Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : November 9, 1955
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Not f o r P u b l i c a t i o n DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS H.lii November 9> 195# CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOFivIElITS S t a t e and l o c a l governments sold 9b m i l l i o n d o l l a r s of l a r g e s e c u r i t y i s s u e s during t h e week ending November h* No l a r g e public corporate i s s u e s were f l o a t e d l a s t week, and only one such o f f e r i n g of 20 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s i s scheduled i n t h i s abbreviated week. Two S t a t e and l o c a l government i s s u e s t o t a l i n g 19 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s a r e also expected. Bond y i e l d s - Yields on U. S. Government long-term and S t a t e and l o c a l government Aaa, Baa and revenue bonds declined l a s t week, as can be seen from the attached e x h i b i t s . Corporate bond y i e l d s w i t h Aaa r a t i n g s were unchanged and those with Baa r a t i n g s increased s l i g h t l y . According t o d a i l y f i g u r e s , y i e l d s on-Government bonds r o s e moderately and y i e l d s on corporate Aaa bonds decreased modera t e l y on Monday of t h i s week. The d e c l i n e i n y i e l d s during October r e p r e s e n t e d a cont i n u a t i o n of the drop which began in early September f o r most types of i s s u e s o u t s t a n d i n g . S t a t e and l o c a l government Baa and revenue o b l i g a t i o n y i e l d s a r e now f o u r b a s i s p o i n t s lower than t h e y were during t h e f i r s t week of October and s i x t o n i n e p o i n t s below the September h i g h . Yields on S t a t e and l o c a l government Aaa bends have dropped e i g h t b a s i s p o i n t s over t h e l a s t month and 1< since e a r l y September. The change in corporate s e c u r i t i e s has been more moderate. Corporate Aaa bond y i e l d s a r e two b a s i s p o i n t s l e s s than a month ago and four p o i n t s below the' September h i g h . There has been no change i n corporate Baa y i e l d s s i n c e September. Stock p r i c e s r i s e - Stock p r i c e s rose sharply during t h e week, ending November The SEC index of 26£ common stocks i n creased 7*5 p o i n t s t o 25>9»1j with t r a d i n g volume moderate. The i n c r e a s e has continued i n t o t h i s week although a t a more moderate rate. Common stock y i e l d s were b.12 per cent a t October, the highest they have been s i n c e May. The i n c r e a s e l a s t month—19 b a s i s p o i n t s — r e s u l t e d from r i s e i n dividend r a t e s as w e l l as t h e sharp drop i n t h e end of unusually l a r g e a considerable prices. More d e t a i l e d information concerning r e c e n t c a p i t a l market developments w i l l be found in the a t t a c h e d e x h i b i t s . Business Finance and C a p i t a l Markets Section, Division of Research and S t a t i s t i c s , Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. HIGH-GRADE BOND YIELDS ! STATE AND LOCAL Corporate Aaa 1/ U* S# Govt# long-term 2 / State and local govt., Aaa 2 / Spread between U. S. Port, and Corporate IState and Ilocal Aaa (Per cent) 3.03 2.91 3.1*2 2.99 3.09 2.85 3.U* 2.91 1A) (2/15) (6/19) (1/9) (1/8) (k/23) (9/9) (1/7) 3.12 3.11 3.10 3.10 3.10 2.79 2.56 3.15 2.78 2.71* 2.U 2.91* 2.62 2.83 2.81 2.82 2.81 2.79 (12/27) (5/17) (6/6) (12/26) (1/9) (8/7) (8/5) (1/7) 2.00 1.65 2.73 1.98 2.21 1.90 2.3k 2.05 2.27 2.25 2.2k 2.2k 2.19 (10/23) (5/1) (6/25) (1/8) (6/10) (9/2) (9/8) (5/26) .37 .19 .38 .19 .143 •32 .31* .13 1.02 •71 .81* .30 .61 .29 •70 .51* .29 .30 .28 .29 .31 .56 .56 ,58 .<7 .60 y Weekly average of daily figures. Average term of bonds included i s 25-26 y 2/ Weekly average of daily figures; old series. Average term to f i r s t call of bonds included i s 11-12* years. 3/ Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average term i s 20 years. Note. Hi^is and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. R-GRADE BOND YIELDS Weekly Per cent p e r CORPORATE B a a V \ Corporate Baa 1/ STATE AND LOCAL GOVT. B a a State and local govt. Baa 2 / State and local govt, rev. 3 / (Per cent) 1952 " High Low 1953 - High 195U - High Loir 1955 - High Low October 7 October lU October 21 October 28 November 4 3.63 3-i|8 3.89 3.50 3.7k 3.Wi i-l I S 3.59 (1A) (5/16) (9/18) (1/2) (V8) (12/31) %) !$»' 2.98 2.1*8 3.79 2.96 3.32 2.93 3.25 (10/23) (1/17) (6/25) (1/8) (1/7) (8/5) (9/22) 3.02 (1/6) 2.69 2.27 3.27 2.71 3.00 2.72 2.95 2.76 3.23 3.22 3.20 3.23 3.19 2.90 2.89 2.89 2.87 2.86 (12/19) (ii/25) (6/26) (1/2) (1/1) (8/13) (9/2) (1/7) 3/ Weekly average of daily figures. Average term of bonds included i s 25-26 years. 2 / Thursday figur e s. Only general obligation bonds are included; average term i s 20 years. 3 / Friday figur e s. Average rating of bonds included i s between Baa and Aj average term i s 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different s e r i e s . • EXHIBIT C Trading Ccmmon S t o c k p r i c e - volume 2 / index 1/ (millions yields 3/ of s h a r e s ) (per c e n t ) S t o c k market customer c r e d i t Customers 1 debit b a l - loans t o ances 4 / "others" 5 / Total ( M i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) 1951 - High Low 1955 - High Lon 165.3 151.7 167.1 144.0 221.4 156.5 269.7 217.It September October October l i t October 2 1 October 28 November 4 263.6 250.1 245.9 252.8 251.6 259.1 1952 - High Low 1953 - High (12/26) (10/24) (1/2) (9/18) (12/31) (1/6) (9/23) (1/14) 2.0 0.9 2.5 0.9 3.7 1.4 4.6 1.5 • 2.9 2.0 2.4 1.7 1.8 1.9 1,986 1,804 2,445 2,055 3,436 2,405 3,966 3,537 1,332 1,241 1,665 1,314, 2,3881,653 2,805 2,517 3.93 4.12 3,966 2,805 n.a- n.a. n.a. 5.77 5.13 5.75 5.15 5.33 4.20 4.22 3.78 656 552 780 664 1,048 746 . 1,195 1,018 1,161 1,195 1,159 1,150 1,195 n.a. i available. V SEC i n d e x of 26$ canmon s t o c k s , w e e k l y c l o s i n g p r i c e s , 1 9 3 9 - 1 0 0 ; c o n v e r t e d t o 1947-1*9=100 b y F e d e r a l R e s e r v e . The c o n v e r s i o n f a c t o r i s 1 2 3 . 9 1 . 2 / A v e r a g e s of d a i l y t r a d i n g volume on t h e New York S t o c k Exchange. 3 / Moody's 200 common s t o c k s ; end of month f i g u r e s . 4 / End of month f i g u r e s f o r member f i r m s o f t h e New York Stock Exchange which c a r r y"margin a c c o u n t s ; e x c l u d e s b a l a n c e s s e c u r e d b y U. S . Government o b l i g a t i o n s . 5 / Wednesday f i g u r e s f o r w e e k l y r e p o r t i n g member b a n k s . E x c l u d e s a l l l o a n s f o r p u r c h a s i n g or c a r r y i n g D. S . Governments f o r 1 9 5 2 ; s i n c e 1953 o n l y t h e s e l o a n s a t banks i n New York and Chicago a r e e x c l u d e d . Weekly r e p o r t i n g banks a c c o u n t f o r about 72 p e r c e n t of l o a n s t o o t h e r s . N o t e . — H i g i s and l o w s a r e f o r i n d i v i d u a l s e r i e s and may b e on d i f f e r e n t d a t e s for different series. ' Exhibit D Corporate and S t a t e and Local Government S e c u r i t y Offerings and Placements (In m i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) 1955 January February March 1 Corporate 1954 \ New c a p i t a l 1953 1955 S t a t e and l o c a l 1 1954 1 1953 546 436 1,261 547 426 635 623 623 666 535 312 538 #6 411 5# 390 360 426 April May 494 903 697 497 656 842 779 • 675 1,123 427 734 748 653 329 649 434 July August September 583 654 680 909 $ 483 325 753 t& 279 261 649 519 . 259 475 e/1,200 2 / s/550 1,003 290 604 . l i s 2/ I S S 877 2,21(3 2 , 0 9h 1,917 1,608 1,995 1,991 1,896 7,490 October November December 1st quarter ...2nd quarter" 3rd q u a r t e r 4th quarter Year 1,912 2,578 W 641 . 470 1,385 1,418 e/1,095 1,372 2,334 1,188 1,894 6,789 U 774 1,176 1,412 S I Excluding f i n a n c e companies 3 / .. 1st quarter . 2nd q u a r t e r . 3rd quarter 4th q u a r t e r Year 1,791 1,912 S/1,445 1,527 1,927 1,911 1,792 7,158 1,669 1,991 1,223 2,344 7,227 . e/ Estimated, " ' 1/ Includes 637.2 m i l l i o n d o l l a r AT&T convertible debenture i s s u e . 2 / Includes 602.5 m i l l i o n d o l l a r AT&T c o n v e r t i b l e debenture i s s u e . J / Total new c a p i t a l i s s u e s excluding o f f e r i n g s of s a l e s and p e r s o n a l f i n a n c e companies. Note (.—Details may not add t o t o t a l s due t o rounding. Exhibit E H.lii Large Public S e c u r i t y Issues f o r New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1 / Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (Millions of d o l l a r s ) Month Corporate 195k - October November December 1955 - January February March April May June : July August September October U33 0 121 1U1 63 750 173 1*83 175 101 1|05 328 805 S t a t e and l o c a l government 388 268 689 3U1 107 337 238 152 U03 278 65 23k 716 Other 2 / 30 , 35 15 Large I n d i v i d u a l I s s u e s Offered November 1 through I4. Type 3 / Coupon Amount r a t e or (millions Offering Maturity n e t i n t e r - y i e l d Rating of dollars) e s t cost CORPORATE None STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT - F l o r i d a S t a t e Board of Education S t a t e of C a l i f o r n i a T e r r i t o r y of Hawaii Port of New Orleans, La. Hamilton County, Ohio OTHER Rev. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. 10.6 60.0 7.5 10.0 5.6 1957-76 1957-81 1958-75 1960-90 1957-81 var. var. 2.14; 2.62 n.a. 1.90-2.82 1.50-2.30 1.80-2.50 2.00-2.70 1.50-2.10 A Aa A A Aaa None var. - various. n . a . - not a v a i l a b l e 1 / Includes corporate and other s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of 15 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s and o v e r j S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t y . o f f e r i n g s of 5 m i l l i o n and over. 2 / Includes f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Reconstruction and " Development i s s u e s . 3 / In the case of S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t i e s , G.O. denotes general o b l i g a t i o n ; Rev., revenue bonds. H.lit Exhibit F Forthcoming Large Public S e c u r i t y Offerings f o r New C a p i t a l (Other than U . S . Treasury) 1/ Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large I s s u e s Subsequent t o During month following date shown date shown S t a t e and S t a t e and other 2 / Other 2 / Corporate l o c a l govt. l o c a l govt. Date of computation Corporate 1951* - Octo 29 Nov. 30 Dec, 31 1955 - J a n , 31 Feb. 28 Mar. 31 Apr. 29 May 31 June 30 J u l y 29 Aug. 31 Sept. 30 Oct. 31 15 9k 18k 16 710 211 1*25 160 67 1*07 222 805 202 1*36 661 567 682 52k 208 116 3# 3 kk 100 18k 8k3 330 30 — — — 135 2k6 216 1*22 1,395 922 1,11*1. . 850 830 1,135 920 909 2*12 1,957 2,682 2,H*1* 1,961 30 35 1,978 2,009 1>917 1,861 1,8# 2,018 1,971 2,203 1,6# Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , a s of November 1+ Issuer Type Amount Approximate date (millions of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) CORPORATE United Gas . New England Telephone & Telegraph National-Tea Company Pacific lighting Michigan Consolidated Gas Commonwealth Edison Southern Co. •K-San Diego Gas and E l e c t r i c Co. /'.'.'heeling S t e e l Consolidated Edison Co. of New York New Jersey B e l l Telephone Radio Corporation of America Sheraton Corporation - 1st & coll. bds. Deb. . Conv. SF deb. P f d . stock 1 s t mtg. b d s . Common stock Common stock 1 s t mtg. b d s . Deb. 1st & r e f . bds. Deb. Conv. deb. Deb. 20.0 30.0 15.0 20.0 30.0 1*1.6 .26.1* 18.0 19.1 70.0 25.0 100.0 15.0 GoO. 9.0 10.0 6.5 November November November November November November November November November December December December 1956 9 15 15 15 16 16 22 29 30 6 11* STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT S t a t e of Oklahoma Dallas", Texas S t . Louis Bd» of Education, Hiss our i G.O. • G.O. November 9 November 10 November 15 H.llj. F-2 Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , as of November h (Cont'd) Issuer Type Amount Approximate date (millions of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT (Cont'd) Maryland S t a t e Roads Commission Commonwealth of Massachusetts Sonoma Co. Flood Control and ITater Conservation D i s t . , C a l i f . Georgia Rural Roads Authority *-Orlando, F l o r i d a -x-New York, New York Onondaga Co. water Authority, N. Y. Los Angeles, C a l i f o r n i a S t a t e of Colorado C a l i f o r n i a Toll.Bridge Authority Connecticut Expressway Inter-American Center Auth., F l a . Texas Turnpike Company Michigan Turnpike Authority. C a l i f o r n i a Toll Bridge A u t h o r i t y • Louisiana Turnpike Commission Oklahoma Turnpike Authority Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission Washington S t a t e T o l l Bridge Auth. Port of New York Authority Rev. G.O. G.O. Rev. G.O. Rev. n.a. n.a. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. n.a, 15.0 1#.8 " 5.7 1lu5 5.U 50.0 12.6 20.0 8.0 U6.0 100.0 25.0 137.0 186.0 235.0 100.0 I2i6 e 0 62 oO 227.0 16.0 November 15 November 16 November November November November December December December December 19# 1955 1955 , 1955-56 1955-56 1955-56 1955-56 1955-56 1956 1956 17 22 22 22 6 6 6 13 OTHER None n.a«—Not a v a i l a b l e . *—Included i n t a b l e f o r f i r s t t i m e . 1 / Includes corporate and other issue's of 15 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s and over; S t a t e and l o c a l government i s s u e s of 5 million and over. • 2 / Includes f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f a r Reconstruction and Development i s s u e s .