Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : November 28, 1960
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-Not. for..,duplication PECOHTROTXim APTiB SIX MONTHS ; j » November 28, i960 'CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS IN THE UNITED STATES AND CANADA (Including Quarterly Review of S t a t e and Local Government Security Financing) P a r t I - United S t a t e s Last week the volume of new p u b l i c s e c u r i t y financing was r e l a t i v e l y small. Two l a r g e corporate bond issues with proceeds of $100 m i l l i o n were sold and one $25 m i l l i o n S t a t e and l o c a l government bond i s s u e was p u b l i c l y o f f e r e d . This week, ending December 2, one $50 million corporate o f f e r i n g i s t e n t a t i v e l y scheduled f o r s a l e and two S t a t e and l o c a l government bond i s s u e s with p a r value of $30 m i l l i o n a r e on the new o f f e r i n g c a l e n d a r . A $100 m i l l i o n FNMA i s s u e i s a l s o scheduled. Bond y i e l d s - Changes i n bond y i e l d s were mixed and minor l a s t week. Yields on corporate,and U. S. Government long-term bonds increased s l i g h t l y while y i e l d s on S t a t e and l o c a l government o b l i g a t i o n s were stable. S h o r t - and intermediate-term i n t e r e s t r a t e s - Yields on Treasury b i l l s declined l a s t week while y i e l d s on intermediate-term U. S. Government o b l i g a t i o n s r o s e . Rates on 90-179 day d i r e c t l y placed f i n a n c e company paper changed l i t t l e as most major f i n a n c e companies continued t o quote t h e r a t e s announced two weeks ago. Mortgage y i e l d s - In October, average y i e l d s i n t h e p r i v a t e secondary market on s e l e c t e d unseasoned 5 - 3 / k p e r cent JHA new-home mortgages declined s l i g h t l y f u r t h e r t o 6.09 p e r c e n t , 1$ b a s i s p o i n t s below t h e high in January. Although the comparatively wide spread between y i e l d s on HiA mortgages and on new i s s u e s of high-grade corporate bonds again narrowed somewhat as bond y i e l d s r o s e , i t was s t i l l t h e widest f o r any October,in the l a s t f i v e y e a r s . Sta te and Local Government Security O f f e r i n g s in the Third Quarter of i960 S t a t e and l o c a l governments s o l d $1.8 b i l l i o n of l o n g - t e r a bonds during the t h i r d q u a r t e r of i 9 6 0 , one-seventh more than a year e a r l i e r and only s l i g h t l y below t h e record t h i r d q u a r t e r volume i n 1958. For the f i r s t nine months t h i s y e a r , however, S t a t e and l o c a l government f i n a n c i n g t o t a l e d $6.1 b i l l i o n , s l i g h t l y below t h a t i n t h e coup a r a b l e period of 1959. - 2 - Long-term Security I s s u e s of State and Local Governments Third Quarter 1955-60 ( I n m i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) Issuing authority: State County and township Municipality School d i s t r i c t Special a u t h o r i t y Unidentified 1/ Total Purpose of i s s u e : ; New c a p i t a l t o t a l Schools 2 / Highways, bridges and tunnels R e s i d e n t i a l buildings H o s p i t a l s and i n s t i t u t i o n s Sewer and water Misc. public s e r v i c e e n t e r p r i s e s Veterans' a i d Other Unidentified 1 / I960 1959 1958 1957 1956 1955 259 122 602 294 567 460 lbB 484 269 235 436 126 704 338 293 256 119 563 393 245 119 87 295 294 194 77 125 296 210 230 199 1,8W 1,596 1,897 1,566 988 1,136 hM 1,548 1*860 1,544 971 1,124 472 262 153 20 176 42 152 273 580 237 194 35 260 96 120 339 574 272 37 20 287 47 75 232 406 105 9 5 170 91 2 184 — — 273 200 129 7 183 18 8 109 199 37 22 17 12 988 1,136 681 333 561 1*75 168 26 263 57 50 300 — Refunding — 4 48 Total 1,813 1,596 1,897 1,566 Fype of i s s u e : General o b l i g a t i o n Revenue 1,166 1,012 421 1,200 481 1,110 393 680 248 21 200 45 114 63 179 44 100 159 304 7 21 61 191 22 6 30 n.a. 50 136 1 161 2 215 64 61 122 1 1,843 ^ 1,596 1,896 1,566 988 1,136 Utility Quasi-utility Special t a x Rental \ P u b l i c Housing Authority Federal Government loans 3 / Total M 127 342 V n.a„—Not a v a i l a b l e . 1 / I s s u e s of l e s s than $500,000 not f u r t h e r c l a s s i f i e d i n 1955= 2 j Data f o r 1955 probably u n d e r s t a t e school i s s u e s by about o n e - f o u r t h because of u n c l a s s i f i e d small i s s u e s . 3 / ^Coverage f o r 1957-60 i s broader than f o r e a r l i e r y e a r s . / 2 j / Less than $500,000. Note.—Details may not add to t o t a l s because of rounding. Source.—1955, Bond Buyer and Federal Reserve; 1956-60, Investment Bankers Association of America. Data f o r 1955 not s t r i c t l y comparable with data f o r l a t e r y e a r s . Purpose of issue - Nearly a l l bonds sold during the t h i r d quarter were f o r the purpose of r a i s i n g new c a p i t a l , as the volume of refunding issues continued to be almost n e g l i g i b l e . Bonds t o finance a l l major purposes of expenditures with the exception of v e t e r a n s ' aid were sold in l a r g e r volume t h i s y e a r than l a s t . I t should be noted, however, t h a t in August 19^9 Pennsylvania sold a $120 million bond issue t o provide funds f o r v e t e r a n s ' a i d . New financing f o r highways, bridges and tunnels ranked second in importance, t o t a l i n g $475 m i l l i o n , f o u r - f i f t h s l a r g e r than a year e a r l i e r . Most of the increased volume t h i s year was accounted f o r by the $181 million Chesapeake Bay Bridge and Tunnel Commission revenue bond issue which was sold through negotiation in Augustj i t had been t e n t a t i v e l y scheduled f o r sale several times since 1958, Type of i s s u e r - Municipalities, special a u t h o r i t i e s and school d i s t r i c t s were major groups of i s s u e r s s e l l i n g more bonds t h i s t h i r d quarter than a year e a r l i e r , while S t a t e s , counties and townships sold a smaller volume. Nearly half of increased financing by special a u t h o r i t i e s t h i s year i s accounted f o r by the Chesapeake Bay issue and most of the decline in financing by States i s a t t r i b u t a b l e to the l a r g e t o t a l l a s t year r e f l e c t i n g the sale of the Pennsylvania issue. This year, i s s u e s by municipalities and special a u t h o r i t i e s , each t o t a l i n g about $600 m i l l i o n , accounted f o r more than 60 per cent of the t o t a l . Municipalities have been the most important group of i s s u e r s in each t h i r d quarter since 1957. Type of issue - All types of bond financing were in l a r g e r volume than in the t h i r d q u a r t e r 1959 except Federal Government loans made t o State and l o c a l governments, which were about one-sixth smaller* General obligation financing, continuing t o be the most important type of issue, was n e a r l y one-sixth l a r g e r i n volume than i n the t h i r d quarter of 1959. Revenue bond f i n a n c i n g t o t a l i n g nearly $500 million was a l s o one-sixth l a r g e r t h i s year. This i s the f i r s t time t h i s year t h a t financing through revenue bond issues has been l a r g e r than in 1959= The decline in revenue bond financing in the f i r s t half t h i s year from t h a t of 1959 was largely accounted f o r by the smaller volume of very large issues ($100 million and over). For the f i r s t nine months t h i s year s a l e s of revenue bonds were nearly o n e - f i f t h smaller in volume while s a l e s of general obligations were s l i g h t l y l a r g e r . Sales of public housing a u t h o r i t y bonds and Federal Government loans w ere also made in l a r g e r volume during the recent three quarters. Table 2 . Proceeds from Selected Types.of Issuers (In millions of d o l l a r s ) Revenue General bonds obligations I960 | 1959 I960 1 1959 1st 2nd 3rd 1st Qtr. Qtr. Qtr. 9 months 1,263 1,296 1,166 3,745 1,2 41 1,410 1,012 3,662 480 776 491 1,747 772 949 421 2,142 -hStock p r i c e s - Common stock p r i c e s , a s measured by Standard and P o o r ' s index of 500 common s t o c k s , increased s l i g h t l y l a s t week, closing on Friday a t 56.13. Trading volume increased t o average 3.2 m i l l i o n shares a day. More d e t a i l e d information concerning recent c a p i t a l market developments i s presented i n t h e a t t a c h e d e x h i b i t s . Developments i n the Canadian c a p i t a l markets are presented i n P a r t I I a t the end of t h i s r e p o r t . Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and S t a t i s t i c s , Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. -EX-Hle,T A - L O N G - T E R M B O N D YIELBS HIGH-GRADE \ . *\l ( MU . S . GOVERNMENT long-lerm -7- E x h i b i t B - Tables f o r E x h i b i t A Long-term Bond Y i e l d s High-grade H.IU Datfe, U. S. Govt. long-term 2/ Corporate Aaa 1/ Spread between U. S. Govt, and S t a t e and Corporate Aaa l o c a l Aaa S t a t e and l o c a l govt. Aaa y (Per cent) 2.15 % (8/6) 3 . 7 6 (10/18) 1.90 (9/2) L 6 l (12/31) U.09 ( 1 / 9 ) it. 37 (12/31) 3.83 ( 1 / 2 ) m 3.06 (3/26) .16 I960 - High Low it. 61 (1/29) ii. 23 ( 9 / 9 ) ii.ii2 (1/8) 3.75 (8/5) 3.53 (1/7) 2.99 ( 9 / 1 ) .59 .19 .92 .53 Oct. Nov. Nov. Nov. Nov. ii. 30 ii.30 11.29 11.30 ii.32 3.90 3.90 3.91 3.92 3.9k s3.12 .iiO .iiO .38 .38 .38 .80 .82 195k 1957 1958 1959 - Low - High - Low -High Low 28 ii 11 18 25 2 / 2.85 (lt/23) 3.07 (V25)x i.92 ,22 .50 - 3.12 .53 i Lower-grade Corporate Baa 1 / Date S t a t e and local govt. Baa y Spread between Aaa and Baa S t a t e and Corporate l o c a l RovtV (Per cent) 19Sh 1957 1958 1959 Low High Low High Low 1960 - High Low Oct. Nov. Nov. Nov. Nov. - 28 ii 11 18 25 2/ 3.l|ll (12/31) IS !>%T 2.93 ( 8 / 5 ) 5 . 3 6 (2/12) ii.98 ( 9 / 9 ) fcSifS 3.92 (3/26) ii.ii6 (1/7) ii.05 ( 9 / 1 ) 5.13 5.10 5.08 5.07 5.08 ii.13 ii.ll ii.ll ii.07 ii.07 a w 1.I? .77 1:: i56 .8ii .71 '.98 .79 1.08 .92 .83 .80 .79 .77 .76 .96 .95 .95 .95 .95 f / Meekly ef dally figure•. Averse tore of bgnds Included 1# 25-26 years. If Weekly average of dully figures. The serlee Includes beads due or eallable In 10 years or more. 3/ Tbureday figures. Only general obligation bonds are lneludedt average tern Is 20 years. Vote.—Hlghe and lews are for Individual series and mey be on different dates for different series. SHORT- AND INTERMEDIATE- TERM INTEREST RATES GOVERNMENT 3 - S YEAR ISSUES YIEtDS/V F. R. DISCOUNT RATE HEW YORK 3 - MONTH I I U S MARKET YIELDS STOCK PRIVATE EXCHANGE m -LOANS Going Rale PRIME RATE FINANCE COMPANY PAPER Directly Placed r j , -9Exhibit D - Tables f o r Exhibit C Short- and Intermediate-term I n t e r e s t Rates Government Date .957 -958 1959 t 1960 j Low High Low High Low High Low . 3ct. 28 •:0V. li i'ov. 11 T ov. 18 Nov. 25 e / Discount rate 1/ 1.50 3-month b i l l s 2/ 3.00 .61 3.61i .58 L57 2.63 L59 2.11 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 2.11 2.20 2.10 2.^6 2.38 Ifs 14.00 2.50 Loo Yields 6-month b i l l s 2/ (per cent) (6/11) (10A8) (5/29) (12/24) (2/20) (1/8) (10/28) 3.02 lt.91 2.92 5.07 2.39 (12/26) (12/31) (1/2) (1/8) (8/5) 2.53 2.50 2.59 2.75 2.71 3-5 year issues 2 / 1.66 LOl* 2.1U 5.00 3.70 4.97 3.17 (V30) (10/18) (6/6) (12/2U) (1/2) (1/8) (9/23) 3.57 i-z 3.69 3.72 Spread between y i e l d s on 3-month b i l l s and y i e l d s on 6-mo. b i l l s 13-5 y r . issues ' .66 .86 .01* .26 .79 .19 .58 1.12 .12 .30 .19 .29 .33 1.2*6 1.39 1.23 1.23 .ItO 1.81 .38 .16 1.01 Private Date Stock Exchange c a l l loan 1 / Spread between 3-month Prime Finance company Treasury b i l l y i e l d and rate 1/ paper y finance company paper rates (per cent) 1951 19# 1958 1959 - Low High Low High Low I960 - High Low 3.00 L5o 3.50 5.oo Loo 5.50 L5o 3.00 1.50 3.50 5.00 Loo 5.oo L5o 1.25 3.88 1.13 1.88 3.00 5.13 2.88 Oot. Nov. Nov. Nov. Nov. 28 It 11 18 25 2 / a. 50 It. 50 It. 50 L50 it. 50 L50 It.50 It. 50 it. 5o L50 2.98 2.88 2.88 2.93 2.9lt 1/ (12/31) (11/15) (8/6) (12/31) (3/6) (1/22) (11/U) 0 .59 -.35 .86 .13 1.02 .22 (12/10) (7/19) (8/29) (10/9) (12/lt) (3/25) (it/15) .87 .68 • 2t8 .lt7 .56 Weekly rate shown I s that In e f f e c t at end of period. Discount rata U for Pederal Reserve Dank of Hew York. Stook axohans* c e l l loan rate l a going rate.on c a l l loans secured ty eustoaers' stook exchange collateral at New York City banks. Prime rate I s that charged ty large banks on short-term loans to business borrowers of the highest credit standing. 2/ Market yield; weekly avern^ee cowptV.ed fro* dally closing b l i prices. Series of 3-6 year issues unnclstit of eeleoled notes and bowl-i. If Average of dally rates pul.ll.h.d fcy f l m n u . soapanle* for directly placed paper for varying l a t u r l t l e e In the VO-179 dhy ruivt*. , Note.—Illnhs and Ions are for Individual eerlss.qnd may be on different datee for <ti fferent s e r i e s . For spread#, nl«« refers to widest, and low ta narrowest'.' . STOCK MARKET MORTGAGE AND BOND YIELDS v> Exhibit F „ Tables f o r ExhibiL E Stock Market Date Stock price index 1 / 1957-59 - High Low i960 - High Low 60.51 39.78 59.50 53.32 September October Nov. 11 Nov. 18 Nov. 25 2/ 51.81 53.73 55.87 ' .55.82 56.13 Common Trading stock volume y yields 2 / (millions (per cent) of shares) (7/31/59) (12/27/57) (1/8) (10/21) Stock market customer c r e d i t Customers1 Bank Total debit b a l - loans to ances k/ "others" 5 / (Mil]Lions of do]J a r s ) 3.07 4.66 3.18 3.62 4.3 1.4 3.9 2.2 It,76k 3,5Sli It,365 It,132 3,401 2,482 3,198 3,004 1,373 1,060 1,167 1,111 3.51 3.59 •3.U8 3.48 3.17 2.9 2.6 3.4 2.8 3.2 It,282 lt,29lt n.a. n.a. n.a. 3,137 3,133 n.a. n.a. ma. 1,145 1,161 1,152 1,150 n.a. n.a.—Not a v a i l a b l e . g / Preliminary. 1 / Standard and Poor's composite Index of 500. common stocks, weekly closing prices, 1941-43*10. Monthly data are averages of dally figures rattier than of Fridays' only. Highs and lows are for Fridays' data only. 2/ Standard and Poor's composite stock y i e l d based on Wednesday data converted t o weekly closing prices by Federal Reserve. Yields shown are f o r dates on which price Index reached I t s high or low. 3/ Averages of dally trading volume on the New York Stock Exoluinge. 4 / End of month f i g u r e s f o r member firms of the New York Stock Exchange which carry margin accounts, excludes balances secured by U. S. Government obligations. 5 / Wednesday figures for weekly reporting member banks. Excludes loans for purchasing or carrying U. S. Government s e c u r i t i e s « Prior to July 1, 1959, such loans are excluded only a t banks in New York and Chicago. Weekly reporting banks account f o r about 70 per cent of loans t o others, For f u r t h e r d e t a i l sea Bulletin. Mortgage and Bond Yields 1 / Date FHA mortgages 2/ • 1953-1958 - High Low 1959-1960 - High Low 5.63 4.56 6.24 5.57 i960 - June July August September October 6.19 6.17 6.13 6.11 6.09 (11/57) (2/55) (1/60) (3/59) Spread between new Aaa corporate corporate bonds and bonds 1/ New"3/ Seasoned I4/IFHA mortpanesl Seasoned bonds 4.81 2.74 5.29 4.29 4.69 4.49 4.37 4.45 4.60 (6/57) (3/54) (9/59) (2/59) 4.12 2.84 4.61 4.12 1.96 4.45 4.41 4.28 4.25 4.30 1.50 1.68 1.76 1.66 1.49 .83 •90 -.12 .77 .08 .2k .08 .09 .20 .30 Exhibit G Long-term Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of d o l l a r s ) I960 January February March April May June July August September October November December 1st 2nd 3rd 4th quarter quarter quarter quarter 1 s t half Three quarters Year Corporate 1 / 1 1 1959 New c a p i t a l 1958 I960 577 715 860 821 738 646 7 28 857., 1,5532/ =1 766 567 1,031; 894 785 887 1,140 597 887 1,030 s 727 962 738 535 740 703 1,107 540 1,114 571 599 &/670 e/1,000 e/825 879 864 900 862 518 920 5® 2,151 2,367 2,427 2,204 2,567 3,139 2,623 2,760 2,300 1,936 2,311 g/1,840 4,519 6,945 4,771 6,750 9,392 i'J8 10,823 4,247 2/6,087 S t a t e and l o c a l 2/ 1 1958 1 1959 812 63? 858 646 E 932 593 1,006 798 895 551 § 806 403 651 I 456 474 435 2.1U3 2,276 2,244 1,860 1,365 4,674 6,222 7,793 4,520 tfS 1,571 Excluding finance companies 4 / 1st 2nd 3rd hth quarter quarter quarter quarter 1,722 2,150 1,977 Year 1/ 2/ 3/ 4/ ,1,999 2,412 1,716 2,503 2,899 2,586 2,731 2,213 8,630 10,429 S e c u r i t i e s and Exchange Commission estimates of n e t proceeds. Investment Bankers Association of America estimates of p r i n c i p a l amounts. Includes $718.3 million AT&T convertible debenture i s s u e . T o t a l new c a p i t a l issues excluding o f f e r i n g s of s a l e s and consumer finance companies. -13H.ll* Exi l i b i t h Other Security Offerings 1 / (In millions of d o l l a r s ) Long-tern Foreign government 2/ Federal agency 3/ I960 1959 1 1958 I960 I 1 1959 JanuaryFebruary March 2 175 70 81 60 2 196 53 April May June 3k 72 ho 58 1*2 139 198 120 JulyAugust September 25 1 36 85 1 35. 9 5 17 33 30 70 58 123 7h October November December Year ?° Shi 182 150 150 — 11*8 35ii 199 % 233 1*60 273 % 297 s21*5 357 351* 261* July August September 280 505 _19? 21*6 1*67 399 289 1*23 369 ' October November December g/lho 235 31*3 358 1 April May June Year. li,179 3,910 — . 523 — — ~"T • — 161* 98 150 — — 66 992 190 128 295 268 175 - 220 707 Short-term State and local government h/ January February March 199 1958 1,163 251 •S 1 312 ' 1*68 296 — 2,321 Federal agency 3/ 359 500 1*89 371 208 11*1* 1*86 675 289 209 161 329 727 % 1*37 206 330 In 288 1,51* 111* 137 6,01*7 3,096 J>/ Preliminary.. 1/ Data presented In t h i s exhibit d i f f e r frora these i n Exhibit E i n t h a t refunding i s s u e s , an well as-new c a p i t a l I s s u e s , a r e included. Long-term s e c u r i t i e s a n defined a s those ntttuHng In more thar. one y e a r . 2( Inoludos s e c u r i t i e s o f f e r e d i n the United S t a t e s by foreign govermonts and t h e i r cj'odlvisions and by l n ' . e r n n t l o m l org anisations. Source: S e c u r i t i e s ami Exohmnge Commissi ort. 3/ Issues not gunrent*ad by the U. S. Govtrnner.!.. Sourcei long-term, S e c u r i t i e s and Btchtrngt Corcnlniloni ehort-term, Federal Reserve. 4 / P r i n c i p a l l y tax and bond a n t i c i p a t i o n notus, warrants or c e r t i f i c a t e s ar.d Public Housing Authority not«*. I n some instances PHA r o t e s Included may teve a somewhat longer tone than one y e a r . Sourcei Bond Buyer. Exhibit I Large Long-term Public Security Issues f o r New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (Millions of d o l l a r s ) Corporate Month 1959 - October November December I960 - January February March April May June July August September October S t a t e and l o c a l government liOO 1*21 230 279 262 38U 309 139 Wt2 303 581 266 566 29k 163 217 388 283 225 370 23li 561 191 298 367 1*6 Other 2 / 20 70 100 320 191 71 28 30 75 25 77 Large I n d i v i d u a l I s s u e s Offered November 1 through 25 Issuer •type 2 / Coupon Amount Offering Rating (millions Maturity r a t e or net inter- yield of dollars) e s t cost CORPORATE United Gas Corp. United Gas Corp. P a c i f i c Gas & Elec. Co. Commercial Credit Co. •New Jersey Bell T e l . Co. Northern Natural Gas Co. Idaho Power Co. . John Deere Credit Corp. Wise. Elec. Power Co. B. F. Goodrich Co. Consolidated Edison Co. of New York United A i r l i n e s 1st mtg. c o l l . t r . bds. S.F. deb. 1st ref.mtg.bds. Sen. notes Deb. S.F. deb. 1 s t mtg. bds. Deb. 1st mtg. bds. Deb. 30.0 1980 30.0 1980 60.0 1992 50.0 1980 20.0 2000 20.0 1980 15.0 1990 50.0 1985 30.0 1990 60.0 1985 1 s t r e f . m t g . b d s . 75.0 Conv.sub.deb. 25.0 1990 1985 A Baa Aa 5 5-1/8 U—5/8 -U-3/U li-7/8 U—7/8 lt-7/8 -k-7/8 5 . 4-5/8 lt.88 5.05 L63 It. 83 It. 72 It. 85 It. 78 1.95 It. 85 It. 63 Aaa A • Aa 5 li-7/8 It.67 It. 88 Aa Ba —— Aa Aa 1-2 -15" Large I n d i v i d u a l I s s u e s Offered November 1 through 25 (Cont'd) Issuer Type 3 / Amount Coupon (millions r a t e or O f f e r i n g Rating Maturity of net i n t e r - y i e l d dollars) e s t cost STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Rev.-S.T. Cook County, I l l i n o i s Trenton, New Jersey G.O. State of M i s s i s s i p p i G.O. Rev.-Ut. Port of Los Angeles, Cal. S t a t e of Massachusetts G.O. P h i l a d e l p h i a , Pa. G.O. Port of New York Authority Rev.-Ut. 25.0 10.9 12.0 lli.O 3lu8 35.1 25.0 1961-75 1961-85 1961-80 1963-85 1961-2009 1962-91 1989 3.16 3.05 3.3k 3.82 3.15 3.1*7 3.81 1.70-3.35 1,60-3.25 I.6O-3.I4O 2.30-3.90 1.60-3.55 1.85-3.65 3.75 A Aa Aa A Aa A A- k.hO Aaa OTHER Tennessee Valley Auth. 2/ 3/ Bds. 50.0 1985 it. a and l o c a l government security o f f e r i n g s of $10 m i l l i o n and over. Includes f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Reconstruction and Development i s s u e s and non-guaranteed i s s u e s by Federal a g e n c i e s . = In t h e case of State and l o c a l government s e c u r i t i e s , G.O. denotes general o b l i g a t i o n s ; Rev.-Ut., revenue o b l i g a t i o n s secured only by income from public u t i l i t i e s ; Rev.-Q.Ut., revenue bonds secured only by revenue from q u a s i - u t i l i t i e s Rev.-S.T., revenue bonds secured by revenue from specific^ t a x e s only; Rev.-Rent., revenue bonds secured s o l e l y by l e a s e payments. Exhlbit J -16- Forthcoming Large Long-term Public Security Offerings f o r New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1 / Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues — During month following date shown Other 2/ i s Date of computation 1959 - Oct. 30 Nov. 30 Dec. 31 i960 - Jan. 29 Feb. 29 Mar. 31 Apr. 29 May 31 June 30 July 29 Aug. 31 Sept. 30 Oct. 31 385 226 210 207 301 299 202 1*83 237 596 216 576 .1*1*0 115 295 1*1*5 210 255 250 2JU3 277 180 275 283 212 258 Subsequent t o date shown C.oiporate State and Other 2/ l o c a l govt. 70 30 1*5 35 30 30 77 50 509 271 280 252 372 3 lib 357 553 1*55 1,006 731 836 585 336 1*85 515 310 385 280 258 502 380 321* 283 336 391 70 30 1*5 35 60 30 127 50 Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , as of November 25 Type Amount Approximate date (millions of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) CORPORATE B e n e f i c i a l Finance Coip. Southern Bell Telephone & Telegraph Northern S t a t e s Power Co. Potomac E l e c t r i c Power Co, Consumers Power Co. Commerce Oil Refining Corp. Liberian Iron Ore, Ltd. ^Public Service E l e c t r i c & Gas Co. Deb. Deb. 1st mtg. b d s . 1st mtg. bds. 1st mtg. bds. Deb., bds. Bds. & s t k . Pfd. s t k . 50.0 75.0 . 35.0 1*0.0 35.0 1*5.0 . 30.0 25.0 Rev.-S.T. Rev.-Ut. G.O. G.O. Rev.-S.T. G.O. Rev.-Ut. 15.0 11*. 5 12.5 10.0 12.5 12.0 97.6 25.0 Nov. Nov. Dec. Dec. Dec. Dec. Dec. Dec. Rev.-Ut. 55.0 December Nov. 30 Dec. 6 Dec. 7 Dec. 8 Dec. 13 Indefinite Indefinite Indefinite STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Alabama Highway Authority Florida Development Comm. -estate' of Texas San Diego Sch. D i s t . , C a l i f . Maryland State Roads Comm. *-Bade County, Florida (-Public Housing Authorit i e s S t a t e of Michigan Oklahoma City Metro. Improvement Oklahoma Digitized forAuth., FRASER 29 30 5 6 7 11* 11* 11* J-2 -17- Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , as of November 25 (Cont'd) Type Amount Approximate date (millions of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) Rev.-Ut. G.O. Rev. G.O. Rev. O OxVx o ooooo STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT (Cont'd) Los Angeles Dept. of Wtr. and Pwr., California Orleans P a r i s h School D i s t . , La. Kentucky Turnpike Authority Dade County, Florida New York State Housing Fin. Agency Indefinite Indefinite Indefinite Indefinite Indefinite OTHER Federal National Mortgage Association Bds. 100.0 Nov. 30 *—Included i n t a b l e f o r f i r s t time. 1 / Includes corporate and other i s s u e s of £L5 m i l l i o n and over; State and l o c a l government issues of $10 m i l l i o n and over. 2 / Includes f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Reconstruction and Development i s s u e s and non-guaranteed i s s u e s by Federal a g e n c i e s . Note.—Deletions f o r reasons other than sale of i s s u e : None. -I6r- Exhibit K Yields on New and Outstanding E l e c t r i c Power Bonds/ Rated Aa and A 1/ Date 1952-1959 - High Low 1959 - July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1960 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May 10 12 25 June 17 28 29 July 8 13 Sept. 15 23 28 Oct. 5 21 Nov. 4 16 17 18 Aa-rated o f f e r i n g y i e l d s A-rated o f f e r i n g y i e l d s Amount above Amount above Actual Actual (per cent) seasoned y i e l d s ( p e r cent) seasoned y i e l d s ( b a s i s points) ( b a s i s points) 5.30 (12/8/59) 2.93 (3/3I/5I*) 87 -3 *4.93 4.83 31 23 5.132/ *5.08 *5.30 36 42 63 5.09 4.82 4.91 4.88 45 25 37 32 4.82 4.84 25 27 tJk 27 17 2b 5.65 (9/18/59) 3.00 (3/17/51) 123 -15 5.07 17 *5.65 5.33 60 43 51 28 4.97 5.14 9 35 5.10 5.20 4.95 26 33 11 1.93 4.88 b. 80 11 8 2b 4.88 26 5.05 43 22 4. 78 4.85 33 10 *—Single observation, not an average. 1 / Covers only 30-year f i r s t mortgage bonds, as reported i n Moody's Bond Survey. Except where i n d i c a t e d , the a c t u a l y i e l d f i g u r e and t h e amount above seasoned y i e l d s a r e averages of o f f e r i n g s during the i n d i c a t e d period and of the d i f f e r ences between these new- o f f e r i n g y i e l d s and y i e l d s on seasoned issues of s i m i l a r q u a l i t y f o r the same day. Average maturity f o r the seasoned i s s u e s v a r i e s from 26 t o 28 y e a r s . 2 / Provides f o r a 5-year period during which Issue may not be c a l l e d f o r refunding aFRASER t a lower coupon r a t e . Monthly averages so marked include one or more i s s u e s Digitized for with such a p r o v i s i o n . Other i s s u e s have no such p r o v i s i o n . -19November 28, i960 P a r t I I =• Canada Canadian i n t e r e s t r a t e s , both s h o r t - t e r m and longer-term, rose f u r t h e r l a s t week f o r t h e n i n t h consequetive week. The Canadian s h o r t b i l l r a t e , which has r i s e n by 2.09 per cent since September 22, exceeded t h e U.S. b i l l y i e l d by I . 3 8 p e r cent l a s t week, the l a r g e s t spread i n about two y e a r s . The net i n c e n t i v e t o hold t h e Canadian b i l l on a covered b a s i s widened t o almost 0.90 per cent per annum. The Government announced plans f o r f i n a n c i n g the $609 m i l l i o n of 3 per cent bonds maturing December i 9 6 0 , as w e l l as some advance p a r t i a l f i n a n c i n g of t h e 3 per cent bonds which w i l l mature one year hence. The Canadian d o l l a r rose s l i g h t l y l a s t week while the discount on t h e forward d o l l a r widened. There was l i t t l e change i n i n d u s t r a i l stock p r i c e s on the Canadian exchanges. Money market. The average y i e l d on the Canadian 3-nonth Treasury b i l l r o s e from 3.1*8 per cent t h e week b e f o r e t o 3*77 per cent l a s t week. The y i e l d on t h e 6-months b i l l rose from 3.78 per c e n t t o 3.93 p e r c e n t . The chartered banks sold $30 m i l l i o n of b i l l s while the general p u b l i c purchased $29 m i l l i o n and t h e Bank of Canada purchased $1 m i l l i o n . The average closing r a t e on day-to-day loans was 3.1*8 per cent compared with 3ol9 per cent the week before There was a f u r t h e r widening of the spread favoring the Canadian b i l l over t h e U.S. b i l l t o I . 3 8 p e r c e n t , t h e l a r g e s t i n over a y e a r , as a r e s u l t of t h e sharp r i s e i n the Canadian y i e l d . There was a s l i g h t i n c r e a s e i n t h e discount on the forward Canadian d o l l a r t o 0.1*9 p e r c e n t per annum; however, t h e n e t i n c e n t i v e to hold the Canadian b i l l on a covered b a s i s rose t o 0.89 per cent compared with 0.77 p e r c e n t the week b e f o r e . Bond market. Bond y i e l d s rose l a s t week f o r a l l m a t u r i t i e s . The spread between s e l e c t e d comparable Canadian and United S t a t e s s e c u r i t i e s (Thursday y i e l d f o r b i l l s and Wednesday y i e l d f o r bonds) were as follows ( f i g u r e s i n p a r e n t h e s i s r e f e r to the previous week): 1.38 1.23 0.68 1.30 1.28 per per per per per cent cent cent cent cent on on on on on a 91-day b i l l (1.08) a 182-day b i l l (1.02) an 8-year bond (0.72) a 30-year bond (1.22) a 35-year bond (1.27) There was l i t t l e change i n bond holdings during the week. The general p u b l i c sold $5 m i l l i o n , t h e chartered banks sold $3 m i l l i o n , and the Bank of Canada sold $3 m i l l i o n while the Government accounts purchased $10 m i l l i o n . The general p u b l i c purchased another $271 m i l l i o n of the new Savings Bond i s s u e . Total s a l e s of t h e new s e r i e s reached $78$ m i l l i o n by November 22$ the purchases included $208 m i l l i o n through p a y r o l l d e d u c t i o n s . On F r i d a y , t h e Finance Minister announced t h a t the m a t u r i t y on December 1$ of $609 m i l l i o n of 3 per cent bonds would be met with only a $200 m i l l i o n new bond o f f e r i n g t o t h e p u b l i c . For the remainder, t h e Minister expects to draw down t h e Government's cash balances by $109 m i l l i o n , -20- r e t i r e $100 m i l l i o n now held by t h e Government's S e c u r i t i e s Investment Account, and refund $200 m i l l i o n d i r e c t l y with the Bank of Canada. The d e t a i l s of the $200 m i l l i o n public o f f e r i n g w i l l be announced today. The Minister a l s o announced t h a t s t e p s would be taken t o reduce the $1,021 b i l l i o n of 3 per cent bonds maturing on Decmeber 1 , 1961. Some $200 m i l l i o n of the 1961 bonds held by the Bank of Canada w i l l be replaced by an equal amount of the new short-term i s s u e announced today. Retirement of $200 m i l l i o n of the 1961's w i l l reduce t h a t refunding t o more manageable proportions. Mr, Fleming a l s o s t a t e d t h a t the Government would probably r e q u i r e new money e a r l y i n 1961 t o r e b u i l d i t s b a l a n c e s . Several o f f e r i n g s of moderate s i z e a r e contemplated. He s t a t e d t h a t "more f r e q u e n t i s s u e s of smaller s i z e appeared to be p r e f e r a b l e t o much l a r g e r i s s u e s more widely spaced0" The P a c i f i c Gas Trasnmission Co. placed a $90 m i l l i o n i s s u e p r i v a t e l y with some 16 U.S. and Canadian f i n a n c i a l i n s t i t u t i o n s . The f i r s t mortgage bonds have a coupon of 5 - l A per cent and are due January 1, 1986. A two-part $1*0 m i l l i o n Quebec Hydro S e r i e s AA sinking fund debenture was issued l a s t week. The i s s u e c o n s i s t s of (1) $11*.5 m i l l i o n f i v e y e a r , 5 per cent, nonredeemable, a t 99-1/1* t o y i e l d 5.17 per c e n t ; (2) $25.5 m i l l i o n , 23-year, 5-1/2 per cent nonredeentable f o r 21 y e a r s , a t 99 t o y i e l d 5.58 per cen1 Foreign exchange. The Canadian d o l l a r rose during the week and closed a t 102.38 (U.S. cents) l a s t Friday compared with 102.02 (U.S. cents) the week b e f o r e . The 3-month forward discount on the Canadian d o l l a r increased from 0 . 3 1 per cent per annum t o 0,1*9 per cent per annum with the widening of the spread favoring the Canadian Treasury b i l l . Stock exchange. There was l i t t l e change i n the p r i c e of i n d u s t r i a l stock on the Canadian exchanges during the week ending November 21, New York Standard & Poor Toronto Montreal I960 - High Low 532.56 H72o38 271.1 250.3 60.51 55.98 November ll* 15 16 17 18 21 500.38 500.09 U99»59 1*98.1*1* 1*98.19 1*97.23 265.1* 265.1 261* .1* 261*. 8 265.2 265.6 59.06 59.31 59.17 58.99 59.29 59.38 The volume of s a l e s declined t o $7.1*11* m i l l i o n i n t h e week ended November 18, compared with $8.91*1* m i l l i o n the week b e f o r e . B r i t i s h Commonwealth Section Division of I n t e r n a t i o n a l Finance Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Selected Canadian Money Market and Related Data 3-mo,, Treas. bills Spread Canada J L u . s ^ / over U.S. Spot Canadian dollar 3-mo. discount (-} forward prendum(+)^A Net incentiVB tO hold Can. biUSZ __ 1959 - High Low i960 - High Low 6.16 3.25 5.H* 1.68 U.U9 2.80 U.63 2.10 2.96 0.30 1.38 -0.82, 105.51 102.58 105.27 102.16 — 0.99 -0.72 1.05 -0.57 Oct. 27 Nov. 3 10 17 2l* 3.03 3.22 3.21 3.1*8 3.77 2.10 2.21 2.as 2.1*0, 2.39I/ 0.93 .1.01 0.76 1.08 1.38 102.30 102.80 102.53 102.20 102.38 102.33 102.70 102.52 101.9k 102.25 0.12 -4.37 -0.06 -0.31 -0.U9 1.05 0.6U 0,70 0.77 0.89 a/ Average yield at weekly tender on Thursday. ])/ Composite market yield for the U.S. Treasury bill on Thursday close of business, c/ In U.S. cents. d/ Spread between spot rate and 3-month forward Canadian dollar on Thursday closing, expressed as per cent per annum. e/ Spread over U.S. Treasury bill (column 3), plus 3-month forward discount or premium (column 6), f / Due t o Thursday holiday s Friday closing y i e l d s used f o r U.S. Selected Government of Canada Security Yields 6-mo. Treas. bills Spread Canyla 1959 - High Low I960 - High Low 6.2k 5.11 5.33 1.99 @ct. 27 Nov, 3 10 17 21* 3.31* 3.51 3.1*7 3.78 3.93 J Long-term bonds (35 year; (20 year) Spread Spread Canada Intermediate bonds (8 yr.) Spread over OaayU 0.8.4/ 1.02 "0 086 5.27 l*.5o 5.55 U.09 1.11 0.21 0.8U 1.03 0.83 1.02 1.23 Uo55 1*062 1*.62 1*.6? U.70 0.76 0.81 0.76 0.72 0,68 \Sk . 5.30 i*.i*i* 5.1*2 u.63 1.22 0.85 5.0i> U.73 5.28 U.68 **•*• 1.61 0.95 u.92 1*.89 1*.99 5.09 5.20 loOU loOlt l.ll* 1.22 1,30 U.93 U.92 5.01 z , 5.05 5.09 1.16 1.17 lo2l* 1.27 1.28 Average yield at weekly tender on Ihursday. Spread between Canadian auction rate and composite market yield of U.S. on close of business Thursday# 0/ Government of Canada 2-3/U per cent of June 1967-68• "a/ Spread over U.S. Government 2-1/2 per cent of 1963-68• e/ Government of Canada 3-1/U per cent of .October; 1979# 7/ Spread over U.S. Government 3-1/U per cent of 1978-83. . «/ Government of Canada 3-3/lt per cent of Septentoer 1996 - March 1998. Jy Spread over U.S. Government of 199$, Canada: Changes in Distribution of Holdings of Canadian Government Direct and Guaranteed Securities (millions of Canadian dollars, par value) Bank of Canada Treas. Bonds bills Sept . 21 28 Oct. 6 13 20 27 •Nov. 3 10 17 2k + + + + 16 27 1 UU 27 k • 11 1 3 1 + + + - 0 2 5 1 k 6 5 1 10 3 Government Total + + + + + + + + 3 1 3 2 23 9 6 2 1 8 Chartered banks TP68S• Bonds bills + 52 + la + 2 - 20 - 20 - 16 + 8 + 6 - 28 - 30 + + + + + + + + + - 3 16 68 23 23 12 19 7 6 3 General public Savings Treas. bonds bills Bonds - 7 - 5 - 5 * 5 + 2 + 3 + 9 +199 +151 +271 + + + + + 37 lit 3 19 U 20 6 6 26 29 0 - 5 +165 - 27 - U2 - 2k - 17 - 7 - 17 - 5 Sources Bank of Canada, Weekly Financial statistics* Canadian Government Direct Debt Maturing in F i s c a l Year t o March 31, 1961 ~~ (millions of Canadian d o l l a r s ) Date of maturity Description Amount I960 April I * / June 1£/ October 3®/ November 1 December 15 December 15 June 10®/ June 10£/ Loans of 1958 & 59 Sixth Victory Loan Loan of 1959 Canada Savings Bonds 1950 Loans of 1957 & 1959 Loans of 1959 Total bonds 3-mo. Treas. b i l l s ^ / 6-mo. Treas. b i l l s B / 1-year Treas. b i l l s 253-day Treas. b i l l s Total b i l l s Total b i l l s and bonds Total d i r e c t debt outstanding, June 1, I960 329.0 U6.6 135.0 11.3 515.0 9U.0 1,130.9 1,375.0 510.0 200.0 UO.O 2,125.0 3,2Ulw9 15»80U a / Refinanced with 9-year; 5-1/2 per cent bonds and 3-year, 5-1/2 per cent bonds, priced t o y i e l d 5*82 and 5.59 per cent r e s p e c t i v e l y . See Capital Market Developments, March 21, i960. b / Paid off a t maturity. See Capital Market Developments, May 31, i960, c / Refinanced with $100 million of 1-year b i l l s and $11*0 million of 2-1/2 year, ii-l/2 per cent bonds, priced a t 99.65. See Capital Market Developments, May 31, i960. d / Total amount of 3-month and 6-month Treasury b i l l s outstanding was reduced by $li;5 million from March 1, i960 t o October 30, i960. e / Refinanced with $121 million of 5-1/2 per cent, 15-year bonds. Remaining $llt million r e p a i d .