Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : October 6, 1954
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Not f o r P u b l i c a t i o n DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS U ' l f - October 6 , 195k . CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOHENTS Volume of s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s small - Th,e. amount of l a r g e S t a t e and l o c a l government i s s u e s o f f e r e d p u b l i c l y f o r new c a p i t a l d u r i n g t h e week ending October 1 was 1±8 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s ; only one l a r g e c o r p o r a t e o f f e r i n g w i t h proceeds of 20 m i l l i o n was i s s u e d -in t h i s p e r i o d . The volume of l a r g e p u b l i c o f f e r i n g s t o be f l o a t e d t h i s week i s 108 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s f o r S t a t e and -local governments and 37 m i l l i o n f o r c o r p o r a t i o n s . October outlook - The October e s t i m a t e of c o r p o r a t e o f f e r - , i n g s f o r new c a p i t a l i s 75>0 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s , about 30 per c e n t g r e a t e r t h a n t h e t o t a l f o r October 1953 and 1$ p e r c e n t g r e a t e r t h a n l a s t month. I n c l u d e d i n t h i s e s t i m a t e a r e t h e proceeds from two very l a r g e i s s u e s — t h e 131 m i l l i o n d o l l a r common stock o f f e r i n g of N a t i o n a l C i t y Bank of New York, t h e s u b s c r i p t i o n r i g h t s f o r which e x p i r e on Octob e r 22 and w i l l t h e r e f o r e be counted i n t h e October t o t a l , 1 and t h e 100 m i l l i o n d e b e n t u r e i s s u e of C o n t i n e n t a l O i l . The volume of l a r g e p u b l i c i s s u e s i s expected t o be 3li3 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s or about. 1*5 per c e n t of t o t a l new c a p i t a l . \A s u b s t a n t i a l volume of r e f u n d i n g i s s u e s i s scheduled f o r o f f e r i n g t h i s month. The October volume of S t a t e and l o c a l government i s s u e s i s e s t i m a t e d a t foO m i l l i o n d o l l a r s , 22 p e r c e n t l a r g e r t h a n t h e October volume l a s t y e a r b u t 12 per c e n t under t h e September, 195k t o t a l . Large i s s u e s a r e expected t o account f o r almost 70 p e r c e n t of t h e t o t a l e s t i m a t e . The 100 m i l l i o n d o l l a r revenue bond o f f e r i n g of t h e Department of Highways, V i r g i n i a , and a s t a t e of Massachusetts i s s u e of $$ m i l l i o n d o l l a r s a r e i n c l u d e d i n t h e October c a l e n d a r . Bond y i e l d s remain s t a b l e - Y i e l d s on c o r p o r a t e Aaa and Baa, U. S. Government and h i g h - g r a d e m u n i c i p a l bonds d i d n o t change d u r i n g t h e week ending October 1 . Stock p r i c e s d e c r e a s e - The SEC i n d e x of 26£ common stocks, d e c r e a s e d m o d e r a t e l y l a s t week t o 198.3 b a s i s p o i n t s . F u r t h e r d e t a i l s on c a p i t a l market developments a v a i l a b l e f r o m e x h i b i t s — More d e t a i l e d i n f o r m a t i o n c o n c e r n i n g r e c e n t c a p i t a l m a r k e t d e v e l o p m e n t s w i l l be found i n t h e f o l l o w i n g e x h i b i t s which are attached hereto: - A - Bond Y i e l d s B - Stock Market C - C o r p o r a t e and S t a t e and Local Government S e c u r i t y O f f e r i n g s ; and P l a c e m e n t s . D L a r g e Public Security I s s u e s f o r New C a p i t a l ( o t h e r .than U. S . T r e a s u r y ) E - Forthcoming Large P u b l i c S e c u r i t y O f f e r i n g s f o r . New C a p i t a l ( o t h e r than.U. S. Treasury) F - Y i e l d s on New and O u t s t a n d i n g P u b l i c U t i l i t y Bonds, r a t e d Aa and A B u s i n e s s F i n a n c e and C a p i t a l Markets S e c t i o n , D i v i s i o n of R e s e a r c h and S t a t i s t i c s , Board of Governors of t h e F e d e r a l R e s e r v e System. EXHIBIT A BOND YIELDS PER CENT PER ANNUM 4 CORPORATE Baa CORPORATE Aa I V/r U.S. | |v | GOVERNMENT LONG-TERM / HIGH-GRADE MUNICIPAL AND P O O R ' S COIP IIIIII II 1 III IIIfIIII I II M J S 1951 1952 Corporate i / kaM | Baa Date 1954 1953 Spread between U. S. Govt, Corporate Aaa long-term 2 / and U. S. Govt. Highr grade Man.3/ (Per cent-per annum) 1951 - High Low 1952 - High Low 1953 - High Low 195U - High Low September September September September October 1 3 10 17 21* 3.03 2.65 3.03 2.91 3.12 2.99 3.09 2.85 2.88 2.89 2.89 2.89 2.89 3.63 3.16 3.63 3.1*8 3.89 3.50 3.7U 3.1*6 3.1*7 3.1*7 3.1*7 3.1*8 3.18 2.71* 2.38 2.79 2.56 3.15 2.71* 2.7U 2.1*1* 2.50 2.51 2.51 • • . 2 -£ 2.51 .36 .25 .37 .35 .38 .19. .1*3 .33 .38 .38 .38 .38 .38 2.26 1.59 2.1*3 2.00 3.U* 2.1*3 2.56 2.23 2.21* 2.26 2.31 2.332.33 y Federal Reserve; weekly average of dally f i g u r e s . 3/ Standard and Poor's Corporation; Wednesday f i g u r e . Koto.—Highs and lows are f o r individual series and may be on d i f f e r e n t dates for different series. STOCK MARKET /V A A/y ,A v // :S 47-49.100 - 1 i -- 1 I VOLUME I Bank l o a n s Customers1 to "others" Common s t o c k Trading debit for purchases S t o c k p r i c e volume 2 [ yields 3/ balances h/ of s e c u r - ' index V (per cent . (millions (millions ities 5/ ( 1 9 1 7 - 1 9 - 1 0 0 ) of s h a r e s ) p e r annum) | o f d o l l a r s ) (millions I of d o l l a r s ) 1 9 5 1 - High' 1952 - H i g h Low 1953 - H i g h 195U - High August September September 17 S e p t e m b e r 2h October 1 158.6 140.3 165.3 151.7 167.1 3M.0 199.3 156.5 191.U 191.0 195.5 199.3 196.3 .3.h 1.1 2.0 0.9 2.5 0.9 3.2 1.U 2.6 2.0 2.1 2.2 1.9 6.55 5.55 5.77; 5.135.75' 5.15 5.33. li.6l It.75 1,297 1,219 1,328 1,211 1,665 1,31b 1,967 1,653 1,967 31*0 260 g 327 252 U37 328 W.8 121 ii20 U30 y SEC i n d e x D f 2 6 5 common s t o c k s , w e e k l y c l o s i n g p r i c e , 1 9 3 9 - 1 0 0 ; c o n v e r t e d t o 19lt7-u9-100 by f e d e r a l R e s e r v e . 2 / W e e k l y a v e r a g e s o f d a i l y t r a d i n g v o l u m e on Hen York S t o c k E x c h a n g e . 3 / M o o d y ' s 2 0 0 common s t o c k s ; e n d o f m o n t h f i g u r e s . • I / End of m o n t h f i g u r e s f o r member f i r m s of New York S t o c k E x c h a n g e ; e x c l u d e s b a l a n c e s s e c u r e d b y U. S . Government s e c u r i t i e s . . 5 / Wednesday f i g u r e s f o r w e e k l y r e p o r t i n g member b a n k s i n New York a n d C h i c a g o ; e x c l u d e s l o a n s f o r p u r c h a s e of U . S . G o v e r n m e n t s e c u r i t i e s . On March h , 1 9 5 3 , t h e l a s t d a t e on w h i c h f i g u r e s f o r a l l r e p o r t i n g b a n k s w e r e a v a i l a b l e , New York a n d C h i c a g o a c c o u n t e d f o r hS p e r c e n t of s u c h l o a n s . I n t h e p a s t New York and C h i c a g o l o a n s have f l u c t u a t e d more than t o t a l l o a n s . n.a.—Not available. , N o t e . — K i s h s a n d l o w s a r e f o r i n d i v i d u a l s e r i e s and may b e on d i f f e r e n t d a t e s for different series. Exhibit C C o r p o r a t e and S t a t e and Local Government S e c u r i t y O f f e r i n g s and Placements ( I n m i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) 1951i Nevr c a p i t a l Corporate 1953 1952 S t a t e and l o c a l 19#T ~WT 396 8 gf 951 s 486 652 859 779 675 1,123 870 990 769 3 e/725 483 1,237 2 / 291 390 279 e/25o: 5/625 519 259 ,475 999 3W 851 e/550 452 408 774 1,979 1,372 2,335 1,173 1,410 1,253 . 1,635 5,471 660 e/ioo 3/650 e/750 1,613 1,998 e/1,775 666 % 577 1*291,438 1,912 2,578 1,561 , 2,444 ^ 8,495 2/ . e/1,155 ::7i6^ ~WT 388 359 426; 544 439 357 300 146 328 648. 434 . ' 454 394625: 243 199 473 302 183 395 802 1,474 916 880 4,072 Excluding f i n a n c e companies ^ 1,562 1,931 e/1,710 1,669 1,991 1,223 2,344 7,227 1,961 2,521 1,877 2,091 8,152 1/ I n c l u d e s 1^90 m i l l i o n d o l l a r American Telephone and Telegraph d e b e n t u r e "~~ issue. ' • 2 / I n c l u d e s 603 m i l l i o n d o l l a r AT&T d e b e n t u r e i s s u e . r 3 / T o t a l new c a p i t a l i s s u e s excluding o f f e r i n g s of s a l e s and p e r s o n a l f i n a n c e companies. 3/—Estimated N o t e . — D e t a i l s may n o t add t o t o t a l s due t o .rounding. Exhibit D Large P u b l i c S e c u r i t y I s s u e s f o r New C a p i t a l ( o t h e r t h a n U. S . T r e a s u r y ) 1 / . Proceeds of Large I s s u e s O f f e r e d (millions-of dollars) Month S t a t e and l o c a l government Corporate 1953 - September October November December 195U - J a n u a r y February March . April ' May June July . August September 322 323 ' 25k . 571 16U 213 378 557 557 375 216 96:. . 963 289 103 160 169 32k .350 336 75 335 Other 2 / 3k 51 19 50 119 50 603 92 86 U55 — Large I n d i v i d u a l I s s u e s O f f e r e d d u r i n g September Issuer Type 3/ Coupon Amount r a t e or (millions Offering Maturity net i n t e r • of • yield dollars) est cost Rating CORPORATE S o u t h e r n B e l l Telephone and Telegraph Co. Deb. " Tennessee Gas Transmission Deb. American Tel._& T e l . Co. Deb. Dayton Power & L i g h t Co. 1st mtg. bds. Northern S t a t e s Power Co. 1st m t g . b d s . 2 5 . 0 2ii.5 2 5 0 . 0 ' 15-0 2 0 . 0 " 1989 197k 198k 19814. 198L • 3 k 3 3 3 1/8 1/k 1/k iulO 3.12 1/8 3 . 0 1 3.02 3.00 Aaa Baa Aa Aa Aa STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Cook County, I l l i n o i s Los Angeles, C a l i f o r n i a , Dept. of Yiater & Power J e r s e y C i t y Sewerage A u t h o r i t y , New J e r s e y L o u i s v i l l e and J e f f e r s o n C o . , Sewer D i s t . , Ky. Texas V e t e r a n s Land Board G.O. 7.6 1955-74 1.90 0.75-2.05 Aa Rev. 19,5 1955-81 2.26 0.65—2.50, Aa Rev. . 2 2 . 0 1959-93 3.26 1.80-3.1;0 Baa Rev. G.O. 2.$h 1 0 . 0 0.70-2.70 1.15-2.35 Aa Aa 8 . 0 1955-9^/ 1960-89=' 2.10 D-2 Large I n d i v i d u a l I s s u e s O f f e r e d d u r i n g September ( C o n t ' d ) Issuer Type y Coupon Amount Offering r a t e or trillions Maturity net i n t e r yield of e s t c o s t dollars) Rating STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT ""(Cont'd) Public Housing A u t h o r i t i e s Wyandotte School D i s t r i c t , Michigan P i t t s b u r g h P u b l i c School D i s t r i c t , Pennsylvania S t a t e of South C a r o l i n a S t a t e of Connecticut D e t r o i t , Michigan Kansas Turnpike S t a t e of Ohio S t a t e of Tennessee Macon County, I l l i n o i s Upper Moreland-Hatboro J o i n t Sewer A u t h . , Pa. 7.3 G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev. L.L. G.O. G.O. Rev.. 5.0 . 20.0 7.0 5.2 160.0 30.0 5.U 7.0 5.U" OTHER None by pledge of d e s i g n a t e d r e v e n u e s . \ J Bonds m a t u r i n g 1988-89 n o t r e o f f e r e d . cy Bonds m a t u r i n g 195^ n o t r e o f f e r e d . n.a.—Not a v a i l a b l e . 1955-72 1955-79 1955-7U 1955-814. . .1955-33 199L 5,y 1956-6U- ' 1961-65 1955-73 1956-86 2.33 0.65-2.55 2.23 0.90-2.10 2.02 1.77 1.72 2.52 3.I4I4 1.38 1.60 . 1.9U 0.70-2.25 * n.a. I.25-3.15 • A A • Aa Aaa 0.65-2.25 A ' 0.75-2.85 r3.1t0 Aa 0.95-1.50 A l.ao-1.60 Aa 0.75-2.10 0.70-2.00 Exhibit E Forthcoming Large P u b l i c S e c u r i t y O f f e r i n g s f o r New C a p i t a l ( o t h e r t h a n U. S . T r e a s u r y ) 1 / Expected. Proceeds f r o m Forthcoming Large I s s u e s Date of computation - Sept.- 29 O c t . 30 Nov. 30 Dec. 31 - J a n . 29 Feb. 26 Mar.'31 Apr. 30 May 28 June 30 J u l y 30 Aug. 31 Sept.. 30 During month f o l l o w i n g d a t e shows* S t a t e and Corporate Other 2 / l o c a l govt, 180 73 9k8 232 118 108 20k 323 332. 336 . 100 33k 3k3 273 283 '537 179 161. k98 555 525 596 .86 5k . 300 383 73 123 50 27 : Subsequent t o d a t e shown cor p° rate 1,016 1,129 1,616 669 k79 690 • 555 6k7 526 532 303 608 klk . 1,182 978 1,752 1,238 1,660 1,916 2,789 2,322 1,971 1,52k 1,553 88 138 50 27 1,876 • 2,158 — Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , a s of October 1 Type Amount Approximate d a t e (millions of o f f e r i n g ... of d o l l a r s ) CORPORATE , Public S e r v i c e Company of Colorado -Indiana and Michigan E l e c t r i c Co. Texas Power and Light Co. New York -Telephone Co. N a t i o n a l C i t y Bank of Nevr York Laclede Gas Continental Oil Kentucky U t i l i t i e s Kansas C i t y Power and L i g h t Long I s l a n d L i g h t i n g Public S e r v i c e of Oklahoma 1 s t mtg.. bonds 1 s t mtg. bonds 1 s t mtg. bonds R e f . mtg. bonds Common s t o c k 1 s t mtg. bonds Deb. 1 s t mtg. bonds 1 s t mtg. bonds 1 s t mtg. bonds 1 s t mtg. bonds 20.0 .16.5 15.0 1*0.0' 131.3 20.0 100.0 15.0 16.0 20.0 20.0 October k October 5 October 18 October 19 October 22 October October November 195k 195k January STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT S o u t h e a s t Alabama Gas D i s t r i c t M i s s i s s i p p i River Bridge A u t h . , La. Kansas C i t y , MissouriC l e v e l a n d , Ohio . L e o r g i a S t a t e T o l l Bridge A u t h o r i t y Department of Highways, V i r g i n i a Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. - 19.5 65,0 12.0 11.0 6.7 100.0 October October October October October October it 5 6 7 13 Ik E~2 . Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , as of October 1 (Cont'd) Type Issuer r Amount Approximate d a t e ^millions of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT (Cont'd) Rev. n.a. n.a. n.a. Rev. n.a. n.a. n.a. . G.O. n.a. - n.a. n.a. Rev. Alexandria, V i r g i n i a ^Kentucky, S t a t e Property and Bldg. Comm. Milwaukee, Wisconsin Greater Baton Rouge Port Comm., La. Colorado Springs, Colorado S t a t e of Massachusetts Wichita, Kansas P h i l a d e l p h i a , Pennsylvania Chicago, Illinois F l o r i d a S t a t e Board of Education D a l l a s , Texas Oklahoma Turnpike Authority New Jersey Highway Authority Lansing, Michigan • Dade County Port A u t h o r i t y , F l a . Allegheny County, Pennsylvania S a n i t a r y Authority C a l i f o r n i a T o l l Bridge Authority Maryland S t a t e Roads Commission Warren, Ohio v Springfield, Illinois Davenport, Iowa New York Thruway Indiana Toll Road Commission. ^Michigan Turnpike Authority New York S t a t e Power- Authority Metropolitan Water D i s t . of So. Cal. Los Angeles School D i s t s . , Cal. Los Angeles Dept. of Water & Power F l o r i d a S t a t e Turnpike Authority J e r s e y City Sewerage Auth., N. J . *North Carolina Turnpike Authority OTHER None Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. G.O. Rev. Rev. Rev. 8.2 TM 5.0 12.5 10.0 55.0 6.9 25.8 12.5 25.7 1 10-15.0 175.0 30^50.0 6,0 21.0 85.0 235.0 70.0 5.0 - 9.0 5.0 50.0 225.0 186.0 315.0 8-10.0 20.0 15-20.0 89.0 16.0 200.0 , , October lit October 19 . October 19 October 20 October 20 October 20 October 26 October 26 October 27 - October November 29 1956 195k 1954 1954 1954 195k 1954 . 1954 195', v 1% 1951* 1954 1955 1955 1955 1955 1955 1955 1955 ' 1955 n . A. 1/ Includes corporate and other i s s u e s of 15 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s and over; S t a t e and l o c a l government i s s u e s of 5 m i l l i o n and over. 2 / Includes f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Reconstruction and Development i s s u e s . n.a.—-Not a v a i l a b l e . *—Included i n t a b l e f o r f i r s t t i m e . Exhibit F Y i e l d s on I-Jew and Outstanding Public U t i l i t y Bonds, Rated Aa and A V • Date Aa-rated o f f e r i n g y i e l d s A-rated o f f e r i n g yields Amount above Amount above Actual Actual seasoned y i e l d s seasoned y i e l d s (per c e n t ) (per c e n t ) (basis points) (basis, p o i n t s ) 19^2 average 3.18 Hi 3.37 12 1953 a v e r a g e 3 .a 16 3.78 . 2£ 1953 - J a n u a r y February Uarch ' April Hay June July August September. , October November . Dec&iber 3.25 3.39 3.10 3.18 3.79 None *3.68 None None 3.31 *3.28 *3.30 11 • 19 17 16 28 rtone None 3.# 3.88 3.99 L.10 *1.00 Hone 3.92 3.# 3.12 3.21 29 7 2 10 19Sh - J a n u a r y February March April 3.20 3.02 *2.93 2.99 3.31 • *3.20 3.05 3.10 2 -1 -10 -6 3.15 3.08 3.13 3.20 3.17 3.lit' 3.13 3.12 0 -6 -1 • 5 l -2 -3 -3 . Hay S 6 11 20 ^ - 2 7 June 9 16 17 2k 3.00 2.99 2-5 3.00 J u l y 1h August 18 25 September 23 29 3° 3.00 .3.6$ 3.01 — 29 . 6 7 . '.5 - ^ 6 . 0 0 5 h 3 1 0 6 2 23 kl 37 39 30 . 3.13 3.06 3.1$ -1 -6 3 3.10 -3 r Survey. Except where i n d i c a t e d , the" a c t u a l y i e l d f i g u r e and t h e amount above .seasoned y i e l d s a r e averages of o f f e r i n g s d u r i n g t h e i n d i c a t e d p e r i o d and of t h e d i f f e r e n c e s between t h e s e new o f f e r i n g y i e l d s and y i e l d s on seasoned i s s u e s of s i m i l a r q u a l i t y f o r t h e same d a y . * — S i n g l e o b s e r v a t i o n , n o t an a v e r a g e .