Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : November 28, 1956
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Not for Publication DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MOUTHS H.lli November 28, 1956 CAPITAL MARKET.DEVELOPMENTS The volume of large publicly offered securities was quite small l a s t week and is expected to be even smaller this week. During the week ending November 23, two State and local government offerings totaling $28 million were floated. A local government offering for $6.1: million i s the only issue scheduled for sale this week. , No large corporate issues were sold last week or are scheduled for sale this week. . Bond yields - Bond yields increased sharply l a s t week for a l l categories of outstanding bonds, except that for U. S. Government (new series) obligations, which remained stable. Corporate yields increased four basis points, while the series customarily used here in reporting developments in State and local government bond yields (Moody's) increased thirteen basis points for the Aaarated bonds and those for the Baa's rose ten'points. It should be noted that other State and local government bond yield series did not increase as sharply as did the Moody's series. Stock prices - Stock prices, as measured by the SEC index of 265 common stocks, declined 3.0 points last week, closing at 269.9 on November 23. The volume of trading picked up, averaging 2.3 million shares a day. Daily figures through Wednesday of this week indicate a further decline in prices. More detailed information .concerning recent capital market developments i s presented in the attached exhibits. Business Finance and Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and S t a t i s t i c s , Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. H I G H - G R A D E BOND YIELDS Weekly CORPORATE Acta % \ M R / V I010 U. S. GOVERNMENT: STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT A a a U. S Corporate Aaa 1/ • Old series long-term '£/ New s e r i e s Spread between. S t a t e and U. S. Govt, l o c a l govt. (old s e r i e s ) and C o r p o r a t e l S t a t e and Aaa 3/ Aaa J l o c a l Aaa ( p e r cent) 1953 - High Low 195U - High 1955 - High Low 1956 - High Low . 3.h2 2.99 3.09 2.85 3.17 2.91 3.71 3.07 October 26 November 2 November 9 November 16 November 23 3.61 3.65 3.66 3.67 3.71 (6/19) (1/9) (V8) U/23) (12/23) (1/7) (11/23) (3/2) (6/6) n.a. (12/26) (1%) (8/7) 2.9b (8/5) 3 . 0 3 (8/5) 2.62 (1/7) 2.89 (6/10) 3.30 (11/23) 3.29 (11/23) 2.80 (2/17) 2.92 (2/3) 2.73 1.98 2.21 1.90 2.3k 2.05 V98 2.17 3.22 3.26 3.27 3.26 3.30 2.72 2.71 2.79 2.85 2.98 3.15 2.78 2.71 2.Ill; 3.27 3.29 3.29 3.29 3.29 (6/25) (1/8) (6/10) (9/2) (9/8) (5/26) (11/22) (2/23) .38 .19 .13 .32 .3h .81 .30 -.61 .29 .70 .13 . .68 .32 . .13 .39 .39 .39 .ia .ia .5k .50 .52 .1*8 .la .32 1 / Weekly average of d a i l y f i g u r e s . Average term of bonds included i s 25-26 years. ' 2/ Weekly averages of d a i l y f i g u r e s . The old s e r i e s includes f u l l y t a x a b l e , marketable 2 1/2 p e r cent bonds due or f i r s t c a l l a b l e a f t e r 12 y e a r s through September 1955, and t h o s e due or c a l l a b l e in 10-12 y e a r s t h e r e a f t e r ; the average term t o f i r s t c a l l of t h e bonds included declined from Ik years in e a r l y 1953 t o 11 1/2 y e a r s in e a r l y 1956. The new s e r i e s i s comprised of the 3 per cent bond of 1995 and t h e 3 l/U per cent bond of 1978-83. 3 / Thursday f i g u r e s . Only general o b l i g a t i o n bonds a r e included; average term i s 20 y e a r s . Note.—highs and lows a r e f o r i n d i v i d u a l s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t dates' for different series. LOWER - GRADE BOND YIELDS Weekly CORPORATE STATE AND LOCAL GOVT. Baa /l1 i Moody1. | | I I I STATE AND LOCAL GOVT. REVENUE M , j S 1956 Date Corporate Baa 1/ State and local govt. Baa 2/ D State and local govt, rev. 3/ (Per cent) 1953 - High Low 195k - High Low 1955 - High Low 1956 - High Low 3.89 3.50 3.7k 3.UU 3.63 3.1t5 It. 26 3.58 October 26 November 2 November 9 November 16 November 23 lt.l8 it. 20 It. 21 It. 22 L. 26 (9/18) (1/2) (1/8) (12/31) (12/30) (1/Ut) (11/23) (3/9) 3.79 2.96 3.32 2.93 3.26 3.02 It.09 3.20 3.77 3.82 3.89 3.99 It.09 (6/25) (1/8) (1/7) (8/5) (12/29) (1/6) (11/22) (3/8) 3.27 2.71 3.00 2.72 2.99 2.76 3.91 2.89 (6/26) (1/2) (1/1) (8/13) (12/30) (1/7) (11/23) (2/2U) 3.6U 3.71 3.80 3.87 3.91 included i s 25-26 years. 2/ Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average term i s 20 years. 2 / Friday figures. Average rating of bonds included is between Baa and A; average term i s 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. EXHIBIT C STOCK MARKET Stock p r i c e Trading Common volume 2 / (millions yields 3/ of s h a r e s ) ( p e r c e n t ) Stock m a r k e t c u s t i Dmer c r e d i t Bank Customers 1 debit b a l - loans to ances h / "others" 5 / Total ( M i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) 1955 - H i g h Low 1956 - High Low 167.1 ia.0 221.14 156.5 270.7 217.1* 295.5 257.U September October November 9 November 16 November 23 278.2 275.7 275.7 272.9 269.9 1953 - High 195U - High (1/2) (9/18) (12/31) (1/6) (12/30) (1/1it) (8/3) (1/20) 2.5 0.9 3.7 l.lt Ii.6 1.5 3.1 1.5 5.75 5.15 5.33 It. 20 It.22 3.78 It. 21* 3.86 2,ltlt5 2,055 3,1*36 2,lt05 It,030 3,537 it,0lt7 3,911t 1,665 1,311* 2,388 1,653 2,805 2,517 2,810 2,71*0 780 661t l,0lt8 7li6 l,2ltl 1,018 1,267 1,158 2.0 1.8 2.3 2.0 2.3 lt.2lt It.23 3,950 3,91It 2,782 2,71*8 n.a. n.a. n.a. 1,168 1,166 1,159 1,158 n.a. n.a.—Not available. 1 / SEC i n d e x of 26$ common s t o c k s , weekly c l o s i n g p r i c e s , 1939=100; c o n v e r t e d t o 1957-1*9=100 by F e d e r a l R e s e r v e . The c o n v e r s i o n f a c t o r i s 1 2 3 . 9 1 . 2 / A v e r a g e s of d a i l y t r a d i n g volume on t h e New York Stock Exchange. 3 / Moody's 200 common s t o c k s ; end of month f i g u r e s . It/ End of month f i g u r e s f o r member f i r m s of t h e New York Stock Exchange which c a r r y - m a r g i n a c c o u n t s ; e x c l u d e s b a l a n c e s s e c u r e d by U. S. Government o b l i g a t i o n s . 5 / Wednesday f i g u r e s f o r weekly r e p o r t i n g member b a n k s . E x c l u d e s l o a n s f o r p u r c h a s i n g o r c a r r y i n g U. S. Government s e c u r i t i e s a t banks in New York a n d C h i c a g o . Weekly r e p o r t i n g b a n k s a c c o u n t f o r a b o u t 72 p e r c e n t of l o a n s t o o t h e r s . N o t e . — H i g h s and lows a r e f o r i n d i v i d u a l s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t d a t e s for different series. H.IU Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of dollars) 1956 January February March ; Corporate i s r i New capital State and local 1 19ZT "1955" 1956 5U7 UoU 696 390 535 312 538 396 411 565 195U 579 704 790 535 407 1,223 April May June 816 1,144 830 478 886 687 497 656. 812 377 190 735 427 350 61+1 734 748 853 July August September 1,066 669 597 6Wi 670 909 335 747 376 199 . 333 470 249 4o6 279 261 649 919 658 408 594 423 877 1,385 1,418 2,803 1,124 3,927 1,984 5,911 1,372 2,334 3,706 1,188 4,894 1,894 6,789 October ' November December 1st quarter 2nd quarter 1st half 3rd quarter Three quarters Uth quarter . Year 1,162 632 900 2,073 2,790 4,863 2,571 7,434 2,165 2,052 4,217 1,911 6,128 2,695 8,821 1+26 635 1/ 1,003 290 6o4 1,608. 1,995 3,603 1,991 5,59k 1,896 7,1:90 i @ i 1,190 1,603 3,093 908 I** 001 Excluding finance companies 3/ 1st quarter 2nd quarter 3rd quarter 4th quarter Year 1,617 2,520 2,26) 1,727 1,870 1 ,li3U 2,554 7,569 1,527 1,927 1,911 1,792 7,158 e/ Estimated. 1 / Includes $637•2 million AT&T convertible debenture issue. 2/ Includes $571*5 million AT&T common stock issue. 3/ Total new capital issues excluding offerings of sales and consumer finance companies. Note.—Details may not add to t o t a l s due to rounding. H.lii Exhibit E Large Public Security Issues for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (Millions of dollars) Month Corporate 1955 - October November December 1956 - January February March April May June July August September October State and local government 805 221 263 95 212 278 395 623 185 592 217 558 386 716 liOl ' 227 192 1M 163 157 233 163 16U 35 - 18U 383 Other 2/ __ .25 50 50 20 — 37 - 35 i Large Individual Issues Offered November 1 through November 23 Issuer Type 3/ Coupon Amount (millions Maturity rate or Offering Rating net inter- yield of est cost dollars) CORPORATE Allied Stores Corp. S.F. deb. 15.0 American Tel. & Tel. Co. Common stk. 571.5 Northspan Uranium Mines, Ltd. Gen.mtg. bds. U5.o Public Service Electric and Gas Co. 1st & ref. mtg. bds. 5o.o Pacific Lighting Corp. Conv. pfd. 19.8 - 1976 h 3/k It-. 75. 1963 5 3A 5.93 1986 4 3/8 it. 30 A Aa STATE & LOCAL GOVERNMENT Los Angeles, Calif. Trenton, New Jersey San Antonio, Texas Chicago, 111. Elec. rev. • G.O. G.O. Water rev. 13.5 5.3 5.0 5.0 1957-86 1957-81 195.7-76 :1970-7U 3.36 2.99 3.57 3.73 2.25-3.35 2.10-3.00 2.1*0-3.60 z 3.50-3.65 / Aa Aa A A H.lU E-2 Large Individual Issues Offered November 1 through November 23 (Cont'd) Issuer Type 3/ Coupon Amount (millions Maturity rate or Offering Rating net inter- yield of est cost dollars) STATE & LOCAL GOVERNMENT (Cont'd) Newark, N. J. Chicago Board of Education, 111. Cleveland, Ohio -State of Oregon Houston, Texas .' < Hempstead School Dist r i c t No. 5, N. Y. Long Beach, Calif. Chelan Co. Public Utility D i s t . , Wash. G.O. G.O. Water rev. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev. 12.5 1957-76 3.59 2.50-3.55 A 10.0 7.h - 5.7 20.0 1959-76 1961-81 • 1969-71 1958-82 3.62 3.58 3.06 3.75 2.75-3.60 3.00-3.56 2.90-3.00 2.60-3.75 k/ 3.95-U.15 2.50-3.1*5 A A Aa A 5.6 1957-86 ... 5.0 . 1958-81 23.1 1992 a. 30 3.35 n.a. U.82 Baa Aa — OTHER None 1/ Includes corporate and other security offerings of §15 million and over5 State and local government security offerings of $5 million and over. . 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues. 3/ In. the case of State and local government securities, G.O. denotes general obligation5 Rev., revenue bondsj G.R., general obligations additionally secured by f a c i l i t i e s revenues; L.L., limited l i a b i l i t y obligations secured by pledge of designated revenues. U/ 1957-62 maturities not reoffered. n.a.—,Not a v a i l a b l e . „ Exhibit F H.1U Forthcoming -Large Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues During month following date shown Corporate State and Othpr 2/ local govt. Date of computation 202 215 70 176 123 380 568 198 h37 2k7 369 315 683. 1 9 # - Oct. 31 Nov. 30 Dec. 30 1956 - Jan. 31 Feb. 29 Mar. 30 Apr. 30 May 31 June 29 July 31 Aug. 31 Sept. 28 Oct. 31 330 205 121 327 220 132 173 332 81 . —— 131 #9 • 162 Subsequent to date shown Corporate State and Other 2/ local govt. 50 —— —— 37 kl2 230 85 376 2# 1,013 818 168 567 1,096 1,202 1,009 990 1,650 756 618 917 785 811 832 9hl 690 726 958 1,197 955 50 • - 37 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of November 23 Type Amount date (millions Approximate of offering of dollars) CORPORATE Sinclair Oil Corp. Chase Manhattan Bank Michigan Bell Telephone Co. Long Island Lighting Co. Public Service Electric & Gas Florida Power & Light Co. •it-Texas Eastern Transmission Co. Burroughs Corp. N a t i o n a l Cash R e g i s t e r Co. y S t o r e s R o a l t y Corp. Michigan Wisconsin P i p e Lino Co. S o u t h e r n New England Telephone Co. # Conv. sub. deb. 167.2 .Cap. stk. 1*7.0 Deb. 1st mtg. bds. Common stk.„ 1st mtg. bds. Deb. Deb. 30.0 20.0 33.0 15.0 Conv. s u b . deb. Gon. u t g . bds. 1st n t g . b d s . - Common s t k . ko.o 30.2 28.3 25.O' 25.0 20.1+ December 3 (rights expire) December 3 (rights expire) December I4. December 5 December 5 December 11 December 12 . December 17 (rights oxpiro) Doconbcr 19 (ri.jhts expire) Dc-coraber Winter Winter 1 H.lit F-2 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of November 23 (Cont'd) Type Amount (millions Approximate date of offering of dollars) STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Niagara Falls, New York Maryland State Roads Commission *State of Michigan ^Prince Georges Co., Md. •^University of Washington ^Maryland State Roads Commission -^Milwaukee, Wisconsin Norfolk, Virginia Memphis, Tennessee Florida State Board of Education Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission Washington State Toll Bridge Auth. Inter-American Center Auth., Fla. New York State Thruway Authority Jacksonville Expressway Authority Florida State Turnpike Authority Oklahoma Turnpike Authority State of Connecticut G.O.. G.O. L.L. G.O. Rev. G.O. G.O. G.O. Elec. rev. L.L. Rev. Rev. Rev. G.O. Rev. Rev. Rev. Expressway rev. 6.1* 15.0 52.-0 5.0 5.0 15.0 8.U 5.0 15U.0 9.3 62.0 227.0 20.0 50.0 12.0 185.0 65.0 514.0 Deb. 22.5 November December Deceniber December December December December December December December Winter Winter Winter Winter Winter Winter Winter Winter 29 U It 6 6 6 11 18 OTHER • City of Montreal, Canada December 11 *—Included in table for f i r s t time. 1/ Includes corporate and other issues of $15 million and over; State and local government issues of $5 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues. Note. —Deletions for reasons other than sale of issue: None I H.lU Exhibit G Yields on New and Outstanding Electric Power Bonds, Rated Aa and A 1 / Aa-rated offering yields A-rated offering yields Amount above Amount above Actual Actual seasoned yields seasoned yields (per cent) (per cent) (basis points) (basis points) Date 1952 1953 195U 1955 average average average average 1956 - January February March 8 16 23 30 April it h 11 25 May 9 16 2h June 8 20 . July 3 18 25 August 1 30 September 11 13 25 October 10 31 'Joveribcr 21 3.16 3.16 o/3.02 - 3.^ 1 1 V 13 16 c/% -9 None *3.15 3.19 3 5 3.37 18 3 , 7 7 UO 3.53 3.52 19 18 3.62 3.70 , 26 33 1.07 U.20 . It. 17 h.01 52 62 58 37 h.20 4.30, h8 52 1 1 S j" j i • . 3.35 3.78 3.12 3.33 c/ll - 26 -3 12 None 3.23 c/*6 3.35 7 3.55 3.57 3.60 3.67 o/23 - 23 26 c/31 3.80 3.73 32 2k 3.75 3.82 27 28 U.oo U3 ii.ltO 63 . -»—Single observation, not an average. 1/ Covers only 30-year f i r s t mortgage bonds, as reported in Moody's Bond Survey. Except where indicated, the actual yield figure and the amount above seasoned yields are averages of offerings during the indicated period and of the differences between these new offering yields and yields on seasoned issues of similar quality for the same day. Average maturity for the seasoned issues varies from 26 to 28 years. c—corrected.