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n in o n iL

E co n o m ic

h e r d s

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

MONTH ENDING :




November 30, 1975

RELEASED:

December 29, 1975

The U.S. economic recovery continues to build as the
major indicators have increased quite steadily since early
spring. Prices have advanced at a slightly faster pace since the
beginning of the recovery than from November 1974 to April. The
time period November 1973 to April 1975 is used here as the
latest recession, although the dates have not yet been defined by
the National Bureau of Economic Research. The first column in
the table represents the period of constraints on aggregate supply,
while the second period was induced by restriction of aggregate
demand.
Industrial production has increased at an 11 percent
annual rate since April after falling at a 10 percent rate during
the recession beginning in November 1973. Both total civilian
employment and payroll employment have risen at a 2.4 percent an­
nual rate, after declining in the five months previous to April.

Industrial Production
Total Civilian Employment
Payroll Employment
Personal Income
Retail Sales
Wholesale Prices
Consumer Prices

11/7311/74

11/744/75

4/7511/75

10/7511/75

4.5%
0.1
0.5
7.7
3.6
23.7
12.1

-21.7%
4.4
5.8
3.8
12.8
2.4
7.0

11.0%
2.4
2.4
12.7
14.7
8.2
7.5

2.1%
2.3
0.6
10.7
13.0
0.1
8.6

In November, wholesale prices of all commodities re­
mained essentially unchanged, after increasing at a 9.6 percent
rate in the previous six months. The unchanging position of
the index for all commodities in November masks offsetting movements
of the components. Farm products and processed foods and feeds,
which account for almost 30 percent of the total index, decreased
at a 13.3 percent rate in November after increasing at about a 14.6
percent rate from April to October. Wholesale prices of industrial
commodities increased at a 7.6 percent annual rate in November,
up slightly from the 7.3 percent rate increase in the previous six
months and the 3.7 percent rate from November 1974 to April.

total

c iv il ia n

em plo ym en t

C0MP0UNQ60 ANNUAL R A T ES OF CHANGE
t e r m in a l

OF PERSO NS
4-74

5-74

5-74

6-74

7-74

8—74

9-74

11-74 12-74

10-74

1-75

2-75

3-75

4-75

5-75

6-75

7-75

8-75

9-75 10-75

3 .9

6-74

2 .1

7-74

it*

8 6 .0 6 2
0 ,4

« 6 .0 8 0
8 6 .4 0 3

2 .4

>♦5

8-74

1 ,7

1 .0

1 .3

9-74

1 .7

1 .2

..- IP - 7 4

1 .2

0 .7

11-74

- 0 .2

- 0 .9

- 1 ,1

12-74

- 1 .0

- 1 ,7

- 2 ,0

- 3 .3

- 3 ,7

- 5 ,4

____i - J 5

- 1 .9

- 3 .0

- 4 ,2

- 4 .7

- 6 .3

2-75

- 2 ,5

- 3 .I

- 3 ,6

- 4 .7

3-75

- 2 ,5

-3 .1

-3 .5

-4 ,4

-4 .8

-5 ,8

_* - 7 ?

-2 .0

- 2 .5

-2 .0

- 3 .6

- 3 .*

-4 ,6

- ? .1 _

-2 .8

- 2 .9

-3 ,5

.

6.

- 1 .8

8 6 .2 7 4

1 ,5

- 0 ,0

1 .8

8 6 .4 0 2

0 .8

- 0 .5

0 .2

- 1 .4

- 2 ,5

- 2 ,7

- 4 ,9

8 6 .3 0 4
8 5 ,6 8 9

- 8 ,2
- 7 ,4

- 6 ,6 ^ 6 . 7 %

8 5 .2 0 2

- 7 ,8

- 7 .6

04.56 2

- e ,r V

8 4 .0 2 7

- 6 ,5

1-6,7 I -6 ,3
1

-6 ,2

-5.0
-2.2

-5,1

- 4 ,4

-3,9

.71*7

-3 ,0

- 2 .?

-2 .5 > j
0,4

.J3 * M £
84.086

3.4

5-75

- 1 .5 _ zlL . ^

6-75

-1 .3

- 1 .7

- 1 .«

- 2 .5

-2 ,5

-3 ,0

-3*2

-2 .5

-1.8

-0.3

1,5

2 .9

2<,6 __ 0 .6

7-75

-0 .7

- 1 .0

- l.l

-1 .5

-1 .5

-1 ,8

-1 ,9

-1.1

-0,2

1.2

3,0

4 .5

4 ,8

_

.- 0 ,6 _ _ 1.8

4 ,6

, ______

A 4 jJA ^ _ .....

4 .9

9 .4 ^ ^

05.070

-0 .4

- 0 ,7

- 0 ,7

-1.1

-1,1

-1,3

-1,3

-0 ,5

0.3

1.6

3,2

4 ,* _ 4 t 6 _

6.6

3 , i x

9-75

- 0 .3

- 0 .6

-0 .6

- 1 .0

- 0 .9

-1.1

- l.l

-0,4

0,3

1.5

2,9

3,8

3,8

3.7

4 ,7

2 ,4

0 .9 ^

10-75

-0 .3

- 0 .5

- 0 .6

-0 .9

- 0 .8

- 1 .0

- 1 .0

- 0 ,3

0,3

1.4

2.5

3.3

3.2

3 .0

3.6

1.7

0 .6

11-75

- 0 .4

- 0 ,6

-0 .7

-1 .0

- 0 ,9

- l.l

- l.l

-0,5

0,1

1,0

2,0

2*6

2 ,4

2.1

2.4

0 .7

- 0 .3

- 1 .0

4-74

5-74

6-74

7-74

8-74

9-74 10-74 11-74 12-74

1-75

3-7 5

4-75

5-75

6-75

7-75

8-75

0 - 7 5 10-75

j

IN IT IA L

;1
r

0-75

______
85.441

0 .3 ^ \
- 2 .3 \

85,278

MONTH

PAYROLL EMPLOYMENT
eOMPQUNPfO ANNUAL P A T E S OP CHANGE

TERMINAL

IN IT IA L

MONTH

THOUSANPS
OF PERSO NS

MONTH
4- 74

5-74

6-74

7-74

5-74

2.1

6-74

1 .4

Ot 7

7-74

u s

_i f ? .

1 .8

00
1
*

-

th o u sa n d s

MONTH

MONTH

1 .5

1 ,3

I .6

1 ,3

9-74

1 .5

1 ,3

1 .5

1 .4

10-74

l.l

11-74

0, 1

8-74

9-74

10-74

11-74 12-74

1-75

2-75

3-75

4-75

5-75

6-75

7-75

8-75

9-75

10-75
7 8.48 6
7 P .5 3 0
78 « 64P

0. 7

____

_ _

_________________ ______ i ? ±

1 ,5

n ?

0 ,0

1 ,0

0 ,4

- 0 ,6

- 0 ,3

- 0 ,5

- 1 ,0

- 1 .8

- 3 ,4

[- > .
1
- 6 ,2

7 8 .7 9 0
7R » 374
^ 6 .9 %

12-74

- 1 ,2

- 1 .7

- 2 ,0

- 2 .0

- 3 .8

- 5 ,5

- 7 .9

- 9 ,5

1-75

- 1 .0

- 2 ,2

- 2 ,6

—3 ,4

- 4 .3

- 5 ,6

- 7 .3

- 7 .8

- 6 . l \

2-75

-2-, 4

- 2 .8

- 3 ,3

- 4 .0

- 4 .8

- 6 .1

- 7 ,4

- 7 .8

- 6 .9

3-75

- 2 ,6

- 3 ,1

- 3 ,5

- 4 ,1

- 4 ,9

- 5 ,9

- 6 , 9 | - 7.1

- 2 .4

- 2 ,8

- 3 ,2

- 3 .7

- 4 ,3

- 5 .1

- 5 .8

5-75

- 2 ,2

- 2 ,5

- 2 ,8

- 3 .3

- V .7 _

-4 .9

77,72 3
7 7 ,U 9

- 7 .7 ^ S v

7 6 .8 0 4

_.J.6±-*6ft_
___ 76 j A ^ .

- 4 .7

- 3 ,7

-3»j

? 6 ,5 1 0

7-75

- 1 .7

- 2 .0

- 2 ,2

“ 2 ,5

- 2 ,8

- 3 ,3

- 3 ,6

- 3 .2

- 2 .3

- 1 ,6

- 0 ,4

8-75

- 1 .3

- 1 .5

- 1 ,6

- 1 .9

- 2 ,2

- 2 ,5

- 2 ,7

- 2 .3

- 1 .3

-0^7

0 .6

9-75

- 0 .9

- l.l

- 1 .2

- 1 .5

- 1 .7

- 1 .9

- 2 .0

- 1 ,6

- 0 .7

- 0 ,0

1.1

10-75

- 0 .7

- 0 .9

- 1.0

- 1 .2

-1*3

- 1 .5

-.1.6

U-75

- 0 ,6

- 0 .8

- 0 ,9

- 1• 0

- 1 .2

- 1 .4

- 1 .5

-74

5-74

6-74

7-74

8-74

9-74

10-74

0 ,8
_L?
2 ,2

_

1 ,1

! .3

5 ,4

2 .2

2 ,7

5 ,5

5 .5

2 ,7

3 ,2

5 .2

5 .0

7 6 ,6 7 9
7 7 ,0 2 3
7 7 ,3 1 0

4 .6

- 0 .3

0 .3

U4

_ 2 .0

3 .2

S6

4 .4

3 .0

3 .1

- 0 .2

0 ,4

1.3

2, I

2 ,4

2 ,7

3. 0 ..... 3.>

. 2 .8

1 .9

11-74 12-74

1-75

2-75

3-75

4-75

5-75

- l.l

6-75

7-75

8-75

7 7 .5 0 8 P
0 .6 I

7 7 .5 4 9 P

0 - 7 5 10-^5

INITIAL MONTH
p - PQELI MI N A R Y




.

7 8 .8 3 0

P P F O A R F O BY FFO E O A L R E S E R V E
D E C E M B E R 5, 1975

2

B A N K OF ST. L O U Î S




EMPLOYMENT
R AT I O SCALE
MI LLIONS OF PERSONS

R A T I O SCALE
MI LL I ONS OF PERSONS

SEASONALLY AOJUSTEO

S I « ! » ) O.S. DEPARTMENT Of LAOOR
PERCENTAOES ARE AMMOAL R ATES O f CHANCE FOR PER IO®*

IN D IC A T E D .

L A T E S T 0 A TA P L O TTE O t NOVEMOER P R EL IM IN A R Y

PREPARE» §V FEDERAL RESERVE R A M Of ST. LO0IS

UNEMPLOYMENT RATES*

Ì 967

1968

1969

1970

1971

1972

1973

1974

1975

SOURCEI O.S. DEPARTMENT OF LAOOR
■ P E R C E N T OF C I V I L I A N

LAOOR FORCE

L A T E S T DATA P L O TTE O t

NOVEMOER

IN 6R00P

PREPARES OV FEDERAL RESERVE DANK Of ST. LOO IS

3

CONSUN6* M I C * INOEX. SEASONALLY AOJUSTCO
______ COHPOUNOeP ANNUAL R A T f S O f CHANGE
TERMINAL
MONTH
----------V ? » . J>-74

1967 * 100

___________ INI.T!AL_MONDl _
6-74

7-74

8-74

9-74 10-74 11-74 12-74

1-75

2-75

J- 7 5

»>75

H $

6-75

7-75

8-75

9-75 10-75

---U t Q
--- _________ U a J . . . l l t 6
_Z=2i--- lij- 7

- iitl

19«?

12,4

12.3

12.6

14.7

— 5 ^ --- U ti>

U «*

u±5.

1V8

- lif c l* --- U *.7

12,6

12«9

13.»

13# 1

11. j

9 .0

3.9

8 .«

8 .4

7.9

i-7 4

6-74

7-74

8-74

>-74

JJ- T S
4-74

—

_l-51*49

. IS ld tt,

7 .)

7 .0

7 .0

7.5

7 .5

9-74 10-74 U - 7 V 12-74

1*75

2-75

J-7 5

4-75

'

7 .7

I 7. 3 4

5-75

? .?

6 ,1

7*5

6-75

7-75

8-75

*>•*

«*6

165.57

9-75 10-75

IN IT IA L MONTH

P*£f>AR£0 BY FFOE.UL RFSERVf HANK CF ST . LOUIS
OECF.MBFP 19, 1975
WHOLESALE PR IC E S - A ll CO*MOOITIPS, SEASONALLY A9JUSTE0
_________________COMPOUNDED ANNUAL «>ATPS OF CHANGE
_______
IM T IA I

TERMINAL
MONTH
4-74

5-74

6-74

7-74

8-74

9-74 10-74 11-74 12-74

5-74

15.7
7 .7

0 .2

7-74

22.7

2 6 .3

39.2

8-74

30.1

35.3

57.2

55.2

9-74

23.3

25.3

34.9

24.2

- 0 .6

10-74

26.1

2 8 .3

36 .4

2 9 .6

18.4

4 1 .0

4-74

5-74

6-74

7^74

8^74

9-74 10-74 11-74 12-74

1-75

month

2-75

3-75

4-75

5-75

6-75

7-75

8-75

9-75 10-75
154.71




-154jl I 1 _
160.85
166.85
166.77
171.61

1-75

2-75

3-75

4-75

5-?5

6-75

7-75

8-75

9-75 10-75

j N , f | AL MONTH

frR^PAREO 8V ¿¿OERAL RESERVE RAN* 0> ST . LOUIS
OECEMP.ER 4* 1975

4




R A T IO

PRICES

S C AL E

P E R C E N TA C E S ARE AN NU A L H A TE S O F CHANCE FOR PER IO O S
L A T E S T O A TA fL O T T E O s

R A T IO

IH O IC A TE O .

NOVEM ER
PR EP A R E D B Y F E D E R A L R E S E R V E RANK O f S T .

RATIO SCALE

SCALE

WHOLESALE PRI CE S

PERCENTAGES ARE ANN»AL R A T E J A F CHAN*

L O # IS

RATIO SCALE

FOR PER I OOS I NO I CATE#.

LA TEST OATA FLO TTE#« K t V M H i
P M P A IC I I » FE#ERAL RESERVE I M K «

fi.

LON IS

WHOLESALE ~PRI CES - IN0U$TRIAL~é0MM001TIES, SEASONALLY AOJUSTEO
_________________ COHPOUNOEO ANNUAL RATES O f CHANCE__________________
TERMINAL__________________________________________________________________ IN IT IA L MONTH___________________________________________________________________ 1947 » 100
MONTH
4-74 5-74 6-74 7-74 0-74 9-74 10-74 11-74 12-74
1-75 2-75 3-75 4-75 5-75 6-75 7-75 0-75 9-75 10-75
149*66

5-74

34*0

6-74

32*0

30.0

7-74

34*8

35*2

40.6

8-74

34.6

34.0

37.2

33.0

152*97
157*30
161*25

9-74

29.8

28 .8

20.4

22.7

12.4

10-74

27.9

26.8

26.0

21.4

15.6

10.9

162*03

11-74

25*3

23.0

22.6

10.5

13.0

14.5

165*20
10.3

166*55
167*19

12-74

22.5

20.9

19.5

15.6

11.5

11.1

7 .4

4 .7

1-75

20 .6

19.0

17.5

14.0

10.5

10.0

7.1

5 .6

6 .5

2-75

18.9

17.3

15.9

12.7

9 .5

0 .9

6*6

5 .4

5 .7

160,07
4 .9

160*74
160*90

3-75

17.2

15.6

14.1

11.2

0.3

7 .6

5.5

4 .3

4 .2

3 .0

1.1

4-75

15.8

14.2

12.8

10,0

7.4

6 .6

4 .7

3 .7

3 .4

2 ,4

l.l

1,1

5-75

14.6

13.2

11.7

9 .2

6 .0

6 ,1

4 .3

3 .4

3.1

2 .3

1.5

1.6

2 .1

6-75

13.9

12.5

11.1

8 .8

6 .5

5*9

4 .4

3 .6

3 .4

2 .0

2 .3

2*6

3*4

1%
169.35
170.00

4 ,7

7-75

13.3

1 2 .C

10.7

8 .5

6 .4

5 .9

4 .5

3 .0

3 .7

3 .2

2 .9

3*3

4*0

5*0

5*4

8-75

13.0

11.7

10.5

8 .4

6 .6

6 .0

4 .0

4 ,2

4 ,2

3 .9

3.7

4 .2

5.0

6*0

6*6

7 .9

9-75

12.7

11.5

10.4

8 .5

6 .7

6 .3

5 .2

4 .7

4 .7

4 .5

4 .4

5 .0

5.7

6 .7

7.3

0*3

0*0

10-75

12*9

11.7

10.7

8.9

7 .3

6 .9

6 .0

5 ,6

5.7

5.6

5.7

6 .4

7.3

0*4

9*3

10*7

12.1

1 5 .5 ^

11-75

12.6

11.5

10.5

8 .8

7.3

7 .0

6 .1

1 5 .0 1 5 .9

5.0

5 .9

6 .5

7,3

0*2

9 .0

9 .9

10,6

11.5

4-74

5-74

6-74

7—74

0-74

9—#4 iO—#4 11-74 12-74

1—»5

2-#5

3-75

4-75

*-7*

6-75

0-75

9-75 10-75

0-75

9-75 10-75

170,74
171*02
173*03
175.12

7,6 \

176.19

IN IT IA L MÔn T h

WHOLESALE PRICES-FARM PRODUCTS ANO PROCESSEO FOODS ANO FEEDS t SEAS • A O J.
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE
TERMINAL
MONTH

IN IT IA L MONTH
4-74

5-74

5-74

-2 1 .9

6—74

-3 6 .2 -4 7 .9

7-74

6-74

7-74

0-74

9-74 10-74 11-74 12-74

1-75

2-75

1967 « 101
3-75

4-75

5-75

6-7$

7-75

1-

160.2
159.3

1.6

15.9 158.1

172*4

8-74

17.0

3 3 .8 114.5

78.2

9-74

n .o

21.1

60 .5

26.5

- io ,i

10-74

2 0 ,3

31. i

65.2

4 2.3

27.2

00 .0

H-T4

23.7

33.6

6 1 .3

4 3 .4

33.4

6 2 .4

46. 6

12-74

13.8

20.1

38.1

21.9

10.0

10.0

- 3 .5 -3 6 .4

100*9
179*3
100.3
- ----

107*2

1-75

8 .5

13.0

26 .2

12.1

2.1

2-75

3 .4

6 .6

16.6

4 .1

- 4 .0

- 3 .7 - 1 7 .6 -3 2 .0 -29 .0 «-33*0

3-75

0 .6

3.2

11.4

0 .3

- 7 ,6

" 7 , 2 - 1 8 .7 - 2 9 .9 - 2 7 .6 --28.2 - 2 3 .0

4-75

5 .4

0 .3

1 6 .6

6 .7

0 .1

1 .6

- 7 .6 -1 5 .8

5-75

5 .6

6 .3

15.7

6 .8

0 .9

2*4

- 5 .6 -1 2 .3

6-75

3.9

6 .2

12.7

4 .6

- 0 ,9

0 .2

—6*8 -1 2 .7

7-75

7.4

9 .9

16.4

8 .9

4 .2

5 .7

- 0 ,4

8-75

6 .4

8 .6

14.4

7 .5

3 .0

4 .3

9-75

7.6

9 .0

15.4

9 .0

4 .9

6 .3

10-75

8*4

10.5

15.8

9 .0

6 .1

7 .4

11-75

7.1

9 .0

13.9

8 .2

4 .7

5 .8

4-74

5-74

6-74

7—74

0-74




m *4

5 .5 -11.8 -3 1 .5 - 2 6 .3

- 9 .6

102*5
176*5
172.7

-3 ,2

16.3

75.6

- 0 .7

13.3

3 7 .4

- 0 .0

-3 .0

5 .4

17.0

- 4 ,6 -15*3

- 5 .0

0 ,6

5 ,9

16,1

20*6

15*9

- 1 .2

- 5 .4

- 0 .6

3 .7

11,5

20.1

1.3

- 2 .3

2 .4

6 ,7

14,1

21,0

2 .9

- 0 .3

4 .2

8 .3

15.1

21*0

14.6

1.6

- 1 .5

2.5

5*9

11.5

16,0

9-74 10—74 11-74 12-74

1^75

¿-7 5

3-75

in it ia l

101.0
7 .5

102*1
179.6

20.3

7 0 .9

9 .2

9 ,0

2 5 ,0

- 0 .6

13.2

14.7

2 6 .0

9 .3

3 0 .7

16.1

25*6

13.4

26.3

10*1

10*6

16*6

6*0

11,4

2*9 -13*3

4-75

* - Ï5

6-75

7-75

0-75

9-75 10-75

107*0
106.4
190.6
22.1

193.0
191.5

month

PRE*>AREÒ BY ¿ÈDERAL RESFRVE BANK OF S T. LOUIS
DECEMBER 4 , 1979

6

INDUSTRIAL

PRODUCTION

RATI O SCALE

R AT I O SCALE

1967-100

1967-100

SEASONALLY AOJUSTEO

PERCENTAGES ARE ANNUAL RATES OF CHANCE FOR PERIOD S
L A T E S T OATA P L O TTE D i

IN D IC A T E D .

NOVEMBER P R ELIM IN AR Y
PREPARED 8Y FEDERAL RESERVE DANK OF S T .

______________________________________________ I N D U S T R I A L

L O U IS

P K O Q U C T I O N _____________________________________________

COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE
TERMINAL
MONTH

IN IT IA L MONTH
5-74

4-74

6-74 "T - 7 4

$-74

6* 0

6-74

4 .4

1.0

U'$

- i.o

- ¿ .è

—i .6

-27Ô

-¿75

- 0 .2

- 0 .6

0 .5
-2 . Ì

7-74
'8-74 "
9-74

"

Ô-74

9—74 10—74 ii- 7 4

l*-7 4

1-75

2-7$

1967 * 100
3-75

4-75

5-75

7-75

6-75

8-75

9-75 10-75
125.7

...
‘ 1.4

12^*8
125.5
125.2
Ì. 9

125.6

10—74

- Ò .2 - - T f

—¿•4

lT^T*“

—4 .4

-7 .6

IÌ- 7 4

- 8 .9 - l l . l -1 2 .9 -1 4 .8 -1 7 .5 -2 3 .7 -30.7 -35.1

- 6 .3

-1 .9
-7.4
r
\
-8 .8 - Ì 0 . 7 -17.2 -26.1

124.8
121.7

(2.5%

117.4

■ i- 7 r - i l . 8 - 1 4 .0 - I * . 9 - t 7 .9 - ¿ 0 .6 - ¿ 5 .« -31.1 - 3 Ì. 5 - 3 1 .*

113.7

2-T5- -1 3 .0 - t * . l -1 6 .9 - Ì8 . 7 -21.1 -2 5 .3 -29.3 -30.3 - 2 7 .« -2 3 .4

111.2

3 -7 T

110.0

4-75

-12 .9 -1 4 .8 -1 6 .4 -17.9 - 1 9 .9 -23.3 -26.1 -2 6 .2 - 2 2 .9 -1 8 .0 -12.2
1----- 1
-21.7 -1 8 .0 -1 2 .7
-6 .8
-12. ó - Ì 3 . 6 - 1 * .0 - Ì 6 . Ì -17.8 - 2 Ò A

5 -Ï5

—l l . O

- l.l

109.9

- 1 2 .4 -1 3 .5 - 1 4 .5 -1 5 .7 -1 7 .9 -19.3 -18.2 -14.3

- 9 .2

- 3 .9

0 .5

2 .2

6-75

- 9 .5 -1 0 .8 -1 1 .7 - 1 2 .4 -1 3 .4 -15.1 -1 6 .0 - 1 4 .5 -1 0 .4

- 5 .4

-0 .3

4.1

6 .7

11.5

\

T-7T'

- 8 .2

- 9 .3 -1 0 .0 -1 0 .6 - 1 1 .3 -1 2 .7 -13.2 -1 1 .5

- 7 .5

- 2 .6

2 .Ì

6 .1

8 .6

12.0

12.6

8-75

- 6 .5

- 7 .4

—8 .0

- 8 .3

—8 . 8

- 9 .9 -10.1

-8 .1

- 4 .1

0 .8

5.5

9 .4

12.2

15.7

18.0 “ 23Ü6'

X

9-75

- 5 .0

- 5 .8

- 6 .2

- 6 .5

- 6 .7

- 7 .6

-7 .6

- 5 .5

-1 .5

3.2

7 .7

11.4

14.1

17.3

19.3

2 2 .8

21.9

10-75

- 4 .5

- 5 .2

- 5 .5

- 5 .7

-5 .9

- 6 .6

- 6 .6

- 4 .6

- 0 .8

3 .4

7.4

10.5

14.8

15.6

16.6

13.3

11-75

- 4 .1

- 4 .8

-5.1

- 5 .2

- 5 .4

- 6 .0

-5 .9

- 4 .0

-0 .6

3 .3

6 .8

12.5

1T . T

F278

974

4-74

5-74

6-74

7-74

8-74

9-74 10-74 11-74 12-74

1-75

2-75

5-75

6-75

7-75

8-75

12.6
■ 9 .4 [ T u o J

3-75

4-75

110.1
111.1
S

11 A » *

112.2
"

1 1 4 .7
~~
5.3

ili.i
116.6P

2* 1 1

116T8P

9-75 10-75

IN IT IA L MONTH
P- PRELIM INARY




PREPAR60 BY FEOERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS
OECENBER 16, 1975"

7

PERSONAL
RATI O SCALE

INCOME

T R I L L I O N S OF DOLLARS

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

PERCENTAGES ARE ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE FOR PERIOO S
L A T E S T DATA P LO TTE D *

RATI O SCALE

MONTHLY TOTALS AT ANNUAL RATES

T R I L L I O N S OF OOLLARS

SOURCEi U . S .
IN D IC A T E D .

DEPARTM ENT OF COMMERCE

NOVEMBER P R ELIM IN A R Y
PREPARED

BY

FEDERAL RESERVE DANK OF S T .

PERSONAL INCOME
f.'IM PfllftQEH ANNUAL BA Jt-S J f

L O U IS

CHANfif-

—L M T L i t .MÛN1H .

lE R M ld ll.

MONTH
___________ 4=1*__ _______ U=2Jk ___J s J A ___ a=.24__ It . 74 lft-74 H .r7 4

I Zrr74___U .I5 -- 2.-7.‘a___irüL5 __ 5ulX5—

— à r J 5 -- 7^2«>

Alt?«»-- 9-7S

B IL L IO N S OF
--- DOLLARS--ANNUAL RATES
1Hr. 1,S ,

-4=24____ 11*2___________ _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
A « 74

. 1-2A____ U - J ___l f l * l

9-74

i 1135*2

1Q«2____ 2^L-

11m6

1 tlS9>3L

11*7___U,i> ___liL» Q__ L U J _

1.17B.Q.

IN IT IA L MONTH
P- PRELIMINARY




PREPARED BY FEOERAL RESERVE BANK CP ST, LOUIS
OECEMBER 17* 1975

8

RETAIL SALES
RATI O SC ALE
B I L L I O N S OF O O L L A R S

1967

1968

1969

R A T I O S CALE
B I L L I O N S OF D OL L A R S

SEASONALLY AOJUSTED

1970

1971

1972
1973
1974
iw > h i ;i . t . w t m n t

1975

mf l t l f t

fClCCMTAtCt MIC AIMVAL RATES Of C M A M M FOR P f I I M t IM l CATE*.
LATEST ftATA P L O T T M » tCTtRCR, N m M C «

AOVAMCC ESTIMATE
FREfAREt tV F I K I U I R U C I V C I M K VF *T. L M I t

R ET A IL S A IFS
____________________________________________________________________________________________________ C O M P O U N D E D

ANNUAL

T E R M I N A L ______________________________________________________________________________________________________ I N I T t A L

RA TES

OF

C H A N G E ______________________________________________________________________________________________________

M O N T H _____________________________________________________________________________________________________ M I L L I O N S

M O N TH

OF

D O LLARS
4 - 7 4

5 - 7 4

6 - 7 4

7 - 7 4

8 -7 4

9 -7 4

1 0 -7 4

5 -7 4

10 * 9

» - 7 4

4# 4

7 - 7 4

1 4 .2

1 3 * 9

3

« - 7 4

1 8 .0

2 0 .4

3

.3

3 0 .0

9 -7 4

8* 0

7 .3

1

.5

- 0 .6

- 2 4 .0

1 0 -7 4

6 * 6

5 ,7

. 7

- 0 .5

- 1 3 .0

- 0 .4

.1

- 8 .7

- 1 8 .9

- 1 6 .2

- 2 9 .5

1 1 -7 4

0 .5

1 2 -7 4

1 1 -7 4

1 2 —7 4

1 -7 5

2 -7 5

3 - 7 5

4 - 7 5

5 - 7 ?

6 - 7 5

7 - 7 5

8 - 7 5

9 -7 5

1 0 -7 5
4 4 * 78 9

- 1 . 6

- 1 . 2

4 4 ,7 2 7

_

.6

^

4 6 * 9 2 0
4 5 * 8 5 8
4 5 * 8 4 4
4 4 * 5 2 9

2 .4

i . 2

.7

- 4 .1

- 1 1 .1

- 6 .4

- 9 .2

1 6 .8

1 -7 5

4 .«

4 .1

.0

0 .4

- 4 .6

1 .0

1 .4

2 1 .6

2 6 .7

2 -7 5

6 ,8

6 .4

t 4

3 .8

- 0 .0

5 .6

7 .2

2 3 .2

2 6 .5

2 6 .4

5—7 5

3 ,8

3 * 1

. 7

0 .2

- 3 . 5

0 .4

0 .6

9 .9

7 . 7

—0 . 7

- 2 2 .0

4 - 7 5

5 ,4

4 .9

.6

? .6

- 0 ,3

3 .6

4 .3

12 * 8

1 1 .8

7 .2

- 1 . 3

2 5 .0

5 - 7 5

7* 8

7 .6

•4

6 .0

3 .6

7 .7

8 .9

1 7 .0

1 7 .1

1 4 .8

1 1 .2

3 2 .8

4 1 .0

6 - 7 5

8 ,0

7 .8

r*

6 .4

4 .3

8 .0

9 .1

1 6 .1

1 6 .0

1 3* 9

1 1 .0

2 4 .9

2 4 .9

1 0 .6

7 - 7 5

9 .3

9 .2

.1

8 .2

6 .4

1 0 .0

1 1 ,2

1 7 .8

1 7 .9

1 6 .5

1 4 .6

2 6 .2

2 6 .6

1 9 .9

3 0 .1
1 7 ,8

I

4 5 .9 0 5

4 5 * 1 0 9
4 6 * 0 0 6
4 4 * 9 14
4 5 * 9 5 1
4 6 * 8 1 3
4 8 * 1 7 3

8 -7 5

9 .2

9 .1

.9

A .l

6 .4

9 .7

1 0 .8

1 6 .5

1 6 .4

1 5 .0

1 3 .2

2 2 .0

2 1 .3

1 5 .4

9 - 7 5

8* 0

7 .9

.5

6 .8

5 .2

8 .0

8 .8

1 3 .7

1 3 .3

1 1 .8

9 .8

1 6 .3

1 4 .6

8 ,8

1 0 -7 5

8 .5

fO

7 .4

5 .9

8 .7

9 .5

1 3 .9

1 3 .7

1 2 .3

1 0 .7

1 6 .3

1 5 .0

1 0 .4

_ 1 1 -7 5

8 * 7

8 .6

.3

7 .7

6 .4

9 .0

9 .7

1 3 .9

1 3 .6

1 2 ^ 4

1 0 .9

1 5 .9

1 4 .7

4 - 7 4

5 - 7 4

6 - 74

7 - 7 4

8 -7 4

9 -7 4

1 0 -7 4

1 1 -7 4

1 2 -7 4

1 -7 5

2 -7 5

3 - 7 5

4 - 7 5

IN IT IA L

4 8 * 5 78
4 9 * 6 5 5
6 * 7

4 9 ,9 2 5

- 1 , 3

- 8 . 7

1 0 ,3

4 ,4

3 ,2

_ 1 6 .7

1 0 ,8

I

6 ,5

6*%

1 4 .8

1 3 .0

5 - 7 5

6 —T 5

7 - 7 5

8 -7 »

9 -7 5

1 0 -7 5

4 9 .5 4 9
5 0 * 19 1 P
50* 7 0 5 E

M O N TH

P -

P R E L IM IN A R Y

E -

E S T I M A T E D _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________




9

PREPA RED

» V

DECEM BER

1 2 «

FED ER A L
1 9 7 5

R ES ER V E

SANK

OF

S T .

L O U IS

TE ECONOMY

C0«»ENSAT10N PER HOUR« TOT

_ J9 6 1 _
q uarter

*-Ifl-- 1=11-- ¿=2i__ ÌZ.7J— *-.71__ 3-72
¿ - T L ____ J
2 - J1
- ir li
A sJ1

4-72

1-73

2-73

3-71

4-13________________ 1-74

2-71.

- A r i l -- 1~7* - ¿ Z.I*
l? ? d L

jlI

■U.LtO-

____ t u 3

■
7t,l,

6>S.. .6*6

m

a .

„ L iA ju L

-6 * 1 ____ i * i ____ l ^ L ___3U 0

13 7 ,3

lr ?2

- 1 2 2 jlJ L

-¿r-22

-6*6____tL*Z____» *2

-JLr-I2

■6*3--- 5 *1 ____SuA____ i * 6 ____ 6*5____ ±fc*9____¿ « 4
6a

6*1

7 .6

s .3

140*6
1 .4 1 * 2 -

6 * 0 ___ 6*&_

- lA L iA -

- 1 = 2 1 --------Z*J-------6 * S ____ LadQ____ JUQ____ I mS____ 1*A____ a * 0 ___ ^ 9 ___12+1..

-U 3La_
_7*2____7 .7 ____5 .JL
-6r21.

-A*2____ 6«J3____ à * S L
6* a.

_A*a

-Z=ZÉ_

- U 3 ____ L » 3 _

7>1

- lr J4 .

.I**L_

Jk = l*

7*4

-7*6

-i=JLa_

-1*JL. .1 * 1 ____ L J L .

-3r I 5 .

- 2 - 2 ____ 1 * 2 ____ Z *2_
4-70

1-71

-¿.•6 - X * 2.

a *2___ a*o_

_fl*

.1 * 7 .

-----

_

_2*2L - ¿ . 6 _

_ i - J ___10*2___12* 1 - 1
11*Q
1 *0 .

- fl»7--- -------1«.^ -

_9 *a
Ì 4 A _ -i*A -

-

166.3
_1 6 S*T -

10*B___S * 2 ____ 8 * 4 .
10*6

.9*6. . $*2_ 10*0.^
_ 1 2 I* J L .

- £ * J ____ 8 *5L-

_a*j____ a*o_
3

4-71

1-72

ji*2____a * 3 ___ a * 6 _ _ a * x
2-72

3-72

4-72

1-73

. 1 1 7 .1 ... 162*0

-a*6____a*6- __2*a_

-JU 3 ____ a * 2 „ - i *

i* ft-

2-71

7^
X I .

6 *3 _

-2 *.9--- a*0____6*6____Z * i _

_a<j____ a*o___ a*3____a**___ & » v - ,a*.4___ s a -

-2*J>____ L » 6 ,. .1*2
j^ a .. . i * i —

7 *3

2.a 3____ 7^Q_

1*.5____ L d L ,

-Xr-LS .

7 *0

JL2L1*

.3 * 1 ____S * 0 ___ 9*Q

.9*4____ il# 7 „

2-73

1-74

3-73

4-73

2-74

4*1. ^ 4 * 0
3-74

4-74

7 * 0 ___ 6-*2
1-75

_LL9 *1 .

2-75

IN IT IA L QUARTE*

O U T F IT
___________

tfR ftlN A L .
QUARTER




P E R
. _

HOUR

O F

A IL

£ J2 S £ C U * Q £ 1L

PERSO N S*

TO TAL

A N «U A L _f A T f S _ Q f

_ ._ JJU T 1 A L JW A R T E R _

IN IT IA L

P R IV A T E

ECO M O HY

C t t A W i t . ______

1967 « 100

QUARTPR

PREPAREO BY FE06RAL R ESERV E BANK OF S T . LO U IS
OECSNRER 2* 1975

10

...

PRODUCTIVITY, COMPENSATION, AND LABOR COSTS
RATIO SCM.E

RATIO SCALE

1967-100

1967-100

SEASONALLY AOJUSTED

1967

1968

1969

1970

1971

1972

1973

1974

1975

SOWtCCt V.S. KfAftTNCNT DP LAMA
PCRCtNTAKt ARC ANNUAL RATES Of CHANCE FOR PERIODS INDICATED*
LATEST M U PLOTTEDi MO CHARTER
PHCPAHCD DY FCOCMl RESERVE SANK Of ST. LMMS

UNIT LABOR COSTS* TOTAL PRIVATE €CONO«Y
TERM f MAI
OUARTER

in it ia l

4-70
1-71

M i ■6

2-71

2.i O

1-71

2-71

3-71

4- 7i

1- 72

2-75
.IZ fid L

3-71

1.

3 .5

i.a

3 .0

1-72

?, iA

4 .0

2-72

2,i l

2 .9

1-72

? (if)

4-72

?, lO

JLUiiL

1.3
2,.0

__12_2*A_

4 .5

7,•0

?,

?,

2,.A

2 .6

J>(•ft

2,

Z » 1

2 .5

? t .n

?, . 1

i4

- _1 2 A ± 5 _
- 1 ,.3

U ± *S.

-. 0*0 ._

1*3 .

2 *1 .

0 .5

1*5.. _

,l* u 6

1-75

i\ i* i

5.1

?, ,7

? , ,9

3,.1

?,

5 .5

4-4

2-7*

iO

5-5

^l

5,.5

3 » 8 .-

3,,1

4-5

5-5

A-71

3,>6

5^9

3,,7

4.iO

4i,3

3,•A

4 *9

5*R

4-5

4<, 1

4-P

4<

4.,7

4i.4

5-4

1-74

4,,7

5 .9

5 ,, ?

5,

A .■n

5,ifi

6 ,9 --JU.9

2-74

5,, ?

«»-«

5,•A

6<, ?

6.

6.

7 rA

ft*5

*-74

«>,.7

A^5

6.,3

h i ,7

7,■?

7,

A-l

Q.n

4-74

hi

A-*

1-7*

6«. s

7-A

5-75

J b l 5 L . 4 r . T 4 . . 1-7»

5 .A

4-71

A-

2.-7«

q u a r t er

3-72

2-72

.

ft

,7

A. 1

4-70

1-71

.,9

7,,3

7,.7

7,.ft

7,, |

7«>5

fl,>0

ft,■
0

fl.O

9*7

ISi,9

7,

7,. 6

7,,7

A .4

<i-1

ft«

6«.5 .

a

2-71




3-71

.

__

.8 *7
4-71

1—72

2-72

3-72

flL*a

-72~ 1-73
in it ia l

?- 7 ?

* . J ___ .4*2___ 7*.2
3 - ?V

4-73 ~ l- 7 4

2-74

oiTa r t Eft

PRF&AREO BV F€OE*AL RESCRV?
OeCFMftFR 2* 1975

11

OF ST* ICuYs

GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT IN CURRENT DOLLARS
COHPOONQ6D ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE____________________
"
______________ IN IT IA L QUARTER_______________________ _________________________ ___
1-71

_

*

2-71

3-71

4-71

1-72

2-72

3-72

4-72

1-73

2—7 i

3-73

4-73

1-74

2-74

3-74

4-74

_

1-75

_____________
ft IL L IONS OF
OOLLARS
ANNUAL RATES

2-75
1*027.8

1-71

15,3

2- f r

11.5

7 .8

3-n

9 .5

6 .6

5 .5

V f i

9 .2

7 .3

7 .0

1*047*1_
lfO H « 28 .5

1*063.2
1*115.0

~i-72

9 .8

8 .5

8 .7

10.4

12.3

2-7*

9 .9

8 .9

9 .1

10.4

11.3

3-f2

9 .9

9 .0

9 .2

1 0 .2 ^ 0 . 7 * * 1 0 .0

9.5

1 i 0 . 2 ~^ 9 . 5

9 .8

10*7

1 1 .2

10.9

1 1 .1

12.7

10.4

*4 0 7 % ;

1*143.0
1*169.3
1*204.7

i

1 0 .8

1 0 .2

1 0 .6

11.5

1 2 .1

1 2 .0

12.5

14.1

15.5

2- n

10.7

1 0 .2

10.5

1 1 .2

11.7

11.5

1 1 .8

12*6

12.5

3-73

1 0 .6

1 0 .2

10.4

1 1 .1

11.4

11.3

11.5

11.9

11.7

9.8

1 0 .1

4 -fi

1 0 .2

10.5

1 1 .1

11.4

11.3

11.4

1 1 .8

1 1 .6

10.3

10't 6

i-H

110.71
i = = r
1 0 .2

9 .8

9 .9

10.4

1 0 .6

10.4

10.4

10.5

1 0 .1

8 .8

s is

* 2 -U ’

¿ 0 .0

• 9 .6

9 .7

10 . i

10.3

1 0 .1

1 0 .0

1 0 .1

9 .7

8 .6

> -*4 '

> 0 .0

9 .6

9 .7

1 0 .1

1 0 .2

1 0 .0

10 .0

1 0 .1

9 .7

8 .7

^

9 .6

9 .2

9 .3

9 .6

9 .7

9 .5

9 .4

9.4

9 .0

1-75*

8.7

8 .4

8 #4

8 .6

8 .6

8.3

8 .1

8 .0

2-75

8.7

8 .3

8.3

8 .5

8.5

8 .2

8 .0

3-75

9 .2

8 .8

8 .9

9.1

9.2

8.9

4-70

t —71

2-71

3-71

4-71

1-72

it?7 7

9 .6

\

\ im t *
UJi^tsSL

1 1 .2

1*358.8

7 .8

1 .3 8 3 .8

7 .7

6 .0

8 .6

8*2

1 7 .2 I

8 .6

9*7

8 .1

7.8

7 .4

6 .5

7 .1

6 .9

4 .2

7 .5

6 .5

6 .1

5 .4

4 .3

4 .3

3.2

7.<;

7.4

6 .6

6 .2

5 .6

4 .8

4 .3

4 .1

1 o .o 1
1
mJ
2 .3

8.8

8.8

8*4

7 .7

7.5

7 .2

6 .7

7 .0

6 .9

6 .2

2-72

3-72

4-72

1-73

2-73

3-73

4-73

1-74

2-74

3-74

GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT IN CONSTANT 1958 DOLLARS
___________________________________ ______________ :_______________ COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE
_
B IL L IO N S OF
T ^ M tN M ,______________________ __________________ _____________________
IN IT IA L QUARTER____________________ ;__________
QUARTER
r6<70 t - 7 t
4-71
1-72
3-72
2-71
4-72
1-73 2-73 3-73 4-73
2-72
1-74 2-74
5-7%

____

____

_____

3-74

4-74

1-75

-r

7 .6 ^ S .

iiii

K0%

1*430*9
f i tt »
t
|P v >f 4l U0. O
7.0V^
1.4
6 .9 1 12.81
1 1 J
4-74

1-75

1 8 .8 ^
1

liW t± A

2-75

IN IT IA L QUARTER

1-71

10. 2

2-71~

6 .4

736.9

*......

742.1
1

3-71

5 .2

2 .8

2 .8

5 .5

4 .0

4 .6

* t 5 , '* ^ 6 . 7 %

1-72

5 .7

4 .6

5#2

6 .4

2-72

6 .1

5 .4

6.0^

3-72

6 .1

5 .5

6 .0

6 .8

4-72

6 .4

5 .9

6 .4

7.1

7.3

7.6

7.1

8.3

i- 7 ?

- U * l|
1
1

— 6. 8

7 .5

7.7

8.0

7.9

8.9

9.5

? .8

' 6 .2

6 .7

6 .8

6 .8

6 .5

6.6

5 .8

2 .2 s

5*8

5 .4

5 .7

6 .0

6 .0

5 .5

5.4

4 .4

1.9

1.6

5 .5

?t4

5 .4

?t?

5 .6

5 .4

4 .9

4 .7

3.9

I 2*1 1

2*0

2 .4

*•1

4 .2

4 .3

4.1

3 .8

3 .2

2 .7

1.6

- 0 .3

- 1 .1

- 2 .4

- 7 .0 *

3*6

3 .7

3 .8

3.5

3*2

2 .5

2.1

1.1

- 0 .5

- 1 .2

- 2 .2

- 4 .4

~ l-74
"2-74

4 .1

2-75

2 .9

4-7*

• m

.

747.2
759.1

6 .4

770.9

7 .4

8 .4

6 .9

7.2

786.6
6 .0

798.1
814.2
832.8
837.4
...

- 4 .4

840.8
845.7
830.5

- 1 .6

827.1

2 .7

2 .0

1*6

2 .8

2 .4

2*3

2 .3

1 .9

1.5

0.9

0.3

- 0 .6

- 2 .0

- 2 .7

- 3 .5

~ l- t5 *

_ 1 .9

1 .4

1.3

1.2

0.8

0 .4

-0 .3

-0.9

-1 .9

-3 .2

- 4 .0

- 4 .9

- 6 .3

-6 .1

- 7 .5 P O - 1 1 . 4

1 - iV

_ 1.9

1 .5

1*4

1.3

0 .9

0.5

- 0 .1

—0.7

-1*5

- 2 .7

- 3 .3

-3 .9

- 5 .0

- 4 .5

- 5 .3

- 6 .3

- 5 .0

2 .5

2 .1

2 .0

2 .0

1.7

1.4

0 .9

0.4

- 0 .3

- 1 .2

- 1 .5

- 1 .9

- 2 .5

- 1 .8

- 1 .8

- 1 .8

0 .8

17.51

4-73

'
1-74

2-74

3-74

4-74

1-75

3*2

■ •T

?• ?

JttsA-

- 1 .8
L
J
-4*9- -4*2

-----4-70

DOLLARS
ANNUAL RATE*

1-71




2-71

3-71

4-71

1-72

2-72

3-72

4-72

1-73

2-73

3-73

823.1
- 5 .5

804.0

- 9 .0 ^ v
1*^

l«v rrt»

780.0
783.6

1 .9
13.4 ^

808.6

2-75

IN IT IA L QUARTER

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST . LO UIS
OECEMBER 19* 1975

12

DEMAND AND P R O D U C T I O N
RATIO

SCALE

TRILLIONS
1

OF

QUARTERLY TOTALS AT ANNUAL RATES
DOLLARS

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

TRILLIONS

RATIO
OF

SCALE

DOLLARS

1.7

1 .6

1.5
1 .4
1.3
1 .2

1.

1.1

1.

1 .0

0.9
0.8

0 .

0.7

0 .

0. 6

0.5
SOURCES U.S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

UJSNP IN CURRENT D OLLARS .

126NP IN 1958 DOLLARS.
PERCENTAGES ARE ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE FOR PERIOGS INDICATED.
LATEST DATA PLOTTED: 3RD QUARTER




PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

13

GENERAL

PRICE

INDEX*

R A T I O SCALE

R AT I O SCALE
1958-100

1958-100

■AS USEO IN NATIONAL INCONC ACCOUNTS
SOtMtCCt U.S. OEPAATNCNT Of CONMEItCC
fCftCCNTACCS AKC ANNUAL RATES Of CHANCE fOR PERIOOS INDICATE*.
L A T E S T OATA F L O T T E O t

9R0 QUARTER

PREFARE0 OY FEOERAl RESERVE SANK Of ST. LOUIS

IM P L IC IT PR IC E Df/LATOR EO* GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT
___________COHPÜUKUeo ANNUAL RAT t S OF CHANGE ____
Tfe*»I*AL
QUARTER

IN IT IA L QUARTER
4-70

1-71

2-71

3-n

____ i - 7 l

4 .7

2-11

<*•8

3-71

4 .J

3 .7

r s ,
2 .0

4-71

3 .5

3 .1

2 .2

1.9

1-72

3 .9

>.7

3 .3

3 .7

3 .3

4-71

1-72

2-72

3-72

4-72

4-73

2-73

1?58 » 100
3-73

4-73

1-74

2-74

3-74

4—74

1-75

2-75
. 13 9,Jt2.
141.13
142.03
142» 70

;3 .2 % ~

2-72

3.6

ArJA

>..5_

4-72

¿♦6

3 .4

1-7*

i.d

2-73

4 .4

3-73
4-73

5.5

144.62

3 .0

3.1

3.7

1.9

___3 .0

3.1

3.6

2 .6

3.3

145.31
146.50

3 .3

3.7

3,1

3.7

4 .0

3 .7

f 3 .2 |
tr
r
3 .5

3 .7

4 .0

3.7

4 .3

4 .8

5 .5

4 .1

4 .0

4 .2

4.6

4 .4

5.0

5.6

6 .4

7.3

4 .5

4 .5

4 .5

4 .7

5.1

5.C

5.7

6. 3

7 .0

7*H

4 .8

4 .S

4.W

5 tl

5 .5

5.5

6 .2

6*J7_

147.96

|

149.95

^ 7 .4 % '

152.61
8 .3
8 .5

|

155.67
8 .6

158.93

5.4

5 .5

5.5

5.tt

6 .3

<*.4

7.0

7.6

bo 4

9.1 .

9 .T

10. 5_ 12.3

5.7

5 .*

5 .e

6 .1

6 .6

6 .7

7 .3

7 .9

e .5

9.2

9 .6

10.1

1 0 .6

3-74

o. i

o .3

Ó .6

7.0

7.2

7.8

8.4

9 .0

?t*

10.1

10.5

11.2

4-74

0 .0

* .7

ó. V

7 .2

7.6

7.b

6.4

9 .0

9 .7

10*3

10.8

ll± }_ ^ 1 2 ^ 4

1-75

6 .7

6 .8

7.0

7 .3

7.7

7.9

¿«4

9 .0

9 .5

MM

10*5

2-75

6 .6

6 .7

o .b

7.1

7 .5

7.7

8.2

8 .6

9.1

9f 5

9 .8

7.9

8.3

8.7

9 .0 ___9 . 2_

2-72

3-72

4-72

f!

1-74
2-74

A » *...

6 .6 . J> . J

i

!

“ 4-70“ 1-71

2-71




_

7 .0

7.3

3-71

4-71

1-72

1-73

2-73

14

163.61
^_„

167*31

10.6

1 1 .9 ^ X .

172.07

11.9

13.1

14.4

177.97

11.4

9 .4 _ V

n

JJU i

11.0

11.6

10.0

10.2

9 .8

9 .9

V .3

6 .B

9« 3

9 .4

8 .9

8 .9

8 .1

^ 6 .1 |

4.Ç

4 .8

3-73

4-73

1-74

2-74

3-74

4-74

1-75

2-75

183.88
1

186.05

PREPAREO eyfEO ER AL RESERVE 8ANK 0> S T. LOUIS
0ECEH8ER 19* 1975

PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPEfÀ)ITURES IN CURRENT DOLLARS
____________ COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE______________
TERMINAL

IN IT IA L QUARTER

ÓUAftfÉR
4-70

1-71

1-71

14.9_________

2~71

11.0

3-71

2-71

3-71

4-71

1-72

2-72

3-72

+-72

1-73

2-73

6 .2
7 .1

1-72

9.2

7 .8

8 .0

8 .9

10.6

2-72

9 .6

8 .5

8 .8

9 .7

11.1

11.3

3-72

9 .5

8 .7

8 .9

9+6

10.5

10.3

9 .8

9 .1

9 .4

10.0

10.7

10.7

10.4

11.5

--- I h l ____9 .6

10.0

10.6

11.3

11.4

11.5

12.6

13.6

Jz 2 1 --- 10*1--- h ± --- h *

10.4

10.9

11.0

10.9

11.4

11.3

--- Ih â --- 9*5--- 9^8

1Q.2

10.7

1Q.6

10.3

10.8

1Q.5____? , Q

JU h

- h i -----2*2----- h i ___h i __ h â ____9 .6

9 .3

9 .4

7.3

6.3

?f?

? t ? ____8^7___ 7t 3____ 7, 0 .

8 .9

9.1

-2=2±------- h i ----- h i ____9 .3

- h ä ____h >

9 .3

757.2

8 .8

- Z iiiL .
9.2

T9M
& IÌJL Ì
3 .6

9 1 1 **

•40.6

____¿ * 4 _

9 .8

10.1

10.0

9 .8

9 .9

9 .6

8.8

8 .8

>.7

11.3

14.3

10.6

10.3

10.3

10.6

10.3

10.0

10.1

^0.4

12.7

1 3 ,0

8 .9

9 .0

9 .2

- h i __ h i __ h i __ 6.8

8.1

7 .9

8 .9

9 .0

9 .2

2-73
3-73

2-75

701.5

10» 3

9 .2

1-75

7 2 0 .»

10 f 0

1-73

4-74

» 6 3 .6

--- I h l --- 9t 8
4-74

3-74

672.1

6 .7

9 .4

2-74

662.1

6 .8
6 .9

+

1-74

650.3

8 .8

..I r J

4-73

7 .3

4-71

4-72

3-73

8 IL L IONS OF
DOLLARS
ANNUAL R A T H -

9 .3

- h i ----- h i ----- h.\
9 .3

9 .3

9 .4

9 .6

9 .7

4-70

F7 I

F7 Ì

M l

4-71

9 .2

9 .0

6 .7

8.1

7 .9

____9 .4

9 .2

9 .2

9 .0

6.5

8.4

9 .7

9.5

9 .6

9 .4

9.0

8 .9

1 -7 2

2 -7 2

^ - 7 2 _ 4 -> 2 “ l- 7 3

---------------- nrrrm

Î-fÏ

13 .7

M

7 .7 ____6 t 7

y > „ . 6 , 3 „ - jt4

7 .8

8.6

8 .6

6.8

2 *1

8.0

- i l l ____h i ____Ì l i ____ S-lff
8 .9
M 3

9 .7
^

î

9 .9

i- U

ill

893.8
g lfr JL

936.»

H ii,

9 .1

7 .5

11 .0

12 .3

13.3

2 -7 4

3 -7 4

4 -7 4

Ì- H

2 -* 5

♦** i t

wmik---------------------------------------

PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES IN CONSTANT 1958 OOLLARS
_________________COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES QF CHANGE__________________
n m rra sn sr
TERMINAL
ôû'OTCfe

IN IT IA L QUARTER
4-70

1-71

2-71

3-71

4-71

1-72

2-72

3-72

4-72

1-73

2-73

An n u a l fcATfS
3-73

4-73

1-74

2-74

4-74

1-75

2-75
490 .1

t-71

11.0

2-71

6 .9

3.1

49 3 .6
-

3-71

5 .7

3.1

3 .2

4-71

5.6

3 .8

4 .2

5.2

1-72

5 .9

4 .6

5 .2

6 .2

7.1

2-72

6 .3

5 .4

6 .0

6 .9

7 .7

497#7
504.1
512.6

8.4

5 2 3 .2

3-7 2

6 .3

5 .5

6 .0

6 .7

7.2

7.3

6 .3

4-72

6 .6

3 .9

6 .4

7.1

7 .6

7 .7

7.4

8 .5

1-73

6.7

6 .2

6 .7

7 .3

7 .7

7.R

7 .6

8 .3

8.1

2-73

6 .1

5 .6

5 .9

6 .3

6 .5

6 .3

5 .8

5 .7

4 .3

0.6

3-73

5 .6

5 .1

5 .4

5 .6

5 .7

5 .5

4 .9

4 .6

3.3

0.9

1.2

5 5 5 .4

4-73

4 .6

4 .0

4 .1

4 .2

+.1

3.7

2.9

2 .3

0 .8

-1 .6

- 2 .7

546.3

1-74

3.8

3 .3

3.3

3 .3

3.1

2 .6

1.6

1.1

- 0 .4

-2 .4

-3 .4

531.2
5 4 2 .2
552*9
553.7

- 5 .6

5 3 9 .7

2-74

3.7

3 .2

3 .2

3.2

3 .0

2 .6

1.8

1.2

0.1

-1 .5

- 2 .0

3-74

3 .7

3 .2

3.2

3 .2

3 .0

2 .^

2 .0

1 .5

0 .3

- 0 .7

- 0 .9

-?T<> - 1 .3
"ll? 9t?

4-74

2 .6

2 .0

1.9

1.8

1.6

l.l

0*4

- 0 .3

- 1 .3

-2.6

-3 .1

- 3 .9

- 3 .3

2 .2
2 .8

542 .7
3 .4

547 .2
- 1 3 .*

-2 t 8

1-75

2 .6

2 .0

2 .0

1.9

1.6

1.2

0 .6

0 .0

-0 .9

-2 .0

- 2 .3

- 2 .9

- 2 .2

- It*

- 2 t*

- 5 .7

2-75

2.8

2 .3

2 .2

2 .2

2 .0

1 .6

1 .0

0 .6

- 0 .2

-1.1

- 1 .3

- 1 .6

- 0 .8

p .0

- 9 t*

- 1 .8

3-75

3.0

2 .5

2 .5

2 .5

2 .3

1.9

1 .5

1*1

0 .4

- 0 .3

-0 .4

- 0 .6

0 .2

9 t*

0 .3

4—To

1-Tl

2-71

3-71

4-71

1-72

4—12 . 1 - tt

2-73

3-73

4-73

2-74

3-74




*-T2

1-74

526.2
2 .3
4 .4

4-74

531.5
**3

53 9 .7

6 .5

6 .6

1-73

2-75

546 .6

M 6 H A E 6 *V T O H U t RgSgS v T "fcA»H< fl* S T . t f r i f S
NOVEMBER 20. 1975

15

GROSS PRIVATE OOMESTtC INVESTMENT IN CURRENT DOLLARS
TERMINAL
w u a r t Fr

f t IIIIO N S 0*
OOLLAR*

IN IT IA L QUARTER
1-71

4-70

2-71

3-71

1-71

29.6

2-71

2 5 .6

3-71

1 5.9

9 ,6

- 1 .3

4-71

1 7.0

13.1

9 ,0

2 0 ,4

1-72

18.2

15,6

13,6

2 1 ,8

4-71

1-72

2-72

3-72

4-72

1-73

3-73

2-73

4-73

1-74

2-74

3-74

4-74

1-75

1 4 » .»
154.0

2 1 .8

153.5

23.2

169.4
175.5

17,7

1 5,5

1 4 ,0

19,6

19.1

15,2

5-72

1 7 .5

13,6

14,3

1 8,6

18.0

15.6

15.9

4-72

17,7

16,0

15,1

18*7

16.3

16.7

17.5

19,0

1-73

17,9

16,5

15,8

18V9

18.6

17,5

18.2

19,4

p m

199*0

19.8

205.1

2-73

17,4

16*1

15,4

18,0

17.6

16,5

16,9

17,2

16.3

12.8

16 .5

1 5 .2

1 4 .5

16.7

16.2

15.0

15.0

14.8

13.4

10,3

7 .8

4-73

17.8

16.8

16.3

18, 4

18.2

17.5

17.8

18.2

18.0

17,4

19.8

1-74

14 ,0

12.8

12 .0

13.5

12.7

11.5

11,0

10.1

8 .5

5 ,8

2-74

13.2

1 2 .0

11.2

12.4

11.6

10.4

9 .9

9 .0

7 .4

5.1

3.3|

3-74

1 1 .4

10.2

9 ,3

10.3

9 .4

8 .1

7 ,3

6 .3

4 .6

2 ,3

0 .3 V( - 1 . ? - IQ .£

- 4 .4 - 1 0 .9

4-74

11,1

10*0

9 .2

10*0

9*2

8*0

7 .3

6*4

4t 9

1.4

- 0 .7

1-75

4 ,1

2 .7

1.5

1 .7

0 .4

- 1 .3

- 2 .6

- 4 .3

—6 .6

2-75

1 ,7

0 ,2

- 1 ,0

- 1 .0

- 2 ,3

-4.1

-5 .5

- 7 .2

- 9 .5 -1 2 .3 -1 5 .0 -17.9 -2 4 .2 -^ 4 .5 -30*1 -3 5 .5 -50*0 -3 2 .0

4*6 __ 3^6

3 ,9

2*9

1 #6

0 .6

- 0 ,6

- 2 .2

-4 .1

- 5 .8

- 7 .4 -12 .1 -1 0 .2 -1 2 .6 - 1 3 .0 - 1 8 .8

2-71

3-71

4-71

1-72

2-72

3-72

4-72

1-73

2-73

3-73

4-70

1-71

. ...

190.2—

*3-73

5,7

_

1 »0.8

$-72

3-75

2-75

___
224.5

33 .1

210.5

1 .4 - 2 2 .7
f , 8 - H .,0

0 .2

- 6 .7

211*8

2 .5

- 2 .3

205.8
209.4

7 .2

183.1

- 9 ,5 -12.3 -15.2 - 2 2 .6 - 2 2 .5 - 2 9 .4 -3 7 .2 -6 3 .2

4-73

1-74

2-74

3-74

4-74

148.1

20*6 113*9
1-75

179.1

2-75

GROSS PRIVATE OOMESTIC INVESTMENT IN CONSTANT 1958 DOLLARS
COMPOUNOED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE
*
—
m n rn n s r
TERMINAL
IN IT IA L OUARTER
DOLLARS
W M C k k lH
m U m ----------------------------------------------------------------- 55------------------------------------------------ — --------___________ 4-70
1-71 2-71
3-71 4-71
1-72 2-72 3-72 4-72
1-73 2-73 3-73 4-73
1-7» 2-74 3-7+ 4-74 1-75 2-75_________________
1-71

24» 7_________________________________________________________________________________________ ______________ _______________ __________ ____________

2-71

19»9

107»9

15»3 _________________;___________________________________________________________________ ’___________ .____________________________________________H l . >

3-71

10.3

3 .7

4^71

1 2 ,4

8»6

- 6 . 6 _____________________________________________________ ________________________________________________________________________________ 1 0 9 .9
5*4

19,1_____________________ ________________________ _____________________________________________ __________________________________ U 4 . 8

1-72

13»3

1 0 ,7

9 .2

16 ,0

2-72

13,3

11 ,2

10»2

16»3

13,2

13,4________________________ '_________________________________________ _____________________________________________123,2

3-72

1 3 »!

11,2

10,5

15,2

13,9

12.4

11.5___________________ ________________ ___________________________________________________________________ 126,6

4-72

13»2

11.1

15»0

14»0

13,0

12,9

14,3______________________________________________________ ;________________________________________ 130,9

1-73

13 ,0

11,6

11,1

14,4

13,4

12,6

12,3

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16

GOVERNMENT

» j R C H A S F S OF G O O O S A N O S E R V I C E S IN C U R R E N T O O L L A R S

TERM NAL
dUAR r w

S tL L IO N S OF
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ANNUAL RATES

IN IT IA L QUARTER
4-70

1-71

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3-71

4-71

1-72

3-72

2-72

4-72

1-73

2-73

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GOVERNMENT PURCHASES Oe 6000S AN9 S E R V IC E S IN CONSTANT
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OP CHANCE

338.1
6 .5

3 4 3 .5

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CM

3-73

304.4
1 0 .8

1958 9 01 LA R S

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18

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1 9 7 5

SOURCES OF DATA
National Income and Product Accounts Data
Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
Historical Data Sources:




1970-73
1968-69
1966-67
1964-65
1929-63

.

.............. ¿ 2 x 1

Survey of Current Business, July 1974
Survey of Current Business', July 1972
Survey of Current business', July 1970
Survey of Current business, July 1968
The National Income and product Accounts of the
United States, 1929-65. Statistical Tables
(available from any U.S. Department of Conmerce
Field Office or from the Superintendent of
Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office,
Washington, D.C. 20402).

19

I NVE NT ORI E S COMPARED WI T H MONTHLY S A L E S *
MANUFACTURING AND TRADE

Î .7 6

76

1 .7 2

72

1

68

1 .6 4

64

1 .6 0

60

I .5 6

56

1 .5 2

1.52-

52

1

48

1

44

40

1 . 40
1965 1966 1967
* RAT I OS 8ASE0 ON SEASONALLY ADJUSTED DATA.
1

1968

1969

1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975
SOURCEt U. S . DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

SHADED AREAS REPRESENT PERIODS OF BUSINESS RECESSIONS
AS DEFINED BY THE NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH.
LATEST DATA PLOTTED:




OCTOBER PRELIMINARY
PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST.

2 0

LOUIS