Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : November 3, 1954
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Not f o r Publication DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS H-ltt November 3, 195U CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS Heavy volume of s e c u r i t y i s s u e s l a s t week - Large S t a t e and l o c a l government i s s u e s with t o t a l proceeds of 221 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s were o f f e r e d during t h e week ending October 29. Large corpora t e s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s were 190 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s and included the Continental Oil debenture i s s u e of 100 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s . This week 3h m i l l i o n d o l l a r s of l a r g e S t a t e and l o c a l i s s u e s a r e scheduled f o r o f f e r i n g ; no l a r g e corporate; i s s u e s are l i s t e d . November outlook - The corporate new c a p i t a l estimate f o r November i s 300 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s , only o n e - t h i r d as l a r g e as l a s t month's volume and 30 per cent below t h e November t o t a l l a s t y e a r . Only one public i s s u e over 15 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s i s scheduled and t h a t only t e n t a t i v e l y . The schedule f o r l a t e r dates i s a l s o l i g h t . The volume of proceeds from forthcoming l a r g e i s s u e s expected during the r e mainder of t h i s year and through spring of 1955 i s only 155 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s , the s m a lle s t t o t a l since such t a b u l a t i o n s were begun i n Hay 1953• Several l a r g e r e f u n d i n g programs have been announced, but proceeds from t h e s e a r e not included i n t h e n # ; c a p i t a l e s t i m a t e . The November volume of S t a t e and l o c a l i s s u e s i s e s t i mated a t 600 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s , s l i g h t l y l e s s than the t o t a l l a s t month but almost half again as l a r g e as the volume a year ago. Almost t h r e e - f o u r t h s of t h e expected volume i s made up of l a r g e i s sues over 5 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s . Bond y i e l d s - Yields on outstanding U. S . Government longterm o b l i g a t i o n s rose one p o i n t l a s t week. Yields on corporate Aaa and on high-grade municipal bonds did not change. Corporate Baa y i e l d s decreased s l i ^ i t l y . Stock p r i c e s , - The SEC index of 265 common stocks dropped t o 193.9 during the week ending October 29. Daily indexes showed a f u r t h e r small decline on November 1 . - -2- -f Further d e t a i l s on c a p i t a l market developments a v a i l a b l e f r a n . e x h i b i t s - More d e t a i l e d information concerning r e c e n t c a p i t a l market developments w i l l be found i n the f o l l o w i n g e x h i b i t s which a r e attached h e r e t o : A - Bond Yields B - Stock Market C - Corporate and S t a t e and Local Government S e c u r i t y Offerings and Placements D - Large Public S e c u r i t y I s s u e s f o r New C a p i t a l (other than U . S . Treasury) E - Forthcoming Large Public S e c u r i t y O f f e r i n g s f o r New C a p i t a l (other than U . S . Treasury) . F - Yields.on New and Outstanding Public U t i l i t y Bonds, r a t e d Aa and A Business Finance and C a p i t a l Markets Section, Division of Research and S t a t i s t i c s , Board of Governors of t h e Federal Reserve System. . H-14 EXHIBIT A BOND YIELDS WEEKLY PER CENT PER A N N U M 4 CORPORATE Baa CORPORATE A a a U.S. G O V E R N M E N T LONG-TERM /V v " V / HIGH-GRADE MUNICIPAL STANDARD AND POOR'S CORP. I ' IIII IIIIII IIIIIIIII M J S J 1951 S M Date J S M Corporate 2/ J S Wa!A D 1954 1953 1952 D. 3. Govt, Spread between High- ; gr*de . long-term 2/ Corporate Aaa and U. 8. Govt. Iftm. 3/ (Per cent per annua) 1951 - High Low 1952 - High Low 1953 - High Low 1951* - High . Low October October October October October 1 8 15 22 29 3.03 2.65 3.03 2.91 3-1*2 2.99 3.09 2.85 2.89 2.88 2.88 2.87 2.87 3.63 3.16 3.63 3.1*8 3.89 3.50 3.71* 3.U5 3.1*8 3J*8 3.1*7 3.1*6 3.1*5 2.71* 2.38 2.79 2.56 3.15 2.71* 2.71* 2.1*1 2.51 2.51 2.52 2.53 2.51* .36 .25 .37 .19 .38 .19 .1*3 .33 < .38 .37 .36 .31* .33 • 2.26 1.59 2.1*3 2.00 3.H* 2.1*3 2.56 2.23 2.33 2.31* 2.32 2.30 2.30 Federal Reserve; weekly average of daily figures. Corporation; Wednesday figure. % Standard and Poor's Noto.—Higha and loro are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. VOLUME j- Bank loans stock Customers' to "others" Stock price volume £/ Common for purchases yields y index V V of secur(arini ens (per cent balances (191*7-1*9=100) of ities 5/ shares) per annum) (millions of dollars) (millions of dollars) _L 1951 - High Low 1952 - Hi# Low 1953 - Hi* Low 195b - High Low September October 15 October 22 October 29 158.6 12*0.3 165.3 151.7 167.1 IM.O 199.7 156.5 19lt.O 196.6 191* .0 196.9 153.9 '3 J* 1.1 2.0 0.9 S:l 1.t 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.1' 2.1 I 1*.1*6 1,297 1,219 1,328 1,211 1,665 1,3% 2,0ii8 1,653 2,018 3U0 260 295 ; 250 327 252 1*1*7 328 1*21 U39 1*31* 1*1*2 1*1*7 V SEC index of it>5 common stocks, weekly closing price, 1939-100: converted to" 191*7-59-100 by Federal Reserve. 2/ Weekly averages of daily trading volune cm New York Stock Exchange. 2/ Moody's 200 common stocks; end of month figures. y End of month figures for member firms of New lark Stock Exchange; excludes balances secured by U. S. Government securities. 5/ Wednesday figures for weekly reporting member banks in New York and Chicago; excludes loans for purchase of U. S. Government securities. Ch March.It, 1953, the last date on which figures for a l l reporting banks were available, New York and Chicago accounted for 2*5 per cent of such loans. In the past New York and Chicago loans have fluctuated more than total loans. n.a.—Not available. Note.—Highs and lore are for individual series and may be on different dates FRASER fer different series. Digitized for , H-rlU Exhibit C Corporate and S t a t e and Local Government S e c u r i t y O f f e r i n g s and Placements ( I n m i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) Corporate ~i9gir I 1953 ~Nevr c a p i t a l " 1952 January February March 544 139 660 623 623 #6 615 413 951 April May June 186 652 859 779 675 1,123 870 990 769 July August September s/725 483 #5 753 1,237 ¥ 291 390 October November December e/800 i/300 577 429 2 / 1,438 y 999 340 851 1,643 1,998 3/1,850 1,-912 2,578 ,1,561 2 / 2,444 ^ 8,495 ^ 1,979 1st quarter 2nd q u a r t e r 3rd q u a r t e r 4th quarter Year e/ioo e/725 l&Sil : $ y S t a t e and l o c a l 1953 "TOT "19^2" 357 300 5# 388 359 426 734 748 853 328 648 434 454 394 625 279 519 259 475 243 199 473 3/610 3/600 452 408 774 302 183 395 1,372 2,335 a/1,165 1,173 1,410 1,253 1,635 5,471 802 1,474 916 880 4,072 261 3/625 146 Excluding f i n a n c e companies y 1st quarter 2nd q u a r t e r 3rd q u a r t e r 4th quarter Year 1,562 1*931 e/l,7% 1,669 1,991 1,223 2,3Wt 7,227 1,961 2,521 1,877 2,091) 8,1(52 • ~y I n c l u d e s 490 m i l l i o n d o l l a r American Telephone and Telegraph debenture issue. 2 / I n c l u d e s 603 m i l l i o n d o l l a r AT&T debenture i s s u e . 3 / Totail new c a p i t a l i s s u e s excluding o f f e r i n g s of s a l e s and, p e r s o n a l f i n a n c e companies. 3/—Estimated N o t e . — D e t a i l s may n o t add t o t o t a l s due t o rounding. H-H| Exhibit D Large Public S e c u r i t y I s s u e s f o r New C a p i t a l (other than U. S . Treasury) 1/ Proceeds of Large' Issues Offered ( P i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) Month 1953 - October! November December 195k - January February March April • May June' July August September October Corporate • S t a t e and l o c a l government 216 96 963 289 103 160 169 32k 350 336 75 335 • 413 \ 323 2ft 571 l6h 213 378 557 557 603 ' 92 86 155 388, Other 2 / 51 19 50 119 50 —— — Large I n d i v i d u a l I s s u e s Offered during October Issuer Type 3 / Amount Coupon (millions O f f e r i n g Rating Maturity r a t e or of net i n t e r yield dollars) - e s t cost CORPORATE . Public Service Co. of Colorado 1 s t mtg.bds. 20.0 Indiana and Michigan E l e c t r i c Co. 1 s t mtg.bds. 16.5 Texas Power & Light Co. 1 s t mtg.bds. 15.0 New York Telephone Co. Ref .mtg.bds. liO.O N a t ' l . City Bank of H.Y. Common s t k . 131.3 Cortland Equipment Lessors, I n c . Deb. 75.0 C o n t i n e n t a l Oil Deb. 100.0 Southern Railway Coll. t r . notes 15.0 1982* 3 1/8 3.03 Aa 198k 198U 1989 3 1/8 3 1/8 3 3.OU 3.00 2.95 Aa Aa Aaa 1955-69 198L 196U 3-h 1/h 3 n.a. li.00-li.25 2.94 n.a. Baa Aa H-ll* D-2 Large I n d i v i d u a l Issues Offered during October (Cont'd) Issuer Type 1 / Coupon Amount Offering Rating (millions Maturity r a t e or yield net i n t e r of est cost dollars) STATE & LOCAL GOVERME NT Southeast Alabama Gas D i s t r i c t Rev. M i s s i s s i p p i River Bridge Authority, Louisiaria - Rev. Kansas C i t y , Missouri Rev. Cleveland, Ohio Rev. Cleveland, Ohio • Rev. S t a t e of Oklahoma Planning & Resources Bd. Rev. C-a. S tate T o l l Bridge Auth. Rev. Alexandria, V i r g i n i a Rev. Nevrark, New J e r s e y G.O. Milwaukee, Wisconsin G.O. Greater Baton Rouge Port Commission, La. G.R. Colorado Springs, Colo. Rev.. Lansing, Michigan G.O. Puerto. Rico ' G.O. S t a t e of Massachusetts G.O. P h i l a d e l p h i a , Pennsylvania G.O. F l o r i d a S t a t e Board of Education Rev. Chicago, I l l i n o i s G.O. Dept. of Highways, Va. Rev. Pueblo County, Colorado G.O. P i t t s b u r g h Parking* Autho r i t y , Pennsylvania Rev. 19.5 1989 It.50 U.50 65.0 12.0 5.0 6.0 199k 1961-81* 1959-78. 1959-83 3.59 2.1*5 2.13 2.51* 3.1*6 1.35-2.55 1.20-2.1*0 1.25-2.63 7.2 6.7 8.2 10.0 5.0 1981A 1981+ 1960-76 1955-71* 1955-71: 3.35 3.19 • 2.36 1.62 • 1* .31 3.30 1.90-3.20 0.90-2.55 0.70-1.85 Baa Aaa 12.5 10.0 6.0 10.0 59,8 25.8 1961-91* 1957-82 1957-76 1955-66 1955-89 1956-85 2.76 2.11* 1.69 2.16 1.91 2.38 1.50-2.85 1.00-2.35 0.85-1.90 0.80-2,27 0.65-2.35 0.90-2.90 Baa Aaa Aaa A Aaa A Var. 2.00 3.06 n.a. . 1.00-2.60 1.00-2.20 3.03 , 0.90-2.55 A A A n.a. 1.20-3.00 A 16.5 . 1956-75 12.5 1957-7U 79.3 199k 5*3 :1956-79 5.8 :1956-91* — • — Aa Aa A OTHER None o v e r j ~ S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of £ m i l l i o n and over . 2 / Includes f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Reconstruction and •Development i s s u e s . 3 / In the case of Sta te and l o c a l government s e c u r i t i e s , G.O. denotes general o b l i g a t i o n ; Rev., revenue bonds; G.R., general o b l i g a t i o n s a d d i t i o n a l l y secured by f a c i l i t i e s revenues; and, L . L . , l i m i t e d l i a b i l i t y o b l i g a t i o n s secured by pledge of designated revenues. n.a.—Not a v a i l a b l e . H—lit Exhibit E Forthcoming Large Public S e c u r i t y Offerings f o r New C a p i t a l (other than U. S . Treasury) 1/ Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large I s s u e s Subsequent t o date shewn During month following date shown Date of -computation Corporate | ^ g % ^ . | o t R e r 2 / - Oct. 30 Nov. 30 Dec. 31 - J a n . 29 Feb. 26 Mar. 3 1 Apr. 30 . May 28 June 30 J u l y 30 Aug. 31 S e p t . 30 Oct. 29 73 948 232 118 108 20k 323. 332 336 100 334 3k3 IS 283 ' #7' 179 lol 198 5 # . 525 596. 86 5k 300 383 436 0ther 2 Corporate ' 73 123 50 27 — 1,129 1,616 669 479 690 555 647 526 532 303 608 414 155 J 978 1,752 1,238 1,660 1,916 2,789 2,322 1,971 1,524 1,553 1,876 2,158 1,957 88 138 50 27 30 Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , as of October 29 . Issuer • Type Amount (millions Approximate d a t e of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) CORPORATE Kentucky U t i l i t i e s ^Virginia E l e c t r i c and Power Co. New England Telephone and Telegraph Laclede Gas Long I s l a n d . L i g h t i n g Kansas City Power and Light Public Service of Oklahoma New England Telephone and Telegraph 1 s t mtg. bonds Common stock Deb. . 1 s t mtg. bonds 1 s t mtg. bonds 1 s t mtg. bonds 1 s t mtg. bonds Common stock 15.0 18.0 30.0 —20.0 20.0 16.0 20.0 15.8 G.O. Rev. G.O. Rev. Rev. n.a. n.a. n.a. 6.5 6.0 21.6 146.0 20.5 5.0 230.0 16.9 Rev. 46.0 November December 8 December 14 December December 1954 January March STATE AND LOCAL GOVERIILZNT T e r r i t o r y of-Hawaii Abington Township, P a . , School D i s t . . New York City •Maryland S t a t e Roads Commission New J e r s e y Highway Authority * S t a t e of North Carolina Oklahoma Turnpike Authority D a l l a s , Texas J e f f e r s o n Parish and S t . Tammany a r i s h , Louisiana Digitized forPFRASER November November November November November November November • December 4 4 4 9 16 17 1 December 8 H-lii E-2 Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , as of October 29 (Cont'd) Issuer .Type Amount ( m i l l i o n s Approximat e d a t e of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT (Cont'd) Dade County Port Authority, F l a . Allegheny County, Pennsylvania S a n i t a r y Authority C a l i f o r n i a T o l l Bridge Authority Warren, Ohio Springfield, Illinois Davenport, I'owa New York Thruway Winter-American Center Auth., F l a . Michigan Turnpike Authority S t a t e of Louisiana iXTexas -Turnpike Authority New York S t a t e Power Authority Metropolitan Water D i s t . of So. Cal. Los Angeles School D i s t s . , Cal. Los Angeles Dept. of '.later & Power F l o r i d a S t a t e Turnpike Authority Jersey City Sewerage Auth., N. J . North Carolina Turnpike Authority ' ; Rev. Rev. Rev. n.a. n.a. n.a. Rev.... Rev. Rev. n.a. n.a. Rev. G.O. 21.0 • , Rev. Rev. Rev. n.a. 82.0 235.0 5.0 9.0 5.0 50.0 60.0 186.0 80.0 59.0 315.0 8-10.0 . 20.0 15-20.0 89.0 16.0 ;200.0 Bonds 30.0 - . - . - 19Sh 195U 19511 1954 19SU 1951l 19A Spring Spring Spring 1955 1955 1955 1955 1955 1955 1955 1955 " OTHER ^Kingdom of Belgium December 1/ Includes corporate and other i s s u e s of 15 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s and overj S t a t e and l o c a l government i s s u e s of 5 m i l l i o n and over. 2 / Includes f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f a r Reconstruction and Development i s s u e s . n.a.—Not a v a i l a b l e . *—Included i n t a b l e f o r f i r s t t i m e . Exhibit F Yields on How and Outstanding Public U t i l i t y Bonds, Rated Aa and A 1/ Aa-rated o f f e r i n g y i e l d s A-rated o f f e r i n g y i e l d s Amount above Amount above Actual Actual seasoned y i e l d s (per cent) (per cent) seasoned y i e l d s (basis points (basis points) Date 195>2 average 1953 average 1953 - January February March .April May . : June July August September ' October November December .14 3.37 12 3.kk 16 3.78 22 3.22 3.39 3 Mo 3.k8 3.79 None *3.68 None 11 19 17. 16 28 None None 3 .29 3.88 3.99 k.10 *k.oo None 3.92 3.26 3.42 3.51 29 7 2 10 3.3k *3.20 3.02 3.10 3.1k 3.1k *3.13 3.11 *3.10 2 -1 -10 ' -6 -1 -2 -1 -1 -3 29 3.3k *3.28 *3.30 6 7 5 July August • September 3.20 3.02 *2.93 2.99 3.00 *3.00 None None 3.02 6 0 0 5 k 1 October $ 6 6 3.03 3.0k 3.0k k k h 3.00 1 1 9 2 k - January February March Appil May . . 3.18 1 • 3 % 15 19 21 26 . 28 • 3.12 . 23 ki 37 39 30 . -1 . 3.12 . 3.10 0 -2 3.08 3.07 3.08 -3 -k -k ~ ' Survey. Except v;here i n d i c a t e d , the a c t u a l y i e l d f i g u r e and t h e amount above ' seasoned y i e l d s a r e averages of o f f e r i n g s during the i n d i c a t e d period and of t h e d i f f e r e n c e s between t h e s e new o f f e r i n g y i e l d s and y i e l d s on seasoned i s s u e s of s i m i l a r q u a l i t y f o r the same day. *—Single observation, not an average. '