Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : May 7, 1958
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Not for Publication DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MONIES H.lV ' ' May 7, 1958. CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS The volume of public security financing was substantial last wejek, but is expected to be much smaller this week. During the week ending May 9 corporations sold large issues totaling million and State and local governments offered issues with aggregate proceeds of $15U million, A foreign government issue for $25 million was also sold. This week5 large corporate issues for new capital, including expiration of subscription rights, are expected to total §35 million and State and local government issues amounting to »?6 million are scheduled for sale. A $1^0 million issue of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development was sold early in the week. Bond yields - Changes in yields on outstanding bonds were mixed last week. Yields on U. S. Government obligations increased sharply while those for State and local government Aaa and corporate Baa bonds remained stable. Yields on corporate Aaa and State and local government Baa bonds declined. A new A-rated, first mortgage electric utility issue was * offered to investors this week to yield i±.00 per cent — h basis . points below that for a comparable offering made last week. Stock prices - Stock prices, as measured by the Standard and Poor's index of 500 common stocks increased again last week to a new high for the year. Prices continued to increase in the early part of this week, closing at hk„01 on Tuesday. Trading activity continues to be relatively heavy. More detailed information concerning recent capital market developments is presented in the attached exhibits. Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. EXHIBIT A HIGH-GRADE BOND YIELDS Date Corporate Aaa 1/ . U. S. Govt, long-term 2/ State and local govt. Aaa y Spread between U. S. Govt, and Corporate [State and Ilocal Aaa (Per cent) 1953 - High 1955 - High Low 3.1»2 (6/19) 2.99 (1/9) 3.09 (1/8) 2.85 (L/23) 3.17 (12/23) 2.91 (1/7) 3.79 (12/28) 3.07 (3/2) lull* (9/27) 3.66 (1/12) 3.68 (1/3) 3.55 (5/2) 3.19 (6/5) ^ 2.71* (12/31) (1/8) 2.1,5 (8/6) 2.97 (8/5) 2.61, (1/7) 3.L5 (12/28) 2.81* (2/17) 3.76 (10/18) 3.18 (2/8) 3.28 (1/31). 3.07 U / 2 5 ) 2.73 1.98 2.21 1.90 2.3k 2.05 3.05 2.17 3.15 2.76 2.86 2.61* April April April April May 2 3.61* 3.62 3.61 3.57 3.55 3.19 3.15 3.10 3.07 3.1k 2.77 2.70 2.69 2.61a 2.6b 1951* - High 1955 - High 1956 - High 1957 - High Ii 11 "..8 25 2.7U (6/25) (1/8) (6/10) (9/2) (9/8) (5/26) (12/27) (2/23) (8/29) (2/21) ' (1/9) (5/1) .38 .20 .2*3 .30 .27 .11 * .a .12 .60 .27 .51 .28 .83 .33 .62 .30 .76 .57 .71 .32 .1*7 ^ .15 .62 .31* .15 .1)7 .51 .50 .lil .1*2 .1*5 .1*1 .1*3 -50 1/ Weekly average of daily figures. Average tern of bonos included is 25-26 years. 2/ Weekly average of daily figures. The series includes ccndt, duo or callable in • 10 years or more. 3/ Thursday figures. Only general obligations bonds are included; average term is 20 years. ' Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. LOWER - GRADE BOND YIELDS I - A / - J7 r tI V-1 ii V / - \ \ - li 1 7 /f / V /' s 1953 VLf" -XV \ \ r 1 STAT i - % v - 1954 Date 1955 Corporate Baa 1/ 1956 State and local govt; Baa 2/ 1957 1958 Spread between Aaa and Baa 1 State and (local govt. Coiporate (Per cent) 1 9 5 3 - High 195U - High 1955 - High 1956 - High 1957 - High 1958 - high Low April" h April 11 April 18 April 25 May 2 3.89 3.50 3.71* 3.1*1* 3.63 3.L5 U.Ul 3.58 5.10 h.h2 li.96 li.61i L.69 it. 67 1*.66 a. 66 U.66 (9/18) (1/2) (1/8) (12/31) (12/30) (1/H*) (12/28) (3/9) (11/29) (L/12) (1/3) (2/21) - 3.79 2.96 3.32 2.93 3.26 3.02 14.22 3.20 h.51 3.90 3.92 3.61* (6/25) (1/8) (1/7) (8/5) (12/29) (1/6) (12/27) (3/3) (8/29) (2/21) (1/2) (5/1) 3.88 • 3.81 3.78 3.66 . 3-6U ,69 .1*2 .68 .52 .51* .1*5 .63 .1*2 1.27 .6k 1.28 1.0U 1.21 .98 1.16 .93 1.03 .87 1.17 .89 1.21 l.Ol* 1.11 1.00 1.05 1.11 1.11 1.09 1.02 1.00 1.05 -1.05 1.09 l.ii 1/ Weekly average of daily figures. Average term of bonds includes is 25-26years. 2/ Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average term is 20 years. N o t e . — H i g h s and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. I M STOCK M A R K E T Stock price Index 1/ Trading Stock market olume 2/ Customers' Bank (millions yields J/ Total debit bal- loans to of shares) (per cuiit)| ances U/ ("others" 5/ (Millions of dollars) 1953 - High Low 1951* - High Low 1955 - High Low 1956 - High Low 1957 - High Low 1958 - High Low 26.51* (1/2) 22.95 (9/18) 35.98 (12/31) 21*.93 (1/8) 1*5.69 (12/9) 35.28 (1/H*) 1*9.61. (8/3) 1*3.22 (1/20) 1*9.08 (7/12) 39.1*8 (12/20) 1*3.69 (5/2) 1*0.37 (1/10) 2.5 0.9 3.7 1.1* 1*.6 1.5 3.1 1.5 1*.2 l.U 2.7 6.25 5.38 5.82 1*.32 i* .1*2 3.61, U. 35 3.82 It.72 3.91 U-58 1*. 22 March 1*2.11 1*2.31* 1*2.71 1*3.36 1*3.69 2.2 2.U 2.1 2.7 2.5 lt.35 1*-33 1*.29 1*.22 1*. 19 April 18 2,1*55 2,055 3,L36 2,1.05 1,030 3,537 U,0h7 3,9114 U,031 3,576 1,665 1,653 2,605 2,517 2,823 2,71*0 2,887 2,1.82 blf 3,863 2,665 780 66k 1,018 •71*6 1,21*1 1,018 1,267 bill 1,051. 1,21*3 1,051 1,198 1?208 1,21*3 n.a.--Not available. . >• 1/ Standard and Poor's composite index of 500 common stocks, weekly closing • prices, 19l*l-l*3"10. Monthly data are averages of daily figures rather than of Fridays' only. Highs and lows are for Fridaj's data only. 2/ Averages of daily trading volume on the New York Stock Exchange. 2/ Standard and Poor's composite stock yield based on Wednesday data converted to weekly closing prices by Federal Reserve. h/ £nd of month figures for member firms of the New York Stock Exchange which carry margin accounts; excludes balances secured by U. S. Government obligations. 5/ Wednesday figures for weekly reoortirig member banks. Excludes loans for purchasing or carrying U. S. Government securities at banks in New York and Chicago. Weekly reporting banks account for about 70 per cent of loans to others. For further detail see Bulletin. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. Exhibit D H.lU Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of dollars) 1958 January February March April May June e/800 sk*&/ % July August September quarter quarter quarter quarter S/3,125 1st half Three quarters Year New capital 1956 1,063 1,071 l,3Wt 573 712 817 92lt 771 1,W 818 1,11*6 . 81*1 991 91b 973 October November December 1st 2nd 3rd iith Corporate 1957 1 1 1958 812 952 511 s ® 838 1,055 792 1,086 71*5 3,1*79 3,181* 2,878 2,933 2,102 2,805 2,556 2,922 6,662 9,51*0 12,173 It,907 7,to 10,381* 2,275 State and local 1/ 1 1956 1 1957 506 ltOl* 696 390 ss 393 378 1*90 735 85 1*31 1*08 206 357 698 633 698 639 3U7 1*09 1,820 I,70lt 2,029 l,lt90 1,603 971 1,395 3,52lt 5,069 7,099 3,093 lt,o6U 5,1*59 7lt2 II,M Excluding finance companies 1\J 1st 2nd 3rd itth quarter quarter quarter quarter e/2,825 Year 3,268 2,92U 2,560 2,788 •11,^0 l,61t7 2,51(1 2,21*6 2,826 - 9,260 5/ Estimated. Preliminary. 1/ Data through June 1956 are Bond Buyer data classified as new capital by Federal Reserve; later data are from the Investment Bankers Association of America and are somewhat more complete as to coverage than the earlier data, particularly for Federal Government loans. Includes #718.3 million AT&T convertible debenture issue. Includes $571.5 million AT&T common stock issue. Total new capital issues excluding offerings of sales and consumer finance companies. Note.—Details may not add to totals due to rounding. H.UU ' Exhibit E Large Public Security Issues for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (Millions of dollars) Corporate Month 1957 - March April May June July August September October November December 1958 - January February March State and local government 788 1*77. #9 877 525 #6 537 57U 120 #9 318 605 1,093 Other 2/ 19k 2*99 2U8 176 265 357 185 1*35 386 1*39 506 629 26k 125 25 39 25 30 75 215 15 Large Individual Issues Offered April 1 through May 2 Type 3/ Amount : Coupon rate or Offering (millions Maturity net inter- yield Rating of dollars) est cost CORPORATE 1st mtg. bds. 30.0 Wisconsin Elec. Pwr. Co. 1988 20.0 Gen. American Transp. Corp, E. T. ctfs. 1978 21.1* General Telephone Corp. Com. stk. 1st mtg. bds. 15.0 1988 Duquesne Light Co. Deb. 1*0.0 J. E. Seagram & Sons, Inc. 1983 1*0.0 1988 Deb. American Can Co. S. F. deb. . 60.0 - 1978 Douglas Aircraft Co. Deb. 125.0 Aluminum Co. of America 1983 S. F. deb. 30.0 Pacific Petroleums Ltd. 1973 Conv. sub. deb.19.0 1983 Richfield Oil Corp. 1st mtg. bds. 50.0 1968 Commonwealth Edison Co. S. F. deb. 1963 Diamond Gardner Corp. 25.0 1988 Mississippi Pwr. & Lt. Co. 1st mtg. bds. 15.0 Deb. 30.0 Tennessee Gas Transm. Co. 1978 So. Counties Gas of Calif. 1st mtg. bds. 15.0 1983 1st mtg. bds. UO.O 1988 Philadelphia Elec. Co. Deb. 150.0 1983 Texas Company 1* 1/8 1* 1/8 3 3A 1* 1/1* 3 3/U 5 3 7/8 5 1/2 1*3/8 3 3/1* h : Ll/8 5 1* 3 3/1* 3 5/8 3.98 1*.13 Aa A 3.71* It. 38 3.75 5.00 3.90 . 5.30 1*.38 3.70 1*.00 ... 3.98 5.oo 3.87 3.76 3.65 Aaa A. Aa Baa Aa tia . Baa Aaa A A Baa A Aaa Aaa Belli E-2 Large Individual Issues Offered April 1 through May 2(Cont'd) Issuer Type 3/ Coupon Amount rate or Offering millions Maturity net inter- yield of dollars) . est cost Rating STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Texas Veterans .Land Board G.O. 12.5 Comm. of Puerto Rico G.O. . 18.3 Los Angeless California • Rev.-Ut. 13.5 Lafayette Par. S.D.#1, La. G.O. • 7.0 Tampa, Florida Rev.-Ut. 8. U Anne Arundel Co., Maryland G.O. 5.0 State of Maryland G.O. 2L6. Chicago^ Illinois G.O. .7.5 Erie Co. Wtr. Auth., N. Y. Rev.-Ut. 6.5 San Francisco, California G.O. "2L.2 Wash. Sub. San. Dist.3 Md. G.O. 10.0 State of Massachusetts G.O. .96.9 Louisiana State University Rev.-Q.Ut. 7.5 Babylon-U.F.S.D. ir33 N. Y G.O. • 5.5 Honolulu, Hawaii G.O. 7.3 State of California G.O. 100.0 Washington Toll Br. Auth. Rev.-Ut. 5.2 Illinois Toll Hwy. Comm. Rev.-Ut. 64.0 Burbank5 Calif o rnia G.O. 5.6 Baltimore2 Maryland G.O. 24.2 Colleges of State of Texas G.O. IB oh Wake Co.2 North Carolina G.O. 6.3 Philadelphia, Penna. G.O. 31.9 Yonkers, New York G.O. 6.9 ' 1966-88/68 1959-73 1959-88 1961-88/69 1959-87/68 -1960-83 1961-73 1960-71 1961-97/67 1959-78 1959-97/73 1959-98 1959-83/63 1959-87 1961-78/68 1959-84/78 1961-71/61 1998 1959-78/68 1961-82 1959-68 1959-80 1959-88 1959-78 2.05-3 00 Aa 1.20-3.50 A 1.00-3.35 Aa Baa 2.20-3 90 1.25-3 1.40-3 'St/ A 1.25- .50 - Aaa 1.20-2 70 A Baa 1.75-3 70 2.16 0.85-2.75,, Aa 1.25-3.652/ Baa . 3.33 0.85-3 .25 Aa 2.92 1.50-3,.75 A 3.73 3.62 1.20-3,. 70 Baa 3.15 1.75-3, 2 0.85-3, 2 .2.00-3,,00 4 4.77 2; 0o-90-3«,00 A 2 1.20-2,,80 Aa 2, 0.85-2=,25 Aa 2, C.B5-2. 2, 0.80-3. l.OO-J.15 .A 2.73 2.89 3.39 3.15 1.03 3.56 2.98 2.31 2.1:6 3.69 :ik'l ' OTHER Ontario, Canada Ext. deb. 25.0 Ontariov Canada Ext. deb 50.0 Edmonton, Alberta, Canada Ext. deb 18.0 Belgian Congo Ext. loan bds ,15.0 Commonwealth of Australia 25.0 Montreal9 Canada S. F. deb. 21.5 1963 1983 1983 1973 1973 1978 3 4 4 5 a I 1/4 3/4 1/4 3/4 3/4 3.40 4.13 4.93 5.40 4.85 ho?5 1/ Includes corporate and other security offerings of »l5 million and over; State and local government security offerings of 4$ million and over. 2j Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues. 3/ In the case of State and local government securities* G.O. denotes general obligations; Rev.-Ut., revenue obligations secured only by income from public utilities; Rev.-Q.Ut., revenue bonds secured only by revenue of quasi-utilitiesj Rev.-S.T., revenue bonds secured by revenue from specific taxes only; Rev.-Rent.> revenue bonds secured solely by lease payments„ 4/ I982-83 maturities not reoffered. 6/ Is of 1984 not reoffered. bj Is of 1992-97 not reoffered. %/ I/us, 1988 reoffered at 3.90% Exhibit F H.U* Forthcoming Large Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues During month following Subsequent to date shown , date shown State and 0the Corporate r t/ local govt. Other 2/| Corporate i^caiVoTt. | Hate of computation - Apr. 30 May 31 June 28 July.31 Aug. 30 Sept. 30 Oct. 31 Nov. 29 Dec. 31 - Jan. 31 Feb. 28 Mar. 31 Apr. 30 187 5# 370 526 578 576 1*58 #3 378 1*98 1,123 555 356 179 97 172 252 2U3 370 369 387 383 1* 29 175 3U0 521* 25 25 30 30 18 150 . 110 150 258 525 1*15 811 81*5 61*7 815 1,193 1,161 1,378 • 1,208 670 561 #6 388 1*98 511* 1*39 587 573 589 6lU 51*6 389 " 372 530 - 25 25 30 15 1*5 63 165 110 150 Forthcoming Large Offering's, as of May 2 Issuer Type Amount Approximate date (millions of offering of dollars) CORPORATE Potomac Electric Power Co. R. R. Donnelly & Sons, Co. Public Service Co. of Oklahoma United Gas Improvement Co. Long Island Lighting Co. Long Island Lighting Co. Gulf States Utilities Co. International Tel. & Tel. Co. Conv. deb. 19.7 Deb. 1st mtg. bds. 1st mtg. bds. 1st mtg. bds. Common stk. 15.0 16.0 15.0 20.0 15.5 1st mtg. bds. Conv. sub. deb. 20.0 28.7 1st mtg. bds. Illinois Power Co. 25.0 Public Service Co. of Colorado Pfd. stk. 16.0 1st mtg. bds. Brooklyn Union Gas Co. 22.0 Central Hudson Gas & Electric Corp. 1st mtg. bds. 18.0 Appalachian Electric Power Co. 1st mtg. bds. 25.0 S.K deb. , . 60.0 National Distillers & Chem. Corp. ^Transcontinental Gas Pipe Line Corp. 1st mtg. p. 1. bds. 25.0 ^Transcontinental Gas Pipe Line Corp. Cum. pfd. stk. 15.0 May 6 (rights expire) May 7 May 13 May lli May 15 May 15 (rights expire) May 20 ' May 21 (rights expire) May 21 May 22 May 22 May 27 May 28 May May May Rdh F-2 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of May 2 (Cont'd) Issuer Type Amount Approximate date ' (millions • of offering of dollars) CORPORATE (Continued) Consolidated Edison Co. -^Virginia Electric &-Power Co. Commerce Oil Refining Corp. Natural Gas Pipeline Co. of America Consolidated Natural Gas Co. . ref. mtg. bds. , ref. mtg. bds., 1., bds. & common 1st mtg. bds. S-.F. deb. 50.0 25.0 1*5.0 UO.O U5.o June k June 10 1958 1958 1958 STATE-AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Peoria Co. Sch. Dist. No. 150, 111. State of Connecticut Cook Co., Illinois Fulton, Georgia State of 'West Virginia State of New York Boston, Massachusetts Cincinnati, Ohio • Wichita, Kansas State of South Carolina Franklin Co., Ohio -"-Bergen Co. Sewer Auth,, W. J„ New York, New York Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania , State of Ohio -"-Greensboro, North Carolina Public Housing Authorities Houston, Texas' '" State of Iowa Territory of Hawaii -x-State of Michigan -x-Sacramento Utility Dist., Calif. G.O. G.O. Rev.-Ut. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev.-Ut. G.O. G.O. Rev.-S.To G.O. G.O. . G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev.-Ut. 5-8 29.7 -25.0' 10.u 5;o liO.O 2L.5 "I3.li. 6.8 25.0 10.0 15-8 U7.3 5.0 32.0 10.0 69.9 15.6 21,7 8.0 100.0 5.7 May 5 May 6 May 6 May 7 May 7 May 13 May 13 May 13 May 13 May Ik May lit May lit May 15 May 20 May 20 May 20 May 21 May 21 May 27 • May 27 May 27 June 12 OTHER ^International Bank for Reconstruction and Development BdSo 150.0 May 6 -x-—Included in table for first time. 1/'Includes corporate and other issues of $15 million and over3 State and local government issues of 55 million and over. • 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues. Note.—Deletions for reasons other than sale of issue: None. Exhibit G Yields on New and Outstanding Electric Power Bonds, Rated Aa and A 1/ Date 1952 - 1957 High Low 1958 - January 8 9 17 21 23 February 5 1h 20 21 25 26 28 March it 5 6 12 19 21 25 April 1 2 17 23 29 Aa-rated offering yields A-rated offering yields Amount above Amount above Actual Actual seasoned yields (per cent) (per cent) seasoned yields (basis points) (basis points) 5.00(8/11/57) 2.93(3/31/510 3.60 3.80 , 3.80%/ 87 -3 -8 13 . 12 3.95 It.00 28 33 k.15 It. 22 It. 00 It.00 Itlt 50 28 26 U.05 3.98 It. 00 31 23 25 3.75 5 5.50(11/7/57) 3.00(3/17/5U) 123 -15 lt.°7 , 1*.102/ 3.85 3.80 9 13 -3 -8 3.90 -3 3.92 -3 lt.ltO It. 25 35 6 It.07 -7 3.98 5 lt.olt 11 *—Single observation, not an average. 1/ Covers only 30-year first mortgage bonds, as reported in Moody's Bond Survey. Except where indicated, the actual yield figure and the amount above seasoned yields are averages of offerings during the indicated period and of the differences between these new offering yields and yields on seasoned issues of similar quality for the same day. Average maturity for the seasoned issues varies from 26 to 28 years. 2/ Provides for a 5-year period during which issue may not be called for refunding at a lower coupon rate. Other issues have no such provision.