithmetical mean, but the mean found by taking the arithmetical mean of the squares of the — deviations and extracting the square root. The standard deviation which represents the above twelve individual deviations is thus, — + (-1.9)2+ (.1)2+ (.1)2+ (1.1)2+ (.1)2 + (-.9)-'2+ (.1)2 (.1)2+ (_.9)2+ (.1)2^ (2.1)2 ^ (.1)2 12 which is .95. This "standard deviation" for several reasons. about the mean is is used instead of other averages The arithmetical mean quite unavailable, of the deviations because, unless it be reckoned by disregarding all minus signs (in which case the result is an illogical makeshift), it is zero; the standard deviation is very readily calculated, not by performing the operations indicated above, but by recourse to a theorem that the mean mean equal to the of the squares of the deviations about the mean of the squares of the deviations about any other magnitude less the square of the difference between the mean and this other magnitude. The proof is of this theorem is on probability. Applying simple, and may be found in the books it to the illustrated case, we first take the deviations, not about the mean, but about some other These deviations are magnitude, say 5%. 2, 0, - 2, - 1, 0. The squares of these are 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, — 1, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 1, 0, 4, of which the arithmetical mean is \^, or .902. This mean of the squares of the deviations about the magnitude 5. From this we are to deduct the square of the difference between the mean 4.9 and the other magnitude 5, about which the deviations were measured. The difference is Deducting this from .902 we have .892 as .1, its square is .01. the mean of the squares of the deviations about the mean. The 0, 4, 1, 0, is the square root of this deviation sought. deviation may is .95, which is therefore the Calculated by this standard method the standard usually be obtained in less than one tenth the time required by the direct method. NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 408 The "standard deviation" plays an important treatment of all statistics role in the involving variation about a mean. of its simplest uses is to change any given deviation into a deviation relative to the standard deviation (or to a fixed This is usually done by dividing the absolute portion of it). One deviation by the standard deviation. Thus, in the above example, where the standard deviation is .95 %, an absolute deviation of, say, 2 % mean is a relative deviation of 2 -=- .95 or about 2.1. Such a reduction from absolute to relative deviation brings the different probability distributions or curves into a common comparison, so that probability tables may be constructed applicable to all. In one case the deviations may mean inches pounds of barometric pressure, in an- of rainfall, in another, other, the annual percentage of dividends, as in the case above. These are incommeasurable. But if each be compared with the standard deviation which applies to that particular case, and which would therefore be measured in inches, pounds, or annual percentages, respectively, we obtain three ratios which numbers indicating the extent compared with the standard deviation. are simply pure If we now consult a probability table of the deviation we may find at once the probability of any given relative deviation. For the chance that dividends will, in the case supposed, deviate what is any given future year by 2 % from the mean rate of 4.9 % is, from the tables, 1 in 20; for the deviation, measured relatively, is, we saw, the number 2.1 and the probability corin responding to this in the tables^ is If. This expresses the chance that the deviation will keep inside the limits of 2 % will be between 2.9% and 6.9%. i.e. that the dividends The wider the range of deviation considered, the less the ; chance that the actual dividends in any year will fall outMoreover, the chance decreases far faster side that range. than the range increases. This relation, which follows from the theory of probability, has very important consequences in 1 Thus on p. 55 of Davenport's " Statistical Methods," New York, Wiley, 1899, we find for a relative deviation 2.1, the number .4822 as the chance of the deviation in one direction. Hence the chance of the deviation in either direction is double this or .9644, about |f APPENDIX TO CHAPTER XVI the theory of distribution. From it 409 follows as a corollary that the richer an individual, the less risk in taking risks. Being possessed of capital, he has a wider range within which he can safely afford to operate, and therefore he has a far greater probability of keeping within these limits of safety than his less fortunate competitors. Professor Norton has also empha- sized the fact that the advantage of the capitalist is further enhanced by the tendency toward monopoly. " The result is a most interesting order to force monopoly circle, constant combination at the top in the commercial price of the risk, and down which pays tremendous of the upper field, resulting in still profits, greater increase in the financial power of the risk takers. To this there is no end, save in the divorce, through heredity, of ability and financial power." ^ An important application of these methods is to the calculation of the chance that earnings should fall below the amount required to pay interest on bonds. This chance is found from the probability table. It is the probability corresponding to that relative deviation obtained by dividing the difference between the mean expected earnings and the interest by two thirds of the standard deviation. In this and other ways business men could, as Professor Norton has shown, make better use of their Merely to glance over past past experience than they do. earnings and receive an impression is not a very scientific mode of utilizing the facts age them know is not of the mean, it which those earnings display. To averWhile it is important to value. much more is also important to know the dispersion shown by the standard deviation. The best procedure would therefore seem to be to calculate first the mean of past experience as to earnings; secondly, the standard deviation from that mean; thirdly, the about the mean. This dispersion is chances of fluctuations thus displayed {e.g. earnings falling below the interest-paying line) to correct the results thus obtained degree in which it is From Loan p. 54. ; and, fourthly, by taking into account the believed that the future will not follow in the footsteps of the past. 1 the chance of a letter to the author. Credit," Publications of the Only the last of these four "Theory of American Economic Association, 1904, Cf. also Professor Norton's NATURE OF CAPITAL AND INCOME 410 operations need be done by rule of thumb. all but the first and often even that are left to But at present the merest im- pression. There was a time when business men did not use bond when they did not calculate cost sheets, and even when life insurance was contracted for in scornful disregard of any mortality tables. Just as these slipshod methods have been displaced by the work of expert accountants and actuaries, so should the mere guessing about future income conditions be tables, replaced by making use of the modern statistical applications of probability.^ § Method The 4 (to Ch. XVI, § 20) of computing a Pure Level Life Insurance Premium chief peculiarity of life insurance is that each year's premiums, in properly organized insurance companies, are calculated not on the basis of the chance of death in that year, as in the case of fire insurance, but are computed as " level premiums," which exceed this chance in the early years of the policy, and fall short of it in later years. The wisdom of such an arrangement is justified by the incentive which is produced for all "risks" to remain insured, whereas when the "natural" premium only is charged, increasing with age, there is a tendency for the better risks to withdraw, making thereby a "selection" adverse to the companies. A consequence of a "level" premium being charged is that the policy acquires an increasing mathematical value with time, so that the policy holder, after a few years, sometimes possesses a very valuable property, which he can, if he chooses, use as collateral security for loans, etc. The value of such a policy, computed on the mathematical basis, is of sell or 1 Cf. " The Put and Call," byL. E. Higgins, London, 1902, pp. 65, 66. For some suggestions along this line, see Edgeworth, " Mathematical Theory of Banking," Jour. Boy. Statis. Soc, March, 1888; for a statement of the modern statistical method, see Karl Pearson, Grammar of Science, and his journal "Biometrica" for an application of this method to financial and industrial problems, see J. P. Norton, Statistical Studies in the New York Money Market, New Haven (Tuttle, More; house & Taylor), 1903. APPENDIX TO CHAPTER XVI 411 course the present value of the chance of receiving the insur- present value of the chance of paying the Thus, for a man aged 30, who was insured 10 years before, the chance of his death at the age of 35 will be about g-lffo, or .86%, since of 84,720 living at age 30, about 732 die less the ance, premiums. Hence the present value of the chance of f 1000 in that particular year is assuming the rate of interest to be 4%. In in their 36th year. receiving his insurance of ^Ti" ' °^ $7.07, manner we may determine the present value of the similar chance for every other year of possible life, and the sum total like of these present values will be the total present value of the chance of receiving the insurance, $287.66. From this must be deducted the present value of the chance that he will pay' premiums. Thus, the chance of his paying the premium in the above-named year, when he is 35 years of age, will be the chance that he will be living at that time, which is .958. This multiplied by his premium and discounted gives the present value of this possible sums premium payment ; this added to the like for every other year will give the total present value of his obligation to pay premiums, $222.86 tracted from the present value ; this, in turn, sub- of the prospective insurance namely $287.66, will give the present mathematical value of his property, $64.80, called the value of his just obtained, insurance, or the "reserve" on his policy. The true "commercial value," or the value ing to pay, will be somewhat higher. coeflB-cient which he is will- For, in this case, the of caution operates to increase, not to diminish, the value of the property, as insurance tends, not to but to reduce make a risk, it. The calculation of mathematical values of life insurance has been very perfectly worked out. The reader who is interested will find the most complete explanations in the Institute of Actuaries' Text-book, 2 vols., London (Layton), 1901. INDEX Appraisal of wealth, methods used in, 11-12, 34-36; based on future worth, 204-205. Accounting, philosophical basis of, See Capital accounts Appraised price, 13 129, 140. a source of and Income accounts. inaccuracy in measurement of Accumulation of interest not inwealth, 16-17; discrepancies come, but increase of capital, between, and actual selling price 224134-135, 224; results of, (of shares in stock company), 70-72. 226. Apprenticeship considered as an Adornment, services of, 165. investment, 169-170. Agio sense of rate of interest, 195, Premium See con- Area method of representing income, 247, 334. 207-208, 371-374. cept. Agriculture amenable to prediction, Assets, definition of, 67-68, 329; 291. discrepancies in valuation of, Amortization, definition of, 110, 332. 71-72 effect of increase or decrease in value of, 73-74; See Depreciation fund. fraudulent methods of swelling, Amount of a sum, definition of, 203, ; : ; 74 relation of stability of, to capital-balance necessary for safety of a business, 81 ; cash, quick, and slow, 82 true value of liabilities derived from, 8485, 139 items of, to be included in capital and income accounts, 329. Amusement, services of, 165. Annuity, regarded as income, 111; concept of interest based on perpetual, 191-194, on terminable, 194-195 capital-value of perpetual, 205-208 "deferred," examples of perpetual, 207 208-209 capital-value of terminable, 209-210; examples of terminable, 210-211 the perpetual, taken as the standard ; ; ; ; 139-140 ; ; of, ; come and ideal terminable, 243-244 depreciation fund based on difference between actual income and ideal perpetual, 243-244 mathematical formula for present value of perpetual, 369 formulas and diagrams of capital-value of, payable annually, semi-annually, 369-371; formulas for etc., capital-value of terminable, 374taxation of terminable, 378 in England, 401. ; ; methods employed for obtaining valuation of bank (discount paper, short-time loans), 194-195, 198-199, 204; effect of chance element on value ; income, 236-237 sinking fund based on difference between in- ; 287-288 ; figures of, of life insurance companies, 295. Assignment, settlement of bankruptcy by, 86. Austria, taxation of forest lands in, 254. ; ; method of: in summing capital or income accounts, 9091, 142-143, 183, 335; taxation 97-98 by, contrasted with method of couples in income Balances, ; ; Appraisal of labor, 172. summation, 157-158. Balance sheet, definition of, 329. 418 INDEX 414 Balance sheets, to show accumulation of surplus, 69 effect on, of ; ; ; lying, 27. Bank notes, wealth underlying, 27; nature of property right in, 32, 280 ; legal regulations governing, to avoid risk, 289. Bank reserves, risk-meeting function of, 290. communication income earned 231-236; of, application of depreciation fund to, 242-243 as investments, 277-281 formulse for computing value of, 378-382 ; formula ; increase or decrease in value of assets, 73-75 ; interdependence of, of different firms or companies, 87-92 show to methods of balances and couples, 91 to show distinction between accounting of real and of fictitious persons, 93-94 prospects of businesses shown by, 264. Bank deposit rights, wealth under- ; ; mathematical value of risky, 403-406. Bond value books, 213-215. Bougand, quoted, 168 n. Branford, Victor, cited, 63 n. Building and loan association, income accounts of, 127-128. for Bullock, C. J., definition of income by, 349-350. C option known as a, 298. Campbell, A. C, cited on moral Call, effects of insurance, 295 n. Canard, human beings counted as wealth by, 5 n.^. Bankruptcy, state of, 82 laws relating to, 83 bondholders' and Cannan, Edwin, definition of wealth Bankruptcies, 87-88. of, ; ; stockholders' position in case 83-86; settlement of, of, 86; rela- tion of general crisis to individual, 297. Banks, national liability of stockholders in, 83 investments of, in government bonds, 280-281. Basis of a security, definition of, 329. : ; Bemis, Edward W., cited, 39. Bequests not counted as income, 109. BernoulU's Theorem, 267, 275. Bills of exchange, 204-205. Bohm-Bawerk, quoted on attempts to define "capital," 53-54; concited, cept of capital of, 56 60 n.^; statement that interest is not an element in cost of cited in production, 173-174 connection with productivity theory, 187 concept of interest on interactions as of, 195, 247 preparatory to enjoyable serv; ; ; ; ices, 318. Bondholders, nature of rights of, 31-32, 85 distinction between stockholders and, 85, 288-289; ; position of, in reorganization after bankruptcy, 85-86; relation of, to risks of enterprises, 289. Bonds, wealth underlying property in, 25, 26; nature of rights of holder, 31-32, 85; capital-value realized vs. of, 211-217, 382; by, 3 ; on cited capital, 56, n.^ tion with ; wage definition of cited in connecfund theory, 59 use of term "capital" by, 60 and n.^ ; on concept of income, 102 n.^; savings regarded as income by, 108; concept of income of, 116; on distinction between rent and interest, 186 n.^; confusion of earned with realized income by, 247-248. Capital, concept of, as stock of wealth at an instant of time, 51-52, varying views of, 53-57 324 viewed relation of labor to, 55 fancied disas productive, 56 tinction between land and, 56 n.^ ; ; ; errors resulting from narrow relainterpretations of, 57-58 tion of author's definition to dicestablished usage, 60-61 tionary definitions of, 61-62 business men's view of, 63-65 two senses of, called capitalgoods and capital-value, 66-67 relation of surplus or undivided ; ; ; 68-70; original and 330; bookkeeper's vs. market's estimate of, 70-72 four separate meanings of term applied to person or firm, 72 nominal classification of, 72 and paid-up, 72, 330; payment profits to, net, 69, ; ; ;;; ;; ; INDEX of perpetual annuity, est, 202 of terminable 205-208, 369 annuity, 209-210, 374-378 risk element in determining, 210; of of a bond, 211-217, 382; any income stream, 217-221, 387-388; of alternative income streams, 221-222 of group of articles, 223 is the discounted value of expected income, 223- of dividends out of, 75, 256 of "real" person and of "fictitious" person, 92-93; relation fallacious staof credit to, 96 confusion of intistics of, 98 ; ; ; ; ; come and, ill 114-115, 351 fallacy of adding to income savings of, 108, 134-135, 247income need not 255, 349, 353 110-111 unimpaired, leave outgo is not, 124; analogous to and correlative with income, 184; physical productivity and value productivity of, 185, 186 physical return and value return mistake of disof, 185, 186; tinguishing between land and, 186-187 fundamental principle of value of (value of future income), 188 increase of, equals excess of earnings over income, between relation 237-238 105-112, ; ; ; ; 304-305; less than total expected income, 227-228 effect of change of interest rate on, 229, 271-273, 390-393 enmner- 224, ; ; ation of causes affecting, 284285 as mean between past cost and future income, 305-309 ; for, of sum due in one and of sum due at any time, formula ; year, 368. ; Capital-wealth. See Capital goods. Carver, cited, 117 n.^. amount of, and risk involved, Cash, income and outgo accounts of, 131-132, 135-136 account book 277, 408-409; reserves of, held of lawyer, 136-137 representaas an into avoid risk, 290 come meter, 137-138. tion of income and, by polar effect of Caution, coefficient of 276-277, 330 coordinates, 393-395 applied to insurance, 292 matheforeknown tax on increase of, matical presentation of, 403. 398-400; taxation of impairCensus (U. S., 1905), cited concernment of, 400-403. ing railway valuation, 36 n. Capital accounts, definition of, 67, ne89 ; methods of balances and Certificates, of property, 23 cessity of separating from wealth, couples in summing up, 90-92; property, services, and utility, relation between income ac38; stock, 68-70; receiver's, counts and, 139, 256-264. 86. Capital balance, 81, 329. Chance, element of, in property Capital cost, 124-125. rights, 22, 330; involving risk Capital curves, 303-322, 369-378. of insolvency, 81 ; nature of, Capital-goods, meaning of term, 67, always an estimate, 265-269 classification of, 72. 329 266 an affair of ignorance, Capital instruments, 66-67, 72, 329 regulation of income by com268; measurement of, 269-271; mathematical value of a, 275; bining, 127-129, 245-246. in valuing stock, 280-283 effect Capitalization, definition of, 64, 330 of, on discount curve, 286-287 rate of, 194; employment of effect of, on bookkeeping, 287rate of, as alternative to rate 288 effect of, on capital curves, table showing of interest, 199 320-322. equivalent rates of interest, discount, and, 200; of income Chen, Chin tao, cited on utility, 47. by means of rate of interest, 202 Clark, J. B., cited on utility, 47; concept of capital of, 55, 56, dimensions of rates of discount, interest, and, 367-368. 60; term "capital-goods" suguse of economic gested by, 67 Capitalize, use of term, 64, 330. terms by, 67; "Niagara Falls" Capital property, 67, 72, 330. simile of, applied to income, 129 Capital-value, 67, 72, 327, 330 deterdistinction between work and mination of, from rate of inter; ; ; ; : ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; : ; ; INDEX 416 labor drawn by, 175 n. cept of interest of, 247. ; con- Clothing, services of, 165. Coefficients of caution, probability, Currency inflation, the basis Custom (tailor's), ; Consumption, 145, 152, 164, 165, 336, 350. Contingent liability, 83. Control, value of, as applied to railway ownership, 35-36. Copyright, wealth underlying, 27, 29. Cost, included in term "outgo," 120; influence of past, on present value, 188-190. Cost of production, 151, 173-174, 184. Cotgrave, definition of capital by, 62. Couple, definition of, 331. Couples, method of ; in capital sum- mation, 90-91, 183-184, 335; applied to accounting of railway company, 94 taxation by, 97-98; income summation by, 143-152, 183-184, 335; natural income discovered by, 150-151 contrasted with method of balances in income summation, 157; 158. Courcelle-Seneuil, use of term "capital" by, 60. Credit, nature of property right represented by, 32-33 mistaken view of, 39 ; relation of, to capital, 96-97 in the sense of an item of a transaction, 158159, 336. "Credited," income said to be, 122, 132, 325. Creditors, regarded as risk-takers, ; ; 83-84 bondholders contrasted with stockholders as, 85. ; Crises, causes of, 296-297. mistaken idea 38-39. wealth represented by, 29. and risk. See Caution, etc. Combination of capital instruments to standardize income, 127-129, 245-246. Commodities, definition of, 5, 323, 331 ; classification of, 7 error of reckoning as income, 105-106. Complete rights to property, 36-37, 95-96, 324-325, 335. Composition, settlement of bankruptcy by, 86. Computation tables, 243 n., 283284, 408-411. of, D Daniels, use of term "capital" by, 60 n.''. Dargun, human beings counted as wealth by, 5 n.^. Davenant, on human beings as wealth, 5 n.2. Davenport, "Statistical Methods" by, 408 n. Debit, an item of a transaction, 122, 132, 158-159, 336. Debt, imprisonment for, 83 repudiation of, 84; payments on (interest or principal) are outgo, ; 134. Definition, tests of a, 116. De Foville, use of term "capital" by, 60. Depletion of capital, not to be deducted from income, 110, 134; taxation and, 400-403. Depreciation not outgo, 234. Depreciation fund, regulation of income by, 125-126, 239-243; geometrical figures representing, 240, 241. Depreciations, item of, in income capital accounts, 257-263. concept Desirability, of, 41, and 326; discussion of term, and term "utility," 42-43. See Utility. Dimension, definition of, 331. Dimensions wealth, price, and value, income3-15, 341-344; of capital ratios, 186, 357 of rates and capiof interest, discount, : ; talization, 367-368. Discommodities, class of articles termed, 120. Discount, rate of, 199, 200, 327, 332 table showing equivalent rates of interest, capitalization, and, 200; total, on a sum, 209-210, mathematical relations 331 between rates of interest and, between rates of, 364-366; for different time reckonings, 366-367 dimensions of rates of interest, capitalization, and, 367-368. ; ; ;;; ; INDEX Discount curve (Exponential curve), 203-204, 223-224, 331-332; applications of, 206-208, 272, 284287, 303-309, 317-322, 360-361, 378, 380-381, 391-394. Discount paper, banks', 204. Disservices, definition of, 20, 119120, 325, 332; eniuneration of, 120; measurement of, 120-121; examples of, 123; "necessary evils," 123; one phase of, and services termed "interactions," 144; transformations of wealth from one point of view are, 146. Distribution curve of incomes, 142. 142, 143. Disutility, criticism of term, 42. Dividends, effect of payment of, Distribution ledgers, on capital account, 75 payment ; out of capital, 75, variability of, 281-282, of, 256 406- 407. "Doses" of capital, 185. Double counting, fallacy of, in concept of income, 107-108, 113economists' 115, 116, 347, 350; attempts to avoid, 109-112. Double entry bookkeeping, 144, 159, 325-326. Double taxation, 39, 97-98, 250-253, 255. Du Cange, Dufresne, definition bf capital by, 62. 417 Enjoyable objective services ("Consumption"), enumeration of, 165. Exchange of wealth, 10, 11, 22, 149, 332 analysis of an, 158-159. Expense, definition of, 119-120, 332. Exponential curve. See Discount ; curve. F Factor's agreement, property right represented by, 28. wealth Fee simple, rights in, 23 definition of, underlying, 26; no counter37 ; an asset having part liability constitutes a, 95. Fetter, F. A., cited on utility, 47; definition of capital by, 55 ; cited on confusion between quantity and value of wealth, 56 n.^; use of term "capital" by, 60 n.^; use of economic terms by, 67; concept of income of, 117, on distinction 165, 350-351 ; between rent and capital, 186 n.*^. Fictitious person, definition of, 335; accounting of, distinguished from that of real person, 92, 138-139, ; 153, 160-161. Finished products, classification of, 7. Flow, definition of a, 332. Flow of wealth, income conceived duration of, as a, 51-52, 101 52; rate of, 52, 332. Flux, use of term "capital" by, 60; concept of income of, 117. ; E of income from capital, 283-284; by trade journals, speculators experts in, distinction tion of, 234, 333 291 between realized income and, 295 crises caused by a general error in, 296-297. 234-236, 247-253, 327-328, 353 excess of, over income, equals in- Foreclosure, settlement of bankruptcy by, 86. crease of capital, 237-238, 328. Edgeworth, F. Y., definition of in- Forests, appraisal of present value of, based on future worth, 205 come by, 102 n.' cited, 410 n. taxation of, 254. Elements of income or outgo, 121. Emery, H. C, cited on speculations, France, limited liability in, 83 taxation of forest lands in, 254; 300. government bonds in, 281. Endorsement, influence of, in reFranchise rights, wealth underlying, ducing risk, 289. Engel, human beings counted as 26, 29. accumulation of Franklin fund, wealth by, 5 n.^, 17. interest shown by, 225. England, bankruptcy laws in, 83 Fund, definition of a, 332. income taxation in, 253, 401. Enjoyable income, 105, 112-113, Fund of wealth, capital conceived "Earning power" of stock, Earnings (Earned income), 71. Forecasts, defini- ; ; ; ; 118, 325-326. 2e as a, 51-52. INDEX 418 Future, value of any capital-good dependent on the, 188-199, 204223-224; estimates of, 205, based on the past, 283-284, 291, 295, 296-297. Futures, trading in, 298-300. G Gambling, uneven value of the chances in, 275 distinction between speculation and, 295. Gaskill, Alfred, quoted on taxation ; Housing and warming, services of, 165. Human beings, considered as a form of wealth, 5, 17 ; classification of, in scheme of wealth, 7. Human body, transformation of services through, 167—168; effect of condition of, on subjective and objective income, 175-176. of forest lands, 254. General property tax, 253. George, Henry, proposition nationalize land, 30-31. Germany, Hicks, use of term "capital" by, 61. Higgins, L. R., cited, 410. Hire, rights of, wealth underlying, 26. Holland, T. E., cited concerning definition of "rights," 21. to of, in, Ignorance, element of, in chance, 268 reduction of risk by decrease of, 254. Gibbs, J. W., quoted, 65 n.^. Gide, use of economic terms by, 43. Giffen, use of term "capital" by, 60. Immaterial wealth, items included under, 4 disadvantage of theory of, 39. 205 ; appraisal of forests taxation of forest lands in, certificates, nature of property right in, 32. Goods wealth, property, and services treated under term, 41, 327 ; not income, 351. Good will, wealth underlying rights Gold : of, 27, 28-29. Government bonds, 31-32, 280-281. Government property, wealth underlying, 27. Government reports, reduction of risk by, 291. Government's taxing power, nature of, 30. "Graveyard insurance," 294. Gross income, definition of, 121, 333. Guaranties, method of, to avoid risk, 288-289. Guth, Franz, on income, 356. Guyot, use of term "capital" by, 60. H ; on commutation of risks, 289, 299. Health as wealth, 176. Hedging, shifting risks by, 299-300. Hermann, F. B. W. v., concept of perishable capital of, 54, 56 goods regarded as non-capital ; by, 63 ; ; Impairment of capital, 328; taxation Imprisonment 110, 134, 400-403. of, for debt, 83. Income, concept of, as flow of services during period of time, 51— 52, 101, 116-118, 324; savings not to be included in, 108, 134— 135, 247-255, 349, 353; varying concepts of, 101-115, 345356; conceived as money-income, 103-104, 115, 117-118, 333; obtained in kind, 104; real, 104-106, 112-113; enjoyable, 105, 112-113, 333; services only to be regarded as, 106-107, 112, 116-118; fallacy of double counting in concept of, 113-115, 107-108, 116, 347, 350; not "regular," 109; standard, 110, 234, 236-237, 328, 396-398 (see Standard 333, need not leave capital income) unimpaired, 110, 328; needless ; Hadley, A. T., " capital " according concept of income of, to, 60 n.^ 117; 291. on income, 352-353. distinctions between social and individual, 113-115; confusion of capital and, 114-115, 351; primary or natural, 115, 150, 333; social, 116, 141, 333, 348; 130-131, 333 121, net, 118, use of term, (see Net income) in two senses (services and value), ; 121 ; gross, element of, 121 viewed from one point 121, 333 ; ; ; ;;; 419 INDEX 122 n. fund on, 125-126, 238-243; other methods of steadying, 127-129, 243247, 259-263, 293-294 methods is outcome or yield, effect of depreciation ; of reckoning real person's (law- and fictitious person's (railway corporation's), 130-139 Income accounts) ; total (.see of, distribution social, 141 142-143; objective, 165; objective and subjective final stage of, 165-169; psychic (subjeccapital tive), 167-169, 177, 333 analogous to and correlative value of capital with, 184; derived from future, 188; purpaychasing power over, 191 able annually and semi-annually, 192; line method of represent206-207, 371-372; area ing, method of representing, 207208, 371-374 determining capicase of tal-value of, 217-221 capital-value less than total exrealized vs. pected, 227-228; earned, 231-236, 238, 247-255, 327-328, 353 ; perpetual annuity taken as the standard, 236-237 regulation of, by repair fund, 259-263 risk as applied to immediate, 275-276; forecasts of, j^er's) ; ; ; ; ; entrance of interactions 143-145, 325; of logging camp and sawmill, to illustrate application of method of couples, 143 ; into, 152-154 of dry goods company, to illustrate double entry bookof factory keeping, 159-162; company, to show relation between capital accounts and, 258-262 ; siunmarized definition of, 333. ; Income and outgo accounts, 122140. *See Income accounts. Income bonds, 85. Income meter, "cash" in income accounts termed an, 137-138. Income-services, 121. Income summation, by method balances, 90-91, 335 ; of 142-143, by method of 183, couples, 143-152, 183-184, 335; method with contrasted couples of method of balances in, 157— 158. tax, 250-253, 398-400 effect misconceived, capital of unrestricted applica253-254 tion of, impracticable, 400-403. Income-value, 121, 327, 333 ; rate of interest a link between capital- Income on ; ; value and, 202, 327-328. Individual income, distinctions between social and, 113—115. 283-284 effect of changes in, on true and pseudo, 82. capital- value, 284-285 insurance Insolvency, 81 a means of steadying, 293-294; Installment, payment by, as a means of regulating income, 127, 244— increase of value is not, 351 245. diagrams for continuous and discontinuous, 371-374; repre- Instrument of wealth, 5, 19, 333. sentation of capital and, by Insurance, origins of, 275-276 avoidance and shifting of risks by, polar coordinates, 393—395 two 291-294; a means of 288, rival concepts of standard, when 293-294 income, steadying interest rate varies, 396-398. various forms of, 294. Income accounts, services and disservices which enter into, 119- Insurance companies, identity of creditors and stockholders in 121 for house and lot, 122-126 mutual, 85 terminable annuities of building and loan association, used by, 210 bonds offered by, 127-128; of lawyer (real per131-134, 135-136, 163, 217; forecast of interest rate son), by, 274. 174-175 of railway corporation (fictitious person), 138- Interactions between two instruments or groups of instruments, 139; relation between capital 144, 325, 334; formerly styled accounts and, 139, 256-264, 325 services," "productive 145; items of assets and liabilities three classes of (transformation, 139-140, to be included in, transportation, and transfer), 325; of society as a total, 141145-152; natural services of 142; of United States, 142; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; INDEX 420 capital consist between amount of capital and 152-156 of, shown by diagrams to be preparatory to enjoyable services, 317320. Interest, is capital and not income, 134-135, 224 not an item in cost of production, 173-174 spurious distinction between rent and, risk of, 277, 408-409. Irredeemable paper money, wealth underlying, 27; nature of, 30. Item of wealth, 337. 5, ; ; 186-187 crude theories of, 187- James, William, quoted, 168 n. nominal principal and, Jevons, W. S., use of phrase "final 188; utility" by, 46; concept of in case of bond, 211-212, 215, capital of, 54, 57; use of term 217 accimaulation of, 224-226 discommodities 1 20 by, definition of nominal and total, ; ; ; ' ' ' ' 334. rate Interest, of: defined, 191, 334; various meanings of, according to frequency of payment, 192-194, 334; payable annually and semi-annually, 192 premium and price concepts of, 194-196, 246; interchangeof premium and price concepts of, 196-199; table showing equivalent rates of discount, capitalization, and, 200; a link between capital- value and income- value, 202, 327 ; table of, realized per annum on three, four, and five per c ent bonds, 2 1 4215; effect on capital-value of change in, 229, 271-273, 390393 value-return may be greater or less than, 229-234; risk as applied to, 271-274 forecast of, ability ; ; cited on rent entering into cost of production, 173. Joint stock companies, capital accounts of, 68-70; limited Uability in, 82-83 shares in, as example of perpetual annuities, 209. ; Joint stock rights, wealth underlying, 26. Juglar, cited on crises, 296. K Kind, income obtained in, 104. Kleinwachter, concept of capital of, 54; raw materials regarded as non-capital by, 63 on income, 102, 351-355. ; Knies, on capital, 54, 57, 60. Knowledge, reduction of risk by method of increasing, 288, 291 utility of speculation based on, by insurance companies, 274; 298. riskless, mathematical, and comKomorzynski, on mercial, 279-280; on government bonds, 280-281 mathemat- capital, 65 n.^. ; relations between annual, semi-annual, and quarteriy rates conceived in price sense, 357- ical premium sense, 358362 mathematical relation between, and rate of discount, 358, in ; dimensions of, and rates of discount and capitalization, 367-368 variation of, produces two rival concepts of standard income, 396-398. Interstate Commerce Commission, 364-366 ; ; Report of, cited, 39. Inventory, distinction between quantity, price, and value of wealth shown in an, 14. Investments, safe classification and unsafe, 277; of, as relation Labor, economists' views of relation between capital and, 55 defined as outgo in form of htunan exertion, 120, 334; as form of appraisal of, disservice, 145 in a sense the only true 172 discost of production, 175 ; ; ; ; drawn between work tinction and, 175 n. Labor power, 316-317. Lafrentz, L. W., use of term "capital" by, 63. Land, regarded as one class of wealth, classification of, 334 5, 7 nationalization of, 30—31, 254; fancied distinction between capiview of, as nontal and, 56 n^ ; ; ; ; INDEX by capital 421 Alfred, use of economic terms by, 43, 46, 61 treatment of capital by, 54 on distinction Marshall, classical economists, mistake of distinguishing between capital and, 186-187; 63; ; ; between capital and non-capital, 57 on concept of income, 1 14, 117, 347-348; on avoidance of double counting in concept of income, 114; on transformation an example of capital yielding perpetual approximately an ; annuity, 209 determination of uses of, 221 benefits of speculation in, 222 taxation of, 254. Land improvements, 5, 7, 334. ; ; ; of wealth, 145. distinction between capital and non-capital according to, 55 on relation between capital and labor, 55 denies that Landry, time element in concept of Marx, capital of, 57. Lawyer, income and outgo accounts ; 131-137, 162-164, 174-175. Lease, wealth underlying rights of, 26, 34-35. of, Liabilities, definition of, 67, 325, ; productive, 56. Measurement of psychic income, capital 334 177. of services and disservices, 19-20, 120-121. Measurement of wealth, by quantity, 8-9; by price, 9-11; by Measurement of capital-balance to, looking to safety of a business, relation 81 ; true value of, is derived from assets, 84-85, 139; consideration income and outgo accounts, 134-135, 139-140, 162-164. Liability, limited and contingent, 82-83. Life insurance, steadying of income by, 294, 295; method of computing pure level premiima, 410-411. Limited liability, in case of joint stock company, 82-83. Line method of representing income, 206-207, 371-372. Liquidation, resulting from bankruptcy, 86 a crisis defined as a time of general and forced, 296. Loans, short-time interest in case of, 194-195, 198-199; rate of discount employed for, 199, 204. Logging camp accounts, 152—157, 318. Lowell Institute, possibilities of accumulation shown by, 225. of, in ; : 13-14; inaccuracies in, expressed mathematic15-17 ally, 341-344. Methods of avoiding risk. See value, ; Risk. of balances and couples. See Balances and Couples. Methods of standardizing income, 259-263, 125-129, 243-247, 293-294. Meyer, R., on income, 355-356. Methods between capi- Mill, J. S., distinction tal and capital non-capital by, 54 regarded as a on quoted 55 itself product by, wage fund theorj^, 59. Miner's inch, 193, 208-209. Mines, terminable income exemplified ; by, 209, 210. Mixter, editor of Rae's Sociological Theory of Capital, 65 n.i. Money, uniformity of measurement by means of, 15 irredeemable M ; distinction bepaper, 27, 30 tween three elements (wealth, property, certificates) to which term is applied, 38. Money-income, concept of, 103-104, 115, 117-118. Money price, 335. Money value, 337. Money-wages not real wages, 104. ; human beings as wealth, 5 n.2; concept of capital MacCulloch, on of, 55 ; quoted on wage fund theory, 59. Machines, offsetting of depreciation in, 241-242. MacLeod, H. D., definition of wealth by, 4 concept of capital of, 55 ; ; includes credit under capital,. 96. Marginal utility (desirability), definition of, 46, 331 mathematical expression for, 344-345. ; Monopoly, effect of tendency toward, on risk element, 409. Monopoly franchise, wealth underlying rights of, 25, 27, 29. INDEX 422 Mortgage, use to maintain regu- of, larity of income, 127, 244-245 ; reduction of risk by, 289. Murray, J. A. H., dictionary definition of income, 62-63, 345-346. Mutual insurance companies, creditors and stockholders identical ; ; 124; offsetting of, by depreciation fund, 125-126 method of couples applied to, 151-152; depreciation is not, 234. Overvaluation of capital, 79-80. Owner-method of taxation, 97-98. partial Ownership, meaning of, 18 and total, 34-36, 95-96, 324capital, in, 85. N National banks, liability of stockgovernment holders in, 83 bonds bought by, 280-281. Natural income, 118, 150; ascertaining, by method of couples, 150; ; change in forms of, in reorganization after bankruptcy, credit a form of divided, 86 proper determination 96-97 of, in taxation of property, 97— 98; change of, 149-152, and see 325, 335 151. Nau, Carl H., cited, 39. Net capital, 69, 330. Net income, 118, 121, 130-131, 333; example of, in case of lawyer, 136-137, 163, 174-175; lacking in case of fictitious persons, 138-139; of society, 141-143; determining by method of balances and method of couples, 157-158; of merchant's stock, 223. outgo, definition Net Net product, of, 121, 335. income conceived social as society's, 113-115. human beings S., Nicholson, J. counted as wealth by, 5 n.^ use of term "capital" by, 61 on credit as "revenue capital, 96. Norton, J. P., on relation between am.ount of capital and risk involved, 277, 409; on use of probability computations, 283 n.i, Out-come, income viewed from one point becomes, 112 n. Outgo, definition of, 119, 326, 335; element of, 121; net, 121, 335; use of, in two senses (disservices viewed from and value), 121 one point is ingo, 123 n. not 410 n. ; ; Exchange and Transfer. Palgrave, definition of capital by, 62. Panama Canal, example of dependency of capital-value on future services, 188-189. Panics, causes of, 296-297. Pareto, human beings counted as wealth by, 5 n.^; introduction of term "ophelimity" by, 42; use of cited on utility, 47; term "capital" by, 60; distribution curve of incomes of, 142. Partial rights to property, 34-37, 9596, 335. Partnership, wealth underlying rights 26 in, Notes, wealth underlying, 26, 28. Nourishment, services of, 165. 83 ; ; liability of members income considered in of a, re- spect to, 130. wealth underlying, 27. installment a means of regulating income, 127, 244-245. Pearson, Karl, cited, 410 n. Pension, the diminishing capitalvalue of a, 238-239. Person, fictitious and real, defined, 335. See Fictitious and Real persons. Petty, on human beings as wealth, Patent rights, Payment by O Objective cost of production nonexistent, 173. ; , Objective income, 165-169; points of divergence of, from subjective income, 169-176. Ofner, human beings counted as wealth by, 5 n.^. Ophelimity, 42. Options, stock exchange (puts and calls), 298-299. 5 n.2, 17. Physical productivity of capital, 185, 186. ;;; ; INDEX Physical return of capital, 185, 186. Piecework, terms used in measurement of, 19-20. Pierson, N. G., definition of income adopted by, 102 n.\ 346. rigou, cited on utility, 47. Pitt, on sinking fund, 243. Pocket cash, risk-meeting function of, 290. Polar coordinates, representation of capital and income by, 393395. Practice (physician's), wealth represented by, 29. Prediction. See Forecast. Preferred stock, 85 share of, to illustrate riskless value, 280. Premii.un concept of interest, 194interchange196, 247, 334; ability of, with price concept, ; 196-199, 362-366; represented mathematically and by diagram, 358-361. Price, Richard, financial theories of, 243. Price, definition of, 11, 335; various usages of term (money, market, and appraised or reasonable), 13-14 distinction between quantity, value, and, 14-15 relation of, to past costs and future expectations, 189-190; rate of interest called, of money or capital, 191 ; money, defined, dimensions of wealth, 335 value, and, 341-344. Price concept of interest, 191-194, interchange196, 247, 334; ; ; ability of, with premium concept, 196-199,362-366; mathematical relations between rates reckoned annually, semi-annually, according to, 357-358. Principal, nominal, in case of bonds, 211-212, 215, 217, 335. Probability, a matter of human estimate, not merely mathe- matics, 270-271 coefficient of, 276-277, 331, 335, 403; application of principles of, to valuation of capital, 277-279, 403406 ; theory of, applied to insurance, 295. Probability computations, 283-284, 408-410. Production, problem of, in concept of capital, 55-56, 145— 173-174, 148 cost of, 151, ; 184. Productive processes, 145-148, 335. Productive services, 145. Productivity, physical and value, 185-188, 335. Productivity theory, 187-188. Profits, undivided, 68. Promises of refraining, wealth underlying, 27, 28. Property, definition 325, 335 wealth and, and coextensive, 22-23, 95-96; types of chief forms of, 26-27 partial and total rights to, 34-37, 9596, 335 necessity of separating of, 18, rights in, 20-22 correlative terms ; ; ; from wealth, certificates of property, services, and utility, confusion of ideas regard38 regulation of ining, 38-40 ; ; come by sale 127, of, 244- 245. Property rights, definition of, 18, 22, ; table illustrating exist- 324, 335 ence of wealth behind, 26-27; overlying of, by one another, 31— 32 classification ; of, 36-37 method from of determining income collection of, 130. See Ownership. Pseudo-insolvency, 82. Psychic income, 167-169, measurement of, 333; 177. Purchase, definition of, 11, 335. Purchasing power, use of phrase, 191. Put, option etc., Primary (natural) income, 115. ; 423 known as a, 299. Q Quantity, measurement of wealth in units of, 8-9 distinction between price, value, and, 14-15 conceived as a fund (capital) or a flow (income), 51-52; measurement of services by, 120ratio of, of services to 121 quantity of capital yielding those services (physical productivity), 185 dimensions of price, value, and, 341-344. Quarries, terminable income exempli; ; ; fied by, 209, 210. INDEX 424 R Rae, John, use of economic terms by, 5, 65. Railway iDonds, source income of from, 130. Railway capital, fallacious statis- tics of, 98. control, value of, 35-36. Railways, disservices vs. services of, 120; income accounts of, 138real sum total of income 139 leases of, as examples of, 151 of perpetual annuities, 208 forecasting the value of property in, Railway ; ; ; 284. of Rate capitalization, 194, 330. Capitalization. Rate of discount, 199, 200, 327-328, 332. See Discount. Rate of flow, 52, 332. See Flow. Rate of interest. See Interest, rate iSee of. Repairs, item of, in income and capital accounts, 257-263. Report on Direct Taxation cited, 114. Repudiation of debts, 84. Reserves of capital held to avoid risk, 290. Resources. See Assets. Return. See Value return. Ricardo, on relation between capital and labor, 55 theory of rent of, ; 187. Rider, W., definition of capital by, 62. Right, definition of lying, 27. Risk, element of, in determining capital-value, 210; as 205, applied to rate of interest, 271274; as applied to immediate income, 275-276 coefficient of, relation between 336; 277, ; Rate of value-return, 229-238. amount Ratios, income-capital, 185-186, 357. Raw materials, classification of, 7. Ray Act relating to bankruptcy, 83. Real estate, regarded as one class of classification of, 7 wealth, 5 inaccuracy in appraisement of, 16-17; speculation in, 221-222, 254. See Land and Land im- 408-409 ing, 288 ; provements. Real income, concept 112-113. Realized income of, 104-106, a, 20. Right to subscribe, 78. Rights in common, wealth tmder- ; of capital and, 277, five methods of avoid; avoidance of, by method of guaranties, 288-289, safety of safeguards, 289-291 redevices for meeting, 290 duction of, by increasing knowlavoidance and shiftedge, 291 ing of, by insurance, 291-294; shifting of, to speculators, 295298; shifting by hedging, 299effect of element of, on 300 capital curves, 320-322 mathematical coefficient of, 403. See ; ; ; ; earned, vs. 231— 247-255, 327-328, 238, 236, 353. Real persons, accounting of, distinguished from that of fictitious persons, 92-93, 164, 174-175. 138-139, 162- Real wages, money-wages not, 104. Recapitalization of stock companies, 70. of, in reorganization after bankruptcy, 86. Rent, as example of transfer of and cost of wealth, 150-151 ; Chance. Risk of insolvency, 81. Roosevelt, Theodore, 170. Roscher, W., human beings counted as wealth by, 5 n.^; treatment definition of of capital by, 54 income by, 346—347. Runs on banks, 296, 297. ; Receiver, office ; 173-174; spurious distinction between interest and, 186-187. production, Reorganization resulting from bankruptcy, 86. Repair fund, regulation of income by, 259-263. S Safeguards, method of, to avoid 288, 289-291. Safety devices, risk-meeting function of, 290. Sale, definition of, 11, 336. Satisfaction, concept of, 41, 324; distinction between utility and, 43-44, 53. risk, INDEX Savings, to be counted as capital, not income, 108, 134-135, 247-253, 254-255, 328, 349, 353. Sawmill, income account for, 152155, 157, 318-320. Say, J. B., human beings counted as wealth by, 5 n.^ use of term "capital" by, 60. Schafhe, A. E. F., treatment of capital by, 54. Schmoller, Gustav, on income, 352353. Seager, H. R., definition of income by, 349. use Seligman, cited on utility, 47 of term "capital" by, 60 n.'. "Selling short," 298-300. ; ; Senior, N. W., quoted on definition of capital, 53 capital itself regarded as a product by, 55 on capital as a producer of wealth, 56. Services, definition of, 19, 324, 336 ; 425 Social income, the concept of, as "net product" of society, 113-115; author's concept of, 114, 118, 141, ^333; distinction between individual income and, 115-116. for measuring wealth, 8-9. Speculation, in real estate, 222, 230; benefits and evils of, 295-298. Speculators, use of land deferred by, 222 position of, considered, risk-meeting function of, 230 288, 290, 295; in futures, 298300. Sprague, C. E., cited on meaning of term "capital," 63 n. Standard deviation, measurement of extent of variability by, 406— 410. Standard income, 110, 234, 333; Space-units ; ; realized, 234-236, 247-253, 327-328, 353. Stock, economic use of term, 51, measurement of, 19-20, 120336 chance element in valuing complete and partial (in commercial sense), 280-283. 121 rights to, 36-37 to be separated Stock companies, capital accounts from wealth, property, certifiof, 68-70 two valuations in, 70-72. cates of property, and utility, income conceived as flow Stockholders, liability of, in joint 38 of, 51-52, 101, 116-118, 324; stock companies and in national commodities wrongly combined banks, 82-83; preferred, 85; with, in concept of income, 105bondholders and, contrasted, position of, in 106 necessity of avoiding con85, 288-289; fusion of anything else with, in bankruptcy, 85-86; case of income-concept, 106-107; inrisk-taking function of, 288-289. finite variety of, 119 one phase Stock jobbing, 74-77. of, and disservices termed "in- Stock of wealth, concept of capital teractions," 144; transformaas a, 51-52, 323-324. tions of wealth as, 146 method Stocks, contrasted with bonds, 85, of couples applied to, 152-156 288-289; effect of chance on, enjoyable objective ("consump276-277. tion"), 164, 165, 336; stage of Stock-watering, 79-80. final objective, 165; subjective, Stream of wealth, concept of income 166; classification of, 178-179. as a, 51-52, 323-324. Short-time loans, 194-195, 198-199, Subjective income, definition of, 204. 168, 326 points of divergence of, Simmonds, P. L., definition of from objective income, 169— capital by, 62. 176. See Psychic income. Single taxation, 253-254. Surplus, 68, 256-257. Sinking fund, 243-244, 333. Smart, William, use of term "capital" by, 60 n.'; definition of income by, 348-349. Taussig, F. W., 318; definition of Smith, Adam, on capital, 53, 54, income by, 349. on rent and income, Taxation: double, 39, 253, 255; 56, 58, 61 150. methods of avoiding double. vs. ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; INDEX 426 and owner-method 97-98 wealth-method of, 97-98; of income, 250-254, 398-403 theory of advocates of single, 254 ; ; nature 27; 30-31. marginal, ; total ; and mar- consideration of 44-46 ; 47 total, definition of marginal, expressed mathematically, 344-345. of land, 254. Taxing power, and, 43-44, 53 ginal, 44, 331 wealth underlying, of government's, Valuation of railways, 35-36, 151, Tenant, rights of, 34-35. in concept of 284. Time, element of in companies in con- Valuations stock capital, 51-52, 56-57 : ; sidering 196. interest, Todhunter, Ralph, cited, 401. Total discount on a sum, 209-210, 374-378. Total social wealth, diagrammatic summation of, 316-317. Total utility (Total desirability), 44, 47, 331. Trade journals, risk element diminished by, 291. Transaction, definition of, 159, 336. Transfer of wealth, 10-11, 149-152, 158-159, 325, 336. Transformation of services through the human body, 167-168. Transformations of wealth, definition of, 145, 325, 336 services or disservices according to point of view, 146 ; examples of, 147148. Transportation of wealth, 148-149, 325, 336. Trust, property held in, 31. Turgot, use of term "capital "by, 60. Tuttle, definition of wealth by, 4; distinction between capital and ; non-capital according to, 55 use of economic terms by, 60, 67. (bookkeeper's and market's), 70-72. Value, definition of, 13, 336-337; varioiis uses of term, and of term "price," 13-14; distinction between quantity, price, and, 14 of control in case of ; measurement railways, 35-36 derivaof services by, 120-121 tion of, from future and not from riskless, mathepast, 188-189 matical, and commercial, 276dimensions of 277, 280-283; wealth, price, and, 341-344 increase of, not income, 351 formula for, of bond, 378-380. See Capital-value. Value productivity of capital, 185, 186, 335. Value return of capital, 185-186, 188-191, 202, 336; rate of, 229238 ; may be greater or less than rate of interest, 229-231. Variation, of income, and its rem; ; ; edies, 125-129, 243-247, ; 281-282, 406-407. Verm, theory of chance U Undesirability, definition Undesirable event, 123. of, 42, 259- 263, 293-294; of rate of inter284-285, 271-273, est, 229, 390-393, 396-398 of dividends, of, 266. W 336. Wage fund theory, 59. Undivided profits, 68, 256-257. Wages, money, are not real, 104. Usance of wealth, 117, 348. Use of desirable events, "utility" Wagner, Adolf, on income, 125, 353-354. to be distinguished from, 19, 43. Walker, Francis, 187. Walras, human beings counted as wealth by, 5 n.^; on capital, 41, 42-43; Usufructs, wealth underlying rights in, 26. Utility, concept of, 19, to be separated from wealth, property, certificate of property, and services, 38 error of belief that wealth constitutes, 39-40; distinction between satisfaction ; 54, 55-56, 63. Waste, an example of overbalancing of services by disservices, 120. Water-rights, an example of perpetual annuity, 193, 208-209. ; INDEX Wealth, definition of, in general sense, 3-5, 337; "immaterial," classes of, distinguished, 4, 39 definition of, in restricted 5 sense, 5-6, 337 scheme showing measureclassification of, 7 ; ; ; ; ment ment 8-17 of, (see Measure- transfer of, of wealth) 10-11, 149-152 (see Exchange) appraisement of, 11-12, 34-36; distinction between quantity, price, and value of, 14-15 sources of error in measure; ment of, 15-17 meaning ; of of ownership of, 18 services instriiments of, defined, 19; rights to services of, 20-22; and property correlative terms and coextensive, 22-23, 95, 96 cases in illustration of the correlation of, and property, 24-36; table illustrating existence of, ; behind property partial and total 26-27 ownership of, rights, 34-36 necessity of separating from property, certificates of ; 427 149 of, 205 health as, 176 appraisal based on future worth, 204; ; risk-meeting ; function of diagrammatic summation of total social, 316317 dimensions of price, value, stocks of, 290 ; ; and, 341-344. Wealth-method of taxation, 97-98. Wear and tear, depreciation due to, 210-211. Weight-units for measuring wealth, 8-9. Weiss, human beings counted wealth by, 5 n.^. Whitman, Walt, 176. Wieser, phrase use of as "marginal utility" by, 46. Wine, determination of present value of, based on future worth, 205. Wittstein, on human beings as wealth, 5 n.^. Work, distinction between labor and, 175 Work n.2. dues, wealth underlying, 25, 26. property, services, and utility, division of, into fund and 38 ; capital and income, Years' purchase, concept of, 194, transformation of, 145209, 362. transportation of, 148- Yield, income viewed as, 122 n. flow, i.e. 51-53 ; 148; LIBRARY OF CONGRESS 010 460 227 7 ^ ifi^iil! -.•• -v.-.; \ m