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Not for Publication DEC0ra0LLED AFTER SIX MONTHS September 22, 1958 H.Ik CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS The volume of new public security financing was large last week, but is expected to be smaller this week, particularly for- corporate securities. During the week ending September 19, corporations sold large issues totaling $250 million and State and local governments offered large issues amounting to $97 million. Another State government offering for $13 million scheduled for sale last week was not sold as no bids were received due to a 4 per cent interest cost limitation for the issue. This week, only one large corporate issue for $i;0 million and State and local government issues totaling $91 million are expected. A foreign government issue for $15 million is also scheduled for sale. Bond yields - Yields on outstanding corporate and U. S. Government bonds continued to increase last week. Yields on State and local government bonds, however, declined slightly; this was the first decline since April for Aaa-rated bonds and the first since July for Baa-rated bonds. Stock market credit. - Customer credit in the stock market (excluding that for U. S. Government securities) declined $50 million in August, the first decline since January. Such credit totaled $4,202 million at the end of last month; this was 18 per cent higher than when margin re- . quirements were reduced in January. The decline in July was largely in bank loans to "others;11 that of net debit balances was slight. End of month August | July Customer credit Excluding U. S. Government securities - total Net debit balances Bank loans to "others" Net debit balances secured by U. S. Govt, securities Bank loans to others for purchasing or carrying U. S. Government securities Broker and dealer credit Money borrowed except on U. S. Government securities On customer collateral Money borrowed on U. S. Government securities Customers' net free credit balances r/ Revised. Change (millions of dollars) 4,202 136 r/%,252 r/3,021 1,231 149 -5 -45 48 113 -65 1,751 1,523 251 1,103 1,903 1,594 306 -152 -71 3,016 1,186 1,080 -50 -13 -55 . +23 - 2 - Borrowing by member firms of the NYSE maintaining margin accounts (excluding borrowing on U. S. Government securities) declined sharply last month. Customers1 net free credit balances continued to increase, totaling $1,103 million at the end of the month. These and other data on stock market credit for August^and July are shown in the table on the preceding page. Stock prices - Stock prices and trading activity increased sharply last week. Standard and Poor's index of 500 common stocks closed at ii9.U0 on September 19, slightly above the 1957 high and less than one per cent below the record level reached in 1956. Trading volume averaged 3.6 million shares a day. More detailed information concerning recent capital market developments is presented in the attached exhibits. Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. EXHIBIT A HIGH-GRADE BOND YIELDS LOWER - GRADE BOND YIELDS AND licAL / \ z Exhibit B H.lU Tables for Exhibit A High-grade Bond Yields Corporate Aaa 1/ Date U. S. Govt, long-term 2/ Spread between U. S. Govt, and Corporate State and Aaa local Aaa State and local govt. Aaa J/ (Per cent) 1953 - High " '195b - Low 1957 - High 1958 - High Low Aug. 22 Aug; 29 Sept. 5 Sept. 12 Sept. 19 2/ r 3.U2 (6A9) 2.85 (li/23) lt.llt (9/27) It. 10 (9/19) 3.55 (5/2) 3.19 (6/5) 2.73 (6/25) 2.15 (8/6) 1.90 (9/2) 3.76 (10/18) 3.U5 (8/29) 3.76(9/19) . 3.31 (9/11) 2.6U (5/1) 3.07 (U/25) .38 .30 .60 .51 .22 .83 .30 .17 .62 -3U 3.89 3.9U lt.03 U.07 3.62 _ 3.67 3.72 3.75 3.76 .27 .27 .31 .32 .3k .50 .{t5 k.10 3.12 3.22 3.29 3.31 3.28 •h3 .Wt .lt8 Lower-grade Bond Yields Date Corporate Baa 1/ State and local govt. Baa y Spread between Aaa and Baa State and Corporate local govt. . (Per cent) 1953 195b 1957 1958 - High - Low - High - High Low Aug. 22 Aug. 29 Sept. 5 Sept. 12 Sept. 19 0/ 3.89 (9/18) 3.Wt (12/31) 5.10 (11/29) li.96 (1/3) It. 51 (7/11) U.71 •h.7h It. 80 it. 86 lt.88 3.79 (6/25) 2.93 (8/5) U.Sl (8/2?) U.3U (9/11) 3.6I1 (5/1) • U.IO li.21 ii.31 li.3li li.32 .69 .52 1.27 1.28 .77 1.21 .96 1.21 1.11 .98 .82 .60 .77 .79 .78 .98 .99 1.02 1.03 . l.Olt 1/ Weekly average of daily figures. Average terra of bonds included is 25-26 years. 2/ Weekly average of daily figures. The series includes bonds due or callable in 10 years or more. 2/ Thursday figures. Only general obligations bonds are included; average tern is 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. STOCK MARKET Million! of Dollar* V I STOCK MARKET CREDIT Million! Exhibit D Table for Exhibit C Stock Market Date Stock price index 1/ Trading Common Stock market customer credit volume 2/ stock Customers Bank (millions yields V Total debit bal- loans to of shares) (per cent) ances h/ "others" 5/ (Millions of dollars) 1953 - High Low 1951* - High Low 1955 - High Low 1956 - High Low 1957. - High Low 1958 - High Low . July An mist 26.5U 22.95 35.98 2U.93 1*5.89 15.96 Sept. 5 Sept. 12 Sept. 19 o/ s (1/2) 2.5 (9/18) 0.9 (12/31) (1/8) (12/9) 35.28 (1/1U) 1.5 1*9.6U (8/3) 3.1 1*3.22 (1/20) 1.5 1*9.08 (7/12) U.2 39.1*8 (12/20) 1.1* li9.W) (9/19) 3.8 hO.37 (1/10) 1.7 W.^3 Lp.xo 3-2 5.38 6.25 1*.32 5.82 2,1*55 & 2,ll05 1*.08 k,oy> 3.82 3,537 U,0li? 3,9Ut 1*.1*1 l*.3l* 3.6;. 3.97 3.78 3.76 3.71- 1,665 1,311* 2,388 1,653 2,805 2,517 2,823 2,71*0 2,887 'AM S 2,1*82 -ffl; It, 202 ' 780 66U 1,018. 71*6 •i,2ia 1,018 1,163 1,051* 1,317 1,051 1,231 1,106 1.191 1.192 n.a.—Not available. g/ Preliminary. ' r/ Revised. 1/ Standard and Poor's composite index of 500 common stocks, weekly closing prices, 19ijl-li3=10. Monthly data are averages of daily figures rather than of Fridays' only. Highs and lows are for Friday's data only. 2/ Averages of daily trading volume on the New York Stock Exchange. 2/ Standard and Poor's composite stock yield based on Wednesday data converted to weekly closing prices by Federal Reserve... Yields shown are for dates on which price index reached its high or low. h/ End of month figures for member firms of the New York Stock Exchange which cany margin accounts; excludes balances secured by U. S. Government obligations. %/ Wednesday figures for weekly reporting member banks. Excludes loans for purchasing or carrying U. S. Government securities at banks in New York and Chicago. Weekly reporting banks account for about 70 per cent of loans to others. For further detail see Bulletin. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be oh different dates for different series. Exhibit B Long-term Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of dollars) 1958 January February March ,,|y April May June i,na 600 881 July August September % e/1,200 October November December 1st 2nd 3rd l*th quarter quarter quarter quarter 1st half Three quarters Tear New capital Corporate 1/ State and local 2/ 1 1956 1958 1 1956 1957 1 1957 9 1,060 1,065 1,320 573 712 817 765 l,li53 818 1,11*6 81*1 1,003 921* 973 1,063 . 651* 838 1,090 789 1,076 .Jgy 1,088 3,135 2,622 e/2,801 3,1*1*5 3,11*9 2,899 2,951 5,757 e/8,558 6,59b 9,U93 12,1*1*7 1*01* 696 390 . s 393 378 1*90 735 529 581* 1*31 1*08 206 357 698 633 698 639 31*7 1*09 2,276 2,227 e/1,621 1,820 1,701* 1,51*1* 2,029 1,1*90 1,603 971 1,395 e/6,12l* 3,521* 5,069 7,099 3,093 1*,061* 5,1*59 798 878 551 639 B/382 e/600 Ifd 2,102 2,922 10,381* M '& 812 71*2 Excluding finance companies 1st 2nd 3rd Lth quarter quarter quarter quarter 2,89k 2,583 e/2,751 Year 3,237 2,889 2,582 2,810 1,61*7 2,51*1 2,21*6 2,826 11,518 9,260 1/ Securities and Exchange Commission estimates of net proceeds. 2/ Data through June 1956 are Bond Buyer data classified as new capital by Federal Reserve; later data are from the Investment Bankers Association of America and are somewhat more complete as to coverage than the earlier data, particularly for Federal Government loans. 3/ Includes $718.3 million AT&T convertible debenture issue. 6/ Includes $571.5 million AT&T common stock issue. 1/ Total new capital issues excluding offerings of sales and consumer finance companies. Exhibit F H.lli Other Security Offerings 1/ (In millions of dollars) Long-term Federal agency Foreign government 2/ 1%W I 1957 I 19^6 1957 ZSSE January February March 196 53 81* 1*9 30 "a April May June 139 198 120 123 50 37 he 1*2 95 July August September 28 7 30 2 39 October November December 60 •Year 1,163 251 72 523 125 April May . June July August September 233 1*60 273 i*t* 5 21 100 507 300 572 lil 26U fi/286 October November December Year ~~ 169 Federal agency 3/ 371 208 Hili 205 337 153 § 329 272 272 252 195 207 179 601 159 12 29U 328 11*8 3,27k 2,706 125 109 215 1* 196 357 249 60 60 1 326 W 161* Short-term State and local government h/ January February March E 209 161 638 130 505 336 1*69 501 221* 370 512 1,238 s - 5,51*3 ' 380 220 283 s 260 222 1*25 273 1*07 222 128 3,1*57 e/ Estimated. p/ Preliminary. 1/ Data presented in this exhibit differ from those in Exhibit E in that refunding issues, as well as new capital issues, are included. Long-tem securities are defined as those maturing in more than one year. 2/ Includes securities offered in the United States by foreign governments and their subdivisions and by international organizations. Source: Securities and Exchange Commission. Jjj Issues not guaranteed by the U. S. Government. Source: long-term, Securities and Exchange Commissionj short-term, Federal Reserve. Principally tax and bond anticipation notes, warrants or certificates and Public Digitized forAuthority FRASERnotes. In some instances PHA notes included may have a somewhat Housing longer term than one year. Source: Bond Buyer. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Exhibit G H.Ik Large Long-term Public Security Issues for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (Millions of dollars) Corporate Month 1957 - August September October November December 1958 - January February March April May State and local government 2# 133 393 3kk kOk klO 553 182 300 505 195 275 109 526 537 571 1x20 399 318 605 1,093 725 356 281 771 209 July August Other 2/ 2U5 15k 1,357 266 653 16U 86 la Large Individual Issues Offered September 1 through 19 Issuer Type 3/ Amount Coupon Offering (millions Rating Maturity net inter- yield of est cost dollars) CORPORATE Standard Oil Co. of Calif. Texas' Eastern Transm. Co. Sears Roebuck & Co. Tenn. Gas Transm. Co. Standard Oil Co. of Indians S.F. deb. 1st mtg-.p.l.btis. S.F. deb. 1st mtg.p.l.bds. Deb. 150.0 1983 35.0 1978 350-0 1983 5o.o 1979 200.0 1983 k 3/0 55/8 k 3/k 5 3/8 k 1/2 k.kO 5.71 1.75 5.38 li.57 Aaa Baa Aa A Aa STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT State of Delaware Indiana State Office Bldg. Comm. State of Connecticut San Diego U.S.P., Calif. Los Angeles Co. Flood Dist., California Colleges of the State of Texas G.O. Rev.-Rent. ' G.O. G.O. 17.0 1959-78 3.26 1.50-3.50 Aa Aa 30.0 1963-88/70 li.?3 3.00-1.25 .w-j.^u. . Aaa 20.0 1959-88 3.2k 1.60-3.50, 10.0 1961-80 3.61 2.25-3.85=/ A Rev.-Ut. 30.0 1959-83 3.68 1.75-3.75 Aa Rev.—S.T. 12.ii 1959-66 3.00 1.90-2.90 Aa H.lU G-2 Large individual Issues Offered September 1 through 19 (Cont'd) Issuer Type J/ Coupon Amount Offering 'millions Maturity rate or yield net interof est cost dollars) Rating STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT ~~ (Cont'd) .State of Oregon State of Ohio Puerto Rico Industrial Development Co. - . G.O. Rev.-S.T. 20.0 30.0 1963-70 1959-72 Rev. 15.0 1959-78 3.00 3.38 2.25-3.15 1.60-3.U5 Aa Aa OTHER None n.a.—Not available. ]yIncludes corporate and other security offerings of $15 million and over; State and local government security offerings of #10 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues and non-guaranteed issues by Federal agencies. 3/ In the case of State and local government securities, G.O. denotes general obligations; Rev.-Ut., revenue obligations secured only by income from public utilities; Rev.-Q.Ut., revenue bonds secured only by revenue of quasi-utilities; Rev.-S.T. revenue bonds secured by revenue from specific taxes only; Rev.-Rent., revenue bonds secured solely by lease payments. k/ Is of 1980 not reoffered. H.U* Exhibit H Forthcoming Large Long-term Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues Date of computation 1957 - July 31 Aug. 30 Sept. 30 Oct. 31 Nov. 29 Dec. 31 1958 - Jan. 31 Feb. 28 Mar. 31 Apr. 30 Hay 29 June 30 July 31 Aug. 29 During month following date shown State and Other 2/ Corporate local govt. 526 578 576 158 383 378 1*98 1,123 555 356 266 768 161 785 218 183 33U 339 363 315 370 13k 298 193 177 225 55 21*1 Subsequent to date shown State and Corporate Other 2/ local govt. 30 30 18 150 110 150 36 811 81*5 61*7 815 1,193 1,161 1,378 1,208 670 561 1*61*. 1,01*8 381 911* 1*71 379 551 51*3 558 561* 1*87 31*1 330 1*93 208 235 125 1*35 30 15 1*5 63 165 110 150 36 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of September 19 Type Amount (millions Approximate date of offering of dollars) Consumers Power Go. Universal-Cyclops Steel Corp. *Idaho Power Co. Public Service Co. of Indiana 1st rate. bds. S.F. deb. lst'mtg. bds. Pfd. stk. l*o.o ^-American Cement Corp. Peoples Gas Light ^and Coke Co. S.F. deb. Cap. stk. 20.0 Consumers Power Co. Montana Power Co. 'Commerce Oil Refining Corp. Martin Co. 15.0 15.0 2 W 17.0 Pfd. stk. 15.0 1st mtg. bds. 20.0 Deb., bds. & common 1*5-0 S.F. deb. 25.0 Sept. 2ij. Sept. 30 Oct. 5 Oct. 6 (rights expire) Oct. 9 Oct. 20 (rights expire) 1958 1958 1958 1958 STATE AND LOCAL "GOVERNMENT Commonwealth of Massachusetts State of Washington Chicago, Illinois ^Boston, Massachusetts G.O. Rev.-S. T. G.O. G.O. 61.0 10.0 20.0 21*. 7 Sept. 21* Sept. 21* Sept. 25 Oct. 7 H.lU - H-2 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of September 19 (Cont'd) Type Amount Approximate date (millions of offering of dollars) STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT (Cont'd) *Metro. Wtr. Dist. of So. California Florida State Board of Education Chesapeake Bay Ferry Comm. ^-Detroit-Metro. Expressway State of California Rev.-Ut. Rev. Rev.-Ut. Rev.-Ut. G.O. 18.0 12.5 lWl.0 35.0 50.0 Oct. Ill Oct. Oct. Nov. 15 Dec, 3 Bds. 15.0 Sept. 25 OTHER Kingdom of Norway . ->—Included in tabel for first ;ime. 1/ Includes corporate and other issues of $15 million and over; State and local government issues of $10 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues and non-guaranteed issues by Federal agencies. Note—Deletions for reasons other than sale of issue: None. Exhibit I Yields on New and Outstanding Electric Power Bonds, Rated Aa and A 1/ Aa-rated offering yields A-rated offering yields Amount above Amount above Actual seasoned yields Actual seasoned yields (per cent) (basis points) (Tier cent) (basis points) Date 1952 - 1957 High Low 1958 - January February March U 5 6 12 19 21 25 April 1 2 17 23 29 May 7 13 15 16 20 21 22 28 June 10 17 25 July 2 9 •8 5.00(8/11/57) 2.93(3/31/51*) 87 -3 -8 22 *3.60 3.892/ W5 U.22 li.00 a. 00 aa 50 28 26 a. 05 3.98 a.oo 31 23 25 3.75 5 3.90 ' 21 3.85 3.85 16 16 3.85 3.82 3.95 17 12 2a I a.oo 25 1 fc:±8 s8 5.50(11/7/5:7) 3.00(3/l7/5a) 3.962/ a.07 a.25 a.07 123 -15 3 9 6 -7 3.98 a.oa a.oo 11 3 a.07 a.35 a 32 a. 00 3.95 -1 -6 3.98^ 1 a.35S/ 31 *—Single observation, not an average. 1/ Covers only 30-year first mortgage bonds, as reported in Moody's Bond Survey. Except where indicated, the actual yield figure and the amount above seasoned yields are averages of offerings during the indicated period and of the differences between these new offering yields and yields on seasoned issues of similar quality for the same day. Average maturity for the seasoned issues varies from 26 to 28 years. 2/ Provides for a 5-year period during which issue may not be called for refunding at a lower coupon rate. Monthly averages so marked include one or more issues with such a provision. Other issues have no such provision.