Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : September 8, 1958
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Not for Publication DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS H.lU September 8, 1958. CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS Only two large security issues for new capital were publicly offered during the holiday-shortened week ending September 5. Standard Oil Company of California sold a $150 million debenture issue (which had been originally scheduled for sale in late June) and the State of Delaware sold a £L7 million general obligation bond issue. This week, two large corporate issues with aggregate proceeds of $385 million are expected. (This includes a $350 million debenture,issue of Sears, ' Roebuck and Company.) State and local government issues, totaling $60 million,are also scheduled for sale. Bond yields - Yields continued to increase last week for all types of outstanding bonds. Yields for all categories, except lower-grade corporate bonds, are the highest since November 1957. Corporate Baa-rated bond yields are still below the early January level. Stock prices - Common stock prices increased last week. Standard and Poor's index of 500 common stocks closed at ltf.97~on September 5> only .21 points below the August 1958 high. The volume of trading continued to increase, averaging 2.9 million shares a day. More detailed information concerning recent capital market developments is presented in the attached exhibits. Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. H I G H - G R A D E B O N D YIELDS CORPORATE Aoo STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Aoo /*> -I —JSTATE AND LOCAL GOVT. Boo, H.lli Exhibit B Tables for Exhibit A High-grade Bond Yields Date u. S. Govt, long-term 2/ Corporate Aaa 1/ Spread between U. S. Govt, and Corporate State and local Aaa State and local govt. Aaa y (Per cent) 1953 195U 1957 1958 - High Low High High Low Aug. 8 Aug. 15 Aug. 22 Aug. 29 Sept. 5 2/ 3.k2 2.85 U.llt 4.03 3.55 (6/19) (V23) (9/27) (9/5) (5/2) 3.19 2.15 3.76 3.72 3.07 (6/5) (8/6) (10/18) (9/5) (1/25) 2.91 3.0U 3.12 3.22 3.29 3.53 3.61 3.62 3.67 3.72 3.77 3.83 3.89 3.9k ii.03 2.73 1.90 3.15 3.29 2.6k (6/25) (9/2) (8/29) (9/h) (5/1) . .38 .30 .60 .51 .22 .83 .30 .U7 .62 .3b .21* .22 .27 .27 .31 .62 .57 .50 .U5 .U3 Lower-grade Bond Yields Date Corporate Baa 1/ State and local govt. Baa y Spread between Aaa and Baa State and Corporate local govt. (Per cent) 1953 19$h 1957 1958 - High Low High High Low Aug. 8 Aug. 15 Aug. 22 Aug. 29 Sept. 5 2/ 3.89 3M 5.10 U.96 L51 U.60 li.66 L71 h.lk U.80 (9/18) (12/31) (11/29) (1/3) (7/11) 3.79 (6/25) 3.92 14.03 1.10 4.21 it. 31 .69 .52 1.27 1.28 .77 1.21 .96 1.21 1.11 .98 .83 .83 .82 .80 .77 1.01 .99 .98 .99 1.02 2/ Preliminary. ~ 1/ Weekly average of daily figures. Average term of bonds included is 25-26 years. 2/ Weekly average of daily figures. The series includes bonds due or callable in 10 years or more. 2/ Thursday figures. Only general obligations bonds are included; average term is 20 years. Note.—highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. STOCK MARKET Exhibit D Table for Exhibit C Stock Market Date Stock price index 3/ Trading Common stock volume 2/ yields V (millions of shares) (per cent) Stock market customer credit Customers' Bank debit bal- loans to ances 4/ "others" 5/ Total (Millions of dollars) 1953 - High Low 1954 - High Low 1955 - High Low 1 9 # - High Low 1957 - High Low 1958 - High Low JulyAugust Aug. 22 Aug. 29 Sept. 5 26.54 22.95 35.98 21.93 15.89 35.28 49.64 (1/2) (9/18) ' (12/31) (1/8) (12/9) (1/14) (8/3) 13.22 (1/20) 1*9.08 (7/12) 2.5 0.9 i:4 4.6 1.5 3.1 1.5 4.2 1:8 4.32 5.82 4.08 2,455 2,1(05 4.34 U,030 3,537 U.0U7 3,91k tn 1'$ 4.41 3.82 39.18 (12/20) 48.05 (8/8) 10.37 (1/10) 1.4 3.8 1.7 tit 45.98 47.70 47.73 47.75 47.97 3.2 3.0 2.5 2.7 2.9 3.97 3.78 3.77 3.77 3.76 4,251 3,554 4,251 1,665 1,314 2,388 1,653 2,805 2,517 2,823 2,740 2,887 2,482 3.020 2,487 3,020 780 664 1,048 746 1,241 1,018 1,267 1,155 1,163 1,054 1,317 1,051 1,231 1,186 1,184 1,186 n.a.—Not available. g/ Preliminary. " . 1/ Standard and Poor's composite index of $00 common stocks, weekly closing prices, 194l-43"10. Monthly data are averages of daily figures rather than of Fridays' only. Highs and lows are for Friday's data only. 2/ Averages of daily trading volume on the New York Stock Exchange. 2/ Standard and Poor's composite stock yield based on Wednesday data converted to weekly closing prices by Federal Reserve. Yields shown are for dates on which price index reached its high or low. 4/ End of month figures for member firms of the New York Stock Exchange which carzy margin accounts; excludes balances secured by U. S. Government obligations. Wednesday figures for weekly reporting member banks. Excludes loans for purchasing or carrying U. S. Government securities at banks in New York and Chicago. Weekly reporting banks account for about 70 per cent of loans to others. For further detail see Bulletin. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. Exhibit E Long-term Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of dollars) 1958 New capital Corporate 1/ State and local 2/ 1 1956 1 1956 1957 1958 1 1957 January February March l j & / 1,060 1,065 1,320 573 712 .817 812 953 511 7k2 572 506 kOk 696 390 April May June i,na ' 600 881 765 l,ii53 818 l,lk6 8kl 798 878 551 765 5k6 393 378 k90 735 1,063 65k 838 639 E/382 e/600 529 58k k31 k08 -206 357 698 633 698 639 3k7 k09 2,276 2,227 e/1,621 1,820 1,70k l,5kk 2,029 l,k90 1,603 971 1,395 a,503 e/6,12k 3,52k 5,069 7,099 3,093 k,06k 5,k59 July August September 723 e/lA50 e/500 e/1,200 October November December 1st 2nd 3rd kth quarter quarter quarter quarter 1st half Three quarters Year 1,003 92k 973 ' !> 1,090 789 1,076 1,088 3,135 2,622 e/2,850 3,kk5 3,119 2,899 2,95k 2,102 2,805 2,556 2,922 5,757 e/8,607 6,59k 9,k9 3 12,kk7 k,907 7,163 , 10.38k . Excluding finance companies 1st 2nd 3rd kth quarter quarter quarter quarter 2,89k 2,583 e/2,800 Year 3,237 2,889 2,582 2,810 11,518 I,6k7 ' 2,5kl 2,2k6 2,826 9,260 I e/ Estimated. __ 1/ Securities and Exchange Commission estimates of net proceeds. 2/ Data through June 19$6 are Bond Buyer data classified as new capital by Federal Reserve; later data are from the Investment Bankers Association of America and are somewhat more complete as to coverage than the earlier data, particularly for Federal Government loans. 3/ Includes $718.3 million AT&T convertible debenture issue. U/ Includes $$71.5 million AT&T common stock issue. ijy Total new capital issues excluding offerings of sales and consumer finance companies. H.ll* Exhibit F Other Security Offerings 1/ (In millions of dollars) Long-term Foreign government 2/ Federal agency 3/ 1958 1 1956 1 1957 1958 1 1957 1 January February March 196 53 April May 139198 120 81* 149 30 37 123 1*8 1*2 50 8 28 7 30 2 39 October November December 1* 60 1 1*1* 5 21 507 72 523 125 95 July August September Year 1,163 251 __ — • — 1956 — 60 — 109 215 — __ — 100 300 Short-term State and local government h/ — — 572 169 Federal agency 3/ January February March 233 1*60 273 326 1*55 11*7 196 357 21*9 371 208 11*1* 638 1*30 505 380 220 283 April May June 357 35U 261* 205 337 153 125 252 176 209 161 329 336 1*69 501 323 31h 260 fi/286 272 272 252 195 . 207 179 601 221* 370 512 222 1*25 273 303 9h 159 29l* 328 11*8 1,238 255 • 116 1*07 222 128 3,271* 2,706 July August September October November December Year ' 60 5,51*3 3,1*57 e/ Estimated. p/ Preliminary. 1/ E&ta presented in this exhibit differ from those in Exhibit E in that refunding issues, as well as new capital issues, are included. Long-term securities are defined as those maturing in more than one year. 2/ Includes securities offered in the United States ty foreign governments and their subdivisions and -by international organizations. Sources Securities and Exchange Commission. i / Issues not guaranteed by the U. S. Government. Source: long-term, Securities and Exchange Commission; short-term, Federal Reserve. h/ Principally tax and bond anticipation notes, warrants or certificates and Public Housing Autho f y notes. In some instances PHA notes included may have a somewhat longer term t; one year. Source: Bond buyer. Exhibit G H.Ik Large Long-term Public Security Issues for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (Millions of dollars) Month Corporate 1957 - August September October November December 1958"- January February March April May June July August State and local government 266 133 393 3a l*ol* 1*10 553 182 300 505 ' 195 275 109 526 537 571* 1*20 399 318 605. 1,093 725 356 281 771 209 Other 2/ 2^5 . I51i 1,357 266 653 161* 86 la — Large Individual Issues Offered September 1 through 5 Issuer Type y Amount Coupon rate or (millions Offering Maturity net inter- yield of : dollars) est cost Rating CORPORATE Standard Oil Coi of Calif. S.F. deb. 150.0 1983 17.0 1959-78 1*3/8 1*.1*0 Aaa STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT State of Delaware OTHER None G.O. 3.26 1.50-3-50 Aa H.lli G-2 1/ Includes corporate and other security offerings of $15 million and over; State and local government security offerings of $10 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues and non-guaranteed issues ty Federal agencies. 2/ In the case of State and local government securities, G.O. denotes general obligations; Rev.-Ut., revenue obligations secured only by income from public utilities; Rev.-Q.Ut., revenue bonds secured only by revenue of quasi-utilities; Rev.-S revenue bonds secured by revenue from specific taxes only; Rev.-Rent., revenue bonds secured solely by lease payments. H.Ik Forthcoming Large Long-term Public' Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues Date of computation Subsequent to . date shown During month following date shown Corporate Corporate | J ^ ^ | o t h e r 2 / 1957 - July 31 Aug. 30 Sept. 30 Oct. 31 Nov. 29 Dec. 31 1956 - Jan. 31 Feb. 28 Mar. 31 Apr. 30 May 29 June 30 July 31 Aug. 29 526 578 576 1*58 383 378 U98 1,123 555 356 266 768 161 785 . 218 183 33U 339 363 31*5 370 131 298 193 177 225 55 21*1 30 30 18 150 . 110 150 36 — . 811 81*5 61*7 815 . 1,193 1,161 1,378 1,208 670 561 1*61* 1,01*8 381 911* 1*71 379 551 51*3 558 561* 1*87 3ltl 330 1*93 208 235 125 1*35 — 30 15 1*5 63 165 110 150 36 — Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of September 5 Issuer T Type Amount Approximate date (millions of offering of dollars) CORPORATE Texas Eastern Trans. Co. Sears Roebuck & Co. Standard. Oil Co. of Indiana ^Consumers Power Co. ^Consumers Power Co. Tennessee Gas Trans. Co. Public Service Co. of Indiana Universal-Cyclops Steel Corp. Montana Power Co. Commerce Oil Refining Corp. Martin Co. 1st mtg. p. 1. bds. 35.0 S. F. deb. 350.0 Deb. 200.0 1st mtg. bds. 35.0 Pfd. stk. 15.0 1st mtg. p. 1. bds. 50.0 Pfd. stk. 21*. 3 S. F. dab. 1st mtg. bds. Deb., bds. & common S. F. deb. 15.0 20.0 1*5.0 25.0 Sept. 11 Sept. 11 Sept. 18 Sept. 2l* Sept. 2l* Sept. Oct. 6 (rights expire) 1958 1958 1958 1958 STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Indiana State Office Bldg. Comm. State of Connecticut San Diego Uhlf. Sch. Dist., Calif. Rev.-Rent. G.O. G.O. 30.0 20.0 10.0 Sept. 9 Sept. 9 Sept. 10 H„lii H-2 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of September 5 (Cont'd) Type Amount Approximate date (millions of offering of dollars) STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT (Cont'd) ^Colleges of the State of Texas Florida State Board of Education Los Angeles Co. Flood Dist., Calif. State of Oregon State of Ohio Commonwealth of Massachusetts State of Washington Chesapeake Bay Ferry Comm. State of California ^Kingdom of Norway Rev. Rev. • Rev.=Ut. GoO. Rev.-S, T. G„0. Rev.—S. T. Rev.-Ut. GoO. 17.1 . 12.5 30.0 20.0 30.0 61.0 10.0 lUU.o 5o.o . Eds. 15.0 Sept. 16 Sept. 16 Sept. 16 Sept. 17 Sept. 18. Sept. 2b Sept. 2k Oct. Dec. 3 Oct, -a—Included in table for first time. 1/ Includes corporate and other issues of $15 million and over; State and local government issues of $10 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues and.non-guaranteed issues by Federal agencies. Note—Deletions for reasons other than sale of issue: None. H.lU Exhibit I Yields on New and Outstanding ' Electric Power Bonds, Rated Aa and A l/ Aa-rated offering yields A-rated oJPferine yields Amount above Amount above Actual seasoned yields Actual seasoned yields (per cent) (basis points) (per cent) (basis points) Date 1952 - 1957 High Low 1958 - January February March it 5 6 12 19 21 25 April 1 2 17 23 29 ' May 7 13 15 16 20 21 22 28 June 10 17 25 July 2 9 18 23 5.00(8/11/57) 2.93(3/31/51) *3.60 3.892/ i i | 87 -3 -8 22 U.15 U.22 U.00 U.00 UU 50 28 26 U.05 3.98 it .00 31 23 25 3.75 5 3.90 21 3.85 3.85 16 16 3.85 3.82 3.95 17 12 2U WOO 25 1-18 29 5.50(11/7/57) 3.00(3/17/51) 123 -15 3.962/ lt.07 it. 25 3 9 6 it. 07 -7 3.98 5 it.0it U.00 11 3 U.07 U.35 U 32 U.00 3.95 -1 -6 3.98^/ 1 U.35^/ 31 *—Single observation, not an average. ' 1/ Covers only 30-year first mortgage bonds, as reported in Moody's Bond Survey. Except where indicated, .the actual yield figure and the amount above seasoned yields are averages of offerings during the indicated period and of the differences between these new offering yields and yields on seasoned issues of similar quality for the same day. . Average maturity for the seasoned issues varies from 26 to 28 years. 2/ Provides for a 5-year period during which issue may not be called for refunding at a lov;er coupon rate. Monthly averages so marked include one or more issues with such a provision. Other issues have no such provision.