Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : September 8, 1959
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riot f o r P u b l i c a t i o n DECOHTROLLED AFTER SIX MOUTHS H.lU September 8, 1959CAPITAL HARM DEVELOPMENTS The, volume of l a r g e p u b l i c s e c u r i t y f i n a n c i n g f o r new c a p i t a l was moderate d u r i n g t h e week a i d i n g September li, and i s e x p e c t e d t o be even a i a l l e r d u r i n g t h i s h o l i d a y - s h o r t e n e d week. L a s t week, one c o r p o r a t e i s s u e f o r S50 m i l l i o n and t h r e e S t a t e and l o c a l government i s s u e s w i t h t o t a l p r o c e e d s of- $ 0 m i l l i o n were s o l d . The c a l e n d a r f o r t h i s week i n c l u d e s o n l y a §50 m i l l i o n C a l i f o r n i a e d u c a t i o n bond i s s u e 5 no l a r g e c o r p o r a t e i s s u e s a r e e x p e c t e d t o be s o l d . Another S t a t e and l o c a l government i s s u e — a $190 m i l l i o n i s s u e of t h e Chesapeake Bay F e r r y Commission — h a d been e x p e c t e d t o be s o l d t h r o u g h n e g o t i a t i o n t h i s week; t h e s a l e has been p o s t p o n e d i n d e f i n i t e l y , however. The e s t i m a t e d volume of S t a t e and l o c a l g o v e r n ment bond s a l e s f o r September h a s b e e n reduced t o $1/75 m i l l i o n , l a r g e l y r e f l e c t i n g t h i s postponement. Bond y i e l d s - Y i e l d s i n c r e a s e d l a s t week f o r a l l c a t e g o r i e s of o u t s t a n d i n g b o n d s , w i t h t h o s e f o r U. S. Government and l o w e r g r a d e c o r p o r a t e bonds r e a c h i n g new h i g h s . FNMA s e c o n d a r y market o p e r a t i o n s - A d d i t i o n a l p r e s s u r e s on r e s i d e n t i a l mortgage m a r k e t s a r e s u g g e s t e d by r e c e n t secondary market o p e r a t i o n s of t h e F e d e r a l N a t i o n a l Mortgage A s s o c i a t i o n . I n July o f f e r i n g s t o FNMA and FNMft p u r c h a s e s i n c r e a s e d a g a i n , and r e a c h e d t h e h i g h e s t l e v e l s i n over a y e a r . Of $287 m i l l i o n i n FNMA s e c o n d a r y market p u r c h a s e s of F e d e r a l l y - u n d e r w r i t t e n m o r t g a g e s d u r i n g t h e f i r s t seven months of 1959TFHA-insured mortgages r e p r e s e n t e d f o u r - f i f t h s of t h e t o t a l and VA-guaranteed mortgages o n e - f i f t h . These p r o p o r t i o n s c o n t r a s t s h a r p l y w i t h t h o s e which p r e v a i l e d i n t h e f i r s t seven months of 1956 o r of 1957, when VA-guaranteed mortgages r e p r e s e n t e d f o u r - f i f t h s of t o t a l FNMA secondary market p u r c h a s e s . Stock p r i c e s - Stock p r i c e s d e c l i n e d l a s t week t o t h e l o w e s t l e v e l s i n c e l a t e J u n e . S t a n d a r d and P o o r ' s i n d e x of 500 common s t o c k s c l o s e d a t 5 8 . 5 b on September i;. T r a d i n g a c t i v i t y i n c r e a s e d s l i g h t l y , a v e r a g i n g 2 . 3 m i l l i o n s h a r e s a day. More d e t a i l e d i n f o r m a t i o n c o n c e r n i n g r e c e n t c a p i t a l market developments i s p r e s e n t e d i n t h e a t t a c h e d e x h i b i t s . C a p i t a l Markets S e c t i o n , D i v i s i o n of R e s e a r c h a n d S t a t i s t i c s , Board of Governors of t h e F e d e r a l Reserve System. HIGH-GRADE LOWER-GRADE BOND BOND YIELDS YIELDS J H.lU Exhibit b Tables l o r E x h i b i t A h i g h - g r a d e Bond Yields Date U. S. Govt, long-term 2j Corporate Aaa 1 j Spread between U. S. Govt, and Corporate S t a t e and Aaa l o c a l Aaa S t a t e and l o c a l govt. Aaa y ( P e r cent) 19514 - Low 1957 - High 1958 - High Low 1959 - High Low 2.85 it.lit U.13 3.55 it.it8 it. 09 Aug. 7 Aug. lit Aug. 21 Aug. "28 Sept . k 2/ it.it3 U.it2 it.it2 it. a h.h? (a/23) (9/27) (10/10) (5/2) (7/10) (1/9) 2.15 3.76 3.8U 3.07 h.2h 3.83 (8/6) (10/18) (12/26) (V25) (9A) (1/2) it. 08 it. 06 it. 08 it. 15 it.2it 1.90 3.U5 3.31 2.6U 3.5it 3.06 (9/2) (8/29) (9/11) (5/1) (7/2) (3/26) 3.a 3.U3 3.U3 3.itii 3.52 .30 .60 .51 .22 .39 .16 .30 .U7 .72 • 3U .92 .57 .35 .36 .31 .29 .23 .6it .63 .65 .71 .72 Lower-grade Bond Yields Date Corporate Baa 1 / S t a t e and l o c a l govt. Baa | / Spread between Aaa and Baa S t a t e and Corporate local govt. (Per c e n t ) 195it - Low 1957 - High 1958 - High Low 1959 - High Low 3.Lit 5.10 ii.96 it. 51 5.13 it.83 Aug. 7 Aug. lit Aug. 21 Aug. 28 S e p t . It 2 / 5.08 5.09 5.09 5.11 5.13 (12/31) (11/29) (1/3) (7/11) (9/10 (it/17) 2.93(8/5) it. 51 (8/29) it.3b ( 9 / 1 1 ) 3.61t (5/1) U.it6 ( 7 / 2 ) 3.92 ( 3 / 2 6 ) it. 37 it.37 it. 35 it. 35 it.38 .52 1.27 1.28 .77 .77 .56 .96 1.21 1.11 .93 .98 .86 .65 .67 .67 .67 .66 .93 .9it .92 .91 .86 1/ Weekly average of d a i l y f i g u r e s . Average term of bonds included i s 25-26 y e a r s . 2 / Weekly average of d a i l y f i g u r e s . The s e r i e s i n c l u d e s bonds due or c a l l a b l e i n 10 y e a r s or more 2 / Thursday f i g u r e s . Only g e n e r a l o b l i g a t i o n bonds a r e included3 average term i s 20 y e a r s . Note.—highs and lows a r e f o r i n d i v i d u a l series and may be on d i f f e r e n t d a t e s f o r different series. STOCK MARKET STOCK MA1KIT CEIDIT Chjnje m Merits — — - 1 FEDERAL NATIONAL SECONDARY MARKET MORTGAGE ASSOCIATION OPERATIONS 0FFE1INGS r i, JM/ f, S..IS \ M . v mtHASB / / // V " - — Exhibit D - Tables l o r Exhibit C S t o c k Market Stock p r i c e index 1 / 1 9 5 3 - 1 9 5 8 - High Low 1959 - High Low 51*. l i 22.95 60.51 51*. 37 July August Aug. l i t Aug. 21 A u g . 28 S e p t . 1* 2 / 59.71* 5?.1*0 59.29 59.08 59.1*9 58.51* Trading Common volume y stock ( m illions yields 2/ [per c e n t ) (l2/2l*/58) (-9/18/53) (7/31) (2/6) Stock market customer c r e d i t Customers1 Bank debit bal- loans to "others" 5/ ( M i l ] Lions of d o l l a r s ) Total 3.30 6.25 3.08 3.31* 1*.9 0.9 1*.3 2.1 1*,1*92 2,055 1**721 1*,527 3,285 1,311* 3,388 3,253 3.12 3.13 3.1a 3.16 3.23 3.18 3.2 2.1* 2.8 2.1* 2.1 2.3 1*,61*8 3,371* n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a^ n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 1,317 669 1,332 1,210 1,271* 1J261* 1,261* 1,259 n.a. n.a.—Hot a v a i l a b l e . g/ Preliminary. 1 / Standard and P o o r ' s T o p o a i t e index of 500 common s t o c k s , weekly c l o s i n g p r i c e s , 1941.43=10. Monthly data are averages of d a l l y f i g u r e s r a t h e r than of Fridays 1 only. Highs and lows a r e f o r F r i d a y s ' d a t a only. 2 / Standard and P o o r ' s composite stock y i e l d based on Wednesday d a t a converted t o weekly c l o s i n g p r i c e s by Federal Reserve. Y i e l d s shown are f o r d a l e s on which p r i c e index reached i t s high or low. 3 / Averages of d a i l y t r a d i n g volume on the New York Stock Exchange. 4 / End of month f i g u r e s f o r member f i r m s of the New York Stock Exchange which carry margin accounts; excludes balsnosa secured by U. S . Government o b l i g a t i o n s . 5 / Wednesday f i g u r e s f o r weekly r e p o r t i n g member banks. Excludes loans for purchasing or c a r r y i n g U, S. Government s e c u r i t i e s • p r i o r t o J u l y 1, 1959, such loans a r e excluded only a t banks In New York and Chicago. 'Weekly r e p o r t i n g banks account f o r about 70 per oent of loan# t o o t h e r s . For f u r t h e r d e t a i l see B u l l e t i n . F e d e r a l N a t i o n a l Mortgage A s s o c i a t i o n Secondary M a r k e t O p e r a t i o n s 1 / Date E s t i m a t e d O f f e r i n g s t o FNmA Standby Immediate Total p u r c l i a s e commitment l\ircliaaos by mima. Sales by FNMA (Millions of dollars) 1958 - J u l y Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1959 - J a n . Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July 9.6 10.1 23.8 57.3 1*0.7 39.7 37.7 i*i*.i* 52.1* 57.8 80.6 8ii.lt 109.5 9.1 9.3 22.0 1*9.6 39.2 35.3 U.2 1*9.8 50.1 73.4 76.6 92.5 .5 .7 1.8 7.7 1.5 h.k 3.8 3.2 2.6 7.7 7.2 7.8 17.1 . 8.1* 7.0 6.0 10.8 20.0 33.2 33.7 27.6 36.5 39.6 38.3 1*9.1* 62.3 1*5.9 15.5 7.9 .8 1.1 .9 .3 .8 1.0 1.1 .6 .3 ^ a dn oj llllvvrer r „„ . A\ys. . A otnndby commitment t e r i o t l n * mort R n,.M which the no 1 l o r murt t o r l l l „. " ^ h i n .45 t r a c t r o l o t o a to proponed nicrtRnRoa, on hcuslnn not yot under eoniitructlon, "hioh the s e l l e r mint u.molly d e l i v e r within ono ynor. Purelmncn Include thooe under both Immediate punch*** and etandby commitment c o n t r a c t " . Data evclixle PIMA a c t i v i t y under Special Assistance and Management and L i q u i d a t i n g Programo. Exhibit E Long-term Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In m i l l i o n s of dollars) 1959 Corporate 1 / 1958 1 1 January February March 840 745 631 April May June July August September quarter quarter quarter quarter 1 s t half Three q u a r t e r s Year S t a t e and locral 2 / 1950 1 1957 . 1 1957 1959 728 857 v 1,553^ 1,060 1,065 1,320 636 856 645 812 953 511 742 572 506 899 791 87k 1,1W 597 887 931 765 1,453 930 . 592 980 798 895 551 765 546 393 e/550 e/775 e/650 1,107 510 1,114 1,003 924 973 2/548 e/500 e/475 806 403 651 529 584 431 456 474 435 698 633 698 2,138 . 2,501 e/1,523 2,276 2,21,4 1,860 1,365 1,820 1,704 1,544 2,029 ,4,639 e/6,162 4,520 6,380 7,746 3,524 5,069 7,099 862 518 920 October November December 1st 2nd 3rd 4th New ca p i t a l 2,216 . 2,56k e/1,975 3,139 2,623 2,760 2,300 . 4,780 e/6,755 5,762 8,522 10,823 . ' 1,090 78 9 1,076 3,445 3,149 2,899 2,954. 6,594 9,493 12,447 Excluding f i n a n c e companies jj/ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th quarter quarter quarter quarter 2*011 2,h09 e/1,675 Year 2,899 2,586 2,731 2,213 3,237 2,889 2,582 2,610 10,429 11,518 ' 1 / S e c u r i t i e s and Exchange Commission estimates of net proceeds. 2 / Investment Bankers Association of America estimates of p r i n c i p a l amounts. 3 / Includes *718.3 m i l l i o n AT&T convertible debenture i s s u e . £ / Total new c a p i t a l i s s u e s excluding o f f e r i n g s of s a l e s and consumer finance companies. Exhibit F H.lU Other S e c u r i t y O f f e r i n g s 1 / ( I n m i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) Long-term F o r e i p n government 2 / F e d e r a l agency 3/ 1958 I 1957 1957 1959 1 1959 1 1958 1 January February March 77 59 2 1# 53 April May 56 50 1*2 139 198 120 81* 1*9 30 U J 1*2 199 1,163 251 72 523 125 175 — 60 July August September 9 5 17 28 7 30 161| October November December 58 123 71* 1* 60 1 220 Year 992 215 2,321 507 Short-1 S t a t e and l o c a l government h / S January February March 190 1*28 2 95 April May July August September o/2l*5 :: October November December Year 100 572 F e d e r a l agency 3 / lj.60 273 326 1*55 11*7 359 500 1*89 371 208 ll*l* 638 1*30 505 357 35!* 26k 205 337 153 486 675 289 209 161 329 336 1*69 501 289 123 369 272 272 252 727 365 1*37 206 330 221* 370 512 231 1*15 213 x ,i b$9 1*51* 111* 137 1,238 255 116 3,910 3,27k 3,098 ' 5,51*3 e/ Estimated. g/ Preliminary. 1 / Data p r e s e n t e d i n t h i s e x h i b i t d i f f e r from t h o s e i n E x h i b i t E i n t h a t r e f u n d i n g i s s u e s , a s w e l l as new c a p i t a l i s s u e s , a r e i n c l u d e d . Long-term s e c u r i t i e s a r e d e f i n e d a s t h o s e m a t u r i n g i n more t h a n one y e a r . ^ 2 / I n c l u d e s s e c u r i t i e s o f f e r e d i n t h e United S t a t e s by f o r e i g n governments and t h e i r s u b d i v i s i o n s and by i n t e r n a t i o n a l o r g a n i z a t i o n s . S o u r c e : S e c u r i t i e s and Exchange Commission. 3 / I s s u e s n o t g u a r a n t e e d by t h e U. S. Government. Source: l o n g - t e r m , S e c u r i t i e s and Exchange Commission^ s h o r t - t e r m , F e d e r a l R e s e r v e . h / P r i n c i p a l l y t a x and bond a n t i c i p a t i o n n o t e s , w a r r a n t s o r c e r t i f i c a t e s and P u b l i c A u t h o r i t y n o t e s . I n some i n s t a n c e s RWl n o t e s i n c l u d e d may have a somewhat DigitizedHousing for FRASER l o n g e r term t h a n one y e a r . Source: Bond Buyer. Exhibit G H.14 Large Long-term Public Security I s s u e s f o r New Capital (Other than U, S. Treasury) %/ Proceeds of Large I s s u e s Offered ( M i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) Corporate Month 1958 - August September October November December 1959 - January February March April May June JulyAugust State and l o c a l government 209 825 . 259 227 305 369 340 215 359 342 284 110 363 • Other 2 / 109 288 172 259 229 335 551 369 563 258 . 635 194 263 18 209 100 79 174 35 176 20 50 60 50 98 Large Individual I s s u e s Offered September 1 through 4 Issuer Type J / Coupon Amount Offering (millions rate o r Maturity of net i n t e r - y i e l d dollars) est cost CORPORATE Deb. 50.0 G.O. 0.0. 12.5 22.5 1960-79 1961-87 Rev.-Ut. Rev.-Ut. 7.5 7.5 1961-81 1996/65 A s s o c i a t e s Investment Co. 1979 5 1/8 5.13 STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Los Angeles, California State of Connecticut Allegheny Co.San.Diet.,Pa, Serial Term OTHER None 3.88 3.73 4.24 2.75-4.00 2.60-3.75 3.00-4.00 4.30 Rating H.lii G-2 Footnotes n.a.—Not available. 1 / I n c l u d e s c o i p o r a t e and o t h e r s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s o f *15 m i l l i o n and o v e r ; S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of $10 m i l l i o n and o v e r . 2 / I n c l u d e s f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r R e c o n s t r u c t i o n and Development i s s u e s a n d n o n - g u a r a n t e e d i s s u e s by F e d e r a l a g e n c i e s . 3 / I n t h e c a s e of S t a t e a n d l o c a l government s e c u r i t i e s , G.O. d e n o t e s g e n e r a l o b l i g a t i o n s ; R e v . - U t . , revenue o b l i g a t i o n s s e c u r e d o n l y b y income from p u b l i c u t i l i t i e s ; R e v . - Q . U t . , revenue bonds s e c u r e d o n l y by r e v e n u e from q u a s i - u t i l i t i e s ; R e v . - S . T . , revenue bonds s e c u r e d by revenue f r o m s p e c i f i c t a x e s o n l y ; R e v . - R e n t . , revenue bonds s e c u r e d s o l e l y by l e a s e payments. H.Ik Exhibit H Forthcoming Large Long-terra Public Security Offerings, f o r Hew Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) \ / Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large I s s u e s Date of computation 1958 - Aug. 29 Sept. 30 Oct. 31 Nov. 28 Dec. 31 1959 - Jan. 30 Feb. 27 Mar. 31 Apr. 30 May 29 June 30 July 31 Aug. 31 During month f o l l o w i n g Subsequent t o date shown date shown State and Corporate Other 2 / Coiporate g ^ J o t h e r 2/ l o c a l govt. 785 113 20k 301 210 270 198 396 2U6 287 165 238 198 21* 295 258 229 261 551 292 550 251* 21*7 11*6 356 385 911* 216 326 1*01 370 365 279 1*76 31*6 332 272 305 517 71 75 1*5 20 ?° 50 25 1*35 521* 675 683 515 856 1*81 761 517 761 500 1*06 1*02 71 75 1*5 20 50 50 25 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of September 1* Type Amount Approximate date (millions of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) CORPOi&TE Geofgia Power Co. New England Telephone & Telegraph Co *S[ylvania E l e c t r i c Products, Inc. Southern California Gas Co. Hooker Chemical Corp. Union E l e c t r i c Co. •Boston Edison Co. Southern New England Telephone Co. American Telephone & Telegraph Co. Commerce Oil Refining Corp. 1 s t mtg. bds. Deb. S . F . deb. 1 s t mtg. bds. Conv. deb. Com. s t k . 1 s t mtg. bds. Com. s t k . Deb. Deb., bds. & com. 18.0 Sept. 18 Sept. 21 25.0 Sept. 22 30.0 Sept. 30 25.0 - Sept. 30 ( r i g h t s expire) 30.0 Sept. 30 ( r i g h t s expire) 15.0 Oct. 1 2l*.2 Oct. 9 ( r i g h t s expire) Nov. 17 250.0 1*5.0 1959 1*5.0 STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT State of California A t l a n t a , Georgia Cook Co., I l l i n o i s Oakland Unif. Sch. Disk., C a l i f . Denver, Colorado G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. 50.0 12.5 i*i*.o 10.0 17.0 Sept. 10 Sept. 15 Sept. 22 Sept. 29 Oct. lU H.lii H-2 Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , a s of September h ( C o n t ' d ) Issuer Type Amount Approximate d a t e (millions of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) STATE AKD LOCAL GOVLRNHEnT ( C o n t ' d ) , -«-State of New Hampshire Chesapeake Bay F e r r y Commission G.O. Rev.-Ut. 16.0 190.0 Oct. 1 5 Indefinite OTHER Commonwealth of A u s t r a l i a Bds. 25.0 S e p t . 18 -^---Included i n t a b l e f o r f i r s t t i m e . 1 / I n c l u d e s c o r p o r a t e and o t h e r i s s u e s of $15 m i l l i o n and o v e r ; S t a t e and l o c a l government i s s u e s of *10 m i l l i o n and o v e r . 2 / I n c l u d e s f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r R e c o n s t r u c t i o n and Development i s s u e s and n o n - g u a r a n t e e d i s s u e s by F e d e r a l a g e n c i e s . N o t e . — D e l e t i o n s f o r r e a s o n s o t h e r t h a n s a l e of i s s u e : none. H.llt Yields on New and Outstanding E l e c t r i c Power Bonds, Rated Aa and A 1 / Date 1 9 # - 1958 High Low 1959 - Jan. 7 20 28 Feb. 18 Mar. 11 26 31 Apr. 3 15 16 29 May 1 13 14 20 21 26 June 4 17 26 July 9 10 15 30 Aug. 5 20 Aa-rated o f f e r i n g y i e l d s A-rated o f f e r i n g y i e l d s Amount above Amount above Actual Actual (per cent) seasoned y i e l d s (per cent) seasoned y i e l d s (basis points) (basis points) 5.00 (9/14/57) 2.93 (3/31/51*) B 87 -3 4.60 & 4.43 4.43 4.47 11 9 9 13 4.60 4.95 ii-95 5.00 123 -15 4.752/ 23 4.67 18 4.85 5.06 17 13 5.13 27 4.92^/ 5.10 5.10 6 24 19 5.10 5.oo 19 13 4 22 21 7 332 4.95 38 29 4.93 31 4.85 24 22 4.80 5.50 (11/7/57) 3.00 (3/17/54) *—Single observation, not an average. 1 / Covers only 30-year f i r s t mortgage 'bonds, as reported i n Moody's Bond Survey. Except where indicated, the actual y i e l d f i g u r e and the amount above seasoned y i e l d s are averages of offerings during the indicated period and of the differences between these new offering y i e l d s and y i e l d s on seasoned issues of similar quality f o r the same day. Average maturity for the seasoned i s s u e s varies from 26 to 28 years. 2 / Provides f o r a 5-year period during which issue may not be c a l l e d f o r refunding a t a lower coupon r a t e . Monthly averages so marked include one or more i s s u e s with such a.provision. Other i s s u e s have no such provision. 3 / Provides for a 7-year period during which issue may not be c a l l e d f o r refunding at a lower coupon rate. y